Russian Women Discussion

RWD News From the Front => Russian Front Discussion => Topic started by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 03:45:48 PM

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 03:45:48 PM
I had been putting this type of news in the Iran thread, because they are slightly linked.
I asked but nobody answered so I am starting a new thread. If the mods want to throw
this back into the Iran thread, I don't have a problem with it. I just thought that the Russian
and Syrian connection had more relevance to the forum than a members only discussion
about the Iranian deal.

Unless directed otherwise, I will post some current news and discussions regarding the
Russian/Syrian connection.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 03:48:35 PM


Russian 'visitors' receive warm welcome in coastal Syria
By Sammy Ketz


Latakia (Syria) (AFP) - In a hotel lobby in the Syrian coastal city of Latakia, five
muscular Russian men sit around two small tables, scowling and fiddling with their
mobile phones.

"We are visitors, that's all," one of them says, his back covered in tattoos including
a large cross.

Asked to be more forthcoming, another member of the group signals they do not
want to be disturbed.

A manager at the hotel, where Syrian families were gathered to celebrate the Muslim
holiday of Eid al-Adha, is equally terse.

"I'm not allowed to tell you that there are Russians here, but you can tell they're not
tourists. They say they are freight pilots. The only tourists we have here are Syrians,"
he says.

There is more read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/russian-visitors-receive-warm-welcome-coastal-syria-102147094.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 03:52:35 PM
Does everybody see that there could be a problem with giving these different groups
American weapons?


U.S.-trained Syrian rebels gave US military equipment to Nusra


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Syrian rebels trained by the United States gave some of their equipment to the al Qaeda-linked Nusra Front in exchange for safe passage, a U.S. military spokesman said on Friday, the latest blow to a troubled U.S. effort to train local partners to fight Islamic State militants.

The rebels surrendered six pick-up trucks and some ammunition, or about one-quarter of their issued equipment, to a suspected Nusra intermediary on Sept. 21-22 in exchange for safe passage, said Colonel Patrick Ryder, a spokesman for U.S. Central Command, in a statement.

"If accurate, the report of NSF members providing equipment to al Nusra Front is very concerning and a violation of Syria train and equip program guidelines," Ryder said, using an acronym for the rebels, called the New Syrian Forces.

read all about it here

http://news.yahoo.com/u-trained-syrian-rebels-gave-equipment-nusra-103659357.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 03:54:22 PM
Russian Planes Transport Weapons, Humanitarian Aid to Syria, Moscow Says
Foreign minister, however, denies any escalation of Russian’s military presence in Syria


read all about it here
http://www.wsj.com/articles/russian-planes-transport-weapons-humanitarian-aid-to-syria-moscow-says-1441895538?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:04:33 PM
Long time Syrian ally Russia is intervening in Syria. What do you think that the US
should do (or not do?)

Personally, I think that team Obama/Hillary/Kerry destroyed any potential relationship
with Syria and that we should let Russia help the dictator take out ISIS. The recent US
ineptitude in the entire region during Obama's reign has turned the entire region into
death, disaster and destruction.

I am positive that John Kerry's read on the situation is 180 degrees in the wrong direction. 

Syria sees Russia game changer, US-trained rebels enter fray

Damascus (AFP) - Syria predicted Sunday that Russia's growing military role will prove
a game changer in the fight against jihadists, as 75 rebels trained under a beleaguered
US programme entered the fray.

US Secretary of State John Kerry, by contrast, said Moscow's support for the regime in
Damascus only risked sending more extremists to conflict-wracked Syria and could
further hamper peace efforts to end the country's years-long civil war.

"More important than the supply of arms to Syria is Russia's participation in the fight
against Daesh and (Al-Qaeda franchise) Al-Nusra Front," Syrian Foreign Minister Walid
Muallem said, using an Arabic acronym for the Islamic State (IS) jihadist group.

Muallem, quoted by Syrian media in an interview with Russia Today television, said
Moscow's increased role would "show up America's lack of a clear strategy" against the
jihadists.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has provided vital support to his Syrian counterpart
Bashar al-Assad throughout the armed revolt against the Damascus regime that erupted
in 2011.

Moscow argues that any military support is in line with existing defence contracts, but
reports have surfaced this month of secret deployments to Syria, where Russia has a
naval facility.

read the entire story here
http://news.yahoo.com/syria-sees-russia-game-changer-us-trained-rebels-191037113.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:09:37 PM
Putin calls Saudi king to discuss Syria conflict

Moscow (AFP) - Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke to Saudi Arabia's King Salman
about finding a solution to the Syria crisis on Saturday, just two days before he is due
to address the UN on the issue, the Kremlin said.

In a telephone conversation at Russia's behest, the two men "exchanged views on
regional security matters, first and foremost, in the context of finding ways to settle
the conflict in Syria", a statement posted to the Kremlin's website said.

They also discussed "building more effective international cooperation in the fight
against the so-called Islamic State and other terrorist groups", it said.

A decades-long backer of the Damascus regime, Moscow has steadfastly supported
President Bashar al-Assad throughout four-and-a-half years of war which have killed
more than 240,000 people.

Saudi Arabia is part of a US-led coalition that began an air campaign against IS in
Syria last September, and insists it will never cooperate with the Assad regime.

On Monday, Putin will address the General Assembly in New York to outline his plan
for Syria, notably the idea of expanding a coalition, which would include Assad's army,
to fight Islamic State.

He will also meet US President Barack Obama on the sidelines of the gathering, their
first formal talk in two years.

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/putin-calls-saudi-king-discuss-syria-conflict-051802039.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:16:24 PM
Vladimir Putin of Russia to Focus on Syria at U.N.
By NEIL MacFARQUHAR New York Times

Where is President Putin’s focus?

In the weeks leading up to the United Nations gathering, Mr. Putin caught the world
by surprise by ordering an escalation of Russian military aid to Syria.

Mr. Putin announced that the delivery of major weapons — including warplanes,
helicopter gunships and armored vehicles to the Syrian military, along with more
Russian forces — was the first step toward forging a grand international coalition to
confront the Islamic State.

The basic idea is that the international community should provide the support necessary
for ground troops deployed by President Bashar al-Assad and other regional players.
Western and other regional governments have emphasized that they want to see
Mr. Assad gone.

read the entire story here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/29/world/europe/russia-vladimir-putin-united-nations-general-assembly.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:16:37 PM
Russian Buildup in Syria Raises Questions on Role
By MICHAEL R. GORDON and ERIC SCHMITT New York Times
LONDON — Russia’s military buildup in Syria now includes surface-to-air missiles as
well as combat aircraft with air-to-air capability, deployments that raise “serious
questions” about Moscow’s role in the region, Secretary of State John Kerry said
Saturday.

Russian officials have said that the purpose of the buildup at a base near Latakia,
Syria, is to combat the Islamic State.

But the deployment of air defense systems and fighter aircraft — weapons that can
be used against a conventionally armed foe but that have little utility against extremist
fighters — has spurred concerns that Moscow’s goal is also to establish a military
outpost in the Middle East.

It has also added to the Pentagon’s worries about the risk of an inadvertent
confrontation between Russia’s military and the American-led coalition that is
carrying out airstrikes in Syria against the Islamic State.

“Clearly the presence of aircraft with air-to-air combat capacity” as well as
“surface-to-air missiles raise serious questions, which is precisely why Secretary
Carter talked with the Minister of Defense of Russia Shoigu yesterday,” Mr. Kerry
said, referring to Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter and Russia’s defense minister,
Sergei K. Shoigu.

At the White House’s direction, Mr. Carter began a dialogue Friday with Mr. Shoigu
aimed at ensuring that American and Russian aircraft avoid unintended incidents as
they operate over Syria.

While Mr. Kerry did not provide details, an American official, who requested anonymity
because he was discussing intelligence reports, said that a Russian SA-22 air defense
system was already in place at Latakia. The United States had observed elements of
the system at the base in the last week, but now the launcher and the missiles it fires
are there, too, the official said.

read all about it here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/20/world/middleeast/russian-buildup-in-syria-raises-questions-on-role.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:19:07 PM
Obama makes forceful defense of new UN development goals;
Syria war pushes toward center stage

By CARA ANNA, Associated Press

UNITED NATIONS (AP) — President Barack Obama on Sunday committed the U.S. to
a new blueprint to eliminate poverty and hunger around the world, telling a global
summit that a sweeping new development agenda is "not charity but instead is one
of the smartest investments we can make in our own future."

It was the first of two addresses Obama is making at the United Nations. His second
on Monday morning, to the annual U.N. General Assembly of world leaders, will be a
broader examination of world issues, especially the ever-more complicated conflict in
Syria and the related refugee crisis.

As Secretary of State John Kerry put it after a meeting on the sidelines Sunday, "It
would be a complete understatement to say that we meet at a challenging time."

read the entire story here
http://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2015/09/27/obama-and-us-allies-address-un-summit-russia-also-speaks
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 04:21:44 PM
With Putin in the limelight, edgy UN awaits clarity on Russia's Syria move

NEW YORK — Russian President Vladimir Putin will steal the limelight at the United
Nations General Assembly, which kicks off tomorrow. He is scheduled to address his
fellow leaders Monday morning, shortly after President Barack Obama and Chinese
President Xi Jinping. In recent years, Obama has absorbed absorb the lion’s share
of international attention. But this is Putin’s first appearance at the U.N. for a decade,
and diplomats are on tenterhooks to hear what he has to say.

Many expect him to lay out new proposals over the conflict in Syria. Russia has thrown
the U.S. and its allies off-balance by deploying aircraft and attack helicopters to support
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in recent weeks. Moscow has also been lobbying Western
powers and regional players such as Saudi Arabia to put aside their hatred for Assad, and cooperate in a fresh campaign against the radical armed group the Islamic State in Iraq
and the Levant (ISIL).

read all about it here
http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2015/9/27/with-putin-in-the-limelight-syria-is-the-question-on-everyones-minds.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 27, 2015, 04:25:54 PM
Sixty Minutes is broadcasting tonight an interview conducted with Putin about Syria and other current topics.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 27, 2015, 07:45:33 PM
While Putin is running circles around Team Obama Ineptitude 

Obama who couldn't care less what is happening with ISISor Syria
has been working on his global warming agenda instead.

Obama to Press Growth, Climate Issues at U.N.


President Obama spoke at a United Nations meeting on global development concerns on Sunday.


http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2015/09/27/Obama-discusses-poverty-climate-change-and-refugees-at-UN-Sustainable-Development-Summit/1411443384547/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 27, 2015, 09:15:03 PM
I had been putting this type of news in the Iran thread, because they are slightly linked.
I asked but nobody answered so I am starting a new thread. If the mods want to throw
this back into the Iran thread, I don't have a problem with it. I just thought that the Russian
and Syrian connection had more relevance to the forum than a members only discussion
about the Iranian deal.

Unless directed otherwise, I will post some current news and discussions regarding the
Russian/Syrian connection.


From what I've read/watched, the USA is actively supporting a very small minority group in Syria...Russia is more supportive of Assad who has been their Allie. ISIS is on neither of those two sides.   Now it shall be interesting to see how the whole scene plays out from here.   


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 27, 2015, 10:11:16 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1elSx7U-xo (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w1elSx7U-xo)


<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/w1elSx7U-xo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>


Excellent discussion about Russia/US/Syria.....
Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on September 28, 2015, 01:03:47 AM
The USA has been wrong on Syria from the beginning of the Obummer debacle almost 8 years ago. That idiot, and I apologize to idiots everywhere for lumping him into their fine brotherhood, wouldn't know foreign policy if it passed him on the street.

Frankly, the USA and Russia would have gotten along better, and perhaps had a platform to speak frankly to each other on other issues, if the USA had joined Russia in concern for the rapidly dying minority Christian and other non-Muslim civilizations in the Middle East.

Sadly, the USA created much of ISIS by accident. Because we wanted to control an outcome without our own boots on the ground, we spread weapons around like candy to so many splinter groups that it just got out of hand. Not only did we supply weapons (while we refuse to supply Ukraine), we bankrolled many of those groups that evolved into ISIS cells. That was very likely what Benghazi was all about. We stupidly played with fire, and unfortunately got burned.

Mr. Putin is going to protect what he believes are Russian interests in the region. While I may not agree with his approach, it is his right as a leader to attempt to do so.

Naturally, Putin will use his time at the UN to take folks minds off of Ukraine. Stepping up the war in Syria gives him a boost in prestige at home, but more importantly provides cover for zinc caskets returning home. No matter where a boy is killed--the Kremlin can say that the young man died as a hero defending Orthodox Christians in Syria. It also takes Ukraine off the radar of the average Russian citizen.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 28, 2015, 06:14:54 AM
The USA has been wrong on Syria from the beginning of the Obummer debacle almost 8 years ago. That idiot, and I apologize to idiots everywhere for lumping him into their fine brotherhood, wouldn't know foreign policy if it passed him on the street.

Obama's foreign policy was a disaster from the beginning, and 7 years later with see the dismal results.  And who was leading the point for the first four years?  That would be the Democratic candidate Hilary Clinton.  The debates with the Republican nominee will reveal her failings.  However, 50% of Americans will not care because she represents the Democratic party, and the Democratic Party gives free stuff.

Quote
  Frankly, the USA and Russia would have gotten along better, and perhaps had a platform to speak frankly to each other on other issues, if the USA had joined Russia in concern for the rapidly dying minority Christian and other non-Muslim civilizations in the Middle East.

Sadly, the USA created much of ISIS by accident. Because we wanted to control an outcome without our own boots on the ground, we spread weapons around like candy to so many splinter groups that it just got out of hand. Not only did we supply weapons (while we refuse to supply Ukraine), we bankrolled many of those groups that evolved into ISIS cells. That was very likely what Benghazi was all about. We stupidly played with fire, and unfortunately got burned.

Bingo!

Quote
Mr. Putin is going to protect what he believes are Russian interests in the region. While I may not agree with his approach, it is his right as a leader to attempt to do so.

He will assert it is proper because it protects a legitimate government.  He will contrast it with the aftermath of Arab Spring in  Libya

Quote
Naturally, Putin will use his time at the UN to take folks minds off of Ukraine. Stepping up the war in Syria gives him a boost in prestige at home, but more importantly provides cover for zinc caskets returning home. No matter where a boy is killed--the Kremlin can say that the young man died as a hero defending Orthodox Christians in Syria. It also takes Ukraine off the radar of the average Russian citizen.

Do you believe Russian troops will engage ISIS on the ground?

Military deployments in Syria cost money, requiring the government to print more roubles.  More inflation coming to Russia.
 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 28, 2015, 07:03:04 AM
Given how we took out Libya's leader, we probably would have done the same in Syria if it were possible.  Why did the the USA think they needed to provide weapons and try to make an overthrow of Assad happen?  I wonder what the REAL reason was.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on September 28, 2015, 07:50:46 AM
Given how we took out Libya's leader, we probably would have done the same in Syria if it were possible.  Why did the the USA think they needed to provide weapons and try to make an overthrow of Assad happen?  I wonder what the REAL reason was.


Fathertime!


Why don't you ask King Salman that question?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 28, 2015, 09:46:27 AM

Why don't you ask King Salman that question?

Now you are getting to something that carries much weight.  To quote Tom Friedman three weeks ago, Saudi is creating as much turmoil in the Middle East as Iran. 

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/02/opinion/thomas-friedman-our-radical-islamic-bff-saudi-arabia.html?_r=0


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 28, 2015, 10:50:19 AM

Why don't you ask King Salman that question?
Saudis accidentally droned/killed 40 at a wedding in Yemen today...women iand children included....not the first time. Let's see if there is the proper outrage.  I doubt it. 

Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 11:37:28 AM

From what I've read/watched, the USA is actively supporting a very small minority group in Syria...Russia is more supportive of Assad who has been their Allie. ISIS is on neither of those two sides.   Now it shall be interesting to see how the whole scene plays out from here.   


Fathertime!

USA has been supporting various groups most of which have left the fight and some
of which have gave or exchanged US weapons with ISIS or Al-Qaeda. ISIS or Al-Qaeda
are Sunni and Assad is Shia. ISIS will kill Shiites or anyone who isn't their exact flavor
of Islam.

ISIS and Iran-backed Shia militias are on a collision course

http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5
http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 11:45:13 AM
Given how we took out Libya's leader, we probably would have done the same in Syria if it were possible.  Why did the the USA think they needed to provide weapons and try to make an overthrow of Assad happen?  I wonder what the REAL reason was.


Fathertime!

The US has blundered in this for sure. We should have never tried to take out the leaders
of Libya, Egypt or Syria. Egypt was Sunni and Libya and Syria were Shiite. So team
Obama/Clinton/Kerry has blundered with all sides.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 28, 2015, 11:55:02 AM
USA has been supporting various groups most of which have left the fight and some
of which have gave or exchanged US weapons with ISIS or Al-Qaeda. ISIS or Al-Qaeda
are Sunni and Assad is Shia. ISIS will kill Shiites or anyone who isn't their exact flavor
of Islam.

ISIS and Iran-backed Shia militias are on a collision course

http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5 (http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5)
http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5 (http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5)


I understand we have been incompetent in many respects, but 500 million dollars for a training program that winds up with 54 graduates of which 5 are still fighting a couple months later?  That is ridiculous.  I wouldn't doubt it if much of the money/weapons was funneled to ISIS...with a wink-wink.... I can't believe our govt could be THAT incompetent to allow for 500 million to evaporate, so I think it was intentional,and they are just playing the role of 'silly me',in an effort to cover their tracks....




http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2015/09/16/only-4-to-5-american-trained-syrians-fighting-against-the-islamic-state/ (http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2015/09/16/only-4-to-5-american-trained-syrians-fighting-against-the-islamic-state/)

There are only four or five American-trained Syrian rebels currently fighting against the Islamic State, the top general leading the effort to build a force to counter the militant group in Syria said Wednesday.

The tiny number of fighters are part of the New Syrian Force, the byproduct of a $500-million-dollar train and equip program that was launched officially in December to train moderate Syrians to fight the Islamic State.

The remarks by Army Gen. Lloyd Austin, head of U.S. Central Command, angered members of the Senate Armed Services Committee who said the program is a failure.....



Another question is, why was it SO important for us to get involved and exacerbate Syria's internal problems to begin with?  Clearly we aren't getting much of the truth from our govt.  Just the usual  'Assad must go', although now it appears we are backing way off that statement.
Fathertime! 

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 12:17:40 PM

I understand we have been incompetent in many respects, but 500 million dollars for a training program that winds up with 54 graduates of which 5 are still fighting a couple months later?  That is ridiculous.  I wouldn't doubt it if much of the money/weapons was funneled to ISIS...with a wink-wink.... I can't believe our govt could be THAT incompetent to allow for 500 million to evaporate, so I think it was intentional,and they are just playing the role of 'silly me',in an effort to cover their tracks....

I had assumed that it was 54 groups 5 of which are still in the fight rather than 54
individuals 5 of which are still in it. I can't think of another situation that makes sense.

Team Obama is incompetent for sure by spending millions training groups who are
no longer on our side and hopefully most of them aren't fighting against our interests.
Evaporating $500 million? that sounds exactly like this administration.




Another question is, why was it SO important for us to get involved and exacerbate Syria's internal problems to begin with?  Clearly we aren't getting much of the truth from our govt.  Just the usual  'Assad must go', although now it appears we are backing way off that statement.
Fathertime!

Exactly!

Why do we need to get involved with Syria's crap? Assad is more than happy to fight
these guys. Why have we been undermining him? just because he is a ruthless dictator?
Let the ruthless b@stard deal with them.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Larry1 on September 28, 2015, 12:25:21 PM
USA has been supporting various groups most of which have left the fight and some
of which have gave or exchanged US weapons with ISIS or Al-Qaeda. ISIS or Al-Qaeda
are Sunni and Assad is Shia. ISIS will kill Shiites or anyone who isn't their exact flavor
of Islam.

ISIS and Iran-backed Shia militias are on a collision course

http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5
http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-to-iraq-were-ready-to-help-you-more-against-isis-2015-5

As Henry Kissinger said about the Iran/Iraq War, "it's a pity that both sides can't lose".
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 12:28:09 PM
Why don't you ask King Salman that question?


He has had far too much influence for sure but Team Obama has just made a
deal to give Iran nukes and Hillary/Obama helped take out Hosni Mubarak who
was a Sunni who pretty much kept the peace among the various factions that
had lived in Egypt for over a thousand years.

The Saudi's would have never supported ousting Mubarak and they certainly don't
want Iran to have a nuke. Only Team Ineptitude would have helped oust Mubarak
and made the moves that these jokers have done.

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 12:29:14 PM
As Henry Kissinger said about the Iran/Iraq War, "it's a pity that both sides can't lose".

(http://www.freesmileys.org/smileys/smiley-laughing024.gif)
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 12:37:55 PM
Bolded part near the bottom was bolded by me


Russia Surprises U.S. With Accord on Battling ISIS
By MICHAEL R. GORDON NY Times

UNITED NATIONS — For the second time this month, Russia moved to expand its political
and military influence in the Syria conflict and left the United States scrambling, this time
by reaching an understanding, announced on Sunday, with Iraq, Syria and Iran to share
intelligence about the Islamic State.

Like Russia’s earlier move to bolster the government of President Bashar al-Assad by
deploying warplanes and tanks to a base near Latakia, Syria, the intelligence-sharing
arrangement was sealed without notice to the United States. American officials knew
that a group of Russian military officers were in Baghdad, but they were clearly surprised
when the Iraqi military’s Joint Operations Command announced the intelligence sharing
accord on Sunday.

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia with his foreign minister, Sergey Lavrov, on Monday
at the United Nations General Assembly in New York before he addressed the chamber.

Syrians in a destroyed section of Douma, east of Damascus. Russia has offered to hold
talks with the United States on Syria. Putin Sees Path to Diplomacy

It was another sign that President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia was moving ahead with a
sharply different tack from that of the Obama administration in battling the Islamic State,
also known as ISIS or ISIL, by assembling a rival coalition that includes Iran and the
Syrian government.


Secretary of State John Kerry and Sergey V. Lavrov, Russia's foreign minister, met Sunday
amid tensions between the countries.

The effort, which Mr. Putin is expected to underscore in his speech at the United Nations
on Monday, not only puts Moscow in a position to give military support to Mr. Assad, its
longtime ally in the Middle East, but could also enable the Kremlin to influence the choice
of a successor if Mr. Assad were to eventually leave power.

Russia’s moves are raising difficult questions for the Obama administration, which remains
deeply conflicted about American military involvement in the Syria conflict. Ensuring that
the Russian military and the United States-led coalition, which is carrying out airstrikes
against the Islamic State, “deconflict” and avoid running into each other is only part of
the problem: The Obama administration and the Kremlin do not appear to agree even on
the main reason for the conflict.


American officials, who have long cast Mr. Assad as the primary source of instability in
Syria, assert that the Syrian leader’s brutal crackdown provided an opening for jihadist
groups and that the crisis cannot be resolved until a political transition is negotiated that
requires him to leave power.

Russian officials see the Syrian government as a bulwark against further gains by groups
like Islamic State and Nusra Front and sometimes suggest that the defeat of the Islamic
State should come before a negotiated solution for the Syrian conflict.

read the entire article here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/28/world/middleeast/iraq-agrees-to-share-intelligence-on-isis-with-russia-syria-and-iran.html?_r=0
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 28, 2015, 01:33:18 PM
The US has blundered in this for sure. We should have never tried to take out the leaders
of Libya, Egypt or Syria. Egypt was Sunni and Libya and Syria were Shiite. So team
Obama/Clinton/Kerry has blundered with all sides.

True that the US blundered.  Not true about the religions.    Libya is only 1 percent Shia.  Syria is mostly Sunni, yet Assad I believe  has Alawite roots, a Shia sect, and hence one source of the  civil war.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 28, 2015, 01:45:36 PM
Russian officials see the Syrian government as a bulwark against further gains by groups
like Islamic State and Nusra Front and sometimes suggest that the defeat of the Islamic
State should come before a negotiated solution for the Syrian conflict.


This is Russian propaganda used to justify Russia stepping up its presence in  the Middle East..  If ISIL is the reason to help Assad, why is Assad spending little effort to fight ISIL.  Only 6%  of Syria's counter-terrorism operations were against ISIL; 94% were against the opposition groups.   

To quote Wiki, "During the Syrian Civil War, multiple parties in the conflict have accused Assad of collusion with ISIL to some degree. Several sources have claimed that ISIL prisoners were strategically released from Syrian prisons at the beginning of the Syrian Civil War in 201." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bashar_al-Assad

Obama is correct, Putin is supporting a dictator who is far more interested in barrel bombing his own people rather than fighting ISIL. Putin's statement is pretense to support Putin endeavoring to become influential in the World.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 28, 2015, 02:04:26 PM
Obama is correct, Putin is supporting a dictator who is far more interested in barrel bombing his own people rather than fighting ISIL. Putin's statement is pretense to support Putin endeavoring to become influential in the World.
I wouldn't doubt that Assad would use ISIL to his advantage when they are fighting US backed 'rebels' and not trying to behead him.   The question remains, Why is the USA arming groups at all?  I don't buy that we are 'promoting freedom'...Why are we front and center in Syria?   Why are we so worried that Putin is supporting the elected leader of a country that has been his Allie?  I read complaints about barrel bombs, but not a word about allied drones killing masses of women and children.  To me it sounds like one-sided propaganda, promoting the US perspective, which really should have never been much of a consideration in Syria to begin with. 


Fathertime!   
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 02:07:37 PM
True that the US blundered.  Not true about the religions.    Libya is only 1 percent Shia.  Syria is mostly Sunni, yet Assad I believe  has Alawite roots, a Shia sect, and hence one source of the  civil war.   

I used this article to determine if Qaddafi was Shia or Sunni. With Qaddafi it looks like
he could be labeled either way.
http://www.alarabiya.net/articles/2007/10/11/40254.html

I based my comments on what the dictator was, with Libya it's seemed he was more
Shia and Sodamn Insane was Sunni even though their countries population were the
opposite.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 28, 2015, 02:20:41 PM
Obama is correct, Putin is supporting a dictator who is far more interested in barrel bombing his own people rather than fighting ISIL. Putin's statement is pretense to support Putin endeavoring to become influential in the World.

I think Obama is wrong, while I don't doubt that Assad would bomb anyone and
everyone, I think that especially in Syria that oil = money = power. If you look at
who controls the oil I think that you will find who Assad (and Putin) most want to fight.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/isis-captures-last-syrian-oil-field_55ed940ee4b03784e27629ba

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/security/2014/02/syria-kurds-oil-struggle-armed-islamist-factions.html#
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 28, 2015, 08:50:19 PM
I had assumed that it was 54 groups 5 of which are still in the fight rather than 54
individuals 5 of which are still in it. I can't think of another situation that makes sense.



No Bill.  It is 4 or 5 individual fighters.  Not groups.  500million for 4 or 5 fighters...boy doesn't that make sense.  :rolleyes:


Here is a quote from an article I just read.  Looks like a US trained REBEL COMMANDER recently handed over all sorts of US army equipment to an Al Quida group:


"Moreover, the U.S. military said a trained Syrian rebel commander had surrendered six trucks and ammunition, supplied by the U.S.-led coalition, to an intermediary linked to the al-Qaida affiliate in Syria. U.S. Central Command said the items — roughly 25 percent of the equipment assigned to that unit — apparently were handed over in exchange for safe passage within the region."

http://news.yahoo.com/democratic-discontent-white-house-syria-policy-growing-221412324.html (http://news.yahoo.com/democratic-discontent-white-house-syria-policy-growing-221412324.html)


...and why again are we escalating an internal conflict in Syria?
Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 28, 2015, 09:08:27 PM

Obama is correct, Putin is supporting a dictator



Putin thinks he's supporting a customer who is willing to mortgage a huge chunk of Syria's future to buy Russian weapons so that he may stay in power. Putin is putting serious hardware and boots on the ground to make sure this customer survives. Putin beat Obama in Syria. It's been a year since Obama announced a plan to get rid of ISIL. Obama's plan isn't working and won't work unless there are boots on the ground. Obama was warned about pulling troops out of Iraq too early. Iraqi Prime Minister went to Moscow to meet Putin recently. Putin says if invited, he will put troops in Iraq. If Obama wants to leave Iraq to fend for themselves, Iraq will ask Russia for help. Russia will have influence from Syria all the way to Iran. Is this the hope and change Obama promised?


  Why are we so worried that Putin is supporting the elected leader of a country that has been his Allie? 



Most leaders in that part of the world aren't elected. That's why Arab Spring can happen. People aren't happy with their governments. An Iraqi friend of mine says when he voted, there is an armed man standing behind him asking "Who are you voting for?" Secret police visits homes to make sure they have the proper amount of Saddam Hussein posters on the walls. Saddam gets 100% of the vote in elections. My wife who lived in Libya was surprised that so many Libyan citizens turned on Ghaddafi. The media there said so many good things about him. I told her the media is state controlled and she'd never get a true read on the public anger with their government from them.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmobyone on September 29, 2015, 01:17:11 AM
Why are we so worried that Putin is supporting the elected leader of a country

You mean 'elected' .. you DO realise that 2014 'Presidential Elections' were the first multi-candidate ones  'permitted' since Assad's Dad's party assumed control ....

The 'elections' were held during a civil war and criticised by the UN SEC GEN as being meaningless.

PLE-ease...  you can do better than that.. it's clear that you've not lived in the Levant ... I have and most of the stuff posted about Syria is 'bollox'

Assad should be up before a Court re his treatment of his continued campaign of indiscriminate bombing of hs citizens and the mess that is today is mostly a result of years of misrule...supported by nations happy to supply arms to perpetuate the 'peace and stability' a Dictator brings...

This is an article from the right of centre UK Telegraph... the lass makes a lot of sense - particularly the closing paragraph.

That most of a nations population are refugees is a sin

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html)


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 29, 2015, 06:36:37 AM
You mean 'elected' .. you DO realise that 2014 'Presidential Elections' were the first multi-candidate ones  'permitted' since Assad's Dad's party assumed control ....

The 'elections' were held during a civil war and criticised by the UN SEC GEN as being meaningless.

PLE-ease...  you can do better than that.. it's clear that you've not lived in the Levant ... I have and most of the stuff posted about Syria is 'bollox'

Assad should be up before a Court re his treatment of his continued campaign of indiscriminate bombing of hs citizens and the mess that is today is mostly a result of years of misrule...supported by nations happy to supply arms to perpetuate the 'peace and stability' a Dictator brings...

This is an article from the right of centre UK Telegraph... the lass makes a lot of sense - particularly the closing paragraph.

That most of a nations population are refugees is a sin

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html)


Well although it is their version of 'elections', he has indeed been their leader.   



Assad should be up before a Court re his treatment of his continued campaign of indiscriminate bombing of hs citizens and the mess that is today is mostly a result of years of misrule...supported by nations happy to supply arms to perpetuate the 'peace and stability' a Dictator brings...

This is an article from the right of centre UK Telegraph... the lass makes a lot of sense - particularly the closing paragraph.

That most of a nations population are refugees is a sin

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11897647/The-White-House-has-long-stopped-trying-to-remove-Assad-from-power.html)







I was reading from many places yesterday regarding the beginnings of the civil war.  It was the US that illegally funneled weapons into Syria, which greatly encouraged the uprising. Without that, this war probably  wouldn't have reached this point. We didn't have any business doing this. 
It seems to be a common refrain that Assad is bombing indiscriminately, but it seems to be that he is attempting to kill those that would behead him, and yes those 'rebels' are sometimes among the people.  Yesterday, Saudi Arabia bombed a wedding in Yemen and killed women and children, that was forgotten rather quickly.  I notice that it is only when it is the side the West is attempting to demonize, that the events are magnified and distorted.  I attempt to bring some reality to the situation. 


Yes the last paragraph in your posted link is true, we (America) are NOT the moral force...that is a fantasy.


Fathertime! 


 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on September 29, 2015, 02:35:10 PM
When unmarked "little green men" began to appear in Crimea, some of them had seen service in other "frozen conflicts" like Moldova and Armenia. Those leaders soon reinvented themselves as "Ukrainian rebels" in Eastern Ukraine.

If you've wondered what happened to them since Moscow pulled them out of Ukraine, wonder no more. It would appear, no, they are reappearing in another part of the world: Syria.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-russians-seen-fighting-syria-162635789.html

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on September 29, 2015, 04:44:18 PM

Well although it is their version of 'elections', he has indeed been their leader.   



I was reading from many places yesterday regarding the beginnings of the civil war.  It was the US that illegally funneled weapons into Syria, which greatly encouraged the uprising. Without that, this war probably  wouldn't have reached this point. We didn't have any business doing this. 
It seems to be a common refrain that Assad is bombing indiscriminately, but it seems to be that he is attempting to kill those that would behead him, and yes those 'rebels' are sometimes among the people.  Yesterday, Saudi Arabia bombed a wedding in Yemen and killed women and children, that was forgotten rather quickly.  I notice that it is only when it is the side the West is attempting to demonize, that the events are magnified and distorted.  I attempt to bring some reality to the situation. 


Yes the last paragraph in your posted link is true, we (America) are NOT the moral force...that is a fantasy.


Fathertime!

Right.  We watched the leader of Russia tell lie after bald faced lie at the UN yesterday.  Everyone knows they're lies.  Compared to Russia, the US is a moral force or there is no moral force in the CIVILIZED world.    We are a moral force because the type of government we have includes checks and balances that require a level of honesty in dealing with the public and the world.  It seems to me that you have forgotten these premises.

In any event, you are a beacon of fortitude to speak your mind when you are so jaded in your opinions of your own country.  Do not believe, however, that the great majority of Americans stand with you with your opinions, as you always tell us.  Joe Sickpack, you aren't.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on September 29, 2015, 05:17:25 PM
From a Middle East Scholar, on why Obama and Putin are both wrong.


http://www.juancole.com/2015/09/putin-wrong-syria.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 29, 2015, 06:02:06 PM
Right.  We watched the leader of Russia tell lie after bald faced lie at the UN yesterday.  Everyone knows they're lies.  Compared to Russia, the US is a moral force or there is no moral force in the CIVILIZED world.    We are a moral force because the type of government we have includes checks and balances that require a level of honesty in dealing with the public and the world.  It seems to me that you have forgotten these premises.


It doesn't matter if you think we are a moral force compared to Russia.  We are not the moral force of the world....not even close.  I realize we are supposed to have checks and balances, but either they are no longer working or they are all in cahoots.  Have you read what many of the more patriotic of the website have said about the all around corruption of our nation?  That is from the patriotic ones! I don't believe we need to impose ourselves within internal conflicts, we didn't need to secretly and illegally start arming groups in Syria.  It is no surprise that we are accused of doing it elsewhere too, because we probably did!     



In any event, you are a beacon of fortitude to speak your mind when you are so jaded in your opinions of your own country.  Do not believe, however, that the great majority of Americans stand with you with your opinions, as you always tell us.  Joe Sickpack, you aren't.


Who better to criticize the policies of a country but someone from it?...someone who doesn't benefit financially by attempting to expose our many misdeeds.  You claim other people get paid for it.  What a bunch of excuses.    It is likely true that most Americans don't agree with me, but a lot do...although hardly any are as vocal about it.  If exposing all the BS is being jaded that's ok, but I see it differently. Many people must have gotten used to singing The Battle Hymn of the Republic in elementary school.  Nice song, but a bunch of bologna nowadays...the truth is NOT what is marching nowadays, it is almost always lies marching forward, if you want to believe it, that is fine, but I'm going to expose every one I can find...   


Joe Sickpack?  Don't you mean Joe six pack?   Joe Six Pack, isn't interested or aware of most issues, he is busy drinking his six pack, or watching The Kardashians with his wife.  No, I'm not Joe Six Pack, or Joe Sickpack either!


Fathertime!     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 29, 2015, 07:56:11 PM
During a September 2013 speech, in response to a devastating Syrian-regime chemical-weapons attack that killed 1,400 people in four hours, Obama asked:

"What kind of world will we live in if the United States of America sees a dictator brazenly violate international law with poison gas and we choose to look the other way?"



Obama not only looked the other way in Syria but abandoned Iraq and opened the doors to make Iran stronger. Putin wisely made moves to sell weapons to Iran and Syria and is getting cozy with Iraq. Obama says Assad has got to go but does little to make that happen. Our real friends in the Middle East isn't happy with Obama's foreign policy. Maybe they'll look to Russia or China to get things done.


Obama draws a red line nobody dare better cross (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/people-calling-obamas-syria-hypocrisy-172900859.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on September 30, 2015, 02:31:47 AM
the US is a moral force or there is no moral force in the CIVILIZED world.    We are a moral force because the type of government we have includes checks and balances that require a level of honesty in dealing with the public and the world.

Moral force in action or how checks and balances are working :

(http://files.vm.ru/photo/vecherka/2015/03/doc6jva1xb1lclkia8ayk_800_480.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on September 30, 2015, 03:39:49 AM
The United States has the option to participate or not participate in supporting various regimes around the world.  The difference that makes it a moral force (not the moral force, FT) is that the politicians are answerable to people.  While there is no microscope that parses every action by the government, it is a moral force regardless of detractors.

Actions that belie the idea of morality by the government are scrutinized when brought to light.  They aren't ignored or, in the case of Russia, buried and then have history re-written. 

In some respects, I find the morality of the United States infuriating.  It would be so much easier using our advanced technology, to go in and wipe out an offending group or groups of people.  But our self examination is endemic both on the individual level and the governmental level.  Ultimately, however, the US acts in its own interest as does every country.  The difference is that, ultimately, there is some accountability to the people. 

Other countries? Yeah, there is accountability.  It is called revolution.  Are you listening Russia?  Can you say Maidan?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 30, 2015, 07:07:03 AM
The United States has the option to participate or not participate in supporting various regimes around the world.   


We also apparently have the option to go into countries illegally and arm groups opposed to current leadership, and help foment unrest. 


  The difference that makes it a moral force (not the moral force, FT) is that the politicians are answerable to people.  While there is no microscope that parses every action by the government, it is a moral force regardless of detractors.


Hmmmm a moral force....If you are declaring us a moral force, then others can make claims that China is a moral force, or Russia is a moral force...they definitely serve as counterweights against what we have shown we would do, if we could get away with it...that is a providing a service. 



Actions that belie the idea of morality by the government are scrutinized when brought to light.  They aren't ignored or, in the case of Russia, buried and then have history re-written. 
While you are focusing on all of Russia's misdeeds, you continue to bury, excuse, chuckle off, all of ours.  That is typical though, must of what we have done is buried or de-emphasized to the point where few actually know our history, aside from the large events. 




 

Other countries? Yeah, there is accountability.  It is called revolution.  Are you listening Russia?  Can you say Maidan?
And we will be right there to foment as much unrest/revolution as we can when it is in our interest to do so....and if it doesn't work well enough we will start droning/bombing next!!


Fathertime! 



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Faux Pas on September 30, 2015, 07:54:11 AM
From a Middle East Scholar, on why Obama and Putin are both wrong.


http://www.juancole.com/2015/09/putin-wrong-syria.html

Because he is a scholar doesn't make him right, either. He shoots down Putin and Obama's plan but offers nothing else that would work. He lost me where he stated Obama is a smart man, he isn't. Quite frankly IMO Putin's plan has more teeth. Here's the Mexican standoff; Neither Putin nor Obama will allow the other to succeed
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on September 30, 2015, 08:32:56 AM
If you read through his blog, you will notice that he is willing to debate ideas, including with other academics.

He also predicted, in 2005, almost exactly what has happened.

Obama is smart, no doubt about it.  I think he also sees the toxicity of the US dependence on Middle Eastern oil.

In the end, much of the Middle East's instability can be traced back to Saudi Arabia, which funds the most severe, and repressive form of Islam in existence.  It is not mainstream, but they certainly want it to become so.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on September 30, 2015, 09:02:30 AM
Moral force in action or how checks and balances are working :

(http://files.vm.ru/photo/vecherka/2015/03/doc6jva1xb1lclkia8ayk_800_480.jpg)

They're working just fine...

The Secret Casualties of Iraq’s Abandoned Chemical Weapons

..."The soldiers at the blast crater sensed something was wrong.
 
It was August 2008 near Taji, Iraq. They had just exploded a stack of old Iraqi artillery shells buried beside a murky lake. The blast, part of an effort to destroy munitions that could be used in makeshift bombs, uncovered more shells.
 
Two technicians assigned to dispose of munitions stepped into the hole. Lake water seeped in. One of them, Specialist Andrew T. Goldman, noticed a pungent odor, something, he said, he had never smelled before.
 
He lifted a shell. Oily paste oozed from a crack. “That doesn’t look like pond water,” said his team leader, Staff Sgt. Eric J. Duling.
 
The specialist swabbed the shell with chemical detection paper. It turned red — indicating sulfur mustard, the chemical warfare agent designed to burn a victim’s airway, skin and eyes.
 
All three men recall an awkward pause. Then Sergeant Duling gave an order: “Get the hell out.”
 
Five years after President George W. Bush sent troops into Iraq, these soldiers had entered an expansive but largely secret chapter of America’s long and bitter involvement in Iraq.
 
From 2004 to 2011, American and American-trained Iraqi troops repeatedly encountered, and on at least six occasions were wounded by, chemical weapons remaining from years earlier in Saddam Hussein’s rule."...

..."In all, American troops secretly reported finding roughly 5,000 chemical warheads, shells or aviation bombs, according to interviews with dozens of participants, Iraqi and American officials, and heavily redacted intelligence documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act....

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/10/14/world/middleeast/us-casualties-of-iraq-chemical-weapons.html?_r=1

BOMBSHELL: New York Times Reports WMDs WERE Found in Iraq!

Read more: http://www.thepoliticalinsider.com/bombshell-new-york-times-reports-wmds-found-iraq/#ixzz3kynTAcok

And my personal favorite...

Iraq war chemicals found stored in U.N. office

..."The United Nations found small amounts of a potentially lethal chemical warfare agent, removed from Iraq a decade ago, in offices near its New York headquarters but officials said on Thursday there was no danger. "...

..."It should not have come here," said Ewen Buchanan, spokesman for the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission, known as UNMOVIC, in whose offices the substance was found"...

http://www.reuters.com/article/2007/08/30/us-un-chemicals-idUSN3044092720070830

Chemical Weapons Scare at U.N. Headquarters

..."United Nations weapons inspectors discovered six to eight vials of a dangerous chemical warfare agent, phosgene, as they were cleaning out offices at a U.N. building in New York, federal authorities tell the Blotter on ABCNews.com.

The federal authorities said the office, in a U.N. building near headquarters, was being evacuated and the White House had been notified at 10 a.m."...

..."The vials were discovered at the headquarters of the United Nations Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC), which led the inspections of possible chemical and biological weapons in Iraq. The items were recovered from a former Iraqi chemical weapons facility, Al Muthanna, back in 1996, but just noticed on an inventory list yesterday, according to UNMOVIC."...

http://blogs.abcnews.com/theblotter/2007/08/nerve-gas-scare.html

US did find Iraq WMD

..."There were weapons of mass destruction in Iraq after all.

The massive cache of almost 400,000 Iraq war documents released by the WikiLeaks Web site revealed that small amounts of chemical weapons were found in Iraq and continued to surface for years after the 2003 US invasion, Wired magazine reported.

The documents showed that US troops continued to find chemical weapons and labs for years after the invasion, including remnants of Saddam Hussein’s chemical weapons arsenal — most of which had been destroyed following the Gulf War.

In August 2004, American troops were able to buy containers from locals of what they thought was liquid sulfur mustard, a blister agent, the documents revealed. The chemicals were triple-sealed and taken to a secure site.

Also in 2004, troops discovered a chemical lab in a house in Fallujah during a battle with insurgents. A chemical cache was also found in the city."...

http://nypost.com/2010/10/25/us-did-find-iraq-wmd/

Don't kid yourself, Belvis. Western media has misrepresented WMDs in Iraq to the point it qualifies as disinformation. It arguably represents one of the biggest cover ups of the truth in 20 years...

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 30, 2015, 09:06:07 AM
No Bill.  It is 4 or 5 individual fighters.  Not groups.  500million for 4 or 5 fighters...boy doesn't that make sense.  :rolleyes:

Here is a quote from an article I just read.  Looks like a US trained REBEL COMMANDER recently handed over all sorts of US army equipment to an Al Quida group:


"Moreover, the U.S. military said a trained Syrian rebel commander had surrendered six trucks and ammunition, supplied by the U.S.-led coalition, to an intermediary linked to the al-Qaida affiliate in Syria. U.S. Central Command said the items — roughly 25 percent of the equipment assigned to that unit — apparently were handed over in exchange for safe passage within the region."

Even I who nobody would call an Obamapologist thought that that they wouldn't waste
those kind of resources. Bimbobama and his regime are even more inept than I would
have ever believed.


...and why again are we escalating an internal conflict in Syria?
Fathertime!


Obama owns ISIS, but I wasn't under the impression that he was escalating it. It's
been my impression that he lobs a couple of bombs at the problem twice a week and
ignores it. He cares far more to waste vast sums of money on Global warming and to
create thousands of pages of regulations on everything under the sun.

He really doesn't care what happens there except to the extent that it interferes with
his other crap. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on September 30, 2015, 09:28:46 AM
Well, I posted earlier that the Russians being in Syria was strategically maybe the best means to finally bring the West into Russia's war of aggression for real.

Let's revue...

1) Russia conducts air strikes this morning not on IS but Syrian rebels fighting Assad at Assad's request completely contrary to what Putin agreed to at the UN just days ago.

2) Russian General walks into Bagdad US Embassy and declares get your aircraft out of Syrian air space, we're conducting airstrikes within the hour.

3) Russian's have now multiple ground to air missile detachments deployed in Syria...IS has no air force. There are only Coalition Aircraft flying in Syria.

I've always maintained until this mad dog (Putin) is put down he will continue to disrupt and further his agenda of aggression.

Putin has once again full on slapped Obama in the face-made a mockery of him- and by extension the US and NATO.

Will this be allowed to stand? Where is the West's leadership?...Truly 1938 Europe all over again. The more we back away the more general war becomes inevitable.

Brass
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 30, 2015, 09:37:54 AM
Putin has once again full on slapped Obama in the face-made a mockery of him- and by extension the US and NATO.

I'm surprised that Obama hasn't sent John Kerry to Russia to surrender and give back
Alaska (they vote Republican)

(http://www.cartoonistgroup.com/properties/benson/art_images/cg560b250133e56.jpg)

(http://www.jewishworldreview.com/toons/davies/tmmda150928.gif)


(http://media.cagle.com/29/2015/09/29/169440_600.jpg)


(http://media.townhall.com/Townhall/Car/b/Foden20150918-Plagues20150918101148.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Miquel Westano on September 30, 2015, 09:50:04 AM
I'm surprised that Obama hasn't sent John Kerry to Russia to surrender and give back
Alaska (they vote Republican)

(http://www.cartoonistgroup.com/properties/benson/art_images/cg560b250133e56.jpg)

Wow, that has probably not occurred to them.  I hope they don't read that, Bill.  I can see it now, the "commander and chief" decides the contract was invalid, the supreme court backs up his opinion and barry hands them the state.  Boom, one less red state for the dems to deal with.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Faux Pas on September 30, 2015, 10:14:56 AM
If you read through his blog, you will notice that he is willing to debate ideas, including with other academics.

He also predicted, in 2005, almost exactly what has happened.

Obama is smart, no doubt about it.  I think he also sees the toxicity of the US dependence on Middle Eastern oil.

In the end, much of the Middle East's instability can be traced back to Saudi Arabia, which funds the most severe, and repressive form of Islam in existence.  It is not mainstream, but they certainly want it to become so.

You're giving Obama way too much credit. It didn't take a scholar or brain surgeon to see what would happen in the Middle East once the dictators were deposed. Obama played a big part in that. I do agree with you about Saudi Arabia though except since the 70's The House of Saud's arch enemy Iran has been the bigger player the Middle East strife
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 30, 2015, 10:29:48 AM
Well, I posted earlier that the Russians being in Syria was strategically maybe the best means to finally bring the West into Russia's war of aggression for real.

Let's revue...

1) Russia conducts air strikes this morning not on IS but Syrian rebels fighting Assad at Assad's request completely contrary to what Putin agreed to at the UN just days ago. 

Not surprising because in the past year 94% of Assad's operations were directed at the opposition and not ISIS.  The entry of Russia suggests Assad was on the run and would soon fall, creating even more havoc because the opposition groups are far from unified.

Quote
2) Russian General walks into Bagdad US Embassy and declares get your aircraft out of Syrian air space, we're conducting airstrikes within the hour.

The translation later sent to the Pentagon included the word "polshasta."  LOL



Quote
Putin has once again full on slapped Obama in the face-made a mockery of him- and by extension the US and NATO.

Will this be allowed to stand? Where is the West's leadership?...Truly 1938 Europe all over again. The more we back away the more general war becomes inevitable.

This morning I saw an interview with Kerry who called Russia's involvement an "opportunity."  What the hell! 

While libertarians support Obama's lack of direct involvement in international conflicts, this is an example of the fact  somebody will always fill the vacuum and that someone may have plans that are not in the best interests of the US.  The "someone" is Putin teaming with Obama's new friend Iran.    Project this to 2-3 years from now.   I bet the Saudi are shitting in their pants today with Europeans feeling  some gas in their GI tract.   And the Israelis. 

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 30, 2015, 10:30:44 AM
Obama is smart, no doubt about it.  I think he also sees the toxicity of the US dependence on Middle Eastern oil.

He might see the toxicity of Middle East oil, but his policies totally make Middle East
oil necessary. Canadians mostly like Americans and almost none of them chant Death
to America (except during hockey games). Obama's policies everything from refusing
to allow the XL pipeline to hampering US crude production to trying to destroy various
fossil fuel industries foster relying on Middle East oil.

My good friend and old room mate was the valedictorian of Obama's high school class
in Hawaii doesn't think Obama is nearly as bright as you do.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 30, 2015, 10:33:19 AM
Not surprising because in the past year 94% of Assad's operations were directed at the opposition and not ISIS.  The entry of Russia suggests Assad was on the run and would soon fall, creating even more havoc because the opposition groups are far from unified.


My question, were the 94% of operations against others because he wanted them
killed more? or because ISIS was too strong to prevail against?


(http://media.cagle.com/12/2015/09/21/169117_600.jpg)

(http://www.charlotteobserver.com/opinion/editorial-cartoons/kevin-siers/wa60r/picture31658531/ALTERNATES/FREE_960/SIERS082115)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on September 30, 2015, 10:34:55 AM
I've noticed that when you have a POTUS who is trigger-happy, he is the most intelligent, astute, compassionate, God-like, leader this country has had.


Bill, I guess you are right, this is the most violent society in the world.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on September 30, 2015, 11:11:01 AM
I've noticed that when you have a POTUS who is trigger-happy, he is the most intelligent, astute, compassionate, God-like, leader this country has had.


Bill, I guess you are right, this is the most violent society in the world.  ;)

I've written a hundred times that George W Bush was at best a mediocre president.
You can't find a single post of mine in any thread on any forum making ANY of the
claims in your post and I won't vote for Jeb if he gets nominated.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on September 30, 2015, 11:22:30 AM
I've written a hundred times that George W Bush was at best a mediocre president.
You can't find a single post of mine in any thread on any forum making ANY of the
claims in your post and I won't vote for Jeb if he gets nominated.


Sorry, I never mentioned W. I was referring to Cheney.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on September 30, 2015, 11:25:18 AM
Putin's New Axis of Resistance


Quote
Despite the stark realities on the ground in Ukraine—undisputed by all except those who openly support or work for the Kremlin or those who have no familiarity with the facts—the fighting has decreased since this new ceasefire, and Russia is once again engaging with the international community, some of which is hailing this false “peace” as a victory for diplomatic relations with Moscow.


(I'm not singling anyone here FT.  ;)  )


http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/28/putin-s-new-axis-of-resistance-russia-iran-iraq-syria-and-hezbollah.html (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/28/putin-s-new-axis-of-resistance-russia-iran-iraq-syria-and-hezbollah.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 30, 2015, 02:36:49 PM
My question, were the 94% of operations against others because he wanted them
killed more? or because ISIS was too strong to prevail against?


I haven't followed the conflict(s) in Syria.  The situation is very complicated.  I need a better Program w/ Scorecard and the participants need uniforms (with numbers). 

I would venture Assad hit the opposition  groups because they are  closer to Damascus and Syrian government frontlines.  Most groups other than the Kurds and Al-Nusrah  are  in northwestern Syria and parts of southwestern Syria.   ISIS is more entrenched in the center and southern parts of Syria, farther from Assad's troops than opposition groups..

Russia in defending the Syrian government will do the same other than a few strikes against ISIS for "eyewash" PR. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 30, 2015, 08:22:15 PM
Putin's New Axis of Resistance



(I'm not singling anyone here FT.  ;)  )


http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/28/putin-s-new-axis-of-resistance-russia-iran-iraq-syria-and-hezbollah.html (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/28/putin-s-new-axis-of-resistance-russia-iran-iraq-syria-and-hezbollah.html)


Thanks for the article, and the mention!  :D


Obviously Russian policy isn't angelic either, and worthy of criticism as well....but I believe we here in the USA are mistaken if we believe we are angels running around the planet trying to make everything right....which tends to be the tone on many issues here.  Kinda like that expression you mentioned in the other thread..."I'm ok, but you are not".  Many are critical of other nations,  while giving ours a free pass, or at least don't fully acknowledge our own contribution to the messes of the planet. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 30, 2015, 08:34:18 PM
Even I who nobody would call an Obamapologist thought that that they wouldn't waste
those kind of resources. Bimbobama and his regime are even more inept than I would
have ever believed.



Well Bill, I don't think we really spent 500 million on that training for 54 people.  I think we semi intentionally let the weapons fall in the hands of rebels against Assad. If that is the case, then it was stupid, but not for the reason you are thinking.  If indeed you are correct, then yes, it would be completely inept.



Obama owns ISIS, but I wasn't under the impression that he was escalating it. It's
been my impression that he lobs a couple of bombs at the problem twice a week and
ignores it. He cares far more to waste vast sums of money on Global warming and to
create thousands of pages of regulations on everything under the sun.

He really doesn't care what happens there except to the extent that it interferes with
his other crap. 




Well if indeed Obama/our country owns ISIS, then it speaks to the destruction and corruption we (The US) are supporting.  I don't know if we 'own ISIS', but I don't believe for a moment we have been truly trying to take them out, because I'm convinced if we wanted that, we could have achieved whittling them down significantly.  The big media mostly reports what they get from our govt. which is mostly untruths. 


Fathertime!     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on September 30, 2015, 11:01:09 PM

Well Bill, I don't think we really spent 500 million on that training for 54 people.  I think we semi intentionally let the weapons fall in the hands of rebels against Assad. If that is the case, then it was stupid, but not for the reason you are thinking.  If indeed you are correct, then yes, it would be completely inept.



Well if indeed Obama/our country owns ISIS, then it speaks to the destruction and corruption we (The US) are supporting.  I don't know if we 'own ISIS', but I don't believe for a moment we have been truly trying to take them out, because I'm convinced if we wanted that, we could have achieved whittling them down significantly.  The big media mostly reports what they get from our govt. which is mostly untruths. 


Fathertime!     

Instead of the great and powerful Oz, we have, here on this Forum, the Not-So-Great and Powerless Cynic.  Is there anything your country does that you do like?  Or are you just down in your smelly little hole wondering why everyone around holds their nose when they walk by feeling betrayed by the governmental people who lie all the time because they are doing such nefarious things?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 01, 2015, 05:20:05 AM
Instead of the great and powerful Oz, we have, here on this Forum, the Not-So-Great and Powerless Cynic.  Is there anything your country does that you do like?  Or are you just down in your smelly little hole wondering why everyone around holds their nose when they walk by feeling betrayed by the governmental people who lie all the time because they are doing such nefarious things?


....and you are the very first one to complain when attacked personally....but as the record shows are of course  the 1st to throw stones of that nature.....


You would like to cover up our misdeeds while criticizing Russia, often incorrectly.  You would like to turn the issue black and white, and act as if Russia's actions are in a vacuum.  You are just covering up the USA's contributions to the battlefields of the world....which is inaccurate and self-serving.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 01, 2015, 08:23:43 AM

Well Bill, I don't think we really spent 500 million on that training for 54 people.  I think we semi intentionally let the weapons fall in the hands of rebels against Assad. If that is the case, then it was stupid, but not for the reason you are thinking.  If indeed you are correct, then yes, it would be completely inept.


If team Obama intentionally let weapons fall into the hands of rebels against Assad
then I don't know why they don't just say so. It sounds less incompetent than saying
we spend 9 million per person then most of them quit.



Well if indeed Obama/our country owns ISIS, then it speaks to the destruction and corruption we (The US) are supporting.  I don't know if we 'own ISIS', but I don't believe for a moment we have been truly trying to take them out, because I'm convinced if we wanted that, we could have achieved whittling them down significantly.  The big media mostly reports what they get from our govt. which is mostly untruths. 


Fathertime!     


I say Obama owns ISIS in respect that he created the problem. He owns the problem.
I don't think that the problem of ISIS is very high on Obama's list of priorities.

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 01, 2015, 08:33:49 AM
Putin signs decree drafting 150,000 conscripts into the Russian military... as his jets launch new wave of air strikes in Syria


Russia launches second day of bombing runs on rebel groups in Syria
Putin's Chechen ally calls on Moscow to deploy Muslim troops against ISIS
Kremlin accused of targeting moderate rebels backed by U.S and not ISIS
Moscow foreign minister Lavrov rejected the 'rumours' as 'unfounded'
Hundreds of Iranian and Hezbollah troops 'set to launch ground offensive' 



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3255876/Russia-pouring-gasoline-fire-Syria-s-civil-war-says-America-Putin-defies-West-drops-bombs-non-ISIS-forces-fighting-Assad.html#ixzz3nKZ5qH8C
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 01, 2015, 08:38:10 AM
Assad allies, including Iranians, prepare ground attack in Syria
BEIRUT | BY LAILA BASSAM Reuters

Hundreds of Iranian troops have arrived in Syria in the last 10 days and will soon join
government forces and their Lebanese Hezbollah allies in a major ground offensive backed
by Russian air strikes, two Lebanese sources told Reuters.

"The (Russian) air strikes will in the near future be accompanied by ground advances by
the Syrian army and its allies," said one of the sources familiar with political and military developments in the conflict.

"It is possible that the coming land operations will be focused in the Idlib and Hama
countryside," the source added.

read all about it here
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/01/us-mideast-crisis-syria-iranians-idUSKCN0RV4DN20151001
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 01, 2015, 09:04:12 AM
You would like to cover up our misdeeds while criticizing Russia, often incorrectly.  You would like to turn the issue black and white, and act as if Russia's actions are in a vacuum.  You are just covering up the USA's contributions to the battlefields of the world....which is inaccurate and self-serving.
Fathertime!

I guess we can take that as a big 'no' on having anything supportive to say of the US.  My guess is that you never served in your country's military, either.  Just a guess.

Come on.  Surprise us.  Tell us something that you are proud of - being an American. 

 :blowkiss:



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on October 01, 2015, 09:44:06 AM
I wonder how Western and Russian forces can tell the difference between who they are attacking . . . Syrian military, those fighting Syrian government, ISIS.

Just shoot at anyone who is darker than you are, or wearing a head-dress.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 01, 2015, 10:31:50 AM
I wonder how Western and Russian forces can tell the difference between who they are attacking . . . Syrian military, those fighting Syrian government, ISIS.

...The guys with American supplied weapons and equipment are Syrian freedom fighters, the guys with the stolen American supplied weapons and equipment are ISIL and the guys running for cover behind the Russians are Assad's government troops.  ;D

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 01, 2015, 11:55:49 AM
I guess we can take that as a big 'no' on having anything supportive to say of the US.  My guess is that you never served in your country's military, either.  Just a guess.

Come on.  Surprise us.  Tell us something that you are proud of - being an American. 

 :blowkiss:
This topic is about Syria, which we didn't need to involve ourselves with....my belief is our contributions have made the situation worse for the people there and we have done this on their backs to gain some not completely understood strategic advantage.  Obviously you would like to dance around that subject and lay blame everywhere else.  Pattern in your life? Just guessing.

If you would like to continue your glad handing or talk about such things as U.S. Beaches, babes, ballparks there are other places for that conversation. 

Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 01, 2015, 03:20:59 PM
This topic is about Syria, which we didn't need to involve ourselves with....my belief is our contributions have made the situation worse for the people there and we have done this on their backs to gain some not completely understood strategic advantage. 

You are missing the point, a very important point.  We did NOT involve ourselves in any significant manner.  That is why Russia moved in.  We were just talk and diplomacy. 

When was the last time Russia had any significant involvement in the Middle East?  1972. 

That has now changed with America's withdrawal.  Thus, after 40 years of having little influence, Obama has allowed Russia and their friend Iran to usurp our leadership role. It will not stop with Syria.  The two will expand their presence beyond Syria.

Now answer this question please.  Will Russia and Iran do a better job of  helping to make life better for countries and peoples of the Middle East?

Do you feel more comfortable with Russia and Iran taking the leadership role in Middle East affairs?
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 01, 2015, 04:16:09 PM

That has now changed with America's withdrawal.  Thus, after 40 years of having little influence, Obama has allowed Russia and their friend Iran to usurp our leadership role. It will not stop with Syria.  The two will expand their presence beyond Syria.

It's already going to encompass Iran, Iraq and Syria. Iran has attacked Yemen with
surrogates. What country is between Yemen, Iraq and Syria? Don't forget that Team
Obama/Hillary turned Egypt against us and they turned Libya into a bloodbath

So let's look at the map and consider what Russia might potentially control. Saudi
Arabia hates Iran. Why wouldn't Iran want Saudi Arabia as well? they have it
surrounded.


(http://www.projectvisa.com/images/maps/middle_east.gif)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 01, 2015, 08:18:18 PM
You are missing the point, a very important point.  We did NOT involve ourselves in any significant manner.  That is why Russia moved in.  We were just talk and diplomacy. 



We *the US* have supplied weapons, we have bombed.  That doesn't sound like something insignificant at all.  We continued to do our part to keep the civil war going.  We (and other western nations) had no business in Syria to begin with.  In addition to what we *the public* do know, there is probably a lot of support we don't know about.  I was surprised it took Russia this long to make their move...they could have hopped in a few years ago...and probably should have.  It is hilarious listening to the news on the radio today, and hearing the 'surprised' voices cry out that Russia is bombing the moderate rebels and protecting Assad, of course they are protecting Assad, and why would that be a surprise?




 

That has now changed with America's withdrawal.  Thus, after 40 years of having little influence, Obama has allowed Russia and their friend Iran to usurp our leadership role. It will not stop with Syria.  The two will expand their presence beyond Syria.

Now answer this question please.  Will Russia and Iran do a better job of  helping to make life better for countries and peoples of the Middle East?

Do you feel more comfortable with Russia and Iran taking the leadership role in Middle East affairs?


Independent nations can make their own choices, and if they 'want a friend' and choose Iran, Russia, or even the US then that is one thing....but it isn't up to us to force a very bloody regime change to gain advantage, and if we do, then we are not in any position to cry out when another nation does something similar. 
As to your question, I don't think lives will be any worse then they have been in recent years...I don't know how many we have helped kill in the middle east but it might be a million or more...If Russia were to take the lead in the middle east it would be because we have done such a piss poor job over 2 decades...it is ok with me if they have more influence, but I don't' believe for a moment any of the large Hegemonic nations is taking over the entire middle east anyway. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 01, 2015, 09:24:22 PM
My good friend and old room mate was the valedictorian of Obama's high school class
in Hawaii doesn't think Obama is nearly as bright as you do.


He was smart enough to be editor of the Harvard Law Review.  You have to have top grades to run for editor.  Numerous professors have spoken about how impressed they were by him, even in his first year of law school.  Of course, he was older than the average law student, and had a lot more life experience.


In Dreams From My Father, Obama described himself as an underachieving dopehead when he was in high school.  His mother used to admonish him, as he was so not a serious student, and she worried about his future. As an aside, do you know his mother started micro loans in Indonesia?  Two decades later, a man would win a Nobel prize for stealing her idea.


I suppose being on food stamps while attending an elite private school, and being the only black student there would have been difficult on a teen.  Obama also stated when he started college in LA, he still was not a good student.  It was only when he transferred to Columbia that he became serious about his studies.  He had a Pakistani roommate, which is why he visited Pakistan when he graduated (on the same trip he went to Kenya).  He graduated, got a Wall Street job, and hated it.  Thereafter, he moved to Chicago.


It's a good thing we aren't all hamstrung by who we were in high school.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 01, 2015, 09:28:16 PM

I was surprised it took Russia this long to make their move...they could have hopped in a few years ago...and probably should have.  It is hilarious listening to the news on the radio today, and hearing the 'surprised' voices cry out that Russia is bombing the moderate rebels and protecting Assad, of course they are protecting Assad, and why would that be a surprise?


Yes, the Russians don't care that Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents, and, before the civil war began, sent his army into Sunni villages to kill villagers one by one.  They don't care that he drops barrel bombs on civilians, and they will be very indiscriminate in their bombing campaigns.  This, ultimately, will not end well for Russia.


I have a friend from Lebanon, a Christian.  Two years ago, he was back in the summer, and at that time, Lebanon was already overflowing with refugees.  His words to me were "Assad is crazy.  He is a dictator with the blood of tens of thousands on his hands, and this will get much worse."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 01, 2015, 10:24:20 PM

Yes, the Russians don't care that Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents, and, before the civil war began, sent his army into Sunni villages to kill villagers one by one.  They don't care that he drops barrel bombs on civilians, and they will be very indiscriminate in their bombing campaigns.  This, ultimately, will not end well for Russia.


I have a friend from Lebanon, a Christian.  Two years ago, he was back in the summer, and at that time, Lebanon was already overflowing with refugees.  His words to me were "Assad is crazy.  He is a dictator with the blood of tens of thousands on his hands, and this will get much worse."


Interesting how different the opinions are....I have a good friend who lives nearby, he is an Armenian Christian from Syria....he was over at our house about 2 weeks ago, and was foaming at the mouth (Almost literally) when he discussed what the USA has been doing in Syria against Assad.   Of course he had my sympathetic ear, but no foaming at the mouth from me. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 02, 2015, 02:12:03 AM
Yes, the Russians don't care that Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents, and, before the civil war began, sent his army into Sunni villages to kill villagers one by one.

That's right, Bashar al-Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents. So do any of the arabian and not only arabian rulers in this part of world, though you like to notice only those who is labeled as Anti-American. Main question is what happens when a ruthless ruler will be dethroned. Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan give  illustrative examples of saying "The road to hell is paved with good intentions".
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 02, 2015, 06:57:40 AM

He was smart enough to be editor of the Harvard Law Review.  You have to have top grades to run for editor.  Numerous professors have spoken about how impressed they were by him, even in his first year of law school.  Of course, he was older than the average law student, and had a lot more life experience.


He admittedly got the position on the law review because he was black and was a mediocre
writer.


I suppose being on food stamps while attending an elite private school, and being the only black student there would have been difficult on a teen.  Obama also stated when he started college in LA, he still was not a good student.  It was only when he transferred to Columbia that he became serious about his studies.  He had a Pakistani roommate, which is why he visited Pakistan when he graduated (on the same trip he went to Kenya).  He graduated, got a Wall Street job, and hated it.  Thereafter, he moved to Chicago.

It's a good thing we aren't all hamstrung by who we were in high school.

It was an elite school in Hawaii, most of the kids weren't white. Asians dominate the
elite schools in Hawaii. Ronald Loui a computer scientists was called Frederick in Obama's
book and Mark Tuinei was Hawaiian who became an NFL star with the Dallas Cowboys.

(http://www.cs.wustl.edu/~loui/louicrop.gif)

(http://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/736x/f3/7e/11/f37e1106c7ff4e1d1d4a8935321e59eb.jpg)

His grandparents who he lived with weren't poor. Obama wasn't Cinderfella

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 07:08:34 AM
You are missing the point, a very important point.  We did NOT involve ourselves in any significant manner.  That is why Russia moved in.  We were just talk and diplomacy. 

When was the last time Russia had any significant involvement in the Middle East?  1972. 

That has now changed with America's withdrawal.  Thus, after 40 years of having little influence, Obama has allowed Russia and their friend Iran to usurp our leadership role. It will not stop with Syria.  The two will expand their presence beyond Syria.

Now answer this question please.  Will Russia and Iran do a better job of  helping to make life better for countries and peoples of the Middle East?

Do you feel more comfortable with Russia and Iran taking the leadership role in Middle East affairs?


Maybe Friedman can answer that.


Quote
Meanwhile, Obama’s Republican critics totally lack the wisdom of our own experience. They blithely advocate “fire, ready, aim” in Syria without any reason to believe their approach will work there any better than it did for us in Iraq or Libya. People who don’t know how to fix inner-city Baltimore think they know how to rescue downtown Aleppo — from the air!


http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/30/opinion/thomas-friedman-syria-obama-and-putin.html?_r=0
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 07:18:26 AM
That's right, Bashar al-Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents. So do any of the arabian and not only arabian rulers in this part of world, though you like to notice only those who is labeled as Anti-American. Main question is what happens when a ruthless ruler will be dethroned. Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan give  illustrative examples of saying "The road to hell is paved with good intentions".




Hmm, you must be reading some of our editorials. ;)




Does the U.S. really need allies who behead, crucify dissidents?



It was likely embarrassing for the United Nations Human Rights Council when, in a statement released last week and attributed to a group of human-rights experts, it called on Saudi Arabia to immediately halt executions of children. After all, Saudi Arabia is a member of the board.


But as Saudi King Salman considers giving his blessing to the sentence handed Ali Mohammed al-Nimr, the case should also prove an embarrassment to the United States, whose alliances of convenience continue to force American values into compromising positions.


Mr. al-Nimr, arrested in 2012 at age 17, is to be beheaded and his body publicly crucified in a spectacle more commonly found in regions controlled by ISIS than that of a longtime U.S. ally.


Mr. al-Nimr was convicted of terrorism for his participation in the Arab Spring demonstrations, which included such heinous acts as protesting, chanting anti-government slogans and using social media to express views critical of the kingdom’s absolute monarchy.


The government also alleges he sheltered wanted men and participated in anti-government riots, but has provided no evidence of those claims beyond a confession of dubious merit commonly produced at Saudi Arabian show trials, which are largely conducted in secret.


In reality, the death sentence probably has more to do with the fact that Mr. al-Nimr is the nephew of an influential cleric critical of the government, who has also been sentenced to death. It reeks of North Korean-style generational punishment.


Saudi Arabia has executed 134 people this year, most, it is believed, by public beheading, according to the United Nations. Further, according to Amnesty International, Saudi Arabia is one of the top three executioners in the world, behind China and Iran.


The United States likely has no pull with those other two states, but Saudi Arabia’s position as a favored American ally affords the U.S. government the ability to relentlessly pursue the cause of Mr. al-Nimr. It should do so until he, and other prisoners held in contravention of American standards of the rule of law, receive a proper trial or are released.


And then, perhaps, we should reconsider our relationships with tyrannical nations.


http://www.ocregister.com/articles/saudi-685259-arabia-government.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 07:26:20 AM
That's right, Bashar al-Assad is a ruthless killer who tortures opponents. So do any of the arabian and not only arabian rulers in this part of world, though you like to notice only those who is labeled as Anti-American. Main question is what happens when a ruthless ruler will be dethroned. Libya, Iraq, Afghanistan give  illustrative examples of saying "The road to hell is paved with good intentions".


No, you are absolutely incorrect in assuming I only label those who are anti American as ruthless.  We are not talking about other Arab rulers, are we?


Interference on either side is not a good thing.  The government that replaced Saddam Hussein was not as ruthless as he was.  Not even close.  The issue there was a lack of power sharing.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 07:35:49 AM
He admittedly got the position on the law review because he was black and was a mediocre writer.

Where is that "admittedly" from?  Breitbart?

Several of his law school professors say he stood out academically.  I think I'll go with their view over that of your former roommate.

Quote
It was an elite school in Hawaii, most of the kids weren't white. Asians dominate the elite schools in Hawaii. Ronald Loui a computer scientists was called Frederick in Obama's look and Mark Tuinei was Hawaiian who became an NFL star with the Dallas Cowboys.

His grandparents who he lived with weren't poor. Obama wasn't Cinderfella


I didn't say all the other students were white. I said he stood out as the only black student.

Had you read his book, you would understand that his race was a source of most of his school angst. 

His grandparents lived pay cheque to pay cheque, and he has written that his grandmother often went without meals so he could eat.  His grandfather was chronically underemployed, his grandmother used to catch the bus to work at 5:30 a.m.  By high school, his mother had returned to Hawaii, and he was living with her.  They often relied on food stamps.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 08:35:52 AM
Ah! So that's his problem. He didn't come out from the country club elite.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 02, 2015, 08:49:43 AM
The government that replaced Saddam Hussein was not as ruthless as he was.  Not even close.  The issue there was a lack of power sharing.
I don't think Iraqis feel comfortable to die from a lack of power sharing, just because   they have not ruthless government. You raise the issue in manner that moral qualities of a government is higher priority for you than the  human lives. I suppose the starting point must be  well-being of the nation, not  moral character  of the rulers of this nation. In this way tens of thousands Iraqis can not express their satisfication from the not so ruthless government because they are all dead.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 09:39:43 AM

We *the US* have supplied weapons, we have bombed. 

Weapons - Yes, but not to a significant degree. 

Bombed - Yes, but ISIS.   What's wrong with that?  No bombing of Asad's military. 


Quote
We continued to do our part to keep the civil war going.  We (and other western nations) had no business in Syria to begin with. 

Actually, I agree.  Another Obama Arab Spring.  What we did was enough to encourage a civil war, yet we did not equip the opposition with enough to prevail.  The end result are millions of refugees with designs for moving to Europe.  Another story.  Most of the refugees are young men who chose not to fight in the civil war and are using the war's refugee problem as an opportunity to immigrate to Europe.  Variation of a Trojan Horse?

Quote
It is hilarious listening to the news on the radio today, and hearing the 'surprised' voices cry out that Russia is bombing the moderate rebels and protecting Assad, of course they are protecting Assad, and why would that be a surprise?

Not a surprise to me.  I mentioned when this started that Assad was directing 95% of his operations at opposition forces and 5% at ISIS.   His ally Putin showed in  Ukraine his depth of  dark deceit.    The Russian immediate goal is to destroy the opposition forces and then address ISIS. 





Quote
  Independent nations can make their own choices, and if they 'want a friend' and choose Iran, Russia, or even the US then that is one thing....but it isn't up to us to force a very bloody regime change to gain advantage, and if we do, then we are not in any position to cry out when another nation does something similar. 

The US has long been the lone superpower in the region.   I contend,  considering the free hand we held. we have held back (other than  the example of Iraq).    We are now being replaced by an 800-LB GORILLA.  Independent people  are not so independent with an 800-lb gorilla in the room.

Quote
   ...it is ok with me if they [Russia]  have more influence, but I don't' believe for a moment any of the large Hegemonic nations is taking over the entire middle east anyway. 


I gather you have no problem with Russia being able to DRIVE THE AGENDA?   That is what Russia can do with Obama's slow retreat from the Middle East.  I believe it is time for Europe to take the lead to 1)  counter Russia and 2) balance the forces at play in the Middle East to bring stability.  Europe is importing far more of the Middle Eastern oil than the US, and Europe is receiving the refugees created by conflicts in the Middle East.  So Europe, add the Middle East to Ukraine as a place where you need to step up.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 09:44:58 AM
I don't think Iraqis feel comfortable to die from a lack of power sharing, just because   they have not ruthless government. You raise the issue in manner that moral qualities of a government is higher priority for you than the  human lives. I suppose the starting point must be  well-being of the nation, not  moral character  of the rulers of this nation. In this way tens of thousands Iraqis can not express their satisfication from the not so ruthless government because they are all dead.


A nation is sick if its government tortures citizens.


Iraq since the removal of Hussein has been unstable, due to continued sectarian violence, but that had subsided.  Most of this is the result of al Maliki.  I think you can compare it, in some ways, to the instability in Russia in the aftermath of the collapse of the USSR.  The difference in Russia is, a form of government had existed, and the population was not armed to the teeth.


Here is one view of al Maliki and the rise of ISIS -


http://www.timesofisrael.com/marginalized-by-maliki-iraqs-sunnis-turned-violent/ (http://www.timesofisrael.com/marginalized-by-maliki-iraqs-sunnis-turned-violent/)


Was al Maliki torturing his opponents?  No.  He did have some of them killed in car bombs (sound familiar?), and others, he had arrested (does that also sound familiar?), however, the mass execution chambers of the Hussein era were gone.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 09:48:02 AM
Another Obama Arab Spring.  What we did was enough to encourage a civil war, yet we did not equip the opposition with enough to prevail. 


I disagree with this.  The civil war had begun by the time the U.S. was involved.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 02, 2015, 09:54:16 AM
Ah! So that's his problem. He didn't come out from the country club elite.  ;)

Obama came out of a country club type school. He was no Cinderfella, he wasn't
a poor black kid. The School had maybe 1/3 whites and 2/3 non white, so there
wasn't some type of anti-black racial thing going on, especially not in Hawaii.

He was a mediocre student, but that was because he was a pot head and lazy (back
then) and not because of the color of his skin.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 09:57:10 AM

Maybe Friedman can answer that.

Quote
Meanwhile, Obama’s Republican critics totally lack the wisdom of our own experience. They blithely advocate “fire, ready, aim” in Syria without any reason to believe their approach will work there any better than it did for us in Iraq or Libya. People who don’t know how to fix inner-city Baltimore think they know how to rescue downtown Aleppo — from the air!

I am not sure of Friedman's  point.  Iraq was  Bush, although Obama's removal of troops made things worse (no one complains about the 38,000 troops in ROK).   Libya was Obama.   Result about the same. 

How many Republican candidates advocate a stronger US military operation in Syria.  News for you - McCain is not a candidate for the 2016 election.  :-)

 I say, "Go Europe!"  Get off your ass and fix the problem in the Middle East. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 09:58:58 AM
Quote
'I had never seen anything like it,' said Caesar, who still fears for his life. 'Before the uprising, the regime tortured prisoners to get information – now they were torturing to kill.'

Caesar's harrowing testament is contained in 'Operation Caesar', a new book by the French author Garance Le Caisne.

Referring to the corpses, Caesar told the author: 'I saw marks left by burning candles, and once the round mark of a stove – the sort you use to heat tea – that had burned someone's face and hair.
'Some people had deep cuts, some had their eyes gouged out, their teeth broken, you could see traces of lashes with those cables you use to start cars.'

Caesar was officially part of a team of forensic photographers working for Assad behind closed doors. But driven to act by the grotesque things he had witnessed, Caesar transferred the pictures of mutilated dead bodies from police computers on to USB sticks between 2011 and 2013.

These were smuggled abroad - often hidden in shoes and belts – through friends, and then posted on the Internet, where they are now available for all to see.

'We wanted to get these photos out so that the dead people's families would know that their loved ones had passed away,' said Caesar. 'People had to know what was going on in the prisons and detention centres. When Bashar al-Assad falls, you can be sure that the regime will want to destroy the evidence.' . . .
The tortured, starved and burned bodies in the photographs are the political opponents of Assad's regime. Many of them, who were among the regime's first victims, are only demonstrators who dared to stand up against the dictator.

They have been put through hell - photographs that can't be published show evidence of lashings, burnings, extreme starvation, scalpings and castration.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3257299/New-book-reveals-grotesque-torture-murder-meted-Syrian-dictator-Assad-man-Russia-s-Putin-helping-power.html#ixzz3nQl4Vsxl (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3257299/New-book-reveals-grotesque-torture-murder-meted-Syrian-dictator-Assad-man-Russia-s-Putin-helping-power.html#ixzz3nQl4Vsxl)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:04:07 AM
Obama came out of a country club type school. He was no Cinderfella, he wasn't
a poor black kid. The School had maybe 1/3 whites and 2/3 non white, so there
wasn't some type of anti-black racial thing going on, especially not in Hawaii.

He was a mediocre student, but that was because he was a pot head and lazy (back
then) and not because of the color of his skin.

He was a poor black kid.  He got into that elite school despite the fact his family could not afford the tuition because his Grandfather was a schmoozer, who lobbied for him with an acquaintance who sat on the school's board.  The school accepted X number of students who were economically disadvantaged.  Obama was one of those students.

Obama never stated there was an anti black thing going on in Hawaii, just that he knew he was different, and at the time, it bothered him.  For a kid that age, anything different is usually a negative.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 10:07:07 AM

I disagree with this.  The civil war had begun by the time the U.S. was involved.

Whether you recognize it or not, the Arab Spring flames were fanned (not started) by the US  throughout the Middle East.  Ambassador Stevens died in Benghazi while brokering the shipment of captured Libyan arms to Syrian opposition forces.  The seeds for the  Arab Spring rebellions were not  planted by the US but were  a homegrown response a long time ago  to tyrannical dictators.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:09:13 AM


I am not sure of Friedman's  point.  Iraq was  Bush, although Obama's removal of troops made things worse (no one complains about the 38,000 troops in ROK).   Libya was Obama.  Result about the same.


Other than the over 6,800 American families who will never see their loved ones, and the hundreds of thousands of wounded now being stiffed by the VA.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:12:08 AM
Whether you recognize it or not, the Arab Spring flames were fanned (not started) by the US  throughout the Middle East.  Ambassador Stevens died in Benghazi while brokering the shipment of captured Libyan arms to Syrian opposition forces.  The seeds for the  Arab Spring rebellions were not  planted by the US but were  a homegrown response a long time ago  to tyrannical dictators.


True, but note, by the time the US had decided to arm Syrian rebels, the civil war had already started.  You could lay this at the feet of the neocons as well.  One of the points made in Project for a New American Century was that by removing Saddam Hussein, the seeds of democracy would be sown in the Middle East.



Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 02, 2015, 10:17:50 AM
Obama never stated there was an anti black thing going on in Hawaii, just that he knew he was different, and at the time, it bothered him.  For a kid that age, anything different is usually a negative.

I was different, I was the tallest kid in our school and a basketball star. It might have
sounded good in his book, but Obama wasn't a poor black kid, he wasn't rich and there
were rich kids. There are plenty of Pacific Islanders who have dark skin. He was writing
a book and exaggerated, it happens.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:21:37 AM
I was different, I was the tallest kid in our school and a basketball star. It might have
sounded good in his book, but Obama wasn't a poor black kid, he wasn't rich and there
were rich kids. There are plenty of Pacific Islanders who have dark skin. He was writing
a book and exaggerated, it happens.

Rich kids, and middle class kids, don't use food stamps. 

I have spent a considerable amount of time through my life in Hawaii, last time, in March/April in Honolulu.  My family until fairly recently, owned a condo for over 30 years on the Big Island, which still has a significant native population.  I have never seen a Pacific Islander who looks African American.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:31:44 AM
Quote
Obama's Grandfather wasn't poor when Obama lived with them.


I'm afraid you are mistaken.  His Grandfather worked in a furniture store, and often was unemployed or underemployed.  Most of the burden of feeding the family fell on his Grandmother.


 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 02, 2015, 10:34:53 AM
Rich kids, and middle class kids, don't use food stamps. 

I have spent a considerable amount of time through my life in Hawaii, last time, in March/April in Honolulu.  My family until fairly recently, owned a condo for over 30 years on the Big Island, which still has a significant native population.  I have never seen a Pacific Islander who looks African American.

Communist welfare mothers can live on food stamps that doesn't make the communist
welfare mothers parents poor does it? Both his grandparents had decent paying jobs
and his grandmother was vice president of a bank.

His grandparents weren't poor or lower middle class

I have never seen a Pacific Islander who looks African American.

In Hawaii they always had a blend of different racial backgrounds and his school was
no different. He was writing his Cinderfella piece for a book and it wasn't true.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 02, 2015, 10:35:53 AM
Iraq since the removal of Hussein has been unstable, due to continued sectarian violence, but that had subsided.  Most of this is the result of al Maliki.  I think you can compare it, in some ways, to the instability in Russia in the aftermath of the collapse of the USSR.  The difference in Russia is, a form of government had existed, and the population was not armed to the teeth.

You can't see the wood for the trees. Mailiki may be a good man, bu we're talking about nations. If a ruler is a good man but tens of thousands of his citizens died I don't care about his personal qualities.  Let him be the bad guy who would save his people from self-destruction. Yeltsin was a good man for West, but Russians almost hate him because his times were times of misery for large part of population.
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:38:08 AM
Communist welfare mothers can live on food stamps that doesn't make the communist
welfare mothers parents poor does it? Both his grandparents had decent paying jobs
and his grandmother was vice president of a bank.

His grandparents weren't poor or lower middle class


His Grandmother worked essentially as a bank secretary when Obama was growing up.  His Grandfather was off and on employed.

In Hawaii they always had a blend of different racial backgrounds and his school was
no different. He was writing his Cinderfella piece for a book and it wasn't true.



You forget the times.  There weren't a lot of African Americans in Hawaii in the 1970's.  It's changed a lot since Obama left.  In any event, if you read his book, you would know that this was his feeling.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 02, 2015, 10:40:35 AM
You can't see the wood for the trees. Mailiki may be a good man, bu we're talking about nations. If a ruler is a good man but tens of thousands of his citizens died I don't care about his personal qualities.  Let him be the bad guy who would save his people from self-destruction. Yeltsin was a good man for West, but Russians almost hate him because his times were times of misery for large part of population.


I never stated Maliki was a good man.  Also, tens of thousands were not dying during his tenure.  The Sunnis' beef was being shut out of power/decision making.


The times of misery in Russia were the result of the corruption and inefficiency that preceded the collapse of the USSR. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 12:17:53 PM

True, but note, by the time the US had decided to arm Syrian rebels, the civil war had already started.

The  civil war had its start long before Obama, Bush, Clinton, Reagan, Carter, etc.  There was unrest even before Assad's father Hafez  seized power as a dictator around 1970.  He was the ruler before Saddam Hussein took control in Iraq, and his single-party rule was about as ruthless as Saddam's.  Bashar is considered even more cunning and ruthless than his father. 

Besides the lack of democracy and the long-term bad economy of Syria, another factor for unrest is religion.  The Assad family are Alawites, a Shia oriented minority  in a country that is about 75% Sunni.  So this civil war did not suddenly start with the Arab Spring, the formation of diverse opposition groups, and the first shots fired by those groups.   

As far as arming Syrian rebels, the US is a minor contributor.  It seems the UK and France have done more, and those two are dwarfed by the Saudis and other Arab states. 


Quote
  You could lay this at the feet of the neocons as well.  One of the points made in Project for a New American Century was that by removing Saddam Hussein, the seeds of democracy would be sown in the Middle East.   

Congratulations for being one of the last persons still blaming Bush    I believe even Obama has stopped blaming Bush in his speeches.   Yet your point has some merit.  The opportunity to establish democracies was one of two key reasons for Bush invading Iraq.  How well did that work?  Bad intelligence and analysis by Bush and his staff.  The other reason - establish a permanent base for US troops.   We had that, yet Obama gave it away, allowing Russia to now have  the only permanent military base in the region.  Belvis's quote is appropriate:  "The road to hell is paved with good intentions".

So yes, Bush made a mistake with what he did in Iraq.  I assert  Obama has made a mistake everywhere in the Middle East.  This is Obama's legacy, and is no longer Bush's fault.  Obama and Hillary can not blame it on Bush.   The implications of Obama's and Hillary's mistakes  are more troubling for long term stability than Bush's mistake in Iraq.  Will Obama try to do something in his final year  to correct the mess, or will he let it fester while preparing for a life of privilege, leisure and wealth as a retired US President? 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 01:05:39 PM
I don't think Iraqis feel comfortable to die from a lack of power sharing, just because   they have not ruthless government. You raise the issue in manner that moral qualities of a government is higher priority for you than the  human lives. I suppose the starting point must be  well-being of the nation, not  moral character  of the rulers of this nation. In this way tens of thousands Iraqis can not express their satisfication from the not so ruthless government because they are all dead.


Ah, you are referring to Putler and Yanukonvict, right?  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 01:16:10 PM
You can't see the wood for the trees. Mailiki may be a good man, bu we're talking about nations. If a ruler is a good man but tens of thousands of his citizens died I don't care about his personal qualities.  Let him be the bad guy who would save his people from self-destruction. Yeltsin was a good man for West, but Russians almost hate him because his times were times of misery for large part of population.
 


And then came the shirtless man showing his macho pectorals and the whole country chanted: You Da Man!!!!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 02, 2015, 01:38:11 PM

And then came the shirtless man showing his macho pectorals and the whole country chanted: You Da Man!!!!

Ya, dere, man!

Just like they revered Joseph Jughashvili.  He was such a nice guy, just murdered 30 million of his own people. 

You and me.  We're just statistics.

Hey, I know.  We can start a five year plan for Syria!  They'll be in the pink in no time!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 02, 2015, 01:39:53 PM


So yes, Bush made a mistake with what he did in Iraq.  I assert  Obama has made a mistake everywhere in the Middle East.  This is Obama's legacy, and is no longer Bush's fault.  Obama and Hillary can not blame it on Bush.   The implications of Obama's and Hillary's mistakes  are more troubling for long term stability than Bush's mistake in Iraq.  Will Obama try to do something in his final year  to correct the mess, or will he let it fester while preparing for a life of privilege, leisure and wealth as a retired US President?


I wouldn't focus on blaming individual leaders, and saying who has the most blame...BUT if I have realized that Obama has been in a pickle due to what Bush did.  After expending and borrowing trillions of our dollars for Middle East wars that have produced mostly rancor, distrust, and death, Obama no longer really had that option.  He would have been stonewalled, and/or run out of town on a rail.  The right wing would have mercilessly undermined him,and the left would have scorched his remains....


I say, "Go Europe!"  Get off your ass and fix the problem in the Middle East.



Given much of history, the world's people must shudder when they think of Europe 'fixing' problems....the results invariably have entailed a healthy dose of deaths.  I say, let them solve their own problems, and quit trying to exploit them.


Fathertime! 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 02, 2015, 01:42:35 PM
This is Obama's legacy, and is no longer Bush's fault.  Obama and Hillary can not blame it on Bush.   The implications of Obama's and Hillary's mistakes  are more troubling for long term stability than Bush's mistake in Iraq.  Will Obama try to do something in his final year  to correct the mess, or will he let it fester while preparing for a life of privilege, leisure and wealth as a retired US President?

If invading Iraq was Bush's fault (and it was) then Qaddafi ending his weapons program
and participating in reducing terror was on Bush too. So killing Qaddafi is totally on
Team Obama/Hillary and turning the area into a bloodbath is theirs too. Team Obama/Hillary
were so inept in Libya that their own diplomat was murdered there and they blamed the
whole thing on a Youtube video. Incompetence and ineptitude mixed with lies exemplifies
the Obama/Hillary Libyan bloodbaths.

Bush had an excellent relationship with Egypts President Hosni Mubarak who was frequently
helping on the war on terror. So team Obama/Hillary destroyed that relationship and turned
the area into a bloodbath for factions that lived peaceably in Egypt for hundreds of years.
Now death and mayhem.

Team Obama/Hillary gave hundreds of millions of dollars to various factions and bad actors
in Syria most of whom aren't even participating. You have to be especially incompetent to
do that. 

Blame Bush for getting involved in the first place but blame Obama for screwing everything
up in the region.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 02, 2015, 01:55:43 PM
Weapons - Yes, but not to a significant degree. 

Bombed - Yes, but ISIS.   What's wrong with that?  No bombing of Asad's military. 



We don't know for sure what we have given away, and what we have 'accidentally' allowed to fall in the hands of ISIS.


Maybe we haven't bombed his military directly, but we have enabled others to attack it...I doubt we ever much bombed ISIS when he was fighting against Assad units, which is not surprising. 


In addition to this, when the USA comes out publicly like we have, it can be very impactful in that it discourages people who might side to fight with with Assad...the thought of fighting an internal revolution is one thing, but the thought of taking on the US military whereby you won't even see the bombs until you are dead is another.  So overall I think our stance has probably changed the entire dynamic...


  I gather you have no problem with Russia being able to DRIVE THE AGENDA?   That is what Russia can do with Obama's slow retreat from the Middle East.  I believe it is time for Europe to take the lead to 1)  counter Russia and 2) balance the forces at play in the Middle East to bring stability.  Europe is importing far more of the Middle Eastern oil than the US, and Europe is receiving the refugees created by conflicts in the Middle East.  So Europe, add the Middle East to Ukraine as a place where you need to step up.   


I don't think Russia is going to be driving the agenda more than we already are.  I'm not sure how much that is either.    Driving agenda's  must be a new age form of imperialism in the region.   Outside countries should have let Syria's uprising play out, instead of trying to affect it's outcome. 


Fathertime! 




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 01:58:17 PM

So yes, Bush made a mistake with what he did in Iraq.  I assert  Obama has made a mistake everywhere in the Middle East.  This is Obama's legacy, and is no longer Bush's fault.  Obama and Hillary can not blame it on Bush.   The implications of Obama's and Hillary's mistakes  are more troubling for long term stability than Bush's mistake in Iraq.  Will Obama try to do something in his final year  to correct the mess, or will he let it fester while preparing for a life of privilege, leisure and wealth as a retired US President?


Yep, and the housing collapse, and climate change, and the gun violence in America, and the invasion of Ukraine, and Burkina Faso, and my neighbors bad odor, etc. all Obama's fault.


Feel free to add more.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 04:10:21 PM

Given much of history, the world's people must shudder when they think of Europe 'fixing' problems....the results invariably have entailed a healthy dose of deaths.

That was the old Europe before the EU.  The new Europe operates under ISO standards to make life better for everyone. 


 
Quote
I say, let them solve their own problems, and quit trying to exploit them.


Why didn't I think of that!  The Arab nations have an impeccable record of  working together and resolving their conflicts. 

Arab states could not work together when many obtained their independence in the aftermath of WW I.  In 1948 they could not work together to defeat a very much smaller Israel.   Please give me one good example of Arab states working together to accomplish something significant.  I would say the best example is OPEC, yet it has no teeth today.       

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 04:30:42 PM

I don't think Russia is going to be driving the agenda more than we already are.  I'm not sure how much that is either.    Driving agenda's  must be a new age form of imperialism in the region.   

It seems you do not understand the meaning of "driving the agenda."   This is what Hitler did in the 1930s Germany.  Most Germans would have  considered themselves then as peaceful people, yet the Nazis as a minority party  seized power and led Germany to  invading much of Europe. 

It is difficult to explain this to you because you see Putin as someone who is not trying to make Russia great again as a military power.  Nope, you think of him as someone who will negotiate win-win solutions.  You do not see him as the 800-lb Gorilla.  The gorilla has now entered the room (the Middle East) and who knows the long-term implications.  And we can do little to stop him. 



Quote
Outside countries should have let Syria's uprising play out, instead of trying to affect it's outcome. 

Great idea, do nothing.  That is largely what the US has done (Example:  Obama drew a red line, told Assad not to cross it, Assad crossed it, and Obama did nothing).  Even without boots on the ground and with minimal weapons from the US,   it seems  the opposition groups had Assad on the run.  Russia entered to protect Assad, and I guarantee they will now turn this around.  I can only imagine the reprisals in store for the opposition groups as Assad's forces regain the territory.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2015, 04:34:10 PM

Feel free to add more.  ;)

1.  Divisiveness - Failing as a leader to cross the aisle.  Instead taking steps that made the far right intractable. 

2.  Racial relations taking a step backwards. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 02, 2015, 04:55:40 PM
1.  Divisiveness - Failing as a leader to cross the aisle.  Instead taking steps that made the far right intractable. 

2.  Racial relations taking a step backwards.


LMFAO


Boy, I tell you. It is true that Americans have the shortest political memory in the world. Or is it that they forget on purpose so it will fit their needs?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 02, 2015, 07:22:14 PM
 
Why didn't I think of that!  The Arab nations have an impeccable record of  working together and resolving their conflicts. 

Arab states could not work together when many obtained their independence in the aftermath of WW I.  In 1948 they could not work together to defeat a very much smaller Israel.   Please give me one good example of Arab states working together to accomplish something significant.  I would say the best example is OPEC, yet it has no teeth today.     
An state such as Syria can solve it's problems or not solve them. It is not up to us to create a wider war or determine the outcome. 


It seems you do not understand the meaning of "driving the agenda."   This is what Hitler did in the 1930s Germany.  Most Germans would have  considered themselves then as peaceful people, yet the Nazis as a minority party  seized power and led Germany to  invading much of Europe. 



And how are you relating Germany to the current situation in Syria?


It is difficult to explain this to you because you see Putin as someone who is not trying to make Russia great again as a military power.  Nope, you think of him as someone who will negotiate win-win solutions.  You do not see him as the 800-lb Gorilla.  The gorilla has now entered the room (the Middle East) and who knows the long-term implications.  And we can do little to stop him. 


I understand what you are saying, but there is no 'explaining' because I don't accept your explanations. For many we (the USA) is seen as the 800 pound gorilla. We entered the room a while ago, another 800 pound gorilla is also entering now, so neither will get all it would like to. 


Great idea, do nothing.  That is largely what the US has done (Example:  Obama drew a red line, told Assad not to cross it, Assad crossed it, and Obama did nothing).  Even without boots on the ground and with minimal weapons from the US,   it seems  the opposition groups had Assad on the run.  Russia entered to protect Assad, and I guarantee they will now turn this around.  I can only imagine the reprisals in store for the opposition groups as Assad's forces regain the territory.   


I disagree that we have done little, if Russia hadn't entered the fray, Assad probably would have eventually fallen, and I think we have been the deciding factor as I explained earlier.  We, other Western nations have carried out 1000's of sorties in an effort to boast rebel forces, that is a lot.  Supplying weapons, while destroying opposing weaponry is also a big deal.  The psychological factor of fighting the USA is also a big deal and has probably scared a lot of Assad loyalists away.  In addition to all of this, we have been organizing and trying to train rebel forces...and who knows what other special operations missions we have undertaken.   It is probably because the so called moderate rebels aren't very strong or numerous, that they haven't already taken over. 
We didn't need to enter this fray by doing so we have invited others to do the same, now oppositional forces are also entering.    Many Syrians don't want us there, and I'd wager most Americans also want us to butt out.


Fathertime!   
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 03, 2015, 01:32:34 PM
It's my opinion that Obama doesn't care what happens in Syria. I am sure he cares
more about leaf blower emission regulation or taking over every rain puddle in the
USA far more than if a half million die in Syria. He would love to take on a zillion
refuges and dump them in a red state.



Obama says Syria 'is not some superpower chessboard contest'

President Obama defended his response to the growing crisis in Syria on Friday by pointing to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, cautioning against a commitment that risks drawing the U.S. into a new quagmire in the Middle East.

Obama appeared determined to take on critics whom he portrayed as impatient and ignorant of the complexity of the warring factions in Syria. He laughed off suggestions that Russian airstrikes in recent days against fighters opposed to President Bashar Assad, an ally of Moscow’s, have President Vladimir Putin looking stronger than Obama in Syria.

He acknowledged that U.S. strategy, particularly his program to train and equip Syrian fighters to counter Islamic State extremists who have taken over parts of the country, has been less successful than he had hoped. But a deeper military engagement won’t necessarily result in success, Obama warned.

Like the Assad government, Putin does not seem to be drawing a distinction among Syrian rebel groups or to steer around any that might be backed by the U.S.-led bombing campaign in Syria.

Obama advisors say they take Putin at his word that he wants to stop the spread of the Islamic State extremists and to eradicate their safe havens in Syria. The White House insists that the only way to fight the spread of the Islamic State is for Assad to leave power and to defuse the political turmoil surrounding him.

Here is the entire story
http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-obama-syria-russia-20151002-story.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 03, 2015, 05:05:04 PM
Congratulations for being one of the last persons still blaming Bush    I believe even Obama has stopped blaming Bush in his speeches.   Yet your point has some merit.  The opportunity to establish democracies was one of two key reasons for Bush invading Iraq.  How well did that work?  Bad intelligence and analysis by Bush and his staff.  The other reason - establish a permanent base for US troops.   We had that, yet Obama gave it away, allowing Russia to now have  the only permanent military base in the region.  Belvis's quote is appropriate:  "The road to hell is paved with good intentions".

So yes, Bush made a mistake with what he did in Iraq.  I assert  Obama has made a mistake everywhere in the Middle East.  This is Obama's legacy, and is no longer Bush's fault.  Obama and Hillary can not blame it on Bush.   The implications of Obama's and Hillary's mistakes  are more troubling for long term stability than Bush's mistake in Iraq.  Will Obama try to do something in his final year  to correct the mess, or will he let it fester while preparing for a life of privilege, leisure and wealth as a retired US President?

The result would have been the same even with US troops on the ground.  It just would have occurred at a different time.

You cannot occupy a country (because that is what the invasion and occupation of Iraq was), kill and displace millions of its citizens, and expect stability.  The roots of ISIS are at the feet of the Bush administration, because it was the Bush administrationthat decided to disband all state organs, and remove Baathists from any position of power.  That disenfranchisement of the minority Sunni population is what lead to ISIS.  This has been written about extensively by experts, but here is one good overview, from an insider -

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/11/-sp-isis-the-inside-story (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/11/-sp-isis-the-inside-story)


Belvis, you should read the link as well, as it tends to negate your assertion of the "stability" an Assad regime will supply.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 03, 2015, 05:13:13 PM
It's my opinion that Obama doesn't care what happens in Syria.


When he wanted to bomb the Syrian regime after the first chemical attacks, he was stymied by Congress.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 03, 2015, 06:14:16 PM

When he wanted to bomb the Syrian regime after the first chemical attacks, he was stymied by Congress.

Not exactly, while congress didn't like the idea (both parties), he was stymied by his own
secretary of state, then by himself during his Sept 10, 2013 speech asking congress to wait.
You could argue that by putting pressure on Assad that he agreed to eliminate his chemical
weapons, but I think everyone knows it pretty much happened by an accidental comment
by John Kerry.

Here is a timeline

December 23, 2012: The first allegation of  chemical weapons use was reported.
September 9, 2013 suggestion by U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry that Syria turn
over all of its chemical weapons and it wouldn't be bombed
September 10, 2013 Obama made a speech from the East Room about Syria asking
Congress to wait.
September 14 2013 Russia negotiated "Framework for Elimination of Syrian Chemical
Weapons," which calls for the elimination of Syria's chemical weapon stockpiles
 
Obama's words on Sept 10th 2013
"I have, therefore, asked the leaders of Congress to postpone a vote to authorize the
use of force while we pursue this diplomatic path.  I’m sending Secretary of State
John Kerry to meet his Russian counterpart on Thursday, and I will continue my own
discussions with President Putin.  I’ve spoken to the leaders of two of our closest allies,
France and the United Kingdom, and we will work together in consultation with Russia
and China to put forward a resolution at the U.N. Security Council requiring Assad to
give up his chemical weapons, and to ultimately destroy them under international control."

read the entire Obama Sept 10 2013 speech here
http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2013-09-10/news/chi-transcript-of-obama-syria-speech-20130910_1_chemical-weapons-sarin-gas-assad/3
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 03, 2015, 07:20:14 PM

Independent nations can make their own choices, and if they 'want a friend' and choose Iran, Russia, or even the US then that is one thing....but it isn't up to us to force a very bloody regime change to gain advantage, and if we do, then we are not in any position to cry out when another nation does something similar. 



America, Russia and Iran have friends in every nation. If America doesn't want to support their friends, Russia and Iran will gladly support their friends. How many friends to we and they have in Syria? Just look at the 4+ million refugees. How many of those refugees moved to a NATO nation or have the desire to do so and how many of those refugees are banging down Russia's and Iran's doors to get in their nations? It's clear the majority of the people living in the Middle East do not want to be governed by leaders friendly to Russia or Iran.


I say, "Go Europe!"  Get off your ass and fix the problem in the Middle East.



Many Europeans have a problem with America being the world cop. Obama doesn't want to be the world cop and they like him for that. The Middle East problems didn't get fixed over there, so the problems(refugees) come to Europe. Denmark was giving $1700 a month to asylum seekers but had to make cutbacks to discourage refugees from coming.


Obama has almost 2 terms to help bring stability to the Middle East. He failed.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 03, 2015, 08:10:34 PM
6,800 American families who will never see their loved ones, and the hundreds of thousands of wounded now being stiffed by the VA.



Since Bush took us into the Iraqi war after 9/11, thousands of police officers died and hundreds of thousands injured right here in America . Should an American President, out of compassion, eliminate the role of police officer? It is wise to have police officers as it is wise to have soldiers. I know you don't approve of the Iraqi war but if a few thousand American soldiers died for your beloved Ukraine, you'd be happy it may save many more lives. Ukraine may explode just as Syria has with a result of 1/4 million dead and half the citizens of Syria displaced. Obama can't make the world perfect but he has a lot of power to save hundreds of thousands of lives even if it cost a few thousand American lives.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 04, 2015, 09:08:48 AM

America, Russia and Iran have friends in every nation. If America doesn't want to support their friends, Russia and Iran will gladly support their friends. How many friends to we and they have in Syria? Just look at the 4+ million refugees. How many of those refugees moved to a NATO nation or have the desire to do so and how many of those refugees are banging down Russia's and Iran's doors to get in their nations? It's clear the majority of the people living in the Middle East do not want to be governed by leaders friendly to Russia or Iran.




   
Does Russia even allow refugees from Syria?  I didn't think they did.   If millions flock to Europe and stay, it will be because they are allowed to, and presumably have an opportunity to make some money, or maybe they intend on living on the dole.  We, the US, didn't need to escalate the internal problem.  I'm not seeing the direct benefit, although, there might be a hidden and or embarrassing one that the public isn't generally aware of.  Fathertime!

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 09:50:04 AM
An state such as Syria can solve it's problems or not solve them. It is not up to us to create a wider war or determine the outcome. 

Why are you so anti-American when we have done so little in Syria, yet indifferent to Russia entering the conflict and destroying rebel groups seeking a free Syria?  Do you really not understand Putin's long-term motives and the implications for the West. 


Quote

I disagree that we have done little, if Russia hadn't entered the fray, Assad probably would have eventually fallen, and I think we have been the deciding factor as I explained earlier. 

So you are now in the camp that it is better for world stability if brutal dictators are allowed to stay in power, regardless of the domestic human suffering.  You are not alone.

I OTOH understand and support the noble goal Obama had to back opposition groups intent on replacing dictators with democracies.  The only problem is this is very messy in the Middle East with some bad possible outcomes,  and Obama has so far failed in its implementation, as would most who have attempted  this with restraint.  News for you:  Putin and Assad will advance with no restraints.

If Russia goes all in, the opposition groups will be diminished to small pockets of guerillas within a couple of years.  Do we let them collapse totally, or do we support them like Charlie Wilson supported the mujahedeen in Afghanistan. 



Quote
We, other Western nations have carried out 1000's of sorties in an effort to boast rebel forces, that is a lot. 

Statements like this show the depth of your ignorance.  The US has conducted no sorties against Assad.   Please show me accounts of where we have attacked Assad's forces.
 

Quote
The psychological factor of fighting the USA is also a big deal and has probably scared a lot of Assad loyalists away.

Ha Ha.  You can not be serious. If true,  explain Afghanistan and Iraq. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 10:02:17 AM
The result would have been the same even with US troops on the ground.  It just would have occurred at a different time.

Difficult to say.  If the majority Shia never share any power with the Sunni, then the same would have happened.  I was always in the camp of dividing Iraq into three countries.  The major problem is the Sunni have little oil in their territory and the Shia would have allied with Iran (which they seem to be doing anyway). 


At least a permanent US base would have stopped the ISIS invasion from Syria.   


Quote
This has been written about extensively by experts, but here is one good overview, from an insider -

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/11/-sp-isis-the-inside-story (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/11/-sp-isis-the-inside-story)


Belvis, you should read the link as well, as it tends to negate your assertion of the "stability" an Assad regime will supply.

I have read such accounts.  Educated Sunni would never support ISIS control of their region, nor would a majority vote for it if it were a choice vs. a democracy. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 04, 2015, 10:18:39 AM
Why are you so anti-American when we have done so little in Syria, yet indifferent to Russia entering the conflict and destroying rebel groups seeking a free Syria?  Do you really not understand Putin's long-term motives and the implications for the West.   


You are disingenuously downplaying the role of the US, and the West in Syria.  Go ahead in explain all the motives and implications for the West, if you think you know all.



So you are now in the camp that it is better for world stability if brutal dictators are allowed to stay in power, regardless of the domestic human suffering.  You are not alone.



You are in the camp of us intervening in internal conflicts.



I OTOH understand and support the noble goal Obama had to back opposition groups intent on replacing dictators with democracies.  The only problem is this is very messy in the Middle East with some bad possible outcomes,  and Obama has so far failed in its implementation, as would most who have attempted  this with restraint.  News for you:  Putin and Assad will advance with no restraints.


Noble...haha....I don't believe we are being noble.



If Russia goes all in, the opposition groups will be diminished to small pockets of guerillas within a couple of years.  Do we let them collapse totally, or do we support them like Charlie Wilson supported the mujahedeen in Afghanistan. 



We involved ourselves in this internal conflict, so Russia is supporting the current leadership.  No big surprises. If enter, we shouldn't act surprised when other nations do too.



Statements like this show the depth of your ignorance.  The US has conducted no sorties against Assad.   Please show me accounts of where we have attacked Assad's forces.
The depth of your ignorance is astounding.  You are mistaken if you don't think we have created an environment whereby Assad is somewhat incapacitated.    What exactly do you think our purpose is, if not that?   :rolleyes:



 
Ha Ha.  You can not be serious. If true,  explain Afghanistan and Iraq. 
Well over 1 million native population dead in those countries....I'm sure people are aware if they go up against aircraft/drones they can not see..they have a good chance of being dead.....and I'm sure that has discouraged some people who would otherwise fight...to think otherwise is ridiculous.


Fathertime!   



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 04, 2015, 11:30:42 AM
As I just wrote in the peacekeeping thread, I believe that Obama gave Putin a pass on Ukraine in exchange for Russia joining the coalition against ISIS. However, Putin has always been far more astute that Obama, and he will take Ukraine eventually if the green light was indeed flashed, but he will implement his own agenda, not Obama's, in Syria and the Middle East.

History will not be kind to one of the most incompetent and useless USA presidents ever to be elected.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 04, 2015, 11:38:14 AM
Difficult to say.  If the majority Shia never share any power with the Sunni, then the same would have happened.  I was always in the camp of dividing Iraq into three countries.  The major problem is the Sunni have little oil in their territory and the Shia would have allied with Iran (which they seem to be doing anyway).


The Shia allied with Iran long before Obama was elected.


The post Hussein governing structure was poorly thought out by the Americans.  As was the naive notion that "bringing" democracy would solve all the country's problems.


Quote
At least a permanent US base would have stopped the ISIS invasion from Syria.


ISIS originates in Iraq, and its membership is still predominantly Iraqi. 


Quote
I have read such accounts.  Educated Sunni would never support ISIS control of their region, nor would a majority vote for it if it were a choice vs. a democracy.


Yet the leaders are all educated Iraqis. 


My own view is that the leadership cares little about religion, other than using it as a recruiting tool and a means to stay in power.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 04, 2015, 12:07:02 PM
As I just wrote in the peacekeeping thread, I believe that Obama gave Putin a pass on Ukraine in exchange for Russia joining the coalition against ISIS. However, Putin has always been far more astute that Obama, and he will take Ukraine eventually if the green light was indeed flashed, but he will implement his own agenda, not Obama's, in Syria and the Middle East.

History will not be kind to one of the most incompetent and useless USA presidents ever to be elected.


I think that will depend on whether Obama's successor reverts to US policy in the past, which lead to 9/11, or to a new course.


Another take on Syria -

Quote
“Syria is an exercise in narrative escalation dominance,” Pomeranzev says. “It’s setting the agenda, making the U.S. look weak and putting Putin center stage—whether good or bad is irrelevant because for the Kremlin any publicity is good publicity. The exact, on-the-ground aims can be interchangeable. ‘Terrorists’ in Syria are just as vague as the ‘fascists’ in Ukraine, and it doesn't really matter whether it's true, as long as the story keeps moving and the U.S. is kept off-balance, distracted and dismayed.”
[/size]
[/size]
[/size]http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/10/04/russia-s-propaganda-blitzkrieg.html

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 04, 2015, 12:48:28 PM

I think that will depend on whether Obama's successor reverts to US policy in the past, which lead to 9/11, or to a new course.


I think that Obama will be seen as an incompetent and naive in foreign policy regardless
of his successor. Some of his ineptitude has and will continue to be covered up because
he was the first Black president and Nobel Prize winner, but there were too many obvious
mistakes that can't be glossed over.

Policies that led to 9-11? You've gotta be kidding me. That's a totally bogus argument
with no merit. Radical Islam is incompatible with anything other than radical Islam of
the exact same flavor. The West is always going to be in their target path as long as we
aren't their exact flavor of Muslim with Sharia law. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 04, 2015, 12:55:29 PM
You don't have to believe me.  Just reads the words of Osama bin Laden.


Centuries ago, a Tsar was embroiled in a war with a Muslim country the Russians were attempting to conquer.  He met with the Muslim emir, and asked what the Russians could do to stop the bloodshed.  He was given three conditions:


1.  Don't take our land.
2.  Don't our women.
3.  Don't touch our horses.


The Tsar laughed, and agreed to the three conditions.  Result?  No bloodshed for over a century with the Muslims of the region, who were happily part of the Russian Empire.


The West will not be a target if the West is not embroiled in the affairs of people of the Middle East. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 04, 2015, 01:52:30 PM
You don't have to believe me.   

I don't

You don't have to believe me.  Just reads the words of Osama bin Laden.


Centuries ago, a Tsar was embroiled in a war with a Muslim country the Russians were attempting to conquer.  He met with the Muslim emir, and asked what the Russians could do to stop the bloodshed.  He was given three conditions:


1.  Don't take our land.
2.  Don't our women.
3.  Don't touch our horses.


The Tsar laughed, and agreed to the three conditions.  Result?  No bloodshed for over a century with the Muslims of the region, who were happily part of the Russian Empire.


The West will not be a target if the West is not embroiled in the affairs of people of the Middle East.

News Flash, there are radical Muslims in the West. They don't want to live under our laws. 
They want the entire West to live under Sharia Law.

"I support any Muslims, whether here or abroad."
Osama bin Laden

"We love death. The U.S. loves life. That is the difference between us two."
Osama bin Laden

If they love death, I say we help them.

Centuries ago, a Tsar was embroiled in a war with a Muslim country the Russians were attempting to conquer. 

Who is it that frequently tells me not to refer to ancient history from 50 years ago?


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 04, 2015, 01:55:06 PM
Yes, they live in the West.  But their grievances are related to Western domination of their lands.


Quote
Who is it that frequently tells me not to refer to ancient history from 50 years ago?


I don't know.  Who?


Your perspective, I believe, is rather limited by your American centric thinking.


How many Muslims do you know personally?  How many do you interact with daily?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 04, 2015, 02:15:25 PM
Yes, they live in the West.  But their grievances are related to Western domination of their lands.

The Muslim riots in France weren't because of some domination of their land.
http://youtu.be/La7AWPAm0W0

Here are some Muslims in Belgium
http://youtu.be/zAivyEazJQ0

Sweden?
http://youtu.be/fIrcNL9PfUU

You're perspective is limited by your liberal thinking, don't worry you aren't alone.
Western Europe thought as you thought but have been proven wrong repeatedly.

I don't know.  Who?

You

How many Muslims do you know personally?  How many do you interact with daily?

I lived in the San Francisco Bay Area for 20 years. My experience with Muslims far
exceeds yours. I've done extensive business with them, I've coached their kids in
basketball, I've lived next to them. I've gone skiing with them. I've gone on holidays
with Muslim friends, I've been to weddings, I've been to their bachelor parties. You are
barking up the wrong tree.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 04, 2015, 02:48:49 PM
Trend in western media in last days: Russian aircraft   carried out a bombing attack against Syrian opposition fighters on Wednesday, including at least one group trained by the C.I.A. The attack was not directed at the Islamic State but at other opposition groups fighting against the government of the Syrian president.

A new joke is circulating in russian social networks. Western reporter conducts an interview with an official  from the Russian Ministry of Defence.
- How do you distinguish between radical Islamists and the moderate Syrian opposition?
- We are using only moderate bombs against moderate terrorists, and radical bombs against Islamists.
- Explain me please, how your moderate bombs differ from the radical ones?
- The difference is exactly as much as the moderate terrorists  are different from he radical terrorists.  They are painted with other colors in lighter and more moderate tones.

(http://gifok.net/images/2015/10/02/12345678.jpg)

BTW, Abu Sakkar, the man who has introduced cannibalism into the Syrian civil war in 2013, was from so called opposition groups associated with FSA.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 04, 2015, 02:53:48 PM


The West will not be a target if the West is not embroiled in the affairs of people of the Middle East.
True I don't see most Muslims as inherently any different than anyone else..., but we have now meddled SO much that it will take our lifetime and more to change perceptions...and we are still going in the wrong direction. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 03:45:38 PM

You are disingenuously downplaying the role of the US, and the West in Syria.  Go ahead in explain all the motives and implications for the West, if you think you know all.

Simple.  All the motives and implications of the Ukrainian initiatives plus we can now add 1) Middle Eastern oil (an issue more significant to Europe than to us) and 2) confirmation that the US is all talk and will eventually abandon its allies.   

Frankly, if Russia eliminated  ISIS it would be worth it.  I say that because  we are strong enough to counter Putin if he later became a nuisance. 


Quote
Noble...haha....I don't believe we are being noble.

The goal of replacing a tyrant with democracy is noble.  You do realize Assad is committing war crimes.  It will be a long time before it happens, and that long time will be filled with bloodshed.  Even if Assad were overthrown, something equally as bad could prevail, which makes me too not want US involvement in Syria.  See, I agree with you about the key issue of what should the US do. 


Quote
We involved ourselves in this internal conflict, so Russia is supporting the current leadership.  No big surprises. If enter, we shouldn't act surprised when other nations do too.

Our entry was insignificant, mainly words.  State facts please if you believe otherwise.  Russia would have entered regardless as soon as Assad started losing to the opposition forces.  The Soviets entered Afghanistan in essentially the same manner (to prop up a dictator friend who was losing an internal conflict).   

You do read where Assad and Putin refer to  the rebels we supported as "terrorists" and thereby placing them in the same category as ISIS. 

Quote
The depth of your ignorance is astounding.  You are mistaken if you don't think we have created an environment whereby Assad is somewhat incapacitated.    What exactly do you think our purpose is, if not that?   :rolleyes:

I see you now have retreated from  your statement  "we have carried out 1000's of sorties" to "we have created an environment whereby Assad is somewhat incapacitated."    This is typical of you:  1) you do not consider facts and 2) instead of deductive reasoning you express your  emotional feelings as the truth.   You have the mentality of several stubborn RW I met.  Is that why you post at RWD even though your wife is not RW?

Quote
Well over 1 million native population dead in those countries....I'm sure people are aware if they go up against aircraft/drones they can not see..they have a good chance of being dead.....and I'm sure that has discouraged some people who would otherwise fight...to think otherwise is ridiculous.

To the contrary, our aircraft/drone attacks against ISIL seem to have changed little other than to help  ISIS recruitment. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 04:25:49 PM

The Shia allied with Iran long before Obama was elected.

We agree but it is not as straightforward as you express and the word "allied" is too strong.  Influenced, yes.  Allied, no.

Iran and Iraq fought a bloody war started by Iraq after the  ouster of the Shah in Carter's administration. The border between Iran and Iraq had long been disputed, somewhat similar to the conflict in Ukraine.  Plus Saddam feared Iran would  export the Iranian Revolution to Iraqi Shia.     I am sure the US encouraged Iraq. 

Many, many Shia Iraqi soldiers died fighting Iranians in WW I type tactics.  It ended as a stalemate.

The Shia had long been suppressed by Saddam.  Thus, when Saddam fell, the Iranians saw a vacuum.    Yet, keep in mind Iranians are not Arabs, and do not speak Arabic.  IMO the Iraqi Shia will never consider Iranians as blood brothers. 


Quote
ISIS originates in Iraq, and its membership is still predominantly Iraqi. 
   

True but the takeover of Iraqi territory came from the north and advanced quickly as Sunni laid down their arms and refused to fight.



Quote
Yet the leaders are all educated Iraqis.

My mistake.  I should have said Iraqi middle class. 


Quote
My own view is that the leadership cares little about religion, other than using it as a recruiting tool and a means to stay in power.

Mostly agree.  I believe the leaders are  religious  but not the zealots their extremist movement  suggests.  As such the leaders would perform the rituals. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 04, 2015, 04:31:47 PM
   

I see you now have retreated from  your statement  "we have carried out 1000's of sorties" to "we have created an environment whereby Assad is somewhat incapacitated."    This is typical of you:  1) you do not consider facts and 2) instead of deductive reasoning you express your  emotional feelings as the truth.   
 


No, no, no.  We HAVE carried out 1000's of sorties AND we have created an environment where Assad is somewhat incapacitated.  These statements are NOT mutually exclusive and you have no reason to make that leap.  We (the US leadership) want Assad out, and I believe the thrust of the 1000's of sorties is to indirectly achieve that end without being TOO obvious/blatant. 


   This is typical of you:  1) you do not consider facts and 2) instead of deductive reasoning you express your  emotional feelings as the truth.   You have the mentality of several stubborn RW I met.  Is that why you post at RWD even though your wife is not RW?


I don't care about the 'stubborn RW' you have met, but considering what you consider stubborn, I have serious doubts that it was the ladies that were stubborn.    As far as I'm considered YOU are not considering all the facts, and choose, downplay, or twist, the facts that support the position you have taken...which as far as I can tell, is that the USA is being a good Samaritan and selflessly helping Syrian 'freedom fighters'.  I just don't believe that narrative, or anything close to it.   




The goal of replacing a tyrant with democracy is noble.  You do realize Assad is committing war crimes. 
To the contrary, our aircraft/drone attacks against ISIL seem to have changed little other than to help  ISIS recruitment.


 

First you are assuming that we aren't ok with ISIS recruitment rising, as long as they are doing what we want them to do.  I wouldn't make that assumption myself.
Second, I wouldn't blame a mainstream citizen of Syria, or another attacked Middle Eastern country being irate over their fellow country members being helplessly bombed, without any chance of doing anything about it.  Imagine if a greater power did that to us in New York, or Los Angeles, we would have a segment of the population spitting mad, mad enough to strap a bomb to their chest and do whatever they could to make 'the greater power' pay.    We need to exit Syria, and stop trying to meddle/exploit...which is what this is all about in the end. 


Assad has had a tough nation to keep a lid on, we on the other hand have no business meddling, arming, and fomenting. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 05:05:08 PM

No, no, no.  We HAVE carried out 1000's of sorties AND we have created an environment where Assad is somewhat incapacitated.  These statements are NOT mutually exclusive and you have no reason to make that leap.  We (the US leadership) want Assad out, and I believe the thrust of the 1000's of sorties is to indirectly achieve that end without being TOO obvious/blatant. 

I tried to help you see the error of your thinking.  My last and final attempt, made as simple as "one, two, three."

1.  The FIRST US  air  missions in Syria (jets, missiles and drones)  started one year ago.     

2.  In Syria, the US has  bombed only ISIS and the Khorasan Group (al Qaeda).

3.  In other words, the US had flown  ZERO missions against Assad (and yet you say "1000s")

Here is the irony:   the US  THREATENED to bomb Assad, but never did.  Instead we bombed one of Assad's ENEMIES, namely ISIS.  Indirectly, we are helping Assad. 

Thus your statement about "incapacitating Assad" is 100% wrong.  You being wrong is not news  because I recall 6 months ago that you were frequently wrong but never in doubt.   

I did  not read the remainder of your dribble because  I deem you HOPELESS.  I wager I  said  this before but forgot.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 04, 2015, 05:35:48 PM
I tried to help you see the error of your thinking.  My last and final attempt, made as simple as "one, two, three."

1.  The FIRST US  air  missions in Syria (jets, missiles and drones)  started one year ago.     

2.  In Syria, the US has  bombed only ISIS and the Khorasan Group (al Qaeda).

3.  In other words, the US had flown  ZERO missions against Assad (and yet you say "1000s")

Here is the irony:   the US  THREATENED to bomb Assad, but never did.  Instead we bombed one of Assad's ENEMIES, namely ISIS.  Indirectly, we are helping Assad.   
You can believe this, but I don't.  If leadership wants Assad out, we are not bombing his enemies.  We are probably bombing his supporters and labeling them ISIS, while letting his detractors fly under a different label and destroy as much as they can.   



I did  not read the remainder of your dribble because  I deem you HOPELESS.  I wager I  said  this before but forgot.





It doesn't matter if you feel I'm hopeless, it is probably that exact holier than thou attitude that the US has when dealing with when nations don't buy into exactly what we say either...and it isn't flying as well nowadays.  I don't believe we are in Syria to 'save' anybody...we are there for our own purposes, and that doesn't necessarily align with what is best for the Syrian people....but that hasn't been deemed important.   


Fathertime!   



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2015, 05:57:29 PM

I think that will depend on whether Obama's successor reverts to US policy in the past, which lead to 9/11, or to a new course.


You are now reaching.  OBL was a terrorist.   OBL was critical of the US for various reasons:

1.  Our secular government; he advocated Sharia Law. 

2.  Our  support of Israel;  he called for the destruction of Israel. 

3.  Our stationing of any military in Muslim countries, ignoring the fact we were asked  by OBL's home country to  build up forces in Saudi Arabia to free Kuwait from Saddam. 

He had other radical views such as  anti-Semitism, considering Shia Muslims  heretics, the necessity of jihad, etc.

So which of these does the US need to address with a new policy? 
 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 04, 2015, 06:18:57 PM
I have not stated repeatedly that you shouldn't look to history 50 years ago.

You have, I found two fairly quickly, I don't have time to find more.

Let's look at today, not a half century ago.

I don't think what happened a century ago is relevant in this context. 




You don't know my experiences with Muslims.

I didn't question your experience with them you questioned mine and you
were barking up the wrong tree.

It's not the moderates that are the problem, it's the radicals.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 04, 2015, 08:49:25 PM
I OTOH understand and support the noble goal Obama had to back opposition groups intent on replacing dictators with democracies.  The only problem is this is very messy in the Middle East with some bad possible outcomes,  and Obama has so far failed in its implementation, as would most who have attempted  this with restraint. 



Obama has failed. He spent 500 million in tax payer money to train opposition groups and Russia is now bombing them. It's a shame all those people had faith in America backing them up and when the going gets tough, Obama leaves them to fend for themselves.


  Putin and Assad will advance with no restraints.



Obama has announced today he will not get in a proxy war with Russia. Translation: Russia has the green light in Syria and Ukraine. You will never hear Putin say he's not going to get into a proxy war with America.


Putin is testing weapon systems and getting his troops experience in Syria and Ukraine. So they'll be better prepared for a larger war?
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 09:50:51 AM
Putin 'sending 150,000 soldiers to Syria to WIPE OUT evil Islamic State'
By SCOTT CAMPBELL

The Russian leader is reportedly mounting an enormous military mission to take
control of the terror group's stronghold of Raqqa.

The city is the self-declared capital of ISIS in Syria and is patrolled by as many
as 5,000 jihadi members.

Putin is set to mobilise 150,000 reservists who he conscripted into the military
earlier this week.

An insider revealed: "It is very clear that Russia wants to sweep up the west of the country, taking Raqqa and all the oil and gas resources around Palmyra.

"This is fast becoming a race to Raqqa – to secure the oil fields they need to cleanse the region of insurgents, and the IS capital is vital to do that."

It comes a day after Russian jets obliterated nine ISIS outposts in just 24 hours using bunker-busting bombs.

read all about it here
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/609757/Putin-ISIS-Islamic-State-Syria-Raqqa-troops-soldiers-air-strike-jets-military
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 10:23:27 AM
Say what you will, but wisely in my opinion Russia doesn't try to figure out who is
in which faction and their rules of engagement are vastly simplified.

U.S. and Russia can’t agree on definition of terrorism
Moscow makes no distinctions among anti-Assad fighters on complex Syrian battlefield

That would be an easier discussion for the Russians, who began conducting
airstrikes Wednesday, than the Americans, who’ve been bombing Syria for
more than a year.

For Russian President Vladimir Putin and his generals, the definition of “terrorist,”
when it comes to the increasingly turbulent Syrian civil war, is simple: anyone
who uses violence to try to topple President Bashar Assad.

Assad is a dictator, but he’s Moscow’s dictator. Just as the late Iraqi strongman
Saddam Hussein was Washington’s dictator, for decades, before President
George W. Bush turned against him and launched an ill-fated March 2003
invasion whose consequences are still playing out more than a dozen years later
across the Middle East, from Syria and Iraq to Libya and Iran.

For President Barack Obama and his top military aides, it’s becoming more
complicated by the day to say just who is a terrorist in Syria.


There is a lot of really good stuff read all about it here: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/article37411218.html#storylink=cpy
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 10:34:57 AM
Vladimir Putin sees Barack Obama's coolness as weakness
Russia's bombing of American allies in Syria underlines how much more powerful
and provocative Putin is than he was before Obama took office
By Matt K Lewis


Russian warplanes began bombing American-backed Syrian opposition strongholds
on Wednesday, a move that can be viewed as the latest example of American humiliation abroad. As was the case when Russians invaded Ukraine, the Russians cloaked their
activity in lies.

In the former example, Russian soldiers didn't wear uniforms, a thinly-veiled move
meant to create the impression the fighters were merely Ukrainian "separatists."
Likewise, Wednesday's bombings ostensibly targeted Islamic State of Iraq and the
Levant (Isil); in fact, the strikes were aimed at moderate rebels and civilians –
part of a plan to take out any opposition to their client, Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad.

This all comes on the heels of President Barack Obama's drawing of a "red line"
regarding the use of chemical weapons, only to back down when the Assad regime
– by most accounts – used them.

This past week, White House press secretary Josh Earnest strained credulity when he
said Mr Obama doesn't regret drawing that red line.

Weakness invites provocation, and – never one to miss an opportunity to outmaneuver
Mr Obama – Mr Putin provided a self-serving opportunity that would also allow the
president to save face: Moscow would push Syria to put their chemical weapons under international control.

It's also important to note that in the wake of the red line being trampled, Russia
invaded Crimea. President Obama's legacy may be mixed, but one thing is for sure:
Vladimir Putin is much more powerful and provocative than he was before Mr Obama
took office, and Russia has only expanded its sphere of influence.

The Syria bombings also come almost immediately after Mr Putin met with Mr Obama
at the UN where they agreed to "deconflict" military operations – a very Obama-esque
line that Mr Putin immediately crossed.

And prior to bombing our friends in Syria, the Russians also had the audacity to issue
a "démarche" for the US to clear air space over northern Syria. As if that weren't enough,
this came just as reports that the Russians attempted to hack Hillary Clinton's email server.

For those paying attention, Mr Obama's foreign policy world-view has failed.

The suggestion that America could leave a vacuum that wouldn't be filled by our
adversaries – the idea that the "international community" (whatever that means)
would respect us more if we were to retreat from the world – was always a farce.
At some level, high-stakes diplomacy is still a game of chicken – where machismo
matters.

Even domestically, there are still traces of this left in our more civilised politics.

In the vast majority of the world, power (or the perception of power) is what matters.
In America, President Obama's brand of metrosexual coolness works well.

He mocked Mitt Romney, for example, as a Neanderthal stuck in the 1980s for suggesting
in 2012 that Russia was still our main geopolitical foe.

Mr Obama's mix of cool insouciance and biting sarcasm plays much better with the
latte-sipping crowd than it does with former KGB operatives, where his style and
rhetoric suggests weakness, softness, and a lack of commitment and moral clarity.

Today, it looks like he's allowing Russia to push America around, and dictate the
terms of our being pushed around.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/barackobama/11910639/Vladimir-Putin-sees-Barack-Obamas-coolness-as-weakness-and-it-is-hurting-America.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 10:59:18 AM
Kremlin Says Russian ‘Volunteer’ Forces Will Fight in Syria
By ANDREW E. KRAMER, HELENE COOPER and CEYLAN YEGINSU

MOSCOW — Russia signaled deepening intervention Monday in the Syria war, strongly
hinting that its “volunteer” ground forces would soon be fighting there, as NATO officials
warned the Kremlin after a Russian warplane invaded Turkey’s airspace.

The unfolding developments reflected a dangerous new superpower entanglement in
the war, which has left a quarter-million dead and half the country’s population
displaced since it began more than four years ago.

The addition of Russia ground forces to the aerial assaults already underway by
Russian warplanes particularly threatens to undermine Turkey’s policy in Syria,
which aims for the establishment of a “safe zone” along the Turkish border where
some Syrian refugees could return in the future.

Russia and Iran have moved aggressively in the past few weeks to strengthen their
ally, President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, to fight a range of insurgents. The assistance
has raised the possibility of a new ground offensive by Mr. Assad’s forces against
groups of fighters including those backed by the United States, Turkey and their
allies, who want Mr. Assad to leave power.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/06/world/europe/nato-russia-warplane-turkey.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 11:02:51 AM
Russia invading Turkish airspace no "accident": U.S. official
ANKARA, Turkey - A U.S. defense official dismissed Russia's claim that one
of its warplanes entered Turkish airspace "by mistake."


The incident comes amid Turkish concerns over Russian airstrikes in Syria that have
targeted some foreign-backed insurgents. Turkey - along with NATO ally the U.S. and
others -- have conflicting positions with Russia on the Syrian regime, with Russia
backing President Bashar Assad and Turkey insisting on his ouster.

"Obviously, along with quite a bit of Russia's behavior in Syria right now this just
confirms our deep concern over what they're doing and continues to call into question
their intent, and certainly raises questions about basic safe combat, professional
behavior in the skies," a senior U.S. defense official told CBS News. The official, who
was not authorized to publicly discuss sensitive military matters and spoke on condition
of anonymity, added: "I don't believe this was an accident."

There is more, see the video and photos and read all about it here
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-invading-turkish-airspace-no-accident-us-official/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 05, 2015, 11:05:15 AM
Turkey Vows to Protect Borders After Russian Jet Incursion
By SUZAN FRASER, ASSOCIATED PRESS

Turkey's prime minister vowed Monday to take all necessary measures to protect the
nation's borders from violation after a Russian fighter jet entered its airspace over the
weekend, prompting Turkey to scramble jets and summon the Russian ambassador
in protest.

NATO said another Russian jet intruded into Turkey's airspace Sunday, and it called
urgent consultations on the issue. The alliance strongly protested the Russian violations
and noted "the extreme danger of such irresponsible behavior."

read all about it here
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/turkey-russian-warplane-violated-airspace-34250018
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 05, 2015, 02:25:08 PM
Regarding the report of "volunteer" Russian soldiers in Syria: Many of the same were players in Armenia, Moldova, Crimea, and then suddenly became "Ukrainian rebels" in the East of Ukraine. Now, those are some of the same players in Syria. They are Russian professionals.

Then there will be genuine volunteers, those contract soldiers who have agreed, for extra wages, to take on a combat role in Syria. This will play well in the media at home as a vast majority of Russians are Orthodox Christians who believe that these soldiers are bravely fighting on behalf of Syrian Orthodox Christians who were protected by Assad, but have been persecuted by the opposition.

It will also play well to moderate Muslims in Russia who might fear an ISIS styled revolt, which frankly would not be that difficult in some regions.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 06, 2015, 09:10:34 AM
If one needed any further proof that Russian media is only too happy to support the Kremlin, the government owned national network Rossiya 24, a news channel, is now doing regular Syrian weather reports.

(http://russianreport.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/syria-weather-rossiaya-24-c.jpg) (http://russianreport.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/syria-weather-rossiaya-24-c.jpg)

The network has a special meteorologist who monitors and broadcasts bombing weather forecasts. Her reports, complete with satellite maps and photos, are sort of a (paraphrased) "we bombed the crap out of this area today as the rain poured down. But, tomorrow it will be sunny."

Kremlin apologists explain that good weather forecasting helps the military be more accurate when bombing a location, and thus saving taxpayers money.

(http://russianreport.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/syria-weather-rossiaya-24-b.png) (http://russianreport.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/syria-weather-rossiaya-24-b.png)

However, not all viewers find the forecasts in good taste, and Russian social media has been abuzz with comments, negative and positive.

(Photos are screenshots)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 06, 2015, 09:17:54 AM
After continual expressions that most Russians believe that there are no regular troops in Ukraine, some Russians in social media are now saying that they are "war weary" from the fighting in various regional conflicts, including the latest in Ukraine. Hmm....I thought that you were not in Ukraine?

If Russian citizens are indeed war weary, those in the Kremlin might wish to pay closer attention.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 06, 2015, 09:30:37 AM
The Moscow Times had a nice OP/ED on how Syria will not solve Putin's Ukraine mess.


Quote

Putin will also eventually have to clear up with the separatist entities the situation along Russia's own border, which has turned into a flourishing center for contraband. For now, managing Russian domestic opinion may seem easy. But the day is approaching when Putin will have to explain to his own people why the glorious revolution in the east turned into what most would call just another bardak. A mess.


The Kremlin has begun to take action in the last few months, stepping up pressure on its allies in the east. There have been changes in the separatist leadership. Obstreperous military commanders have been squeezed out. More recently the second-ranking leader of the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) — Andrei Purgin, firmly opposed to compromise with Kiev — was abruptly arrested and detained by Donetsk's Ministry of State Security (MGB).


Separatist leaders say reorganization of the Donetsk military forces has replaced local warlords, Cossacks and others, with regular officers. The large units that reported directly to top leaders — DPR head Alexander Zakharchenko, or Security Council secretary Alexander Khodakovsky — have, in theory at least, been subordinated to a regular military structure. Its real leadership is unknown, but probably Russian.


http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/syria-wont-erase-putins-ukraine-problem/536926.html?utm_source=email_tmt-editorial&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=55-issue-2015-10-05&utm_content=title_3 (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/syria-wont-erase-putins-ukraine-problem/536926.html?utm_source=email_tmt-editorial&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=55-issue-2015-10-05&utm_content=title_3)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 06, 2015, 09:45:41 AM
The Moscow Times had a nice OP/ED on how Syria will not solve Putin's Ukraine mess.



http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/syria-wont-erase-putins-ukraine-problem/536926.html?utm_source=email_tmt-editorial&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=55-issue-2015-10-05&utm_content=title_3 (http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/syria-wont-erase-putins-ukraine-problem/536926.html?utm_source=email_tmt-editorial&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=55-issue-2015-10-05&utm_content=title_3)


It's my understanding Germany and France have pretty much imposed a solution re Donbas on Ukraine.  It is to hold local elections under Ukrainian law (yet again).  Poroshenko's not happy about it, but he will comply.  Whether the Rada will is another matter.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 06, 2015, 10:27:37 AM

It's my understanding Germany and France have pretty much imposed a solution re Donbas on Ukraine.  It is to hold local elections under Ukrainian law (yet again).  Poroshenko's not happy about it, but he will comply.  Whether the Rada will is another matter.


According to Simon, that may be a done deal.


http://news.vice.com/video/the-war-may-be-over-russian-roulette-dispatch-110
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 06, 2015, 10:40:41 AM
Russia just sent a three star general into the US embassay in Iraq, demanding that the US not fly in Syria.  The US responded with a rejection of the ultimatum.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 06, 2015, 11:15:21 AM
Bo and Muzh, this follows a "reassignment" of the so-called "rebel" leaders, most of whom were recalled back to Russia by the Kremlin. Some are now in Syria.

The remaining rebel leaders, if they wish to stay alive, will follow Moscow's orders.

Germany and France just want to be able to drop the sanctions and return to life as it was before the Russian aggression. This really does not bode well for the Baltic states should the Kremlin decide to make a move on them. I remain doubtful that NATO would go to bat for them.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 06, 2015, 11:17:28 AM
Jone, I think that event happened last week, just an hour before Russia started bombing.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Larry1 on October 06, 2015, 11:38:58 AM
Germany and France just want to be able to drop the sanctions and return to life as it was before the Russian aggression. This really does not bode well for the Baltic states should the Kremlin decide to make a move on them. I remain doubtful that NATO would go to bat for them.

I have never thought NATO would meaningfully support the Baltic republics against a Russian invasion. If this occurred and NATO members realized they might not be able to count on NATO to defend them, it might cause the unraveling of NATO. For Russia that would be a bigger prize than control of the Baltic republics.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 06, 2015, 01:06:06 PM
Exactly, and in that case Putin could have both the dissolution of NATO, and the Baltic Republics.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 06, 2015, 01:10:01 PM
Larry,

I may be wrong, but isn't a number of countries beginning to permanently place heavy weapons in the Baltics?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on October 06, 2015, 02:43:17 PM
Quote
The Russian Defense Ministry asked military attaches of the anti-ISIL coalition member-countries to share their intelligence on Islamic State militant positions in Syria.MOSCOW (Sputnik) — The Russian Defense Ministry said Tuesday it had asked military attaches of the anti-ISIL coalition member-countries to share their intelligence on Islamic State militant positions in Syria with Moscow.

http://sputniknews.com/military/20151006/1028120016.html

Does the USA really have any intelligence to share? :popcorn:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 06, 2015, 02:59:40 PM
The US is reluctant to share IS info with Moscow because they feel this would give Moscow locations of the CIA-backed rebels.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 06, 2015, 04:28:23 PM
The US is reluctant to share IS info with Moscow because they feel this would give Moscow locations of the CIA-backed rebels.


That is probably true....
Apparently exacerbating messes in the middle east serves our purposes for the moment.
Very 'noble'.

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 06, 2015, 04:37:29 PM

Germany and France just want to be able to drop the sanctions and return to life as it was before the Russian aggression. This really does not bode well for the Baltic states should the Kremlin decide to make a move on them. I remain doubtful that NATO would go to bat for them.


I'd say there is a big difference between the Baltics and Ukraine...I don't believe Russia has intentions of making a first move up there, but if Russia were to make a 1st move in the Baltics, I think NATO would respond.


It could be that Germany and France also realize that Russia isn't going to let go as easily as some thought they would, especially since they have allies that will prevent them from ever being isolated.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 06, 2015, 04:47:43 PM
I may be wrong, but isn't a number of countries beginning to permanently place heavy weapons in the Baltics?

I believe the US already doubled up on hardware for prepare for quicker deployment should anything occur in the Baltics.

http://www.stripes.com/news/europe/carter-us-to-position-armor-in-baltics-poland-southern-europe-1.354008 (http://www.stripes.com/news/europe/carter-us-to-position-armor-in-baltics-poland-southern-europe-1.354008)

The host countries have also increased funding for certain artillery and tank additions.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 06, 2015, 07:31:29 PM
I have never thought NATO would meaningfully support the Baltic republics against a Russian invasion. If this occurred and NATO members realized they might not be able to count on NATO to defend them, it might cause the unraveling of NATO. For Russia that would be a bigger prize than control of the Baltic republics.


Turkey is a NATO member and Russia is testing NATO there too. I wouldn't be surprised if Russia "accidently" drops a bomb on Turkish land. Turkey is more valuable than the Baltics but I doubt NATO members will be rushing to beef up Turkey's defense.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 07, 2015, 07:20:12 AM
THE DOOR IS NOW OPEN FOR RUSSIA TO EXPAND ITS PRESENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST.  IRAQ WILL "WELCOME" RUSSIAN SUPPORT TO FIGHT ISIL

Next would be Iraq, where the US has withdrawn before Iraq was capable to stand on its own.  "In an interview with France 24, Abadi [Iraqi Prime Minister] said, 'We were expecting the international coalition, Americans, to bring massive air power to protect our forces.  We have not received that,' he said, on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly in New York."

September 30 in interview with PBS
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/prime-minister-abadi-iraq-welcomes-russia-islamic-state-fight/

Abadi:  "We have blocked the advance of Da’esh to the south. If they are allowed to go to the south, they would control all the Gulf areas, all the oil supply of the world. They will threaten the whole world. They will establish what they consider their rightful state, which is, of course, terror state, in the whole region....

We not only stopped it, but we are reversing it. We are the only country now reversing the acts of this terrorist organization. If we don’t receive this international support, I’m not sure we can stand on our own....God knows what is going to happen in this region and what’s going to happen in the rest of the world."



October 1 Article in Washington Post   http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/iraqi-prime-minister-says-he-would-welcome-russian-airstrikes/2015/10/01/4177cf3c-684b-11e5-8325-a42b5a459b1e_story.html


In an interview with France 24 television, Abadi accused the U.S.-led coalition of a lack of support and questioned the will of Western leaders to defeat the Islamic State......The U.S.-led coalition has been bombing Islamic State targets in Iraq for more than a year, but Iraqi officials have repeatedly complained that the efforts are insufficient to decisively turn back the militants. The United States has spent more than $25 billion to train and equip Iraq’s military, but Abadi’s comments Thursday were the latest indication that the country is increasingly seeking support from other partners — particularly traditional U.S. rivals Russia and Iran.

'If we get the offer, we’ll consider it,' Abadi said in an interview in New York broadcast Thursday. 'In actual fact, I would welcome it.' "

In summary, Iraq is not capable nor willing to do what is necessary on the ground to defeat ISIS. Obama withdrew American forces before the job was completed of  training Iraq to defend itself.  This is consistent with Obama's appeasement policy from Day One of apologizing to the Muslim world for what America has done and to withdraw.  So who could Iraq rely upon to help them fight ISIL?  That would be Iran and Russia.  Even if  this is the  case of the "fox in the henhouse," Russia and Iran in Iraq is better than Iraq becoming an  ISIL caliphate state.       America has oil.  We do not need Middle Eastern oil.  In a decade, Europe would sure be in a position of having to lick Russia's boots. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 07, 2015, 07:36:29 AM
Quote
Obama withdrew American forces before the job was completed of  training Iraq to defend itself.  This is consistent with Obama's appeasement policy from Day One of apologizing to the Muslim world for what America has done and to withdraw. 

It was Bush, not Obama, who negotiated the timing of the full withdrawal of American troops from Iraqi soil.  The deadline was December, 2011.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S.%E2%80%93Iraq_Status_of_Forces_Agreement (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S.%E2%80%93Iraq_Status_of_Forces_Agreement)

The Obama administration did have discussions with Iraq about extending the deadline.  The inability to provide immunity to American troops, particularly commanders, is the reason the deadline was not extended -
Quote

Throughout the discussions, Iraqi leaders have adamantly refused to give U.S. troops immunity from prosecution in Iraqi courts, and the Americans have refused to stay without it. Iraq's leadership has been split on whether it wanted American forces to stay. Some argued the further training and U.S. help was vital, particularly to protect Iraq's airspace and gather security intelligence. But others have deeply opposed any American troop presence, including Shiite militiamen who have threatened attacks on any American forces who remain.

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has told U.S. military officials that he does not have the votes in parliament to provide immunity to the American trainers, the U.S. military official said.


A western diplomatic official in Iraq said al-Maliki told international diplomats he will not bring the immunity issue to parliament because lawmakers will not approve it.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/15/iraq-withdrawal-us-troops_n_1012661.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/15/iraq-withdrawal-us-troops_n_1012661.html)



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 07, 2015, 09:58:27 AM
It was Bush, not Obama, who negotiated the timing of the full withdrawal of American troops from Iraqi soil.  The deadline was December, 2011.

True, the withdrawal agreement was signed by Bush one month before Obama was inaugurated.    Yet, consider the  context.  The Iraqis  under PM Nouri al-Maliki considered the Americans as occupiers and pushed hard for American withdrawal as a sovereignty issue.   Shoes were thrown at Bush at the signing conference even though Bush was responsible for freeing Iraq of Saddam.

Maliki, the "underwear salesman," proved to be the wrong man to lead Iraq.  Maliki did not unite Iraq in a democracy as Bush envisioned and instead ruled in a sectarian manner.  When ISIS invaded, the Sunni let them pass and Malaki was forced to resign in August 2014.

Quote
The Obama administration did have discussions with Iraq about extending the deadline.  The inability to provide immunity to American troops, particularly commanders, is the reason the deadline was not extended.

The lack of imminuity is a challenging issue yet I consider it merely  the excuse given by the administration.  The Pentagon still wanted to stay and retain a force of 10,000 troops.  Obama talked about leaving 3-5,000 troops.  I assert Obama's underlying goal was to withdraw completely, so when he deemed that Iraq faced no threat other than from "JV teams"  he caved in during the negotiations.  Obama was  certainly in a position of power to negotiate something other than withdrawal. 

Bush's intelligence was faulty when he was told Iraq would embrace democracy upon the fall of Saddam.  Obama's intelligence was
equally faulty when he was told Iraq  could defend itself from the few threats in the region. 

Am I advocating that US should put boots on the ground in Iraq or anywhere else in the Middle East?  No!  Now that we made the mistake of withdrawing from Iraq, I see two reasons for not re-introducing ground forces: 

1.   Iraqi are not fighters.  They want somebody else to do the fighting for them.  I play golf with two wounded vets from Iraq (both are excellent golfers).  One was involved in training Iraq troops, and he deems it hopeless.  Thus, we would always be fighting their fight.  Iraq will be in turmoil for a long time due to  the outside forces of ISIS and Iran.

2.   The Middle East oil  has lost its importance to the US for the immediate future. 

Notwithstanding the above reasons to let Iraq fend for itself, I have two concerns:

1.  In the near term, I am concerned about the Kurds.  They deserve a homeland and to have the means to defend themselves.  Who will provide it? 

2.  Even though the US will be self-sufficient in oil, much of the globe is not.   Over  the long term, I would worry about oil supply cuts and world stability, the latter  important to the American economy.

I am undecided about the implications of Russia's growing presence in the Middle East.  If Russia defeats ISII, that would be good and would be done at the cost of Russian lives and Russian money, not American.   Sanctions against Russia would likely be lifted.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 07, 2015, 12:06:32 PM
Quote
I'd say there is a big difference between the Baltics and Ukraine...I don't believe Russia has intentions of making a first move up there, but if Russia were to make a 1st move in the Baltics, I think NATO would respond.


FT, I hope that you are correct, however the Russians typically telegraph such moves well beforehand. It accomplishes a softening of opinion at home, and serves as a gauge of how others might respond.

As for softening at home, that has been going on with various reports of Russian minorities being mistreated in (add name of country here) and how those ethnic Russians might need to be rescued. If the Kremlin made a move, and much has been written and broadcast in Russian media to justify such a move, the Russian reaction would very likely fall into line just as designed. It was the exact playbook of how the Russian population was prepared prior to "little green men" moving into Crimea.

The kidnapping of an Estonian intelligence official on Estonian territory was not just to set up an exchange of prisoners, but was done to gauge the reaction of Estonia and NATO over the insertion of Russian special forces into Estonia. The Russian command pays close attention to how fast or slow it takes the other country to react, how NATO reacts, etc. Those are simply "probes" in military terms.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 07, 2015, 03:33:54 PM
I'd say there is a big difference between the Baltics and Ukraine...I don't believe Russia has intentions of making a first move up there, but if Russia were to make a 1st move in the Baltics, I think NATO would respond.

I don't share your optimism that Obama would respond if Russia attacked one of the
Baltic countries. He would more likely send a strongly worded letter or some kind of
economic sanctions. If Obama doesn't send forces, then the who is going to stop Russia?
France? Belgium? Italy?

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on October 07, 2015, 05:33:22 PM
Quote
Throughout the discussions, Iraqi leaders have adamantly refused to give U.S. troops immunity from prosecution in Iraqi courts, and the Americans have refused to stay without it. Iraq's leadership has been split on whether it wanted American forces to stay. Some argued the further training and U.S. help was vital, particularly to protect Iraq's airspace and gather security intelligence. But others have deeply opposed any American troop presence, including Shiite militiamen who have threatened attacks on any American forces who remain.

Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has told U.S. military officials that he does not have the votes in parliament to provide immunity to the American trainers, the U.S. military official said.

A western diplomatic official in Iraq said al-Maliki told international diplomats he will not bring the immunity issue to parliament because lawmakers will not approve it.

The Obama administration did have discussions with Iraq about extending the deadline.  The inability to provide immunity to American troops, particularly commanders, is the reason the deadline was not extended -

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/15/iraq-withdrawal-us-troops_n_1012661.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/10/15/iraq-withdrawal-us-troops_n_1012661.html)

The lack of immunity is a challenging issue yet I consider it merely  the excuse given by the administration.  The Pentagon still wanted to stay and retain a force of 10,000 troops.  Obama talked about leaving 3-5,000 troops.

Can someone please explain why on earth American troops should think that they are entitled to immunity from prosecution for crimes they've committed?  Tourists don't get such protection - only diplomats do, and many countries will waive immunity if the crime is serious ($20,000 worth of unpaid parking tickets doesn't count).  If GI Smith is seen stealing cigarettes from a shop, or bashing some local Iraqi teenager, why should he not be prosecuted?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on October 07, 2015, 06:33:05 PM
Can someone please explain why on earth American troops should think that they are entitled to immunity from prosecution for crimes they've committed?
This is the deal they seem to usually negotiate before committing US troops abroad :-\.

Incidentally, this holds true for US troops in NATO countries, too :(. In February, 1998 an idiot EA-6B Prowler USMC cowboy pilot flew his plane too low (260-330 feet) and fast (540 knots) in our Cavalese mountain valley, cutting the cable of a descending cabin - clearly shown on aerial maps of the region - holding 20 people, who plunged over 80 metres to their death on the valley floor.

(http://www.lastampa.it/rf/image_lowres/Pub/p3/2011/07/14/English/Foto/TYP-411450-4082330-cermis01g.jpg)
Remains of wrecked cable car

He could not be prosecuted locally. Later, he and his navigator were militarily tried in the US and were found NOT guilty of involuntary manslaughter and negligent homicide. Later yet, they were found guilty of obstruction of justice and conduct unbecoming an officer and a gentleman (for having destroyed a videotape recording their flight) and were dismissed from the Marine Corps.

In February 1999, the victims' families received USD $65,000 per victim as immediate help by the Italian government, which was later reimbursed by the US government.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 07, 2015, 07:23:57 PM
Can someone please explain why on earth American troops should think that they are entitled to immunity from prosecution for crimes they've committed?  Tourists don't get such protection - only diplomats do, and many countries will waive immunity if the crime is serious ($20,000 worth of unpaid parking tickets doesn't count).  If GI Smith is seen stealing cigarettes from a shop, or bashing some local Iraqi teenager, why should he not be prosecuted?

There are few places more corrupt than Iraq. Could you imagine a better scam than to
accuse a GI of raping your daughter? or the GI could pay you off? Can you imagine that
The mother of an Al Qaeda swearing that her boy with the suicide vest was a good boy and
that the GI's killed her good boy? can you imagine if you are in a shootout with a terrorist
and one of the 10 thousand bullets goes through his head and across the street and kills
an innocent? Maybe it was the terrorist that fired the shot, but do you want corporal Joe-Bob
Hicks rotting in an Iraqi jail to be tried in two years by a corrupt judge related to the dead
terrorist?

The US armed forces has a tribunal system so does most countries, we police our own.

The truth is that Saddam didn't invite us to Iraq, the Taliban didn't invite us to
Afghanistan. We came anyway, and we can leave if and when we want and think
we should. If Mal-ball-licky doesn't agree with us we can arrest him for corruption
(which he is very very guilty of) shoot him and appoint another who is less
argumentative. We would have less difficulty if we stopped stepping on our own
d!ck being so sensitive.

Just my dva kopecks
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on October 07, 2015, 07:56:26 PM
The US armed forces has a tribunal system so does most countries, we police our own.
Yes, and the result of it is that an idiot who killed 20 innocent Italian skyers was booted out of the Corps simply for "conduct unbecoming an officer" :(. Unavoidable collateral damage, in a non-war theatre :-\?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 07, 2015, 08:20:03 PM
Yes, and the result of it is that an idiot who killed 20 innocent Italian skyers was booted out of the Corps simply for "conduct unbecoming an officer" :(. Unavoidable collateral damage, in a non-war theatre :-\?

The pilot received a six-month prison term.  The Italian legislature approved a monetary compensation plan for the families ($1.9 million per victim). NATO treaties obliged the U.S. government to pay 75% of this compensation, which it did.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 07, 2015, 09:09:34 PM
Syrian forces begin ground offensive backed by Russia air and sea power
By Andrew Roth and Erin Cunningham Washington Post

MOSCOW — Russia’s Caspian Sea fleet on Wednesday launched a complex cruise missile strike against Syrian rebels from nearly 1,000 miles away, a potent exhibition of Moscow’s firepower as it backs a government offensive in Syria’s multi-faction civil war.

(http://img.washingtonpost.com/rf/image_480w/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/10/07/Foreign/Graphics/w2300caspianSYRIA-g.jpg?uuid=dYhlHm0CEeWR6yetFcK3Iw)

The bombardment was the first naval salvo of Russia’s week-old military intervention in Syria, where it has already launched more than 100 airstrikes against the Islamic State and factions of Islamist and U.S.-backed rebel forces opposed to President Bashar al-Assad.

The attack showcased Russia’s advanced military capabilities and closer coordination with the governments of Iran and Iraq, whose airspace the missiles traversed before striking targets in Syria held by the Islamic State and Jabhat al-Nusra, an affiliate of al-Qaeda.

there is more read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/syrian-activists-russian-air-strikes-pound-rebel-zones-in-latest-blows/2015/10/07/fb3be168-5cf3-4e38-98f3-f6b75ed53871_story.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 07, 2015, 09:16:03 PM
I am undecided about the implications of Russia's growing presence in the Middle East. 
 


Russia is sharpening their warring skills, one being firing cruise missiles from 1000 miles away on Syrian targets. More importantly they are showing the world that they can bomb American allies without consequences. Those men getting training support from America to fight Assad better give it up and go home because they're as good as dead. I'm not surprise Iraq is looking for support from Russia because Obama is not very willing to go all in with support.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 07, 2015, 09:57:49 PM
I don't share your optimism that Obama would respond if Russia attacked one of the
Baltic countries. He would more likely send a strongly worded letter or some kind of
economic sanctions. If Obama doesn't send forces, then the who is going to stop Russia?
France? Belgium? Italy?


I hope the US is learning it's lesson from Ukraine/Syria...the lesson is Best not to try to encourage uprisings, arm,  or participate in fostering coups with countries that Russia is allied or bordered with.   


My belief is that as long as we stay out of The Baltics ourselves, then Russia will have no reason to make a move to take them.  All that said, if Russia were to suddenly invade, then I certainly think the countries of NATO would respond and make it a very costly move, in a permanent way for Russia...and they would most likely be right to do so. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 08, 2015, 02:15:35 AM
Quote
then Russia will have no reason to make a move to take them.

With all respect FT, obviously you have not just happened to be reading, viewing, or listening to Russia media the past year. They have been steadily building a case with the Russian people. Will they make a move? I hope not.

The presence of the USA really has only little bearing on a man who believes that the breakup of the CCCP was the single biggest geopolitical catastrophe of the last century.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 08, 2015, 06:16:33 AM
With all respect FT, obviously you have not just happened to be reading, viewing, or listening to Russia media the past year. They have been steadily building a case with the Russian people. Will they make a move? I hope not.

The presence of the USA really has only little bearing on a man who believes that the breakup of the CCCP was the single biggest geopolitical catastrophe of the last century.


Well in some respects it does make sense that he would prepare his people.    It may be a way to keep NATO/US on their toes about how bad things could get, BUT Russia would be on the receiving end of so much worldwide ire if they took the Baltic nations, that I just don't see it happening.  My belief is that the NATO nations would go to war over an invasion like that, and Putin probably realizes this, and knows it isn't going to be worth going into those nations, who would also offer resistance themselves.


   It is a good move for him to prepare though, as perhaps that will keep the US presence in those nations to a minimum.  Of course there are other scenarios too, but they involve US aggression first, which hopefully will not come to pass. 


Fathertime! 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 08, 2015, 08:22:31 AM
BUT Russia would be on the receiving end of so much worldwide ire if they took the Baltic nations, that I just don't see it happening. 

Russia historically doesn't usually worry about such stuff, they adopt an us vs them attitude.

My belief is that the NATO nations would go to war over an invasion like that, and Putin probably realizes this, and knows it isn't going to be worth going into those nations, who would also offer resistance themselves.

Only if the USA were to spearhead it. Luxembourg, Turkey and France isn't.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 08, 2015, 08:25:19 AM

My belief is that as long as we stay out of The Baltics ourselves, then Russia will have no reason to make a move to take them.  All that said, if Russia were to suddenly invade, then I certainly think the countries of NATO would respond and make it a very costly move, in a permanent way for Russia...and they would most likely be right to do so. 


Fathertime!


The problem is that US has no choice BUT to stay in or around the Baltics once they accepted them in NATO. Period.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 08, 2015, 08:29:13 AM
Congress probing U.S. spy agencies' possible lapses on Russia
Reuters By Mark Hosenball, Phil Stewart and Matt Spetalnick

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Senior U.S. lawmakers have begun probing possible intelligence lapses over Moscow’s intervention in Syria, concerned that American spy agencies were slow to grasp the scope and intention of Russia’s dramatic military offensive there, U.S. congressional sources and other officials told Reuters.

    A week after Russia plunged directly into Syria’s civil war by launching a campaign of air strikes, the intelligence committees of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives want to examine the extent to which the spy community overlooked or misjudged critical warning signs, the sources said.

    Findings of major blind spots would mark the latest of several U.S. intelligence misses in recent years, including Moscow’s surprise takeover of Ukraine’s Crimea region last year and China’s rapid expansion of island-building activities in the South China Sea.

there is more read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-congress-probing-u-spy-agencies-possible-lapses-051400295.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 08, 2015, 08:32:47 AM

Well in some respects it does make sense that he would prepare his people.    It may be a way to keep NATO/US on their toes about how bad things could get, BUT Russia would be on the receiving end of so much worldwide ire if they took the Baltic nations, that I just don't see it happening.  My belief is that the NATO nations would go to war over an invasion like that, and Putin probably realizes this, and knows it isn't going to be worth going into those nations, who would also offer resistance themselves.




That is the common wisdom. Exactly the same as Russia will NOT invade Crimea was last year. Keep in mind, we are not dealing with someone making logistical decisions, more likely tactical decisions. And that's giving him the benefit of the doubt. Eventually, his strategical decision is going to get him, and us, in trouble.


   It is a good move for him to prepare though, as perhaps that will keep the US presence in those nations to a minimum.  Of course there are other scenarios too, but they involve US aggression first, which hopefully will not come to pass. 

Fathertime!


Obviously, you see what I'm saying. It is all tactical.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 08, 2015, 08:35:00 AM
Congress probing U.S. spy agencies' possible lapses on Russia
Reuters By Mark Hosenball, Phil Stewart and Matt Spetalnick

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Senior U.S. lawmakers have begun probing possible intelligence lapses over Moscow’s intervention in Syria, concerned that American spy agencies were slow to grasp the scope and intention of Russia’s dramatic military offensive there, U.S. congressional sources and other officials told Reuters.

    A week after Russia plunged directly into Syria’s civil war by launching a campaign of air strikes, the intelligence committees of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives want to examine the extent to which the spy community overlooked or misjudged critical warning signs, the sources said.

    Findings of major blind spots would mark the latest of several U.S. intelligence misses in recent years, including Moscow’s surprise takeover of Ukraine’s Crimea region last year and China’s rapid expansion of island-building activities in the South China Sea.

there is more read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-congress-probing-u-spy-agencies-possible-lapses-051400295.html (http://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-congress-probing-u-spy-agencies-possible-lapses-051400295.html)


I wonder if Congress probing their intelligence agencies would have prevented Hitler from invading Europe.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 08, 2015, 10:59:11 AM

I wonder if Congress probing their intelligence agencies would have prevented Hitler from invading Europe.

I think most people knew Hitler was going to invade Europe but many wished
it away and gave him little pieces hoping that it would sate his appetite. The
US didn't have much of an intelligence apparatus before WWII.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on October 08, 2015, 04:24:20 PM
There are few places more corrupt than Iraq. Could you imagine a better scam than to accuse a GI of raping your daughter? or the GI could pay you off? Can you imagine that The mother of an Al Qaeda swearing that her boy with the suicide vest was a good boy and that the GI's killed her good boy? can you imagine if you are in a shootout with a terrorist and one of the 10 thousand bullets goes through his head and across the street and kills an innocent? Maybe it was the terrorist that fired the shot, but do you want corporal Joe-Bob Hicks rotting in an Iraqi jail to be tried in two years by a corrupt judge related to the dead terrorist?

The US armed forces has a tribunal system so does most countries, we police our own.

The truth is that Saddam didn't invite us to Iraq, the Taliban didn't invite us to Afghanistan. We came anyway, and we can leave if and when we want and think we should. If Mal-ball-licky doesn't agree with us we can arrest him for corruption (which he is very very guilty of) shoot him and appoint another who is less argumentative. We would have less difficulty if we stopped stepping on our own
d!ck being so sensitive.

Just my dva kopecks

Bill, please read properly what I wrote (and which you quoted) before you go off half-cocked.

Quote
If GI Smith is seen stealing cigarettes from a shop, or bashing some local Iraqi teenager, why should he not be prosecuted?

Of course allegations without direct witnesses can be very difficult to prove (or disprove).  I'm talking about cases where the evidence is direct and unequivocal.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 08, 2015, 05:46:44 PM
Four Russian cruise missiles fired from the Caspian sea crashed into Iran.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/russian-missiles-fell-short-of-syria-landed-in-iran-u-s-says-1444331295?mod=trending_now_10


These missiles are  the Kaliber class and are considered Russia's best cruise missiles.

http://www.nti.org/gsn/article/russian-sub-receive-high-precision-cruise-missile/


Unless Russian weapons technology is years behind the US, one could say the strikes in Iran are  not an accident but done intentionally (e. g.,  attack Kurdish separatist strongholds).  The Kurdish homelands are located in NW Iran, in the area shown in 2Tall's map under the missile flight path.   


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 08, 2015, 05:51:23 PM
Congress probing U.S. spy agencies' possible lapses on Russia
Reuters By Mark Hosenball, Phil Stewart and Matt Spetalnick

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Senior U.S. lawmakers have begun probing possible intelligence lapses over Moscow’s intervention in Syria, concerned that American spy agencies were slow to grasp the scope and intention of Russia’s dramatic military offensive there, U.S. congressional sources and other officials told Reuters.....

Alert for any spies reading RWD:     This is just the beginning of Putin's entry into the Middle East.  He will do more.  Write the word "Iraq" in your next report.  Look up the term "Little Green Men."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on October 08, 2015, 06:10:38 PM
Four Russian cruise missiles fired from the Caspian sea crashed into Iran. 

Margin of error, one or two countries.  :D  Lol!

And to think there are people here who believe Russia has a capable fighting force.

Another link: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3 (http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 08, 2015, 06:27:43 PM


Another link: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3 (http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3)

Good interview in the video. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 08, 2015, 08:09:00 PM
Bill, please read properly what I wrote (and which you quoted) before you go off half-cocked.

Of course allegations without direct witnesses can be very difficult to prove (or disprove).  I'm talking about cases where the evidence is direct and unequivocal.


Seen or witnessed by who?

My point was that there would be no shortage of local Iraqi witnesses to all sorts of
crimes every single day if such a thing were allowed. Whats half cocked about that?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 08, 2015, 11:14:09 PM
And to think there are people here who believe Russia has a capable fighting force.



Many think tanks and studies show Russia having the second most powerful military in the world. They are far behind America but with the amount of nukes they own, it makes them practically our equal.


Another link: http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3 (http://www.foxnews.com/world/2015/10/08/russian-cruise-missiles-intended-for-targets-in-syria-hit-iran-instead/?intcmp=hpbt3)



How does anybody know all those cruise missiles were targeted for Syria? 4 missiles supposedly failed but none failed over the water and none failed over Iraq who apparently gave Russia permission to send warheads over their heads. There is a report one missile landed in an Iranian village. What are the chances of that happening and what is Russia doing programing those missile to fly over civilian populations?


Russia is capable of making airplanes that fly millions of miles and intercontinental missiles that fly half way around the world. Your phone with gps can successfully navigate you to your destination and I'm sure the navigational system in those missiles are just as accurate.


Russia is mounting an air campaign in Syria and Iran has boots on the ground in Syria. They are teaming up. Maybe Iran asked Russia to do them a favor and what better time to do that and disguise it as an attack on Syrian rebels? Russia could've made the attacks on Syrian rebels from the Mediterranean Sea which is a shorter and less hazardous route, but of course, missiles fired from that direction wouldn't be flying over Iran.


It's possible Russia has manufacturers defects in 4 missiles and they all just happen to fall in Iran but it's also possible Russia is telling the truth that every missile hit it's intended target.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 09, 2015, 01:30:02 AM
Given the more recent advances in technology, my first guess is that they hit their intended targets, Gator.

Near the beginning of the Medvedev presidency, the Russian Navy was conducting target practice and were supposedly aiming at a deserted island. However, they instead hit a village deep along the Russian-Finnish border. No serious casualities.

Then about a year later during the annual battleship parade on Victory Day out in Vladivostok, one crew mistook a live missile for a dummy. They fired and it promptly slammed into an apartment building on the side of a hill.

Score: Russian Navy 1, Apartment building 0.

Fortunately, the building's occupants had gathered on the hill above the building to watch the parade. It caused enough of a local stir that Medvedev ordered an investigation and traveled there himself to show residents that he was looking into it personally.

These days however, their technology is more advanced and this is not the old Soviet military. Frankly, these proxy wars are a convenient way for large nations to test their latest toys, fix any bugs, and get ready for larger conflicts.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 09, 2015, 07:55:33 AM
Well, so much for Russia's attempt at copy catting the US version of shock and awe. :rolleyes:

A couple of things here...

1) The missile strike was a failure. Four of 26 '3M14TE Kalibr-NK' systems thundered in midflight and although not confirmed as of yet, of the 22 missiles that did reach Syria and the reportedly 11 assigned targets, (there are reports surfacing) they were not accurate. In other words they failed to hit the target in several cases.

I'll add I view the last observation with some skepticism as the Russians don't factor accuracy in air or artillery strikes.

They employ a tactic called "grid warfare" (for the uninitiated) this means they choose a target, plot the 4 or 6 figure grid coordinates and pummel the entire grid...no real accuracy required.

2) However, what the missile launch shows is the Russians are catching up. They'll learn from these real time high tech blunders and eventually arrive at something that actually flies.

One last note...there is a possibility that the four misfires all came from the same Kalibr launcher meaning that of the one frigate and four corvettes that took part in the operation one of the ship's launcher was faulty. This might account for the extraordinary high failure rate.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 09, 2015, 09:35:53 AM

One last note...there is a possibility that the four misfires all came from the same Kalibr launcher meaning that of the one frigate and four corvettes that took part in the operation one of the ship's launcher was faulty. This might account for the extraordinary high failure rate.


Reasonable, but we will never know because it is Russia whose level of transparency as well as restraint is far different from the America's.   We will admit the tragic mistake of blasting a Doctors Without Borders hospital and apologize.  In contrast, consider MH17.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 09, 2015, 09:53:16 AM
RWD readers have followed closely the conflict in Ukraine and are alarmed by the number of deaths the conflict has caused as well as the injuries, the displacement of residents, and the destruction of property.  In March 2015 the UN OCHA reports over 6,,000 have died in the Ukrainian conflict (soldiers and civilians). 

Compare the number with the civil war in Syria.  "On 15 January 2015, the United Nations put out an estimate of 220,000 that had died in the war."  And the refugee problem is a crisis and growing.  Something needs to be done, and it seems the answer will be for Russia to step up the bombing until Assad's opposition relents. 

Those who were concerned in the past about civilian deaths in air strikes should become even more concerned now with Russia dropping the ordnance.   Russia does not operate with the same restraint as the US.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 09, 2015, 10:05:24 AM
Reasonable, but we will never know because it is Russia whose level of transparency as well as restraint is far different from the America's.   We will admit the tragic mistake of blasting a Doctors Without Borders hospital and apologize.  In contrast, consider MH17.

True. As far as the Russians are concerned it was a brilliant operation with stunning results...as usual. ;)

Another point I was going to mention is that this 26 missile barrage might well have been the 'money shot' for the Russian Navy's latest generation cruise missile. More a PR campaign like "See what we got" stunt. I doubt they have many more in reserve.

That Doctor's Without Borders incident...It smells to high heaven. It's already been established there were Taliban in the building....

..."In a news conference here in the Afghan capital, Doctors Without Borders officials reiterated that they think the hospital’s main building was “deliberately” targeted because it was the only structure hit during the bombardment. They denied that any Taliban fighters in the hospital were armed or using it as a base."...

..."In the aftermath of the bombing, which killed at least 22 people, some Afghan leaders have suggested that the hospital had become a command center for Taliban fighters who seized control of Kunduz on Sept. 28."...

..."Hospital officials denied that assertion Thursday, although they conceded that they had been treating wounded Taliban fighters, some of whom probably were in the building at the time of the attack. They said Taliban fighters were cared for in the same manner as other patients in accordance with international law designating hospitals as “noncombatant” zones."...

http://news.nationalpost.com/news/world/u-s-gunship-made-five-passes-over-afghan-hospital-despite-9-foot-flags-iding-it-as-a-medical-facility-msf

As usual the apologist-in-chief was quick to accept US culpability for the incident. However, I'm going to reserve judgment until the investigation(s) are complete.

Mistakes do happen but my experience with these organizations (like MSF) tells me they're going to try and blame the US regardless of what the actual circumstances were and they're really pushing this 'war crimes' angle - It's a bit too political in nature and quite frankly OTT. Seems to me this organization is leaning a bit towards sympathy for the Taliban.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 09, 2015, 05:36:49 PM


As usual the apologist-in-chief was quick to accept US culpability for the incident. However, I'm going to reserve judgment until the investigation(s) are complete.



He damn well should apologize for the bombs killing the doctors....  I don't see a reason why he would apologize unless we did it or had something to do with it.   


Fathertime!     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 09, 2015, 07:32:06 PM
He damn well should apologize for the bombs killing the doctors....  I don't see a reason why he would apologize unless we did it or had something to do with it.  

Yeah? Well, guess what? I was wrong. Obama didn't apologize. He offered his condolences and also stated exactly what I stated above...He'll wait for the results of the investigation...

..."Statement by the President on the Casualties in Kunduz

On behalf of the American people, I extend my deepest condolences to the medical professionals and other civilians killed and injured in the tragic incident at a Doctors Without Borders hospital in Kunduz.  The Department of Defense has launched a full investigation, and we will await the results of that inquiry before making a definitive judgment as to the circumstances of this tragedy.  I have asked the Department of Defense to keep me apprised of the investigation and expect a full accounting of the facts and circumstances.  Michelle and I offer our thoughts and prayers to all of the civilians affected by this incident, their families, and loved ones.  We will continue to work closely with President Ghani, the Afghan government, and our international partners to support the Afghan National Defense and Security forces as they work to secure their country."...

http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/10/03/statement-president-casualties-kunduz

So, in light of this revelation, I withdraw my comment that "As usual the apologist-in-chief was quick to accept US culpability for the incident." as incorrect and unwarranted (in this instance).

Brass




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 10, 2015, 08:41:11 AM
Yeah? Well, guess what? I was wrong. Obama didn't apologize. He offered his condolences and also stated exactly what I stated above...He'll wait for the results of the investigation...

 
So, in light of this revelation, I withdraw my comment that "As usual the apologist-in-chief was quick to accept US culpability for the incident." as incorrect and unwarranted (in this instance).

Brass


Well maybe then the wronged 'apologist-in-chief' deserves an apology from you...since you drew the conclusion without considering the facts, that he might be currently considering or spinning!   :D


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 10, 2015, 10:17:01 AM
Well maybe then the wronged 'apologist-in-chief' deserves an apology from you...since you drew the conclusion without considering the facts, that he might be currently considering or spinning!   :D

Nonsense. I'm retracting my retraction...The only thing I'm guilty of is not being able to keep up with this administration's constant flip flopping...

Obama apologizes to Doctors Without Borders for Kunduz hospital airstrike

"...President Barack Obama apologized to Doctors Without Borders on Wednesday for the U.S. air attack that killed at least 22 people at a medical clinic in Afghanistan, and said the U.S. would examine military procedures to look for better ways to prevent such incidents."...

Liu confirmed the apology and, in a written statement, reiterated her organization's call for the U.S. government to consent to an independent investigation "to establish what happened in Kunduz, how it happened, and why it happened."

"When the United States makes a mistake, we own up to it, we apologize where appropriate, and we are honest about what transpired," Earnest said. He described Obama's apology as "heartfelt."

http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/obama-apology-dwb-1.3261009

It seems you are also unable to keep up with Obama's flip flopping. Your last two posts show you were just as unaware of the White House not up dating their press release as I was or you would have taken the opportunity to finally get one over on me. ;)

(http://www.funnystatus.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/i-thought-i-was-wrong-once-but-it-turns-out-i-was-9113-640x640.jpg)

Brass


 



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 10, 2015, 12:16:11 PM
Nonsense. I'm retracting my retraction...The only thing I'm guilty of is not being able to keep up with this administration's constant flip flopping...


It seems you are also unable to keep up with Obama's flip flopping. Your last two posts show you were just as unaware of the White House not up dating their press release as I was or you would have taken the opportunity to finally get one over on me. ;)

Lets just hope you don't retract the retraction of the retraction...or we will have to start calling you the "Retractor at arms". 


I wasn't keeping up on the statements, or really even focusing on what Obama says every minute...but it seems our error did indeed kill all those doctors, so an apology is in order, I don't see why that makes Obama the 'apologizer and chief' though...It should be obvious it is right to start with an apology.  Why would that be grumble-worthy?


Fathertime!   
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:13:46 PM
Obama on Putin's military mission in Syria
Russia's move into Syria is a sign of weakness, not strength,
President Obama tells 60 Minutes


President Vladimir Putin's military mission in Syria is a sign of Russia's weakness,
not a show of its leadership, says President Obama. Russia has been forced to
prop up a teetering Assad regime, he maintains, Russia's only ally in the region.
Mr. Obama speaks at length to Kroft about the situation in Syria and about domestic
politics, including his opinions on Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server,
whether his vice president, Joe Biden, will run for president, and his take on
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. The interview will be broadcast on
60 Minutes Sunday, October 11 at 7:30 p.m ET/PT.

An excerpt from the 60 Minutes interview was broadcast on CBS This Morning. A
transcript of that excerpt is below:

Steve Kroft: A year ago when we did this interview, there was some saber-rattling
between the United States and Russia on the Ukrainian border. Now it's also going
on in Syria. You said a year ago that the United States-- America leads. We're the
indispensable nation. Mr. Putin seems to be challenging that leadership.

President Barack Obama: In what way? Let-- let's think about this-- let-- let--

Steve Kroft: Well, he's moved troops into Syria, for one. He's got people on the ground.
Two, the Russians are conducting military operations in the Middle East for the first time
since World War II.

President Barack Obama: So that's-- so that's --

Steve Kroft: bombing the people-- that we are supporting.

President Barack Obama: So that's leading, Steve? Let me ask you this question.
When I came into office-- Ukraine was governed by a corrupt ruler who was a
stooge of Mr. Putin.

Steve Kroft: Right, right, right.

President Barack Obama: Syria was Russia's only ally in the region. And today,
rather than being able to count on their support and maintain the base they had
in Syria, which they've had for a long time. Mr. Putin now is devoting- his own
troops, his own military, just to barely hold together by a thread his sole ally.
And in Ukraine--

Steve Kroft: He's challenging your leadership, Mr. President. He's challenging
your leadership-

President Barack Obama: Well-- Steve, I got to tell you, if you think that running
your economy into the ground and having to send troops in, in order to prop up
your only ally is leadership, then we've got a different definition of leadership.

read all about it here
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/obama-on-putins-military-mission-in-syria/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:19:11 PM
NOTE these are Unconfirmed reports of a Russian jet getting shot down in Turkey.


Russian jet SHOT DOWN by Turkey after it flew into their airspace, according to reports

read the story here
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/611157/Russia-Turkey-jet-plane-shot-down-airspace-Syria-ISIS-Islamic-State


Russian jet 'shot down by Turkish forces after planes violated country's airspace on Syrian bombing run'

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3267595/Russian-jet-shot-Turkish-forces-flew-country-s-airspace.html#ixzz3oCpyNcaE

Unconfirmed Reports: Russian Aircraft Shot Down After It Violated Turkish Airspace
Tyler Rogoway

http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/unconfirmed-reports-russian-aircraft-shot-down-after-i-1735844395
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:33:12 PM
How Russia Is Already Scuttling U.S. Plans in Syria
By Joshua Keating Slate.com

In July, Turkey and Jordan agreed to cooperate with the U.S. to set up and enforce
aerial safe zones to protect civilians and rebels in the north and south of Syria. But
the Financial Times suggested on Sunday that Russia’s new air campaign in Syria
has effectively scuttled that plan. As analyst Justin Bronk of the Royal United Service
Institute told the Financial Times, “The Russian forces now in place make it very, very
obvious that any kind of no-fly zone … is now impossible, unless the coalition is actually
willing to shoot down Russian aircraft.”

If you’re wondering what that means, you’re not alone. Civilians in the area were
pretty confused too. No-fly zones, which the U.S. has previous helped enforce in
Iraq under Saddam Hussein, and the Balkans as well as in Libya, are, in effect, a
warning to another country’s air force that it will be engaged if it operates in a given
area. But it was never exactly clear what the U.S. would do if Assad tried to drop
bombs inside the safe zone, not a far-fetched scenario given his penchant for testing
U.S. red lines.

The deployment of Russian jets and anti-aircraft systems to Syria makes it much less
likely that anything resembling a no-fly zone will be established. If U.S. jets wouldn’t
attack Syrian helicopters carrying barrels full of dynamite and nails, they certainly
aren’t going to attack Russian Sukhois. Instead, the administration’s new plan in Syria,
according to the New York Times, involves concentrating on the northeast of the country,
around the ISIS capital, Raqqa, far from where Russia has been aiming its airstrikes.

This new offensive could involve providing ammunition to rebel groups for the first time
and ramping up the air campaign in the northeast. The Times notes that  the “United States
and Turkey continue detailed planning to use Arab militias to close a 60-mile stretch of
border from the Euphrates River west to Kilis,” but it’s not clear if that still involves
establishing a buffer zone or how it would be enforced.

read the entire story here
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/10/05/russia_has_scuttled_plans_for_a_no_fly_zone_in_syria.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:36:27 PM
Looking for anything that doesn't make Obama look like an indecisive, inept  buffoon,
CNN wonders if maybe the US Turkey relationship might be improved on Obama's
watch.

Will Russian airstrikes in Syria derail Turkey relationship?
By Natasha Ezro CNN

(CNN)Tensions are rising fast between Turkey and Russia after Russian jets apparently
violated Turkey's airspace twice, leading to heated exchanges between Ankara and Moscow. Russia claimed that an SU-30 warplane had entered Turkish airspace by accident due to
bad weather conditions and navigational error -- an explanation that was dismissed by
Turkish President Recep Erdogan who said that Russia risked losing a friend and warned
of possible NATO involvement.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/08/opinions/syria-airstrikes-russia-turkey-opinion/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:40:45 PM


Russian Missile Strikes in Syria Trigger European Alert to Airlines
Long-range missiles prompt safety bulletin to airlines flying in Iraq,
Iran and over the Caspian Sea By ROBERT WALL Wall Street Journal


LONDON—Russia’s long-range missile strikes against targets in Syria have prompted aviation safety authorities to issue a safety alert to airlines flying in Iraq, Iran, and over the Caspian Sea amid growing concerns about the risk to commercial flying near conflict zones.

Russia this week said it fired cruise missiles from the Caspian Sea against Syrian targets—nearly 1,000 miles away—as Moscow steps up its support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The U.S. and other Western countries have denounced the strikes. Russia denies U.S. assertions that some of the missiles fell short, landing in Iran.

The International Civil Aviation Organization, the United Nations’ air-safety arm, on Oct. 9 warned of “the possible existence of serious risks to the safety of international civil flights” flying in the wider airspace around Baghdad, Damascus and Tehran.

The European Aviation Safety Agency said it issued a safety information bulletin to airlines on Oct. 9 in response to the missile strikes. “Before reaching Syria, such missiles are necessarily crossing the airspace above Caspian Sea, Iran and Iraq, below flight routes which are used by commercial transport aeroplanes,” said the organization, which is based in Cologne, Germany.

read all about it here
http://www.wsj.com/articles/russian-missile-strikes-in-syria-trigger-european-alert-to-airlines-1444473837
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:46:25 PM


Russian warplanes strike Syria; U.S., Russian officials talk
Doug Stanglin, USA TODAY

The offensive by Syrian troops marked the first major air-and-ground assault since Moscow began its military campaign in Syria on Sept. 30. Russian officials insisted the airstrikes were targeting mainly Islamic State militants, but most strikes hit areas where the extremist group is not present, according to reports on the ground.

The fighting is concentrated in Hama and the northern Idlib provinces, where a consortium of mainstream rebels opposed to Syrian President Bashar Assad are operating along with al-Qaeda’s branch in Syria, the Nusra Front.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, which relies on a network of activists across Syria, said government troops seized control of Atshan on Friday amid intense Russian airstrikes in the area. It said troops also seized the nearby Um Hartein village.

The rebels have put up stiff resistance by using advanced, U.S.-made TOW missiles to attack Syrian tanks and armored vehicles.

The Russian defense ministry said its planes flew 64 sorties and targeted 54 sites in the past 24 hours, without elaborating, Russian government-owned ITAR-TASS news agency reports. Among the sites attacked, it said, were militant command outposts in Aleppo and Idlib provinces.

Maj. Gen. Igor Konashenkov, spokesperson for the Russian defense ministry, said Russian aircraft also destroyed 29 field camps of Islamic State militants, along with an ammunition depot in Hama Province.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 10, 2015, 03:52:29 PM
There is a video on the link below, which has both John Kerry and John McCain
jockeying for the position of least relevant opinion regarding the Russia/Syrian
connection.


Russia transfers Ukraine war doctrine to Syria
Oren Dorell, USA TODAY

If its role in fomenting conflict in eastern Ukraine is a guide, Russia has some
new tricks in store for Syrian rebels and their allies.

Russia's recent involvement in Syria's civil war is similar in some ways to its intervention
in eastern Ukraine, where it exploited ethnic conflict, provided weapons, employed
volunteers and irregular forces and tried to deceive the West about its intentions.

That approach is what Russia's chief of the general staff, Gen. Valery Gerasimov, calls
"new generation warfare."

The Russian military doctrine "combines low-end, hidden state involvement with
high-end, direct, even braggadocio, superpower involvement," said Phillip Karber,
president of the Potomac Foundation military consultancy. Karber has briefed U.S.
military leaders on Russia's military behavior in the Ukraine conflict, based on
observations during more than a dozen field visits.

Despite evidence of direct Russian participation in the revolt by separatists in eastern
Ukraine provided by NATO, the U.S. military, international observers and many news
outlets, Russia continues to deny it. "The number of times this question is asked will
not affect the answer that (the) Kremlin has," Ilya Timokhov, a Ukraine analyst at the
Russian Embassy in Washington, said in an interview.

The role of deceit and subterfuge in the new Russian way of war means opponents don't
always know when Russia has entered a conflict, how many resources are involved or
what its goal is, Karber said.

Russia's military buildup in Syria and its first airstrikes last week were met with confusion
in the USA. Secretary of State John Kerry called Russia's foreign minister several times
to seek clarity on Russia's plans and goals, which became clear only as Russian strikes
began hitting U.S.-backed rebel groups fighting the regime of Syrian President Bashar
Assad, a close Russian ally.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/10/10/russia-transfers-ukraine-war-doctrine-syria/73595252/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 10, 2015, 09:17:10 PM
NOTE these are Unconfirmed reports of a Russian jet getting shot down in Turkey.


Russian jet SHOT DOWN by Turkey after it flew into their airspace, according to reports

Maybe it was the portable GPS units (http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/these-russian-attack-jets-use-walmart-grade-gps-systems-1703048443) gone awry?



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 10, 2015, 09:41:50 PM
Maybe someone more in the know can shed light on this, but isn't ISIS operating in Dagestan and Chechnya? Wouldn't Russia interfering in Syria cause a possible flare up in those regions as well?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 10, 2015, 10:46:12 PM
Russian strikes began hitting U.S.-backed rebel groups fighting the regime of Syrian President Bashar
Assad, a close Russian ally.



American backed rebel groups? The media has it all wrong. Anti gun Obama would never promote gun  violence because it doesn't solve problems. He didn't give guns to Mexican drug cartels during operation Fast and Furious and he didn't give guns to rebels in Syria because he cares about people.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 10, 2015, 11:17:22 PM
Maybe someone more in the know can shed light on this, but isn't ISIS operating in Dagestan and Chechnya? Wouldn't Russia interfering in Syria cause a possible flare up in those regions as well?


I doubt Kadyrov would allow ISIS to operate in Chechnya.  But Chechens are fighting with them, Russia even cleared a corridor for fighters to join ISIS.  Less problems for them.


http://europe.newsweek.com/chechen-leader-says-three-isis-members-have-been-killed-russia-334395
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 11, 2015, 07:38:15 AM
I doubt Kadyrov would allow ISIS to operate in Chechnya.  But Chechens are fighting with them, Russia even cleared a corridor for fighters to join ISIS.  Less problems for them.

An article I read the other day mentioned several leaders had switched allegiance to ISIS in the area so I was curious.

"In November 2014, the leader of the Caucasus Emirate terror group was ousted from his position when mid-level commanders switched their allegiance  (http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/isis-europe-chechen-jihadi-group-pledges-allegiance-islamic-state-1507439)to Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi"

http://www.ibtimes.com/islamic-state-group-attacks-russian-military-base-dagestan-region-northern-caucasus-2079485 (http://www.ibtimes.com/islamic-state-group-attacks-russian-military-base-dagestan-region-northern-caucasus-2079485)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 11, 2015, 07:50:18 AM
Lets just hope you don't retract the retraction of the retraction...or we will have to start calling you the "Retractor at arms". 


I wasn't keeping up on the statements, or really even focusing on what Obama says every minute...but it seems our error did indeed kill all those doctors, so an apology is in order, I don't see why that makes Obama the 'apologizer and chief' though...It should be obvious it is right to start with an apology.  Why would that be grumble-worthy?

Because an apology implies culpability. At this point I'm not convinced this was a mistake in that the pilot bombed/strafed the building without cause.

There were Taliban in the building and hospital compound. If the pilot was taking small arms fire from the building/compound he would have been justified in returning fire.

Doctors Without Borders have admitted there were Taliban fighters in the building but state they weren't armed. I find this hard to believe. Taliban don't just surrender their weapons in a building also occupied with Government soldiers in the middle of a firefight (that took Kunduz). It smells.

It would not be in DWB's best interest to admit they were allowing Taliban use of their compound/building as a safe haven to conduct military operations. That's why we have conflicting reports as to what actually happened.

I note that everyone talking about this incident refer to 'all those Doctors killed' (including yourself), in fact, there were no actual DWB 'Doctors' in the building at the time, they were all 'local' staffers. Edit: This is relevant in that anyone who's served in the Middle East knows that the 'locals' will not enforce the 'Regs', so to speak, when they're confronted with an armed terrorist who's also local and knows where you and your family live. Hell, they might even be related.

Not that I believe someone's profession or where they were born makes their lives any less/more important but there are a lot of assumptions being made by the media as to who exactly the casualties were, what the Taliban were doing in the building in the first place and whether or not it was nine casualties, 37 casualties, staffers, patients etc.

Apparently the Pentagon/Administration has already authorized "condolence payments" even though the investigations are still underway. That's just plain wrong.

Brass



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 11, 2015, 08:41:47 AM

Syrian, Hezbollah, Iranian, and Russian forces have made major advancements the past few days. Obama's policies in the Middle East is in shambles and he abandoned the policy of training moderate rebels hostile to Assad and ISIS. Obama tried to solve the problems in the Middle East with doing as little as possible. Too little, too late. Russia saw an opening and they are fully committed in protecting Assad. Obama should either get tougher or get out of Syria entirely because going into this supporting rebels half heartedly are going to get them killed and waste our money.


My guess is Obama is going to lose this battle and the American backed rebels are going to be liquidated and headless. Assad may try to negotiate with ISIS giving them a safe place to operate in Syria as long as they don't touch him or Russia and continue to be a thorn in the West's side. Anybody see this thing turning out differently?


http://news.yahoo.com/syrian-army-advances-west-russian-strikes-monitor-072722104.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 11, 2015, 08:56:20 AM
Syrian, Hezbollah, Iranian, and Russian forces have made major advancements the past few days. Obama's policies in the Middle East is in shambles and he abandoned the policy of training moderate rebels hostile to Assad and ISIS. Obama tried to solve the problems in the Middle East with doing as little as possible. Too little, too late. Russia saw an opening and they are fully committed in protecting Assad. Obama should either get tougher or get out of Syria entirely because going into this supporting rebels half heartedly are going to get them killed and waste our money.


My guess is Obama is going to lose this battle and the American backed rebels are going to be liquidated and headless.
Assad may try to negotiate with ISIS giving them a safe place to operate in Syria as long as they don't touch him or Russia and continue to be a thorn in the West's side. Anybody see this thing turning out differently?


http://news.yahoo.com/syrian-army-advances-west-russian-strikes-monitor-072722104.html

The formerly US backed freedom fighter leaders will negotiate and switch sides if they can, either joining IS or Assad, imo. They've no choice.  For all practical purposes they've been abandoned (thrown away).

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 11, 2015, 09:26:30 AM
Because an apology implies culpability. At this point I'm not convinced this was a mistake in that the pilot bombed/strafed the building without cause.

There were Taliban in the building and hospital compound. If the pilot was taking small arms fire from the building/compound he would have been justified in returning fire.

 
We are culpable. 

Bombing the hospital is a little more than 'returning fire'.   It should have been obvious that the building was a hospital..  It is also obvious if the pilot gets close enough he will be shot at.    Another case where no options were good, so leave the scene and wait for a better opportunity.  This outcome is going to be costly in many respects.   Why exactly are we there now? Anybody?  We aren't going to 'win' any war there, that is for certain.

[/size]


Apparently the Pentagon/Administration has already authorized "condolence payments" even though the investigations are still underway. That's just plain wrong.

Brass

[/size]
 


The payments are probably just a way to brown nose before the local public ire escalates, but it is probably futile. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 11, 2015, 09:51:49 AM
This article could be a bunch of trumped up baloney, but it states that China is stepping into the conflict on Russia's side to apparently destroy ISIS and the other US backed 'rebels', and keep the current elected leader Assad in power.    Sounds good to me. Many, if not most here in the states don't support the current US policies in the middle east anyway.   We never should have involved ourselves in trying to take out Assad, now we are either going to appear impotent or get involved in a larger war.  In my opinion, this is called getting our comeuppance.   


[size=78%]http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/100915-774990-china-joining-russia-to-humiliate-us-weakened-by-obama.htm?ref=yfp (http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/100915-774990-china-joining-russia-to-humiliate-us-weakened-by-obama.htm?ref=yfp)[/size]





[/size]China Joining Russia In Syria Brings Risks Of World War[size=78%]







American Decline: Chinese forces head to Syria to join with Russia in filling Obama's power vacuum and purportedly fight the Islamic State. A false move involving NATO member Turkey could mean world war.
Russian and Chinese military sources now confirm that Chinese warships are en route to the Middle East to get in on some of the action of humiliating the U.S.
In just a week and a half, Moscow has upended the dynamics of power in the Mideast by taking on the role that....





Fathertime!



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 11, 2015, 10:43:33 AM
We are culpable. 

In the real world there is no culpability until guilt is assigned. That's done through proper investigation. As I've already stated if the pilot was taking fire from that building, even if it was a hospital, he would be justified in returning fire. NATO, US ROEs make that clear.

Bombing the hospital is a little more than 'returning fire'.   It should have been obvious that the building was a hospital..  It is also obvious if the pilot gets close enough he will be shot at.    Another case where no options were good, so leave the scene and wait for a better opportunity.  This outcome is going to be costly in many respects.   Why exactly are we there now? Anybody?  We aren't going to 'win' any war there, that is for certain.

[/size] 

No, it was exactly 'returning fire' (if that's in fact what happened). If the Taliban were using the hospital as a shield thinking that they could target US planes/Government/Coalition forces with impunity then they were sadly mistaken. It is the equivalent of the Palestinians using school yards to launch missiles into Israel. At that point the hospital ceased being a humanitarian refuge and became a legitimate combat target. Terrorists don't get to blast away unimpeded just because they're shooting from behind a red cross flag.

You state "It is also obvious if the pilot gets close enough he will be shot at.    Another case where no options were good, so leave the scene and wait for a better opportunity."

This is false. If the pilot is conducting air strikes as part of a sanctioned combat mission and comes under fire from the very enemy faction he is suppressing then he/she will engage. Pilots do not simply abandon their mission because they're flying too close to the enemy in a fire fight and are getting shot at.

Quote
Why exactly are we there now? Anybody?  We aren't going to 'win' any war there, that is for certain.

We've already won the war. It's a matter of keeping the Taliban from retaking the country. We (NATO/Coalition) still have a presence there in support of the legitimate Afghani government. That's exactly why we are still there now. If NATO leaves, the same thing that happened in Iraq, will happen in Afghanistan.

The payments are probably just a way to brown nose before the local public ire escalates, but it is probably futile. 

Whatever the reasoning, Kunduz is currently under Taliban control. When/if the condolence payments are handed out. There will be a Taliban representative also right there with their hand out demanding and accepting the local population's US funded contribution to the Taliban cause. In return the Taliban won't throw acid into their daughters faces, blow up their houses, or murder their sons/brothers/fathers...this week.

Brass
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 11:07:45 AM
Obama will be the only person sticking to Iran deal
By Amir Taheri New York Post

Sometime this week, President Obama is scheduled to sign an executive order to
meet the Oct. 15 “adoption day” he has set for the nuclear deal he says he has
made with Iran. According to the president’s timetable the next step would be
“the start day of implementation,” fixed for Dec. 15.

But as things now stand, Obama may end up being the only person in the world
to sign his much-wanted deal, in effect making a treaty with himself.

The Iranians have signed nothing and have no plans for doing so. The so-called
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has not even been discussed at the
Islamic Republic’s Council of Ministers. Nor has the Tehran government bothered
to even provide an official Persian translation of the 159-page text.

The Islamic Majlis, the ersatz parliament, is examining an unofficial text and is due
to express its views at an unspecified date in a document “running into more than
1,000 pages,” according to Mohsen Zakani, who heads the “examining committee.”
“The changes we seek would require substantial rewriting of the text,” he adds
enigmatically.

Nor have Britain, China, Germany, France and Russia, who were involved in the so-called
P5+1 talks that produced the JCPOA, deemed it necessary to provide the Obama “deal”
with any legal basis of their own. Obama’s partners have simply decided that the deal
he is promoting is really about lifting sanctions against Iran and nothing else.

So they have started doing just that without bothering about JCPOA’s other provisions.
Britain has lifted the ban on 22 Iranian banks and companies blacklisted because of alleged involvement in deals linked to the nuclear issue.

German trade with Iran has risen by 33 percent, making it the Islamic Republic’s
third-largest partner after China.

China has signed preliminary accords to help Iran build five more nuclear reactors.
Russia has started delivering S300 anti-aircraft missile systems and is engaged in
talks to sell Sukhoi planes to the Islamic Republic.

There is more read all about it here
http://nypost.com/2015/10/11/obama-will-be-the-only-person-sticking-to-iran-deal/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 11:10:07 AM
Iran test-fires new generation long-range ballistic missiles, state media report
By Tim Hume, CNN

(CNN)Iran has successfully test-fired a new precision-guided, long-range missile, state-run
media reported on Sunday.

The Emad (Pillar) surface-to-surface missile, designed and built by Iranian experts, is the country's first long-range missile that can be precision-guided until it reaches its target, said
Brig. Gen. Hossein Dehqan, Iran's defense minister.

"To follow our defense programs, we don't ask permission from anyone," he said, according
to state-run news agency IRNA.

The new rocket is "capable of scrutinizing the targets and destroying them completely,"
IRNA reported.

There is more read all about it here
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/11/middleeast/iran-ballistic-missile-test/index.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 12:06:39 PM
Iran says verdict reached on Washington Post correspondent

By Carol Morello Washington Post   
An Iranian judiciary spokesman said Sunday that a verdict has been reached in the espionage case of Washington Post reporter Jason Rezaian, though he offered no details. It was uncertain what the verdict is and whether there is a sentence.

“The ruling on this case has been issued,” Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei said in his weekly televised news conference with Iranian journalists. “There is still the possibility of this ruling being appealed, and it is not final.”

Rezaian, The Post’s Tehran correspondent, has become a symbol of the lack of press freedom in Iran, and the capriciousness of its government, since he was arrested July 22, 2014. His closed-door trial on espionage and related charges ended two months ago, and the delay in a verdict has never been explained.

The Post has vehemently disputed the allegation that Rezaian was a spy. Executive Editor Martin Baron has said that Rezaian was acting solely as a journalist, calling his trial a “sham” and “a sick brew of farce and tragedy.”

read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/iran-says-verdict-reached-on-washington-post-correspondent/2015/10/11/b69943ee-e5f5-4a86-9c35-64cd3496f332_story.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 12:09:50 PM
Russian Intervention in Syria Excites Iraq’s Disillusioned Shiites


It was the American-led invasion in 2003 that toppled Saddam Hussein and empowered Iraq’s long-repressed Shiite majority. The United States also took the lead more than a year ago to assemble a coalition to conduct airstrikes in Syria and Iraq against the Sunni militants of the Islamic State.

But with the struggle against the Islamic State largely stalemated, it is the naked display of Russian military power in neighboring Syria, and the leadership of “Sheikh Putin,” that is being applauded by residents of this Shiite power center.

“What the people in the street care about is how to get Daesh out of Iraq,” Ibrahim Bahr al-Ulum, a member of Iraq’s Parliament, said, using an Arabic name for the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. “Now they feel Russia is more serious than the United States.”

read all about it here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/12/world/middleeast/russian-intervention-in-syria-excites-iraqs-disillusioned-shiites.html?_r=0


Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 12:20:33 PM
Here's what Russian intervention in Syria means for oil
Elena Holodny

Russia intervened military in Syria in a major escalation of the 54-month war in late
September, turning an already thorny situation into something significantly more
complex.

Notably, many of the geopolitical players directly and indirectly involved in the Syria
conflict also happen to be the world's leading oil producers.

Accordingly, it's worth considering what Russia's intervention in the Syrian civil war
means for energy producers and for global oil prices.

In a recent note to clients, Helima Croft, the global head of commodity strategy at RBC
Capital Markets, suggests that two important things to watch here will be:
1. What this means for the Saudi-Russia relationship, and
2. How this could affect Saudi Arabia's already battered finances.

"The escalated conflict could ... make it more difficult for Russian and OPEC officials to
reach any agreement on a coordinated production cut in the near future," writes Croft.
Additionally, "we believe that one of the most important oil market implications of Putin's
Syria gamble is that it will likely force the other foreign sponsors — particularly the Gulf
energy producers — to double down on their support of their Syrian proxies and put
additional pressure on their already beleaguered budgets."

(http://static2.businessinsider.com/image/561a65379dd7cc19008c0e22-800-600/untitled.png)


There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.businessinsider.com/what-russian-intervention-in-syria-means-for-oil-2015-10
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 11, 2015, 02:23:01 PM
In the real world there is no culpability until guilt is assigned. That's done through proper investigation. As I've already stated if the pilot was taking fire from that building, even if it was a hospital, he would be justified in returning fire. NATO, US ROEs make that clear.

 


I don't know what real world you are talking about...but if somebody (in this case Obama) knows they did something wrong, then fessing up and apologizing is the way to go.....forget about the spinning process...






No, it was exactly 'returning fire' (if that's in fact what happened). If the Taliban were using the hospital as a shield thinking that they could target US planes/Government/Coalition forces with impunity then they were sadly mistaken. It is the equivalent of the Palestinians using school yards to launch missiles into Israel. At that point the hospital ceased being a humanitarian refuge and became a legitimate combat target. Terrorists don't get to blast away unimpeded just because they're shooting from behind a red cross flag.



Whichever persons that were firing from the hospital win this one....they are probably dead, but they did better than a suicide bomber could, and the US gets to pay for in every way.    I still say they should have left the scene and waited for a better opportunity. 




We've already won the war. It's a matter of keeping the Taliban from retaking the country. We (NATO/Coalition) still have a presence there in support of the legitimate Afghani government. That's exactly why we are still there now. If NATO leaves, the same thing that happened in Iraq, will happen in Afghanistan.



I don't think have won anything, unless Pyrrhic victories count. 



Whatever the reasoning, Kunduz is currently under Taliban control. When/if the condolence payments are handed out. There will be a Taliban representative also right there with their hand out demanding and accepting the local population's US funded contribution to the Taliban cause. In return the Taliban won't throw acid into their daughters faces, blow up their houses, or murder their sons/brothers/fathers...this week.



Whatever the reasoning is, we shouldn't be in the position where we have to pay...  I imagine it is just PR, once the hoopla dies down I wouldn't be surprised if the payments are small, or 'get lost' in the mail. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 11, 2015, 03:04:34 PM
Isis seizes ground from Aleppo rebels under cover of Russian airstrikes
Islamic State makes more gains as Putin’s aircraft continue to hit opposition
to Assad regime in west of province and key areas


Islamic State militants have scored their most significant advances in the province of
Aleppo, the closest they have come to Syria’s former commercial capital in two years,
as it becomes increasingly clear that they are taking advantage of Russian airstrikes
against the rest of the opposition to march into new territory.

As Russian planes continued to pound rebel forces in western Aleppo and other front-
lines in the country, many of the opposition fighters who ousted Isis from the province
at great cost last year found themselves pinned down and unable to halt the terror
group’s largely unopposed advance towards the city at the end of last week.

“Russian planes are striking the Free Syrian Army and laying the groundwork for
Daesh [Isis] control of strategic areas in Aleppo,” said a source from Tajammu al-
Izzah, a moderate opposition group backed by western and Gulf states which has
been hit by Russian airstrikes. “The truth is that Russia is backing Isis.”

Russia has repeatedly targeted opposition groups who have fought both Isis and
the regime of President Bashar al-Assad since it launched its military intervention
in Syria more than a week ago. Rebels claim the scale of the attacks against the
opposition, which has dwarfed Moscow’s campaign against Isis, is aimed at
dismembering the rebels to the point where the main choice in the conflict is
between supporting the Assad regime or Isis.

There's more read all about it here
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/10/russian-airstrikes-help-isis-gain-ground-in-aleppo
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 11, 2015, 04:53:16 PM
I don't know what real world you are talking about...but if somebody (in this case Obama) knows they did something wrong, then fessing up and apologizing is the way to go.....forget about the spinning process...

No spin involved. It hasn't been determined if anything was done wrong. That's why the investigations are being conducted. You've just automatically defaulted to your  blame America routine. I'll reserve judgment until the circumstances surrounding the incident have been determined.

Whichever persons that were firing from the hospital win this one....they are probably dead, but they did better than a suicide bomber could, and the US gets to pay for in every way.    I still say they should have left the scene and waited for a better opportunity. 

I'll wait for the results of the investigation.

As far as PR goes. Yes, I'd agree. However, having personal experience with these various aid groups, they tend to (not always but often) put themselves in stupidly dangerous situations then wonder, or in this case, scream bloody murder when they're on the receiving end of violence.

The organization's now pulled out of Kunduz. They might have thought about the safety of their staffers and patients prior to the Taliban taking the town and pulled out then, before finding themselves on the front lines of an ongoing battle.

Either way, the US was going to take the hit PR wise as they always do. It's the same for most western nations when something controversial occurs.

I don't think have won anything, unless Pyrrhic victories count. 

Well that's your opinion, I think for the most part Afghanistan's been a success. It's now just a matter of weathering Obama's feckless leadership.

Whatever the reasoning is, we shouldn't be in the position where we have to pay...  I imagine it is just PR, once the hoopla dies down I wouldn't be surprised if the payments are small, or 'get lost' in the mail. 

I agree, the US shouldn't be in a position of having to pay...at least not until the investigations complete and responsibility assigned. In the meantime, you've again defaulted to blame America...What about the Taliban terrorists who started this latest round of violence? Any condemnation for them? It's notably absent in your comments.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 11, 2015, 06:58:02 PM
No spin involved. It hasn't been determined if anything was done wrong. That's why the investigations are being conducted. You've just automatically defaulted to your  blame America routine. I'll reserve judgment until the circumstances surrounding the incident have been determined.

 


Well you can reserve judgement, but Obama wouldn't have acknowledged so much unless it was obvious that we killed all those innocents. 


 


Well that's your opinion, I think for the most part Afghanistan's been a success. It's now just a matter of weathering Obama's feckless leadership.

 


...almost 15 years of war/death and no end in sight....I don't see how that is a success for the people living there....the financial commitment of the US has been ghastly, also with no end in sight...not to mention the lives lost.  Not worth the costs.


 






I agree, the US shouldn't be in a position of having to pay...at least not until the investigations complete and responsibility assigned. In the meantime, you've again defaulted to blame America...What about the Taliban terrorists who started this latest round of violence? Any condemnation for them? It's notably absent in your comments.

Brass


We are in their country...until we leave there will be attacks...it was us this time guilty of potentially a war crime...I mean 'mistake'.


 Generally speaking, I do blame America for being so overly involved in the region, I don't know if that is my 'routine', but it is my viewpoint.  We have 'accidentally' killed how many innocents now?  The Afghans have had plenty of time to be trained, if they wanted to be...we can give them a future date of our departure,  and let them figure out how they would like to govern themselves...or we can stay there forever and continue paying


Fathertime!     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 12, 2015, 08:21:17 AM
Well you can reserve judgement, but Obama wouldn't have acknowledged so much unless it was obvious that we killed all those innocents. 

The fact that there were non-combatant casualties is not being disputed. It's the circumstances surrounding the action that is at issue.

 
...almost 15 years of war/death and no end in sight....I don't see how that is a success for the people living there....the financial commitment of the US has been ghastly, also with no end in sight...not to mention the lives lost.  Not worth the costs.

The vast majority of Afghan people would disagree with you.

We are in their country...until we leave there will be attacks...it was us this time guilty of potentially a war crime...I mean 'mistake'.

Nope. It's because ISAF remains that these attacks are minimized. When the draw down is complete that's when the attacks will increase just as in Iraq... and yes, let's let the investigations determine if a "war crime" was committed, or not. It's far too early in the process to jump to any conclusions.


Generally speaking, I do blame America for being so overly involved in the region, I don't know if that is my 'routine', but it is my viewpoint.  We have 'accidentally' killed how many innocents now?  The Afghans have had plenty of time to be trained, if they wanted to be...we can give them a future date of our departure,  and let them figure out how they would like to govern themselves...or we can stay there forever and continue paying

What about the 3000+ innocents who died on Sept 11th and the countless others in the years before and since. Any sympathy for them?

Overly involved in the region? In 2001 the Coalition consisting of several NATO countries (including my own country, not just the US) invaded... 

..."The invasion was launched to capture Osama bin Laden, who was accused of the September 11, 2001 attacks. The US military forces did not capture him, though they toppled the Taliban government and disrupted bin Laden's Al-Qaeda network. The Taliban government had given shelter to Bin Laden"...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invasions_of_Afghanistan

You seem to forget that we (the west) didn't start this thing. America or NATO is not to blame.

Now, if you want to discuss the prosecution of said invasion I too don't particularly care for the length of the occupation either. We should have gone in harder, hunted down and killed Bin Laden and his terrorists along with the Taliban at the time then withdrawn with the admonition "Keep screwing around and we'll be back." or words to that effect.

There was too much "cooperating" with the tribal leaders and Pakistan trying to form partnerships which allowed the terrorists free access, escape routes and supplies. It was a bad and costly strategy on our part.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 12, 2015, 10:08:20 AM

Assad may try to negotiate with ISIS giving them a safe place to operate in Syria as long as they don't touch him or Russia and continue to be a thorn in the West's side. Anybody see this thing turning out differently?


That is one outcome.   Did you see Obama's 60 Minutes interview?

http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/president-obama-on-russias-military-moves-in-syria/


I agree with Obama's rationalization that the bold step by Putin to enter Syria shows weakness (otherwise one of Putin's few allies is toppled).  This is similar to Ukraine - Putin seized Crimea and initiated the civil war only after Putin's stooge Yanukovych was toppled.  Putin could not afford losing Syria.   

I disagree with Obama that Putin is not challenging his leadership.  Putin has seized the opportunity to flex strength in the Middle East, where Russia  has not played a significant role ever since Sadat evicted the Soviets from Egypt in 1972.   With Russia's backing, Assad will remain even though his toppling is  the keystone of the West's strategy to destroy ISIS. 

The move into Syria  shows Putin is the master tactician, yet what is Putin's strategy?   I see three possible outcomes.   

1.  Putin does little against ISIS, and as BillyB hypothesized,  Assad even cuts a deal with ISIS to allow them to stay in Syria provided they do not attack Russia or Assad.   This is the minimal outcome. 

2.  A major outcome would be for Putin with Iran to oppose ISIS directly in a bloody war that could take years. 

                      Short-term goal for Putin -  Europeans remove the "Ukrainian sanctions" against Russia. 
                      Long-term goal -  use this success to gain influence in the Middle East.


3.  A huge outcome would be for Putin to use his unopposed position of strength in the Middle East  to drive the price of oil upwards.  This could happen either by destabilizing the Middle East or by coercing the Arabs to curtail production.  I assume this is foremost in Putin's strategy because he can not continue to build his military and support wars in the Middle East and Ukraine with a weak Russian economy. 

One fly in the ointment Putin's  allies Iran and Assad are Shia.  ISIS is Sunni.  The Muslims in Russia are mainly Sunni.  If Russia starts a major offensive against ISIS,  could this result in a wave of Sunni  terrorism within Russia. 

My guess is that Russia in the immediate future will do little more than what it is now doing.  Given its weak economy, it  simply can not afford to do  more.  Nevertheless, over the long term, it would not be surprising if Russia and Iran work jointly to somehow drive up the price of oil.  Who would stop them given the US's reduced presence in the Middle East. 

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 12, 2015, 10:15:04 AM
Team incompetent/ineptitude also known as Team Obama/Kerry didn't care
about Americans held in Iran so they didn't get them freed in all the various
deals and secret side deals. So Iran went ahead and convicted Jason Rezaian
a Washington Post reporter.

(http://media2.s-nbcnews.com/i/newscms/2014_49/796706/141207-jason-resaian-jms-1507_b8d0a19d1441ca0d0c0dfb431681cdc7.jpg)

Iran also holds Christian pastor Saeed Abedini and Amir Hekmati, a former U.S.
Marine Corps sergeant - also are being held in Iran. Robert Levinson, a private
investigator, disappeared there in 2007. Team Ineptitude cares about their legacy
and not Americans here or rotting in jail.

I can't believe that nobody in either party raises a stink about this.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 12, 2015, 11:25:22 AM
3.  A huge outcome would be for Putin to use his unopposed position of strength in the Middle East  to drive the price of oil upwards.  This could happen either by destabilizing the Middle East or by coercing the Arabs to curtail production.  I assume this is foremost in Putin's strategy because he can not continue to build his military and support wars in the Middle East and Ukraine with a weak Russian economy. 

One fly in the ointment Putin's  allies Iran and Assad are Shia.  ISIS is Sunni.  The Muslims in Russia are mainly Sunni.  If Russia starts a major offensive against ISIS,  could this result in a wave of Sunni  terrorism within Russia. 

My guess is that Russia in the immediate future will do little more than what it is now doing.  Given its weak economy, it  simply can not afford to do  more.  Nevertheless, over the long term, it would not be surprising if Russia and Iran work jointly to somehow drive up the price of oil.  Who would stop them given the US's reduced presence in the Middle East.

All good points. I'd like to add that Obama's dithering has had some unintended consequences for Putin.

1) Although still talking the Saudis are downright peeved with the Russians and are going to continue supporting and strengthening the 'moderates' fighting Assad. That's a proxy war by definition.

Further, I would guess if the Saudis saw the opportunity to drop oil prices even further they might just do that to curtail and put more pressure on Russia's already teetering economy.

2) Turkey is angered as they've been trying to topple Assad for years and now must also deal with the Russians. The relatively unexpected  force and magnitude of the Russian intervention on Assad's behalf has left the Turks feeling betrayed by their Russian buddy Putin and this could lead to military and economic  repercussion from the Turks...

NATO has just announced they'll back the Turks if necessary...

NATO ready to help Turkey against Russia: Stoltenberg

.."The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has announced its readiness to "help" its member state Turkey, more than a week after Russian jets, carrying airstrikes in Syria, strayed into Turkish airspace.

"Turkey is a strong ally and they have the second-largest army. They have a capable air force, so the Turkish armed forces are the first responders, but NATO is there to help and assist them if they need," NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said on Monday."...

..."Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan later said Russia runs the risk of losing its friendly ties with Ankara, adding, “If Russia loses a friend like Turkey with whom it has a lot of cooperation it is going to lose a lot of things. It needs to know this.”...

http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2015/10/12/433116/NATO-Russia-Syria-Daesh-EU

This is significant on two levels in that Stoltenberg by stating Turkey is the "first responder" just gave the Turks NATO permission to 'have at'r' and at the same time has strayed from the Obama's position that 'it's all good' with Russia.

I posted several weeks ago that Russia's intervention in Syria might end up being the best thing that could happen for the West strategically and so far all the pieces are falling into place.

It vexes me no end that it's the Obama administration that's the weak link in dealing with Russian aggression right now, however, it's forcing the normally silent and compliant majority of involved nations (stakeholders) to actually step up and start fending for themselves instead of waiting for big brother (the US) to intervene.

Based on international media reporting (not US media, they're focused on debates and seem unaware of just how dangerous the Russian situation has become) you get the impression the civilized world has just about had it with this whole Obama foreign policy fiasco and is starting to openly criticize and break from his decisions/policies.

Without the perception of strong leadership from the US, Turkey or the coalition force operating in the Syrian theatre might well decide "it's go time".

 
Brass


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 12, 2015, 12:58:38 PM
Along the lines of what I'm referring to above...

British diplomat summoned by Russia over 'missile' reports

..."Russia summoned Britain's defence attache in Moscow to explain reports that RAF pilots had been authorised to shoot down Russian aircraft in the Middle East, the Foreign Office says.

Newspapers said RAF Tornados in Iraq had been fitted with heat-seeking missiles designed for aerial combat.

But the Ministry of Defence said there was "absolutely no truth" in this."...

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-34502545

...Scuttlebutt has it the Brits aren't the only contingent to have outfitted their jets with AAMs recently.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 12, 2015, 01:09:58 PM

It vexes me no end that it's the Obama administration that's the weak link in dealing with Russian aggression right now, however, it's forcing the normally silent and compliant majority of involved nations (stakeholders) to actually step up and start fending for themselves instead of waiting for big brother (the US) to intervene.

Based on international media reporting (not US media, they're focused on debates and seem unaware of just how dangerous the Russian situation has become) you get the impression the civilized world has just about had it with this whole Obama foreign policy fiasco and is starting to openly criticize and break from his decisions/policies.

Without the perception of strong leadership from the US, Turkey or the coalition force operating in the Syrian theatre might well decide "it's go time".

 
Brass


Actually Brass, two very conflicting statements.


First, The EU is taking step (as in growing a pair) to deal with the aggression instead of the US carrying the stick as always. Now, isn't there a constant bitching from Americans that the EU is always expecting the US to go and kick butt and in return the EU will treat "us" with derision because we are always telling the whole world how to behave? That we spend the most $$$ propping up NATO and the EU ingrates all they do is bitch at us?


And finally, well, finally. It is about time they (EU) FINALLY do something about it.


What is strong leadership from your POV? Go in, guns ablaze and kick ass? Isn't that what got "us" into this mess to begin with?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 12, 2015, 02:01:42 PM
The fact that there were non-combatant casualties is not being disputed. It's the circumstances surrounding the action that is at issue.

that is true....although if Obama is already acknowledging guilt...that probably bodes badly for those circumstances.



 
The vast majority of Afghan people would disagree with you.


I take it you aren't including the 300-400,000 that have been killed or died as a result of the war? 



 
 

Nope. It's because ISAF remains that these attacks are minimized. When the draw down is complete that's when the attacks will increase just as in Iraq... and yes, let's let the investigations determine if a "war crime" was committed, or not. It's far too early in the process to jump to any conclusions.



I'm just screaming 'war crime'! because that is what the US starts doing before any investigation. 


Once we are out of there, the attacks on OUR people in the region will be over....and the expenses will start going down a lot. 



What about the 3000+ innocents who died on Sept 11th and the countless others in the years before and since. Any sympathy for them?

 

You seem to forget that we (the west) didn't start this thing. America or NATO is not to blame.



I actually don't agree that we didn't have ANY blame in the events of the middle east and subsequent terror attacks....we have been meddling and attempting regime changes well before 2001....in that context we probably did start this thing.   


Now, if you want to discuss the prosecution of said invasion I too don't particularly care for the length of the occupation either. We should have gone in harder, hunted down and killed Bin Laden and his terrorists along with the Taliban at the time then withdrawn with the admonition "Keep screwing around and we'll be back." or words to that effect.

There was too much "cooperating" with the tribal leaders and Pakistan trying to form partnerships which allowed the terrorists free access, escape routes and supplies. It was a bad and costly strategy on our part.

Brass




The length of time has been ridiculously long almost 15 years so far.  There is probably an unapparent benefit we are getting from this.... 
I don't think the statement you made that I highlighted is going to make much if any difference...certain groups of people don't care, and making statements like that if anything is provoking more attacks.  What REALLY provokes attacks though is our constant meddling, I'm sure we receive benefits, and top members of our govt. probably excepts that terrorist attacks are the cost of doing business in the aggressive manner that we do. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 12, 2015, 02:33:30 PM
Interesting perspective here


http://www.vox.com/2015/10/1/9434365/putin-syria-russia-mistake
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 12, 2015, 04:00:29 PM
Here's a nice scenario by Popular Mechanics on how the Syrian conflict would look following Cheney's diplomatic approach for the neocons Tea Party candidates to follow.



What a U.S.-Russian War in Syria Could Look Like
The war in Syria started as a civil conflict, became a regional meltdown and molted into an international crisis. Here's how it could evolve into a world war.


Part One: Interception and Escalation
Quote
Condemnation of this bombing has grown to such a fever pitch around the world that the U.S.-led coalition has to act.


Part 2 : Retaliation and Response
Quote
Meanwhile, the Russians are seething. It's not just that the U.S. attacked. It's that the Russian fighter escorts they deploy to protect Assad's helicopters can do nothing to protect them. The Raptors stay out of range, strike and vanish without even being spotted.
The Russians set their sights on a weak link—American KC-135 aerial refueling tankers.


Part 3: Battle in a bathtub
Quote
The United States must take down the Moskva, and American air power isn't the solution. The Russian frigate's S-300s and shorter-range anti-air systems are too formidable to approach. The radar alone makes a surprise attack from the air impossible.


Part 4: The End of the Start of World War III
Quote
It's time to talk, or keep fighting. Geopolitics can be a lot like a playground or prison yard. Once blows are thrown, no one wants to stop fighting until they land a few. Everyone wants to be the one who struck last—and ended the fight. This is the chance for Russia and the U.S. to put in the pin in the grenade and avert World War III. They don't.

In the meantime, ISIS is on the march as chaos spreads. The ostensible reason everyone is in Syria is to defeat the Islamic State. But the fight has only enabled them to thrive.


No one wanted World War III. But now that it's started, one step at a time, it's hard to stop.


http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/a17730/what-a-us-russian-war-in-syria-would-look-like/




Yeah, let's kick ass.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: southernX on October 12, 2015, 07:17:09 PM
some interesting article in all that above

thing in putin can change course quickly as it suits him ,
to date the ''experts'' didnt see him planning crimea

im not convinvced they have his strategy nailed down quite yet in syria either

he could very easily now take over assads regime and make him his puppet , even annex parts of  syria into some sort of russian state within a few years , having another frozen state possibly
use it as a launching point to expand his influnce in the med etc

a lot depends on how long and far russians at home will allow him to lead them down this path

id not underestimate him   but i see  no need to rush in and join his pissing contest yet either

SX

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 12, 2015, 07:39:10 PM
Interesting perspective here


http://www.vox.com/2015/10/1/9434365/putin-syria-russia-mistake

Yes, interesting yet I don't believe Putin will cave.  I believe Putin  will stay even if doing nothing more than bombing opposition groups at the Gates to Damascus.   

One huge omission - the Brookings Institute fellow does not mention ISIS.  How can there be a workable solution if ISIS remains in place?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 12, 2015, 07:53:34 PM


First, The EU is taking step (as in growing a pair) to deal with the aggression instead of the US carrying the stick as always.

Agree.  The EU should take the lead jointly with Turkey and the Arab members of the coalition.  Three reasons:

1.  The refugee crisis affects the EU  but not as much as it affects Turkey and Jordan.  The US is not affected to a significant extent by the refugee.

2.  There are far more EU citizens fighting for ISIL and preparing to return to wreak havoc. 

3.  If this conflict eventually  spills over to cause instability in the Middle East, the EU will pay through the nose for oil.  Unlike the EU, North America is not dependent upon Middle East oil. 

Plus, as you say, it is about time the EU did something. 

Quote
What is strong leadership from your POV? Go in, guns ablaze and kick ass? Isn't that what got "us" into this mess to begin with?   

The blame rests with Moses.

 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 12, 2015, 08:29:29 PM
One huge omission - the Brookings Institute fellow does not mention ISIS. 



The Brookings Institute fellow is also a special advisor at the State Department. I'm not surprised he thinks the way he does. He feels Putin is making a huge mistake in Syria. So does Obama and Kerry. So if Putin is making a mistake in Syria, why does Obama get upset about what Putin is doing in Syria unraveling American policy? Let Putin make a mistake and smile while he's at it.


Yeah, let's kick ass.



Another option is getting our ass kicked.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on October 13, 2015, 02:47:57 AM
Oh dear!

Looks like some unscrupulous people fired rockets at huilo's embassy in Syria.

http://news.yahoo.com/two-rockets-hit-russian-embassy-damascus-hundreds-gather-083207124.html

The irony is the rockets used were probably manufactured in the USSR...  :popcorn:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 13, 2015, 08:10:01 AM

[1]Actually Brass, two very conflicting statements.


[2]First, The EU is taking step (as in growing a pair) to deal with the aggression instead of the US carrying the stick as always. Now, isn't there a constant bitching from Americans that the EU is always expecting the US to go and kick butt and in return the EU will treat "us" with derision because we are always telling the whole world how to behave? That we spend the most $$$ propping up NATO and the EU ingrates all they do is bitch at us?


[3]And finally, well, finally. It is about time they (EU) FINALLY do something about it.


[4]What is strong leadership from your POV? Go in, guns ablaze and kick ass? Isn't that what got "us" into this mess to begin with?

[1] It's what is happening though. The EU, NATO, US, Middle East countries all developing their own strategies is not the way to move forward with this (now) multi faceted crisis. A fractured response from the west is advantage Putin.

[2] Some EU countries are being forced to make decisions, yes. However, I don't necessarily see this as a good thing strategically (at this time). The time for these countries to act would have been 18 months ago (which is what I was advocating for then).

Why they're being forced to fend for themselves is the bigger problem right now which is lack of leadership from the acknowledged world leader. Putin's geopolitical/military chess game could have been checkmated last year with some decisive action from the Obama administration.

Bottom line is all these countries (Middle East, Europe, Eastern Europe) doing their own thing piecemeal is not going to be as effective as a united front. What everyone's trying to avoid (general/regional war) is practically guaranteed without US leadership.

It's the way all our acronyms are set up, the US leads, the rest follow and contribute or get out of the way. Other countries may bitch and complain and not contribute their fair share but this is how the US set these organizations up, it's how they wanted it. Obama has abrogated that responsibility.

You can say "It's high time that paradigm changed." Well, over the last eight years it has changed and look at the miscreants that have stepped in to fill the vacuum.

[3] So when one of these lesser countries squeezes the trigger and invokes an Article 5 (or equivalent) dragging the US (and the rest of us) into the conflagration anyways, then that's ok? Because that's what is going to happen.

[4] No, it isn't (what got us into this mess in the first place). This mess is being caused by a leadership vacuum. You (collectively) default to politics (it's all Bush/Cheney/neocon flavor of the month's fault a decade ago) for something that has nothing to do with Putin's ambitions. Putin doesn't care that Obama's a liberal or Democrat, he cares that he's indecisive and lacks resolve.

To answer your question; Yes, military intervention , guns ablaze, kick ass...or at least be fully prepared for that eventuality. Up to 3 months ago I was advocating military intervention as Putin would have backed down. I'm not as sure of that any more now with his latest war front opened and new buddies the Iranians and Chinese (well, kinda buddy, are the Chinese ever anyone's buddy?) looking on.

Having said that, all these paths are still leading to the same place...war. As I've been posting for a while now -it's a pay now or pay more later scenario.

Brass 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 13, 2015, 08:52:13 AM
Well Brass, we do differ in our opinions. But that's okay.  ;)


I keep hearing of this power vacuum because we are not going in guns ablaze. Is it really?


You have a gangster who is doing everything possible to hold on to power. Completely alienated and the country in taters. Is that the so-called leader? What I see is a gangster fighting for territory and we know from past experience, they don't last long.


That some idiot will pull the trigger and start WWIII? Even the gangsters are not that stupid.


We still own the world's most formidable army. That still scare the shit out of gangsters and they tread carefully. Just because we don't have a cowboy in the WH dumb enough to listen to unscrupulous cowards profiteering from war should label our POTUS a ninny.


Meanwhile, I'd let Putler exhaust everything he has, sit down and watch how his country collapse. Just like Nicholas II. They have no desire to be a civilized society, but then again, did gangsters ever did?


Keep in mind, the Middle East is using a religious crusade as an excuse to forward a geopolitical land grab. Do we really want to get in the middle of that mess? Are we really trying to christianize them so we can claim a moral victory? Is that leadership? Sounds more like Putler. I say they should sort things out before we waste our human assets in a war so far away. After all, we have our own oil. Once the dust settles you will see claims of another Ottoman empire. That's when we go in and kick ass if they have designs of conquering, which I see is the inevitable conclusion.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 13, 2015, 09:39:14 AM
that is true....although if Obama is already acknowledging guilt...that probably bodes badly for those circumstances.

In Obama's defense, from what I've read about that telephone call he didn't acknowledge guilt. However, it wouldn't be the first time someone in uniform has been thrown to the wolves doing their job for political expediency/optics.

I take it you aren't including the 300-400,000 that have been killed or died as a result of the war? 

That's an overly generalized statement. If you look at the stats you'd find probably 70% of the civilian casualty rate is due to Taliban/insurgent operations/bombings and terrorism not Coalition/ISAF operations. In other words Afghans killing Afghans.

I'm just screaming 'war crime'! because that is what the US starts doing before any investigation. 

Oh, I don't know about that. It's relatively hard to substantiate a 'war crime' designation (legally). However, the phrase is thrown around a lot for shock value.

Once we are out of there, the attacks on OUR people in the region will be over....and the expenses will start going down a lot. 

Expenses, yes. The attacks, no. They'll simply switch to civilian targets of opportunity, diplomats, NGO's, foreign business, etc. They don't stop unless they're made to stop.

I actually don't agree that we didn't have ANY blame in the events of the middle east and subsequent terror attacks....we have been meddling and attempting regime changes well before 2001....in that context we probably did start this thing.   

Well, if you want to read why the US was attacked in 2001 (and the other terrorist acts), read on and learn from the horse's mouth then tell me if the terrorists were justified in their crimes...

 Full text: bin Laden's 'letter to America' (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2002/nov/24/theobserver)

The length of time has been ridiculously long almost 15 years so far.  There is probably an unapparent benefit we are getting from this.... 
I don't think the statement you made that I highlighted is going to make much if any difference...certain groups of people don't care, and making statements like that if anything is provoking more attacks.  What REALLY provokes attacks though is our constant meddling, I'm sure we receive benefits, and top members of our govt. probably excepts that terrorist attacks are the cost of doing business in the aggressive manner that we do. 

None that we're getting (other than whatever trade and business arrangements a have been put in place but right now I still believe that's a one way street of investment and infrastructure by the west). The Afghans remain relatively safe though and that's a good thing.

The rest of your comment are ideology, they're not based in fact or history and I utterly reject it's premise as it pertains to my quote. If you want to discuss the 'tactical' aspects of a limited occupation as opposed to a long term occupation we can do that. Keep in mind though that a common error is to assume that Afghanistan remains a belligerent occupation, it is not and has not been since late 2001. ISAF remained(s) at the behest of the Afghan government.

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 13, 2015, 10:41:06 AM
Well Brass, we do differ in our opinions. But that's okay.  ;)

It's happened before on occasion, lol. :D

I keep hearing of this power vacuum because we are not going in guns ablaze. Is it really?

It's not that simple, imo. A leadership vacuum encompasses other aspects as well. Failure to enforce agreements/treaties, creating a red line then backing off when it's crossed, allowing a belligerent nation (Russia) dictate fly zones in a coalition run combat operation then standing idly by while our guys (US/Coalition) backed Free Syrian Army factions are getting pummeled by said Russians. Giving away the farm with some totally unenforceable nuc deal with a country that's motto is 'Death To America, Death To Israel'. That kind of thing...Doesn't inspire a lot of confidence.

You have a gangster who is doing everything possible to hold on to power. Completely alienated and the country in taters. Is that the so-called leader? What I see is a gangster fighting for territory and we know from past experience, they don't last long.

Putin or Assad? Doesn't matter, both are gangsters. Putin is a leader, yes. He leads thru lies, bullying, threats and propaganda but he is leading. Assuming that he's going to step on his d*ck at some point isn't good enough. In this world the good guy doesn't always win. In fact, in matters of war and geopolitics the good guy rarely wins.

That some idiot will pull the trigger and start WWIII? Even the gangsters are not that stupid.

I disagree. The Turks'll squeeze the trigger if they believe it's justified (and that doesn't take much when their territory is involved or adherence to a no fly order isn't heeded).

Israel, Saudi Arabia the same.

We still own the world's most formidable army. That still scare the shit out of gangsters and they tread carefully. Just because we don't have a cowboy in the WH dumb enough to listen to unscrupulous cowards profiteering from war should label our POTUS a ninny.

The world's biggest gun is useless if you have someone who refuses to use it. Once the gangsters figured that out they had a free run. Obama could have told Putin "Stay out of my sandbox (Syria literally is a sandbox) or we'll shoot you down. Putin would not have argued. Instead we have Obama stating he's working with the Russians while his US backed fighters are abandoned and annihilated. Do you think the next time the US needs local support in a situation the volunteers are going to be flooding in? I think not.

Meanwhile, I'd let Putler exhaust everything he has, sit down and watch how his country collapse. Just like Nicholas II. They have no desire to be a civilized society, but then again, did gangsters ever did?

We agree here. I've stated this may be the best thing strategically for the west as far a Putin overextending himself goes but it does open those other doors we've been talking about above.

Keep in mind, the Middle East is using a religious crusade as an excuse to forward a geopolitical land grab. Do we really want to get in the middle of that mess? Are we really trying to christianize them so we can claim a moral victory? Is that leadership? Sounds more like Putler. I say they should sort things out before we waste our human assets in a war so far away. After all, we have our own oil. Once the dust settles you will see claims of another Ottoman empire. That's when we go in and kick ass if they have designs of conquering, which I see is the inevitable conclusion.

We are already in the middle of it. And to that end we need to meet our stated objectives or it'll be seen as a loss and embolden further aggression.

You see, Putin doesn't have to win to claim a victory, he just has to stop the US/West from achieving their objectives and it's a victory for the gangsters, that's the difference.

Yes, you could adopt the isolationist stance. However, eventually, after the gangsters have raped Eastern Europe and the Middle East they'll start or go after something too big to ignore and we'll be in it, regardless...Pay now or pay more later.

The gangsters are getting stronger and more emboldened with every perceived victory. Rome burns and we fiddle.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 13, 2015, 12:30:45 PM
That would be the same government that just this week released photos to Russian media of Orthodox tent chapels set up for use of soldiers in Syria. It was a ploy, much like Stalin's of years gone by, to use religion to warm the hearts of the people to whatever fighting needed to be done.

All was being accepted swimmingly, until someone noticed that the tents were photographed surrounded by trees, freezing conditions and snow, in an environment obviously having nothing to do with Syria, especially as the temperature at the main base was 70F/21C yesterday. So, today the government is backpedaling fast and furious by explaining that these were mere examples of military chapels.

It does sicken me that Russian soldiers in Syria are suddenly being labeled as holy warriors by the Russian media.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 13, 2015, 01:10:15 PM
I couldn't find it now, but yesterday there was a doctored photo on Russian social media showing a Russian plane dropping bombs. Each bomb was labeled with names like "children's garden" and "pensions" and "utilities" and "medical clinics" and etc. It was a protest of sorts that each bomb is taking money away from home where the Russian economy is in decline.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 13, 2015, 01:11:26 PM
In Obama's defense, from what I've read about that telephone call he didn't acknowledge guilt. However, it wouldn't be the first time someone in uniform has been thrown to the wolves doing their job for political expediency/optics.



Yeah, but I don't think Obama is throwing anybody to wolves in this case...our people probably did make that error that cost all those innocent lives...trying to get out in front of the story is probably what he is doing.






That's an overly generalized statement. If you look at the stats you'd find probably 70% of the civilian casualty rate is due to Taliban/insurgent operations/bombings and terrorism not Coalition/ISAF operations. In other words Afghans killing Afghans.


I'm certain you are correct in that Afghans have killed Afghans...and how much of that are we fostering?  Who is supplying or has supplied the weapons?




Oh, I don't know about that. It's relatively hard to substantiate a 'war crime' designation (legally). However, the phrase is thrown around a lot for shock value.



Yup it is thrown around for shock value.




Expenses, yes. The attacks, no. They'll simply switch to civilian targets of opportunity, diplomats, NGO's, foreign business, etc. They don't stop unless they're made to stop.

Pretty much everything we are involved with can be a target.  They will not stop, nor should they as long as we are interfering, or the effects of our interference are in place.





Well, if you want to read why the US was attacked in 2001 (and the other terrorist acts), read on and learn from the horse's mouth then tell me if the terrorists were justified in their crimes...

 Full text: bin Laden's 'letter to America' (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2002/nov/24/theobserver)

None that we're getting (other than whatever trade and business arrangements a have been put in place but right now I still believe that's a one way street of investment and infrastructure by the west). The Afghans remain relatively safe though and that's a good thing.

The rest of your comment are ideology, they're not based in fact or history and I utterly reject it's premise as it pertains to my quote. If you want to discuss the 'tactical' aspects of a limited occupation as opposed to a long term occupation we can do that. Keep in mind though that a common error is to assume that Afghanistan remains a belligerent occupation, it is not and has not been since late 2001. ISAF remained(s) at the behest of the Afghan government.

Brass




This is probably a discussion for another time. 


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 13, 2015, 01:13:53 PM

Putin or Assad? Doesn't matter, both are gangsters. Putin is a leader, yes. He leads thru lies, bullying, threats 


Through the years, the US leadership has done all these things....and we support other regimes that do the same when it is in our interest.  .


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 13, 2015, 08:43:40 PM
It was a protest of sorts that each bomb is taking money away from home where the Russian economy is in decline.



If Russia helps keep Assad in power, they will be handsomely rewarded and Russia will keep Syria as a business partner instead of losing them to the West. Of course if Putin fails to keep Assad in power, Russia will have to eat up the costs of getting into the war. Putin seen Obama's lack of willingness to get involved in the Middle East. I think Putin will succeed in keeping Assad in power.


If the West shown real strength in Ukraine last year, I seriously doubt Putin would be in Syria right now. Putin will only participate in events he has a chance at winning at.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 14, 2015, 12:21:32 AM
Russia will be rewarded whether or not Assad stays in power because a newly enriched Iran will reward Russia. Win or lose, Assad's Syria will likely change in borders and be a far poorer nation for a long time.

What Mr Putin is doing, if he succeeds, is to replace America as the regional power. I am not so confident that he will be successful, but you are right in that he is walking thru a wide open door left that way because a traitor is in the White House.

Long term however, Putin risks losing Russia. The Muslim republics in the Caucasus region have never lost hope of someday throwing off the Imperial yoke. They would love to send Moscow packing. It is not lost on those folk that Russia is bombing fellow Muslims, regardless of what stripe of Islam to which they belong.

Russia's military is stretched pretty thin when you consider the number of professionals, and the threatres to which Moscow is committed. That is in part why Russia often operates at the front with contract troops (mercenaries). There are four primary areas to which the Russian Defense Ministry is committed to troop placement:

- The Kremlin feels strongly about maintaining a certain percentage, around 50,000 troops, in Russia's Far East. They are not concerned about an invasion from NK, but a very large country with a shared border still harbors claims about certain areas of land now controlled by Russia.

- Although official numbers are over 800,000 the reality is that Russia's active and ready professional land force is closer to 310,000. With 50,000 to 60,000 stationed at various points along the border with Ukraine, with 31,000 troops needed to take Crimea, with significant numbers stationed along the Eastern Military District (previously known as the Far Eastern Military District), with a large number of troops comprising the new Central Military District (Urals and on into Siberia), and with Russia feeling the need to maintain troop strength in the Western and Southern Military Districts, that doesn't leave many foot soldiers left to go to Syria.

- The Defense Ministry and Security Council currently identify NATO/USA, and China as the top threats to Russia's security. However, the top internal security threats are seen as: Caucasus republics, the Central and Eastern borders, and terrorism in the two capitals (Moscow and Peter) conducted by Islamic groups. Despite all the public propaganda, the Defense Ministry does not view any of the former Soviet vassals as threats.

Russian military doctrine allows for nuclear options even in limited regional conflicts. That is enough to scare off the USA and China, but it doesn't seem to make Moscow any less nervous. The greatest threat is the one that seems to plague Moscow and/or Peter every couple of years--terrorism from the conquered Caucasus regions. You cannot "nuke" that threat away with the push of a button. So, as Russia props up Assad by killing Muslims who oppose him, Russia unwittingly opens the door to retribution back home.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 14, 2015, 12:38:56 AM
Every once in a while, Chechen president Ramzan Kadyrov likes to stir the pot. Earlier this year he ordered than any Russian law enforcement personnel (non-Chechen) were to be detained and executed on sight. Curiously, he was not reprimanded by Moscow.

This week the Grozny government has made some changes to wedding rules. The new rules forbid the bride from dancing, couples who dance together must hold each other at arm's length, suggestive dance moves are outlawed, wedding participants and guests may not get drunk, nor are they allowed to dress indecently. As to who gets to set the indecency standards, that will likely be left to local officials and clergy. In addition, weapons may not be fired in celebration, and President Kadyrov has told wedding dress shops that they must cease the sale of European style dresses that are revealing.

While some of these new rules violate the Constitutional rights of Russian citizens, Islamic culture in general demands that the laws of a land must conform to Islam, and not vice versa.

The more that Moscow does to eliminate client state's opposition in the Middle East, the threat of long term revenge to be exacted on Moscow may well escalate over time.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 14, 2015, 05:03:19 AM


What Mr Putin is doing, if he succeeds, is to replace America as the regional power. I am not so confident that he will be successful, but you are right in that he is walking thru a wide open door left that way because a traitor is in the White House.

 


Obama is a traitor?  Why is he a traitor?


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 14, 2015, 11:03:54 AM
Well, for starters, try the Iran deal. If that isn't enough, consider the actions an Imperial president who sidelines Congress using Executive orders for something he can't get from the Representative branch of government. There is a reason, even when sometimes we find it slow and frustrating, for the separation of powers.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 14, 2015, 07:18:32 PM
Well, for starters, try the Iran deal. If that isn't enough, consider the actions an Imperial president who sidelines Congress using Executive orders for something he can't get from the Representative branch of government. There is a reason, even when sometimes we find it slow and frustrating, for the separation of powers.


The Iran deal does not make him a traitor.  Why would you say it does? 


Obama hasn't executed as many executive orders as other presidents, does that make all the other presidents traitors too?   I get the feeling you don't particularly agree with his policies, therefore he is a traitor, because thus far the reasons you have provided are weak, considering the charge you made. 


Fathertime!   



Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 15, 2015, 05:58:51 AM
Russian Military Uses Syria as Proving Ground, and West Takes Notice
By STEVEN LEE MYERS and ERIC SCHMITT New York Times

WASHINGTON — Two weeks of air and missile strikes in Syria have given Western intelligence
and military officials a deeper appreciation of the transformation that Russia’s military has undergone under President Vladimir V. Putin, showcasing its ability to conduct operations
beyond its borders and providing a public demonstration of new weaponry, tactics and strategy.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/15/world/middleeast/russian-military-uses-syria-as-proving-ground-and-west-takes-notice.html?_r=0
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 15, 2015, 06:13:26 AM


Isis Inc: how oil fuels the jihadi terrorists

High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/b8234932-719b-11e5-ad6d-f4ed76f0900a.html#ixzz3odrTHScK

Estimates by local traders and engineers put crude production in Isis-held territory at
about 34,000-40,000 bpd. The oil is sold at the wellhead for between $20 and $45 a
barrel, earning the militants an average of $1.5m a day.

“It’s a situation that makes you laugh and cry,” said one Syrian rebel commander in
Aleppo, who buys diesel from Isis areas even as his forces fight the group on the front
lines. “But we have no other choice, and we are a poor man’s revolution. Is anyone else
offering to give us fuel?”

Oil as a strategic weapon
(http://im.ft-static.com/content/images/acb72a06-7276-11e5-bdb1-e6e4767162cc.img)

Isis’ oil strategy has been long in the making. Since the group emerged on the scene
in Syria in 2013, long before they reached Mosul in Iraq, the jihadis saw oil as a crutch
for their vision for an Islamic state. The group’s shura council identified it as fundamental
for the survival of the insurgency and, more importantly, to finance their ambition to
create a caliphate.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/b8234932-719b-11e5-ad6d-f4ed76f0900a.html#axzz3odqmQ3sA
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 15, 2015, 06:32:25 AM
Putin Calls U.S. `Weak' on Syria
Andrey Biryukov  Dana Khraiche Bloomberg


Russian President Vladimir Putin said U.S. policy on Syria is weak and lacks objectives,
though he remains open to direct talks as Russia’s bombing campaign continues in
support of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad.

“I don’t really understand how the U.S. can criticize Russia’s actions in Syria if they refuse
to have direct dialogue,” Putin told reporters Thursday during a visit to Astana, Kazakhstan.
“The basic weakness of the American position is that they don’t have an agenda, though
we’re keeping the door open” for talks, he said.

Amid growing friction over Russian airstrikes in Syria that began Sept. 30, the U.S.
rejected Putin’s offer to send a delegation led by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev to
Washington to explain the campaign against Islamic State and other militants, Foreign
Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Wednesday. Putin accused some states of having “oatmeal
in their heads” on Tuesday for failing to understand that Russia’s intervention seeks to
defeat terrorism. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov expressed “regret” on Wednesday
over the American rejection of high-level talks.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-15/putin-says-u-s-position-on-syria-is-weak-lacks-objectives
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 15, 2015, 08:23:22 AM
For the Obama apologists, why would he leave troops in Afghanistan if it
was such a great idea to remove all of them from Iraq? Is it possible that
Obama learned something from his past mistakes? It hardly seems likely
since he almost always does the wrong thing.


Officials: Obama to keep troops in Afghanistan beyond 2016
Associated Press By LOLITA C. BALDOR and JULIE PACE
http://news.yahoo.com/officials-obama-keep-troops-afghanistan-beyond-2016-100139289--politics.html?nf=1


Obama abandons pledge to pull troops from Afghanistan
AFP By Andrew Beatty
http://news.yahoo.com/obama-halt-us-troop-withdrawals-afghanistan-111039488.html?nf=1


Obama Flips On Afghanistan Withdrawal Plan
Huffington Post
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/obama-afghanistan-withdraw-droops_561f7bebe4b0c5a1ce6217e2?utm_hp_ref=politics&ir=Politics&section=politics

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 15, 2015, 11:15:52 AM
Yeah, but I don't think Obama is throwing anybody to wolves in this case...our people probably did make that error that cost all those innocent lives...trying to get out in front of the story is probably what he is doing.

I'm certain you are correct in that Afghans have killed Afghans...and how much of that are we fostering?  Who is supplying or has supplied the weapons?

Yup it is thrown around for shock value.

Pretty much everything we are involved with can be a target.  They will not stop, nor should they as long as we are interfering, or the effects of our interference are in place.

This is probably a discussion for another time.

Through the years, the US leadership has done all these things....and we support other regimes that do the same when it is in our interest.  .

In light of the events of the last 24 hours including Bill's links above your arguments have been pretty well made redundant.

Events are moving quickly now and your President's trying to play catch up. Even Obama's clued in to the obvious...

Nope. It's because ISAF remains that these attacks are minimized. When the draw down is complete that's when the attacks will increase just as in Iraq...

Now, I have two questions for you.

Do you think all those sage countries and Democratic Senators and Representatives knew about these Iranian assets before signing on with Mr. Obama's great nuc giveaway deal?...

Iran broadcasts rare images of underground missile bases

http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/14/middleeast/iran-missile-facilities/

France says Iran missile test 'worrying' violation of U.N. resolution

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/15/us-iran-france-missiles-idUSKCN0S91A620151015

Inside Iran's tunnels used to store ballistic missiles

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34538583

(http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/151015094630-iran-missiles-underground-fars-2-exlarge-169.jpg)

(http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/151015002415-iran-secret-underground-facility-vo-00002126-large-169.jpg)

(http://cdn.timesofisrael.com/uploads/2015/10/ggggggggggggggggg-600x357.jpg)

(http://www.irishtimes.com/polopoly_fs/1.2392862.1444892918!/image/image.jpg_gen/derivatives/box_620_330/image.jpg)

'Cause if Obama did. He, those countries that signed the deal and all those Democratic Senators and Representatives who voted for it, disregarded an already existing UN resolution barring Iran from developing nuc capable missiles...

Iran reveals huge underground missile base with broadcast on state TV

..."This is a sample of our massive missile bases,” he said, adding that “a new and advanced generation of long-range liquid- and solid-fuel missiles” would start to replace existing weapons next year.

The commander seemed to suggest the show of strength was in response to western powers, especially the US, which despite the nuclear deal, have said options against Iran, including a military one, remained on the table.

“Those who pin hope on options on the table, should only have a look at the Islamic republic’s army options under the table.”


Hajizadeh said Iran would not start any war but “if enemies make a mistake, missile bases will erupt like a volcano from the depth of earth”.

The US on Tuesday said Tehran may have breached a Security Council resolution during Sunday’s test of the new Imad missile.

White House spokesman Josh Earnest said there were “strong indications” that Tehran “did violate UN Security Council resolutions that pertain to Iran’s ballistic missile activities”.

Under a resolution passed days after the nuclear deal was reached, Iran was barred by the Security Council from developing missiles “designed to carry nuclear warheads”...

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/15/iran-reveals-huge-underground-missile-base-with-broadcast-on-state-tv

If Iran has (evidently) broken the already existing UN resolutions and have just threatened the West - who've pinned their hopes on Iran's compliance to the nuc deal with options against Iran, including a military one, if they don't comply - by retaliating with "options under the table." What "options under the table" do you think the Iranian Commander is alluding to?

Brass
 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 15, 2015, 05:50:47 PM
Russian Military Uses Syria as Proving Ground, and West Takes Notice
By STEVEN LEE MYERS and ERIC SCHMITT New York Times

WASHINGTON — Two weeks of air and missile strikes in Syria have given Western intelligence
and military officials a deeper appreciation of the transformation that Russia’s military has undergone under President Vladimir V. Putin, showcasing its ability to conduct operations
beyond its borders and providing a public demonstration of new weaponry, tactics and strategy.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/15/world/middleeast/russian-military-uses-syria-as-proving-ground-and-west-takes-notice.html?_r=0 (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/15/world/middleeast/russian-military-uses-syria-as-proving-ground-and-west-takes-notice.html?_r=0)


What are you doing quoting from a liberal paper?  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 16, 2015, 08:28:55 AM

What are you doing quoting from a liberal paper?  ;)

Almost all of them are liberal
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 16, 2015, 08:31:25 AM
Obama ignores generals’ advice on troop levels for unprecedented sixth time
By Rowan Scarborough - The Washington Times

In the end, President Obama was forced to listen to his generals — not his political
instincts — on Afghanistan troop levels, and he decided to split the difference.

Mr. Obama is keeping 5,500 troops in Afghanistan beyond his presidency, about half
the strength recommended by his top general in-country. It marks the sixth time he
has rejected the advice of a ground commander on the force size in the long Iraq and
Afghanistan wars. Military experts call that streak unprecedented for a commander in
chief.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/oct/15/obama-ignores-generals-on-troop-levels-for-unprece/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 16, 2015, 08:54:04 AM
Opinions

By Condoleezza Rice and Robert M. Gates  Washington Post
Condoleezza Rice was secretary of state from 2005 to 2009.
Robert M. Gates was defense secretary from 2006 to 2011.



One can hear the disbelief in capitals from Washington to London to Berlin to Ankara
and beyond. How can Vladimir Putin, with a sinking economy and a second-rate
military, continually dictate the course of geopolitical events? Whether it’s in Ukraine
or Syria, the Russian president seems always to have the upper hand.

The fact is that Putin is playing a weak hand extraordinarily well because he knows exactly
what he wants to do. He is not stabilizing the situation according to our definition of stability.
He is defending Russia’s interests by keeping Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in power.
This is not about the Islamic State. Any insurgent group that opposes Russian interests is
a terrorist organization to Moscow. We saw this behavior in Ukraine, and now we’re seeing
it even more aggressively — with bombing runs and cruise missile strikes — in Syria.

Putin is not a sentimental man, and if Assad becomes a liability, Putin will gladly move on
to a substitute acceptable to Moscow. But for now, the Russians believe that they (and the
Iranians) can save Assad. President Obama and Secretary of State John F. Kerry say that
there is no military solution to the Syrian crisis. That is true, but Moscow understands that
diplomacy follows the facts on the ground, not the other way around.

Russia and Iran are creating favorable facts. Once this military intervention has run its
course, expect a peace proposal from Moscow that reflects its interests, including securing
the Russian military base at Tartus.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/how-to-counter-putin-in-syria/2015/10/08/128fade2-6c66-11e5-b31c-d80d62b53e28_story.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 16, 2015, 11:52:04 AM
Turkey downs drone near Syrian border; Russia denies aircraft lost
By Loveday Morris Washington Post

BEIRUT — Turkey said its warplanes shot down a drone Friday near its border
with Syria, underscoring heightened hostility in the region’s increasingly crowded
airspace.

The aircraft was warned three times to turn back before being fired on by Turkish
jets patrolling the border, the Turkish military said in a statement. It gave no further
details on the drone or its origins.

Russia, which sent military aircraft into Syria last month, said none of its planes in
Syria was hit. But the United States suspected that Turkish fighters targeted a
Russian drone, the Reuters news agency reported, citing a U.S. official speaking
on condition of anonymity.

The incident occurred during a period of escalating tension along the Syrian border
since Russia began an air campaign in support of President Bashar al-Assad two and
a half weeks ago.

Turkey, a NATO member, has accused Russia of intentionally violating its airspace
on two occasions since then. The incidents have drawn sharp rebukes from Turkey’s
NATO allies.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/report-turkey-downs-drone-near-syrian-border/2015/10/16/c4e9a2c2-73f5-11e5-8248-98e0f5a2e830_story.html


Turkey shoots down unidentified drone near Syrian border
Sources suggest drone is of Russian origin but Ankara keen to avoid
blaming Moscow as tensions simmer over airspace violations
There is a detailed story at the Guardian see link below



(http://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/62807b22969a8e0160a900c46d5b9f8144fd4827/0_1014_4016_2411/master/4016.jpg?w=1225&q=85&auto=format&sharp=10&s=ac4716645c392b49dbe36a5641aca7d2)

read the entire detailed story here
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/16/turkey-shoots-down-drone-near-syrian-border#img-1
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 16, 2015, 01:17:31 PM
After the clusterf##k that occurred under Condoleeza'a watch, she should hardly be commenting on foreign policy.
Quote
For the Obama apologists, why would he leave troops in Afghanistan if it was such a great idea to remove all of them from Iraq? Is it possible that Obama learned something from his past mistakes? It hardly seems likely since he almost always does the wrong thing.


As noted previously, it was Bush who negotiated the troop withdrawal, and timetable.  Not Obama.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 16, 2015, 06:41:38 PM
In light of the events of the last 24 hours including Bill's links above your arguments have been pretty well made redundant.

Events are moving quickly now and your President's trying to play catch up. Even Obama's clued in to the obvious...

Now, I have two questions for you.

Do you think all those sage countries and Democratic Senators and Representatives knew about these Iranian assets before signing on with Mr. Obama's great nuc giveaway deal?...



If Iran has (evidently) broken the already existing UN resolutions and have just threatened the West - who've pinned their hopes on Iran's compliance to the nuc deal with options against Iran, including a military one, if they don't comply - by retaliating with "options under the table." What "options under the table" do you think the Iranian Commander is alluding to?

Brass


I really wound't know what the Senators/Representatives knew beforehand....  I'm not surprised that Iran has all sorts of stuff we don't know about or seek our approval for, obviously they don't care if we approve or not....  I imagine that is part of the reason they were being so heavily sanctioned, especially by the US. 


I didn't read all your links (Yet) and have been out of the news loop for a few days...  Haven't we been threatening them with the 'military option' again?  Looks like they are letting us know it won't be easy-peasy. 


So if they indeed have all this stuff, which they probably do...why haven't they used it?  That is what the hardliners say they are going to do.    If it is in place and ready to go and Iran  hasn't done anything with it, doesn't that indicate that they are likely to be used as a defensive measure if attacked first?


Fathertime! 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 17, 2015, 01:48:42 PM
After the clusterf##k that occurred under Condoleeza'a watch, she should hardly be commenting on foreign policy.

As noted previously, it was Bush who negotiated the troop withdrawal, and timetable.  Not Obama.

1% of the clusterf#ck happened under Condi's watch as it did with Hillary.
Condi was a Russian specialist promoted to Secretary of State after 2 years
into the 2nd Iraq war. What exactly is the clusterf#ck that Condi presided
over and what possible foreign policy do you think you know more about than
she does?

Bush put together some guidelines for troop withdrawal predicated on the fact
that Iraq was ready to take care of themselves. They weren't ready, Obama didn't
care. You keep bringing up the fact that Bush set the guidelines and you keep
forgetting the fact that the guidelines weren't set in stone.
Obama wasn't handcuffed
by the Bush administration guidelines, but Obama likes to blame Bush for his own
faults, incompetence and errors in judgment.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 17, 2015, 04:45:14 PM
As noted previously, it was Bush who negotiated the troop withdrawal, and timetable.  Not Obama.

You keep bringing up the fact that Bush set the guidelines and you keep
forgetting the fact that the guidelines weren't set in stone.
Obama wasn't handcuffed
by the Bush administration guidelines, but Obama likes to blame Bush for his own
faults, incompetence and errors in judgment.

2tallbill,

Boethius is not forgetting.  This is repeat finger pointing.  This is how Obama lovers see the world - if there is bad news, it was caused by somebody else.  Conversely, if there is good news, Obama caused it to happen.   

Obama as  President has been the most powerful person in the world for seven  years, and he was handcuffed all this time by guidelines...........GIVE ME A BREAK!!!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 17, 2015, 04:59:55 PM
When Boethius first blamed Bush for withdrawal of all American  troops from Iraq, I thought I had explained the situation.  Let me try again.

When  Bush signed the  troop withdrawal agreement in the last days of his Presidency, he knew Iraq was still instable and certainly not ready to defend itself.  Yet, Obama was soon taking office in just days  and Obama had  campaigned against the Iraq war.  Also, Iraq's PM Malarkey was pressuring Bush to withdraw troops and allow Iraq to defend itself without American military.

Rather than wait for Obama to negotiate a withdrawal agreement, Bush negotiated with Malarkey and signed a framework intended to be revisited and revised dependent upon Iraq's progress.   For example, there were some important interim goals such as completing the  training of Iraq's military and supplying weapons to Iraq.  Obama's own Defense Secretary Gates believed a large American military force should remain, as reported by the NY Times in December 2008:   

        "When asked by Charlie Rose in a PBS interview last week how big the American 'residual' force would  be in Iraq after 2011, Mr. Gates replied that although the mission would change, 'my guess is that you’re looking at perhaps several tens of thousands of American troops.' ”

When Obama took office in January 2009,  there were 146,000 American troops in Iraq.   All troops had been removed by December 2011. 

When campaigning, Obama promised more about Iraq than just to remove troops.  Some of these campaign promises would have helped; however, Obama broke some promises as discussed here:

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/promises/obameter/subjects/iraq/

Incidentally, in keeping with the topic, who else was pushing Iraq through diplomatic channels  to have all the American troops removed?  That would be Syria and Iran.  They knew that an American military presence could hamper their goals.  Yes, we got outsmarted.

Now that America has withdrawn from a position won with the blood and lives of thousands and over a trillion dollars from the US Treasury, I see no way that we can reenter. 

As I stated before, Bush made a mistake when invading Iraq.  Yet, Obama has topped that mistake by withdrawing from such an important geopolitical area.   Obama lovers just can't see it that way even though the facts are in front of their nose. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 18, 2015, 07:47:30 AM
I really wound't know what the Senators/Representatives knew beforehand.... I'm not surprised that Iran has all sorts of stuff we don't know about or seek our approval for, obviously they don't care if we approve or not....  I imagine that is part of the reason they were being so heavily sanctioned, especially by the US. 

If you're not "surprised that Iran has all sorts of stuff we don't know about or seek our approval for, obviously they don't care if we approve or not." Why then do you believe that Iran would comply with the Obama Nuc Deal if they've already failed to adhere to previous UN resolutions forbidding the very ordnance they revealed to the world in those images?

If their record is such that "they don't care if we approve or not" what could possibly be the motivation for them to sign the deal in the first place? 

I didn't read all your links (Yet) and have been out of the news loop for a few days...  Haven't we been threatening them with the 'military option' again?  Looks like they are letting us know it won't be easy-peasy. 

No, we haven't been threatening them. According to now publicized intelligence reports the release of this information was directed at Israel.

So if they indeed have all this stuff, which they probably do...why haven't they used it?  That is what the hardliners say they are going to do.    If it is in place and ready to go and Iran  hasn't done anything with it, doesn't that indicate that they are likely to be used as a defensive measure if attacked first?

The answer to these questions is - No nukes yet.

They've only just secured the means to achieve breakout (Obama nuc deal) and eventually outfit these (and newer generation) missiles now that the sanctions are lifted.

My guess would be that revealing their secret manufacturing sites and bases buried deep in the mountains means they want Israel and the US to know that not only have they now secured the means to achieve nuclear breakout...but guess what? We've also got the means and assets to deliver them (which you infidel didn't know about).

Quote
If Iran has (evidently) broken the already existing UN resolutions and have just threatened the West - who've pinned their hopes on Iran's compliance to the nuc deal with options against Iran, including a military one, if they don't comply - by retaliating with "options under the table." What "options under the table" do you think the Iranian Commander is alluding to?

You didn't answer this question.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 18, 2015, 08:09:10 AM
The Cubans are stating they have no soldiers in Syria...

Cuba denies sending troops to Syria

..."The Cuban government on Saturday denied what it called an "irresponsible and unfounded" report that it had sent troops to Syria in support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Foreign ministry official Gerardo Penalver "categorically denies and refutes the irresponsible and unfounded information regarding the supposed presence of Cuban troops in the Syrian Arab Republic," a government statement said."...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/centralamericaandthecaribbean/cuba/11938729/Cuba-denies-sending-troops-to-Syria.html?

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 18, 2015, 12:07:55 PM
When Boethius first blamed Bush for withdrawal of all American  troops from Iraq, I thought I had explained the situation.  Let me try again.

When  Bush signed the  troop withdrawal agreement in the last days of his Presidency, he knew Iraq was still instable and certainly not ready to defend itself.  Yet, Obama was soon taking office in just days  and Obama had  campaigned against the Iraq war.  Also, Iraq's PM Malarkey was pressuring Bush to withdraw troops and allow Iraq to defend itself without American military.

Rather than wait for Obama to negotiate a withdrawal agreement, Bush negotiated with Malarkey and signed a framework intended to be revisited and revised dependent upon Iraq's progress.   For example, there were some important interim goals such as completing the  training of Iraq's military and supplying weapons to Iraq.  Obama's own Defense Secretary Gates believed a large American military force should remain, as reported by the NY Times in December 2008:   

        "When asked by Charlie Rose in a PBS interview last week how big the American 'residual' force would  be in Iraq after 2011, Mr. Gates replied that although the mission would change, 'my guess is that you’re looking at perhaps several tens of thousands of American troops.' ”

When Obama took office in January 2009,  there were 146,000 American troops in Iraq.   All troops had been removed by December 2011. 

When campaigning, Obama promised more about Iraq than just to remove troops.  Some of these campaign promises would have helped; however, Obama broke some promises as discussed here:

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/promises/obameter/subjects/iraq/ (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/promises/obameter/subjects/iraq/)

Incidentally, in keeping with the topic, who else was pushing Iraq through diplomatic channels  to have all the American troops removed?  That would be Syria and Iran.  They knew that an American military presence could hamper their goals.  Yes, we got outsmarted.

Now that America has withdrawn from a position won with the blood and lives of thousands and over a trillion dollars from the US Treasury, I see no way that we can reenter. 

As I stated before, Bush made a mistake when invading Iraq.  Yet, Obama has topped that mistake by withdrawing from such an important geopolitical area.   Obama lovers just can't see it that way even though the facts are in front of their nose.


I am not an Obama lover, so your conclusion on that point is incorrect.  I am indifferent to American leadership in fact, GOP presidents tend to be better for Canada.  I look at this as a foreigner looking in, so I don't have the visceral reactions Americans do to a particular leader. 


As for your assertion on Obama's failure, read this for the background by a diplomat who was involved in the negotiations -


http://www.wsj.com/articles/james-franklin-jeffrey-behind-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-iraq-1414972705


Mr. Jeffrey is a career diplomat/civil servant, rather than a political appointee.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Franklin_Jeffrey
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2015, 07:05:05 PM

I am not an Obama lover, so your conclusion on that point is incorrect.  I am indifferent to American leadership in fact, GOP presidents tend to be better for Canada.  I look at this as a foreigner looking in, so I don't have the visceral reactions Americans do to a particular leader. 

Okay, so maybe as a foreigner you did not follow the troop withdrawal issue, just as I certainly can not comment on Canadian issues. 

To help you, this one-minute  video summarizes what Americans saw incessantly on our news channels in 2012 about the troop withdrawal.  To understand this issue (and Obama in general), one needs to watch the full minute.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ugLMWdqnk4

Those final 15 seconds define Obama as the weak man he truly is.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2015, 07:10:19 PM

As for your assertion on Obama's failure, read this for the background by a diplomat who was involved in the negotiations -

http://www.wsj.com/articles/james-franklin-jeffrey-behind-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-iraq-1414972705



Did you read the Jeffrey article closely?   It says nothing to suggest Obama attempted in his negotiations with Iraq to keep some troops in Iraq.  In fact Jeffrey suggests Obama  rolled, writing:  "during the 2012 presidential debates, Mr. Obama inexplicably denied that he had even attempted to keep troops in Iraq."

I recognize a vast majority of Iraqi citizens wanted us out of Iraq.  And most Americans did too.  And Obama certainly wanted out.  However, his Defense Secretaries knew Iraq was not stable and against public sentiment advised Obama to keep tens of thousands of troops in Iraq after 2011. 

As the President,  Obama is the  most powerful person in the world.  Thus,  Obama could have accomplished almost anything in a country as weak as Iraq.  For example, his could tell Iraq, "If we must withdraw, we will arm the Kurds" (and then work out some arrangement with Turkey).  Instead, Obama wanted out of Iraq and he got out.  Putin is moving in and Iraqis are welcoming him (another story). 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 18, 2015, 07:36:32 PM
No, I always followed Iraq because I never believed it was an invasion to "save" the world, nor even America, and I foresaw what would happen, inevitably.  Democracy cannot be imposed.  My husband went even further, he predicted almost exactly what has occurred, though he didn't include Syria in that equation.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2015, 08:27:16 PM
No, I always followed Iraq because I never believed it was an invasion to "save" the world, nor even America, and I foresaw what would happen, inevitably.  Democracy cannot be imposed.  My husband went even further, he predicted almost exactly what has occurred, though he didn't include Syria in that equation.


If you followed Iraq closely, why did you say  " ...it was Bush who negotiated the troop withdrawal, and timetable.  Not Obama."  ?????? 

Whether you supported or opposed the withdrawal of troops, facts are still facts about Obama.     Obama withdrew with conscious volition, and ISIS moved into Iraq followed by Putin moving into Syria.   

Who knows who makes the next move and what it will be.....other than the US will not be driving the agenda?   I doubt any group will want to depend upon the US for help.  And the refugee crises will become worse if Assad gains the upper hand against his opposition. 

This does not end with Obama.    I assert the next President is hamstrung by Obama's decision.   Hopefully the EU will grow a pair or whatever expression Muzh used.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on October 18, 2015, 08:48:06 PM
Just to throw in a random comment . . .

Tonight's episode of 'Madam Secretary' was surprisingly up to date on the Russian invasion of Ukraine situation and laid out some real world scenarios.

Putin has died and our Secretary of State has worked out a tentative agreement between Poroshenko and the Russian Foreign minister for a political settlement and Lavrov is working on bringing top Russian generals along.

But Putin's widow pulls a fast one with a planted photo op that shows part of SS's team with a Ukrainian Nazi (actually a Russian).  She gives a rip-roaring speech at Putin's funeral pointing out the planned betrayal of Russia by America and Lavrov (who will probably be killed in the next episode).

Turns out, seemingly she is going to become the next Russian president and 'out Putin' Putin in terms of aggression.

So our President feels the SS has failed in seeking a political solution and now is influenced more by his new National Security Adviser and is going to proceed to help Ukraine militarily big time.

Remember how our fantasy outer space movies predated actual space development ????

Who knows ??
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2015, 08:54:58 PM
ML,

I saw Madam Secretary too.  Some parts seem unreal, yet the dialogue about Ukraine, Putin's successor, etc. was plausible.   

Needless to say, your comment, "Remember how our fantasy outer space movies predated actual space development ????   Who knows ??" is still fantasy given our leader.   And I imagine in the next episode, Madam Secretary will have the President backing away from the American hawks.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 18, 2015, 09:17:09 PM
Those final 15 seconds define Obama as the weak man he truly is.



When the troop pullout was done and things relatively quiet in Iraq, Obama took full credit. As the video showed, Obama shifts the blame now that Iraq is a mess overrun by terrorists.


I assert the next President is hamstrung by Obama's decision.   



Iraq is looking for help since being overrun by terrorists. The next president may provide that help if Russia doesn't gain enough influence and foothold by then.


Hopefully the EU will grow a pair or whatever expression Muzh used.



EU has shown they have no balls when it came to Ukraine. EU growing a pair is wishful thinking at this point. The leader of the free world needs to try and be a leader before leaving office. That is what should happen if anything is to get done.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 18, 2015, 09:30:50 PM

Whether you supported or opposed the withdrawal of troops, facts are still facts about Obama.     Obama withdrew with conscious volition, and ISIS moved into Iraq followed by Putin moving into Syria.   

(http://i643.photobucket.com/albums/uu157/jack_douglass/lol%20pics/oh_hai_gif.gif)

I was casually browsing about the internet and found this little article:


America enabled radical Islam: How the CIA, George W. Bush and many others helped create ISIS


[/size]
Since 1980, the United States has intervened in the affairs of fourteen Muslim countries, at worst invading or bombing them. They are (in chronological order) Iran, Libya, Lebanon, Kuwait, Iraq, Somalia, Bosnia, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Sudan, Kosovo, Yemen, Pakistan, and now Syria. Latterly these efforts have been in the name of the War on Terror and the attempt to curb Islamic extremism.


Yet for centuries Western countries have sought to harness the power of radical Islam to serve the interests of their own foreign policy.....


http://www.salon.com/2015/10/18/america_enabled_radical_islam_how_the_cia_george_w_bush_and_many_others_helped_create_isis/ (http://www.salon.com/2015/10/18/america_enabled_radical_islam_how_the_cia_george_w_bush_and_many_others_helped_create_isis/)






The article states that we have intervened in 14 Islamic countries over 35 years.  No wonder the countries in the area are growing to hate our guts.  If some much more powerful nation meddled in our affairs for their own benefit, as often as we have, I'd probably start growing a pretty big dislike!


Fathertime!     
[size=78%]
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 18, 2015, 09:43:13 PM
If you're not "surprised that Iran has all sorts of stuff we don't know about or seek our approval for, obviously they don't care if we approve or not." Why then do you believe that Iran would comply with the Obama Nuc Deal if they've already failed to adhere to previous UN resolutions forbidding the very ordnance they revealed to the world in those images?

If their record is such that "they don't care if we approve or not" what could possibly be the motivation for them to sign the deal in the first place? 

No, we haven't been threatening them. According to now publicized intelligence reports the release of this information was directed at Israel.

The answer to these questions is - No nukes yet.

They've only just secured the means to achieve breakout (Obama nuc deal) and eventually outfit these (and newer generation) missiles now that the sanctions are lifted.

My guess would be that revealing their secret manufacturing sites and bases buried deep in the mountains means they want Israel and the US to know that not only have they now secured the means to achieve nuclear breakout...but guess what? We've also got the means and assets to deliver them (which you infidel didn't know about).

You didn't answer this question.

Brass


This thread really isn't about the Iran deal, but I did notice that the agreement is moving forward as of today.  All the major powers seem to be fine with what Iran is doing, which appears to be posturing.  Who is to blame them?  With our interventionist history, they got to show they are strong to survive, and discourage us from doing something stupid.  Thankfully Obama is a reasonable man, making good calls.
 Your final question has the assumption that Iran is breaking the deal, since all the major powers are moving forward, I would need to see indisputable evidence the deal is being broken.   Who knows how, or what they could/would retaliate with, but I am pretty sure they have something. Perhaps that is in part why the deal was struck, because we knew they had some serious capability, to which the military option just wasn't going to turn out to be very easy, like it has been in other somewhat defenseless nations. 


Fathertime! 







Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 18, 2015, 09:47:30 PM

Iraq is looking for help since being overrun by terrorists. The next president may provide that help if Russia doesn't gain enough influence and foothold by then.

Why?  Iraq should defend itself rather than expect others to fight their fight.  Iraq promised months ago they would drive against ISIS in Ramadi.  How is that going? 

My stepson has an Iraqi friend at school.  His friend is so pleased that Putin is fighting ISIS.  He would welcome  Putin to come to Iraq and fight ISIS on the ground. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 18, 2015, 10:28:16 PM
Yet for centuries Western countries have sought to harness the power of radical Islam to serve the interests of their own foreign policy.....


http://www.salon.com/2015/10/18/america_enabled_radical_islam_how_the_cia_george_w_bush_and_many_others_helped_create_isis/ (http://www.salon.com/2015/10/18/america_enabled_radical_islam_how_the_cia_george_w_bush_and_many_others_helped_create_isis/)



I doubt Western nation's policies are to harness radical terrorists that will push millions of refugees into the West's arms.


Iraq should defend itself rather than expect others to fight their fight. 



Faced with death, some Iraqis will fight but will struggle to win. In Syria, half the population has been displaced. Most Arab citizens will not fight and as we know, the Iraqi military was not ready when US troops left Iraq.


When I was in the Army, I was aware that I may be fighting for people that are too weak to fight including those in our own nation. If America let many nations fight their own fight, we would have little friends left in this world and wouldn't be a superpower. There are many reasons for helping our friends in their fights besides doing it out of the kindness of our hearts. Providing security for other nations has financial benefits. America did so in WWI and WWII and became a superpower because we entered the wars. Being reliable and backing our friends helps our reputation.


Obama said Russia is making a mistake getting involved with Syria. Russia sees opportunity in Syria and in Iraq since Obama had first crack at doing something there and didn't make much of it. While Obama lets America's friends struggle, Putin is going to make sure Russia's friends thrive.


My stepson has an Iraqi friend at school.  His friend is so pleased that Putin is fighting ISIS.  He would welcome  Putin to come to Iraq and fight ISIS on the ground. 



I don't blame the Iraqi for thinking the way he does. I have a Kurdish friend who wishes Obama gave more help. The Kurds are fighting ISIS and are the most friendly to America out of the major groups in Iraq. Unfortunately for your stepson's Iraqi friend, Putin's main goal in the Middle East isn't to fight ISIS and to save his fellow citizens but to maintain, promote,or install Middle Eastern governments friendly to Russia.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 19, 2015, 01:48:06 AM
Hmm...can anyone tell me more about this "Madam Secretary?" It sounds like a TV series...?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on October 19, 2015, 08:23:00 AM
Hmm...can anyone tell me more about this "Madam Secretary?" It sounds like a TV series...?

Yes it is.  On CBS Sunday nights after football and 60 Minutes.

Check out Tea Leoni as a gal nearing 50 with a great shape, especially her legs . . . if you are attracted to such.

It is probably Ochka's favorite TV show.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madam_Secretary_%28TV_series%29

Madam Secretary is an American political drama television series created by Barbara Hall and executive produced by Lori McCreary and Morgan Freeman. It stars Téa Leoni as Elizabeth Adams McCord, a former CIA analyst and college professor who is promoted to United States Secretary of State. The series premiered on CBS on September 21, 2014.[1][2][3] On October 27, 2014, CBS placed a full season order consisting of 22 episodes for the first season.[4]

On January 12, 2015, Madam Secretary was renewed for a second season.[5]

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 19, 2015, 10:24:48 AM
Thank you, ML!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 19, 2015, 11:26:13 AM
This thread really isn't about the Iran deal, but I did notice that the agreement is moving forward as of today.  All the major powers seem to be fine with what Iran is doing, which appears to be posturing.  Who is to blame them?  With our interventionist history, they got to show they are strong to survive, and discourage us from doing something stupid.  Thankfully Obama is a reasonable man, making good calls.

I'd disagree, Iran's actions are pivotal to the Syrian/middle East situation right now.

Not all the major powers are "fine" with what Iran is doing. France isn't overly impressed...

France says Iran missile test 'worrying' violation of U.N. resolution

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/15/us-iran-france-missiles-idUSKCN0S91A620151015

Posturing? They are 'posturing' with assets they shouldn't have by UN resolution. How do you equate illegal actions with strength?


Your final question has the assumption that Iran is breaking the deal, since all the major powers are moving forward, I would need to see indisputable evidence the deal is being broken.   Who knows how, or what they could/would retaliate with, but I am pretty sure they have something. Perhaps that is in part why the deal was struck, because we knew they had some serious capability, to which the military option just wasn't going to turn out to be very easy, like it has been in other somewhat defenseless nations. 

My question states quite clearly if the Iranians have not complied with several already existing UN resolutions what makes you think they'll comply with this latest agreement as well as what do you think the Iranian Commander is alluding to when he alludes to "options under the table"...

Quote
If Iran has (evidently) broken the already existing UN resolutions and have just threatened the West - who've pinned their hopes on Iran's compliance to the nuc deal with options against Iran, including a military one, if they don't comply - by retaliating with "options under the table." What "options under the table" do you think the Iranian Commander is alluding to?

So, undisputable proof...

..."United Nations Security Council Resolution 1929 – passed on 9 June 2010. Banned Iran from participating in any activities related to ballistic missiles..."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sanctions_against_Iran

In light of the images and link(s) I've posted up thread, whaddya think. Has Iran complied with this UN resolution?

United Nations Security Council Resolution 1984 – passed on 9 June 2011 and United Nations Security Council Resolution 2049 – passed on 7 June 2012 extended the Resolutions and sanctions so it's not like they missed 'not allowed to procure, develop or otherwise participate in any activities related to ballistic missiles', in the fine print, right?

Quote from: fathertime
Perhaps that is in part why the deal was struck, because we knew they had some serious capability, to which the military option just wasn't going to turn out to be very easy, like it has been in other somewhat defenseless nations.

So why then would Obama and Kerry tell the American public and Congress that if the Iranians don't comply the military option is still on the table?

You are suggesting Obama's assurances were untruthful. Designed to give a false sense of security to those that opposed his agreement to get it ratified even though he knew the ability to deal with any non compliance by Iran wasn't going to be as easy as he assured it would be.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on October 19, 2015, 05:26:36 PM
Yes it is.  On CBS Sunday nights after football and 60 Minutes.

Check out Tea Leoni as a gal nearing 50 with a great shape, especially her legs . . . if you are attracted to such.

Yes, and yes!

It is probably Ochka's favorite TV show.

Definitely one of mine as well.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madam_Secretary_%28TV_series%29

On January 12, 2015, Madam Secretary was renewed for a second season.[5]

Hasn't got to us yet, but I'm eagerly awaiting it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on October 20, 2015, 07:38:58 AM
An interesting book review from the WSJ.



Our Brothers’ Keepers
The histories of Judaism and Christianity suggest that words alone won’t pacify Islam. Its transformation will be long and bloody.


Quote
The problem isn’t Islam: Mr. Sacks points out that Jewish and Christian scriptures have also been invoked to justify violence. It’s human nature. We’re tribal creatures. We bond with our kinsmen against outsiders. Tyrants and demagogues exploit this tribal propensity by feeding us religious doctrines that blame our suffering on enemies: infidels, Crusaders, Jews. This “pathological dualism,” as Mr. Sacks describes it, corrupts societies by deflecting internal scrutiny and impeding reform. And it dehumanizes the putative enemy, facilitating mass murder.


and


Quote
Our first mistake is to read scripture literally. This, Mr. Sacks explains, is fundamentalism: “text without context, and application without interpretation.” Any zealot can choose a bloody passage and broadcast it to incite mayhem. The antidote to this naive fanaticism, according to Mr. Sacks, isn’t secularism. It’s tradition. “Religions develop rules of interpretation and structures of authority,” he explains. They debate the text’s meaning. Over centuries, they accumulate wisdom.


(Emphasis mine)


http://www.wsj.com/articles/our-brothers-keepers-1445296466


Actually, it transcends religion, if you look how political campaigns are run.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 20, 2015, 10:40:40 AM
Looks like a good article, Muzh.

A prominent slogan seen in hotspots around the Middle East is (translated from Arabic): "First the Saturday people, then the Sunday people." Despite what the Koran says about respecting "people of the Book," much of today's Islamic teaching labels the Saturday people (Jews) and the Sunday people (Christians) as targets for extermination.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 21, 2015, 12:42:02 PM
'Amazing' how the Russians and their 'antiquated' military are doing so much more damage to ISIS, than the US and partners could do...  Quite obviously the US was never actually trying to have too much success eradicating ISIS.  The goal was probably to keep the region in chaos, which they have successfully done now for over 4 years.  Of course most of the people here, don't care enough to think about what is really going on, and will just believe the lies between handfuls of Frito's. 


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 21, 2015, 06:10:18 PM
'Amazing' how the Russians and their 'antiquated' military are doing so much more damage to ISIS, than the US and partners could do... 

First, is this something to extol?.........75% of US coalition air missions return to base without dropping bombs because of concerns about  civilian casualties.   

http://www.airforcetimes.com/story/military/pentagon/2015/06/05/many-anti-islamic-state-sorties-dont-include-airstrikes/28545307/

http://www.news.com.au/national/raaf-mission-against-isis-pilots-did-not-drop-bombs-because-of-collateral-damage-risk/story-fncynjr2-1227083688464

Second, do you believe  Russian operates with similar concern about civilian casualties?    This was discussed earlier in the thread, and the implications are tragic.

Third, are you aware of the evidence indicating  Russia is using  internationally banned  cluster bombs? 

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/10/evidence-mounts-russian-cluster-bomb-syria-151012081654030.html

Fourth, what are your sources to back your claim about Russia causing more damage to ISIS?   If this is your source, I suggest you read closely:

http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/260464/russia-bombs-more-targets-1-day-obama-did-1-month-daniel-greenfield

Everything in the Western press says most of the Russian strikes hit heavily populated areas such as Aleppo where only US backed opposition groups are located.     These strikes not only kill innocent civilians, they  increase the number of  refugees, who eventually arrive in "cradle-to-the-grave giveaway programs" of the socialistic EU.  The debt stricken EU will have to print more money, accelerating  a debt crises into a disaster.  Warning - don't invest in the EU. 

http://www.voanews.com/content/syrian-offensives-trigger-more-turkey-bound-refugees/3016471.html


Returning to your words, what I see is not that Russian military is better than US military.  Instead, the US has consciously withdrawn, and was never committed in the first place.  This is what you want the US to do, so you should be cheering Obama's withdrawal.

File this away:  the world has always needed a policeman.  If not the US, who should it be?


Quote
   Quite obviously the US was never actually trying to have too much success eradicating ISIS.   


You are correct.  Eradication can only be done with ground forces, and we will not and should not send American troops to engage ISIS on the ground.  Such is the job for the Iraqi, who so far have shown no willingness to confront ISIS.  Who will step in if not the Iraqi?  The Iranians.  Implications....please!!!!


Quote
The goal was probably to keep the region in chaos, which they have successfully done now for over 4 years.  Of course most of the people here, don't care enough to think about what is really going on, and will just believe the lies between handfuls of Frito's. 

Unlike the Frito eaters who  who participate here,  you are either a troll or just simple-minded.    May the pox that has ravaged your brain venture to your hands and wither them, preventing them from striking a keyboard.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 21, 2015, 09:41:42 PM
First, is this something to extol?.........75% of US coalition air missions return to base without dropping bombs because of concerns about  civilian casualties.   

http://www.airforcetimes.com/story/military/pentagon/2015/06/05/many-anti-islamic-state-sorties-dont-include-airstrikes/28545307/ (http://www.airforcetimes.com/story/military/pentagon/2015/06/05/many-anti-islamic-state-sorties-dont-include-airstrikes/28545307/)

http://www.news.com.au/national/raaf-mission-against-isis-pilots-did-not-drop-bombs-because-of-collateral-damage-risk/story-fncynjr2-1227083688464 (http://www.news.com.au/national/raaf-mission-against-isis-pilots-did-not-drop-bombs-because-of-collateral-damage-risk/story-fncynjr2-1227083688464)

Second, do you believe  Russian operates with similar concern about civilian casualties?    This was discussed earlier in the thread, and the implications are tragic.

250,000 dead prior to Russian involvement...boy we sure are doing a heck of a job (Brownie) with keeping those casualties down!   





 

Fourth, what are your sources to back your claim about Russia causing more damage to ISIS?   If this is your source, I suggest you read closely:

http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/260464/russia-bombs-more-targets-1-day-obama-did-1-month-daniel-greenfield (http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/260464/russia-bombs-more-targets-1-day-obama-did-1-month-daniel-greenfield)

Everything in the Western press says most of the Russian strikes hit heavily populated areas such as Aleppo where only US backed opposition groups are located.     


Western backed groups= ISIS.   At this point, there is no need for Russia to make a distinction.  Russia backs Assad, who has been leading the country for the past 15 years.  We *The US* are arming 'rebels' and fomenting agony, for our own ends.   Keeping the region in chaos is apparently better than the alternative, from our viewpoint....WE certainly aren't the good guys. 



File this away:  the world has always needed a policeman.  If not the US, who should it be?
I reject this statement, the world has NOT always needed A policeman.




Unlike the Frito eaters who  who participate here,  you are either a troll or just simple-minded.    May the pox that has ravaged your brain venture to your hands and wither them, preventing them from striking a keyboard.



Yup, you have really 'profoundly changed'.  hahaha 


I think it is your brain that isn't functioning on all cylinders, and has become immalleable, which I'm sure you mistakenly think is a good thing. 


Fathertime!   











Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 22, 2015, 06:25:14 AM
250,000 dead prior to Russian involvement...boy we sure are doing a heck of a job (Brownie) with keeping those casualties down!   

So you believe the US bombing is responsible for the 250,000 dead and not the barrel bombing, starvation, etc. tactics of Assad. 

IDIOT             1
INFORMED   0


Quote
  Western backed groups= ISIS.   

IDIOT             2
INFORMED   0


Quote
At this point, there is no need for Russia to make a distinction.  Russia backs Assad, who has been leading the country for the past 15 years. 


You made a factual statement.  I am stunned. 


Quote
We *The US* are arming 'rebels' and fomenting agony, for our own ends.   Keeping the region in chaos is apparently better than the alternative, from our viewpoint....WE certainly aren't the good guys. 

Who else provides arms to the rebels?  What percentage comes from the US?  What nations consider Assad a pariah?

IDIOT             3
INFORMED   0


Quote
I reject this statement, the world has NOT always needed A policeman. 

What happens if there is no one prepared to stand up to an aggressor?   Policemen spend very little of their time confronting criminals directly.  Their vigilance is just as important as their ability to take a criminal down.  And  the policemen must be armed and ever ready  to arrest a hardened criminal.   

BTW, the US "policeman" actions are done for the most part as a coalition.

IDIOT             4
INFORMED   0


Quote
  Yup, you have really 'profoundly changed'.  hahaha  I think it is your brain that isn't functioning on all cylinders, and has become immalleable, which I'm sure you mistakenly think is a good thing. 

Why do I treat you this way?  It is because you do not analyze facts before making statements.  I am amused at others trying to REASON with you.  They miss the point - you can not be reasoned OUT of an opinion if you were never reasoned INTO the opinion. 

Yesterday I asked you to give the sources of the crazed statements you made.  You ignored me because your opinions are not based on credible sources.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 22, 2015, 06:53:57 AM
So you believe the US bombing is responsible for the 250,000 dead and not the barrel bombing, starvation, etc. tactics of Assad. 

IDIOT             1
INFORMED   0


IDIOT             2
INFORMED   0



You made a factual statement.  I am stunned. 


Who else provides arms to the rebels?  What percentage comes from the US?  What nations consider Assad a pariah?

IDIOT             3
INFORMED   0


What happens if there is no one prepared to stand up to an aggressor?   Policemen spend very little of their time confronting criminals directly.  Their vigilance is just as important as their ability to take a criminal down.  And  the policemen must be armed and ever ready  to arrest a hardened criminal.   

BTW, the US "policeman" actions are done for the most part as a coalition.

IDIOT             4
INFORMED   0


Why do I treat you this way?  It is because you do not analyze facts before making statements.  I am amused at others trying to REASON with you.  They miss the point - you can not be reasoned OUT of an opinion if you were never reasoned INTO the opinion. 

Yesterday I asked you to give the sources of the crazed statements you made.  You ignored me because your opinions are not based on credible sources.


Bottom line is the US is trying to arm and sponsor yet another coup, where there is a legitimate secular government in place. What has ensued is obvious.   Silly fools like yourself refuse to see our guilt, and live in a world where we are the cops riding in on a white horse, and everybody that disagrees is the bad guy on a black horse. 


When ISIS was doing the work we wanted them to do, we laid off them on one hand, while demonizing them on the other....having our cake and eating it too.  I'm convinced we let all those arms fall into their hands, we didn't spend 500 million on 54 trainees.  You can believe that if you want, but I think it was intentional.


The REAL curiosity is why exactly are we involving ourselves in Syria, for real? Only fools will believe it is for altruistic reasons.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 22, 2015, 03:39:22 PM

The REAL curiosity is why exactly are we involving ourselves in Syria, for real? Only fools will believe it is for altruistic reasons.


You know everything, so please tell us "why exactly" we and many other nations are involved.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 22, 2015, 03:47:31 PM
You know everything, so please tell us "why exactly" we and many other nations are involved.


What I do know for sure is that YOU know VERY little.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 22, 2015, 05:12:28 PM
Whatever happened to that Russia was going to wither up and die on the vine in 2015?


Russia shows military might in Syria, also pushes diplomacy

HEMEIMEEM AIR BASE, Syria (AP) — As Russia unleashed waves of warplanes Thursday from this air base in western Syria to pound militant targets, President Vladimir Putin pushed diplomatic efforts with the West, stressing the need "to consider each other as allies in a common fight."

Russia put its military muscle on display, bringing Moscow-based reporters to view a day's worth of fighter jets roaring.....

http://news.yahoo.com/russia-planes-fly-western-syria-053421955.html;_ylt=A0LEVxJteilWjvIADoFXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyYnEyMzRtBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDQjA4MTNfMQRzZWMDc2M- (http://news.yahoo.com/russia-planes-fly-western-syria-053421955.html;_ylt=A0LEVxJteilWjvIADoFXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyYnEyMzRtBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDQjA4MTNfMQRzZWMDc2M-)




Fathertime! 








Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 22, 2015, 09:26:31 PM
  Eradication can only be done with ground forces, and we will not and should not send American troops to engage ISIS on the ground.  Such is the job for the Iraqi, who so far have shown no willingness to confront ISIS.  Who will step in if not the Iraqi? 



Kurdish Iraqis have been fighting ISIS regularly and the Iraqi government has held talks with Russia about needing help against ISIS. Iraqis alone can't beat ISIS but how many nations should be turned over to fanatical groups before we step in? Many people in this world doesn't want a world policeman including Obama yet we need a world policeman.


American soldier killed in story below. American advisors were advising Kurdish soldiers in a raid of an ISIS prison located in Iraq to free 70 Arab hostages. They were there to strictly advise the Kurdish soldiers but somehow got caught in the firefight and engaged ISIS. I don't know why Obama refuses to acknowledge that he sent a "few" ground troops in to fight ISIS. Maybe that won't sit well with his voter base?


http://gma.yahoo.com/us-military-adviser-dies-iraqi-rescue-mission-141440977--abc-news-topstories.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 23, 2015, 06:05:45 AM
Putin accuses West of playing 'double game' in Syria

Moscow (AFP) - Russian President Vladimir Putin accused the West of playing a "double game"
with "terrorist" groups in Syria, where Moscow and a US-led coalition are conducting separate
bombing campaigns.

"It's always difficult to play a double game: declaring a fight against terrorists while simultaneously
trying to use some of them to arrange the pieces on the Middle East chess board in one's own
interests," Putin said at a meeting of political scientists in Sochi known as the Valdai Club.

"It is impossible to prevail over terrorism if some of the terrorists are being used as a battering ram
to overthrow undesirable regimes," Putin said.

There is more read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/putin-accuses-west-double-game-syria-terrorist-groups-155553638.html;_ylt=AwrXgCMsKSpW7Q0AwyvQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTByN3UwbTk1BGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwM5BHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 23, 2015, 09:08:45 AM
Quote
Whatever happened to that Russia was going to wither up and die on the vine in 2015?

You mean the one that desperately needs Western sanctions to end. This year the Russian economy has dropped 9 percent of GDP, the ruble has lost over half its value, and the economy has slipped from 9th to 13th in the world.

Or, perhaps the one that is desperate to get out of a failed Ukrainian mess, and is starting to "explain" on Russian TV that the Russian brothers in the Ukrainian East "haven't done enough" for Moscow to continue supporting the rebels at current levels.

Or, perhaps you refer to the Russia that is sensing a growing distance from China, the once thought of saviour of the Russian economy. You know, the same China that not only refuses to recognize Crimea as part of Russia, but the China that last Thursday voted to give Ukraine a seat on the UN Security Council. The very same China has become in 2015 the single largest buyer of Ukrainian corn crops, and the same China that refused to side with Russia on the Security Council vote to investigate the shooting down of MH 17 over Eastern Ukraine.

There are three reasons why the Russians now speak of diplomacy:
1- The bombing and bases in Syria have already eaten up half of the military slush fund for such "emergencies."
2- Moscow hopes that Washington can be convinced to drop sanctions if Moscow becomes a diplomacy partner.
3- Beijing has told Moscow that it needs to do more talking, and less shooting.

As to the economy, perhaps in all your wide experience here in Russia you've found a source of cheese, or milk, or apples that I have somehow missed. Maybe those currency exchange signs look different to you than the ones I see every day.

Enlighten me, please.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 23, 2015, 11:49:38 AM

Enlighten me, please.

Superbly written Mendy. 

I read this week's trip to Moscow was Assad's first time outside Syria since 2011.  That speaks volumes about his place in the world.    Pariahs must stick together. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 23, 2015, 12:40:24 PM
You mean the one that desperately needs Western sanctions to end. This year the Russian economy has dropped 9 percent of GDP, the ruble has lost over half its value, and the economy has slipped from 9th to 13th in the world.

Or, perhaps the one that is desperate to get out of a failed Ukrainian mess, and is starting to "explain" on Russian TV that the Russian brothers in the Ukrainian East "haven't done enough" for Moscow to continue supporting the rebels at current levels.

Or, perhaps you refer to the Russia that is sensing a growing distance from China, the once thought of saviour of the Russian economy. You know, the same China that not only refuses to recognize Crimea as part of Russia, but the China that last Thursday voted to give Ukraine a seat on the UN Security Council. The very same China has become in 2015 the single largest buyer of Ukrainian corn crops, and the same China that refused to side with Russia on the Security Council vote to investigate the shooting down of MH 17 over Eastern Ukraine.

There are three reasons why the Russians now speak of diplomacy:
1- The bombing and bases in Syria have already eaten up half of the military slush fund for such "emergencies."
2- Moscow hopes that Washington can be convinced to drop sanctions if Moscow becomes a diplomacy partner.
3- Beijing has told Moscow that it needs to do more talking, and less shooting.

As to the economy, perhaps in all your wide experience here in Russia you've found a source of cheese, or milk, or apples that I have somehow missed. Maybe those currency exchange signs look different to you than the ones I see every day.

Enlighten me, please.


None of this seems to have phased the Russians as it pertains to their willingness to not yield to Western intervention in Syria.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 23, 2015, 01:23:26 PM
Putin accuses West of playing 'double game' in Syria

 


Good article, thanks for posting it.  I agree with Putin on that one...we are trying to have our cake and eat it too.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 23, 2015, 02:04:00 PM
Quote
None of this seems to have phased the Russians as it pertains to their willingness to not yield to Western intervention in Syria.


Fathertime!   

Are you brain dead?

I give you a list of things, including the FACT that the Russians have already spent HALF of their budget on this project, and you say it has not phased them?!

Wow.

BTW, you and I are not that far off on the Syrian situation, but neither am I ignorant to the on-the-ground financial complications. When you have a president and prime minister who are preparing the general population for further cuts in pension and health care benefits, I'd be inclined to pay some attention to those realities.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 23, 2015, 02:06:08 PM
As usual, you like to speak nonsense, but fail to answer questions.

Again, please enlighten me.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 23, 2015, 02:21:34 PM
Are you brain dead?

I give you a list of things, including the FACT that the Russians have already spent HALF of their budget on this project, and you say it has not phased them?!

Wow.



I don't know what has you all riled up.   I read your list.  Despite your list, Russia is taking actions, and making sacrifices to do so.  Yes, it seems the sacrifices aren't 'phasing' them enough to make them do what 'we' (the Western nations)wants.  I don't know what more response you would need to feel enlightened, but my intent wasn't really to enlighten you to begin with. 



BTW, you and I are not that far off on the Syrian situation, but neither am I ignorant to the on-the-ground financial complications. When you have a president and prime minister who are preparing the general population for further cuts in pension and health care benefits, I'd be inclined to pay some attention to those realities.



Well  they might think the sacrifices are going to be worth it in the longer run. 


Fathertime! 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 23, 2015, 08:40:49 PM
Or, perhaps you refer to the Russia that is sensing a growing distance from China, the once thought of saviour of the Russian economy. You know, the same China that not only refuses to recognize Crimea as part of Russia, but the China that last Thursday voted to give Ukraine a seat on the UN Security Council. The very same China has become in 2015 the single largest buyer of Ukrainian corn crops, and the same China that refused to side with Russia on the Security Council vote to investigate the shooting down of MH 17 over Eastern Ukraine.



Actually I see Russia and China growing closer than ever as they both have interests in being top dog in this world to overtake America. The UN security council to enforce international law and promote peace is a joke. Russia and China are permanent members and they are both seeking more real estate through hostile means. Sure China didn't side with Russia on a number of issues and voted to give Ukraine a seat on the security council. Not a big deal. China is looking out for themselves and pissing off Western customers is bad for business. Voting Ukraine to the security council isn't going to hurt Russia since some people will believe the security council has become more biased against whatever Russia does and later may even help Russia if Putin gets another puppet elected in Ukraine.


Sure China is buying Ukrainian corn but China signed a $400 billion deal with Russia to buy Russian gas. Sure China doesn't recognize Crimea belonging to Russia but they are going to help build a multi billion dollar bridge for Russia to access Crimea better. Unlike the West, China didn't place sanctions on Russia. They are a lot closer to Russia with similar global interests than we think.


It's understandable that many people here dislike Russia and easy to criticize what's wrong. Russia's economy is hurting as a result of Putin's policies but it's clear he's willing to sacrifice his economy to achieve military objectives. Putin is expecting a return on his investing in the military. Getting his name etched in history books could be one of the returns. Some here have ridiculed Russia's military but it's still #2 in this world without the nukes factored in and they can beat anybody except America one on one in a conventional war. Putin is increasing military spending by 30% this year and they have new technology coming out which will further modernize their military.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 23, 2015, 09:09:42 PM

 China is looking out for themselves and pissing off Western customers is bad for business.


I believe your post to be correct.  Today word is that China will be included in the IMF reserve currency basket.  China does have to play the game some, but ultimately they appear to be siding with Russia, more so than western nations.  We (The US) tried to oppose the Chinese on this, but have been forced to cave. 





IMF Said to Give China Strong Signs of Reserve-Currency Nod



International Monetary Fund representatives have told China that the yuan is likely to join the fund’s basket of reserve currencies soon, according to Chinese officials with knowledge of the matter, a move that may make more countries comfortable using the unit or including it in their foreign-exchange holdings.....
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-23/imf-said-to-give-china-strong-signs-of-reserve-currency-blessing (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-10-23/imf-said-to-give-china-strong-signs-of-reserve-currency-blessing)
The IMF has given Chinese officials strong signals in meetings that the yuan is likely to win inclusion in the current
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 23, 2015, 09:19:35 PM
Sure China is buying Ukrainian corn but China signed a $400 billion deal with Russia to buy Russian gas. Sure China doesn't recognize Crimea belonging to Russia but they are going to help build a multi billion dollar bridge for Russia to access Crimea better. Unlike the West, China didn't place sanctions on Russia. They are a lot closer to Russia with similar global interests than we think.

You might want to take a look at these figures, Billy...

Is Russia shifting focus from China to India for its oil barrels?

..."The report states that Russia's exports to China were down 20% compared to last year, while China only invested under $1.6 billion into Russia in 2014, when Russia invested a whopping $151.5 billion during the same year into the Chinese economy."...

http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report-is-russia-shifting-focus-from-china-to-india-for-its-oil-barrels-2125053

As Mendy alludes to, China's playing their own game with Putin. Putin will figure it out about the same time Russia goes bankrupt.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 24, 2015, 08:51:41 AM
While browsing, this link popped up.  According to the story, the Russian military is demonstrating new abilities in Syria, on par with the US military in certain ways. 


New Russian military might on full display in Syria

....The air campaign in Syria, Russia's first military action outside the former Soviet Union since the war in Afghanistan, shows a revamped Russian military, which sharply differs in both capability and mindset from the old, Soviet-style force.

It is capable of quickly projecting power far from Russian borders, widely uses drones and precision weapons, and cares about soldiers' comfort.......

http://news.yahoo.com/syria-mission-demonstrates-russias-prowess-103015120.html (http://news.yahoo.com/syria-mission-demonstrates-russias-prowess-103015120.html)





Fathertime!   

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 24, 2015, 10:43:02 AM
Billy, when Russia has the population, and the economic might, to replace the USA then China might care. Right now, they simply keeping their commitment to BRICS alive, but the USA is a far bigger trading power than Russia.

You are misguided if you think that there were not heavy implications for Russia when China refused to support Russia on the voting to bring Ukraine into the UN Security Council, and China's refusal to side with Russia on the veto to have the UN investigate MH 17.

From where I sit as perhaps the only forum member who has traveled to China with two sitting Russian presidents, China is placing their bets carefully. Putin is aware, as there is a reason why the border with China dedicates a healthy percentage of Russia's military reserves even today.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 24, 2015, 02:30:08 PM

Russia Said to Redeploy Special-Ops Forces From Ukraine to Syria
Russian, Western officials say elite units being sent to support Assad forces

By THOMAS GROVE of the Wall Street Journal
MOSCOW
—Russia has sent a few dozen special-operations troops to Syria in recent weeks, Russian
and Western officials say, redeploying the elite units from Ukraine as the Kremlin shifts its focus to
supporting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Russia in late September launched a campaign of airstrikes in support of Mr. Assad’s government,
and President Vladimir Putin has said Russian troops won't play a role in ground combat. But Russian
military experts and officials say small numbers of special-forces units—whose missions are rarely
acknowledged publicly—are also on the ground in Syria.


Read all about it here
http://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-said-to-redeploy-special-ops-forces-from-ukraine-to-syria-1445636834
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 24, 2015, 02:35:00 PM
I really don't think that the US will have any success in foreign policy while they
have lightweight John Kerry in the mix, but of course I would love to be wrong.

U.S., Russia, Turkey, Saudi weigh new ideas for Syria political transition to end war
Hamilton Spectator
By Matthew Lee


IENNA — The United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia and Turkey put forward new ideas Friday to revive a
failed push for a political transition in Syria that could end the country's civil war, U.S. Secretary of
State John Kerry said Friday. But they remained deeply divided over the future of Syrian President
Bashar Assad.

The top diplomats from the four countries agreed to meet again in an expanded format with representatives
from other nations next week, but the only concrete result of this week's talks appeared to be an agreement
between Jordan and Russia to co-ordinate military operations in Syria. Kerry said there was no decision
on whether to invite Iran, a major patron of Syria.

read the entire story here
http://www.thespec.com/news-story/6033635-u-s-russia-turkey-saudi-weigh-new-ideas-for-syria-political-transition-to-end-war/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 24, 2015, 07:01:28 PM
You are misguided if you think that there were not heavy implications for Russia when China refused to support Russia on the voting to bring Ukraine into the UN Security Council, and China's refusal to side with Russia on the veto to have the UN investigate MH 17.



There are zero implications for Russia based on Chinese actions at the UN. It may mean something to you but to many, it means nothing. China voted to put Ukraine on the worthless security council, a Ukraine who may be under Russian influence again in the near future. Russia will never get punished for MH17. Too many nations, especially European, want to continue to do business with Russia.


China is a nation where a cow is worth more than a human. They don't give a rats ass about those who died on MH17. You don't care much about Russia based on their recent aggression. Why do you care about what China thinks? Why do you value their opinion and not Russia's who is a similar aggressor? It's okay for China to take over land as long as it's not Ukraine's? I get the feeling some here are wanting so bad for China to hate Russia and some even predicted China will invade Russia. China needs Russia to defect attention off their own land grabs. They need each other until America falls.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 24, 2015, 08:59:23 PM
Given the fact that Russian military doctrine authorizes a "regional nuclear" response to localized threats, I do not believe that China plans to invade militarily. However, and I continue to point this out, China is considered a prime threat by the Russians themselves. Despite any gas deals, Russia devotes a significant portion of military manpower and budget to the border. Today.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 25, 2015, 06:13:02 AM
However, and I continue to point this out, China is considered a prime threat by the Russians themselves. Despite any gas deals, Russia devotes a significant portion of military manpower and budget to the border.

I don't know about what Russians you're talking. Russian officials do not consider China as the prime threat, at least in public. From people, including locals who live near Russian-China border, I did not hear any fears. May be you mean jornalist's circles? I remember the theme of China expansion was popular in late 1990s but now Russians have drawn a different picture of global threats.
   Deployment of military manpower along the Chinese border can be traced back to Soviet times when China-Russia relations were at the lowest point after border conflicts. Not easy to move the established military bases to another locations, and besides the army serves as  pioneers in sparsely populated regions of Siberia.

(http://suptg.thisisnotatrueending.com/archive/12724034/images/1289222143749.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on October 25, 2015, 07:00:44 AM
(http://suptg.thisisnotatrueending.com/archive/12724034/images/1289222143749.jpg)

Is that what the Kremlin's telling the Russian people now...The vaunted Russian military has giant laser shooting robots? :D

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 25, 2015, 12:55:00 PM
Belvis, you should get to know the government budget more intimately. You'd also do well to learn the top 3 "threats" as calculated by your own Security Council.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 25, 2015, 01:01:23 PM
Russia offers to coordinate with rebels and US in Syria
Free Syrian Army rejects Russia's offer to cooperate, saying Russian
air force jets regularly target FSA positions.


http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/10/russia-offers-coordinate-rebels-syria-free-syrian-army-usa-kerry-lavrov-151024220647655.html

Syria conflict: FSA rebels reject Russia military help
An FSA spokesman told the BBC that Moscow could not be trusted and that its help was not
needed. Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Saturday that Russia was ready to help the
rebels if they attacked militants from the Islamic State (IS) group.

Russia, a key ally of the Syrian government, has carried out air strikes in the country since last
month. Moscow says the strikes have mainly targeted IS, but Western powers say most have
hit the FSA and other factions backed by the West and Gulf states.

In his offer to the FSA, Mr Lavrov said the Russian air force could support the FSA provided
the US shared information about rebel positions.

read all about it here
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34632483
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 25, 2015, 02:09:53 PM
Putin Is Angling for a Quick Exit From Syria
By Vladimir Frolov

Russian President Vladimir Putin is pivoting to diplomacy on Syria to capitalize on the perception
of Russia's military success after four weeks of air strikes. He is in a rush to switch gears before
the Syrian army's offensive stalls and Russia's key ally is exposed as a spent force.

Having achieved his primary objective of positioning Russia as an indispensable global power on
a par with the United States, Putin is angling for a quick exit before the going gets tough.

Putin's diplomatic plan, borrowing heavily from his Chechen template, centers on the need to
split the anti-Assad opposition and co-opt those of its elements who would agree to hold the
transition talks with Syrian President Bashar Assad and stop fighting the regime, while turning
their arms against the Islamic State.

During Assad's clandestine visit to Moscow last week, he was told to agree to share power and
Russia's military support with those moderate opposition groups that Russia would be able to
incite and co-opt into a "counter-terrorist coalition" to fight the Islamic State. Those opposition
groups who did not join the "coalition" would be labeled Islamic State and bombed into dust.

It's a cynically clever plan to create a new reality in Syria by turning its civil war into a counter-
terrorist operation. Moscow, however, needs assistance from the United States, Saudi Arabia
and Turkey, who back moderate opposition groups, to bring at least some of them to the
negotiating table with Assad, while cutting off military support to those who refuse. The task is
all the more difficult since Russia now bombs all those groups.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called upon the Free Syrian Army to accept Russian air
support to fight the Islamic State and join talks with Assad to prepare for early presidential and
parliamentary elections.

there is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/putin-is-angling-for-a-quick-exit-from-syria/540318.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 25, 2015, 03:04:02 PM


Putin's diplomatic plan, borrowing heavily from his Chechen template, centers on the need to
split the anti-Assad opposition and co-opt those of its elements who would agree to hold the
transition talks with Syrian President Bashar Assad and stop fighting the regime, while turning
their arms against the Islamic State.


Wishful thinking.  In reality, I doubt it will happen based on history:  both recent history and the distant past.  The number and diversity of sects in Syria are almost as complicated as the situation in Lebanon. 

Assad is an Alawite and draws his support from the Alawite people.  The Alawite are a Shia sect and  account for only 15-20% of the Syrian population, with the majority of Syria being Sunni (both Arabs and Kurds), and there are other smaller  sects.   

Even though a minority, the Alawite  were the  political and military elite ever since Syria was created.   There were conflicts in the past among the different sects, and the civil war has brought it to extreme hatred.  This is more than a feud; there are scores to be settled.  Situations where the minority rules eventually collapse. 

So how will Russia bring the diverse sects and their EU, Arabic and US supporting governments to the negotiation table?  Bombing the opposition sects into submission is not the answer IMO.  Even if negotiations were started, how will they fare?  Consider Libya and Iraq as examples. 

Lebanon is quite possibly an indicator of the best that can happen in Syria.  Lebanon in 1975 was considered one of only two democracies in the Middle East.  It lost that status because of a long civil war.  The war ended in 1990, and a shared government installed, yet 25 years later one can not call Lebanon a politically free, united nation.  Many divisions remain with outside players such as Iran supplying the Hezbollah.  So why will Syria be any better?   BTW, Syria long played a destabilizing role in Lebanon.   

As Obama said, this is a quagmire.

Regarding the concept that Putin is "angling for a quick exit," has Putin ever withdrawn before he accomplished his goals?   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on October 25, 2015, 04:40:47 PM
Russian officials do not consider China as the prime threat, at least in public.

Finally bowing to the inevitable in acknowledging vassal state status to your Chinese overlords?
 ;D
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 25, 2015, 07:37:45 PM
Russia devotes a significant portion of military manpower and budget to the border. Today.



That is nothing to be alarmed about. Russia isn't the exception. It's the rule that every country bordering China by land or sea devotes a significant portion of their military and budget to discourage China from heading their way. China is an aggressor just as Russia is. Countries bordering Russia aren't sleeping well at night either and a good portion of their military is devoted to counter a Russian attack.


China were in border wars with India, Russia, and Vietnam in the last 60 years. China also engaged America in the Vietnam and Korean wars. China made it a point they don't want America on their doorstep. If a hostile nation attacks Canada, America won't let them be successful either.


China is currently aggressive with Vietnam and Philippines taking over disputed islands and oil rich territory in the China Sea. Where there are no islands, China is building islands by dumping dirt on coral to raise elevations. Taiwan will always be on their "to do" list.


Russia has little to worry about from China and they've even held military drills together recently according to the article below. America has a weak president who is reluctant to enforce international law which means there is currently nobody to enforce it. No better time to snap up some real estate by bullying the little guys and the free for all is better when the aggressors stick together.


http://www.nationalinterest.org/feature/russia-china-beware-the-budding-eurasian-colossus-14163?ref=yfp
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on October 26, 2015, 12:32:04 AM
Oh dear!!!

Looks like huilo's war planes are having some trouble operating under desert conditions in Syria...

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2015/10/25/russia-vladimir-putin-ash-carter-syria/74586002/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 26, 2015, 01:51:56 AM

That is nothing to be alarmed about. Russia isn't the exception. It's the rule that every country bordering China by land or sea devotes a significant portion of their military and budget to discourage China from heading their way. China is an aggressor just as Russia is. Countries bordering Russia aren't sleeping well at night either and a good portion of their military is devoted to counter a Russian attack.

Russia has little to worry about from China and they've even held military drills together recently according to the article below.  No better time to snap up some real estate by bullying the little guys and the free for all is better when the aggressors stick together.


The only folks worried about China on Russia's borders are the Russians. Again, given Russia's doctrine of limited and regional nuclear defense, it is unlikely that the Chinese will be planning an invasion anytime soon.

Billy, I hope that you can grasp something of the Eastern mindset here. The European Russia is window dressing. At heart, Russia is (over 51% geographically) in her soul an Asian nation. Do you recall the phrase, "scratch a Russian and underneath is a Tatar"? That isn't literally about the Tatar minority, rather it is about who Russia really is. The rage, and racism, on the outside is simply a European mask. Yeah, yeah, we can reason that the Asian part of Russian holds a minority of her population, but when it comes to logic and thought processes, Russia is Asian.

That being said, Putin (and China) follow the the old maxim of "hold your friends close, but your enemies closer." Of course they've conducted military drills jointly. That is not a new thing, by the way.

The current USA president is not the only one from weak lineage. I recall one before him saying something about looking deep into Putin's eyes, and wanting to kiss him, or something of the sort. They rode around in antique cars together, and talked oil and fishing. Good ole boys, just like Yeltsin and his weak counterpart, William Jefferson "grab her by the ass" Clinton. The two got drunk and Yeltsin claimed that Clinton was just like a Russian because he liked women and booze.

The problem with the USA is that the people who understand Russia are not in places of influence. After John Quincy Adams and James Buchanan who served the Union as Ambassadors to Russia in the early days, in more recent years only Ambassadors James Collins and Arthur Hartman lasted more than 3 years. Many lasted a few months, a few lasted a year. It was a drought after that, and not until John Beyrle took the oath did the Americans have someone who knew, understood, and was respected by Moscow.

Then along came the current alien on the Potomac and Beyrle, the best Ambassador in years, was out of a job because a new POTUS had a hard-on for a young and green college professor from California. Michael McFaul had a record of serving organizations who planned how to topple governments, and his arrival to Moscow was chilly. His first appointments were to meet with the opposition, not with his host government. McFaul served two years, sort of, as he commuted weekly from California to Moscow. His family never joined him, and in reality his staff ran the Embassy. In real life, Michael is a decent guy. I hope that he gets to write books...from California, naturally.

It took dragging Henry Kissinger out of retirement to make a one-day trip to Moscow; first to spank McFaul for being stupid, and then to meet with Putin to ask for mercy, grace, and a little more time. Host countries do have the right to expel Ambassadors.

So the brain surgeons along the Potomac decided to replace McFaul with the Ambassador who had just seen the revolution in Ukraine. Given Moscow's suspicions about USA orchestration of the Maidan revolution, as you can imagine the act of moving the guy from Kyiv to Moscow was a real smart choice. Not. Nothing against a good and capable man, John Tefft, but some appointments require a sense of timing, not stupidity from grownups that act like interns.

So, were anyone to wonder how Vladimir Putin wouldn't like a tall black pseudo lawyer from Illinois as his counterpart, look at it from the Russian perspective. The fact that on his first trip he not only brought his children to Moscow, but a staff that included cooks, a plane load of food for those chefs to cook, and an official taster whose duty was to taste anything that was presented for Mr. Obama to consume as a guest of the Russian government. Try that when invited to the next family gathering.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 26, 2015, 10:50:56 PM
an official taster whose duty was to taste anything that was presented for Mr. Obama to consume as a guest of the Russian government. Try that when invited to the next family gathering.

I'm sure you know that my wife is Russian and that I love Russian food and surely 
you also know that I am not a fan of either McFall or Team Obama. However after
April 10th 2010 when the Polish president tried to return home from Russia an
official taster might not be such a wacky/zany idea.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on October 27, 2015, 12:56:38 AM
That was something that Putin, if he was involved, could get away with. Poisoning the POTUS of the USA would have been a very different deal. Keep in mind that Medvedev when president had even gone out for hamburgers with Obama in DC, just prior to leaving for the G8 in Canada. That burger stop was seemingly (not really) spontaneous. Dmitry ate his burger, his fries, and enjoyed his beverage--without a taster.   :D

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 27, 2015, 09:52:11 AM
Obama weighs moving U.S. troops closer to front lines in Syria, Iraq
By Missy Ryan and Greg Jaffe Washington Post



read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/obama-weighs-moving-us-troops-closer-to-front-lines-in-syria-iraq/2015/10/26/4ae2f36c-7bec-11e5-b575-d8dcfedb4ea1_story.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 27, 2015, 07:05:50 PM
IRAQ LONG ROAD TO HELL

This current CNN documentary aired yesterday.  Besides the previously mentioned interview with Tony Blair apologizing for the faulty intelligence, it included interviews with many others in the Bush and Obama administrations.  No one other than Tony Blair apologized.

IMO, the most poignant comment came from Richard Hass.  president, Council on Foreign Relations.  He was an advisor to Colin Powell. 

I understood him to say  both Bush and Obama share blame through acts of omission and commission; however, the primary blame rests on the shoulders of the people, i. e., the Iraqis in Iraq and all Middle Eastern people in the region.  He stated  the cultures of this diverse group of people are so flawed THEY HAVE NOT COME TO GRIPS WITH MODERNITY. 

I believe he speaks the truth.  In other words, stability is hopeless within one or two generations.  The West has tried 1) intervention with troops on the ground, 2) intervention without troops on the ground and 3) support without intervention.  None are working.  The US still needs to maintain a position of influence in the region, yet share if not relinquish leadership to the EU because of oil and refugees. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 27, 2015, 07:21:09 PM
U.S. weighs special forces in Syria, helicopters in Iraq


.....That option includes temporarily deploying some U.S. special operations forces inside of Syria to advise moderate Syrian opposition fighters for the first time.....


....Other possibilities including sending a small number of Apache attack helicopters, and U.S. forces to operate them,.....

http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/28/us-mideast-crisis-obama-options-idUSKCN0SM03O20151028 (http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/28/us-mideast-crisis-obama-options-idUSKCN0SM03O20151028)




Once they start floating this idea, it is either already happening, or almost a certainly it will happen.  Why again is it so important for America to encourage, weaponize, and bring down regimes?  I'm convinced that it sure doesn't have to do with actually being helpful....just business for the 'good guys'.


Fathertime!     




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 30, 2015, 08:17:32 AM


Just like clockwork.  Now that we are starting to officially send forces, lets see where this ends. 


U.S. to deploy small number of special forces to Syria in advisory role: sources




WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama plans to deploy a small number of special operations forces to Syria to advise moderate rebels, U.S. sources said, a step he has long resisted to avoid getting dragged into another war in the Middle East.....

http://news.yahoo.com/u-deploy-special-forces-syria-advisory-role-sources-142157547.html (http://news.yahoo.com/u-deploy-special-forces-syria-advisory-role-sources-142157547.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 30, 2015, 05:39:39 PM
DEMS DECRY OBAMA DECISION TO DEPLOY SPECIAL OPS TO SYRIA
BY DEB RIECHMANN
ASSOCIATED PRESS


Congressional Democrats on Friday criticized President Barack Obama's decision to dispatch
a small band of U.S. special operations forces to northern Syria to help local fighters battle the
Islamic State, saying they feared "mission creep" from a president who promised to end American
involvement in two wars.

Democrats complained the move was being made without a clear U.S. strategy in Syria, torn
asunder by years of civil war. They also said the move makes it essential that Congress debate
and vote on a new authorization for the use of military force. Obama is relying on war powers
given to President George W. Bush after 9/11.

Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said sending
American special forces into Syria represents a major shift in policy that puts the United States
on a "potentially dangerous downward slope into a civil war with no end in sight."


read all about it here
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_UNITED_STATES_SYRIA_CONGRESS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2015-10-30-16-13-46
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 31, 2015, 03:28:18 PM
I don't want to make this another US political thread. We have a US Political
thread here. http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=18909.msg416899;topicseen#new



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAzikm9lyoI



Trump slams Obama over ground troops in Syria

Donald Trump on Saturday knocked President Barack Obama's decision to deploy
fewer than 50 Special Operations forces on the ground in Syria, suggesting the
strategy is a half-measure.

"I think we have a president who just doesn't know what he's doing," Trump told CNN.
"You either do it or you don't do it. Fifty people. He puts 50 people."

read all about it here
http://www.cnn.com/2015/10/31/politics/donald-trump-syria-super-pacs/index.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on October 31, 2015, 10:35:15 PM
I just listened to a 6 minute interview with Chris Chistie on fox news.  I wanted to like him, but I found what he said disgusting,regarding Syria.  The interviewer said, WE should decide who runs Syria.  Christie than retorted 'we need to set up a no fly zone, to give 'the rebels' the opportunity to fight'.  What bullshit. The no fly zone he proposes would assure the defeat of Assad, so why pretend it wouldn't, and would mean we imposed our preference on who is leading Syria.  If Christie is going to be touted as a 'straight shooter' he should act one.   Next!!!





  http://video.foxnews.com/v/4589066898001/christie-reacts-to-cnbc-debate-us-troops-going-to-syria-/?#sp=show-clips (http://video.foxnews.com/v/4589066898001/christie-reacts-to-cnbc-debate-us-troops-going-to-syria-/?#sp=show-clips)   


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 01, 2015, 10:40:02 AM
DEMS DECRY OBAMA DECISION TO DEPLOY SPECIAL OPS TO SYRIA
BY DEB RIECHMANN
ASSOCIATED PRESS


Democrats complained the move was being made without a clear U.S. strategy in Syria, torn
asunder by years of civil war.


This move by Obama helps the Kurds.  They are the only people in the region willing to confront ISIS, and this small number of troops will help them continue the fight against ISIS.  This move  is not targeted at Assad.

I applaud the deployment, and I believe  more should be done  for the Kurds, much more.    Unlike the Sunni and Shia sects of Iraq, the  Kurds did not want the US military  to withdraw from Iraq in 2011.  Obama should have stayed in Kurdistan and provided  arms to the Kurds.  Have you seen photos of the Kurdish fighters?  Many do not have modern weapons and uniforms.  Some resemble Taliban, wearing sandals and the like. 

The Kurdish people have been repressed for centuries.  France and England at the conclusion of WW I did not define a homeland for them even though they have their own language, etc.  Kurdistan includes many minorities (including Christians) and the Kurds accept them. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 01, 2015, 10:44:11 AM
Syria rebels using caged captives as 'human shields': monitor




Beirut (AFP) - A major Syrian rebel group is using dozens of captives in metal cages as "human shields" in the largest opposition stronghold on the outskirts of Damascus, a monitor said Sunday.


The group then placed these cages in public squares in the Eastern Ghouta region in an attempt to "prevent regime bombardment", Observatory head Rami Abdel Rahman said.

"Jaish al-Islam is using these captives and kidnapped people -- including whole families -- as human shields," he said......

http://news.yahoo.com/syria-rebels-using-caged-captives-human-shields-monitor-152332114.html (http://news.yahoo.com/syria-rebels-using-caged-captives-human-shields-monitor-152332114.html)




Clearly we (the US) need to be arming/supporting these civilized 'rebels'!  Why the hell is it important for us to continue to support anyone who is against Assad?  Prior to this war which we have helped instigate, Syria was more aligned with Russia than us, but there didn't seem to be too much negative coming from the country, although I'm sure they had some problems.    US interests trump everything else though, so 'Assad must go'!  :rolleyes:


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on November 01, 2015, 10:48:28 AM
France and England at the conclusion of WW I did not define a homeland for them . . .

Lawrence tried in vain to try to educate them (the French and English) about this.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 01, 2015, 12:23:33 PM
Have you seen photos of the Kurdish fighters?  Many do not have modern weapons and uniforms.  Some resemble Taliban, wearing sandals and the like. 

Even The Kurdish women fight for their homeland. We have not provided enough help to the only people in the area who truly want freedom.

(http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/77389000/jpg/_77389733_77389732.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 01, 2015, 12:54:16 PM
It is a very complicated mess, and the USA has chosen sides, some don't deserve to be chosen, without clearly thinking of what it means. The Kurds deserve protection and the ability to carve out a homeland, even if it is part of greater union. However, our NATO allies, the Turks, do not agree.

The Russian objective, although they are running out of money to fund it, is much more clear. They have consistently supported Syria over the years and will continue to do so in the foreseeable future. The Syrians under Assad not only protected the ancient Orthodox communities, but over the years have included Syrian Orthodox leaders in the government.

It is not the only reason, but Moscow's view of themselves as the "Third Rome" means that they feel a responsibility to defend those who befriend Orthodox Christians. In the liturgy every Sunday Orthodox Christians around the world pray:

"O Lord, save your people, and bless your inheritance! Grant victory to the Orthodox Christians over their adversaries, and by virtue of your cross, preserve your habitation."

This prayer, called the Troparian, is not something new due to foreign policy, rather; we have prayed that prayer for centuries, including as Christians were being slaughtered in the middle East by the Muslim Crusaders. To dismiss the Russian concept of a "Third Rome" as trivial, which the current American administration has done, is to show ignorance of history and of the Russian motivation in the Middle East.

The Russians are also very interested in exploiting Obama's stupidity over Iran. There are holes in the Russians policy however, most notably their antagonistic feels to Israel, for example, and their support to terrorist organizations that attack Israel. If anyone should be a friend of Israel, it should logically be the place that at one time claimed the largest population of Jews in the world. However, Russia has a long history of antisemitism, and like the Crimean Tatars, under Putin the Jews who remain in Russia are reporting new challenges for life inside Russia.

In 2014 the largest number of Jews left Russia since the mass migration of the early 1990s. Some of you may know Sophia Tupolev, the (former) RT journalist who assisted the Mendeleyev Journal on Russian language features. Sophia resigned her post at RT, and just this September quietly arrived in Tel Aviv where she swapped her Russian passport for an Israeli one. I am happy to report that she has just landed a job with a television network in Tel Aviv.

That the Russians are bombing the "friends" of the USA serves more than one purpose: it protects their ally, at the same time it is like jabbing a finger in the eye of Obama, who Putin dislikes with a passion, and it tweaks the noses of the leaders in Ankara / Istanbul (a NATO member), where Turkey opposes Russia on Crimea, Ukraine, and Syria, but at the same time has substantial economic ties to Moscow. Just this last September Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was the guest of Vladimir Putin for the historic opening of the new Grand Cathedral Mosque in Moscow. Yet the two are opposed on Iran, Black Sea security, and a host of other issues. The Turks went to the polls today, the second parliamentary election in 5 months, a sign of Erdogan's weakening power (which in my opinion is not perhaps a bad thing).

If one thinks that is complicated, try an international marriage in the midst of such competing international agendas.  :D
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 01, 2015, 04:06:01 PM
Jeepers! The republican candidates all are jumping up and down that Obama sent only 50 special forces.    I'm jumping up and down because he shouldn't have sent any!   


Carson, GOP White House candidates critical of Obama’s Syria plan for 50 Special Ops troops



Republican White House candidates on Sunday criticized President Obama’s plan to deploy 50 Special Operations troops in Syria to fight the Islamic State terror group

“Sending 50 American Special Forces into Syria in the eyes of ISIL shows that Obama is not all in,” candidate and South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham said...

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/11/01/carson-gop-white-house-candidates-critical-obamas-syria-plan-for-50-special-ops/?intcmp=hpbt1 (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/11/01/carson-gop-white-house-candidates-critical-obamas-syria-plan-for-50-special-ops/?intcmp=hpbt1)

What a dog and pony show this is.  The Republicans would probably find a reason to criticize Obama regardless of what he did.  There is hardly any support here to send troops into Syria, and rightfully so.  We were not invited, and have no business trying to determine the outcome in a foreign land that we have little interest in, until now.  One thing this does, is make countries realize they may need to nuclearize themselves to immunize themselves from a possible self-serving US intervention. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 01, 2015, 05:02:19 PM
While Russia spreads itself thin in Syria we move armor and artillery into Estonia.

http://www.baltictimes.com/us_military_hardware_arrives_in_estonia/ (http://www.baltictimes.com/us_military_hardware_arrives_in_estonia/)

Looks like Amari airbase is under expansion as well.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 01, 2015, 05:45:54 PM
I just listened to a 6 minute interview with Chris Christie on fox news.  I wanted to like him, but I found what he said disgusting, regarding Syria.  The interviewer said, WE should decide who runs Syria.

We, meaning the USA?  And some people wonder why other countries are anti-American?

I sincerely hope that this excuse for an interviewer gets reassigned as "our" correspondent in Damascus.  Then he can figure out first-hand how to make his statement come true.  :devil:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 01, 2015, 07:04:22 PM
We, meaning the USA?  And some people wonder why other countries are anti-American?

I sincerely hope that this excuse for an interviewer gets reassigned as "our" correspondent in Damascus.  Then he can figure out first-hand how to make his statement come true.  :devil:

The interviewer actually said such.  His name is Tucker Carlson and he works for Fox News.  Carlson's comment was stupid, and Christie worked around it deftly: 

"I think we have to work with the rebels in Syria to be able to find out who’s best to be able to bring stability to that country. And so, I think that’s got to be something that’s got to come with our help organically from within. If we try to impose it, Tucker, from the outside, I don’t know that that’ll work........ but let’s not keep our eye off the ball, either. Our number one priority has to be to defeat ISIS."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on November 01, 2015, 07:21:48 PM
But Tucker Carlson's perspective is not an unknown, or even unpopular one, on the American right.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 01, 2015, 08:05:13 PM
The interviewer actually said such.  His name is Tucker Carlson and he works for Fox News.  Carlson's comment was stupid, and Christie worked around it deftly: 

"


Christie is a politician so he tried to say the same thing Carlson said, except more diplomatically, and through double-talk.  The end result of an unopposed Christie policy would be the US has a huge voice in who does or doesn't run Syria.   Of course Russia will be in the way, so it would never go as easily as Christie may suggest. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 01, 2015, 09:28:02 PM
But Tucker Carlson's perspective is not an unknown, or even unpopular one, on the American right.

If this were a popular perspective, every Republican candidate would be describing a plan for deciding who runs Syria.  Again, this is a stupid idea. 

I have plenty of conservative friends  as well liberal friends. Few of my friends from the right are itching for a military fight in Syria, especially with Russia. 

They do express their disgust towards Obama, feeling  he has allowed Putin to outmaneuver him.  They want this to be reversed in some way other than by military war with Russia.   And they want a larger military presence in Iraq or Kurdistan or somewhere in the region. 

Me?  I say let Europe take the lead.  Europe has  more at risk in this theater. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 02, 2015, 07:48:00 AM
If this were a popular perspective, every Republican candidate would be describing a plan for deciding who runs Syria.  Again, this is a stupid idea. 

 


In listening to the Republican candidates they ARE talking about our BIG role in Syria...and the reality is, we will be determining who runs the country....at minimum we are going to have a HUGE influence on that leader..  WHY? Who made us boss in that country, where we have barely had contact for decades?  Can't blame Syria, Russia, and Iran for trying to make sure this doesn't happen, they are allies of Syria...and if Clinton wins, she may attempt the same type policy.   


 One would have to assume there is something much larger at play here, or why go through all the trouble. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 02, 2015, 08:20:28 AM


I have plenty of conservative friends  as well liberal friends. Few of my friends from the right are itching for a military fight in Syria, especially with Russia. 




I'm glad that is localized. However, not the same nation-wide with them Republicans. ;)

They do express their disgust towards Obama




My, do wonders ever cease?  ;)



They want this to be reversed in some way other than by military war with Russia.  And they want a larger military presence in Iraq or Kurdistan or somewhere in the region. 



My, and why would they want that? Maybe they want to move a bit north? Or just plain move. Anywhere. You know, like kick ass.

Me?  I say let Europe take the lead.  Europe has  more at risk in this theater.


Now, there's a sage man.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 08:39:34 AM
'Death to America' stands despite nuclear deal: Iran MPs

http://news.yahoo.com/death-america-stands-despite-nuclear-deal-iran-mps-140457243.html;_ylt=AwrXnCdJbjdWNQQAozfQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTByb2lvbXVuBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 12:57:40 PM
Russian air strikes hit Syria's historic Palmyra region
Moscow (AFP)

(http://static01.nyt.com/images/2015/05/20/world/middleeast/20150521-SYRIA-slide-LT82/20150521-SYRIA-slide-LT82-jumbo.jpg)

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-air-force-hit-palmyra-region-syria-160126911.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 02:47:29 PM
I'm posting a few opinion columns which by design are opinionated, to give a
couple of different perspectives. Please note that when I post an opinion article
it doesn't necessarily mean that I agree with it. I'm posting it to add perspective
and to encourage discussion.


Russia’s European game in Syria
Opinion Column Jerusalem Post

(http://i.ytimg.com/vi/ibqfCfarzQQ/maxresdefault.jpg)

This much is clear in Syria: There is no good solution.

There has not been a good solution since that black Wednesday in August 2013, when
Syrian President Bashar Assad’s war machine, by using chemical weapons, crossed the
“red line” that US President Barack Obama had warned would trigger an American military
response. The moderate opposition still stood, and Islamic State had not yet emerged
from the shadows. Yet, in a shocking last-minute aboutface, Obama declined to intervene.

That lapse cannot be undone.

But in the hell of bad solutions on offer for Syria, some are worse than others. And the one
devised by Russian President Vladimir Putin is probably the most infernal of all.

To find out what the opinion columnist thought about Putin's infernal solution
read here

http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Russias-European-game-in-Syria-431832
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 02:51:37 PM
Opinion Column: Note not necessarily my opinion but I wanted to post a
few different views to add perspective and to encourage discussion. 

What is Russia’s strategy in Syria?
By Gwynne Dyer, Special to the BDN

Photo of Russian su-24 fighter bomber from now the end begins site
(http://www.nowtheendbegins.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/russian-su-24-fighter-bombers-start-bombing-runs-syria-isis-islamic-state-putin-assad.jpg)


It’s easy to define the American strategy in Syria, although it is more of a wish list than
an actual strategy. It is “containment” of the nightmarish Islamic State that now controls
eastern Syria and western Iraq, together with the overthrow of the brutal regime of
Bashar al-Assad and its replacement by “moderate” rebel forces. But what is the
Russian strategy?

It has been a month since Russian planes began bombing both Islamic State forces and
the “moderate” rebels. For every Russian bomb that has fallen on Islamic State troops,
10 have fallen on the “moderates,” because it’s the latter groups that have made most
of the big advances against the Assad regime since last spring. The regime’s troops have
now taken some territory back, but they lack the strength to reconquer all of Syria.
So what next?

If you want to see what's next then go here to read all the details
http://bangordailynews.com/2015/11/02/opinion/contributors/what-is-russias-strategy-in-syria/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 03:00:49 PM
Amid Russian Media Reports Following Plane Crash,
Will Putin Gain Or Lose Support For Airstrikes In Syria?

By Jess McHugh CBC News

(http://s1.ibtimes.com/sites/www.ibtimes.com/files/styles/v2_article_large/public/2015/11/02/sinai-crash.jpg)

Read all about it here
http://www.ibtimes.com/amid-russian-media-reports-following-plane-crash-will-putin-gain-or-lose-support-2165272
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 02, 2015, 03:16:54 PM
Opinion

What a Russian 'win' in Syria would look like
Josh Cohen Reuters

Amid talk of an Afghanistan-style quagmire, Putin holds more cards than his critics realise

Photo from Tass
(http://www.dw.com/image/0,,18752917_401,00.jpg)

As Russia's bombing campaign in Syria drags on, a number of commentators have suggested
that President Vladimir Putin's bold move could drag Russia into an Afghan-style quagmire.
This negative outcome is far from guaranteed, however, and Putin holds more cards than his
critics realise. Russia may well achieve its core military objectives in Syria - while the United
States cannot.

Here's how Putin might achieve his ideal outcome in Syria.

read the article here to see how Putin might achieve his goals
http://www.nationmultimedia.com/opinion/What-a-Russian-win-in-Syria-would-look-like-30272098.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 02, 2015, 03:34:49 PM
I tend to agree with Josh Cohen's theory. Putin will win, just as he did after bombing the crap out of Chechnya with hundreds of thousands killed, and Europe will fold faster than a French soldier can rip the standard issue white surrender flag out of his rucksack. As part of the peace deal, not only will sanctions be set aside, but Ukraine will be brokered with Russia gaining a majority of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's new borders will start at Kyiv and run West. Odessa will be lost. Putin has figured out a way to win in Ukraine by fighting in Syria instead.

Sad.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 02, 2015, 04:45:02 PM
I tend to agree with Josh Cohen's theory. Putin will win, just as he did after bombing the crap out of Chechnya with hundreds of thousands killed, and Europe will fold faster than a French soldier can rip the standard issue white surrender flag out of his rucksack. As part of the peace deal, not only will sanctions be set aside, but Ukraine will be brokered with Russia gaining a majority of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's new borders will start at Kyiv and run West. Odessa will be lost. Putin has figured out a way to win in Ukraine by fighting in Syria instead.

Sad.

That would be sad.  I saw an interview with Rasmussen, former Secretary General of NATO.   Reading between the lines I saw nothing to suggest NATO will ever support Ukraine in a significant way.  So maybe you are right. 

The question in Syria is, are Assad's troops strong enough to mount offensives on the ground to drive out the opposition groups?  Will  Putin be contented with merely creating a stalemate?   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on November 02, 2015, 06:31:59 PM

That would be sad.  I saw an interview with Rasmussen, former Secretary General of NATO.   Reading between the lines I saw nothing to suggest NATO will ever support Ukraine in a significant way.  So maybe you are right. 

The question in Syria is, are Assad's troops strong enough to mount offensives on the ground to drive out the opposition groups?  Will  Putin be contented with merely creating a stalemate?   
I tend to agree with Josh Cohen's theory. Putin will win, just as he did after bombing the crap out of Chechnya with hundreds of thousands killed, and Europe will fold faster than a French soldier can rip the standard issue white surrender flag out of his rucksack. As part of the peace deal, not only will sanctions be set aside, but Ukraine will be brokered with Russia gaining a majority of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's new borders will start at Kyiv and run West. Odessa will be lost. Putin has figured out a way to win in Ukraine by fighting in Syria instead.

Sad.

I highlighted to 2 points in posts above--I do not agree with Mende's conclusion above--or the assertion that Ukraine needs Nato's help ( or much greater help)to survive.

Much has changed in Ukraine in the last year as the military has got better organised and equipped.In fact--there is no comparison to those early days of political disorganisation after Maidan.

The help they have got-- and are getting now-is continueing to transform the military generally-perhaps enough to control their own destiny--particularly so if Russia is not able to use aircraft to advance.That use of aircraft is likely to get a real response from the west-if it happens-so that would change to conflict again.

Further-Ukraine may have some real surprising shocks in store for an aggressor that may act as a permanent deterrent for anyone with a vestige of common sense. Russia is on borrowed time-- and Putin is casting his net to create diversion from the economic woes -and helping thugs like Assad is earning income--but--it can't go on forever.


The Russian president’s intervention in Syria is driven by fear of Islamic extremism among his country’s own Muslim minority. But rather than squelching the threat, it’s poised to make it worse.


Putin’s Muslim Nightmare


President Vladimir Putin, Russia’s most notorious gambler, has rolled the dice in Syria’s civil war. At first glance, he seems to have come up with a seven: By boldly deploying the newest weapons in his arsenal in order to save Bashar al-Assad’s tottering regime, he has swiftly transformed the Kremlin into the center of Middle East diplomacy. His message is simple: Russia is back as a major power and a solution to this deadly, depressing war runs through Moscow.

After a month of bombing anti-Assad Sunni rebels, Putin summoned Assad to a surprise meeting in the Kremlin, setting off fresh speculation that a made-in-Moscow formula for ending the war was now in play. The United States was understandably intrigued: After only one meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Secretary of State John Kerry agreed to invite Russia’s ally, Iran, to a new round of Syria peace talks, which occurred on Oct. 30 in Vienna.

Can Putin succeed where others have failed? It’s possible, but unlikely. The Russian president has opened a hornet’s nest in Syria, and everyone, including Putin, is being stung again and again.

A closer look at Putin’s gamble shows that his seven may, in fact, end up as snake eyesA closer look at Putin’s gamble shows that his seven may, in fact, end up as snake eyes — a losing gamble that fails for reasons uniquely Russian, relating to the often ignored but crucial fact that more than 20 million of Russia’s 144 million people are Sunni Muslims, who naturally sympathize with the Sunni Muslims currently being bombed and killed by Russians in Syria. Any Russian miscalculation in Syria could therefore severely undermine Putin’s political power base at home.

And it doesn’t stop there. Not only has Putin ordered the bombing of Sunni rebels in Syria, he has also created a new Russia-led coalition of Shiite powers — Iran, Iraq, and Syria — capable of sharing intelligence and striking as one against its Sunni enemies. In this way, whether intended or not, he has opened a de facto war against Sunni Arabs, who are led by Saudi Arabia, and aligned with the United States.

President Barack Obama has repeatedly stressed that he seeks no proxy war with Russia — yet that is precisely what appears to be emerging. This region of chronic turbulence — already burning with war, hatred, and religious schisms — has now become even more unstable, fueled by the formation of two antagonistic coalitions: Russia’s Shiite alliance, and a U.S.-supported Sunni coalition.

For Putin, this poses an existential challenge from which there is no escape — a dilemma rooted in Russian demography and history. Most of Russia’s Sunni Muslims live in the Northern Caucasus, historically the scene of anti-Russian Islamist upheavals. Chechnya was the scene not long ago of two bloody wars pitting Muslims against Slavs. Neighboring Dagestan is another powder keg, part of the jihadists’ self-proclaimed caliphate of the Caucasus. Clerics there deliver sermons considered sympathetic to the goals of the Islamic State — and as many as 2,400 young Muslims across Russia have answered the call, a development that sends chills up and down Putin’s spine.

The Russian president recently told CBS’s Charlie Rose that the “most important” reason Russia entered the war in Syria was the “threat of their return to us.” His chronic nightmare has been that, once trained in the tactics of modern terrorism, these young Muslims would slip back into Russia and blow up planes, trains, theaters and schools, as they have done before. “We are,” Putin explained, “better off helping Assad fight them on Syrian territory.”

Fears about Islamist terrorism permeate Russian history.Fears about Islamist terrorism permeate Russian history. In the 19th century, Leo Tolstoy and other Russian writers penned popular stories about Russian officers fighting wild Islamist warriors in the Northern Caucasus. This was a common theme in many books — the Slavic officer battling the Islamist renegade, one fighting to protect Christian civilization, the other determined to uproot it.

Interestingly, the theme is even being echoed today on Russian television. Dmitry Kiselyov, Putin’s favorite firebrand anchorman, explained with nationalistic bravado why Russia was fighting in Syria on his weekly program: “Russia is saving Europe from barbarism for the fourth time,” he said.

Saving Europe for the fourth time? “Let’s count,” he replied. “The Mongols, Napoleon, Hitler, and now the Islamic State.”

Kremlin leaders have struggled with their fraught relations with Russia’s Muslims several times over the past century. During World War II, the Muslims of Crimea were unceremoniously exiled to Siberia, because they could not be trusted to fight the Nazis. After the Soviet Union disintegrated in 1991, Russian President Boris Yeltsin pleaded with Ukraine to remain in the union. “We cannot have a situation,” Yeltsin argued, “where Russia and Byelorussia would have two votes as Slavic states against five for the Islamic states.”

Russians also recall the Basmachi of Central Asia, an almost forgotten tribe of Islamic State-like warriors who formed their own caliphate in the 1920s, rising against Russian domination. They were mercilessly slaughtered by Russian troops a decade later. But their Islamist message has again begun to stir millions of unemployed, restive young Muslims in the former Soviet republics in Central Asia, representing a direct threat to Russia.

Putin seems especially worried by this prospect. A month ago, he observed military maneuvers by 100,000 Russian troops in Central Asia. As many as 7,000 Muslims from the Northern Caucasus and Central Asia may now be fighting with the Islamic State, he warned, bringing terrorism into their neighborhood by way of Afghanistan. They could also come by way of Syria and Iraq.

Like his predecessors, Putin too is haunted by Islamist terrorism. He sees it as an emerging threat to Russia’s stability as a nation — in his view, it must be fought and destroyed, whether in Syria or in Russia. History suggests he will come up short in both places, and suffer the political and diplomatic consequences.

No one can any longer conceal the fact that Russia, leading a quasi-holy alliance with Shiites in Iran, Iraq, and Syria, is now at war with Sunnis in Syria. Over and over, these attacks are shown on Russian television. The pro-Kremlin reporters who covered Ukraine are now covering Syria — same reporters, same message of Russian triumphalism — raising degrees of pride among ethnic Russians but mountains of anxiety and pain among its Sunni Muslims.

Russia’s Sunni Muslims are baffled and frightened by what they see and hear. Even if Russia had not entered the Syrian war, another Chechen-type eruption was a looming threat – and now, the possibility of a revolt by angry Muslims is even more real. Indeed, it may only be a matter of time.

That is why Putin’s gamble in Syria is so risky. He may be further alienating Russia’s own Sunni Muslim population, and inciting the very violence he had hoped to avoid.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/11/02/putins-muslim-nightmare-syria-assad-iran/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=New%20Campaign&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks
Title: BREAKING!! Russian Nuclear Units On The Move, Civilians Told To Leave
Post by: JayH on November 02, 2015, 07:04:28 PM
Wow--the internet is a wonderful thing!! :popcorn:

BREAKING!! Russian Nuclear Units On The Move, Non-Essential Civilians Told To Leave, Putin’s Ready To Nuke ISIS!!


In response to the purported downing of a Russian civilian airliner in the Sinai in Egypt, the Kremlin is now poised for a nuclear strike on sites controlled by the Islamic State. Citing its right to protect its people and interests in Russia and abroad, Intelligence officials have anonymously reported that Russia is moving its tactical nuclear units closer to its international boundaries and its frontier with other hotspots within Russia, such as the northern Caucasus region. The Russian military have been called up to help evacuate Russian nationals within these hotspots and have ordered non-essential civilians to leave Syria, Iraq, the Gulf states and other nations in the Arab world.

 Although Russia’s poising to use its nuclear weapons on ISIS, Russia held a secret meeting with NATO, reassuring them that Russia has no intentions on using nuclear weapons on either Georgia or the Ukraine, citing that attacking either of them would invoke a nuclear strike from NATO. Also Russia had consulted with the Syrian government as well as the governments of its allies in the region, who in turned told the Kurds and other allied militias of a possible nuclear strike, warning them to move allied civilians from areas that might be struck by Russia’s nuclear weapons.


A meeting of allied nations and Russia was held in Teheran within hours of the downing of the civilian passenger airliner in the northern Sinai- in which media reports have said that there was no in-climate reported at the time of the crash and witnesses on the ground claim a line of smoke went from the ground in the direction of the airliner before the ground to air missile hit the airliner. SITE has reported that a video purportedly made by either ISIS supporters or ISIS themselves that shows the downing of the airliner. The White House has declined to make a statement about this incident and the Kremlin’s use of nuclear weapons. However, the Kremlin says the use of nuclear weapons is justified to protect its citizens and its interests, namely helping to sustain the government of Bashar Al-Assad and keeping the its allies in power in Iraq and Iran, which are considered allies to Russia. Their common interest in destroying ISIS motivates them to work together.

 However, the US has stated its fears that deploying nuclear weapons near the region would spur an nuclear arms race in other nations in the region, namely Saudi Arabia and the nations within the Gulf Cooperation Council, a group of Sunni Muslim nations located in the Persian Gulf region, which have aided in the creation of ISIS and continue to support it like the way they supported Iraqi insurgents during the Iraq War (2003-2011). Both the US and the UN are concerned that the conflict in the region could lead into a wider conflict, possibly a world war.
(multiple intel reports concerning the downing of the Russian civilian airliner in northern Sinai, ISIS’ purported claim of responsibility and Russia’s official response).
http://consciouslyenlightened.com/breaking-russian-nuclear-units-on-the-move-non-essential-civilians-told-to-leave-putins-ready-to-nuke-isis/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 03, 2015, 02:24:21 AM
Jay, that last article is full of it. Mr. Putin is not going to nuke anyone unless first backed into a untenable corner. The Russian doctrine does included limited/localized nuclear defense, but only as a response.

Should Russia do what that article insanely suggested, Putin and Russia would be hounded back to the stone ages by the rest of civilization. He understands that.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on November 03, 2015, 07:52:58 AM

Should Russia do what that article insanely suggested, Putin and Russia would be hounded back to the stone ages by the rest of civilization. He understands that.

Jim, Russian leadership backed by Russian people have not been influenced at all by the current hounding that is coming from much of civilization.  You are there and are witness to this everyday.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 03, 2015, 08:58:33 AM
I tend to agree with Josh Cohen's theory. Putin will win, just as he did after bombing the crap out of Chechnya with hundreds of thousands killed, and Europe will fold faster than a French soldier can rip the standard issue white surrender flag out of his rucksack. As part of the peace deal, not only will sanctions be set aside, but Ukraine will be brokered with Russia gaining a majority of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine's new borders will start at Kyiv and run West. Odessa will be lost. Putin has figured out a way to win in Ukraine by fighting in Syria instead.

Sad.


Very interesting...we shall see.


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 03, 2015, 09:41:56 AM
Mendy,

You must have been having a bad day when you wrote your prediction above.  I don't see that there will be a surrender of territory in Ukraine.  I believe that the Ukrainians have been slowly getting their act together and will have a substantially improved military situation over the next couple of years.  To relinquish further territory would require a military incursion by Russia. 

There might be a release of sanctions if the Minsk agreement is fully implemented.  But I do not see relations going back to normal in the immediate future.  Russia is now known as a totalitarianism regime.   The wholesale flight of capital from Russia has already been re-distributed to other countries.  It will not come waltzing back into Russia. 

Russia is becoming an isolationist country.  I had a discussion with the consular officer in St. Petersburg when I was there in September.  She said that the official US policy has changed, significantly, since the takeover of Krim.  Russia is now seen as a belligerent. 

Ultimately, there will be appeasement, but at what cost to Russia?  Economic stagnation?  Frozen out of European markets?  Alternative supply of natural gas and oil from sources other than Russia? 

The obvious question that is raised, again and again, is what is the ultimate end game for Putin.  The answer is that he has no clue.  He is playing his hand with a busted flush and at some point in time some country is going to require him to put his cards on the table.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 03, 2015, 01:46:44 PM
I would love to be wrong on this one.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 03, 2015, 01:59:33 PM
If this were a popular perspective, every Republican candidate would be describing a plan for deciding who runs Syria.  Again, this is a stupid idea. 

I have plenty of conservative friends  as well liberal friends. Few of my friends from the right are itching for a military fight in Syria, especially with Russia. 

They do express their disgust towards Obama, feeling  he has allowed Putin to outmaneuver him.  They want this to be reversed in some way other than by military war with Russia.   And they want a larger military presence in Iraq or Kurdistan or somewhere in the region. 

Me?  I say let Europe take the lead.  Europe has  more at risk in this theater.

Chicken Hawk Lindsey Graham is the only Republican who currently wants to start a war with
anyone and everyone. He can't muster even close to 1% of the vote so his philosophy isn't
very prevalent among the GOP.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 03, 2015, 05:04:48 PM
Chicken Hawk Lindsey Graham is the only Republican who currently wants to start a war with
anyone and everyone. He can't muster even close to 1% of the vote so his philosophy isn't
very prevalent among the GOP.
Graham and McCain are on the extreme end, aside from Rand Paul, the rest of the Republican candidates are also quite hawkish.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 04, 2015, 03:50:16 PM
Graham and McCain are on the extreme end, aside from Rand Paul, the rest of the Republican candidates are also quite hawkish.

Fathertime!

I'm of the Teddy Roosevelt Speak softly but carry a big stick school of thought.
I have a son who's been sent to both Iraq and Afghanistan and I've met countless of his
buddies, so you won't see me spouting of about sending our kids into war unless absolutely
necessary.

Once the congress voted to send our sons and daughters to Iraq and Afghanistan, I didn't
complain, debate or argue about it because I didn't want to be anything like some Jane Fonda
type undermining our troops while they were on missions risking their lives. We through our
representatives sent their asses there and needed to support them while their asses were
hanging out. 

I steamed when some Democrats voted to send them to hell Iraq and Afghanistan
but then undermined their missions every step of the way.

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 04, 2015, 03:52:54 PM
U.S. officials believe ISIS planted bomb on Russian plane
By Barbara Starr, CNN Pentagon Correspondent

(CNN)The latest U.S. intelligence suggests that the crash of a Russian passenger jet in
the Sinai over the weekend was most likely caused by a bomb on the plane planted by
ISIS or an ISIS affiliate, according to a U.S. official familiar with the matter.

But the official stressed a formal conclusion has not been reached by the U.S. intelligence
community.

"There is a definite feeling it was an explosive device planted in luggage or somewhere
on the plane," the official, who is familiar with the latest U.S. intelligence analysis of the
crash, told CNN.

There is more read all about it here
http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/04/politics/us-isis-planted-bomb-russian-plane/index.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 05, 2015, 01:26:33 PM
Russia concerned about ISIS air force

Russia sent antiaircraft missiles to Syria
Associated Press

Russia has sent antiaircraft missiles to Syria to safeguard its jets involved in airstrikes
against militants in the war-battered Arab country, the commander of the Russian Air
Force was quoted as saying Thursday.

(http://static1.businessinsider.com/image/562a97a0bd86ef1c008c4603-8944-6888/russian%20airstrikes%2020%20oct.jpg)

read about it here
http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-sent-anti-aircraft-missiles-to-syria-2015-11

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 05, 2015, 01:34:37 PM
Russia's Syria force grows to 4,000, U.S. officials say
BY JONATHAN LANDAY, PHIL STEWART AND MARK HOSENBALL Reuters

(http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/russia%20troops%20syria.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/05/us-mideast-crisis-russia-syria-idUSKCN0ST2G020151105#CIhKKKt3Ryobr5sV.97
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 05, 2015, 02:14:06 PM
(http://media.cagle.com/62/2015/09/01/168318_600.jpg)


(http://jewishworldreview.com/toons/arial/aria_c151103.jpg)


(http://media.cagle.com/81/2015/11/03/170984_600.jpg)


(http://media.townhall.com/Townhall/Car/b/bg110215dAPR20151102044514.jpg)


(http://www.creators.com/editorial_cartoons/12/33507_image.jpg)


(http://www.toledoblade.com/image/2015/10/01/800x_cCM/kirk-jpg-139.jpg)

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 05, 2015, 02:45:30 PM
War by proxy: How Syria could get even worse than it is now
(http://media.cagle.com/216/2015/09/30/169473_600.jpg?ref=relatedBox)

By David Ignatius

Read more at http://www.jewishworldreview.com/1115/ignatius110515.php3#juFv7x1q4hwBAr0b.99
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 05, 2015, 02:53:22 PM
Iran, Saudi Arabia clash inside Syria talks
By Josh Rogin The Jewish World Review

Read more at http://www.jewishworldreview.com/1115/rogin110515.php3#76T2yWpCEt1mSYsb.99
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 05, 2015, 05:13:46 PM
Russia's Syria force grows to 4,000, U.S. officials say

Wow!  So their force in Syria is now about a third of the number they have in Ukraine! How many Westerners have any idea of the comparative numbers?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 05, 2015, 05:24:25 PM
 If it is now suddenly 'unclear'...I'm wagering that it was the 'rebels', just as is being suggested now....if it was even possibly Assad, the US representatives would be accusing Assad....the fact that they say nothing tells me the truth which is that the 'rebels' are using chemical weapons.  And we think that arming them and taking their side is important...




 [size=78%]http://news.yahoo.com/mustard-gas-used-syria-fighting-august-chemical-watchdog-194704844.html (http://news.yahoo.com/mustard-gas-used-syria-fighting-august-chemical-watchdog-194704844.html)[/size]


Mustard gas use in Syria conflict confirmed


Beirut (AFP) - Mustard gas was used during summer fighting in Syria but it was not clear by whom, the global chemical weapons watchdog said Thursday, while jihadists seized a key town from regime forces.

The deadly gas was used in the flashpoint town of Marea in the northern province of Aleppo on August 21, a source from the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) told AFP.

"We have determined the facts, but we have not determined who was responsible," the source said.

Allegations that jihadist militants have been using chemical arms have been increasing in recent months in both Iraq and Syria....




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 06, 2015, 10:26:02 AM
Not surprisingly MSF has issued a Press Release clearing themselves of any wrong doing in the US bombing of the hospital facility in Kunduz.

http://kunduz.msf.org/pdf/20151030_kunduz_review_EN.pdf

Probably mean the US and Afghani investigations found something.

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 06, 2015, 10:33:41 AM
Putin suspends flights to Egypt.  Making arrangements to get Russian nationals out of Egypt.  Still investigating cause of crash. 

I was talking with my woman on the phone when this came across.  She could not make the link that Russia just admitted that it was a bomb that took out the plane.  I love my woman to pieces.  But she has insular thinking just like most of the Russian population.

My guess is that Russia will not admit it was a bomb for another couple of months.

But I can guarantee that there will be retaliation attacks on ISIS.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 06, 2015, 10:37:53 AM
Not surprisingly MSF has issued a Press Release clearing themselves of any wrong doing in the US bombing of the hospital facility in Kunduz.

http://kunduz.msf.org/pdf/20151030_kunduz_review_EN.pdf

Probably mean the US and Afghani investigations found something.

Brass

It is still a dramatic incursion.  Wiping out a hospital, I hope that the US has evidence that can't be refuted that proves that the hospital was used for something other than care giving.  Otherwise the decision makers should be brought to justice. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 06, 2015, 10:42:39 AM
One other thought that I have:

If you look at those pictures in the report, you can see how accurate the US bombs are.  It is evident, that for whatever reason, the US intended to take out that hospital and did so.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 06, 2015, 10:53:26 AM
One other thought that I have:

If you look at those pictures in the report, you can see how accurate the US bombs are.  It is evident, that for whatever reason, the US intended to take out that hospital and did so.

Accuracy counts. It'll be terrible if the investigation(s) determine the pilot had been aiming for a building down the road and hit the hospital.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 06, 2015, 05:15:16 PM
Not surprisingly MSF has issued a Press Release clearing themselves of any wrong doing in the US bombing of the hospital facility in Kunduz.
What on earth do you mean by "clearing themselves of any wrong doing" :o? Their hospital was BOMBED and MACHINE-GUNNED, resulting in 30 deaths so far :(!

MSF and Emergency, a similar Italian non-profit medical organisation, have medical facilities in many war zones, and have always declared that they treat ANY wounded seeking help, regardless of political/religious affiliations.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 07, 2015, 07:46:07 AM
What on earth do you mean by "clearing themselves of any wrong doing" :o? Their hospital was BOMBED and MACHINE-GUNNED, resulting in 30 deaths so far :(!

...That Doctor's Without Borders incident...It smells to high heaven. It's already been established there were Taliban in the building....

..."In a news conference here in the Afghan capital, Doctors Without Borders officials reiterated that they think the hospital’s main building was “deliberately” targeted because it was the only structure hit during the bombardment. They denied that any Taliban fighters in the hospital were armed or using it as a base."...

..."In the aftermath of the bombing, which killed at least 22 people, some Afghan leaders have suggested that the hospital had become a command center for Taliban fighters who seized control of Kunduz on Sept. 28."...

..."Hospital officials denied that assertion Thursday, although they conceded that they had been treating wounded Taliban fighters, some of whom probably were in the building at the time of the attack. They said Taliban fighters were cared for in the same manner as other patients in accordance with international law designating hospitals as “noncombatant” zones."

Mistakes do happen but my experience with these organizations (like MSF) tells me they're going to try and blame the US regardless of what the actual circumstances were and they're really pushing this 'war crimes' angle - It's a bit too political in nature and quite frankly OTT. Seems to me this organization is leaning a bit towards sympathy for the Taliban.

http://news.nationalpost.com/news/world/u-s-gunship-made-five-passes-over-afghan-hospital-despite-9-foot-flags-iding-it-as-a-medical-facility-msf

...As usual the apologist-in-chief was quick to accept US culpability for the incident. However, I'm going to reserve judgment until the investigation(s) are complete...

MSF and Emergency, a similar Italian non-profit medical organisation, have medical facilities in many war zones, and have always declared that they treat ANY wounded seeking help, regardless of political/religious affiliations.

... At this point I'm not convinced this was a mistake in that the pilot bombed/strafed the building without cause.

There were Taliban in the building and hospital compound. If the pilot was taking small arms fire from the building/compound he would have been justified in returning fire.

Doctors Without Borders have admitted there were Taliban fighters in the building but state they weren't armed. I find this hard to believe. Taliban don't just surrender their weapons in a building also occupied with Government soldiers in the middle of a firefight (that took Kunduz). It smells.

It would not be in DWB's best interest to admit they were allowing Taliban use of their compound/building as a safe haven to conduct military operations. That's why we have conflicting reports as to what actually happened.

I note that everyone talking about this incident refer to 'all those Doctors killed' (including yourself), in fact, there were no actual DWB 'Doctors' in the building at the time, they were all 'local' staffers. Edit: This is relevant in that anyone who's served in the Middle East knows that the 'locals' will not enforce the 'Regs', so to speak, when they're confronted with an armed terrorist who's also local and knows where you and your family live. Hell, they might even be related.

Not that I believe someone's profession or where they were born makes their lives any less/more important but there are a lot of assumptions being made by the media as to who exactly the casualties were, what the Taliban were doing in the building in the first place and whether or not it was nine casualties, 37 casualties, staffers, patients etc....

Some updated reporting on the incident...

The U.S. Investigation Into The Kunduz Hospital Bombing Is Off To A Rough Start

..."Any investigation will need to investigate why the U.S. military targeted the hospital and whether it was aware it risked killing innocent aid workers and Afghans seeking medical treatment. Conflicting explanations on this matter have emerged. Campbell suggested last week that Afghan forces had asked for the strike, a disturbing allegation given previous evidence of Afghanistan mistreating Doctors Without Borders.

The Associated Press reported Thursday that U.S. special operations analysts had been looking into the hospital prior to the attack because they believed a spy from Pakistan -- whose military has links to the Taliban insurgency fighting the Afghan government -- was using the facility to work with the Taliban. The AP report was unable to confirm whether the American officials who launched the strike were aware of the analysts' suspicions."...

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/msf-hospital_5620fa51e4b06462a13ba11f

In amongst the complaints and accusations by MSF a pattern is starting to emerge.

Information like this (my bolded) is what the three investigation teams will be looking at. The rest of the article is reporting on the politicking that is ever present with incidents such as this.

I'll reiterate though that regardless of what the investigations determine the US will be perceived to be at fault. They always are.

It's been my opinion for decades these organizations should not be allowed to function inside theatres of operations. They're habitually obstructionist towards US/NATO/UN forces and if something does go wrong (usually as a result of being where they shouldn't have been) they're the loudest to complain.

They're more trouble for our military forces working in country than their worth.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 07, 2015, 10:32:33 AM
It's been my opinion for decades these organizations should not be allowed to function inside theatres of operations. They're habitually obstructionist towards US/NATO/UN forces and if something does go wrong (usually as a result of being where they shouldn't have been) they're the loudest to complain.



I'm okay with people volunteering to help as long as they don't complain about getting harmed when getting in harm's way. Since Russia's actions in Syria, they've hit 9 medical facilities and not much world criticism for those actions. I don't know all the details but its always possible that the men Russian's are targeting are in those facilities. Some groups don't play by rules in war. They hide in churches, hospitals, and schools hoping the enemy will not shoot or shoot someone innocent.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 07, 2015, 11:33:50 AM
This was a sticky subject from WWII (Great Patriotic War) in that Germany was a signer of the Geneva Convention agreement on treatment of prisoners (1929-1930), but the Soviet Union had refused at least in part because Stalin's Gulag camps were a violation of international law given that there were many nationalities residing in those camps.

During the war, it was common for both sides to shoot, or ignore, the enemy wounded. Both countries felt that they were above the law.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 07, 2015, 12:16:44 PM
They're more trouble for our military forces working in country than their worth.
But not to the victims of what those military forces hypocritically term "collateral damage" :(.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 07, 2015, 04:31:29 PM
But not to the victims of what those military forces hypocritically term "collateral damage" :(.

Unfortunately, collateral damage has been part and parcel of combat since the inception of organized warfare.

Now, if you're suggesting western militaries engage targets without regard for non-combatants or minimizing collateral damage? You'd be wrong.

In this case if the Taliban were using a hospital facility as a base of operations or to fire on a US jet would not they be the ones placing non-combatants in harms way?

Is there no condemnation for the insurgents who attacked Kunduz in the first place creating the circumstances that led to this incident?

These various humanitarian organizations and aid groups have their purpose in post conflict countries and areas suffering from natural disasters. So your comment has some merit in that treating the indigenous sick and injured is a worthwhile endeavor...However, not at the expense of our service personnel's lives.

Brass







 




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 07, 2015, 05:43:01 PM
In this case if the Taliban were using a hospital facility as a base of operations or to fire on a US jet
We'll see if the investigation(s) will provide any proof of that :-\.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 07, 2015, 09:39:35 PM
Not surprisingly MSF has issued a Press Release clearing themselves of any wrong doing in the US bombing of the hospital facility in Kunduz.

http://kunduz.msf.org/pdf/20151030_kunduz_review_EN.pdf (http://kunduz.msf.org/pdf/20151030_kunduz_review_EN.pdf)

Probably mean the US and Afghani investigations found something.

Brass
WOW, that is a heck of an assumption to make!

Gee, by your comments Brasscasing you would think Abu Ghraib and the US Forces pissing on corpses never happened....
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 07, 2015, 09:40:37 PM
We'll see if the investigation(s) will provide any proof of that :-\ .
MSF have called for an investigation by neutral parties. The US is not agreeing. Wonder why...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 07, 2015, 09:41:42 PM
Interesting comparison between the US bombing of the MSF hospital where photos and video emerged of the damage and the US won't even name the hospitals they have accused Russia of damaging.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 07, 2015, 09:48:52 PM
Unfortunately, collateral damage has been part and parcel of combat since the inception of organized warfare.


Except sometimes civilians get targeted EXPLICITLY - such as the fire bombing of Dresden. That was by no means collateral damage.

Now, if you're suggesting western militaries engage targets without regard for non-combatants or minimizing collateral damage? You'd be wrong.

Peeing on bodies mininizes collateral damage?

In this case if the Taliban were using a hospital facility as a base of operations or to fire on a US jet would not they be the ones placing non-combatants in harms way?
MSF does not agree with your assertion.

Is there no condemnation for the insurgents who attacked Kunduz in the first place creating the circumstances that led to this incident?
Of course there is. But where does one crime excuse another by the other party? Is that part of International law of warfare?

These various humanitarian organizations and aid groups have their purpose in post conflict countries and areas suffering from natural disasters. So your comment has some merit in that treating the indigenous sick and injured is a worthwhile endeavor...However, not at the expense of our service personnel's lives.

So we hang people of the basis of attacks on hospital ships yet an attack on a hospital itself is excusable? Your logic double take is quite astounding. And I suspect the civilians saved by MSF would not agree with your assertions.
No one else cares for them after all.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 07, 2015, 10:08:01 PM
Unfortunately, collateral damage has been part and parcel of combat since the inception of organized warfare.

Now, if you're suggesting western militaries engage targets without regard for non-combatants or minimizing collateral damage? You'd be wrong.


My Lai -  Was that a legitimate target Brass?


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 08, 2015, 12:43:54 PM


Gee Whiz, what a 'surprise'...more US troops going to Syria.  If they say it is possible, it has either already happened covertly, or pretty much a sure thing that it will. Lets see how many more hospitals we can bomb, in order to forward OUR own 'important' interests at the expense of the Syrians, whatever they may be....obviously we aren't doing this to any other purpose.     
More US Troops Possible in Syria, Defense Sec. Ash Carter Says

Just days after the White House announced that President Obama had authorized the deployment of a small contingent of special operations forces to the war-torn country of Syria, Secretary of Defense Ash Carter said more American troops could "absolutely" be sent into the country if the United States can find more "capable" local forces to partner with in the fight against ISIS.
http://gma.yahoo.com/more-us-troops-possible-syria-defense-sec-ash-180524236.html (http://gma.yahoo.com/more-us-troops-possible-syria-defense-sec-ash-180524236.html)




Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 08, 2015, 01:27:57 PM
WOW, that is a heck of an assumption to make!

Not really. It's contained in their report...

..."The facts compiled in this review confirm our initial observations: the MSF trauma centre was fully functioning as a hospital with 105 patients admitted and surgeries ongoing at the time of the US airstrikes; the MSF rules in the hospital were implemented and respected, including the ‘no weapons’ policy; MSF was in full control of the hospital before and at the time of the airstrikes; there were no armed combatants within the hospital compound and there was no fighting from or in the direct vicinity of the trauma centre before the airstrikes.

What we know is that we were running a hospital treating patients, including wounded combatants from both sides – this was not a ‘Taliban base.’"...

http://kunduz.msf.org/pdf/20151030_kunduz_review_EN.pdf


Gee, by your comments Brasscasing you would think Abu Ghraib and the US Forces pissing on corpses never happened....

My comments neither mention, refer or allude to Abu Ghraib or US Forces pissing on corpses.

I don't believe you could reasonably come to your conclusion based on anything I've written in this topic (or any other topic I suspect).

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 08, 2015, 01:29:32 PM
We'll see if the investigation(s) will provide any proof of that :-\.

Indeed.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 08, 2015, 06:34:27 PM
Except sometimes civilians get targeted EXPLICITLY - such as the fire bombing of Dresden. That was by no means collateral damage.

Background:

..."As the two fronts began to near, the Western Allies began to consider plans for using strategic bombing to assist the Soviet advance. In January 1945, the Royal Air Force began to consider plans for the widespread bombing of cities in eastern Germany. When consulted, the head of Bomber Command, Air Marshal Arthur "Bomber" Harris, recommended attacks against Leipzig, Dresden, and Chemnitz."...

..."During talks in Yalta, the Deputy Chief of the Soviet General Staff, General Aleksei Antonov, inquired about the possibility of using bombing to hinder German troop movements through hubs in eastern Germany. Among the list of targets discussed by Portal and Antonov were Berlin and Dresden. In Britain, planning for the Dresden attack moved forward with the operation calling for daylight bombing by the US Eighth Air Force followed by night strikes by Bomber Command. Though much of Dresden's industry was in suburban areas, planners targeted the city center with the goal crippling its infrastructure and causing chaos."...

Why Dresden:

..."The largest remaining unbombed city in the Third Reich, Dresden was Germany's seventh-largest city and a cultural center known as the "Florence on the Elbe." Though a center for the arts, it was also one of Germany's largest remaining industrial sites and contained over 100 factories of various sizes. Among these were facilities for producing poison gas, artillery, and aircraft components. In addition, it was a key rail hub with lines running north-south to Berlin, Prague, and Vienna as well as east-west Munich and Breslau (Wroclaw) and Leipzig and Hamburg."...

These are excerpts from an historically accurate synopsis...

 http://militaryhistory.about.com/od/aerialcampaigns/p/World-War-Ii-Bombing-Of-Dresden.htm

Civilians weren't specifically targeted at Dresden although it was known that the casualty rate would be high. Welcome to total warfare.

Peeing on bodies mininizes collateral damage?

That's the second time you've brought this up in relation to my comments. The acts of two individual soldiers who were court martialed for their misdeed do not represent the actions of the entire western military or even their unit. It's not really relevant

MSF does not agree with your assertion.

...It would not be in DWB's best interest to admit they were allowing Taliban use of their compound/building as a safe haven to conduct military operations. That's why we have conflicting reports as to what actually happened...

Of course there is. But where does one crime excuse another by the other party? Is that part of International law of warfare?

No crime by the US Air Force has been established. The investigations will determine if culpability is to be assigned.

So we hang people of the basis of attacks on hospital ships yet an attack on a hospital itself is excusable? Your logic double take is quite astounding. And I suspect the civilians saved by MSF would not agree with your assertions.
No one else cares for them after all.

In the real world there is no culpability until guilt is assigned. That's done through proper investigation. As I've already stated if the pilot was taking fire from that building, even if it was a hospital, he would be justified in returning fire. NATO, US ROEs make that clear.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 08, 2015, 07:02:18 PM
My Lai -  Was that a legitimate target Brass?

You misunderstand the definition and meaning of Collateral Damage vs. War Crime...

..."Collateral damage is a general term for unintentional deaths, injuries, or other damage inflicted incidentally on an intended target. In military terminology, it is frequently used where non-combatants are unintentionally killed or wounded and/or non-combatant property damaged as result of the attack on legitimate military targets."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateral_damage

..."A war crime is an act that constitutes a serious violation of the law of war that gives rise to individual criminal responsibility."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_

I trust this clears up your confusion.

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 08, 2015, 08:48:07 PM
US won't even name the hospitals they have accused Russia of damaging.



It's not the US doing the accusing, it's the doctors working in Syria. Russia admits to bombing in the areas of the hospitals and even accused some of the hospitals to be fake. Between the doctors and Russia, somebody is lying.


http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/202340


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/22/three-syrian-hospitals-bombed-since-russian-airstrikes-began-doctors-say


Civilians weren't specifically targeted at Dresden although it was known that the casualty rate would be high.



Civilian casualties were predicted to be high because the bombers weren't specifically targeting military/strategic targets either. Carpet bombing at it's finest.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 08, 2015, 11:11:02 PM
How about this from Harris himself on the topic of city bombing....
 "The aim of the Combined Bomber Offensive...should be unambiguously stated [as] the destruction of German cities, the killing of German workers, and the disruption of civilised life throughout Germany.
... the destruction of houses, public utilities, transport and lives, the creation of a refugee problem on an unprecedented scale, and the breakdown of morale both at home and at the battle fronts by fear of extended and intensified bombing, are accepted and intended aims of our bombing policy. They are not by-products of attempts to hit factories."

Seems rather unambiguous.

As for the rest I will reply when I can Brass but a half million dollars has been stolen at one of the business we are dealing with here and the proverbial shit has hit the fan this morning.

Ironically the manager sent from Moscow to sort out the stealing mess has himself stolen - and then run for it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 08, 2015, 11:20:04 PM
You misunderstand the definition and meaning of Collateral Damage vs. War Crime...

..."Collateral damage is a general term for unintentional deaths, injuries, or other damage inflicted incidentally on an intended target. In military terminology, it is frequently used where non-combatants are unintentionally killed or wounded and/or non-combatant property damaged as result of the attack on legitimate military targets."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateral_damage (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateral_damage)

..."A war crime is an act that constitutes a serious violation of the law of war that gives rise to individual criminal responsibility."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_ (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_)

I trust this clears up your confusion.

Brass

The difference can come down to disclosure. Something the military is very bad at. Look at how the dead were initially referred to as the initial reports came out in Mai Lai as an illustrative example.  Who will know whether something is collateral damage or a deliberate war crime unless disclosure happens? I'm not confused - you are just delusional. The US has sought to justify torture in recent times...  and rendition... and now drone strikes solely based on metadata.
Yep, they are really trying to avoid that collateral damage.  Metadata is so infallible..
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 09, 2015, 01:14:56 AM
How about this from Harris himself on the topic of city bombing....
 "The aim of the Combined Bomber Offensive...should be unambiguously stated [as] the destruction of German cities, the killing of German workers, and the disruption of civilised life throughout Germany.
... the destruction of houses, public utilities, transport and lives, the creation of a refugee problem on an unprecedented scale, and the breakdown of morale both at home and at the battle fronts by fear of extended and intensified bombing, are accepted and intended aims of our bombing policy. They are not by-products of attempts to hit factories."

Seems rather unambiguous.

So is this Memo from Sir Harris to the Air Ministry ...

I ... assume that the view under consideration is something like this: no doubt in the past we were justified in attacking German cities. But to do so was always repugnant and now that the Germans are beaten anyway we can properly abstain from proceeding with these attacks. This is a doctrine to which I could never subscribe. Attacks on cities like any other act of war are intolerable unless they are strategically justified. But they are strategically justified in so far as they tend to shorten the war and preserve the lives of Allied soldiers. To my mind we have absolutely no right to give them up unless it is certain that they will not have this effect. I do not personally regard the whole of the remaining cities of Germany as worth the bones of one British Grenadier.
The feeling, such as there is, over Dresden, could be easily explained by any psychiatrist. It is connected with German bands and Dresden shepherdesses. Actually Dresden was a mass of munitions works, an intact government centre, and a key transportation point to the East. It is now none of these things
"...

Neither his quote or memo changes the fact that you're trying to compare apples and oranges.

Collateral damage had nothing to do with strategic bombing initiative policy during WW2. Both the Axis and Allied Air Forces were intentionally targeting cities. Not accidently targeting them.

There were two After Action justification inquiries conducted...

..."Marshall inquiry

An inquiry conducted at the behest of U.S. Army Chief of Staff, General George C. Marshall, stated the raid was justified by the available intelligence. The inquiry declared the elimination of the German ability to reinforce a counter-attack against Marshal Konev's extended line or, alternatively, to retreat and regroup using Dresden as a base of operations, were important military objectives. As Dresden had been largely untouched during the war due to its location, it was one of the few remaining functional rail and communications centres. A secondary objective was to disrupt the industrial use of Dresden for munitions manufacture, which American intelligence believed was the case. The shock to military planners and to the Allied civilian populations of the German counterattack known as the Battle of the Bulge had ended speculation that the war was almost over, and may have contributed to the decision to continue with the aerial bombardment of German cities.[126]

The inquiry concluded that by the presence of active German military units nearby, and the presence of fighters and anti-aircraft within an effective range, Dresden qualified as "defended".[7] By this stage in the war both the British and the Germans had integrated air defences at the national level. The German national air-defence system could be used to argue—as the tribunal did—that no German city was "undefended".

Marshall's tribunal declared that no extraordinary decision was made to single out Dresden (e.g. to take advantage of the large number of refugees, or purposely terrorize the German populace). It was argued that the intent of area bombing was to disrupt communications and destroy industrial production. The American inquiry established that' the Soviets, pursuant to allied agreements for the United States and the United Kingdom to provide air support for the Soviet offensive toward Berlin, had requested area bombing of Dresden to prevent a counterattack through Dresden, or the use of Dresden as a regrouping point after a strategic retreat."...

..."U.S. Air Force Historical Division report

A report by the U.S. Air Force Historical Division (USAFHD) analyzed the circumstances of the raid and concluded that it was militarily necessary and justified, based on the following points:[7]
1.The raid had legitimate military ends, brought about by exigent military circumstances.
2.Military units and anti-aircraft defences were sufficiently close that it was not valid to consider the city "undefended."
3.The raid did not use extraordinary means but was comparable to other raids used against comparable targets.
4.The raid was carried out through the normal chain of command, pursuant to directives and agreements then in force.
5.The raid achieved the military objective, without excessive loss of civilian life."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Dresden_in_World_War_II

 
As for the rest I will reply when I can Brass but a half million dollars has been stolen at one of the business we are dealing with here and the proverbial shit has hit the fan this morning.

Ironically the manager sent from Moscow to sort out the stealing mess has himself stolen - and then run for it.

Good luck. I hope you catch your man.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 09, 2015, 02:00:19 AM
One of the reasons for today's modern wars which are long and drawn out, is the lack of civilian causalities. Previous generations understood (correctly) that to defeat an enemy you had to demoralize his citizenry as well as kill his army. The concept of a "just" war was whether war was warranted morally, not for collateral damage.

Our smart bombs and high tech toys often do a good job at destroying buildings, but little to convince a determined enemy to capitulate. I applaud the result of bombing German towns and villages, just as I applaud the nukes dropped on Japan. Those actions helped to shorten the wars on both fronts. Yes, people were killed, but more innocent lives were spared by forcing the losers to surrender.

By the same token, not since WWII have we had a "just" war where innocents such as the Jews, the retarded, the handicapped, and those condemned as political prisoners were being exterminated.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: raba6999 on November 09, 2015, 07:47:03 AM
One of the reasons for today's modern wars which are long and drawn out, is the lack of civilian causalities. Previous generations understood (correctly) that to defeat an enemy you had to demoralize his citizenry as well as kill his army. The concept of a "just" war was whether war was warranted morally, not for collateral damage.

Our smart bombs and high tech toys often do a good job at destroying buildings, but little to convince a determined enemy to capitulate. I applaud the result of bombing German towns and villages, just as I applaud the nukes dropped on Japan. Those actions helped to shorten the wars on both fronts. Yes, people were killed, but more innocent lives were spared by forcing the losers to surrender.

By the same token, not since WWII have we had a "just" war where innocents such as the Jews, the retarded, the handicapped, and those condemned as political prisoners were being exterminated.

That post is beyond moronic! Name me just 1 "modern" war that was long and drawn out? In the conventional definition of it, wars these days are very short and relatively "clean" compared to what they have been in the past. I don't think you are not understanding the distinction between war and occupation. Occupation is and always has been the real problem and by nature can only be temporary.

Unfortunately for you, today's combatants understand much better than you the difference and that is precicely what they are counting on. There would be no point carpet-bombing countries or trying to subdue their population since these countries are not at war with "us", they are merely territories where law doesn't apply and that ennemies are using as ground they can conduct operations from.

The aim of these combatants is not victory in the traditional sense of it since there is not real possibility of that, however they have a few objectives:
1) bring western soldiers to them since they cannot really go to them
2) hope that frustration will build within the occupied civilian population and provide them with new recruits and support, that they are not getting on their own.
3) Die as martyrs
4) Get western countries to quarrel between them and demoralize their own populations
5) The vague hope that destabilization and collapse of western society will somehow be the result of objectives 1 to 4.

Western powers have the baddest, sharpest knives money can buy but stabbing molasses will produce no results whatsoever, no matter how many stabs at it you take.

Add to all of this the self-imposed restrictions western nations have (and the U.N.), their lack of taste for suffering, their unwillingness to break "international law" and the fact that they want nothing ressembling a conventional war where the result of the "war" part would be uncertain and you have the perfect melting-pot for today's stew.

I would argue previous generations knew nothing more than today's, but they lived in a world that was "simpler" and where the lines in the sand were clear. As the concept of borders and nations get fuzzier - with the good and the bad that comes with it - adapting has proved to be too much of a challenge for western bureaucrats to pull off.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 09, 2015, 10:23:59 AM
The difference can come down to disclosure. Something the military is very bad at. Look at how the dead were initially referred to as the initial reports came out in Mai Lai as an illustrative example.  Who will know whether something is collateral damage or a deliberate war crime unless disclosure happens? I'm not confused - you are just delusional. The US has sought to justify torture in recent times...  and rendition... and now drone strikes solely based on metadata.
Yep, they are really trying to avoid that collateral damage.  Metadata is so infallible..

War crimes/atrocities/massacres/murder have happened throughout history. Western nations are not immune to the phenomenon. However, the difference is it's not endemic or institutionalized in our militaries.

The Americans are perhaps the example of the "system working" to a large extent. From My Lai forward acts of this nature have become intolerable to  American society and intense scrutiny is given by media, public and government to events within a military action that even hint of wrong doing.

For instance, the accusations of the Australian army's massacre at Binh Ma during the Vietnam war have never been investigated as a war crime in spite of numerous first person eyewitness accounts (both Vietnamese and Australian soldier accounts) reporting to government and media that civilians were machine gunned and grenaded. It could be argued the Australian government/military of the time covered that incident up as well.

Canada is not immune either.  In more recent times The Somalia Affair rocked our nation.

Quote
..."Who will know whether something is collateral damage or a deliberate war crime unless disclosure happens?"...   

Unfortunately, in todays modern society there will be those that are never satisfied with the evidence/conclusions, regardless of the outcome. If the investigation shows there were mitigating circumstances (Kunduz) there will be immediate howls of cover up coming from several quarters, I'm sure.

Quote
I'm not confused - you are just delusional.

Nope. You were (I assume now) intentionally trying to blur the line between collateral damage and war crime. You still are.

I doubt you'll find that any of these past or present policies/incidents you're peppering your posts with are relevant to what happened at Kunduz. An example being this...

Quote
The US has sought to justify torture in recent times...  and rendition... and now drone strikes solely based on metadata.
Yep, they are really trying to avoid that collateral damage.  Metadata is so infallible..

If you want to start a topic on Gitmo or SIGINT as it relates to metadata or post on one of the numerous topics criticizing American policies, go ahead. I'll contribute if I can.

However, it's just not relevant as it relates to Kunduz. Which, after all, is what we're discussing.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 09, 2015, 04:38:23 PM
That post is beyond moronic! Name me just 1 "modern" war that was long and drawn out?

Does Vietnam count?  Nearly 20 years from start (November 1955) to stop (April 1975) seems plenty long enough to me.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 09, 2015, 05:20:33 PM
One of the reasons for today's modern wars which are long and drawn out, is the lack of civilian causalities.



America dominated Iraq twice and Afghanistan fairly quick. The handful of rebels and terrorists left behind doesn't count for a war lasting a long time.


Our smart bombs and high tech toys often do a good job at destroying buildings, but little to convince a determined enemy to capitulate.



Because of America's deadly accuracy on military targets, Iraqis soldiers surrendered by the hundreds of thousands and when we entered Bagdad, Iraqi citizens cheered on American M1 Abrams tanks rolling through the streets without firing shots. That would not have happened if the American military recklessly targeted civilians.


I applaud the result of bombing German towns and villages, just as I applaud the nukes dropped on Japan. Those actions helped to shorten the wars on both fronts. Yes, people were killed, but more innocent lives were spared by forcing the losers to surrender.



It was actually against Allied policy and considered inhumane to target civilians until later in the war. If bombs hit military targets instead of homes, the war would be shortened much faster. Bomb a ball bearing factory and thousands of airplane and tank engines will not be built. Bomb a house and that military hardware gets built. In the movie Memphis Belle, a true story, the co pilot wanted to recklessly drop his bombs in order to go back to base and get out of the flak. The captain decided not to drop the bombs and to go back to the target, a factory, and hit it. His reasoning is that if they don't get the factory, another mission will have to take place in the future.


The nukes on Japan is not the same as carpet bombing which didn't scare the enemy into surrendering. The nukes were to show Japan America had a new weapon that would tilt the scales of war heavily in their favor. If you were to fight an enemy in hand to hand combat, you may proceed. But if he has a gun and you don't, you're more likely to surrender. Nuking Japan saved lives. Carpet bombing didn't.


Does Vietnam count?  Nearly 20 years from start (November 1955) to stop (April 1975) seems plenty long enough to me.


America never declared war on Vietnam and chose not to advance on Hanoi. America didn't want to win it or end it so eventually it lost public support. Maybe American politicians wanted it to remain frozen. Why? Maybe to test American hardware against Soviets during the cold war.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: raba6999 on November 09, 2015, 06:33:49 PM
Does Vietnam count?  Nearly 20 years from start (November 1955) to stop (April 1975) seems plenty long enough to me.

The Vietnam war is the poster child and the model sought by the present terrorists that proves my points. The US was stabbing at molasses the whole time, stuck in their "rules" about what war is and isn't, their stubborness at respecting some sort of territorial idea that they had in their head that somehow south-vietnam was a standing-on-its-own country... it wasn't except on a map. The ennemy could not be contained by those imaginary lines.

There could not have been an actual face-off between 2 standing armies in Vietnam because the balance of strenght was too loopsided. So refer to objectives 1 to 4 and you will see why the USA lost that one.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 09, 2015, 09:46:42 PM
There could not have been an actual face-off between 2 standing armies in Vietnam because the balance of strenght was too loopsided. So refer to objectives 1 to 4 and you will see why the USA lost that one.

Your Objectives 1 and 4 had nothing to do with losing Vietnam.

The US could not win in Vietnam in part because  we supported a corrupt  government run by a minority.  The RVN  reneged on its  commitment to hold a referendum about whether to unite with the DRV because the vast majority of the Vietnamese  population would have voted for reunification. 

The "Domino Theory" compelled the US to enter the conflict in support of the corrupt RVN.  Because we were fighting insurgents with  one hand behind our back, the war became protracted.  Support in the US for a protracted war declined.  Although the Tet Offensive was a military victory for the US in the sense that the Communists  lost huge numbers of  forces,  the Tet Offensive gave enough impetus to the anti-war movement in the US to start diplomatic talks for withdrawal. 

The South Vietnamese population suffered heavily during the war  with almost as many civilians assassinated by the Communists as inadvertently killed by the RVN and allied forces (ROK soldiers were brutal).  When the North eventually entered Saigon in 1975.  there was concern about what would happen.   The North came as liberators, not conquerors.   Corruption was quickly eliminated, and the unified country today has improved dramatically.  One could argue the "good guys" won. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 10, 2015, 01:46:40 AM
Quote
That post is beyond moronic! Name me just 1 "modern" war that was long and drawn out?

Actually your reply is moronic.

How about not only one, but your response makes one question if you are of sufficient knowledge to know the length of these three:

- Vietnam

- Iraq

- Afghanistan

As to your theories about Vietnam not being a real country--that is funny. They did manage to turn out an army capable to throwing out the French, and then the Americans.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: raba6999 on November 10, 2015, 06:24:56 AM
Actually your reply is moronic.

How about not only one, but your response makes one question if you are of sufficient knowledge to know the length of these three:

- Vietnam

- Iraq

- Afghanistan

As to your theories about Vietnam not being a real country--that is funny. They did manage to turn out an army capable to throwing out the French, and then the Americans.

Vietnam was lost by both colonial forces not on the battlefield but on the homefront.  It was much more akin to an occupation of a hostile territory than a war of invasion. My point about it not being an actual country is the fact that the ennemy was using south-China, Cambodia and Thailand to conduct operations from. The USA being unable to act effectively to that fact because of factors that had nothing to do with operational imperatives ultimately contributed to them leaving with their tail between their legs.

The Irak and Afghanistan wars lasted a very short amount of time... I don't understand how you can argue they were long... In both cases regular armies were subdued with minimal effort and casualties to either side.

Is America at war with Irak? No, not since 2003
Is America at war with Afghanistan? No!
Are/were they meddled in a messy occupation? Yes, definitely.

But explain me in your great wisdom how carpet bombing Kaboul would help in any way the actual situation in Afghanistan???

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 10, 2015, 10:54:39 AM
Raba,

You can dice and slice over the terms war and occupation all you want, but your timeline is uninformed.

Quote
Is America at war with Irak? No, not since 2003

Allow me to assist with your education. The name of the country is spelled as Iraq. The conflict did not end in 2003, that is when it started. Troops pulled out in 2010. Now, I'm not a math genius (apparently neither are you), but WWII started in 1941 and ended in 1945. That was a world-wide conflict that was over in 4 years. Hmm, if the Iraq conflict began in 2003 and ended in 2010, then that is 7 years in a regional action that was not as all-encompassing.


Quote
Is America at war with Afghanistan? No!
Are/were they meddled in a messy occupation? Yes, definitely.

Newsflash Raba, various sides are shooting at each other. Whole armies and massive amounts of manpower and equipment have been inserted into Afghanistan. The timeline there began in 2001 and NATO actions officially ended in 2014. Hmm, again I am not a genius at math, but that seems to be around 13 years. By the way, it was a "war" and not just a messy occupation.

As to your term a "messy occupation" I do not recall Germany or Japan being messy occupations after they surrendered. Oh holy crap, Rabaman, they SURRENDERED! Ah, something neither Vietnam, Iraq, or Afghanistan has done.

You see, until the populace is convinced that resistance is futile, messy occupations continue on forever.

That, by the way, was my point.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 10, 2015, 01:45:30 PM
Mendy,

I know I'm being a pain in the ___ but my take on WWII begins with the Japanese invasion of Manchuria in 1931. In Asia, it certainly began when Japan invaded China in 1937.   It began in Europe with the invasion of Poland by the Nazis in 1939.  Your point of view is from an American perspective.  But by the time we got in, most of the World had already been at war for years.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 10, 2015, 02:14:05 PM
Putin's Crash Test: Downed Russian Jetliner Could Signal the President's Next Big Strike

Do Russians really want to buy a bridge? What a bunch of saps.

Quote

Already, loyal media outlets have cast Russia’s campaign in Syria as a historical struggle between civilization and barbarism. “We have saved Europe for a fourth time,” boasted Kiselev earlier this month. “First the Mongols, then Napoleon, Hitler—and now we have saved them from ISIS.”(??????  :ROFL: )


Going on past form, Putin is a leader who thrives on the politics of fear. He has been through trial by extremism before—many times—and each time he has answered violence with violence.


http://www.newsweek.com/putins-test-retaliation-metrojet-flight-9268-islamic-state-syria-392297
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 10, 2015, 05:19:57 PM
Mendy,

I know I'm being a pain in the ___ but my take on WWII begins with the Japanese invasion of Manchuria in 1931. In Asia, it certainly began when Japan invaded China in 1937.   It began in Europe with the invasion of Poland by the Nazis in 1939.  Your point of view is from an American perspective.  But by the time we got in, most of the World had already been at war for years.

Not to steal Mendy's thunder...

It was actually Roosevelt who coined the term "The Second World War". However, the term "World War(s)" had been bantered about for years when speculating of world conflict (it should be noted that there are numerous competing claims as to who may have coined the phrase from several news sources and governments).

When the US officially entered WW2 there were several 'official' names offered for the conflict by different organizations. However, "The Second World War" was adopted.

As a result the acronym WW2 was coined and as the wars were still close enough in years in the 40's to be confused, the name "World War 1" or "First World War" was given to the 1914-18 war. Up to that point it (WW1) had been referred to as "The Great War".

Historians and History buffs are always debating as to whether or not the war was a 'world war' before the US entered the fray.

For myself I fall into the 'no it wasn't' camp. My reasoning being that the US and UK/Commonwealth were not at war with Japan before  Dec 41 even though Japan itself had invaded/was waging war on several Asian countries prior to that date.

So the Pacific theatre and European theatres were technically to different wars before Dec 41 although Japan and Germany (and Italy) had signed the Tripartite Pact nearly a year before.

Brass

 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 11, 2015, 12:43:57 AM
Jone, just to clarify, you are correct. My view of that conflict as a truly all encompassing event worldwide begins in June of 1941 when Hitler sealed his dismal fate with the invasion of the CCCP.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 11, 2015, 08:59:10 AM
Raba,

I appreciate the model you constructed about wars.  It shows creative thinking.  Nevertheless, you make erroneous statements to force fit your model.  If you wish to keep talking about Vietnam, please research the correct facts.  Some of us were in Vietnam during the conflict and know the facts.

Vietnam was lost by both colonial forces not on the battlefield but on the homefront.

Who were the Colonial forces?  French and the Japanese?   The US had no plans to colonize.   

The French got their ass kicked on the battlefront by the Viet Minh  (Google "Dien Bien Phu"; the NVA attempted the same tactic  against the US at Khe Sanh and failed).   You are correct about the US and the lack of homefront support. 


Quote
My point about it not being an actual country is the fact that the ennemy was using south-China, Cambodia and Thailand to conduct operations from.

    -  Cambodia, true. 
    -  South-china,  false (in fact, China and Vietnam have  been hostile off and on for centuries, fought a border war in the 1980s,  and the relationship today is strained) (China did give aid to North Vietnam). 
    -  Thailand, false.  The NVA never entered Thailand.  In fact, the US operated multiple air bases in Thailand for bombing raids of North Vietnam and the Ho Chi Minh trail.

So why did you not include Laos?  The Ho Chi Minh trail went through the entire length of southern  Laos.   

Quote
The USA being unable to act effectively to that fact because of factors that had nothing to do with operational imperatives ultimately contributed to them leaving with their tail between their legs.

Not sure what  you mean by "operational imperatives."  The US dropped more bombs in Laos than were dropped in Germany in WWII (nothing to be proud of).      The US also crossed the Cambodian border to pursue the NVA (again, nothing to be proud of). 

The point:  the US hit the NVA in these border countries and the NVA suffered huge losses.  Yet, the NVA kept coming.  This speaks of the motivation of the NVA soldiers, unlike the lack of motivation of ARVN consistent with what I wrote in an  earlier post, namely RVN had  a corrupt government run by a minority. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 11, 2015, 09:09:14 AM

The Irak and Afghanistan wars lasted a very short amount of time... I don't understand how you can argue they were long... In both cases regular armies were subdued with minimal effort and casualties to either side.

The US and its NATO allies entered Afghanistan to fight the Taliban and their terrorist guests, Al Qaeda.  The Taliban is still fighting.  Longest war in US history. 

So Mendy is correct as below:

Raba,

Newsflash Raba, various sides are shooting at each other. Whole armies and massive amounts of manpower and equipment have been inserted into Afghanistan. The timeline there began in 2001 and NATO actions officially ended in 2014. Hmm, again I am not a genius at math, but that seems to be around 13 years. By the way, it was a "war" and not just a messy occupation.

In Iraq, I agree with you that the regular army folded like a cheap suit. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:17:09 AM
  Corruption was quickly eliminated, and the unified country today has improved dramatically.  One could argue the "good guys" won.

I'm not quite so sure corruption has been eliminated and still today there are people trying to leave the country.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-04-20/government-criticised-over-boat-secrecy/6404950
for just one boat load.

However, I do agree with your assertion that the government in the south was completely corrupt.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:26:37 AM
The Vietnam war is the poster child and the model sought by the present terrorists that proves my points. The US was stabbing at molasses the whole time, stuck in their "rules" about what war is and isn't, their stubborness at respecting some sort of territorial idea that they had in their head that somehow south-vietnam was a standing-on-its-own country... it wasn't except on a map. The ennemy could not be contained by those imaginary lines.

There could not have been an actual face-off between 2 standing armies in Vietnam because the balance of strenght was too loopsided. So refer to objectives 1 to 4 and you will see why the USA lost that one.

They could go back into their history a bit further. Yugoslavia was the perfect example of a guerilla war. The partisans hitting hard and then running for the hills. Hitting supply lines and targeted killings.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:44:01 AM


Now, if you're suggesting western militaries engage targets without regard for non-combatants or minimizing collateral damage? You'd be wrong.


You make this comment as though western militaries are some cohesive whole. They aren't. They are made up of individuals and those individuals have different opinions and indeed sometimes different legal interpretations on how they will conduct operations.

This is what the peeing on corpses incident, Mai Lai, Abu Ghraib and other incidents like them illustrate. The response by politicians and senior ranks has in many case been to attempt to cover up these incidents and war crimes.

There are some incredibly good and brave people in the defence forces. Some of the recent  stories of the VC winners in the Australian Army out of Afghanistan are just incredible in what those guys have done. But, there are also rapists and murderers in the Australian Army too. The same thing applies to the senior ranks as well. There are those who want to see wrong doing exposed and dealt with and there are those who would rather it be covered up and forgotten about. Sometimes they encourage it.

These various humanitarian organizations and aid groups have their purpose in post conflict countries and areas suffering from natural disasters. So your comment has some merit in that treating the indigenous sick and injured is a worthwhile endeavor...However, not at the expense of our service personnel's lives.

Brass

There is also the POV that if you enlist in the military you are knowingly taking a risk. A civilian is not afforded that choice.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:46:14 AM
The US has blundered in this for sure. We should have never tried to take out the leaders
of Libya, Egypt or Syria. Egypt was Sunni and Libya and Syria were Shiite. So team
Obama/Clinton/Kerry has blundered with all sides.

Europe is paying a high price for the mistake in Libya right now.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:47:37 AM
Is that what the Kremlin's telling the Russian people now...The vaunted Russian military has giant laser shooting robots? :D

Brass

One of the idiots here said the army needed more geeks from the "World of Tanks" game to enlist...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 09:57:47 AM
 

When was the last time Russia had any significant involvement in the Middle East?  1972. 


Did Russia exist in 1972?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 10:08:29 AM

Yep, and the housing collapse, and climate change, and the gun violence in America, and the invasion of Ukraine, and Burkina Faso, and my neighbors bad odor, etc. all Obama's fault.


Feel free to add more.  ;)

No, the housing collapse is on every single President after and including Clinton. The securitisation of mortgages and removing the need of those giving mortgages to ensure those getting them could actually pay them was the biggest single cause of the collapse. No one wanted the bubble to burst on their watch - until it did.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 10:14:49 AM

None of this seems to have phased the Russians as it pertains to their willingness to not yield to Western intervention in Syria.


Fathertime!

I'd say the average Russian outside the major cities of Moscow and St Petersburg  is largely too busy trying to work  out how he can pay his bills as his salary keeps getting cut... Until the airliner came down I don't think most Russians cared diddly squat about the entire ME.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 11, 2015, 10:20:14 AM
I don't get the point of this, unless maybe to placate morons like team Obama.
What could a new constitution do to help Syria or Syrians? The one they have
now1 isn't worth the paper that it's printed on.

Russia calls for a new Syrian constitution in 18 months
Associated Press By EDITH M. LEDERER


http://news.yahoo.com/russia-calls-syrian-constitution-18-months-054322827.html;_ylt=AwrC0CNtdkNWkgkA3JzQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTBydWNmY2MwBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwM0BHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--


1. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrian_constitutional_referendum,_2012
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 11, 2015, 10:32:18 AM
Putin Says 20 Terrorist Plots Foiled in Russia This Year
MOSCOW (AP) -- Intelligence agents have foiled 20 terrorist plots in Russia this year,
President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday, and asked officials to increase their efforts to
prevent terrorist attacks.

Russia began carrying out air strikes on Islamic State militants in Syria last month to support
government forces there. The Kremlin has cited curbing terrorism internationally and making
sure Russian nationals in the IS ranks don't come back home as the main reasons behind the
Russian air strikes.

There's more read all about it here
http://www.kolotv.com/home/headlines/Putin-Says-20-Terrorist-Plots-Foiled-in-Russia-This-Year-334601261.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 10:48:20 AM
You might want to take a look at these figures, Billy...

As Mendy alludes to, China's playing their own game with Putin. Putin will figure it out about the same time Russia goes bankrupt.

Brass

China has cut a lot of their imports this year including Australian iron ore and coal. Their economic growth levels are topping out. So it would make sense oil imports would be cut as well no?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 10:49:29 AM
Billy, when Russia has the population, and the economic might, to replace the USA then China might care. Right now, they simply keeping their commitment to BRICS alive, but the USA is a far bigger trading power than Russia.


China also owns a lot of US bonds...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 11:19:22 AM


..."The facts compiled in this review confirm our initial observations: the MSF trauma centre was fully functioning as a hospital with 105 patients admitted and surgeries ongoing at the time of the US airstrikes; the MSF rules in the hospital were implemented and respected, including the ‘no weapons’ policy; MSF was in full control of the hospital before and at the time of the airstrikes; there were no armed combatants within the hospital compound and there was no fighting from or in the direct vicinity of the trauma centre before the airstrikes.

What we know is that we were running a hospital treating patients, including wounded combatants from both sides – this was not a ‘Taliban base.’"...


The above includes no detail on the actual medical state of the Taliban in the hospital.
So, you don't even know if they were conscious or not do you or even if they could hold a firearm??
 

My comments neither mention, refer or allude to Abu Ghraib or US Forces pissing on corpses.

I don't believe you could reasonably come to your conclusion based on anything I've written in this topic (or any other topic I suspect).

Brass

Your comments imply that US and other Western power forces never commit attrocities. That they never breach the rules of war and never try to hide facts. Abu Ghraib and the peeing incident show that to be false. The Tillman death is another example. There were those in the military who tried to hide that his death was a friendly fire incident. Had they been successful we would never have known about it. Thankfully there were people around who did not accept that and investigated further.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 11:27:23 AM

That's the second time you've brought this up in relation to my comments. The acts of two individual soldiers who were court martialed for their misdeed do not represent the actions of the entire western military or even their unit. It's not really relevant

Militaries are made up of individuals. The actions of those individuals vary.

Were they brought before a court before the photos became public?  Answer - no. Was an investigation completed before the photos became public? Answer - no. Therefore the action that determined this final result was the making of the photos public.

What about incidents where photos and video either do not exist or have not been made public because they have been suppressed? Based on the above you would have to conclude those individuals will never face justice.

No crime by the US Air Force has been established. The investigations will determine if culpability is to be assigned.

Brass
That does not mean that the investigation will be truthful or correct.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 11:39:48 AM
So is this Memo from Sir Harris to the Air Ministry ...

I ... assume that the view under consideration is something like this: no doubt in the past we were justified in attacking German cities. But to do so was always repugnant and now that the Germans are beaten anyway we can properly abstain from proceeding with these attacks. This is a doctrine to which I could never subscribe. Attacks on cities like any other act of war are intolerable unless they are strategically justified. But they are strategically justified in so far as they tend to shorten the war and preserve the lives of Allied soldiers. To my mind we have absolutely no right to give them up unless it is certain that they will not have this effect. I do not personally regard the whole of the remaining cities of Germany as worth the bones of one British Grenadier.
The feeling, such as there is, over Dresden, could be easily explained by any psychiatrist. It is connected with German bands and Dresden shepherdesses. Actually Dresden was a mass of munitions works, an intact government centre, and a key transportation point to the East. It is now none of these things
"...

Neither his quote or memo changes the fact that you're trying to compare apples and oranges.

Collateral damage had nothing to do with strategic bombing initiative policy during WW2. Both the Axis and Allied Air Forces were intentionally targeting cities. Not accidently targeting them.

There were two After Action justification inquiries conducted...

..."Marshall inquiry

An inquiry conducted at the behest of U.S. Army Chief of Staff, General George C. Marshall, stated the raid was justified by the available intelligence. The inquiry declared the elimination of the German ability to reinforce a counter-attack against Marshal Konev's extended line or, alternatively, to retreat and regroup using Dresden as a base of operations, were important military objectives. As Dresden had been largely untouched during the war due to its location, it was one of the few remaining functional rail and communications centres. A secondary objective was to disrupt the industrial use of Dresden for munitions manufacture, which American intelligence believed was the case. The shock to military planners and to the Allied civilian populations of the German counterattack known as the Battle of the Bulge had ended speculation that the war was almost over, and may have contributed to the decision to continue with the aerial bombardment of German cities.[126]

The inquiry concluded that by the presence of active German military units nearby, and the presence of fighters and anti-aircraft within an effective range, Dresden qualified as "defended".[7] By this stage in the war both the British and the Germans had integrated air defences at the national level. The German national air-defence system could be used to argue—as the tribunal did—that no German city was "undefended".

Marshall's tribunal declared that no extraordinary decision was made to single out Dresden (e.g. to take advantage of the large number of refugees, or purposely terrorize the German populace). It was argued that the intent of area bombing was to disrupt communications and destroy industrial production. The American inquiry established that' the Soviets, pursuant to allied agreements for the United States and the United Kingdom to provide air support for the Soviet offensive toward Berlin, had requested area bombing of Dresden to prevent a counterattack through Dresden, or the use of Dresden as a regrouping point after a strategic retreat."...

..."U.S. Air Force Historical Division report

A report by the U.S. Air Force Historical Division (USAFHD) analyzed the circumstances of the raid and concluded that it was militarily necessary and justified, based on the following points:[7]
1.The raid had legitimate military ends, brought about by exigent military circumstances.
2.Military units and anti-aircraft defences were sufficiently close that it was not valid to consider the city "undefended."
3.The raid did not use extraordinary means but was comparable to other raids used against comparable targets.
4.The raid was carried out through the normal chain of command, pursuant to directives and agreements then in force.
5.The raid achieved the military objective, without excessive loss of civilian life."...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Dresden_in_World_War_II (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bombing_of_Dresden_in_World_War_II)

So, we have two investigations on the Allied side - investigating the Allied side. Why or how would they have formed an alternate view to that which would have been the prevailing view at the time? Who defines excessive? Obviously they get to do it. Of course they formed those views.  How could they have reasonably done otherwise?

Good luck. I hope you catch your man.

Brass
Looks like he may have been caught. We will know for  sure soon.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 11:42:34 AM

It's not the US doing the accusing, it's the doctors working in Syria. Russia admits to bombing in the areas of the hospitals and even accused some of the hospitals to be fake. Between the doctors and Russia, somebody is lying.


http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/202340 (http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/202340)


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/22/three-syrian-hospitals-bombed-since-russian-airstrikes-began-doctors-say (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/22/three-syrian-hospitals-bombed-since-russian-airstrikes-began-doctors-say)

Who are the doctors working for?


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 11:52:39 AM
One of the reasons for today's modern wars which are long and drawn out, is the lack of civilian causalities. Previous generations understood (correctly) that to defeat an enemy you had to demoralize his citizenry as well as kill his army.

Both the Blitz as well as the Seige of Leningrad show this is not so easy. I'd say the object was more to kill the citizenry not to demoralise them.

Our smart bombs and high tech toys often do a good job at destroying buildings, but little to convince a determined enemy to capitulate. I applaud the result of bombing German towns and villages, just as I applaud the nukes dropped on Japan. Those actions helped to shorten the wars on both fronts. Yes, people were killed, but more innocent lives were spared by forcing the losers to surrender.
It is hard to quantify the effect of the German bombing on reducing the duration of the war. The Germans became very inventive to keep production levels going right up until the end of the war. Albert Speer was very good at that job. The Japanese nukes even more so since Japan was already trying to surrender using the Soviets as intermediaries (until the Soviet Union attacked them). So what was being argued about at the time was essentially the terms of surrender. I suspect Truman also wanted to show Stalin that he had the bombs and would use them.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 11, 2015, 12:34:39 PM
War crimes/atrocities/massacres/murder have happened throughout history. Western nations are not immune to the phenomenon. However, the difference is it's not endemic or institutionalized in our militaries.

I would agree with this in general with the expressed concern that it may be becoming more tolerated in certain circumstances. Especially when lawyers get involved. The argument of water boarding not being torture being one example.

The Americans are perhaps the example of the "system working" to a large extent. From My Lai forward acts of this nature have become intolerable to  American society and intense scrutiny is given by media, public and government to events within a military action that even hint of wrong doing.

They only investigate if it becomes public knowledge. It is gets suppressed I doubt the system works at all as you describe.


For instance, the accusations of the Australian army's massacre at Binh Ma during the Vietnam war have never been investigated as a war crime in spite of numerous first person eyewitness accounts (both Vietnamese and Australian soldier accounts) reporting to government and media that civilians were machine gunned and grenaded. It could be argued the Australian government/military of the time covered that incident up as well.
Does not surprise me at all. We have a history of covering up incidents. The real depth of exposure of our own guys to harmful chemicals during the F-111 de-seal/re-seal fiasco is still emerging. That and the extent of sexual abuse prevalant against female members of the ADF.  Certainly I would not encourage any of my own kids to join the ADF simply because I would not trust those above them to exercise duty of care.

I don't think the sun shines out of any nations ass in this Brass.. 

Canada is not immune either.  In more recent times The Somalia Affair rocked our nation.

Unfortunately, in todays modern society there will be those that are never satisfied with the evidence/conclusions, regardless of the outcome. If the investigation shows there were mitigating circumstances (Kunduz) there will be immediate howls of cover up coming from several quarters, I'm sure.

Of course - but sometimes those howls ARE justified. For example we now know of CIA involvement in Chile in the overthrow of the Allende government. We know that the US government tried to suppress the release of the Abu Ghraib photos. We know they did nothing to change policy UNTIL the photos were published. We know the Bush government argued that the Geneva conventions did not apply in some circumstances. But they never told the public this...


Nope. You were (I assume now) intentionally trying to blur the line between collateral damage and war crime. You still are.
I have no doubt that unintended deaths occur. But I also have no doubt that deaths that were fully intended are also portrayed as collateral damage in some circumstances. I also believe that some incidents that would qualify as war crimes if the full facts were known have also been portrayed as either collateral damage or simply as "insurgent deaths".

I doubt you'll find that any of these past or present policies/incidents you're peppering your posts with are relevant to what happened at Kunduz. An example being this...
No, but it does go to YOUR portrayal of the incident at Kunduz and the potential veracity of any US investigation of that incident. I can summarise our differences. You have confidence in the investigation - I don't. BTW, do you share the same confidence in the US investigation of the USS Liberty incident?

If you want to start a topic on Gitmo or SIGINT as it relates to metadata or post on one of the numerous topics criticizing American policies, go ahead. I'll contribute if I can.

I would like to but I do not have the time right now. Both my wife and I are very busy right now and we don't get enough time together as it is. My hobbies have all but stopped completely for now so while I do enjoy the forum there are other things I would rather be doing.

However, it's just not relevant as it relates to Kunduz. Which, after all, is what we're discussing.


In a thread about Syria...  :P
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 11, 2015, 01:29:15 PM
Did Russia exist in 1972?

You got me.  So it was the CCCP, not RF.  Yet I imagine most of the Soviets assigned to Egypt were Russian. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 11, 2015, 01:41:45 PM


I'm not quite so sure corruption has been eliminated and still today there are people trying to leave the country.


You have been a busy boy today!

I had the rare pleasure of meeting on a train  a German journalist who witnessed the fall of Saigon. We spoke for hours. 

He went to the US Embassy to observe the evacuation, and rushed to the top floor.  The building was empty because all the Vietnamese remaining had skedaddled when the last helicopter left. At the top floor he recalls seeing  a cigarette still burning in an ash tray.  One could imagine an Army Colonel exclaiming, "Fuck it, we are out of here!" as he climbed into the last  helicopter to take the one remaining place. 

Returning to the city center, he noticed all ARVN had thrown away their uniforms.  They looked just like normal Vietnamese civilians, standing in a doorway wearing boxer shirts and sleeveless undershirt, wondering what was about to happen.  Then the NVA tanks came roaring down the streets, announcing "We come as liberators to unite with our brothers."  It soon became a celebration. 

Saigon was for years and years filled with corrupt Black Marketers selling illicit goods.  The next day after the NVA arrived, those who continued to work a Black Market were gathered up.  They disappeared. 

Fast forward 40 years.  I returned to Saigon, now Ho Chi Minh City.  It is bustling and active with modern construction in many places such as flashy malls.    I saw no signs of corruption, although I am sure some palms were greased by the new commercial ventures.   There was nothing sleazy like one would see in Thailand. 

I traveled around the country.  The little villages had services such as electricity.  At one point we drove close to a base where I was stationed for six months in 1966.  It is now a Vietnamese military base.  I had the taxi driver take me to the gate, and I asked him  to give the guard $20 to let us through.  He adamantly refused, and when I got out of the taxi he grabbed me and pleaded that I returned to the taxi.  Between this and the look of alarm on the guard's face, I retreated to the taxi.  The street smart RW with me was also alarmed.

Two years later I  went to Laos.  I thought I had returned to Graham Greene's time.  The only thing missing was the jungle, now deforested for commercial agriculture.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 13, 2015, 06:42:08 AM
Is Russia waging "Hybrid Warfare" in Syria as it has in Ukraine?

One group claims that Russia is deeper into that mess than the government will admit. Are they correct?

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/11/russia-hybrid-war/

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 13, 2015, 08:44:59 AM
You make this comment as though western militaries are some cohesive whole. They aren't. They are made up of individuals and those individuals have different opinions and indeed sometimes different legal interpretations on how they will conduct operations.

Western nations are all party to the Geneva Conventions and Protocols. Further, most are party to and abide by the earlier Hague Convention, which is mostly superseded by the Geneva Conventions, but is still active and in force.

The individual countries and organizations they belong to (NATO, UN, NORAD, EU, Commonwealth Countries, etc.) base their military Regulations, Orders, Codes of Service Discipline and Rules of Engagement and how they conduct themselves as nations at war on these conventions/protocols.

In this regard Western Nations are a cohesive whole.

This is what the peeing on corpses incident, Mai Lai, Abu Ghraib and other incidents like them illustrate. The response by politicians and senior ranks has in many case been to attempt to cover up these incidents and war crimes.

No, it doesn't. You cannot point to several isolated incidents over the course of two wars and 40 years and declare it's endemic or institutionalized.

If there is a cover up then those individuals who commit the crime are accessory after the fact they'll also be prosecuted if it unravels. Civilized nations don't make a distinction between the two. It's still part of the crime.

There are some incredibly good and brave people in the defence forces. Some of the recent  stories of the VC winners in the Australian Army out of Afghanistan are just incredible in what those guys have done. But, there are also rapists and murderers in the Australian Army too. The same thing applies to the senior ranks as well. There are those who want to see wrong doing exposed and dealt with and there are those who would rather it be covered up and forgotten about. Sometimes they encourage it.

Indeed. This is exactly my point. Human nature is human nature. It's how we as civilized nations minimize and met out punishment to these individuals who break the laws and fall outside the acceptable conduct of war (just as we do when a citizen breaks civil/criminal law) when it happens that determines whether we as individual nations are civilized or not.

There is also the POV that if you enlist in the military you are knowingly taking a risk. A civilian is not afforded that choice.

These Aid organizations are fully aware of the risk they're taking. They have a legal departments that ensures all the staff sign papers specifying they are (whether paid or not) volunteers and in no way may hold the specific Aid/Humanitarian responsible.

As I mentioned earlier I've worked alongside a number of these organizations. They are within themselves a business as any other. They just happen to be in the business of providing aid/humanitarian services.

Brass

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 13, 2015, 09:53:06 AM
Putin: Free Syrian Army shares intel on ISIS targets
US reluctant to cooperate[/b]

Russia has been cooperating with the Free Syrian Army (FSA), which shared
their intelligence on Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS) positions targeted by
Russian airstrikes, said President Vladimir Putin in an interview on Friday.

In an interview with the Interfax and Anadolu news agencies published on Friday,
Putin said Russia has been considering any “reliable” information on the terrorists’
location in Syria.

“We have even worked together with the Free Syrian Army (FSA),” he said. “Russian
aviation has conducted several strikes on targets identified by the FSA. We excluded
areas, which had been indicated by FSA commanders as being under their control.”

He stressed this “proves once again that we are not bombing the so-called moderate
opposition or the civilian population.”

There's more read all about it here
http://www.rt.com/news/321820-putin-interview-syria-g20/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 13, 2015, 09:59:05 AM
Essay: Russia’s Military Role in Syria
By: Daniel Trombly USNI

The deployment of a major Russian expeditionary force to Syria in late September
resulted in a flurry of public attention and heated rumors.

Pro-Syrian regime sources spoke of a massive offensive against the Islamic State
in Iraq and Syria (ISIS or ISIL) that would put the long-frustrated U.S. and
coalition effort to shame. Many worried that Russia would flood Syria with new
interceptors, such as the Mikoyan MiG-31, or the latest generation of surface-to-air
missile systems (Syria’s long-rumored order of MiG-31s remains unfilled, and the
Buk and Pantsir surface-to-air missiles defending Russia’s base do not do much more
than Syria’s own Buk and Pantsir systems to improve the regime’s air defense capabilities).

Even rumors involving Russia’s sole Typhoon-class ballistic-missile submarine and
aircraft carrier entered the mix.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://news.usni.org/2015/11/13/essay-russias-military-role-in-syria
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 13, 2015, 10:02:16 AM
The state of play in the Syria talks (round 58692)
By Marco Vicenzino Reuters

RUSSIA: The recent diplomatic surge to forge a settlement to the conflict in Syria
was intentionally driven by Russia to complement its military intervention in the
country. Moscow’s air campaign will likely intensify if jihadists prove to be responsible
for the recent downing of a Russian commercial airliner over Egypt, which killed all
224 people on board. It could also, however, add fuel to the diplomatic effort and
underscore the need for a negotiated solution.

President Vladimir Putin seeks to change the balance of power on the ground in Syria
to ensure the Assad regime’s survival and tilt the scales at the negotiating table. He
aims to restore Russian influence in the Middle East, which diminished after the fall
of the Soviet Union. He wants to use his new-found leverage to reconfigure the
region’s broader geopolitical landscape.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/11/13/the-state-of-play-in-the-syria-talks-round-58692/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 13, 2015, 10:07:09 AM
Note: This is an opinion piece and doesn't necessarily reflect my opinions.

Syria peace talks: Russia's leaked plan shows some flexibility
but war will not end as long as Assad stays in power
The Independent


The second round of peace talks over the fate of Syria begins this weekend.
Few are optimistic. The world powers meeting in Vienna fall into three distinct
camps:

those who back a future for Bashar al-Assad, whose number includes Russia and Iran.
Those who believe the President must go, led by Saudi Arabia and Turkey.
And those who appear caught between the two poles, a group dominated by the
US and UK.

It will take quite some diplomatic contortions to agree upon a plan for peace that
suits all parties. And as only Russia and Iran have committed significant military
resources to the fight on the ground, they have gained the upper hand.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-peace-talks-russias-leaked-plan-shows-some-flexibility-but-war-will-not-end-as-long-as-assad-a6730971.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 16, 2015, 01:40:27 PM
None of the Democrats Has a Strategy for ISIS
BY RYAN LIZZA New Yorker

read the article story here
http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/none-of-the-democrats-has-a-strategy-for-isis
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 16, 2015, 01:42:09 PM
I think it's an odd title to the article.


Putin comes in from the cold: Desperate world leaders
cosy up to Russian President to get him to join the fight against ISIS

Barack Obama seen sharing a joke with the Russian President at G20
David Cameron meets Vladimir Putin one-on-one for the first time in a year
British PM strikes a conciliatory tone in a bid to win backing of Russia
Putin accused of using airstrikes to target opponents of Assad and not ISIS
Deal agreed to cut off terrorist financing and tackle extremist ideologies


(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2015/11/16/12/2E7E73CC00000578-3320174-image-m-23_1447678387286.jpg)

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3320174/Russia-offered-compromises-future-Syrian-dictator-Assad-return-joining-fight-against-ISIS.html#ixzz3rgo8cKDK
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 16, 2015, 01:48:25 PM
Feinstein breaks with Obama: 'ISIL is not contained'
By Eliza Collins

Sen. Dianne Feinstein sharply contradicted President Barack Obama on Monday, disagreeing with his claim that the Islamic State is "contained."
“I’ve never been more concerned,” the California Democrat and Intelligence Committee ranking member told Andrea Mitchell on MSNBC Monday. “I read the intelligence faithfully. ISIL is not contained. ISIL is expanding.”


There is more read all about it here: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/11/dianne-feinstein-obama-isil-215935#ixzz3rgp61b00
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 16, 2015, 04:08:19 PM
Putin and Obama were all smiles for the camera, and one photo in particular was being "shopped" to American networks as the photo of choice by the White House. At one point when they were walking along some tables Putin even put his hand on Obama's shoulder as cameras snapped. Off camera, however, was a very different picture. Putin is certain that he has a deal on Syria that includes Russia managing the "transition" in Syria, NATO actually drops more than a few token bombs, and my sense is that Obama will look the other way if any further misdeeds happen in Ukraine.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 16, 2015, 05:26:56 PM
Putin is certain that he has a deal on Syria that includes Russia managing the "transition" in Syria, NATO actually drops more than a few token bombs, and my sense is that Obama will look the other way if any further misdeeds happen in Ukraine.

And time marches on with Crimea forever a part of Russia and Donbass pseudo-independent.   Ukraine still has the opportunity to move closer to a Western economy.

What could the feckless  Obama do other than look away?  Hopefully Obama will help the Kurds. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 16, 2015, 07:06:25 PM

What could the feckless  Obama do other than look away? Hopefully Obama will help the Kurds.

He won't.......the Turks don't want this-----------------

Quote
....some 400,000 Kurds in and around the town of Kobane in northern Syria, on the Turkish border, are being besieged and assaulted by massed legions of Islamic State killers armed with scores of tanks, armored personnel carriers, and heavy artillery. Against these, the Kurdish defenders have only AK-47s and rocket-propelled grenades. The Kurds have called on the U.S. to send in air strikes to take out the jihadist forces. In response, the administration sent in two fighter jets Saturday, which destroyed two Islamic State tanks and then flew away. The Kurds are begging for arms. The administration has not only refused to send arms, but is exerting pressure both on our NATO allies and on Israel not to send any either. Over 150,000 Kurds have fled their homes to try to escape to Turkey, but they are being blocked at the border by Turkish troops. Meanwhile, Turkey is allowing Islamist reinforcements to enter Syria to join the Islamic State, while Islamist elements of the Free Syrian Army, funded and armed by the United States, have joined forces with the group in the genocidal assault on the Kurdish enclave.

http://lonelyconservative.com/2014/09/why-wont-the-us-help-the-kurds-in-this-war-on-the-islamic-state/

Looks like Obama was wearing a flack jacket under his coat at this summit speech?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2XCC8nfVh8




Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 12:56:03 PM
He won't.......the Turks don't want this-----------------

http://lonelyconservative.com/2014/09/why-wont-the-us-help-the-kurds-in-this-war-on-the-islamic-state/

Yeah, it would require leadership to protect the Kurds and he doesn't have
that.


Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 12:58:35 PM
One thing about Team Obama is that their incompetence is becoming legendary.
Just yesterday he was bragging (lying) that they had everything under control
and that we should just dump 100,000 Syrian refuges per year around America
because he would keep track of it all.

The only thing that equals his incompetence and dishonesty is his stubbornness
and pretentiousness. He actually doesn't even know that he's a f#ck up.   

Syrian ‘Refugee’ Already MISSING IN LOUISIANA
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2015/11/breaking-syrian-refugee-already-missing-in-louisiana/


Refugee resettlement group admits: We don’t track them
BY OLAF EKBERG
http://theamericanmirror.com/syrian-refugee-group-admits-we-dont-track-them/

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 01:15:06 PM
Francois Hollande calls on Russia& US to unite to defeat Islamic State
French president gathered his politicians in Paris to declare war on Isil, as Barack
Obama insisted that if there were an easy option, they would have done it


read all about it here
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/11999553/Hollande-calls-on-Russia-and-US-to-unite-to-defeat-Isil.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 01:19:33 PM
Just over 2% of Syrian refuges are Christian. Frankly, I am surprised that they had
any.


Syrian Refugees in U.S. Include 2,098 Muslims, 53 Christians

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/patrick-goodenough/syrian-christians-are-greatest-peril-least-likely-be-admitted
Title: Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 01:29:40 PM
Poland, Bulgaria and others tell Merkel which way to fook off.

Paris Terror Unites East Europe Against Merkel's Refugee Plan
By Aaron Eglitis  Bloomberg

Bulgarian Foreign Minister Daniel Mitov on Tuesday called discussions on quotas for
migrants “absurd” following the events in Paris, while Poland’s incoming Prime Minister
Beata Szydlo said a day earlier the EU should review its stance on immigration, pledging
to accept refugees only if they don’t endanger security.

(http://assets.bwbx.io/images/iWmWr.XYidMM/v2/-1x-1.jpg)

Poland’s Interior Minister Mariusz Blaszczak, of the Law & Justice party that won last
month’s election after promising to take the country out of the “EU mainstream,”
recalled the Nazi destruction of Warsaw during World War II when asked about
German politicians’ comments suggesting Poland should show more solidarity in
trying to resolve the migrant crisis.

“This is another example of German arrogance,” Blaszczak told TVN24 on Tuesday.
“We are in Warsaw, which was destroyed by Germans agents, who murdered
50,000 people, including women and children” during a raid on its Wola district
in 1944, he said.

read the whole story here
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-17/paris-terror-uniting-east-europe-against-merkel-s-refugee-plan
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 01:32:43 PM



Belgian PM threatens to close ‘certain radical mosques’
Christian Oliver in Brussels

High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/765af108-8c7b-11e5-a549-b89a1dfede9b.html#ixzz3rmbvR2qb

Belgian prime minister Charles Michel has threatened to close “certain radical
mosques” in the Molenbeek neighbourhood of Brussels that security services
are increasingly viewing as a launch pad for the worst terror attack in French
history.

But as masked officers swooped on the forlorn district on Monday, blocking off
roads and rounding up suspects, many residents suggested that curing
Molenbeek would not be so straightforward.

read all about it here
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/765af108-8c7b-11e5-a549-b89a1dfede9b.html#axzz3rmYwYxam
Title: Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 17, 2015, 01:34:56 PM
As if Obama would do something just because the GOP asked and it made sense.
He wants to import hundreds of thousands of dangerous refuges into the US and
nobody will stop him!!

The GOP leadership in the house and senate already gave up when they raised
the debt limit without any restrictions. They have the power of the purse but not
the backbone.

Republican leaders call for ‘pause’ on Syrian refugee program

read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2015/11/17/ryan-calls-for-pause-on-syrian-refugee-program/



House GOP Seek to Cut Off Funding for Syrian Resettlement Program
BY JOHN HUDSON FP

read all about it here
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/11/16/house-republicans-seek-to-cut-off-funding-for-syrian-resettlement-program/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 17, 2015, 02:46:46 PM
One thing about Team Obama is that their incompetence is becoming legendary.
 
I'm surprised but to this point there haven't been any major terrorist attacks here in the USA on Obama's watch...Under Bush we had an enormous one...I don't assign the blame solely to Bush for that one, nor would I likely assign blame soley to Obama if one occurs here before his term is up....it is a group effort





and that we should just dump 100,000 Syrian refuges per year around America
because he would keep track of it all.





I don't think we should take 10's of 1000's of Syrian refugees into our society.  It is too risky, and we have enough internal issues already.  I am hoping that ultimately Obama agrees.   
Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 17, 2015, 03:04:27 PM
I'm surprised but to this point there haven't been any major terrorist attacks here in the USA on Obama's watch...Under Bush we had an enormous one...I don't assign the blame solely to Bush for that one, nor would I likely assign blame soley to Obama if one occurs here before his term is up....it is a group effort


Fathertime!


You forgot to mention that under the Sun-Tanned One we found the mastermind of 9/11 Bin Laden, killed him and appropriated his pornography trove.  ;) 
And what happened under Bush? Ah, yes. Regime change. War profiteering. ISIS. AND Bin Laden stashing copious amounts of pornography.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 17, 2015, 04:39:38 PM
He won't.......the Turks don't want this-----------------

True, the Turks have a long dispute with  Kurds, giving rise to  Kurdish terrorism in their fight for independence.  Things change, however.  If the Kurds fight ISIS on the ground, and the Turks don't, US policy may change.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 17, 2015, 10:47:09 PM
I'm surprised but to this point there haven't been any major terrorist attacks here in the USA on Obama's watch



The Boston bombings in retaliation for America killing Muslims was major. A few died and almost 200 injured at the Boston Marathon.


You forgot to mention that under the Sun-Tanned One we found the mastermind of 9/11 Bin Laden, killed him and appropriated his pornography trove.  ;) 



Obama was able to locate Osama because Bush put the troops on the ground. Clinton also found Bin Laden in Afghanistan after the first World Trade Center bombing but refused to kill him due to potential collateral damage. Of course we know the World Trade Center got hit a second time.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 18, 2015, 07:48:41 AM

The Boston bombings in retaliation for America killing Muslims was major. A few died and almost 200 injured at the Boston Marathon.

True.  Two US raised brothers did do this. Not as big as others, but the intent was there.


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 18, 2015, 07:59:23 AM
Just over 2% of Syrian refuges are Christian. Frankly, I am surprised that they had
any.


Syrian Refugees in U.S. Include 2,098 Muslims, 53 Christians

http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/patrick-goodenough/syrian-christians-are-greatest-peril-least-likely-be-admitted (http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/patrick-goodenough/syrian-christians-are-greatest-peril-least-likely-be-admitted)


Is this outfit up to par with Factcheck?


http://www.factcheck.org/2015/09/stretching-facts-on-syrian-refugees/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 18, 2015, 10:45:55 AM

Is this outfit up to par with Factcheck?


http://www.factcheck.org/2015/09/stretching-facts-on-syrian-refugees/

Muzh, you should know by now that "facts" simply spoil a good story.  "Rhetoric" is far more compelling, especially if there is an end for which this is the means.  :D
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 18, 2015, 12:44:18 PM
Muzh, you should know by now that "facts" simply spoil a good story.  "Rhetoric" is far more compelling, especially if there is an end for which this is the means.  :D

I post the articles, I'm not their editor. Many of these fact checkers are liberal
groups pretending to be unbiased who will twist any fact to suit their liberal interests.
None of the fact checkers disputed the percentage of Muslims to Christians
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 18, 2015, 12:45:18 PM
HOURS AFTER OBAMA TAUNTS GOP WITH ‘WIDOWS’ FEMALE SUICIDE BOMBER EXPLODES IN PARIS

Once again, reality has intruded on President Obama’s divisive, his anti-science talking
points. Just hours after the president used the term “widows and orphans” to taunt the
GOP over their opposition to flooding America with Syrian refugees ISIS has promised
to seed with terrorists, a female suicide bomber in Paris blew herself up as police closed
in.


http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/11/18/hours-after-obama-taunts-gop-with-widows-female-suicide-bomber-explodes-in-paris/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 18, 2015, 12:51:05 PM
Revealed: The enemy within. Nearly SEVENTY are arrested in
America over ISIS plots - and they include refugees who had
been given safe haven but 'turned to terror'




Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3322649/The-enemy-Nearly-SEVENTY-arrested-America-ISIS-plots-include-refugees-given-safe-haven-turned-terror.html#ixzz3rsHPXFeR
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 18, 2015, 02:50:57 PM
Quote
True.  Two US raised brothers did do this. Not as big as others, but the intent was there.


FT, a slight point of correction: the two brothers were raised primarily in Kyrgyzstan and the Russian republic of Dagestan. They, as were their parents, deeply influenced by the Russian wars in Chechnya.

In addition to the deaths they caused, the two managed to wound 264 civilians and 15 police officers.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 18, 2015, 03:26:37 PM
I post the articles, I'm not their editor. Many of these fact checkers are liberal
groups pretending to be unbiased who will twist any fact to suit their liberal interests.
None of the fact checkers disputed the percentage of Muslims to Christians


LMAO, and C(onservative)N(ews)S(ervice)network is fair and balanced, right?  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 18, 2015, 03:51:35 PM

FT, a slight point of correction: the two brothers were raised primarily in Kyrgyzstan and the Russian republic of Dagestan. They, as were their parents, deeply influenced by the Russian wars in Chechnya.


And Sen. Rand Paul and others concerned about terrorists among Syrian refugees, point to these two brothers as examples. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 18, 2015, 05:02:56 PM
I post the articles, I'm not their editor.

I realise that.  I give thanks to you and JayH for making the time to find all of these articles that those of us with busier lives  :D don't see.

Many of these fact checkers are liberal groups pretending to be unbiased who will twist any fact to suit their liberal interests.  None of the fact checkers disputed the percentage of Muslims to Christians.

Give us a break!  Here you go, using "liberal" as a swear word again!  And so what if they didn't dispute the relative percentages of the religions?  It's your conservative politicians who twisted the reality to suit their listenership.  :o
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 18, 2015, 09:09:09 PM

FT, a slight point of correction: the two brothers were raised primarily in Kyrgyzstan and the Russian republic of Dagestan. They, as were their parents, deeply influenced by the Russian wars in Chechnya.

In addition to the deaths they caused, the two managed to wound 264 civilians and 15 police officers.


noted...thanks...looks like they were here about 10 years prior to bombing.


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 19, 2015, 07:50:50 AM
By us (The US) continuing to make a big stink over 'Assad must go', we are continuing to foster a climate for ISIS.   Apparently the latest meetings regarding Syria were once again torpedo by our instance that Assad must go.  Why we (outsiders) must give a strong opinion, and insist it is only the way we want it?  We are not the boss of the planet.  If we actually want ISIS gone we could start by stopping our 'accidental' arming of them. 


http://news.yahoo.com/syria-army-rebels-pursue-talks-ceasefire-near-capital-100034113.html (http://news.yahoo.com/syria-army-rebels-pursue-talks-ceasefire-near-capital-100034113.html)


Hopes for Syria peace dim after Assad, Obama remarks


Beirut (AFP) - Hopes for a quick political transition in war-ravaged Syria dimmed Thursday as embattled President Bashar al-Assad threw cold water on an ambitious timetable agreed at international talks in Vienna.

At the same time, the US held firm to its calls for Assad's departure, with President Barack Obama insisting Thursday that the war could not end unless the Syrian leader steps down......



Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 08:22:33 AM

LMAO, and C(onservative)N(ews)S(ervice)network is fair and balanced, right?  ;)

You asked if the article was fact checked. Then you posted a liberal fact checker
link that didn't dispute the story. I am sure they report with a conservative twist.
I post articles from the liberal rags all the time as well.

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 08:26:00 AM
Give us a break!  Here you go, using "liberal" as a swear word again!  And so what if they didn't dispute the relative percentages of the religions?  It's your conservative politicians who twisted the reality to suit their listenership.  :o

There is plenty of that on both sides. The idiots are literally running the asylum.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 08:27:56 AM
Syrian community leader: ISIS is already in America
By Reuven Fenton and Bruce Golding

http://nypost.com/2015/11/19/syrian-community-leader-isis-is-already-in-new-york-city/


(http://www.rushimg.com/cimages//media/images/obamaisiswhite-house-summit2/1440187-1-eng-GB/ObamaISISWhite-House-Summit.jpg)
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 09:05:32 AM
EXCLUSIVE — CONFIRMED: 8 SYRIANS CAUGHT AT TEXAS BORDER IN LAREDO

read all about it here
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/11/18/report-8-syrians-caught-at-texas-border-in-laredo/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 09:09:05 AM

ISIS threatens NYC in new propaganda video
By Shawn Cohen, Isabel Vincent and Tina Moore New York Post

read about it here
http://nypost.com/2015/11/18/isis-threatens-nyc-in-new-propaganda-video/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 09:47:42 AM
Obama quote:  "Apparently they're scared of widows and orphans coming in to the United States of America as part of our tradition of compassion.  At first they were worried about the press being too tough on 'em during debates.  Now they're worried about three-year-old orphans.  That doesn't sound very tough to me.  They've been playing on fear in order to try to score political points or to advance their campaigns.  And it's irresponsible.  And it's contrary to who we are.  And it needs to stop, because the world is watching."

Obama and the democrats were so unable to take any criticism that they canceled
the debate in 2007 with Fox News1 following a joke chairman Roger Ailes
made about candidate Barack Obama.

Obama is petulant, childish man-child who's having trouble getting his way without
opposition.  Opposition offends his delicate disposition. Try to contrast Obama with
French president Hollande. 


1. http://www.reuters.com/article/2007/03/10/us-campaign-debate-idUSN0918742820070310#lDrEbzEOtOvRvTLi.97
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 10:02:15 AM
Obama refuses to let grim reality change his ISIS script
By Jonah Goldberg New York Post

According to legend, if not actual historians, Harold Macmillan was once asked what
he most feared could derail his agenda. The British prime minister allegedly said,
“Events, my dear boy, events.”

Macmillan may never have actually said it, but the quote endures because it gets
at a fundamental truth of politics (and life). Facts on the ground can deliver a fatal
blow to one’s most cherished plans.

The line kept coming to mind as I listened to President Obama’s remarkable
news conference Monday from the G-20 meeting in Turkey. Asked again and
again whether he underestimated the threat from Islamic State, a group he
once dismissed as a “JV team,” the president said, in effect, “no.”

There is a lot more read all about it here (and it's pretty darn good in my opinion)
http://nypost.com/2015/11/17/obama-refuses-to-let-grim-reality-change-his-isis-script/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 19, 2015, 01:54:11 PM
Terrorists Once Used Refugee Program to Settle in US
By JAMES GORDON MEEK BRIAN ROSS


Of the 31 states that have declared their opposition to taking in Syrian refugees, one state, Kentucky, has a specific reason to be wary of the background check process: previously two Iraqi refugees who settled in Bowling Green turned out to be al Qaeda-linked terrorists with the blood of American soldiers on their hands, an ABC News investigation found. Both pleaded guilty to terror-connected charges after trying to acquire heavy weapons while in America’s heartland.

There is more read all about it here
http://abcnews.go.com/International/terrorists-refugee-program-settle-us/story?id=35252500
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 19, 2015, 02:45:55 PM
Obama refuses to let grim reality change his ISIS script
By Jonah Goldberg New York Post

According to legend, if not actual historians, Harold Macmillan was once asked what
he most feared could derail his agenda. The British prime minister allegedly said,
“Events, my dear boy, events.”

Macmillan may never have actually said it, but the quote endures because it gets
at a fundamental truth of politics (and life). Facts on the ground can deliver a fatal
blow to one’s most cherished plans.

The line kept coming to mind as I listened to President Obama’s remarkable
news conference Monday from the G-20 meeting in Turkey. Asked again and
again whether he underestimated the threat from Islamic State, a group he
once dismissed as a “JV team,” the president said, in effect, “no.”

There is a lot more read all about it here (and it's pretty darn good in my opinion)
http://nypost.com/2015/11/17/obama-refuses-to-let-grim-reality-change-his-isis-script/ (http://nypost.com/2015/11/17/obama-refuses-to-let-grim-reality-change-his-isis-script/)


Bill, the NY Post is a Murdoch-owned conservative rag, and I don't use the word rag lightly. This paper has hit rock bottom in terms of credibility.


You know the paper was founded by Alexander Hamilton (the hottest ticket in Broadway right now) and it proudly displayed that info on their headmast every day.  As soon as that fcuking Australian bought it (no insult intended to the nice people of OZ) they got rid of that because of his intentions and they had nothing to do with journalism. Now that the bastard has become an American citizen, they should try him for sedition.


I really hope he rots in hell.


Have a nice day.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on November 20, 2015, 01:11:10 AM

Bill, the NY Post is a Murdoch-owned conservative rag, and I don't use the word rag lightly. This paper has hit rock bottom in terms of credibility.


You know the paper was founded by Alexander Hamilton (the hottest ticket in Broadway right now) and it proudly displayed that info on their headmast every day.  As soon as that fcuking Australian bought it (no insult intended to the nice people of OZ) they got rid of that because of his intentions and they had nothing to do with journalism. Now that the bastard has become an American citizen, they should try him for sedition.


I really hope he rots in hell.


Have a nice day.  ;)

Murdoch see's himself as a kingmaker.  He figured out long ago that using the lowest common denominator had by far the most potential for him to create influence and  gave him the greatest leverage to get the world changed to his advantage/or the way he wants it!
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 20, 2015, 10:39:05 AM

Bill, the NY Post is a Murdoch-owned conservative rag, and I don't use the word rag lightly. This paper has hit rock bottom in terms of credibility.

It's an opinion article. Attack the argument not the source. Fallacy of reasoning
(Ad Hominem)

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 20, 2015, 10:49:52 AM
Obama, vastly underestimated ISIS as the JV squad. Obama's predictions have been
terribly wrong and he quite frankly has egg all over his face. The gobbledygook that 
he has been been spouting seems out of touch with reality. Obama is wrecking the
democrat brand similar to what Jimmy Carter did at the end of his presidency.

'The White House will turn black with our fire, Allah willing'
ISIS warns of fresh attacks on Washington in the third video to threaten
America in as many days
Fanatics have released a new video threatening to attack the White House
Another extremist also threatens Barack Obama and Francois Hollande
Says ISIS will lead America, France and their allies 'like slaves, like dogs'
Previous videos threatened attacks on Washington DC and New York



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3325952/The-White-House-turn-black-fire-Allah-willing-ISIS-warns-fresh-attacks-Washington-video-threaten-America-days.html#ixzz3s3TxOOua
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 20, 2015, 11:29:04 PM

Another admission of illegality today, this time from Congress.  It seems clear to me that the American people are NOT behind our nation's policy of trying to force regime change in Syria.  Now even members of congress from both sides of the aisle str calling for us to stop trying to interfere in Syria.  My belief remains that we attempted to foment, arm, and spearhead these 'rebels' among other things to try to harm the Russian/Syrian alliance by forceful regime change.   
US lawmakers say forget Assad, focus on IS



In an unusual alliance, a House Democrat and Republican have teamed up to urge the Obama administration to stop trying to overthrow Syrian President Bashar Assad and focus all its efforts on destroying Islamic State militants.......


"The U.S. is waging two wars in Syria," Gabbard said. "The first is the war against ISIS and other Islamic extremists, which Congress authorized after the terrorist attack on 9/11. The second war is the illegal war to overthrow the Syrian government of Assad."....

....Publicly, the United States has focused its efforts on fighting IS and urging Assad to step down. But beyond thousands of U.S. airstrikes targeting IS in the region, the CIA began a covert operation in 2013 to arm, fund and train a moderate opposition to Assad. The secret CIA program is the only step the U.S. is taking on Assad militarily......


http://news.yahoo.com/us-lawmakers-forget-assad-focus-172759340.html (http://news.yahoo.com/us-lawmakers-forget-assad-focus-172759340.html)


Fathertime!   

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 10:51:51 AM
Syria crisis: Russia, Assad forces launch heaviest strikes
on Islamic State-held territory since war began


At least 36 people were killed in air strikes by Russian and Syrian jets on Islamic
State-controlled Deir Ezzor province on Friday, a monitor says, describing them
as the heaviest in the region since the start of the Syrian civil war.

Russia pounded the jihadist group in Syria, firing cruise missiles from warships in
the Caspian Sea after president Vladimir Putin vowed retaliation for a bombing that
brought down a Russian airliner in Egypt last month.

(http://s.yimg.com/dh/ap/default/151007/warships-8.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-21/syrian-civil-war-dozens-killed-in-heavy-bombardment-by-russia/6961296
Title: The Russian/Syrian & China? connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 10:54:05 AM
I wonder if Rob Virtue is the reporters real name

Putin's boost in battle against ISIS: China preparing to 'team up with Russia in Syria'
CHINA could be on the verge of teaming up with Russia to unleash
 its military might in Syria and destroy Islamic State (ISIS).
By ROB VIRTUE




http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/610286/China-preparing-to-team-up-with-Russia-in-Syria-Boost-for-Putin-in-battle-against-ISIS
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 11:08:41 AM
I think that Obama is playing checkers while Putin is playing chess.


U.S. Eyes Russia-Iran Split in Bid to End Syria Conflict
Washington’s Middle East allies aim to coax Putin to
support limits on Tehran-backed Assad’s time in power


(http://stateofthenation2012.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/putin_against_obama_stupid_bin.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-eyes-russia-iran-split-in-bid-to-end-syria-conflict-1447895357
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 11:25:31 AM
The tiny pill fueling Syria’s war and turning fighters into superhuman soldiers
By Peter Holley Washington Post

(http://tn-ar.cdncmd.com/sites/default/files/styles/970x547/public/2015/11/18/drug_0.jpg)

On the surface, those competing actors are fueled by an overlapping mixture of ideologies and political agendas.

Just below it, experts suspect, they're powered by something else: Captagon.

A tiny, highly addictive pill produced in Syria and widely available across the Middle
East, its illegal sale funnels hundreds of millions of dollars back into the war-torn
country's black-market economy each year, likely giving militias access to new
arms, fighters and the ability to keep the conflict boiling, according to the Guardian.

read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2015/11/19/the-tiny-pill-fueling-syrias-war-and-turning-fighters-into-super-human-soldiers/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 11:30:45 AM
Syria’s Speed Freaks, Jihad Junkies, and Captagon Cartels
BY CHAVALA MADLENA, RADWAN MORTADA FP

IRUT — In a dank garage in a poor neighborhood in south Beirut, young men are
hard at work. Industrial equipment hums in the background as they put on their
surgical masks and form assembly lines, unpacking boxes of caffeine and quinine,
in powder and liquid form. They have turned the garage into a makeshift illegal
drug factory, where they produce the Middle East’s most popular illicit drug: an
amphetamine called Captagon.

(http://www.ooyuz.com/images/2015/10/20/1448040297124.jpg)

For at least a decade, the multimillion-dollar Captagon trade has been a fixture of
the Middle East’s black markets. It involves everyone from Bulgarian and Syrian
gangs, to Hezbollah, to members of the Saudi royal family.


read all about it here
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/11/19/syria-isis-captagon-lebanon-assad/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 11:35:01 AM

War on ISIS: Who's doing what?
By Ashley Fantz, CNN

read all about it here
http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/20/world/war-on-isis-whos-doing-what/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 12:05:21 PM
(http://www.jewishworldreview.com/toons/fuller/obama_terror_golf.jpg)


How that 'jayvee team' metastasized into the world's most destructive terror force
By Caroline Alexander & Salma El Wardany


image: http://www.jewishworldreview.com/images/cleardot.gif

Read more at http://www.jewishworldreview.com/1115/ISIS_timeline.php3#LlCmz1BaPoc3ZJKf.99
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 21, 2015, 12:37:00 PM
The tiny pill fueling Syria’s war and turning fighters into superhuman soldiers
By Peter Holley Washington Post

(http://tn-ar.cdncmd.com/sites/default/files/styles/970x547/public/2015/11/18/drug_0.jpg)

On the surface, those competing actors are fueled by an overlapping mixture of ideologies and political agendas.

Just below it, experts suspect, they're powered by something else: Captagon.

A tiny, highly addictive pill produced in Syria and widely available across the Middle
East, its illegal sale funnels hundreds of millions of dollars back into the war-torn
country's black-market economy each year, likely giving militias access to new
arms, fighters and the ability to keep the conflict boiling, according to the Guardian.

read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2015/11/19/the-tiny-pill-fueling-syrias-war-and-turning-fighters-into-super-human-soldiers/

Nothing new, Bill.

The Nazi's called it Pervitin, 'pilot's salt', 'Stuka tablets' or 'tank chocolate'. Kept the troops "alert".

Japanese referred to it as Philopon. They produced millions of pills during the war years.

Allied Pilot's were issued amphetamines for long flight bomber raids. Although nowhere near what other militaries were issuing to their soldiers.

The Soviets ate the stuff like candy (don't remember what they called it) during the war and afterwards their KGB/GRU people were users as well as dealers.

It also suppressed hunger when rations were short.

By drugging their terrorist army, IS is taking a page from 20th century military doctrine keeping their operatives alert and active for what may be days at a time.

The downside is addiction and the emotional/physical 'crash' that occurs if the drugs are not supplied.

As an aside their is debate among historians that Hitler may have made a number of his seemingly irrational military/tactical decisions while high on Pervitin. He apparently was profoundly addicted to the drug and ingested it intravenously.

Brass

 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 21, 2015, 01:49:20 PM

The downside is addiction and the emotional/physical 'crash' that occurs if the drugs are not supplied.

As an aside their is debate among historians that Hitler may have made a number of his seemingly irrational military/tactical decisions while high on Pervitin. He apparently was profoundly addicted to the drug and ingested it intravenously.

Brass

I've heard about it as well although not the stuff about Hitler.
I've heard about some Muslims chewing khat but not pharmaceuticals. 


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 21, 2015, 04:50:20 PM
The Soviets ate the stuff like candy (don't remember what they called it) during the war and afterwards their KGB/GRU people were users as well as dealers.

The Soviets called it "vint". Created by the Japanese in the Russo-Japanese War of 1905 and called "Shabu" at that time.

As an aside their is debate among historians that Hitler may have made a number of his seemingly irrational military/tactical decisions while high on Pervitin. He apparently was profoundly addicted to the drug and ingested it intravenously.

Theodor Morell injected Hitler every morning with water and Vitamultin (meth) to get him going.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 22, 2015, 07:48:07 AM
Nothing new, Bill.
Yes. In WWI our land troops were regularly issued liberal rations of brandy or grappa before an attack, "to stiffen up their resolve".
Quote
Allied Pilot's were issued amphetamines for long flight bomber raids.
In WWII my father was a transport pilot on the suicidal route from Sicily to Lybia, eventually shot down in April 1943 (http://www.floriani.it/papacrash-eng.htm), and he told me they could keep going only thanks to pills of simpamina (benzedrine)-
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 22, 2015, 12:15:11 PM


'The White House will turn black with our fire, Allah willing'



  http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3325952/The-White-House-turn-black-fire-Allah-willing-ISIS-warns-fresh-attacks-Washington-video-threaten-America-days.html#ixzz3s3TxOOua (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3325952/The-White-House-turn-black-fire-Allah-willing-ISIS-warns-fresh-attacks-Washington-video-threaten-America-days.html#ixzz3s3TxOOua)

Don't understand this one from the Jihadis.
The White House [which is black enough?] is the kindest gentlest ally they could ever expect.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 22, 2015, 01:22:54 PM

Bill, the NY Post is a Murdoch-owned conservative rag, and I don't use the word rag lightly. This paper has hit rock bottom in terms of credibility.

Incredibly, Murdoch also owns The New York Times... an ulta-liberal rag.
 
The shadow company is/or was? the globalist News Corporation.

 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times#Ownership
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_Corporation

 
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 22, 2015, 01:58:26 PM
Don't understand this one from the Jihadis.
The White House [which is black enough?] is the kindest gentlest ally they could ever expect.


I believe they meant to burn a cross and lynch the Nigr.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 22, 2015, 02:01:44 PM
Incredibly, Murdoch also owns The New York Times... an ulta-liberal rag.
 
The shadow company is/or was? the globalist News Corporation.

 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times#Ownership (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times#Ownership)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_Corporation (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/News_Corporation)


I know you are using Wiki, but please read it again. They are citing examples of dual shares.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 22, 2015, 02:27:15 PM
In WWII my father was a transport pilot on the suicidal route from Sicily to Lybia, eventually shot down in April 1943 (http://www.floriani.it/papacrash-eng.htm), and he told me they could keep going only thanks to pills of simpamina (benzedrine)-

Interesting read, Sandro. Thanks for linking it.  :)

He definitely deserved to be recognized for what he did. Can you not submit for the medal now?

I'm thinking there should be some provision (Italian Government) for awarding decorations to WW2 veterans posthumously(?)

I suggest you petition the appropriate department, attach the letter and request the citation be awarded (in Canada usually presented to the closest living relative) to your Father.

The lack of documentation 70 years after the fact isn't a factor as far as I'm concerned. You're in possession of the after action combat report and recommendation. If an awards panel were to convene today with the same information recommending an award for bravery as was documented then by his Commanding Officer, it would be enough to decorate the candidate (in this case your Dad), imo.

Brass
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 22, 2015, 02:40:29 PM

I believe they meant to burn a cross and lynch the Nigr.

They just wanted to make his two daughters (old maids by Jihady standards)
into sex slaves.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 22, 2015, 05:47:27 PM

I believe they meant to burn a cross and lynch the Nigr.

ISIS will leave him alone given he is calling  Eric Holder out of retirement to lead a new movement,  JIHADI LIVES MATTER.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 23, 2015, 02:27:30 AM
Some of you may recall from a few years back that I used to debate LT here on the war in Syria, in regards to the attempts to remove Assad. I haven't changed in my assessment that the West has no business in Syria.

I do think however that since the Saudi Arabians have decided to hide behind a 1951 Convention (United Nations High Commission on Refugees) when accepting refugees with serious restrictions on the basis that there will be terrorists embedded--funny as that nation is as much a terror sponsor as is Iran--we should bomb the hell out of them as we retreat. Were we to do that, Russia would join us for that frolicking event. No, we would not have an oil crisis if we were to abandon the Saudis. The world would actually be a better place.

I don't always read David Stockman, but when I do it's an article like this one:
http://mises.org/library/blowback-washington-war-partys-folly-comes-home-roost


June 2013: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2013/06/25/on-syria-from-antioch/

August 2013: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2013/08/28/should-russia-oppose-washington-on-syria/

April 2012: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2012/04/10/russia-to-send-monitors-to-syria/

May 2013: http://mendeleyev54.rssing.com/browser.php?indx=7513570&item=78

June 2012: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2012/06/18/g20-brics-and-putin-on-syria-and-iran/

Sept. 2013: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2013/09/19/new-sexy-syria-calendar-for-putin/

August 2013: Some of you may know the news conference in Vladivostok in which Mr. Putin lightly rebuked a certain journalist (who was not trying to be difficult) by responding with, "You know our position" instead of answering the question. http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/putin-press-conference-on-syria-and-g20/.  We went on to the G20 meetings in St Petersburg, hosted by Russia.

July 2012: http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2012/07/21/syria-update/

Finally, this: http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=14999.0

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 23, 2015, 11:44:59 AM
Not surprisingly Iran and Russia want to keep Assad. What's surprising is
that Obama wants to replace him. With whom? Obama doesn't know and
doesn't care. He didn't have a plan for Libya or Egypt either when he demanded
that they step down (or replaced their leaders). He is going in Jimmy Carter mode
when he insisted that the Shaw step down


Iran, Russia vow to external attempts' to dump Assad
AFP By Maria Panina

http://news.yahoo.com/russias-putin-arrives-tehran-100552859.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 23, 2015, 11:48:03 AM
Russian jets hit 472 targets in Syria in past two days

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/russian-jets-hit-472-targets-syria-past-two-004846161.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 23, 2015, 12:23:11 PM
I'm thinking there should be some provision (Italian Government) for awarding decorations to WW2 veterans posthumously(?) I suggest you petition the appropriate department, attach the letter and request the citation be awarded (in Canada usually presented to the closest living relative) to your Father.
Brass, thank you for your concern and suggestions, however I could not find on the 'Net any governmental/military addressee for a petition on the matter, and frankly I do not relish the idea of searching for one with other means, and dealing with our lethargic bureaucracy either ;).
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 23, 2015, 01:46:55 PM
Brass, thank you for your concern and suggestions, however I could not find on the 'Net any governmental/military addressee for a petition on the matter, and frankly I do not relish the idea of searching for one with other means, and dealing with our lethargic bureaucracy either ;).

Understood. You've made your Dad's exploits and bravery part of your family history now and that's what really counts, anyways.  :)

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 23, 2015, 04:55:21 PM
Russian jets hit 472 targets in Syria in past two days

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/russian-jets-hit-472-targets-syria-past-two-004846161.html

Pay close attention to this piece of news in the Yahoo report:  "The Russian defence ministry said last week that it was "hunting" oil transporters in a bid to cut IS financing and claimed that in the past five days some 1,000 fuel trucks had been destroyed"

This makes sense to me.  ISIS has supposedly sold nearly $1 billion of oil/fuel to Turkish outlets.  So stopping the flow of fuel to Turkey will reduce the ISIS programs dependent upon money (military operations against Assad and others, governance in ISIS territory, healthcare and  welfare for civilians residing in ISIS territory, terror operations in foreign lands, etc.).     

THE BIG QUESTION:  Why didn't Obama destroy the oil infrastructure 15 months ago when the US started its bombing?
 
[Answer in next post.]
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 23, 2015, 05:03:18 PM
Not surprisingly Iran and Russia want to keep Assad. What's surprising is
that Obama wants to replace him.   With whom?

And before he can be replaced, Assad's military must be defeated. 

Obama's strategy to accomplish this has two parts:

       1.  Fund some  opposition groups directly. 
       2.  Allow ISIS to continue to grow and thereby have the capacity to attack Assad's military. 

Yes, Number Two is why Obama did not destroy the oil infrastructure in bombing raids.  Oil is the largest source of revenue for ISIS.    (see my post above).

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 23, 2015, 05:09:39 PM

THE BIG QUESTION:  Why didn't Obama destroy the oil infrastructure 15 months ago when the US started its bombing?
 
[Answer in next post.]

The touchy feely Team Obama held off on such action in the past because of
concerns about killing civilian drivers of the trucks who may not be members
of Islamic State. It was classic ineptitude. The purpose of military action is to
kill people and destroy things. Team Obama thinks the purpose of military action
is to appear to be doing something.

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 23, 2015, 05:15:30 PM
And before he can be replaced, Assad's military must be defeated. 

Obama's strategy to accomplish this has two parts:

       1.  Fund some  opposition groups directly. 
       2.  Allow ISIS to continue to grow and thereby have the capacity to attack Assad's military. 

Yes, Number Two is why Obama did not destroy the oil infrastructure in bombing raids.  Oil is the largest source of revenue for ISIS.    (see my post above).

IMHO,
His strategy was flawed and counter productive. He misidentified the problems and
used dubious strategies to solve them. Destroying Assads army will leave another 
void filled by ISIS who has plans to harm the USA where Assad had no such goals.
Obama's funding of so called Moderate groups turned into a huge boondoggle and
in the end almost nobody entered the fray against Assad.


 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 23, 2015, 06:38:54 PM
No, we would not have an oil crisis if we were to abandon the Saudis. The world would actually be a better place.

The world would be more peaceful.  Yet, the Russians and Iranians (after joining with the Mesopotamian Shi'ite) would control a majority of the world's oil supply if the Saudi oil were taken off the market.  Oil would be available, but at the highest price  the market could bear as determined by King Putin and the Ayatollah.  . 

Quote
I don't always read David Stockman, but when I do it's an article like this one:
http://mises.org/library/blowback-washington-war-partys-folly-comes-home-roost

A vibrant read.  Head of Reagan's OMB.   It is insightful to read material by authors who were there. 

Speaking of having been there, Elliot Ackerman is  a former Marine officer, awarded the purple heart and silver star fighting the precursors to ISIS.   He is  interviewed by Al Jazeera and CNN, and is just now getting serious about writing.   A  year-old piece about ISIS:   http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2014/09/07/watching-isis-come-to-power-again.html. 



 
Quote
http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/putin-press-conference-on-syria-and-g20/. 

Good show!   So have you......been there.    My advice, don't take this tact if you are in Iran. 

BTW, Miss December was spot on.  Too much woman for Obama. 

I really appreciate your posts. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on November 23, 2015, 08:43:32 PM
Understood. You've made your Dad's exploits and bravery part of your family history now and that's what really counts, anyways.  :)
I moved a reply to http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=2657.msg419019#msg419019 as a more relevant venue ;).
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 24, 2015, 08:13:48 AM
Here's a good, old-fashion American response to ISIS.


http://news.vice.com/article/gun-toting-protesters-held-a-rally-against-islamization-outside-a-texas-mosque?utm_source=vicenewsemail


Yep, almost look like Iran.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 24, 2015, 08:52:48 AM
Here's a good, old-fashion American response to ISIS.


http://news.vice.com/article/gun-toting-protesters-held-a-rally-against-islamization-outside-a-texas-mosque?utm_source=vicenewsemail (http://news.vice.com/article/gun-toting-protesters-held-a-rally-against-islamization-outside-a-texas-mosque?utm_source=vicenewsemail)


Yep, almost look like Iran.


This is where terroristic acts pay 'dividends' over and over. Fear on display.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Slumba on November 24, 2015, 09:03:16 AM
Here's a good, old-fashion American response to ISIS.


http://news.vice.com/article/gun-toting-protesters-held-a-rally-against-islamization-outside-a-texas-mosque?utm_source=vicenewsemail


Yep, almost look like Iran.

1 guy with a gun, 12 people total. 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:13:33 PM
1 guy with a gun, 12 people total.

Yes, quite the important breaking news event. I'm surprised they didn't
have the place swarming with news crews.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:16:47 PM
The President is “wrong” on ISIS Strategy
President Obama’s former Defense Intelligence Agency director speaks
Bianna Golodryga  Yahoo News



On Obama’s approach to how he deals with and characterizes ISIS: “I think the president lacks confidence, to be very honest with you.” He continued: “He has to stop frankly the nonsense and this line of thinking that he’s on and come to grips with the reality and face this problem that we’re facing.”

Flynn also urged Obama to change his current strategy against ISIS. He told Golodryga: “This president has to make decisions now instead of arguing with Republicans and the media. He’s going to make decisions now to at least build a strong foundation for whoever is the next president, because the next president of the United States is going to have a huge international security to deal with, and a lot of it is caused by the complacency of the current administration.”

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.yahoo.com/katiecouric/isis-after-paris-and-obamas-response-155216002.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:29:43 PM
Pentagon backs Turkey’s version of events, blames ‘incursion’ of Russian jet
By Rowan Scarborough - The Washington Times


read all about it here
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/nov/24/pentagon-backs-turkeys-version-accuses-russian-fig/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:31:53 PM
NATO calls 'extraordinary meeting' after Turkey downs Russian jet
(AFP)

read about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/nato-calls-extraordinary-meeting-turkey-downs-russian-jet-115205832.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:45:33 PM
Obama pokes Putin, says jet shoot-down part of ‘ongoing problem’ with Russians
By Dave Boyer - The Washington Times

President Obama said the shoot-down “points to an ongoing problem with the Russian operations” in Syria, including attacks against moderate Syrian opposition groups near the Turkish border.

If Russia were going after the Islamic State instead, Mr. Obama said, such mistakes “are less likely to occur.” He said it’s important for Turkish and Russian officials to communicate and to “discourage any kind of escalation.”

read all about it here
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/nov/24/obama-pokes-putin-says-jet-shoot-down-points-ongoi/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 24, 2015, 12:46:52 PM
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=17720.msg419066;topicseen#msg419066
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:49:31 PM
Putin: Russia will not tolerate such crimes as attack against its Sukhoi-24 plane
Russian Politics & Diplomacy TASS

According to the president, the attack against Su-24 plane in Syria goes beyond normal struggle against terrorism, and it is "a stab in Russia’s back" delivered by "terrorism accomplices"

There is more read all about it here
http://tass.ru/en/politics/838825


Putin rages as Turkey shoots down Russian plane
AFP By Fulya Ozerkan with Stuart Williams in Istanbul

Read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/downing-russia-jet-stab-back-putin-130913449.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 12:52:10 PM
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=17720.msg419066;topicseen#msg419066


I didn't get the scoop it appears,

I think this is probably the best place for the discussion, since there will be ongoing
news about it, but if the mods want to move the stuff here over there I have no issue
with it.

Thanks for the heads up

Title: Turkmen forces in Syria shot dead pilots of downed Russian jet
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 02:11:55 PM
Turkmen forces in Syria shot dead pilots of downed Russian jet: deputy commander
Reuters

YAMADI, Syria (Reuters) - Turkmen forces in Syria shot dead the two pilots of a Russian jet downed by Turkish warplanes near the border with Turkey on Tuesday as they descended with parachutes, a deputy commander of a Turkmen brigade told reporters.

"Both of the pilots were retrieved dead. Our comrades opened fire into the air and they died in the air," Alpaslan Celik, a deputy commander in a Syrian Turkmen brigade said near the Syrian village of Yamadi as he held what he said was a piece of a pilot's parachute.

(Reporting by Mehmet Emin Caliskan; Writing by Humeyra Pamuk and Daren Butler; Editing by Nick Tattersall)

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/turkmen-forces-syria-shot-dead-pilots-downed-russian-143818517.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 02:15:51 PM
Syrian rebels chant 'Allahu Akbar' over body of dead Russian pilot after Turkey shoots down jet for violating its air-space... then chopper searching for co-pilot is blown up by anti-Assad troops

Turkish army has shot down a Russian Sukhoi Su-24 war plane near its Syrian border, officials have confirmed

Russian jet had violated Turkish air space and ignored ten warnings in five minutes, Ankara military officials said

Vladimir Putin called Turkey's decision to shoot down the plane 'a stab in the back by the accomplices of terrorists'

Russia claims the jet, which crashed in Syria's Turkomen Mountains, had been in Syrian airspace when it was hit

One pilot dead, the other reportedly captured by Turkmen - ethnic Turks subjected to

Russian airstrikes this week

Dead pilot has been identified as Sergei Rumyantsev, a major at Shagol air force base near

Chelyabinsk in Russia

Video later emerged claiming to show separate rebel group blowing up Russian helicopter sent to rescue other pilot


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3331558/Turkey-shoots-fighter-jet-Syrian-border-Local-media-footage-flaming-plane-crashing-trees.html#ixzz3sRiQNFFY
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 02:18:48 PM
Russia provides map of plane flight path

(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUmUY-FW4AIYh0u.png)

read the story here

http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2015/nov/24/russian-jet-downed-by-turkish-planes-near-syrian-border-live-updates#block-5654b6d8e4b0f4d54c31afdb
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 02:21:56 PM
Russia deploys missile cruiser off Syria coast doesn't have Obama-like
Rules of Engagement.

Russia deploys missile cruiser off Syria coast
Ordered to destroy any target posing danger

(http://www.rt.com/files/news/20/67/00/00/moscow-1.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.rt.com/news/323329-russia-suspend-military-turkey/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on November 24, 2015, 02:54:54 PM
Yes, quite the important breaking news event. I'm surprised they didn't
have the place swarming with news crews.


Heh, this is what happened in my neighborhood when a vet fired a gun into the air.


(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/SWAT004.jpg)


(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/SWAT008.jpg)


No biggie. He is just one guy.


How about this one guy.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2015/11/24/chicago-police-officer-charged-with-murder-for-shooting-black-teenager/?wpisrc=al_alert-national


Oh, that's right. He does not represent America.


Maybe these guys.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/11/24/five-people-shot-near-minneapolis-protest-cops-searching-for-3-white-male-suspects/?wpisrc=al_alert-national


I really don't understand what's the big deal.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 24, 2015, 03:10:03 PM
Russia deploys missile cruiser off Syria coast doesn't have Obama-like
Rules of Engagement.

Russia deploys missile cruiser off Syria coast
Ordered to destroy any target posing danger

(http://www.rt.com/files/news/20/67/00/00/moscow-1.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.rt.com/news/323329-russia-suspend-military-turkey/

If this ship the Russians are deploying is the Mokva which was originally off the Syrian coast to assist the French effort? ... That would be a mistake (for the Russians).

This class of warship, although it looks impressive, is basically obsolete. It works fine as a gun/missile platform (barge) and for showing the flag but it really has no modern air/surface defensive capability.

If they open fire on the Turks in any capacity the Turks'll sink her. That's a given.

http://www.naval-technology.com/projects/slavaclassguidedmiss/

Brass





Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on November 24, 2015, 03:25:33 PM
Here's a good, old-fashion American response to ISIS.


http://news.vice.com/article/gun-toting-protesters-held-a-rally-against-islamization-outside-a-texas-mosque?utm_source=vicenewsemail


Yep, almost look like Iran.

Good.  Hopefully we see more of this.

Of course, if it had been some group protesting a Christian church then nobody would have cared and the liberals/media would be backing the protestors.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 24, 2015, 04:15:59 PM
I posted this in another thread early this morning.

"If the Russian jet were 30 miles inside Turkey border, why did it crash inside Syria, albeit close to the border?  Fighter jets are not good gliders.  The Russian jet may have been inside the Turkey border yet was making its way back to Syria.   If so, why attack it?

Conflicting news (imagine that happening, especially when Russia is involved).  Russia says the jet was brought down by ground fire.  Turkey says two of its F-16s hit it with missiles.  The Russian version would allow this to be swept under the rug.  Now this must be reconciled.

Kremlin says this is a "very serious incident."  I label that as an understatement because Russia usually responds.

This incident was likely because:

1.  Turkey wants Assad to be overthrown and is supporting some of the opposition forces.

2.  Russia is supporting Assad and is bombing repeatedly these opposition forces.

3.  Unlike the NATO jets, Russian jets did not have permission to enter Turkish airspace.

4.  Russian military aircraft have a history of ignoring NATO airspace and in fact has made multiple incursions into Turkish airspace only to be warned,  This time Turkey did more than warn.

Much more to come.  It would be good if the politicians good negotiate  some temporary agreement for a ceasefire  between Assad and the NATO-backed opposition groups.  This would enable coalition forces AND Russia to focus instead on ISIS.

As someone said today, this is how World War I got started.  One difference, Russia has no allies."

__________________________________________________________________________ _______
__________________________________________________________________________ ______

New since then:

The US military stated the Russian fighter jet did not cross far or for long into Turkish air space.    It begs the question of why Turkey did not escort the Russian fighter to the Syrian border.  Also, the US military said the action took place "at the border," raising again my morning question of why did the Russian jet crashed inside Syria if 30 miles inside Turkey. 

News confirmed that Turkey is supporting this particular rebel group in the area of this action, and that the Russians  have bombed them.   The rebels fired barrages  at the parachuting pilots while in the air (atrocious act).     The rebels also shot down a Russian helicopter attempting to rescue the pilots.   

Turkey's actions seem unjustified and  unnecessarily risky.  A former NATO supreme commander  made it clear that this was Turkey, not NATO, as if he were distancing himself from Turkey. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on November 24, 2015, 04:19:00 PM

Heh, this is what happened in my neighborhood when a vet fired a gun into the air.

No biggie. He is just one guy.

How about this one guy.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-nation/wp/2015/11/24/chicago-police-officer-charged-with-murder-for-shooting-black-teenager/?wpisrc=al_alert-national

Oh, that's right. He does not represent America.

Maybe these guys.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/11/24/five-people-shot-near-minneapolis-protest-cops-searching-for-3-white-male-suspects/?wpisrc=al_alert-national

I really don't understand what's the big deal.

I don't understand what the big deal with those news articles is either.  What's your point?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on November 24, 2015, 04:37:37 PM
I posted this in another thread early this morning.

"If the Russian jet were 30 miles inside Turkey border, why did it crash inside Syria, albeit close to the border?  Fighter jets are not good gliders.  The Russian jet may have been inside the Turkey border yet was making its way back to Syria.   If so, why attack it?

Conflicting news (imagine that happening, especially when Russia is involved).  Russia says the jet was brought down by ground fire.  Turkey says two of its F-16s hit it with missiles.  The Russian version would allow this to be swept under the rug.  Now this must be reconciled.

Kremlin says this is a "very serious incident."  I label that as an understatement because Russia usually responds.

This incident was likely because:

1.  Turkey wants Assad to be overthrown and is supporting some of the opposition forces.

2.  Russia is supporting Assad and is bombing repeatedly these opposition forces.

3.  Unlike the NATO jets, Russian jets did not have permission to enter Turkish airspace.

4.  Russian military aircraft have a history of ignoring NATO airspace and in fact has made multiple incursions into Turkish airspace only to be warned,  This time Turkey did more than warn.

Much more to come.  It would be good if the politicians good negotiate  some temporary agreement for a ceasefire  between Assad and the NATO-backed opposition groups.  This would enable coalition forces AND Russia to focus instead on ISIS.

As someone said today, this is how World War I got started.  One difference, Russia has no allies."

__________________________________________________________________________ _______
__________________________________________________________________________ ______

New since then:

The US military stated the Russian fighter jet did not cross far or for long into Turkish air space.    It begs the question of why Turkey did not escort the Russian fighter to the Syrian border.  Also, the US military said the action took place "at the border," raising again my morning question of why did the Russian jet crashed inside Syria if 30 miles inside Turkey. 

News confirmed that Turkey is supporting this particular rebel group in the area of this action, and that the Russians  have bombed them.   The rebels fired barrages  at the parachuting pilots while in the air (atrocious act).     The rebels also shot down a Russian helicopter attempting to rescue the pilots.   

Turkey's actions seem unjustified and  unnecessarily risky.  A former NATO supreme commander  made it clear that this was Turkey, not NATO, as if he were distancing himself from Turkey.

http://www.rt.com/news/323343-turkey-un-syria-russian-plane/ (http://www.rt.com/news/323343-turkey-un-syria-russian-plane/)

Claims the Russian pilots were warned several times.

I'm sure Russia will take the stance that the jet was brought down by ground fire.  That leaves Putin somewhat of an out.

Remember, this SU-24 is the plane that Russia vaunted could disable (electronically) an Arleigh Burke class destroyer or whatever.  The Russkies will have to go into full spin mode to explain how their badass SU-24 could be brought down by export, Turkish F-16s of all things.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Faux Pas on November 24, 2015, 04:42:38 PM
Turkey's actions seem unjustified and  unnecessarily risky.  A former NATO supreme commander  made it clear that this was Turkey, not NATO, as if he were distancing himself from Turkey.

Turkey's actions is very extreme for violating the airspace. Especially if it is true that the Russian jet was brought down buy Turkish jets. I suspect something else is at play that nobody is talking about.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 24, 2015, 05:30:52 PM

If this ship the Russians are deploying is the Mokva which was originally off the Syrian coast to assist the French effort? ... That would be a mistake (for the Russians).

This class of warship, although it looks impressive, is basically obsolete. It works fine as a gun/missile platform (barge) and for showing the flag but it really has no modern air/surface defensive capability.

If they open fire on the Turks in any capacity the Turks'll sink her. That's a given.


Brass

I am sure the Turks would, they have a very long history with Russia.
If they wanted to scare someone they could have a boomer surface near
it, but that might be too much.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on November 24, 2015, 06:08:13 PM
Turkey's actions is very extreme for violating the airspace. Especially if it is true that the Russian jet was brought down buy Turkish jets. I suspect something else is at play that nobody is talking about.

Not really, if what Turkey said is true.  They warned the pilots multiple times to turn away, the Russians didn't, Turkey shoots them down and says "we warned you"!  Nothing extreme about that.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 24, 2015, 06:11:50 PM
Hi Tim,

Good to see you posting.

After the incident, Turkey immediately called a meeting of NATO members.  Obviously, they wanted to outline their side of the story so that everyone could sing from the same hymn book.  That hasn't happened. 

I think NATO is hanging Turkey out to dry - but only a little bit.  In other words, we have your back if you get invaded, but don't provoke the Russians again!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 24, 2015, 06:14:54 PM

This incident was likely because:

1.  Turkey wants Assad to be overthrown and is supporting some of the opposition forces.



True, and Turkey is supporting ISIS because ISIS sells them extremely cheap oil and fights Kurds and Assad's forces which aren't friendly to Turkey.


2.  Russia is supporting Assad and is bombing repeatedly these opposition forces.



Turkey doesn't like Russia killing their friends(rebels) and business associates(ISIS).


3.  Unlike the NATO jets, Russian jets did not have permission to enter Turkish airspace.

4.  Russian military aircraft have a history of ignoring NATO airspace and in fact has made multiple incursions into Turkish airspace only to be warned,  This time Turkey did more than warn.



Ever since Russia entered the war, Turkey gave them warnings and locked radar on those jets. Russia knew it could happen yet they continued to test Turkey as a way to show NATO they can do what they want. Putin was wrong and has been humiliated by this incident.


Remember, this SU-24 is the plane that Russia vaunted could disable (electronically) an Arleigh Burke class destroyer or whatever.  The Russkies will have to go into full spin mode to explain how their badass SU-24 could be brought down by export, Turkish F-16s of all things.


The SU-24 design is 50 years old. Even if the downed plane was made this year, it's performance will be lacking. It's not bad ass and it's not even a fighter jet. Its a bomber jet similar to our retired F-111 Aardvark that bombed Libya in the 80's. An F-16 is an old design too but not as old as a SU-24 and is a fighter jet. It's superior to the SU-24.


After the incident, Turkey immediately called a meeting of NATO members.  Obviously, they wanted to outline their side of the story so that everyone could sing from the same hymn book.  That hasn't happened. 

I think NATO is hanging Turkey out to dry - but only a little bit.  In other words, we have your back if you get invaded, but don't provoke the Russians again!


Turkey funds ISIS buy buying their oil and with those funds, ISIS buys weapons. NATO isn't happy with Turkey at the moment.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Faux Pas on November 24, 2015, 06:37:35 PM
Not really, if what Turkey said is true.  They warned the pilots multiple times to turn away, the Russians didn't, Turkey shoots them down and says "we warned you"!  Nothing extreme about that.

Airspace is violated all the time all over the globe. Scrambling jets to meet them, warning them is not extreme. Shooting it down was very extreme in anybody's airspace even in a war zone when you are not in direct conflict. The act was indeed extreme. There's no sugar coating it
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anathema on November 24, 2015, 07:08:28 PM
The SU-24 design is 50 years old. Even if the downed plane was made this year, it's performance will be lacking. It's not bad ass and it's not even a fighter jet. Its a bomber jet similar to our retired F-111 Aardvark that bombed Libya in the 80's. An F-16 is an old design too but not as old as a SU-24 and is a fighter jet. It's superior to the SU-24.

Oh I'm well aware.  Russia, however, apparently is not.  What I posted above was claimed by Russia a few months ago.  The rest of the world laughed and this incident just added to that.

Airspace is violated all the time all over the globe. Scrambling jets to meet them, warning them is not extreme. Shooting it down was very extreme in anybody's airspace even in a war zone when you are not in direct conflict. The act was indeed extreme. There's no sugar coating it

Warning them they would be shot down and then doing it is just follow through.  Keeping your word isn't extreme.  This wasn't a typical "show of force" type of game.  Plus, as others have said, Turkey and Russia have a history.  Might not have been the smartest move by Turkey but I bet Russian pilots will keep an eye on where they're flying in the future!

Shooting down the aircraft wasn't anything extreme but gunning down the pilots under canopy will probably lead to backlash.  I'm surprised that part hasn't been the focus yet.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 24, 2015, 07:33:00 PM
I didn't know who was responsible for the death of the pilots.  Was it the jets or was it ground fire?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 24, 2015, 07:48:07 PM
  What I posted above was claimed by Russia a few months ago.  The rest of the world laughed and this incident just added to that.



Yes, it is easy to laugh that claim off. American ships have some of the best defense mechanisms to counter attacks, especially from cruise missiles capable of downing a ship. The SU 24 is a big plane and may be able to carry a big enough missile to sink a ship from a far distance since the plane wouldn't be able to get close enough before getting destroyed. There is belief that China recently developed a hypersonic cruise missile. Our military doesn't have adequate defenses to counter missiles that are that blazing fast. If Russia has developed one and can be carried by an SU 24, then it is no laughing matter.


I didn't know who was responsible for the death of the pilots.  Was it the jets or was it ground fire?


One of the pilots was killed by ground fire while parachuting. The other pilot's fate is still unclear but a little birdie told me he was picked up by ISIS and will be well taken care of. Don't be surprised if you see the pilot on tv denouncing Russia's aggression in Syria and/or getting his head chopped off.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 24, 2015, 07:52:19 PM
I didn't know who was responsible for the death of the pilots.  Was it the jets or was it ground fire?

The two pilots  had to be alive to be able to eject.  With all the firing by rebels from the ground, one must assume ground fire killed the one pilot (I saw one report saying he was from Chelyabinsk area). 

Factual details are still vague.   Supposedly the rebels are still searching for the live pilot.  If they find him, I hope they exchange him  for prisoners held by Assad.  If the rebels match an ISIS atrocity such  as burning  the pilot in a cage, Russia will lay waste to their territory.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 24, 2015, 07:54:17 PM
Turkey's actions is very extreme for violating the airspace. Especially if it is true that the Russian jet was brought down buy Turkish jets. I suspect something else is at play that nobody is talking about.

Maybe it is the connection between Turkey and the specific people under attack by Russia.  This area of Syria where the action occurred is settled by Turkmen. 

Syrian Turkmen  are not Turkoman from Turkistan.  They are ethnic Turkic people who migrated from Turkey to this area of Syria over a thousand years, hence the name Syrian Turkmen.  They number from 200,000 to possibly over one million. 

Turkey has supported this enclave of  kindred people in the current civil war against Assad.  Perhaps Turkey considered the Russian bombings to be an attack on its own people.  For sure, Turkey wants Assad removed from power. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on November 25, 2015, 05:15:47 AM

 The other pilot's fate is still unclear but a little birdie told me he was picked up by ISIS and will be well taken care of. Don't be surprised if you see the pilot on tv denouncing Russia's aggression in Syria and/or getting his head chopped off.

Your dream has failed. Kill the lying birdie )
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 25, 2015, 05:27:14 AM
Pilot from Russian jet back at base
Sky News

One of the pilots of the Russian jet that was shot down by Turkey was rescued
and is back at his base, Russia's defence minister has said.

Sergei Shoigu said the flight engineer was extracted after a 12 hour mission
by special forces on the ground in Syria.

- See more at: http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2015/11/25/turkey-warned-russian-jet-10-times--us.html#sthash.uZmu3yGb.dpuf
http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2015/11/25/turkey-warned-russian-jet-10-times--us.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 25, 2015, 05:30:46 AM
Paris attack ringleader returned to scene of crime
Reuters

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/paris-attack-ringleader-returned-scene-crime-prosecutor-183847157.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 25, 2015, 09:02:34 AM
After 36 hours neither Turkey or Russia are making war noises (at this point).

I think NATO countries are probably telling Turkey you've made your point but no more downing Russian planes and Russia realizes that as far as Syria goes they need Turkey to at least not interfere with their combat operations which, if the two countries became belligerents would be greatly more complicated.

Further, the economic ties between the two countries are just too intertwined to be severed very easily (Turkey has the upper hand in this department as well).

Russia's now stated that they're moving in SAMs to Syria. I'm sure I was reading the Russians had already done this months ago. So maybe it was BS then and now they're really doing it, who knows.

One thing is for sure. Regardless of the Russian bluster and denials they got a wee crack upside the snout yesterday and they know it. This single act by the Turks has caused more damage to the Putin mystique/legend than a decade of sanctions and tough talk from the other EU/NATO countries could have possibly achieved.

My guess would be that once the Russians have deployed whatever defensive measures they think adequate they'll resume overflying Turkish airspace again.

Stay tuned...

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 25, 2015, 09:54:34 AM
Your dream has failed. Kill the lying birdie )


 I don't want to kill the little birdie. He's human and makes mistakes sometimes. The Russian special forces did a good job finding him before the enemy. The flight engineer did even a better job in hiding from the enemy but making it easy enough for the Russian special forces to find him.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on November 25, 2015, 10:49:14 AM
The conflict between Turkey-Russia will be settled down after some war of words. Main result of shot down aircraft is shown in the picture below.  Russia has got the weighty argument for deployment of S400 long range anti aircraft missile system, and will be able to control a substantial part of the Middle East air space, including Turkey border. I doubt the system will be fired, however its presence gives a good starting position at negotiations about fate of post-war Syria.

(http://stuki-druki.com/news/images/C-400_Triumf_02.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 25, 2015, 12:35:39 PM
Still  blaming MSF for the hospital debacle Brass?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-26/us-probe-says-kunduz-hospital-strike-was-tragic-accident/6974714


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2015, 12:39:09 PM
Listening to some "talking heads" today, they confirmed what I wrote about the ethnic kinship between Turkey and the Syrian Turkmen,  Even more important, Turkey needs the Turkmen as a buffer to stop the Kurds to the east. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 25, 2015, 12:44:05 PM
After 36 hours neither Turkey or Russia are making war noises (at this point).

I think NATO countries are probably telling Turkey you've made your point but no more downing Russian planes and Russia realizes that as far as Syria goes they need Turkey to at least not interfere with their combat operations which, if the two countries became belligerents would be greatly more complicated.

Further, the economic ties between the two countries are just too intertwined to be severed very easily (Turkey has the upper hand in this department as well).

Russia's now stated that they're moving in SAMs to Syria. I'm sure I was reading the Russians had already done this months ago. So maybe it was BS then and now they're really doing it, who knows.

One thing is for sure. Regardless of the Russian bluster and denials they got a wee crack upside the snout yesterday and they know it. This single act by the Turks has caused more damage to the Putin mystique/legend than a decade of sanctions and tough talk from the other EU/NATO countries could have possibly achieved.

My guess would be that once the Russians have deployed whatever defensive measures they think adequate they'll resume overflying Turkish airspace again.

Stay tuned...

Brass

Well, the planned pipeline has already been announced as cancelled.
Lavrov has cancelled his visit.

Lavrov has advised Russians to cancel travel plans to Turkey and they are planning punitive measures against companies selling package holidays to there. Russians were big spenders in both Turkey and Egypt but it looks like both markets will be well down this year.

Funny how you think the shooting down of one cold war era jet damages Putin yet when Turkey had their own aircraft shot down that did nothing to the image of the Turkish leader???

Come on , the Su24 is a strike aircraft and not a new one. In part the design is based on the F-111 - long retired from the US inventory. That makes it quite vulnerable to aircraft like the F-16.

If it was the latest SU being shot down or a Tu-160 I might a agree with you. But they lost a few 24's in the Ossetian wars as well.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/07/08/idUSL8262192#75s8mIk6LMd0gxm8.97 (http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/07/08/idUSL8262192#75s8mIk6LMd0gxm8.97)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on November 25, 2015, 12:45:46 PM
Listening to some "talking heads" today, they confirmed what I wrote about the ethnic kinship between Turkey and the Syrian Turkmen,  Even more important, Turkey needs the Turkmen as a buffer to stop the Kurds to the east.

Yes, I would say the Kurdish issue is quite key to what  is going on here.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 25, 2015, 01:29:45 PM
Still  blaming MSF for the hospital debacle Brass?

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-26/us-probe-says-kunduz-hospital-strike-was-tragic-accident/6974714

No spin involved. It hasn't been determined if anything was done wrong. That's why the investigations are being conducted. You've just automatically defaulted to your  blame America routine. I'll reserve judgment until the circumstances surrounding the incident have been determined.

I'll wait for the results of the investigation.

In the real world there is no culpability until guilt is assigned. That's done through proper investigation. As I've already stated if the pilot was taking fire from that building, even if it was a hospital, he would be justified in returning fire. NATO, US ROEs make that clear.

US probe finds Kunduz hospital strike was tragic accident caused by human error

..."This was a tragic mistake. US forces would never intentionally strike a hospital or other protected facilities," General Campbell said at a Pentagon news conference, releasing the results of the US investigation."...

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-11-26/us-probe-says-kunduz-hospital-strike-was-tragic-accident/6974714

So, as we see, a long way from your alluding to Kunduz as being a war crime and  a US cover up.

A determination has been reached and those responsible for the error are suspended and could face disciplinary action.

The system has worked...

..."A United States investigation has found that the deadly air strike in Afghanistan that destroyed a hospital run by Medecins Sans Frontieres (MSF) was a tragic and avoidable accident caused primarily by human error, a top US military commander said.

Some US personnel were suspended and could face disciplinary action in the incident after failing to follow US rules of engagement in a war zone, said US Army General John Campbell, who leads international forces in Afghanistan.

It remained unclear whether the US military, even as it expressed remorse and wholly accepted blame, would be able to quickly mend its image in Afghanistan and elsewhere after the attack, which killed 30 people."...

The results of this inquiry doesn't condemn my position. It vindicates my position that instead of defaulting to immediate assertions of a war crime let the investigation(s) run their course.

If anything, the results of this inquiry has reaffirmed my faith in the system.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2015, 01:31:32 PM
Yes, I would say the Kurdish issue is quite key to what  is going on here.

Russia may decide to arm the Kurds in a proxy war against Turkey.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 25, 2015, 01:36:28 PM
Well, the planned pipeline has already been announced as cancelled.
Lavrov has cancelled his visit.

Lavrov has advised Russians to cancel travel plans to Turkey and they are planning punitive measures against companies selling package holidays to there. Russians were big spenders in both Turkey and Egypt but it looks like both markets will be well down this year.

Funny how you think the shooting down of one cold war era jet damages Putin yet when Turkey had their own aircraft shot down that did nothing to the image of the Turkish leader???

Come on , the Su24 is a strike aircraft and not a new one. In part the design is based on the F-111 - long retired from the US inventory. That makes it quite vulnerable to aircraft like the F-16.

If it was the latest SU being shot down or a Tu-160 I might a agree with you. But they lost a few 24's in the Ossetian wars as well.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/07/08/idUSL8262192#75s8mIk6LMd0gxm8.97 (http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/07/08/idUSL8262192#75s8mIk6LMd0gxm8.97)

We're going to find out soon enough. Sh*t like this is bad for Putin's bad boy image.

The Russian population will be looking to Putin for pay back and it's going to have to come across as something like this...

"Putin single handedly destroys entire Turkish Air Force for shooting down one SU-24"

... or words to that effect.

It's the downside to telling your citizens "I am invincible" when you're a dictator.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 25, 2015, 01:39:57 PM
Russia may decide to arm the Kurds in a proxy war against Turkey.

That would open up a shooting war.  And suck Russia in.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2015, 01:44:41 PM
Further, the economic ties between the two countries are just too intertwined to be severed very easily (Turkey has the upper hand in this department as well).

It cuts both ways.  Moscow's cancellation of travel of Russians  to Turkey could cost Turkey $3 billion per year.  Any RWD member who has holidayed in Antalya, also known as the Russian Riviera,  will understand the enormity of this adverse impact on Turkey.

I am not sure how much gas Russia supplies to Turkey.  Maybe Turkey has the upper hand because  Russia needs the revenue considering the long-term prospects for low oil prices.   And maybe Turkey can replace Russian gas with Middle East sources. 

Quote
Regardless of the Russian bluster and denials they got a wee crack upside the snout yesterday and they know it. This single act by the Turks has caused more damage to the Putin mystique/legend than a decade of sanctions and tough talk from the other EU/NATO countries could have possibly achieved.

Putin took a short-term "wee" hit,  yet he is not detouring from his long-term strategy.   That strategy?  Russia working with Iran can drive the agenda in the Middle East. 

The first step is to keep Assad in power.  The next step is to improve the relationship with Europe.  Concurrently, Russia  will take a leading role if not the lead to  curtail ISIS.  Russia's partner Iran has work to do.  First, Iran forges an even  closer alliance with the Mesopotamian Shi'ite (formerly Iraq).  Iran then becomes nuclear armed.
 
These goals will take many years to accomplish.  Yet, just making progress in these directions would compel the oil-rich Gulf states to reach an agreement with Russia and Iran.  Russia would eventually be in position to control world oil prices. 

Farfetched, you say.  Who will stop Russia?   Yesterday, Hollande met with Obama to obtain American support.  Today, Hollande meets with Merkel.   Tomorrow, Hollande will meet with Putin.  Who will be the most helpful to Hollande?  Certainly not Obama as he gave Hollande nothing yesterday other than continuing the US commitment to Climate Change.  The phrase "leading from behind"  to describe Obama is so apt. 

I predict Putin will support Hollande in some manner, and Putin will exact something in exchange.  This is the beginning of an improved  relationship with Europe that I mentioned earlier.

Critical discourse is welcome.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2015, 01:49:21 PM
That would open up a shooting war.  And suck Russia in.

America supplied some rebel groups in Syria and did not get sucked in.  We did it in Afghanistan during the Soviet occupation and never got sucked in.  The Soviets supplied North Vietnam and never got sucked in. 

The downside is that Turkey may mount a huge offensive against the Kurds. 

It will take a couple of years to supply the Kurds given all that is involved and the parties who would oppose it. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 25, 2015, 01:51:01 PM
America supplied some rebel groups in Syria and did not get sucked in.  We did it in Afghanistan during the Soviet occupation and never got sucked in.  The Soviets supplied North Vietnam and never got sucked in. 

The downside is that Turkey may mount a huge offensive against the Kurds. 

It will take a couple of years to supply the Kurds given all that is involved and the parties who would oppose it.

Gator, I respect your opinion.  But I stand by mine.  We have seen the Russian involvement in Ukraine.  When the locals started losing the Russians brought in their armies.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2015, 01:58:13 PM
Gator, I respect your opinion.  But I stand by mine.  We have seen the Russian involvement in Ukraine.  When the locals started losing the Russians brought in their armies.

And I contend Putin would stand by as Turkey attacked the Kurds in force.  The Kurds are not in Putin's strategy.  He would arm the Kurds as revenge. 

The Kurds do not need much in arms to put up a strong resistance.  Look at what they have done with so little. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 25, 2015, 02:59:54 PM
It cuts both ways.  Moscow's cancellation of travel of Russians  to Turkey could cost Turkey $3 billion per year.  Any RWD member who has holidayed in Antalya, also known as the Russian Riviera,  will understand the enormity of this adverse impact on Turkey.

My thoughts on the tourist aspect is $3 billion would be a hit to the Turkish tourist trade but not insurmountable. I doubt it would come close to crashing their economy for instance.

Further, not having the Russian Riviera (combined with the recent lose of Egypt as a tourist mecca) would impact the Russian tourist/airline industry more than the Turks I would think.

I am not sure how much gas Russia supplies to Turkey.  Maybe Turkey has the upper hand because  Russia needs the revenue considering the long-term prospects for low oil prices.   And maybe Turkey can replace Russian gas with Middle East sources. 

About 20% of Gazprom's revenue comes from supplying Turkey and Turkey could find alternative supply fairly quickly if Russia did try to turn off the spigot. No advantage to Russia there, imo.

Putin took a short-term "wee" hit,  yet he is not detouring from his long-term strategy.   That strategy?  Russia working with Iran can drive the agenda in the Middle East. 

He has no choice but to continue with whatever he was doing prior to yesterday. Where the hit landed was his credibility. The myth that he's invincible and by extension the Russian Federation is unstoppable. Putin's had his way on the world stage with aggression and bullying for years without consequences. Well, yesterday there were consequences. The Turks pushed back.

We saw his reaction during his speech/interviews/announcements. He was emotional. Part of the Putin mystique is his ice like demeanor. There are even cartoons lampooning him for it.

Like most dictators he's become used to having his way and doesn't like being crossed. It's bad for his tough guy image.

I'd be interested in Mendy's take on this;

Has this incident damaged Putin's veneer of being unbeatable with the Russian population?


The first step is to keep Assad in power.  The next step is to improve the relationship with Europe.  Concurrently, Russia  will take a leading role if not the lead to  curtail ISIS.  Russia's partner Iran has work to do.  First, Iran forges an even  closer alliance with the Mesopotamian Shi'ite (formerly Iraq).  Iran then becomes nuclear armed.
 
These goals will take many years to accomplish.  Yet, just making progress in these directions would compel the oil-rich Gulf states to reach an agreement with Russia and Iran.  Russia would eventually be in position to control world oil prices. 

Farfetched, you say.  Who will stop Russia?   Yesterday, Hollande met with Obama to obtain American support.  Today, Hollande meets with Merkel.   Tomorrow, Hollande will meet with Putin.  Who will be the most helpful to Hollande?  Certainly not Obama as he gave Hollande nothing yesterday other than continuing the US commitment to Climate Change.  The phrase "leading from behind"  to describe Obama is so apt. 

I predict Putin will support Hollande in some manner, and Putin will exact something in exchange.  This is the beginning of an improved  relationship with Europe that I mentioned earlier.

Critical discourse is welcome.

I don't think that's far fetched at all. Gator. He has plans to forge a new empire and must make alliances and have a strategy to do so.

What I'm saying is due to the current lack of resolve and leadership in the West he's been allowed to run rough shod over pretty well any country/body who's got in his way.

Will that change because of one jet? Probably not. But it caught Russia off guard and it received a lot of attention. From the Russian political/media reaction it more or less stunned them.

If a year from now there is more resistance (read new President) to his wars of conquest he may find his quest for empire crumbling to dust around him along with the bad optics that goes along with it.

In my opinion the Russian people won't tolerate their Russian demi-god (Putin) being shown as vulnerable very well. They had what may be their first real taste of that yesterday.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 25, 2015, 04:29:20 PM
Brass,

.... Absolute disbelief that Turkey would be an aggressor against Russia.  ..... Absolute condemnation of the Turkish government by the Russian populace.

I would be surprised if Putin's rating at home took even a hiccup.  If you would listen to the reports from Syria, you would hear Russia playing the aggreived.  More fodder for the PR cannons helping the plot line that Russia is the victim. 

This is the way it is being played out at home. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 25, 2015, 05:08:51 PM
Looks like Putin is already taking revenge by bombing the Turkish brothers in Syria. Same region where the West is discussing a no fly zone that would require possible US troops on the ground to secure.

http://news.yahoo.com/heavy-russia-raids-syria-area-where-plane-downed-003111296.html (http://news.yahoo.com/heavy-russia-raids-syria-area-where-plane-downed-003111296.html)

Maybe Turkey will send in little green men to protect it's kin?



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 25, 2015, 08:47:09 PM

Thanks to Wikileaks, it would appear that a whole bunch of outside countries (including the USA) have been plotting to overthrow the Syrian govt. for quite some time....probably just for their own silly little reasons...obviously it doesn't have to do with the will of the Syrians.


I call into question most of what the mainstream media reports as it pertains to Assad. 

http://www.mintpressnews.com/wikileaks-reveals-saudi-arabia-turkey-qatar-secret-anti-syria-plot/211542/ (http://www.mintpressnews.com/wikileaks-reveals-saudi-arabia-turkey-qatar-secret-anti-syria-plot/211542/)


WikiLeaks Reveals Saudi Arabia, Turkey & Qatar Secret Anti-Syria Plot


The whistleblower website WikiLeaks says that leaked documents from Saudi ministries revealed that Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey had a secret deal three years ago to topple the Syrian government.......

.......WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange told Rossiya-1 (Russia 1) TV channel on Sunday that the United States, France, and Britain had also been involved in the secret deal in 2012.



Fathertime!



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 25, 2015, 09:18:22 PM
WikiLeaks Reveals Saudi Arabia, Turkey & Qatar Secret Anti-Syria Plot


The whistleblower website WikiLeaks says that leaked documents from Saudi ministries revealed that Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Turkey had a secret deal three years ago to topple the Syrian government.......

.......WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange told Rossiya-1 (Russia 1) TV channel on Sunday that the United States, France, and Britain had also been involved in the secret deal in 2012.



These are not new revelations. Assad has to go theme has been out in the open for years. When Russia and Iran go behind closed doors, they talk about how to get control of the Middle East too. When Russia and China talk behind closed doors, they talk about how to expand their borders and minimize interference by America.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 26, 2015, 01:16:09 AM
Channel One, the "CNN" of Russia, is pounding the theme of Turkish aggression, complete with maps purporting to prove that the plane was not violating Turkish airspace.

Their maps, like the one presented earlier here, are pure bullshit and I am impressed at how fast the St Petersburg troll factory had those produced and unleashed their guys with the message so quickly. What the average nonthinking Ruskie citizen doesn't realize is that with today's modern technology and digital guidance systems, you can't just make up bullshit about whether a plane was, or was not, in restricted airspace. Either you were, or you were not. Simples.

If Russia truly believes that the plane was over Syria, then they should trot out the universally known and accepted electronic evidence and open an inquiry at the United Nations. Next, begin international legal proceedings at the Hague.

I'm guessing that they won't because the "evidence" they appear to have manufactured is probably as acceptable as the vomit from a Russian drunk on Saturday night. But, if they are right, then take the case to the world, not just the sheeple within your own borders.

In the meantime, keep applying those Preparation H pads and salve until the bleeding stops.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 26, 2015, 07:02:36 AM

If Russia truly believes that the plane was over Syria, then they should trot out the universally known and accepted electronic evidence and open an inquiry at the United Nations.... I'm guessing that they won't because the "evidence" they appear to have manufactured is probably as acceptable as the vomit......

You are correct, yet I have seen little evidence of the actual flight path. 

The American news agencies have shown a flight path map (source ?) indicating the Russian plane crossed the southernmost tip of Turkey's Hatay Province.  The tip is only about 2-3 miles wide, meaning the Russian plane violated Turkish airspace for only 17 seconds. 

That would not be enough time to go through the usual procedures of warning, dispatching planes to intercept, etc.   So I agree with Russia's statement that Erdogan took the initiative to plan this provocation and had the intercepting planes eagerly waiting in position to shoot down a Russian plane if the opportunity presented itself.   

Why?  We have already discussed the bordering Syrian area is:   1) inhabited by ethnically kindred Turkmen and 2) needed by Turkey as a buffer with the Kurds.  I learned more history  that is also at play.  Both Turkey and Syria claimed Hatay Province, and the French ceded it to Turkey in the 1930s.   Syria still disputes this, so the  politics is similar to Kashmir.  Russia knew the sensitive politics yet bombed close to the borders and had crossed the Hatay airspace multiple times. 

Therefore, one could say Russia started this, and Erdogan had the balls to  punch the big bully in the nose.  And he said if another Russian plane invades his airspace, he will do it again.  Would he do this without being part of NATO?  I doubt it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 26, 2015, 07:50:04 AM
Brass,

.... Absolute disbelief that Turkey would be an aggressor against Russia.  ..... Absolute condemnation of the Turkish government by the Russian populace.

I would be surprised if Putin's rating at home took even a hiccup.  If you would listen to the reports from Syria, you would hear Russia playing the aggreived.  More fodder for the PR cannons helping the plot line that Russia is the victim. 

This is the way it is being played out at home.

Thanks for the insight, Jon.

This op-ed has also touched on the issue...

How Turkey confounded Putin’s favorite narratives

..."On Monday, two Turkish F-16s shot down a Russian plane which Turkey said had crossed into its airspace. Various interpretations could in theory be placed upon this event. Depending on one’s point of view, it could be described as an act of self-defense on the part of Turkey, a NATO member — or an act of aggression. But to Vladimir Putin, and to his claque in the Russian media, only one question matters: To which of his narratives should it belong? "...

..."But that doesn’t mean that the story has come to an end. What if there are further Russian losses, or another plane is shot down? What if the Syrian war begins to go badly, or becomes unpopular in Russia? Then the Kremlin will need an explanation for its failures and the narrative will have to change again. NATO might still prove an excellent villain. The only question is whether Russia’s response will then play itself out in virtual reality — or in real life. "...

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions (http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/how-turkey-confounded-putins-favorite-narratives/2015/11/25/4bce62c8-92af-11e5-a2d6-f57908580b1f_story.html)

I noted several articles in the same vein this a.m. more or less catching up with the RWD discussion although I haven't read them fully yet.

You and Mendy are right of course the Russian propaganda machine has gone into overtime vilifying the Turks and making Russia look the victim.

I'm still of the opinion that this incident has damaged Putin internally though. As this article alludes to - Turkey daring to push back against the Russian military machine doesn't fit the 'Putin narrative'.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: AkMike on November 26, 2015, 08:57:33 AM
They should be reminded of KAL flight 007! Another 'trespasser' shot down years ago except it was a 747 full of civilians.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 26, 2015, 09:53:21 AM
Would be interesting to see a third front open up against Russia in the Caucasus....
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 26, 2015, 10:08:04 AM
Would be interesting to see a third front open up against Russia in the Caucasus....

After Georgia, no one in their right mind would do such. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 26, 2015, 10:09:37 AM
Channel One, the "CNN" of Russia, is pounding the theme of Turkish aggression, complete with maps purporting to prove that the plane was not violating Turkish airspace.

Their maps, like the one presented earlier here, are pure bullshit and I am impressed at how fast the St Petersburg troll factory had those produced and unleashed their guys with the message so quickly. What the average nonthinking Ruskie citizen doesn't realize is that with today's modern technology and digital guidance systems, you can't just make up bullshit about whether a plane was, or was not, in restricted airspace. Either you were, or you were not. Simples.

If Russia truly believes that the plane was over Syria, then they should trot out the universally known and accepted electronic evidence and open an inquiry at the United Nations. Next, begin international legal proceedings at the Hague.

I'm guessing that they won't because the "evidence" they appear to have manufactured is probably as acceptable as the vomit from a Russian drunk on Saturday night. But, if they are right, then take the case to the world, not just the sheeple within your own borders.

In the meantime, keep applying those Preparation H pads and salve until the bleeding stops.

How did you know I was in Moscow on Saturday night?  I hope those shoes you were wearing were not new.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 26, 2015, 10:10:18 AM
After Georgia, no one in their right mind would do such.

Nobody would fund terror groups in the Caucasus to stretch Russia thin? There has already been an attack on a Russian military base there if I recall correctly.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 27, 2015, 08:47:41 AM
Turkey warns Russia not to 'play with fire' over downed jet

..."Turkish President Erdogan has warned Russia's President Putin not to "play with fire" over his country's downing of a Russian jet."...

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34941093

Indeed. The criminals occupying the Kremlin know that Turkey holds the trump card if the Russian economic temper tantrum becomes too annoying.

The Bosphorus and Dardanelles are the final say in this matter.

The Russian propaganda machine is already telling the Turks why they can't close it, of course...

Why Turkey Will Not Close Bosphorus to Russian Naval Ships

..."According to the 1936 Montreux Convention, Turkey can close the Bosphorus Strait and the Dardanelles to naval ships of other countries only when it is at war."...

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/politics/20151127/1030850160/turkey-bosphorus-naval-ships.html#ixzz3shokQiIk

Russia Hopes Montreux Convention on Turkish Straits to Remain Inviolable

..."MOSCOW (Sputnik) — Russia relies on the inviolability of legal norms of freedom of navigation through the Black Sea straits, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Thursday."...

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/europe/20151126/1030783246/russia-turkey-straits.html#ixzz3shssLwP9

I'm sure Turkey will give the "inviolability" of the Montreux Convention the same consideration that Russia accorded the "inviolability" of the Budapest Agreement and Turkish airspace. ;)

Brass



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 27, 2015, 10:43:45 AM
Nobody would fund terror groups in the Caucasus to stretch Russia thin? There has already been an attack on a Russian military base there if I recall correctly.

I misunderstood.  I thought you were suggesting Ajerbaijan or Armenia start hostilities with Russia.   There is thought that if Russia attacked ISIL, the Sunni Muslims in Russia and just across the border would organize terrorist attacks.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Изумруд on November 27, 2015, 11:54:17 AM
I'm still of the opinion that this incident has damaged Putin internally though. As this article alludes to - Turkey daring to push back against the Russian military machine doesn't fit the 'Putin narrative'.

BBC: "Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has warned Russia's President Vladimir Putin not to "play with fire" over his country's downing of a Russian jet."  I have to hand it to the Turkish president, he's certainly talking the talk; however, he'd be wise to reign in the rhetoric whilst standing firm.  I'd have to agree with jone: it may have slightly damaged Putin's aura of invincibility but in the short term increased his popularity as the right man for the job in Russia.  Things may be better in Moscow and Peter, but people are really starting to suffer in other parts of Russia; unless you have plenty of money, you're feeling the recession and this certainly distracts people's attention away from domestic issues.

I spoke to a Turkish acquaintance yesterday, and she said Erdogan isn't very popular with Turks in the bigger cities. Investment in education is down, especially in the sciences, whilst Religious classes have increased; not a good sign.  She also told me that Erdogan was most popular with the poor and with people in villages; offering them food if they voted for him.  Of course, this is all anecdotal evidence but interesting nonetheless.  I don't believe in the short term, that Turkey will be able to replace all those Russian tourists.  Around 4m Russians visited Turkey last year and that's a lot of investment.  If the Russian tour operators pull out as has been rumoured, then lots of smaller Turkish businesses and hotels are going to go bust, especially in Antalya; that will not make Erdogan popular.

Erdogan has also been buying cheap oil form IS and in that Putin is right that they are sponsoring terrorism; although, as so often is the case in these scenarios, the black kettle is always hovering nearby.  If the Russian SU did enter Turkish airspace, then they should have just escorted it out.  On the other hand, part of me can't help but respect Erdogan for giving Putin a bloody nose, even if it is a very dangerous game he's playing.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-34941093
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 27, 2015, 12:20:24 PM
Nobody would fund terror groups in the Caucasus to stretch Russia thin? There has already been an attack on a Russian military base there if I recall correctly.

No way would anyone want to do that, unless maybe some nutter in Sandland.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 27, 2015, 06:53:36 PM
I spoke to a Turkish acquaintance yesterday, and she said Erdogan isn't very popular with Turks in the bigger cities. Investment in education is down, especially in the sciences, whilst Religious classes have increased; not a good sign.  She also told me that Erdogan was most popular with the poor and with people in villages; offering them food if they voted for him.  Of course, this is all anecdotal evidence but interesting nonetheless.  I don't believe in the short term, that Turkey will be able to replace all those Russian tourists.  Around 4m Russians visited Turkey last year and that's a lot of investment.  If the Russian tour operators pull out as has been rumoured, then lots of smaller Turkish businesses and hotels are going to go bust, especially in Antalya; that will not make Erdogan popular.

That is spot on. Erdogan has surrounded himself with Muslim Brotherhood staffers, and he supported the Muslim Brotherhood takeover of the Egyptian government. Turkey is supposed to be a secular state, but he has taken many steps to tear down the walls of separation between Mosque and State. His party, the "Justice and Development Party", is part of the Cemaat movement which is a Pan-Islamist ideology.

His style of government is very authoritarian, something that many modern Turks do not appreciate. Thus, many of his supporters are the poor and the very religious.

Quote
If the Russian SU did enter Turkish airspace, then they should have just escorted it out.  On the other hand, part of me can't help but respect Erdogan for giving Putin a bloody nose, even if it is a very dangerous game he's playing.

I take another view: Turkey, and other nations, have complained continually to Moscow about such incursions, over and over again. Moscow only shrugs and denies the obvious. On Erdogan's recent trip to Moscow he made a point to again bring up the subject with Putin.

This time, there was no scant 17 seconds, it was an incursion long enough to scramble jets, issue 10 warnings which were ignored by the two pilots, and then gain clearance from Turkish Prime Minister Davutoglu before firing. This was a test of resolve, and the Turks jammed a missile up Putin's backside to make their point. Hopefully, no escalation will result from Putin's certain case of fiery hemorrhoids.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 27, 2015, 09:00:06 PM
That is spot on. Erdogan ...

Aren't Erdogan and Putin both riding a wave of nationalism and high popularity?  It is difficult to reason with such people, much less  such people  reasoning with each other. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 27, 2015, 10:29:42 PM
Putin is riding high, but Turkish voters in the larger cities have been in a mood to protest often lately, and Erdogan has censored the Internet and cracked down on protesters.

I do agree that both personalities will have a hard time with each other.


Russian joke: What will Putin eat for Thanksgiving dinner?  Turkey.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 27, 2015, 11:06:54 PM
Interesting article by Scott Lilly in the Huffington Post.

Quote
If you study a map of the border region in which the event occurred it seems fairly obvious that Russian military planners realized before they ordered the mission that a violation of Turkish airspace was required if the targets assigned were to be hit. There was virtually no approach that a jet aircraft could have taken to hit the rebel positions on Turkmen Mountain that did not involve a high probability of violating Turkey's airspace. The approach chosen by the pilots was clearly a deliberate violation....

Read the article here (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/scott-lilly/russia-premeditated-incur_b_8660792.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592).
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 28, 2015, 11:09:47 AM



Russian joke: What will Putin eat for Thanksgiving dinner?  Turkey.

Must have seen that coming... :)

Quote
Turkey's president warns Russia not to 'play with fire'....Relations between the former Cold War antagonists are at their lowest in recent memory after Turkey shot down a Russian fighter jet near the Syrian border on Tuesday. The pilot was machine-gunned dead by rebels on the ground in Syria as he parachuted down.
Russia has threatened economic retaliation - a response Erdogan has dismissed as emotional and indecorous.
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/11/turkey-president-warns-russia-play-fire-151128035823435.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 28, 2015, 09:40:33 PM
Turkmen rebels in Syria filmed shelling the Russian airbase. I initially dismissed the accuracy and damage from the old artillery but apparently the Russian130mm is considered one of the most accurate and deadly pieces of artillery designed. The Viet Cong supposedly used them very effectively against us in the war.

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/syrian-rebels-filmed-hammering-russian-6914939 (http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/syrian-rebels-filmed-hammering-russian-6914939)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on November 29, 2015, 09:49:56 AM
BBC: "Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has warned Russia's President Vladimir Putin not to "play with fire" over his country's downing of a Russian jet."  I have to hand it to the Turkish president, he's certainly talking the talk; however, he'd be wise to reign in the rhetoric whilst standing firm. I'd have to agree with jone: it may have slightly damaged Putin's aura of invincibility but in the short term increased his popularity as the right man for the job in Russia.  Things may be better in Moscow and Peter, but people are really starting to suffer in other parts of Russia; unless you have plenty of money, you're feeling the recession and this certainly distracts people's attention away from domestic issues.

I spoke to a Turkish acquaintance yesterday, and she said Erdogan isn't very popular with Turks in the bigger cities. Investment in education is down, especially in the sciences, whilst Religious classes have increased; not a good sign.  She also told me that Erdogan was most popular with the poor and with people in villages; offering them food if they voted for him.  Of course, this is all anecdotal evidence but interesting nonetheless.  I don't believe in the short term, that Turkey will be able to replace all those Russian tourists.  Around 4m Russians visited Turkey last year and that's a lot of investment.  If the Russian tour operators pull out as has been rumoured, then lots of smaller Turkish businesses and hotels are going to go bust, especially in Antalya; that will not make Erdogan popular.

Erdogan has also been buying cheap oil form IS and in that Putin is right that they are sponsoring terrorism; although, as so often is the case in these scenarios, the black kettle is always hovering nearby.  If the Russian SU did enter Turkish airspace, then they should have just escorted it out.  On the other hand, part of me can't help but respect Erdogan for giving Putin a bloody nose, even if it is a very dangerous game he's playing.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-34941093

Thanks for this, Изумруд.

Alright, that's three people who I consider to be knowledgeable on the subject telling me Putin probably won't suffer as a result of this incident. I'll defer to your opinion on this matter.

I've not seen/read Turkey (the country) is buying oil directly from IS (other than Russian propaganda). I'd suggest the oil that is being purchased on the black market is probably being moved more along the lines of what this article has stated...

Iraqi, Turkish businessmen ‘directly involved’ in funding $2B to ISIS by buying oil

..."Some Turkish and Iraqi businessmen have been involved in financing the Daesh terrorist group by buying oil from it in the black market, a senior Turkish politician says.

“There is information that 27 Turkish and Iraqi businessmen are directly involved in this trade. Iraq's central government has taken a number of measures” to prevent it, Russia's Sputnik news agency quoted Mehmet Ali Ediboğlu, the former deputy of the Turkish opposition Republican People's Party (CHP), as saying on Monday.

Ediboğlu added that the businessmen include people close to Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).

Back in 2014, David Cohen, the then US Treasury under-secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said middlemen from Turkey and the KRG purchased oil from Daesh terrorists.

According to Ediboğlu, Daesh’s main source of income is the sale of oil extracted from the fields it has captured since last year. Reports say the Takfiris control nearly a dozen oil fields in northern Iraq as well as Syria’s Raqqa province.

The oil is transferred to the Mediterranean Sea from Turkey and then transported to the other parts of the world, the former Turkish lawmaker noted.

“There is evidence that the oil revenues amounted to USD 800 million [per year], later this amount increased to 1-2 billion dollars,” he said.

Ediboğlu also stressed that the Turkish government indirectly assists Daesh terrorists by selling weapons to Syria’s militant groups which Ankara deems 'reasonable'.

According to the politician, these groups are later forced by Daesh to sell their arms to the extremists."...

http://en.abna24.com/service/middle-east-west-asia/archive/2015/11/03/718331/story.html

Although critical of the Turkish government in general, Ediboğlu himself doesn't go so far as to accuse the Turkish government of directly purchasing oil from IS.

Erdogan has gone on record denying Turkey is buying oil from the terrorists...

Erdogan denies Turkey buying oil from ISIS

..."Turkish president denies Russian accusations as 'slander', as Moscow-Ankara row over downed Russian jet heats up."...

http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/203994#.Vlsrj5uFPMw

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 29, 2015, 11:34:56 AM
In the Mendeleyev Journal (http://russianreport.wordpress.com/2015/11/29/russia-bans-eating-turkey/)...


Over the past two years the villains shown on Russian television have been, to quote news blogger and press photographer Ilya Varlamov, "Ukraine, the USA, France, Germany, then completely unknown terrorists from the IG, but now Turkey." He goes on to muse about how Turkish products have been on Russian shelves for years, but suddenly are to be considered unsanitary.

(http://russianreport.files.wordpress.com/2015/11/turkey-wedding.jpg?w=559)
(Turkish couple prepares for wedding. Photo: Ilya Varlamov)

Russian heath authorities have declared imports of food from Turkey to be unsafe. As usual for political political disagreements, Russian health inspectors claim to have discovered sanitary violations in food imports from Turkey.

The Moscow Times newspaper quoted former health official Gennady Onishchenko who claimed, “Every Turkish tomato you buy is your contribution to a rocket to shoot down our boys.”

The Kremlin controlled media has whipped up an angry frenzy among Russian citizens after Turkey's air force shot down a Russian warplane that had violated Turkish airspace last Tuesday. The Russian plane had ignored ten warnings and refused to leave Turkish airspace after Turkish military fighter jets intercepted the plane.

In addition to the de facto embargoes on a variety of Turkish food products, Russian president Putin cut off access to direct Russian tourist travel to Turkey. A majority of tourists who visit Turkey annually are from Russia.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on November 29, 2015, 11:56:43 AM
Brass,

I am of the opinion that this will play into Putin's favour. Don't discount the fact that the Russian fighter crew may have been used as bait--10 warnings an no response. Why? Apparently they were not given authorization to respond.

If nothing happened, Putin's continued airspace violations would have gone unchecked. As an aside, it will be interesting to see if he pushes the envelope with other neighbors. However, Turkey responded, and now Putin is playing this as yet another sign that Russia is being surrounded by hostile forces, and the Russian citizen is so fortunate to have a strong leader at the helm!


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on November 29, 2015, 12:03:14 PM
The Kremlin controlled media has whipped up an angry frenzy among Russian citizens after Turkey's air force shot down a Russian warplane that had violated Turkish airspace last Tuesday. The Russian plane had ignored ten warnings and refused to leave Turkish airspace after Turkish military fighter jets intercepted the plane.

There was a study done by a couple Belgian physicists that shows both sides are lying about the incident. Then ten warnings and flight time in Turkeys airspace is impossible as is the Russian version of events.

Interesting read on the calculations below -

http://motherboard.vice.com/read/belgian-physicists-calculate-that-everyone-is-lying-about-the-downed-russian-jet (http://motherboard.vice.com/read/belgian-physicists-calculate-that-everyone-is-lying-about-the-downed-russian-jet)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 29, 2015, 12:42:37 PM
Al Jazeera reported Russians hit a civilian market  near where the Russian plane was shot down.  The strike killed over 40 in the market. 

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/11/20-killed-russian-air-strike-syrian-market-151129082103978.html


Collateral damage, or Is it conceivable Russia would exact revenge by targeting a market?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 29, 2015, 12:44:15 PM
Interesting article by Scott Lilly in the Huffington Post.

Read the article here (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/scott-lilly/russia-premeditated-incur_b_8660792.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592).

Believe it.  Distances are not great in this area. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on November 29, 2015, 02:53:52 PM
Collateral damage, or Is it conceivable Russia would exact revenge by targeting a market?
So, before Russia were bombing the hospitals according to Syrian activists. After Russia has checked and claimed there were no hospitals in towns denounced to be bombed, the new trend appears: markets. Though I do not exclude the collateral damage, the source is the same that disclosed the ""bombed-out hospitals".
   At any case the market can't be a target for the revenge. First, Russia pursues geopolitical interests in Middle East, not revenge. Second, the revenge was implemented by intensive air- and artillery strikes in the area where the plane was shot down. A few opposition field commanders were killed in that area though it's not clear if they were connected somehow to shooting the russia pilot. And Turkey has tied hands now in that region after the attack on russian aircraft. Stupid attack left Turkey backed opposition in Latakia without any cover.
     Putin will negotiate the settlement with Turkey, and the conditions begin to appear vaguely. Turkey must step back from uncompromising demand to remove Bashar Asad from power. Turkey must refrain from support of Islamic opposition.

(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUzduohUYAA_Jzt.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 29, 2015, 03:49:18 PM
(http://www.danzigercartoons.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/danzcolorplus6492.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 29, 2015, 03:54:36 PM
(http://macdunlop.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/boom-boom-14-12-14macd-sm.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on November 29, 2015, 04:02:34 PM
So, before Russia were bombing the hospitals according to Syrian activists. After Russia has checked and claimed there were no hospitals in towns denounced to be bombed, the new trend appears: markets. Though I do not exclude the collateral damage, the source is the same that disclosed the ""bombed-out hospitals".
   At any case the market can't be a target for the revenge. First, Russia pursues geopolitical interests in Middle East, not revenge. Second, the revenge was implemented by intensive air- and artillery strikes in the area where the plane was shot down. A few opposition field commanders were killed in that area though it's not clear if they were connected somehow to shooting the russia pilot. And Turkey has tied hands now in that region after the attack on russian aircraft. Stupid attack left Turkey backed opposition in Latakia without any cover.
     Putin will negotiate the settlement with Turkey, and the conditions begin to appear vaguely. Turkey must step back from uncompromising demand to remove Bashar Asad from power. Turkey must refrain from support of Islamic opposition.

(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/CUzduohUYAA_Jzt.jpg)

Personally, I don't see any difference between what Russia's airforce was doing before the shootdown to what they are doing now.  They were indiscriminately killing Turkmen before, they're indiscriminately killing Turkmen now. 

There is no leverage.  What is the Russian government going to do?  Send all of the Russian tourists to the Sinai?

I think, Belvis, you have been suckled up to the Russian propaganda teat for way to long to see the world the way everyone else sees it.  Keeping Assad in power is the last thing that the Turks appear to be willing to agree to do.

If anything, the shootdown of the Russian plane has increased the Turkish resolve and focused Turkey on the plight of the fighters they are sympathetic to.  I am not the prognosticator that the Russian press is.  Let's see how this thing turns out for your country, Belvis, shall we?


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 29, 2015, 06:03:45 PM
Turkey must step back from uncompromising demand to remove Bashar Asad from power. Turkey must refrain from support of Islamic opposition.



The US is obviously also guilty of doing a lot to attempt to remove Assad.   Assad must be standing in the way of a lot of outside countries potential money stream or something. 


Fathertime!   




Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on November 29, 2015, 06:28:41 PM

(http://jewishworldreview.com/toons/arial/aria_c151125.jpg)

(http://jewishworldreview.com/toons/branch/Branch_C20151125_450.jpg)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 29, 2015, 06:52:23 PM
Al Jazeera reported Russians hit a civilian market  near where the Russian plane was shot down.  The strike killed over 40 in the market. 

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/11/20-killed-russian-air-strike-syrian-market-151129082103978.html


Collateral damage, or Is it conceivable Russia would exact revenge by targeting a market?


This is not the first time Russia hit markets. One market selling used cars was hit a few days ago. Those used cars deserved to be punished. Actually many of those markets are used as a way the rebels/terrorists exchange goods and money. Russia wants to cut that source of income and access to Toyotas off but unfortunately a lot of collateral damage is going to happen.


The US is obviously also guilty of doing a lot to attempt to remove Assad.   Assad must be standing in the way of a lot of outside countries potential money stream or something. 



Out of all the countries, Russia has most control and will have influence over Syria when it's all said and done. Whether Russia lets Assad continue to rule Syria or install another puppet, that leader will have to be extremely ruthless and feared to keep all the different factions in line. Anybody thought to be associating with the terrorists or rebels will be executed. I hate to be living in Syria when it's all said and done.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 29, 2015, 09:23:32 PM

The US is obviously also guilty of doing a lot to attempt to remove Assad.   Assad must be standing in the way of a lot of outside countries potential money stream or something. 


"...guilty of doing a lot...."  Just the opposite. 

" In 2012 Mr. Obama rebuffed plans to arm Syrian rebels despite the fact that his former secretaries of defense and state, his C.I.A. director and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff supported them. He repeatedly insisted he would not put American soldiers in Syria or pursue a prolonged air campaign. He refused to declare safe havens or no-fly zones. And it was also in 2012 that Mr. Obama warned the Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, that using chemical weapons would cross a “red line.” Yet when Mr. Assad did just that, Mr. Obama did nothing."

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/28/opinion/president-obamas-hypocrisy-on-syria.html?_r=0

Three American models for dealing with tyrannical dictators killing their own people:  Iraq (troops and air), Libya (air and arm the rebels), and Syria (diplomacy).    Sounds like Libya is so far the least costly in terms of civilian deaths.   Will need to recount every 10 years as this unfolds over the 21st C and on.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 07:02:48 AM



If left up to a bozo Republican like McCain/Graham we would most certainly have troops and larger wars in a few different places by now. I'm pretty sure a few of the other mainstream Republican candidates would react similarly.  A good thing about having a divided government is the partisans are too busy trying to thwart each other to actually get too aggressive abroad.   


U.S. senators call for 20,000 troops in Syria and Iraq
 

Two senior U.S. senators called on Sunday for Washington to nearly triple military force levels in Iraq to 10,000 and send an equal number of troops to Syria as part of a multinational ground force to counter Islamic State in both countries.

Republicans John McCain and Lindsey Graham criticized.......
 



http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/29/us-mideast-crisis-usa-military-idUSKBN0TI0US20151129#ehfv3h3sOfMwWCVh.97 (http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/29/us-mideast-crisis-usa-military-idUSKBN0TI0US20151129#ehfv3h3sOfMwWCVh.97)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 08:05:33 AM


If left up to a bozo Republican like McCain/Graham we would most certainly have troops and larger wars in a few different places by now.


Did you forget already the lesson Muzh taught you that withdrawal is not the answer?  The situation is highly complex, so let us work through the options. 

Option 1 - Status Quo

Some evidence indicates the existing bombing campaigns are working to erode ISIS.    Bombing has killed upwards of 25,000 ISIS fighters.  Bombing will also reduce oil revenue.  Further, reports say some of  the local population is becoming disgruntled with ISIS governance.  So the tide may turn with  10 additional years of bombing combined with some sort of siege to prevent resupply.    A siege will require troops however. 

Option 2 - Troops from Sunni Nations

The  military defeat of ISIS will  take troops on the ground.  Yes?    Troops are needed not just to CLEAR but to CONTROL afterwards.  Yes?

The primary troops must be Sunni because the territory to be controlled is Sunni.  The Kurds will eventually take care of their own areas but will not advance into Sunni lands. 

How many Sunni nations have lined up to send troops into Syria?  That answer would be none.  What has the Iraqi military done in Iraq? That answer would be nothing.  The two senators feel  the status quo will not defeat ISIS, and ISIS will endeavor to expand the battlefront to other countries including the West. 

These senators assert that if America takes the lead, Iraq and Sunni nations will follow and do most of the work.  Based on what I have seen, I am not sure Iraq and other nations will do most of the work.

Option 3 - Russia

One alternative is to keep Assad in power and let his sect defeat ISIS.  The Russians would support him, of course.   I did not see Putin jumping at the opportunity when Hollande asked Putin for help.  Who would make the Assad oppositions groups stand down to allow Assad to pass and confront ISIS?  Anything short of some UN ceasefire and elections would probably not compel the rebels to stop fighting Assad.  A UN brokered settlement will take maybe 10 years, and meanwhile ISIS continues to outsource. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 08:20:11 AM
Did you forget already the lesson Muzh taught you that withdrawal is not the answer?  The situation is highly complex, so let us work through the options. 

 


Don't know what you referring to regarding Muzh.   My belief remains that US troops would be a bad idea, and if they were on the ground, their actual goal would be regime change in Syria..


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 08:30:16 AM

Don't know what you referring to regarding Muzh.

http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=20281.msg418609#msg418609

You don't even realize that you need help!

Quote
My belief remains that US troops would be a bad idea, and if they were on the ground, their actual goal would be regime change in Syria..

So Assad should keep doing what he has been doing?  A barrel bomb here, a little sarin there.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 09:22:18 AM
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=20281.msg418609#msg418609

You don't even realize that you need help!

So Assad should keep doing what he has been doing?  A barrel bomb here, a little sarin there.

So it seems you are advocating regime change through the use of U.S. Ground troops.  I oppose this.   

The Assad regime is probably using the technology it has.  We use drones and often kill indescriminately.  It is a war and the leadership is fighting the fight tooth and nail just as the U.S. Backed 'Rebels' are.


As far as I recall chemical weapons usage has been used by groups opposed to Assad. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 12:58:38 PM
So it seems you are advocating regime change through the use of U.S. Ground troops.  I oppose this.   

There you go again, jumping to conclusions, and each time your conclusion is wrong.

To review, earlier you stated that Obama is bombing Assad.  I corrected you. 

Yesterday,   you wrote, "US is obviously also guilty of doing a lot to attempt to remove Assad."  I corrected you again, saying Obama has done very little other than make speeches; he even went against the advice of his Cabinet to arm the rebels. 

Now you write I am advocating the use of US ground troops to remove Assad.  Not only are you wrong, that would be the most preposterous step ever taken in the  Middle East.  It was preposterous before Putin came to the aid of Assad, and now that Putin is backing Assad with his military you believe I would advocate US troops attacking Russian positions.   

Maybe Belvis will join this and explain why only an idiot or crazed person would think such.  Here's a clue:  escalation to thermonuclear war. 

You are the one saying "no regime change" and  I just reminded you that Assad is one of the world's SOBs killing hundreds of thousands of his people and forcing a massive refugee crises.  You are probably the only person in the West who believes Assad should stay. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 01:10:05 PM

The Assad regime is probably using the technology it has.  We use drones and often kill indescriminately.  It is a war and the leadership is fighting the fight tooth and nail just as the U.S. Backed 'Rebels' are.

When I corrected you yesterday, you did not listen.  Why do you expect anyone to listen to you when ignore indisputable fact?.  The US is not backing the rebels other than with political support.   There may have been small shipments of arms sent from Libya, yet no one has found evidence of such.  But that would not fit your Johnny one-note  cry of no-intervention, so you make shit up. 


Quote
As far as I recall chemical weapons usage has been used by groups opposed to Assad. 

A word of advice, don't trust your recall.   Actually, such an  accusation was made by Assad's forces.  Yet an investigation found nothing. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 30, 2015, 01:22:16 PM
My belief remains that US troops would be a bad idea, and if they were on the ground, their actual goal would be regime change in Syria..



Regime changes in the Arab world was happening due to Arab Spring. Revolutions were happening and changes were likely. America had a choice to have a say in who is going to run Syria. Certainly it's stupid for Obama to do nothing and have leadership that would be hostile to America. If America did more in Syria, Russia would not have intervened but Putin realized Obama is weak and seen opportunity so in the end, Russia will have a say who will run Syria due to their willingness to put boots on the ground. If by a small chance the West gets to install leadership there when it's over, then you can be sure the West traded Ukraine to Russia in order to Russia to back off.


Nations and empires have promoted regime change all throughout history. Bad? Evil? It's just a fact of life and we need to deal in reality. France wanted new leadership in America's colonies. They supplied training and weapons to the Colonists to expel the British Empire. Syria is very unstable at this moment and unfortunately the most violent and unstable people emerge victors unless there is intervention from outside sources. America failed to take the lead. Putin will do what Obama won't.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 01:29:24 PM
Fathertime, if you are such a non-interventionist, why do you intervene in these discussions with idiotic statements? 

I offer you a challenge to demonstrate your political acumen.  If you can answer the  questions below, I give you some hope.  All are quick, simple answers save the final one.  I'd love to hear your response to it.   Any indirect or vague answer is proof that you don't know shit!

1.  Who has killed more of his  people, Assad or  Gaddafi?

2.  Who was working with the West, Assad or  Gaddafi?

3.  Who voluntarily gave up his WMD program, Assad or  Gaddafi?

4.  Who was aligned with Iran, Assad or  Gaddafi?

5.  Assuming  one leader and only one  had to be removed, who deserved regime change the most, Syria or Libya?

6.  Why did the US make the decision it did (military intervention in Libya and diplomacy in Syria)?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 01:34:58 PM


Yesterday,   you wrote, "US is obviously also guilty of doing a lot to attempt to remove Assad."  I corrected you again, saying Obama has done very little other than make speeches; he even went against the advice of his Cabinet to arm the rebels. 

 

Your post is full of misstatements of which I will only pick out a couple.
The US has been doing things behind the scenes to attempt to remove Assad, through the CIA they have been arming 'Rebels'.... Not as much as some war hawks would like, but they are involved.  Many of the weapons have 'accidently' wound up in the hands of ISIS.



Now you write I am advocating the use of US ground troops to remove Assad.
 

 
I must correct  you here in how you stated that I accused you of something..  I used the word SEEMED, which indicates uncertainty as it pertained to your position.  That should clear this up for you. 


You are the one saying "no regime change" and  I just reminded you that Assad is one of the world's SOBs killing hundreds of thousands of his people and forcing a massive refugee crises.  You are probably the only person in the West who believes Assad should stay. 


Haha!   There are a LOT of people that think Assad should stay, including the local Syrians here that support Assad.  You are woefully mistaken to think your position is unanimous, it is far from it. 

You are also distorting the war by making a generic statement like "Assad is killing 100's of 1000's", but you are entitled to that view.  Many others see it differently, and Assad is seen as heroically doing what he has been forced to do...in part once again by US interference and fomenting. 




A word of advice, don't trust your recall.   Actually, such an  accusation was made by Assad's forces.  Yet an investigation found nothing. 


As usual, the facts are different from what you are attempting to purport. 

Here is a newslink from today, which I find to be more believable than what you are saying:

http://news.yahoo.com/syria-denies-ever-using-chemical-weapons-civil-war-001637523.html (http://news.yahoo.com/syria-denies-ever-using-chemical-weapons-civil-war-001637523.html)


Fathertime!   

 




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 01:40:22 PM
Fathertime, if you are such a non-interventionist, why do you intervene in these discussions with idiotic statements? 

I offer you a challenge to demonstrate your political acumen.  If you can answer the  questions below, I give you some hope.  All are quick, simple answers save the final one.  I'd love to hear your response to it.   Any indirect or vague answer is proof that you don't know shit!

1.  Who has killed more of his  people, Assad or  Gaddafi?

2.  Who was working with the West, Assad or  Gaddafi?

3.  Who voluntarily gave up his WMD program, Assad or  Gaddafi?

4.  Who was aligned with Iran, Assad or  Gaddafi?

5.  Assuming  one leader and only one  had to be removed, who deserved regime change the most, Syria or Libya?

6.  Why did the US make the decision it did (military intervention in Libya and diplomacy in Syria)?

Who cares about your little questionnaire?  If you have basic questions like this, you need to look up the answers yourself!   

Overall I'd say many of your statements are idiotic, just toeing the Western line as usual....and angry that there are other sensible viewpoints to counter.    Too bad that you don't like me intervening in your phony narrative, because I enjoy putting it out there. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 30, 2015, 01:48:47 PM
There are a LOT of people that think Assad should stay, including the local Syrians here that support Assad. 



There's not enough people willing to die to keep Assad in power. If the West and Russia didn't intervene, Assad would be eventually toppled. The most violent of the radicals will probably be top dogs and re-educated and harvest the remaining population to enact their agenda, which is to kill the infidels in the West. If you were a leader of a major power such as America or Russia, would you intervene or allow radicals to take power? You're either going to have to deal with them now or later.


Years ago, I remember a discussion on Syria and many posters here, liberal and conservative, were on your side. They didn't believe in helping anybody in Syria. I said America should help our friends over there and some didn't believe there wasn't any good rebels over there that deserved help. One should think what would happen if ISIS was in charge of an entire nation to use as they wish.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 01:52:51 PM

Regime changes in the Arab world was happening due to Arab Spring. Revolutions were happening and changes were likely. America had a choice to have a say in who is going to run Syria. Certainly it's stupid for Obama to do nothing and have leadership that would be hostile to America. If America did more in Syria, Russia would not have intervened but Putin realized Obama is weak and seen opportunity so in the end, Russia will have a say who will run Syria due to their willingness to put boots on the ground. If by a small chance the West gets to install leadership there when it's over, then you can be sure the West traded Ukraine to Russia in order to Russia to back off.


Nations and empires have promoted regime change all throughout history. Bad? Evil? It's just a fact of life and we need to deal in reality. France wanted new leadership in America's colonies. They supplied training and weapons to the Colonists to expel the British Empire. Syria is very unstable at this moment and unfortunately the most violent and unstable people emerge victors unless there is intervention from outside sources. America failed to take the lead. Putin will do what Obama won't.

Well Billy, at least you admit what we are doing, and of course I agree with what you said.  Others would dishonestly pretend that we are strictly there to help, when we are of course there to help ourselves first and foremost.

In the case of Syria, Russia has had much stronger ties than the US, so us intervening here now is far less sensible than Russia intervention....which should be a reason for us to be very minimally involved.


There's not enough people willing to die to keep Assad in power. If the West and Russia didn't intervene, Assad would be eventually toppled.
 

I don't know about the toppling being inevitable at all, although I've been hearing it for years in the western media...obviously there are other nations besides the US and Russia also helping 'rebels' for their own reasons. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on November 30, 2015, 02:39:50 PM
The worst thing to have happened to Christians and Jews in the middle east was in this last 15 years.
Quote
LIBYA: Christian Copts were fine under Gaddafi, now they’re being tortured under Obama’s boys 
http://www.barenakedislam.com/2013/03/16/libya-christian-copts-were-fine-under-gaddafi-now-theyre-being-tortured-under-obamas-boys/

Quote
Why Did Assad, Saddam and Mubarak Protect Christians? 


http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/mid-easts-christians-intro/


Stated earlier..
Quote
America had a choice to have a say in who is going to run Syria.
Like in Libya? Where no one is really in charge.
Quote
we are of course there to help ourselves first and foremost.
If that were only true. Thus, it not a fact.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 30, 2015, 02:49:11 PM
Like in Libya?



Obama only agreed to do something in Libya because Europe wanted to do something there. A not very coordinated or united NATO got rid of Ghaddafi but nobody was motivated enough to help the country succeed after that. It's a mess there. Based on Obama's inaction in Libya, Syria will end up a mess too after the war.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 03:47:22 PM
Assad is seen as heroically doing what he has been forced to do...

You have a twisted  definition of "hero."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 30, 2015, 04:06:54 PM
Who cares about your little questionnaire?  If you have basic questions like this, you need to look up the answers yourself!   

The answers to all questions except the final one are widely known, yet you could not answer them.  I knew this would go above your head.  Thanks for proving you are a TROLL, and not a bright one at that.   


 
Quote
Too bad that you don't like me intervening in your phony narrative, because I enjoy putting it out there.   

This is a signed confession admitting you are a TROLL.   Some of us thought you were misguided or just stupid, but many suspected you to be  a troll.  Now we know.    Anyone who sees Assad as a hero is worse than a troll. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 04:14:20 PM
You have a twisted  definition of "hero."
YOU have dishonestly twisted the quote of mine so let me help you out and not leave it as a fragment.




  Many others see it differently, and Assad is seen as heroically doing what he has been forced to do...in part once again by US interference and fomenting. 
There is the actual quote in it's context. Assad is not my hero as I'm not Syrian, but around the parts in which I reside there are quite a few Syrians, and they generally do support Assad and find this battle a heroic one on his part. 

Syrian Christians in SoCal do not want a US attack against Syria

Among the Syrian Americans in Southern California, many Christians are against a U.S. attack against Syria. They fear American military action could lead to a victory by Islamist rebels, and they believe that could spell doom for the country’s Christians.

At Sunday Mass at St. Ephraim Cathedral in Burbank, families packed the pews as usual. But on this Sunday, the congregants in this Syrian Orthodox Christian church — mostly immigrants with roots in Syria — are palpably worried.

Karen has family in the Syrian city of Homs. She doesn’t want her last name used for their protection. She says she has “mixed emotions” about possible U.S. intervention.

"As bad as everybody is saying [President Bashar] Assad is, we feel like he’s protecting the Christians," she says. "Our relatives in Syria are worried that if he goes, they don’t know what will happen to them.”.......

http://www.scpr.org/news/2013/09/02/39020/syrian-christians-in-socal-do-not-want-a-us-attack/ (http://www.scpr.org/news/2013/09/02/39020/syrian-christians-in-socal-do-not-want-a-us-attack/)




Fathertime!

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 04:19:56 PM
   Thanks for proving you are a TROLL,   


 
This is a signed confession admitting you are a TROLL.   


Haha, back to the angry name calling! Yup, you REALLY changed...
 :ROFL:





    Anyone who sees Assad as a hero is worse than a troll. 


Rather judgmental of you, although you are quite old, you haven't walked in everybody's shoes!



The answers to all questions except the final one are widely known, yet you could not answer them.   
[/size]Just not interested in your silly 'questions'.  If you need answers, you can do some research.   
Fathertime!
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Изумруд on November 30, 2015, 04:20:49 PM
Thanks for this, Изумруд.

Alright, that's three people who I consider to be knowledgeable on the subject telling me Putin probably won't suffer as a result of this incident. I'll defer to your opinion on this matter.

I've not seen/read Turkey (the country) is buying oil directly from IS (other than Russian propaganda). I'd suggest the oil that is being purchased on the black market is probably being moved more along the lines of what this article has stated...

Brass

Hi Brass, yes i should have elucidated my point better.  I doubt Turkey [ie the Turkish government] are openly buying oil from IS as to do so would be openly supporting terrorism and there is no definitive proof of this; it would also be a crazy game for a NATO country to play in the open.  On the other hand, I do believe they are indirectly buying oil on the black market [with full knowledge of where it's coming from].  Putin's hypocrisy is not lost on many of us: Assad is also buying oil from IS and the Kremlin is supporting Assad, who in turn is supported by Hezbollah.

I did vaguely remember something from 2014 after a raid on IS and found this article but I'm not sure as to the veracity of the quote:
Quote
"Documents and flash drives seized during the Sayyaf raid reportedly revealed links "so clear" and "undeniable" between Turkey and ISIS "that they could end up having profound policy implications for the relationship between us and Ankara," senior Western official familiar with the captured intelligence told the Guardian."


http://uk.businessinsider.com/links-between-turkey-and-isis-are-now-undeniable-2015-7?r=US&IR=T
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2015/08/assad-defends-presence-hezbollah-fighters-syria-150825203254106.html
http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2015/11/buying-isil-oil-151127173736852.html

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on November 30, 2015, 08:55:33 PM
In the case of Syria, Russia has had much stronger ties than the US, so us intervening here now is far less sensible than Russia intervention....which should be a reason for us to be very minimally involved.



There are people in Syria living in small villages in the middle of nowhere and even if they have access to tv, they are getting state run news yet they are still smart enough to know what is best for them and the best places to live. How many Syrians are escaping to Russia? Most people in Syria do not like Russia's influence over their president and don't care for their current government. Most people there do want the EU to help stop the war or give them a home.


Most Syrians want to escape to Europe. If America was next door, they'd be coming to us first. Last I checked, 1.5 million refugees made it to Europe and there is no end in sight. Europe has more of an interest in stopping the war in Syria than Russia does. The EU is planning to pay Turkey over 3 billion dollars to help stem the tide of refugees into Europe and let Turkey choose which ones get to legally immigrate. Translation, let's let Turkey do the dirty work discriminating with extreme prejudice and if they make a mistake and let terrorists in, the EU politicians can claim it's not their fault since they outsourced the work to the Turkish. The EU likes to practice non intervention yet they are paying dearly for a war that isn't theirs. They had a chance to topple Assad just as they did Ghaddafi. Too little, too late.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on November 30, 2015, 09:11:32 PM

There are people in Syria living in small villages in the middle of nowhere and even if they have access to tv, they are getting state run news yet they are still smart enough to know what is best for them and the best places to live. How many Syrians are escaping to Russia? 


The Russian populace doesn't want Syrian refugees, nor does the leadership, and have made that clear.  Why would the refugees even attempt to go there given those circumstances?  In addition, we (The USA) and the EU are wealthier countries with more opportunities....at least that is the way it has been in the past.   I'd say those are reason enough, but that doesn't mean that Syria (The Nation) needs to bend over to Western wishes....it just means we are wealthier.   


  The EU is planning to pay Turkey over 3 billion dollars to help stem the tide of refugees into Europe and let Turkey choose which ones get to legally immigrate. Translation, let's let Turkey do the dirty work discriminating with extreme prejudice and if they make a mistake and let terrorists in, the EU politicians can claim it's not their fault since they outsourced the work to the Turkish. The EU likes to practice non intervention yet they are paying dearly for a war that isn't theirs. They had a chance to topple Assad just as they did Ghaddafi. Too little, too late.

   


Well I guess they should pay Turkey if they are trying to get them to do the dirty work. There is no European obligation to take the Syrian refugees, if they don't want to take any they can enforce it by closing their borders to refugees...and deport the ones that slip through....Just like Russia has done...


It seems to me that European nations do intervene quite often, but has been more reluctant lately.   When I think of nations that don't intervene in other nation's affairs, I think of South American nations, not Europe. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 01, 2015, 06:00:13 PM


Israel is concerned about the outcome of Syria that they announced they have troops in Syria. It makes sense that Israel doesn't want a Iran friendly government running Syria when this is over. Iran has a policy to wipe out the Jews. Just another thing that can start a larger conflict.


http://news.yahoo.com/israel-pm-admits-forces-operating-war-hit-syria-194312782.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 01, 2015, 08:25:41 PM

Israel is concerned about the outcome of Syria that they announced they have troops in Syria. It makes sense that Israel doesn't want a Iran friendly government running Syria when this is over. Iran has a policy to wipe out the Jews. Just another thing that can start a larger conflict.


http://news.yahoo.com/israel-pm-admits-forces-operating-war-hit-syria-194312782.html (http://news.yahoo.com/israel-pm-admits-forces-operating-war-hit-syria-194312782.html)


So Israel has been probably fighting WITHIN SYRIA, uninvited (A sovereign nation)  against Assad's interests, for potentially months/years...and only now do we hear about it through the mass media.....Makes me wonder what/who else is in there uninvited that we are also not hearing about.   I also wonder what made Israel come forward with this information now.


 Despite all these western backed countries fighting/supplying/providing logistical support against Assad, he is still standing.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on December 01, 2015, 08:36:09 PM
Israeli jets have been pounding Syria for a while now. I have seen reports in the media dating back to last year.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:21:23 PM
Tensions With Russia Add to a Chill in Turkey’s Economy
By KEITH BRADSHER New York Times

ESKISEHIR, Turkey — A new high-speed rail line, completed last year, now links
Eskisehir with Istanbul to the west and Ankara to the east. A narrow, serpentine
river meanders through downtown, spanned by graceful blue bridges at almost
every block, drawing tourists. Factories here make everything from cakes and
cookies to refrigerators, large Ford freight trucks and aircraft parts.

Yet despite the prosperous appearance, a chill has already settled over Eskisehir’s
economy, and Turkey’s, as exports to China and the Middle East falter. And as
Russia has halted most tourism to Turkey and threatened to stop food imports
from the country after Turkish F-16 fighter jets shot down a Russian combat jet
along the Syrian border last Tuesday, the risk of further economic trouble is clear.

With unemployment already surging here, “our economy has slowed down,” said
Yilmaz Buyukersen, the mayor of Eskisehir.

Russia is one of Turkey’s largest markets for exports, after Germany. Eskisehir
(pronounced Es-ki-SHARE) itself has a large sugar refinery, using sugar beets
from nearby fields as its raw material; the city exports about $30 million worth
of cookies, cakes, crackers and other foods to Russia, according to the local
chamber of commerce.

There is a lot more read all about it here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/30/business/international/tensions-with-russia-add-to-a-chill-in-turkeys-economy.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:22:37 PM


Russia ready to coordinate steps to block Turkish-Syrian border

read all about it here
http://warsclerotic.wordpress.com/2015/11/30/russia-ready-to-coordinate-steps-to-block-turkish-syrian-border/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:23:29 PM
Turkey's Trump Card: Erdogan Can Cut Russia's Syrian Supply Line By Closing Bosphorus

read all about it here
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-29/turkeys-trump-card-erdogan-can-cut-russias-syrian-supply-line-closing-bosphorus
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:24:34 PM
I'm not sure how credible this story is. I can only imagine that Putin would do this if he
is getting reimbursed or gets some significant percent of the oil from Syria.

Putin 'sending 150,000 soldiers to Syria to WIPE OUT evil Islamic State'

read all about it here
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/609757/Putin-ISIS-Islamic-State-Syria-Raqqa-troops-soldiers-air-strike-jets-military
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:25:41 PM
British MPs to vote on bombing of IS in Syria
read all about it here
http://www.rte.ie/news/2015/1202/750613-syria-russia-uk/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 01:31:04 PM
It's obvious that somebody is buying oil from ISIS. Obama didn't want to disrupt the
ISIS oil transfer because he was worried that the truck drivers were innocent and not
members of ISIS. If anyone can come up with a more stupid idea, please let me know.

Russia, Turkey trade accusations over who bought oil from ISIS

read all about it here
http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/02/europe/syria-turkey-russia-warplane-tensions/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 02, 2015, 04:16:42 PM
Russia adding 2nd airbase in Syria, pursuing 'expansion' in military campaign
By Lucas Tomlinson 

Russia has expanded its military operations in Syria to include a second airbase as well
as other posts, according to a U.S. official briefed on the latest intelligence from the region

read about it here
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/12/01/russia-adding-2nd-airbase-in-syria-pursuing-expansion-in-military-campaign.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 02, 2015, 08:55:23 PM
Makes me wonder what/who else is in there uninvited that we are also not hearing about.   



Is the party in Syria by invitation only? The British are now coming! They just announced their entrance into the party in Syria and will bring fireworks.


http://news.yahoo.com/uk-parliament-vote-expanded-attacks-122037536.html


I also wonder what made Israel come forward with this information now.



Too many different intelligence agencies working in Syria to keep this a secret anymore. Boots on the ground is a big step for any country to take that wants to influence future leadership in Syria.


It's becoming a question of who's not in Syria. With all the actors with different interests in Syria, somebody may get their feelings hurt and with all the alliances between nations, this war can grow into something bigger.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 02, 2015, 09:18:30 PM

Is the party in Syria by invitation only? The British are now coming! They just announced their entrance into the party in Syria and will bring fireworks.


http://news.yahoo.com/uk-parliament-vote-expanded-attacks-122037536.html (http://news.yahoo.com/uk-parliament-vote-expanded-attacks-122037536.html)



hehe,  well what becomes clearer why nations may feel they need a major deterrent to prevent outside hostile countries from swooping in like hungry wolves....Nukes, chemical weapons, and bio weapons with a reliable way to deliver the weapons provide that deterrent and force the outside nations from getting too bold...  I get the feeling that at some point down the road these are going to be proliferated by Russia if they ever feel they need a last line of defense.







Too many different intelligence agencies working in Syria to keep this a secret anymore. Boots on the ground is a big step for any country to take that wants to influence future leadership in Syria.


It's becoming a question of who's not in Syria. With all the actors with different interests in Syria, somebody may get their feelings hurt and with all the alliances between nations, this war can grow into something bigger.


Nations that are uninvited by the leadership should not be meddling...but they obviously are, and I see that as a problem.  I think Assad would have put the rebellion down long ago, if not for the weapons and special forces from outside nations.  The society may have had some problems, but the society could have been managed, as it has been in the past...but now it is out of control.   


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 03, 2015, 10:14:34 AM
Hi Brass, yes i should have elucidated my point better.  I doubt Turkey [ie the Turkish government] are openly buying oil from IS as to do so would be openly supporting terrorism and there is no definitive proof of this; it would also be a crazy game for a NATO country to play in the open.  On the other hand, I do believe they are indirectly buying oil on the black market [with full knowledge of where it's coming from].  Putin's hypocrisy is not lost on many of us: Assad is also buying oil from IS and the Kremlin is supporting Assad, who in turn is supported by Hezbollah.

I did vaguely remember something from 2014 after a raid on IS and found this article but I'm not sure as to the veracity of the quote:

I am of the opinion that this will play into Putin's favour. Don't discount the fact that the Russian fighter crew may have been used as bait--10 warnings an no response. Why? Apparently they were not given authorization to respond.

If nothing happened, Putin's continued airspace violations would have gone unchecked. As an aside, it will be interesting to see if he pushes the envelope with other neighbors. However, Turkey responded, and now Putin is playing this as yet another sign that Russia is being surrounded by hostile forces, and the Russian citizen is so fortunate to have a strong leader at the helm!

I'd be interested in where you guys think the criminal dictator (Putin) is going with these remarks...

Putin: Turkey 'will regret' downing Russian bomber in Syria

..."In a state of the nation speech, broadcast live on Russian television, he said that "if anyone thinks Russia's reaction will be limited to trade sanctions, they are deeply mistaken".

"We'll remind them again what they did - they will regret it."...


http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34993629

This is a threat if there ever was a threat and two weeks after the fact he's still stomping his feet.

I think he's going to try and down a Turkish jet for pay back. If he does that's more or less a declaration of war and Turkey will respond.

Is there public pressure from the Russian population to escalate this incident or is Putin mouthing off again?

Brass
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 03, 2015, 12:23:55 PM
I'd be interested in where you guys think the criminal dictator (Putin) is going with these remarks...

Is there public pressure from the Russian population to escalate this incident or is Putin mouthing off again?

Brass

Methinks the lady doth protest too much

I think that he believes this is a better news item for Russians to worry
about than the price of ________________ (enter any food stuff here).

Turkey could say "drop the sanctions now shorty or change the name of
the Black Sea to the Black Lake."




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 03, 2015, 07:22:09 PM



Apparently having the world's strongest military entitles us to enter weaker countries whenever we want, against their wishes.   This begs the question of why even call Iraq or Syria a country at all?  The elected leader has now unequivocally told us to stay out...yet here we go again showing no respect for the rule of law, or the leadership of another weaker country. 


Apparently we must feel it is too late now to reverse the damage we have done over the past several generations, so all we can do now is continue to be aggressive.



Deploying ground combat forces 'hostile act': Iraq PM




Baghdad (AFP) - Iraq considers any country sending ground combat forces into its territory a "hostile act" and has not requested such a deployment, Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi said Thursday.


The US has announced that it will deploy around 100 special forces personnel to Iraq to fight the Islamic State jihadist group here and in neighbouring Syria, while two American senators have proposed tripling the number of US troops in the country.

Iraq "will consider any country sending ground combat forces a hostile act and will deal with it on this basis," Abadi said in a statement...........

http://news.yahoo.com/deploying-ground-combat-forces-hostile-act-iraq-pm-222111703.html;_ylt=AwrXgiOu9mBW92gAmPDQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTByb2lvbXVuBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg-- (http://news.yahoo.com/deploying-ground-combat-forces-hostile-act-iraq-pm-222111703.html;_ylt=AwrXgiOu9mBW92gAmPDQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTByb2lvbXVuBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 04, 2015, 08:06:52 AM
Methinks the lady doth protest too much

I think that he believes this is a better news item for Russians to worry
about than the price of ________________ (enter any food stuff here).

Turkey could say "drop the sanctions now shorty or change the name of
the Black Sea to the Black Lake."


 :D

I agree. Bosphorus is the trump card and Turkey will close it to the Russians if they continue to escalate.

Apparently Russian shipping is already experiencing 'delays'. I'm not sure if that's accurate or the Russians just stirring more crap though.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on December 04, 2015, 09:01:09 AM
Closing access to the Black Sea would be a huge pill to swallow for the Russians.  My guess is that it would eventually lead to armed conflict.   My guess is that Turkey would not have the support of NATO if they did so.  So, maybe this is what Putin wants.  A conflict that segregates a NATO country.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 04, 2015, 10:20:50 AM
Closing access to the Black Sea would be a huge pill to swallow for the Russians.  My guess is that it would eventually lead to armed conflict.   My guess is that Turkey would not have the support of NATO if they did so.  So, maybe this is what Putin wants.  A conflict that segregates a NATO country.

True. I also think NATO would hesitate if the Turks unilaterally closed the straight to Russian shipping although they may be within their rights. The Russians are contending they can't unless at war.

So maybe not close it but make it so darn difficult for Russian shipping to pass that it costs them, oh lets say, about the same amount in lost shipping/cargo costs as the Russian sanctions are currently costing Turkey.  ;)

I don't think NATO would even bat an eye at that kind of action by Turkey.

Armed conflict - Bad idea for Russia. Turkey has a powerful conventional military ( I know, I've faced off against them in Cyprus). They are woefully out classed in missile defense though and with (coincidentally) both the US and Germany pulling (if they already haven't done so) their Patriot air defense batteries from Turkish soil the Turks might have a problem if the Russians started lobbing stuff at them.

As it stands NATO has already told Turkey it'll support them. I tend to believe that as Turkey has the second largest (conventional) military in NATO and to lose them as an ally would pretty well spell the end of NATO as a viable entity.

NATO allies act to strengthen Turkey's air defenses

..."NATO allies plan to send patrol aircraft and missiles to strengthen Ankara's air defenses on its border with Syria, officials said on Tuesday, following Turkey's shooting-down of a Russian bomber."...

..."So far, the United States has moved special fighter jets designed to intercept bombers and reconnaissance aircraft to the Turkish NATO air base Incirlik, while Britain has said it will also send jets to the region once NATO's decision is formalized.

Germany and Denmark are sending ships to the NATO fleet in the eastern Mediterranean. NATO could also send its surveillance planes, called Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS), that can be used to direct air fights too."...

www.reuters.com (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-turkey-nato-idUSKBN0TK4R320151201#Oupbb1Q5qCRiZ12Y.97)

Amid Russia War Talk, NATO Sends Warships To Black Sea Near Turkey, Ukraine

..."The North Atlantic Treaty Organization has stationed four warships in the Black Sea, the Russian news agency Sputnik reported Friday. The Black Sea sits between several countries with strained relations of late, including Russia, Turkey and Ukraine. Russian-Turkish relations have been particularly tense in recent weeks, after Turkey shot down a Russian jet in Syrian airspace in November.

 The U.S. would send a guided missile destroyer, the USS Ross, "to promote peace and stability in the region" as part of Operation Atlantic Resolve, said a press release from the U.S. Navy Sixth Fleet Wednesday. Portugal, Spain and Canada sent the missile frigates Francis Almejida, Blas de Lezo and Winnipeg, respectively, Sputnik reported.

Operation Atlantic Resolve is a "demonstration of continued U.S. commitment to the collective security of NATO and to enduring peace and stability in the region"...

http://www.ibtimes.com/amid-russia-war-talk-nato-sends-warships-black-sea-near-turkey-ukraine-2211723

Brass




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on December 04, 2015, 11:07:38 AM
I find Russia playing this hand with a busted flush. 

The Russian air base in Syria is in direct opposition to the Incirlik base in Turkey.  The Incirlik base is strategic to the US interests in the area.  I can't fault Russia for wanting a base in Syria.  But even if Turkey and Russia square off, the US will not walk away. 

By the way, where's Belvis?  He hasn't said a peep since his supposed resolution to the invasion of Turkish airspace by one of his country's jets and the subsequent shootdown.  I think our resident FSB troll had his feelings hurt by everyone laughing at him.  The idea that Turkey was going back down was ridiculous.  The only one listening to Putin these days is his captive audience in Russia.  But his claims that Erdogan was personally involved with ISIS, buying their oil was met with a direct challenge from the Turkish strongman.  "I'll resign if you can prove its true.  But if you can't prove its true, Putin has to resign."

My guess is that such a blatant challenge put egg on Putin's face.  It is like the Red Line in Syria drawn by Obama. 

No, Hungary is not thinking how to compromise with Russia.  Russia needs to realize that if you fly jets over someone else's territory after having been warned not to, that this is a provocation.   In Turkey's situation, it was met with due force of a country protecting their homeland.  Imagine what would be the result if Turkey flew a plane over Russia's territory after having been warned not to.

Russia is a belligerent right now.  It is testing every possible method for dismembering NATO.  What it fails to understand is that such actions only strengthen the alliance.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 05, 2015, 05:13:57 PM
Russia accuses US of cover-up over ISIS oil smuggling to Turkey

(http://www.globalresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/isis-oil-1024x575.jpg)

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/russia-accuses-us-cover-over-oil-smuggling-turkey-204046827.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 05, 2015, 05:17:22 PM
Rise of ISIS women: 10 of 71 recruits arrested in U.S. are female

(http://vid.alarabiya.net/images/2014/11/15/38c4fd0e-65f3-44e7-a7ef-ffaae2c522ec/38c4fd0e-65f3-44e7-a7ef-ffaae2c522ec_16x9_600x338.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/dec/5/rise-isis-women-10-71-recruits-arrested-us-are-fem/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 05, 2015, 05:22:51 PM
Some recent articles

With Few Signs Of Progress, Russia's Putin Warns Of Long Fight In Syria
http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2015/12/04/458503922/with-few-signs-of-progress-russias-putin-warns-of-long-fight-in-syria

Russia ratchets up war rhetoric - and not just in Syria
A rock band sings about taking Berlin; politicians and the media threaten a nuclear attack. The war rhetoric in Russia is impossible to ignore. But there's a different mood within Russian society.
http://www.dw.com/en/russia-ratchets-up-war-rhetoric-and-not-just-in-syria/a-18896274

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 05, 2015, 05:32:03 PM
Russia's 5 Next Big Moves in Syria
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/russias-5-next-big-moves-syria-14519



Top IDF officer: In our nightmares, we never saw Russia’s S-400 in SyriaStill,
General Staff member says missile defense system, which can reach as far as Ben Gurion Airport, is not currently a threat to IsraelBY TIMES OF ISRAEL STAFF
Judah Ari Gross contributed to this report

http://www.timesofisrael.com/top-idf-officer-in-our-nightmares-we-never-saw-russias-s-400-in-syria/


Russia sends its most advanced tanks to Syria frontline
Deployment of T-90 tanks is latest sign that Kremlin is being forced to escalate its intervention from an air to a ground war
(http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/fuybaoor8eui6qfsxna8.jpg)

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/12034237/Russia-sends-its-most-advanced-tanks-to-Syria-frontline.html


Russia’s Big Guns Reach Syria’s Front Lines

(http://nationalinterest.org/files/styles/main_image_on_posts/public/main_images/TOS-1_MRL.jpg?itok=bVrsGd_u)
http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/russias-big-guns-reach-syrias-front-lines-14513
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 06, 2015, 10:08:58 AM
[size=12pt

(http://vid.alarabiya.net/images/2014/11/15/38c4fd0e-65f3-44e7-a7ef-ffaae2c522ec/38c4fd0e-65f3-44e7-a7ef-ffaae2c522ec_16x9_600x338.jpg)

I'd suggest this is a staged photograph in that the first two women in this image (can't see the third) have never fired an AK-47.

1) The young woman in the fore ground would fire that assault rifle once and be yelping in pain. It is a common error (and not normally corrected by RSOs as it's considered a 'life lesson' for young soldiers) for recruits firing large caliber assault rifles to hunch their shoulder and lean their cheek waaay over the rifle butt. The resulting recoil (push) mimics a wee poke to the cheek form a professional boxer and you'll only do it once. ;)

2) The young women in the middle ground is holding the rifle on (or more accurately 'off') her shoulder in such a way that if she did shoot the weapon the recoil would seriously bruise or even break her collar bone.

Not really normal stances for anyone with weapons training even if just posing for a pic. They may be ISIS recruits but they haven't been on the ranges yet, imo.

Brass

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 06, 2015, 01:02:11 PM
I'd suggest this is a staged photograph in that the first two women in this image (can't see the third) have never fired an AK-47.

I had found the photo separate from the article. I doubt that many people notice
this but I often try to find a better photograph for an article, or if they used a
Getty images photo then I replace it with something else.

If you ever watched Saving Private Ryan. The sniper was shooting left handed with
a right handed bolt action rifle and he sometimes winked his eye and other times
he didn't. Looking through the scope never looks like it does on TV.

While, I've never been a sniper, I know that they don't try to shoot from a different
position and body angle every single time they fire a gun.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgHRj2-vvs8

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on December 06, 2015, 02:13:52 PM
Brass and Jone, etal:

I find this to be frighteningly accurate:

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin.html

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 06, 2015, 04:03:04 PM
Brass and Jone, etal:

I find this to be frighteningly accurate:

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin.html (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin.html)
Quite a few here continue to insist it is about rebuilding the Soviet Union...the author of the article disagrees, and so have I...although on slightly different grounds.
[/size]
[/size]“The State Department gets it exactly wrong because they think he’s trying to re-create the former Soviet Union,” she said. “He’s saying Russia is a traditional-values civilization, but it’s special because it’s the only country that has the courage of its convictions to go to war over values. The war in Ukraine is framed in those terms. That’s why it’s so important that they say they’re fighting homo fascism. To interpret that war as territorial is just to get it wrong.”
[/size]
[/size]
[/size]
[/size]Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: AkMike on December 06, 2015, 11:23:23 PM
Ex-FSB officer to TSN.Tyzhden: Russia involved in London, Paris attacks, ISIS

07.12.2015 | 05:00

The TSN.Tyzhden weekly TV program has broadcast an interview with former Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) officer, which may trigger a real spy scandal. It has been speculated for long that the Kremlin's puppeteers are behind terrorist attacks in Europe and the United States, but no confirmation has been presented. The experienced agent, former FSB officer specializing in terrorist organizations and counter-terrorism is now giving his testimony.

Such an interview is an extremely dangerous step for the FSB agent with high-level access, alias Yevgeniy, but he has decided to break with the past. The reason why he fled Russia is not that ideological, it is rather personal, according to TSN.Tyzhden.

Ukrainian experts have checked his statements with the use of a polygraph twice, and the results are clear: everything he tells the journalist is true. Yevgeniy claims that radical Islamist groups are staffed with Russian agents and Moscow has a real impact on their activity.

"Being guided by good intentions, human rights activists from Europe would help the people being persecuted in their country to flee. Among them were infiltrators with ready documents and a made-up legend. They would actively infiltrate into Muslim communities. With the support of the security services, they made financial donations, thus acquiring prestige and moving up the hierarchy," Yevgeniy tells TSN journalist Andriy Tsaplienko.
Read more on UNIAN: http://www.unian.info/politics/1204376-ex-fsb-officer-in-tsntyzhden-russia-involved-in-london-paris-attacks-isis.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on December 07, 2015, 08:54:28 AM
Quite a few here continue to insist it is about rebuilding the Soviet Union...the author of the article disagrees, and so have I...although on slightly different grounds.

“The State Department gets it exactly wrong because they think he’s trying to re-create the former Soviet Union,” she said. “He’s saying Russia is a traditional-values civilization, but it’s special because it’s the only country that has the courage of its convictions to go to war over values. The war in Ukraine is framed in those terms. That’s why it’s so important that they say they’re fighting homo fascism. To interpret that war as territorial is just to get it wrong.”



Fathertime!


I'm not sure what you are getting at.


What I read says the journalist views Putin as another mafyia don. Not too smart, just ruthless.


True the US bogs down on erroneous assessment due to the political hacks that have become the bureaucracy selecting the "right" information to base their decisions. But the reality is that you have a gangster trying to stay alive, not save his country. And I believe she said so in not so many words.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 07, 2015, 10:32:53 AM
Brass and Jone, etal:

I find this to be frighteningly accurate:

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin.html

Indeed. First off, is that young soldier on ceremonial duty Putin's walking by his grandson? ...

(http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content/dailybeast/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin/jcr:content/image.img.2000.jpg/1449208842415.cached.jpg)

...The resemblance is uncanny, lol.

I think Gessen has nailed it with her analysis of the Putin system of keeping the Russian population in a self imposed/inflicted perceived state of ongoing crisis.

Hitler did the same thing in Germany circa '33-'39 with the German population - "We must defend our Fuhrer and the German nation and regain our rightful place in the world" was what the  media and the party propaganda machine drilled into the heads of the German citizen then even though the Nazis were engineering the various conflicts/purges/pogroms to further their agenda of aggression and conquest.

Russian state run media propaganda maintaining the faux heightened state of siege is similar today.

I've always maintained Putin isn't very intelligent he just shows an aptitude for being devious.

Brass

 



 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on December 07, 2015, 10:33:48 AM
Quite a few here continue to insist it is about rebuilding the Soviet Union...the author of the article disagrees, and so have I...although on slightly different grounds.
[/size]
[/size]“The State Department gets it exactly wrong because they think he’s trying to re-create the former Soviet Union,” she said. “He’s saying Russia is a traditional-values civilization, but it’s special because it’s the only country that has the courage of its convictions to go to war over values. The war in Ukraine is framed in those terms. That’s why it’s so important that they say they’re fighting homo fascism. To interpret that war as territorial is just to get it wrong.”
[/size]
[/size]
[/size]
[/size]Fathertime!

Here goes FT again, proving that Size does matter.  Fix your formatting if you're going to post on RWD.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 07, 2015, 12:01:53 PM
Here goes FT again, proving that Size does matter.  Fix your formatting if you're going to post on RWD.


Be still silly boy!


Here is the most recent 'mistake' we committed today.  26 civilians killed in Syria through a US airstrike.
I don't think we should be doing all of this!


Air strikes kill 26 civilians in northeast Syria: monitor
Beirut (AFP) - At least 26 civilians were killed Monday in a jihadist-held village in northeast Syria in strikes likely conducted by a US-led coalition, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said......




http://news.yahoo.com/air-strikes-kill-26-civilians-northeast-syria-monitor-180802305.html (http://news.yahoo.com/air-strikes-kill-26-civilians-northeast-syria-monitor-180802305.html)


Fathertime! 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 07, 2015, 12:12:03 PM
Syria Blames U.S. in Base Bombing, but Americans Blame Russia
By HWAIDA SAAD and ERIC SCHMITT NY Times



read all about it here
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/08/world/middleeast/syria-airstrikes.html?_r=0
Title: Pentagon says Russian — not U.S. — warplanes hit a Syrian army base
Post by: 2tallbill on December 07, 2015, 12:13:24 PM
Pentagon says Russian — not U.S. — warplanes hit a Syrian army base
By Liz Sly and Dan Lamothe Washington Post


read all about it here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/us-denies-syrian-accusations-that-its-warplanes-hit-a-syrian-base/2015/12/07/db72a0fb-cc62-49c8-a5ed-997c2e6e1f98_story.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 07, 2015, 12:16:29 PM
Week Nine of the Russian Intervention in Syria: The Empire Strikes Back

By The Saker
Global Research,


Considering the remarkable success of the Russian intervention in Syria, at least so far, it should not have come as a surprise that the AngloZionist Empire would strike back. The only question was how and when. We now know the answer to that question.

On November 24th the Turkish Airforce did something absolutely unprecedented in
recent history: it deliberately shot down another country’s military aircraft even
though it was absolutely obvious that this aircraft presented no threat whatsoever
to Turkey or the Turkish people. The Russian Internet is full of more or less official
leaks about how this was done.

According to these versions, the Turks maintained 12 F-16 on patrol along the border
ready to attack, they were guided by AWACS aircraft and “covered” by USAF F-15s in
case of an immediate Russian counter-attack. Maybe. Maybe not. But this hardly
matters because what is absolutely undeniable is that the USA and NATO immediately
took “ownership” of this attack by giving their full support to Turkey.

Chart of SU-24M Flight Path Released by Russian Ministry of Defense
(http://www.unzcloud.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Russian_chart_of_Su-24_shootdown_by_Turkey_in_English-600x428.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.globalresearch.ca/week-nine-of-the-russian-intervention-in-syria-the-empire-strikes-back/5494109
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 07, 2015, 12:18:33 PM
Note: This is a Russian Opinion/Editorial

NATO’s absurd denials amid acts of war in Syria

read all about it here
http://www.rt.com/op-edge/324992-nato-attacks-syria-war/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 07, 2015, 12:20:43 PM
Turkey angered by serviceman brandishing rocket launcher on Russian ship passing through Istanbul
Mevlut Cavusoglu, Turkish foreign minister, accuses Russia of "provocation" as photographs show rocket launcher displayed aboard the Caesar Kunikov as it sails through Bosphorus Strait

(http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/03519/Istanbul-russia-ro_3519570b.jpg)


read all about it here
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/12036531/Turkey-angered-by-serviceman-brandishing-rocket-on-Russian-ship-passing-through-Istanbul.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on December 07, 2015, 03:18:35 PM
Very subtle of the Russians.   Right - the oxymoron example is in the previous sentence.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on December 07, 2015, 06:28:09 PM
Indeed. First off, is that young soldier on ceremonial duty Putin's walking by his grandson? ...

(http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content/dailybeast/articles/2015/12/04/is-the-worst-still-to-come-with-vladimir-putin/jcr:content/image.img.2000.jpg/1449208842415.cached.jpg)


Maybe the botox midget is revealing his fondness of being in proximity to handsome young men in uniform?
 :devilish:
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:05:42 PM
Hopefully they use a different method than team Obama uses with US and Mexico

Anti-IS coalition focusing on sealing Turkish border: U.S. envoy


Read more at Reutershttp://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-islamic-state-idUSKBN0TS0SA20151209#yMAtX4cgYfb7gWYY.99
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:12:39 PM
Note: this article has got a lot of propaganda in it, but it does high light some of
the variables and different lines of thinking involved in Syria.

Russia, Israel and Syria: An inconvenient truth

Russia's direct involvement has actually served to highlight its increasingly close ties with Israel. This robust relationship is downplayed by Israel so as not to antagonise the US, by Russia so as not to alienate Damascus and Tehran, and completely ignored by the "axis of resistance" - now minus Hamas - so as to avoid embarrassment. -

See more at: http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/russia-israel-and-syria-inconvenient-truth-1997898988#sthash.MadvIEsJ.dpuf

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:14:43 PM
Russia Pulls Syrian Rug From Under Iran’s Feet
With Russians replacing Iranians and Hezbollah on the Syrian battle field,
and a Saudi-backed opposition summit, Iran fears its influence could be
waning.


read all about it here: http://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/.premium-1.690543
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:16:37 PM
Turkey PM accuses Russia of wanting 'ethnic cleansing' in Syria
Turkey's prime minister has accused Russia of attempting "ethnic cleansing"
with its air strikes in northern Syria.  Ahmet Davutoglu said Russia's campaign
had targeted Turkmen and Sunni communities around the Latakia region.

read all about it here
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35049591
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:21:57 PM
5 Myths: Russia’s False ISIS Narrative In Syria

MYTH 1:  RUSSIA INTERVENED IN ORDER TO DEFEAT ISIS
MYTH 2: RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES TARGET TERRORIST GROUPS
MYTH 3: RUSSIA WANTS TO WORK WITH THE SYRIAN ARMED OPPOSITION
MYTH 4: RUSSIA’S COALITION-BUILDING EFFORTS ARE ABOUT FIGHTING TERRORISM
MYTH 5: WESTERN COOPERATION WITH RUSSIA WILL DEFEAT ISIS AND THEN THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR

There is a ton of information follow the link to read all about it
http://www.stopfake.org/en/5-myths-russia-s-false-isis-narrative-in-syria/





Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:31:59 PM
Somebody is shocked that PBS is biased? what cocoon did they live in?   

PBS Newshour Fails the Public: Biased and Misleading Analysis on Syria, Russia, Turkey

Here are specific points:

PBS Newshour selected two analysts with essentially the same viewpoint:

The analysts make false or exaggerated claims.

The analysts failed to include relevant information

The program fails to consider Putin’s comments

The analysts also ignore Turkey’s economic support of ISIS

The analysts distort facts to support their biases

The analysts are hypocritical about air space violations.

There are a lot more, read all about it here
http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/12/08/pbs-newshour-fails-the-public-biased-and-misleading-analysis-on-syria-russia-turkey/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:34:32 PM
Tension Increases Between Turkey-Russia Over Syria

read all about it here
http://learningenglish.voanews.com/content/tension-increases-between-turkey-russia-over-syria/3084485.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:37:37 PM
Russia Considers War With Turkey? After Su-24 Fighter Jet Attack

read about it here
http://www.ibtimes.com/russia-considers-war-turkey-after-su-24-fighter-jet-attack-moscow-calls-black-box-2217712
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BC on December 09, 2015, 01:38:43 PM
I see propaganda, disinformation, obfuscation and simple ignorance lives on... and on... and on....

Kids in kindergarten should be taught that not everything posted on the internet is true.  Seems my generation still doesn't get it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 09, 2015, 01:40:55 PM
I see propaganda, disinformation, obfuscation and simple ignorance lives on... and on... and on....

Kids in kindergarten should be taught that not everything posted on the internet is true.  Seems my generation still doesn't get it.

I agree, all these news stories are filled with propaganda. That's why I post such a broad
spectrum of it, guessing somewhere inside lies the truth.

Nice to see you stopping by

Udachi!

Bill
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 14, 2015, 11:33:24 AM
The conflict(s) in Syria seems so complex that this thread will continue for years as this becomes a stalemate.    Participants and supporters have diverse and conflicting goals.   

   -  Russia in seeking a larger role in the Middle East wants to keep Assad in power until a transitional plan is implemented.    How many years would such take?   
   -  Turkey is important to any solution yet considers ISIS its third priority following  the Kurds and Assad. 
   -  European nations are more concerned with ISIS yet will not deploy ground troops necessary to clear and control ISIS. 
   -  Sunni nations such as Saudi, Egypt, and Jordan could provide ground troops yet are more concerned with Yemen and the Iranian backed Houti insurgency.   
   -  Iran is deploying forces in Syria with an obviously larger goal to become the primary power in the Middle East and to control Persian Gulf oil production (thereby prices, also a goal for Russia).
   -  The US seems as if it just wants out, and because that is inadvisable over the long term, it seems contented with a stalemate.   

My initial thoughts about Russia's actions have been wrong.    When Russia entered the fray, I thought the Assad government would go on the offensive and overwhelm selected rebel positions.  Nothing dramatic has happened.

Also, I thought the downing of the Russian airliner would have prompted a massive retaliation by Russia against ISIS.  That has been Russia's policy for past terrorism.  Nothing has happened so far other than more bombing of ISIS.  I still believe Putin will send his elite Special Forces on a raid into ISIS territory.  The delay so far suggests 1) he is planning something huge, 2) the Russian military recognizes ISIS to be a formidable adversary and has cautioned Putin to delay, or 3) Russia is stretched too thin by protecting Assad, maintaining its position in and around Ukraine, dealing with Turkey, etc.     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on December 14, 2015, 11:37:21 AM
I'll go with number three, Gator. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on December 15, 2015, 11:50:38 AM
Me too.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 16, 2015, 11:46:54 AM
Here is some Russian/Turkey News and headlines

Russia says Turkey should pay compensation for downed jet
Associated Press

http://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-turkey-pay-compensation-downed-jet-122002913.html

UPI says Russia a little more insistent than the AP
Russia demands compensation for jet downed by Turkey
UPI
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2015/12/16/Russia-demands-compensation-for-jet-downed-by-Turkey/6331450279685/

The Russia-Turkey Spat: The Big Picture
By Jacob Wolinsky

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/12/russia-attack-turkey/


Looks like Putin had more work done, maybe he should look
for some hair plugs, something like Joe Biden got?
Russia ‘may expand sanctions against Turkey’
(http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/images/news/201512/n_92586_1.jpg)
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/russia-may-expand-sanctions-against-turkey.aspx?pageID=238&nid=92586


Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 16, 2015, 11:52:06 AM
Russia Is Using Space Power in Its Attack on Syria

(http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content/dailybeast/articles/2015/12/16/russia-is-using-space-power-in-its-attack-on-syria/jcr:content/image.crop.800.500.jpg/48342484.cached.jpg)

read all about it here
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/16/russia-is-using-space-power-in-its-attack-on-syria.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 16, 2015, 11:53:17 AM
‘Washington has gone from ‘regime change’ to ‘political transition' in Syria,
but we are not stupid’


http://www.rt.com/op-edge/326112-kerry-visit-moscow-talks/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 16, 2015, 11:57:54 AM
Putin Gambit Over Syria Proves to Be Dual-Edged Sword
By BEN HUBBARD

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/16/world/europe/in-russia-john-kerry-pushes-forward-on-syrian-peace-process.html?_r=0
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 16, 2015, 12:26:43 PM
‘Washington has gone from ‘regime change’ to ‘political transition' in Syria,
but we are not stupid’


http://www.rt.com/op-edge/326112-kerry-visit-moscow-talks/ (http://www.rt.com/op-edge/326112-kerry-visit-moscow-talks/)

I think it is the right move to not force regime change regarding Assad...I'm glad Russia modified our apparent stance.

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 16, 2015, 12:32:20 PM
I think it is the right move to not force regime change regarding Assad...I'm glad Russia modified our apparent stance.

Fathertime!

Obama and Kerry still want to topple the Assad regime, they just changed the verbage.
Elect Hillary and he will probably get toppled, she wants him toppled.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 20, 2015, 04:21:40 PM
Putin says Russia ready to increase military role in Syria
Vladimir Putin’s warning that Moscow will use ‘more military means’ in
Syria conflict comes just hours after UN roadmap to peace was agreed


read all about it here
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/19/russia-ready-increase-military-role-syria-vladimir-putin
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on December 22, 2015, 03:27:01 PM
Obama and Kerry still want to topple the Assad regime, they just changed the verbage.
Elect Hillary and he will probably get toppled, she wants him toppled.


I see you are with Teddy boy.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 22, 2015, 06:00:04 PM

I see you are with Teddy boy.  ;)

He wisely agreed with me on this. (http://www.sherv.net/cm/emoticons/yes/saying-yes-nodding-smiley-emoticon.gif)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 27, 2015, 08:14:56 PM
Here is an article regarding the US arming of ISIS, purposefully...and we then hypocritically chastise other regimes for their misdeeds...and pretend to be saints.

Seymour Hersh report on Syria: White House knew US was arming Islamic State



WASHINGTON, Dec. 27 (UPI) -- Pulitzer-prize-winner journalist Seymour Hersh reports that the administration of President Barack Obama, in particular the CIA, has knowingly armed militant Islamists in Syria, including the Islamic State.

"Barack Obama's repeated insistence that Bashar al-Assad must leave office -- and that there are 'moderate' rebel groups in Syria capable of defeating him -- has in recent years provoked quiet dissent.....


http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2015/12/27/Seymour-Hersh-report-on-Syria-White-House-knew-US-was-arming-Islamic-State/6951451232210/ (http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2015/12/27/Seymour-Hersh-report-on-Syria-White-House-knew-US-was-arming-Islamic-State/6951451232210/)


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 27, 2015, 11:57:59 PM
So much for Russia 'going broke'.


U.S. sees bearable costs, key goals met for Russia in Syria so far

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Three months into his military intervention in Syria, Russian President Vladimir Putin has achieved his central goal of stabilizing the Assad government and, with the costs relatively low, could sustain military operations at this level for years, U.S. officials and military analysts say.....

http://news.yahoo.com/u-sees-bearable-costs-key-goals-met-russia-061507121.html (http://news.yahoo.com/u-sees-bearable-costs-key-goals-met-russia-061507121.html)


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on January 02, 2016, 04:16:17 AM
FT, we agree on the US funding of what has morphed into ISIS. Benghazi was a key in the transfer of US arms to so called "rebels" in the region.

However, as so "so much for Russia going broke," you need to get out and travel a bit. Ask any Russian--they know they are going broke. They blame the USA for all financial evils, but you won't find an honest Russian who will deny the financial fears and changes in living standards that now exist.

One of the guests in our home for the New Year is a businessman who was high flying just 3-4 years ago. He has sold a large home and downsized his employee base because of the current business climate. They sold a very nice home and moved back into an apartment in order to keep his company afloat. His story is very common these days.

Come to any upscale Moscow mall and almost every store has скидки signs (sales) of 50 to 70%.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on January 02, 2016, 05:44:04 AM
Ask any Russian--they know they are going broke. They blame the USA for all financial evils, but you won't find an honest Russian who will deny the financial fears and changes in living standards that now exist.
I see kind of confusion in rhetoric of Moscow liberals (Mendy reflects their views on the events). They broadcast the alarm about Russia's going broke (they told it for the last 15 years, btw), and at the same time warn the world about Russia's plans to take over the world, Ukraine, Baltic states, etc.   ::)
I can't recall that Russians blame the USA for all financial evils, may be Mendy takes this from marginal ultra-patriotic persons. Common take on financial troubles is that Russia suffers because of the downturn in the global commodity cycle. Living standards has fallen but  continue to be much better than in 1990s-2000s so the support for Putin will stay high.

Come to any upscale Moscow mall and almost every store has скидки signs (sales) of 50 to 70%.
   Yeah, and watch what prices are after these so called discounts :) Unfortunately,  upscale Moscow malls use the sale signs to promote overpriced stuff. Internet trade is the real way to find the real bargains.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on January 02, 2016, 07:22:24 AM
Belvis, I didn't write about a "liberal" but you instantly decided to label a Russian businessman as such without knowledge of who he is in person. Please tell your boss Peskov to be more creative in how his trolls respond to anything outside the carefully constructed narrative that the Kremlin desires. If you don't have the balls to tell him, I will.

As for sale signs, are you trying to say with a straight face that high end stores in upscale Moscow malls constantly advertise 50 to 70% off as part of their marketing strategy? No, I give you credit for more intelligence that such. Upscale mall stores are not part of the "Fix" chain where everything inside is 49 rubles (Russia's answer to America's 99 cent outlets).

I agree however that Russians will continue to support Putin. And of course, the economy today, as bad as it is, is still (as the TV reminds us), better than the aforementioned time period. I too recall when there were no ducks or fish left in the Moscow river.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on January 02, 2016, 12:08:37 PM
Belvis, I didn't write about a "liberal" but you instantly decided to label a Russian businessman as such without knowledge of who he is in person.
I did not mean a Russian businessman, I meant your views which are very stereotyped and familar in  certain social circles in Moscow. I think you have а wide network  of acquaintances  densely confined within a non representative class. Our environment inevitably affects us and forms the perception of life.
And I don't consider the term "liberal" as a lable. It's just as it is, and pretty accurate.

I too recall when there were no ducks or fish left in the Moscow river.
No, you did not live in Moscow when there were no ducks or fish.  Moreover, you did not live in the provincial russian towns 10-15 years ago so it's rather hard for you to grasp why Russians  support Putin.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on January 02, 2016, 12:26:17 PM
Belvis, thank you for defining when and where I've lived. :-)

You do a nice job of deflecting subjects however. I hope that you are paid well.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on January 02, 2016, 04:34:40 PM
The bosses at the kremlin troll factory making the staff work even over the New Years/Christmas period?
 :shock:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on January 02, 2016, 06:31:47 PM
FT, we agree on the US funding of what has morphed into ISIS. Benghazi was a key in the transfer of US arms to so called "rebels" in the region.

 .


Here is Assad speaking recently.  He hits the nail on the head regarding US involvement and destruction. 


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t8lee3C9Xvc
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/t8lee3C9Xvc" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 03, 2016, 12:38:38 PM
Turkey faces big losses as Russia sanctions bite
By Selin Girit
BBC News, Istanbul


read all about it here
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-35209987

Title: The Russian/Turkey thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 03, 2016, 12:46:20 PM
From Russia With Love, Thousands of Wives for Turkish Husbands

excerpt
“There are up to 300,000 Turkish-Russian married couples. Most Russian immigrants to Turkey are women. Turkish men traditionally devote themselves to families and Russian women like it, when men take responsibility for decision making,”


Read the article here
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/01/02/from-russia-with-love-thousands-of-wives-for-turkish-husbands.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 03, 2016, 12:51:20 PM
Newsweek, looks at how the Russian propaganda machine vilifies various "enemies"


TURKEY NOW RUSSIAN MEDIA’S ENEMY NUMBER ONE: REPORT
Newsweek

read all about it here
http://www.newsweek.com/turkey-russian-media-enemy-number-one-409525
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 03, 2016, 01:02:38 PM
End of ISIS? Putin 'sending 150,000 soldiers to Syria to WIPE OUT evil Islamic State'


read all about it here
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/609757/Putin-ISIS-Islamic-State-Syria-Raqqa-troops-soldiers-air-strike-jets-military
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on January 04, 2016, 05:42:43 PM
TURKEY NOW RUSSIAN MEDIA’S ENEMY NUMBER ONE: REPORT

I thought Putin said we were enemy number one on his NY Eve report? Pretty upset we have lost that honor to be honest....
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: AkMike on January 04, 2016, 11:07:46 PM
Since he's a psycho it'll change day by day! We're still in the top two.
Title: The Russian/Syrian + Turkey? connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 14, 2016, 12:22:54 PM
My guess is that Russian/Turkey News belongs here.


Turkey detains 69 ISIL suspects after Sultanahmet bombing, including three Russians


read all about it here
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkey-detains-nine-isil-members-including-three-russians.aspx?pageID=238&nID=93787&NewsCatID=509
Title: The Russian/Syrian/Iran connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on January 27, 2016, 11:12:04 AM
Iran says warns U.S. warship to leave waters near Strait of Hormuz
Reuters

read all about it here
http://news.yahoo.com/iran-warned-u-warship-leave-area-iranian-naval-104423646.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 15, 2016, 06:15:27 PM

Iran is buying the S-300 anti aircraft missile system. This is Russia's second best missile defense system and should be able to shoot down Israeli jets should they try to bomb their nuclear program.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia-latest-weapons-sale-iran-175400695.html


Iran is Buying Russian SU-30 fighter jet which is a match for anything we sold to Israel or Saudi Arabia.


http://www.nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-middle-easts-nightmare-iran-buying-russias-lethal-su-30-15213


Obama refused to acknowledge Iran violated the nuke deal by launching a ballistic missile but after 8 Democrats wrote him a letter that urged him to take action, Obama had the Treasury department sanction 11 entities and individuals. Me thinks Iran will continue to test what they can get away with and when they have all their defensive pieces in place to the point nobody can stop them, they will fire up the reactors once again.


http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/02/15/iran-defense-chief-discusses-fighter-jets-defense-system-deliveries-in-moscow.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2016, 06:21:32 PM
Iran is buying the S-300 anti aircraft missile system. This is Russia's second best missile defense system and should be able to shoot down Israeli jets should they try to bomb their nuclear program.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia-latest-weapons-sale-iran-175400695.html (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia-latest-weapons-sale-iran-175400695.html)


Iran is Buying Russian SU-30 fighter jet which is a match for anything we sold to Israel or Saudi Arabia.


http://www.nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-middle-easts-nightmare-iran-buying-russias-lethal-su-30-15213 (http://www.nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-middle-easts-nightmare-iran-buying-russias-lethal-su-30-15213)

Speaking of arms sales...I read a recent wacky story regarding Russia selling arms to FIJI, of all places.  Russia seems to be saying the hell with Europe, while moving in different directions 

Russia sells $19M in arms to Fiji



Russia's sale of $19 million-worth of weapons to Fiji is seen as an attempt by Moscow to gain a foothold in the Pacific.
One shipment of arms has already arrived in the capital, Suva.
Prime Minister John Key says he has no issues with business between Fiji and Russia, providing it's lawful.
Fiji's military is getting an arms upgrade....

http://www.newshub.co.nz/world/russia-sells-19m-in-arms-to-fiji-2016021317#axzz40HytxoDg (http://www.newshub.co.nz/world/russia-sells-19m-in-arms-to-fiji-2016021317#axzz40HytxoDg)


Fathertime!   





Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on February 17, 2016, 09:15:41 PM
Russia’s campaign in Syria shifted balance of power in the region – Iran’s defense chief

The Russian anti-terror campaign in Syria has shifted the balance of power in the region, the Iranian Defense Minister said while visiting Moscow, eager to purchase billions of dollars worth of “defensive” weapons to secure its own position in the region.
“Russia's presence in Syria, of course, changed the security atmosphere, [and] changed the balance of power,” Hosein Dehghan said in an interview with Rossiya 24 news channel.

read all about it here
http://www.rt.com/news/332702-iran-russia-power-shift/

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on February 24, 2016, 08:36:57 PM
Turkey's Erdogan says Russia continues to violate Turkish airspace

read about it here
http://ca.news.yahoo.com/turkeys-erdogan-says-russia-continues-violate-turkish-airspace-122051865.html
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on February 24, 2016, 08:38:49 PM
Note this is an opinion piece
Putin's Newest Satellite State

read all about it here
http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#5aacf5543549


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 25, 2016, 04:42:36 PM
Note this is an opinion piece
Putin's Newest Satellite State

read all about it here
http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#5aacf5543549

Link doesn't work  :(
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on February 26, 2016, 05:47:03 AM
Link doesn't work  :(

Try this one
http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#39cdd8753549
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 28, 2016, 04:39:42 PM
Try this one
http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#39cdd8753549

Sorry, Bill, but that doesn't work either.  Maybe it's a geographical block.  However, this one does:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2016/02/24/putins-newest-satellite-state/#62bc208a3549
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on March 08, 2016, 07:23:07 PM
Iran Threatens to Walk Away From Nuke Deal After New Missile Test

read all about it here
http://freebeacon.com/national-security/iran-threatens-walk-away-nuclear-deal-missile-test/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on March 13, 2016, 08:53:18 AM
Russia claims Turkish troops entrenched in Syria

read all about it here
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-turkish-troops-in-syria-us-backed-rebels-al-qaeda/
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on March 13, 2016, 08:58:09 AM
WARNING: this article goes into detail about despicable behavior and can be quite
upsetting. If you are having a happy Sunday, you might just skip it and enjoy your
day.

To Maintain Supply of Sex Slaves, ISIS
Pushes Birth Control
Modern methods allow the Islamic State to keep up
its systematic rape of captives under medieval codes.


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/13/world/middleeast/to-maintain-supply-of-sex-slaves-isis-pushes-birth-control.html?_r=0
Title: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: alex330 on March 14, 2016, 01:44:45 PM
Looks like he bit off a bit more than he could chew.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C   (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C)


Strange because the intelligence community said they just delivered a shipment of tanks with another on the way. Maybe it is the rebels new supposed manpad and weaponry capabilities that changed his mind.
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: BillyB on March 14, 2016, 04:11:52 PM
Looks like he bit off a bit more than he could chew.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C   (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-pullout-idUSKCN0WG23C)


Strange because the intelligence community said they just delivered a shipment of tanks with another on the way.



The article said US officials saw no evidence of preparation by the Russians to pull out. Actions speak louder than words. If Russians end up pulling out, it's not because they can't afford the war, it's for other beneficial reasons.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: AkMike on March 14, 2016, 05:03:19 PM
It says  "start withdrawing" , there's no indication of a timeframe. It could be years...

Where will Putler strike next?
I'll go for Tajikistan (and perhaps a little seepage across the border into Afghanistan).

 You know that they'll continue their quest for rebuilding the CCCP in all of it's (Ahem) glory. :rolleyes:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on March 14, 2016, 05:14:48 PM
According to what I heard on the radio news this morning, the pullout is supposed to be effective immediately, with troops starting to leave Syria from tomorrow.

Yeah, right!  :ROFL:
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: fathertime on March 14, 2016, 08:14:15 PM

The article said US officials saw no evidence of preparation by the Russians to pull out. Actions speak louder than words. If Russians end up pulling out, it's not because they can't afford the war, it's for other beneficial reasons.
My impression is that Russia did some of what it wanted to do which was to take Assad out of peril and turn the tide a bit like other countries were doing.


Who knows what kind of side deals may be getting worked out, but I won't be surprised if that is the case. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: Muzh on March 15, 2016, 08:35:20 AM
My impression is that Russia did some of what it wanted to do which was to take Assad out of peril and turn the tide a bit like other countries were doing.


Who knows what kind of side deals may be getting worked out, but I won't be surprised if that is the case. 


Fathertime!   


Actually, Assad will not be in good shape for the upcoming negotiations since he will not have the capo backing him up.
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: BillyB on March 15, 2016, 08:56:51 AM

Actually, Assad will not be in good shape for the upcoming negotiations since he will not have the capo backing him up.


I think the negotiations are probably done. Obama and Kerry has backed off the "Assad has to go" strategy. Russia had all the leverage in the negotiations so it's not a big surprise. This ceasefire allows Russia to take a break and catch up on some maintenance and rotate fresh troops in. Faster than they may leave Syria, they can come back. Russia is also trying to look like it's cooperating so they can get the sanctions lifted over Ukraine. The vote for these sanctions are up for renewal in a few months and there's already a small group of EU countries voicing they want to lift the sanctions. Putin needs more supporters though.
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: southernX on March 15, 2016, 05:30:04 PM

I think the negotiations are probably done. Obama and Kerry has backed off the "Assad has to go" strategy. Russia had all the leverage in the negotiations so it's not a big surprise. This ceasefire allows Russia to take a break and catch up on some maintenance and rotate fresh troops in. Faster than they may leave Syria, they can come back. Russia is also trying to look like it's cooperating so they can get the sanctions lifted over Ukraine. The vote for these sanctions are up for renewal in a few months and there's already a small group of EU countries voicing they want to lift the sanctions. Putin needs more supporters though.

agree billy ,

putin is a man of action , his words mean little very often imo
let us observe what he does over the next month or so ,

he has withdrawn little yet , significantly he has left his air defence missiles in syria ,

it is very easy for him to move forces back and forth , similar strategy to that which he has used in the donbass during the minsk  process

imo he has no intention of abandoning syria or the military bases and leverage he has recently strengthened there

SX
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: BillyB on March 15, 2016, 06:10:12 PM
he has withdrawn little yet , significantly he has left his air defence missiles in syria ,



Their best air defense, the S-400. It's so good Russia won't even sell it to Iran who could leak out the technology to others including us. So to protect this state of the art equipment, a significant amount of troops must be left in Syria. The rebels and ISIS do not have fighter jets to bring down. The excuse is it's there to shoot down Turkish jets should they shoot down another Russian jet is not valid. Russia can use it's own jets to bring down a Turkish jet. The S-400 was brought to Syria because it works with in conjunction with their most advanced radar. With around 14 nations flying in Syria, Russia's radar can learn what's in the air at any given time since everybody has to notify Russia where they're flying so they don't risk getting shot down. America has given the best stealth fighter in the world the F-22 combat time in Syria. Overkill for such an advanced jet to bomb terrorists and Assad's troops. Although stealth, it does have a radar signature about the size of a bumblebee. Russia can learn that signature and the signature of every other NATO jet and use it to their benefit should things get crazy in the future. I hope America was smart enough to ground the F-22 and F-35 when Russia brought in the S-400.
Title: Re: Putin orders troop withdrawal from Syria
Post by: Muzh on March 16, 2016, 09:11:49 AM
agree billy ,

putin is a man of action , his words mean little very often imo

SX


Also, he is strong as bull, almost as smart.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on March 17, 2016, 11:40:36 AM
He wants to achieve these goals:

- Lifting of Western sanctions against Russia.

- Agreement that Russia must be given a sphere of influence in neighboring former republics. Those include Ukraine, Georgia, and eventually the Baltic states.

- Acceptance of his annexation of Crimea.


As a member of the UN group in the Syrian negotiations, by announcing the pull-out, it gives the appearance to the West that he is no longer a part of the problem, and instead can be trusted to be a part of the solution. That, of course, is debatable.

As to any idea that he can afford to continue the fighting in Syria, not really. The Russian budget is in crisis and in the big scheme of things, he cannot financially continue to fighting a war indefinitely on two fronts. By the way, Ukraine and Syria are part of the same war in the Kremlin scheme.

Russian fighting in Syria has given him to more openly train and hone troops and weapons systems for eventual use in the theatre closer to home. Those big new bases being built along the Ukrainian border are there for a reason.

The indiscriminate bombing of Syrian communities and civilians has not only created a very convenient refugee crisis to weaken Europe, but it has sent a clear message to Kyiv, and those in the West who support Ukraine, about what will happen if the Ukrainian desire to be independent of Russia is not nipped in the bud, so to speak. He has played a clear hand to open the way to force the West to accept his "final solution" of the Ukrainian question, and unfortunately the West is tired and will eventually look the other way.

The slow but clear signs of a growing resurrection to opposition of his rule will force his hand. He cannot fix the economy without $70 per barrel for oil, so he will use military adventurism close to home as a distraction to quiet any ideas of revolt at home.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on March 17, 2016, 11:56:48 AM
Anyone who saw House of Cards, Season 4, will remark that Terror at home is used as a means to insure a quiet electorate.  When I was last in Russia, they were showing the beheadings of people on TV.  A sure means of terrorism in the world and that (implied) idea that Russia is a bastion against terrorism.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on March 17, 2016, 01:59:59 PM
As to any idea that he can afford to continue the fighting in Syria, not really. The Russian budget is in crisis and in the big scheme of things, he cannot financially continue to fighting a war indefinitely on two fronts.



America made a lot of money bailing other nations out. Putin understands this and Syria will be paying the bill. It's another reason Assad or similar will have to be president of Syria for a long time coming. A western backed leader will try to get out from repaying Russia for their services.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on March 19, 2016, 11:42:18 AM
Iran to build a statue of captured US sailors

read all about it here
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/12197979/Iran-to-build-a-statue-of-captured-US-sailors.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on March 24, 2016, 08:27:07 PM

Putin and Kerry meet over Syria and Putin jokes if Kerry's briefcase is full of money to haggle over key matters.


http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/putin-john-kerry-luggage-joke-221206
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on April 10, 2016, 06:22:12 PM
As to any idea that he can afford to continue the fighting in Syria, not really. The Russian budget is in crisis and in the big scheme of things, he cannot financially continue to fighting a war indefinitely on two fronts. By the way, Ukraine and Syria are part of the same war in the Kremlin scheme.

Do you think that Assad is at least partly paying for Russia to come in and save
the day? Getting back his oil and other facilities must be worth something.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on April 11, 2016, 10:50:28 AM
You bring up a good point, Bill. The Russian budget is in crisis, but if oil continues to rise it would make more sense. Is Assad paying? One way or the other, for certain.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on April 11, 2016, 02:21:23 PM
Do you think that Assad is at least partly paying for Russia to come in and save
the day? Getting back his oil and other facilities must be worth something.


Paying? Did you say paying? (With apologies to that NFL commercial)


http://www.wsj.com/articles/syria-defies-russia-in-bid-to-keep-assad-1460332538?cb=logged0.30049921613464536
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on April 11, 2016, 08:13:31 PM

Paying? Did you say paying? (With apologies to that NFL commercial)


http://www.wsj.com/articles/syria-defies-russia-in-bid-to-keep-assad-1460332538?cb=logged0.30049921613464536

NFL or NBA?

Jim Mora of the NBA:  "Playoffs?!   Don't talk about playoffs.  Playoffs?!" 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oSFYxDGKy8 (at the 100 mark)

Allen Iverson of the NBA:  " Practice!  We are talking about practice!  Not a game   What are talking about?  Practice!"  (15.5 times in just over one minute).   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=frsId3goYYE

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2016, 09:21:46 PM
http://www.wsj.com/articles/syria-defies-russia-in-bid-to-keep-assad-1460332538?cb=logged0.30049921613464536


Syria defies Russia in bid to keep Assad. Funny article. Ever notice how every Moscow brokered ceasefire never seems to work? Putin worked hard to sue for peace and look cooperative to the international community by showing his willingness to have Assad go and nobody will listen to him. Not the rebels in Ukraine and not Assad. Don't fool yourselves folks. Russia went into Syria to keep Assad in power.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: sleepycat on April 12, 2016, 04:05:13 AM
Oh dear! Another one of huilo's aircraft fell out of the sky in Syria...

http://www.yahoo.com/news/two-russian-military-pilots-killed-syria-helicopter-crash-082803303.html

 :popcorn:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Muzh on April 12, 2016, 02:53:06 PM
NFL or NBA?

Jim Mora of the NBA:  "Playoffs?!   Don't talk about playoffs.  Playoffs?!" 
 (at the 100 mark)

Allen Iverson of the NBA:  " Practice!  We are talking about practice!  Not a game   What are talking about?  Practice!"  (15.5 times in just over one minute).   


Jim Mora was the Indianapolis Colts coach of the NFL on that video.  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on April 13, 2016, 07:33:52 AM

Jim Mora was the Indianapolis Colts coach of the NFL on that video.  ;)

I don't know why I wrote NBA for Mora instead of NFL.  I am a sports fan, and I know this shit. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on April 13, 2016, 11:43:18 AM
Whoa Muzh and Gator, you mean the Baltimore Colts, right?

Next thing you'll be telling me that the Chicago Cardinals have moved out of St Louis, or that the Cleveland Rams moved to Los Angeles and then St Louis and then back to LA, or the Boston Redskins moved to DC. Somebody even told me that the Los Angeles Chargers now play in San Diego, but I think it is only a rumour.

At least when I visit Houston in the future I'll be able to enjoy an Oilers game. Whew!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 13, 2016, 11:44:10 AM
You forgot Anaheim with the Rams.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on April 13, 2016, 11:58:29 AM
Dang, when did that tragedy happen? 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 13, 2016, 12:00:02 PM
In between Los Angeles and St. Louis.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 24, 2016, 06:39:22 PM

Hmmmm....well 250 isn't very many...although i'm presuming they are uninvited, it could be worse.. as long as they aren't actually there to undermine or try to take out Assad....


Up to 250 US military personnel headed to Syria, Obama administration officials say



ERZEN, Germany –  President Barack Obama will send an additional 250 military personnel to Syria to help local forces fighting the Islamic State group, increasing to 300 the number of U.S. forces battling extremists in the war-torn country, administration officials confirmed Sunday.

Obama was expected to announce his decision Monday during a speech in Hannover, Germany, at the close of a weeklong trip, where IS was a focus of his meetings with world leaders in Saudi Arabia, Great Britain and Germany.

The move will significantly increase the U.S. presence in Syria......

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/24/up-to-250-us-military-personnel-headed-to-syria-obama-administration-officials-say.html?intcmp=hplnws (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/24/up-to-250-us-military-personnel-headed-to-syria-obama-administration-officials-say.html?intcmp=hplnws)






Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 24, 2016, 07:18:00 PM
Hmmmm....well 250 isn't very many...although i'm presuming they are uninvited, it could be worse.. as long as they aren't actually there to undermine or try to take out Assad....


Too little too late but I'm sure Obama got permission from Putin to allow our troops to fight ISIS. The ceasefire is only between the rebels and Assad's forces but everybody is still allowed to target ISIS. 250 American soldiers aren't going to be able to take out ISIS but Obama wants to make a statement he is doing something about terrorism.

Obama and Europe had the power years ago to bomb a road for the rebels to Damascus like they did in Libya. Instead the country is ruined, 250,000 dead, 12 million displaced from their homes, and over a million refugees Europe has to deal with. Pay now or pay more later. Obama and Europe decided to pay more later.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 24, 2016, 08:16:44 PM


Obama and Europe had the power years ago to bomb a road for the rebels to Damascus like they did in Libya. Instead the country is ruined, 250,000 dead, 12 million displaced from their homes, and over a million refugees Europe has to deal with. Pay now or pay more later. Obama and Europe decided to pay more later.


I seriously doubt that other powerful nations like Russia would have merely stood by, and allowed us to run roughshod over Assad like that.  I think this conflict could have been headed off earlier by us not calling for Assad to step down, and arming/supporting forces against him....


I don't think we look back at Libya, and deem that to be the roadmap for future overseas military adventures.  Nor can we look at Iraq or pretty much any other of the recent Middle East debacles the last two presidents have dragged us into. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 24, 2016, 08:19:57 PM
HEY,  FATHER TIME

IS THERE ANY ACTIONS THAT YOUR NATION HAS TAKEN IN OTHER COUNTRIES THAT YOU DO APPROVE OF? 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 24, 2016, 08:30:27 PM
HEY,  FATHER TIME

IS THERE ANY ACTIONS THAT YOUR NATION HAS TAKEN IN OTHER COUNTRIES THAT YOU DO APPROVE OF?


Of course there are, but those aren't what this particular discussion is about....Are you interested in derailing the topic, rather than discussing it, because you don't approve of a valid opinion on the subject?


Well thanks for asking!


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 24, 2016, 09:05:29 PM
I seriously doubt that other powerful nations like Russia would have merely stood by, and allowed us to run roughshod over Assad like that.


Russia did stand by for years and didn't give Assad meaningful help. After Putin learned nobody had the guts to confront him in Ukraine and Obama didn't keep his word by intervening with ground troops after Assad crossed a red line using chemical weapons on his people, Putin knew Syria would be under his influence if he bailed out Assad.

Any world leader wanting to expand their borders knows they will meet little resistance from Obama. If not America, who enforces international law? What good are laws without enforcement? I recently read China is expanding on more islands. Soon they will have military bases on those islands and be able to make it difficult for us to rescue Taiwan should China invade in the future.

For this world to have peace, there must be stability and there isn't stability if the thugs are allowed to do as they wish. Conflict will never end but if we don't take the fight to them, sooner or later, they'll bring it to us. If someone had the guts to get in their face, they may see Crimea and islands in the South China sea are not worth risking their existence over.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 24, 2016, 09:25:48 PM
Russia did stand by for years and didn't give Assad meaningful help. After Putin learned nobody had the guts to confront him in Ukraine and Obama didn't keep his word by intervening with ground troops after Assad crossed a red line using chemical weapons on his people, Putin knew Syria would be under his influence if he bailed out Assad.




Russia probably did not feel the need to step in with major help.  Eventually the battle became too dicey,  with the US supporting the 'rebels', so at certain point they jumped in.  Maybe they just wanted to bleed us a bit before they had to bleed also.    I think Russia intended on getting involved all along if it became necessary, it was only a matter of if was to become necessary, and that came to pass.   




. If someone had the guts to get in their face, they may see Crimea and islands in the South China sea are not worth risking their existence over.


Keep in mind thinking we are going to run roughshod over far lands and seas also creates risk for own existence as well....nations like China have enough capacity to do great harm to us in more than one way, and they probably feel what they are doing is within their rights...Since we have lived by "Might means Right", other powerful nations are also using that tactic I guess. 


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: mendeleyev on April 28, 2016, 01:44:00 AM
Quote
Russia did stand by for years and didn't give Assad meaningful help. After Putin learned nobody had the guts to confront him in Ukraine and Obama didn't keep his word by intervening with ground troops after Assad crossed a red line using chemical weapons on his people, Putin knew Syria would be under his influence if he bailed out Assad.

I was a member of the press pool covering Mr. Putin into 2013, having transitioned from covering President Medvedev prior to 2012, and we were in Vladivostok in late August when an outdoor press briefing turned from the recent flooding and the government's weather crisis response, infrastructure investment in the Far East, to issues with China along disputed sections of border, and to the upcoming G20 which Mr. Putin would host in St Petersburg. The discussion turned from those issues to pressing concerns in Egypt, Libya and Syria.

I and a couple of others posed questions as to who might have used chemical weapons in Syria. Personally I remain unconvinced that Assad was responsible, and wanted at the time to gauge how he would treat the subject at the G20 Summit. Mr. Putin can talk, and anyone who has seen his marathon sessions with the public knows that he can go on for hours, all the while being very direct in his responses. He almost snapped the answer; indicating that the Americans were still partners, he explained why the idea of Assad using those weapons on the very day that UN inspectors arrived as being ridiculous. He summed up his answer with four short words--"You know our position."

A follow up question was asked if the Obama administration would take military action, and about what Russia would do if the USA attacked Assad. Rather than answer, because at that time Russia did not have the capability to stand toe-to-toe with the US military, he said that "How do I know? You will have to ask them. "

We traveled back home to Moscow, and then four days later were in full swing at the G20 opening in Piter. Just the day before, presidential staffers had ironed out an agreement for Putin and Obama to shake hands. There would be no face to face meetings, only a brief handshake upon Obama's arrival. The Kremlin had been offended by Obama's remarks just days before that characterized Putin as a slouching and pouting school boy.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPhIPT9yOu8

Putin is very good at reading others--a skill learned from his KGB training and experience, and over the course of the Summit he saw that he could own Obama with not much pushback.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 28, 2016, 06:44:32 AM


I and a couple of others posed questions as to who might of used chemical weapons in Syria. Personally I remain unconvinced that Assad was responsible, and wanted at the time to gauge how he would treat the subject at the G20 Summit. 



It has been an interesting thing to see how easily convinced much of the American public was that Assad suddenly used the chemical weapons, just hours before the UN inspectors came!  What an amazing coincidence!


Completely NOT believable. 


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 29, 2016, 05:49:17 PM
I and a couple of others posed questions as to who might have used chemical weapons in Syria. Personally I remain unconvinced that Assad was responsible, and wanted at the time to gauge how he would treat the subject at the G20 Summit.


There were dozens of incidences of chemical attacks in Syria. The UN identified some of the chemicals used came from the Syrian Army's stockpile. Could it be stolen? It's hard to say who used chemical weapons delivered from mortars and rockets since both the rebels and Syrian army owns rockets and mortars but it's clear the barrel bombs containing chemical weapons were dropped by the Syrian military's helicopters. Only Syria uses helicopters in the war and own the skies.

In other news Russia is building up in Syria. Putin pulls another fast one on Obama.

http://www.newsweek.com/putin-lying-about-withdrawing-forces-syria-453471
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: AkMike on April 29, 2016, 06:13:26 PM

Russian aircraft bombed hospital in Aleppo

At least 30 people were killed and 62 wounded on April 27th after a Russian military plane fired at a field hospital in the Syrian province of Aleppo. Anadolu reported that the incident was announced by Ibrahim Hadzh Ibrahim, the city’s civil defense representative.

http://uawire.org/news/turkish-media-russian-aircraft-bombed-hospital-in-aleppo

It's a crying shame when they can't hit their targets,, UNLESS this was their target! Killing civilians is usually frowned on by the west yet it's frequently done by Russia it seems. I've tried to stay away from this Russian invasion of Syria as much as possible but it has parallels with the invasion of Ukraine. The next step will be shooting down airliners filled with civilians I'd guess.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on April 30, 2016, 12:21:08 AM
At least 30 people were killed and 62 wounded on April 27th after a Russian military plane fired at a field hospital in the Syrian province of Aleppo. Anadolu reported that the incident was announced by Ibrahim Hadzh Ibrahim, the city’s civil defense representative.

They can't even get their facts right.  It WASN'T a field hospital - it was a real one.  And Aleppo is NOT a province - it is the largest city in Syria, with a population of more than 2 million people.  Amongst those killed were the last remaining paediatrician in the city, as well as several children.

Try this version for a more comprehensive story.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11631229
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: TigerPaws on May 01, 2016, 10:01:15 AM
And the U.S. is innocent of the same things?

 U.S. Military Investigates And Finds Itself Not Guilty Of War Crimes In Afghan Hospital Bombing The Pentagon says it didn’t intend to kill 42 people.http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/us-not-guilty-war-crimes-kunduz-hospital_us_57236ddfe4b0b49df6ab0ada (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/us-not-guilty-war-crimes-kunduz-hospital_us_57236ddfe4b0b49df6ab0ada)

I will be the first to admit that this kind of thing happens in any conflict the Fog of War is very real. I can also tell you from personal experience that when innocents are in the way of killing a designated bad guy they are not important. I personally Lased a large home and we knew there was at least 25 women, children, the aged and infirm inside but there was one man the Pentagon wanted dead at any cost.

So everyone in that building was killed by a 2,000lb Laser guided bomb.   



 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on July 14, 2016, 07:38:35 PM

US offers Russia partnership in Syria. In other words, America gives Russia what they want. The photo in the link below is a great propaganda tool. I'm sure the Russian media will make good use of it.

http://www.yahoo.com/news/leaked-proposal-us-offering-russia-military-pact-syria-075608701.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on September 11, 2016, 12:43:28 AM

I will be the first to admit that this kind of thing happens in any conflict the Fog of War is very real. I can also tell you from personal experience that when innocents are in the way of killing a designated bad guy they are not important. I personally Lased a large home and we knew there was at least 25 women, children, the aged and infirm inside but there was one man the Pentagon wanted dead at any cost.

So everyone in that building was killed by a 2,000lb Laser guided bomb.

That is not "fog of war". That is "we don't give a fuck" about collateral damages to get this target.
Do you think about those civilians you killed at all TigerPaws?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 11, 2016, 08:45:52 AM
That is not "fog of war". That is "we don't give a fuck" about collateral damages to get this target.
Do you think about those civilians you killed at all TigerPaws?

I'm not going to get on TigerPaws for being told to laser a house with civilians in it. Who was his target? Bill Clinton had a chance to take out Osama Bin Laden after he had ties to the World Trade Center in 93. Bin Laden was surrounded by a dozen civilians at the time so he didn't give the order to strike. Since then Bin Laden been responsible for many deaths and terrorist acts including the USS Cole bombing and 9/11. Civilians are going to die in war, that is a given. Our President has the power to determine who's civilians are going to die.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on September 12, 2016, 09:22:05 AM
I'm not going to get on TigerPaws for being told to laser a house with civilians in it. Who was his target?

I was not having a go at him. It was actually intended as a serious question.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 12, 2016, 05:04:32 PM
I was not having a go at him. It was actually intended as a serious question.

Deccie,

A couple of members have accused TP of exaggeration, and have produced information to support their claim.  I do not know, and I have stayed out of it.  Others can give you their opinion. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on September 12, 2016, 10:30:00 PM
Deccie,

A couple of members have accused TP of exaggeration, and have produced information to support their claim.  I do not know, and I have stayed out of it.  Others can give you their opinion.

Thanks Gator.
I've not been on the forum much as my wife gave birth to our latest about a week ago. Two young kids and a teenager keep one very busy indeed.... No further additions are planned now. But now we need a bigger apartment! :-)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 13, 2016, 05:55:31 AM
Thanks Gator.
I've not been on the forum much as my wife gave birth to our latest about a week ago. Two young kids and a teenager keep one very busy indeed.... No further additions are planned now. But now we need a bigger apartment! :-)

Children are a great blessing.  Family has always been my greatest source of joy. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on September 13, 2016, 08:28:35 AM
Children are a great blessing.  Family has always been my greatest source of joy.

They are indeed - though young ones are far easier than teenagers. At least for me anyway.
Our first child together is now 1 yr 8 months old and she brings a lot of joy to all around her.
Grandma just beams around her and is really enjoying the time she spends with her.
She is just such an amazingly HAPPY baby. Of course she has her tantrums like any other child but 90% of the time she is just happy, smiling and bubbly. She is also very bright and it is very interesting to watch her problem solve from such an early age. Certainly she is doing stuff far earlier than I expected.

What I love about children of this age is they have yet to learn to hide their emotions or lie. They very CLEARLY tell you what they want or don't like.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 17, 2016, 05:47:57 PM

Syria, Russia: Coalition airstrike kills regime forces


What are we doing bombing in Syria?  Apparently we killed between 62-82 Syrian solders today.  This isn't our country and we just mistakenly killed all these soldiers and angered Syria/Russia.  Perhaps our leadership doesn't actually want the fragile truce to continue.  Had this been US forces that were 'accidentally' struck...it would be labeled terrorism and retaliation would be brutal.


As a delicate ceasefire appeared to be holding, the Syrian military said an airstrike Saturday by the US-led coalition hit a regime military position in eastern Syria.

The US military said the coalition thought it was hitting ISIS militants, but hours later said the airstrike may have struck Syrian soldiers.
A senior administration official told CNN late Saturday the US relayed its regret through Russia....

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/17/middleeast/syria-claims-coalition-airstrike-hit-regime-forces/index.html (http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/17/middleeast/syria-claims-coalition-airstrike-hit-regime-forces/index.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 17, 2016, 07:13:19 PM

Lavrov told Kerry to take action against America's violations of the cease fire. I'm sure Obama will compensate the victims families well.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 20, 2016, 04:51:02 PM

All parties knew the location of clearly marked UN food trucks and Arab Red Crescent yet a Russian made jet bombed the convoy. Don't know if the jet belongs to Syria or Russia but it's apparent, the goal was to starve and kill more civilians that don't like Assad. I hope Obama and Kerry quit announcing cease fires as if they accomplished something. They had their chance to end the war and crush ISIS before Russia got involved. The latest ceasefire probably won't last since it's a requirement that every move made must be disclosed to all parties and disclosure can be deadly.

http://www.businessinsider.com/un-aid-trucks-airstrike-syria-us-russia-relations-2016-9
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 20, 2016, 08:39:41 PM

Good news! Russia says they're innocent and it was a cargo fire that caused the damage. I don't know how 18 trucks caught on fire when they weren't close to each other and how fire can rip apart the flesh of 20 people but we can trust Russia.

http://www.yahoo.com/news/syria-cease-fire-falters-amid-054519039.html

http://www.yahoo.com/news/moscow-denies-russian-syrian-planes-bombed-aid-convoy-001839642.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 29, 2016, 09:27:19 PM
CURRENT STATUS

There are two fronts in Syria:  1) ISIS and 2) the civil war involving scattered pockets of rebel forces fighting Assad in places such as Aleppo.  Assad is supported by Russian bombing missions and by Iranian forces.   


(http://i0.wp.com/metrocosm.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/syria-nov-16.png)

The US is supporting a loose alliance of Kurds and other forces to contain and eventually overrun ISIS.   This campaign continues to progress, and I believe ISIS will be pushed out of Iraq in a matter of months dependent upon the performance of the Iraqi forces.  What happens after that depends upon a number of factors including the Russians.

In regard to the civil war, it seems the US is doing little  to support the rebels.    Russia has stepped up its bombardments to support advances by Assad's troops and Iranian forces.   The US negotiated a ceasefire with Russia to allow humanitarian aid to Aleppo and other besieged rebel holdings.  The ceasefire lasted a week, and ended with various shellings and in particular the bombing by Russian jets of an aid convoy headed to Aleppo.   

The US has threatened to stop talks with Russia about ending the civil war  if the onslaught against Aleppo is not stopped with a one-week ceasefire..  This is an idle threat if the US does not give more lethal weapons to the rebels.  Obama has previously refused to give the rebels anti-tank and anti-aircraft missiles.     Alternatively, the US could create a no fly zone, yet that would have a high possibility of air battles between Russian and US jets.  Without support, the rebels will collapse eventually,  and another 100,000 could die and millions more Syrians displaced as refugees

I wonder what the two candidates propose to do in the Syrian civil war.  It seems Obama has no interest in supporting the rebels militarily. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on September 29, 2016, 10:41:32 PM
I don't know that its our war.  Without some level of commitment by the United States to give lethal aide and support, Syria should be left to Assad so the killing can stop.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on September 30, 2016, 06:15:45 PM
I don't know that its our war.  Without some level of commitment by the United States to give lethal aide and support, Syria should be left to Assad so the killing can stop.

That seems to be Obama's plan.   While you say Syria should be left to Assad, this will not stop the killing.  The rebels will eventually lose but will not surrender considering the revenge Assad may seek.  A hundred thousand more Syrians could die, and millions of more refugees uprooted for Europe to accept.

This outcome is very serious and is not attracting much attention during the election.  If America backs down and allows its rebel allies to be taken down by a combined Assad-Iran-Russia alliance, America's standing in the Middle East (and the World) will plummet. We will be viewed as a nation who will not stand up to Russia and does not honor our commitments.   We perhaps even encouraged the civil war as part of our effort to stir up the Arab Spring.

What to do?  The White House has claimed since February it  has two plans:

         Plan A - Work with the Russians for a peaceful regime change and an end to the war.

         Plan B - Undefined, mysterious; to be implemented only if Plan A failed.

The White House has believed for years that the Russians were sincere about a peaceful regime change.  That is why Obama did not bomb Syria after it crossed the chemical weapons redline.  Two weeks ago, a ceasefire was eventually negotiated in good faith as part of Plan A.  This gave Obama hope.  However, Russia last week bombed a humanitarian relief convoy. The ceasefire ended, and Russia has shown no interest in a long, new ceasefire.  Clearly Russia wants to take out Aleppo and other rebel strongholds and to keep its friend Assad in power.  In other words,  Plan A is dead. 

Yesterday Senator Corker's Foreign Relations Committee summoned the Deputy Secretary of State Blinken to appear and explain Plan B.  In a comical sequence of double talk, Corker says at the end of this clip, "Let me say what we already know, there is no Plan B." 

http://youtu.be/NI0CVeQ8Bvs   

Corker is one of the best senators on the Hill, a real statesman. 

To be candid I agree with Obama's  complete withdrawal only because he has already made a partial withdrawal.  However, before we retreat totally, I believe we should take a strong stand to show we have some muscle.  We should set up a no fly zone to allow humanitarian relief.   We can control it without flying air cover and instead use antiaircraft missiles such as the Russian BUK from Navy ships in the Med.  The same ships can use cruise missiles to take out the Syrian Air Force bases if they cross the no fly zone.   We have an ample supply of both missiles.  That to me is Plan B. 

This Plan B could be presented to Putin and told in Donald Trump's terms that we will implement it unless Putin gets Plan A working again.  Would Putin stand down and allow humanitarian relief under Plan A, or would he believe Obama would never fire a shot at Russian aircraft?  I say Putin would call his bluff and Obama would back down.  Putin would become even more emboldened.   

Obama knows Putin will call his bluff, so he will not even threaten Plan B in public (i. e., no more red lines).  Plan C - Obama may try to convince the rebels to surrender and to have the UN move in as a peacekeeper  to prevent Assad's reprisals.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on September 30, 2016, 11:14:03 PM
In regard to the civil war, it seems the US is doing little  to support the rebels. 


Obama said "Assad has got to go" and half heartedly supported the rebels. Russia and Iran sees America's weakness so they go all in. Obama is abandoning the rebels he once encouraged to risk their lives to get Assad. Russia continues to slaughter them and uses ceasefires to get them to pause and become sitting ducks. Who in this world wants to fight for freedom and have America support your cause?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on September 30, 2016, 11:45:30 PM

Even the anti-assad rebel groups don't want us interfering in Syria....why do we feel we must continue to poke our nose in this battle?


Syrian Rebels Taunt U.S. Troops




Dogs!” the bearded fighters shouted.


“American agents!”
“No to the Christian coalition!”

“Down with America and all the countries that side with America!”
“Pigs!”
These were just some of the choice epithets hurled at U.S.-backed Syrian forces—and U.S. advisors among them—as their convoy passed through the border town of al-Rai in Aleppo province earlier this month.
An unnamed man in a black mask threatened, “We are going to slaughter you. You will not have a place among us. We will kill those who are fighting with you.”
A video of this incident—which pitted the shouting partisans

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/09/30/syrian-rebels-taunt-u-s-troops.html (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/09/30/syrian-rebels-taunt-u-s-troops.html)


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 02, 2016, 09:25:16 PM
Secretary Kerry reveals in a recent recording that he pushed for forceful intervention in Syria, yet was denied by others in the White House.  He said, "You can be mad at us, but what we are trying to do is help Syrians to fight for their own country, and we have been spending a lot of money, a lot of effort."

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/01/politics/kerry-audio-recording-syria/index.html

The Russian State Department warned the US yesterday that if the US attacks Syrian forces, it “will lead to terrible, tectonic consequences not only on the territory of this country but also in the region on the whole.”

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-warns-us-tectonic-consequences-syria/

In other words, Putin is telling Obama don't dare consider anything against Assad, as if Obama would do anything.  Much of the world has complained about past American interventions.  Obama has taken America out of the intervention business, even to stop human suffering, and Putin has filled the void.  Putin has no concern about human suffering, as evidenced by the increased bombings of Aleppo or last week's direct bombing by Russian jets of a convoy attempting to deliver humanitarian aid to Aleppo.   For sure Putin has no concern about international law.  Welcome to the new world order.

Putin's plans have a far horizon.  He is thinking of the next 20 years.  He will do more in the Middle East.  He will do  more in the new world (e. g., consider his obvious goal to control the Artic, the soon to be lowest cost shipping lane between Europe and Asia  - 60 Minutes). 



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 03, 2016, 04:47:43 AM
Putin is telling Obama don't dare consider anything against Assad, as if Obama would do anything.


Most people figured Obama wouldn't do much. Putin probably learned Obama's stance in Syria and Ukraine by reading Obama's emails. Now Putin is going a step further. Putin is boldly telling Obama not to do anything in public instead of behind closed doors. Putin would not be putting this out in public if he thought it could backfire and embarrass him. While Obama seeks to push peace, Russia is currently sending more military hardware to Syria.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 03, 2016, 08:03:25 AM
Most people figured Obama wouldn't do much. Putin probably learned Obama's stance in Syria and Ukraine by reading Obama's emails. Now Putin is going a step further. Putin is boldly telling Obama not to do anything in public instead of behind closed doors. Putin would not be putting this out in public if he thought it could backfire and embarrass him. While Obama seeks to push peace, Russia is currently sending more military hardware to Syria.

And people disput that Putin has an 80% approval rating at home?  Putin makes all the moves.  The US just plays defense.  Thanks Obama.  While Trump is still a questionmark, I think that Hillary is more aggressive than Obama.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 03, 2016, 07:55:53 PM
In just one day the situation has worsened for Aleppo rebels and civilians. 

Either the Russians or Syrians (with Russian ordnance) took out a most underground hospital with bunker-buster bombs.  Earlier in the day, the same happened to another underground hospital in another rebel-held area.  Over the weekend, the Syrian military captured still another hospital situated atop a strategic hill overlooking Aleppo. 

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/03/middleeast/syria-aleppo/index.html

It seems the Syrians-Russians are targeting hospitals.   Almost all armed conflicts purposefully avoid hospitals, realizing they are needed to treat casualties of war.  I suggest those who believe Russia is no worse than the US should reexamine their criteria. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 03, 2016, 08:09:27 PM
Other news: 

1.  U.S. on Monday suspended direct diplomatic talks with Russia over Syria.

2.  Moscow halted cooperation on a joint program for disposal of weapons-grade plutonium.

3.  Over the weekend Russia deployed at its naval base in Syria  advanced anti-missile and anti-aircraft system (SA-23 Gladiator systems).  These systems can defend against cruise missiles and aircraft.  Considering the rebels have neither missiles nor aircraft, these are deployed  to prevent an attack by the US as well as  prevent the US from creating a "no fly zone."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 03, 2016, 08:19:46 PM
It seems the Syrians-Russians are targeting hospitals.   Almost all armed conflicts purposefully avoid hospitals, realizing they are needed to treat casualties of war.  I suggest those who believe Russia is no worse than the US should reexamine their criteria.


It's not Russia's fault! It's America's policies that made Russia act aggressive everywhere they go so they can achieve parity!  That's all they want is parity and no more. :rolleyes: How does the Syrian people feel about Russia? Just count the number of Syrian refugees that chose Russia over the EU.

Russia sending more warplanes to Syria for wholesale liquidation of anti Assad populations. Assad is going to be paying Russia handsomely so that he can stay in power forever. In exchange for wiping out his people, he'll probably pay in oil and offer military bases so that Russia can dominate the Middle East. When Russia is done with Syria, are they going to help Ukraine the same way?

http://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-sending-more-warplanes-syria-world-anger-grows-142318914.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on October 04, 2016, 02:00:57 AM
Russia sending more warplanes to Syria for wholesale liquidation of anti Assad populations.

It is rather unusual to call armed opposition and islamic terrorists as anti Assad populations, but formally that's true. Russia waited a few years till it became obvious for everybody that US failed to fight radical islamism at ME. Moreover the radical islamism was kind of created by US actions so Russia had little choice to clean up the mess there. Somebody has to do the dirty work.

Quote

When Russia is done with Syria, are they going to help Ukraine the same way?
Only if legitimate Ukrainian government asked about, as it happened in Syria.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BC on October 04, 2016, 02:14:39 AM
Well might as well let them have it or?  Obviously the long history of US practice attempting to topple dictators is simply creating more problems than it resolves.  In Syria a CIA coup was attempted in 1957 and GW Bush financed anti-government efforts (discovered via wikileaks), so a rocky past that sounds soooo familiar...   http://www.truth-out.org/progressivepicks/item/33180-wikileaks-reveals-how-the-us-aggressively-pursued-regime-change-in-syria-igniting-a-bloodbath

Assad is a Ba'athist.  Ba'athism ideology is generally secular which is probably a good thing.  Folks in that part of the world are so entwined in religious power struggles that left alone without a dictator or secular government there is no control or limiting strife between religious parties.  De-Ba'athification is a perfect example of how things go south in this environment.

Russia insisted from the beginning that deposing Assad was the wrong way to go.  Now we'll have to sit back and see if their 'way' is right or wrong.  I think in principle Putin's ideas makes more sense.  Leave Assad in power for now, fight ISIS and then deal with him once control and a semblance of order has been achieved.  Their assertions that the US has destabilized the region seems to be fairly accurate with efforts going back a decade and more.

US involvement in many of the past wars such as Korea, Vietnam etc can be said to be ideological power struggles between RU and the US.  One would think since the USSR fell that there would be little need for such ideological conflicts... but the power struggles obviously still exists..  so if it's not ideology then what?  My gut feeling is cheap oil.  On RU's side, increasing their influence in Syria puts Iraq in a political squeeze between Syria and Iran.  Also Syria is a good oil transit country aside from being a small producer.

http://osnetdaily.com/2015/09/us-plans-to-partition-iraq-and-syria-into-pipeline-states/

(http://i.imgur.com/Ml9pc7S.jpg)

Also makes sense why RU is snuggling up to Turkey...

I think the big elephant in the room is if and how long the US can remain petro-energy independent and at what cost/prices. As I stated a while ago, the US as the largest petro consumer is begging to be in a bad way a few short decades down the road.  Production prices in the US and Canada will rise much faster than cheaper oil elsewhere..

This I believe is Putin's end game.  Not war, not territorial assets but instead assuring they will be able to produce, transport at much higher profit down the road, thus increasing their economic might and political power.

You can bet once Syria is locked up, Iraq is next on Putin's list, not Europe.

 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 04, 2016, 05:49:50 AM
It is rather unusual to call armed opposition and islamic terrorists as anti Assad populations, but formally that's true.


Some people called it Arab Spring. Sure terrorists wanted to capitalize but most regular citizens don't like Assad. Would you? You think what America did was bad but look who Assad invited in to kill citizens. Tens of millions are displaced from their homes already. Who's going to rebuild Syria? Russia?

Russia waited a few years till it became obvious for everybody that US failed to fight radical islamism at ME. Moreover the radical islamism was kind of created by US actions so Russia had little choice to clean up the mess there. Somebody has to do the dirty work.
Only if legitimate Ukrainian government asked about, as it happened in Syria.

I've criticized Obama many times for not doing more to end the war quicker and allowing terrorism to grow. He's not willing to kill enough but Russia is willing to kill too much. Russia is also saving it's bombs for those seeking freedom from Assad over terrorists. Did you see terrorism around the world decrease after Russia got involved? I think Putin is okay with ISIS remaining a thorn in America's and Europe's side.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2016, 06:04:36 AM
Well might as well let them have it or?  Obviously the long history of US practice attempting to topple dictators is simply creating more problems than it resolves.  In Syria a CIA coup was attempted in 1957 and GW Bush financed anti-government efforts (discovered via wikileaks), so a rocky past that sounds soooo familiar...   http://www.truth-out.org/progressivepicks/item/33180-wikileaks-reveals-how-the-us-aggressively-pursued-regime-change-in-syria-igniting-a-bloodbath

Blame Bush, of course.  This time it is GW Bush!  All was fairly peaceful in Assad's secular government until he cracked down harshly on Arab Spring protesters.  That started the Syrian Civil War.

Quote
Assad is a Ba'athist. 

He is an Ophthalmologist.   :D    Seriously, it is more relevant in this conflict that he is Alawite, a Shia sect.   The Alawites are concentrated in the west with Sunni Arabs in the east, with significant groupings of Christians (Armenians, Assyrians, Orthodox, etc.), Kurds, Druze, etc.  The list is long, resembling Lebanon, so long and complicated that in contrast the Balkans appear relatively simple.  We are talking about ancient history where diverse peoples have learned to live with each other for over 25 centuries.   

Many minorities strive to maintain neutrality in the conflict, boiling the war down to the Alawites vs. the Sunni Arabs.   The Alawites are a small minority (12%) vs. the Arab-Sunni majority (60%).  This alignment is confirmed by the regional support given each side:  Iran and Hezbollah supporting Assad and Arab Gulf states supporting the opposition. 

The Alawites are so small that the collective Christian community is equal to them in population.  The difference is that the Alawites were the ruling party and to the ruling power go the riches, what little there are in Syria.   


Quote
Ba'athism ideology is generally secular which is probably a good thing.  Folks in that part of the world are so entwined in religious power struggles that left alone without a dictator or secular government there is no control or limiting strife between religious parties.  De-Ba'athification is a perfect example of how things go south in this environment.

Completely agree with you, except Assad did the "De-Ba'athification" with his brutal crackdown on  Arab Spring protestors. 

Quote
Russia insisted from the beginning that deposing Assad was the wrong way to go.  Now we'll have to sit back and see if their 'way' is right or wrong.


It is apparent that Assad would have lost if Putin had not stepped in.  The economy is in tatters and can not support a long conflict.  Being a minority a significant percentage of  Alawite men had become casualties of the war.  Some Alawite communities were becoming neutral to protect their young men.  The end was in sight and had the Russians not stepped in, the fighting would be over now (maybe over, dependent upon the aftermath). 

Quote
I think in principle Putin's ideas makes more sense.  Leave Assad in power for now, fight ISIS and then deal with him once control and a semblance of order has been achieved.  Their assertions that the US has destabilized the region seems to be fairly accurate with efforts going back a decade and more.

I disagree but don't have time this morning to explain.

 
Quote
US involvement in many of the past wars such as Korea, Vietnam etc can be said to be ideological power struggles between RU and the US.  One would think since the USSR fell that there would be little need for such ideological conflicts... but the power struggles obviously still exists..  so if it's not ideology then what?  My gut feeling is cheap oil.  On RU's side, increasing their influence in Syria puts Iraq in a political squeeze between Syria and Iran.  Also Syria is a good oil transit country aside from being a small producer.

http://osnetdaily.com/2015/09/us-plans-to-partition-iraq-and-syria-into-pipeline-states/

(http://i.imgur.com/Ml9pc7S.jpg)

Also makes sense why RU is snuggling up to Turkey...

Partially agree, partially disagree.

Quote
I think the big elephant in the room is if and how long the US can remain petro-energy independent and at what cost/prices. As I stated a while ago, the US as the largest petro consumer is begging to be in a bad way a few short decades down the road.  Production prices in the US and Canada will rise much faster than cheaper oil elsewhere..

$40/bbl for decades.  US will not be affected.  Europe and Asia will, however.



Quote
This I believe is Putin's end game.  Not war, not territorial assets but instead assuring they will be able to produce, transport at much higher profit down the road, thus increasing their economic might and political power.

You can bet once Syria is locked up, Iraq is next on Putin's list, not Europe.

Iran and Russia have huge long-term plans that could destabilize the Sunni Gulf States.  Europe will suffer from having to pay higher prices for oil. 

See you later. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BC on October 04, 2016, 07:32:46 AM


.....$40/bbl for decades.  US will not be affected.  Europe and Asia will, however.

See you later.

Gator,

Thanks for taking the time for that informative post and putting a few pieces of the puzzle together!  I'll chew on it for a bit.. quite complex relationships for sure... :)

Just to throw something in as for oil production.. and $40 bbl..

(http://marketrealist.imgix.net/uploads/2016/01/total-cost-of-producing-oil.png)

http://marketrealist.com/2016/01/crude-oils-total-cost-production-impacts-major-oil-producers/

See who gains the most?



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 04, 2016, 10:02:09 AM
Gator,

Thanks for taking the time for that informative post and putting a few pieces of the puzzle together!  I'll chew on it for a bit.. quite complex relationships for sure... :)

Just to throw something in as for oil production.. and $40 bbl..

(http://marketrealist.imgix.net/uploads/2016/01/total-cost-of-producing-oil.png)



http://marketrealist.com/2016/01/crude-oils-total-cost-production-impacts-major-oil-producers/

See who gains the most?

Produce, not transport
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2016, 04:02:12 PM
I think in principle Putin's ideas makes more sense.  Leave Assad in power for now, fight ISIS and then deal with him once control and a semblance of order has been achieved.  Their assertions that the US has destabilized the region seems to be fairly accurate with efforts going back a decade and more.

It makes sense if one can trust Putin and Assad to be humane.  I don't.

Would Putin even consider the alternative of replacing Assad.  Putin certainly would not consider a democratically elected replacement given the Sunni Arabs are a 60% majority and Alawites are 12%?  So the process many never get off the ground unless some type of divided leadership deal can be negotiated.  Meanwhile hundreds of thousands of Syrians  have died and millions have emigrated.   

Yes, the US destabilized the region in multiple ways.  It started with Bush and continued with Obama/Clinton.  It is far from over.    
 
Quote
US involvement in many of the past wars such as Korea, Vietnam etc can be said to be ideological power struggles between RU and the US.  One would think since the USSR fell that there would be little need for such ideological conflicts... but the power struggles obviously still exists..  so if it's not ideology then what?  My gut feeling is cheap oil.  On RU's side, increasing their influence in Syria puts Iraq in a political squeeze between Syria and Iran.  Also Syria is a good oil transit country aside from being a small producer.

http://osnetdaily.com/2015/09/us-plans-to-partition-iraq-and-syria-into-pipeline-states/

(http://i.imgur.com/Ml9pc7S.jpg)
 

You are correct that although the conflicts today are not communism vs. capitalism, economics is the issue.  The world has an oversupply of gas and oil, driving prices down.  Russia wants higher oil and gas prices to improve its way of life.  So does Iran.   And Iran wants to produce more too.  Gas prices could drop more because of the two gas pipelines to Europe  proposed through Syria in your graphic.   

To increase oil prices, Russia and Iran could  "pressure" Saudi Arabia and the other Sunni Gulf states into reducing their market share by producing less oil.  As far as gas pipelines, there are possible routes that do not go though Syria, so I do not understand the significance attached to Syria's role for supplying gas to Europe.  And why would Putin want either of these two pipelines to become operational, considering they will take market share from Russian gas?   Hopefully your information will explain.   
 

Quote
Also makes sense why RU is snuggling up to Turkey...

Strange bedfellows.  Turkey is long term enemy of the Kurds.  Turkey opposes Assad.  Turkey downs a Russian jet fighter.  ISIS carries out terror attacks in Turkey.  Yet, here there are together in gas pipeline deals, etc.  2TallBill explained earlier in this thread that Turkey is a whore who will sell to anyone who has money. 


Quote
I think the big elephant in the room is if and how long the US can remain petro-energy independent and at what cost/prices. As I stated a while ago, the US as the largest petro consumer is begging to be in a bad way a few short decades down the road.  Production prices in the US and Canada will rise much faster than cheaper oil elsewhere..

Not an issue now or in the long term future.  From earlier in this thread:

(http://instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/U.S.-Oil-Shale-Foreign-Oil-Reserve-Estimates-revised.png)

Now you can understand why the US is not incentivized to do "heavy lifting" in the Middle East.  Shale oil gave US its freedom from dependency on Middle East oil.   

Guess who was against fracking to produce shale oil?  Answer - Obama.  Ironical, yes.  The energy companies worked around him.  You explain that many countries produce oil for a lower cost than fracking,  yet the production cost of something around $40/bbl is still reasonable. 


Quote
This I believe is Putin's end game.  Not war, not territorial assets but instead assuring they will be able to produce, transport at much higher profit down the road, thus increasing their economic might and political power.

Higher oil and gas prices is Putin's goal.  His best bet for achieving this is to intimidate the Gulf states into producing less oil and not building gas pipelines to Europe.   


Quote
You can bet once Syria is locked up, Iraq is next on Putin's list, not Europe.

He does not want to occupy western Europe.  He would like to see the EU dissolved, and for sure he wants Europe to pay Russia more for gas and oil. 

You and others have complained about the US's long history of being involved in the Middle East.  After these decades of meddling, there is not one country in the Middle East who fears the US.  How many now fear Russia and Iran?   Too bad if they do, because the US seems to be following Obama's vision to withdraw military forces from the Middle East. 

Now I have something for you to ponder.  The CCCP collapsed in large part due to the costly war in Afghanistan.  The US CIA ran covert operations to stir up the  Mujahideen, prompting the Soviets to invade Afghanistan to support the dictator in power.   Is Syria a similar "trap" for the Russians?    There are differences, yet there are important similarities. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 04, 2016, 04:41:45 PM
Hey, Gator? ......

What's the CCCP? 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 04, 2016, 10:26:05 PM
Hey, Gator? ......

What's the CCCP?

Russian language for USSR.  I saw it for many years on the front of Soviet athletic jerseys such as in this photo of  the "Miracle on Ice" in 1980:

(http://juliannewman.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/miracleonice.jpg)

or this one when the Philadelphia Flyers played the Soviet team (Red Army) in the fourth of a four game  exhibition tour (first time NHL played Soviet teams).  In the prior three games, the Soviets had won two and tied one.   Whooops - can not see the "CCCP" when prone on the ice after being checked.   The Soviet coach pulled his players off the ice after this hard check by Ed Van Impe (refs called it a clean hit).   The Flyers were infamous for rough, tough hockey ("Broad Street Bullies").   The Flyers owner informed the coach that the Soviet team would not receive their exhibition money unless they played.  The Soviets played and lost 4-1.  It was referred to as DÉTENTE, PHILLY STYLE.

There is one clue in the photo proving the Soviet players were smarter than the Flyers.  H-E-L-M-E-T.



(http://media-cache-ec0.pinimg.com/736x/6f/64/15/6f6415fa26bad62142e513976748ab2f.jpg)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 04, 2016, 10:38:08 PM
Russian language for USSR.


It's their version of the abbreviation of the name of their nation which is different than how we abbreviate it. CCCP = USSR
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on October 04, 2016, 10:47:09 PM
СССР = Союз Советских Социалистических Республик
i.e.         Union of the Sovietic Socialist Republics
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BC on October 05, 2016, 02:37:54 AM
It makes sense if one can trust Putin and Assad to be humane.  I don't.

Would Putin even consider the alternative of replacing Assad.  Putin certainly would not consider a democratically elected replacement given the Sunni Arabs are a 60% majority and Alawites are 12%?  So the process many never get off the ground unless some type of divided leadership deal can be negotiated.  Meanwhile hundreds of thousands of Syrians  have died and millions have emigrated.

Surely trust is an issue, in fact THE issue on all sides.  As for Putin one should of course be wary.  One has to try and clearly understand his goals and then decide to work either for or against him along with having one's own 'end game' that is not just a simple stop sign here or there.  Here's a very interesting article I stumbled across this morning:

http://www.meforum.org/5876/why-putin-wants-syria  It is a bit long but well worth the time to digest.
 
Quote
Yes, the US destabilized the region in multiple ways.  It started with Bush and continued with Obama/Clinton.  It is far from over.    
 
You are correct that although the conflicts today are not communism vs. capitalism, economics is the issue.  The world has an oversupply of gas and oil, driving prices down.  Russia wants higher oil and gas prices to improve its way of life.  So does Iran.   And Iran wants to produce more too.  Gas prices could drop more because of the two gas pipelines to Europe  proposed through Syria in your graphic.   

To increase oil prices, Russia and Iran could  "pressure" Saudi Arabia and the other Sunni Gulf states into reducing their market share by producing less oil.  As far as gas pipelines, there are possible routes that do not go though Syria, so I do not understand the significance attached to Syria's role for supplying gas to Europe.  And why would Putin want either of these two pipelines to become operational, considering they will take market share from Russian gas?   Hopefully your information will explain.


For the most part this aspect is explained in the article mentioned above with much more insight and eloquence than I can muster without spending a week's time researching and formulating.  I pretty much agree with what the author says, even regarding Obama. 

Regarding oil prices it seems that low production cost countries / OPEC / RU / IQ / IR and independent producers will attempt to keep their pricing right below US production costs.  This maximizes their profits.  While the US/CA can produce plenty of oil, the resulting profits will likely be much lower.  Economic might is a huge part of 'Power' in military and political terms.  Putin would not have been in a position to act as he did without a long period of high petro prices that allowed him to spend a ton on rebuilding military might or at least getting 'ship shape'.  So yes, the US will have plenty of oil, but at low profits whilst allowing other producers to profit more handsomely thus gaining more relative 'Power', even factoring in higher production costs on both sides.

As an aside, the US could gain considerable edge in this argument by investing heavily in building the most awesome electric cars and trucks, along with nuclear and alternative energy resources on a much greater scale and future technologies such as controlled fusion.  This should be THE national plan, comparable with Kennedy announcing we will go to the moon and back. These are all achievable goals and I am sure we have the technological know how to do it if only we can get past the petro lobby.

Quote
Strange bedfellows.  Turkey is long term enemy of the Kurds.  Turkey opposes Assad.  Turkey downs a Russian jet fighter.  ISIS carries out terror attacks in Turkey.  Yet, here there are together in gas pipeline deals, etc.  2TallBill explained earlier in this thread that Turkey is a whore who will sell to anyone who has money. 

Not an issue now or in the long term future.  From earlier in this thread:

(http://i64.tinypic.com/2s0znu0.png)

Now you can understand why the US is not incentivized to do "heavy lifting" in the Middle East.  Shale oil gave US its freedom from dependency on Middle East oil.

Corrected so that the chart shows.

Turkey does have a good bit of wealth, quite industrious with a solid manufacturing base. I wouldn't call them whores but yes I do wonder about their political future.  Maybe you or Bill can expound on the whore part as I don't quite 'get it'.
   
Quote
Guess who was against fracking to produce shale oil?  Answer - Obama.  Ironical, yes.  The energy companies worked around him.  You explain that many countries produce oil for a lower cost than fracking,  yet the production cost of something around $40/bbl is still reasonable.
 
see responses above.

Quote
Higher oil and gas prices is Putin's goal.  His best bet for achieving this is to intimidate the Gulf states into producing less oil and not building gas pipelines to Europe.   

Yes higher oil prices and more control/options with transit routes is what he wants.

Quote
He does not want to occupy western Europe.  He would like to see the EU dissolved, and for sure he wants Europe to pay Russia more for gas and oil. 

He wants everyone to pay more for gas and oil..  Markets are free thank goodness.  Why dissolve Europe?  He'll wait out Brexit and see how EU policies evolve without this staunch US ally.

Quote
You and others have complained about the US's long history of being involved in the Middle East.  After these decades of meddling, there is not one country in the Middle East who fears the US.  How many now fear Russia and Iran?   Too bad if they do, because the US seems to be following Obama's vision to withdraw military forces from the Middle East. 

It's not about being involved, but instead how that involvement is formed.  I'll support every diplomatic and economic efforts possible, but I don't support covert CIA and other actions that attempt to disrupt political systems from the outside.

The US mainly acts in it's own interests and that's ok with me as long as we take the high road and do not try and force our ideology upon others.  Let them learn by example.

Quote
Now I have something for you to ponder.  The CCCP collapsed in large part due to the costly war in Afghanistan.  The US CIA ran covert operations to stir up the  Mujahideen, prompting the Soviets to invade Afghanistan to support the dictator in power.   Is Syria a similar "trap" for the Russians?    There are differences, yet there are important similarities.

I don't believe so.. as the article seems to point out, Putin is quite flexible and adept to avoid past failures and pitfalls.  Some may call him a dictator, but I see him more as a very smart and astute leader that is unencumbered by a burdensome political system.  Yes he pushes limits in the strategic interests of RU and will take advantage of every opportunity presented.  He is showing that RU can stand on the world stage regardless if others like it or not.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 08:26:55 AM
BC,

Don't discredit yourself.  Controlled fusion?   Come on!   :rolleyes:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 08:38:06 AM
While I agree, generally, with the ideas promoted by BC's latest post about the cost of oil, etc.  He puts out figures that are deceptive because they don't address the cost of transport. 

While it may be a moot point for Europe, it is not for the United States.  What I am saying is that getting oil from the United States to Europe costs money and, therefore, is not desirable.  But getting oil from the Arabian peninsula to the US is also not inexpensive.  Therefore, the US is very competitive when serving the US. 

I know of no US efforts to establish oil or natural gas depots for shipping to Europe.  If a viable pipeline for delivery of oil to Europe from the Arabian peninsula (that bypasses Russia) is created, Russia's short term monopoly on transport (currently mostly through Ukraine) would be circumvented. 

As I said before, the problem is Transport not Production.  That is why all of the charts above are not binding on this discussion (or have small impact).

Russia played its hand in double dealing with a number of oil clients that caused Europe to re-think its strategic needs for oil and who it chooses to get the oil from.  I think this is the greatest blunder that Russia made during the Ukrainian incursion.  It also shows how Ukraine still has a strategic role to play in Russia's economy.  I believe, as others do, that if Ukraine would have shut down the pipeline at the start of the incursion, Russia would have had no choice but to seek full control over Ukraine through a full invasion.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 08:41:31 AM
Hey, Gator? ......

What's the CCCP?

Okay, you guys do know I was joking, correct?

 :mooning:

For those who have not seen the movie 'Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy', I recommend it.  It takes you right back to the spy wars that were the norm between the West and the Soviet Union. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Slumba on October 05, 2016, 09:44:10 AM
Amazing that USA has no problem supporting other dictatorships, such as the repugnant Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, but somehow for Assad the requirements are different.

That the proposed natural gas pipeline goes through Syria and on to EU has nothing to do with it?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 05, 2016, 09:51:55 AM
Okay, you guys do know I was joking, correct?

What can I say.  Some of us don't pick up quickly Mensa humor. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 10:06:27 AM
What can I say.  Some of us don't pick up quickly Mensa humor.

One of the first things my son and I learned, while taking Russian classes together (he is much more adept at languages than I am and it is frustrating) was the Soviet National Anthem.  Like in the movie I quoted above, it is sung by us with humor but also a bit of nostalgia.  Both of us are (admittedly neophyte) Soviet scholars, having started when we took up the language.  (I had Russian classes in college.)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U06jlgpMtQs

I am sometimes surprised by how little the average Russian knows about their history.  I am also surprised by how they gloss over the repression of the Stalin years.  But then I still see the great majority of Russians falling into the proletariat role. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BC on October 05, 2016, 10:40:05 AM
BC,

Don't discredit yourself.  Controlled fusion?   Come on!   :rolleyes:

http://www.iter.org/proj/inafewlines

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Ignition_Facility

Other projects and info here:

http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/current-and-future-generation/nuclear-fusion-power.aspx

No, it's not that guy claiming cold fusion in his basement.  Some serious efforts going on.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 10:44:45 AM
I believe we will have regular space flight to other planets before we have fusion driven cars.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 05, 2016, 01:39:31 PM
The CCCP collapsed in large part due to the costly war in Afghanistan.  The US CIA ran covert operations to stir up the  Mujahideen, prompting the Soviets to invade Afghanistan to support the dictator in power.   Is Syria a similar "trap" for the Russians?    There are differences, yet there are important similarities.

No, the USSR would have collapsed even without the invasion of Afghanistan. 

The Soviets invaded before the CIA ran covert operations.  The CIA did analyze Afghanistan before the Soviet invasion, when Taraki seized power.  There was already opposition to him, because of (a) tribal differences; and (b) human rights abuses, and that lead to the mujahadeen rebelling against him. 

Brezhnev insisted on invading Afghanistan, against the advise of both the KGB and the GRU.  It was then that the US trained the mujahadeen.

The Soviet economy was stagnating even before the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.  It had been stagnating since the 1950's, and was only kept afloat with oil sales and arms deals.  The collapse of oil prices in the 1980's probably had more to do with the collapse than the cost of the war in Afghanistan.  That, and outside factors, such as Eastern Europe not being kept in check, the influence of Pope John Paul, Reagan's arm's escalation, and the flaws in the KGB's "Khrushchev redux", Gorbachev, and so called "perestroika", including not foreseeing a Yeltsin.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 05, 2016, 01:56:41 PM
I believe we will have regular space flight to other planets before we have fusion driven cars.

I thought the cars of the future would be driverless.  Why do we need a fusion to drive our cars?  Who or what is this fusion thing?  Can you buy one at Amazon?  Can I now see a fusion from my home?

                                  [My attempt at your style of humor ;D]
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 05, 2016, 02:57:41 PM
No, the USSR would have collapsed even without the invasion of Afghanistan. 

Boethius, I know just enough to get into trouble, especially about the reasons why the CCCP collapsed.  My main point when I first mentioned this is that Putin must proceed carefully in Syria or he may create the equivalent of a second Afghanistan for Russia.  Few tribes are aligned with Putin's man Assad. 


The CCCP was doomed to collapse eventually,  yet  Afghanistan was to the Soviets the equivalent of power workout to an elderly man with a weak heart.  The damage had already been done, yet the cost of fighting a losing war accelerated the inevitable.

Quote
The Soviets invaded before the CIA ran covert operations.  The CIA did analyze Afghanistan before the Soviet invasion, when Taraki seized power.  There was already opposition to him, because of (a) tribal differences; and (b) human rights abuses, and that lead to the mujahadeen rebelling against him. 

You are correct that Charlie Wison and  Philip Seymour Hoffman did not get started with the muj  until a year or two after the Soviet military was invited by the Afghan government.  Charlie and Gust eventually developed the largest-ever CIA covert operation. 

Regarding my point, in the 1960s and 70s the Peace Corps and USAID operated programs in Afghanistan.  I saw them during my little holiday in western Afghanistan (bus ride from Iran).   I guarantee that if these two organizations were there, the CIA was there too, albeit very small. 

Around the time the Shah in Iran was facing increasing opposition, Afghanistan went through some bloody regime changes.  A socialist eventually came to power and attempted to change the country in ways that angered the fundamental Islamists, starting a civil war.  I can not find any report of this, yet rumor has it that our little CIA operation helped the Pashtun conservatives.  It may have been nothing more than arms deliveries from Pakistan.   I feel confident that the CIA was doing something, and the "something" maybe altered nothing as Taliban type fundamentalists would have fought the socialist leader with or without our help.  The fundamentalists evidently were enough of a threat to force the Soviets to save their ally.  [Sound familiar to Syria?]   

Quote
It had been stagnating since the 1950's, and was only kept afloat with oil sales and arms deals.  The collapse of oil prices in the 1980's probably had more to do with the collapse than the cost of the war in Afghanistan.
 

[Sound familiar to today's Russia?]
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on October 05, 2016, 03:06:18 PM
Quote
Boethius, I know just enough to get into trouble, especially about the reasons why the CCCP collapsed.  My main point when I first mentioned this is that Putin must proceed carefully in Syria or he may create the equivalent of a second Afghanistan for Russia.  Few tribes are aligned with Putin's man Assad. 

Unlike Afghanistan, there are no significant troops on the ground in Syria.  I don't think there is an equivalency there.  However, military spending, to the detriment of spending on infrastructure and social programmes, could be an issue. 

I don't know if we can compare things to the USSR.  In the case of the USSR, the elites believed they could continue to control the program.  My husband told me, 11 months before the failed coup, that the USSR would collapse within a year.  He saw it from everything around him, and from reading papers and watching the evening news.  He said when they started glorifying Pinochet, he knew the end was at hand.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 05, 2016, 04:38:16 PM
Surely trust is an issue, in fact THE issue on all sides.  As for Putin one should of course be wary.  One has to try and clearly understand his goals and then decide to work either for or against him along with having one's own 'end game' that is not just a simple stop sign here or there.  Here's a very interesting article I stumbled across this morning:

http://www.meforum.org/5876/why-putin-wants-syria  It is a bit long but well worth the time to digest.

It has so much substance, it took me a long time to read it.  Very informative analysis, especially from the perspective and history of Russia.  It is recommended reading for anyone interested in Russia's history, especially expansion in the Black Sea region and beyond.  I appreciate your posting it, especially knowing it was critical of Obama (and Hillary by default).  More later.   
 

Quote
Regarding oil prices it seems that low production cost countries / OPEC / RU / IQ / IR and independent producers will attempt to keep their pricing right below US production costs.  This maximizes their profits.  While the US/CA can produce plenty of oil, the resulting profits will likely be much lower.  Economic might is a huge part of 'Power' in military and political terms.  Putin would not have been in a position to act as he did without a long period of high petro prices that allowed him to spend a ton on rebuilding military might or at least getting 'ship shape'.  So yes, the US will have plenty of oil, but at low profits whilst allowing other producers to profit more handsomely thus gaining more relative 'Power', even factoring in higher production costs on both sides.

Given the US economy is 17x greater than Russia's, the change in relative "power"  is hardly changed even if oil prices double.  Yet to Russia, with 60% of Russia's budget deriving from energy revenue, oil prices are far more important.   

Unlike Russia,  US does not derive a mineral extraction tax for production of oil.  Federal income taxes on the energy industry, a large part of the economy, is about the only direct link.  In fact, lower rather than higher oil prices may be more beneficial to the overall US economy in the form of savings to the consumer from cheaper gasoline, lower utility bills, etc. 

Quote
As an aside, the US could gain considerable edge in this argument by investing heavily in building the most awesome electric cars and trucks, along with nuclear and alternative energy resources on a much greater scale and future technologies such as controlled fusion.  This should be THE national plan, comparable with Kennedy announcing we will go to the moon and back. These are all achievable goals and I am sure we have the technological know how to do it if only we can get past the petro lobby.

Obama spent considerable R&D funds on clean energy.  IMO it is better if the market develops it.
 

Quote
Turkey does have a good bit of wealth, quite industrious with a solid manufacturing base. I wouldn't call them whores but yes I do wonder about their political future.  Maybe you or Bill can expound on the whore part as I don't quite 'get it'.
     
I looked up 2tallbill's comment.  He did not call Turkey a whore (I apologize).  He said "Turkey is back to their historical role of sitting in the middle and getting payola from both sides. The Black Sea is a lake without Turkey and team Obama always look to pay money first, second and third any time something comes up. Guess what? Things will keep coming up. "  Not a prostitute but taking money from all sides for a piece of Turkey, whatever than makes them.   


Quote
It's not about being involved, but instead how that involvement is formed.  I'll support every diplomatic and economic efforts possible, but I don't support covert CIA and other actions that attempt to disrupt political systems from the outside.

The US mainly acts in it's own interests and that's ok with me as long as we take the high road and do not try and force our ideology upon others.  Let them learn by example.

Again, I responded to the thought that you seem to be justifying Russia's actions.   My point is even after our decades of involvement throughout the Middle East, not one country in the region fears the US. 



Quote
I don't believe so.. as the article seems to point out, Putin is quite flexible and adept to avoid past failures and pitfalls.  Some may call him a dictator, but I see him more as a very smart and astute leader that is unencumbered by a burdensome political system.  Yes he pushes limits in the strategic interests of RU and will take advantage of every opportunity presented.  He is showing that RU can stand on the world stage regardless if others like it or not.

You opinion is opposite the position taken by Tim Kaine when  criticizing Trump's remarks about Putin being a strong leader.  I agree with your position, except I add McCain's characterization that Putin is a "thug and murderer."   Tim Kaine suggested Trump needs to retake 5th grade civics. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on October 05, 2016, 05:20:55 PM
...You are correct that Charlie Wison and  Philip Seymour Hoffman did not get started with the muj  until a year or two after the Soviet military was invited by the Afghan government.  Charlie and Gust eventually developed the largest-ever CIA covert operation.

You are kidding, right?  :ROFL:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 05, 2016, 07:36:29 PM
You are kidding, right?  :ROFL:

You did see him name him Gust in the next sentence.   I think  Gator is pulling your leg, AK.  I don't know where he gets such an odd sense of humor from.  Must be hanging around the wrong people.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 06, 2016, 06:29:18 AM
In a recent interview published October 2, President Obama talked about his decision making process during his eight years.  He chose five issues "he believes, will have outsized historical impact."  The issues included the Republicans, Obamacare, BP Oil Spill, Cuba, and Drones.  He touched on Syria. 


http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/10/barack-obama-on-5-days-that-shaped-his-presidency.html

Obama states he basically followed his own judgment because of incoherent advice,  analysis and posturing from Washington.   

Quote
So much so that at a certain point the whole foreign­-policy debate in this town got so scrambled that in some ways it was liberating for me. You start realizing at a certain point, well, folks aren’t even trying to be consistent. They’re not even trying to be fair-minded in their assessments or recommendations. In which case the best thing for me to do is to try to figure out what the right thing to do is and just do it, and worry later about how Washington is grading me.

That was a valuable lesson. It was a valuable lesson in two ways. One, because it taught me to trust my judgment. Two, it taught me that I had to be self-critical and build a structure for effective, constructive criticism of decisions I might make, and make sure all viewpoints were heard, because frankly, I just couldn’t trust the noise out there. And if you examined a bunch of the decisions that we made subsequently, whether it was the decision to be part of the international coalition to stop Gaddafi from killing his own people or the decision to go after bin Laden, but most prominently I think the decisions around Syria after Assad used chemical weapons — in these various decisions, part of what I tried to institutionalize is a really rigorous process internally. But also an insistence than I’m not going to simply accept whatever the playbook was here in Washington, in part because it was often incoherent.


And this is what Obama had to say about his decisions affecting Syria.

Quote
You take the case of Syria, which has been chewed over a lot. But it continues to puzzle me, the degree to which people seem to forget that we actually got the chemical weapons out of Syria. The notion seems to be that, “Well, you should have blown something up, even if that didn’t mean that you got chemical weapons out.” There continues to be, I think, a lack of examination of the fact that my decision was not to let Assad do whatever he wanted. My decision was to see if we could broker a deal without a strike to get those chemical weapons out, and to go to Congress to ask for authorization, because nowhere has Congress been more incoherent than when it comes to the powers I have. You had people, I think, like Marco Rubio, who was complaining about us not doing anything, and when I said, “I’m gonna present to Congress,” suddenly he said, “Well, I’m gonna vote against it.” Maybe it was Ted Cruz. Maybe both. They’re all over the map. The primary principle—and this is not true for all of them, but for many of them—was “Just make sure that we don’t get blamed for whatever decision you make.”


Obama did not discuss the deteriorating Syria situation in the three years  after his chemical weapons decision, how a continuing conflict has killed hundreds of thousands of civilians, created millions and millions of refugees, allowed Russia to become the lone Superpower in the Middle East, and moved the US to an ineffectual position.


Later I will present another opinion of what happened in Syria, the opinion of scholars who know Russia fairly well.     




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 07, 2016, 11:52:31 AM
Yesterday I mentioned how Obama self-applauded his role in removing chemical weapons from Syria three years ago, yet mentioned nothing about how the civil war has since deteriorated into a near cataclysm.

This is the opinion of two analysts with an in-depth understanding of Russian foreign policy.  It comes from the article referenced by BC. 

http://www.meforum.org/5876/why-putin-wants-syria

In summary, Obama withdraws from Iraq, greatly weakening the US presence in the region.  Obama threatens a military attack against Assad for using chemical weapons.   Putin warns Obama not to attack Assad even though Putin's military is inferior to the US military in the region.  Obama does not call Putin's bluff.  A chain of events unfolds:  annexation of Crimea, rebellion in SE Ukraine to threaten Ukraine's aim to embrace the West, the nuclear treaty with the US brokered in part by Putin enables Iran to buy Russian weapons, Merkel sees the US as playing a minor role in Syria, Russia deploys its ground and air forces into Syria to support Assad, Russia is allied in Syria with Iran and the Hezbollah, Assad's ground troops go on the offensive, and the widespread killing of civilians continues.  

Putin intervened in Syria because of his goal to regain Russia's prominence as a world power and to protect national security and commercial interests.   So why is Syria a part of Russia's security and commercial interests?  Three reasons:

     1.  Syria is important to keep open Russian sea routes to the Mediterranean because of the Russian navy base in the Syrian port of Tartus, where Putin has spent billions in renovation since 2009.  The same as Putin did not want to lose Sevastopol in Ukraine and Ochampchire in Georgia, he does not want to lose Tartus.

     2.  Gas pipelines are another consideration as BC explained.  Assad had turned down a Qatar pipeline to serve Europe that would have competed with Russian gas.

     3.  Putin had approved the UN resolution about protecting Libyan civilians from Gaddafi,  and later felt misled when the US and NATO used it for regime change,  quickly ushering in chaos.   

Before the chemical weapons incident in Syria, Putin had done little other than supply military weapons to Assad.  That changed.

Quote
On August 21, 2013, the Syrian regime was reported to have used chemical warfare on rebel enclaves, killing some 1,300 civilians. With this atrocity, Assad appeared to have crossed President Obama's "red line" on chemical weapons and risked a strong U.S. response..... on August 27, Washington deployed four destroyers near the Syrian coast equipped with Tomahawk Cruise missiles whose initial mission was to punish the Syrian regime.

...With U.S. forces so close, Putin decided not to permit regime change in Damascus as he had in Tripoli. Still, he must have understood that direct confrontation between his navy and the superior U.S. forces was not a smart choice for Russia. Rear Adm. Vladimir Komoyedov....confirmed this and warned that the Russian navy could not match the U.S. Navy in the eastern Mediterranean.

Putin, however, also wagered that Obama would not opt for a direct confrontation with Russia. Thus, sailing to the fray were some aged Russian navy ships. But equipped with modern rocket systems and nuclear torpedoes, even an old ship can be formidable. Russia also mobilized its armed forces, as did Iran's Revolutionary Guards, while Moscow's foreign ministry warned that U.S. intervention in Syria could have "catastrophic consequences."

On August 27, as Obama met with the three leaders of the Baltic republics, .... the Head of the Baltics section of the Moscow Institute, CIS, ....suggested that in the event of a U.S. attack on Syria, Russia should invade the Baltic states, claiming that "half of the population of Latvia and Estonia will meet the Russian troops with flowers as it was in 1940."
 
Putin's deterrence, pressures, and public diplomacy—he even went so far as to write a New York Times op-ed—must have ultimately worked. Obama backed down, as Putin foresaw. The Russian president then helped his counterpart to defuse the crisis by brokering a deal to help Assad get rid of his chemical weapons.

In summary, Putin bluffed Obama, and Obama did not call his bluff.   Yet Obama explains it away by saying chemical weapons were removed.   More important, Putin felt emboldened.   Putin soon annexed Crimea and, to create a land bridge, fostered a rebellion in SE Ukraine.     And the West's response was sanctions, which Russia so far has managed to endure.

Related to Russia's intervention in Syria is the US nuclear treaty with Iran.   

Quote
Like Syria, [Iran] has been buying Russian weapons systems, engaging in cooperative pipeline projects, and buying nuclear power plants. The conclusion of the U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on July 14, 2015, in Vienna was also a game-changer. Putin, having helped Obama broker the deal, had waited to make any Syria decision until the agreement was concluded. Now, with the deal done and Iran sanctions soon to be lifted, Tehran could readily pay for Russia's long-range S-300 anti-aircraft system. Putin also hoped that, now, Iran-U.S. relations would improve, making it easier for Russia to work with Iran and Hezbollah to protect Assad.

Indirect support for Putin was also coming in diplomatic channels.   In discussing the huge refugee issue in Europe, Merkel made a statement in September 2015 that revealed her conclusion that "the United States under Obama had ceased to be the indispensable power."  Merkel said in a Washington Post report: 
Quote
      We have to speak with many actors, this includes Assad, but others as well. Not only with the United States of America, Russia, but with important regional partners, Iran, and Sunni countries such as Saudi Arabia.

A few days later,  Putin deployed ground and air forces to Syria, realizing Assad would fall without support.  Assad did not fall due to support from Russia s well as from Iran and Hezbollah too.   Assad is now on the offensive to take back territory occupied by Syrian rebel groups. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 07, 2016, 12:16:13 PM
Assad is now on the offensive to take back territory occupied by Syrian rebel groups.

You have a way of understating genocide.   :(
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on October 21, 2016, 04:31:18 PM
The second ceasefire declared by Syria and Russia seems to be holding.  A historical study of ceasefires shows most collapse.  Yet, if a second, third,...ceasefire is attempted, the prospects improve for long term peace.   

The Russians are deploying more forces to the region.  Now steaming through the English Channel headed south is Russia's lone aircraft carrier.  Note the black smoke.  This is close to a joke.  The New York Times referred to it as, "...previously known more as a threat to its crew than anything else."  Is Putin trying to bluff Obama again?

(http://static01.nyt.com/images/2016/10/22/world/22russia-web/22russia-web-superJumbo.jpg)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 21, 2016, 05:04:43 PM
Now steaming through the English Channel headed south is Russia's lone aircraft carrier.  Note the black smoke.  This is close to a joke.  The New York Times referred to it as, "...previously known more as a threat to its crew than anything else."  Is Putin trying to bluff Obama again?

(http://static01.nyt.com/images/2016/10/22/world/22russia-web/22russia-web-superJumbo.jpg)


Their aircraft carrier is a joke. Outdated and prone to frequent breakdowns. (http://warisboring.com/your-aircraft-carrier-is-a-piece-of-crap-f3f52d299588#.jc8uyfsf9)



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 21, 2016, 06:10:43 PM

Their aircraft carrier is a joke. Outdated and prone to frequent breakdowns. (http://warisboring.com/your-aircraft-carrier-is-a-piece-of-crap-f3f52d299588#.jc8uyfsf9)

Yeah but when the bombs land on your head, does the quality of the runway the bomber took off from really matter? The aircraft carrier isn't going to sink because America isn't going to stop Russia's escalation of military equipment in order to close out the Syrian war. Ceasefires are agreed on only to get the other side(America) to pause our activities.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on October 21, 2016, 07:24:00 PM
Yeah but when the bombs land on your head, does the quality of the runway the bomber took off from really matter? The aircraft carrier isn't going to sink because America isn't going to stop Russia's escalation of military equipment in order to close out the Syrian war. Ceasefires are agreed on only to get the other side(America) to pause our activities.


It is all show.


"The fighters must stay light, meaning they can carry only a few air-to-air missiles and a partial fuel load. Their patrol endurance is measured in minutes rather than hours."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on October 21, 2016, 08:49:29 PM
The second ceasefire declared by Syria and Russia seems to be holding.  A historical study of ceasefires shows most collapse.  Yet, if a second, third,...ceasefire is attempted, the prospects improve for long term peace.   

The Russians are deploying more forces to the region.  Now steaming through the English Channel headed south is Russia's lone aircraft carrier.  Note the black smoke.  This is close to a joke.  The New York Times referred to it as, "...previously known more as a threat to its crew than anything else."  Is Putin trying to bluff Obama again?

(http://static01.nyt.com/images/2016/10/22/world/22russia-web/22russia-web-superJumbo.jpg)

That black smoke, what are they doing, going to Rome to elect a new Pope?
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on October 22, 2016, 07:22:24 AM
Note I am copying this post to the Global Warming thread in case anyone
else is interested in posting things about fusion cars, time travel, or realistic
liberal solutions to real world problems or other oxymoronic ideas  ;D

I believe we will have regular space flight to other planets before we have fusion driven cars.

I believe that we will have pixie dust powered vehicles before we have a single
Solar or wind farm that produces a profit without government subsidies.

Future car from a publication in 1957
(http://www.sciencefocus.com/sites/default/files/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/gallery/2015/10/GettyImages-508453867.jpg?itok=WH3NYASQ)


Self Driving car that actually exists 2016. I don't think that the 2tall family will be playing
dominoes with Mini Me in it anytime soon.  Actually if I got in that car they might have
to use the jaws of life to get me back out
(http://www.sciencefocus.com/sites/default/files/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/gallery/2015/10/GettyImages-462675874.jpg?itok=LJ5eQ9s3)


Here is the one that pisses me off the most. We were supposed to have flying cars by
now and I was supposed to be swooping around with Angel Eyes and our dog Astro
(http://www.sciencefocus.com/sites/default/files/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/styles/large_auto_height_landscape/public/gallery/2015/10/GettyImages-50989107_master.jpg?itok=TabSOqpG)

(http://cdn.thefiscaltimes.com/sites/default/files/05012014_Jetsons_Car.jpg)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on October 22, 2016, 11:40:53 AM

Since Obama was foolish to notify the enemy we're going to attack them in Mosul. ISIS has executed hundreds of people and dumped them in a mass grave. ISIS is keeping others alive to use as human shields against the attack. Since they knew we'd be busy in Mosul, ISIS has advanced closer to Baghdad by attacking Kirkuk.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/21/middleeast/iraq-kirkuk-attacks/
That black smoke, what are they doing, going to Rome to elect a new Pope?

[/quote]

Nah, they know we're in a difficult war against pollution so they are making our fight even more difficult. The media chose a photo that gives the readers the impression the ship isn't running very well. I've seen photos of the ship sailing without the smoke. Usually diesel motors smoke when the engine is under a big load and will burn cleaner under less stress. I also suspect Russia wanted the make their presence known sailing through the English Channel. Also issuing insult. The equivalent of passing by people you don't like and farting.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on November 14, 2016, 09:57:01 AM
Rumor says Trump has little interest in Syria other than the destruction of ISIS. 

In other words, the US will not help Aleppo militarily, Assad will stay in power, Russia remains the largest military power in the Middle East, and Iran is unchecked on this front. 

Personally, I would like to see Trump negotiate some autonomy for the Kurds who are leading part of the battle against ISIS.   Thorny issue considering Turkey does not want the Kurds to have an independent state. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 04, 2016, 07:59:35 AM

I hope Trump sends these two to Syria first!  The plan argues for among other things, covert US involvment to unseat Assad.  As if all other countries in the region with more pressing interests are just going to sit idly by and watch the USA being the determining factor in Syria.  I'm pretty sure Trump will have none of their great plan for US military intervention....I think there was a stronger chance that Hillary might have bit though...

Albright, Hadley urge U.S. to weigh using more force in Syria



The United States should prepare to use greater military power and covert action in Syria to help forge a political settlement to end the country's civil war, according to a bipartisan report to be released on Wednesday.

Produced by a task force led by former U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, a Democrat, and former U.S. National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley, a Republican, the report amounts to a bipartisan rejection of President Barack Obama's decision to limit U.S. military engagement in the nearly six-year civil war.

Largely drafted before Republican Donald Trump's victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton in the Nov. 8 U.S. presidential election, the paper, which...

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideas%E2%80%A6ort-idUSKBN13O2MS (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideas%E2%80%A6ort-idUSKBN13O2MS)
Fathertime! 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 15, 2016, 05:08:29 PM
Something we have been discussing for a  long time as inevitable


"Aleppo is Obama's Legacy" -  Charles Krauthammer. 


"Bloodbath in Aleppo will haunt humanity" - Washington Post editorial



Quote
Above all, Aleppo represents a meltdown of the West’s moral and political will — and in particular, a collapse of U.S. leadership. By refusing to intervene against the Assad regime’s atrocities, or even to enforce the “red line” he declared on the use of chemical weapons, President Obama created a vacuum that was filled by Vladimir Putin and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/the-bloodbath-in-aleppo-will-haunt-humanity/2016/12/14/ffe0d646-c22a-11e6-9a51-cd56ea1c2bb7_story.html?utm_term=.a432c042c608
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 15, 2016, 05:30:50 PM
I am not certain the Obama administration can be blamed.  Other than no fly zones, what was the option?  Sending in American troops?  What is the US advantage in that?  Given that the opposition is now primarily Sunni Islamists, what is the advantage to the West in defeating the Assad regime and installing another Sunni Islamist one?

Yemen, incidentally, is even more vicious than Syria.  But we don't hear much about it, as it's so bad, journalists aren't even covering it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 15, 2016, 05:33:50 PM
I'll also state that this should tell us something about how much Russia respects human rights.  Obliterate apartment buildings, hospitals, even schools full of civilians.  It doesn't matter if civilians die en masse.  That type of scorched earth policy was used in Chechnya as well.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 15, 2016, 06:10:35 PM
The US have absolutely no business here, or in any other regions of conflict. Period.

All of these are matters fit for the United Nations' disposition. That's what that organization is for, and if I may add, the international community's wishes as they kept harping about that the US have absolutely no right to act unilaterally in any of these international affair/s. IINM, there is no UN Resolution allowing the US to militarily assist any of these countries in conflict. NONE!

Send in diplomats, Europeans always say...Blame them.

May Americans ALWAYS remember Afghanistan/Iraq! In these matters, I (no longer can) can't put the blame on Obama.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 15, 2016, 06:57:11 PM
Something we have been discussing for a  long time as inevitable


"Aleppo is Obama's Legacy" -  Charles Krauthammer. 


"Bloodbath in Aleppo will haunt humanity" - Washington Post editorial


republican congress and figures have been leading the charge to entangle us in syria from the very beginning.  we can stay out, should have never fomented, and not armed 'the rebels'. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Bounder on December 15, 2016, 07:09:14 PM
No, the USSR would have collapsed even without the invasion of Afghanistan. 

The Soviets invaded before the CIA ran covert operations.  The CIA did analyze Afghanistan before the Soviet invasion, when Taraki seized power.  There was already opposition to him, because of (a) tribal differences; and (b) human rights abuses, and that lead to the mujahadeen rebelling against him. 

Brezhnev insisted on invading Afghanistan, against the advise of both the KGB and the GRU.  It was then that the US trained the mujahadeen.

The Soviet economy was stagnating even before the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.  It had been stagnating since the 1950's, and was only kept afloat with oil sales and arms deals.  The collapse of oil prices in the 1980's probably had more to do with the collapse than the cost of the war in Afghanistan.  That, and outside factors, such as Eastern Europe not being kept in check, the influence of Pope John Paul, Reagan's arm's escalation, and the flaws in the KGB's "Khrushchev redux", Gorbachev, and so called "perestroika", including not foreseeing a Yeltsin.

Good analysis, but you forgot the arms race.  With a habitually stagnant economy, the vast spending on the arms race to keep up with the Americans, surely helped sink the Soviet Union as a viable entity.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 15, 2016, 10:06:11 PM
republican congress and figures have been leading the charge to entangle us in syria from the very beginning.  we can stay out, should have never fomented, and not armed 'the rebels'. 


I think Europe wanted to get involved with Libya and Syria more than Obama but to please our allies, he got involved. Obama has the power to end the war quickly instead of letting it drag on killing over a quarter of a million people and displacing tens of millions from their homes. Ideally it would've been best to leave it alone or end it quickly than what is currently taking place. Obama should take ownership of the mess he got involved with and let grow since he regularly blamed Bush for his mess. The Syrian civilian deaths is one thing but also the greatest terrorist group known to man, ISIS, grew from this. When countries destabilize and law and order ceases to exist, bad guys come out of the woodwork.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 16, 2016, 07:50:46 AM
I think Europe wanted to get involved with Libya and Syria more than Obama but to please our allies, he got involved. Obama has the power to end the war quickly instead of letting it drag on killing over a quarter of a million people and displacing tens of millions from their homes. Ideally it would've been best to leave it alone or end it quickly than what is currently taking place. Obama should take ownership of the mess he got involved with and let grow since he regularly blamed Bush for his mess. The Syrian civilian deaths is one thing but also the greatest terrorist group known to man, ISIS, grew from this. When countries destabilize and law and order ceases to exist, bad guys come out of the woodwork.
I don't know about us ending the war quickly...I suspect more serious involvement by us would have escalated the war even more. We didn't need to involve ourselves. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 16, 2016, 10:04:53 AM
It's high time Germany remove itself from the underpinnings of the Marshall plan (Japan & SK, too) so they can generate their own military. This way, the US can get out of those respective bases and allow Germany to advance their own interest in their need to expand their commerce. Merkel had Obama by his silly tail doing her dirty work for her in Ukraine and the middle-east. The EU is desperate to generate revenue to sustain their unsustainable social system. We get caught up in the muck in places like Ukraine, ME, Africa and Asia. For what?

Let the European countries continue their colonial hold on these petty little countries again, like the good ol' days. I'm elated to see the UK getting out of that union.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 16, 2016, 10:21:31 AM
I am not certain the Obama administration can be blamed.
 

The liberal media such as the Washington Post and the MSNBC disagree with you.

Further, the damage is far from over.  Far from it!   Russia and Iran have plans for the next 20 years in the Middle East to exercise more and more control.     

With regard to Aleppo, Assad together with Putin and Iran are the war criminals, not Obama.  However, the naïve baby steps taken by Obama throughout his 8 years greatly extended the suffering, and worse, gifted the Middle East to Iran and Russia

Foreign powers, including Obama and Hillary, encouraged various Syrian factions to rebel against Assad and supplied the rebel groups, e. g., US giving arms captured from Libya.  Obama even drew a red line. Then we abandoned what we started, similar to the Bay of Pigs, except this time there were multiple rebel groups, some worse than Assad. 


Quote
Other than no fly zones, what was the option?
 

Not enforcing the no fly zone was huge.  Kerry even admits such.  Obama could have destroyed Assad's air force.  France asked us to join them in doing it.   If Assad's air force were destroyed, he would have fallen.  Even with his air force intact, the rebels were winning until  Putin entered. 

Instead of enforcing the red line, a "lead from behind" Obama was outsmarted by Putin.  That was the beginning of the end for the rebels in Aleppo.   

Quote
   Sending in American troops? 

Troops were not necessary other than advisors, which have already been assigned to some rebel groups. 

More important,  regular American combat units were already there (in nearby Iraq).   Obama's removal of troops from Iraq allowed ISIS to capture the financial assets to strengthen its forces in Syria, further weakening Assad's control. 

Quote
Given that the opposition is now primarily Sunni Islamists, what is the advantage to the West in defeating the Assad regime and installing another Sunni Islamist one?

Obama  stated, "Assad must go."  That was the wrong mission.  The rebels only needed to push Assad back to western Syria, home of the Alawites, freeing the rest of Syria for the rebel groups (who would now be fighting among themselves) until a Lebanon-type truce could be reached. 

Quote
Yemen, incidentally, is even more vicious than Syria.  But we don't hear much about it, as it's so bad, journalists aren't even covering it.

Yemen is a proxy war between Saudi Arabia and Iran, Sunni vs. Shia.   Yemen is a better preview of  what will happen in the Middle East than Syria.   

You say Yemen is "more vicious."   How do you measure this?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 16, 2016, 10:28:15 AM
I'll also state that this should tell us something about how much Russia respects human rights.  Obliterate apartment buildings, hospitals, even schools full of civilians.  It doesn't matter if civilians die en masse.  That type of scorched earth policy was used in Chechnya as well.

Russia does this because their goal is to win, not to be drawn into a quagmire.

For all the liberals reading this thread, do you  see what happens when the US withdraws!  Bad hombres usually move in.  It was ISIS in Iraq and Russia in Syria.  Bad hombres don't have rules of engagement.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 16, 2016, 10:44:48 AM
The US have absolutely no business here, or in any other regions of conflict. Period.

We have now seen four different models for regime change to bring democracy to people under the ruthless control of a dictator representing a minority of the people.


Iraq - troops and air power.

Libya - no troops; but air power and support of rebel groups.

Afghanistan - troops, air power, economic aid. 

Syria - no troops, no air power; but support of rebel groups.

None are a success, so maybe you have a point.  The jury is still out in Afghanistan.  Iraq could have worked with a better governance plan. 

What do we do if a foreign power with no respect for human rights attempts the same?



Quote
All of these are matters fit for the United Nations' disposition. 


UN is good for peace-keeping, not bringing peace.   The UN will fail. 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 16, 2016, 10:53:18 AM

Let the European countries continue their colonial hold on these petty little countries again, like the good ol' days. I'm elated to see the UK getting out of that union.

I agree with you regarding the Middle East.  We have been immersed in the Middle East since WWII - the reason........ oil and Israel.   


The US is energy independent.  The Europeans depend far more on Middle East oil than we do.   Let Europe and the Sunni nations deal with Russia and Iran.   

[I have been advocating this position for  long time]

The policy decisions about this region conflict will soon be Trump's responsibility.  I am not sure what Tillerson will recommend.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 16, 2016, 12:28:54 PM
...What do we do if a foreign power with no respect for human rights attempts the same?...

So what? Haven't we learned anything enough about getting stuck for someone else's sake? We have more than enough problems here at home. Trump is right, over a trillion dollars in the Middle-East and what do we have to show for it today? All we get for any of this is bring trouble upon our doorsteps.

Best we attend to our own from here on in and let everyone else fend for themselves for a change.

Quote
...UN is good for peace-keeping, not bringing peace.   The UN will fail...

'Peace and the UN' are no longer a pair. Not since the revelations of Iraq's Oil-for-Food scandal. Hell, maybe it never has been, at least that we are aware of.

Hard to run a global organization where you have 5 permanent seats composed of countries (WWII victors) serving their own interest, yet have the power to veto. The UN is, never has been, any different than the League of Nations. They promote peace and diplomacy, while at the same time making nefarious deals behind closed doors.

Let us just simply learn from Iraq's saga.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 16, 2016, 02:25:50 PM
   

Not enforcing the no fly zone was huge.  Kerry even admits such.  Obama could have destroyed Assad's air force.  France asked us to join them in doing it.   If Assad's air force were destroyed, he would have fallen.  Even with his air force intact, the rebels were winning until  Putin entered. 



Sounds like a bunch of partisan Monday morning quarterbacking, as usual.  As if other nations were all just going to sit idly by and permit the US to dictate the winner in another distant foreign land.  We should have never even mentioned a 'no fly zone'...


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 16, 2016, 02:41:51 PM
Russia does this because their goal is to win, not to be drawn into a quagmire.

For all the liberals reading this thread, do you  see what happens when the US withdraws!  Bad hombres usually move in.  It was ISIS in Iraq and Russia in Syria.  Bad hombres don't have rules of engagement.   


   
I    Let Europe and the Sunni nations deal with Russia and Iran.   

[I have been advocating this position for  long time]



Looks like you are trying to have it both ways as usual.  On one hand saying we shouldn't be involved while stating we need to be involved to 'help'.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 16, 2016, 04:25:25 PM

Quote
   ...What do we do if a foreign power with no respect for human rights attempts the same?...

So what? Haven't we learned anything enough about getting stuck for someone else's sake? We have more than enough problems here at home. Trump is right, over a two trillion dollars in the Middle-East Iraq alone and what do we have to show for it today? All we get for any of this is bring trouble upon our doorsteps.

Best we attend to our own from here on in and let everyone else fend for themselves for a change.

This was America's foreign policy before WW I.  We changed, and we enjoyed immense prosperity for most of those 100 years.    A British diplomat explained to me at a party that  English is the international language not because of the British empire, but because of American business in those 100 years.  The world benefitted too.

We can not go back.  The world is not flat, and the US is not an island.  Globalization is here to stay.

We should avoid military conflicts.  Our sense for humanity means we can not use Russian tactics.  Thus, we can not win.   

Instead of military power,   we can use sanctions to further our policies.  These can work well in accelerating globalization, because most nations depend upon trade.  However, ordinary people tend to suffer the most from sanctions (and in Russia, sanctions have had little effect and Putin enjoys high popularity).   

For murderous dictators,  we can ignore them.  It seems Arabs and Iranians are intent on killing each other, something that have done with fervor for centuries.    So sell them weapons and let them go at it.  Ignoring them means ignoring genocide, beheadings, etc.  And if we ignore that, why should we be concerned about human rights such as women's rights in Pakistan?    Liberals must stay silent even with such inhumanity around us. 

What I am saying, it is not as simple as letting everyone else fend for themselves.  It will not be long before they send jihadists to our shores. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 16, 2016, 05:17:11 PM
So what? Haven't we learned anything enough about getting stuck for someone else's sake? We have more than enough problems here at home. Trump is right, over a two trillion dollars in the Middle-East Iraq alone and what do we have to show for it today? All we get for any of this is bring trouble upon our doorsteps.

Best we attend to our own from here on in and let everyone else fend for themselves for a change.


This was America's foreign policy before WW I.  We changed, and we enjoyed immense prosperity for most of those 100 years.    A British diplomat explained to me at a party that  English is the international language not because of the British empire, but because of American business in those 100 years.  The world benefitted too.

We can not go back.  The world is not flat, and the US is not an island.  Globalization is here to stay.

We should avoid military conflicts.  Our sense for humanity means we can not use Russian tactics.  Thus, we can not win.   

Instead of military power,   we can use sanctions to further our policies.  These can work well in accelerating globalization, because most nations depend upon trade.  However, ordinary people tend to suffer the most from sanctions (and in Russia, sanctions have had little effect and Putin enjoys high popularity).   

For murderous dictators,  we can ignore them.  It seems Arabs and Iranians are intent on killing each other, something that have done with fervor for centuries.    So sell them weapons and let them go at it.  Ignoring them means ignoring genocide, beheadings, etc.  And if we ignore that, why should we be concerned about human rights such as women's rights in Pakistan?    Liberals must stay silent even with such inhumanity around us. 

What I am saying, it is not as simple as letting everyone else fend for themselves.  It will not be long before they send jihadists to our shores.

Ya think? Brexit, TPP and Trump say different. I think this globalization thing may have hit it's high water mark (or at least has been slowed for the time being).

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 16, 2016, 05:40:40 PM
So what? Haven't we learned anything enough about getting stuck for someone else's sake? We have more than enough problems here at home. Trump is right, over a two trillion dollars in the Middle-East Iraq alone and what do we have to show for it today? All we get for any of this is bring trouble upon our doorsteps.

Best we attend to our own from here on in and let everyone else fend for themselves for a change.


This was America's foreign policy before WW I.  We changed, and we enjoyed immense prosperity for most of those 100 years.    A British diplomat explained to me at a party that  English is the international language not because of the British empire, but because of American business in those 100 years.  The world benefitted too.

We can not go back.  The world is not flat, and the US is not an island.  Globalization is here to stay.

We should avoid military conflicts.  Our sense for humanity means we can not use Russian tactics.  Thus, we can not win.   

Instead of military power,   we can use sanctions to further our policies.  These can work well in accelerating globalization, because most nations depend upon trade.  However, ordinary people tend to suffer the most from sanctions (and in Russia, sanctions have had little effect and Putin enjoys high popularity).   

For murderous dictators,  we can ignore them.  It seems Arabs and Iranians are intent on killing each other, something that have done with fervor for centuries.    So sell them weapons and let them go at it.  Ignoring them means ignoring genocide, beheadings, etc.  And if we ignore that, why should we be concerned about human rights such as women's rights in Pakistan?    Liberals must stay silent even with such inhumanity around us. 

What I am saying, it is not as simple as letting everyone else fend for themselves.  It will not be long before they send jihadists to our shores.

It wasn't too long ago where I read The Atlantic's report about the US's military involvement the world over. Obama actually heightened our military involvement despite what everyone believe.

Yes, you're right. It was $1.7 trillion dollars spent between both administration. Surprisingly, Obama outspending W.

http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/03/obama-doctrine-wars-numbers/474531/

Let's be done with all these. too many lives and too much cost. Africa had been just as violent albeit not getting nearly as much exposure. As bad as Syria is today, IMO, still pales in comparison to what the Tutsis went through at the hands of the Hutus.

ME/Africa. Two of the most volatile regions in our world today. Both still being victimized since the colonial era due mainly for their resources by western need/greed.

Sad.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 17, 2016, 04:25:14 AM
Ya think? Brexit, TPP and Trump say different. I think this globalization thing may have hit it's high water mark (or at least has been slowed for the time being).

Depends upon how you define and measure globalization.  I assert the world has been globalizing ever since Marco Polo.  And the pace is accelerating.  Even if the rate of acceleration is slowed,  globalization continues across many of its parameters. 


There is no widely accepted definition of globalization other than trade is a core measure.    Besides trade, the term encompasses economic aspects such as movement of capital, monetary policy, etc.   Globalization is more than economics and includes political, social, cultural and environmental components.  For example, I mentioned earlier how English became the international language because of trade.   

Some of these non-economic aspects of globalization are the subject of debate.    You are correct that Brexit stopped political globalization, which will spill into other areas.  Social aspects such as movement of people and migration are now key issues in political elections, focusing on local economic impacts and assimilation of diverse cultures.  OTOH,one key cultural aspect, the dissemination of information and knowledge,  continues at a rapid rate of acceleration.

Aren't these secondary to economics? I assert economics will continue to drive globalization.   As hard as Great Britain attempted to protect its cotton cloth manufacturing, they could not stop Gandhi and India from spinning the cotton themselves.  And Walmart will open new stores.  And capital will move to where it earns the greatest ROI.  Isolationism is not the answer.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 17, 2016, 04:59:24 AM


Let's be done with all these. too many lives and too much cost. Africa had been just as violent albeit not getting nearly as much exposure. As bad as Syria is today, IMO, still pales in comparison to what the Tutsis went through at the hands of the Hutus.

Good point. 800,000 people were slaughtered in Rwanda in about three months, and it received little attention other than a couple of Hollywood films.  The UN could not stop the slaughter. It ended only when Tutsis from surrounding countries intervened.  Twice that number of Cambodians were killed by the Khmer Rogue with only one film.   The world moved on. 

As a country  where the US played a heavy hand and then abandoned it, Vietnam has mostly forgotten its civil war (or war of liberation)  and transformed itself into an economic dynamo.  The world moved on.

I am not sure that the Middle East will move on.  They seemingly are unwilling to embrace modernity.  The Shia and Sunni will continue killing each other.   The Russians have replaced the US as the leading foreign power  in the region, and my limited perspective says its not important for the US to wiggle back into the region.   I say this because the US is not dependent upon ME oil.  We will get a good preview of Trump's plans in the Tillerson confirmation hearing. 

 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 17, 2016, 08:26:08 AM
Isolationism is not the answer.


Being in a bad partnership isn't a good thing either. Trump says Bill Clinton's NAFTA is the worst trade deal every. Maybe an exaggeration but Trump wants to change things. I do know America is doing fine without being in the EU and I doubt somebody could convince me why it would be better for us to join the EU. Maybe Britain can do better without the EU too. We will see and if Brexit was the wrong choice, they can always join back up with the EU if the EU continues to exist. I predict more countries will leave.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on December 17, 2016, 05:09:23 PM

There is no widely accepted definition of globalization other than trade is a core measure.    Besides trade, the term encompasses economic aspects such as movement of capital, monetary policy, etc.   Globalization is more than economics and includes political, social, cultural and environmental components.

US have greatly benefited from globalization in the last 100 years. So they promoted it strongly but the trend does not look irreversible. China moved on in the last dacades to cream off the best of what brings the globalization. History shows  the repetition of multi-year cycles where global processes are similar in nature but leading actors have been changed. 
The developed  world enjoyed the peace for over 70 years that looks rather as the anomaly from historical perspective. Internal hidden contradictions may be  accumulating and finally blow up, no one has a gift to foreseen future.
So we must be ready for any turn and assume wide set of option, let's say, from transformation of globalization towards isolationism to more apocalyptic outcome in the style of Mad Max movies, just to avoid it. If it's possible in principle to change the cycles.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 19, 2016, 01:08:44 PM
Apparently the shooter of the Russian ambassador to Turkey was reportedly heard screaming "Remember Aleppo. God is great!".

Then in Germany, one dead so far and multiple injuries as a truck crashed unto Berlin's Christmas market! Many believe this to be an intentional act, possible terrorism.

Too bad for Germany! And Hillary wanted to increase the refugee count to the US at 500%.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 19, 2016, 01:22:57 PM
Canada took in over 35,000 Syrian refugees.  No terrorist attacks to date.


The issue in Europe is porous borders and lack of screening, not where the refugees come from.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 19, 2016, 01:34:09 PM
They should all be sent to Canada then...  :P

DNI previously admitted that proper vetting of these refugees is next to impossible. How can you properly vet them when the source of information for proper vetting is, at this time, non-existent?

I still support Trump's safe zone.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 19, 2016, 01:39:26 PM
You can't know, but chances are if you do as Canada did, and only take families, rather than single men, you aren't going to have the problems Europe is having.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 19, 2016, 01:49:00 PM
Could be, Boe...Tough world out there today though still...

IYWR, when Trump first declared Belgium was a hellhole even before the Paris attack, he got lambasted not only here at home (especially the liberal media), but also by Belgium's public officials. Saying he doesn't know what he's talking about...

Then a short while later...history happened.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 19, 2016, 01:54:32 PM
By that logic, there are a lot of hellholes in the United States, too.

Part of the issue in Europe seems to be lack of screening.  If you import goat herders who can't read or write their own language, they usually aren't going to be productive members of your society.  Contrast that with Pakistani surgeons or Indian dentists.


 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 19, 2016, 09:18:39 PM
You can't know, but chances are if you do as Canada did, and only take families, rather than single men, you aren't going to have the problems Europe is having.

Most of the terrorist attack problems Europe recently is having is due to the children of refugees who came there a decade or so ago. Wait 10+ years and Europe will have another major wave of terrorist attacks from the children of refugees that arrive today.

Single men are primary responsible for the sexual assaults in Europe. People, including Trump supporters, would be more accepting of refugees if they adopted our culture more to fit in.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: onlyFSU4me on December 19, 2016, 10:49:37 PM
You can't know, but chances are if you do as Canada did, and only take families, rather than single men, you aren't going to have the problems Europe is having.


 There are some students, teachers and parents who would disagree with you about that.


http://dailycaller.com/2016/06/28/report-adult-refugees-enrolled-in-canadian-high-school-harassing-young-girls/


http://dailycaller.com/2016/04/10/canadian-newspaper-censors-article-on-refugee-abuse-of-elementary-students/




Adult Syrian males making advances on 14-15 years old girls? Syrian students repeatedly trying to choke a grade 3 student with a chain, then one of them shouting Muslims rule the world? Soccer being cancelled in one school because the Syrian players threatened to slit the throats of their opponents?


 Yeah, no problems with the refugees here in Canada, is there? The most disturbing part I see is how the newspaper pulled the story stating that bullying is a sensitive subject. These events that happened are way beyond bullying! Who told them to pull the article? Why stop the public from knowing about the dangers these refugees are putting our children in? These refugees that are showing this type of behavior should not be placed together with our children... period!!! And trying to hide that this problem is happening is criminal.


 The government obviously isn't screening these refugees close enough, then are unleashing them into the public where our children of all people are being terrorized. Maybe it is just a handful of these bad apples, so what? Explain that to the third grader that was choked with a chain! If they can't do a better job of making sure that Canadian citizens have nothing to be concerned about with integrating them into our society then they should not let any of them in at all.


  Things are NOT so rosy with the Syrian refugees in Canada.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 19, 2016, 11:34:11 PM
That was widely reported outside Rebel Media, and the gist of it was that Fredricton schools, which received 450 Syrian students, had no Arab translators and no ESL courses at all.  There was no violence and no one blown up, IIRC.  Just a few complaints from parents and lots of cultural misunderstandings in a city with a population of 56,000 that has not had to cope with non English speakers appearing all at once in its education system.

There are over 500 Syrian students in my city, in fact, in one school, they are the majority of the students, and there have been no issues.  The difference?  Strong ESL programs, which existed long before those students arrived.  We went through this in the 1990's with Bosnian students, and there are a lot of Ukrainian refugees here as well.

There are several Arab bilingual schools here, although Syrian students do not yet attend them, as it's been determined they must improve their English language skills first.  But they do have daily access to teachers who speak Arabic fluently.  Students were given the opportunity to attend summer classes to advance their learning and learn cultural norms, as well.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 20, 2016, 01:05:08 AM
...  Things are NOT so rosy with the Syrian refugees in Canada.

Of course not.

I'm not sure how long you've been in Canada (unless you're native) but suppression of negative news is nothing, especially considering another Trudeau at the helm. "Just the positives, my dear...just the positives!". There's been no riots up there either from what I understand, etc...That's why a lot of our liberal celebrities will soon be immigrating up there now that DJT is our POTUS.

But I'll refrain from suggesting anything from folks who like to believe unicorns exist. It's their world, after all.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: onlyFSU4me on December 20, 2016, 01:21:11 AM
That was widely reported outside Rebel Media, and the gist of it was that Fredricton schools, which received 450 Syrian students, had no Arab translators and no ESL courses at all.  There was no violence and no one blown up, IIRC.  Just a few complaints from parents and lots of cultural misunderstandings in a city with a population of 56,000 that has not had to cope with non English speakers appearing all at once in its education system.

There are over 500 Syrian students in my city, in fact, in one school, they are the majority of the students, and there have been no issues.  The difference?  Strong ESL programs, which existed long before those students arrived.  We went through this in the 1990's with Bosnian students, and there are a lot of Ukrainian refugees here as well.

There are several Arab bilingual schools here, although Syrian students do not yet attend them, as it's been determined they must improve their English language skills first.  But they do have daily access to teachers who speak Arabic fluently.  Students were given the opportunity to attend summer classes to advance their learning and learn cultural norms, as well.


 Adult Syrians hitting on 14-15 year old students is a cultural misunderstanding?
 Choking a grade 3 girl with a chain is a cultural misunderstanding?
 Telling other students they are going to slash their throats is a cultural misunderstanding?



[size=78%]Why don't you try to explain that to those children's parents? Amazing what apologists will try to say sometimes! [/size] ::)




 And I'm happy that you don't have any problems there where you live, but according to this article there must be problems in Calgary and Toronto too, since reps from the school boards there are trying to get more federal funding to cope with them. So it is not only because of them being placed in a small community.


http://www.torontosun.com/2016/07/03/misbehaving-syrian-students-are-a-federal-problem (http://www.torontosun.com/2016/07/03/misbehaving-syrian-students-are-a-federal-problem)




 Bottom line is that the way Canada brought in the refugees is NOT the answer. We are having problems with them too, and whether or not you want to admit it, they are not cultural differences. IMO the problem lies with Trudeau being in such a big hurry to get them here and be able to puff out his chest and say we are helping that they didn't organize the proper screening, placement and education for them to be able to integrate into our society. And that makes it dangerous for us and our children. 
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 20, 2016, 02:04:32 AM
You are assuming all those stories are true.  The Fredericton school board stated they were exaggerated -

http://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/fredericton-school-board-responds-to-allegations-leveled-against-syrian-students-1.2979552 (http://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/fredericton-school-board-responds-to-allegations-leveled-against-syrian-students-1.2979552)

http://globalnews.ca/news/2811724/sudden-influx-of-syrian-refugees-overwhelmed-n-b-high-school-documents/ (http://globalnews.ca/news/2811724/sudden-influx-of-syrian-refugees-overwhelmed-n-b-high-school-documents/)

I doubt 22 year olds were attending high school.  All those students were vetted and had to present valid documents before coming to Canada.  So, unlike in Europe, where asylum seekers lie to buttress their chance of staying in the country, that has not occurred in Canada.

I also doubt the stories of the chains and the throat slashing.  Where would a child obtain a chain to use on a playground?  That story was retracted by the paper the originally printed it, incidentally, as it could not be verified.  Its reporters were all on strike at the time it was published, and the paper was using inexperienced staff and no bylines.

http://www.halifaxexaminer.ca/featured/the-chronicle-herald-unfairly-maligns-kids-in-attack-on-refugees/#Lack (http://www.halifaxexaminer.ca/featured/the-chronicle-herald-unfairly-maligns-kids-in-attack-on-refugees/#Lack) of professionalism

Please keep in mind that Rebel Media is known to publish many untruths, and its owner, Ezra Levant, has been sued for libel or defamation, and either lost or settled, in six separate cases that I can think of off the top of my head.

If Syrian students were indeed such a huge problem, it would not be isolated to Fredericton.  Why are there no reports from Toronto?  Winnipeg?  Calgary?  Edmonton?  Vancouver?  All took more Syrians than did Fredericton. 


I don't disagree that things were done too quickly, but there has been no violence caused by those refugees.  That's the point, and nothing you have posted dissuades me.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 20, 2016, 06:47:56 AM
When Syrians or any other non English speaking group immigrates, there has to be a program in place for the children to mainstream them as best as possible.  Kids say/do all sorts of awful things especially when frustrated.   


Personally, I'm good with immigrating a large number of people, but I don't like the idea of single men being the primary immigrants.  In many respects a young couple is ideal, during the vetting it should be determined if they would be a productive addition to our society.  Like it or not, the past generation or 2 hasn't produced enough children in the USA (and other countries) without the help of immigrants, both legal and illegal. 


When immigrating 10's of 1000's, it is a given there is going to be some bad apples no matter how well they are transitioned.  Unfortunately it is a terribly rough and tumble world out there.  There is a lot of work to be done, and immigrants can/should provide more benefit than bad. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 20, 2016, 09:35:32 PM
  Things are NOT so rosy with the Syrian refugees in Canada.


Canada has been lucky not to be victims of multiple terrorist attacks. It's a matter of time before one or more slip past intelligence.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_VIA_Rail_Canada_terrorism_plot

http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/11/americas/canada-ontario-police-kill-terror-suspect-aaron-driver/

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_shootings_at_Parliament_Hill,_Ottawa

Canada has recorded 180 people leaving the country to join terrorists groups with 60 of them returning to Canada.

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/isis-terrorists-infiltrating-canada-suspected-plotting-attacks/

No country should be victimized by their guests or have to pay a lot of money on intelligence to weed out the bad ones.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 21, 2016, 07:00:36 AM
New York Times - Russia, Iran and Turkey Meet for Syria Talks, Excluding U.S.

Those who want to see the US withdraw from conflicts, particularly in the Middle East, are getting their wish. 

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/20/world/middleeast/russia-iran-and-turkey-meet-for-syria-talks-excluding-us.html?_r=0


Do you remember Obama's Syria policies in 2011-2012?

    -   Supporting Syrian rebels.
    -   Declaring "Assad must go."
    -   Drawing a redline. 

Without debating the options, Obama  stressed the US will not lead but will work with its alliances.  This was called by his critics "leading from behind."  That did not work, and maybe Obama did not want it to work. 

What Obama actually did from 2012-2016 was withdraw, to be replaced by Russia and Iran and ISIS. The US no longer sets the agenda; the US is not even included in the agenda, being excluded from Syria talks even though the Obama is willing to support plans to destroy ISIS (eventually).   

I wonder what our allies in the region are thinking?  The History of the world since WWII says when the US is not involved, "bad hombres" tend to prevail.  The wealthy Sunni oil states  will now be more concerned with Iranian (epicenter of terror) and Russian likely long term plans to control the Middle East.   So expect some realignment there.  Our Kurdish allies have non-sovereign homelands in Syria, and with their long-term enemy Turkey joining Russia and Syria,  the future of Syrian Kurds is not so bright.  Iraq?   

One could say allow the Sunni and Shia to continuing killing each other.  They do not embrace modernity, and we are no longer dependent upon ME oil.  I contend they are too smart to fight to the death. 

We do not need the Middle East, yet it behooves the US to debate whether to exercise influence  in the Middle East for the purpose of stability.   Trump's decision to nominate Tillerson, a man who knows Russia and the Middle East, is brilliant.  I look forward to his confirmation hearing that will discuss policies for Russia and the Middle East.  It is interesting that David Friedman, Trump's choice for Ambassador to Israel, has views opposite of Tillerson's. 

Meanwhile, if I were an American citizen in the Middle East, I would start developing an exit plan if I did not already have one.
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 09:34:11 AM
..Without debating the options, Obama  stressed the US will not lead but will work with its alliances.  This was called by his critics "leading from behind."  That did not work, and maybe Obama did not want it to work....
 

No win situation. We are damned if we do, and damned if we don't. So why bother?

Russia hasn't gained anything, or lost anything, it didn't already have before in Syria. Iran gaining Iraq only empathize my point as to why we need to bug out of these geo-political maneuvering.

Despite Obama's misguided, pacifist global politics, he still managed to increase US's involvement in global conflicts. Heightened big brother, and spent much more than W in doing so. Again, for what?

It isn't a mystery that the flashpoints, with the exception of Afghanistan, in ME/No.Africa/Ukraine revolves around 'oil'. Oil the US do not need, or have use for. Who then, need these oil-rich regions?

After Syria, you still have Yemen, Libya, and maybe now - Turkey and Tunisia. I say again, let Europe work for their own sake and survival for a change.

He's leaving behind $21 trillion of debt, wider involvement in global conflicts, spread of global terrorism on a much larger scale, a racial/socio-economic divide in-country, healthcare in chaos, rampant political/judicial corruption, intensified Asian relations, an out-of-control media, an annual $500+ billion trade deficit...

We have enough problems at home mopping up what that moron did for the past 8 years.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on December 21, 2016, 10:03:22 AM
 

No win situation. We are damned if we do, and damned if we don't. So why bother?

Russia hasn't gained anything, or lost anything, it didn't already have before in Syria. Iran gaining Iraq only empathize my point as to why we need to bug out of these geo-political maneuvering.



It's a money pit.  No matter what we do, it ends up getting worst and we throw more money down the drain.  I'd prefer getting out of that area all together. 


If we get attacked, we go in and bomb the stuffing out of them and leave.  No more rebuilding...  no more trying these stupid regime (which is an act of war imo) changes that never seems to work.  Anyone who attacks or aids in the attack of the US will be bombed.  Thank and have a good day.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 10:25:27 AM
When Syrians or any other non English speaking group immigrates, there has to be a program in place for the children to mainstream them as best as possible.  Kids say/do all sorts of awful things especially when frustrated.   


Personally, I'm good with immigrating a large number of people, but I don't like the idea of single men being the primary immigrants.  In many respects a young couple is ideal, during the vetting it should be determined if they would be a productive addition to our society.  Like it or not, the past generation or 2 hasn't produced enough children in the USA (and other countries) without the help of immigrants, both legal and illegal. 


When immigrating 10's of 1000's, it is a given there is going to be some bad apples no matter how well they are transitioned.  Unfortunately it is a terribly rough and tumble world out there.  There is a lot of work to be done, and immigrants can/should provide more benefit than bad. 

I realize things sometimes appear clearer from the rear view mirror, FT, but...based on the things you mentioned above, wouldn't be prudent to establish a 'safe zone' for these *refugees* instead? All things considered?

The UN ( :rolleyes:) can provide an INTERNATIONAL peace keeping force until the desert dust settles down.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 21, 2016, 11:59:37 AM
I realize things sometimes appear clearer from the rear view mirror, FT, but...based on the things you mentioned above, wouldn't be prudent to establish a 'safe zone' for these *refugees* instead? All things considered?

The UN ( :rolleyes:) can provide an INTERNATIONAL peace keeping force until the desert dust settles down.

The UN is no longer capable of dealing with this kind of situation. It's become a third world country club incompetent from the top down.

Even if the security council somehow managed to agree on a resolution (without Russia or the US vetoing one another on principle) the peacekeeping arm is itself now mostly made up of third world militaries and the governments, dictators/generals take the money supplied by the UN to pay for the peacekeeping operations and pocket it then under man, supply and feed their own soldiers.

In some cases the (so called) UN peacekeepers themselves end up preying on the very people they're charged with protecting for criminal gain or simply to survive in the field.

Don't rely on the UN coming to the rescue for anything. It's nothing more than a corrupt money pit. Save one or two institutions within the organization the UN needs to be disbanded.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 21, 2016, 01:04:51 PM


Russia hasn't gained anything, or lost anything, it didn't already have before in Syria.

Not true.  Putin did gain in huge ways.

This will take some explanation.  First, the background in 2013: 

1.  Russia had approved the UN resolution protecting Libyan civilians from Gaddafi,  and Putin later felt misled when the US and NATO used the resolution for regime change.    

2.  Syria is important to keep open Russian sea routes to the Mediterranean.   Russia has long operated a navy base in the Syrian port of Tartus, where Putin has spent tens of billions in renovation since 2009.  To a landlocked Russia, the Syrian base is as important strategically as  a) the naval base in Sevastopol, seized from Ukraine in 2014,  and b) another Black Sea naval base under construction in Abkhazia, separated from Georgia in 2008.

3.  The Gulf Sunni states such as Qatar have proposed constructing gas pipelines through  Syria to Europe that would compete with Russian gas. 

If Assad had fallen in 2013,  Russia would have lost its naval base and would eventually have lost a significant part of the European gas market. That is why Putin told Obama that if the US bombs Assad and created a no-fly zone, Russia would defend Assad.   Russia leaked that it would also invade the Baltic states. 

Obama did not call Putin's bluff, effectively withdrawing from the Middle East.  Russia is emboldened and soon seizes Crimea.  Next,  Russia deploys to Syria,  saves Assad, thus proving to the Middle East (and to Europe) that the US can not be trusted.   Russia now not only sets the agenda, it has the most influence on the players. 


Quote
We have enough problems at home mopping up what that moron did for the past 8 years.

Obama's foreign policy mistakes may be larger than his domestic mistakes.  Much depends upon Iran, and it will take 10 years or so before we know about Iran.   Half the nation still loves Obama, thinking him a great President.   ::)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 21, 2016, 01:17:08 PM
[quote author=Brasscasing link=topic=20119.msg452962#msg452962

Don't rely on the UN coming to the rescue for anything. It's nothing more than a corrupt money pit. Save one or two institutions within the organization the UN needs to be disbanded.


[/quote]

Having worked for the UN, I can agree with you.   However, some effective international body is needed as a neutral body to prevent wars and serve international justice.  If not the UN, the world is totally dependent upon  international diplomacy among nations and alliances? 

As far as protecting human rights and supporting social progress, such programs can be done by NGOs with quite possibly  more efficiency.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 02:04:54 PM
The UN is no longer capable of dealing with this kind of situation. It's become a third world country club incompetent from the top down.

Even if the security council somehow managed to agree on a resolution (without Russia or the US vetoing one another on principle) the peacekeeping arm is itself now mostly made up of third world militaries and the governments, dictators/generals take the money supplied by the UN to pay for the peacekeeping operations and pocket it then under man, supply and feed their own soldiers.

In some cases the (so called) UN peacekeepers themselves end up preying on the very people they're charged with protecting for criminal gain or simply to survive in the field.

Don't rely on the UN coming to the rescue for anything. It's nothing more than a corrupt money pit. Save one or two institutions within the organization the UN needs to be disbanded.

Brass

I couldn't agree with you more Brass..

Even the Queen of Jordan, one of the two biggest host of Syrian refugees, had requested the UN to oust these refugees ASAP and send them all to Europe. Saying: "If Europe won't house these refugees, they will risk terrorism."

Turkey, one of the other 'host', calls the refugees 'guests'.

Neither one is no less spared with terrorism.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 02:07:50 PM
Not true.  Putin did gain in huge ways....

You may have misunderstood my intent in matters concerning Syria/Russian relation. The alliance was always there, then and now. The single difference is, Russia is now seen as bigger, bolder and a much badder bear.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 21, 2016, 02:11:34 PM
Having worked for the UN, I can agree with you.   However, some effective international body is needed as a neutral body to prevent wars and serve international justice.  If not the UN, the world is totally dependent upon  international diplomacy among nations and alliances? 

As far as protecting human rights and supporting social progress, such programs can be done by NGOs with quite possibly  more efficiency.

Well, (as we both know) the UN is no longer a neutral body...I don't have the answer, Gator. All I know is the UN isn't it.

NGO's are good for immediate relief. However, they too are politicized for the most part and sometimes (not always) can cause more problems than they resolve.

Maybe with the new administration the UN will find itself again, who knows.

However, the security council is a sham and the general assembly considers the UN coffers their own personal ATM.

My own country was rightfully distancing itself from the entire UN concept but unfortunately, with the new government, which considers itself the godfather of all things UN, we're back in thick as thieves and as long as we (and any other country that) support(s) the organization in it's current incarnation nothing will change.

The positive in all this is the world governments that have supported (financed) the third world country club are being replaced (Merkel's next). The frumpy frau's finished and when she's out so will be Germany's financial support.

Hitting them in the pocket book might prompt some changes...

toptencontributers  (http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/operations/financing.shtml)

Edited link to reflect a more up to date list.

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 02:32:19 PM
...However, the security council is a sham and the general assembly considers the UN coffers their own personal ATM....

An aside (off-topic), UN and the open-ended coffer:

The 'transition' team had recently requested the names of USDE's scientists who created and presented the model to the UN about the impact of climate change. They refused.

When Mr. Perry gets to work, I hope he sues for this information under FOIA, and find out the whos and whats that were given to the UN committee, which led to a decision that the US needed to be *taxed* billion$/yr.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 21, 2016, 02:42:36 PM
I couldn't agree with you more Brass..

Even the Queen of Jordan, one of the two biggest host of Syrian refugees, had requested the UN to oust these refugees ASAP and send them all to Europe. Saying: "If Europe won't house these refugees, they will risk terrorism."

Turkey, one of the other 'host', calls the refugees 'guests'.

Neither one is no less spared with terrorism.

You have to wonder where these guys are...

Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC; Arabic: منظمة التعاون الإسلامي‎‎; French: Organisation de la Coopération Islamique), is an international organization founded in 1969 consisting of 57 member states, with a collective population of over 1.6 billion as of 2008. The organisation states that it is "the collective voice of the Muslim world" and works to "safeguard and protect the interests of the Muslim world in the spirit of promoting international peace and harmony".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organisation_of_Islamic_Cooperation

...They originally set themselves up as the Arab/Muslim world's UN...But not a peep. Nada. Nothing.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 21, 2016, 02:52:37 PM
An aside (off-topic), UN and the open-ended coffer:

The 'transition' team had recently requested the names of USDE's scientists who created and presented the model to the UN about the impact of climate change. They refused.

When Mr. Perry gets to work, I hope he sues for this information under FOIA, and find out the whos and whats that were given to the UN committee, which led to a decision that the US needed to be *taxed* billion$/yr.

..And where the money went/is going.

Brass
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 21, 2016, 04:09:26 PM
You have to wonder where these guys are...

Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC; Arabic: منظمة التعاون الإسلامي‎‎; French: Organisation de la Coopération Islamique), is an international organization founded in 1969 consisting of 57 member states, with a collective population of over 1.6 billion as of 2008. The organisation states that it is "the collective voice of the Muslim world" and works to "safeguard and protect the interests of the Muslim world in the spirit of promoting international peace and harmony".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organisation_of_Islamic_Cooperation

...They originally set themselves up as the Arab/Muslim world's UN...But not a peep. Nada. Nothing.

Brass

It's ironic it was founded in 1969, considering the Jordanians didn't want to have anything to do with the Palestinians. Treating them as 'non-citizens' when Transjordan was established, IINM. Eventually giving way to Yasser Arafat.

That's 3 years before the Munich tragedy.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 21, 2016, 07:46:02 PM
No win situation. We are damned if we do, and damned if we don't. So why bother?

Russia hasn't gained anything, or lost anything, it didn't already have before in Syria. Iran gaining Iraq only empathize my point as to why we need to bug out of these geo-political maneuvering.


Obama's half ass policies in Syria has allowed ISIS to grow. No telling how much ISIS would've grown if we didn't get involved at all. Syria isn't important to America. Stability of the Middle East is. It will be interesting to see how Trump's non interventionist policies are going to work. To get rid of terrorism, he's going to have to get involved in nation building to create stable nations that can hold their own against the terrorists.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 21, 2016, 08:44:05 PM
I realize things sometimes appear clearer from the rear view mirror, FT, but...based on the things you mentioned above, wouldn't be prudent to establish a 'safe zone' for these *refugees* instead? All things considered?
 
Well, the US can benefit if we screen good enough.  Try to determine which refugees would be a benefit in the long term.  We can motivated to work individuals.      I don't like the idea of the UN going into an area in Syria and making it their own. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 22, 2016, 11:21:26 AM
I’m with you regarding diversity FT, especially in terms of immigrants since I am one myself. One caveat I’d like to point out however is this…

Forget illegal immigration and (refugees which numbers in 100s of 1000s – plus visa lotteries) for now, but here are some interesting numbers we have…

How many immigrants reside in the United States?

The U.S. immigrant population stood at more than 42.4 million, or 13.3 percent, of the total U.S. population of 318.9 million in 2014, according to ACS data. Between 2013 and 2014, the foreign-born population increased by 1 million, or 2.5 percent.

Immigrants in the United States and their U.S.-born children now number approximately 81 million people, or 26 percent of the overall U.S. population.

•   Check out the Number and Share of Total U.S. Population, 1850-2014 in MPI’s Data Hub to see how the immigrant share of the overall population has fluctuated over time.

How many people immigrated to the United States last year?

In 2014, 1.3 million foreign-born individuals moved to the United States, an 11 percent increase from 1.2 million in 2013. India was the leading country of origin for new immigrants, with 147,500 arriving in 2014, followed by China with 131,800, Mexico with 130,000, Canada with 41,200, and the Philippines with 40,500….


Citation: http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/frequently-requested-statistics-immigrants-and-immigration-united-states/

Even our *very welcomed* Snowbird brothers and sisters up north, despite the wonderful social system they have, actually impacts immigration unto our population.

http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/canadian-immigrants-united-states

Maybe some of these snowbirds counseled the likes of Whoopie Goldberg et al about the stupidity of their conviction, no?

The point is, *real* unemployment (including those who settled for work far less than their qualification) is at around 10% of our population. This number doesn’t even include the much larger number of our African-American able-bodied brethren who are not in the labor force. We don't have enough jobs available for our own citizens, much less absorbing a few 100,000s more...

We are not, as many liberal media would like for everyone to believe, xenophobes. Hillary called me Deplorable No. 154,296 and LFU Irredeemable No. 69, but I would argue she's just full of it for making sh!t up. We welcome immigrants, if not invite them over, as long as they submit to our immigration policies and law.

Safe Zones…until all rational, logical and sane assessments can be made. Look at Germany, they don’t even have a clue who drove the truck, much less how to find him. They said they’re looking for someone who left behind his documents in the truck…whoever that idiot is, is still on the loose! How sad, wouldn't you say?

Anyway, to say Syrian refugees as a whole, despite a realistic unknown number who harness hatred against our society and culture, would be a positive addition unto the mix seem rather careless and callous to me, if not downright fatal. Unfortunately, this is the current climate with which we are confronted with today.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 23, 2016, 07:14:55 AM
I’m with you regarding diversity FT, especially in terms of immigrants since I am one myself. One caveat I’d like to point out however is this…

Forget illegal immigration and (refugees which numbers in 100s of 1000s – plus visa lotteries) for now, but here are some interesting numbers we have…

How many immigrants reside in the United States?

The U.S. immigrant population stood at more than 42.4 million, or 13.3 percent, of the total U.S. population of 318.9 million in 2014, according to ACS data. Between 2013 and 2014, the foreign-born population increased by 1 million, or 2.5 percent.

Immigrants in the United States and their U.S.-born children now number approximately 81 million people, or 26 percent of the overall U.S. population.

•   Check out the Number and Share of Total U.S. Population, 1850-2014 in MPI’s Data Hub to see how the immigrant share of the overall population has fluctuated over time.

How many people immigrated to the United States last year?

In 2014, 1.3 million foreign-born individuals moved to the United States, an 11 percent increase from 1.2 million in 2013. India was the leading country of origin for new immigrants, with 147,500 arriving in 2014, followed by China with 131,800, Mexico with 130,000, Canada with 41,200, and the Philippines with 40,500….


Citation: http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/frequently-requested-statistics-immigrants-and-immigration-united-states/ (http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/frequently-requested-statistics-immigrants-and-immigration-united-states/)

Even our *very welcomed* Snowbird brothers and sisters up north, despite the wonderful social system they have, actually impacts immigration unto our population.

http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/canadian-immigrants-united-states (http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/canadian-immigrants-united-states)

Maybe some of these snowbirds counseled the likes of Whoopie Goldberg et al about the stupidity of their conviction, no?

The point is, *real* unemployment (including those who settled for work far less than their qualification) is at around 10% of our population. This number doesn’t even include the much larger number of our African-American able-bodied brethren who are not in the labor force. We don't have enough jobs available for our own citizens, much less absorbing a few 100,000s more...

We are not, as many liberal media would like for everyone to believe, xenophobes. Hillary called me Deplorable No. 154,296 and LFU Irredeemable No. 69, but I would argue she's just full of it for making sh!t up. We welcome immigrants, if not invite them over, as long as they submit to our immigration policies and law.

Safe Zones…until all rational, logical and sane assessments can be made. Look at Germany, they don’t even have a clue who drove the truck, much less how to find him. They said they’re looking for someone who left behind his documents in the truck…whoever that idiot is, is still on the loose! How sad, wouldn't you say?

Anyway, to say Syrian refugees as a whole, despite a realistic unknown number who harness hatred against our society and culture, would be a positive addition unto the mix seem rather careless and callous to me, if not downright fatal. Unfortunately, this is the current climate with which we are confronted with today.
Thanks for making such a strong/reasoned case.


I'm still of the opinion that unemployment is low, and in the cases of those that are unemployed, it is mostly their own fault. Some don't want to work and are involved in illegal activity, others aren't able to function at a job for one reason or another.   There are jobs out there, many are not easy or pleasant jobs, but they are jobs.  Perhaps in some parts of the country the jobs are indeed gone, in those cases, people will have to move unless they can create their own work or work remotely. 


Regarding immigrants, I do see your point, and without a doubt when taking on immigrants, some extremists could slip in.   That is how it is which is terrible, but there is also a lot good people that get in, and in my opinion thus far the good outweighs the bad by a wide margin.    There is no perfect solution, but I would err on the side of having the nation/economy grow, and getting some people (that have been properly vetted)out of harm's way and giving them the chance to be a productive member of our society.  We have a lot of old people that want to be cared for or waited on hand and foot, and not enough younger people to cater to their desires! 


Your posts and LFU's posts don't come across as 'deplorable', but I've read some other 'patriot's' posts which DO come across that way.  I appreciate your take on things as being completely valid, and although we may not agree entirely, we agree on enough to probably hammer out a viable enough solution if we were the decision makers.


Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 27, 2016, 06:57:53 AM
Russia calls U.S. move to better arm Syrian rebels a 'hostile act'

The US for the first time since the Syrian civil war commenced in 2011 approved supplying shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles to unspecified rebel groups in Syria. 

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-russia-usa-idUSKBN14G0K0?feedType=RSS&virtualBrandChannel=11563

The civil war in Syria has many fronts, involving different rebel groups ranging from Islamic extremists to Kurds to Christians.  Turkey supports one rebel group yet opposes the Kurdish rebels.    The US bombs ISIS yet does not bomb Assad even after Assad violated Obama's red line.  Russia bombs rebels directly fighting Assad, with minimal bombing of ISIS. 

The US support of rebels groups fighting Assad  has not been significant.  We have supplied light arms captured in Libya. And lacking defenses against aerial bombardments,  the rebel stronghold in Aleppo eventually fell. 

Assad with Russian and Iranian support will next attempt to capture rebel strongholds elsewhere in Syria.  If these rebels have better anti-aircraft defenses they will reduce the aerial bombardments seen in Aleppo.  It will keep the war going for a long time, and draw Russia in more of a quagmire.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 27, 2016, 09:19:09 AM
Russia calls U.S. move to better arm Syrian rebels a 'hostile act'

The US for the first time since the Syrian civil war commenced in 2011 approved supplying shoulder-fired anti-aircraft missiles to unspecified rebel groups in Syria. 

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-russia-usa-idUSKBN14G0K0?feedType=RSS&virtualBrandChannel=11563 (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-russia-usa-idUSKBN14G0K0?feedType=RSS&virtualBrandChannel=11563)

The civil war in Syria has many fronts, involving different rebel groups ranging from Islamic extremists to Kurds to Christians.  Turkey supports one rebel group yet opposes the Kurdish rebels.    The US bombs ISIS yet does not bomb Assad even after Assad violated Obama's red line.  Russia bombs rebels directly fighting Assad, with minimal bombing of ISIS. 

The US support of rebels groups fighting Assad  has not been significant.  We have supplied light arms captured in Libya. And lacking defenses against aerial bombardments,  the rebel stronghold in Aleppo eventually fell. 

Assad with Russian and Iranian support will next attempt to capture rebel strongholds elsewhere in Syria.  If these rebels have better anti-aircraft defenses they will reduce the aerial bombardments seen in Aleppo.  It will keep the war going for a long time, and draw Russia in more of a quagmire.
Of course it is a hostile act for the USA to start arming rebels, especially when we know darn well that many of the weapons will wind up in the hands of ISIS.  We have no business in Syria, whereas Russia has been invited by the elected government to assist in the eradication of US backed 'rebel forces'. 


Trump has proposed something like 1 trillion for infrastructure improvement. Hopefully he substitutes that for our 'help' in the Syrian conflict, since it appears our main agenda is just to keep the killing/destruction going.  The most modern infrastructure and the 12 million illegal alien work force (and their offspring) may give us further opportunity to compete with other nations, whereas if we continue to rely on military intimidation, and old entitled chuckleheads in the work force, we wont stand a chance going forward!


Fathertime! 
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 27, 2016, 11:30:35 AM
The sources aren't the most credible, but does anyone think that the US government
under Team Obama/Clinton/Kerry couldn't have sent arms to the "bad terrorists" in
addition to the "good terrorists?" Is there anybody who thinks they might have
hired people with questionable reliability to guard the mission in Benghazi?

TURKEY’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has claimed he has
“confirmed evidence” US-led forces have supported ISIS.


The head of state claims the coalition has given support to terror groups including
ISIS and Kurdish militant groups YPG and PYD.

Erdogan said “it’s very clear” the US is supporting terror groups in a damning
press conference in Ankara.

He said: “They were accusing us of supporting Daesh (Islamic State).

“Now they give support to terrorist groups including Daesh, YPG, PYD. It’s very clear.
We have confirmed evidence, with pictures, photos and videos.”

read about it here
http://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2484782/turkeys-president-tayyip-erdogan-claims-us-led-coalition-forces-have-supported-isis/


US-led forces have 'supported ISIS', claims Turkish president
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/573386/US-led-forces-supported-ISIS-Turkey-President-Erdogan-claims-Syria-fight

Does the US Fund Terror? Erdogan Says Turkey Has Evidence Washington
Supports ISIS, Kurds

http://www.ibtimes.com/does-us-fund-terror-erdogan-says-turkey-has-evidence-washington-supports-isis-kurds-2465915

Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on December 27, 2016, 11:39:52 AM
Team Hillary wanted to help the good terrorists

WikiLeaks CONFIRMS Hillary Sold Weapons to ISIS… Then Drops Another BOMBSHELL!

Read more: http://www.thepoliticalinsider.com/wikileaks-confirms-hillary-sold-weapons-isis-drops-another-bombshell-breaking-news/#ixzz4U46IWGON
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 27, 2016, 12:57:04 PM
...
Does the US Fund Terror? Erdogan Says Turkey Has Evidence Washington
Supports ISIS, Kurds


"The future does not belong to those who slander the Prophet of Islam!"

Barack Hussein Obama
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on December 27, 2016, 02:35:45 PM
I think it is true that USA supports the Kurds . . . to some degree.

And even moreso, we hold that out as weapon to get Turkey to do what we want Turkey to do.

i.e. We will fully support Kurds in their quest for an independent nation,  if Turkey doesn't do what we want.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 27, 2016, 04:24:51 PM
The Kurds for the most part are "good guys." 

The Kurdish population in the Middle East numbers about 25-35 million in the countries of Turkey, Iran, Iraq and Syria.  They were forgotten when the French and English divided the Ottoman Empire into separate nations.  Syria Kurds number only about 2 million. 

The Kurds in Iraq have more independence than Kurds in other nations, yet are still part of sovereign Iraq.   The Iraqi Kurdish militia, with US support,  is helping in the fight against ISIS in Mosul. 

The greatest enemy of the Kurds is Turkey, where 12-20 million Kurds reside.  The Turkey Kurds include two rebel groups recognized as terrorists who have caused many deaths in Turkey, usually against police and military, in typical terrorist attacks.  . 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 27, 2016, 10:09:09 PM
Russia has been invited by the elected government to assist in the eradication of US backed 'rebel forces'. 


Assad's recent Ba'ath Party has been winning recent rigged elections. Originally the Ba'ath Party couldn't win a presidential election so they took over in a coup.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 28, 2016, 09:51:33 AM
Assad's recent Ba'ath Party has been winning recent rigged elections. Originally the Ba'ath Party couldn't win a presidential election so they took over in a coup.


I don't know about Syria's election result being fraudulent. 


Besides look at what people are saying about our own elections.  A guy wins with a minority of support, and millions less votes than the loser.  Other people are claiming there are millions of illegal ballets being cast by illegals.  It seems rather hollow for us to start dictating to a country like Syria that their election is rigged or corrupt.  We certainly don't need to be fomenting war any more than we already have, especially on the basis of their election process!






Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 28, 2016, 10:15:58 AM

I don't know about Syria's election result being fraudulent. 


Besides look at what people are saying about our own elections.  A guy wins with a minority of support, and millions less votes than the loser.  Other people are claiming there are millions of illegal ballets being cast by illegals.  It seems rather hollow for us to start dictating to a country like Syria that their election is rigged or corrupt.  We certainly don't need to be fomenting war any more than we already have, especially on the basis of their election process!


Google is everyone's friend, FT. Even Al Asaad. All he would have to do is Google what Electoral College is in our election process and I doubt they've be as dense & stumped as many of our liberal voters and Hollywood celebrities alike here in the US.

I do agree with you with your last sentence though.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 28, 2016, 12:08:57 PM

I don't know about Syria's election result being fraudulent. 
Surely you jest..?

Prior to the 'Arab Springs' the Asads Presidencies were never contested ..  A 'Presidential election' was held in June 2014 - he faced two 'candidates'.. All opposition factions boycotted the 'elections'

As only the govt held areas could vote - the UN's Sec Gen - Ban Ki Moon warned, ''that the elections are likely to worsen the situation, saying they "will damage the political process and hamper the prospects for a political solution that the country so urgently needs."

http://edition.cnn.com/2014/06/03/world/meast/syria-election/index.html (http://edition.cnn.com/2014/06/03/world/meast/syria-election/index.html)

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 28, 2016, 06:46:19 PM

I don't know about Syria's election result being fraudulent. 


I have some friends from Iraq and Saddam's Ba'ath Party in the past has people packing guns at voter locations watching voters fill out their ballots. Saddam routinely got 100% of the votes.

Assad got 100% of the votes every election except in 2014 in the middle of Syria's civil war. To please the people so they'd put their arms down, Assad finally allowed more than one person on the ballot! This generous gesture of providing a "choice" for a president hasn't been offered to the Syrian people in decades. Assad got almost 90% of the vote in the 2014 election. I think there is much more than 10% of the population that hates him so obviously the elections are rigged. Syrian people are tired of over 46 years of Assad family rule. This is the kind of man and government Russia likes to support and do business with.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/04/bashar-al-assad-winds-reelection-in-landslide-victory

Besides look at what people are saying about our own elections.  A guy wins with a minority of support, and millions less votes than the loser.  Other people are claiming there are millions of illegal ballets being cast by illegals.  It seems rather hollow for us to start dictating to a country like Syria that their election is rigged or corrupt.  We certainly don't need to be fomenting war any more than we already have, especially on the basis of their election process!


Our country is pretty much even split on politics yet neither the liberals or conservatives are not at the point of risking our homes, lives, and our families futures by rebelling against those in power with violence and loss of life. If any future president is anything like Assad, we'd get to the point the Syrian people are at.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 28, 2016, 07:59:43 PM
I have some friends from Iraq and Saddam's Ba'ath Party in the past has people packing guns at voter locations watching voters fill out their ballots. Saddam routinely got 100% of the votes.

Assad got 100% of the votes every election except in 2014 in the middle of Syria's civil war. To please the people so they'd put their arms down, Assad finally allowed more than one person on the ballot! This generous gesture of providing a "choice" for a president hasn't been offered to the Syrian people in decades. Assad got almost 90% of the vote in the 2014 election. I think there is much more than 10% of the population that hates him so obviously the elections are rigged. Syrian people are tired of over 46 years of Assad family rule. This is the kind of man and government Russia likes to support and do business with.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/04/bashar-al-assad-winds-reelection-in-landslide-victory (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/04/bashar-al-assad-winds-reelection-in-landslide-victory)

Our country is pretty much even split on politics yet neither the liberals or conservatives are not at the point of risking our homes, lives, and our families futures by rebelling against those in power with violence and loss of life. If any future president is anything like Assad, we'd get to the point the Syrian people are at.


Well Billy, here is a little article about Assad in the last election before the 'rebels' sprang upon the scene.  Syria, like many countries,  have their own way of doing things, and I can respect it.  Stability and slow change weren't so bad.


It isn't our place to interfere/foment.


[size=78%]http://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/may/28/syria.ianblack (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/may/28/syria.ianblack)[/size]


Fathertime!   



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on December 28, 2016, 10:55:31 PM
Stability and slow change weren't so bad.


Syria is ranked third on the misery index. Assad's brand of ruling is pretty bad. If he had an ounce of love for his people, he would resign so they stop fighting, take a few hundred million dollars worth of tax payer money and retire in Russia for the security. Instead he chooses to slaughter civilians that disagree with his politics and pay Russia for assistance. Syrians, their children and their children's children are going to owe Russia for a long time.

http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/the-misery-index-reveals-the-worst-countries-to-live-in.html

It isn't our place to interfere/foment.


Large nations always had influence in smaller nations and always will. China and Russia understand for them to become top dog, they need more land and/or influence to get past America since they can't achieve this goal within their own country. Becoming pacifists will get us to the same place as other pacifist nations and peoples...extinct. They only thing keeping Russia and China from breaking loose is the thought America will get involved with the nations they want to conquer/influence.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 29, 2016, 12:38:52 AM

Google is everyone's friend, FT.

It clearly wasn't FT's re his astounding lack of knowledge re Syria

Then he compounds it by posting an article - suggesting it predates the Arab Spring demonstrations - that brought about Assad's ''elections' ..




I doubt they've be as dense & stumped as many of our liberal voters and Hollywood celebrities alike here in the US.

Indeed more 'dense' folks voted for the other 'guy' and the 'winner's' tweet - from Nov '12 - telling us how 'undemocratic' the EC system is makes for amusing reading ...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on December 29, 2016, 05:49:18 AM
Syria is ranked third on the misery index. Assad's brand of ruling is pretty bad. If he had an ounce of love for his people, he would resign so they stop fighting, take a few hundred million dollars worth of tax payer money and retire in Russia for the security. Instead he chooses to slaughter civilians that disagree with his politics and pay Russia for assistance. Syrians, their children and their children's children are going to owe Russia for a long time.

http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/the-misery-index-reveals-the-worst-countries-to-live-in.html (http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/the-misery-index-reveals-the-worst-countries-to-live-in.html)

Large nations always had influence in smaller nations and always will. China and Russia understand for them to become top dog, they need more land and/or influence to get past America since they can't achieve this goal within their own country. Becoming pacifists will get us to the same place as other pacifist nations and peoples...extinct. They only thing keeping Russia and China from breaking loose is the thought America will get involved with the nations they want to conquer/influence.


I'm almost surprised it isn't first on the misery index given the ongoing war.  I don't think Assad is going to pack up and leave because people from the US are telling him he brand of leadership is pretty bad.  We don't need to be trying to influence their country, and if we feel the need, then we certainly shouldn't bellyache about Russia doing the same, or even doing what they can to influence our own elections.




It clearly wasn't FT's re his astounding lack of knowledge re Syria

Then he compounds it by posting an article - suggesting it predates the Arab Spring demonstrations - that brought about Assad's ''elections' ..
.
:ROFL:


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 29, 2016, 08:44:51 AM
LMAO! While the likes of you (RWD members living thousands of miles out of our country, yet feverishly involve themselves in debates about its politics armed only with regurgitated liberal news fed off by our media) are generally stuck in 1st gear, you on the other hand is fully engaged in reverse.

Ignorant is as ignorant does...I'll humor your pitiful soul one time as I realize it must sux to high heavens having to 'wait' for more trashy liberal news to reinforce your delusions.

You commented:

Quote
...Indeed more 'dense' folks voted for the other 'guy' and the 'winner's' tweet - from Nov '12 - telling us how 'undemocratic' the EC system is makes for amusing reading ...

Okay. Now you need stay with me here as I know you'll find this incredibly difficult to understand much less comprehend. But I'll try nonetheless. It will be substantially different than what you normally immerse yourself with reading your usual tabloids.

Donald J. Trump may in fact still be of the opinion that our electoral college system is 'undemocratic', but he also understood the virtue of such a process. I, for one, subscribe to the same notion. THIS IS WHY HE WAS, and IS, a brilliant presidential candidate. And LARGELY why, he now is our president-elect and soon to be POTUS. He understood the *rules* despite skepticism, and fully engaged himself with it.

Now stay with me, I'll make this very simple just for you....

Knowing the virtue of the electoral college, DJT composed and planned, then implemented, his presidential campaign run accordingly. He knew where the 'red/blue states' are, He also knew exactly where the 'swing states' are, which had generally been 'blue' leaning and had even been recently pegged as the 'blue wall states' because those states largely carried Democrats in recent elections. He understood the recent election history and planned his campaign strategy.

He took the time to find out why that was, what the current living conditions of its populations, what effect did the Democratic administration/s had done to/for them...and what the underlying reason/s why...then he brilliantly equated what a candidate like himself can do to stop the erosion of those people's livelihood.

He then campaigned *heavily* within those states. Customarily reinforced states that are generally conservative, only to return to these swing states and campaigned some more. Donald *hit* states like California, Washington, Oregon, and even New York - with but a token 'visit', He hit California, IIRC, 4-5 times. That's during both the primaries AND the presidential, and two of *visits* were to raise funds (One in the Bay area and Tulare County). He knew these states will be blue - why rally and neglect states he knew he had to win over to ELECTORALLY win this election.

So...chew on that a bit and appreciate the beauty of our process and the brilliance of our upcoming POTUS.

You call Trump's supporters 'dense', yet blokes like you are still at the mercy of a *useless* 90-year old woman you hail as your *queen* for decades. One who doesn't really do anything other than sit around on her aging buttocks, and is only seen hosting huge lavish birthday parties and smiling when she gets out on those massive parades waving to her feeble-minded adoring minions as if to rub their miserable faces with it.

It's incredibly hysterical to me to see YOU having an opinion about our republic and its system, while ignoring your own state with yours. Pathetic, actually.

So msmob, you should've just confined yourself arguing about how safe Tupelov planes are, or at the very least, put up a fight against reality that you really hate the term 'MOB' despite the reality you not only fully subscribed to it, but continue to immerse yourself with it.

LMAO, gotta sux to be you...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 29, 2016, 12:05:27 PM
LMAO! While the likes of you (RWD members living thousands of miles out of our country, yet feverishly involve themselves in debates about its politics armed only with regurgitated liberal news fed off by our media) are generally stuck in 1st gear, you on the other hand is fully engaged in reverse.

Let me see

THIS was a thread about Syria and Russia .. and you are discussing nations thousands of miles away and referring to one section of the US electorate as dense [ minus the parenthesis ] ....Do you understand irony ?

I'll humor your pitiful soul one time as I realize it must sux to high heavens having to 'wait' for more trashy liberal news to reinforce your delusions.

'newsflash' Some of us enjoy reading the news from many sources ..  I think you may be addressing the mirror re the rest of your post. I am in Russia and have far more interesting things to do ... it does not involve reading tabloids .. 

Spockoinoi nochi i sladi snov ..




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 29, 2016, 12:56:31 PM
Let me see

THIS was a thread about Syria and Russia .. and you are discussing nations thousands of miles away and referring to one section of the US electorate as dense [ minus the parenthesis ] ....Do you understand irony ?

'newsflash' Some of us enjoy reading the news from many sources ..  I think you may be addressing the mirror re the rest of your post. I am in Russia and have far more interesting things to do ... it does not involve reading tabloids .. 

Spockoinoi nochi i sladi snov ..

Well, I'm glad I finally got the point across...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on December 29, 2016, 01:34:00 PM
One who doesn't really do anything other than sit around on her aging buttocks, and is only seen hosting huge lavish birthday parties and smiling when she gets out on those massive parades waving to her feeble-minded adoring minions as if to rub their miserable faces with it.



She's getting out a little more these days and finally went to see where the commoners buy their food.


(http://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2016/10/28/a17f6994-34b2-44f2-bfbb-40fed22f63ee/thumbnail/620x350g2/72bb48bfd33bd989b31203f44e4968d0/gettyimages-618581234.jpg)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on December 29, 2016, 01:41:39 PM
That is a very unfair characterization of Her Majesty.  She is involved in affairs of state, and she works her tail off, even at 90 years old. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on December 29, 2016, 07:24:17 PM
That is a very unfair characterization of Her Majesty.  She is involved in affairs of state, and she works her tail off, even at 90 years old.

Love "The Crown" on Netflix. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on December 30, 2016, 04:00:19 AM
That is a very unfair characterization of Her Majesty.  She is involved in affairs of state, and she works her tail off, even at 90 years old.

Agreed.  And I very much doubt that many (any?) of the current membership of this Forum will even reach 90 years old, let alone be working as hard as the Queen does when they get to that milestone.  I also doubt that any British monarch (apart from Edward VIII) ever "retired" as such, whatever their age when they died.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 30, 2016, 07:47:35 AM

She's getting out a little more these days and finally went to see where the commoners buy their food.



'Poor' 'ol  LFU..

You DO know HM is in a branch of Waitrose ...the 'commoners' can't afford to shop there ...

Thank you for demonstrating you in depth knowledge of UK brands and lifestyle choices ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on December 30, 2016, 10:11:55 AM
'Poor' 'ol  LFU..

You DO know HM is in a branch of Waitrose ...the 'commoners' can't afford to shop there ...

Thank you for demonstrating you in depth knowledge of UK brands and lifestyle choices ;)


Duh, I thought everyone knew THAT hence the joke.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 30, 2016, 10:16:29 AM

She's getting out a little more these days and finally went to see where the commoners buy their food.


(http://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2016/10/28/a17f6994-34b2-44f2-bfbb-40fed22f63ee/thumbnail/620x350g2/72bb48bfd33bd989b31203f44e4968d0/gettyimages-618581234.jpg)

LOL! That pictures begs for a caption. She looks lost!

It looks as though she needed to pee really bad, and her subjects played a practical joke and hid. Leaving her alone to figure out where she is.

LOL! Heard from the PA system: "Mop-up on aisle 11, please!"
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Brasscasing on December 30, 2016, 11:00:59 AM
LOL! That pictures begs for a caption. She looks lost!

It looks as though she needed to pee really bad, and her subjects played a practical joke and hid. Leaving her alone to figure out where she is.

LOL! Heard from the PA system: "Mop-up on aisle 11, please!"

There are a number of more complementary (although no less captionable)  images of the supermarket (apparently brought to the region by non other than Prince Charles himself)...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/28/queen-visits-waitrose-in-prince-charless-village-poundbury/

(http://i.huffpost.com/gen/4810550/thumbs/o-QUEEN-ELIZABETH-900.jpg?3)

...There's a caption here somewhere.

(http://www.trbimg.com/img-5813c0d0/turbine/la-et-st-britain-royals-poundbury-waitrose-20161028/600)

"No, really... I'm serious. Get out of my way, let me use the washroom and you're all dubbed Knights and Dames of the realm. Now move!! "

Brass

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 30, 2016, 11:26:53 AM

LOL! Heard from the PA system: "Mop-up on aisle 11, please!"

Perhaps you think posting this might 'rile' ?

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 30, 2016, 11:39:31 AM
...
(http://i.huffpost.com/gen/4810550/thumbs/o-QUEEN-ELIZABETH-900.jpg?3)

TURITSCDUKTCTQ*: “Oh dear now Philip, I have cautioned you plenty of time before if you cannot manage to keep your clickers fastened, never go out in public.”

Philip: “Oh come now my dear hag-gy and keep looking for it. How do you expect me to remain proper and composed while having to be dealt with your uncontrollable gaseous habit at every step? Stop making little steps, too while you're at it.

El Charlie: “Hurry on now family. Let’s piffy-on! I am not sure how much longer need I bear breathing the stench emanating from our adoring feeble-minded minions…

* The unelected ruler in the so-called democratic UK they call their ‘queen’
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on December 30, 2016, 11:44:20 AM


(http://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2016/10/28/a17f6994-34b2-44f2-bfbb-40fed22f63ee/thumbnail/620x350g2/72bb48bfd33bd989b31203f44e4968d0/gettyimages-618581234.jpg)




haha 


" Wait, did you say people scan and pay for their own food?"


"Excuse me, but do you have grey poupon?"


(http://i.huffpost.com/gen/4810550/thumbs/o-QUEEN-ELIZABETH-900.jpg?3)


"Did anyone find Philip's bottom teeth?"


"Has anyone seen those little blue pills?"
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 30, 2016, 11:49:03 AM
Perhaps you think posting this might 'rile' ?

Who cares what YOU think?

You ought to take a cue from your own PM:""We do not believe that it is appropriate to attack the composition of the democratically-elected government of an ally,"
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 30, 2016, 11:53:55 AM
Who cares what YOU think?

You ought to take a cue from your own PM:""We do not believe that it is appropriate to attack the composition of the democratically-elected government of an ally,"

I'm now quite sure you are inattentive

What has your puerile and ignorant 'SOH' got to do with Russians playing Americans - which your  President Elect has played down ?



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on December 30, 2016, 12:04:47 PM
I'm now quite sure you are inattentive

What has your puerile and ignorant 'SOH' got to do with Russians playing Americans - which your  President Elect has played down ?


Russians caused Brexit as well, right?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on December 30, 2016, 12:16:11 PM
I'm now quite sure you are inattentive

What has your puerile and ignorant 'SOH' got to do with Russians playing Americans - which your  President Elect has played down ?

Oh now you tuck your slimy tail between your legs! LMAO. I was more than *attentive* addressing your sorry-arse quip below just to put you in your miserable place. As stated, it was a one-time banger, duffy.

...Indeed more 'dense' folks voted for the other 'guy' and the 'winner's' tweet - from Nov '12 - telling us how 'undemocratic' the EC system is makes for amusing reading ...

So go back a few if you're more than a step off these days...

You, OTOH, really are slower than January molasses on the uptake.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on December 31, 2016, 01:05:11 AM
I was more than *attentive* addressing your sorry-arse quip below just to put you in your miserable place.

To have done THAT- you'd have had to addressed your totally missing the delicious irony in your 'put down' viz my non proximity to the USA... while you offer up your 'wisdom' re the UK / Syria ....


You, OTOH, really are slower than January molasses on the uptake.

:)  Be careful to not cut yourself when addressing the face you see in your shaving mirror... if your blade is anything like as 'sharp' as your 'wit'...

In the meantime, the thread is STILL about Russia / Syria...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on January 03, 2017, 10:03:56 AM
To have done THAT- you'd have had to addressed your totally missing the delicious irony in your 'put down' viz my non proximity to the USA... while you offer up your 'wisdom' re the UK / Syria ....


:)  Be careful to not cut yourself when addressing the face you see in your shaving mirror... if your blade is anything like as 'sharp' as your 'wit'...

In the meantime, the thread is STILL about Russia / Syria...

LMAO! Likely riposte from someone who didn't have a clue,..
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on January 04, 2017, 07:45:13 AM
LMAO! Likely riposte from someone who didn't have a clue,..

Said the guy who's never BEEN to Syria writing to the guy in Russia - who's no stranger to crossing the pond - that sort of 'clueless' ?


Quote from: LFU

Russians caused Brexit as well, right?

Whist I'm sure the Kremlin would be pleased to see the EU fragment - I'm sure you you'd have heard - from our security services - if that was the case ...

Ah, you were being 'witty' - sorry




Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on March 11, 2017, 06:33:55 AM
Russia has worked with Assad and have squashed much of Isis, reports say.   Now, Trump has decided that US troops are required to be in Syria, without permission of he Syrian government.  Invaders is what we are called.   How is it, that the USA can be permitted to enter other countries without permission?   So is Trump going to start intervening in internal affairs of other nations?


Assad says yet to see real steps on Islamic State by Trump, U.S. forces 'invaders'


Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said he had yet to see "anything concrete" from U.S. President Donald Trump over his vow to defeat Islamic State and called U.S. forces in Syria "invaders" because they were there without government permission.

Assad, in an interview with Chinese TV station Phoenix, said "in theory" he still saw scope for cooperation with Trump though practically nothing had happened in this regard.

Assad said Trump's campaign pledge to prioritize the defeat of Islamic State had been "a promising approach" but added: "We haven't seen anything concrete yet ....


http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-assad-idUSKBN16I0AU (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-assad-idUSKBN16I0AU)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on March 11, 2017, 11:58:30 PM
FT,

IF one has been following the grey area on maps like these ...http://isis.liveuamap.com/ (http://isis.liveuamap.com/)


 Assad would see how the USA led coalition has been helping  - maintain his regime.   

He doesn't control the territory and why let Daesh fleeing from Iraq regroup ?
Title: Trump ordered Tomahawk strikes on al Assad air base !
Post by: msmob on April 06, 2017, 11:15:46 PM
Woke up to find 'Tramp' has sent a signal to al Assad that he thinks the attacked base was the one used to bomb civilians and drop gas in Homs province.

Apparently, the Kremlin was warned of the attack.

Is this a one off or the start of a sea change in policy? 

'Tramp' seemed to accept al Assad had to stay as part of an anti Daesh operation...

And now ?!...

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on April 07, 2017, 08:12:09 AM
From another thread. 

Trump hits Syrian airbase with 59 Tomahawk Missiles


Obama's foreign policy failed everywhere, especially in the Middle East.  Russia and Iran took advantage of Obama's mistakes and became the major powers in the region.  Seemingly the two have a plan to destabilize eventually the Middle East, which would raise oil prices and benefit both immeasurably.   

Like you, given America's withdrawal from the Middle East,  I was content to let Arabs continue to kill each other the way they have been doing for a thousand years.   However, the humanitarian cost is unacceptably high.  Europe did little, yet it at least accepted the refugees, something I do not want America to do.

Trump met this week with the head of Jordan and Egypt.  Earlier he met with a couple of Gulf states.  I am certain these moderate nations were begging Trump to do something in the Middle East to reverse the trend started by Obama.  After the gas attack,  I believe we had to do something, especially after the UN failed to pass any resolution in the Security Council.  And Trump did exactly that. 


Was it enough?  IMO, no.  This cruise missile attack tonight was too little, and we warned Russia beforehand.  We spent a lot of money to destroy some old aircraft.    I thought we would have at least tested our new military toys against Russian toys, especially the new Russian air defense missiles.   I doubt this attack will change anything with regard to Assad's war against his people (other than he will not use chemical weapons for a while).  This attack did not frighten the chubby kid ruler of  North Korea.   However, it may have caught Putin's attention enough to destroy his opinion that America is a pussy.  And it should demonstrate to moderate Arab nations that the US did not abandon them. 

I say we need to do more of this, but no ground warfare.
Title: Re: Trump ordered Tomahawk strikes on al Assad air base !
Post by: Gator on April 07, 2017, 08:14:56 AM
Moby, I will answer you in the long running Syrian thread. 

 (I did answer you but somehow it vanished)

In summary: 

1.   Trump will not order another attack unless Assad/Russians escalate, something that is possible but not likely.  I say not likely because Russia decided not to intercept the Tomahawk missiles last night with its air defense missiles currently positioned in Syria.   However, I do expect Putin to make some show of strength, maybe send his coal-fired aircraft carrier to the Med. 

2.  Meanwhile Trump's policy will be to assert "Assad must go" and his actions will be the same as Obama's - do nothing significant.

3.  Europe should take the lead for two reasons:
          a.  Refugees from Syria spill over into Europe, not the US.
          b.  Russia's long term goal is to work with Shia nations to destabilize the Middle East, thereby greatly increasing oil prices (this will affect Europe more than the US because the US is energy independent).

4.  Do I expect Europe to take the lead?  No.  Do I expect the UN to do something?  No.  Somebody must stand up to heinous acts against humanity.   
Title: Re: Trump ordered Tomahawk strikes on al Assad air base !
Post by: GQBlues on April 07, 2017, 11:56:20 AM
...
3.  Europe should take the lead for two reasons:
          a.  Refugees from Syria spill over into Europe, not the US.
          b.  Russia's long term goal is to work with Shia nations to destabilize the Middle East, thereby greatly increasing oil prices (this will affect Europe more than the US because the US is energy independent).

4.  Do I expect Europe to take the lead?  No.  Do I expect the UN to do something?  No.  Somebody must stand up to heinous acts against humanity.

Like the driest sense of humor ever shown on this board. That should've been posted on the 'Time for some Humor' thread.

You get a nugget for wishful thinking however.
Title: Re: Trump ordered Tomahawk strikes on al Assad air base !
Post by: Gator on April 07, 2017, 12:37:36 PM
Like the driest sense of humor ever shown on this board. That should've been posted on the 'Time for some Humor' thread.

You get a nugget for wishful thinking however.

Surely it is not in the same league of wishful thinking as pitbull's fantasy of Trump being convicted of treason?   ;D

I have read few accounts of Europe's response to Trump's strike on the Syrian air base.  This one suggests France is supportive yet says the world should focus on a diplomatic solution.

 http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-idUSKBN1790MQ

Europe is not necessarily a pansy ass.  Widely reported in the 2013 redline incident is the  fact the French had jet fighters in the air ready to join an attack against Assad, only to recall them after Obama made a deal with Putin.   Slight difference then vs. now - Russia had not yet deployed in Syria its air force and its S-300 air defense missiles.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 07, 2017, 03:00:19 PM
Thanks for the response, Phil

I think the Syrians MIGHT have S400's ...   but as you pointed out  - there was no  action taken to defend - but possibly there were too many and it would have looked 'bad; if any had got through ? I'm guessing some of those Tomahawks had primary targets - Radar defence systems - if they went active. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 07, 2017, 03:14:08 PM

How can there be ANY chemical weapons in Syria? One reason Obama didn't act when Syria crossed the red line was that Russia got Assad to agree to get rid of all chemical weapons. We all know how good Obama and Russia are to get rid of a bad thing when they team up. Iran isn't going to nukes either.....right?

I'm glad Trump took swift action. Discipline is a good thing. This attack on Syria sends out a lot of messages beyond punishing Assad. It tells China to get tough on North Korea, it tells North Korea Trump means what he says. It tells Russia they better persuade Assad to behave and play by the Geneva convention rules of warfare. Liberals may see Trump's actions as a bad thing but I see it saving lives, especially those who are innocent having nothing to do with the war.

Trump wanted to improve relations with Russia as long as they are a productive member of the world community. Trump a few days ago said he's open to having Assad as the leader of Syria. Assad took that message as if he could turn up the heat on the rebels. Assad was wrong.

Russia has stopped cooperating on notifying USA about air missions after the US strike on Syrian troops. Lack of cooperation in the air increases the chances of them or us getting shot down from each other. Maybe Trump will finally figure out Russia isn't on board the his program for a greater America and better world?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on April 07, 2017, 03:54:03 PM
Thanks for the response, Phil

I think the Syrians MIGHT have S400's ...   but as you pointed out  - there was no  action taken to defend - but possibly there were too many and it would have looked 'bad; if any had got through ?

The last time Russian military equipment tangled with American military equipment occurred in the brief Persian Gulf war.   Two tank battles resulted in total annihilation of the Iraqi unit with minimal American losses.

Battle of Medina Ridge (2/27/1991)
                    American losses:  2 killed, 4 tanks destroyed
                    Iraqi losses:   186 tanks destroyed

Battle of 73 Easting (2/26/1991) (included British armored unit)

                    American/British losses:  1 killed, 0 tanks destroyed (lost one Bradley)
                    Iraqi losses:  160 tanks destroyed

You could be right - the Russians did not want to repeat that lopsided score.



Quote
I'm guessing some of those Tomahawks had primary targets - Radar defence systems - if they went active.

I am not sure how that works.  The Tomahawks fly 100 feet off the deck so they can not pick up radar easily.  There must be drones all over the place collecting data calculated by battle control.    (I admit I know little about modern ordnance). 

I recall the Yemen Houthi fired two missiles  at US Naval ships in the Red Sea.  The second time, the Navy  backtracked the missile's radar and hit the station.  The Houthi did not fire a third missile.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 07, 2017, 04:13:44 PM


I'm glad Trump took swift action.

There should have been a Tomahawk planted right on the top of Assad's roof >:D
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 07, 2017, 04:19:00 PM
I think the Syrians MIGHT have S400's ... 

 

The Syrians do not have S400s. The Russians have those anti aircraft missiles in Syria though. Russia isn't going to let anybody handle their best technology, a technology that might be able to detect our best stealth aircraft. I'm sure Russia used the radar of the S400 in Syria to learn if it can detect our F-22s. With air superiority over the rebels, there's no reason for those missiles to be in Syria.

I am not sure how that works.  The Tomahawks fly 100 feet off the deck so they can not pick up radar easily.  There must be drones all over the place collecting data calculated by battle control.    (I admit I know little about modern ordnance). 


America's military already know where primary targets are even if we're not involved in the conflict against the Syrian military. This intelligence is gathered prior just in case the intelligence is needed in the future. The future happened yesterday.

in the early 90's a reporter reported he watch a Tomahawk fly low around the city of Bagdad. It then targeted a building. It flew around the building to enter through it's front door. Today's Tomahawks are even better.

Sometimes we have bombers flying in the sky 24/7 waiting to be called on. Special forces on the ground point a laser at a target hundreds or thousands of feet away and soon later it blows up. Smart bombs of the 90's could fly into an air duct on a roof an explode in the center of the building for maximum effect. I could go on. Let's just say America will dominate a conventional war against anybody.

There should have been a Tomahawk planted right on the top of Assad's roof >:D

Specifically targeting leaders of nations opens a can of worms that Trump may not like when it's his turn to be targeted. I also believe it's against international law for leaders to target other leaders for termination....but accidents do happen. ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 07, 2017, 04:59:26 PM

 
Specifically targeting leaders of nations opens a can of worms

What comes to mind would be Muammar Gaddafy .. Hosni Mubarak..Saddam Hussein.
You know...Michael Flynn was fired [by Obama] because he expressed disagreement with Barry's soft stance on Islamic extremism.
Think he will ever get an apology from someone who refused to say those very words?
In my book Assad is no 'leader'.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on July 04, 2017, 05:52:16 PM
Not so much Syria, but connected.  This is an interesting article about growing Russian military and economic influence in North Africa -


http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/north-africa/2017-04-03/russia-s-charm-offensive-north-africa
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 13, 2018, 09:16:51 AM



American military kills over 100 Russians in one attack. Russia does not protest.


http://www.yahoo.com/news/m/73a6ae72-c224-3813-9dae-f809c260f8c0/ss_us-strikes-kill-100-russian.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 13, 2018, 10:17:47 AM
Strange article - considering Russia, Syria and a mercenary ( Igor Girkin - of Donbas infamy [Strelkov])  have  complained and I even posted a thread on the subject here.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on February 13, 2018, 10:27:18 AM


American military kills over 100 Russians in one attack. Russia does not protest.


http://www.yahoo.com/news/m/73a6ae72-c224-3813-9dae-f809c260f8c0/ss_us-strikes-kill-100-russian.html

Let's see if this will be reported by any Russian news publication.

I noted earlier how the cozy marriages and engagements between WM and RW could start to unravel when the sheeeeeet hits home.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 13, 2018, 10:34:46 AM
Let's see if this will be reported by any Russian news publication.

Sighs..... it has ..   


I noted earlier how the cozy marriages and engagements between WM and RW could start to unravel when the sheeeeeet hits home.

Hmm, I realise you are stubborn and keep dodging my Irish British analogy- hint ... Were all German's 'Nazi's'?  Were all Irish supporters of violence to achieve a United Ireland ?  Did British guys married to Irish lasses 'divorce' over 700 years of differences ?  I certainly can't 'blame ' my partner for actions of her govt in Syria / Donbas / Crimea - nor does she 'blame' me for Britain's long aims to undermine the Soviet Union - whilst they tried to do the same to the UK govt. It's not like some Russians aren't trying to seek a change - at great cost.. ...but you've been going there a lot, recently - so you'd 'know' ...

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 13, 2018, 10:50:42 AM
Let's see if this will be reported by any Russian news publication.



The real question is will Putin admit to sending ground troops to Syria for ground operations? It would look bad for him if Russian troops are dying in Syria. If the operation was done with covert Russian special ops troops, Putin will say he didn't order them to go there and it was those men's decision following their hearts to help Syrians like they helped Ukrainians.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 13, 2018, 10:53:41 AM

The real question is will Putin admit to sending ground troops to Syria for ground operations? It would look bad for him if Russian troops are dying in Syria. If the operation was done with covert Russian special ops troops, Putin will say he didn't order them to go there and it was those men's decision following their hearts to help Syrians like they helped Ukrainians.

More heavy sighs ..

The 'official line' of Syria / Moscow is that they were / are 'contractors' 

Suggest you ask a Russian speaker to browse the RU news ....

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 13, 2018, 11:17:36 AM
The 'official line' of Syria / Moscow is that they were / are 'contractors' 



Many are paramilitary working for private contractor Wagner which gets paid by the Russian government to do jobs where deniability is called for.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_Group
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on February 13, 2018, 11:43:34 AM
Hmm, I realise you are stubborn and keep dodging my Irish British analogy- hint ... Were all German's 'Nazi's'?  Were all Irish supporters of violence to achieve a United Ireland ?  Did British guys married to Irish lasses 'divorce' over 700 years of differences ?

You analogy is not appropriate.

My point is:  When Russian wife/friend finds out that her Russian relative/friend is killed by USA soldier.

Or when USA husband/friend finds out his USA relative/friend is killed by Russian action which his Russian wife/friend fully supports.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 13, 2018, 12:46:06 PM
You analogy is not appropriate.

Au contraire.. it is nigh on perfect

British soldiers were killed by folks believing themselves to be occupied and Irish folks came to the UK to seek work - there were those that sheltered the terrorists.   You know Ireland , You should know the history - hence my pushing you on the folly of your stance. 

I was married to R.Catholic - I, a  Protestant ...  I consequently have near zero-tolerance of ignorant bigots who suggested the marriage wouldn't work because of politics / religion..   Her relations thought the British occupied their land and I was in Dublin bar the night the IRA tried to mortar John Major and his Cabinet - there was a roar of "shame they missed the bastards" - followed by "present company excepted "..

For a long time the Irish govt didn't tackle the known murderers and UK govt locked up folks without trial - polarising communities - to the extent physical walls between the communities went up and folks were fire-bombed out of their homes - to 'purify the area' ..

So this why your point

"When Russian wife/friend finds out that her Russian relative/friend is killed by USA soldier."  doesn't mean there has to be a schism ...  Other family members and friends tend to be a bigger problem and ignorant.

Plenty of British folks were killed by the IRA ... Did the Brits on the 'mainland' (GB) throw out the Irish ... no ?

We are born into nations where the news and our teachers influence us and I've been a 'victim' of this indoctrination. No side is completely right or wrong .. Wars tend to start when nations go protectionist. When govts stop talking and build up arms ... testing these in another theatre of war ..

History appears to be repeating itself


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on February 13, 2018, 12:53:06 PM
Au contraire.. it is nigh on perfect

You are still totally wrong with your attempts at comparison.

All of your ideas of that group against this group  or that nation against this nation . . .

pale in comparison to the result when a member of 'that group' kills your family member, and your mate supports the killing or at least supports those who ordered the killing.

finem colloquium.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 13, 2018, 01:23:59 PM
You are still totally wrong with your attempts at comparison.

All of your ideas of that group against this group  or that nation against this nation . . .

pale in comparison to the result when a member of 'that group' kills your family member, and your mate supports the killing or at least supports those who ordered the killing.

finem colloquium.

You might seek the  'end of interview' but I'm afraid I'm not finished with your inability to rationalise ... 

I have lived in N.Ireland and Cyprus and encountered lots of real instances where a close friend / family member has died / suffered life long injury at the hands of a army / 'terrorists' - putting stress on friendships, marriages or where a brother fights a brother on opposing sides .

YES, such events can even cause a govt to intern your loved ones (US Japanese ) - but the US didn't round up Germans or Italians ...

Life's hard enough as it is - without worrying what might happen because of the actions of those we do not influence.

Your 'crusade' against pursuing a relationship with a Russian - because of the actions of their govt  -is as daft as Zhironovsky suggesting RW are wrong to want to marry a westerner and should be subject to a dowry tax before she can leave

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 13, 2018, 06:15:09 PM
YES, such events can even cause a govt to intern your loved ones (US Japanese ) - but the US didn't round up Germans or Italians ...


Actually we did round up a number of Germans during WWI and WWII. We even forced many countries in Latin America to send us Germans for our prisons here.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 14, 2018, 01:30:13 AM

Actually we did round up a number of Germans during WWI and WWII. We even forced many countries in Latin America to send us Germans for our prisons here.

Hi Alex,

Thanks for the correction

My point was that the Japs were the only Axis  powers people locked up wholesale.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 14, 2018, 09:51:54 AM
My point was that the Japs were the only Axis  powers people locked up wholesale.


Think it was around 15,000 Germans. Not a small number. Japanese were 120k or so. I met four Japanese Americans (two couples) on an airport layover who were locked up. They were surprisingly not bitter about it. Of course they were in their 80's at that point.


Both men went on to serve in the military on the European front to secure their release.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 14, 2018, 10:16:04 AM

Think it was around 15,000 Germans. Not a small number. Japanese were 120k or so. I met four Japanese Americans (two couples) on an airport layover who were locked up. They were surprisingly not bitter about it. Of course they were in their 80's at that point.


Both men went on to serve in the military on the European front to secure their release.


It would be great to work out how many Finns and Italians were locked up - until they swapped sides - and what about the French - how to know if they were Vichy or Nazi occupied French ?!

IMHO it makes a a mockery of ML's rigid stance - but the attitude of the Japanese is wonderful. 

I knew a Polish couple who fought in the Polish resistance and - somehow - got through the German lines, as the Soviets 'liberated' Warsaw. Britain and France joined in WW2 to get the Germans out of Poland - ending up helping Soviets - who also occupied Poland - taking part of the territory 'back' to Ukraine Lwow( Lviv / Lvov) - they couldn't go back for over forty years ((

Why 'we' say we won the war - as Poland went from one authoritarian regime to another - I'll never know...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 14, 2018, 01:22:22 PM
I've always had a problem with the way that the US has handled the internees, both Japanese and German.  But not for the reason people may think:

After Pearl Harbor, the US was on her knees with the body blow delivered by the Japanese navy.  It had no battleships remaining in the Pacific.  Had not Halsey sortied the carriers and those carriers were not in port, those would have been lost as well.  Had the Japanese hit the fuel dumps in Hawaii, the Pacific Fleet would have been refueling at Mare Island.

The US was actually fighting for existence, and loss of territory, as were many of the other allied powers.  Coupled with this sense of impending doom is the fact that the Japanese were a subculture, both in Hawaii and on the West Coast.  Because of the absolute differences between cultures, people of Japanese ancestry were obligated to the homeland and the Emperor, who was still considered, at that time, to be a god.  We all scoff at that idea today and see Americans of Japanese descent as being totally integrated into American society.   Not so back then.

Our generation will never know that Americans living overseas were rounded up and processed into Japanese work camps, as were many other ethnic groups.  In China, Japan actually just killed most of the locals in areas that were deemed necessary to the war efforts.   The US solution was to remove the Japanese from areas that they might have had access to influence the war. 

I believe that they did right to do so. 

While I cannot put myself in the shoes of the Japanese internees, I can put myself in the shoes of those trying to defend the country from a ruthless and surprise attack.  The Japanese maintained their culture throughout the war years.  A number of Japanese 'US citizens' actually committed suicide when Hirohito surrendered. 

The other side of the coin, is that those Japanese who were willing to soldier for the US in Italy (which they did) proved that they were more American than Japanese.  Like all Americans who fought in WWII, they were honored to the extent possible.

My father lost his four closest friends, growing up, to bullets from Japanese and German (and Italian) soldiers.  There was a palpable dislike, bordering on hatred, for people from those countries that were in the Axis. 

Had the US not interned the Japanese, I believe there would have been an underground movement, similar to the resistance in France. 

The Germans, on the other hand, were not necessarily segregated from American society.  Many US employers took German POWs and had them as employees, after the war, even giving them permanent jobs.   In my hometown, one such POW is still remembered as being an actual contributor to the community.  And I am told that all of the younger girls had crushes on him by one of those gals who did.  My society, growing up, was ethnic German.  Many in my town spoke German and we had a local Lutheran church and high school, where some of the sermons were in German back in the 40s and 50s.  Towns in Wisconsin were named Berlin, New Berlin, Kiel, to mention a few. 

I was reading a statement last night of how much German ethnicity is in the midwest.  It borders on 45% in States like North Dakota and South Dakota, to 20% in Michigan.  But most of those ethnic Germans came to the US in the 1840s through the 1870s.  On the East Coast, however, there was not as much German ancestry and, especially in New York and Washington, D.C., there were plenty of German operatives who were able to pass information back to the Third Reich.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread - back on topic
Post by: msmob on February 14, 2018, 02:10:11 PM
As mentioned Igor (Strelkov - rifle) Girkin is bemoaning the losses of RU mercenaries to US strikes

http://themoscowtimes.com/news/us-airstrikes-kill-100-russian-syrian-fighters-reports-say-60445 (http://themoscowtimes.com/news/us-airstrikes-kill-100-russian-syrian-fighters-reports-say-60445)

and the Kremlin spokesman - who laughed when the BBBC suggested Russian military was involved in the Crimea Coup - wants us to believe him ..

http://www.rt.com/news/418819-distorted-data-peskov-syria/ (http://www.rt.com/news/418819-distorted-data-peskov-syria/)

Who to believe ?

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on February 14, 2018, 04:30:59 PM
I've always had a problem with the way that the US has handled the internees, both Japanese and German.  But not for the reason people may think:

After Pearl Harbor, the US was on her knees with the body blow delivered by the Japanese navy.  It had no battleships remaining in the Pacific.  Had not Halsey sortied the carriers and those carriers were not in port, those would have been lost as well.  Had the Japanese hit the fuel dumps in Hawaii, the Pacific Fleet would have been refueling at Mare Island.

The US was actually fighting for existence, and loss of territory, as were many of the other allied powers.  Coupled with this sense of impending doom is the fact that the Japanese were a subculture, both in Hawaii and on the West Coast.  Because of the absolute differences between cultures, people of Japanese ancestry were obligated to the homeland and the Emperor, who was still considered, at that time, to be a god.  We all scoff at that idea today and see Americans of Japanese descent as being totally integrated into American society.   Not so back then.

Our generation will never know that Americans living overseas were rounded up and processed into Japanese work camps, as were many other ethnic groups.  In China, Japan actually just killed most of the locals in areas that were deemed necessary to the war efforts.   The US solution was to remove the Japanese from areas that they might have had access to influence the war. 

I believe that they did right to do so. 

While I cannot put myself in the shoes of the Japanese internees, I can put myself in the shoes of those trying to defend the country from a ruthless and surprise attack.  The Japanese maintained their culture throughout the war years.  A number of Japanese 'US citizens' actually committed suicide when Hirohito surrendered. 

The other side of the coin, is that those Japanese who were willing to soldier for the US in Italy (which they did) proved that they were more American than Japanese.  Like all Americans who fought in WWII, they were honored to the extent possible.

My father lost his four closest friends, growing up, to bullets from Japanese and German (and Italian) soldiers.  There was a palpable dislike, bordering on hatred, for people from those countries that were in the Axis. 

Had the US not interned the Japanese, I believe there would have been an underground movement, similar to the resistance in France. 

The Germans, on the other hand, were not necessarily segregated from American society.  Many US employers took German POWs and had them as employees, after the war, even giving them permanent jobs.   In my hometown, one such POW is still remembered as being an actual contributor to the community.  And I am told that all of the younger girls had crushes on him by one of those gals who did.  My society, growing up, was ethnic German.  Many in my town spoke German and we had a local Lutheran church and high school, where some of the sermons were in German back in the 40s and 50s.  Towns in Wisconsin were named Berlin, New Berlin, Kiel, to mention a few. 

I was reading a statement last night of how much German ethnicity is in the midwest.  It borders on 45% in States like North Dakota and South Dakota, to 20% in Michigan.  But most of those ethnic Germans came to the US in the 1840s through the 1870s.  On the East Coast, however, there was not as much German ancestry and, especially in New York and Washington, D.C., there were plenty of German operatives who were able to pass information back to the Third Reich.

Excellent and thoughtful write up.

Thanks Jon
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on February 14, 2018, 05:11:24 PM
I've always had a problem with the way that the US has handled the internees, both Japanese and German.
Italo-Americans/Italians, too :(.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread - back on topic
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 14, 2018, 05:16:46 PM
As mentioned Igor (Strelkov - rifle) Girkin is bemoaning the losses of RU mercenaries to US strikes

http://themoscowtimes.com/news/us-airstrikes-kill-100-russian-syrian-fighters-reports-say-60445 (http://themoscowtimes.com/news/us-airstrikes-kill-100-russian-syrian-fighters-reports-say-60445)

and the Kremlin spokesman - who laughed when the BBBC suggested Russian military was involved in the Crimea Coup - wants us to believe him ..

http://www.rt.com/news/418819-distorted-data-peskov-syria/ (http://www.rt.com/news/418819-distorted-data-peskov-syria/)

Take extracts from these respective articles, and it just gets weirder:

Quote from: Moscow Times, 9 February
Russia officially withdrew its forces from Syria in December 2017 after two years fighting in support of President Bashar al-Assad, though hundreds of private military contractors from Russia remain in the country.

Followed by:

Quote from: RT, 14 February
The Russian Defense Ministry had earlier stated that Syrian militia forces came under fire from the US-led coalition on February 7 due to actions that had not been coordinated with the Russian military. The incident left 25 militiamen injured. There were no Russian military servicemen in the area, the ministry stressed.

Well, duh!  If the first one is correct, of course there were "no Russian military servicemen in the area!"  How could there be, if the last of them left Syria in December?

Who to believe indeed?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 15, 2018, 08:24:57 AM
The real question is will Putin admit to sending ground troops to Syria for ground operations?

I am curious how these "civilian contractors" working in Ukraine and Syria keep getting medals from Russia if they are no in the military?

http://www.rferl.org/a/russia-syria-mercenaries-killed-widow-says-thrown-into-battle-like-pigs/29039898.html (http://www.rferl.org/a/russia-syria-mercenaries-killed-widow-says-thrown-into-battle-like-pigs/29039898.html)

"The government should avenge them somehow"
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 08:30:49 AM
I am curious how these "civilian contractors" working in Ukraine and Syria keep getting medals from Russia if they are no in the military?

http://www.rferl.org/a/russia-syria-mercenaries-killed-widow-says-thrown-into-battle-like-pigs/29039898.html (http://www.rferl.org/a/russia-syria-mercenaries-killed-widow-says-thrown-into-battle-like-pigs/29039898.html)

"The government should avenge them somehow"
although there is a decent chance we accidentally killed russians, they may accidentally kill a few dozen of our contractors next.

We are invaders in Syria, and need to leave instead of intentionally making matters worse. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 15, 2018, 08:43:25 AM
although there is a decent chance we accidentally killed russians, they may accidentally kill a few dozen of our contractors next.

I read an article that mentions Putin may be testing us. Evidence points to the Russian troops crossing the line to launch an attack on our positions. I believe this could be a possibility.

Yes, they could certainly retaliate. We may be heading into a full on proxy war with "merc" casualties.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 08:55:04 AM
I read an article that mentions Putin may be testing us. Evidence points to the Russian troops crossing the line to launch an attack on our positions. I believe this could be a possibility.

Yes, they could certainly retaliate. We may be heading into a full on proxy war with "merc" casualties.

why the hell do we have any position in syria...we are uninvited, and have invaded a sovereign country.   at some point we will be attacked from all sides...turkey, syria, russia, iran...we don't need to plant our flag there, nor should we.   It should be of no surprise that we are seen as grand hypocrites when we attempt to chastise other nations for the same sort of transgressions we are guilty of.

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 15, 2018, 10:51:12 AM
why the hell do we have any position in syria...we are uninvited, and have invaded a sovereign country.   at some point we will be attacked from all sides...turkey, syria, russia, iran...we don't need to plant our flag there, nor should we.   It should be of no surprise that we are seen as grand hypocrites when we attempt to chastise other nations for the same sort of transgressions we are guilty of.

Fathertime!

We need to rename Fathertime Jeanette Rankin.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 12:05:26 PM
We need to rename Fathertime Jeanette Rankin.
thats fine. So let's not whitewash that we (The US) are completely hypocritical when we chastise other nations when we are the greatest offender.

Fathertime!
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 15, 2018, 05:51:34 PM



Russia's official position is that they didn't know Russian paramilitary contractors were fighting in Syria. Russia has some of the best intelligence agencies in the world yet they didn't know Russians contractors using Russian tanks were fighting in Syria? I think they did know and paid them to attack American interests.


they may accidentally kill a few dozen of our contractors next.



Death toll in the last battle was they lost a few hundred and we lost none. If they want to try to accidentally kill a few dozen of our troops, they may lose a few thousand trying. Putin may have wanted to test the abilities of the American military should he have to face them in Eastern Europe in the future. He got his answer. No need for further testing. Massive Russian casualties will hurt Putin's popularity among his people.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 07:52:45 PM


Russia's official position is that they didn't know Russian paramilitary contractors were fighting in Syria. Russia has some of the best intelligence agencies in the world yet they didn't know Russians contractors using Russian tanks were fighting in Syria? I think they did know and paid them to attack American interests.


I'm not concerned about what Russia's official position is.  Our official position is ludicrous. 
I'm not sure what you mean by 'american interests', within the borders of a sovereign country like Syria would be.  As is practically always the case, we aren't there to actually help anybody, but ourselves. 

Death toll in the last battle was they lost a few hundred and we lost none. If they want to try to accidentally kill a few dozen of our troops, they may lose a few thousand trying. Putin may have wanted to test the abilities of the American military should he have to face them in Eastern Europe in the future. He got his answer. No need for further testing. Massive Russian casualties will hurt Putin's popularity among his people.
 
I'm pretty sure a country like Russia could suddenly pick off a group of Americans anytime it chooses to.  If make that be in their interests, then it will happen.  If we think we can strike (Even if unintentionally) with impunity, I think we are mistaken.  When/if it happens to an American group, we won't have very many shoulders to cry upon. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 15, 2018, 09:22:46 PM


Russian death toll has doubled and unit destroyed.


Yevgeny Shabayev, leader of a local chapter of a paramilitary Cossack organization who has ties to Russian military contractors, said he had visited acquaintances injured in Syria at the defense ministry’s Central Hospital in Khimki, on the outskirts of Moscow, on Wednesday.


He said the wounded men had told him that the two units of Russian contractors involved in the battle near Deir al-Zor numbered 550 men. Of those, there are now about 200 who are not either dead or wounded, the wounded men had told him



http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-casualtie/russian-toll-in-syria-battle-was-300-killed-and-wounded-sources-idUSKCN1FZ2DZ (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia-casualtie/russian-toll-in-syria-battle-was-300-killed-and-wounded-sources-idUSKCN1FZ2DZ)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 15, 2018, 09:42:41 PM
I'm not concerned about what Russia's official position is.  Our official position is ludicrous. 
I'm not sure what you mean by 'american interests', within the borders of a sovereign country like Syria would be.  As is practically always the case, we aren't there to actually help anybody, but ourselves. 
 

Just helping ourselves?  Silly boy!

We were in Syria to defeat ISIS.  To refresh your memory, ISIS was lopping off the heads of innocents and enslaving ethnic peoples in Syria and northern Iraq .  ISIS also was terrorizing Europe with planned attacks, and hitting us indirectly.   To strike a blow to ISIS ideology, someone had to take away their caliphate.  Russia had given the defeat of ISIS a low priority compared to defending Assad against rebel forces.   Europe was not doing much.   That leaves the US. 

So the US took the lead.  In defeating ISIS, Kurds did most of the dirty work.  Now that ISIS is mostly defeated, the sleaze Erdogan is attacking the Kurds. Evidently we are staying to help the Kurds and some Syrian rebel groups,   IMO the Kurds deserve a homeland, and I hope the US is helping these proud people achieve exactly that.  I gather we have armed them to their teeth but not the weapons to take on the Turks.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 09:54:05 PM
Just helping ourselves?  Silly boy!

We were in Syria to defeat ISIS.  To refresh your memory, ISIS was lopping off the heads of innocents and enslaving ethnic peoples in Syria and northern Iraq .  ISIS also was terrorizing Europe with planned attacks, and hitting us indirectly.   To strike a blow to ISIS ideology, someone had to take away their caliphate.  Russia had given the defeat of ISIS a low priority compared to defending Assad against rebel forces.   Europe was not doing much.   That leaves the US. 

So the US took the lead.  In defeating ISIS, Kurds did most of the dirty work.  Now that ISIS is mostly defeated, the sleaze Erdogan is attacking the Kurds. Evidently we are staying to help the Kurds and some Syrian rebel groups,   IMO the Kurds deserve a homeland, and I hope the US is helping these proud people achieve exactly that.  I gather we have armed them to their teeth but not the weapons to take on the Turks.

I see you are taking the company line on this one.  It is silly to think it wasn't in part our own doing that ISIS even exists.  We have invaded Syria's sovereignty in an effort to thwart Russia as much as anything else.   We are not invited in Syria while Russia and others are.

It isn't up to us to force a carving up of Syria.  We don't even belong in the region, let alone trying to take the lead in perpetuating the war. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 15, 2018, 10:13:08 PM
We are not invited in Syria while Russia and others are. 

You are talking about the part of Syria controlled by Assad.   The part where Russia has made multi-billion dollar investment in a naval base for Russian navy plus airfields, etc.  Others?  You mean Hezbollah.  Iran.   Fine people saving the world. 


We certainly have been invited in some rebel controlled areas, plus Syrian homelands.

 

Quote
It isn't up to us to force a carving up of Syria.  We don't even belong in the region, let alone trying to take the lead in perpetuating the war. 

You are so myopic.  Do you not realize there is a Shia-Sunni war brewing, and the implications are so severe it needs to be prevented.

Where would the world and America be today if we had never ventured outside our borders?  The world speaks English because of American business.  Foe sure we sometimes have gone too far.  Yet, I assert our net overall effect is very positive for the past 100 years.  .

Are your thoughts about the Middle East based on having lived there?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 15, 2018, 10:40:49 PM
You are talking about the part of Syria controlled by Assad.   The part where Russia has made multi-billion dollar investment in a naval base for Russian navy plus airfields, etc.  Others?  You mean Hezbollah.  Iran.   Fine people saving the world. 


We certainly have been invited in some rebel controlled areas, plus Syrian homelands.

 
No.  How about you invite the North Korean army into your city? You don't have that authority.  Without question, the US hasn't NOT been invited into Syria.  Phony invites and excuses are not going to be accepted in this situation, and then not accepted in the next situation involving Russia, china, or any other country. 

 
You are so myopic.  Do you not realize there is a Shia-Sunni war brewing, and the implications are so severe it needs to be prevented.

 
A war huh. 
Sounds like a great big excuse to do whatever helps our own interests.  We are not there to 'save' people *unless it a people that can forward our interests*, so the excuse that we are fair-minded liberators is just preposterous.  You lack the ability to see reality, but it is entertaining to read the high handed, canned responses from individuals in the states. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 16, 2018, 12:39:50 AM
No.  How about you invite the North Korean army into your city? You don't have that authority.  Without question, the US hasn't NOT been invited into Syria.  Phony invites and excuses are not going to be accepted in this situation, and then not accepted in the next situation involving Russia, china, or any other country. 
A war huh. 
Sounds like a great big excuse to do whatever helps our own interests.  We are not there to 'save' people *unless it a people that can forward our interests*, so the excuse that we are fair-minded liberators is just preposterous.  You lack the ability to see reality, but it is entertaining to read the high handed, canned responses from individuals in the states. 

Fathertime!   

Aha, our 'expert' on the Levant strikes again ..

1/ Indeed, the Al-ASSad regime is the 'recognised govt' of Syria - but as the last Sec Gen pointed out - the 'elections' for President were hardly legit - bearing most of the nation's population was not under the 'firm hand' of the 'govt'

2/ The Russians and Chinese blocked a no fly zone resolution when Al-ASSad's air force was bombing demonstrators and 'we' stood back and let his happen, followed by the Kremlin trying a spot of Spanish Civil War like 'training' ..

FAR more people have been killed or maimed as a result of western inaction and the Kremlin and Iran propping up this dictatorial dynasty.

You - of course - ain't been there and haven't got a clue - but it doesn't stop you spouting your usual ( clueless) bollox ..   

I am ashamed of how the UK parliament didn't back Cameron in a vote to help Obama form a coalition to enforce the no fly zone

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 06:24:13 AM
Aha, our 'expert' on the Levant strikes again ..

1/ Indeed, the Al-ASSad regime is the 'recognised govt' of Syria - but as the last Sec Gen pointed out - the 'elections' for President were hardly legit - bearing most of the nation's population was not under the 'firm hand' of the 'govt'

2/ The Russians and Chinese blocked a no fly zone resolution when Al-ASSad's air force was bombing demonstrators and 'we' stood back and let his happen, followed by the Kremlin trying a spot of Spanish Civil War like 'training' ..

FAR more people have been killed or maimed as a result of western inaction and the Kremlin and Iran propping up this dictatorial dynasty.

You - of course - ain't been there and haven't got a clue - but it doesn't stop you spouting your usual ( clueless) bollox ..   

I am ashamed of how the UK parliament didn't back Cameron in a vote to help Obama form a coalition to enforce the no fly zone
I don't need to be an expert to know that several people are not experts, and that includes slap happy tourists, who want tot try to use their vacations as leverage in a discussion. 

I don't doubt any elections taking place recently aren't very good.  Given the condition the country is in, not much could be expected.  Regardless, they have had the continuity of elected leadership for decades.  It isn't up to us *The US* to now set up shop with our military in a sovereign country and attempt to make them abide by what we want.  If we had our way, by the time we are done, Syria will be another ineffective and permanent festering wound.  We need to leave, and let the country stabilize instead of continuing to perpetuate a resistance that continues to kill people daily.     

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 16, 2018, 03:59:31 PM
I don't need to be an expert to know

Once again - you post- proving you DON'T know ...!

that several people are not experts, and that includes slap happy tourists, who want tot try to use their vacations as leverage in a discussion. 

See what happens when you ASSume... ? I worked in these places ...   I spoke much better French than I do now... particularly useful in Lebanon and Egypt .. I could pop over to Syria or Lebanon in hours on a ferry and a day to Alexandra, from Cyprus


Regardless, they have had the continuity of elected leadership for decades.

Really ? That IS interesting ..And when did  they have Presidential elections under the Al-ASSad dynasty ?   :cluebat:

Yup - more FT proving he likes to post - but hasn't a scoobie-do what he's talking about ...it's a flippin dictatorship ...

  It isn't up to us *The US* to now set up shop with our military in a sovereign country and attempt to make them abide by what we want.  If we had our way, by the time we are done, Syria will be another ineffective and permanent festering wound.  We need to leave, and let the country stabilize instead of continuing to perpetuate a resistance that continues to kill people daily.     



The US/ UK didn't have an exit plan for Iraq - and it showed... but there ARE success stories.. as long as Turkey doesn't screw it up - the Kurds running a state, effectively - just over a 100 years after the French and Brits screwed 'em over after WW1 - we promised them a state and drew the lines on the map creating nations that ignored Kurdistan.

Libya - has fragmented on tribal lines.. but are things worse that under Gaddafi- if 'we' hadn't gone in? - I know there'd have been a massacre in Benghazi ( we saw what he was capable of in Misratha )

So, 'we' should stand by and do nothing when UN-elected dictators bomb  the crap out of folks protesting in the streets, from the air ?

The US policy of supporting Israel means it is active in the region - via proxy.



 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 16, 2018, 04:26:11 PM
I, as well, have lived in the Middle East.  Although a long time ago.  The thing that people don't understand is that many of these areas are one step removed from camel caravans.  In Syria, the land is much more feudal than, say, a European country.  Almost like city-states.  The area is carved up by various warlords and each has a say in governance. 

To say Assad rules Syria is a mis-direct.  But, then, that's just me, and my opinion.  I certainly defer to Fathertime who knows all and sees all and comments from his arm chair.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 07:31:01 PM
I, as well, have lived in the Middle East.   

The usual Jone bs qualifier! haha.  How about this one?  I, for one, have lived in this galaxy.  Can I please be qualified to speak?  Oh pretty please! 


To say Assad rules Syria is a mis-direct.  But, then, that's just me, and my opinion.  I certainly defer to Fathertime who knows all and sees all and comments from his arm chair.
Damn right you can defer to me, although I didn't ask you to.    It is hilarious that the view I have is such a threat to you. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 07:52:41 PM
Once again - you post- proving you DON'T know ...!

I don't know you personal history, from what I've gathered here, there is some stuff in dispute about things you have stated about yourself, but I really don't pay close attention. 



Really ? That IS interesting ..And when did  they have Presidential elections under the Al-ASSad dynasty ?   :cluebat:

Yup - more FT proving he likes to post - but hasn't a scoobie-do what he's talking about ...it's a flippin dictatorship ...
[/quote]
No.  The last election was free and fair by the international delegation that helped oversee it.  Personally I believe them over western propaganda.  Just listen to all the 'patriots' here declaring how the media can't be trusted!  Suddenly they want to trust the media when it is something they want to believe. 

In general, I'm very suspicious of propaganda that leads our military into other parts of the world.  Many if not most other Americans feel the same way nowadays. 

Regarding what you think you know, and what you think others don't know.  After living here in the states for decades, I still often don't think I know what is really going on.  But I damn well wouldn't trust slanted partisans with phony smiley faces like Jone, and Gator to give me the scoop.  In Syria, I don't believe you really have any inside knowledge either.  There are many people that are well studied that think the US has no business being there, so I'm far from alone in that view. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 16, 2018, 08:37:24 PM
The usual Jone bs qualifier! haha.  How about this one?  I, for one, have lived in this galaxy.  Can I please be qualified to speak?  Oh pretty please!  Damn right you can defer to me, although I didn't ask you to.    It is hilarious that the view I have is such a threat to you. 

Fathertime!

You aren't.  You're just too dumb to recognize sarcasm.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 09:06:01 PM
You aren't.  You're just too dumb to recognize sarcasm.
You aren't qualified to characterize anybody.  You are too self-centered/self-important, to recognize what an individual would recognize. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 16, 2018, 09:50:33 PM
You aren't qualified to characterize anybody.  You are too self-centered/self-important, to recognize what an individual would recognize. 


That was 'it'? Your 'riposte' to being busted re your intimate [ NOT] knowledge of Syrian 'democracy' and your ASSumptions re my visits ?  :D

Fathertime : this board is the Russian Woman Discussion forum.

You don't know Russian or Russia or Russian women and you've never been to these places - and constantly prove it ... 

You DO like to argue and don't realise when you are just making an arse of yourself ;)

Perhaps this is how you learn stuff ?


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 10:08:46 PM
That was 'it'? Your 'riposte' to being busted re your intimate [ NOT] knowledge of Syrian 'democracy' and your ASSumptions re my visits ?  :D

What you quoted and responded to wasn't directed to you. 



Fathertime : this board is the Russian Woman Discussion forum.

You don't know Russian or Russia or Russian women and you've never been to these places - and constantly prove it ... 

You DO like to argue and don't realise when you are just making an arse of yourself ;)

Perhaps this is how you learn stuff ?

One of the many things I've learned is that you are not a reservoir of knowledge.  Just a tourist who also has an opinion, and in this case disagrees with the one I have.  I continue to hold that the USA doesn't belong in Syria, we have infringed upon a sovereign country and do not have a leg to stand on when we levy high-handed criticism upon other countries doing similar things. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 16, 2018, 10:32:10 PM
What you quoted and responded to wasn't directed to you. 

Sadly, for you - my post was aimed at you and your 'knowledge' of Syria..

One of the many things I've learned is that you are not a reservoir of knowledge.  Just a tourist who also has an opinion, and in this case disagrees with the one I have.  I continue to hold that the USA doesn't belong in Syria, we have infringed upon a sovereign country and do not have a leg to stand on when we levy high-handed criticism upon other countries doing similar things. 

Ah, so repeating a fib is your new tactic when busted ?

As I said, I worked in N.Africa / Middle East and there was a smaller element of tourism - involving sailing and seeing places on not work days..

I respect your opinion re the USA not being the world's policeman and note it makes you more akin to 'Trampu' policy than you'd like to admit ...I'm more adverse to allowing genocide.. be it the Balkans, middle east, Africa, or Myanmar

It is noted you ducked my point about the name of this board and what you bring to the table... I'm sure the kopek dropped...

If you are too daft to realise my reservoir of knowledge is better stocked on the board's title- and in this case the Levant - then you'll not be surprised at my noting that you argue for the the sake of it ..

Imagine I tipped up on a board discussing S./ Central American women - what with my 'fluent' Spanish / Portuguese and having travelled there lots [ not ] and trying to chew the fat  re ( say ) Columbia/ Venezuela politics..

I'd be the FT of that board... 



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 16, 2018, 10:52:35 PM
Sadly, for you - my post was aimed at you and your 'knowledge' of Syria..

I feel fine about what I know about Syria, my focus is the US part in it which I don't feel fine about.  We have no business involving ourselves on the pretext we are there to help.



Ah, so repeating a fib is your new tactic when busted ?

As I said, I worked in N.Africa / Middle East and there was a smaller element of tourism - involving sailing and seeing places on not work days..


Again, I could tell you all sort of things/experiences but don't feel the need to.  What you say may or may not be accurate, and I really don't care very much.  You are no expert, and I don't think I need to act as if you, and your opinions are that important. I'll hear you out on them, but in this case I'm not seeing good enough reason for us to remain in Syria, especially under the phony ploy we are publicly stating.



I respect your opinion re the USA not being the world's policeman and note it makes you more akin to 'Trampu' policy than you'd like to admit ...I'm more adverse to allowing genocide.. be it the Balkans, middle east, Africa, or Myanmar

It is noted you ducked my point about the name of this board and what you bring to the table... I'm sure the kopek dropped...

If you are too daft to realise my reservoir of knowledge is better stocked on the board's title- and in this case the Levant - then you'll not be surprised at my noting that you argue for the the sake of it ..

Trump may wind up being better at keeping us out of other country's affairs, but I'm starting to doubt it.   Nobody is attempting to stop you from stating your opinion, I think it isnt' the right one to have, but so be it.  I think the US efforts from the start have been more about avarice than genuine help, and have led to plenty more deaths than was necessary. 


Imagine I tipped up on a board discussing S./ Central American women - what with my 'fluent' Spanish / Portuguese and having travelled there lots [ not ] and trying to chew the fat  re ( say ) Columbia/ Venezuela politics..

I'd be the FT of that board... 
I don't think your comparison holds any water.  I'm talking about US involvement, and I happen to be a member of the US.  Come to think of it, using your 'logic' why couldn't I say that YOU should butt out?   You are not a member of the US OR Syria.   

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 16, 2018, 11:48:08 PM
I feel fine about what I know about Syria

:ROFL:

Yes, their history of elections was a masterpiece of in-depth knowledge...


, my focus is the US part in it which I don't feel fine about.  We have no business involving ourselves on the pretext we are there to help.

Except you ARE helping - you have stopped the Caliphate in the East of Syria from the Iraqi side..'You' just ( like my country) didn't have the balls to stop genocide, earlier - after the Iraq debacle

 
Again, I could tell you all sort of things/experiences but don't feel the need to. 

I suspect that would be your 'contact' with FSU folk on your own continent ... 

What you say may or may not be accurate, and I really don't care very much.  You are no expert, and I don't think I need to act as if you, and your opinions are that important. I'll hear you out on them, but in this case I'm not seeing good enough reason for us to remain in Syria, especially under the phony ploy we are publicly stating.

You should care - you are basing your 'opinion' on bollox data.
 
Trump may wind up being better at keeping us out of other country's affairs, but I'm starting to doubt it.   Nobody is attempting to stop you from stating your opinion, I think it isnt' the right one to have, but so be it.  I think the US efforts from the start have been more about avarice than genuine help, and have led to plenty more deaths than was necessary. 

It's hard to prove your bollox notion - but if you seriously think stopping Al-ASSad bombing 'his' people has been conducive to 'saving lives' - your perception filters may need some serious attention .


I don't think your comparison holds any water.  I'm talking about US involvement, and I happen to be a member of the US.  Come to think of it, using your 'logic' why couldn't I say that YOU should butt out?   You are not a member of the US OR Syria.   


It is noted you didn't counter my comparison with ANY valid riposte..   You ARE the guy on the RW board with b all to offer re RW or Russia and you know b all about Syria as demonstrated. 


'We' as in the UK - as already pointed out - tried to get a no-fly zone - and it failed at the UN - because of RU / Chinea and 'we' had vote in parliament about enforcing a no-fly zone to stop the bombing of civilians and it was defeated

Laterly,  'we' woke up and ARE involved in Syria - having been part of the campaign to eradicate the Caliphate dream of 'ISIS'  from the East ( Iraq) ..

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34989302 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34989302)

Always pleased to help with your howlers




 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 04:43:41 AM

Yes, their history of elections was a masterpiece of in-depth knowledge...

The simple explanation was it debunked your earlier falsehood.





Except you ARE helping - you have stopped the Caliphate in the East of Syria from the Iraqi side..'You' just ( like my country) didn't have the balls to stop genocide, earlier - after the Iraq debacle

 
I suspect that would be your 'contact' with FSU folk on your own continent ... 

You should care - you are basing your 'opinion' on bollox data.
 
It's hard to prove your bollox notion - but if you seriously think stopping Al-ASSad bombing 'his' people has been conducive to 'saving lives' - your perception filters may need some serious attention .

Laterly,  'we' woke up and ARE involved in Syria - having been part of the campaign to eradicate the Caliphate dream of 'ISIS'  from the East ( Iraq) ..

You do not have the expertise to teach anybody anything much.  Those with the expertise are divided on what should be done. 


It is noted you didn't counter my comparison with ANY valid riposte..   You ARE the guy on the RW board with b all to offer re RW or Russia and you know b all about Syria as demonstrated. 

Always pleased to help with your howlers

Lets examine what a hypocritical position you are taking.  According to you, I shouldn't comment on the US position on Syria, because according to you I haven't lived in Syria.      Since that is your position, my position is you shouldn't comment on US involvement because you don't live in the USA and have been merely a transitory tourist in Syria.    Seems fair enough to me!  :D 

Fathertime! 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 17, 2018, 10:32:52 AM
The simple explanation was it debunked your earlier falsehood.

Now FT is reduced to lying .. rather than fessing up to his daftness


WHO told us. " Regardless, they have had the continuity of elected leadership for decades."

http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=20119.msg477329#msg477329 (http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=20119.msg477329#msg477329)

Quoting Wiki: "Presidential elections were held in Syria on 3 June 2014. It was the first multi-candidate election in decades since the Ba'ath party came to power in a coup (my words : in 1971...[ Forty-three years ] )

A Spokesperson for the United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon warned that amid the ongoing Syrian Civil War and large-scale displacement of Syrian citizens, "such elections are incompatible with the letter and spirit of the Geneva communiqué"

SO, FT - what are you if not a huge fibber ?

You do not have the expertise to teach anybody anything much. 

Yet in our most recent exchanges ONLY I have quoted factual info..and done the debunking  ;)

Lets examine what a hypocritical position you are taking.  According to you, I shouldn't comment on the US position on Syria, because according to you I haven't lived in Syria.      Since that is your position, my position is you shouldn't comment on US involvement because you don't live in the USA and have been merely a transitory tourist in Syria.    Seems fair enough to me!  :D 



Three times repeating a lie ( transitory tourist ) suggests our FT has serious issues !

You are free to post here and I'm free to point out your nonsense.

MY analogy referred to your singular lack of knowledge re the board's ethos


You simply post  opinions on stuff who haven't got the first clue about and 'fight it out' with opponents who wipe the floor with you on most subjects. WHY?... because you post in some threads where your clear like of experience on the subject is laughably obvious
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 01:28:47 PM
Yet in our most recent exchanges ONLY I have quoted factual info..and done the debunking  ;)

Three times repeating a lie ( transitory tourist ) suggests our FT has serious issues !

You are free to post here and I'm free to point out your nonsense.

MY analogy referred to your singular lack of knowledge re the board's ethos


You simply post  opinions on stuff who haven't got the first clue about and 'fight it out' with opponents who wipe the floor with you on most subjects. WHY?... because you post in some threads where your clear like of experience on the subject is laughably obvious

Assad was elected in 2000 and in 2007 and in 2014.  Close enough to two decades now.   

Now that your "Where you live" 'qualifier' has been debunked it and turned against you, it appears you are trying a new tact.  Congratulations for adaptation!   So now you are whining that I'm 'fighting it out' with you.  Too bad!  You are no expert, I was willing to exchange opinions, but you are incapable of doing that so I see no harm in engaging with you in a different way.  Just try not to be an offended hypocrite. Ok?   :D

And yes, you were likely a transitory tourist, just trying to bolster your creds, not unlike others.  There are plenty of native Syrians, that hold completely opposite views as you do, so by your 'logic' (Not mine) you have been trumped by them. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on February 17, 2018, 01:41:33 PM
You can't really say Assad was elected.  In 2000, he was elected (as the sole nominee) with 99.7% support.  In 2007, he was elected with 97.6% support.  The last election was held 3 years into a bloody civil war, so those results (giving him 88.7% support) are not legitimate either.


No matter what you believe about Assad, he has been elected in sham elections which have no credibility.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 01:52:38 PM
You can't really say Assad was elected.  In 2000, he was elected (as the sole nominee) with 99.7% support.  In 2007, he was elected with 97.6% support.  The last election was held 3 years into a bloody civil war, so those results (giving him 88.7% support) are not legitimate either.


No matter what you believe about Assad, he has been elected in sham elections which have no credibility.

while I agree the elections in Syria are not very good, and yes he was the sole nominee earlier, he has been their version of an elected leader.    It isn't up to the USA to barrel in and impose ourselves on the region especially in an effort to strengthen ourselves at others expense. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on February 17, 2018, 01:54:24 PM
No, he is their version of an authoritarian leader.  Not an elected leader.

Quote
It isn't up to the USA to barrel in and impose ourselves on the region especially in an effort to strengthen ourselves at others expense. 


Too late for that.  A lot of this instability is a result of the illegal invasion of Iraq, so I think the US is under a moral obligation to try to broker peace.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 02:06:03 PM
No, he is their version of an authoritarian leader.  Not an elected leader.


Too late for that.  A lot of this instability is a result of the illegal invasion of Iraq, so I think the US is under a moral obligation to try to broker peace.

I say he is elected, but the point can obviously be made that he is authoritarian. 

How does our illegal invasion of Iraq, now necessitate the US backed/forced removal of Assad as Syria's president?

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on February 17, 2018, 02:09:04 PM
Elections are held to give a facade of legitimacy, and Assad is not legitimately elected.


I'm not saying you have to use force.  But the US must be involved in a solution to the turmoil engulfing the region, as the US inflamed it, we could even argue, caused it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 17, 2018, 02:27:36 PM
while I agree the elections in Syria are not very good, and yes he was the sole nominee earlier, he has been their version of an elected leader.   



The Assad family "seized" power since 1971 and haven't given anybody else a chance to run the country since. They haven't given their people a chance to choose their leader either. They're paying for it and if they lose the war, they will pay for it with their life.


  It isn't up to the USA to barrel in and impose ourselves on the region especially in an effort to strengthen ourselves at others expense. 
 


Syria sponsored terrorism against American interests and allies. Just a little payback happening right now. Other Middle Eastern nations get along with us fine and we will help their nations from becoming destabilized by Iran or Syria.


In other news Russia's official statement said about 5 Russians died from last weeks attack instead of hundreds as reported. That should make their citizens feel better.


http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/ct-russians-killed-syria-20180215-story.html



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 17, 2018, 02:55:07 PM
In other news Russia's official statement said about 5 Russians died from last weeks attack instead of hundreds as reported. That should make their citizens feel better.


And other reports are saying over 600 Russian merc killed this month. They are taking heavy casualties.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5386503/More-640-Russian-mercenary-soldiers-killed-Syria.html (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5386503/More-640-Russian-mercenary-soldiers-killed-Syria.html)







Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 17, 2018, 04:47:21 PM
Assad was elected in 2000 and in 2007 and in 2014.  Close enough to two decades now.   

'elected' ?Please quote your 'source'  :ROFL:


And yes, you were likely a transitory tourist, just trying to bolster your creds, not unlike others.  There are plenty of native Syrians, that hold completely opposite views as you do, so by your 'logic' (Not mine) you have been trumped by them. 


1/ I know considerably more Syrians that you do and even the Christian sects no longer respect Al-ASSad...
2/ FOUR times fibbing won't change a fact ...I was no 'tourist' - setting up comms infrastructure...  You remind me of Brass ...  facts were hard for him to take, too
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 17, 2018, 04:50:36 PM
I say he is elected

Like you are 'more qualified' and 'informed' that the UN former Sec Gen ... :cluebat:

You now know that you posted a howler re the Al-ASSad dynasty being 'elected' - having come to power in '71 in a coup - but are simply to stupid to fess up ....'respect'

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 05:17:35 PM
'elected' ?Please quote your 'source'  :ROFL:

Poor you, can't even look up a source.  YOU can do your own searches, the info is plain to see.


'elected' ?Please quote your 'source'  :ROFL:


1/ I know considerably more Syrians that you do and even the Christian sects no longer respect Al-ASSad...
2/ FOUR times fibbing won't change a fact ...I was no 'tourist' - setting up comms infrastructure...  You remind me of Brass ...  facts were hard for him to take, too
I have quite a few doubts about what you have stated about your personal history, but I don't feel the need to harp on that very much.     
Your overall ignorance/intolerance makes me think you aren't very competent in whatever you do, or have done.   I don't care about your little dispute with former posters, based on your own words, you don't seem very credible to me.  It is humorous how defensive you become though, so carry on! 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 05:21:40 PM

I'm not saying you have to use force.  But the US must be involved in a solution to the turmoil engulfing the region, as the US inflamed it, we could even argue, caused it.
If indeed we *The US* are responsible for the chaos, and I don't doubt we have a great deal of guilt, then we could actually help with a  solution  to end the war.    At this point we are merely attempting to forward our own interests, at whatever cost is necessary for anyone who isn't in line with our plans.   

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 17, 2018, 05:34:31 PM

Syria sponsored terrorism against American interests and allies. Just a little payback happening right now. Other Middle Eastern nations get along with us fine and we will help their nations from becoming destabilized by Iran or Syria.

 

What in particular are you talking about regarding state sponsored terrorism against American interests?    American interests in Syria? What interests are we entitled to have within a foreign country?  America should not be the deciding force in this war.  We will rightfully be resented and retaliated against. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 17, 2018, 06:32:23 PM
What in particular are you talking about regarding state sponsored terrorism against American interests?    American interests in Syria? What interests are we entitled to have within a foreign country?  America should not be the deciding force in this war.  We will rightfully be resented and retaliated against. 

Fathertime!


It's what Syria does outside of their country that pisses off people. They also provide safe haven for many terrorist groups. They've been designated a State sponsor of terrorism since the nice guy Jimmy Carter administration.


http://www.state.gov/j/ct/list/c14151.htm
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 17, 2018, 11:04:30 PM
Poor you, can't even look up a source.  YOU can do your own searches, the info is plain to see.

FT for. "I'm busted and am just too 'proud' to admit that the Al-ASSad dynasty wasn't elected "-  :thumbsdown:
I now know they came to power in a coup - no 'elections' and even when one was held - it was a farce - with even the then UN Sec Gen dissing it.. Just don't expect me to thank you for proving I was an idiot"

 
I have quite a few doubts about what you have stated about your personal history, but I don't feel the need to harp on that very much.   

That'll be because you know I can( easily)  back it up... ;)

 

Your overall ignorance/intolerance makes me think you aren't very competent in whatever you do, or have done.   I don't care about your little dispute with former posters, based on your own words, you don't seem very credible to me.  It is humorous how defensive you become though, so carry on! 

Na, no valid ripost here, either .. FT's last resort? ..bore us with meaningless 'insults' ..the only 'ignorance' is your repeating fibs and inability to put your hands up when busted re the 'history' you based your 'stance' on.







Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 18, 2018, 02:17:44 AM
FT for. "I'm busted and am just too 'proud' to admit that the Al-ASSad dynasty wasn't elected "-  :thumbsdown:
I now know they came to power in a coup - no 'elections' and even when one was held - it was a farce - with even the then UN Sec Gen dissing it.. Just don't expect me to thank you for proving I was an idiot"

A UN delegation stated the elections were free and fair.  That doesn't necessarily have to be believed though to state that this is the Government of Syria and the latest election process was iffy...but given the circumstances that is the best that can be done. 


That'll be because you know I can( easily)  back it up... ;)

Na, no valid ripost here, either .. FT's last resort? ..bore us with meaningless 'insults' ..the only 'ignorance' is your repeating fibs and inability to put your hands up when busted re the 'history' you based your 'stance' on.

You seem to think your personal history is very important to the discussion regarding Syria.  I really don't think it is, and to be frank, I don't believe the way you comment on yourself.  It is odd to me that you would even try to pump yourself up like that.   

The stance I have take hasn't changed.  The US hasn't any business being an important or determining factor in who rules Syria.  We don't have any rights in Syria, and has done quite a bit to help foul up the region. 

Fatherime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 18, 2018, 02:20:27 AM
...You don't know Russian or Russia or Russian women and you've never been to these places - and constantly prove it ...

Moby, I can remember fathertime posting a while ago that he HAD visited Ukraine.  As for the rest of it, I couldn't possibly comment.

I'm sure that FT will let me know if I'm right or wrong.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 18, 2018, 08:07:20 AM
A UN delegation stated the elections were free and fair. 

Another FT historical howler... Please waste your time finding the 'source' for your fiction.

You won't as you know it was complete bollox.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 18, 2018, 10:08:07 AM

Too late for that.  A lot of this instability is a result of the illegal invasion of Iraq....

Yes and no. 

Yes, Saddam Hussein when in power was an Arab counterbalance to Iran.  His overthrow by the US-led invasion left a power vacuum.   Even more important, the decisions the US made in an attempt to transition to a more democratic government were unrealistic failures and made Iraq unstable.   Radical groups ranged free, particularly after US troops were removed, and this eventually led to the ISIS caliphate.  The previously oppressed majority (the Shia) gained power and  allowed the Shia government of Iran to gain much influence in Iraq, thus removing Iraq as an Arab counterbalance to Iran. The only bright spot were the Kurds, who operated a stable form of governance in their homelands. 

No, the Arab Spring starting in 2010 had much to do with the instability elsewhere,  leading to civil wars in Syria and Libya where the West  later felt the need to get involved.    Iraq, Syria and Libya represent three different models for involvement by the West to support democracy:  bombing and invasion (Iraq), bombing and support of rebels (Libya), no bombing but support of rebels (Syria) with no bombing even after Assad crossed the chemical weapons redline.   The West stayed out of many Arab nations where most put down the revolution with violent measures.   The most impacted seems to be Yemen where the West has done very little even though Iran is playing a heavy hand.     The Arab Spring succeeded only in Tunisia.

 

Quote
...so I think the US is under a moral obligation to try to broker peace.

Yes, we have been very successful in quickly brokering an agreement between Israel and the Palestinians.  This is not a job for the US to lead. 


I feel the Europeans should take the lead.  They drew the maps after WWI, and have a longer history in the Middle East, UK, France and Italy as colonial powers.  Europeans are more dependent upon Middle East  oil and would suffer the most if a regional  war broke out.  The US can do much to support the Europeans.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on February 18, 2018, 02:30:25 PM
I think the toppling of Saddam Hussein was more than just the lack of a counterbalance to Iran.  The Project for a New American Century, the "blueprint" for the invasion of Iraq, stated that toppling Hussein would lead to an "Arab Spring".  I don't think there would have been an "Arab Spring" without the invasion of Iraq.


The US has interfered in the Middle East since at least the 1950's, therefore, it is morally obligated to at least attempt to broker peace. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 18, 2018, 02:31:29 PM
Moby, I can remember fathertime posting a while ago that he HAD visited Ukraine.  As for the rest of it, I couldn't possibly comment.

I'm sure that FT will let me know if I'm right or wrong.
I've done many things, although unlike mody,  generally I find it pointless to try to use any traveling for business or pleasure as a currency of great value in a discussion here.  It is humorous for a tourist like himself try to pretend he has unique knowledge.    Even living in the USA doesn't necessarily mean an individual really has the credentials to act as if his opinion is the absolute truth.  Generally it is foolish people that dismiss and think their incomplete and/or biased interpretation of events is the only thing that can be correct.    Mody fills that role perfectly and for that I must thank him for his entertainment value. The position I have has been unchanged by his comments. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 18, 2018, 02:54:33 PM
Detailed military reporting on the event that rained brimstone down on the Russian "mercs". Many of the injured back in Russia will die from severe injuries, raising the number of casualties.

http://thedefensepost.com/2018/02/10/russians-killed-coalition-strikes-deir-ezzor-syria/ (http://thedefensepost.com/2018/02/10/russians-killed-coalition-strikes-deir-ezzor-syria/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 18, 2018, 03:09:13 PM
The position I have has been unchanged by his comments. 

'Positions' like Syria has had free elections under the Al-ASSad dynasty ? !

Moby, I can remember fathertime posting a while ago that he HAD visited Ukraine.  As for the rest of it, I couldn't possibly comment.

I'm sure that FT will let me know if I'm right or wrong.

If FT has been to Ukraine, that is indeed the FSU and unlike him, I'm willing to apologise for posting bollox ..

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 18, 2018, 03:40:25 PM
'Positions' like Syria has had free elections under the Al-ASSad dynasty ? !
The latest election was considered free and fair by many, other elections were likely done unfairly.  As an outsider, it really isn't my business to dictate how Syria is or has been run.  Prior to the war they were a stable country, and Assad was considered to be moderate relatively speaking.  Now, during a western backed civil war all bets are off. 


If FT has been to Ukraine, that is indeed the FSU and unlike him, I'm willing to apologise for posting bollox ..

I really don't think you need to apologize.  What would be better is to respond what is said, rather than trying to discredit the individual making the point.   Reminds me of what Laura Ingraham just tried to do to LeBron James this week.    His response and her response to his response is putting her in a tight spot.   

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 19, 2018, 12:29:15 AM
More FT obuscation

Fess up man - you're busted and you know it..

The latest election was considered free and fair by many,

1/ NOT as you claimed by the UN. - you'll know the feelings of the then UN Sec Gen, by now - I've pointed them out to you 3 times, already - such is your obstinance to fact when presented

2/ The 2014 'elections' only took part in the parts of the country under Al-ASSad control..

3/ 'Elections' prior to that had only one candidate - as no-one could stand ..

ANYONE with a clue would long ago have conceded, " I was wrong - thanks for putting me straight" ... but only the likes of FT, the current Kremlin-team and the dictatorial dynasty he is defending could still suggest such elections were 'fair' ...



other elections were likely done unfairly.  As an outsider, it really isn't my business to dictate how Syria is or has been run.  Prior to the war they were a stable country, and Assad was considered to be moderate relatively speaking.  Now, during a western backed civil war all bets are off. 

No, there were ALL 'unfair' - but you ARE budging ... you'll get there - when you can concede NO elections under the Al-ASSad dynasty have been 'fair' - but that would mean admitting you WERE clueless ;)



I really don't think you need to apologize.  What would be better is to respond what is said, rather than trying to discredit the individual making the point.   Reminds me of what Laura Ingraham just tried to do to LeBron James this week.    His response and her response to his response is putting her in a tight spot.   

Fathertime!

FT,

If I make a mistake - it is only right and fair to apologise .. you might like to try it sometime ...

You knew b all about the Al-ASSad dynasty and 'moderate' was an aspiration the west hoped for - under Al-ASSad mark II... sadly, it has become clear that his advisers were more concerned about not being arrested by a victorious democratic movement - oppression it from the get go with unreasonable and disproportionate force .

We has come full-circle

IF the west had imposed a no-fly zone - it is likely Al-ASSad  and his cronies would have gone .. 


 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 07:59:27 AM
More FT obuscation

Fess up man - you're busted and you know it..

1/ NOT as you claimed by the UN. - you'll know the feelings of the then UN Sec Gen, by now - I've pointed them out to you 3 times, already - such is your obstinance to fact when presented


I said a "UN delegation"  I was incorrect, it was an international delegation. 

I've known right along the elections were shaky, that is how elections are in many nations. 


You knew b all about the Al-ASSad dynasty and 'moderate' was an aspiration the west hoped for - under Al-ASSad mark II... sadly, it has become clear that his advisers were more concerned about not being arrested by a victorious democratic movement - oppression it from the get go with unreasonable and disproportionate force .
 

IF the west had imposed a no-fly zone - it is likely Al-ASSad  and his cronies would have gone .. 



Had the west had attempted a no fly zone, we can't say for sure what the result would have been.  The war would have likely been wider, and involved many of the world powers is what I think. 

It just isn't our place to try to force out Assad.  Our involvement perpetuates problems, and I think that is the intent. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 19, 2018, 10:07:55 AM

Had the west had attempted a no fly zone, we can't say for sure what the result would have been.  The war would have likely been wider, and involved many of the world powers is what I think. 


That's because you have no balls at all.   A no fly zone would not have led to war and would likely have  reduced the number of Syrian casualties and refugees.   

There is more.  As stated in much earlier posts in this thread, a crisis developed in 2013 when Assad  used chemical weapons against the rebels, thus  crossing Obama's red line.   Putin bluffed Obama into not bombing Assad even though I showed in my posts the  Russian Navy told Putin they could not defeat the US Navy in the Med.  Obama's weakness emboldened Putin, who already felt untouchable after Bush did little when Russia invaded Georgia in 2008.  So Putin felt free to take an even more aggressive step -  he seized Crimea from Ukraine in early 2014.   

At least in regard to Crimea, the West hit Russia with sanctions.  Noteworthy, upon being hit with sanctions, the Russian government started its program to interfere in the US elections.

When do you believe we should stand up to Putin?  When they take military control of the future Artic shipping lanes?   Never? 

No one likes war, but there comes a time when one has to take a stand.  If not, tyrants will push you again and again. 
Title: Attack on US forces led by former Russian Marine
Post by: ML on February 19, 2018, 10:43:29 AM
Maybe this duplicates something already posted by others.

Wagner’s failed attack on US forces in Syria ‘led by former Russian Marine officer’

http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/wagners-failed-attack-us-forces-syria-led-former-russian-marine-officer.html
Title: Re: Attack on US forces led by former Russian Marine
Post by: alex330 on February 19, 2018, 10:59:11 AM
Maybe this duplicates something already posted by others.

Wagner’s failed attack on US forces in Syria ‘led by former Russian Marine officer’

http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/wagners-failed-attack-us-forces-syria-led-former-russian-marine-officer.html (http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/wagners-failed-attack-us-forces-syria-led-former-russian-marine-officer.html)

It sounds like they were launching an attack on our positions to retake the refinery. Most of the guys killed were career mercenaries that fought in Chechnya and were the "Little Green Men" in Crimea and Donbass. We basically took out most of Putins battle hardened mercs in this strike.


Edit - Now would be the time for Ukraine to make an aggressive push into the East to retake land.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 02:03:02 PM
That's because you have no balls at all.   A no fly zone would not have led to war and would likely have  reduced the number of Syrian casualties and refugees.   


Not only do you lack balls, but also lack the wisdom to make a good judgement as it pertains to wars or individuals.  I think ultimately a no fly zone would have created a larger and unnecessary war, in a place where we are not wanted.   


When do you believe we should stand up to Putin?  When they take military control of the future Artic shipping lanes?   Never? 

No one likes war, but there comes a time when one has to take a stand.  If not, tyrants will push you again and again. 

I don't think we need to 'stand up' to Putin.   It is more like more nations need to stand up to the US. We are the ones doing as much pushing as anyone, probably more.  Due to our wealth, we can afford tactics that are sometimes less barbaric but it is still us pushing.  It is only those that are willfully blind that can't see it. 

Fathertime! 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 19, 2018, 02:43:48 PM
On Al Jazeera today, apparently Assad's forces are to join the Kurds in throwing back the Turkish army in a cross the border incursion to punish the Kurds in Afrin.  Hungary is emphatic that if such support is provided, that there will be war between the two countries.  However, Assad cannot claim control of his state if he cannot demonstrate control over this area.

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/02/turkey-denies-reports-syria-ypg-afrin-180219200244851.html

This could be a problematic escalation.   Moreover, the faction of the Kurdish resistance which is joining with the Syrian forces is also the same faction that is currently supported by the Americans.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on February 19, 2018, 02:59:54 PM
That's because you have no balls at all.   A no fly zone would not have led to war and would likely have  reduced the number of Syrian casualties and refugees.   

There is more.  As stated in much earlier posts in this thread, a crisis developed in 2013 when Assad  used chemical weapons against the rebels, thus  crossing Obama's red line.   Putin bluffed Obama into not bombing Assad even though I showed in my posts the  Russian Navy told Putin they could not defeat the US Navy in the Med.  Obama's weakness emboldened Putin, who already felt untouchable after Bush did little when Russia invaded Georgia in 2008.  So Putin felt free to take an even more aggressive step -  he seized Crimea from Ukraine in early 2014.   

At least in regard to Crimea, the West hit Russia with sanctions.  Noteworthy, upon being hit with sanctions, the Russian government started its program to interfere in the US elections.

When do you believe we should stand up to Putin?  When they take military control of the future Artic shipping lanes?   Never? 

No one likes war, but there comes a time when one has to take a stand.  If not, tyrants will push you again and again.

I agree with the general tenor of your post.

One point -- "Noteworthy, upon being hit with sanctions, the Russian government started its program to interfere in the US elections."
It got into gear in 2012 when Putin was re elected  . Most probably had been on Putin's agenda for some time before that. The explosion of the internet in the period prior to 2012 gave access to a means only dreamt of in earlier times.
The success of the program in Ukraine ( by sowing considerable confusion) saw the program expanded  .
It is interesting how the right to extreme right in the US seem intent on ignoring /downplaying the significance of that interference in the US.
My point--it was not the sanctions as such that led to the Russian policy- it was already in gear prior to that.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 19, 2018, 04:31:55 PM
On Al Jazeera today, apparently Assad's forces are to join the Kurds in throwing back the Hungarian army in a cross the border incursion to punish the Kurds in Afrin.  Hungary is emphatic that if such support is provided, that there will be war between the two countries.  However, Assad cannot claim control of his state if he cannot demonstrate control over this area.


I think you meant Turkish army, not Hungarian army. 

The Kurd lands  in and around Afrin area are not contiguous with the Kurd homelands in eastern Syria.  Thje Afrin region also contains Turkmen tribes who are more allied with Turkey than Syria (Russia was bombing the Turkmen rebels when Turkish jets shot down a Russian jet earky in Russia's involvement).  The area is akin to a mini-Balkans. 

This would be an escalation.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 19, 2018, 04:42:26 PM
Not only do you lack balls, but also lack the wisdom to make a good judgement as it pertains to wars or individuals.  I think ultimately a no fly zone would have created a larger and unnecessary war, in a place where we are not wanted.

Unlike you I gave an analysis of why this would not lead to larger war.  Where is your analysis of why it would lead to larger war. 


How many Syrians would have been saved if Syria could not bomb rebel positions?  Another way of pahrasing this is to ask how many Syrians were killed, injured or made homeless  by barrel bombs?   

 
Quote
I don't think we need to 'stand up' to Putin.   It is more like more nations need to stand up to the US. We are the ones doing as much pushing as anyone, probably more.  Due to our wealth, we can afford tactics that are sometimes less barbaric but it is still us pushing.  It is only those that are willfully blind that can't see it. 




This suggests that you believe the US is a greater threat to world stability than Russia.  If true, I am stunned.  Folks we have found someone working for the Russian troll factory and doing it wittingly.  Someone report it to Mueller.     
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 19, 2018, 05:07:52 PM
I think you meant Turkish army, not Hungarian army. 

How did you catch that.  I thought I had changed it before anyone could quote it.   I always get Hungry when someone mentions Turkey. 

In any event, while the areas are somewhat disparate (most of the Kurds living in North Eastern Syria) there is a possibility that the Kurds working with the Syrian Army, in and around Afrin, could still impact the US support for the Kurds living in Eastern Syria.  What happens if the US supports the Kurds in Eastern Syria while the Turks are at war with them in Western Syria?  Turkey is a member of NATO.  And, it could then be said that the US is supporting an escalation of war against a NATO nation.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 05:57:07 PM
a crisis developed in 2013 when Assad  used chemical weapons against the rebels, thus  crossing Obama's red line.   Putin bluffed Obama into not bombing Assad even though I showed in my posts the  Russian Navy told Putin they could not defeat the US Navy in the Med.  Obama's weakness emboldened Putin



Putin also read Sec of State, Hillary's unsecured emails probably stating they would not challenge Russia if Russia got involved in Syria. He knew the Obama administration wouldn't challenge his entry into the war. Obama spent half a billion dollars to train and arm rebels. It was almost a good investment since there was a time where it was thought Assad would topple even with Obama's minimal help but Russia came to the rescue of Assad. If Obama did more and gave the impression he'll put a hurt on anybody that tries to stop him, Assad may have fallen, lives would be saved and there wouldn't be a massive refugee problem we and the rest of the free world would have to pay for. Too little, too late.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 06:12:13 PM
Unlike you I gave an analysis of why this would not lead to larger war.  Where is your analysis of why it would lead to larger war. 


How many Syrians would have been saved if Syria could not bomb rebel positions?  Another way of pahrasing this is to ask how many Syrians were killed, injured or made homeless  by barrel bombs?   

I don't agree with your speculative analysis, it is not a requirement for me to give a detailed speculative analysis to disagree with yours.  In a broad stroke, I don't think Russia would have stood idle had we started to get more aggressive. 



This suggests that you believe the US is a greater threat to world stability than Russia.  If true, I am stunned.  Folks we have found someone working for the Russian troll factory and doing it wittingly.  Someone report it to Mueller.     
 
At this moment in time, at LEAST as big a threat which shouldn't be of any surprise.  Plenty of others think the same thing.     Why would Mueller need to investigate people with this veiw?    Why must people fall in line with what the US is doing abroad?  Sounds like you would like to stifle such views.

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 19, 2018, 06:22:32 PM
I don't think Russia would have stood idle had we started to get more aggressive. 

We just took out some of their best forces and they are sitting idle.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 06:30:15 PM
We just took out some of their best forces and they are sitting idle.
Without knowing all the details that may be true, and it may or may not have been a situation where we unintentionally targeted them.   Perhaps they are biding their time for now, but if indeed we targeted and killed a bunch of Russians, I'd expect some  retaliation when the opportunity arises, doesn't have to be today or tomorrow. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 07:59:56 PM
t if indeed we targeted and killed a bunch of Russians, I'd expect some  retaliation when the opportunity arises, doesn't have to be today or tomorrow. 



Two months ago Putin announces mission in Syria is accomplished and orders the withdrawal of troops. There's not supposed to be any Russian troops left in Syria and if there are, there should be no activity from them since the Russian mission is accomplished and over. With the election next month, Russian citizens can feel comfortable voting for Putin now since he got the job done in Syria and pulled out it's troops with minimal casualties. Of course all this good news is happening right before an election. What a coincidence.


http://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/11/vladimir-putin-orders-russian-forces-to-start-pulling-out-of-syria.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 08:07:09 PM

Two months ago Putin announces mission in Syria is accomplished and orders the withdrawal of troops. There's not supposed to be any Russian troops left in Syria and if there are, there should be no activity from them since the Russian mission is accomplished and over. With the election next month, Russian citizens can feel comfortable voting for Putin now since he got the job done in Syria and pulled out it's troops with minimal casualties. Of course all this good news is happening right before an election. What a coincidence.


http://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/11/vladimir-putin-orders-russian-forces-to-start-pulling-out-of-syria.html

before we cast too many stones elsewhere, look at how Donald J. Trump's truth meter stacks up on Politifact: 


(http://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/4jR02YY.JzNzHnTNeI9GwA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjtzbT0xO3c9ODAw/http://media.zenfs.com/en-GB/homerun/newsweek_europe_news_328/52f0f4b07ea5a8f6509bbe66a04119f2)
http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/    (http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 19, 2018, 08:37:45 PM
before we cast too many stones elsewhere, look at how Donald J. Trump's truth meter stacks up on Politifact: 


(http://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/4jR02YY.JzNzHnTNeI9GwA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjtzbT0xO3c9ODAw/http://media.zenfs.com/en-GB/homerun/newsweek_europe_news_328/52f0f4b07ea5a8f6509bbe66a04119f2)
http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/    (http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/)

Politfact is a liberal mouthpiece.  Look at the origins of it.  It is like asking FOXNEWS how often Hillary tells the truth.

Nonetheless, I agree that Trump has a way of looking at things askew from the rest of reality.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 08:53:11 PM
Nonetheless, I agree that Trump has a way of looking at things askew from the rest of reality.
He just flat out lies.  He knows it doesn't matter very much, so it is calculated in a rough way.  Our society has allowed him to get away with it...while many encourage him to continue or even repeat things they know are lies as if they are facts.   This is partially why we are so 'exceptional' here in the USA! 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 08:55:38 PM
before we cast too many stones elsewhere, look at how Donald J. Trump's truth meter stacks up on Politifact: 


Politifact is owned by the Tampa Bay Times. They haven't endorsed a Republican candidate at the state or federal level this century. Politifact almost always claim Republicans are lying and they rarely claim a Democrat is lying. The media has been cruel to Trump making up stories on him yet they feel qualified in making these "independent" sites that know what is and what isn't true. What honest journalist is so well respected that people elected him/her to Congress? I don't think highly of most journalists either. They care less about truth and more about the entertainment value of their work so they can get people reading.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 09:16:03 PM
Politifact is owned by the Tampa Bay Times. They haven't endorsed a Republican candidate at the state or federal level this century. Politifact almost always claim Republicans are lying and they rarely claim a Democrat is lying. The media has been cruel to Trump making up stories on him yet they feel qualified in making these "independent" sites that know what is and what isn't true. What honest journalist is so well respected that people elected him/her to Congress? I don't think highly of most journalists either. They care less about truth and more about the entertainment value of their work so they can get people reading.

More liberal bias.  It seems any that publication/website that doesn't agree with the conservative view on certain issues is considered biased by conservatives.  I took a close look at some of the statements Trump has made that politifact considered to be lies....and they actually were lies.    Liberal, conservative, or in the middle, a lie is a lie, and Trump has told some whoopers, so I'm not sure we need to worry about Putin's lies when we have Trump. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 09:22:38 PM
It seems any that publication/website that doesn't agree with the conservative view on certain issues is considered biased by conservatives. 



When a "truth" website never endorses Republicans and always endorse Democrats, they are bias. I don't need a conservative website to tell me that. Trump lies a lot because the liberal media says he lies a lot. To me that means Trump doesn't lie a lot. I do not have faith the media owns the truth and I don't think they are qualified to judge Trump because they have an agenda against him.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on February 19, 2018, 09:46:03 PM

When a "truth" website never endorses Republicans and always endorse Democrats, they are bias. I don't need a conservative website to tell me that. Trump lies a lot because the liberal media says he lies a lot. To me that means Trump doesn't lie a lot. I do not have faith the media owns the truth and I don't think they are qualified to judge Trump because they have an agenda against him.

Here is a link to some of Trump's lies.  It is good to keep them all organized.   
I noticed that the lie of the year a few years back was one from Obama, so I don't think the site is that biased.
We shouldn't ignore our own lies while/before we call out other lies 

 http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/statements/byruling/pants-fire/   (http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/statements/byruling/pants-fire/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 10:06:39 PM

Here is a link to some of Trump's lies. 



I don't have time to address all the politifact crap but lets take the first one since it's been in recent news "Donald Trump falsely says he never denied Russian meddling"

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2018/feb/19/donald-trump/donald-trump-falsely-denies-he-denied-russian-medd/ (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2018/feb/19/donald-trump/donald-trump-falsely-denies-he-denied-russian-medd/)

Can you show me anywhere on the internet where he denies Russian meddling of the elections based on Muellers recent revelations of Russia's activities on social media?

Trump denies collusion. He said it may be Russia, China or a 400lb man hacking into Hillary's emails. Because Trump said that in the past, Politifact is claiming Trump lied but Trump didn't lie. Trump has never denied Russia being involved in meddling. He only denies collusion with Russia and he was always open to Russia possibly being involved with the meddling.

Politifact says "During an overseas trip to Asia in November 2017, Trump spoke of his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. A reporter asked how Trump brought up the issue of Russian meddling in the U.S. election."Every time he sees me, he says, ‘I didn't do that,’ " Trump said. "And I really believe that when he tells me that, he means it."
While politifact is reporting truth, they are leaving out truth so their truth is a lie. I remember that time and all the irresponsible journalism that came out giving us the impression Trump is believing every word Putin says. In the link below is responsible journalism where Fox News actually reported everything Trump said pertaining to his meeting with Putin and Trump said "
As to whether I believe it, I'm with our agencies,” the president added. “As currently led by fine people, I believe very much in our intelligence agencies.”[/color]

[/size]http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/11/12/trump-says-stands-with-us-intel-agencies-on-russian-meddling.html (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/11/12/trump-says-stands-with-us-intel-agencies-on-russian-meddling.html)

[/color]Currently, as you been reading, the mainstream media is claiming Trump never believed Russia was involved with the meddling of our elections but I remember a few times he admitted it was Russians. So the media and Politifact is lying to you, not Trump.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on February 19, 2018, 10:08:38 PM


I don't have time to address all the politifact crap but lets take the first one since it's been in recent news "Donald Trump falsely says he never denied Russian meddling"

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2018/feb/19/donald-trump/donald-trump-falsely-denies-he-denied-russian-medd/ (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2018/feb/19/donald-trump/donald-trump-falsely-denies-he-denied-russian-medd/)

Can you show me anywhere on the internet where he denies Russian meddling of the elections based on Muellers recent revelations of Russia's activities on social media?

Trump denies collusion. He said it may be Russia, China or a 400lb man hacking into Hillary's emails. Because Trump said that in the past, Politifact is claiming Trump lied but Trump didn't lie. Trump has never denied Russia being involved in meddling. He only denies collusion with Russia and he was always open to Russia possibly being involved with the meddling.

Politifact says "During an overseas trip to Asia in November 2017, Trump spoke of his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. A reporter asked how Trump brought up the issue of Russian meddling in the U.S. election."Every time he sees me, he says, ‘I didn't do that,’ " Trump said. "And I really believe that when he tells me that, he means it."
While politifact is reporting truth, they are leaving out truth so their truth is a lie. I remember that time and all the irresponsible journalism that came out giving us the impression Trump is believing every word Putin says. In the link below is responsible journalism where Fox News actually reported everything Trump said pertaining to his meeting with Putin and Trump said "
As to whether I believe it, I'm with our agencies,” the president added. “As currently led by fine people, I believe very much in our intelligence agencies.”[/color]

[/size]http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/11/12/trump-says-stands-with-us-intel-agencies-on-russian-meddling.html (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/11/12/trump-says-stands-with-us-intel-agencies-on-russian-meddling.html)

[/color]Currently, as you been reading, the mainstream media is claiming Trump never believed Russia was involved with the meddling of our elections but I remember a few times he admitted it was Russians. So the media and Politifact is lying to you, not Trump.


He told Putin, to his face, that he believed that the Russians weren't involved in our campaign.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 19, 2018, 10:20:41 PM
He told Putin, to his face, that he believed that the Russians weren't involved in our campaign.


Trump needed to say that. If Trump told Putin he knew Russians were involved in his campaign for president, Mueller would find that out and Trump would probably be impeached for collusion.


We need to be careful with the media messing our brains up with Trump collusion with Russia and Russia meddling in the election. Two different things Mueller will look at. One of those things definitely did happen, the other most likely didn't happen.
Title: Russian Mercs in Syria - Mincemeat
Post by: alex330 on February 26, 2018, 04:34:50 PM
Interesting interview on the Wagner merc recruiter in Russia. And details on troop losses from US airstrikes several weeks back.


http://www.france24.com/en/20180223-russia-fighters-syria-exclusive-interview-mercenary-wagner?ref=fb (http://www.france24.com/en/20180223-russia-fighters-syria-exclusive-interview-mercenary-wagner?ref=fb)
Title: Re: Russian Mercs in Syria - Mincemeat
Post by: BillyB on February 26, 2018, 09:44:20 PM
Interesting interview on the Wagner merc recruiter in Russia. And details on troop losses from US airstrikes several weeks back.


http://www.france24.com/en/20180223-russia-fighters-syria-exclusive-interview-mercenary-wagner?ref=fb (http://www.france24.com/en/20180223-russia-fighters-syria-exclusive-interview-mercenary-wagner?ref=fb)


Interesting the recruiter says the families of the deceased soldiers won't know they're dead until after the presidential election.


Communications were intercepted between Russians over the event. They dropped a lot of F bombs over what happened. They not only lost over 200 men, they lost all but one of their tanks. They got their assess handed to them before American ground troops could get into the fight.


I wonder if the owner of Wagner sent his private army in to face the Americans right before payday?


Translated transcripts in the link below


http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-leaked-audio-humiliating-defeat-by-us-forces-2018-2
Title: Re: Russian Mercs in Syria - Mincemeat
Post by: alex330 on February 26, 2018, 10:03:53 PM
They got their assess handed to them before American ground troops could get into the fight.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDzWyhXonMU
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 27, 2018, 12:58:33 AM
Ahem,

The relations DO know when their loved ones are killed

1/ They read /  see /read about it ..

2/ They get the body back and insurance money

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on February 27, 2018, 01:51:03 AM
A stack of rubles for babushka sure, but no bodies to send home on this one.

There is evidence surfacing that regulars from the Russian 5th Assault team were also involved in this incident.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 27, 2018, 09:14:59 AM
Ahem,

The relations DO know when their loved ones are killed

1/ They read /  see /read about it ..



The guy in the video who works for Wagner said Russian families won't know until after the election. Russia's initial statement said their were 5 dead and now they raised it to over a dozen. Russia doesn't want their citizens to believe over a hundred Russians died. I've seen about 9 or 10 names put out by Russian media of those who died. That means hundreds of families don't know if their son/husband/father is dead yet. Do you know of a list that exists of over hundred names of those who died in that fight?

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 27, 2018, 11:26:20 AM
More observant contributors will note I posted an article about mercenary casualties in Syria from Oct / Nov 2017 and a Moscow Times article that predates yahoo and company ..

Even the BBC ran an article showing how relatives were notified..

Over to you, BillyB ...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Gator on February 27, 2018, 11:31:47 AM
Contrary to my opinion that Saddam sold his chemical weapons to Syria, a NY Times article today suggests North Korea could be involved.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/un-links-north-korea-to-syria’s-chemical-weapon-program/ar-BBJEadn?ocid=spartanntp
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 27, 2018, 11:55:06 AM
I posted an article about merciany casualties in Syria from Oct / Nov 2017 and a Moscow Times article that predates yahoo and company ..



We are talking about a battle that happened Feb 2018. I posted an article where Putin announces the Russian mission in Syria is over in Dec 2017. Should make citizens happy the war is a success and over before they vote next month. It would look extremely bad for Putin if the media announced 200+ Russians confirmed dead in Syria. That's why the official statement said there were 5 dead and since somebody leaked some names, they updated the dead to a few dozen.


The goal was to take an oil field. Americans were in contact with Russians before, during and after the fight and each time the Russians denied they were in that fight. Of course they knew Wagner was there although they claim they did not. I think they wanted to test the Americans. If they want to expand their borders elsewhere, they'd have a good understanding of what they're up against should the Americans come to the rescue of those they're taking over.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on February 27, 2018, 12:00:58 PM

We are talking about a battle that happened Feb 2018.

Yes, and that was the Moscow Times and BBC articles ..  Please keep up, BillyB..
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on February 27, 2018, 12:48:37 PM



 :wallbash:   Okay Moby, you are right and the guy that works for Wagner and knows many soldiers deaths in the last battle won't get disclosed till after the election is wrong. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on March 02, 2018, 02:16:31 AM
))

BillyB


READ the articles I posted !
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on March 10, 2018, 05:01:59 PM

Utter stupidity to me...
The UN [security council] meets to vote on a cease fire.
Why did they have to all agree on stopping the bloodshed? 
Who would say nah...keep it up.
Supposed to be a 30 day thing...it didn't last 2.

(http://static01.nyt.com/images/2018/02/25/world/25nations/merlin_134550294_b4b2556f-5601-48c9-902d-22d0798290c7-master768.jpg)

The United Nations Security Council voted unanimously on Saturday in favor of a 30-day cease-fire in Syria

http://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/24/world/middleeast/un-security-council-syria.html

The disUnited Nations.....  the prime example of absolute worthlessness.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on March 12, 2018, 12:52:05 PM
Utter stupidity to me...
The UN [security council] meets to vote on a cease fire.
Why did they have to all agree on stopping the bloodshed? 

Because Russia vetoes anything that might not help Al-ASSad's cause
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on March 12, 2018, 05:19:12 PM
Utter stupidity to me...The UN [security council] meets to vote on a cease fire. Why did they have to all agree on stopping the bloodshed? 
Unfortunately implicit in the UN Charter, produced by the winners of WWII, the US, UK, Russia, France and China: they made sure that any of them could veto an unwelcome resolution ;).
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 08, 2018, 08:13:43 AM



Trump blames Putin and Russia for supporting Assad in latest major chemical attack. Mainstream anti Trump media isn't reporting it because it doesn't fit their description Trump in bed with Putin. Trump already said and done more against Putin and Russia in Syria in less than a year and a half than Obama said and done in 8 years. Trump promises a big price to pay in Syria for the chemical attack.


http://www.yahoo.com/news/donald-trump-warns-apos-big-141833881.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 09, 2018, 05:05:25 PM
BillyB

What did firing a few Tomahawks do to stop Al Assad and his sponsors?

Did the wholesale slaughter stop?

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 09, 2018, 05:18:38 PM
BillyB

What did firing a few Tomahawks do to stop Al Assad and his sponsors?

Did the wholesale slaughter stop?


At least Trump made more of an effort than Obama to discourage Assad from using Chemical weapons. Response last year was weak. Trump promises a big price to pay this time. He said he'll make up his mind what it will be in 24-48 hrs.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 09, 2018, 05:30:30 PM
 
Remember that H Clinton wanted to remove Assad?
With Assad gone who would be in charge there?

Quote
Liberal leaders call for challenge to Gabbard over Syria skepticism
A handful of mavericks in Congress have said they want to see more evidence of Assad's involvement (CNN)A pair of veteran leaders on the left, former Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean and Center for American Progress President Neera Tanden, called on Hawaiians to vote Rep. Tulsi Gabbard out of office after the Democrat questioned whether Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was responsible for last week's chemical attack."People of Hawaii's 2nd District -- was it not enough for you that your rep met with a murderous dictator? Will this move you?" Tanden tweeted Friday in response to Gabbard's comments on CNN that she is "skeptical" Assad is responsible for the chemical attack.
http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/09/politics/democratic-leaders-gabbard-syria/index.html

No one ever came up with absolute concrete proof that Assad launched the attacks last year or did this time.
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=21587.msg480685#msg480685
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 09, 2018, 05:59:38 PM

Remember that H Clinton wanted to remove Assad?
With Assad gone who would be in charge there?
http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/09/politics/democratic-leaders-gabbard-syria/index.html

No one ever came up with absolute concrete proof that Assad launched the attacks last year or did this time.
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=21587.msg480685#msg480685
So far Trump has been better than hillary would have been...who knows how far she would have went in an intervention but I think it would have been further than Trump. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 09, 2018, 06:02:49 PM

No one ever came up with absolute concrete proof that Assad launched the attacks last year or did this time.
http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=21587.msg480685#msg480685 (http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=21587.msg480685#msg480685)

UN found Assad guilty last year.

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/world/middleeast/syria-chemical-weapons.html (http://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/world/middleeast/syria-chemical-weapons.html)

This time I'm sure Assad is guilty again. They have the town surrounded. ISIS who is at war with everybody and evil enough to use chemical weapons is wiped out so it couldn't be them. I doubt the rebels fighting would kill their own kids. Syria, Russia, and Iran own the skies in that area. Nothing gets in or out of that town without going through them. Nothing gets dropped from the skies except from their planes.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 09, 2018, 07:01:08 PM
Something smells fishy in Syria.  You have a city surrounded.  All you have to do is conduct a siege.  So you piss off the whole world by throwing in a bunch of weapons of mass destruction.  And threaten your own government and the government that is protecting you (Russia.)

What a Ko-Inky-Dink.

Most likely candidate list who really set off the weapons:

1.  CIA
2.  Israeli Army
3.  Kurds
4.  Anyone but Assad

But, now the Russians come back and say there was no Chemical weapon attack.  Makes 'em look more stupid than ever.  Can we say 'Nerve Agent'?  How about no Buks in Ukraine?  Oh, and Nemtsov got run over by a Garbage Truck.

Sorry Borris - you always look guilty these days.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 09, 2018, 07:45:43 PM
UN found Assad guilty last year.

  (http://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/world/middleeast/syria-chemical-weapons.html) ISIS .... is wiped out so it couldn't be them.
Diminished anyway.
So, why wasn't Assad arrested then?

Posted by: jone.....
Quote

You have a city surrounded.  All you have to do is conduct a siege.  So you piss off the whole world by throwing in a bunch of weapons of mass destruction.  And threaten your own government...
Exactly :-\
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 09, 2018, 09:18:34 PM
So, why wasn't Assad arrested then?



The UN makes International law. They don't enforce International law. They'll send inspectors, observers and peacekeepers but they never send peacemakers.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 10, 2018, 06:13:05 AM
Something smells fishy in Syria.  You have a city surrounded.  All you have to do is conduct a siege.  So you piss off the whole world by throwing in a bunch of weapons of mass destruction.  And threaten your own government and the government that is protecting you (Russia.)

What a Ko-Inky-Dink.

Most likely candidate list who really set off the weapons:

1.  CIA
2.  Israeli Army
3.  Kurds
4.  Anyone but Assad
 
Trump doesn't have it within him to do such a thing in my opinion, so unless the CIA is acting on it's own I'd take the US off of that list.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 10, 2018, 02:36:41 PM

The UN makes International law. They don't enforce International law. They'll send inspectors, observers and peacekeepers but they never send peacemakers.

Which illustrates the point that the United Nations is useless.
 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 10, 2018, 03:20:52 PM



Russia said they'll shoot our missiles and ships if they target Russian troops in Syria. Russian troops in Syria? Last December before the Russian presidential election Putin announced Russia's mission was accomplished and all Russian troops are coming home. Now the election is over, they're back? I don't think they ever left the country.


http://www.yahoo.com/news/russia-responds-trump-apos-military-172922094.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: SANDRO43 on April 10, 2018, 05:11:16 PM
Which illustrates the point that the United Nations is useless.
You - meaning the USA - were those who most pressed for its creation :D.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 10, 2018, 11:45:34 PM



Upcoming attack on Syria may be big. France and UK may participate. French prez Macron said the upcoming attack will target Syrian chemical weapons stockpiles. Seems like Russia failed to rid the country of chemical weapons yet we know where they store them. Trump sending a carrier group over there. Russian and Iranian forces moving into safe zones in preparation for the anticipated spanking.


http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ap-sources-us-france-and-uk-discuss-gas-attack-response/ar-AAvKbrt?ocid=ientp
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 12:01:37 AM
Any attack will be for the benefit of voters rather than helping those on the ground. Too little too latearly. .Will the actions result in Russia ending support for the Al assad dynasty? 

True help would be aid forr refugees ..
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 01:17:21 AM
Will the actions result in Russia ending support for the Al assad dynasty? 



Russia is in this to the end. They need Assad to come out on top. Assad mortgaged his country to stay in power. If he's toppled, the new ruler of Syria probably won't be reimbursing Russia for their "help".


True help would be aid forr refugees ..



When this war is over, Assad will be happy to expel people who fought against him, their families and give them to Western nations. Some of your tax dollars will go to giving lifetime medical care for the war crippled and those with health problems due to exposure of chemical weapons. It's going to cost a lot. You are kinder than Putin. Some of the people you take in will grow bitter your country didn't do enough. Didn't back them when they needed it. Felt Western nations pulled out and abandoned them. They will teach their kids to hate. Bad things will happen after they rent a truck.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 03:05:30 AM
BillyB

You quote my points / questions but respond as if you never read them.

Let's try again... Will a response stop Al Assad from doing what he wants? Did it last time?

So, why not do something USEFUL, instead of using ordinance that will need to be replaced?

The time to act was long ago.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 05:11:02 AM


Upcoming attack on Syria may be big. France and UK may participate. French prez Macron said the upcoming attack will target Syrian chemical weapons stockpiles. Seems like Russia failed to rid the country of chemical weapons yet we know where they store them. Trump sending a carrier group over there. Russian and Iranian forces moving into safe zones in preparation for the anticipated spanking.


http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ap-sources-us-france-and-uk-discuss-gas-attack-response/ar-AAvKbrt?ocid=ientp
Russia has stated they will target where the missiles come from.  Generally the US strikes from afar with impunity.  If what Trump/Putin say is accurate, this will be different.  It is an unnecessary escalation, likely based on a lie.  Even many Trump supporters suspect it wasn't assad that suddenly used chemical weapons, yet we have bolton/trump leading the way, so bad things may happen.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 05:32:44 AM
Russia has stated they will target where the missiles come from.  Generally the US strikes from afar with impunity.  If what Trump/Putin say is accurate, this will be different.  It is an unnecessary escalation, likely based on a lie.  Even many Trump supporters suspect it wasn't assad that suddenly used chemical weapons, yet we have bolton/trump leading the way, so bad things may happen.

Fathertime!

Based on your record of failing to accept defeat when your 'assumptions' - based on bollox data - are proven somewhat lacking - you'll forgive the guffaw ;)

I am NO Trump supporter and I know MUCH more about Syria than you....  Without doubt it was used in April last year - dropped from Syrian war planes - and the regime keeps denying it has such weapons - yet only one side - the anti-Assad side keeps getting gassed ..

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 05:44:59 AM
Based on your record of failing to accept defeat when your 'assumptions' - based on bollox data - are proven somewhat lacking - you'll forgive the guffaw ;)

I am NO Trump supporter and I know MUCH more about Syria than you....  Without doubt it was used in April last year - dropped from Syrian war planes - and the regime keeps denying it has such weapons - yet only one side - the anti-Assad side keeps getting gassed ..
    Despite your insistence, I don't believe you know much of anything about Syria, so I'm not buying your all encompassing creds. 

The anti Assad side has been gassed it seems, yet the timing of when these events occur has been more damaging to Assad...especially this time if indeed Trump decides to casually start lobbing missiles.  Last week Trump was talking about leaving altogether.  Why would Assad suddenly partake in an outrageous event like this, in order to keep Trump in Syria, to a far greater extent?  Makes no sense at all.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 11, 2018, 07:03:36 AM
To those that do not believe Assad gassed his encircled enemies here is an alternate point of view.


When a city is surrounded and dug in it can be very difficult to finish up the task at hand. There are special tools or weapons designed to finish off the difficult task of urban warfare. In Fallujah we used SMAW's. Assad does not have access to these types of weapons, he has chemical weapons that are used to penetrate the hard to reach nooks and crannies.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 08:11:59 AM
BillyB

You quote my points / questions but respond as if you never read them.

Let's try again... Will a response stop Al Assad from doing what he wants? Did it last time?

So, why not do something USEFUL, instead of using ordinance that will need to be replaced?

The time to act was long ago.


Read your previous post and this one. Your questions are clearly different. One thing is the same. You like to argue with everybody.


To those that do not believe Assad gassed his encircled enemies here is an alternate point of view.....



Russia has some of the best intelligence in the world. They would love to find evidence America framed Assad. Our allies would call us out in the open and not hide that from the world. The world will see America very differently and what would America gain by killing women and children that we want to rescue? We gain permission to bomb Assad. America could bomb Assad without the need of chemical weapons attack. The UN already found Assad guilty of multiple offenses.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 08:30:17 AM
To those that do not believe Assad gassed his encircled enemies here is an alternate point of view.


When a city is surrounded and dug in it can be very difficult to finish up the task at hand. There are special tools or weapons designed to finish off the difficult task of urban warfare. In Fallujah we used SMAW's. Assad does not have access to these types of weapons, he has chemical weapons that are used to penetrate the hard to reach nooks and crannies.

Interesting,   we (The US) perhaps like to claim we use more humane weapons, yet tens of thousands of civilians have been killed over the past 15 years by us.     Not to mention we excused ourselves for using chemical weapons in the past and even nuclear ones.   I really don't think we have much of a leg to stand on, as usual. 

I also think this is another tactic used by the the US and a few other western nations.  The US tries to price, police, and regulate nations they disagree with, out of fighting back against rebel forces.  We just sold Saudi Arabia 100 billion in 'approved weapons' to which they are using to kill civilians in Yemen, which is seen as 'necessary'In my opinion the entire thing is disingenuous at minimum.   All that said, I don't see the evidence or motive for Assad to use gas at this time, with the war well in hand.

Fathertime! 

 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 08:55:50 AM
All that said, I don't see the evidence or motive for Assad to use gas at this time, with the war well in hand.



Which only goes to PROVE how little you know about Syria
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 11, 2018, 09:15:56 AM
Interesting,   we (The US) perhaps like to claim we use more humane weapons

Thermobaric weapons are more humane in that they obliterate those in the strike area. They can cause damage to innocents nearby, but generally do not as they are fired from the ground into buildings with accuracy.  Of course if a terrorist is in a home with his family, well....

Chemical weapons are dropped from above and highly inaccurate. Like fishing a reef with cyanide.

All that said, I don't see the evidence or motive for Assad to use gas at this time, with the war well in hand.

It's pretty obvious. Assads motive to use chemicals is to finish off the last opposition holdout. He cannot send his troops in and suffer massive losses in building to bldg urban warfare. He is dropping chemical weapons into Ghouta just as if you or I would toss rat poison up into the attic. It kills holed up rebels and causes massive psychological damage to his enemy. He is used to the West's half assed responses to his actions.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 09:26:17 AM
Which only goes to PROVE how little you know about Syria
So far that is the extent of your incredible 'reasoning'.  Haha.   :ROFL:

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 12:46:24 PM
So far that is the extent of your incredible 'reasoning'.

You have had chapter and verse, before..

You have never been there, do not know as many Syrians as I do and would not know what you were ordering in a Syrian restaurant..I am lucky enough to have seen places such as Palmyra before Daesh

You would be clueless in the Levant
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 01:22:14 PM
You have had chapter and verse, before..

You have never been there, do not know as many Syrians as I do and would not know what you were ordering in a Syrian restaurant..I am lucky enough to have seen places such as Palmyra before Daesh

You would be clueless in the Levant

I see, you have been to a Syrian restaurant, and feel that is very relevant to chemical weapons, Trump, and the American response.   Very sound reasoning, to be expected.
 :D

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 02:06:24 PM
I see, you have been to a Syrian restaurant, and feel that is very relevant to chemical weapons, Trump, and the American response.   Very sound reasoning, to be expected.


Ri-ight - so even irony is beyond you.. 

*I* have been to Syrian Restaurants IN Syria ...

Unlike you, I can name every UN resolution that Russia and China have blocked to prop up Assad...   

You couldn't understand how utterly daft you sound every time to post something you think you know about Syria ..

I leave the floor to your ignorance

 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 02:23:59 PM
Ri-ight - so even irony is beyond you.. 

*I* gave been to Syrian Restaurants IN Syria ...

Unlike you, I can name every UN resolution that Russia and China have blocked to prop up Assad...   

You couldn't understand how utterly daft you sound every time to post something you thing you know about Syria ..

I leave the floor to your ignorance
Thank you for posting more of your “all knowing” ignorance! 
I don’t recall feeling the need to prop up the opinions I have by stating (Or in your case)gloating about travels. I must say it isn’t impressive that you have ordered food in a Syrian restaurant, although in your strange mind it is. 

Thus far you have been unable to bolster your case.  Humorous how poorly you represent your views.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 04:03:24 PM



Russia sends out 11 warships to track 2 American destroyers off the Syrian coast. Russia said it would attack the missiles and delivery systems(ships) if Syria is attacked. When an American carrier strike group arrives, we'll own the Mediterranean. Trump said he's going to attack Syria. Russia said it's going to attack delivery systems. Somebody better be bluffing or this thing could escalate.


 http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-navy-moving-us-syria-bluff-2018-4


Does anybody know where Russia's only carrier is currently being towed to? Mediterranean? Scrap yard?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 11, 2018, 04:03:52 PM
Remember Russian spy Anna Chapman? I'm sure everyone remembers her. She was a Russian master sexy spy that was caught in the US and in 2010 she and some other Russians were deported to Russia on 8 July 2010, as part of the 2010 Russia – US prisoner swap.

In an Instagram post Chapman says the Russians should sink the new UK aircraft carriers HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales in addition to any US warships in the area. Seems a bit vengeful. Of course the UK government did revoke her British citizenship after learning she wanted to return to the UK after being deported by the US.

What Russian vessels would be used to sink the UK warships? I think it's a given that it wouldn't be Russia's only aircraft carrier the Admiral Kuznetsov. I'm sure the Kuznetsov is in drydock somewhere undergoing a few years of repairs and maintenance unlikely to ever sail again and if it does it won't be without its traveling companion, an ocean going tug, maybe two 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anna_Chapman
http://www.newsweek.com/russian-spy-anna-chapman-says-moscow-should-sink-brand-new-british-aircraft-880440?utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=yahoo_news&utm_campaign=rss&utm_content=/rss/yahoous/news&yptr=yahoo
http://www.instagram.com/p/BhY_FQ9gPVe/?hl=en
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 11, 2018, 04:41:24 PM
Russia isn't doing anything. Putin called Netanyahu earlier and begged him not to interfere.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 11, 2018, 04:45:42 PM
We shouldn't be horrible about the Smokey 'ol 'Admiral Smith' having an upgrade..The British Type 45 destroyers set to shadow her normally had to have tugs nearby when temps got too high and our 'finished' aircraft carrier was sl.leaky and awaits her aircraft, operationally.

Anna is going to have to wait...She has certainly filled out ..judging by her photos from Thailand.. Oh, OK... she's probably going to be used as a landing craft?



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 05:11:50 PM
Russia isn't doing anything. Putin called Netanyahu earlier and begged him not to interfere.
So far, it is Trump that isn't doing anything...although he said he was going to.  We shall see.     
I seriously doubt 'putin' begged netanyahu regarding anything...but if you have a transcript I'd like to see it.

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 05:28:08 PM
So far, it is Trump that isn't doing anything...



Yesterday Russia Today news said a carrier strike group is coming. They also report in the link below that Russian investigators found no traces of chemical weapons. Well then, I guess those who thought America dropped the chemical weapons are wrong cause their ain't none. Can somebody tell me how Russian investigators went into a hostile zone they're trying to assault and conducted an investigation? If their troops can't gain ground into the city, send in the investigators!


http://www.rt.com/usa/423744-us-aircraft-truman-syria/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 11, 2018, 05:42:34 PM
 
I seriously doubt 'putin' begged netanyahu regarding anything...but if you have a transcript I'd like to see it.

So would I....link?

I would also like to know how come professional videographers are always Johnny on the spot whenever Syrian civilians are 'attacked'?
When babies are crying?
Children are rubbing their eyes?
Adults are pointing to the sky and wailing?
Yet these people and their 'White Helmet' counterparts seem to always have been oblivious to the effects of these attacks themselves.
I might not know 'all about Syria' but I am keen to the ways of propaganda.
Not saying necessarily it is but then maybe it could be?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 11, 2018, 06:04:13 PM
Today the Russians are saying that someone else dropped the weapons, not the Syrians.  They can't get their excuses correct.  No one believes anything said by the Russians any more.  There is the real connection to Trump.  (Not collusion, stupidity.)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 06:53:15 PM

I might not know 'all about Syria' but I am keen to the ways of propaganda.
Not saying necessarily it is but then maybe it could be?
The use of the word 'maybe' should be enough to give Trump pause....I suspect the word to use is 'probably', but either way, the US shouldn't be even thinking of firing missiles on a 'maybe' or a 'likely' etc etc.  The war hawks would like an immediate response before people even have time to think about it.  If missiles come to pass this time, I think we will indeed see a stiff Russian response, so this could be for all the marbles so having a president that has a few marbles missing isn't a good situation for us *The US*.   

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 07:01:12 PM
Today the Russians are saying that someone else dropped the weapons, not the Syrians.  They can't get their excuses correct.


Do you have a link to the article? As of yesterday, a number of articles came out in RT saying the Russian investigators found no traces of chemical weapons. If they changed their tune and said somebody else used chemical weapons, that means they know international inspectors who will be arriving soon will find traces of chemicals they couldn't clean up and their previous claim would be proven false.


Not only did they say there were no traces of chemical weapons, they said the photos were staged and the rebels put out Fake News.


http://www.rt.com/news/423627-russian-military-checks-chemical-douma/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 11, 2018, 07:41:53 PM
 Having second thoughts?
Mattis says US ‘still assessing intelligence’ on alleged Syria attack Published time: 11 Apr, 2018 17:28
Amid Donald Trump’s bullish rhetoric, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis suggested that the US remains uncertain about the details of what exactly occurred in Douma on April 7, adding that no decision has been made to strike Syria.

http://www.rt.com/usa/423857-mattis-syria-intelligence-trump/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 08:16:13 PM
Having second thoughts?
Mattis says US ‘still assessing intelligence’ on alleged Syria attack Published time: 11 Apr, 2018 17:28
Amid Donald Trump’s bullish rhetoric, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis suggested that the US remains uncertain about the details of what exactly occurred in Douma on April 7, adding that no decision has been made to strike Syria.

http://www.rt.com/usa/423857-mattis-syria-intelligence-trump/ (http://www.rt.com/usa/423857-mattis-syria-intelligence-trump/)

I read Mattis's thoughts elsewhere. He said our military will be ready when the president asks to perform the task. Mattis and our Navy are preparing as if they are on a bombing mission 100%

 Russia proposed to have the UN investigate the chemical weapons attack and the results of the investigation can not be released to the public without Russia's exclusive approval. That proposal did not get enough votes for approval. Go figure.

America made a proposal to have UN independent investigators investigate the chemical weapons attack. That proposal had enough votes but Russia used their veto power to shoot it down. Me thinks Russia is stalling to get the area cleaned up and doesn't want an independent investigation. If the UN sits on their hands and can't get anybody to investigate due to Russia's block and stall tactics, me thinks Trump isn't going to play the game for weeks or months and he will bomb.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/syria-chemical-attack-douma-latest-us-russia-un-deadlock-investigation-a8298671.html (http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/syria-chemical-attack-douma-latest-us-russia-un-deadlock-investigation-a8298671.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 11, 2018, 09:19:00 PM
I seriously doubt 'putin' begged netanyahu regarding anything...but if you have a transcript I'd like to see it.

I don't have the transcript of their private conversation. There are a number of articles with the general gist. Israel wants Iranian blood and Putin is trying to talk them down. Israel has S400 killers in their arsenal...

http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/in-call-to-netanyahu-putin-urges-israel-not-to-take-action-in-syria-1.5992415 (http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/in-call-to-netanyahu-putin-urges-israel-not-to-take-action-in-syria-1.5992415)

And Israel calling for a strike after the talk with Huilo.

http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/netanyahu-calls-action-against-syria-699493981 (http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/netanyahu-calls-action-against-syria-699493981)

I read Mattis's thoughts elsewhere. He said our military will be ready when the president asks to perform the task. Mattis and our Navy are preparing as if they are on a bombing mission 100%

http://mobile.reuters.com/video/2018/04/11/us-still-assessing-intel-on-syria-chemic?videoId=416875783&videoChannel=1 (http://mobile.reuters.com/video/2018/04/11/us-still-assessing-intel-on-syria-chemic?videoId=416875783&videoChannel=1)

I read somewhere that Mattis slipped up and used the past tense in regards to the decision to strike.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 11, 2018, 09:36:27 PM
I don't have the transcript of their private conversation. There are a number of articles with the general gist. Israel wants Iranian blood and Putin is trying to talk them down. Israel has S400 killers in their arsenal...

http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/in-call-to-netanyahu-putin-urges-israel-not-to-take-action-in-syria-1.5992415 (http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/in-call-to-netanyahu-putin-urges-israel-not-to-take-action-in-syria-1.5992415)

And Israel calling for a strike after the talk with Huilo.

http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/netanyahu-calls-action-against-syria-699493981 (http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/netanyahu-calls-action-against-syria-699493981)
 

I don't believe those obscure articles.  I saw another article in the US press today saying Netenyahu 'blasted' Trump over the telephone after he stated the US was leaving Syria.  I didn't believe that either.     Netanyahu is not in any position to blast, or threaten anyone, and doesn't have world leaders like Putin 'begging' him for anything.  Netanyahu is probably begging the US to stir something up for Israel's benefit, and begging russia to let it happen.   

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 11, 2018, 10:03:27 PM
I read somewhere that Mattis slipped up and used the past tense in regards to the decision to strike.



Mattis didn't slip up. He did a good job giving people, especially our enemy, doubt there will be an attack. Trump, UK Prime Minister and French President slipped up telling Assad they're going to punish him. Now that they know we are coming for them, they'll scatter or hide in their bomb shelters until the bombing is over.


If Russia is telling the truth they did an inspection, there wasn't chemical weapons attack and it was all fake news by the rebels, it would be beneficial to everybody to allow UN inspectors in there ASAP. If Russia is correct, their credibility would go up and Western nations would look silly but it would save tax payers dollars. Those cruise missiles are around a million dollars each. If Russia keeps vetoing UN inspectors from doing the job, there's going to be a bombing.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: whynotme on April 11, 2018, 11:26:23 PM
4/12/2018 (morning) For those who as BillyB are late in reading news  ;)

1. The White House accused Syria and Russia in attacking Douma again. No factual evidence has been presented, but this is common thing. Can anyone buy photos made that way as an evidence. 
http://youtu.be/XAPiC9k18OE
2. The RF Ministry of Defense stated again that there was no any evidence of chemical attack found in Douma.
3. Britain changed her mind again. May said that she would join the attack of Syria without the Parliament approval. According to the British press, submarines with cruise missiles were sent to Syria. It's not entirely clear what submarines GB still has for that mission...
4. The Russian Foreign Ministry welcomes the sending of the OPCW mission to Syria. Groups of experts can arrive to Douma at the end of the week. If experts begin their work, the war probability will decrease, so the period before their arrival is optimal for a strike in order to disrupt the investigation.
5. Bolivia called for the meeting of the UN Security Council on the escalation in Syria on April 12.
6. At the end of the day on April 11, the United States had not yet made a final decision. According to the White House, Trump continues to choose from the proposed options.

If the West is really interested in truth, then they have to wait for the results. If they don't care about the truth, they'll do everything to unleash the third world war on the basis of fake shooting of White Helmets (by the way, the WW1 also began from insignificant reasons).

By the way, the OPCW mission is an excellent reason for the Americans to save the face. The commission will confirm the falseness of the news about the chemical attack, and there will be no reason for the war. Americans will tell that they could have piled on the Russians, and the Russians will say that the Americans were just lucky to escape.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 12, 2018, 12:00:26 AM
4. The Russian Foreign Ministry welcomes the sending of the OPCW mission to Syria. Groups of experts can arrive to Douma at the end of the week. If experts begin their work, the war probability will decrease, so the period before their arrival is optimal for a strike in order to disrupt the investigation.



Ah yes, the wonderful OPCW will help out. They won the 2013 Nobel Peace Prize for overseeing Russia's remove all chemical weapons out of Syria. I'm sure they will take Russia up on that invitation and do more great work. What are the conditions? Because it's at Russia's invitation, they probably can't release their findings without Russia's approval. Why does Russia veto UN inspectors from going to the site of the chemical weapons attack? the more inspectors, the better to prove Russia was right in their claim no attack happened. Does the Russia media have any photos or videos showing Russia's inspectors were at the site doing inspections? I don't think so. There's no photos or video evidence they even did the inspection yet they claim they did.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: whynotme on April 12, 2018, 12:29:26 AM
Some wonderful from the Fox News. Estimate the depth of the Looking Glass. A year ago, the Americans were sure that the zarin in Syria was used by Assad's troops, but recently the US Secretary of Defense admitted that there was no evidence... BillyB, any comments?  :D

http://youtu.be/nDf-OuK2gKw



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 12, 2018, 02:20:20 AM
Good morning, whynotme!

Some of your sources seem to be somewhat questionable.

Your point 2/  The Royal Navy has submarines capable of firing terrain following missiles.

The UN published a report demonstrating that Syria military aircraft could be tracked from the base to bombing ...hence THAT base was targeted.

Whilst I simply do not agree with the Kremlin policy of propping up ASSad, esp. as the UK / US are silent about the use of western weapons by the Saudi's in Yemen, 'we' aren't 'boots on the ground.'

Syria will be attacked, rather than money being used to look after the refugees resulting in non implementation of a no fly zone and the world is now less safe for Russian tourists ((

I blame the spineless UK politicians who voted against Cameron's proposal to impose the no fly zone, which resulted in Obama not wishing to go it alone.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 12, 2018, 06:23:13 AM
I don't believe those obscure articles.


http://www.letmegooglethat.com/?q=putin+netanyahu  (http://www.letmegooglethat.com/?q=putin+netanyahu)







Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 12, 2018, 06:43:07 AM

http://www.letmegooglethat.com/?q=putin+netanyahu  (http://www.letmegooglethat.com/?q=putin+netanyahu)
hehe that was a cool link!

I don't doubt the two of them spoke on the phone....but the word you used was "Begged".  I'd believe the articles  saying "urged, warns, asks"....Articles using the characterization "begged" are the ones I don't believe. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 12, 2018, 07:11:34 AM
I don't doubt the two of them spoke on the phone....but the word you used was "Begged".  I'd believe the articles  saying "urged, warns, asks"....Articles using the characterization "begged" are the ones I don't believe. 


Of course he did not literally beg man  :)


Putin definitely is trying to keep Israel out of the fray though for obvious reasons.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 12, 2018, 07:35:21 AM

Of course he did not literally beg man  :)


Putin definitely is trying to keep Israel out of the fray though for obvious reasons.
If Israel is the one that acts they could face a serious repercussion, that Russia would prefer to not give.  Seems like a fair warning.   The stakes could become too high and Israel may be more aware of this after the phone call.   

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 12, 2018, 08:14:08 AM
It is good to see China start to weigh in.  In terms of population represented, more people want an investigation to be conducted before a rash Trump showmanship like action to take place.      France claims they have proof, I'm pretty sure their proof will be disputed, but they should present it anyway, and let all interested parties inspect what they say they have. 


China Says U.S. Should Give Syria's Assad 'an Opportunity to Explain' Before Trump Attacks

China has urged the U.S. not to take military action against the forces of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, who some Western governments and their allies have accused of a chemical weapons attack that Beijing said remains inconclusive.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told reporters his government was "regretful" after competing U.N. Security Council resolutions regarding the suspected toxic gas incident in the rebel-held Damascus suburb of Douma failed to pass. He said, however, "the pressing concern for now is to conduct a comprehensive, fair and objective investigation on the suspected chemical weapons attack in Syria to find out the truth."....


http://www.yahoo.com/news/china-says-u-syria-apos-220037020.html    (http://www.yahoo.com/news/china-says-u-syria-apos-220037020.html)


Fathertime! 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on April 12, 2018, 09:05:03 AM
Russian state TV tells viewers to pack essentials for WW3 bomb shelters - including iodine to protect against radiation
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/state-run-russian-tv-tells-12349859

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on April 12, 2018, 09:06:51 AM
'Russia could wipe UK out' Expert warns of 'existential threat' if UK joins US in Syria
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/945023/World-War-3-news-Russia-UK-Britain-Syria-strikes-Donald-Trump-Vladimir-Putin
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 12, 2018, 09:11:32 AM
If Israel is the one that acts they could face a serious repercussion, that Russia would prefer to not give.  Seems like a fair warning.   The stakes could become too high and Israel may be more aware of this after the phone call.   

Israel called for a military strike and was quite firm on Iran's presence in Syria AFTER the call with Putin.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 12, 2018, 09:14:35 AM
A year ago, the Americans were sure that the zarin in Syria was used by Assad's troops, but recently the US Secretary of Defense admitted that there was no evidence... BillyB, any comments?  :D


Secretary of Defense didn't say that. Last years attack WAS investigated by the UN and they discovered Soviet era bombs were dropped from Syrian jets. Russia doesn't want those inspectors back again so they veto.

http://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/world/middleeast/syria-chemical-weapons.html (http://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/world/middleeast/syria-chemical-weapons.html)

China Says U.S. Should Give Syria's Assad 'an Opportunity to Explain' Before Trump Attacks


China must've not gotten the memo. Russia already explained there was no attack after their independent investigation. They went into a hostile area where people want to shoot them and slit their throats and conducted an investigation. They checked the medical conditions of hundreds of people who want to kill them for traces of chemicals and found nobody was a victim of chemical weapons.


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 12, 2018, 09:15:21 AM
Russian state TV tells viewers to pack essentials for WW3 bomb shelters - including iodine to protect against radiation
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/state-run-russian-tv-tells-12349859

If we're going to start shooting nukes at each other I'm not going to be hiding out in a bomb shelter. Wifey and I were talking about it and we've decided we don't want to live in a post apocalyptic nightmare world with roving gangs of radiated mutants and zombies so if the nukes fall on NYC we're going out to greet the incoming nukes with open arms.
Title: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on April 12, 2018, 09:17:10 AM
Are we heading for World War 3 and who would win? From Russia and US tensions over Syria to North Korea’s nuclear tests
http://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2070034/ww3-world-war-three-russia-usa-north-korea-who-would-win/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: wallm on April 12, 2018, 10:06:52 AM
Are we heading for World War 3 and who would win? From Russia and US tensions over Syria to North Korea’s nuclear tests
http://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2070034/ww3-world-war-three-russia-usa-north-korea-who-would-win/

OMG! We are all going to die.

Let us not get excited over a British tabloid article.
 
Putin is a thug but he isn't stupid. He knows nobody will win a WWIII.

I did see that Russian TV is telling their citizen to get ready for war and prepare by storing water, food and iodine to head off radiation sickness. Let us think about the source of this sensationalism. It isn't as if the state owned TV has credibility. It is kind of like Global Times in China making proclamations.

Just the same I am prepared to survive unless Putin drops a nuke on top of my head. Or perhaps I should find those speculated bunkers under Denver International. :P
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 12, 2018, 11:31:30 AM
Dear Beel


Quoting from UK tabloids, again ? :)


Sadly, they do sway idiots in the same way Pravda did ...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 12, 2018, 01:18:16 PM
Israel called for a military strike and was quite firm on Iran's presence in Syria AFTER the call with Putin.
Israel probably benefits from turmoil in syria, they seem to perpetuate when they can get away with it.  In my opinion, Israel shouldn't expect compliance with their attempts to govern who is in Syria and who isn't.   That would be like Canada telling us that we may not associate with Germans, or Russians, etc etc. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 12, 2018, 01:22:14 PM
Are we heading for World War 3 and who would win? From Russia and US tensions over Syria to North Korea’s nuclear tests
http://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2070034/ww3-world-war-three-russia-usa-north-korea-who-would-win/

Our nation is being run by an impulsive idiot, with confidants like Bolton, you just never know.   Obviously all life on the planet loses if nuclear weapons are used.  Trump seems most interested in making his mark somehow.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 12, 2018, 08:27:59 PM
According to a few UK domestic and foreign media sources British special forces operating in Syria been captured by the Syrian Army? Maybe they're not British special forces only British troops or maybe only militants of some nationality somehow allied with the UK or US or NATO?

Maybe they're just militants on their own? Anyway several media sources including media owned and operated by Russia, that'd be Sputnik, say some group of militants have been captured by some military group probably affiliated with the Syrian government. Could the story be anymore vague?

http://sputniknews.com/military/201804121063460158-british-forces-syria-ghouta/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5605357/British-special-forces-soldiers-captured-Syria-Irans-official-news-agency-reports.html
http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13970122001526

One of the sources for this story, the Fars News Agency has published stories in the past claiming a time portal had been invented. From the link below - "In April 2013, the agency carried a story claiming a 27-year-old Iranian scientist had invented a time machine that allowed people to see into the future. A few days later the story was removed, and replaced with a story quoting an Iranian government official that no such device had been registered."

Fars also published a series of articles that suggested U.S. security policy was being driven by an "alien/extraterrestrial intelligence agenda" The report said that proof was found in a Federal Security Service report carried out by Edward Snowden. The report said that the United States government had been secretly run by a "shadow government" of space aliens since 1945.

In this case Fars is simply copying stories that have been in some less than reliable American media outlets for decades. Not too original.   

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fars_News_Agency
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 12, 2018, 10:08:58 PM
The report said that the United States government had been secretly run by a "shadow government" of space aliens since 1945.



Out of all the nations in the world to choose from, why did the aliens choose the USA?


According to a few UK domestic and foreign media sources British special forces operating in Syria been captured by the Syrian Army? Maybe they're not British special forces only British troops or maybe only militants of some nationality somehow allied with the UK or US or NATO?



If true, maybe Syria will use those guys as bargaining chips? Maybe they will put those guys at Syrian bases Trump is most likely to attack to discourage an attack.


Syria has already moved their most valuable military hardware at Russian controlled bases since Trump let them know they're getting bombed.


http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/19/politics/syria-warplanes-russia-base/index.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 02:50:59 AM
The USA has been wrong on Syria from the beginning of the Obummer debacle almost 8 years ago. That idiot, and I apologize to idiots everywhere for lumping him into their fine brotherhood, wouldn't know foreign policy if it passed him on the street.


I know this is from a long time ago, but JUST found it and although Mendy and I concur on many things, I cannot agree here

Obama was quite right to suggest a no fly zone as ASSad was putting down Syria's version of the Arab Spring by simply bombing areas that were historically Suni - the protests were PEACEFUL

He could and would have acted but for the spineless British MPs who  - frightened after the Iraq debacle - narrowly voted down Cameron's request for Britain to support the implementation of the zone

That, in combination of China and Russia's blocking such a zone is the MAJOR reason why SO many Syrians have died and why so many factions have evolved

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 07:37:17 AM
Obviously all life on the planet loses if nuclear weapons are used. 


Nah, old wives tales. Not enough nukes on the planet to wipe us out.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 07:41:19 AM
Well, that's sorted then...

RT has the facts..

http://www.rt.com/news/424047-russian-mod-syria-statement/ (http://www.rt.com/news/424047-russian-mod-syria-statement/)

Is this the same Mod that told us on 21st July 2014 that flt MH17 was shot down by 2 Ukrainian 'fighter aircraft' that couldn't have own as high or fast as their prey....
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 07:54:27 AM
Obama was quite right to suggest a no fly zone as ASSad was putting down Syria's version of the Arab Spring by simply bombing areas that were historically Suni - the protests were PEACEFUL



Suggesting something without enforcement is silly. Obama made it clear a long time ago he wasn't going to get deeply involved in the Syrian war so Russia took the lead. If Russian planes bomb civilians they call terrorists, American fighter planes won't do anything about it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 09:36:24 AM



Apparently there is enough evidence something happened that Russia is claiming it is a staged event by a foreign power. But they still claim no chemical traces were found. They say they have evidence it was a staged event but won't supply it. Syria has taken over the town. Russia is aiding in the evacuation of civilians. Of course they(the evidence) will be evacuated before any International inspectors show up. :rolleyes:


When Assad takes full control of Syria, I'm sure he's going to be torturing a lot of civilians for their lack of support.


http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russia-syria-chemical-attack-fabrication-by-foreign-power/ar-AAvQbDL?ocid=spartanntp
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 11:23:43 AM

Suggesting something without enforcement is silly. Obama made it clear a long time ago he wasn't going to get deeply involved in the Syrian war so Russia took the lead. If Russian planes bomb civilians they call terrorists, American fighter planes won't do anything about it.

BillyB

You may actually have the attention span of a Goldfish

Implimenting a no fly zone has stopped Saddam further gassing Kurds...
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 11:40:36 AM
BillyB

You may actually have the attention span of a Goldfish

Implimenting a no fly zone has stopped Saddam further gassing Kurds...


Try rational thinking sometimes. It works. Saddam didn't have the backing of Russia nor did he have the protection of Russian veto power at the UN. Obama should've claimed the skies before Russia entered the war so that a no fly zone could be enforced. Now Russia owns lots of the Syrian sky and there would be no way to enforce a no fly zone. The rebels and ISIS couldn't fly anything anyway since Russia owns the skies so a no fly zone would ground only Russian and Syrian planes and make it more difficult for them to win a war. You think they'll go for a no fly zone?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 12:47:37 PM

 Saddam didn't have the backing of Russia nor did he have the protection of Russian veto power at the UN.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1409853/Russia-threatens-to-veto-Iraq-resolution.html (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1409853/Russia-threatens-to-veto-Iraq-resolution.html)

"America's campaign to obtain United Nations backing for military action against Iraq has virtually collapsed after Russia signalled it would veto any new Security Council resolution threatening force against Saddam Hussein's regime."


Obama should've claimed the skies before Russia entered the war so that a no fly zone could be enforced.

Er, that WAS the plan  ..British MPs let him down and 'bang' - no coalition... 

Now Russia owns lots of the Syrian sky and there would be no way to enforce a no fly zone.

Which IF you had bothered to either properly read my posts or knew what you were talking about re world affairs - WAS my point ... Russia moved in AFTER the west coalition fell apart ..

Try rational thinking sometimes. It works.

You actually can't see any irony in this?  REALLY  ?   ))

Before posting again , pick up a history book
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 01:00:20 PM

It's official, UK is to blame for the staged chemical attack after a complete and thorough investigation by Russia. Russia promises if Syria is attacked, more refugees will be heading to Europe. Translation: Civilians will get severely punished and pushed out of the country if Assad is attacked. Europe will have to supply them homes, food, and medical care.

http://nypost.com/2018/04/13/russia-claims-britain-staged-chemical-attack-in-syria/ (http://nypost.com/2018/04/13/russia-claims-britain-staged-chemical-attack-in-syria/)

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1409853/Russia-threatens-to-veto-Iraq-resolution.html (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1409853/Russia-threatens-to-veto-Iraq-resolution.html)

"America's campaign to obtain United Nations backing for military action against Iraq has virtually collapsed after Russia signalled it would veto any new Security Council resolution threatening force against Saddam Hussein's regime."


Hello, anybody home? In your link the USA was asking UN backing for a war on Iraq, not a no fly zone. Russia benefited from Iraq violating UN resolutions. They didn't want Saddam to leave. YUUUUGE different between asking for war over a no fly zone.


Er, that WAS the plan  ..British MPs let him down and 'bang' - no coalition... 



So Obama has a scapegoat why he couldn't get a no fly zone going in Syria to save lives and prevent chemical weapons attack?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 01:26:48 PM


Hello, anybody home? In your link the USA was asking UN backing for a war on Iraq, not a no fly zone. Russia benefited from Iraq violating UN resolutions. They didn't want Saddam to leave. YUUUUGE different between asking for war over a no fly zone.


YOU told us that Saddam's Iraq didn't have protection ..  I demonstrated you  were clueless -  Russia constantly pointed out that UN resolution 668 did not cover a NFZ


Once again, you should address the face you see in the shaving mirror, BillyB

So Obama has a scapegoat why he couldn't get a no fly zone going in Syria to save lives and prevent chemical weapons attack?

OMG, the penny might actually be dropping
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 13, 2018, 01:41:31 PM
It is practically a given that the US is going to say this, but lets see the real evidence.  I'm still firmly of the belief that strategically it would be too big a blunder for Assad to have done this, so therefore he wouldn't.    So USA, where is your evidence? The US would rather make a pronouncement, without rebuttal because I don't think the assertion would stand up. 

I'd also speculate that whoever did release gas did it in such a way that it would look like it was Assad.  For example, a Syrian regime aligned Plane flying overhead dropping something other than a chemical weapon, while people on the ground detonate the chemical weapon at the same time.  That is a simplification of one scenario, but I'd say that sort of thing is more likely than Assad suddenly slitting his own throat by supposedly dropping chemical weapons, when he already has the war won. 


U.S says Syria government was behind chemical weapon attack  (http://U.S says Syria government was behind chemical weapon attack)

WASHINGTON/UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - The United States on Friday blamed the Syrian government for a deadly chemical weapons attack this month and slammed Russia for failing to stop its ally, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
As the prospect of U.S.-led military action that could lead to confrontation with Russia hung over the Middle East, the White House accused Syria of staging a toxic gas assault on April 7 that killed dozens of people in Douma, near Damascus.

“We have a very high confidence that Syria was responsible and, once again, Russia’s failure to stop them and their continued (lack of action) on this front has been part of the problem,” White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders said.

U.S. intelligence shows a Russian claim that the attack was faked was false, Sanders said. “Our intelligence tells us otherwise. I can’t go beyond that,” she told reporters.


 http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria/u-s-says-syria-government-was-behind-chemical-weapon-attack-idUSKBN1HJ0ZS   (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria/u-s-says-syria-government-was-behind-chemical-weapon-attack-idUSKBN1HJ0ZS)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 01:59:53 PM
YOU told us that Saddam's Iraq didn't have protection ..  I demonstrated you  were clueless -  Russia constantly pointed out that UN resolution 668 did not cover a NFZ



No I didn't tell you that. We're talking no fly zone, not full scale war to change an entire government. You changed the discussion to show Saddam had Russian protection to prevent a full scale war. Since you care so much about the Syrian civilians, open your arms and get ready to welcome them. Russia is going to make their lives hell in Syria to the point there will be another wave of civilians fleeing to Europe. That is how Russia will get their payback on UK.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 02:06:42 PM
I'd also speculate that whoever did release gas did it in such a way that it would look like it was Assad.


There was no release of chemical weapons. The official position from the Russian and Syrian governments is there are no traces of chemical weapons. Russia can't disprove the photos and videos exist so they are claiming it was staged at the direction of the UK. Russian isn't supplying evidence how they come to that conclusion. They don't even have photos and videos of their own investigation to show they did it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 13, 2018, 02:14:28 PM

There was no release of chemical weapons. The official position from the Russian and Syrian governments is there are no traces of chemical weapons. Russia can disprove the photos and videos exist so they are claiming it was staged at the direction of the UK. Russian isn't supplying evidence how they come to that conclusion. They don't even have photos and videos of their own investigation to show they did it.

Since I live here in the USA, I"d like to see the USA back up their statements with fact.  I'm not casting stones at Russia/Syria, at this time, my infinitesimal role is to cast the first stones at the oft-lying government that represents me, which at this time is the the Trump led US government.

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 02:29:52 PM



Russia says they have the evidence and if they really cared about proving Assad is innocent and stopping the bombing that is soon to happen, they should release the evidence. If UK really did stage the event, I want to see the proof. I am willing to change my mind on this issue but I'm not stupid. If Russia has the evidence they claim to have, show the world and change our minds. If UK is the villain here, Russia needs to prove it.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 13, 2018, 06:10:22 PM
(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/Daq-Jp_WsAAo5cq.jpg:large)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 13, 2018, 06:54:26 PM
Trump has ordered the US military to strike targets in Syria. France and the UK joined in on the strikes.

http://www.cnn.com/2018/04/13/politics/trump-us-syria/index.html
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 06:55:56 PM
I"d like to see the USA back up their statements with fact. 


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/12/syria-attack-experts-check-signs-nerve-agent (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/12/syria-attack-experts-check-signs-nerve-agent)


http://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2018/04/11/open-source-survey-alleged-chemical-attacks-douma-7th-april-2018/ (http://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2018/04/11/open-source-survey-alleged-chemical-attacks-douma-7th-april-2018/)


Graphic video below -


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xENU7QxTzS0 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xENU7QxTzS0)


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 06:58:22 PM
Why would Assad suddenly partake in an outrageous event like this, in order to keep Trump in Syria, to a far greater extent?  Makes no sense at all.


"At the same time, ground forces had been trying, without success, to break into Douma, the last opposition stronghold at the gates of Damascus (the other two strongholds in the Ghouta district had been recaptured during the previous fortnight). Douma’s resident militia, Jaish al-Islam, had . The grand prize of reclaiming one of the last substantial chunks of the capital to remain outside state control had remained elusive"


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/12/syria-attack-experts-check-signs-nerve-agent (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/12/syria-attack-experts-check-signs-nerve-agent)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 07:06:52 PM

Trump went live on tv tonight to call out Russia and Putin specifically to address their failed promise to rid Syria of chemical weapons. Whether or not one believes Assad is guilty in the latest incident, he was found guilty in previous incidences and Russia didn't make another attempt to rid Syria of chemical weapons.

I applaud Trump for being bold and one of the few leaders in the world to punish those who violate international law and commit crimes against humanity. The bombing of Assad's forces will probably cost American taxpayers over 100 million dollars. What does America get out of it? Trump isn't going to take over Syria. Trump isn't even going to take their oil. Trump just wants to save some lives by making Assad think twice about using chemical weapons on civilians again.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 07:11:56 PM
The videos of all the dead kids foaming at the mouth with burned eyeballs are horrific. Get em Mattis.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 07:42:02 PM
And of course, all talk from Russia. Nothing done on their end, they even let RAF Tornados in to bomb targets in areas under their control.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 08:21:40 PM

World Health Organization said around 500 patients came to the partner clinics and exhibited signs of exposure to chemical weapons. Is all the partner clinics lying in unison or is Russia lying when they say there was no trace of chemicals in their investigation?

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/statements/2018/chemical-attacks-syria/en/

Photo below is a sample of the housing Assad is providing the citizens of his country. All this death and destruction just so he can stay in power.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 13, 2018, 08:25:08 PM
Is all the partner clinics lying in unison or is Russia lying when they say there was no trace of chemicals in their investigation?


From the link I posted -



Smuggling routes in and out of Damascus are well travelled, and makeshift crossings along the watertight Jordanian border can suddenly open whenever there’s a need. Getting samples, especially corpses, to laboratories has been a top priority this week as the US has tried to establish if the gas that was dropped contained more than chlorine.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 13, 2018, 08:33:55 PM
WHO also said “WHO demands immediate unhindered access to the area to provide care to those affected, to assess the health impacts, and to deliver a comprehensive public health response.”

Russia and Syria didn't comply with their request.

Also note in their link they've been issuing antidotes for nerve agents to Syrian civilians since 2014. 2013 was when Syria was supposed to be free of chemical weapons.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 13, 2018, 11:44:45 PM
Well, while we sleep it seems the US FR and UK insulted the Russian President..

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 13, 2018, 11:46:46 PM
Well, while we sleep it seems the US FR and UK insulted the Russian President..

Is there anything we can do to make Putin feel better?  :sad:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Belvis on April 14, 2018, 02:39:28 AM
Is there anything we can do to make Putin feel better?  :sad:

Nope. He has no Twitter or Facebook accounts so no option to send him "likes".
Though you may vote for Trump next term, it would be perfectly fine for Putin  8)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 14, 2018, 07:33:20 AM

Operation Desert Stormy is over. Strike package Bravo has been delivered. Trump says "Mission Accomplished". It's a much weaker attack than Trump promised targeting known chemical weapons facilities. Putin will feel the threats and pressure he applied had made an impact on Trump's decision. Assad's conventional weapons systems are still intact and they will take their revenge out on the rebels and civilians while the rest of the world is too tired to pay attention to their never ending war.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 14, 2018, 09:22:27 AM
It's all a game. Trump huffs and puffs, Putin moves his ragged navy out of port for a planned event, flies his planes to Iran, and Syria moves the chemical weapons to a new location. We shoot missiles at empty warehouses for a fireworks show. Everyone is happy and saves face.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 14, 2018, 09:40:26 AM
And of course, all talk from Russia. Nothing done on their end, they even let RAF Tornados in to bomb targets in areas under their control.

Well, they can hardly shoot em down if outside Syrian airspace
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 14, 2018, 09:55:51 AM
Well, they can hardly shoot em down if outside Syrian airspace


I could be mistaken but sounds like a route was cleared with Russia and they did enter Syrian airspace. I now see that Russia says it will only use it's air defenses to protect it's own troops though.  So looks like open season on Assad.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 14, 2018, 10:42:23 AM

I could be mistaken

You were ! ))

As soon as the Tornados leave Akrotiri and clear Cypriot airspace they can fire without being in Syrian airspace - the range of the fire and forget missiles used is 300 miles

I lived on the front at the extreme RHS of the photo ( Limassol, Cyprus)

(http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/27B5/production/_100856101_c30229d0-e0c6-4055-ae62-96b7849fb633.jpg)

It's only 200 miles from Limassol to Damascus !
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 14, 2018, 11:02:15 AM
Missed this one a while back. The Russian mercs keep trying to push that river crossing  :)


Looks like they avoided a second massacre with help from Moscow.


http://www.newsweek.com/us-wanted-attack-russians-syria-again-moscow-stepped-mattis-says-864666 (http://www.newsweek.com/us-wanted-attack-russians-syria-again-moscow-stepped-mattis-says-864666)



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 14, 2018, 11:53:22 AM
It's all a game. Trump huffs and puffs, Putin moves his ragged navy out of port for a planned event, flies his planes to Iran, and Syria moves the chemical weapons to a new location. We shoot missiles at empty warehouses for a fireworks show. Everyone is happy and saves face.

That's about what happened. I read somewhere Russia secretly asked America for a significantly reduced strike and in exchange they'll be open to a political solution to end the Syrian war. Russia was open to a political solution in Ukraine too. How did that work out?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 14, 2018, 04:46:41 PM
So, Spanky and the Gang shoot missiles at Syria (Notice the reference to Stormy Daniels).  I was interested to see that Russia claims that Syria shot down 71 of the 109 missiles shot and the US Pentagon spokes person said every missile hit its target.  Based on the known capabilities of both the Syrians and the coalition, I'd be more inclined to believe the Pentagon spokesperson than the Russians.  Their pronouncements are becoming more and more like you might hear from your stockbroker on a Black Friday.  (This is a great time to get in on some undervalued stocks.)

The Russians have to know if they keep spewing unbelievable truths, that they will never have anyone believing anything they say.   Oh, well.  That's their problem.  After all.  We've got Trump and not many people believe things that come out of his mouth.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 14, 2018, 05:00:50 PM
Russian troll activity increased 2,000% after Syrian airstrikes

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/russian-troll-activity-increased-2000percent-after-syrian-airstrikes/vp-AAvSB1V
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 14, 2018, 05:05:04 PM
Trump says "Mission Accomplished" ...

That's what W said [I recall]
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 14, 2018, 05:31:48 PM
That's what W said [I recall]

Yes, W said that in 2003 pertaining to the end of the war in Iraq and it came back to haunt him.

From the few photos released I've seen of the damaged buildings they appear to be empty. Just concrete and rebar shown. No signs of office equipment or paperwork littering the outsides of the buildings. Trump told them we're coming so they had time to empty the buildings and hide all valuable equipment and military hardware on Russian bases.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 14, 2018, 06:26:08 PM
New to these forums and I was looking at one of RWD's competing sites that has been mentioned here before, RUA. Their opinion of the Syrian conflict seems to be diametrically opposed to what is generally stated here. Many of RUA's members back Russia and Syria, most without reservation, even though the members appear to be mostly Americans and Brits.

None of RUA's members appear to live or have lived in Russia/FSU and appear to spend little time in the FSU. These members sole connection appears to be the fact that they have a Russian wife, although some are not even in a relationship with a Russian. Makes me wonder why they're so pro Russia and anti American/anti UK?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 14, 2018, 07:22:38 PM
The members on the other forum are mostly Brits married to Russian women. Many of them currently live, have lived, or own second homes in Russia. The site owner and admins are all very pro Russian and lean that way. Several of them have been involved (paid?) with Russian media. The other forum is more of a toy for the owner at this point.


It used to be pretty good and a nice mix of people, but when the Uke/Russian thing started it went to shit.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 14, 2018, 07:54:32 PM
These members sole connection appears to be the fact that they have a Russian wife, although some are not even in a relationship with a Russian. Makes me wonder why they're so pro Russia and anti American/anti UK?

Some of those guys there leaned extreme left before they got married. I've debated a few of those guys in the past. Although extreme left to us Americans, they are just on the left from a European viewpoint.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 14, 2018, 10:51:11 PM
There's 2 Brits who live in Russia, one who says he lives in Estonia,  knows b'all Russian and posts as if he is an expert on women and is perennially single.

The most prodigious  poster MAY have been to the FSU once and and probably lives off benefits ..US based and is unsure of his ID, or he he is the 'uncle or the nephew

The best part is that most of the pro Kremlin posters do not GO to Russia, refuse to go through the visa process and post as if they 'know' ..

The board took a commercial decision to go political and take money from the Kremlin.

My profile there is written by the owner, who allows a Brit living in a Islamic country to delete any post that proves him clueless and deletes any post that shows up a pro-Kremlin leaning member.



If you disagree you are a 'russophobe' or a liberal

Pure entertainment, as those type of members have found the only place they  can vent in a majority.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on April 14, 2018, 11:17:54 PM
New to these forums and I was looking at one of RWD's competing sites that has been mentioned here before, RUA. Their opinion of the Syrian conflict seems to be diametrically opposed to what is generally stated here. Many of RUA's members back Russia and Syria, most without reservation, even though the members appear to be mostly Americans and Brits.

None of RUA's members appear to live or have lived in Russia/FSU and appear to spend little time in the FSU. These members sole connection appears to be the fact that they have a Russian wife, although some are not even in a relationship with a Russian. Makes me wonder why they're so pro Russia and anti American/anti UK?



http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=22265.msg480422#msg480422

Re: My new life in the Republic of Georgia
« Reply #269 on: April 06, 2018, 02:41:05 PM »
Quote
"Maxx --you should realise that a LOT of us here are banned over there !!Some here have also left & never returned.
In my case it was my comments at Manny made directly to him on THIS forum ( he has not been back as far as I know).
The role call of the rua banned here is long !
A few of the extremists here were banned but on seeing their pro Rus comments here they got "invited" back there.
You must have said something nice about Ukraine to get banned over there !!

For others-- you need to look at the connection over there to the  Russian propaganda channels  & individuals that keep it afloat !I would also add -- the number of posters ( is it a majority?) that are sock puppets being used over there to make it look like there is actual real traffic on the site.
It has a fraction of the real traffic it used to have."
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: deccie on April 15, 2018, 05:42:01 AM
You were ! ))

As soon as the Tornados leave Akrotiri and clear Cypriot airspace they can fire without being in Syrian airspace - the range of the fire and forget missiles used is 300 miles

I lived on the front at the extreme RHS of the photo ( Limassol, Cyprus)

(http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/27B5/production/_100856101_c30229d0-e0c6-4055-ae62-96b7849fb633.jpg)


As the Tornado is close to retirement I wonder if any increased pace of Operations will accelerate the retirement schedule. I can't see the RAF paying for airframes to undergo deep maintenance.

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BdHvA on April 15, 2018, 06:32:36 AM
The members on the other forum are mostly Brits married to Russian women. Many of them currently live, have lived, or own second homes in Russia. The site owner and admins are all very pro Russian and lean that way. Several of them have been involved (paid?) with Russian media.

? ? ?

Some of those guys there leaned extreme left before they got married. I've debated a few of those guys in the past. Although extreme left to us Americans, they are just on the left from a European viewpoint.

Excuse me.

There is a very different style of moderation elsewhere.

Both this forum and others have seen a decline in new members and participation. I suspect some of this is do to other medias replacing forums as a means to (lack of) discussion, critical thinking and exchange of opinions.

What is interesting the number of lurkers on forums has only slightly dipped over time.

Anyways this has little to do with the topic of this thread.

NB: As I wrote this there are on a Sunday morning (EST) 42 guests viewing this thread. Come and join in.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 15, 2018, 08:22:54 AM
As the Tornado is close to retirement I wonder if any increased pace of Operations will accelerate the retirement schedule. I can't see the RAF paying for airframes to undergo deep maintenance.

The RAF found the Tornado was much better suited to it's current role in the Iraq campaigns ..

Due to  spending cuts it's time in service  might be further prolonged ?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 15, 2018, 08:29:37 AM

There is a very different style of moderation elsewhere.

If you are referring to RUA - to be a mod you have to be pro Brexit, Conserative and with a couple of exceptions -  Islamophobic

You are always suggesting when posts should be moved - I'm surprised YOU aren't a mod there ))
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 15, 2018, 10:24:25 AM
What is interesting the number of lurkers on forums has only slightly dipped over time.


Funny how the data contradicts what you say. Notice the timeline for organic traffic dropoff as the site you mention starts to shill for Russia.


(http://i.imgur.com/DahkdUF.png)
Title: Decreasing traffic on competing site
Post by: jone on April 15, 2018, 10:48:18 AM
Any dissenting views were blocked by the site owner.  I had not posted on the forum in five months when I received a notification that I was persona non grata at that site.  I had been on the chat, part of a vibrant community, which, apparently, the owner of the site did not wish to have.  Now he has none of the 'chatters' and very little traffic.  Prior to his expulsion of many of the contributors to this forum, he had 1 and 1/3 the volume this site had.  Now the situation is reversed.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 15, 2018, 10:48:34 AM
Looks like Israel took advantage of the coalition strike to do a little damage themselves.

http://www.westernjournal.com/report-large-scale-explosion-at-iranian-weapons-depot-hours-after-trump-strike/ (http://www.westernjournal.com/report-large-scale-explosion-at-iranian-weapons-depot-hours-after-trump-strike/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 15, 2018, 11:07:25 AM

Trump is going to apply sanctions on Russia again due to their support of the Syrian chemical weapons program. Obama had the same intel and did nothing about it. Trump continues to do more against Russia in less than two years than Obama did in eight years. At this pace, I think Russia is going to support the Democrats in the next few elections.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-preparing-new-sanctions-on-russia-over-syria-haley-says/ar-AAvTS7V?ocid=ientp
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 15, 2018, 11:21:19 AM
Bleed their faltering economy dry so they turn over and expose their weak underbelly.



“The Russians and the Iranians have made such a strong commitment to Assad, I suspect they will have to support him for a long time,” says Ilter Turan, President of the International Political Science Association based in Montreal and Professor Emeritus at Istanbul’s Bilgi University. “But in the end, they may end up expending more resources in Syria than they ever imagined. They are not rich countries. They have significant economic weaknesses. They don’t have impressive domestic production capacities and make their money by selling gas, oil and raw materials to the world.”


“I would organize a guerilla campaign targeting first Russian contractors, then Russian soldiers using every bit of leverage I could get (establish a trusted network of spies and informers, paid if necessary),” he says. “I would strike fear into their hearts by targeting Russian flights landing in Damascus. I would organize a daring sea attack on Russian warships and submarines moored off the coast at their base in Latakia Province. Mini-submarines could penetrate the base and cause irreparable damage. For this, you need materiel, organization and daring. Syrian freedom fighters are capable of doing this and much more.”


http://www.macleans.ca/opinion/russian-and-iran-have-won-syria-they-might-not-like-what-comes-next/ (http://www.macleans.ca/opinion/russian-and-iran-have-won-syria-they-might-not-like-what-comes-next/)



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: ML on April 15, 2018, 12:02:20 PM
Bleed their faltering economy dry so they turn over and expose their weak underbelly.

This would be a rerun (of sorts) of the Reagan play book.

Will it work this time around ?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 15, 2018, 12:15:36 PM
This would be a rerun (of sorts) of the Reagan play book.

Will it work this time around ?


Basically yes. I am not an expert, but I do not see why not. Renewed nuke race, Syria, Ukraine, sanctions..... gonna be tough for them. CIA could light up a few more fires for them in other countries even. Fund a few groups in Chechnya or even Moscow itself?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 15, 2018, 02:45:23 PM
There's 2 Brits who live in Russia, one who says he lives in Estonia,  knows b'all Russian and posts as if he is an expert on women and is perennially single.


My family and I were in Tallinn, Estonia about 6 years ago for a wedding. Tallinn is very much the FSU with a heavy emphasis on 'former'. Estonia is a EU member and according to locals the EU has poured billions of euros into Estonia to upgrade the country to current EU standards in everything from roads to the judicial system. The majority of the ethnic Russians regard the Estonian judicial system has far more equitable than the Russian judicial system and have used it to fight against what they perceive as injustices.

The Estonian government is very much anti Russia and everyone must learn and master Estonian to have Estonian citizenship. Many ethnic Russians returned to Russia in the last almost 3 decades. Those that stayed believe their opportunities are better in Estonia than in Russia.

That being said Russian is heard everywhere in Tallinn. My wife had no problems shopping in Russian and was treated well by everyone. In a few rare occasions when no one spoke good enough Russian they spoke either German or English. When we were in Tallinn there were lots of German tourists in town and many locals dream of working and living in Germany.

Another great tourist destination is to take a ferry ride from Tallinn across the Gulf of Finland to Helsinki. Great place to spend a weekend. Even in Helsinki one hears Russian although English and German are far more common. 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 15, 2018, 04:04:58 PM
Quote
48 hours after Western missile strike, undamaged Syrian air force resumes its operations

 Syrian air force returns to the skies of Syria, bombing Jihadis as it did before the missile strike

The missile strike launched by the US, Britain and France continues to puzzle.
It appears that no-one was killed during the strike, and that the only damage done was to a number of civilian buildings – first and foremost those of the Syrian Scientific Centre in Damascus – which according to reports the Syrian authorities – amply warned by the Russians, Western media reports and President Trump’s tweets – had evacuated three days before.
Meanwhile no part of the Syrian armed forces seems to have been damaged in the least.  Where the strike on Al-Shayrat air base last year did at least do some damage to the base and did destroy a few aircraft, the latest strike has not damaged a single one.
http://theduran.com/48-hours-after-western-missile-strike-syrian-air-forces-resumes-operations/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 15, 2018, 04:32:43 PM
theduran.com

A company based in Cyprus, hidden by cloudflare, seeking investors and that allows ANYONE to freely post "news".

http://theduran.com/frontend-submission/ (http://theduran.com/frontend-submission/)

And the editor has been disbarred, past incidents of fraud, forgery, and is once more wanted for fraud.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/30/disgraced-barrister-turned-pro-putin-commentator-investigated/  (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/30/disgraced-barrister-turned-pro-putin-commentator-investigated/)


http://www.stopfake.org/en/russian-media-columnist-alexander-mercouris-struck-off-over-claim-that-senior-law-lord-had-him-kidnapped/ (http://www.stopfake.org/en/russian-media-columnist-alexander-mercouris-struck-off-over-claim-that-senior-law-lord-had-him-kidnapped/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 15, 2018, 06:14:44 PM
Yes, W said that in 2003 pertaining to the end of the war in Iraq and it came back to haunt him.

From the few photos released I've seen of the damaged buildings they appear to be empty. Just concrete and rebar shown. No signs of office equipment or paperwork littering the outsides of the buildings. Trump told them we're coming so they had time to empty the buildings and hide all valuable equipment and military hardware on Russian bases.

Straight stupidity from Trump, just checking the box of his 'red line'.  Wasn't there some commentary about Clinton bombing an aspirin factory a long time ago?  This doesn't seem much different.  How many  10's of millions did we spend on those missiles and for what? 

Although Russia was probably consulted beforehand they aren't looking to strong after their pronouncement that they were going to shoot the origination point of the missiles, which they haven't done. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 15, 2018, 06:15:43 PM
It's all a game. Trump huffs and puffs, Putin moves his ragged navy out of port for a planned event, flies his planes to Iran, and Syria moves the chemical weapons to a new location. We shoot missiles at empty warehouses for a fireworks show. Everyone is happy and saves face.
I guess so. 
Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 15, 2018, 06:19:19 PM
Operation Desert Stormy is over. Strike package Bravo has been delivered. Trump says "Mission Accomplished". It's a much weaker attack than Trump promised targeting known chemical weapons facilities. Putin will feel the threats and pressure he applied had made an impact on Trump's decision. Assad's conventional weapons systems are still intact and they will take their revenge out on the rebels and civilians while the rest of the world is too tired to pay attention to their never ending war.
that seems like a good analysis to me,  except for the assad comment regarding him taking out revenge on civilians.  He is still going to decimate 'rebels' though, which is what happens in a war. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: 2tallbill on April 15, 2018, 07:46:16 PM
that seems like a good analysis to me,  except for the assad comment regarding him taking out revenge on civilians.  He is still going to decimate 'rebels' though, which is what happens in a war. 

Fathertime!   

Assad isn't a good guy. He isn't going to be a good guy tomorrow
or some day in the future. 

I think both of us would prefer that the leader of Syria treat his
people far better. I also think that neither of us want American
young men and women die to make that happen. It's really not
our job to solve all the worlds problems.

We need to reign in the chicken hawks like McCain and Lindsey
Graham that want us to be in a perpetual war with someone
all the time. My son has been to both Iraq and Afghanistan
and other places. He is in the reserves now. We need to
focus on the USA and try to solve the many problems
we have.

I hope that Trump will work on that. Getting better deals
in trade would be a step in the right direction. 

That's my two kopecks,

Bill
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 15, 2018, 09:22:18 PM
The majority of the ethnic Russians regard the Estonian judicial system has far more equitable than the Russian judicial system and have used it to fight against what they perceive as injustices.

The Estonian government is very much anti Russia and everyone must learn and master Estonian to have Estonian citizenship. Many ethnic Russians returned to Russia in the last almost 3 decades. Those that stayed believe their opportunities are better in Estonia than in Russia.



Sadly, I cannot agree with your vision.

As you move closer to the border with Russia... like in Latvia, many ethnic Russians resent having to learn, let alone speak the lingo and won't sign the declaration at the bottom of the language test.

Lithuania was much wiser when automatically  making residents citizens.



Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Sting23 on April 15, 2018, 09:53:33 PM
Trump needs the nuclear codes now and start WW3.  Bomb the hell outta ISIS and get rid of them.  Then take out North Korea and the dictator.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 15, 2018, 10:35:31 PM
Sadly, I cannot agree with your vision.

As you move closer to the border with Russia... like in Latvia, many ethnic Russians resent having to learn, let alone speak the lingo and won't sign the declaration at the bottom of the language test.

Lithuania was much wiser when automatically  making residents citizens.

I agree with your assessment that many ethnic Russians living in the border region with Russia probably aren't fluent in Estonian, won't speak Estonian or simply have never bothered to learn it which means no Estonian citizenship. Lithuania's path may have been wiser although ethnic Russians in Lithuania are a much smaller percentage of the total population so their influence in Lithuania is greatly reduced.

However, according to the locals when I was there most of these ethnic Russians in the border areas are the older generation and most of the younger generation of ethnic Russians grew up speaking Estonian in the larger population centers of Estonia instead of the border areas with Russia. Also while the border regions with Russia have the highest percentage of Russian speakers. The majority of the Russian speakers are concentrated around the larger population centers of Tallinn, Tartu and other larger towns and cities according to Wikipedia.  I would guess because jobs and lifestyles are better in more urban environments.

Haven't heard of Russia giving out Russian passports and citizenship to anyone who wants it in Estonia and the other Baltic States but I wouldn't be surprised if Putin tried it in the future.   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on April 16, 2018, 12:14:32 AM
This would be a rerun (of sorts) of the Reagan play book.

Will it work this time around ?

It can - so yes.
The world is quite different now -- with far more integration and sophistication of financial factors.
It needs a far more head on brutal approach to bring Russia to heel now -- and that really means breaking their economy and individuals.
It should be over Ukraine that provides the catalyst --it is unequivocal that Russia has invaded a sovereign country -- and is intent on causing as much trouble as possible-not only in Ukraine and around the world.
There are numerous avenues -- for starters --every part of "wealthy" Russians assets out of Russia should be frozen. Every individual/company/ institution that seeks to obstruct or facilitate should be open to the same penalties and sanctions that apply.All with the potential to confiscate whatever -- now that will get some attention !
Driving the oil & gas price into the ground -- and applying sanctions to anyone that buys from Russia in the same manner as above.

The crux of what has happened is that Putin is getting away with thumbing his nose at the west -- and he exploits western wavering weakness.
What he has got away with in Ukraine has only encouraged him -- and that is why serious military aid should be given to Ukraine to be able to confront Russia -- and make Russia pay a fearful price for their disgusting behaviour.
 Putin & Russia should only be negotiated with when they are being TOLD what is going to happen -- and I don't mean the stupid President huffing & puffing with nonsense.

Putin does not care what hardship he causes Russian citizens -- it has no affect on the echelons that control Russia -- but attacking the money trail at every level will get a lot of those people interested in making Russia a good world citizen again.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on April 16, 2018, 09:24:52 AM

Russian journalist who wrote about the hundreds of Russian mercenaries that died fighting American forces in Syria falls five stories out of a building.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-43781351

OPCW in Syria for two days and still not allowed to investigate site of chemical weapons attack. Guess Russia and Syria needs more time to clean it up.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/16/syria-chemical-attack-inspectors-unable-to-access-douma-site
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 16, 2018, 09:37:38 AM
I agree with your assessment that many ethnic Russians living in the border region with Russia probably aren't fluent in Estonian, won't speak Estonian or simply have never bothered to learn it which means no Estonian citizenship. Lithuania's path may have been wiser although ethnic Russians in Lithuania are a much smaller percentage of the total population so their influence in Lithuania is greatly reduced.

True, but the Russians weren't the majority in either Estonia or Latvia


However, according to the locals when I was there most of these ethnic Russians in the border areas are the older generation and most of the younger generation of ethnic Russians grew up speaking Estonian in the larger population centers of Estonia instead of the border areas with Russia. Also while the border regions with Russia have the highest percentage of Russian speakers. The majority of the Russian speakers are concentrated around the larger population centers of Tallinn, Tartu and other larger towns and cities according to Wikipedia.  I would guess because jobs and lifestyles are better in more urban environments.


My experience of Estonia is limited to a long time ago , but I stayed with two families near the border with Russia in Latvia (Daugavpils, Kraslava and Rezeine) in Nov 17 and I found plenty of young people..the vast majority Russian speakers and high unemployment. Went to Riga and the further we drove from the border the less we heard Russian spoken.



Haven't heard of Russia giving out Russian passports and citizenship to anyone who wants it in Estonia and the other Baltic States but I wouldn't be surprised if Putin tried it in the future.   


While I was in Russia last summer the documentary following the news dealt with the Prosecutor General's office suggesting the Baltic States not  ceding legally from the USSR in '89...

 :deadhorse:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 16, 2018, 09:54:43 AM
My wife was in, Estonia last year. She said none of the young people speak Russian anymore. Like Dave says it is mostly the older ethnic Russians that still cling to it.

There was quite a bit of animosity towards the Russians. My wife was expelled from the country for illegal entry due to this. They detained and interrogated her for not having an entry stamp in her passport (most countries fail to stamp when entering via private jet). Wife is a Uke, but all the passengers were Russian celebrities and immigration was not excited to be blessed with their presence.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 16, 2018, 10:33:41 AM
   
    Ever notice how news sources are blasted by someone who winds up agreeing with it's conclusions?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: jone on April 16, 2018, 10:39:52 AM
My wife was in, Estonia last year. She said none of the young people speak Russian anymore. Like Dave says it is mostly the older ethnic Russians that still cling to it.

There was quite a bit of animosity towards the Russians. My wife was expelled from the country for illegal entry due to this. They detained and interrogated her for not having an entry stamp in her passport (most countries fail to stamp when entering via private jet). Wife is a Uke, but all the passengers were Russian celebrities and immigration was not excited to be blessed with their presence.

I bet you weren't in Narva.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 16, 2018, 10:46:18 AM
I bet you weren't in Narva.


It occurred in Tallinn.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: tfcrew on April 17, 2018, 04:26:30 PM
(http://pbs.twimg.com/media/DbApLI_X4AIf-9H.jpg:large)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on April 18, 2018, 08:42:22 AM
Trump is going to apply sanctions on Russia again due to their support of the Syrian chemical weapons program. Obama had the same intel and did nothing about it. Trump continues to do more against Russia in less than two years than Obama did in eight years. At this pace, I think Russia is going to support the Democrats in the next few elections...


This (from a conservative news outlet no less) raises serious questions as to why the more things change, the more they remain the same.


http://www.oann.com/oan-investigation-finds-no-evidence-of-chemical-weapon-attack-in-syria/ (http://www.oann.com/oan-investigation-finds-no-evidence-of-chemical-weapon-attack-in-syria/)

Maybe you're right, the same intel that fed Obama is feeding Trump. Just as it did Bush (Iraq), Clinton (Kosovo), Johnson (Vietnam), etc..and likely in hindsight - Obama was the only one that did the right thing by doing *nothing*.


I wonder if the alleged (that apparently never happened) chemical attack was used to justify bombing Syria for no other reason than to 'test' Russian defensive capability.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 18, 2018, 09:29:52 AM


I wonder if the alleged (that apparently never happened) chemical attack was used to justify bombing Syria for no other reason than to 'test' Russian defensive capability.

Of course you can take the test theory one step further. Putin knew of the coming attack and deduced that the attack was really a 'test' of the Russian missile defense capability so Putin ordered the Russian missile batteries to stand down. This would account for the fact that, according to the Americans, none of their missiles were intercepted.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 18, 2018, 11:09:59 AM
I wonder if the alleged (that apparently never happened) chemical attack was used to justify bombing Syria for no other reason than to 'test' Russian defensive capability.

Not sure the gas attack never happened, but it could certainly have been to test the Russian SAM's. Weapons also have a life expectancy, so it's a use it or lose it type deal sometimes.

Israel has been sending fighters into Syrian airspace on bombing raids without any issue from the defenses. They have hit multiple bases this last week I believe. Supposedly they are using the F35's we just sold them.

Of course you can take the test theory one step further. Putin knew of the coming attack and deduced that the attack was really a 'test' of the Russian missile defense capability so Putin ordered the Russian missile batteries to stand down. This would account for the fact that, according to the Americans, none of their missiles were intercepted.

Yes, the Russians announced they would only defend their own troops/bases with the S300 and S400. Saves them embarrassment and maintains weapons sales in case they are not as advertised.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 18, 2018, 12:23:24 PM
So we were testing new missiles.


"The extended-range version of the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile made its first combat appearance and successfully hit its targets in Syria, according to the Pentagon. "



http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/18/pentagon-new-missiles-attack-syria-chemical-sites/525597002/ (http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/18/pentagon-new-missiles-attack-syria-chemical-sites/525597002/)


And Israel taking out Tor missile systems in Syria.


http://www.timesofisrael.com/report-israel-targeted-advanced-iranian-air-defense-system-in-syria-strike/ (http://www.timesofisrael.com/report-israel-targeted-advanced-iranian-air-defense-system-in-syria-strike/)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 19, 2018, 06:25:21 AM
It seems the new consensuses is that their wasn't THAT much evidence that Assad was the one releasing chemical weapons.  Yet that was the justification for our latest bombing of the empty facilitates.   As impotent as it was, the bombing was still an infringement on Syria's sovereignty.

It is humorous that we claim to be the good guys, when ultimately our objective isn't noble, it is to keep countries from being strong enough to defend themselves effectively.  Thereby keeping them dependent, subservient, and easy to push around financially. 

Fathertime!   
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 19, 2018, 06:56:33 AM
It seems the new consensuses is that their wasn't THAT much evidence that Assad was the one releasing chemical weapons. 

Sure, Syrian helicopters weren't circling overhead and dropping 'something'

You'll be telling us it's food parcels
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 19, 2018, 09:00:23 AM
It seems the new consensuses is that their wasn't THAT much evidence that Assad was the one releasing chemical weapons. 

No idea where you are reading that except for the Russian trolls. The French report has been declassified.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1 (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: krimster2 on April 19, 2018, 09:23:20 AM
Assad uses gas because even crude WWI gases like chlorine when used in warfare would produce about 6X as many casualties per ton as high explosive shells.

On to victory with Assad!

Oh, if only you folks knew the true nature of chemical weapons in Syria!

google “Anatoly Kuntsevich”

Gen. Anatoly Kuntsevich, official title was Yeltsin's adviser on chemical and biological disarmament.

but his actual job was to set up nerve gas and in particular novichok development in Syria
for which he was paid many millions $$$

our Hebrew brothers thought ill of his business and wacked him

but his work remained....

I find it particularly alarming that British Intelligence services detected traffic in Syria discussing the Novichok attack in the UK, Kuntsevich Novichok is almost certainly what was used in Salisbury and I believe it will be used again...


Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on April 19, 2018, 10:04:54 AM
Breaking News, RT are reporting that the Kremlin Foreign Ministery spokes person Maria Zakharova is claiming the rebels were using 'smoke canisters made in Salisbury' :))

http://www.rt.com/news/424581-chlorine-germany-bombs-uk-syria/ (http://www.rt.com/news/424581-chlorine-germany-bombs-uk-syria/)

“In the liberated areas of Eastern Ghouta, Syrian government troops have found containers with chlorine – the most horrible kind of chemical weapons – from Germany, and also smoke grenades produced – please pay attention [to this] – in the city of Salisbury, the UK,” Zakharova told a news conference in Moscow on Thursday."

Someone needs to tell the Russian FM spokes-person that April Fool's Day was 19 days ago

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on April 19, 2018, 10:21:49 AM
Breaking News, RT are reporting that the Kremlin Foreign Ministery spokes person Maria Zakharova is claiming the rebels were using 'smoke canisters made in Salisbury' :) )

“In the liberated areas of Eastern Ghouta, Syrian government troops have found containers with chlorine – the most horrible kind of chemical weapons – from Germany, and also smoke grenades produced – please pay attention [to this] – in the city of Salisbury, the UK,” Zakharova told a news conference in Moscow on Thursday."


I believe her. They have found evidence of chemical weapons from Salisbury.


(http://i.imgur.com/vRt5pl0.png)


Now Russia is drawing Germany into it as well? They really don't know when to shut up....
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: GQBlues on April 19, 2018, 11:03:01 AM
Of course you can take the test theory one step further. Putin knew of the coming attack and deduced that the attack was really a 'test' of the Russian missile defense capability so Putin ordered the Russian missile batteries to stand down. This would account for the fact that, according to the Americans, none of their missiles were intercepted.

Russia had developed a jamming defense against satellite-guided missiles such as the tomahawks. Much like those radar jamming defense system. Since tomahawks fly below radar detection, such a defense is key against tomahawks. That likely explains why British and French warplane joined the US attack to see what and how that defense mechanism's limitations/capabilities are if met with a deployment of a multi-guided missile attack.

MSM had been trying to refute Pearson Sharp's report from yesterday. Sharp is in Douma at the present time and this is his current report from ground zero in support of his citation.

http://www.oann.com/watch-pearson-sharp-refutes-msm-reports-of-chemical-weapons-attack-in-douma/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: krimster2 on April 19, 2018, 11:09:16 AM
Once upon a time,  General Anatoly Kuntsevich, was Yeltsin's adviser on chemical and biological disarmament.
Well actually that was his “day job”, his highly lucrative night job was selling Russia’s nerve gas production knowledge to Syria. Especially the nerve agent novichok, a few hundred kg of novichok can kill 50% of the population in one square kilometer!  General Anatoly Kuntsevich made millions $$$ from Syria for setting up production labs for chemical weapons, this is a matter of public record, even in Russia. you know the intelligence is legit if he got wacked by Mossad along with another retired Russian general, Yury Ivanov, who was killed IN SYRIA!!

so it’s public record that Russian generals either going rogue or under the likely approval of top Kremlin leaders established Syria’s chemical weapons program, with a focus on novichok, google General Anatoly Kuntsevich and see.

it’s also now a matter of public record that the salisbury novichok came from the General Anatoly Kuntsevich facility in Syria

Russia not only directly responsible for creating Syria’s chemical weapons program, but is accessing it and deploying it in western countries

why are we not at war already?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: IvanM07 on April 19, 2018, 01:46:55 PM
Sounds like the US and Ukraine are pushing Russia out of India's military arms market. In addition to the sanctions this will probably hurt them a bit more. I wasn't aware that India made up 12% of all Arms purchases globally.

http://www.defensenews.com/opinion/commentary/2018/04/17/ukraine-us-are-kicking-russia-out-of-indias-defense-market/
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: fathertime on April 19, 2018, 01:48:26 PM
No idea where you are reading that except for the Russian trolls. The French report has been declassified.

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1 (http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1)

I really don't expect an impartial report from western powers that want Assad out.    I wouldn't be surprised if chemicals released were planned to look like they came from Assad forces.  It makes very good strategic sense if it were. 

Fathertime! 
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on April 19, 2018, 11:59:40 PM
What happens if the Syrian conflict leads to open warfare between the US and Russia? According to this article Russia doesn't stand a chance if the war is fought strictly with conventional weapons. Of course if the war goes nuclear we're all f****d.

http://theconversation.com/could-the-us-win-world-war-iii-without-using-nuclear-weapons-94771
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: krimster2 on April 20, 2018, 12:10:20 AM
what worries me is that Putin feels public pressure for" Pay Back" after the Russian contractors were killed by US forces...
I don't think Putin wants an actual war with the US, but he may miscalculate, hope he doesn't do in this country what he's done in the UK
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on May 10, 2018, 12:58:26 PM
The Russian Pantsir S1 against Western capabilities.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vr02-Yklw54
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on May 25, 2018, 01:41:20 PM
More info coming out on the Russian "mercs" that attacked our special forces in Syria.

"American military officials repeatedly warned about the growing mass of troops. But Russian military officials said they had no control over the fighters assembling near the river — even though American surveillance equipment monitoring radio transmissions had revealed the ground force was speaking in Russian"

"For the first 15 minutes, American military officials called their Russian counterparts and urged them to stop the attack"


http://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/24/world/middleeast/american-commandos-russian-mercenaries-syria.html (http://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/24/world/middleeast/american-commandos-russian-mercenaries-syria.html)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on May 25, 2018, 02:53:40 PM
"For the first 15 minutes, American military officials called their Russian counterparts and urged them to stop the attack"

http://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/24/world/middleeast/american-commandos-russian-mercenaries-syria.html (http://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/24/world/middleeast/american-commandos-russian-mercenaries-syria.html)


Impressive victory considering the Americans hesitated. Sec of Defense Mattis called his Russian counterpart and the Russian insisted it wasn't Russian forces attacking. Mattis ordered the annihilation of the attackers.

I'm sure the Russian government knew where Wagner was at at all times. I suspect they wanted to test Russian ground troops against Delta Force, Green Berets, Marines, and Rangers. They've tested their equipment against ours. Syria is a great place for testing and understand how Russian will fare in a larger scale war against America.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on May 25, 2018, 03:06:15 PM
They've tested their equipment against ours. Syria is a great place for testing and understand how Russian will fare in a larger scale war against America.


Yes, it's a playground for the World's militaries right now. Israel recently tested our fighters against Russian equipment and drones are being played with by all sides.
Looks like we are still years ahead of everyone.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on May 25, 2018, 07:17:52 PM

Russia has some of the best intelligence in the world and they give intelligence to Syria and Wagner. Someday the young Syrian and Russian men who survived that battle will understand their leaders knew the situation and sent them into a fight with America's elite soldiers and into an area where America had control of the skies. They will someday understand they were used as guinea pigs.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on May 25, 2018, 07:22:19 PM
Russia has some of the best intelligence in the world and they give intelligence to Syria and Wagner. Someday the young Syrian and Russian men who survived that battle will understand their leaders knew the situation and sent them into a fight with America's elite soldiers and into an area where America had control of the skies. They will someday understand they were used as guinea pigs.


Think they already know. On one of the released calls a "merc" says they were setup and "betrayed".
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: alex330 on May 27, 2018, 12:34:14 PM
Russia is not enjoying their vacation in Deir Ez-Zor.

Over 200 mercs annihilated in an attempt to take a refinery from US special forces. Then another 15 killed guarding a weapons depot in a "unusual explosion" two days later (same area).

And now another nine killed in an attack.

http://www.arabnews.com/node/1310421/middle-east (http://www.arabnews.com/node/1310421/middle-east)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on May 27, 2018, 11:02:51 PM
Russia has some of the best intelligence in the world

You base this 'theory '  on ?
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: JayH on May 27, 2018, 11:05:45 PM
You base this 'theory '  on ?

You should know the answer -- Donald Trump ! :) :welcome:
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: DaveNY on May 27, 2018, 11:57:52 PM
You base this 'theory '  on ?

(http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/newpix/2018/03/05/19/49E3C66C00000578-5465183-image-m-14_1520278654056.jpg)

Anna Chapman of course. msmob tell me you wouldn't tell her whatever she wants to know?  ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on May 28, 2018, 12:18:37 AM
Certainly,

Anna's not that shape any more


Plus SC gets told all my secrets ;)
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on May 28, 2018, 08:59:19 AM
You base this 'theory '  on ?

You upset Russia can sneak WMDs into UK and use them on people UK is trying to hide? Wake up and look around what's going on in the world. Russia hacked into the Pentagon, White House, among many other less important things and extract information. They are very good at getting information in a variety of ways and they haven't outlawed torture.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on May 28, 2018, 11:07:09 PM
You upset Russia can sneak WMDs into UK and use them on people UK is trying to hide? Wake up and look around what's going on in the world. Russia hacked into the Pentagon, White House, among many other less important things and extract information. They are very good at getting information in a variety of ways and they haven't outlawed torture.

BillyB

WHY do you need to keep proving how daft you are?

1/ Did Sergei Skripal change his name ? Did he 'retire' - or was he 'active' and annoying to the Kremlin?  It's not like he was hiding ..

2/  Getting a binary nerve agent into the country isn't that difficult - until the two compounds are mixed - it ain't a nerve agent

3/  Ukraine also has a reputation for 'hackers' and you assume the best ones work for govts ?  The pay is crap and most aren't 'patriots' ..  Example ... Telegram is banned in Russia - there were active moves to block it .. yet I received a call on it from a Russian - who didn't KNOW it was banned ;) 





Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: BillyB on May 29, 2018, 04:32:50 AM
1/ Did Sergei Skripal change his name ? Did he 'retire' - or was he 'active' and annoying to the Kremlin?  It's not like he was hiding ..


10 Russian spies were traded for Sergei. His brother died two years ago. In unknown circumstances his son died last year on a trip to St. Petersburg. He's still in the game but you think he has no reason to hide from Russia and I'm daft.

http://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/14/world/europe/sergei-skripal-spying-russia-poisoning.html

2/  Getting a binary nerve agent into the country isn't that difficult - until the two compounds are mixed - it ain't a nerve agent


So you're saying it's easy to import ingredients to make chemical weapons into your country and I'm daft.

3/  Ukraine also has a reputation for 'hackers' and you assume the best ones work for govts ?  The pay is crap and most aren't 'patriots' ..  Example ... Telegram is banned in Russia - there were active moves to block it .. yet a received a call on it from a Russian - who didn't KNOW it was banned ;) 


Intelligence agencies proved it was Russian hackers that hacked everything American, not Ukrainian. They could not prove I'm daft.
Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: msmob on May 29, 2018, 10:38:09 AM
10 Russian spies were traded for Sergei. His brother died two years ago. In unknown circumstances his son died last year on a trip to St. Petersburg. He's still in the game but you think he has no reason to hide from Russia and I'm daft.

You are daft for thinking he was hard to find ...    He was 'annoying' folks back in Russia - to the extent the main news told it's viewers that " traitors will not grow old" ..


So you're saying it's easy to import ingredients to make chemical weapons into your country and I'm daft.

Yup .. it is ..  the UK doesn't check every item that comes in and the two binary agents - on their own would not attract attention in small quantities and separately 

Intelligence agencies proved it was Russian hackers that hacked everything American, not Ukrainian. They could not prove I'm daft.

Now, you aren't paying attention, again ...  ! ;) 

You said - that Russia had ( among) the best intelligence in the world ...  and I simply pointed out that the best hackers do not work for govt ... 

Title: Re: The Russian/Syrian connection thread
Post by: Boethius on June 18, 2018, 08:42:22 AM
I've always admired Seymour Hersh.  He's pretty much blacklisted in the US now, but still writes for the London Review of Books.  However, I recently came across an article he wrote on the US bombing of Syria in de Welt.  It is an interesting perspective, which is an alignment with what the Russians have stated all along -


http://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article165905578/Trump-s-Red-Line.html