Russian Women Discussion

RWD Discussion Groups => Odds and Ends => Topic started by: ML on September 15, 2020, 10:14:14 AM

Title: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: ML on September 15, 2020, 10:14:14 AM
Each day, I get more and more sick thinking about what is happening to our country, and I see no real hope for the future.

It seems to me that the only solution is a breaking apart of the USA into 2 separate nations, each majority ruled by either red or blue partisans.  There are two major questions:

1) Could the two separate nations survive independently ?  The Blue nation would logically (based on most recent voting patterns) be comprised of California, Oregon and Washington, and most of the states along the upper East Coast.  The Red Nation would consist of the remainder and would have sea ports along the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico.  Could this Red Nation survive without ports along the Pacific to trade with the Far East?

2) Legality for those states that make the first move to secede.  Below is from Wikipedia.

Disputed legality of unilateral secession
The Constitution does not directly mention secession.[53] The legality of secession was hotly debated in the 19th century. Although the Federalist Party briefly explored New England secession during the War of 1812, secession became associated with Southern states as the North's industrial power increased.[54] The Supreme Court has consistently interpreted the Constitution to be an "indestructible" union.[53] The Articles of Confederation explicitly state the Union is "perpetual"; the U.S. Constitution declares itself an even "more perfect union" than the Articles of Confederation.[55] Other scholars, while not necessarily disagreeing that the secession was illegal, point out that sovereignty is often de facto an "extralegal" question. Had the Confederacy won, any illegality of its actions under U.S. law would have been rendered irrelevant, just as the undisputed illegality of American rebellion under the British law of 1775 was rendered irrelevant. Thus, these scholars argue, the illegality of unilateral secession was not firmly de facto established until the Union won the Civil War; in this view, the legal question was resolved at Appomattox.[54][56]

Supreme Court rulings
Texas v. White[55] was argued before the United States Supreme Court during the December 1868 term. Chief Justice Salmon P. Chase read the Court's decision, on April 15, 1869.[57] Australian Professors Peter Radan and Aleksandar Pavkovic write:

Chase, [Chief Justice], ruled in favor of Texas on the ground that the Confederate state government in Texas had no legal existence on the basis that the secession of Texas from the United States was illegal. The critical finding underpinning the ruling that Texas could not secede from the United States was that, following its admission to the United States in 1845, Texas had become part of "an indestructible Union, composed of indestructible states". In practical terms, this meant that Texas has never seceded from the United States.[58]

However, the Court's decision recognized some possibility of the divisibility "through revolution, or through consent of the States".[58][59]

In 1877, the Williams v. Bruffy[60] decision was rendered, pertaining to Civil War debts. The Court wrote regarding acts establishing an independent government that "The validity of its acts, both against the parent state and the citizens or subjects thereof, depends entirely upon its ultimate success; if it fail to establish itself permanently, all such acts perish with it; if it succeed and become recognized, its acts from the commencement of its existence are upheld as those of an independent nation."[58][61]

The Union as a sovereign state
Historian Kenneth Stampp notes that a historical case against secession had been made that argued that "the Union is older than the states" and that "the provision for a perpetual Union in the Articles of Confederation" was carried over into the Constitution by the "reminder that the preamble to the new Constitution gives us one of its purposes the formation of 'a more perfect Union'".[21] Concerning the White decision Stampp wrote:

In 1869, when the Supreme Court, in Texas v. White, finally rejected as untenable the case for a constitutional right of secession, it stressed this historical argument. The Union, the Court said, "never was a purely artificial and arbitrary relation". Rather, "It began among the Colonies. ...It was confirmed and strengthened by the necessities of war, and received definite form, and character, and sanction from the Articles of Confederation."[21]
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on September 15, 2020, 10:37:44 AM
The Blue nation would logically (based on most recent voting patterns) be comprised of California, Oregon and Washington, and most of the states along the upper East Coast.

Similar to the partitioning of East and West Pakistan with tens of millions dislocated.  Would Chicago migrate to the West or East?

The Red States would be running a fiscal surplus from Day One. 

Would Red come to the defense of  Blue when Mexico invades California to regain lands stolen from it in the 19th C.   I say California because Mexico would never invade Texas. 

Hopefully we regain our senses. 

Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 15, 2020, 12:06:38 PM
Hopefully we regain our senses.

I fear we may well be too far gone for that. Congress and Trump have only accelerated an inevitable upheaval.  If we can't work together to fight a teenie weenie bug how can one expect to deal with the larger problems we have as a nation.
Title: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on September 15, 2020, 01:28:57 PM
There are two major questions:

ML,

Article 5 of the U.S. Constitution gives states the power to call a Convention of States
to propose amendments to the constitution. During the convention of States they can
decide things without the House or the Senate. 

You can read Article 5 here.
http://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/constitution-transcript#toc-article-v-
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: jone on September 15, 2020, 01:38:17 PM
Were it ever to come to that, my state, California, would form The California Republic and invite the states of Washington, Oregon and possibly Arizona and Nevada to join.

More and more Californians are leaving the state.   Preferential destinations:  Colorado, Arizona.  Colorado has swung five points to the blue since this exodus began.   Real estate prices in Denver have exploded.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Faux Pas on September 15, 2020, 01:59:09 PM
There was already a war fought over that once. Of course then the Union had nothing to gain over letting a secession happen in 1861. No so much the case now
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: jone on September 15, 2020, 02:10:00 PM
Believe it or not, the South tried to secede a second time.   The KKK, the Red Shirts, the White League, all were created in an effort to prevent African Americans from voting.  The end to reconstruction did not mean an end to these organizations.   Many of the members felt that the only way for them to succeed was to secede.   Again.  These efforts did not abate until after the Great Migration and the onset of the second world war.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on September 15, 2020, 02:13:11 PM
Were it ever to come to that, my state, California, would form The California Republic and invite the states of Washington, Oregon and possibly Arizona and Nevada to join.

More and more Californians are leaving the state.   Preferential destinations:  Colorado, Arizona.  Colorado has swung five points to the blue since this exodus began.   Real estate prices in Denver have exploded.

Why would the "four" want California?  Given the situation, would California not be  the one begging?

Given its many citizens and residents of Mexican lineage, California decides instead to become part of Mexico.    And all those California white folks migrate to the four just like the Hindi millions and millions leaving Pakistan in 1947.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Faux Pas on September 15, 2020, 02:14:46 PM
Believe it or not, the South tried to secede a second time.   The KKK, the Red Shirts, the White League, all were created in an effort to prevent African Americans from voting.  The end to reconstruction did not mean an end to these organizations.   Many of the members felt that the only way for them to succeed was to secede.   Again.  These efforts did not abate until after the Great Migration and the onset of the second world war.

Ah no. Those groups attempting to prevent or suppress blacks from voting doesn't hardly reach a level of secession jone. In fact the democrats were trying to do that right up to and including the civil rights act of 64
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: GQBlues on September 15, 2020, 02:41:31 PM
Why would the "four" want California?  Given the situation, would California not be  the one begging?

Given its many citizens and residents of Mexican lineage, California decides instead to become part of Mexico.    And all those California white folks migrate to the four just like the Hindi millions and millions leaving Pakistan in 1947.


There was an exodus in the 80s and early 90s, mostly headed to Arizona when many of the defense aeronautic companies relocated. Then the decade of 90s and Y2k saw (Seattle) Washington / Texas began receiving a lot of these Californians. The influx to Nevada was always mild but constant.


But California isn't exactly like New Zealand where it loses a nice portion of its population to everywhere else every year. The 'incoming' still outnumber those it loses in terms of population growth. Domestic migration is a whole other matter.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 15, 2020, 02:52:25 PM
Federal government owns land in every State. Most States exist because the federal government created them. California governor seems to think the federal government owns 57% of California. No State, County, City, or even you as a property owner has a right to secede and start your own country just because you don't like the duly elected President. You can move out of the country but leave the land behind. Anybody thinks they are going to secede without a fight has another thing coming. Lincoln didn't let anybody leave. Neither should we.

http://bigthink.com/strange-maps/291-federal-lands-in-the-us
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: msmob on September 15, 2020, 03:05:22 PM



But California isn't exactly like New Zealand where it loses a nice portion of its population to everywhere else every year.

Hmm,

1979 NZ population .4 million

2018 NZ population 1.9 million

Source: World Bank

Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: GQBlues on September 15, 2020, 03:29:43 PM
Hmm,

1979 NZ population .4 million

2018 NZ population 1.9 million

Source: World Bank


Somewhere out there someone understand there's a difference between growth rate from outgoing/incoming migration. This is not the place.


For example:
Quote
Over the past 20 years, California has experienced its slowest rates of growth ever recorded, and growth has been especially slow since 2017. According to estimates by the California Department of Finance, California’s population grew by 7.3% (or 2.7 million) from 2010 to the end of 2019; this rate is only slightly higher than the national rate of 6.3%. International migration to California has remained strong, with a net inflow of 1.5 million. But net domestic migration has been negative: about 900,000 more people left California for other states than came to California from other states. Natural increase—the difference between births and deaths—added 2.2 million residents. But birth rates are at record lows and the number of deaths is increasing as the population ages.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: ML on September 15, 2020, 04:52:00 PM
Anybody thinks they are going to secede without a fight has another thing coming.

Billy, there need not be a war.  As I quoted from Wiki:

"However, the Court's decision recognized some possibility of the divisibility 'through revolution, or through consent of the States' "
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 15, 2020, 05:50:42 PM
Billy, there need not be a war.  As I quoted from Wiki:

"However, the Court's decision recognized some possibility of the divisibility 'through revolution, or through consent of the States' "


The Supreme Court doesn't make law and because there is no law that allows a State to secede, they offered an opinion. Pertaining to Texas vs White, Supreme Court justice Antonin Scalia stated, "If there was any constitutional issue resolved by the Civil War, it is that there is no right to secede."


As far as possibilities go according to the Supreme Court, If a group of States kick America's ass making America too weak to stop them from leaving, then yes, that is a possibility but there isn't a law that allows States to do that. If consent is to happen, the Constitution needs to be ratified but the Constitution only gets ratified for important matters such as equality. Seceding is not a very important topic and it's certainly not a right or protection for The People which the Constitution primary purpose is for.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: fathertime on September 15, 2020, 07:26:57 PM
Each day, I get more and more sick thinking about what is happening to our country, and I see no real hope for the future.
 
Although things seem to be going straight down the old crapper I see hope.  Much of the extreme partisanship on the red side is from people 50+ years old.  Nature will take care of a lot of that in the next 20 years or less.  I believe the next generations are not stuck in how things were from an era that is often romanticized

I think the process of dissolving the country is too much and unnecessary.  We currently have a very poor choice for president, therefore thoughts like this are now entering the thoughts of many.  Reality remains even under a conservative president, the country continues to shift bluer.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: fathertime on September 15, 2020, 07:44:32 PM

There was an exodus in the 80s and early 90s, mostly headed to Arizona when many of the defense aeronautic companies relocated. Then the decade of 90s and Y2k saw (Seattle) Washington / Texas began receiving a lot of these Californians. The influx to Nevada was always mild but constant.
I see large numbers leaving as long as California home values are so much greater than elsewhere. I suspect the prospect of suddenly having a million dollars in a bank account is a big incentive for many. 

Fathertime!
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 04:09:28 AM
As a nation and democracy, we are far beyond our 'best use by' date.  In a way, this is good, but in another, it only postpones the inevitable collapse.

If we are to survive intact, there are a few fundamental aspects that must change, none of which are bound by the political divide.

First, we must admit that something is wrong with the way our democracy operates.  I believe most here can agree with this.

Second, there is a concept called 'spirit and intent of the law' to which we no longer abide.  Our lawmakers and we continuously seek loopholes in our laws or odd exceptions to escape 'spirit and intent.'  Not only does this exist in the application of domestic law but our obligations to other countries.  Domestically loopholes are built into statutes all the time intentionally, even nefariously, usually by what we generally call 'beltway bandits.'  These are the folks who write a good portion of laws on the books.  Faced with statutes containing thousands of pages, complex multi-layered external references, linguistic labyrinths, many of our elected officials and leaders can't even read them, much less check critical punctuation, grammatical word order, and complex references.  Many in politics and interest groups use this to 'game the system' and gain undue advantage or profits.  Such practices are rife in domestic legislation but are not limited to only what happens inside our borders. Our agreements with other countries and world organizations are similarly affected by 'gaming' and deviation from 'spirit and intent.'

Third, Congress, when performing its legislative duty, commonly bundles very diverse legislation into single laws. At first sight, one might think this is to add efficiency, but it is not.  It is a method of wielding leverage and trading 'this for that' leading to legislation that does not arrive out of real compromise on the proposed bill's merits.  Instead, the result is the piecemeal trading of unrelated bits of legislation on the House and Senate floors.  Legislation passed via this convoluted process is far from perfect when implemented.  Add the filibuster, which prevents proposed legislation from even getting to a vote, and the ideal political storm we have today intensifies.

Lastly, 'common sense' has been thrown out the window in favor of power, gain, advantage, or profit.

None of the above is unchangeable, but requires a will we do not possess today simply because we do not trust and fear one another.  We'll eventually get there, by either courage or violence.  Which will it be?
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 16, 2020, 07:15:46 AM

We are a very long way from having another Civil War but I have to admit, I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Faux Pas on September 16, 2020, 07:46:58 AM
We are a very long way from having another Civil War but I have to admit, I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.

I fear it may be much closer than you think
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 08:06:41 AM
We are a very long way from having another Civil War but I have to admit, I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.

Southern Democrats, who supported slavery, many who later joined the Southern Republican party due to conservative views and opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Voting Rights Act of 1965.

Title: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on September 16, 2020, 08:08:14 AM
Billy, there need not be a war.  As I quoted from Wiki:

"However, the Court's decision recognized some possibility of the divisibility 'through revolution, or through consent of the States' "

A Convention of States could do it. They probably wouldn't but it's a legal
nonviolent means by which it could be done.

Title: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on September 16, 2020, 08:22:08 AM
Southern Democrats, who supported slavery, many who later joined the Southern Republican party due to conservative views and opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Voting Rights Act of 1965.

82 percent of Republicans in the Senate voted for the 1964 civil rights act.
84 percent of Republicans in the House. It was the Democrats Robert Byrd,
William Fulbright, and Sam Ervin joined together to launch a filibuster that
lasted for 57 days (Byrd was reelected to the Senate by democrats all the
way until his death on June 28, 2010)

Why would racists join the GOP? Answer, they wouldn't because they had
a home in the Democratic party.

Many more Democratic racists were still alive to join the Democrats and
Jimmy Carter in 1976. Let's look at the map and see who the racists voted
for. A 40 year old racist voter in 1964 would be 96 today. 
(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/16/1976_Electoral_College_Map.png/650px-1976_Electoral_College_Map.png)

As you can see the racists went back to the party in which they always belonged.
You don't get to claim that racist Democrat voters from 1964 make up any
meaningful number of Republican members today, the past or in recent years.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: GQBlues on September 16, 2020, 08:38:48 AM
I see large numbers leaving as long as California home values are so much greater than elsewhere. I suspect the prospect of suddenly having a million dollars in a bank account is a big incentive for many. 

Fathertime!


Well, let's hope and pray this time around those who swear leaving the US for another country if THE Donald gets elected will actually do so so we can avert some silly notion of secession. Those snowflakes apparently weren't very serious in 2016.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 16, 2020, 08:47:51 AM
I fear it may be much closer than you think


If we look at the series of events that took place before and after Lincoln was inaugurated, we are not close to being in a Civil War. After Lincoln was elected and before he was inaugurated, States took their militaries and seized federal armories. Politicians resigned in protest to Lincoln being elected. All we have now is radicals on the left and right that are willing to duke it out on the streets. Currently Democratic governors are working with Trump on a friendly level pertaining to the virus and fires. Most Americans are happy with life enough to stay at home. The majority may bitch about things but the majority isn't ready to kill anybody to make changes.

What we are dealing today is nothing compared to the events below

http://www.battlefields.org/learn/articles/day-civil-war


Southern Democrats, who supported slavery, many who later joined the Southern Republican party due to conservative views and opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Voting Rights Act of 1965.


Republicans are mostly responsible for freeing the slaves, giving women rights to vote, giving minorities civil rights and rights to vote. Here are the votes for those two Acts below. Democrats 3-1 over Republicans said no to them. Although both passed, it was because the Republicans came together to get it done. Ideology vote charts in links below tell the story. The Democrats offered freebies to women and minorities pretending they care only after they were given the right to vote.

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/88-1964/s409

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/88-1964/h128

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/89-1965/s78

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/89-1965/h87


Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 08:54:48 AM

You don't get to claim that racist Democrat voters from 1964 make up any
meaningful number of Republican members today, the past or in recent years.

Was that my assertion?  Or was I simply correcting nomenclature?

In a way though, your reply counters BillyB's assertion so quite ok.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on September 16, 2020, 09:08:13 AM
Was that my assertion?  Or was I simply correcting nomenclature?

In a way though, your reply counters BillyB's assertion so quite ok.

Let's review your quote
Southern Democrats, who supported slavery, many who later joined the Southern Republican party due to conservative views and opposed the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and Voting Rights Act of 1965.

BC, I don't want to misunderstand your intent or to get it wrong. Let me know
what you meant.

Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 09:49:11 AM
BC, I don't want to misunderstand your intent or to get it wrong. Let me know
what you meant.

2tall,

I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.

I simply attempted to point out to BillyB that the 'Democrats' he believed would be pissed are not the Democrats of today, but instead Southern Democrats.

I pretty much did the same as your post that pointed out that Republicans today are not what they were back then either ;)

We can of course just say that most white folks in the south were in favor of slavery back then, no matter how they were politically labeled.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 16, 2020, 10:25:43 AM
We can of course just say that most white folks in the south were in favor of slavery back then, no matter how they were politically labeled.


Every party has their racists but bottom line is it is the Republicans who fought harder for equal rights for women and minorities. The Democratic party was only interested in those people after they had the power to vote.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 11:22:30 AM
BillyB,

suffice it to say I am not going to blame the Republicans of today for the Southern Strategy employed by folks back then who called themselves 'Republican'.  Neither am I going to blame Democrats today for efforts of folks back then that called themselves 'Democrats' back then to disenfranchise blacks and poor white voters.

A party whether you call it democrat or republican is formed by folks with similar political values.  The name or labels used today have no meaning or relation whatsoever with parties using the same name back then.

Maybe you could clarify the point you were trying to get across with your original post below:

We are a very long way from having another Civil War but I have to admit, I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on September 16, 2020, 11:38:07 AM

We can of course just say that most white folks in the south were in favor of slavery back then, no matter how they were politically labeled.

Lets be careful how we label people.  The past is malleable to many.   

Did you know only a minority of white families in the South owned slaves?  Most whites were probably not in the category of "favoring slavery" but the category of "reluctantly accepting it as the life they knew in their very small world."

I recall doing genealogy  research of my Tennessee ancestors and discovered only one man from my huge family tree had fought in the Civil War, and he was a Yankee.  That was Tennessee near Kentucky border, and probably a different story than south Georgia. 

What was the subject?  Yes...Southern Democrats.  My family were Democrats for life, not because of slavery nor Lincoln nor reconstruction, but because of the New Deal.  Evidently it started before that because my grandfather gave one of his sons the first name of Woodrow and middle name of Wilson.

More important my parents stayed Democrat for their lives.   And they favored civil rights.  I imagine them probably voting for Obama in 2008 but not in 2012.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: jone on September 16, 2020, 11:54:44 AM
Yup.  There were parts of the South, I'm thinking North Carolina, where slaves were not allowed.   These counties actually voted not to secede or did so reluctantly.  Now, that doesn't put them on the side of the angels, but it does show that the South was far from unified behind slavery.   Instead they were unified behind the banner of State's Rights.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Faux Pas on September 16, 2020, 12:11:39 PM
Yup.  There were parts of the South, I'm thinking North Carolina, where slaves were not allowed.   These counties actually voted not to secede or did so reluctantly.  Now, that doesn't put them on the side of the angels, but it does show that the South was far from unified behind slavery.   Instead they were unified behind the banner of State's Rights.

Slavery was legal in all of the Southern states. As far West as Texas and as far North as Maryland. Missouri was neutral and Kentucky called themselves quasi neutral but neither really were. I don't recall the numbers but I believe the number of slave owners was less than 1% of the South's population. The point is, it was very small. Most of the population couldn't afford slaves and for the most part were unaffected. Slave owners were mostly large land and plantation owners, wealthy men. Those wealthy men had for the most part all the influence in Washington as it concerned the South. Your average Southerner considered the civil war the "rich man's war". It was a very different world back then and politics was mostly a rich man's business
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: calmissile on September 16, 2020, 12:30:09 PM
Yup.  There were parts of the South, I'm thinking North Carolina, where slaves were not allowed.   These counties actually voted not to secede or did so reluctantly.  Now, that doesn't put them on the side of the angels, but it does show that the South was far from unified behind slavery.   Instead they were unified behind the banner of State's Rights.

Agree, and States Rights are still an important concept in our constitution whether the left likes it or not.  Our government was established with the idea that most matters are legislated by individual states and represent the sentiment of the citizens in each state.  Doesn't the left pay any attention to history?
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on September 16, 2020, 12:40:36 PM
Yup.  There were parts of the South, I'm thinking North Carolina, where slaves were not allowed.   These counties actually voted not to secede or did so reluctantly.  Now, that doesn't put them on the side of the angels, but it does show that the South was far from unified behind slavery.   Instead they were unified behind the banner of State's Rights.

Western NC.  Small farms, but not plantations.   Pioneer spirit.  Religious, but not zealots  in the category of John Brown.  More about the right to keep the life they knew.   

You are correct that the issue of states rights  was important in soliciting wide public support.  However, "big money" was more important in making final decisions.  And plantations were the source of big money.  Think "king cotton," a luxury of the time.  Not far behind were tobacco, rice and sugar.   The paradox I can't solve is that a large part of the industrial wealth of New England depended upon cotton. 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 16, 2020, 01:09:58 PM
We are a very long way from having another Civil War but I have to admit, I've never seen Democrats this mad since Lincoln freed their slaves.

Maybe you could clarify the point you were trying to get across with your original post below:


Nah, I'll keep leave it as is. Just a few words that says a lot.

Video below is as close to a Civil War we'll see now and after Trump gets re-elected. Far right and left groups pounding each other in the streets. At the 4 minute mark, one guy knocks out two people.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C43_sORhF88
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 16, 2020, 01:13:40 PM
Lets be careful how we label people.  The past is malleable to many.   


That was what I was suggesting to BillyB, but admit 'most' may be a bit off, or not.  Might we agree on 'numerous' or 'very numerous' as in enough to result in a civil war?

Here's an interesting and quick video on the subject.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcy7qV-BGF4



Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 16, 2020, 06:45:16 PM

The Democratic party today and in the past seems to be the ones bringing down America or preventing progress. Democrats now have minorities dependent on them for financial aid and food stamps just as slaves were dependent on them for food and roof over their heads.

Democrats allow citizens to destroy their cities. Republicans won't allow that. Trump may be an asshole, but he's pro law and order.

America needed Trump. Many of our institutions, like the FBI started to become corrupt. Trump got rid of those who can't perform their job with integrity and replaced them with people who have integrity. Even recently Mueller's team full of Democrats erased dozens of their phones knowing an inspector general wants to review them so there's more work to do. If anybody Mueller was investigating even altered an email by removing a comma and not changing the meaning, they'd be charged with tampering with evidence. Hillary wasn't charged for making emails disappear so Mueller's team of attorneys thought they can get away with it too. Even with being bombarded with anti Trump news from the media, I think Americans see Democrats taking us in the wrong direction allowing corruption in government to grow and anarchists to rise. Americans will stay the course with Trump giving him 4 more years to get rid of bad apples and give us better government. Those who read fake news media and embrace phony polls will never understood why Trump won and they will be even more shocked when he wins again.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on September 17, 2020, 03:14:09 AM
Thanks for your list of conservative talking points Billy.  A bit outdated, but guess 'it is what it is'.  Which post were you responding to?

You do know there is an app for that?  http://www.conservativetalkingpoints.com/app/

Quote
Be armed with the Conservative Talking Points (CTP) iPhone App as your powerful arsenal to debate those emotional and ill-prepared liberals. This collection of sourced facts, historic data, direct quotes, and common sense knowledge is organized in a quick reference format for easy lookups during a spirited discussion or a heated argument. Since liberals quickly sink to personal attacks or jump to another subject, you can hold their feet to the fire of truth with these Conservative Talking Points to win on any subject they wish to debate you on.

Guess it's the AK-47 of conservative doublespeak, guaranteed to shut down liberals on the spot in even the most complex political debate topic.

Quote
Copy/paste is supported for easy posting.  With a few clicks, you can do the 'dem deflect' as well as Kellyanne Conway. Uses the same organization of McEnemy's podium cheat sheet for lightning-fast alt-fact references.  Will even assist with building that special Navarro conservatism continuum conundrum for amazing CNN interviews.  The 'Trump Tangential Tackle Talk Technique' (in short called TT's) is a paid add-in as well as the 'Nuke option' - a 98decibel audio recording of Trump screaming "You're Wrong!!".  For entertainment, an MTGA breast augmentation photo app for women with red MAGA pasties is included. For men, the MPGA photo app will proudly Trump up your 'donald' for impressive sexties. 30-day trial subscription to www.donalddaters.com included.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: GQBlues on September 17, 2020, 04:50:51 AM


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C43_sORhF88

LMAO!

These antiphucks fall like diseased trees, man. Good lesson to learn, never bring your jabbering mouth to a fight.

These are the reasons why these idiots never protest in Huntington Beach anymore.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on September 17, 2020, 08:51:24 AM
Thanks for your list of conservative talking points Billy.  A bit outdated, but guess 'it is what it is'.  Which post were you responding to?


No particular post. But you have mentioned you're worried about the deterioration of America. I think progressive leftist policies will be to blame if that happens. We shouldn't be fixing something that isn't broke.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on September 17, 2020, 03:54:28 PM
2tall,

We can of course just say that most white folks in the south were in favor of slavery back then, no matter how they were politically labeled.

In 1860? or 1960?

Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: tfcrew on September 17, 2020, 06:23:29 PM
Would Red come to the defense of Blue when Mexico invades California to regain lands stolen from it in the 19th C.
It is my understanding that Mexico merely stole it from Spain.
 
Were it ever to come to that, my state, California, would form The California Republic and invite the states of Washington, Oregon and possibly Arizona and Nevada to join. More and more Californians are leaving the state.   Preferential destinations:  Colorado, Arizona. Colorado has swung five points to the blue since this exodus began.   
Was it not the blue idealism that they were leaving?

Although things seem to be going straight down the old crapper I see hope.  Much of the extreme partisanship on the red side is from people 50+ years old.  Nature will take care of a lot of that in the next 20 years or less.
Nicely put there. Nature huh? Maybe a new virus? No more red huh? Adios old phu#ks!

 
Video below is as close to a Civil War we'll see now...
I thought the guy at the first fight would El Kabong yon opponent with his guitar. 
Secession -------?
 What about fathertime's and everybody else's Social Security?  :cluebat:
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Lonestar on October 17, 2020, 09:26:24 PM
Kamala Harris family tree owned slaves in Carribean - black and white slaves.  People seem to forget that many White Irish were slaves. She is India / Carribean black ethnicity. 

I am one of the few people who moved to California this year for work.  Lived in Texas and Florida past 10 years.  That being said I was brought to California to help transition an S&P 500 company World HQ potentially to Florida or Texas if California / Biden or California / Trump get a little crazy on taxes. 

I will have to say I do like living in Los Angeles area.  Housing and state income taxes are high here but property taxes, Christian private schools for my kids, and organic food a lot cheaper here than Florida or Texas.  Housing prices seem to always go up as well do really not expensive if the price goes up.  Gas is more expensive but there is so much to do here you end up driving less and I like having a large SUV with everyone else driving small autos.  Lot easier to see on the road with few SUV's or pickup trucks on the road.  With my wife being Russian from Eastern Ukraine (she is US citizen now) she likes it here as well as many Russians. 


 

 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: ML on October 17, 2020, 09:37:57 PM
. . . property taxes, . . . a lot cheaper here than Florida or Texas. 
 

What ?

Property taxes were frozen or some such for existing homeowners in California way back when . . . but that doesn't apply to new buyers for many years now.

GQ . . . what do you say here ?
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: GQBlues on October 18, 2020, 05:57:57 AM
Yeah residential PT’s countywide baseline is still at 1%, ten bucks per thousand. Where this differs with each municipalities depends on community/home market value, salaries and social/civic services. There could be as much as almost 100% variance.

For example, not too long ago residents of Bell, a relatively affluent, high Hispanic population exposed abused by it’s city officials when it was revealed they gave themselves salaries that exceeded even those of the presidential salary, and gave themselves lavish expense accounts. Right now Bell, if not the highest is still right up there at the top.

The other interesting things is, counter to common impression, the lower valued communities, Compton, Inglewood, Van Nuys/Pacoima, etc actually pays much higher PT rate than the elite communities BH, Malibu, beach cities, etc.

Lonestar mentioned in another thread that he lives almost on the border of LA/Ventura proper. If in Westlake-Calabasas-Agoura, his PT would be in the 1.08+/- range. If in West Valley, Porter Ranch, Chatsworth, Indian Springs, Bell Canyon then he’s in the 1.4% +/- range.

I’m glad to hear that so far he likes living here. Tough to hate living in a place you just moved into. LA does have a lot to offer in terms of things to do and recreation. But one must remember too that this is a COVID year, so traffic volume, believe it or not, is only 50% of it’s normal volume. When they open up the city, especially schools, things will change very fast especially living from the areas mention above, and commute to midtown or westside for work.

Welcome Lonestar. Russian market in Encino called Rasputin. Restaurant across from it called EuroAsia is awesome. They serve Uzbek/Ukraine/Russian food.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2020, 06:58:10 AM
Red states are indeed doing better.   Consider latest unemployment rates from Bureau of Labor Statistics :

South           6.9%
Northeast    10.9%
Midwest        8.0%
West             9.5%

Do you recall how the Georgia governor was chastised in the Spring for his partial lockdown policy and then reopening the Georgia economy early.  Even I thought it too lax   Georgia's unemployment rate is 5.6%.  In contrast New York's is 12.5%. 

And accumulative COVID deaths:

          New York    1,690 per mm

          Georgia         701 per mm


In summary, New York Sate policies produced a death rate 2.4x greater than Georgia, yet New York unemployment today is 2.2x greater.   

The Georgia governor knew more about how to manage this crisis.  However, it is New York Governor Cuomo profiting from his mismanagement by doing tours for his book " American Crisis: Leadership Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic."  :exploding:
 


Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: fathertime on October 18, 2020, 07:11:29 AM
 
 
 What about fathertime's and everybody else's Social Security?  :cluebat:
Yeah What about my social security!   

I'm not concerned about that now.   
Even in states that are heavily red, there is still plenty of blue...no states are leaving the union if biden takes the reins.  If trump were to continue his reign of terror there may be troubles according to the great political strategist kanye west.  Now that trump has lost all the kardashion/west vote, he may actually be dust! 

Diddy Warns Of ‘A Race War’ As He Launches New Political Party ‘To Get Trump Out Of Office
 

Sean “Diddy” Combs is expanding his political endeavors by launching his new Our Black Party in part to prevent Donald Trump‘s re-election. The mogul expressed urgency during his announcement Friday and warned in a tweet that America is “on the verge of a race war.”...


 http://blackamericaweb.com/2020/10/16/diddy-warns-of-a-race-war-as-he-launches-new-political-party-to-get-trump-out-of-office/   (http://blackamericaweb.com/2020/10/16/diddy-warns-of-a-race-war-as-he-launches-new-political-party-to-get-trump-out-of-office/)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2020, 07:40:56 AM
Mark my words, if we experience a blue sweep in November, Biden's initiatives on net will be sending Federal tax dollars collected from Georgia to benefit New York.   Yes, we are a nation of united states, and some disparity in tax spending is necessary.to rebuild from the pandemic, much like giving aid to  states hit by hurricanes.  However, the issue is more than the pandemic.

Blue states were being mismanaged for a long time before the pandemic, e. g., public employee pension plans.  The approach should be correcting mismanagement, not funding it.  The latter is a sure path of decline for the whole nation, and this is where the Democrats are headed.  Such is reflected today in their stimulus bill. 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on October 18, 2020, 01:08:31 PM
Have to remember Gator that much of the middle class i.e. my parents, was built with unions and pension plans, not at-will employment.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Trenchcoat on October 18, 2020, 02:17:53 PM
Whoa, whoa, guys no need for a war, could a 'Referendum' solve your problems ;D

Seriously, you could split into two separate countries of red & blue states and survive well enough. I don't think Mexico would be a problem as military from either half of the US would be more than enough to defeat them. Public want from Hispanics in California to join Mexico might be an issue but then again why would they want to join what they chose to leave in the first place, lol, they would have to embark on another long journey cross another border again :D

I think though that there is a bigger issue at stake, what I've learned over the years is that it's not which party but which person is what matters. Basically it doesn't so much matter on the party but instead the strength of the person you are choosing. Whether we're talking Labour vs Conservatives, or Democrats vs Republicans, either side can put forward candidates that are weak or strong at any given time, or in other terms winners and losers. Now do you wish your nation to be run by a Loser just because they happen to be in your political camp? Some would but those with much sense up top would be probably rather not, the result is predicatably rarely a good one - think poor choices, bad mistakes, lack of national confidence, etc, etc.

Myself I would never vote Tory (I voted Brexit Party in most recent GE) as it's not family tradition or a party that I see as decent people long term. However, I wouldn't vote for a candidate from my own party if I thought the party leader was not up to the job and weak.

So for the US I would (if I were a US citizen) either vote for the strongest candidate or if I was unhappy with where they stood I would just not vote. I personally don't see Joe Biden as Presidential material, he could probably do the job but he doesn't strike me as someone to direct and drive the nation forward. He strikes me more as the type of guy who would sit out the Presidency quietly and not do much. At worst I would fear he might mess stuff up, could be wrong but that is the feeling he gives off to me, he's probably an ok sort of guy.

For me Trump comes across as a strong leader regardless of his problems and personality. So I would either decide to vote for Trump or if not keen on him then not vote at all.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2020, 03:59:23 PM
Have to remember Gator that much of the middle class i.e. my parents, was built with unions and pension plans, not at-will employment.

I don't understand the connection.  Pensions gave the middle class their  financial security, yet hard work paid the bills and put food on the table.

I used government pensions as an example, and before the pandemic, just the state government  pensions were underfunded by over $1 trillion.   Municipalities are worse I understand.  Should a COVID relief aid bill bail them out? 

And pension plans are only part of the financial problem of local and state governments.   
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: tfcrew on October 18, 2020, 04:29:09 PM
The video in reply 35 was removed [stating violation of TOS]
There may come a civil uprising esp if the country becomes a one party nation.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BillyB on October 18, 2020, 06:30:03 PM
The video in reply 35 was removed [stating violation of TOS]
There may come a civil uprising esp if the country becomes a one party nation.



You're right. Video of rioters fighting in the streets has been deleted before the election. Don't want to remind people there are problems in Democratic led cities.


Yahoo News was a favorite news source of mine. On their front page they post news from right and left leaning sources and people were allowed to comment after the article. Some of the wonderful links I posted here was because other people on Yahoo found them. A month ago they stopped letting people post comments to the articles. They say they want to keep Yahoo a safe place. What was going on was more commenters than ever were on the right denouncing lies and revealing the real truth. Sometimes there be 10-1 people on the right over people on the left calling out fake news and posting links to the truth such as backgrounds of shooters the liberal media claimed were white nationalists. I read Yahoo for years and seen a movement grow right before my eyes. I think Trump will do fine in this election no matter what fake news and their fake polls say.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: BC on October 19, 2020, 05:28:05 AM
I don't understand the connection.  Pensions gave the middle class their  financial security, yet hard work paid the bills and put food on the table.

I used government pensions as an example, and before the pandemic, just the state government  pensions were underfunded by over $1 trillion.   Municipalities are worse I understand.  Should a COVID relief aid bill bail them out? 

And pension plans are only part of the financial problem of local and state governments.

Gator,

I misread the intent of your post.  Of course, states will have to find ways to live up to their obligations.  Covid has put additional stress, high costs, and reduced revenue on their already stressed finances, but don't think bankruptcy is an option so what do you suggest?  I agree it does not bode well, something will break if nothing is done.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: fathertime on October 19, 2020, 06:24:43 AM

 

Yahoo News was a favorite news source of mine. On their front page they post news from right and left leaning sources and people were allowed to comment after the article. Some of the wonderful links I posted here was because other people on Yahoo found them. A month ago they stopped letting people post comments to the articles. They say they want to keep Yahoo a safe place. What was going on was more commenters than ever were on the right denouncing lies and revealing the real truth. Sometimes there be 10-1 people on the right over people on the left calling out fake news and posting links to the truth such as backgrounds of shooters the liberal media claimed were white nationalists. I read Yahoo for years and seen a movement grow right before my eyes. I think Trump will do fine in this election no matter what fake news and their fake polls say.
So now Yahoo News is also a part of the grand conspiracy against trump. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: fathertime on October 19, 2020, 06:38:49 AM
The video in reply 35 was removed [stating violation of TOS]
There may come a civil uprising esp if the country becomes a one party nation.
when one party (Republican) becomes such a divisive force they deserve to be abandoned by many.  I don't think many will care if some republicans want to rebel in their wheelchairs, walkers, and depends.   

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on October 19, 2020, 09:48:41 AM

Of course, states will have to find ways to live up to their obligations.  Covid has put additional stress, high costs, and reduced revenue on their already stressed finances, but don't think bankruptcy is an option so what do you suggest?  I agree it does not bode well, something will break if nothing is done.



States can not print money, so the solution is combination of:

           1) state/municipal governments cutting budgets (i. e., fixing the source of the problem),

           2) state/municipal governments borrowing at current low interest rates,

           3)  state/municipal governments increasing taxes, and 

           4) Congress appropriating trillions of aid.   

As evidenced by the stimulus bill negotiations, the Democrats are leaning on No. 4 to help with increased revenue from no. 3.  The only spending cuts I (No. 1)  I see are in police.   
Title: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: 2tallbill on October 19, 2020, 12:14:52 PM

States can not print money, so the solution is combination of:

           1) state/municipal governments cutting budgets (i. e., fixing the source of the problem),

           2) state/municipal governments borrowing at current low interest rates,

           3)  state/municipal governments increasing taxes, and 

           4) Congress appropriating trillions of aid.   

As evidenced by the stimulus bill negotiations, the Democrats are leaning on No. 4 to help with increased revenue from no. 3.  The only spending cuts I (No. 1)  I see are in police.   

The ONLY solution for State and Municipal governments is for them to stop electing
liberals to run them. They won't even try to solve their problems. Solving problems
doesn't compute in a typical liberals head and certainly not in an elected liberals head.

You are right of center so you think of typical center right solutions. The correct way
to solve state and municipal problems that the lefty's created are to actually fix them
structurally.

1. Stop crime and restore the rule of law
2. Create a business positive atmosphere
3. Keep spending under control
4. Don't borrow any additional money for anything

Do those 4 things and the State and local situations will fix themselves.
Government doesn't solve problems, businesses and people do.
Title: Re: Red or Blue states should secede from USA
Post by: Gator on October 19, 2020, 06:25:09 PM
The correct way to solve state and municipal problems that the lefty's created are to actually fix them
structurally.

1. Stop crime and restore the rule of law
2. Create a business positive atmosphere
3. Keep spending under control
4. Don't borrow any additional money for anything

Do those 4 things and the State and local situations will fix themselves.
Government doesn't solve problems, businesses and people do.

The smart solution, certainly smarter than mine.  I had already resigned to a future where lefties would be re-elected, and few lefties do Giuliani solutions.   Necessity is the mother of invention, Unlike me, you are thinking positively, believing the Democrat machine will fall on its face.   

There you go....you are both smarter and more positive.   I believe some borrowing will be necessary for investment initiatives, not for supporting mismanaged pension programs.   

Let's say it is a city with a large minority population.  You and I know within the city there are some  successful minority business leaders who could do the job of turning around a city.   The problem is they may not want the job, and if they did, they may not be part of the entrenched Democrat machine.