Russian Women Discussion

RWD News From the Front => Ukrainian Front Discussion => Topic started by: JayH on May 25, 2014, 07:16:18 PM

Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 25, 2014, 07:16:18 PM
 Congratulations to Ukraine and all Ukrainians everywhere for getting to this election and it being conducted--- despite the shadow of Russia.
15% of eligible voters were unable to vote--either on the Crimea or areas where it was too dangerous to attempt setting up ballots.
As I write it has been an overwhelming vote for a Ukraine free of outside influences,free of corruption,free of the past-- and in particular--free of Russia.
Over 80% ( maybe as high as 95% of the vote ) has been pro an independent Ukraine -- only a very small number of votes for pro-Russian candidates.
It has been a magnificent achievement to conduct  a mainly peaceful election day -- a remarkable effort in fact.
There is a lot to do for the new President-- the work of the coalition has been excellent and needs to be carried on-- it is clearly the desire of the people.
Many Ukrainians have a healthy scepticism about governments-- born out of the disappointments in the past and recent past-- but there is a new optimism. The Russian invasion of the Crimea,Russian sponsored and promoted terrorism,Russian propaganda has all helped  break the historic soft spot for Russia-- and created a new sense of Ukrainian identity  and Ukrainian nationalism.
Now for the future--there is a lot to do !!

According to the first data processing protocols, leadership keeps Poroshenko. According to the data processing 10.17% of protocols in electronic form Poroshenko voted 54.8% of voters, Yulia Timoshenko - 13.24%.
Більше читайте тут: http://tsn.ua/vybory-2014/vybory-prezidenta/rezultati-viboriv-poroshenko-nabiraye-50-56-opracovano-0-1-protokoliv-351455.html
By Oleg Lyashko voted 8,45% of voters Anatoly Gritsenko - 5.55%, Sergei Tigipko - 4.74%. Recall, according to exit polls , the undisputed leader of the presidential election became Poroshenko. By a wide margin followed by Yulia Tymoshenko. Third place went to Oleg Lyashko.
Більше читайте тут: http://tsn.ua/vybory-2014/vybory-prezidenta/rezultati-viboriv-poroshenko-nabiraye-50-56-opracovano-0-1-protokoliv-351455.html

http://tsn.ua/politika/vibori-2014-ukrayina-obiraye-novogo-prezidenta-351177.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 25, 2014, 07:23:44 PM
If they continue on this path Ukraine has a bright future with the rest of the free world.

 The other guys...well, NOT!  :cluebat:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 26, 2014, 12:00:52 AM
Below is a Ukrainians summary of events of the last few months and that  is the result of maidan. I highly recommend reading as it does represent a summary of many events in a short time. Maidan was the litmus for change and a future.

"You ask, what made ​​Maidan? very much, despite the Russian aggression and treacherous separatism. Russians about this not even dream in the sweet dream. Here is a short list of what has been making the new government before the election of the new president: Bogdan Stasiuk wrote a brief list of achievements of the new government (Motherland Freedom) in just 3 months: 1. Restored the Constitution of 2004. Liquidated usurpation president. 2. Mezhigorie confiscated estates and other officials, built on the stolen funds. 3. Tuples and eliminated overlapping streets to officials. 4. Released from prison all political prisoners. 5. Released from prison all illegally convicted (family Paulichenka Zaporozhec etc.). 6. Dismantled fences and barriers at government buildings. 7. Liquidated "Berkut" 8. Ukraine has received an invitation to join the European Union. 9. Organized reverse gas supplies from Europe, buying gas in Russia decreased by three times. 10. Obtained 1 mld. euro financial aid and 10 mld. Euro loans under a minimum percentage of the EU. 11. Senior officials fly economy class on international negotiations. 12. Activists freely visited home Yatsenyuk and Tymoshenko. 13. European Union opened the borders for Ukrainian goods. Cleared about 98% of the duty. 14. Russian television channels broadcast prohibited on the territory of Ukraine. 15. A National Guard of Ukraine. 16. Organized selling expensive cars officials at a public auction. 17. Dismantled dozens of monuments to Lenin. 18. Signed by the political part of the Association Agreement with the European Union. 19. Obtained 1.6 mld. dollars in financial aid from the United States. 20. Ukrainian defense plants a year loaded with government contracts to refurbish Army. Army first received the new "raft", "Bulat" and other equipment. 21. Ukraine withdrew from the CIS. 22. Preparations for the introduction of a visa regime with Russia. 23. Decree on Combating raiding. 24. Ukraine's state debt reduced by 10% 25. Japan announced the granting Ukraine a loan of 10 mld. dollars for 40 years at 0.1% 26. Government canceled 158 acts Arbuzov-Azarov government. 27. Canceled recycling fee for cars. 28. Eliminated criminal schemes Naftogaz Kurchenko groups. 29. The necessary laws for visa-free regime with the EU, which is expected to start in 2015. 30. Simplified access to public information. 31. 24000 Started reduction and privatization of state officials dachas in Koncha Zaspa. 32. 100 UN member states at the General Assembly supported Ukraine and Russia condemned. 33. Arrested on account Medvedchuk and closed his newspaper "Vesti". 34. Berkut detained, suspected of shooting people. 35. Ukraine began to buy nuclear fuel for power plants in the United States. 36. The Government has launched a number of joint IT-company project to create 100 thousand new jobs in the IT-sphere, and in the modernization of the educational system of Ukraine plans to invest $ 1 billion 37. Ukraine ahead of Russia on the level of social development according to Deloitte. 38. A law on lustration judges. 39. Open all information on public procurement. 40. Income in the general fund budget by 9% more than last year. 41. Financing of the army increased by 5 mld. Rs. 42. Prohibited "Russian bloc" and "Russian ednstvo." 43. The Cabinet has removed restrictions on the presence of deputies at government meetings. 44. In Kiev property returned Dvor, bookstore "Syayvo" Actor's House, Heart Center and the stadium "Start". 45. Special commission established under the Ministry of Justice to investigate the facts of torture in prisons and detention centers. 46. The Cabinet has increased the salaries of public sector employees from October 1, 2014 by 40%. 47. The U.S. Embassy in Ukraine to extend the visas to ten years. 48. The first time since 2005, the U.S. gave the Ukrainian first class airport security than actually opened their skies for our airlines. 49. IMF granted Ukraine a stabilization loan of 17 mld. U.S.. 50. U.S. ruled Ukraine from the list of major violators of intellectual property. 51. Ukraine was the first of the countries that are not members of the European Union, joined the system transparent display data AGSI Standards Association of European operators of underground gas storage facilities (GSE) 52. Ukraine and the European Union signed an agreement on joint aviation area. 53. Passed and signed into law on public television. 54. Ukraine placed five-year Eurobonds for $ 1 billion, issued under the guarantee of the United States. 55. Exports of goods from Ukraine for the first time in 8 years exceeded imports. 56. Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Oleksandr Turchynov Parliament requested the secretariat to develop a new system of voting deputies, which excludes impersonal voting. 57. NATO invited Ukraine to join the organization. 58. Information about the ultimate owners of all banks should be made ​​public on the website of the National Bank until September 1 of this year. 59. Cabinet proposes to eliminate the State Administration. 60. Initiated ban the Communist Party. When on our street are such holidays??? Well, the Russians impressive? That is why Putin is so splatters saliva on the Maidan. Usurper understands it - his death and the end of his gang"
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 26, 2014, 01:32:29 AM
I have been asked why I post links-- and others writing-- often there is an excellent assessment and explanation.So much accords with my own views that it is easier to include in full .

Some very interesting writing that is appearing-- here is another summary by a Ukrainian.


"The most important result of the Ukrainian presidential election - is not that the president elected Poroshenko. And is not that the first Ukrainian president is elected in the first round. And not even the fact that Yulia Tymoshenko suffered a serious defeat, calling into question its chances of further participation in the political life of Ukraine on the first cast. most important result of yesterday's presidential election - is the formal, legal death of Putin's myth of the so-called "Splitting" of Ukraine on the west-central and south-eastern parts, to "zapadentsev" and Russian, to "Bandera" and "New Russia." This is a funeral plan under section Putin Ukraine. This final completion period of 20 years "Ukrainianization" important stage towards Westernization and Europeanization of Ukraine, which we discussed here. first elections in two decades in independent Ukraine was elected head of state is not a vote against the inhabitants of East Ukraine votes residents of the West and its votes are not residents of the West against the votes of its inhabitants East. First elected president of Ukraine votes in the whole country, the voices of residents of all major Ukrainian Macroregions. Moreover, the first four of Ukrainian presidential candidate by the number of votes they received in the current elections (Poroshenko, Tymoshenko O.Lyashko, Gritsenko, regardless of the details of their programs and personal qualities) politically represent the West and Centre of Ukraine, it is not the East and South. According to the total number of votes received by them (about 83% - according to exit polls), this means an absolute victory of the national selection Ukrainian citizens western version of a unified Ukraine. Number of votes received by the most popular candidate, which can be considered as a candidate for the "East", S.Tigipko (4.8%), as well as the most popular candidate Putin M. Dobkin (2.1%), means that projects V. Putin to seize the Ukraine, to establish control over Ukraine under section Ukraine suffered a crushing defeat. other words, the intermediate result of a ten Putin's war against Ukraine - despite repeated statements by Putin's propaganda about the alleged his incredible "success and victory" - turned out to be a total collapse of Putin plans in Ukraine. Ukraine is not an Bandera. Or anti-Russian. Or anti-Russian. Ukraine, virtually all of Ukraine, became an anti-Putin. And focus on the integration into the West, ie in the modern world. Congratulations to the brotherly people! Andrei Illarionov,"
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 26, 2014, 09:22:27 AM

BERN, 26 May 2014 – OSCE Chairperson-in-Office and Swiss Foreign Minister, Didier Burkhalter, rates the early presidential elections in Ukraine of May 25 as an important milestone in the process of de-escalation of the crisis. He thanked the election observation mission of the OSCE Office Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (OSCE/ODIHR) to Ukraine and the observation delegation of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly for their invaluable work.

Commending Ukraine for holding elections with a high turnout, largely in line with international commitments and respectful of fundamental freedoms, despite difficult circumstances and violence and threats in two eastern regions, Burkhalter called on all sides to contribute to a further normalization of the situation in the country. Recalling the mandate of the OSCE Special Monitoring Missions to assist Ukraine in implementing various measures for reducing tensions, he said that the OSCE is looking forward to working closely with President-elect Petro Poroshenko and his government and promised the Chairmanship’s full support in peacefully resolving the crisis.

Burkhalter congratulated Poroshenko on his success and proposed a meeting between the two leaders. He welcomed Poroshenko’s announcement to arrange for early visits in the regions and to look out for co-operative solutions with all sides involved to continue on the path towards stabilization. “It is vital that all sides engage in dialogue, both within and beyond Ukraine,” Burkhalter concluded, adding that the Chairmanship is ready to assist any such efforts if requested by the parties.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on May 26, 2014, 10:02:30 AM
OSCE Chairperson-in-Office and Swiss Foreign Minister, Didier Burkhalter, rates the early presidential elections in Ukraine of May 25 as an important milestone in the process of de-escalation of the crisis. He thanked the election observation mission of the OSCE Office Democratic Institutions and Human Rights (OSCE/ODIHR) to Ukraine and the observation delegation of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly for their invaluable work.

Commending Ukraine for holding elections with a high turnout, largely in line with international commitments and respectful of fundamental freedoms, despite difficult circumstances and violence and threats in two eastern regions, Burkhalter called on all sides to contribute to a further normalization of the situation in the country.


I'm not surprise the OSCE is accepting this election in Ukraine when considering their past work. IMO, the election is unacceptable due to the citizens of two large regions not having adequate/safe places to vote. Let's say the majority of citizens of two states in USA are having issues voting. Not acceptable.


The unrest in a few regions in Ukraine isn't caused by the government but by a few armed thugs. Even if everybody in east Ukraine was able to vote, it wouldn't change the outcome. Those are reasons most nations will accept the new president of Ukraine. That is why I can accept the new president of Ukraine. Other than that, I don't agree with OSCE stating the election meets international standards.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Manny on May 26, 2014, 11:08:56 AM
15% of eligible voters were unable to vote--either on the Crimea or areas where it was too dangerous to attempt setting up ballots.

Why would Crimea be eligible to vote, its in Russia?

As I write it has been an overwhelming vote for a Ukraine free of outside influences,free of corruption,free of the past-- and in particular--free of Russia.

Umm, except that the guy "voted" for was chosen by Nuland, is an oligarch and has been in politics for some time.

There is a lot to do for the new President-- the work of the coalition has been excellent and needs to be carried on-- it is clearly the desire of the people.

Does that include bombing Donetsk Airport as they are doing at this moment?

You live in a world of your own.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: tfcrew on May 26, 2014, 11:14:07 AM
I have been asked why I post links-- and others writing-- often there is an excellent assessment and explanation.So much accords with my own views that it is easier to include in full .

 

But I don't see the links...just copy and paste that's difficult to read where did they from?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on May 26, 2014, 11:24:21 AM

Does that include bombing Donetsk Airport as they are doing at this moment?

You live in a world of your own.


(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/jean-luc-fk-russia_zpsdcb5575d.png)






http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4c0JJFXd0c#t=66
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: stilllooking on May 26, 2014, 11:54:58 AM
Why would Crimea be eligible to vote, its in Russia?

Umm, except that the guy "voted" for was chosen by Nuland, is an oligarch and has been in politics for some time.

Does that include bombing Donetsk Airport as they are doing at this moment?

You live in a world of your own.

Let me guess, UKIP voter?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: stilllooking on May 26, 2014, 12:03:48 PM

I'm not surprise the OSCE is accepting this election in Ukraine when considering their past work. IMO, the election is unacceptable due to the citizens of two large regions not having adequate/safe places to vote. Let's say the majority of citizens of two states in USA are having issues voting. Not acceptable.


The unrest in a few regions in Ukraine isn't caused by the government but by a few armed thugs. Even if everybody in east Ukraine was able to vote, it wouldn't change the outcome. Those are reasons most nations will accept the new president of Ukraine. That is why I can accept the new president of Ukraine. Other than that, I don't agree with OSCE stating the election meets international standards.

You mean like Bush jr being helped into the white house by the other Bush Jr. down in Florida so he could finish Bush Sr. unfinished business in Iraq? yes, that is a much better way to decide an election, good old electoral fraud.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Manny on May 26, 2014, 12:05:28 PM
Let me guess, UKIP voter?

Like most of the voters here? Yes. Absolutely. You will have noticed that Farage just won a landslide election.

Let me guess, Labour voter?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: stilllooking on May 26, 2014, 01:11:35 PM
Like most of the voters here? Yes. Absolutely. You will have noticed that Farage just won a landslide election.

Let me guess, Labour voter?

'Most' voters voted for UKIP? since when does 27% or 28% mean most? Am not a native English speaker, and maybe someone will enlighten me but would have thought 'Most' meant more voted for them than did not vote for them, and 28% would mean 72% voted for someone other than UKIP, I would say those 73% is closer to what 'most' would mean than the 27% that voted for UKIP.

Labour? that guess about as bad as your vote in the elections.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Manny on May 26, 2014, 01:45:41 PM
'Most' voters voted for UKIP? since when does 27% or 28% mean most? Am not a native English speaker, and maybe someone will enlighten me but would have thought 'Most' meant more voted for them than did not vote for them, and 28% would mean 72% voted for someone other than UKIP, I would say those 73% is closer to what 'most' would mean than the 27% that voted for UKIP.

Labour? that guess about as bad as your vote in the elections.

Your side bio doesn't even give a country, so you are Mr/Mrs Unidentified, thus I can't really take you seriously. Nor can I correlate British politics to the subject matter. So I wont encourage you to go off topic any further by responding to your silliness again. If you want something to do, go fill in your side bio.

Anyway, Jay will now have a slew of stolen text peppered with his own insults to power post..........
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: stilllooking on May 26, 2014, 03:14:42 PM
Your side bio doesn't even give a country, so you are Mr/Mrs Unidentified, thus I can't really take you seriously. Nor can I correlate British politics to the subject matter. So I wont encourage you to go off topic any further by responding to your silliness again. If you want something to do, go fill in your side bio.

Anyway, Jay will now have a slew of stolen text peppered with his own insults to power post..........

Better now?

The correlation is that Mr Farage seems to admire mr Putin and the way mr Putin operates. Has even defended Putler after prince Charles comments. the comments you made could have come straight from his mouth.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: southernX on May 26, 2014, 03:15:14 PM
Why would Crimea be eligible to vote, its in Russia?

You live in a world of your own.

MANNY , crimea was invaded and stolen , violating international law . so technically under the law it is part of ukraine  fancy that hey !!

Quote
As I write it has been an overwhelming vote for a Ukraine free of outside influences,free of corruption,free of the past-- and in particular--free of Russia.




Umm, except that the guy "voted" for was chosen by Nuland, is an oligarch and has been in politics for some time.

the guy [poroshenko ]  has apolitical history yes
however part of that history has been against corruption , of course he is not a clean skin , but he aint too bad either ,
and wow , nuland was caught talking politics behind the scenes on who might be the best contender the yanks would like to see in the job, big deal ,
dont tell me you never speculate on the phone with your mates /colleagues about the possible outcomes of some major upcoming event that will effect you ??
does it mean you and your mate fixed the upcoming event already ??nah course not ,

Quote
There is a lot to do for the new President-- the work of the coalition has been excellent and needs to be carried on-- it is clearly the desire of the people.



Does that include bombing Donetsk Airport as they are doing at this moment?


bombing ??  show us the evidence of the bombing please manny ??

more like anti missile flares & the destruction of machine gun posts
show us your evidence of the ''bombing'' please ??

SX
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: southernX on May 26, 2014, 03:19:40 PM

(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/jean-luc-fk-russia_zpsdcb5575d.png)






http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4c0JJFXd0c#t=66

muzh   ;D  like it  :clapping:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on May 26, 2014, 03:54:11 PM

(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/jean-luc-fk-russia_zpsdcb5575d.png)






http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4c0JJFXd0c#t=66

+100


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: stilllooking on May 26, 2014, 04:07:16 PM


bombing ??  show us the evidence of the bombing please manny ??

more like anti missile flares & the destruction of machine gun posts
show us your evidence of the ''bombing'' please ??

SX

In fairness the bbc is/was reporting rockets launched at the airport building. I would also call that bombing, but then, I guess I would also call the taking of the airport a terrorist action....

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-27578440
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: southernX on May 26, 2014, 06:47:02 PM
In fairness the bbc is/was reporting rockets launched at the airport building. I would also call that bombing, but then, I guess I would also call the taking of the airport a terrorist action....

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-27578440

this link below gives a good account of events at the airport
no mention of bombing
http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/ukrainians-vote-in-momentous-may-25-election-to-pick-nations-fifth-president-live-updates-349211.html

given the pro russians are seperatist terrorists who are breaking the law , how should the gov react ?
i think we know how mr putin would react if it was in russia  ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 26, 2014, 07:19:52 PM
this link below gives a good account of events at the airport
no mention of bombing
http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/ukrainians-vote-in-momentous-may-25-election-to-pick-nations-fifth-president-live-updates-349211.html

given the pro russians are seperatist terrorists who are breaking the law , how should the gov react ?
i think we know how mr putin would react if it was in russia  ;)

The air action was directed at anti-aircraft guns of separists ( like you buy them at the corner store !!)  Some confused reports as to what was actually "seized" -- I do not think it was actually the terminal--but perimeter areas--later reports will clarify that.The bottom line is that government forces are getting on top of overall situation now.

http://news.liga.net/news/incident/1902533-v_donetske_siloviki_vremenno_prekratili_zachistku_ot_terroristov.htm

"The officer said that the morning before the terrorists issued an ultimatum, according to which they had to leave the airport building for security guarantees, but they refused, so was "carried out the work to destroy them." Dmitrashkovsky noted that the anti-terrorist operation in the Donbass will continue until the complete destruction of the terrorists. In respect of them may apply "precision-guided weapons."

Recall, c 26 May ciloviki conduct anti-terrorist operation against the terrorists who hijacked International Airport. Prokofiev Donetsk. At 13:00, after the terrorists who seized the airport, refused to lay down their arms, anti-terrorist operation entered its active phase. Against terrorists were involved in two of the Su-25, which carried out warning shots.

In response, opened fire from all weapons. After that, the work involved two aircraft MiG-29 and four Mi-24 helicopters. Once they "worked" the territory of the helicopter were landed, which currently conducts its sweep.

Prokofiev Donetsk airport on Monday suspended the operation of flights.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 26, 2014, 07:33:24 PM
Why would Crimea be eligible to vote, its in Russia?

Umm, except that the guy "voted" for was chosen by Nuland, is an oligarch and has been in politics for some time.

Does that include bombing Donetsk Airport as they are doing at this moment?

You live in a world of your own.

Funny how you can get so much confused-- it is you who lives out of sync with the world.Maybe it is your fear of a return of the "Muslim" terrorists who shut down your world?Maybe they were Ukrainian Muslims? Or was it a Ukrainian guy cutting your grass at some time?
Whatever the reasons your record of anti Ukrainian and derogatory remarks about Ukraine generally and Ukrainian women is  a matter of record for all to see.
Crimeans are Ukrainians and still entitled to vote--that right is not usurped by an invading army of Russia--or by a few extremists attempting to usurp the democratic rights of Ukrainians-- see-- not hard to understand is it?

The fact that the Russian and Russian sponsored terrorists seek to use ordinary Ukrainians as a shield to prevent removal or apprehension tells us what cowards they really are-- and how little support  there is for them.

Continuing to spew Russian propaganda only makes you look ridiculous-- amazingly doing it here. I can understand why you and the paid disciples do it to promote forum traffic in another place-- but surely-- even you cannot be so dumb as believing Kremlin propaganda--then again-- chances are that you are.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian media reported that several thousand Crimeans drove to the border regions to vote. But those are vanishingly small numbers compared to the more than two million people who live on the Crimean peninsula.
http://www.dw.de/ukrainians-hope-for-a-new-beginning/a-17662038
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 26, 2014, 07:56:32 PM

Anyway, Jay will now have a slew of stolen text peppered with his own insults to power post..........

Must be shocking to see that here I can respond!!
You and your hero Putin have something in common ( besides being ............s) neither of you allow free speech. So now you throw out an attempt to insult-- as you complain about being insulted?   You know there is a defence to libel and slander-- stating a truth  does the trick!
The problem here is this-- you use the word "stolen"-- mmm  big word with zero evidence.
It seems clear that you and others object to seeing  material that does not fit your jaundiced beliefs--the fact that I post material of information and opinions I agree with --or I believe is of general interest to help inform others-- now that is useful and in sharp contrast with the blowhards you promote in another place.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on May 26, 2014, 09:24:57 PM
Every boring day is a victory for Ukraine.  Every day with botox injections is a good day for Uncle Vova.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ghost of moon goddess on May 27, 2014, 01:17:44 PM
How come, in the country crawling with 'Banderists' and 'Neo Nazis', Vadim Rabinovich (a Ukrainian Jewish candidate for Ukraine's presidential election) outpolls the Right Sector and Svoboda candidates in taking 2.25 percent of the vote, while the latter two candidates receive only 1,86 percent, collectively?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 27, 2014, 02:00:41 PM
Kremlin's shuck and jive AKA propaganda.

 They're even trying to recycle the pictures of the UN helicopters again! (The ones that were taken in Africa a few years ago) Once again pretty lame even for them.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Chelseaboy on May 27, 2014, 02:17:23 PM
ghost of moon goddess,

                                   Never let the facts get in the way of the pro=Russian fantasists on here.

Regarding a country crawling with Neo Nazis,well that would be Russia ,with 50,000-70,000 of them inhabiting that lovely country,including some of Putlers biker buddies who were among the first to enter Crimea after it was stolen from Ukraine

Yep,let the Russian government funded RTS fanboys/girls on here keep believing their pro-Russian/anti everywhere else fantasies.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on May 27, 2014, 05:42:21 PM
How come, in the country crawling with 'Banderists' and 'Neo Nazis', Vadim Rabinovich (a Ukrainian Jewish candidate for Ukraine's presidential election) outpolls the Right Sector and Svoboda candidates in taking 2.25 percent of the vote, while the latter two candidates receive only 1,86 percent, collectively?

It would seem that voters in Ukraine had real freedom of choice in this election - an extremely scary thought for some of those further east.  It's just a pity that so many in eastern Ukraine were denied this freedom by people who do NOT have the best interests of Ukraine at heart.
 
ghost, what's the general feeling that you get about the eastern regions?  Although I would guess that people in Kyiv want the whole country to remain as one, do you hear anything about giving these areas greater autonomy (perhaps similar to what Crimea had)?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 27, 2014, 06:55:33 PM
There were some polls taken in the last year or two about this area splitting off. IIRC only 25-30% thought it was a good idea.

 Yet once again it's the silent majority that's afraid to step up to the plate and the vocal minority gets their 2 kopeks in the news.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on May 27, 2014, 08:32:14 PM
They have no guns.  The Kiev politicians oppose this.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on May 28, 2014, 06:53:22 AM
How come, in the country crawling with 'Banderists' and 'Neo Nazis', Vadim Rabinovich (a Ukrainian Jewish candidate for Ukraine's presidential election) outpolls the Right Sector and Svoboda candidates in taking 2.25 percent of the vote, while the latter two candidates receive only 1,86 percent, collectively?


Most probably the FSB virus intended to hack the CEC and "reveal" that Yarosh won the presidency malfunction.  :P
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 29, 2014, 03:32:23 AM
 Another interesting postive article to read !!!!

Quoting
"on it in the next few years. With European support, Ukraine could compare favourably. And, if such an initiative marks the beginning of a growth policy that Europe so badly needs, by saving Ukraine Europe would also be saving itself."

• George Soros is Chairman of Soros Fund Management and the author of The Tragedy of the European Union

How the EU can save Ukraine

Offering free political risk insurance to those who invest in or do business with Ukraine is a way of countering the threat of Putin's Russia, writes George Soros

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/may/29/how-eu-can-save-ukraine-political-risk-insurance
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on May 29, 2014, 09:36:59 AM
So we are on the side of George Soros? Great.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on May 29, 2014, 02:35:36 PM
So we are on the side of George Soros? Great.

Politics makes strange bedfellows. The enemy of my enemy is my friend sorta thing
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on May 29, 2014, 05:25:27 PM
Maybe now is the time to invest in Ukraine.  I wouldn't do Eastern Ukraine but Central and West Ukraine, IT outsourcing, why not?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future (or lack thereof)
Post by: krimster2 on May 29, 2014, 08:35:51 PM
been there, done that, have the t-shirt

I created an outsourcing software development company in Ukraine, the worst part was living there for 3 years, I totally understand why everyone wants to leave Ukraine, I did...

Absolutely  the crappiest place to live a Westerner could ever imagine, on a par with slums in any 3rd world country, all because of the attitudes and behavior of the people there.  This latest farce is laughable, the equivalent of ghetto dwellers from the Bronx going to war against ghetto dwellers of Trenton, NJ over  non-existent “cultural differences”. 

This is NOT the time to invest in Ukraine, banking, rule of law, civil order, crime, rampant corruption are just a few of the issues that negate whatever chance of profit you might have, oh and don’t forget that you’re not legally allowed to repatriate your profits, so what goes into Ukraine has to stay in Ukraine, and of course the Red Army might appear at your doorstep and declare you a foreign enemy of the Russian people

I left, I haven’t been back, and I never will go back, if I had stayed I would be dead now and that’s a fact...

Ukraine, the future? ha,ha,ha,ha  just hope the people don’t have to resort to cannibalism like they did in the 1930‘s
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future (or lack thereof)
Post by: cc3 on May 29, 2014, 09:07:27 PM
Absolutely  the crappiest place to live a Westerner could ever imagine, on a par with slums in any 3rd world country, all because of the attitudes and behavior of the people there.   
You are so wrong. I lived in Libya for three years. That was, most absolutely, the worst place, in the world, for westerners. I am engaged to a Ukrainian; have spent many months with her in east, south and west Ukraine, and will happily take up residence with her in Lviv. I have had it with the 'American way of living'...greedy, corrupt politicians and political power blocks, i.e., government unions, Wall Street lobbyists, demographically aberrant identity groups (homosexuals, transgenders, pedophiles, animal fetishists) are taking over the country due to the lack of involvement in governance by the mainstream populace. Before they know it, the mainstream will be in legal and political shackles placed on it by the rabid fringe elements of our society.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 29, 2014, 09:49:57 PM
“...greedy, corrupt politicians...”
Yes, thank heavens that there aren’t any of those in Ukraine, LMFAO

Yes, a bit of hyperbole on my part, Libya, and North Korea would be worst than Ukraine, however these are not places I would ever go voluntarily and attempt to start a business, I’m not that crazy...

Lviv is a bit nicer than most of Ukraine, probably due to the fact that it didn’t officially become part of the Soviet Union until 1946, it’s still freakin Ukrainian but just not as much, I can’t say what it’s like to live there, as I’ve only been a tourist.  Moy dom was Krim baby and is now occupied territory

“demographically aberrant identity groups (homosexuals, transgenders, pedophiles, animal fetishists) are taking over the country”

really, you think  pedophiles and animal fetishists are “taking over the country”?
which country are you talking about, cause it sure as hell ain’t the one I’m living in, this sounds like a bad crystal meth induced paranoiac fantasy, has your life been directly impeded by wall street lobbyists, did they interfere with operating your hedge fund or something?  As detestable as they are, I don’t know of a single soul who can make this claim.   Live in Ukraine and you’ll have actual real problems that will directly effect your quality of life, like trying to receive mail without it being stolen, garbage collection or why bother collecting it, electric power, water, gas (good thing Ukraine doesn’t control the air), banking and anything at all regarding money, plus bad roads, drunks, counterfeit medications and bad hospitals and doctors, and a gazillion other “real, actual freakin’ problems”, nothing imaginary like gay animal fetishists in UFOs putting flouride in our toothpaste kind of problems (it could happen and I would be against it of course!), but incinerators that burn plastic next to your house that makes your eyes water and your lungs gasp for air and nothing you can do about it kind of problems, having to put bars on your windows kind of problems, can you see the difference???  If not, you will, and good luck on your safe return...


 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 30, 2014, 01:51:49 AM
Krim-- what years were you there? What city/area?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 05:02:51 AM
hello,
   I lived in Sevastopol between the Zum market and Chersonese from 2004 until 2007 when I came to my senses and moved to Texas, before that it was Silicon Valley. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Wayne on May 30, 2014, 05:54:39 AM
Krimster, were you married to someone in Crimea? Did you have any positive experiences there?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on May 30, 2014, 06:19:14 AM
@ krimster2. "America's Next Civil Rights Frontier". Time's latest cover:

http://www.mediaite.com/online/transgender-actress-laverne-cox-makes-time-cover-this-is-who-i-am/

...further:

http://www.educationviews.org/pedophilia-rights-next-civil-rights-battle/

...and even further:

http://vividrandomexistence.wordpress.com/2010/08/04/zoosexual-rights/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 07:37:14 AM
Wayne,

Yup, been married 15 years now to a woman from Sevastopol, we met in Kiev in 1998 were married in 1999.

Positive experiences living there, well of course there were some, the natural environment was very stimulating, we lived about 300 meters from the beach on the “Chorny Moira” (Black Sea), so I’d do my morning jog along the beach and end up in Chersonese and do a little “prospecting” which would sometimes produce some historical pay dirt, I found about 80 ancient coins in total, and a huge amount of WWII artifacts. 

The human environment was not so nice, I was physically attacked twice for the crime of being an American, got sick of people asking to borrow (or give them) money, neighbors would dump their garbage in the street virtually at my door, vicious dogs running freely and attacking people with no consequence to the owners, electricity and gas were sometimes rationed, once the whole town of Sevastopol had no water for two days.  You home had to have bars on the windows and your door had to have steel plates and heavy hinges inside.  You couldn’t park your car in the street in front of your home over night or it would be stolen or the tires/battery stolen, go shopping and a clerk will follow you to make sure you don’t steal something, even standing in a line will result in people pushing and shoving each other to get to the front of the line,  and on and on and on ad nauseum, nah, I don’t miss it one bit.


 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 08:11:53 AM
CC3 (Command, Control, Communication?)

<sarcasm>Well gee, as we all know they can’t put something on the internet unless it’s true</sarcasm>, so I guess the sources you provided clearly show that transgenderistic zoophiles will soon be  dominating our culture and Vladimir Putin was right about the West being a corrupt and decadent culture!

My response, so what?  If someone’s gay or transgender, I say “live and let live”, and really their lifestyle choices have no effect on me at all or mine on them, foolish me, I actually believed the part about America being “the land of the free”, I didn’t read the fine print that said, “unless you’re gay or transgender”.  The article’s claims about zoophiles and pedophiles is laughable, so a couple of psychiatrists “said something in their defense”, so what, it’s a long, long way from that to official policy, again their actions have no relevant effects on my life, current law protects my children, and of course so do I!  See, this ain’t Russia, where there’s just one official viewpoint and no tolerance for anything or anyone else.  So let’s just say the question of  Gilligan’s Island Mary Anne vrs Ginger comes up, and you happen to be overwhelmingly a Ginger man, and someone else prefers Mary Anne, you still get to like Ginger, why can’t you let the other fellow like MaryAnne???
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Wayne on May 30, 2014, 08:16:56 AM
I see crime, both petty and organized, as a big problem in Crimea. There are too many unemployed/under employed and homeless. Opening casinos in Yalta will bring more crime.
 
You see people trying to sell things on the street and just plain beggars. You can go to a beautiful beach or nature area and find piles of trash. It makes me sick!
 
Stray dogs and cats seem to be everywhere. Piles of dog shit are discusting!
 
If Russia wants to do something, they should hire these people to clean everything outside, and common entries to buildings. Get a system for pet registration, and round up all the strays. Repair all the roads and sidewalks. Install and operate many public restrooms.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 08:34:42 AM
Wayne,
   What you say is true, you see it as a problem, because you look at it with “Western Eyes”, but most of the locals don’t have this perspective.  I remember once when one of my neighbors a college professor traveled to Germany for the first time and when he returned he told me how astonished he was to see such a clean environment, but to most Ukrainians a garbage filled street is just normal and nothing to be upset about, so even leaving garbage on the beach or at a national monument is acceptable to many people. This lack of responsibility over “common areas” has deep roots in the Soviet Psyche and IMHO is a major contributor for Ukraine/Russian uncivil behavior.

BTW, if you’re in Crimea right now, I assume you know enough to keep a very, very low profile!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Wayne on May 30, 2014, 10:57:32 AM
Another thing you will notice is a lot of graffiti. Some of it is crap, but some approaches artist quality. Signs are nailed up on every pole.
 
Where we live in US, years ago they put a ten cent deposit law on bottles and cans and it has made a big difference.
 
It they had trash receptacles and payed someone to haul the trash away I think people would start using them.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 11:46:58 AM
ukraine is universally a disordered mess, look at any particular detail there and you’ll see the same thing over and over again, some broken down jalopy of a country that people are still trying to ride on, it needs a lot more fixing than a few trash receptacles.

the main industry of Ukraine is theft, from Yanukovych down to the director of every miniscule state property, everyone’s on the take, nearly every business has to pay protection “krisha” money as well, corruption, corruption everywhere.  If you work as a “director” for any branch of any local or state government in Ukraine, then controlling that resource is the same as owning it, and you can “extract rent” from it.  You’re the director of a museum, well start charging admission and put the money in your pocket, charge tourists for each photo they take and put the money in your other pocket, and do this for each farm, school, hospital, port, warehouse, police station, airport, train station, tourist attraction, etc.  Let’s say you were appointed by someone from Kiev to be the lead city administrator of a major city  (this means you have to give a percentage of your take back to whoever appointed you), well you take the money that was allocated for garbage collection or central heating and you put it into your private account, why not, everyone else does it, you’d be a pridorik not to, not to mention the fact that the people who put you in your position would fire you and get someone else who will “follow the code” if you didn’t steal.
As long as this continues, and it is, then Ukraine will always have no real future...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on May 30, 2014, 12:23:40 PM
"See, this ain’t Russia, where there’s just one official viewpoint and no tolerance for anything or anyone else." No, this ain't [sic] Russia. This is Ukraine, but with all of its faults and foibles I believe it has a lot more potential for normalizing than Russia has (especially western and central Ukraine; I no longer give a crap about the irrational Donbass, where I have spent most of my months in UA). I have been traveling throughout Europe, mostly western, for many decades and, while a total disbeliever of its 'benign' socialistic policies, I feel more at peace living there than in the US, and I live in one of the best states of the US, Colorado. Maybe it's because I like European beer better than mass produced American industrial beer (although US craft breweries are the best in the world...but two to three times the cost of comparable European beers). Also, typically American, I am addicted to American football, but, with internet streaming, I don't need to be in the US to watch it.

So, I will gut it out in the pleasant, almost non-Ukrainian city of Lviv, while my fiancee completes her university work. Then we will decide where the future looks most advantageous, especially for her. It could be in Ukraine, under the new regime, orienting the country toward western Europe, in western Europe, or back in the US.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Wayne on May 30, 2014, 01:17:31 PM
You know in USA we have elected officials all the way from the President down to the local drain commisioner. Every level of government has elected officials. The federal government has certain powers, but the states also have a lot of powers.
 
It looks like Ukraine needs to make some basic changes to the way their system operates.
 
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on May 30, 2014, 03:52:39 PM
Ohhh, everything's sooo black and white. So Crimea is a cesspool of corruption and dog shit?  I don't know anything about Crimean corruption, nor western corruption for that matter, first hand. But I do know they exist. I've been 3 times to Crimea and never had any problems at all. Nothing, nada, ingenting. I'm sure they noticed I was a foreigner, but nobody tried to rob me or scam me. At the most a couple of beggars on the pedestrian street which is of course unheard of here in the affluent west. But otherwise all well.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 05:17:52 PM
Mr Natural,

One of my cousins did a tour of duty in Vietnam with the 173rd Airborne Brigade during the peak of the Vietnam war, and after serving a year he came back safe and sound without a scratch, therefor Vietnam during the height of the Vietnam war was a perfectly safe country by your logical reasoning, oh I ponder the possibilities when a wit such as your yours is turned loose to reflect upon all the events of the natural world, perhaps you will deduce that the wind is caused by the trees moving back and forth in unison, who knows what festering puzzle of nature you will once and decisively answer for a world not as blessed with an intellect as savagely perceptive as your own.  Allow me one last “tale of woe” for you to ponder about life in Sevastopol, one that as a tourist you would not encounter.  I used to walk my youngest daughter to her school, and after seeing her safely inside, I would proceed to the playground outside of her class room and remove from my pocket a plastic garbage bag and walk throughout the playground and pick up the empty and broken beer and vodka bottles and place them in the garbage bag along with an occasional used syringe or two and drop them in the garbage bin, and of course repeating it again the next day, Mondays of course were the busiest.  You as a tourist, would be oblivious to this scene,  but how could I be, and call myself the protector of my child?  This is the difference between your experience and mine, please don’t tell me you know Sevastopol, based on your 3 short visits, YOU DON’T!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on May 30, 2014, 06:10:11 PM
Mr Natural,

oh I ponder the possibilities when a wit such as your yours is turned loose to reflect upon all the events of the natural world, perhaps you will deduce that the wind is caused by the trees moving back and forth in unison, who knows what festering puzzle of nature you will once and decisively answer for a world not as blessed with an intellect as savagely perceptive as your own.  please don’t tell me you know Sevastopol, based on your 3 short visits, YOU DON’T!

Oh, personal insults disguised as poem, how rich. Allow me an eloquent response as a show of good will between a man and a fool; I detect a homosexual here. I know, my wife make me turn away when they show movies of homo content, but something sticks and threre's just something gay about Your wording there that puke's me out.



please don’t tell me you know Sevastopol, based on your 3 short visits, YOU DON’T!

I didn't say I know Sevastopol. I've never been to the Place, duh! I said I've been to CRIMEA 3 times. Places like Simferopol, Koktebel, Kerch. Bus rides, trips to the city centre and to the Beach.... never any problems With anybody......sorry....

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 30, 2014, 07:30:22 PM
“Allow me an eloquent response as a show of good will between a man and a fool”

why thank you, as it is obvious that I am the former and you are the latter, at first I thought you were being far too self-critical, but after reading the rest of what you wrote, I’d say that instead your self criticism is rather understated.  Oh, I’m sorry was this post your “eloquent response”, it seemed to me to be a bit weak and inarticulate... 

“...I detect a homosexual here. I know, my wife make me turn away when they show movies of homo content,” 

I’m sure she has a good reason for doing that, but I shudder to think of what that might be!

The last time someone attempted to direct a homosexual insult at me, I believe I was about 14 or so and it was done by a lad who had an IQ of about 75 and failed two grades, most people grow up, but obviously not everyone does

I’m glad your 3 trips to Crimea went well, but it doesn’t entitle you to say that someone who lived there 3 years has an invalid opinion simply because it’s different from yours.

Please allow me to give you a few words of wisdom which look as though they were created especially with you in mind, “sometimes it is better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak out and remove all doubt” 

Frankly, you’re the only person on this board whose insults end up doing more self inflicted damage then they do to its intended victim, indeed “you have removed all doubt...”

Thanks for the jolly good laugh!



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on May 31, 2014, 01:12:08 PM
An interesting documentary by PBS on the conflict in Ukraine.  Some information that I had not read rearlier about 'Right Sector' and the history of this group and their objetives.

http://video.pbs.org/video/2365254983/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future (or lack thereof)
Post by: Gator on June 01, 2014, 09:12:10 AM
I am engaged to a Ukrainian; have spent many months with her in east, south and west Ukraine, and will happily take up residence with her in Lviv. I have had it with the 'American way of living'...greedy, corrupt politicians and political power blocks, i.e., government unions, Wall Street lobbyists, demographically aberrant identity groups (homosexuals, transgenders, pedophiles, animal fetishists) are taking over the country due to the lack of involvement in governance by the mainstream populace. Before they know it, the mainstream will be in legal and political shackles placed on it by the rabid fringe elements of our society.

cc3, not trying to start an argument, yet your words impress me as idealistic contempt

It seems that you have a special blessing of being able to live anywhere of your choosing on the globe.  Congratulations!  It also seems that you have a much younger fiancée who wants to enjoy this with you (you describe your travels in terms of decades and your fiancée as a student).  Congratulations! 

I too traveled the globe (UN) as an idealist, with plenty of fine girlfriends.  Yet after just two years of it I discovered the world was round and ended up where I had started.  America is not perfect and has some major faults, yet on the whole I thought it better than my other options because it felt like "home."  Business was also a consideration yet not overriding. 

Maybe if I had stayed away as long as you evidently have done,  my connections to America would have lessened measurably.   BTW, what are your plans when she wants a child?  Where you choose to raise your children is very important to their lives. 

Pardon my nosiness.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on June 01, 2014, 12:12:30 PM
Ciao, Gator. I can speak of decades traveling the world, not due to some advantageous financial status, but due to lifestyle circumstances. I was born and raised an Air Force brat, certainly not a high social placement. I began world travels when my father was assigned to Wheelus AFB, near Tripoli, Libya...a real exotic garden spot, as a nine year old. When I was seventeen, my father retired from the Air Force, and I began a ten and a half stint of active duty in the Navy and the Marines, with the attendant foreign exposure such a tenure in the military entails. My first civilian job, after leaving military active duty, was based in Singapore for three years. My second civilian position was a 29 year career for a major American international airline flying all over the world, except Africa, but primarily to western Europe.

So, you see, there was no "special blessing", just a combination of family circumstances and a passion to fly, which, with extremely hard work and, at times, luck, earned me my fighter pilot/airline captain career. It also gave me an unusual amount of exposure to many nationalities, their behaviors, and their world perspectives.

Yes, my fiancee is much younger, but, unusually for Europe, she is a 40 year old adult university student, working on two different university degrees (business management and English translation) that she was unable to earn due to her previous marriage. So I am not 'robbing the cradle', and she will not be getting pregnant. We are, however, highly cognizant of certain advantages that her 16 year old daughter might have in attending an American university, so we have prioritized fiancee's degree first, due in a year, crisis in Ukraine allowing, followed by daughter's higher education goals.

You're pardoned for your nosiness!  ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 02, 2014, 01:24:29 AM
An interesting documentary by PBS on the conflict in Ukraine.  Some information that I had not read rearlier about 'Right Sector' and the history of this group and their objetives.

http://video.pbs.org/video/2365254983/

Certainly interesting and reasonable  doco -- will be interesting to see the later episodes.
This is better than most western attempts to explain  the ongoing crisis and tragedy.
Right sector has received a lot more asssitance on getting better organised and armed -- and have again been doing the hard yards in the east They have helped put some steel in the military and police-- and given them more confidence to deal with the situation.
If it was my decision--I would evacuate the civilian  population from eastern cities being occupied by the militants ( who would be whitewashed if not for the Russian support that is ongoing) .The militants are using civilians to prevent attacks-- but that will not work forever-- and not much longer.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 02, 2014, 01:43:09 AM
 
While we have people watcching vids--here is one for those who rationalise Putin's invasion.
Donetsk residents separatists "Addicts drunks with guns"


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y2ZNA9jRZdo#t=24
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: rockford75 on June 02, 2014, 07:35:58 PM
So To Jay H

You really have got to stop following mainstream media,for one thing they are bought and paid for by Government. I respect the fact that your pro Ukraine iam too.  I also know that lots of Ukraine people work in Russia as my wife has relatives there. If it werent for Russian jobs lots of Ukraine's would have no money and not be able to support there families. Have you ever been to Russia?  cause let me tell you its not much different then Ukraine people with jobs get up everyday and work and try to support there families . Now again Its not Putin that started this the West started all this with Ukraine . GO HERE
http://www.infowars.com/the-truth-about-the-ukraine-crisis/   and stop listening to mainstream media and listen to the true news INFOWARS >COM DRUDGE REPORT BENN SWAN Stop bashing Russia and get your facts straight!  Cause unless you have lived in Russia as I have you dont know what you are talking about.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on June 02, 2014, 09:09:29 PM
So To Jay H

You really have got to stop following mainstream media,for one thing they are bought and paid for by Government. I respect the fact that your pro Ukraine iam too.  I also know that lots of Ukraine people work in Russia as my wife has relatives there. If it werent for Russian jobs lots of Ukraine's would have no money and not be able to support there families. Have you ever been to Russia?  cause let me tell you its not much different then Ukraine people with jobs get up everyday and work and try to support there families . Now again Its not Putin that started this the West started all this with Ukraine . GO HERE
http://www.infowars.com/the-truth-about-the-ukraine-crisis/   and stop listening to mainstream media and listen to the true news INFOWARS >COM DRUDGE REPORT BENN SWAN Stop bashing Russia and get your facts straight!  Cause unless you have lived in Russia as I have you dont know what you are talking about.

Rocky, your cracking me up.  The video you link is a propaganda piece that lists no references or proofs to the foolish conclusions he offers.

Being the husband of a Russian women, it seems to be a theme here that you would take the Russian side.  So you live in Russia?

Let me give you a little perspective from someone that has spent time in Ukraine and has a Ukrainian wife that still lives in Ukraine.

1.  I have been going to Ukraine since before Maiden and met, stayed with, and discussed politics with many people.  This also includes Crimea, particularly in Sevastopol.

2.  Prior to Maiden and the invasion by Russia, the people of Ukraine got along with each other regardless if they are Ukrainian speakers or Russian speakers.  In fact many of the citizens speak both languages or a hybrid of both.  There was no discord that I every witnessed.

3.  Your perception that Maiden was financed and actively supported by the USA is just plain B.S. !   There is no way to know for certain if any of the US foreign aid money was channeled to the protesters, but it is unlikely since your boy Yanukovich seemed to have stolen most of the money anyway.

4.  My wife and I made several visits to Maiden and observed the protesters.  She lives within earshot of the grenades and gunfire from the center.  In addition, she has been to Maiden during the conflict several times because it was necessary to visit the courts and government offices during this time.  The supporters of maiden were Ukrainian citizens from all over Ukraine.  I doubt I saw more than a dozen native English speaking people the times we went there.

5.  Whether you like it or not,  Maiden was a grass roots Ukrainian adventure.  I can enlighten you a little as to why I make this conclusion.  The previous 2-3 years prior to Maiden, nearly everyone I talked to in Ukraine had the same attitude about politics and the government....   "They are all a bunch of crooks.  It does not matter which one we elect!"   After the early success of Maiden where tens of thousands attended, the public support grew and grew.  Why you might ask?..... because there is security in numbers, and the citizens began to think there may be hope in replacing Yanuckovich with a new, less corrupt government.  The EU vs. Russia decision may have been the spark that got it started, but once it got going it was more a case of throwing out the crooks and electing a new government.

6.  Once the public got to see the lavish residence of Yanuckovich and learn of the amount of money he stole from the people, there was no turning back.  It was time to oust him and get a new president.  I wonder how Putin would fare under the same circumstances?    :D

If you consider yourself a rational thinker, please answer the following:

On what legal basis can you justify Russia invading a sovereign nation (Crimea) and taking it as their property?

Why is it that nearly everything Putin says is a lie.... such as he has pulled his troops out a month or so ago when no troops had been pulled back?

His lies that no Russian troops (little green men) were in Crimea prior to the official invasion.

What legal basis does he have continuing to stick his nose in Ukraine's business now (in the East)?

I ask you to consider the big picture....  What major event caused Russia to get involved in an internal Ukrainian conflict?  The only thing I recall is that Putin's puppet (Yanuckovich) was driven from office.  There is no other major event that I can remember that caused the Russian's to invade Ukraine (Crimea) and send terrorists into Eastern Ukraine.  If this was not the reason, what is your explanation?

I'll wait for your reply.....


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on June 03, 2014, 07:46:43 AM
Why I hate, HATE Putin and all Russians (and others) who support him:

http://ukraineatwar.blogspot.nl/2014/06/staged-attack-with-rpg-from-tree-in.html

...a most pleasant park where I have spent many peaceful and romantic times with my fiancee, as little children played among the trees where the explosions occur.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: GQBlues on June 03, 2014, 04:50:53 PM
Why I hate, HATE Putin and all Russians (and others) who support him:

http://ukraineatwar.blogspot.nl/2014/06/staged-attack-with-rpg-from-tree-in.html (http://ukraineatwar.blogspot.nl/2014/06/staged-attack-with-rpg-from-tree-in.html)

...a most pleasant park where I have spent many peaceful and romantic times with my fiancee, as little children played among the trees where the explosions occur.

http://ukraineatwar.blogspot.nl/2014/06/a-second-more-detailed-look-into-flight.html (http://ukraineatwar.blogspot.nl/2014/06/a-second-more-detailed-look-into-flight.html)

Same blogger...correcting himself, LOL.

"...Conclusion: it seems the jet DID fire into the park!!!!
 
 Of course this is a completely different ballgame...Earlier I stated that the impacts might have been from an automated grenade launcher. That option also seems unlikely now.
 
 I have some rewriting of pages to do...
"

LOL..Oh the irony!

>>...a most pleasant park where I have spent many peaceful and romantic times with my fiancee, as little children played among the trees where the explosions occur....<<<

The drama would've had me in hysterics really if it wasn't so sad for these people...Ukrainians had been killing Ukrainians all this time, man.

The government, the people, the entire society is morally bankrupt and corrupt. So much so they pride themselves to the benefits of corruption. That baby is the real evil in this unfortunate crisis. Dudes like you perpetuate these types of mentality.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 04, 2014, 12:36:06 AM
Right Sector- a brief explanation--not nazis-- but Ukrainian Nationalists
Quoting--
Dmitry Jarosz. Clarification regarding participation "rights sector" in response to the Russian aggressors
_____________________________________________________
"Right sector" appeared as a revolutionary movement of the Ukrainian people under the rule of the Yanukovych regime. After escaping Yanukovych, which marked the beginning of a new stage of the National Revolution, it was decided to transform "the right sector" into a political party, which is in accord with other nationalist institutions will continue to fight for the creation of Ukrainian national state in accordance with the requirements of the new political reality. Accordingly, the current "Right sector 'operates under current legislation as a political party, and that this is determined by the nature of its involvement in fighting Russian invaders and their agents. As a political party, we can not have its own military forces. But we have enough human resources that will be useful in protecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Ukraine. In particular, we are leveraging its own membership to the formation of territorial defense battalions "Dnepr", "Donbass" and "Sloboda". A "rights sector" will enrich and other military units whose activity is aimed at protecting the independence of our country. Also we will provide any other possible assistance in the fight against the invaders. National Revolution in Ukraine should continue. Now she was faced with external aggression. However, we will do everything we can to stop this aggression and to bring national revolution to its logical conclusion, namely obtaining Ukrainian Independent
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on June 07, 2014, 09:35:32 AM
Interesting speech by new president Poroshenko at his inaugural on future of Ukraine:


Ukraine's new president: 'Crimea was, is and will be Ukrainian soil'


Petro Poroshenko, one of the world's richest men, added "Ukrainian president" to his list of credentials this morning, reports CNN.

The man who made billions as a chocolate maker took the oath of office in front of Vice President Joe Biden and several European presidents, and his inaugural speech was one which delivered shades of both diplomacy and strength.

"I don't want war. I don't want revenge," Poroshenko said. But, "who comes with the sword will fall from the sword."

Promising a tough stance against Russian encroachment and separatist militants in Eastern Ukraine, Poroshenko said, "No one will protect us, if we do not learn to protect ourselves," and he added, "talking to gangsters and to killers is not our avenue."

As to Crimea, the country's disputed territory which was annexed earlier this spring by Russia, Poroshenko said that the fight is not yet over.

"Crimea was, is and will be Ukrainian soil," he said.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oorq0Z0byX8#t=53


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on June 07, 2014, 08:13:03 PM
Some points from inaugural speech of Petro Poroshenko, new President of Ukraine
June 7, 2014 (quick compilation and translation)

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko set a major goal to preserve the unity of Ukraine.

"I go to the office of President, to preserve and strengthen the unity of Ukraine", - Petro Poroshenko said during his inaugural speech on Saturday in the building of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

Petro Poroshenko started his speech with the words "Glory to Ukraine!".

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko declares its readiness to provide a corridor for moving out Russian mercenaries from Ukraine.

"I do not want war, I do not seek revenge, in spite of the sight of great sacrifices made by the Ukrainian people is before my eyes. I strive for the peace and will achieve unity of Ukraine. Therefore I start my work with peace plan offer" - he said in his inaugural speech on Saturday in the building of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

Poroshenko also strongly urged all those who illegally took up arms, to lay down the arms. "In response to acceptance of this offer I guarantee, first, exemption from criminal responsibility those whose hands are not in blood Ukrainian soldiers and civilians, and those who are not involved in the financing of terrorism" - the president pointed out.

"Secondly, the controlled the corridor could be provided for Russian mercenaries who want to return home," - said the head of state.

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko also said that Ukraine has been and will remain a unitary state.

"Dreams of federalization have no ground in Ukraine", - he said in his inaugural speech on Saturday in the building of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

"Russia occupied the Crimea, which has been and will be Ukrainian. Yesterday I said about this the Russian leadership firmly in Normandy "- President of Ukraine stressed.

In addition, the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko said that the only official language in Ukraine will remain Ukrainian language.

"New life means that one can not ignore the will of people, to live free is to speak freely in their native language, as stated in the article 10 of the Constitution. And it defines the Ukrainian language as the only state language and it guarantees the free development of Russian and other languages," - he said.

Poroshenko also in favor of holding extraordinary parliamentary elections.

"An important part of the public inquiry is complete reset of power, which is extraordinary parliamentary elections," - he said.

Poroshenko said in his inaugural address that in the near future is going to go "to the east of the country with peace."

"What as the President I will come to you in the near future. Peace. With the project of decentralization of power. With the guarantee of free use in your region of the Russian language. With the firm intention not to divide Ukrainians on right and wrong. With a respectful attitude to the specific regions, the right of local communities to their peculiarities in matters of historical memory, religious traditions, "- said Poroshenko, referring to his fellow citizens in the east of the country in Russian.

"Today we need a legitimate dialogue partner. We will not talk to bandits, we will not" – pointed out the president of Ukraine.

He is also convinced of the necessity of signing the Agreement on the EU-Ukraine Association.

"Association Agreement, we consider only as the first step towards full membership of Ukraine in the European Union" – Poroshenko said.

The President said that he is ready to sign the second part of the Association Agreement with the EU, related to the establishment of a free trade area, and waits for the corresponding readiness from the European side.

"I think that the position of the Ukrainian Parliament and the will of the Ukrainian people will create all conditions for Ukraine to receive EU membership in perspective, because no one has the right to veto the European choice," - said the new president of Ukraine.

President of Ukraine declared that the government is ready to announce early local elections in Donbass to resolve the situation in the region.

"Today we need a legitimate dialogue partner. We will not talk with the bandits not and we are ready to announce early local elections in the Donbas to have dialogue partners" - said Poroshenko.

President Petro Poroshenko called for an agreement between the government and the people of Ukraine for a joint fight against corruption.

"We need a national anti-corruption pact between the government and the people. Its essence is simple: officials do not take, and people do not give [bribes]. We can not change the country if we do not change themselves, our attitude to our own lives, to the life of the whole country"

Compilation and translation by Vitalii Usenko

Sources:
http://delo.ua/ukraine/chto-po...dated_new=1402133007
http://www.unian.net/politics/...mi-myi-ne-budem.html
http://www.unian.net/politics/...chno-poroshenko.html
http://www.unian.net/politics/...udet-ukrainskim.html
http://www.unian.net/politics/...chno-poroshenko.html
http://interfax.com.ua/news/general/208401.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on June 07, 2014, 08:21:56 PM
Nice speech, and I hope him the  best.

But I think people both there and leaders in the west are way to optimistic about what he can really accomplish.

Limited powers, even more limited resources, etc.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: rockford75 on June 09, 2014, 09:19:40 AM
Rocky, your cracking me up.  The video you link is a propaganda piece that lists no references or proofs to the foolish conclusions he offers.

Being the husband of a Russian women, it seems to be a theme here that you would take the Russian side.  So you live in Russia?

Let me give you a little perspective from someone that has spent time in Ukraine and has a Ukrainian wife that still lives in Ukraine.

1.  I have been going to Ukraine since before Maiden and met, stayed with, and discussed politics with many people.  This also includes Crimea, particularly in Sevastopol.

2.  Prior to Maiden and the invasion by Russia, the people of Ukraine got along with each other regardless if they are Ukrainian speakers or Russian speakers.  In fact many of the citizens speak both languages or a hybrid of both.  There was no discord that I every witnessed.

3.  Your perception that Maiden was financed and actively supported by the USA is just plain B.S. !   There is no way to know for certain if any of the US foreign aid money was channeled to the protesters, but it is unlikely since your boy Yanukovich seemed to have stolen most of the money anyway.

4.  My wife and I made several visits to Maiden and observed the protesters.  She lives within earshot of the grenades and gunfire from the center.  In addition, she has been to Maiden during the conflict several times because it was necessary to visit the courts and government offices during this time.  The supporters of maiden were Ukrainian citizens from all over Ukraine.  I doubt I saw more than a dozen native English speaking people the times we went there.

5.  Whether you like it or not,  Maiden was a grass roots Ukrainian adventure.  I can enlighten you a little as to why I make this conclusion.  The previous 2-3 years prior to Maiden, nearly everyone I talked to in Ukraine had the same attitude about politics and the government....   "They are all a bunch of crooks.  It does not matter which one we elect!"   After the early success of Maiden where tens of thousands attended, the public support grew and grew.  Why you might ask?..... because there is security in numbers, and the citizens began to think there may be hope in replacing Yanuckovich with a new, less corrupt government.  The EU vs. Russia decision may have been the spark that got it started, but once it got going it was more a case of throwing out the crooks and electing a new government.

6.  Once the public got to see the lavish residence of Yanuckovich and learn of the amount of money he stole from the people, there was no turning back.  It was time to oust him and get a new president.  I wonder how Putin would fare under the same circumstances?    :D

If you consider yourself a rational thinker, please answer the following:

On what legal basis can you justify Russia invading a sovereign nation (Crimea) and taking it as their property?

Why is it that nearly everything Putin says is a lie.... such as he has pulled his troops out a month or so ago when no troops had been pulled back?

His lies that no Russian troops (little green men) were in Crimea prior to the official invasion.

What legal basis does he have continuing to stick his nose in Ukraine's business now (in the East)?

I ask you to consider the big picture....  What major event caused Russia to get involved in an internal Ukrainian conflict?  The only thing I recall is that Putin's puppet (Yanuckovich) was driven from office.  There is no other major event that I can remember that caused the Russian's to invade Ukraine (Crimea) and send terrorists into Eastern Ukraine.  If this was not the reason, what is your explanation?

I'll wait for your reply.....




Ok here it is! My reply,

So now the Ukraine has another puppet a USA backed puppet in Petr Poroshenko. Another Billionaire leader.  Who is clearly Western backed his job to turn Ukraine over to the EU and to lay out the welcome mat for NATO forces to encircle Russia with missiles and the Military. Claiming to be peace keepers.
All backed by the USA and the West  http://www.infowars.com/washingtons-iron-curtain-in-ukraine/
They are trying to destabilize Ukraine http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_06_09/Destabilization-of-Ukraine-used-as-pretext-to-move-NATO-closer-to-Russian-borders-1104/  in order for USA and the West in other words NATO parked on the Russian border. Now Putin didn't invade Crimea. Crimea wanted to join the Russian Federation and why not? The country is made up of 70 %-80% Russian speaking people.
Read this article it tells all  http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_06_05/Russia-never-annexed-Crimea-no-plans-to-intervene-Ukraine-its-Western-delusion-Putin-5970/

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on June 09, 2014, 01:41:37 PM
Fly into Borisopol last night, I stood in line with the Russian passport holders while UA and EU had their own line.  Saw Jews praying in the Airport at baggage claim.  Too the train to Lviv.  If you have the choice to speak Russian or English here, speak English.

PS. A sexagenarian wife hunter on his first visit to Ukraine chatted up a pretty twenty something in very audible English.  He said he was a journalist and he kept talking to the blonde beauty about the Soviet Union's history in Ukraine.  I thought about cluing him into the fact that their girls are not as stupid as ours.  Then thought otherwise when I considered this man could be one of our Hero Members.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on June 09, 2014, 06:29:46 PM
Ok here it is! My reply,

So now the Ukraine has another puppet a USA backed puppet in Petr Poroshenko. Another Billionaire leader.  Who is clearly Western backed his job to turn Ukraine over to the EU and to lay out the welcome mat for NATO forces to encircle Russia with missiles and the Military. Claiming to be peace keepers.
All backed by the USA and the West  http://www.infowars.com/washingtons-iron-curtain-in-ukraine/
They are trying to destabilize Ukraine http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_06_09/Destabilization-of-Ukraine-used-as-pretext-to-move-NATO-closer-to-Russian-borders-1104/  in order for USA and the West in other words NATO parked on the Russian border.

Why is Poroshenko "clearly Western backed?"  The West didn't have anything to do with how he made his money, so why should he need them to "back" him?  He clearly won the popular vote, without even needing a runoff.  Who are you trying to convince that this was a set-up?  Yourself?  How about giving him a chance to show what he can do for his country, rather than assuming that he's as corrupt as Yanukovych (he may be, but let's see what the Ukrainian people think).

If his country wishes to move towards the West, that is Ukraine's decision - not Russia's.  I also thought that NATO had already said it would not deploy troops or armament in Ukraine but, of course, that might be yesterday's news.  As for destabilisation of Ukraine - please!  Are you trying to tell me that all these insurgents in Eastern Ukraine, who all speak perfect Russian with the appropriate local accents, are really Ukrainian troops in disguise?

Now Putin didn't invade Crimea. Crimea wanted to join the Russian Federation and why not? The country is made up of 70 %-80% Russian speaking people.

Even Putin (eventually) admitted that Russian troops entered Crimea, not a country by itself but part of a sovereign country that wasn't their own!  What do you call that, if it's not an invasion?  A friendly stroll across the border by 25,000 people who all got lost at the same time?

Read this article it tells all  http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_06_05/Russia-never-annexed-Crimea-no-plans-to-intervene-Ukraine-its-Western-delusion-Putin-5970/

A few days after the spurious "referendum" in Crimea, the Russian Duma passed a resolution, signed off by President Putin, formally annexing the territory!  For crying out loud, who is deluded here?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on June 09, 2014, 07:22:43 PM
Anotherkiwi,

Were patiently waiting for Rockford75 to come on here and tell us that since Alaska once belonged to Russia, that it was sold too cheaply to the USA, and Russia is justified in invading and annexing it.   

After occupation I am sure Putin could rig another phoney referendum.  Even use the same excuse that he is 'protecting' Russian speakers (not Russian citizens) as was the case in Crimea.    ;D

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on June 10, 2014, 04:11:42 AM
Anotherkiwi,

Were patiently waiting for Rockford75 to come on here and tell us that since Alaska once belonged to Russia, that it was sold too cheaply to the USA, and Russia is justified in invading and annexing it.   

After occupation I am sure Putin could rig another phoney referendum.  Even use the same excuse that he is 'protecting' Russian speakers (not Russian citizens) as was the case in Crimea.    ;D

What's your problem with that?  Russia gets Sarah Palin, and one hopes that the average IQ of the remaining American politicians is increased!  :D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on June 10, 2014, 07:29:55 AM

So now the Ukraine has another puppet a USA backed puppet in Petr Poroshenko. Another Billionaire leader.  Who is clearly Western backed his job to turn Ukraine over to the EU and to lay out the welcome mat for NATO forces to encircle Russia with missiles and the Military. Claiming to be peace keepers.



Interesting observation there, bub.


Here's an excerpt from an observer of Russian Military affairs.


Quote
In this environment, Russia’s current policy in Ukraine is not just about geopolitical calculations regarding Ukraine’s economic ties with the EU versus the Eurasian Union, or even potential Ukrainian NATO membership. Instead, a main goal may be to strengthen President Vladimir Putin’s regime domestically by increasing patriotic attitudes among the Russian population.
 
Patriotism would thus be the means by which the Russian government inoculates the population against anti-regime or pro-Western attitudes. This goal would explain the obsessive focus on building an anti-Ukrainian and anti-U.S. domestic media narrative from an early stage in the Ukraine conflict.
 
One thing that may strike observers is that the supposed U.S. strategy laid out by Russian officials very closely parallels Russia’s actions in Ukraine in recent weeks. While Russian officials certainly did not organize the Maidan protests, NATO has accused Russia of backing pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine.
 


Why do Russian leaders think the U.S. government is out to get them? (http://russiamil.wordpress.com/2014/06/08/why-do-russian-leaders-think-the-u-s-government-is-out-to-get-them/)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on June 10, 2014, 08:11:10 AM
Most Americans don't know where Russia is, but you wouldn't know that by watching RT.

Anyone watch the Putin-Obama interaction on D-day?  The article I read said Obama won the body language competition but I figured I would ask unbiased observers.

If one was to invest in Ukraine, not saying I am, maybe now is the time.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on June 11, 2014, 12:05:41 PM
Most Americans don't know where Russia is, but you wouldn't know that by watching RT.

Anyone watch the Putin-Obama interaction on D-day?  The article I read said Obama won the body language competition but I figured I would ask unbiased observers.

If one was to invest in Ukraine, not saying I am, maybe now is the time.




Sorry, didn't bother watching two nincompoops.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on June 11, 2014, 12:30:17 PM

Here's an excerpt from an observer of Russian Military affairs.

Quote
Russia’s current policy in Ukraine is not just about geopolitical calculations regarding Ukraine’s economic ties with the EU versus the Eurasian Union, or even potential Ukrainian NATO membership. Instead, a main goal may be to strengthen President Vladimir Putin’s regime domestically by increasing patriotic attitudes among the Russian population.
 
 

BINGO!!!

Putin may be more benevolent than dictators such as Stalin, yet he is as corrupt as they come.  He has enriched his power base as well as his friends and  himself.   As with any case of rampant corruption, the general Russian population has suffered. 

If Putin were to lose his power base, he would spend many years in jail in the manner of  what he did to Mikhail Khodorkovsky.  Putin must stay in power, and thereby he is promoting Russian patriotism to build domestic support.   His power base and friends go along as Putin is the golden goose giving out golden eggs. 

Title: The 4th World War is here?
Post by: JayH on June 13, 2014, 01:47:25 AM
My apologies--I lifted this--it is significant work.
Andrei Illarionov, NATO Parliamentary Assembly, Vilnius, May 31st, 2014

Play video
Andrei Illarionov (Андрей Илларионов), Senior fellow at the Cato Institute's Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity, Washington, DC. NATO Parliamentary Assembly, Spring session, Economics and?
01:10:15
Added on 4/06/2014
3,674 views

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8ISQpbfoBI#t=484

             
 Andrei Illarionov, who was the chief economic adviser of Putin.
Illarionov also served as the president?s personal representative (sherpa) in the G-8  (G-7now, in fact).
He is one of Russia?s most brilliant advocates of an open society and democratic capitalism.
 Illarionov received his Ph.D. from St. Petersburg University in 1987.
Now he is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute?s Center for Global Liberty and Prosperity.

It doesn't mean I listen to all what he says without analizing it, and without any doubt that this is the highest truth; yet most of his comments and also political and economical predictions, seems quite reasonable and trustworthy- and most interesting.
http://aillarionov.livejournal.com/


"First point. You may hear statements that this is ?the Ukrainian crisis? or that this is ?the crisis in Ukraine?. It is incorrect. It is neither ?the crisis in Ukraine?, nor ?the Ukrainian crisis?. This is not an internal affair of Ukraine. This is a war. This is the Russian-Ukrainian war. To be correct, this is the Mr Putin?s war against Ukraine. And this war is only an introductory chapter of a much larger event which can be and actually already has been called ?War?, ?World War?, ?the Fourth World War?. I?ll try to elaborate this later. It is not my choice of picking this particular term. It is the term that is being used by the Kremlin propaganda machine ? the Fourth World War being waged now by Russia against the rest of the world."

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on June 13, 2014, 03:48:15 AM
Why isn't NATO doing more to secure their own security? Is NATO worthless?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on June 13, 2014, 02:57:45 PM
 

BINGO!!!

Putin may be more benevolent than dictators such as Stalin, yet he is as corrupt as they come.  He has enriched his power base as well as his friends and  himself.   As with any case of rampant corruption, the general Russian population has suffered. 

If Putin were to lose his power base, he would spend many years in jail in the manner of  what he did to Mikhail Khodorkovsky.  Putin must stay in power, and thereby he is promoting Russian patriotism to build domestic support.   His power base and friends go along as Putin is the golden goose giving out golden eggs.

I have a different take on this, dear Gator. I don't see Putin as a dictator, rather more as a strong personality that, yes, serve his own interests, but also is strongly patriotic and want to right the wrongs done by Jeltsin who delivered Russia almost free of charge to the oligarchs and western political and Financial interests.

Russians suffer? They have always suffered but my understanding is that they are now better of materially than ever before. Sure there are still poor People and there's inequality, but one cannot expect a country to Reach the excellence of the country of the indispensables like the US where everybody's a millionaire, in just a decade or so, can we?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on June 13, 2014, 03:06:54 PM
Talk about bleak . . .

If anyone is curious to know why Putin is really playing a weak hand, read this article:
http://m.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27800878

Re: Russians in Latvia - 40%
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on June 23, 2014, 12:30:47 PM
I have a different take on this, dear Gator. I don't see Putin as a dictator, rather more as a strong personality that, yes, serve his own interests, but also is strongly patriotic and want to right the wrongs done by Jeltsin who delivered Russia almost free of charge to the oligarchs and western political and Financial interests.

Russians suffer? They have always suffered but my understanding is that they are now better of materially than ever before. Sure there are still poor People and there's inequality, but one cannot expect a country to Reach the excellence of the country of the indispensables like the US where everybody's a millionaire, in just a decade or so, can we?


Damn!!!


Almost verbatim from last night on History channel during a presentation of "The Third Reich - The Fall"


Just click on the link.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0HHJaDf6dY
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on June 24, 2014, 01:23:18 AM

Damn!!!


Almost verbatim from last night on History channel during a presentation of "The Third Reich - The Fall"


Just click on the link.

Hitler made his country grow by a policy that made the government spend far more than it earned in order to create jobs and raise welfare. As a result he needed to build one of the best (maybe the best) military and weapons of the time, and use them in order to obtain more resources to keep the debts within limits and economy from collapse.

Does that in any way sound familiar?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on June 24, 2014, 06:08:15 AM
Yeah, America is evil.  Blame America first, always and if you can't blame America, blame God.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on June 24, 2014, 06:13:07 AM
Yeah, America is evil.  Blame America first, always and if you can't blame America, blame God.
Why do you think America is evil?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: nikitin on August 21, 2014, 08:50:01 AM
Continue the report about current Ukrainian situations. So, for now the situation is better than it was few month ago. But known that Russia want to escalate this. I know about the new arrivals of terrorists from Chechnya. Ukrainian military is doing all the best to resolve all of the captured districts. Also you can keep an eye about details here: http://en.news-channels.net . They explain situation from the three sides and provides three type of channels. Personally I pray and hope it will end soon.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on August 21, 2014, 09:24:48 AM
Continue the report about current Ukrainian situations. So, for now the situation is better than it was few month ago. But known that Russia want to escalate this. I know about the new arrivals of terrorists from Chechnya. Ukrainian military is doing all the best to resolve all of the captured districts. Also you can keep an eye about details here: http://en.news-channels.net (http://en.news-channels.net) . They explain situation from the three sides and provides three type of channels. Personally I pray and hope it will end soon.


Here's (http://russiamil.wordpress.com/2014/08/19/personalization-and-patriotism/) an interesting perspective from a Russian  scholar. If it's up to the Russians, they will freeze the Donbass and call it a day.


Quote


In practical terms, the U.S. government should encourage the Ukrainian government to pursue policies of reconciliation in the Donbas. While the conflict has been greatly exacerbated by Russian actions, it has an internal component that cannot be solved by military action alone. In an ideal world, Russia and the United States would work together to encourage this reconciliation, though I doubt that the current Russian government is genuinely interested in peace in eastern Ukraine. Instead, it would prefer to keep eastern Ukraine unstable as an object lesson to its own population of the dangers of popular protest leading to the overthrow of even a relatively unpopular government.
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Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: GQBlues on August 21, 2014, 03:47:34 PM
Neither a good day, or news, for Ukraine today, as OSCE reports (http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/122908)...

tsk, tsk, tsk  :(
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on August 21, 2014, 09:23:47 PM
Neither a good day, or news, for Ukraine today, as OSCE reports (http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/122908)...

tsk, tsk, tsk  :(


 Yes it appears it was a deadly day for the Ukrainian's today.  I don't think they are going to win this militarily, so they better get to the table and try to end the bloodshed, because that is THE ONLY WAY the fighting and deaths have a real hope of ending!   


 
 
http://online.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-suffers-heavy-losses-in-counterattack-by-pro-russia-rebels-1408626401?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp
 
 
quote from article:
"Losses have mounted recently, adding more pressure on Kiev to seek a compromise at peace talks next week in the Belarusian capital of Minsk, where Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and Russian leader Vladimir Putin are scheduled to meet face-to-face for the first time in two months."






 According to the article the two leaders will be meeting shortly...we shall see if they hammer out a deal this time that allows both sides to walk away with something positive.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on August 22, 2014, 01:02:15 PM
The high cost of trying to keep the economy of Crimea afloat:


"The two main pillars of Crimea’s economy, tourism and agriculture, have been slumping, especially since in the past, 70 percent of visitors to Crimea came from Ukraine. The crisis has effectively stemmed the flow of tourism."


http://imrussia.org/en/russia-and-the-world/790
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on August 22, 2014, 04:19:34 PM

 Yes it appears it was a deadly day for the Ukrainian's today.  I don't think they are going to win this militarily, so they better get to the table and try to end the bloodshed, because that is THE ONLY WAY the fighting and deaths have a real hope of ending!   


 
 
http://online.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-suffers-heavy-losses-in-counterattack-by-pro-russia-rebels-1408626401?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp (http://online.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-suffers-heavy-losses-in-counterattack-by-pro-russia-rebels-1408626401?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp)
 
 
quote from article:
"Losses have mounted recently, adding more pressure on Kiev to seek a compromise at peace talks next week in the Belarusian capital of Minsk, where Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and Russian leader Vladimir Putin are scheduled to meet face-to-face for the first time in two months."






 According to the article the two leaders will be meeting shortly...we shall see if they hammer out a deal this time that allows both sides to walk away with something positive.


Fathertime!


Yo, Mr. WinWin, maybe the heavy loses are attributed to some (http://online.wsj.com/articles/russia-accuses-kiev-of-deliberately-halting-humanitarian-aid-convoy-1408697601?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories) foreign sources.


Also notice it is the same news source you cited.


Your nose cannot be that long.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JohnDearGreen on August 22, 2014, 05:22:47 PM
maybe the heavy loses are attributed to some (http://online.wsj.com/articles/russia-accuses-kiev-of-deliberately-halting-humanitarian-aid-convoy-1408697601?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories) foreign sources.
As I read, three battalions were supposed to move in toward Donetsk.  Two of them chickened out and stayed back, resulting in major losses to the third.   Ukraine news sites seem to avoid reporting some of the bad news.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on August 22, 2014, 11:37:53 PM

 Yes it appears it was a deadly day for the Ukrainian's today.  I don't think they are going to win this militarily, so they better get to the table and try to end the bloodshed, because that is THE ONLY WAY the fighting and deaths have a real hope of ending!   


 
 
http://online.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-suffers-heavy-losses-in-counterattack-by-pro-russia-rebels-1408626401?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp (http://online.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-suffers-heavy-losses-in-counterattack-by-pro-russia-rebels-1408626401?ru=yahoo?mod=yahoo_itp)
 
 
quote from article:
"Losses have mounted recently, adding more pressure on Kiev to seek a compromise at peace talks next week in the Belarusian capital of Minsk, where Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and Russian leader Vladimir Putin are scheduled to meet face-to-face for the first time in two months."






 According to the article the two leaders will be meeting shortly...we shall see if they hammer out a deal this time that allows both sides to walk away with something positive.




Fathertime!




The Ukrainian army has captured almost all of the territory the Muscovite supported rebels held.  So, unless Moscow starts rearming the terrorists, Ukraine will, in fact, restore its territory.


The issue will be reconciliation and rebuilding these areas after the fact, 


On a positive note, Ukraine's trade balance is in surplus, which was unexpected after Russia banned most Ukrainian products.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on August 23, 2014, 06:15:07 AM
Don't be too impressed with a positive balance of trade.  Not too much is being imported to Ukraine.  With the currency trading so poorly, nothing of value can be purchased.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on August 24, 2014, 08:37:19 AM
What you say is true but such currency conditions make it ideal for manufacturing and for the crazy brave tourism
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on August 24, 2014, 08:52:34 AM
The words ALMOST and UNLESS loom very large in your statements. I really don't see this ending unless Russia wants it to end. When the two leaders meet this week maybe they can find a solution this time that both countries will decide to live with.

Fathertime!


The Ukrainian army has captured almost all of the territory the Muscovite supported rebels held.  So, unless Moscow starts rearming the terrorists, Ukraine will, in fact, restore its territory.


The issue will be reconciliation and rebuilding these areas after the fact, 


On a positive note, Ukraine's trade balance is in surplus, which was unexpected after Russia banned most Ukrainian products.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 06, 2014, 01:38:32 PM
Not the future of Ukraine, but of the terrorist controlled regions -


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/05/world/europe/rebels-in-eastern-ukraine-dream-of-reviving-soviet-heyday.html?_r=0


I am not at all surprised by the nostalgia for the past, or the neanderthal thinking (and I use the term "thinking" in its broadest sense) of the terrorists or their supporters.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on October 06, 2014, 01:46:06 PM
Not the future of Ukraine, but of the terrorist controlled regions -


http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/05/world/europe/rebels-in-eastern-ukraine-dream-of-reviving-soviet-heyday.html?_r=0


I am not at all surprised by the nostalgia for the past, or the neanderthal thinking (and I use the term "thinking" in its broadest sense) of the terrorists or their supporters.

Considering that some if not many of these so called "separatists" are war criminals from Chechnya, that's an excellent way to describe it.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 06, 2014, 03:26:40 PM
Anyone in contact with people in the occupied zones?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 10, 2014, 01:45:02 AM
This is one of the more difficult areas ( another one) to deal with. On the surface it seems anti -democratic in principle-- but look at a few example of why such a law is needed.
When Russia invaded Crimea-the military was paralysed by mixed loyalties. The security forces have leaked like a sieve thru confused allegiances.Police forces failed to respond thru confusion.It goes on and on thru the entire Ukrainian system.It in fact--reflected the mixed emotions many had in relation to Russia.
In the last year the major shift to Ukrainian nationalism was created,followed and promoted by those NOT in the system ( by & large)-- and those that demanded change. I do not see the law as anti-Russian as such-- but as  a means of removing those who are not prepared to give Ukraine absolute  unequivocal loyalty .
Also up to be examined--is the past corrupt practices of the regime and their servants.
The message is clear in the legislation-things will change.To often I keep hearing here about the past-- take notice of what the new broom is attempting to do.


Ukraine could sack up to million officials with ties to Russian past


Kiev (AFP) - Ukraine's president approved a disputed anti-graft measure on Thursday that could see up to a million civil servants with alleged links to past Soviet or pro-Russian governments immediately sacked.

The so-called "lustration law" follows the example of other eastern European nations that broke free of decades of Moscow's domination at the end of the Cold War.

It was also a rallying cry of the protests that convulsed Kiev last winter and led to the ouster of pro-Russian president Viktor Yanukovych and a secretive band of Ukrainian tycoons.

The law removes anyone who held a federal or regional government position for more than a year under Yanukovych, who is now in self-imposed exile in Russia.

It also sets up a special commission to investigate judges and law enforcement agents suspected of living lavish lifestyles on humble government wages.

Another provision prevents anyone unable to explain their sources of income or assets from holding office for five to 10 years.

View galleryUkrainian President Petro Poroshenko gestures as he&nbsp;&hellip;
Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko gestures as he answers questions during a press conference in K …
Lawmakers' initial failure to adopt the legislation last month sparked violent protests outside parliament that engulfed the building in the black smoke of burning tyres and brought riot police out on the streets.

The bill itself says it was drafted to help "restore trust in the authorities and create a new system of government that corresponds to European standards".

"This is a historic day for Ukraine," President Petro Poroshenko posted on his Facebook account.

"The state machine will be cleansed. Glory to Ukraine!"

- Way to settle scores? -

View galleryPro-Russian separatist soldiers take a break in Donetsk,&nbsp;&hellip;
Pro-Russian separatist soldiers take a break in Donetsk, where fighting continues between Ukrainian  …
But the legislation has been bitterly fought by lawmakers representing Russian-speaking eastern regions -- the powerbase of the former regime and now partially controlled by separatist rebels.

Its legality has also been questioned by the Council of Europe and business leaders who fear it will lead to a damaging exodus of competent bureaucrats.

Even the president's own special representative on children's issues complained that it "violates basic rights and freedoms of citizens, is anti-constitutional and does not correspond to European judicial procedures or standards."

"It provides a way to settle scores with your (political) opponents," children's ombudsman Yuriy Pavlenko wrote on his Facebook account.

Other clauses in the law bar anyone found guilty of backing separatist causes and anyone who worked as a prosecutor or held a top office when state agents shot dead nearly 100 protesters during the Kiev unrest.

View galleryMembers of a pro-Ukrainian regiment near Mariupol city,&nbsp;&hellip;
Members of a pro-Ukrainian regiment near Mariupol city, October 9, 2014. The conflict has created hu …
The commission can additionally probe civil servants' links to the Soviet-era secret service and Communist Party.

The measures have already prompted the resignation of two top finance and economy ministry officials who are respected by the business community but were hired during Yanukovych's 2010-2014 presidency.

A succession of recent governments have been riven by squabbles and business clan rivalries that stalled the adoption of crucial economic restructuring measures and left the country nearly bankrupt and dependent on foreign help.

Yanukovych and his allies were accused of persecuting their predecessors and jailing former prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko for political reasons.

Communist Party leader Petro Symonenko -- his post-Soviet group facing a nationwide ban in court -- said the law "subjects almost any civil servant to repression".
http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-could-sack-million-officials-ties-russian-past-231947924.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 10, 2014, 03:08:37 AM
The funny thing is that they seem to be doing what they accuse others of.
Replacing anyone who does not follow the ideology of the government does seem a bit Stalinistic.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 10, 2014, 03:47:30 AM
Stalin didn't sack those who were disloyal to him.  He killed people that were innocent in order to compell the disloyal to obey.

I wish we had such laws in America.  In all honesty a 1m civil servants in a nation of 45 million is too many.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 10, 2014, 06:04:48 AM
The funny thing is that they seem to be doing what they accuse others of.
Replacing anyone who does not follow the ideology of the government does seem a bit Stalinistic.


That is the way I see it too.


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ghost of moon goddess on October 10, 2014, 06:07:48 AM

Replacing anyone who does not follow the ideology of the government does seem a bit Stalinistic.


The wrong thing to worry about!
They will try to worm their way into Parliament again, by hook or by crook. I suspect they would fold ''residues'' of their consciences into fourths, if they thought this would help to get them into small drop slots of ballot boxes  >:(
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 10, 2014, 05:22:52 PM
The funny thing is that they seem to be doing what they accuse others of.
Replacing anyone who does not follow the ideology of the government does seem a bit Stalinistic.

No--that is not what it is about.To explain it for you in simple terms--it is about loyalty to their country and employer  -- and not a foreign invader rejected by the huge majority.
In theory--it is a reasonable expectation.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 10, 2014, 07:12:03 PM
Communism still has devotees in the West Jay.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 10, 2014, 07:46:31 PM
Communism still has devotees in the West Jay.

Having beliefs is not illegal in democracies-the freedom to have them is fundamental.That is quite different to actively working against your employers interests by disclosing what should be confidentail information.
In times of a crisis--like a war!-- different standards need to  be applied. In Ukraine's case where much of government structure was created in the Soviet days there will still be  a lot of cross polinisation because of that,
Incidentally--that does work 2 ways -the flow of information to the security forces and military from Russia has been solid-- but governments need a degree of confidentiality in the decision making process- and the ability to disclose on their own terms.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 10, 2014, 08:43:38 PM
The enemy of freedom has always been moral decadence since in the beginning!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 11, 2014, 03:10:15 AM
No--that is not what it is about.To explain it for you in simple terms--it is about loyalty to their country and employer  -- and not a foreign invader rejected by the huge majority.
In theory--it is a reasonable expectation.
The sheer concept of someone being born in a country and having obtained a government job in the past now seen as a foreign invader shows the exact opposite.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 11, 2014, 03:11:11 AM
The enemy of freedom has always been moral decadence since in the beginning!
The real enemy of freedom are those who proclaim there is a need to limit it in order to have it.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 11, 2014, 06:59:56 AM
The real enemy of freedom are those who proclaim there is a need to limit it in order to have it.

You sound like the tree dweller in Genesis 3:5.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 11, 2014, 08:40:19 AM
The sheer concept of someone being born in a country and having obtained a government job in the past now seen as a foreign invader shows the exact opposite.

I thought a man like you renounced such subscriptions to jingoism.  Funny how politics makes   a Janus out of some.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 12, 2014, 02:40:34 AM
I thought a man like you renounced such subscriptions to jingoism.  Funny how politics makes   a Janus out of some.
I am merely pointing out that some decisions seem to be totalitarian in nature.
I am sure that if Putin would decide to fire any government official with a name ending in -ko you would be screaming about it, yet if Kiev suggests it then it is fine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 12, 2014, 01:25:53 PM
But Kyiv is not firing individuals based on the ethnic origin of their surnames. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 12, 2014, 01:29:47 PM
But Kyiv is not firing individuals based on the ethnic origin of their surnames.
They are firing them on their ethnic orientation.
Which goes even beyond just the name being suspicious.
Dutch reporters describe a situation in Ukraine that is an awful lot like we were told happened in Soviet times, where people are afraid to express any opinion on the street due to fear of repercussions. And these reporters are not in the 'unsafe' Donbass area.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 12, 2014, 01:38:18 PM
Well, my apolitical relatives in Kyiv, who all have Russian surnames, have zero fear in expressing their opinions, and have not since the collapse.  Nor do my relatives in Western Ukraine.


The lustration law is not targeting a specific ethnicity.  In addition to banning from office anyone who served in Yanukovych's regime who has left the country, it will also ban anyone who cannot prove from whence they acquired large amounts of cash.  This is not an ethnic test.


Judges and law enforcement officials living lavish lifestyles will be subject to investigation.  Given that the most ruthless scandals of robbery and human trafficking in Ukraine have almost all involved police officers (usually higher ranks), I believe this is something that should have been done a decade ago.












Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on October 12, 2014, 01:44:37 PM
Well, my apolitical relatives in Kyiv, who all have Russian surnames, have zero fear in expressing their opinions, and have not since the collapse.  Nor do my relatives in Western Ukraine.


The lustration law is not targeting a specific ethnicity.  In addition to banning from office anyone who served in Yanukovych's regime who has left the country, it will also ban anyone who cannot prove from whence they acquired large amounts of cash.  This is not an ethnic test.


Judges and law enforcement officials living lavish lifestyles will be subject to investigation.  Given that the most ruthless scandals of robbery and human trafficking in Ukraine have almost all involved police officers (usually higher ranks), I believe this is something that should have been done a decade ago.
If the law is limited to what you state here I can only agree on it. If it is used to ban those who have remained in service but might still vote for 'blue' it is a very different matter. I hope we agree on that.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 12, 2014, 01:52:43 PM
Then we agree.

I don't think the law is intended to prohibit anyone from the Party of Regions from holding office.  It is intended to weed out corruption. 

My husband has a relative through marriage who laundered money for Our Ukraine.  He also purchased an entire Kyiv block of apartments with stolen money.  He fled after a warrant for his arrest was issued during the Yanukovych presidency.  I am fairly certain he is hiding out in Astana.  But, it has been the last Rada, after Euromaidan, that confiscated his ill gotten properties.  He is still hiding out.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on October 12, 2014, 02:21:14 PM
They are firing them on their ethnic orientation.
Which goes even beyond just the name being suspicious.
Dutch reporters describe a situation in Ukraine that is an awful lot like we were told happened in Soviet times, where people are afraid to express any opinion on the street due to fear of repercussions. And these reporters are not in the 'unsafe' Donbass area.

I guess I would be leery of your Dutch reporters.  I have not heard or seen anything about this.
Are you talking about lustration or something independent of that?

Who is getting 'fired' from what job?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 12, 2014, 05:10:15 PM
I am merely pointing out that some decisions seem to be totalitarian in nature.
I am sure that if Putin would decide to fire any government official with a name ending in -ko you would be screaming about it, yet if Kiev suggests it then it is fine.

Instead of accusing me of what I might do.  Accuse me of what I have done.  It would make you seem less Soviet and more human.  Thanks Dutch
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 14, 2014, 12:36:13 PM
The "people's republics" have not yet even chosen leaders, and the infighting is already in full swing.  Today, another self appointed "leader" was attacked.


http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-29593949
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future...Hunter Biden Cocaine use gets him the boot.
Post by: fathertime on October 16, 2014, 08:27:56 PM
Well I came across a little article here about Hunter Biden, who is serving on the largest private Ukrainian gas board...LEGAL DIVISION.......that is an interesting choice since he was tossed from the Navy for cocaine use LAST YEAR!! A highly illegal and questionable act, especially for a 44 year old.  How the hell is he on a legal team in Ukraine?  Were the Ukrainians aware of his history?  It would seem to me that this guy is NOT the guy to be in charge of a LEGAL team. 


http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/16/politics/hunter-biden-discharged-from-navy/index.html?hpt=hp_t2 (http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/16/politics/hunter-biden-discharged-from-navy/index.html?hpt=hp_t2)


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 25, 2014, 10:04:46 AM
I found this rather dismal assessment of what the future of Ukraine might be if the direction doesn't change.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/barry-d-wood/ukraines-uncertain-future_b_6044834.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592 (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/barry-d-wood/ukraines-uncertain-future_b_6044834.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592)


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 25, 2014, 10:59:24 AM
I found this rather dismal assessment of what the future of Ukraine might be if the direction doesn't change.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/barry-d-wood/ukraines-uncertain-future_b_6044834.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592 (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/barry-d-wood/ukraines-uncertain-future_b_6044834.html?ncid=txtlnkusaolp00000592)


Fathertime!


LMFAO


I could imagine you responding to the revolutionaries back in the eighteenth century America that they should forget their inane revolt and accept the win-win reality King George was offering, WHICH WAS NONE!


Do you have a yellow streak running down your spine, or was that inherited?


I read the whole article and the author did not augur doom and gloom. What she said is things are going to be difficult. I can see you don't like to work hard. Or are you on the Kremlin's payroll?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 25, 2014, 11:31:12 AM

LMFAO


I could imagine you responding to the revolutionaries back in the eighteenth century America that they should forget their inane revolt and accept the win-win reality King George was offering, WHICH WAS NONE!


Do you have a yellow streak running down your spine, or was that inherited?


I read the whole article and the author did not augur doom and gloom. What she said is things are going to be difficult. I can see you don't like to work hard. Or are you on the Kremlin's payroll?


It seems to me that you aren't reading very good...overall there was a lot of 'gloom and doom' in that article.


  I don't see you as being 'brave'  because you are commending Ukrainians to fight, while I say that will not help and lead to much more of their own deaths.  Have you always been so foolish and 'brave', when it comes to other people's lives? 


It is a little humorous that any statement or link that goes contrary to the silly narrative you attempt to push is 'Russian propaganda'.  There remains 2 sides to the story, whether you like it or not! Those that refuse to acknowledge that will always be a part of the problem. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 25, 2014, 11:28:35 PM
JayH, as a member of the Poroshenko government, can you confirm or deny US personnel involved in Ukraine's resupply or training outside declared NATO exercises?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 25, 2014, 11:41:17 PM
JayH, as a member of the Poroshenko government, can you confirm or deny US personnel involved in Ukraine's resupply or training outside declared NATO exercises?

No idea  LT  !! Maybe they are on vacation using the same GPS as the Russians in the east on "vacation" !!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on October 25, 2014, 11:43:43 PM
JayH, as a member of the Poroshenko government, can you confirm or deny US personnel involved in Ukraine's resupply or training outside declared NATO exercises?

 #1 Where do you get the idea that JayH is a member of the UA Government?

 He's an Ozzie not a Ukie..
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 26, 2014, 02:15:01 AM

It is a little humorous that any statement or link that goes contrary to the silly narrative you attempt to push is 'Russian propaganda'.  There remains 2 sides to the story, whether you like it or not! Those that refuse to acknowledge that will always be a part of the problem. 


Fathertime!


Comrade, me thinks you should be ingesting the same medicine, which by the way, is very sound. If only you would do as you say.


Anyway, I'm not being foolish or bravely with other's people lives. There is a time when people has to stand up against the invader of YOUR country and fight for what is yours. I told the same to my gong-ho son when he went overseas; most of these people are fighting in their home land.


Now, I can see you running towards the invader with roses in your arms and lips puckered.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 26, 2014, 02:17:47 AM
#1 Where do you get the idea that JayH is a member of the UA Government?

 He's an Ozzie not a Ukie..


Oh for heavens sake, don't you know by now this guy makes no sense at all?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 06:11:44 AM
No idea  LT  !! Maybe they are on vacation using the same GPS as the Russians in the east on "vacation" !!

No idea huh? 

OK.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 06:17:12 AM
#1 Where do you get the idea that JayH is a member of the UA Government?

 He's an Ozzie not a Ukie..

From the Australian JayH . . .

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Doll on October 26, 2014, 10:49:19 AM
Quote

In order to resolve the gas supply dispute between Russia and Ukraine, the EU will need to pay for Ukraine's outstanding gas invoices, an Austrian minister said Tuesday.
http://www.neurope.eu/article/eu-pay-ukraine-gas-debts-austrian-minister (http://www.neurope.eu/article/eu-pay-ukraine-gas-debts-austrian-minister)
(http://s015.radikal.ru/i333/1410/d4/cf2d2bae7596.jpg)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 26, 2014, 07:44:22 PM

Comrade, me thinks you should be ingesting the same medicine, which by the way, is very sound. If only you would do as you say.


Anyway, I'm not being foolish or bravely with other's people lives. There is a time when people has to stand up against the invader of YOUR country and fight for what is yours. I told the same to my gong-ho son when he went overseas; most of these people are fighting in their home land.


Now, I can see you running towards the invader with roses in your arms and lips puckered.


You have provided 2 options:
1. Go head to head against a vastly superior enemy.
2. Pucker up and kiss their feet.


There are other options that you are bypassing. 


If your son is overseas as a civilian I have no idea what this has to do with the conversation.  If he is in the military, it is a crappy position to be in, fighting on somebodies else's land 1000's of miles from home, with no real reason for an American to be there.  All in all, you are acting brave with other people's lives...if the Ukrainians WANT to fight Russia, they will do so, we don't have to incentivize them mainly for our own selfish purposes.   



Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Doll on October 26, 2014, 08:02:23 PM
Fathertime, :applaud:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on October 26, 2014, 08:23:02 PM
More Russian tourists headed home and looking forward to their new jobs... As worm food!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 26, 2014, 08:46:35 PM
I came across this short article on Aljazeera.  It states that the people in Slovyansk (a city of over 100,000) boycotted the election.   What makes this interesting is this city is being held by UKRAINE, not the separatists.  The article was rather incomplete so perhaps somebody has better or more complete information.   It does beg the question of how many other people/cities boycotted the election?  Does it matter?


http://www.aljazeera.com/video/europe/2014/10/ukraine-fails-win-over-slovyansk-residents-20141026142534738339.html (http://www.aljazeera.com/video/europe/2014/10/ukraine-fails-win-over-slovyansk-residents-20141026142534738339.html)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on October 26, 2014, 09:08:04 PM
I came across this short article on Aljazeera.  It states that the people in Slovyansk (a city of over 100,000) boycotted the election.   What makes this interesting is this city is being held by UKRAINE, not the separatists.  The article was rather incomplete so perhaps somebody has better or more complete information.   It does beg the question of how many other people/cities boycotted the election?  Does it matter?


http://www.aljazeera.com/video/europe/2014/10/ukraine-fails-win-over-slovyansk-residents-20141026142534738339.html (http://www.aljazeera.com/video/europe/2014/10/ukraine-fails-win-over-slovyansk-residents-20141026142534738339.html)


Fathertime!

No, it doesn't matter!  Your side lost the election.  Now live with it!!!!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 26, 2014, 09:09:28 PM
The "boycott" is because of terrorist disruption and violence/threats of violence.


http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 26, 2014, 09:16:58 PM
The "boycott" is because of terrorist disruption and violence/threats of violence.


http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/

Mrs B -you keep getting the actual factual reality getting in the way of propaganda nonsense.
Funny thing is the proponents of that nonsense never seem to accept the reality!!

As an aside--In the election it looks like over 75% have voted for new directions -and that is not saying others are opposed to them.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 26, 2014, 09:17:40 PM
No, it doesn't matter!  Your side lost the election.  Now live with it!!!!!
I'm not Ukrainian, I don't have a 'side' in the election.  One thing it seems to show is there remains a very real divide which continues to make running the country very very difficult. 




The "boycott" is because of terrorist disruption and violence/threats of violence.


http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/ (http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/)


Interesting, according to the link you provided, it appears there has been quite a bit of disruption, and Ukrainian soldier deaths in recent days outside of separatist controlled areas.   


Fathertime!


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on October 26, 2014, 09:17:53 PM
#1 Where do you get the idea that JayH is a member of the UA Government?

 He's an Ozzie not a Ukie..

True, however the past few months he has spent more time wondering around Ukraine than spent at home.    ;D

It's nice to get private reports from someone with 'boots on the ground' that knows what they are talking about.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on October 26, 2014, 09:32:28 PM
Interesting, according to the link you provided, it appears there has been quite a bit of disruption, and Ukrainian soldier deaths in recent days outside of separatist controlled areas.   

Fathertime!


There were disruptions all over Eastern Ukraine, including in non conflict areas.  There was a kidnapping of the head of a polling station in Luhansk, and the ballots were destroyed, voters were shot at by terrorists in Donetsk.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on October 26, 2014, 09:35:14 PM
Yes it is. From this side of the 'pond' all we can do is pray for our loved ones there and cross our fingers that the Huilonistas decide that they've caused enough death on Ukrainians and return to Russia.

 But soon I'll be on the ground there for a few months to check it out my self and lend a hand if possible. Now all I can do is donate towards the efforts of the UA Army.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 09:39:31 PM

You have provided 2 options:
1. Go head to head against a vastly superior enemy.
2. Pucker up and kiss their feet.


There are other options that you are bypassing. 


If your son is overseas as a civilian I have no idea what this has to do with the conversation.  If he is in the military, it is a crappy position to be in, fighting on somebodies else's land 1000's of miles from home, with no real reason for an American to be there.  All in all, you are acting brave with other people's lives...if the Ukrainians WANT to fight Russia, they will do so, we don't have to incentivize them mainly for our own selfish purposes.   



Fathertime!

Russia has more foreigners fighting on its side than Ukraine, do you condemn them with equal breathe?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 09:43:09 PM
Yes it is. From this side of the 'pond' all we can do is pray for our loved ones there and cross our fingers that the Huilonistas decide that they've caused enough death on Ukrainians and return to Russia.

 But soon I'll be on the ground there for a few months to check it out my self and lend a hand if possible. Now all I can do is donate towards the efforts of the UA Army.

Your prayers will go a lot further than you $$$ will.

War is the most expensive activity to be involved in.  If the West had any real leaders it would help subsidize those brave men fighting and dying over there.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on October 26, 2014, 09:45:31 PM
Your prayers will go a lot further than you $$$ will.

War is the most expensive activity to be involved in.  If the West had any real leaders it would help subsidize those brave men fighting and dying over there.

 :clapping:  And give them tanks, etc ASAP!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 26, 2014, 09:49:40 PM
Russia has more foreigners fighting on its side than Ukraine, do you condemn them with equal breathe?


No I don't think I would condemn them with equal breathe.  As you well know, I want US *the US* to keep our distance. That is where my own interests lie, as I have no allegiance to Ukraine/Russia....They gotta settle their own disputes without us making it worse. 


What foreign fighters are you referring to?


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 09:49:51 PM
Sierra Army Depot has 1000s. Gasparov is right.  We will arm ISIS but not Ukraine? WTheck?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 09:57:26 PM

No I don't think I would condemn them with equal breathe. 

 I have no allegiance to Ukraine/Russia....


What foreign fighters are you referring to?


Fathertime!
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2774542/Meet-Hunter-The-American-man-fighting-pro-Russian-rebels-Eastern-Ukraine-speaks-English-limited-understanding-political-conflict.html

This guy
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on October 26, 2014, 10:04:04 PM
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2774542/Meet-Hunter-The-American-man-fighting-pro-Russian-rebels-Eastern-Ukraine-speaks-English-limited-understanding-political-conflict.html (http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2774542/Meet-Hunter-The-American-man-fighting-pro-Russian-rebels-Eastern-Ukraine-speaks-English-limited-understanding-political-conflict.html)

This guy


The USA can't always control what individual citizens choose to do.  There is probably US citizens fighting on both sides of the Ukrainian  conflict.  So long as we are not paying them to be there, that is something that happens.  We *the US* probably have citizens fighting on every side in Syria too.  We can't stop individuals from fighting for the cause they believe in. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on October 26, 2014, 10:05:13 PM

Mrs B -you keep getting the actual factual reality getting in the way of propaganda nonsense.
Funny thing is the proponents of that nonsense never seem to accept the reality!!

As an aside--In the election it looks like over 75% have voted for new directions -and that is not saying others are opposed to them.

More confused hot air.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 10:21:12 PM

The USA can't always control what individual citizens choose to do.  There is probably US citizens fighting on both sides of the Ukrainian  conflict.  So long as we are not paying them to be there, that is something that happens.  We *the US* probably have citizens fighting on every side in Syria too.  We can't stop individuals from fighting for the cause they believe in. 


Fathertime!

Thanks for the laugh, FT.  Please run for President
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 26, 2014, 10:52:48 PM
More confused hot air.

You do know this is trolling?

Even more amazing is you really do not connect the dots ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 11:06:13 PM
And you are running down my country Hoss!  You are walking on the fighting side of me.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on October 26, 2014, 11:09:44 PM
You do know this is trolling?

Even more amazing is you really do not connect the dots ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 26, 2014, 11:17:32 PM
Whatever goodwill you created with your zeal for Maidan, you are eroding with pettiness and tactlessness.  But hey, if you never make mistakes, all of us who would normally agree with you must obviously be wrong.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on October 26, 2014, 11:37:05 PM
PWD syndrome? :arguing:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 26, 2014, 11:43:54 PM
PWD syndrome? :arguing:


PWD GQ FT LT AC  :cluebat: :wallbash:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on October 27, 2014, 12:00:21 AM
PWD syndrome? :arguing:

Idk either
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 27, 2014, 01:11:50 AM
Fathertime, :applaud:


You mean "Otlichno Tovarish"
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 27, 2014, 01:17:48 AM

You have provided 2 options:
1. Go head to head against a vastly superior enemy.
2. Pucker up and kiss their feet.


There are other options that you are bypassing. 


If your son is overseas as a civilian I have no idea what this has to do with the conversation.  If he is in the military, it is a crappy position to be in, fighting on somebodies else's land 1000's of miles from home, with no real reason for an American to be there.  All in all, you are acting brave with other people's lives...if the Ukrainians WANT to fight Russia, they will do so, we don't have to incentivize them mainly for our own selfish purposes.   



Fathertime!


This just shows that for such an ample forehead, the grey matter is minimal.


Please, by all means keep showing us your:
a) limited mental capacity to grasp complex concepts
b) your alliance to Russia. Maybe a Russian babe in the future?


Heh heh heh
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on October 27, 2014, 01:19:10 AM
The "boycott" is because of terrorist disruption and violence/threats of violence.


http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/ (http://www.euronews.com/2014/05/23/election-boycott-in-eastern-ukraine/)


Please, Boe, use smaller words so he can understand.


Heh heh heh
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on November 06, 2014, 10:07:13 AM
There aren't a lot of Ladas on the road.  Food prices are cheap.  The civil servants still have a Soviet touch to them.  Despite its obvious problems this is looking like a European country.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 06, 2014, 11:01:15 AM
At least it looks like it until you get out of the big cities.  Grab a bus and wander thru some of the smaller villages and see what life under the USSR was like. It's still grim but getting better.

 In 2003 when I first went to UA a town of 300K lacked streetlights in most areas and manhole covers had been stolen for scrap metal. Branches and limbs were stuffed in the holes to warn off drivers.
 It's vastly improved since then.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on November 06, 2014, 02:51:50 PM
I am in Bila Tserkva
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on November 06, 2014, 03:01:58 PM
I am in Bila Tserkva


Now, who really cares?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 06, 2014, 03:32:23 PM
I have a grandson that lives there.  :D Not a bad town from what I've briefly seen.
Fraucha also lives there.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on November 06, 2014, 05:04:33 PM
Really?  Wow.  Small world.

Thanks for that.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on November 06, 2014, 06:20:24 PM
Forbes article about what is expected from the USA new Congress for Ukriane.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/11/06/what-can-a-republican-senate-majority-do-for-ukraine/


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on November 06, 2014, 08:35:32 PM
Thanks for that link Doug.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 21, 2014, 02:11:47 AM

Five parties have signed a coalition agreement: the main points
11.21.2014 2:24Print
Ukraine will eliminate non-aligned status and will integrate into NATO and the EU. Five parties have agreed to the Verkhovna Rada and signed a coalition agreement

<a href="http://liga.net/">Источник</a>



http://news.liga.net/news/politics/4136000-pyat_partiy_podpisali_koalitsionnoe_soglashenie_osnovnye_punkty.htm

Block Poroshenko, the Popular Front, Samopomich, the Radical Party and Fatherland tonight agreed position and signed the coalition agreement. About this  LigaBusinessInform  said a source in the parliament.

As said the source, the main points of the agreement: the newly elected MPs abolished parliamentary immunity. There will also be worked out and approved by the impeachment of the president. Another point of agreement - the integration into the European Union and the implementation of all the items of the association agreement on the way.

Also, all five members of the coalition parties-documented that non-aligned status of Ukraine abolished. Instead, according to the agreement, the entry into the NATO alliance will now aim Ukraine.

<a href="http://liga.net/">Источник</a>
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 21, 2014, 11:17:12 AM
The shiat just hit the fan. (For the short term.)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 21, 2014, 11:44:24 AM
Here it is in real English so you can actually read and understand what they are saying:


excerpt
Sobolev: Coalition agreement contains prospect of Ukraine's accession to NATO


Ukraine's parliamentary parties initial coalition agreement

"Ukraine will cancel its non-aligned status and resume integration with NATO as part of measures to reform its national security and defense system, as is evident from a draft Ukrainian parliamentary coalition agreement initialed by its future members.

The future coalition plans "to draw up and make amendments to Ukraine's laws on foundations of domestic and foreign policy and foundations of national security, envisioning, inter alia, the cancellation of Ukraine's non-aligned status, the resumption of a political course toward integration into the Euro-Atlantic security space, and acquisition of North-Atlantic Treaty Organization membership," says the draft coalition agreement posted on the Samopomich party's website on Friday.

Among measures to reform the national security and defense system, Ukraine should pass new versions of the National Security Strategy and Military Strategy, taking into account changes in the military-political situation surrounding Ukraine, the document says.

"Among other things, the Military Doctrine shall contain the term 'potential enemy' and clearly determine criteria for recognizing a certain state or a group of states as a potential enemy," it says.

In addition, the future coalition members listed the reestablishment of Ukraine's national sovereignty over Crimea among the strategic goals of Ukraine's foreign and domestic policy."


http://www.kyivpost.com/content/politics/ukrainian-coalition-plans-to-cancel-non-aligned-status-seek-nato-membership-agreement-372707.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 21, 2014, 12:06:53 PM
Yep, 'Mother Russia' is going to be very PO'd at the gall of these upstart serfs to contravene their wishes!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on November 21, 2014, 01:01:43 PM
Forbes article about what is expected from the USA new Congress for Ukriane.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2014/11/06/what-can-a-republican-senate-majority-do-for-ukraine/

Like I said before....

"they" write what they want you to see
"they" say what they want you to hear.....

Forbes is written with a right-wing slang...but before you respond...it goes both ways. I try to look at things with my rose colored glasses on...and off.
If I can also look into a crystal ball.......who knows what can escalate with US directly involved in Ukraine. Be careful what you set out to do, it usually affects what is not intended.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on November 23, 2014, 07:13:56 PM
After reading some of the material, here, regarding the elections and the new direction that the Rada will be taking, it is absolutely astounding that the Russians could not figure out ahead of time the direction that the new Ukraine would take.

Anyone, with a look at demographics, could figure out that without Crimea or Lugansk and Donetsk, it would be impossible to effect a return to Russian influenced politics in the country.  I know we said this at the time of the Little Green Men invasion of Crimea, but the bulk of Yanukovic's party block was located in these two regions.  Accordingly, the voters in the most recent election were heavily skewed away from the normative voting for Ukraine and towards a Euromaidan solution. 

Coupled with the lack of Russian national support voters, every Ukrainian knows that Russia is the aggressor with respect to territorial integrity.  As much as Russia (through the strategy of its leaders) is now polarized to a nationalistic tendency, Ukraine is even more polarized - for self survival. 

I have talked to many Russians and none of them seem to grasp this elementary model of political activism. 

I also believe that Russia, i.e. Putin and his cronies, had absolutely no clue as to how polarized Europe would become against Russia.  I believe that they thought that the occupied Eastern territories of Ukraine would rise up as a group and wish to join Russia, and that they all though that the assimilation would be done in three or four months. 

I don't know if you all remember, but we had a contributor here from Crimea who said as much.  She said "In six months, Ukraine will not even exist any more."

I think it is interesting to note that the effect Russia sought, to separate Ukraine into two segments, South and East vs. North and West, through nationalism with Russia, has had exactly the opposite effect intended.  Russia should either complete their land bridge to Crimea (which now seems out of the question as the Sea of Azov is now or almost frozen) and unify the section of Novorussia (or whatever it is called) or pull out.  Because the longer Russia remains, the more unified Ukraine will become and the more outspoken the European leaders will become as alternative means of energy become available.

While Russia may believe it was goaded into attacking Ukraine, the end game is already playing out and a huge bear trap lies in the forest ahead.  I don't think it can be avoided.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on November 23, 2014, 11:00:04 PM
If what you say is true, and I think it is.  What is Russia's future?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 23, 2014, 11:41:11 PM
The extent of Russia's future problems will be dictated by the level of brinkmanship that Putin takes in the immediate future.I believe he has already overplayed his hand-- and a military setback in Ukraine now will be the start of a extensive Russian reverse.Even a protracted war will work for Ukraine-not Russia. Returning the Crimea and eastern Ukraine-- and paying reparations will break Russia economically and the internal political fallout will be massive.
That is all sometime in the future--right now my concern is to see Ukraine survive the crisis confronting it and create a future for itself--free of Russia and Russian interference.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 12:08:42 AM
If the link you posted in the other thread is right Russia is within a year or so of some serious problems I'd say.
 A dying animal is dangerous.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on November 24, 2014, 03:35:22 PM
If the link you posted in the other thread is right Russia is within a year or so of some serious problems I'd say.
 A dying animal is dangerous.

I believe it will take a couple years before it becomes serious and only if the current trend stays.

But it will be less than 1 year before Ukraine's economy will collapse without some major financial injections.
I was told the other day the hryvnia was up to 17.1 to USD and climbing...... there is NO money to be able to fight anyone. Does anyone have any idea what the Ukrainian army looks like? More volunteers than regular's and you have to supply your own equipment. And winter is coming.....
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 03:44:47 PM
No currently it's showing 15.07 to 1 USD. Not good by any means for sure.

 But the ruble is in as bad or slightly worse shape AND no one will loan them money due to the sanctions.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on November 24, 2014, 03:48:19 PM
No currently it's showing 15.07 to 1 USD. Not good by any means for sure.

 But the ruble is in as bad or slightly worse shape AND no one will loan them money due to the sanctions.

I am speaking of an actual transaction a couple days ago. Not from some exchange site.

You are right about the ruble.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 03:58:04 PM
I'll post my own rates in a week or so.

 That 15/1 should be pretty close to the official rate. More can be had with the black market. But I avoid that personally.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 24, 2014, 04:27:19 PM
Given that  Ukraine has been through turmoil-- in every way and is currently under attack -- the currency has probably fared better than expected.No one is in denial about the crisis Ukraine faces.
On the other hand-- a supposedly strong Russian economy brimming with "assets" is on the brink of collapse.

Any attempt to compare is grossly unfair to Ukraine in the current situation.

Look at it this way--  the best is ahead of Ukraine-- and for the foreseeable future Russia's best is behind it!! :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: sleepycat on November 24, 2014, 04:42:07 PM
and for the foreseeable future Russia's best is behind it!! :)

Doll will probably differ you on that!  :naughty:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 04:52:55 PM
Ruble 45/1

Hyrvnia 15/1

Hmmmm

Simple figures for her..

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 24, 2014, 05:07:18 PM
Ruble 45/1

Hyrvnia 15/1

Hmmmm

Simple figures for her..

Maybe - but when I was last there, the Hryvnia was worth 4 roubles (8 v 32 against the dollar).  Now it's only three.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 24, 2014, 05:29:20 PM
Ukraine is in deep trouble, the government has about 3 billion in foreign exchange and about another billion in gold.  The reason the Hyrvnia is so low, is the NBU can no longer afford to spend it’s precious foreign exchange to sell and buy Hyrvnia to prop up the price.  It appears that a good deal of the previous money that Ukraine borrowed from the IMF and elsewhere ended up in the off-shore accounts of Yanukovych’s “family” and was then hastily transferred to Russia.
However, the people of Ukraine are on the hook to pay it back, I’m not sure how they’ll do it.  Meanwhile Lugansk and Donetsk oblasts are in ruins, and as a result Ukraine now has to import coal, which was revealed in yet another oligarch scam recently.  Look at a map, you’ll see that the war is currently being pursued in Lugansk and Donetsk, Putin needs to secure these two oblasts and then extend south west into Zaporoshie oblast and he will then have a land bridge from Russia to Crimea.  Will he stop there?  Or will he keep going West and secure Odessa as well, and cut Ukraine off completely from the Black Sea, will he stop there or will he keep going even further West to connect everything together in Transistria?  Meanwhile the volunteers doing the fighting for Ukraine in Eastern Ukraine (who must supply their own equipment and transport) have become deeply distrustful of the government in Kiev and military commanders, and of all oligarchs, the country is fracturing everywhere, not just in Eastern Ukraine, winter is fast approaching and already people are starving in Eastern Ukraine, how far will it go? In Kiev, I have seen “elitny” houses that two years ago cost $800,000 to $1,000,000 now have a “suggested” price of $250,000, that tells you something...  Whatever eventually happens, and all “falling objects” eventually stop when they hit the ground, the Ukraine a year from now, will likely be very different from the Ukraine it is today.  History is repeating itself in Ukraine, who wants to die or make sacrifices for Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 05:43:28 PM
Ukraine is in deep trouble, the government has about 3 billion in foreign exchange and about another billion in gold.  The reason the Hyrvnia is so low, is the NBU can no longer afford to spend it’s precious foreign exchange to sell and buy Hyrvnia to prop up the price.  It appears that a good deal of the previous money that Ukraine borrowed from the IMF and elsewhere ended up in the off-shore accounts of Yanukovych’s “family” and was then hastily transferred to Russia.
However, the people of Ukraine are on the hook to pay it back, I’m not sure how they’ll do it.  Meanwhile Lugansk and Donetsk oblasts are in ruins, and as a result Ukraine now has to import coal, which was revealed in yet another oligarch scam recently.  Look at a map, you’ll see that the war is currently being pursued in Lugansk and Donetsk, Putin needs to secure these two oblasts and then extend south west into Zaporoshie oblast and he will then have a land bridge from Russia to Crimea.  Will he stop there?  Or will he keep going West and secure Odessa as well, and cut Ukraine off completely from the Black Sea, will he stop there or will he keep going even further West to connect everything together in Transistria?  Meanwhile the volunteers doing the fighting for Ukraine in Eastern Ukraine (who must supply their own equipment and transport) have become deeply distrustful of the government in Kiev and military commanders, and of all oligarchs, the country is fracturing everywhere, not just in Eastern Ukraine, winter is fast approaching and already people are starving in Eastern Ukraine, how far will it go? In Kiev, I have seen “elitny” houses that two years ago cost $800,000 to $1,000,000 now have a “suggested” price of $250,000, that tells you something...  Whatever eventually happens, and all “falling objects” eventually stop when they hit the ground, the Ukraine a year from now, will likely be very different from the Ukraine it is today.  History is repeating itself in Ukraine, who wants to die or make sacrifices for Ukraine?

Really?

 Care to cite the source of those figures?

Do these numbers look a bit different?




Ukrainian Gold

Ukraine increased gold holdings in all but three years over the past two decades, the IMF data show. It last sold the metal in May after holding a record 42.9 tons in April. The amount it now owns would account for about 0.1 percent of global central bank reserves, according to IMF data.

Gold had accounted for about 9.6 percent of Ukraine’s total foreign reserves, according to latest data from the gold council. That was almost the same for Russia and compares with about 70 percent for the U.S. and Germany, the biggest bullion holders, the data show.

Ukraine’s total foreign-currency reserves plunged to $12.6 billion in October, the lowest level since March 2005, the central bank said Nov. 7. Authorities helped state-owned NAK Naftogaz Ukrainy repay a Eurobond and also helped finance natural gas imports from the EU.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-21/gold-holdings-in-ukraine-slump-amid-conflict-in-eastern-regions.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on November 24, 2014, 05:55:13 PM
Given that  Ukraine has been through turmoil-- in every way and is currently under attack -- the currency has probably fared better than expected.No one is in denial about the crisis Ukraine faces.
On the other hand-- a supposedly strong Russian economy brimming with "assets" is on the brink of collapse.

Any attempt to compare is grossly unfair to Ukraine in the current situation.

Look at it this way--  the best is ahead of Ukraine-- and for the foreseeable future Russia's best is behind it!! :)


This is ridiculous 'Happy talk'!  The future is uncertain for both countries at this point.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 24, 2014, 06:05:37 PM
actually, the babooshka on the corner has more gold in her teeth then are stored in the vaults of the NBU, you think the "family" was going to leave the gold there?
use google, sample here:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-24/ukraine-central-bank-admits-gold-outflow-calls-it-optimization-reserve-structure

Ukraine's so called "foreign reserves" are a freakin' joke, more than 80% of these so-called foreign reserves consist of "securities", Ukraine refuses to answer what these securities are exactly, they may be Ukraine issued bonds denominated in dollars or "Euro-bonds" issued by government entities like NaftyGaz that are nearly worthless, actual cash is just about 3 billion.

And you can take this information to the bank and cash it!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 24, 2014, 06:11:17 PM
No where in your link di I see anything about 3 billion in foreign exchange and about another billion in gold. Did I miss it?

 We all know that UA is in dire straits now, but your numbers show it's already time to dig the grave.
Title: Territorial integrity can not be subject to political or economic bargaining.
Post by: JayH on November 25, 2014, 02:14:24 AM
Taruta said that the government must regain control of Crimea and Donbas "at all costs"


Territorial integrity can not be subject to political or economic bargainin
g..
Sergei Taruta /
Taruta said that for every Ukrainian country must fight to the end /
In war the government is faced with a dilemma: what is more valuable resource - people or territory ? And honest conversation about this should be the beginning of a national dialogue about the future of Ukraine, says ex-governor of the Donetsk region, now MP Serhiy Taruta, reports The Mirror week .

Territorial integrity can not be subject to political or economic bargaining, he said.

"My personal position is unambiguous. Control of the state border of Ukraine should be restored at any cost and as soon as possible. But for the life, safety, dignity and well-being of every citizen of Ukraine the state should fight to the end" - wrote in his article Taruta.



In legislative terms, this means the implementation of these measures.

Shall be established a state program of reintegration of Crimea and the occupied territories of Donbass (creating media for broadcast in the occupied territories, networking available for Ukrainian state institutions in the area of ​​occupation, housing infrastructure creation and placement of internal migrants, etc.).

Please ensure social protection and necessary living conditions for internally displaced persons from the Donbas and Crimea.

For effective implementation of these measures in the structure of the Cabinet of Ministers must enter Vice Prime Minister for Reintegration occupied territories, says Taruta.
Детальніше читайте на УНІАН: http://www.unian.ua/politics/1013085-taruta-zayaviv-scho-vlada-mae-vidnoviti-kontrol-nad-krimom-ta-donbasom-bud-yakoyu-tsinoyu.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 09:13:13 AM
here’s an older link just for you. with a short excerpt!

http://m.strategic-culture.org/news/2013/12/19/ukraines-international-reserves-and-the-impending-default.html

 “The State of Ukraine's International Reserves

Official international reserves are the accumulated reserves of currency and gold which are under the control of a country's monetary authorities. International reserves are held in three main forms: a) foreign securities (as of November 1, 2013 76.39% of Ukraine's reserves were held in securities); b) currency in cash and currency deposits in banks (14.87%); c) gold in monetary form (8.74%).”

What Ukraine is not publicly saying is what exactly are the “foreign securities”, are they short term US T-bills that were purchased abroad with “hard cash”, or are they Ukrainian issued bonds denominated in foreign currency? The T-bills can be sold and cash raised, Ukrainian bonds are junk with no possibility of being paid.  I stand by my statement that in theory, Ukraine has only about 3 billion in actual foreign exchange CASH, less than a billion in gold (which may or may not actually exist), see

http://sputniknews.com/analysis/20141120/1014967457.html
or
http://russia-insider.com/en/politics_ukraine_society/2014/11/19/04-47-13pm/ukraines_gold_officially_missing

BTW, I’ve actually listened to the interview referenced in the above link, it’s in Russian, if you’d like here’s the link:

http://ukraina.ru/news/20141116/1011178918.html

As far as Ukraine’s missing gold is concerned, it was first disclosed by the IMF and not Ukraine, the above interview will lead you to believe that pretty much all information coming out of the NBU is “dressed-up” to make the horrible situation try to look less horrible!

Ukraine’s economy now faces a “Perfect Storm”, Donestsk and Lugansk their biggest exporters are ruined, they also supplied 100% of Ukraine’s coal, which now goes to Russia.  Ukrainian oligarchs and government ministers are now trying to be coal importers and collect a 30% premium for themselves.

http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/editorial/stop-stealing-371761.html

Banks are collapsing right and left, inflation is 20%, currency depreciating at 50% for the year.
Everyone is bracing themselves for an expected Russian Invasion, and Ukraine is defending itself primarily through volunteers who must equip and transport themselves to the war zone.

Does anyone really expect Ukraine to last very long, or in other words, yes it’s time to start digging!



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2014, 09:48:25 AM
Given that  Ukraine has been through turmoil-- in every way and is currently under attack -- the currency has probably fared better than expected.No one is in denial about the crisis Ukraine faces.
On the other hand-- a supposedly strong Russian economy brimming with "assets" is on the brink of collapse.


Russia?  Recession, yes.  Collapse, no.


OTOH, Ukraine is in dire straits and collapse is inevitable without massive aid. 

Ukraine will have more difficulty than Russia in funding a conventional war.  Russia will win over the long term (or even short term given krimster's information), yet will suffer major losses, especially if Ukraine implements unconventional warfare.  An Ukrainian mujahedeen is not far fetched given the volunteer battalions.

Title: Ukraine-Russia another Mexico-US?
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2014, 10:27:47 AM
Has any one noticed some parallels between the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and  the Mexican-American war? 

In 1836 American settlers on Mexican colonial territory known as Texas won a "revolution for independence" against Mexican military forces led by the President of Mexico.   Unlike eastern Ukraine, the Texas settlers had no aid from the US.  Some American volunteers such as Davey Crockett  did help, yet the campaign was fought predominantly by Texas settlers. 

The US at the time had expansionist goals.  In 1845 the US annexed the Texas territory amid protests by Mexico.   Mexico had never recognized Texas as a sovereign nation.

Mexico also disputed the southern border of Texas.  The US moved troops along the disputed border.  When Mexico attacked the troops in early 1846, the conflict escalated and the US mounted a full invasion of Mexico, easily reaching and capturing Mexico City in 1847. 

In February 1848 the Mexico government sold to the US what is today the state of California and six other states (or parts thereof) plus recognition of Texas for the price of $15 million (the same price as the 1803 Louisiana Purchase with France).  The US had proposed to Mexico before the war to purchase the territory for $30 million. 

Posters from Texas and Mexico will probably have some corrections to my summary.  But to get to my point, is such an option for Ukraine? 

This prompted a wild idea in my head.  Posters have talked of a win-win, when the win for Ukraine was to walk away with nothing other than a tenuous peace.   Instead, maybe Ukraine should consider selling Crimea to Russia!  :o :o :o  And eastern Ukraine too if Putin is so motivated. 

Such a solution would allow sanctions to be dropped and for Russia to return to the world community.  It would give Ukraine the money it needs to accelerate the building of a Westernized economy.  Plus a lot of bloodshed and destruction  would be averted.  Also, Russia's support would facilitate international investigations to recover the billions allegedly stolen by Yanukovych and bring him and his henchmen to justice.   Perhaps Russia's concerns about NATO can be addressed too.

The issue, what would be a fair price?  Also, Putin does not impress me as someone who would pay for what he says has historically been Russia's not Ukraine's territory.   

So Putin and Russia will likely remain a world pariah.  And one day when Europe is weaned from Russian gas, the EU and other countries can take great pleasure in telling Putin and Russians to "Go Fuck Yourself."  :D   Also, "Take a picture of yourself at the G20 talks because you will never be there again."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 25, 2014, 10:32:10 AM
 :D :D


This is not about Ukrainian territory, or Russian speakers.  It is about destabilizing Ukraine long term, and dividing the EU.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 25, 2014, 10:37:57 AM
Gator are we going back to the 19th Century or do we live in the 21st Century?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 10:39:02 AM
Gator, as you note, without external aid, Ukraine will likely face an economic collapse sometime within the next few months.  In the past, such aid has primarily appeared in the form of loans, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that Ukraine will be able to support repayment of even past loans after March or so (and this is not even considering new loans).  Based on this uncomfortable reality, I'm not sure who's going to stick their neck out for Ukraine.  Also keep in mind, that some of the amount previously borrowed ended up in off-shore accounts off the Yanukovych "family" (now likely transferred to Russian banks), and that Ukraine never lived up to its promises which were conditions for receiving previous IMF loans, all these factors make it unlikely that Ukraine will receive any new significant loans.

Putin needs three oblasts to make a land bridge to Crimea, Lugansk, Donetsk, and Zaporozhie, two of the three are being contested militarily right now, with every indication that Putin is pouring more military support to succeed in his endeavor to capture these three oblasts.  If he succeeds he will have the land bridge from Russia to Ukraine, control of the Dnipro Canal water supply, and control of the six reactors in Zaporozhia that supplies the bulk of Crimea's electricity.  If this WEREN'T true, the Kerch Strait bridge, would be something more than a piece of paper that it is right now, it's just a proposal, and not a priority, as it should be given Crimea's serious transportation issue, so Putins's gamble is that he can take these three oblasts more quickly than he build a bridge.

As I've noted previously, if he succeeds in taking these three oblasts away from Ukraine as he did with Crimea, will he stop there, or will he keep going and take all of southern Ukraine and link up to Transnistria?  Putin's strategy is likely a mixture of military and economic warfare, if Ukraine collapses economically, it's likey that Ukraine will fragment into different regions, Putin can then pick the ones he wants and no one can stop him.

Who wants to die for Ukraine, any takers?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 25, 2014, 10:45:24 AM
Gator, as you note, without external aid, Ukraine will likely face an economic collapse sometime within the next few months.  In the past, such aid has primarily appeared in the form of loans, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that Ukraine will be able to support repayment of even past loans after March or so (and this is not even considering new loans).  Based on this uncomfortable reality, I'm not sure who's going to stick their neck out for Ukraine.  Also keep in mind, that some of the amount previously borrowed ended up in off-shore accounts off the Yanukovych "family" (now likely transferred to Russian banks), and that Ukraine never lived up to its promises which were conditions for receiving previous IMF loans, all these factors make it unlikely that Ukraine will receive any new significant loans.

Putin needs three oblasts to make a land bridge to Crimea, Lugansk, Donetsk, and Zaporozhie, two of the three are being contested militarily right now, with every indication that Putin is pouring more military support to succeed in his endeavor to capture these three oblasts.  If he succeeds he will have the land bridge from Russia to Ukraine, control of the Dnipro Canal water supply, and control of the six reactors in Zaporozhia that supplies the bulk of Crimea's electricity.  If this WEREN'T true, the Kerch Strait bridge, would be something more than a piece of paper that it is right now, it's just a proposal, and not a priority, as it should be given Crimea's serious transportation issue, so Putins's gamble is that he can take these three oblasts more quickly than he build a bridge.

As I've noted previously, if he succeeds in taking these three oblasts away from Ukraine as he did with Crimea, will he stop there, or will he keep going and take all of southern Ukraine and link up to Transnistria?  Putin's strategy is likely a mixture of military and economic warfare, if Ukraine collapses economically, it's likey that Ukraine will fragment into different regions, Putin can then pick the ones he wants and no one can stop him.

Who wants to die for Ukraine, any takers?

Very good analysis but it's a short-term one.  For a much better long-term analysis for the astute reader they should just look at what Ukraine did to Nazi Germany about 75 years ago.  Don't underestimate their resolve, and don't underestimate the resolve of the economic sanctions nor the resolve of a more honorable nation like Britain.  This thing is far from over.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 11:31:05 AM
Gator,
   Your analogy of  comparing the “Anglo” colonization of Texas, is not quite “correct’ in my view.  Initially, the Anglo colonists and even the local Mexicans who joined them, were not being directed by an outside source (the USA), they simply wanted to be independent from a Mexican government that was moving away from a decentalized “federalist” model into a more centralized, dictatorial model (which included revoking the Mexican Constitution a few years earlier). Hey, I’m in Texas what can I say!   What I see in Eastern Ukraine is nothing more than Russia repeating what it did in Georgia and Crimea and making territorial gains at Ukraine’s expense, Russia’s “fingerprints” are all over the Eastern Ukraine conflict, it would not be happening without Russia’s direct involvement.  I suppose by the time you get to the Mexican American War, things are a bit different, in terms of the USA’s direct involvement to expand its territory.

Would Russia ever buy territory?  NO, IT HAS TO BE CONQUERED BY FORCE OF ARMS!
Russia has NEVER bought territory, it has always seized it, Putin would be looked upon as being weak by the Russian people if he paid for Ukrainian territory, buying territory is very “American”, the idea would be alien to a Russian leader.

AC, what did “Ukraine” do to the Nazis in “The Great Patriotic War, I’ll tell you what, a lot of them joined up!  Did you know that about 20% of the soldiers the Allies faced on D-Day were “Ost”(East) troops, primarily Ukrainian, did you know that by the end of 1942, over a million Ukrainians were working for the Germans, google the term “Hiwi” and while you’re at it google “Osttruppen” and 14th SS Grenadier Division (Galician No.1).  Today, the volunteer Ukrainian fighters in Eastern Ukraine are primarily from Western Ukraine, take them away and the war would be over with in 10 minutes, when Ukraine fragments, these volunteers might be a bit more interested in protecting their own homes then in fighting against The Odessa People’s Republic.

The Soviet Union (and not Ukraine) gave a major “ass-whooping” to the Nazis after a disastrous 1st year.  Kiev was conquered just 3 months after the start of the war (with a loss of over 800,000 Soviet troops), and the rest of Ukraine shortly after, between then and 1944 Ukraine was administered by the Nazis and assisted the Nazi war effort not the Soviet Union’s

I hate to disagree with you AC, I think it will be over next year, with Russia lengthening its borders yet again, if the West wants to show some resolve, stop buying Russian oil and gas, I don’t see that happening, do you?
   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 25, 2014, 11:54:17 AM
Sorry Krimster I can't believe the first 4 links strictly because they are Russian sites and I've yet to see anything remotely fair and balanced yet alone truthful come from there yet alone regarding Ukraine. (With the exception of the Moscow Time and the St Pete paper.)

 I'll stick with the numbers that I came up with from non Russian sources. With due respect,I don't think it's quite as bad as you make it sound.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 25, 2014, 11:59:52 AM
krimster, your allegation of Western Ukrainians being Nazis is inaccurate.  The history is far more complex.  Western Ukrainians did not support the Germans, and there were also millions of Ukrainians in the Red Army.  I know, because I met many of them, my sister is married to the son of a Red Army officer taken as a POW.


I don't have time right now to point to all the facts, I'll try to get to it, perhaps next week.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 12:27:45 PM
Boethius,
   "krimster, your allegation of Western Ukrainians being Nazis is inaccurate."
I don't believe that it is, the number of Ukrainians who worked as Kiwis was pretty well documented by the Germans, if I was Ukrainian in German occupied Ukraine and had to feed my family I might be inclined to do the same.  The existence of the 14th SS Grenadier Division (Galician No.1), is also a matter of historical record.  It doesn't mean that EVERYONE welcomed the Nazis, but it does mean that NOT EVERYONE was a partisan either.  In my own case, part of my family was exterminted at Nezhin near Chernigov, my wife's grandfather was taken from Cimea as a "gaterbeiter" to Deutchland and lived to tell the tale and even escaped being imprisoned for the crime that he survived when he was returned to Crimea!

If Putin sticks to Southern Ukraine and stays out of Western Ukraine, I don't think there will be much in the way of "resistance".  I can't remember the name of the old Russian movie that was about the Bolshevick revolution, there was a scene in a small town that had the White Army passing through and the people cheering, then a little later the Red Army was passing through and the same people were cheering them, this is 90% of the people in Ukraine today, doesn't matter to them whether it's a Russian or Ukrainian oligarch that's stealing, just give us food, warmth and a little money.  Youtube is full of videos of the conflict showing this behavior.  Not everyone is willing to sacrifice themselves for this notion of Ukraine, in fact the majority are not...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 25, 2014, 01:22:19 PM
The population in Mariupol has dug trenches, and is largely not pro Russian.  Keep in mind, although those populations speak more Russian than Ukrainian, ethnically,  they are predominantly Ukrainian.


As for WWII, your view is very black and white.  Most Ukrainians in that region were hostile to the Jewish population, because they equated "Bolshevik" with "Jewish".  Furthermore, the local Jewish populations in cities tended to work with the (hated) Poles.  I am not denying anti Semitism was strong in Western Ukraine, just explaining its genesis.  That goes all the way back to Khmelnytsky. 


Now, where you are mistaken is in assuming that Ukrainians supported the Nazis.  They did not.  It was a matter of my enemy's enemy is my friend.  Other than auxiliary police, most of the Ukrainian nationalists who cooperated with the Germans did so because they viewed it as a means of achieving their ultimate goal, an independent Ukraine.  Even most of the boys (for they were largely boys) in the Galician SS Division volunteered not because they believed in Germany, or German ideology, but because they wanted to fight the Red Army. 


Almost all the Western Ukrainians who ended up in Germany were not there because they wanted to be.  They were ostarbeiter. 


Were there collaborators?  Of course.  But to paint Western Ukrainians as Nazis is inaccurate.  Most of the leaders of Svoboda, for example, were card carrying commies/Komsomol leaders.  Their leader was a Komsomol leader, on his way to the top echelons of the communist party on the collapse.  He wrote his PhD on nationalism, and its destructive effects.  Is it any surprise he would use nationalism, albeit in a negative manner, in order to gain ower?


You also have to understand what life was like in Western Ukraine.  Unlike all other regions of Ukraine, it was ruled not by Kyiv, but by Moscow.  There was a level of control/oppression that did not exist, already, in Central/Eastern Ukraine.  So of course the reaction to the collapse was different. 


Here is a paper, the beginning pages of which have a good summation.  The paper is about the Ukrainian diaspora, but it gives a good, and balanced, view of the history.


[size=78%]http://www.timeandspace.lviv.ua/files/session/Himka_Central_European_Diaspora_65.pdf[/size]
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on November 25, 2014, 02:21:07 PM
Very interesting paper.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 02:25:57 PM
Boethius,
   I don’t believe we disagree all that much, you say the glass is half full, I say it’s half empty, but either statement reflects how much liquid is present.

I am well acquainted with the reality in Ukraine both past and present, I am alive today, only because of the fact that two generations ago my ancestors left Ukraine and came to the USA.
I lived in Ukraine three years and traveled throughout Ukraine as much as I could, besides my home in “Krim” I visited Kiev quite a bit and have been to Lvov, Odessa, Ternopil, Chernigov and more.

Currently, the situation in Eastern Ukraine is rapidly turning desperate for those unfortunate enough to not be able to leave the conflict zone.  In addition to the constant destruction, pensions haven’t been paid in many months, banks and industry closed, the availability of food and other goods has been greatly reduced, gas and coal for heating reduced or eliminated, and critical infrastructure destroyed.  If the central bank of Ukraine collapses, and it is very near that already, then some of the conditions in Eastern Ukraine will be the “new normal” for the rest of Ukraine as well.  Who will the people then support, a government that is powerless to control its own economic destiny and presided over its own economic collapse, or one that is selling 200 billion USD/year in oil and gas?   Even the USA and Europe are being very “measured” in using sanctions against Russia and are very carefully choosing their language, using words like  “incursion” and not “invasion”.  When you see how much the West is exposed to Russian oil and gas, banking, etc, etc., they are stepping very lightly, they don’t want to disturb the “Bear”.

I am indeed impressed by the volunteers who are not only risking their lives fighting in Donbas but are doing so at their own expense, a necessity because Ukrainian state officials looted not only bank accounts but armory’s as well.  However the volunteers numbers are relatively small, less than 1/10 of 1% of the population of Ukraine.  Where are the rest of the people?  With the thousands of Ukrainian military personnel stationed in Crimea, why didn’t at least one of them lift a gun and fight the Russian “incursion”?

AkMike, if you don’t like the sources I used, here’s a different one, it’s the Prime Minister of Ukraine, as quoted by “The Guardian” a British publication that won a Pulitzer prize:

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/feb/27/ukraine-search-missing-billions-yanukovych-russia

“Yatsenyuk said that the former government had left the country with $75bn of debts. "Over $20bn of gold reserve were embezzled. They took $37bn of loans that disappeared," Yatsenyuk said. "Around $70bn was moved to offshore accounts from Ukraine's financial system in the last three years," he claimed.”

And the above information is 9 months old, do you have a clearer picture of Ukraine’s economic future now?  There isn’t one!
 


 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 25, 2014, 02:59:07 PM
The figures I showed in that article were current ones. It's very bad but not the total bust situation that you showed.

 1.4 billion or so in gold reserves and the foreign-currency reserves are $12.6 billion

 It'll be tight but with the way that Petro is working it (hopefully) will work. If they manage tor cover some of the impounded cash from the prior batch of thieves took it'll help also.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 25, 2014, 03:17:41 PM
Boethius,
   I don’t believe we disagree all that much, you say the glass is half full, I say it’s half empty, but either statement reflects how much liquid is present.

I am well acquainted with the reality in Ukraine both past and present, I am alive today, only because of the fact that two generations ago my ancestors left Ukraine and came to the USA.
I lived in Ukraine three years and traveled throughout Ukraine as much as I could, besides my home in “Krim” I visited Kiev quite a bit and have been to Lvov, Odessa, Ternopil, Chernigov and more.
 

Krimster--you have opened the door about a couple of points I would make about your "observations".
Over a period of time I have been very critical of those whose Ukrainian ( & other fsu)exposure comes from the past-- more specifically not over the last few years.
Even in this last year the events moved and changed almost daily in the first half of this year-- and by and large what we have seen was a merging of different views( this is even reflected in the forums and contributors to this thread) on Ukraine.I am sure when Ukraine stabilises and the luxury of the democratic process is in place we will see a divergence of opinions again-but for now and in the crisis being faced it is probably the most united Ukrainians have ever been.
I raise this now in relation to your expressed views--because I think your views are coloured by your own unsatisfactory experiences-- some 5 years ago or more> Correct?  How much time and when & where were you in Ukraine in the last 5 years?
I have read many of your posts over a period of time-- and I do not doubt the honesty of your posts--but you have written in a most negative way on many issues.
Now what I find interesting is that you have gone to so much trouble now to write negatively about a whole glad bag of issues that you clearly have no idea about nor understand
EG--- you raise the WW2 Nazi issue( again) -- do you realise you are propagating Kremlin propaganda of the here and now? The allegation is absolute nonsense-- the real Nazis are the Russians .
I am not bothering with the many incorrect conclusions you reach--but what interests me is your motivation--  so please fill us in on your recent visits to the FSU.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on November 25, 2014, 03:34:48 PM
Gator,
   Your analogy of  comparing the “Anglo” colonization of Texas, is not quite “correct’ in my view.  .....Hey, I’m in Texas what can I say!   


(http://www.brandchannel.com/home/image.axd?picture=2011%2F10%2Fdontmesswithtexas.jpg)


BTW, every time I visit Texas it seems the Mexicans are slowly winning the war to take the territory back.   ;)



Quote
Would Russia ever buy territory?

Not even when hell freezes over.


(http://bitsandpieces.us/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Frozen-eyelashes-in-Russia_small.jpg)





   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 04:21:58 PM
JayH,
   I have heard many “fairy tales” about Ukraine, the one you propose that Ukraine has in some fundamental way “changed” in the last 5 years would be certainly be one of them, Yanukovych was in power during 4 out of the last 5 years you mention, please tell me what changed during his administration, except for the improved efficiency in plundering of state resources.  You think a riot on Maidan revolutionized Ukraine?  Really, then you must think the Orange Revolution did the same as well.  Nothing has changed in Ukraine, get over it.  Oligarchs are sill oligarchs, politicians are still stealing.   My visiting or not visiting has nothing at all to do with it, furthermore, I didn’t “visit” Ukraine I lived there, huge difference between visiting a country and living there with your family, and experiencing corruption directly, paying the bribes yourself!

“Ukraine.I am sure when Ukraine stabilises...”
Yes, please let us know when this happens, we’re all eager to hear of this event!!!

“because I think your views are coloured by your own unsatisfactory experiences--...
“I have read many of your posts over a period of time-- and I do not doubt the honesty of your posts--but you have written in a most negative way on many issues.”

I just reported my experiences as objectively as possible without embellishment, if you “do not doubt the honesty of my posts"- but yet find that my posts were “negative” than this is your own subjective interpretation

“whole glad bag of issues that you clearly have no idea about nor understand
EG--- you raise the WW2 Nazi issue( again) “

The points I made about many Ukrainians being collaborators with the Nazis are historical facts, easily verifiable (spend 10 minutes on Google) and have nothing at all to do with the “Kremlin”.
I do understand the issues, even to the point of saying that if I were in similar circumstances and had to feed my family during the Nazi occupation that I might be inclined to do the same, but-these-are-facts, you may not like them, they may conflict with your own narrative of a heroic Ukraine opposing Nazi-ism, but history doesn’t show that this was a universal view shared by all Ukrainians

You are not by any means the first person who has accused me of being some kind of Kremlin propagandist for speaking truthfully about Ukraine, of being a “provocateur”.  It’s always much easier to refute the messenger than it is to refute the message.  Seriously, here’s your chance to shine, take any statement of mine that you feel is factually inaccurate, and show proof that it is, I bet you can’t!

You want to know my motivation?  At first my motivation was to tell outsiders what life was like in Ukraine, how cruelly people were treated there, how degraded their lives were.  I did this not in anticipation that I would somehow trigger a positive change, but as a cathartic release of the frustration I felt, I still feel this way, and I don’t believe in any fairy tale that Ukraine has changed and that salvation is just around the corner, in fact just the opposite.

Gator, Mexicans say, “we didn’t cross the border, the border crossed us!!”
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 25, 2014, 05:46:00 PM
Boethius,
   "krimster, your allegation of Western Ukrainians being Nazis is inaccurate."
I don't believe that it is, the number of Ukrainians who worked as Kiwis was pretty well documented by the Germans

We would love to have had them, but I assume that this is an unfortunate typo!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 05:56:27 PM
yes, an unfortunate typo, supposed to be "Hiwi" so sorry!!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 25, 2014, 06:25:36 PM
JayH,
   I have heard many “fairy tales” about Ukraine, the one you propose that Ukraine has in some fundamental way “changed” in the last 5 years would be certainly be one of them, Yanukovych was in power during 4 out of the last 5 years you mention, please tell me what changed during his administration, except for the improved efficiency in plundering of state resources.  You think a riot on Maidan revolutionized Ukraine?  Really, then you must think the Orange Revolution did the same as well.  Nothing has changed in Ukraine, get over it.  Oligarchs are sill oligarchs, politicians are still stealing.   My visiting or not visiting has nothing at all to do with it, furthermore, I didn’t “visit” Ukraine I lived there, huge difference between visiting a country and living there with your family, and experiencing corruption directly, paying the bribes yourself!

“because I think your views are coloured by your own unsatisfactory experiences--...
“I have read many of your posts over a period of time-- and I do not doubt the honesty of your posts--but you have written in a most negative way on many issues.”

I just reported my experiences as objectively as possible without embellishment, if you “do not doubt the honesty of my posts"- but yet find that my posts were “negative” than this is your own subjective interpretation


The points I made about many Ukrainians being collaborators with the Nazis are historical facts, easily verifiable (spend 10 minutes on Google) and have nothing at all to do with the “Kremlin”.
I do understand the issues, even to the point of saying that if I were in similar circumstances and had to feed my family during the Nazi occupation that I might be inclined to do the same, but-these-are-facts, you may not like them, they may conflict with your own narrative of a heroic Ukraine opposing Nazi-ism, but history doesn’t show that this was a universal view shared by all Ukrainians


You want to know my motivation?  At first my motivation was to tell outsiders what life was like in Ukraine, how cruelly people were treated there, how degraded their lives were.  I did this not in anticipation that I would somehow trigger a positive change, but as a cathartic release of the frustration I felt, I still feel this way, and I don’t believe in any fairy tale that Ukraine has changed and that salvation is just around the corner, in fact just the opposite.



K2-- I note you missed answering when you were last there-why? That is fundamental to my point--your attitude is typical of earlier times-- in effect--outdated by time and particularly recent events.
I think it would be fair to say that you had a bitter personal experience-- and that colours you attitude and fuels the negative.
I am not saying you are disqualified from expressing opinions-- what I am saying is that when you seek to use your exposure as a definitive  on current events -I say it is yesteryears news and outdated-- even your comments in the latest reply referring to Maidan show your lack of understanding of events this year.

My point on Nazis--- it has zero to do with current Ukraine  and nothing to do with the future.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on November 25, 2014, 07:11:06 PM
K2,
The only comment you have made that is contrary to my experience in Ukraine is the statement that the majority of the fighters in the east are from Western Ukraine.  Wife and I have friends in the battles and none of them are from Western Ukraine.  Just a couple weeks ago we contributed money to several soldiers that were on rotation to Kiev briefly.  One of  my best friends,  a retired Ukraine Border Patrol sergeant got called up to duty recently.  Of our many friends in central and eastern Ukraine, we have been told regularly about their sons being called to duty as well as the ones that volunteer.

The Russian propaganda has portrayed those from Western Ukraine as being pro Western Radicals.  It's an easy bridge to follow this without any evidence to support it.  From what I have read, they are very patriotic and want an independent Ukraine. Unfortunately I don't  know anyone from Western Ukraine so can't comment with first hand knowledge about their beliefs.  Nevertheless, I think your statement is incorrect about who is fighting for Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 07:33:38 PM
If MY attitude is outdated, then please contact KyivPost, and tell them their article entitled “Stop Stealing" is out of date, even though it was only published about two weeks ago and you feel that it doesn’t reflect the “new, changed" Ukraine! 

http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/editorial/stop-stealing-371761.html

Yes, you should also tell “Radio Free Europe” that Ukraine has changed so publishing an article like this one:

 http://www.rferl.org/media/video/ukraine-zlochevskiy-palace/26707701.html

about the former minister of environment and natural resources, whose extensive palace exceeds even Yanukovych’s dacha is no longer accurate, because even though he was in office earlier this year, you feel Ukraine has changed.

I could go on and on, oligarch by crooked oligarch, until you reach the only conclusion that is possible to reach, when it comes to substance, Ukraine hasn’t changed, and until the stealing stops, it won’t change. 

The information presented here, has no connection to me, and will be unchanged whether I visit or not. 

It may also interest you to know that to the Russian government I am persona-non-grata, I’m not sure I’d even be allowed entry into Crimea, which is now the territory of Russia, and so don’t have any interest in going, and don’t have any pressing needs to visit elsewhere in Ukraine.  What, fly over Paris and Amsterdam to go visit Ternopil, I don’t think so!

As far as references to WWII and Nazi-ism, yeah not terribly relevant to today’s situation, however if you’ll note it wan’t me who introduced the topic, I merely responded to it, so why fault me for doing so?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 25, 2014, 07:47:34 PM
K2-- I seem to have missed the answer AGAIN !! So-- you have not been there since when? 2007? :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 08:05:20 PM
Calmissile,
(http://www.redanalysis.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Ukrainian-Ultra-Nationalist-groups-Nov-2014.jpg)

Here's a chart showing various volunteer battalions and their political branches, note: in May 2014 Ukraine authorized the creation of 15,000 to 20,000 irregular combatants in about 30 volunteer battalions, these are Ukraine's primary combatants in the East, there's no way of knowing with certainty what percentage come from the area West of Kiev, but Svoboda and Right Sector are of course and "Carpathian Sich", and the "Azov Battalion", you can from the chart presented above see how the various groups are linked, I would say that from the information it contains that Western Ukraine is the dominant and most active group, and western Ukraine also sends people to other battalions, doesn't mean there aren't people from other regions as well, just that if Western Ukraine should withdraw their battalions, I don't think the remainder would survive very long, also remember that Right Sector is the only volunteer component of the Cyborg's "defending" the Donetsk airport

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on November 25, 2014, 08:08:36 PM
K-2  Another perhaps false perception you have is there is no change in the corruption in Ukraine.  I cannot argue about corruption at the oligarch level, however I can personally tell you that there is a huge difference in the judiciary and civil servants that man the various government offices.

Dealing with the courts and various government offices over the past 1.5 years, there appears to be very little corruption at these levels.  In fact my wife was warned on several occasions when entering various offices that they will no longer accept any bribes, so please don't offer any.  In one case she was told that all of the civil servants are very scared because of the anti-corruption laws/mandates that were handed down by the president.

Whether you believe it or not, changes for the better are being made weekly.  If you want an update, read the articles on the lustration investigations and how many government employees and politicians have been ineligible to further hold public office.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 08:09:50 PM
jayh, I answered, it doesn't matter, it just doesn't matter when I was there last, it's equivalent to asking what color socks I was wearing when I was there last, and that if I had red socks, I would have seen things differently, you're mistaken in your premise that things have changed, I could get in a time machine and go 50 years in the future and it will still be the "same ole, same ole" only hotter, much hotter...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on November 25, 2014, 08:21:46 PM
jayh, I answered, it doesn't matter, it just doesn't matter when I was there last, it's equivalent to asking what color socks I was wearing when I was there last, and that if I had red socks, I would have seen things differently, you're mistaken in your premise that things have changed, I could get in a time machine and go 50 years in the future and it will still be the "same ole, same ole" only hotter, much hotter...

Your beginning to lose credibility with your last post. It's a fair question to ask when you last were there.  It puts your perceptions on events into context.  I did not see it as a personal slam, so no reason to be defensive about it.  I already addressed the one item in your comments that I have recent experience about and think your perceptions are way out of date.

The last sentence of your recent post shows the bias and stubbornness you are experiencing.  I don't see any reason to continue this topic with you.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 25, 2014, 08:22:00 PM
jayh, I answered, it doesn't matter, it just doesn't matter when I was there last, it's equivalent to asking what color socks I was wearing when I was there last, and that if I had red socks, I would have seen things differently, you're mistaken in your premise that things have changed, I could get in a time machine and go 50 years in the future and it will still be the "same ole, same ole" only hotter, much hotter...

K2-- so it was when? 2005?  To repeat--it does not disqualify you having an opinion--there has been far greater ignorance expressed on the forums by people that have never been there-- so your insight still has merit-on some topics!

What you are not recognising is a huge shift-- a change of direction and attitudes.You keep harking back to issues of previous times--those very issues are what maidan was about--ie changing Ukraine to create a future.You dismiss that glibly--and keep harking back-my point is that you simply don't know! Your opinions were formed and are now stuck in an earlier time.
The forum has seen a procession this year of others like you-- that simply dont get it !
Calmissile refers to anecdotal personal experiences of examples of change. I can also quote personal experiences and knowledge of a shift--plus lot's more. These are small examples-but real life current experiences.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 25, 2014, 08:31:47 PM
I've been going to UA since early 2004 and I see new changes every time I go. To me it's always been a step ahead of where I left it before.

 Many places still look the same w/o changes but others are better.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 25, 2014, 09:14:14 PM
Boethius,
   I don’t believe we disagree all that much, you say the glass is half full, I say it’s half empty, but either statement reflects how much liquid is present.

I am well acquainted with the reality in Ukraine both past and present, I am alive today, only because of the fact that two generations ago my ancestors left Ukraine and came to the USA.

That could be said of many Jewish Americans whose ancestors emigrated from Germany, France, Italy, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Poland, the Baltics, etc.   

Quote
I lived in Ukraine three years and traveled throughout Ukraine as much as I could, besides my home in “Krim” I visited Kiev quite a bit and have been to Lvov, Odessa, Ternopil, Chernigov and more.

I lived there longer, and visited all of those cities as well, although I always say L'viv, because I am Ukrainian. 

I speak Ukrainian fluently, so fluently, locals don't know I am from the West though, because of my wooden "L", they assume I am a Ukrainian Pole (although my "L" is harder than that of a Pole).  I also can speak Russian.

Quote
Currently, the situation in Eastern Ukraine is rapidly turning desperate for those unfortunate enough to not be able to leave the conflict zone.  In addition to the constant destruction, pensions haven’t been paid in many months, banks and industry closed, the availability of food and other goods has been greatly reduced, gas and coal for heating reduced or eliminated, and critical infrastructure destroyed.

That is not Ukraine's problem.  It is a problem for the DNR/LNR.  Although I have tremendous sympathy for the people in the conflict zone who do not have the means to leave, I fully understand, and support, cutting off pensions to regions controlled by enemies who wish to annihilate the Ukrainian state. 

Quote
If the central bank of Ukraine collapses, and it is very near that already, then some of the conditions in Eastern Ukraine will be the “new normal” for the rest of Ukraine as well.  Who will the people then support, a government that is powerless to control its own economic destiny and presided over its own economic collapse, or one that is selling 200 billion USD/year in oil and gas?
 

Russia's economy is already suffering from the drop in oil prices and sanctions.  I also think you underestimate Ukrainian resolve in this matter.  Most Ukrainians understand this conflict was orchestrated in Moscow.  There is a reason they took to the streets last year, even though economically, the union with Russia was a better deal than the EU Association Agreement.

Quote
Even the USA and Europe are being very “measured” in using sanctions against Russia and are very carefully choosing their language, using words like  “incursion” and not “invasion”.  When you see how much the West is exposed to Russian oil and gas, banking, etc, etc., they are stepping very lightly, they don’t want to disturb the “Bear”.

No, that is always the language of diplomats. 

In two years, several LEG terminals will have been completed.  That is a potential game changer, as Russia will no longer have a lock on a currently captive market.  Everyone discusses the huge impact sanctions will have on the EU.  However, if you look at trade, even with Russia's largest trading partners in the EU, it is still relatively small, in terms of overall trade.  It is not a positive, in my opinion, I would prefer to see a Russia more open to the world, and using its influence in a positive manner, but it is what it is.  I don't expect more from former KGB officers and nomenklatura.


Quote
I am indeed impressed by the volunteers who are not only risking their lives fighting in Donbas but are doing so at their own expense, a necessity because Ukrainian state officials looted not only bank accounts but armory’s as well.  However the volunteers numbers are relatively small, less than 1/10 of 1% of the population of Ukraine.  Where are the rest of the people?  With the thousands of Ukrainian military personnel stationed in Crimea, why didn’t at least one of them lift a gun and fight the Russian “incursion”?

As others have noted, not everyone is a volunteer.  Yes, there are volunteer battalions, but there are draftees in the army as well.  My husband's classmate, a native Kyianin, was drafted into the army and deployed to the Donetsk region.  My SIL was working in the hospital, full of locals injured in Donbas.  Most of them were not volunteers.

Now, I will concede, history favours your perspective.  But, I do think there has been a change in the population, and what they are willing to tolerate.  I think if things get worse, people will either emigrate (which is occurring already), or will be back on the streets. 

On corruption, I will agree with krimster.  Ukraine is still incredibly corrupt.  Currently, there are government officials and oligarchs buying coal from Russia, then marking it up 30% to sell to Ukraine.  The attitude is to steal as much as possible and leave.  That is why it is important to trace Yanukovych's money, and to keep him, his clan, and their families, on sanctions lists.  Money outside Russia should be confiscated if its origins cannot be proven.   International lawsuits demanding a return of funds held in Russian banks must be commenced.  And, if those fail, they stay on sanctions lists.  This must be done down the line, to all who have stolen money.  I don't think Ukraine has the political will to do that, because most of its politicians are corrupt.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 09:36:03 PM
CalMissile and others,
   The roots of Ukraine’s systemic corruption are quite deep and are nearly three centuries old.  They were institutionalized under Peter the Great’s creation of Russia’s Civil Service system which was created without a budget to pay its employees.  Peter the Great told his civil servants that, “if they were smart enough to get the job, they were smart enough to figure out a way to make money from it”. I’m amazed that anyone thinks that in such a short period of time that because of a riot in Kiev last year that “things have really changed”, why if that’s all it takes I guess the riot in Ferguson, Mo. last night will rid the USA of racism, hoo-ray!!!  Don’t take my word for it, after all I was’t there yesterday to see these wonderous changes for myself, ask an investor in Ukraine, like this fellow mentioned in the Financial Times here:

http://blogs.ft.com/beyond-brics/2014/11/04/guest-post-ukraine-has-done-nothing-to-tackle-corruption-it-must-learn-from-georgia/


Goodness me, here’s an article from no less than the euromaidanpress about corruption in Ukraines’ ministry of health, I guess the euromaidanpress didn’t get the memo that Ukraine has changed!!

http://euromaidanpress.com/2014/11/02/ukraines-ministry-of-health-diagnosis-of-chronic-corruption/

ask Bloomberg, which reports on the coal purchase Ukraine was forced to make in August after being cut-off from Donbas, upon investigation, it was found that...


“After Ukraine’s President Poroshenko, contra Prime Minister Yatsenyuk, was involved in scrapping a deal to buy expensive but useful South African coal in lieu of some Russian coal or oil, investigations into the matter found that,

    There may be another reason for the spat [between Poroshenko and Yatsenyuk]. “The coal market is being redivided in Ukraine today,”  said Vladimir Zinevich, director of state-owned company Ukrinterenergo, which is responsible for the coal imports. “It looks to me as though the coal deliveries from South Africa are a nuisance to somebody.”

    Separate investigative reports from Pravda.com.ua and Theinsider.ua suggested that the “somebody” in question could be Sergei Kuzyara, a coal trader with close ties to Ukraine’s deposed President Viktor Yanukovych. Kuzyara’s plans to buy coal from Russia and the rebels in eastern Ukraine had found support in the Poroshenko camp. Such an arrangement could be lucrative. The rebels, despite the assistance they receive from Russia, need funds and would be willing to accept low prices for the coal they seized from the warehouses of state-owned mines.

    At the same time, companies owned by Rinat Akhmetov, Ukraine’s richest man and a Yanukovych ally, continue to export coal. At a recent Energy Ministry meeting, an Akhmetov representative explained that his company had long-term contracts to honor and needed the hard currency. Any purchases by the Ukrainian government would be paid in hryvnia, which has been losing value.

Get it, Poroshenko is going to buy Ukrainian coal from the separatists who will use the money to continue the war!

So what’s changed in Ukraine?

What, I lost my credibility because of a reference to a “time machine”, my goodness, I’ll have to go back in time and remove the reference, ha,ha!!  Oh no, I just met myself traveling backwards in time, just at the point when I was going to reveal the last time I was actually in Ukraine and accidentally created a singularity, so now I’ll have to go back even before that and...





Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 25, 2014, 09:43:54 PM
Approximately half of Ukraine was not part of the Russian Empire since the time of Peter the Great, and corruption was not systemic in the non Russian part of Ukraine.  We discussed that here some time ago.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 25, 2014, 09:59:07 PM
well, did you know that 15 minutes can save you 15% or more on car insurance??
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on November 25, 2014, 10:52:07 PM


What, I lost my credibility because of a reference to a “time machine”, my goodness, I’ll have to go back in time and remove the reference, ha,ha!!  Oh no, I just met myself traveling backwards in time, just at the point when I was going to reveal the last time I was actually in Ukraine and accidentally created a singularity, so now I’ll have to go back even before that and...


Thanks for making your perfectly valid opinions be known. 


Some of these 'all-knowing and wise posters' will try to discredit you any way they can, simply because they don't like what you are saying. 


Fathertime!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 12:09:05 AM

The Soviet Union (and not Ukraine) gave a major “ass-whooping” to the Nazis after a disastrous 1st year.  Kiev was conquered just 3 months after the start of the war (with a loss of over 800,000 Soviet troops), and the rest of Ukraine shortly after, between then and 1944 Ukraine was administered by the Nazis and assisted the Nazi war effort not the Soviet Union’s

I hate to disagree with you AC, I think it will be over next year, with Russia lengthening its borders yet again, if the West wants to show some resolve, stop buying Russian oil and gas, I don’t see that happening, do you?
   

You are giving far to much credit to the USSR and not enough to Ukrainians who turned against the Germans soon after realizing what their real purpose was -- also without significant lend lease Russia aka the Soviets would have lost the war.

Initially Germany made huge gains.  Likely Putler will make the gains you mention -- but look for a total reversal of fortune within 3 to 5 years.  Total economic collapse in Russia and Putler dead in a bunker just like Hitler was.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 26, 2014, 12:14:27 AM

On corruption, I will agree with krimster.  Ukraine is still incredibly corrupt.  Currently, there are government officials and oligarchs buying coal from Russia, then marking it up 30% to sell to Ukraine.  The attitude is to steal as much as possible and leave.  That is why it is important to trace Yanukovych's money, and to keep him, his clan, and their families, on sanctions lists.  Money outside Russia should be confiscated if its origins cannot be proven.   International lawsuits demanding a return of funds held in Russian banks must be commenced.  And, if those fail, they stay on sanctions lists.  This must be done down the line, to all who have stolen money.  I don't think Ukraine has the political will to do that, because most of its politicians are corrupt.

I am not saying the corruption  issue is solved-- I am saying that the stomach to eradicate is there now.Given time-- at least now it is being treated as a major issue.
My opinion-- if you take note of what the influence of  Right Sector has already achieved( against all the odds or conventional wisdoms)  and it gives you a clue of what is possible.Being over critical in the short term and expecting every problem to be solved overnight is not being realistic. The government has also had  an invasion  to deal with.
On the coal issue-- the Ukrainian government has had numerous unpalatable compromises forced on it-- and being pragmatic does not discredit it for me.
BTW-- coal from Australia has started arriving in Ukraine at Mauripol last week .It is an illustration of the extent of problem solving sought to cover a Ukraine facing winter with a coal shortage.


 1  The roots of Ukraine’s systemic corruption are quite deep and are nearly three centuries old.  They were institutionalized under Peter the Great’s creation of Russia’s Civil Service system which was created without a budget to pay its employees.  Peter the Great told his civil servants that, “if they were smart enough to get the job, they were smart enough to figure out a way to make money from it”. I’m amazed that anyone thinks that in such a short period of time that because of a riot in Kiev last year that “things have really changed”, why if that’s all it takes I guess the riot in Ferguson, Mo. last night will rid the USA of racism, hoo-ray!!!  Don’t take my word for it, after all I was’t there yesterday to see these wonderous changes for myself, ask an investor in Ukraine, like this fellow mentioned in the



 2   Separate investigative reports from Pravda.com.ua and Theinsider.ua suggested that the “somebody” in question could be Sergei Kuzyara, a coal trader with close ties to Ukraine’s deposed President Viktor Yanukovych. Kuzyara’s plans to buy coal from Russia and the rebels in eastern Ukraine had found support in the Poroshenko camp. Such an arrangement could be lucrative. The rebels, despite the assistance they receive from Russia, need funds and would be willing to accept low prices for the coal they seized from the warehouses of state-owned mines.

   
Get it, Poroshenko is going to buy Ukrainian coal from the separatists who will use the money to continue the war!

So what’s changed in Ukraine?

3What, I lost my credibility because of a reference to a “time machine”, my goodness, I’ll have to go back in time and remove the reference, ha,ha!!  Oh no, I just met myself traveling backwards in time, just at the point when I was going to reveal the last time I was actually in Ukraine and accidentally created a singularity, so now I’ll have to go back even before that and...

K2---1/    like I said-- you keep harking back to the past . It has no relevance to Ukraine 2014--other than to illustrate that corruption is historically endemic. No one is arguing that it is not a problem--what you are disputing is that the attitude has changed -- and you cannot use history or even current examples to dispel the view that a new attitude is prevelant.
I for one-- do not dispute that it is a massive problem to tackle-I am not arguing that at all-- what I am saying is that it is on the agenda and given a reasonable opportunity to govern- the new government will tackle it.

2/  What has changed you ask--ther is the answer in your own words-- a free press commenting on contraversial government decisions--let me say it again-- a democratic free press!!

3/  Your reluctance to simply answer my question--"When were you last there"? highlights one of my points--you seek to use your time in Ukraine to enhance your credibility-- when in fact it was a long time ago-- so your comments on current day Ukraine have no credibility from personal observation--your comments are from a previous era-you know it-now we all know it to-simple as that.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 12:26:05 AM
K2-- so it was when? 2005?  To repeat--it does not disqualify you having an opinion--there has been far greater ignorance expressed on the forums by people that have never been there-- so your insight still has merit-on some topics!

What you are not recognising is a huge shift-- a change of direction and attitudes.You keep harking back to issues of previous times--those very issues are what maidan was about--ie changing Ukraine to create a future.You dismiss that glibly--and keep harking back-my point is that you simply don't know! Your opinions were formed and are now stuck in an earlier time.
The forum has seen a procession this year of others like you-- that simply dont get it !
Calmissile refers to anecdotal personal experiences of examples of change. I can also quote personal experiences and knowledge of a shift--plus lot's more. These are small examples-but real life current experiences.

Jay it takes much longer than just one year.  He's right IMO the Oligarchs who rob from this country will never change.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on November 26, 2014, 12:50:03 AM
Jay it takes much longer than just one year.  He's right IMO the Oligarchs who rob from this country will never change.

It could take a generation..... or more.

My thoughts are the corruption can be better disguised and not so much out in the open. Businesses still will have to pay the bribes to get any licenses or paperwork needed. I still see the corruption both times this year...same as last year. I see no difference. Hopefully time will change thoughts and what is right, as someone said...its a mindset.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 26, 2014, 02:26:01 AM
Jay it takes much longer than just one year.  He's right IMO the Oligarchs who rob from this country will never change.

AC-- my reference to this year was the period of change of attitude--not a solution to the problem per se--but a change of attitude to tackle the issues/
I do not doubt that if the oligarchs are left to run amok  as in the past -then it will be difficult to change--BUT-- the mood has changed of the whole country and it's expectations. The desire to create a better environment is there now.
That is a major major change.
What K2 is saying is exactly like what has happened in the east and Crimea-- hang the government of today for the sins of the past-- and not give them the opportunity to correct those ills.
I find it particularly abhorrent  that the sacrifices of Ukrainians of this last year is discounted so blithely .


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 26, 2014, 02:28:43 AM
It could take a generation..... or more.

My thoughts are the corruption can be better disguised and not so much out in the open. Businesses still will have to pay the bribes to get any licenses or paperwork needed. I still see the corruption both times this year...same as last year. I see no difference. Hopefully time will change thoughts and what is right, as someone said...its a mindset.

Where and how is that exactly?
You seem to refer to a specific example-- so be specific.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 09:04:01 AM
My dear “patriots”

Ukraine currently has a 20% inflation rate that is expected to increase to 25% next month, said the head of the National Bank of Ukraine, article here:

http://mw.ua/ECONOMICS/nbu-expects-25-inflation-rate-492_.html

The hryvnia has lost more than 41 percent this year against the dollar, and will likely continue to drop (especially since the NBU no longer has the foreign currency to intervene):

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-06/ukraine-inflation-jumps-to-19-8-on-food-amid-conflict.html

Ukraine is no longer receiving coal from Donbas, unless it is covertly buying from separatists or re-importing from Russia:  So if it doesn’t buy from separitists/Russia, it will have to buy from foreign sources with foreign reserves, like a few corrupt ministers tried to do here:

http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/editorial/stop-stealing-371761.html

However, after the corruption involving this deal was made public, South Africa has refused to sell Ukraine any more coal, because even South Africa has to protect its “reputation” from Ukraine, even Poland and other foreign sources don’t want to sell to Ukraine!

http://www.capital.ua/en/news/34211-kompaniya-iz-yuar-otkazalas-ot-novykh-sdelok-po-postavkam-uglya-v-ukrainu

In the last 6 months, we’ve all been privileged to see  Ukraine’s version of  “Lives of the Rich and Famous”, well actually it’s the “Lives of Ukrainian Senior Political figures” with various Dacha’s in Kiev:

 http://www.rferl.org/media/video/ukraine-zlochevskiy-palace/26707701.html

and of course let’s not forget Yanukovych’s dacha which apparently now has its own wikipedia page!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mezhyhirya_Residence

I could take this list and go on and on and on, oligarch after oligarch, even the current President Poroshenko made his fortune the old fashioned Ukrainian way, by taking the ownership documents of Roshen Chocolate and at the bottom where it said, “owned by The People of Ukraine”, scratched out the “People of Ukraine” part and then signed his own name there.

However, some of you here have claimed that things are different now and that I’m just “out of touch with Ukraine’s New Reality”

Well, denial is not a river in Egypt folks. 
I guess “technically" you are correct, In the past year Ukraine has certainly changed!

The biggest manufacturing exporting region in Ukraine is in near total ruins
The biggest coal producing region in Ukraine is now cut-off from Ukraine
Ukraine’s inflation rate is about 25%
Hryvnia in free-fall as well as GDP
Ukraine banks in deep trouble (this would need a separate article to explain how bad it is)
Ukraine’s foreign reserves are almost gone
Ukraine has massive debts, almost no ability to repay, and a lot of “missing” funds
Ukraine’s military is in shambles with poor commanders and “missing” equipment
Crimea has been seized, and will likely soon lose a portion of East and Southern Ukraine
Corruption is still rampant in Ukraine’s central government
(I will skip the next 172 entries in this list, it’s too tedious to write all this stuff)

However, as is claimed on this forum, peoples “attitudes have changed”, now I hate to bring up that dreaded topic, you know, “the past”, but as someone who was there during the Orange Revolution, how would you compare and contrast peoples’s attitudes during the Orange Revolution and during the Maidan Protests, weren’t they after all basically the same?

How well did the Orange Revolution work out?  So much for Hope and Change

This discussion has nothing at all to do with the date of the last time I set foot in “Ukraine”, especially since I lived in Crimea, I could’ve been there yesterday and it would’t have changed one single character of what I wrote here.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Misha on November 26, 2014, 09:38:13 AM
It could take a generation..... or more.


When there is the will at the top, it can be done relatively quickly. Georgia has received a lot of positive press as to its successful fight against corruption: [size=78%]http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2012/02/tbilisi%E2%80%99s-corruption-busters (http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2012/02/tbilisi%E2%80%99s-corruption-busters)[/size]
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 11:13:07 AM
AC,

Чогось наша славна Україна зажурилася

According to this source:

http://www.encyclopediaofukraine.com/display.asp?linkpath=pages\S\O\SovietpartisansinUkraine1941hD75.htm

“ In Ukraine, Soviet partisans played a less important role in the Soviet war effort against the Germans than they did in other parts of the Soviet Union.”

On the otherhand, consider this source:

http://www.feldgrau.com/rvol.html

“These so-called "Hilfswillige," or "Hiwi," were employed as sentries, drivers, store- keepers, workers in depots, etc. The experiment surpassed all expectations. In the spring of 1942 there were already at least 200,000 of them in the rear of the German armies, and by the end of the same year their number was allegedly near 1,000,000. “

According to Wikipedia, about 1/4 of the 6th Army’s strength at Stalingrad were Hiwis
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hiwi_%28volunteer%29

If you look at the territory that was occupied by the Germans at the end of 1942, you would have to conclude that the bulk of Hiwis would have had to come from Ukraine

So I guess Ukraine really did play an important role in WWII!

OTOH, if you’re referring to the UPA durring WWII, then take note that according to Wikipedia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukrainian_Insurgent_Army

“Although German policies were criticized, the Soviet partisans were identified as the primary enemy of OUN (B)”

At the end of the war, the USSR was able to military oppose the UPA with around 30,000 NKVD troops and during the last 8 months of the war  the UPA suffered approximately 89,000 killed, approximately 91,000 captured, and approximately 39,000 surrendered while the Soviet forces lost approximately 12,000 killed, approximately 6,000 wounded and 2,600 MIA

The real turning point against the UPA came however, when the Soviets switched tactics from a purely military campaign in 1947, and established an intelligence gathering network within the UPA and shifted the focus of their actions from mass terror to infiltration and espionage. After 1947 the UPA's activity began to subside, and the Soviet authorities tried to win over the local population by making significant economic investment in Western Ukraine.

So my friends, Russia has “been there, done that”, if the situation in Ukraine returns to the same level that it did with the UPA resistance, what makes you think the outcome will be any different this time?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 11:40:17 AM
All that you posted is old news and I'm already familiar with it.  I wonder why you feel a need to re-hash it out 75 years or so after the end of WWII. 

Ukrainians were enlisted in the armed forces of the Soviet Union and fought against the Germans.  Your singular focus on Hiwi's (which were not combat in nature at all) and Partisans is telling to me.

Yet another mindless Russian propaganda troll?  I'm beginning to wonder.

Your opinions about corruption are mostly accurate I believe -- but you are very pessimistic and not taking into account that Poroshenko does seem very determined to change the status quo.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 11:44:11 AM
So my friends, Russia has “been there, done that”, if the situation in Ukraine returns to the same level that it did with the UPA resistance, what makes you think the outcome will be any different this time?

This statement is mind-bogglingly clueless.  Russia by itself did nothing of the sort.  The Soviet Union had enormous assets of the allies on their side.

Now Russia is isolated and by itself -- and with the combined economic sanctions of the West and possibly soon to be military assets of NATO allied against a lone dictator and his out of date military.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 11:52:17 AM

When there is the will at the top, it can be done relatively quickly. Georgia has received a lot of positive press as to its successful fight against corruption: [size=78%]http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2012/02/tbilisi%E2%80%99s-corruption-busters (http://www.economist.com/blogs/easternapproaches/2012/02/tbilisi%E2%80%99s-corruption-busters)[/size]

Exactly.  And you can be certain that both Ukraine and the West will look at Georgia for a comparison.  Ukraine knows the alternative to success.  Decades more as a subjugated vassal state of the Evil Empire to the East.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 26, 2014, 11:52:46 AM
Quote
The real turning point against the UPA came however, when the Soviets switched tactics from a purely military campaign in 1947, and established an intelligence gathering network within the UPA and shifted the focus of their actions from mass terror to infiltration and espionage. After 1947 the UPA's activity began to subside, and the Soviet authorities tried to win over the local population by making significant economic investment in Western Ukraine.

So my friends, Russia has “been there, done that”, if the situation in Ukraine returns to the same level that it did with the UPA resistance, what makes you think the outcome will be any different this time?


Seriously, you believe this?

The Soviets were fighting UPA into the 1950's.  The locals were so "won over" by the Soviets, that all their churches were closed, and millions were sent to gulags.  My Godfather's wife and two sons, both under 12, were sent to Siberia in 1946.  Both boys were required to chop a certain amount of wood daily, failing which, they were beaten with a wooden board.  Their crime was that their father had been forcibly taken to Germany as a slave labourer.  They were released in 1956.  My mother's cousin, a teen, was sent to a gulag for the crime of taking in laundry (for cash) from UPA members.  She was raped routinely by prison guards.  These stories are typical of the region (the two I mentioned were from different oblasts, and did not know each other), nothing special or shocking.

Until the collapse of the USSR, Western Ukraine was governed not from Kyiv (as was the rest of the Ukrainian SSR), but by Moscow.  Russification policies were particularly intense.  In Kyiv in the 1980's, there were two technical colleges that would take students who were not Komsomol members.  This did not exist in Western Ukraine, where Komsomol membership was a requirement even for a part time night school diploma.  My relatives (my age), all lived in a village in Ivano Frankivsk.  In high school, Komsomol membership was mandatory, which was not the case in Central or Eastern Ukraine.

I could go on with other examples.  But, you get the point.  It was force, not the great life provided by the Soviets, which quieted the locals.  That is why most of them returned to the Greek Catholic Church on the collapse of the USSR, why there were disputes about who controlled the churches (Greek Catholics vs Orthodox), why they immediately returned to speaking Ukrainian rather than Russian in their daily lives, why they demanded Ukrainian be made the official language of Ukraine, and why nationalism and an intense desire to divorce from the "moskali" occurred after the USSR collapsed.

As for collaboration, it is something that has interested me since the 1980's.  I don't have time to debate it, but I believe your numbers are grossly inflated.

Here are a couple of links.  The first one is from a nationalist, but he does give numbers on Ukrainians in the Red Army (estimates are 4.5 million to 7 million).  Keep in mind over 600,000 mostly Ukrainian Red Army soldiers were captured in the initial invasion, and most of them died in POW concentration camps, usually within spitting distance of their homes.  These soldiers often were given a choice - serve the Germans, or die -

http://www.infoukes.com/upa/related/military.html (http://www.infoukes.com/upa/related/military.html)

http://books.google.ca/books?id=YMk8366ZFQcC&pg=PA77&lpg=PA77&dq=number+of+ukrainians+in+german+army+wwii&source=bl&ots=g4jx7sProF&sig=IMHB62Qg0KBWCutG17vvVCAa6U0&hl=en&sa=X&ei=6x12VKf5BsmoNtTzgvgD&ved=0CCMQ6AEwATgK#v=onepage&q=number%20of%20ukrainians%20in%20german%20army%20wwii&f=false (http://books.google.ca/books?id=YMk8366ZFQcC&pg=PA77&lpg=PA77&dq=number+of+ukrainians+in+german+army+wwii&source=bl&ots=g4jx7sProF&sig=IMHB62Qg0KBWCutG17vvVCAa6U0&hl=en&sa=X&ei=6x12VKf5BsmoNtTzgvgD&ved=0CCMQ6AEwATgK#v=onepage&q=number%20of%20ukrainians%20in%20german%20army%20wwii&f=false)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 12:23:10 PM
Mods:  perhaps discussion solely on events of WWII should be split-off away from this thread.  It's a common tactic of the pro-Russian group to divert attention away from the activities of the current regime in Moscow against Ukraine by discussing this.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on November 26, 2014, 12:56:44 PM
K2-- I seem to have missed the answer AGAIN !! So-- you have not been there since when? 2007? :)


Heh, and just because you "were" in Ukraine recently makes you the luminary in all Ukrainian?


Tell you what. Take off your rose-colored glasses and talk to the Ukrainians that are in the frontline. Ask those who felt like shooting the Kyiv commander because the bastard was simply looking after his own interests and "fcuk" Ukraine was better for his bottom line.


Basically, stop spewing nonsense.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on November 26, 2014, 12:59:25 PM
K-2  Another perhaps false perception you have is there is no change in the corruption in Ukraine.  I cannot argue about corruption at the oligarch level, however I can personally tell you that there is a huge difference in the judiciary and civil servants that man the various government offices.



Doug, you are out in left field there with that statement. Please verify your statements with real judiciary. Don't mean to burst your bubble. Trust me, there's nothing that would make me so happy as to know what you just said is the reality.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 02:17:48 PM
The Consolation of Boethius

“Seriously, you believe this?
The Soviets were fighting UPA into the 1950's.”

Yeah, I know, I just wanted within the space of a sentence or two to illustrate how Soviet strategy changed and how it was increasingly effective until the Soviets completely wiped out the UPA.

Boethius, everyone knows the Soviets were extremely brutal to their “subjects”, they certainly had a preference for the stick (or nosh or britva), in order for carrots to be a powerful coercive force, the people first need to be hungry... and also as a reference to both a past and likely future Russian strategy for Ukraine...

“ I don't have time to debate it, but I believe your numbers are grossly inflated.”

I’m just quoting the sources I mentioned, I can’t vouch for their accuracy any more than you can vouch for yours, despite the quantitative uncertainty,  I think you CAN say with certainty that a large number of Ukrainians were collaborating with the Nazis.  It’s not something I want to beat-up Ukrainians for, as I’ve said, I have a wife and children, if I were in their situation, I would do anything to keep my family fed as well, I’m not being judgmental, just reacting to the post that was saying, “hey, how ‘bout them Ukrainians, and the whipping they gave the Nazis”,  there’s another side to this, and is relevant to todays events.   How will Ukraine be able to present itself as the best choice for its people if its economy completely crashes in 2015, and if this does happen, how may people will “switch sides” as a result?

BTW AC, please don’t label me as being “Pro-Russian”, this is a clear misrepresentation of my statements.  I have ENORMOUS sympathy with the people of Ukraine, why?  Because I’ve been in their shoes, my children went to a Ukrainian school, I understand what it feels like to take your kids to a school that has no heat in the middle of winter.  I understand the downcast look in an old woman’s eyes who sits all day in the market to sell a few dollars worth of “kartoshkie”, I’ve seen it all my friend, seen kids left in their own waste in a hospital in Chernigov, cuz the administration stole all the money, seen orphanage #1 and orphanage #2 in Sevastopol, I don’t even want to describe what I saw there, I know first hand, what suffering the people of Ukraine must endure and experienced some of the lessor forms myself with my family, and seriously I haven’t even started on this subject and will out of necessity just have to stop myself  from going any further.  If mentioning the suffering that the people of Ukraine must endure because of it’s no-good, thieving corrupt oligarchy makes me “Pro-Russian”, I will just have to say that these few words are better than your silence on the subject, so what does that make you my friend?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 26, 2014, 02:38:11 PM
The Consolation of Boethius

“Seriously, you believe this?
The Soviets were fighting UPA into the 1950's.”


It is not a matter of believing it.  It is a fact.  The slaughter in that area was exceptionally brutal.  I heard stories when I visited relatives, and I also heard many more stories of the carnage in Poland, where Ukrainians and Poles were engaged in a particularly nasty nationalist war.  It is not hidden.  My husband knew about it, including when he still lived in the USSR, and he was a Kyianin.

Quote
Yeah, I know, I just wanted within the space of a sentence or two to illustrate how Soviet strategy changed and how it was increasingly effective until the Soviets completely wiped out the UPA.


But it wasn't.  You implied the Soviets bettered the lives of the locals.  That is not true.  The only thing that was better was universal primary/secondary education, which was not mandatory when the Poles ruled the region.  The Bolsheviks ruled that region with a stick, not a carrot.  Always.


Quote
Boethius, everyone knows the Soviets were extremely brutal to their “subjects”, they certainly had a preference for the stick (or nosh or britva), in order for carrots to be a powerful coercive force, the people first need to be hungry... and also as a reference to both a past and likely future Russian strategy for Ukraine...


They were not hungry in Western Ukraine.  In the 1940's, that region, particularly after WWII, was predominantly rural.  Even today, that region is among the poorest in Ukraine, but people survive because almost everyone has a garden.

Quote
I’m just quoting the sources I mentioned, I can’t vouch for their accuracy any more than you can vouch for yours, despite the quantitative uncertainty,  I think you CAN say with certainty that a large number of Ukrainians were collaborating with the Nazis.  It’s not something I want to beat-up Ukrainians for, as I’ve said, I have a wife and children, if I were in their situation, I would do anything to keep my family fed as well, I’m not being judgmental, just reacting to the post that was saying, “hey, how ‘bout them Ukrainians, and the whipping they gave the Nazis”,  there’s another side to this, and is relevant to todays events.   How will Ukraine be able to present itself as the best choice for its people if its economy completely crashes in 2015, and if this does happen, how may people will “switch sides” as a result?

Ukrainian collaboration was no higher in Ukraine than it was in other occupied countries.  That is a fact.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 02:49:54 PM
sorry for the confusion

“Seriously, you believe this?
The Soviets were fighting UPA into the 1950's.”

that was your own writing, you're repsonding to yourself, don't worry I do that a lot to, it alarms my family sometimes

"bettered the lives of the locals.  That is not true. "
didn't say it was, at best it was propaganda and building state-run factories that were needed anyway, if I remember from my trip there, Lvov once was the TV set capital of the USSR

"They were not hungry in Western Ukraine"
my reference to hunger, was just a metaphor, sorry, yup everyone has their dachas/gardens for growing food, I sure did, which even included pigs, sheep and chickens

"Ukrainian collaboration was no higher in Ukraine than it was in other occupied countries.  That is a fact."
So it WAS pretty high then??  Although I expect it was higher than in Western European countries, but no facts to back up that assumption, just never heard of Hiwis in Belgium for example...




Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 26, 2014, 02:53:42 PM
sorry for the confusion

“Seriously, you believe this?
The Soviets were fighting UPA into the 1950's.”

that was your own writing, you're repsonding to yourself, don't worry I do that a lot to, it alarms my family sometimes

"bettered the lives of the locals.  That is not true. "
didn't say it was, at best it was propaganda and building state-run factories that were needed anyway, if I remember from my trip there, Lvov once was the TV set capital of the USSR

"They were not hungry in Western Ukraine"
my reference to hunger, was just a metaphor, sorry, yup everyone has their dachas/gardens for growing food, I sure did, which even included pigs, sheep and chickens

"Ukrainian collaboration was no higher in Ukraine than it was in other occupied countries.  That is a fact."
So it WAS pretty high then??  Although I expect it was higher than in Western European countries, but no facts to back up that assumption, just never heard of Hiwis in Belgium for example...


No, it wasn't high.  Less than 2%, IIRC, across all countries (may be less than 1%, I haven't read it in some time).  There is a well respected historian, Roman Szporluk, who studied this extensively. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 26, 2014, 04:54:29 PM

Heh, and just because you "were" in Ukraine recently makes you the luminary in all Ukrainian?


Tell you what. Take off your rose-colored glasses and talk to the Ukrainians that are in the frontline. Ask those who felt like shooting the Kyiv commander because the bastard was simply looking after his own interests and "fcuk" Ukraine was better for his bottom line.


Basically, stop spewing nonsense.

Lets start with your nonsense--  from the time I first came to the forums-- you joined with a group of forum fools( the same few who are now making themselves look totally ridiculous) to attack me -- the issue-- whether  I had ever been in Ukraine at that time. The basis-- a lie invented by a fool. You happily joined in( only about 6 people) to continue following a troll --including to this forum--where you repeated that allegation in seeking to discredit an expressed opinion.
Not only were you wrong back then -- and have never corrected or apologised for the insults-- you now trot this out-- funnily enough when I was illustrating why a poster could not comment from current exposure.
In your case-- my guess is you have not been there recently either so feel inadequate as a result. I understand you do have some direction contact very relevant to events in Ukraine this year--but please-- do not try to make it a pissing contact about who has the best contacts.You know zero of where ,what,who ,how etc my information is gained.So please-- put your brain in gear before you open your mouth and grow up.
A wise man once said to me" no one has a mortgage on good ideas"-- and that applies to information-- it can come from a lot of places and for me--I am interested in every source.
Rose coloured glasses? I am very well aware of much that is not right--or mistakes being made-- but in the end there is a long term bigger picture to consider. I think you will see I mostly comment on that.The short term issues in play tend to have too much not clear to draw a conclusion on.

So really-"Basically, stop spewing nonsense."      Take your own advice !! :)

ps    I have basically chosen to ignore your posts for some time-- but you never seem to learn any lessons from history-trolling and stalking can irritate people in real ife-as you know--so why not try and stick to fair comment rather than attempt a personal attack
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 05:44:47 PM
hey jayH,

you‘re complaining about someone attacking you over the issue of
“...whether  I had ever been in Ukraine at that time."
change that sentence slightly to
“When was the last time I was in Ukraine”
and you basically have the essence of your “attack” against me

why complain about something and then turn around and do basically the same thing to someone else???
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 26, 2014, 06:05:24 PM
hey jayH,

you‘re complaining about someone attacking you over the issue of
“...whether  I had ever been in Ukraine at that time."
change that sentence slightly to
“When was the last time I was in Ukraine”
and you basically have the essence of your “attack” against me

why complain about something and then turn around and do basically the same thing to someone else???

No, JayH isn't attacking the same way.  He's just wondering if your experience in Ukraine is recent enough to be relevant to what's happening NOW, not saying that you've been telling a pack of lies about living there at all (which is what happened to him).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on November 26, 2014, 08:33:55 PM
It could take a generation..... or more.

My thoughts are the corruption can be better disguised and not so much out in the open. Businesses still will have to pay the bribes to get any licenses or paperwork needed. I still see the corruption both times this year...same as last year. I see no difference. Hopefully time will change thoughts and what is right, as someone said...its a mindset.

US corporations all pay bribes to local, state, and federal politicians and bureaucrats, except they call it "lobbying" and "political contributions", and it's totally legal currently.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on November 26, 2014, 08:42:52 PM
Anotherkiwi,
A point of view is a poor substitute for insight and understanding.  Anyone who tries to make a distinction between past and present in Ukraine, doesn’t understand either. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on November 26, 2014, 08:47:29 PM

Doug, you are out in left field there with that statement. Please verify your statements with real judiciary. Don't mean to burst your bubble. Trust me, there's nothing that would make me so happy as to know what you just said is the reality.

It was not my intent to join a peeing contest.  It was only to offer my and my wife's personal experience up until a week ago.  In my first post I indicated that I had no personal knowledge about the top levels of government and the oligarchs.  It is/was our experience that the levels of corruption of local officials that affect peoples everyday lives.  To correct the corruption problem, it necessary to change the culture of ordinary people since it has been embedded in the culture for so many years.

It is our experience that this has already begun and is starting to have an effect.  With the clampdown announced  by the president, the local authorities, police, and judiciary have changed their behavior.  You may recall, civilians riding with the police to reduce the opportunity for bribes.  The fact that low level government civil servants are telling people to not offer bribes is a step in the right direction.  The culture is not going to change overnight, but it appears to us that it has started.

A month or so ago there was a list of names of hundreds of businessmen and politicians that were found to be corrupt and are barred from holding public office or their former government jobs.  Of course, it would be easy for someone to claim that it is all propaganda, but coupled with what we see at the local levels, it appears that change is under way.

As far as politicians and oligarchs, I have no personal knowledge so as far as I know BO's reports might be accurate.  In my opinion, toppling the corrupt oligarchs would be easier than changing the culture of the masses.  My wife was in business for over 12 years and is quite familiar with the the day to day corruption of the past.  For the past 1.5 years she has been through the ringer in Kiev courts.  She sees the changes that you used to be able to buy your way through.  Didn't work anymore!     ;D

To show my support for a new Ukraine, I am eating a Roshen chocolate bar she just brought to me.   Yummy.    :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lonedrake on November 26, 2014, 09:18:11 PM
Quote
I am eating a Roshen chocolate bar she just brought to me.   Yummy.    :)

I just ate one also. Very good.


 My take on the corruption is that it is changing some. The police are more learly of demanding bribes. Officials are concerned about bad press and consequences…..and lets not forget about what Right Sector can do. People know this and are becoming more vocal against corruption.

That said….my wife think Porshenko is just another crook and liar and needs to be shot before any real change can happen.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 26, 2014, 09:23:05 PM
I believe I read that there have been 28,000 fired or dismissed so far with this new Lustration Law.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 11:27:50 PM
US corporations all pay bribes to local, state, and federal politicians and bureaucrats, except they call it "lobbying" and "political contributions", and it's totally legal currently.

 :clapping:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on November 26, 2014, 11:32:02 PM
I just ate one also. Very good.


 My take on the corruption is that it is changing some. The police are more learly of demanding bribes. Officials are concerned about bad press and consequences…..and lets not forget about what Right Sector can do. People know this and are becoming more vocal against corruption.

That said….my wife think Porshenko is just another crook and liar and needs to be shot before any real change can happen.

Before people get too up in arms about "corruption" in Ukraine understand that it's been that way for about 300 years because their salary simply is not enough (not even remotely enough) to live on.  So yes many will get small bribes to get something done faster.  Most here would do the same -- had they been born and raised there and had no other way to support their families. 

The real problem is that some are probably much better than others at abusing their authority -- so yes Ukraine will eventually have a much better future provided they do move away from the bribe system.  It simply won't happen overnight.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on November 26, 2014, 11:39:55 PM
Right. I do feel  that they are on the right track at this point.  :clapping:

 But I'll update after I get back there and see what it's like. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 27, 2014, 04:04:08 AM
Before people get too up in arms about "corruption" in Ukraine understand that it's been that way for about 300 years because their salary simply is not enough (not even remotely enough) to live on.  So yes many will get small bribes to get something done faster.  Most here would do the same -- had they been born and raised there and had no other way to support their families. 

The real problem is that some are probably much better than others at abusing their authority -- so yes Ukraine will eventually have a much better future provided they do move away from the bribe system.  It simply won't happen overnight.

Despite the arguments between members on this thread, it does appear that everyone actually agrees with what AC has written.  Time is what's needed to change the mindsets of so many people - my worry is that Putin will do something drastic before enough time has passed.
Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on December 05, 2014, 07:58:59 PM
Mikheil Saakashvili: Putin did not go to Kiev tanks. He will attack the new fifth column



http://www.pravda.com.ua/rus/articles/2014/12/5/7046580/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 07, 2014, 12:50:04 PM
An interesting analysis of Obama and Ukraine.  I don't agree with everything stated, but it is food for thought.


http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/op-ed/will-ritter-obama-playing-the-long-game-against-putin-in-ukraine-374346.html

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on December 07, 2014, 08:56:01 PM
The author of this article is wrong on so many levels.  Even Must will agree with me.  Obama is a zero on Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 07, 2014, 10:18:38 PM
An interesting analysis of Obama and Ukraine.  I don't agree with everything stated, but it is food for thought.


http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/op-ed/will-ritter-obama-playing-the-long-game-against-putin-in-ukraine-374346.html

excerpt
"Although Putin operates in a vastly different political system, he is no less rational than Obama, Britain’s David Cameron, or Germany’s Angela Merkel. He wants what he wants, but he also cares about how much he pays to get it. He understands fully that the West’s sanctions are only in the initial phase of damaging the Russian economy, and that the pain, both for the elites and the Russian population at large, is going to increase steadily over time if there is no peace settlement in Ukraine. The latest comments from all three of the above Western leaders indicate that they have no intention of rolling back the sanctions without real de-escalation from the Russian-separatist side in the Donbass war. 

The toughening situation for the Kremlin is further exacerbated by the recent stunning fall in global oil prices; don’t expect Obama to claim, or receive, any credit for this development, but the timing is certainly rather mysterious given how little oil prices had moved over the previous four years from a tight range near $100 per barrel."


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 07, 2014, 10:23:00 PM
The author of this article is wrong on so many levels.  Even Must will agree with me.  Obama is a zero on Ukraine.

I would recommend that you go back and read the article more carefully.  The author is correct on a few points.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on December 08, 2014, 05:39:43 AM
Praising Obama cheapens the lives lost on both sides.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 08, 2014, 08:02:27 AM
Praising Obama cheapens the lives lost on both sides.


Step away from the keyboard and take your pills.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 08, 2014, 01:38:06 PM
Praising Obama cheapens the lives lost on both sides.

I am not praising Obama.  Read the article again.  Or don't.  The key point is that Crimea and Donbass were still voting with Ukraine, the Rada would not be Western leaning.  Is Obama responsible for this improvement?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on December 08, 2014, 08:51:46 PM

Step away from the keyboard and take your pills.

Stop having sex with men
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 09, 2014, 01:07:23 AM
Stop having sex with men


So that's his problem!   :ROFL:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on December 09, 2014, 03:18:01 AM
While I'm no ardent Obama fan, and will never be so, he as handled this much as the author has described. I don't agree with every point, to be certain, but I can tell you from personal experience that the sanctions are working. In fact, the so-called "reverse sanctions" that Russia has directed at the West have done more to hurt everyday Russians than I would have expected.

Were the US to rush in with immediate lethal aid, it would give Russia every right to continue the patent falsehood that Maidan was an American invention, and that the events of Donbas are the fault of the USA. Russia could also then justify an escalation while pointing to American assistance. The West has wisely allowed other countries, such as Canada, to contribute more than Russia would ever countenance unanswered from Washington. There may come a time when this must change, but for now Angela Merkel, François Hollande, Stephen Harper and David Cameron are rotating with punches to give the Kremlin men headaches.

Putin is a strong man, but not necessarily a strong leader. He continues to shoot himself in the foot at home and the near abroad. His pronouncements that Kazakhstan isn't really a country, and that Russia may seek to right the loss of territory there, not only mirrors his rhetoric on Ukraine, but appears to be pushing President Nazarbayev closer to the West. Another nervous Nelly over Putin's recent foot-in-mouth gaffs is Lukashenko of Belarus. If Putin alienates either, or both, then the grand scheme of a Eurasian Economic Space ("Customs Union") will be history.

His diatribe at Minsk was that the EU had not come with hat in hand and asked Russia's permission to invite Ukraine to an association agreement. Hello? Are you serious? Since when did Kyiv need to get your permission to seek economic alliances?!

He must also be careful at home. His announcement that the next phase of rapid modernization of the military will come courtesy of the Social Welfare Fund was stunning, at least to anyone with a brain. Translation: "I am going to raid your retirement savings to build the military." See how long that lasts with the Babushka brigade.

Prime Minister Medvedev's analysis that the 2015 budget was based on projects with oil around $100 per barrel is also interesting. The Kremlin's plan to gradually dismantle/reform the national health system in favour of direct payments for purchase of insurance by 2025 is ahead of schedule when you look at funding, or rather escalated decreases in funding. That 2025 projection was also based on the price of oil remaining stable. Translation: "We haven't made much progress in the diversification of the general economy, so be prepared for cuts in social funding, coupled with inflation."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on December 09, 2014, 04:19:43 AM
Putin is a strong man, but not necessarily a strong leader. He continues to shoot himself in the foot at home and the near abroad. His pronouncements that Kazakhstan isn't really a country

I did not expect Mendy turns into a plain propagandist. I  will not translate here  what Putin said about  Kazakhstan but forgery of his speech is obvious. I wonder if Mendy made it  himself or just was deceived by US media.

His diatribe at Minsk was that the EU had not come with hat in hand and asked Russia's permission to invite Ukraine to an association agreement. Hello? Are you serious? Since when did Kyiv need to get your permission to seek economic alliances?!

No, Kiev doesn't need the permission from Moscow for  economic alliances. So now it's time for Kiev to pay in $ cash on market prices for gas, coal, electricity. Also let now EU think about who will buy Ukrainian industry merchandise.
By the way EU seems to express displeasure toward Turkey and recommend her to slow economic ties with Russia. Are EU officials serious? Since when did Ankara need to get their permission to seek economic alliances?! :D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on December 09, 2014, 04:35:28 AM

Quote
I wonder if Mendy made it  himself or just was deceived by US media.


I don't have a lot of contact with US media. Perhaps it the Russian media that you should worry about.


In the meantime, Mr. Putin might care to explain his comments to President Nazarbayev, who was fairly blunt in Kazakh state media when he responded to Putin's remarks by saying: "Kazakhstan will not join an organization (Eurasian Customs Union) that is a threat to our independence. Independence is our greatest fortune."


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on December 09, 2014, 05:07:49 AM

I don't have a lot of contact with US media. Perhaps it the Russian media that you should worry about.

In the meantime, Mr. Putin might care to explain his comments to President Nazarbayev, who was fairly blunt in Kazakh state media when he responded to Putin's remarks by saying: "Kazakhstan will not join an organization (Eurasian Customs Union) that is a threat to our independence. Independence is our greatest fortune."

You mean Russian media distorted the Putin's words?  :)
You again have misrepresented, now Nazarbaev's words. He repeats this frase last two years, and context of this particular talk kept no reference to Putin.
Mendy, you raised the issue that was discussed and investigated in Russia and Kazakhstan, and only liberal jornalists are trying to make fools of their readers.
It is enough to give the full speeches to see what leaders wanted to say.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on December 09, 2014, 09:16:51 AM
I did not expect Mendy turns into a plain propagandist. I  will not translate here  what Putin said about  Kazakhstan but forgery of his speech is obvious. I wonder if Mendy made it  himself or just was deceived by US media.


Ahhhhh, so it is frowned upon in Russia to take fact, turn it into fiction and broadcast it as fact? I see.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on December 09, 2014, 09:25:42 AM
You mean Russian media distorted the Putin's words?  :)
You again have misrepresented, now Nazarbaev's words. He repeats this frase last two years, and context of this particular talk kept no reference to Putin.
Mendy, you raised the issue that was discussed and investigated in Russia and Kazakhstan, and only liberal jornalists are trying to make fools of their readers.
It is enough to give the full speeches to see what leaders wanted to say.

Belvis, you my friend are making yourself look very foolish. Perhaps you should pause for at least a few minutes before making these type comments. All propagandist look to make fools of their audience. No one is better at this than the Russia/Putin propaganda machine. You are proof of that.

My wife's first cousin I spoke with recently, she has a very prestigious position at a well known museum in Moscow. She, like you has bought the Putin propaganda hook, line and sinker. She was told last week that half of the museum staff will be eliminated and she probably will be included. She's been there for almost 25 years. No money to pay them with. She like you still can't make the connection of Putin's actions affecting your everyday lives. That is sad really. But, I suppose you are safe from the Facists eh?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 09, 2014, 12:01:16 PM
Stop having sex with men


Bitches don't talk to their man like that.  ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 09, 2014, 12:10:24 PM
You mean Russian media distorted the Putin's words?  :)
You again have misrepresented, now Nazarbaev's words. He repeats this frase last two years, and context of this particular talk kept no reference to Putin.
Mendy, you raised the issue that was discussed and investigated in Russia and Kazakhstan, and only liberal jornalists are trying to make fools of their readers.
It is enough to give the full speeches to see what leaders wanted to say.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on December 09, 2014, 01:33:33 PM
Belvis, you my friend are making yourself look very foolish. Perhaps you should pause for at least a few minutes before making these type comments. All propagandist look to make fools of their audience. No one is better at this than the Russia/Putin propaganda machine. You are proof of that.

Hah? I guess you have no idea what we were disputing with Mendy about. Do you know what and when Nazarbaev said about Eurasian Customs Union, and what Putin said about Kazakhstan? I hope you will be able to keep discussion on topic :D
If you want share your thoughts about Russia/Putin propaganda machine, please address Muzh or lordtiberius, I prefer to argue over concrete themes.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 09, 2014, 01:41:58 PM
Hah? I guess you have no idea what we were disputing with Mendy about. Do you know what and when Nazarbaev said about Eurasian Customs Union, and what Putin said about Kazakhstan? I hope you will be able to keep discussion on topic :D
If you want share your thoughts about Russia/Putin propaganda machine, please address Muzh or lordtiberius, I prefer to argue over concrete themes.


LMAO


Do you know what a cop out is?


I'll let Mendy "discuss" your "facts" properly.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 09, 2014, 03:33:55 PM
Hah? I guess you have no idea what we were disputing with Mendy about. Do you know what and when Nazarbaev said about Eurasian Customs Union, and what Putin said about Kazakhstan? I hope you will be able to keep discussion on topic :D
If you want share your thoughts about Russia/Putin propaganda machine, please address Muzh or lordtiberius, I prefer to argue over concrete themes.
Title: Ukraine's economy only weeks away from collapse
Post by: krimster2 on December 09, 2014, 10:15:51 PM
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/9a3efede-7fc5-11e4-acf3-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3LSUg6SZc

“The International Monetary Fund has identified a $15bn shortfall in its bailout for war-torn Ukraine and warned western governments the gap will need to be filled within weeks to avoid financial collapse.

The IMF’s calculations lay bare the perilous state of Ukraine’s economy and hint at the financial burden of propping up Kiev as it battles Russian-backed separatist rebels in its eastern regions.

The additional cash needed would come on top of the $17bn IMF rescue announced in April and due to last until 2016. Senior western officials involved in the talks said there is only tepid support for such a sizeable increase at a time Kiev has dragged its feet over the economic and administrative reforms required by the programme.

People briefed on the IMF warning said the fiscal gap has opened up because of a 7 per cent contraction in Ukraine’s gross domestic product and a collapse in exports to Russia, the country’s biggest trading partner, leading to massive capital outflows and a rundown in central bank reserves.

The breakaway regions of the east accounted for nearly 16 per cent of Ukraine’s economic output before the start of hostilities.

Without additional aid, Kiev would have to massively slash its budget or be forced to default on its sovereign debt obligations. Since the bailout programme began in April, Ukraine has received $8.2bn in funding from the IMF and other international creditors. ...“



This money (after being skimmed by oligarch’s) will be used to make payments on previous loans, and this loan will be paid by the next loan, and so on...
Putin doesn’t even need to achieve an immediate  military victory in the East, just maintain the status-quo until the IMF will no longer bail out Ukraine...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on December 09, 2014, 11:51:26 PM
Before people get too up in arms about "corruption" in Ukraine understand that it's been that way for about 300 years because their salary simply is not enough (not even remotely enough) to live on.  So yes many will get small bribes to get something done faster.  Most here would do the same -- had they been born and raised there and had no other way to support their families. 

The real problem is that some are probably much better than others at abusing their authority -- so yes Ukraine will eventually have a much better future provided they do move away from the bribe system.  It simply won't happen overnight.

Paying a bureaucrat or a politician a living wage doesn't make him Mother Theresa.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 09, 2014, 11:52:03 PM
It's always such a pleasure to read your rosy reports.  :rolleyes:   (directed at krimster)
Title: Re: Ukraine's economy only weeks away from collapse
Post by: Gator on December 10, 2014, 08:07:07 AM

Putin doesn’t even need to achieve an immediate  military victory in the East, just maintain the status-quo until the IMF will no longer bail out Ukraine...

Russia is suffering too.  Does Russia have any history of winning a war of attrition?  I encounter this strategy from my RW wife.   ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 10, 2014, 08:58:56 AM
Quote
The breakaway regions of the east accounted for nearly 16 per cent of Ukraine’s economic output before the start of hostilities.


But much of that was in dying, inefficient industries.  Furthermore, that region took 25% of government revenue, so it was a net drain on the country.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 10, 2014, 09:04:57 AM

But much of that was in dying, inefficient industries.  Furthermore, that region took 25% of government revenue, so it was a net drain on the country.


Not so according to Satan's Bible the Wall Street Journal.


Crippling of Industry in Eastern Ukraine Reverberates Across Economy
http://www.wsj.com/articles/crippling-of-industry-in-eastern-ukraine-reverberates-across-economy-1418140597?mod=WSJ_hpp_MIDDLENexttoWhatsNewsThird
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 10, 2014, 09:09:12 AM
Realistically, moving to the EU, Ukraine will have to modernize its industries and economy.


There were a few industries in Donbas which were profitable and modern (arms, and there was an Italian owned tile factory that supplied tile not only to Ukraine, but across the EU), but most of its factories are fifty years old, producing stuff that no one needs.  Coal is a dying industry as well.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 12, 2014, 02:13:48 PM
Link to a very nice site about Ukraine:


http://www.facebook.com/ExploringUkraine
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on December 12, 2014, 05:46:33 PM
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2014/12/12/ceasefire-holds-one-day-ukraine/20299739/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on December 16, 2014, 01:49:52 AM

Ukraine Prognostications

This is  a long well thought out article with food for thought.


Predictions and Program for Ukraine for the Next 30 Months
 Oct 29th, 2014 | By pani | Category: Economics, Editor's Choice, Human Rights, In Depth, Infowars, International Relations, National Security, Politics, Russia, Ukraine, Wars 
?Maidan? website is full of texts of ?I told you so? genre. We said that Russia wanted to annex Crimea, one of members of MMIC published a book about it in 2009. We wrote that Ukrainian Army was being intentionally destroyed on demand of Moscow. We wrote in December 2005 that Ukraine should stop using Russian gas and quickly find  alternative energy sources. We warned that Ukrainian Parliament elected in 2006 and 2012 would be dissolved before its legal term was over. We had predicted in 2004, that Yanukovych rule would be bloody. However, nobody listened to us.

Everything changed now. VIPs listen to us and we are sometimes heard. Therefore, our NGO will be posting predictions regularly and we will be publicly monitoring whether they come true. Here are my prognosis and programs for Ukraine.
Continued at the link.


http://world.maidanua.org/2014/predictions-and-program-for-ukraine-for-the-next-30-months

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on December 16, 2014, 07:41:44 AM
Ukraine Prognostications

This is  a long well thought out article with food for thought.


Predictions and Program for Ukraine for the Next 30 Months
 Oct 29th, 2014 | By pani | Category: Economics, Editor's Choice, Human Rights, In Depth, Infowars, International Relations, National Security, Politics, Russia, Ukraine, Wars 
?Maidan? website is full of texts of ?I told you so? genre. We said that Russia wanted to annex Crimea, one of members of MMIC published a book about it in 2009. We wrote that Ukrainian Army was being intentionally destroyed on demand of Moscow. We wrote in December 2005 that Ukraine should stop using Russian gas and quickly find  alternative energy sources. We warned that Ukrainian Parliament elected in 2006 and 2012 would be dissolved before its legal term was over. We had predicted in 2004, that Yanukovych rule would be bloody. However, nobody listened to us.

Everything changed now. VIPs listen to us and we are sometimes heard. Therefore, our NGO will be posting predictions regularly and we will be publicly monitoring whether they come true. Here are my prognosis and programs for Ukraine.
Continued at the link.


http://world.maidanua.org/2014/predictions-and-program-for-ukraine-for-the-next-30-months (http://world.maidanua.org/2014/predictions-and-program-for-ukraine-for-the-next-30-months)


I was discussing this with Natalka on FB before she posted it. Then she dyed her hair bright orange. I told her she was giving the terrorist an ample target. She laughed and said there are no terrorist in Kharkiv.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on December 16, 2014, 08:49:50 AM
It's also good in Kyiv as well as here in Cherkassy. I've noticed a better mood as well as no military road blocks set up at some of the out lying areas that were here last spring. It's pretty much normal from what I see so far.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on December 16, 2014, 09:54:07 AM
The future of Ukraine?  Hmmm.  The simple answer is that with a belligerent Russian, Ukraine will be the front line in a new cold war.  Whereas it was never intended to subsidize Ukraine, from the West, the West will eventually determine that propping up Ukraine is a lot cheaper than dealing with other manifestations of Russian advances.  In other words, keep Russia throwing its resources into trying to destabilize while the West builds it up.   

A Marshall plan for Ukraine is much cheaper than any other solution that might be advanced.  Moreover, a strong and prosperous country will result.  Think of West Germany (and West Berlin) in the 60s.  The best way, then, to combat Soviet aggression was to make West Germany strong.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on December 16, 2014, 10:23:48 AM
I was in Berlin just after the wall came down. It was a huge difference between the living vibrant west and the cold drab east. Like night and day difference!

 I can easily imagine UA becoming a west Berlin.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 23, 2014, 11:39:31 PM
An article on Ukraine's internal refugees -


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/22/ukraine-refugees-home-internally-displaced-people-war-east-russia
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on December 24, 2014, 02:04:32 AM
An article on Ukraine's internal refugees -


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/22/ukraine-refugees-home-internally-displaced-people-war-east-russia

Very interesting - it should be required reading for all the posters here, no matter which side of the fence they reside, to see how the ordinary residents of a once (sort of) stable country have been affected by matters beyond their control.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 26, 2014, 10:49:23 AM
An article on conditions in one terrorist controlled town.  Note that the town is controlled by Russian mercenaries, who, we have been told here, are not fighting in Ukraine ("The rebel faction that controls the town, a detachment of the Russia-based Don Cossack Host").


http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/12/24/christmas-under-fire-conditions-increasingly-dire-for-citizens-of-rebel-held-ukrainian-town/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on December 28, 2014, 03:43:26 PM
An article on conditions in one terrorist controlled town.  Note that the town is controlled by Russian mercenaries, who, we have been told here, are not fighting in Ukraine ("The rebel faction that controls the town, a detachment of the Russia-based Don Cossack Host").


http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/12/24/christmas-under-fire-conditions-increasingly-dire-for-citizens-of-rebel-held-ukrainian-town/

If I was an elderly person stuck in that region I think I would just slash my wrists.  Better than starving to death.
Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 13, 2015, 07:15:10 PM
Amongst all the negative news of war in the east-- Ukraine is trying to carve a way to an independent future. despite Russia's best efforts to sabotage Ukraine progress is being made.Problems are being solved as they arise-how that must be sticking in Putin's throat!


Bloomberg: US steps up Ukrainian loan aid as civilians killed in east

he U.S. pledged as much as $2 billion in loan guarantees to Ukraine as the former Soviet republic tries to avoid default amid an insurgency in its easternmost regions. The U.S. plans to give a $1 billion loan guarantee in the first half, as long as its government keeps up with demands made by the International Monetary Fund, and may provide another $1 billion guarantee in late 2015, the Treasury Department said today

http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine-abroad/bloomberg-us-steps-up-ukrainian-loan-aid-as-civilians-killed-in-east-377325.html

Associated Press: US, EU promise more aid for Ukraine if reforms continue
BRUSSELS - The United States on Jan. 13 reinforced Western assistance for war-torn Ukraine by promising up to $2 billion in loan guarantees if that effort is matched by economic and political reforms in Kyiv.
http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine-abroad/associated-press-us-eu-promise-more-aid-for-ukraine-if-reforms-continue-377338.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on January 14, 2015, 02:59:56 AM
Is this aid package enough?
Title: Ukraine wins in 2015
Post by: JayH on January 17, 2015, 09:12:51 PM
Ukraine wins in 2015 - Nebozhenko

 Ukraine will begin in the last quarter of 2015, when the policy finally begin to implement the necessary reforms in the country. This was on UKRLIFE.TV said political analyst Viktor Nebozhenko. "Reforms in Ukraine will begin in early 2015. Ukrainian political elite is doing its best to carry out reforms, although they only need 180-200 days. It is not necessary to put on his knees the whole country. The political elite does not want to start reform, because it neither sees them in their place.
If the population is ready for reform and hopes that after a while it becomes easier to live, the ruling class does not know which side to start changing.
The victory of Ukraine will start in November and December 2015. Prior to this, we are waiting for a big and difficult period of reform. The worst part of the reforms is that our politicians think that their conduct must be to shift the entire burden on the population or the oligarchs.
They did not consider that it is possible to divide everything equally, "- said Nebozhenko. In addition the analyst believes that Ukraine does not necessarily join NATO, and only needs intensive cooperation with countries that are members of the Alliance.

 Watch an interview with Viktor Nebozhenko broadcast UKRLIFE.TV .


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7xwjCwFxHE#t=25
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 17, 2015, 11:55:55 PM
What to Expect from Russia, Ukraine in 2015?

My guess is: more of the same. And that’s both the good news and the bad news.

Ukraine will consolidate its democratic institutions, while Vladimir Putin’s Russia will consolidate its fascist regime. Although Ukrainians will complain more than Russians, their country will actually be getting stronger, while the hypercentralized state structure centered on Putin’s cult of the macho personality gets weaker. Democratically ruled peoples whine publicly; dictatorially ruled peoples whine privately. The fact that 80-plus percent of Russians are likely to continue to support Putin won’t mean that 80-plus percent are happy with life in Putin’s crumbling realm.

Economically, both countries will be in for trying times. Ukraine’s GDP will contract, unemployment will rise, and inflation will increase—but for the right reasons, as Kyiv embarks on reforms that, while not quite as radical as most economists would wish, will be radical enough to begin the long and arduous task of transforming Ukraine into a genuine market economy. Russia’s GDP will also contract, unemployment will also rise, and inflation will also increase—but for the wrong reasons, as the ossified Putin regime pays heavily for having not diversified or developed its doomed economy. Energy prices, the ruble, its gold reserves, and foreign and domestic investment will collapse as Russian capital takes flight and pressure from Western sanctions continues. The economies of both the Russian-occupied Donbas enclave and the Crimea will contract even more, making life increasingly unbearable for their inhabitants, who will continue to flee both eastward and westward, thereby pushing both regions closer to literal no-man’s-lands.

" Time is on Ukraine’s side, and decidedly not on Russia’s, because time favors democracy and not fascism."
http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/what-expect-russia-ukraine-2015
Title: How Putin Lost Ukraine
Post by: JayH on January 18, 2015, 12:04:54 AM
Written mid year 2014-- as valid now as it was then,
One can only marvel at Dr. Motyl's analysis and for not succumbing to the temptation to comment on the phenomenon that has gone viral, "Путін хуйло" (Putin is a dickhead). However, I can't resist. Following Dr. Motyl's analysis, if the Kremlin had shut up and not mentioned this incident, it would have probably have gone unnoticed by the world. But no, Putin's foreign minister, Lavrov, one of the world's pre-eminent liars, had to make a mountain out of a mole hill.

Putin's carefully contrived image took a major blow and Deshchytsia's inadvertent comment , exposed Putin's image to ridicule making him out to be only a comic book hero. The wisdom of a popular Ukrainian proverb becomes apparent. "Що правда-то не гріх!". (Truth is not a sin.)

How Putin Lost Ukraine

Half a year ago, in the fall of 2013, Ukraine was well on the way to becoming an authoritarian vassal state of Russia. Now, thanks to Russia’s neo-fascist dictator, Vladimir Putin, Ukraine is well on the way to becoming a democracy and a full-fledged member of the international community.

How did Putin snatch a humiliating defeat from the jaws of surefire victory? How could he have walked into a strategic trap of his own making? In a word, how did he lose Ukraine?

And make no mistake about it: it was Putin, and no one else, who lost Ukraine. He had it. He could easily have kept it. But now he’ll never have it again. And he has no one to blame but himself.

Putin has never understood Ukraine. For him, as for all too many Russians, it’s a historical mistake: a part of Russia that’s been swayed from the path of righteousness by a few dastardly fascist imperialist cigar-chomping bourgeois nationalists in cahoots with the CIA. If you treat a bona fide country with a bona fide people with a bona fide identity as your dirty backyard, don’t be surprised if you slip in the mud and fall on your face.

Putin’s first major slip was during the 2004 Orange Revolution, when, stupidly, he backed Viktor Yanukovych. That disaster taught Putin nothing, and, nine years later, he made the same mistake during the Euro Revolution. How could a supposedly smart leader back the same loser—not once, but twice? How could that same supposedly smart leader still insist that the loser remains Ukraine’s legitimate president—even after a fair and free election gave a huge mandate to Petro Poroshenko? The sad thing is that, after 15 years in power, Putin still doesn’t “get” Ukraine.

http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/how-putin-lost-ukraine
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 18, 2015, 12:16:38 AM
Is this aid package enough?

No-- no where near enough.But-- it has to start somewhere and right now Ukraine is faced with so many difficult issues to deal with-- and the Russian intent to try and break Ukraine-one way or another- to prevent it achieving it's aims is just another complication.
The new government wresting with some issues and it causes consternation.
There are a lot of good opinions and advice floating around-- some good brains offering advice !!
Here is another interesting piece-

Does Ukraine’s Reform Plan Measure Up?

The reform plan of Ukraine’s coalition government-in-the-making has received mixed reviews from a team of Ukraine experts affiliated with the policy discussion website VoxUkraine.


According to the analysis:

We assign PASS to 3 sections out of 17, and CONDITIONAL PASS to 6 sections out of 17. We find that the draft does not have a coherent ideology and that many sections advocate Soviet style command economy approach to reforms, while only few sections address the structural causes of the problems in Ukraine.

The good news is that the team rates three of 17 sections as excellent, six as subject to improvement, five as “water” (or boilerplate), and only four as bad. That’s nine of 17 that are at least good enough. And those nine include law enforcement, national security, and energy independence (pass) as well as anticorruption, decentralization, regulation and competition policy, infrastructure and transportation, electoral reform, and ecology (conditional pass).

The bad news is that eight of 17 don’t pass muster, and, worse, these include such key sectors as judicial and financial reform (“water”) and agricultural, constitutional, and economic-growth reform (fail). If you believe that judicial reform underpins all the other reforms, then none of the reforms will take off without a fundamental restructuring of the courts. If, alternatively, you believe that economic growth is the sine qua non of many of the other reforms, then you’re likely to view the bad news as really, really bad.

Unlike the VoxUkraine team, Anders Aslund of the Washington-based Peterson Institute for International Economics believes the entire document is a disaster:

The draft coalition agreement even reminded me of reading Leonid Brezhnev’s speech at the 26th Party Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in 1981. This is not a reform program but an old-style bureaucratic Soviet document for the preservation of the old system. Such a conservative document will never bring reform. There is no declaration of will or strategy. The document does not even start with a set of goals but with a bureaucratic laundry

The reform plan of Ukraine’s coalition government-in-the-making has received mixed reviews from a team of Ukraine experts affiliated with the policy discussion website VoxUkraine.

http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/does-ukraine%E2%80%99s-reform-plan-measure
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on January 18, 2015, 02:46:36 AM
A lot of these reforms demanded by investors and the Ukrainian people don't cost any money.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on January 22, 2015, 03:49:05 AM
Anyone want to buy some Ukrainian bonds?
http://24today.net/open/281604
Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 25, 2015, 02:40:54 AM
In the middle of the current crisis-- I read this-

Ukraїnska revolyutsіya
today at 8:30 pm
How to avoid new Russian-Ukrainian Stalingrad This is a challenge to all Ukrainian society, every person in every town, in every village, in every point of Ukraine We ask a lot of questions that, at the next jump paradigm radicalization will have little meaning. For example, there are Russian troops in the east of Ukraine Russian troops or not? Soon, the question will not have any value. For a year or two can hold basic training to anyone. Especially with all the "practical training". How do you think what will do the thousands and thousands of armed men, without the meaning of life, with dead friends, with the "correct" financial motivation, with "gumkonvoyami" with "invincible" behind Russia? They will be engaged in what they do and now : organize terror from Kharkiv to Mariupol, capture towns, blow up bridges and other infrastructure ... In the case of the Ukrainian army attempts to restore order power method "militia" will serve as bait for boilers, environment, etc. "Ilovaiskaya" that will suit regular Russian army with the use of all forces and means, including "Iskander", "Pinocchio", "Tornado", "Buki", "Hurricane" and so on. Point and very painful: border crossings, strikes the rear, powerful attacks from the territory of the Russian Federation with a lot of losses in manpower and technology on our side. That after the deaths of hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers in such boilers and traps will increase the internal discontent Ukrainians "unprofessional and betrayal General Staff, "" inaction of the president ", etc. That is, to solve the current problem of the aggressor to the erosion of Ukrainian statehood and final revenge pro-Russian forces as a result of a social explosion from an infinite fatigue, stress of war, hopelessness .. Kremlin put his army in the tens of billions of dollars over many, many years of carefree oil paradise. Therefore, it is obvious that in the near future, Ukraine and close will not be able to resist the Russian military machine to the fullest. Yes, and it is not necessary. Here you need to look for, as they say in Russia, "asymmetrical steps". Attempts to arrange a new Russian-Ukrainian Stalingrad, but with frontal using all possible arsenal - is the path to a nuclear winter. And what can be done? The main thing to realize that this war of attrition, that is, the "war of attrition". There will be important active defense. Powerful, layered, high-tech. Plus special services superprofessionalnyh special operations forces. No "rallies for urgent change of the head of the General Staff" will solve nothing. Is that destabilize the country a little more, bring us closer to the goals of the Kremlin. This war - a challenge to the Ukrainian society, every person, in every town, in every village, in every point of Ukraine. Each and every bribe a serious violation of the law - it is a step to defeat. Nepotism and neprofessinalizm - a step towards defeat. Unwillingness to learn and inability to unite to solve local problems and challenges - this is a step to defeat. Well, reform, reform of the reforms. This will add Ukraine fatigue - tired of Ukraine in the world, from its endless problems and requests for assistance. Here the cultural front. Positive image, good movies and unique music, our writers and artists can do a lot more than all the diplomats together. This is an extremely important front. Plus, one way or another, we are hostages of the global context: ISIS / LIH, Iraq, Syria, Nigeria, Israel, Afghanistan, Iran, North Korea ... anything can happen and to lower the priority of our war in the eyes of the world community. And it is very important to us. And Russia will do its best. Our job - to hold on, to build a new modern country and develop its economy, its army and infrastructure, to know each other, go to visit, to create a new quality and quantity of horizontal public relations, build civic institutions, to develop a culture, eager to learn, make contacts and find friends around the world, taking from them the best and modern. And we will win. Sergei Koshman public figure, one of the coordinators of the movement "We - the Europeans"
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on January 25, 2015, 10:50:11 AM
Jay, could you please stop posting this stupid shit?


Please?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on January 26, 2015, 01:36:17 AM
Finally some good news,

Canada to initiate free trade with Ukraine

http://m.thestar.com/#/article/news/world/2015/01/25/canada-talks-free-trade-in-kyiv-as-fighting-intensifies-in-eastern-ukraine.html

EU waits for Putin's blessing.  US clueless
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 26, 2015, 01:51:28 AM
Finally some good news,

Canada to initiate free trade with Ukraine



Canada must first send some money over there so Ukraine can buy their goods. Problem is if the West sends money over there now, the money will go to Russia if the country changes hands. First the conflict must end before the economy can be repaired.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 26, 2015, 02:21:10 AM
Quote
Finally some good news,

Canada to initiate free trade with Ukraine

http://m.thestar.com/#/article/news/world/2015/01/25/canada-talks-free-trade-in-kyiv-as-fighting-intensifies-in-eastern-ukraine.html (http://m.thestar.com/#/article/news/world/2015/01/25/canada-talks-free-trade-in-kyiv-as-fighting-intensifies-in-eastern-ukraine.html)

EU waits for Putin's blessing.  US clueless

LT, the USA has had free trade with Ukraine for quite some time. By 2012 Ukraine had become the 67th largest goods trading partner to the USA with $3.3 billion in total (two way) goods trade. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on January 26, 2015, 02:26:41 AM
America needs to lead the way.
Title: Reverse Flows Shore Up Ukrainian Gas Supplies
Post by: Larry1 on January 26, 2015, 12:54:27 PM
Some of you might find this interesting:

Quote
Reverse Flows Shore Up Ukrainian Gas Supplies

After the gas crisis of 2008 to 2009, during which Russia cut off gas supplies to Ukraine for nearly two weeks, Europe resolved to beef up its energy infrastructure to help prevent such an event in the future. By building out so-called “reverse flow” capabilities, European countries could increase their ability to supply one another in the case of crisis. Now, as Reuters reports, Europe’s reverse flow capacity looks set to jump nearly 27 percent this weekend:

Reverse flows have received a major boost from the new Budince interconnection point between Slovakia and Ukraine. Flows between the two countries began last September following a deal between Slovak transmission system operator Eustream and its Ukrainian counterpart Ukrtransgaz.

In addition, EU member Poland can send 4 mcm per day into Ukraine and Hungary has the capacity to send 16 mcm/day, although Polish reverse flows have not been used this year.

The thinking behind this strategy is easy to understand: it’s not feasible for Europe to significantly reduce its dependence on Russian gas, but if it can construct a more robust pipeline network, it can undercut Putin’s divide-and-conquer strategy. It’s not a perfect solution, but for the time being it’s the best Europe—and especially Ukraine—can hope to employ.


http://www.the-american-interest.com/2015/01/25/reverse-flows-shore-up-ukrainian-gas-supplies/
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on January 26, 2015, 02:57:22 PM

Canada must first send some money over there so Ukraine can buy their goods. Problem is if the West sends money over there now, the money will go to Russia if the country changes hands. First the conflict must end before the economy can be repaired.

This isn't how money works anymore.

No need to physically send or even wire transfer to banks in Ukraine.

Merely set up account in Canada that can be used to purchase goods from Canadian firms.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 28, 2015, 12:02:14 AM
   
West's agri-giants snap up Ukraine

The stakes around Ukraine's vast agricultural sector - the world's third-largest exporter of corn and fifth-largest exporter of wheat - could not be higher. Ukraine is known for its ample fields of rich black soil, and the country boasts more than 32 million hectares of fertile, arable land - the equivalent of one-third of the entire arable land in the European Union.

The maneuvering for control over the country's agricultural system is a pivotal factor in the struggle that has been taking place over the last year in the greatest East-West confrontation since the Cold War.

The presence of foreign corporations in Ukrainian agriculture is growing quickly, with more than 1.6 million hectares signed over to foreign companies for agricultural purposes in recent years. While Monsanto, Cargill, and DuPont have been in Ukraine for quite some time, their investments in the country have grown significantly over the past few years.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/CEN-02-280115.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 28, 2015, 12:59:52 AM

The presence of foreign corporations in Ukrainian agriculture is growing quickly, with more than 1.6 million hectares signed over to foreign companies for agricultural purposes in recent years. While Monsanto, Cargill, and DuPont have been in Ukraine for quite some time, their investments in the country have grown significantly over the past few years.



Foreign companies should be scared to make investments in Russia and they should also be scared of investing their money in Ukraine until they find out who's going to own it in the end. Putin would love to own those high producing farms paid for by the West.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-01-28/putin-goes-all-in-as-ukraine-fights-for-funding-to-avert-default
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 28, 2015, 03:44:29 PM
US allocates Ukraine $ 2 billion

28.01.2015 11:10
KYIV, January 28 /Ukrinform/. The U.S. Government provides financial support to Ukraine in the form of government guarantees worth $ 2 billion.

The corresponding declaration has been signed by finance minister of Ukraine Natalie Jaresko and U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob Joseph Lew, an Ukrinform correspondent has reported.

"Today, the United States and Ukraine have signed a declaration on cooperation in field of loan guarantees. The United States provides Ukraine with loan guarantees worth $ 2 billion. This will allow Ukraine to more actively implement the already started reforms and to attract foreign financial loans under more favorable conditions for Ukraine," Jaresko said.

The U.S. assistance is part of a wider package of international support to Ukraine for implementing reforms and restoring financial stability.

http://24today.net/open/288548
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 12, 2015, 02:04:06 AM
A very important decision for Ukraine was made today. The IMF ongoing support is crucial to any chance that Ukraine has for reform.

IMF confirmed that increased credit to Ukraine to $ 40 billion


The International Monetary Fund loan program expands Kyiv.

IMF plans to provide Ukraine additional 17.5 billion. Thus, Ukraine will receive nearly $ 40 billion over four years.
Більше читайте тут: http://tsn.ua/groshi/mvf-planuye-vidiliti-ukrayini-dodatkovi-17-5-milyarda-dolariv-zmi-408850.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 12, 2015, 05:05:52 AM
As usual, we must read the fine print.  The West has a shameful reputation in this part of the world.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 12, 2015, 07:13:16 AM
As usual, we must read the fine print.  The West has a shameful reputation in this part of the world.

That is a blanket statement that tells us nothing.  Most Ukrainians that I know do not have the idea that the West is shameful.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 12, 2015, 04:21:57 PM
That is a blanket statement that tells us nothing.  Most Ukrainians that I know do not have the idea that the West is shameful.

That is a blanket statement that sums up the facts.  Most Ukrainians that I know reckon that the West is shameful, but keep hoping for some kind of change, "bit by bit", "we're getting there", etc etc
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 12, 2015, 06:10:10 PM
What you've stated is NOT what I've seen or heard there from many. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 12, 2015, 06:43:20 PM
What you've stated is NOT what I've seen or heard there from many.

I am sorry my experiences do not exactly mirror yours.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 12, 2015, 07:02:25 PM
I'm not. :rolleyes:  I must hang with folks with a better outlook on life.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 12, 2015, 08:20:47 PM
I'm not. :rolleyes:  I must hang with folks with a better outlook on life.

Well, if you had not been paid in months, if you got a notice that you will be conscripted, receive 6 weeks of training and off to the front you go, if you had your savings confiscated by Delta bank, if you have to decide to leave the country or fight other Russians, if you have been terrorized for a year by people who all your life you called brothers, that might dampened your outlook on life.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 12, 2015, 10:29:40 PM
Anyone that I know wouldn't stay at a 'job' where they didn't get paid. They'd hustle up another job. SAME AS HERE. 

 The Delta failure was insured. They should be able to recover funds if it's under 10K USD IIRC.

 If he's of age to serve his country then do it. 6 weeks seems a bit short for basic training but others have done it without any time in basic training. Think Azov and Donbass volunteers! They paid their own way to boot.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 12, 2015, 10:34:20 PM
Lol
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 13, 2015, 02:14:35 AM
It seems everyone is sceptical--  this article discusses some of the implications and side issues.

Ukraine ceasefire: European leaders sceptical peace plan will work



European leaders have praised Germany and France for brokering a ceasefire and peace plan for Ukraine, but privately voiced scepticism that the pact struck after a marathon all-night summit in Belarus would work. They worried that an upsurge in fighting before the truce is supposed to take hold in eastern Ukraine on Sunday could quickly turn into a bloodbath.

“The next 48 hours will be crucial,” said one EU diplomat at a summit in Brussels dominated by the Ukraine breakthrough.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/12/ukraine-ceasefire-european-leaders-sceptical-peace-plan-will-work
Title: A Flawed Deal In Minsk
Post by: JayH on February 13, 2015, 02:45:12 AM
More observation of note-- so many getting this correct today--


A Flawed Deal In Minsk

Three presidents and a chancellor pulled an all-nighter in Minsk.

And after marathon talks they produced a cease-fire agreement that -- if implemented -- might stop the fighting between government forces and pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine's Donbas region.

This is the part and comment that hits the nail on the head to me--
Quoting
"But even if it does that, the agreement does little to address the real issue at the heart of the conflict between Kyiv and Moscow: Ukraine's future political direction.
"Putin’s plan to invade first & negotiate later paid off. Haggled over Debaltseve, not Crimea. Aggression rewarded again, encourages more," Russian opposition figure Garry Kasparov tweeted.

Ok, now for the bad news. The rest of the agreement is fraught with peril and pitfalls."
http://www.rferl.org/content/a-flawed-deal-in-minsk/26845309.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 13, 2015, 05:30:07 AM
The only way for this to end is for Ukraine to go on the offensive.  Halfway measures like "defensive weapons" are going to work.  Ukraine is a smaller force going up against a larger force.  The Russians also have better weapons and in some instances better tactics - air defense being a conspicuous advantage. 

The Russians spend $ 88 Billion of their $ 2 trillion economy on the military.  That is why I recommended $ 100 billion in military aid which is double the George Soros figure and that figure excludes economic aid which Ukraine needs.

Also Russia must be attacked by proxy on different fronts.  Russia is withdrawing in Central Asia to fight in Ukraine.  Russia has a large Muslim population.  They will be slowly radicalized as the withdraw continues.  Russia has interests in the Middle East.  Russia's economy is shrinking.  Their ability to resupply their proxies like Iran, the Yemeni Houthis and ISIS would be threatened by a Ukrainian escalation.  Also we need to fortify the Baltic's.

Lastly, no SWIFT for Russia.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 07:24:33 AM
The Russians spend $ 88 Billion of their $ 2 trillion economy on the military.  That is why I recommended $ 100 billion in military aid which is double the George Soros figure and that figure excludes economic aid which Ukraine needs.

...and who do you think is going to pay for this?

Also Russia must be attacked by proxy on different fronts.


Who are you volunteering to do this attacking? They may tell you to stuff it.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 13, 2015, 10:17:12 AM
...and who do you think is going to pay for this?


Who are you volunteering to do this attacking? They may tell you to stuff it.


You can debate me or insult me.  You cannot do both.  If you want to interrogate me, I will answer you but I expect the same courtesy.  Your responses apriori do not lend themselves to good will.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 10:29:16 AM

You can debate me or insult me.  You cannot do both.  If you want to interrogate me, I will answer you but I expect the same courtesy.  Your responses apriori do not lend themselves to good will.


Ok, so answer the questions.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 13, 2015, 10:43:00 AM
Quite honestly, I agree with Steamer.  I cannot imagine, after the plethora of money spent on Iraq, that the US population would stand for contributing $100,000,000,000 to anything other than domestic issues.    It is time to deal in reality rather than fiction.

Having said that, a couple of well placed cluster bombs (aka Smart Pigs) would send the Russians scurrying for the hills in Eastern Ukraine.  By excluding the air force, Putin is setting his forces up for a big fall if any body really gets pissed with him.

For those of you who don't know, one of the US's joint standoff weapons are called 'Smart Pigs'.  They are a cluster bomb that can be dropped from a single bomber that can eliminate a tank army on the ground.  The smart cluster bombs target the engines of vehicles and detonate to disable.

For example:  ALL of the Russian tanks currently moving to Mariupol would be eliminated with one run by a Ukrainian aircraft dropping the bomblets.  Talk about your anti-tank weapons!

This technological advantage is typically what Russia is afraid of.  The US is still a generation ahead of Russia in munitions.  The goal for Russia is to destabilize Ukraine without having to face such a technological advantage.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 13, 2015, 11:29:57 AM
...and who do you think is going to pay for this?

the US alone

Who are you volunteering to do this attacking? They may tell you to stuff it.

Team Poroshenko


1.  Why is Russia in Ukraine?

2.  Why do the Novorossiya people humiliate its POWs?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 11:36:42 AM
the US alone

Good luck with that.


Team Poroshenko


1.  Why is Russia in Ukraine?

2.  Why do the Novorossiya people humiliate its POWs?


1.  Protecting its buffer zone.


2.  Well at least they're not making necklaces out of their ears.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on February 13, 2015, 01:40:41 PM

1.  Protecting its buffer zone.


A buffer from what?  Europe?  :ROFL:

EU showed its true colors when deciding not to send weapons to Ukraine.  If Europe through its agent NATO ever had plans about attacking Russia, they would be arming the Ukrainians now for the purpose of testing and probing the Russian military machine.

Russia needs a buffer only because it refuses to collaborate with the world community.  Russian under Putin is  behaving more and more like an outlaw, and the world is becoming a more interconnected community.    Russia needs a buffer so Putin can hide from his countrymen the success of the Western economy in improving the life of people. 

If Poroshenko can institutionalize the needed economic reforms, Ukraine will become a success story.  This would be a difficult undertaking for Poroshenko in peacetime.  With the Russian bear threatening him, the task is impossible.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 02:40:54 PM
A buffer from what?  Europe?  :ROFL:



Yeah, Russia has never been attacked from Europe before has it?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 13, 2015, 02:47:41 PM
When was the last time that occurred?  Europe is a very different place.  And, while Russia's former enemies have lived relative peace, Russia has been embroiled in numerous wars.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 13, 2015, 02:55:43 PM

Yeah, Russia has never been attacked from Europe before has it?

Yeah, let's look at the last instance of all out war in Europe:

Russia conspired with Nazi Germany to 1.  Divide Poland and 2.  Occupy the Baltics.

All through a secret protocol. 

Then they ran to the last standing European power (England) to beg them for assistance as it looked like Moscow would fall.

So you were saying that the Russians should be afraid of other nations attacking?  Well, maybe after this latest round of belligerence, they should be? 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 03:02:25 PM
When was the last time that occurred?  Europe is a very different place.  And, while Russia's former enemies have lived relative peace, Russia has been embroiled in numerous wars.


Times change. Todays friends can be tomorrows enemies.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 13, 2015, 03:05:56 PM

Times change. Todays friends can be tomorrows enemies.

Ms. Merkel would say you are living in '14.  That is 1914.  The same logic you are applying is the same logic that the Kremlin is applying.  It is logic for a bygone era.  Things are much more inter-related now.  Imagine if the Western World were to turn off Swift.  Russia would be on its knees or in an all-out war within six months.    That is the next step in sanctions.

Hmmm - maybe we shouldn't sell our junked Buicks to Japan?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 03:19:03 PM
Ms. Merkel would say you are living in '14.  That is 1914.  The same logic you are applying is the same logic that the Kremlin is applying.  It is logic for a bygone era.  Things are much more inter-related now.


The last 70 years of Europe being at peace is actually very unusual. With all the EU trouble going on now it's not too hard to imagine something jumping off. Especially if the economic situation gets a lot worse. Money is the root of most wars.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 13, 2015, 03:19:14 PM

Times change. Todays friends can be tomorrows enemies.

 They tend to remain friendlier if they're not invaded!  :rolleyes:  :cluebat:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 13, 2015, 03:22:35 PM
Good luck with that.

thx


1.  Protecting its buffer zone.

How many people gotta die to give that prison its space?


2.  Well at least they're not making necklaces out of their ears.

Like the Crusades and the Inquisition excuses Muzzy terrorism?

Why is it that the Novorossiyas cannot defend the actions of the state of Novorossiya, they have draw some obscure moral equivalency? 

A buffer from what?  Europe?  :ROFL:

EU showed its true colors when deciding not to send weapons to Ukraine.  If Europe through its agent NATO ever had plans about attacking Russia, they would be arming the Ukrainians now for the purpose of testing and probing the Russian military machine.

Russia needs a buffer only because it refuses to collaborate with the world community.  Russian under Putin is  behaving more and more like an outlaw, and the world is becoming a more interconnected community.    Russia needs a buffer so Putin can hide from his countrymen the success of the Western economy in improving the life of people. 

If Poroshenko can institutionalize the needed economic reforms, Ukraine will become a success story.  This would be a difficult undertaking for Poroshenko in peacetime.  With the Russian bear threatening him, the task is impossible.

Navalny's policy to Ukraine is the same as Putin minus the dirty tricks and violence - an equal partnership versus the mafia approach that FT, Steamer, Doll, lFU and Belvis love so much.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 13, 2015, 03:57:57 PM

Times change. Todays friends can be tomorrows enemies.
War has changed.  Furthermore, those former enemies are already on Moscow's doorstep, through the Baltics.  Ukraine will matter not one iota.  This was never about Russian military security.  It was about economics.
Finally, I suspect Russia will have more trouble with its indigenous Muslim populations, and those of its neighbours, than with Europeans.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on February 13, 2015, 04:48:52 PM
and who do you think is going to pay for this?



Many countries, including European nations that participated in WW2 still owe America for our help. Contrary to popular belief, our help isn't always free. If America helps Ukraine, Ukraine will be in debt to us. Better to be in debt than ceasing to exist.


1.  Protecting its buffer zone.



Putin said he doesn't want NATO coming to his doorstep but in Putin's Russia, Russia's doorstep comes to NATO. If Putin was really worried about NATO at his border, he should've dealt with the Baltics before they joined.


The last 70 years of Europe being at peace is actually very unusual.



 3rd most deadliest decade of war last century for Europe happened in the 90's. NATO was engaged in that war and assisted in the breakup of Yugoslavia. Putin has used that war and Libya to educate his people on what NATO is capable of. That is engaging in war without a member nation being attacked. In Yugoslavia there was ethnic cleansing. I would support the breakup of Ukraine if it were true that west Ukrainian Nazi's were exterminating ethnic Russians but it's just a fabricated story Putin uses to convince his people this war is just.


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 13, 2015, 05:06:05 PM

The last 70 years of Europe being at peace is actually very unusual. With all the EU trouble going on now it's not too hard to imagine something jumping off. Especially if the economic situation gets a lot worse. Money is the root of most wars.

Steamer,

I had never acknowledged what an appropriate user name you have.  There you are, steaming along.  Whether that is good or bad, I'm not sure.

Europe would still be at peace with the exception of volatile Eastern Europe.  And when I say Eastern Europe, I say that it is the last bastion of true Oligarchies .  Or Kleptocracies.    Almost all of the other countries in Europe have at least a two party system with an active change in government once every ten years or so.

Imagine if there weren't Kleptocracies.  Then there would be a natural balance to governments.  This idea of a few having all of the resources and the rest of the countries being peasants belongs in the 19th century.  Yet here we have it today, in Russia.

You say money is the root of all evil?  Well, I would like to amend that for you.  Money, concentrated in the hands of a few, is the dominating factor in leading to belligerence and war.

It is not the United State's responsibility to play cop.  But when Europe spins out of control, it impacts the global economy.  At some point, the US is going to have to take a very active role.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on February 13, 2015, 05:24:11 PM
War has changed.  Furthermore, those former enemies are already on Moscow's doorstep, through the Baltics.  Ukraine will matter not one iota.  This was never about Russian military security.  It was about economics.



You must fail to see how the two are inextricably entwined in this case. 


Fathertime!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 13, 2015, 05:26:21 PM
No, I don't think they are intertwined.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on February 13, 2015, 05:38:30 PM
No, I don't think they are intertwined.


I do.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 13, 2015, 05:41:02 PM
You are wrong!  Not the first time, nor the last.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on February 13, 2015, 05:48:59 PM
You are wrong!  Not the first time, nor the last.


No, I think you are wrong to think that for Russia, military security isn't/won't be important to their economics...ditto for the USA. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 06:00:57 PM
Steamer,

I had never acknowledged what an appropriate user name you have.  There you are, steaming along.  Whether that is good or bad, I'm not sure.

These are just my opinions based on my experiences and observations. I've always admired Russia for not allowing itself to be 'bought' by the west.


You say money is the root of all evil?  Well, I would like to amend that for you.  Money, concentrated in the hands of a few, is the dominating factor in leading to belligerence and war.


Let me amend that again. 'Economics' is the basis for most wars.

It is not the United State's responsibility to play cop.


But play world cop we will because it's our duty to show this ignorant world how to live their lives the 'correct' way, 'our' way. Is this what you want to tell me?


And before the backseat patriots tell me to leave the country let me remind them that I'm an American and I have a RIGHT to criticize my government.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on February 13, 2015, 06:06:39 PM



And before the backseat patriots tell me to leave the country let me remind them that I'm an American and I have a RIGHT to criticize my government.


 :clapping:


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 13, 2015, 06:20:50 PM

No, I think you are wrong to think that for Russia, military security isn't/won't be important to their economics...ditto for the USA. 


Fathertime!

I meant it wasn't important vis a vis Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 13, 2015, 06:49:08 PM
Amongst all the crisis news the Ukrainian government is still faces with rebuilding the economy. This today is a positive piece that points to new directions for the economy.
I can see immediate possibilities for Ukraine in agriculture--the sanctions should prevent Russian wheat from being imported into the US-- so the wheat has to come from somewhere--why not Ukraine?


Expanding presence on EU market essential to further growth of Ukraine’s key agricultural sector

Ukraine is unlikely to resume economic growth soon, mostly due to ongoing Russia’s war in the eastern Donbas. However, its agriculture industry, which generated 10 percent of the 2014 gross domestic product that could be as little as $100 billion, is expected to continue growing.
The European Union is Ukraine’s leading agricultural trading partner. In 2014 some 30 percent of Ukraine’s agriculture exports went to the EU, generating almost $5 billion. The Association and Free Trade Agreement that Ukraine signed with the EU in 2014 is expected to boost the trade if Ukraine fulfills all the requirements.

“Ukrainian companies have to modernize production systems to increase the quality of goods yet more,” Vladyslava Rutytska, deputy minister of agriculture policy on European integration said at the 2015 Food and Agriculture Export forum which brought together representatives of Ukraine’s government, businesses and international lenders in Kyiv on Feb. 12.

“We understand that it’s not an easy goal but the Ministry of Agriculture policy is making big efforts to help local companies enter the European markets,” she said.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 13, 2015, 07:07:35 PM
Another background piece of human stories.

Way Station for War
Quote
"This was Dmytro’s fifth trip to the front line to deliver supplies, and he barely made it to his destination, the temporary base of the 25th Battalion. “I don’t want to live in Russia,” he told me. “I’m 46 years old, I grew up in the Soviet Union, I know what it’s like. I didn’t intend to volunteer, because I fully understood that as soon as I would start providing logistical supplies as a volunteer, I wouldn’t have time for my business or my family. That’s exactly what happened.” His 8-year-old daughter gave him some 2,000 hryvnia ($75), her birthday earnings, to buy more supplies. “Putin has made a really big mistake, because our kids are completely different,” Dmytro said. “What we’re doing at the moment, it’s for them. When, at a birthday party for 8-year-olds, suddenly a child gets up on the sofa, puts her hand on her heart and starts singing the Ukrainian national anthem and asks the adults to do the same, it’s a completely different world. Even the evacuation from Debaltseve showed that ‘the Russian World’” — Putin’s ethnically charged term for Moscow’s self-defined sphere of interest — “is something the Donbass doesn’t want.”

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/02/12/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on February 13, 2015, 07:25:29 PM
But play world cop we will because it's our duty to show this ignorant world how to live their lives the 'correct' way, 'our' way.



Unfortunately very few nations have the balls to enforce international law. America has big guns and is trusted by most nations to do the enforcement.


You're right, America shouldn't tell other nations how to live their lives but when their actions affect the lives of others violating international law, somebody has to step in.


Obama hit the reset button with Russia in hopes they would be friend. He helped earn them business contracts around the world. American tax dollars bought billions of dollars worth of Russian arms to supply the nations we're rebuilding. No doubt Putin got rich off American dollars and Obama. The average Russian seen little benefit.


4 years into Obama's presidency, Mitt Romney said during a presidential debate that Russia's our greatest advisory. He has access to the same intelligence Obama didn't trust. Russia's activities around the world was harmful to America and world peace. Russia had a FU attitude to America. There's a Russian World, there's an American World, There's a Steamer's World and a BillyB's World. If someone had a FU, FU, and FU attitude towards Steamer's World and their actions are harmful to your existence, you have the right to call police. Ukraine has the right to call America. Whether or not America helps depends on Obama. Our Congress approved the funds and weapons. It's up to Obama to act.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 13, 2015, 07:38:25 PM
This is a key point being made here.Putin's and Russian attitudes--they are fixed in an earlier time and not moved.
They are ill -equipped to comprehend the rising desire for a democracy in Ukraine.For Ukraine-it highlights what the battle with russia is really about--ie Russia wants control of Ukraine.


In the face of Russian history, EU makes a wavering ally for Ukraine

Former Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili, whose country was invaded by Russia in 2008, revealed to an audience of Ukrainians what Vladimir Putin thought of their nation.

"I had 36 meetings with Putin," Saakashvili said in a visit to the Ukrainian city of Lviv in August, five months after the annexation of Crimea. "At almost each one he repeated that Ukraine is not a real state but Russian territory. He will go as far as he is allowed."

As a cease-fire emerges in Ukraine that gives Putin a lot of what he wants, the comments are a reminder of how the country remains trapped between the weight of Russian history and the force of European economics. In this squeeze, Putin's narrative backed by Cold War memories is coupled with leaders unwilling to blow up ties with a major trading partner and energy supplier."
AND MORE-Quoting

"The EU doesn't want the war, they are afraid of it," said Emzar Jgerenaia, a professor at Ilia University in Tbilisi, the Georgian capital. "The Georgian example wasn't a large enough lesson for the world."


http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/sns-wp-blm-news-bc-ukraine-putin13-20150213-story.html#page=1
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 13, 2015, 07:56:55 PM
These are just my opinions based.  Let me amend that again. 'Economics' is the basis for most wars.  But play world cop we will because it's our duty to show this ignorant world how to live their lives the 'correct' way, 'our' way. Is this what you want to tell me?  And before the backseat patriots tell me to leave the country let me remind them that I'm an American and I have a RIGHT to criticize my government.

Steamer,

I would be the first to defend your right to criticize your government. 

But you underestimate me.  I am one who does not believe in the Ugly American.    Instead, I would hope our country can be more circumspect and that is why, until this time, I have advocated for non-intervention in Ukraine by the US.  But, I believe that Russia will immediately go back on its word and that there have to be consequences for that abrogation of an accord signed only a week ago.  I would hope that Europe would step up, but don't believe that any European countries have the leadership right now to move forward.


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on February 13, 2015, 08:02:31 PM
Steamer,

I would be the first to defend your right to criticize your government. 

But you underestimate me.  I am one who does not believe in the Ugly American.    Instead, I would hope our country can be more circumspect and that is why, until this time, I have advocated for non-intervention in Ukraine by the US.  But, I believe that Russia will immediately go back on its word and that there have to be consequences for that abrogation of an accord signed only a week ago.  I would hope that Europe would step up, but don't believe that any European countries have the leadership right now to move forward.


Understood.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 15, 2015, 05:01:02 PM
Yet another piece which pretty much forecasts the disintegration of the latest peace agreement.

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/feb/12/ukraine-peace-deal-looks-fragile-in-the-extreme

An extract which I think sums up the whole situation in a nutshell:

Vladimir Putin was there, too, of course, doing his sulky schoolboy act. Russia’s president is like the kid at the back of the class throwing paper pellets and wishing he was somewhere else. In group photos, he looks like a wine waiter included by mistake.

Problem here is that this particular wine waiter has poisoned the entire output of the winery, and shouldn't have been there because, as he has said so many times, "Russia is not involved - there are no Russian troops in Ukraine."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 16, 2015, 07:45:35 PM
Putin's orcs have surrounded pockets of resistance inside the Debaltsevo salient and the Russians are annihilating these brave men while Merkel and Obama do nothing.

Oil is above $ 50.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 16, 2015, 08:05:44 PM
Police reform in Ukraine
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-05/ukraine-seeks-foreign-help-on-police-reform
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 24, 2015, 12:54:34 AM
Some time ago there was discussion about how Ukraine might save it's economy-- I made the observation that it could create a war led economic revival. In the most basic sense it is directly employing people( soldiers) and the back up support they require put's money into the economy-- and most importantly spreads it around.
I also commented that I expected new developments from the armaments industry--hence this post today. While it is a small example--it is real enough. It also shows Ukraine is not sitting back waiting to be saved--but is actively trying to create the means to defend themselves.There is considerable technical expertise in Ukraine--historically working in co-operation with Russia-but with that avenue now closed the need to do all in Ukraine is paramount.
Todays very handy weapon---may it save Ukraine!

"Recently, Social network will enable us to discuss US anti-missile systems "Javelin" or will not. In this case, nobody cares that Ukraine has its established production than # ATGM "Stugna" destroy tanks and armored vehicles enemy guided by a laser beam at distances up to 5 kilometers and is equipped with a tandem warhead. Tandem is when the first charge punches active tank protection, and the second punch to bare after the first explosion destroys the armor and tank crew fighting machine itself and the cumulative jet. Does this wonderful anti-tank missile in Kyiv Design Bureau "Luch . " It is also important that the missiles to "Stugna" about four times cheaper than the US "Javelin", made ​​in Ukraine and do not have any component parts from Russia. Yes, "Jawelin" has several advantages over our "Stugna" - thanks for worldwide technological superiority of the Americans. But "Stugna" is a bird in the hands of our Ukrainian and "Javelin" - it Juravel in the American sky. It is important that "Stugna" produced en masse and quickly enter the army to replace the old Soviet complexes "Fagot" , wire-guided, much of which is simply lost its fighting capacity after 30 -35 years of storage. Imagine that the defenders of Mariupol is 50 complexes "Stugna" and 500 missiles for them. Yes and no one ever capture Mariupol, because all enemy equipment - tanks, armored personnel carriers, trucks with manpower will be destroyed at a distance, accurately and on time. And drunk Chechens, Yakuts and other "Slavs" very quickly lose the desire to advance in the name of saving the "Russian world". In the photo Ukrainian antitank system "Stugna "production Kiev CB" Ray. " P. C. I was wondering why our anti-missile system is rather strange name - "Stugna?" My guess was correct. In the area of the river Stugna flowing in the southwestern part of the Kiev region since Soviet times was located dacha cooperative CB "Ray." Many thousands of hours while resting on 6 acres on the banks of the river Stugna Ukrainian designers spent ATGM. That's something like that and name for the domestic tank destroyer was born."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 24, 2015, 05:57:55 AM
I reject respectfully the premise you can war or tax yourself into prosperity.  Economies prosper when banks lend credit to productive people (entrepreneurs) and withhold credit from unproductive people (politicians).  Ukraine's fiscal policy currently hurts the economy by imposing controls against capital flight.  Why invest in Ukraine if I can't get my money out?

Ukraine has the same problem Russia has (no access to credit) except Ukraine is losing thus war.  No one will lend this government money if it continues to lose.

Without a military and fiscal commitment to Ukraine, she will fall to the savagery of Putinism.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 24, 2015, 05:37:08 PM
Another beautifully written article, and well translated, by Vitaly Portnikov.
 
http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html (http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on February 24, 2015, 05:38:09 PM
And finally, an interview Portnikov gave to the Polish press.  Very important, and I think he is right on a lot of points.
 
http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/02/24/managing-putin-and-building-ukraine/ (http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/02/24/managing-putin-and-building-ukraine/)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 24, 2015, 08:04:16 PM
Not being glib-well not very at least!!  The links are very interesting--also the whole article posted today. I wrote previously how much is appearing now that gets to the crux of so many current issues in Ukraine.
What I do particularly observe--the writers not on the ground-- still don't get key issues of  the thought process of Ukrainians-whereas-this guy can see it clearly. I do not always agree with everything written 100%--but a remarkable amount I do agree with.
My recent interest in Ukraine came after the Orange revolution but was concurrent with the frustration of the failure for it to reform. I see it as important to Maidan-- as it raised hopes and awareness of future possibilities. When it became apparent that Maidan had traction it took hold quickly because of earlier raised expectations-- and the failure then. I am not giving that all the credit--but it needs to be noted .
As an aside-- the failure of those earlier hopes--is a major reason why reform really has a chance now.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on February 24, 2015, 08:13:01 PM
Another beautifully written article, and well translated, by Vitaly Portnikov.
 
http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html (http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html)

Very nice article.  Thanks for posting.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 25, 2015, 06:51:35 AM
A never ending war will deplete Ukraine of its workforce and deprive Europe the moral leadership it lacks.  Putin has 2 years to be a bastard.  Then we must remove him or share Ukraine's fate.  But then again, why wait 2 years?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 25, 2015, 04:55:47 PM
Another beautifully written article, and well translated, by Vitaly Portnikov.
 
http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html (http://www.eurozine.com/articles/2014-03-07-portnikov-en.html)

Excellent, but of course it was written a year ago.

And finally, an interview Portnikov gave to the Polish press.  Very important, and I think he is right on a lot of points.
 
http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/02/24/managing-putin-and-building-ukraine/ (http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/02/24/managing-putin-and-building-ukraine/)

It would be interesting to see the original article republished with the thoughts that he espouses in the interview.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 25, 2015, 05:44:55 PM
Quote

" and deprive Europe the moral leadership it lacks. 


 :cluebat: Huh??? :cluebat:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on February 25, 2015, 08:34:06 PM

 :cluebat: Huh??? :cluebat:

 :popcorn:
Title: Newsweek piece
Post by: fathertime on February 25, 2015, 11:14:38 PM
You guessed it, I just so happened to be browsing the internet this evening when I ran across a Newsweek article.  Apparently somebody leaked a document that may have had some influence on Putin's decisions.  I really don't know the authenticity of any of this, but it does appear plausible.  The gist of the article is that it is a blueprint on how to successfully invade/influence the eastern reaches of Ukraine.  According to this article, it appears that the intent was/is somewhat limited, which if true could mean an end to the fighting sooner rather than later.  From what I gathered a key part will be what changes there will be in the Ukraine constitution. 


Here it is for your viewing pleasure:
http://www.newsweek.com/top-secret-briefing-advising-putin-break-ukraine-leaked-309477 (http://www.newsweek.com/top-secret-briefing-advising-putin-break-ukraine-leaked-309477)


A top secret Kremlin briefing purportedly intended for the eyes of Russian President Vladimir Putin on the eve of Ukraine’s revolution which discusses how to co-opt regions of the country’s east into the Russian Federation has been leaked, according to Russian media.........

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on February 26, 2015, 03:42:34 AM
Neville Chamberlain:
Quote
According to this article, it appears that the intent was/is somewhat limited, which if true could mean an end to the fighting sooner rather than later.

Unfortunately you read only an overview apparently. The Newsweek version was edited for length. I do respect you for reading it, and seeing another side of the conflict.

Rain TV ran the Russian language version, as did Echo Radio, and I read the original Novaya Gazeta version. It is anything but "limited" in scope. It calls for the gradual breakup of Ukraine into small independent units, which over time (and with the constitutional changes you mentioned), annex large swaths after so-called referendums were held. The final goal was to force a smaller remaining Ukraine back into the federation at some point.
Title: Re: Newsweek piece
Post by: BillyB on February 26, 2015, 05:00:21 PM
According to this article, it appears that the intent was/is somewhat limited, which if true could mean an end to the fighting sooner rather than later.



Putin has already advanced further than the recommendations of the memo which is a clear indication that there may be no limit to what Putin is willing to do. The author of the memo thought Donetsk Oblast should be left out of the regions to be reoriented into Russian influence when in fact Donetsk Oblast is one of the first regions Putin went after.
Title: Re: Newsweek piece
Post by: lordtiberius on February 26, 2015, 05:09:00 PM

Putin has already advanced further than the recommendations of the memo which is a clear indication that there may be no limit to what Putin is willing to do.

Still think he is the master strategist?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on February 26, 2015, 07:34:14 PM
Neville Chamberlain:
Unfortunately you read only an overview apparently. The Newsweek version was edited for length. I do respect you for reading it, and seeing another side of the conflict.

Rain TV ran the Russian language version, as did Echo Radio, and I read the original Novaya Gazeta version. It is anything but "limited" in scope. It calls for the gradual breakup of Ukraine into small independent units, which over time (and with the constitutional changes you mentioned), annex large swaths after so-called referendums were held. The final goal was to force a smaller remaining Ukraine back into the federation at some point.


If indeed Newsweek has misrepresented the entire version of the document, then that is an indictment on our media. 
I'm glad you are respecting the opinion I've been stating, even if you think it is not correct.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on February 27, 2015, 03:21:19 AM
I'm glad you are respecting the opinion I've been stating, even if you think it is not correct.

Mendeleyev can speak for himself but, in my opinion, that is a load of bollocks!  From what I can see, mendy is respecting the fact that you bothered to read something which provided a different view of the conflict.  There's nothing that I can see which shows any respect for your opinion.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on March 02, 2015, 07:51:54 PM
Vice News Dispatch 96

http://news.vice.com/video/civilians-return-to-debaltseve-russian-roulette-dispatch-96

My wife happened to walk in when I was playing the video.  As the residents were stating how much they want to be part of Russia she stated "PROPAGANDA".   She was also amused when they were complaining that they had only received one Humanitarian Aid shipment since the fighting started and now they had aid....... except she stated that the packages of aid were Ukrainian.   LOL   Apparently, she recognizes the packaging and labels.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on March 03, 2015, 01:52:11 AM
There is a lot been written on different aspects of the crisis facing Ukraine-- another interesting piece here that discusses more issues and angles!


Ukraine's Next Battle Zone Is Its Economy

Even as it struggles to maintain a fragile peace along its eastern border, Ukraine's government must tackle another problem: rescuing its economy. This is going to take an epic debt-relief deal that may prove no less challenging than containing the Russia-backed insurgency. But there is a way to make it work.

A brutal combination of war and currency devaluation has pushed Ukraine to the brink of insolvency. Its debts, denominated largely in dollars, hover around 100 percent of gross domestic product, up from about 40 percent a year ago and well above the 70 percent level that the International Monetary Fund considers excessive for an emerging-market country. Principal and interest due over the next three years exceed $27 billion, equivalent to more than a quarter of government expenditure.

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-03-03/ukraine-s-next-battle-zone-is-its-economy
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 03, 2015, 10:10:05 AM
Price of oil in play again

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Could-Oil-Prices-Plummet-A-Second-Time.html

Oil at $ 44 in January

22,000 jobs lost in Houston

US economic growth re-tooling away from oil production.  Free money from Wall street blunts lower prices of commodities and hurts main street while US oligarchs get even richer.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 03, 2015, 11:59:50 PM
Price of oil in play again

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Could-Oil-Prices-Plummet-A-Second-Time.html

Oil at $ 44 in January

22,000 jobs lost in Houston

US economic growth re-tooling away from oil production.  Free money from Wall street blunts lower prices of commodities and hurts main street while US oligarchs get even richer.

This is all part of the strategy of the New Democratic Party.  Favor Wall Street, Bankers and Big Corporations while simultaneously fooling and enslaving others into class and gender warfare.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 04, 2015, 05:12:42 AM
The DC GOP is apart of that plan too.  They have made no significant progress in reversing this trend even with control of both houses of Congress.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 04, 2015, 12:36:25 PM
The DC GOP is apart of that plan too.  They have made no significant progress in reversing this trend even with control of both houses of Congress.

Which is why a real 3rd party would be good for the country and good for DC.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on March 04, 2015, 01:19:23 PM
Which is why a real 3rd party would be good for the country and good for DC.

Agree!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on March 04, 2015, 01:31:17 PM
Or get rid of the party system and let each 'politico' run on his own merits.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 04, 2015, 04:08:08 PM
Which is why a real 3rd party would be good for the country and good for DC.

I wish it were that easy brother.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 04, 2015, 04:08:46 PM
Or get rid of the party system and let each 'politico' run on his own merits.

Single combat
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 06, 2015, 04:30:11 PM
The Federation Council (Russian Senate) is indicating that they are looking into a draft law that would recognize the LNR and the DNR (New Russia, Luhansk and Donetsk regions) as independent countries.

It is the Federation Council that would be responsible to rubber stamp approve such actions for the Kremlin.

Recent examples: Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and the recognition of Crimea's independence and the annexation.

Normally the Federation Council, although the most powerful of the legislative bodies, stays in the background while allowing clowns in the Duma to make public fools of themselves. It is usually the government that asks the FC to pass such laws, not by pronouncement of the Council.

My personal reaction is that this is meant to remind Kyiv of certain autonomy provisions in Minsk-2, but it is also a test balloon to see how such an idea will play with the Russian populace (who certainly understand Russia's financial role in propping up such new states), and to see how the West will react.

If there is no outcry other than the usual pounding on the desk and empty threats, then we may see the idea move forward. The pretext would be that Kyiv failed to implement Minsk-2 properly.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 06, 2015, 04:54:53 PM
It would not necessarily be a bad thing for Ukraine if those areas were recognized as independent countries, provided the war, and territorial ambitions stopped.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 06, 2015, 05:19:02 PM
Defeatism disguises itself in pragmatism.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 06, 2015, 05:20:04 PM
Would it be better for thousands more to die for an area that is not economically a plus for Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on March 06, 2015, 05:22:59 PM
It would not necessarily be a bad thing for Ukraine if those areas were recognized as independent countries, provided the war, and territorial ambitions stopped.

Wow, I agree. Wouldn't it be Nice if the war stopped completely and everyone went back to here they came from? Alas, I believe it's only a beautiful dream. Seems to me more People in high positions in Washington are dying for more war, most of all With Russia (which will develop to WW3).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 06, 2015, 05:51:42 PM
Defeatism disguises itself in pragmatism.


(http://i894.photobucket.com/albums/ac150/clmontes/ducttape_zpsspnv743o.jpg)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 06, 2015, 07:41:46 PM
Would it be better for thousands more to die for an area that is not economically a plus for Ukraine?

Even if what you said is true, and its not, do you really think the boys in the Kremlin will go for it?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 06, 2015, 07:48:20 PM
That area is not an economic plus for Ukraine.  It takes more in services that it sends back to Kyiv, and its industry is largely dirty, dangerous, and being phased out. 


If the Kremlin doesn't want further sanctions, it won't have much choice.  Cutting the ability of oligarchs to access their funds (via SWIFT), and restricting their ability to travel abroad will bring the Kremlin into line.  The question you ask is the wrong one.  The right question is whether the EU has the cojones to up the ante.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 06, 2015, 07:50:17 PM
Natural:
Quote
Wouldn't it be Nice if the war stopped completely and everyone went back to here they came from?

Sure, but Moscow is committed to:

- the concept of "Russian World" in which Cold War boundaries, including the areas of Odessa, etc, are still in limbo. That is published and broadcast on Russian media frequently these days.

- control of all Black Sea areas now possessed by Ukraine. To the Kremlin, this is a two-pronged deal: resources that would no longer have to be shared with Kyiv, and strategic Black Sea access to Russia's military.

- Mr. Putin is just as passionate today, as he was last month, about the Eurasian Union. Little Armenia doesn't bring much to the table, but the "breadbasket" of Europe potential represented by the Ukrainian heartland is vitally important to his agricultural goals for the Eurasian bloc.

It would be nice if he would stop, but I'll put my money where it is smart: on him NOT stopping.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 06, 2015, 08:00:11 PM
That area is not an economic plus for Ukraine.  It takes more in services that it sends back to Kyiv, and its industry is largely dirty, dangerous, and being phased out. 


If the Kremlin doesn't want further sanctions, it won't have much choice.  Cutting the ability of oligarchs to access their funds (via SWIFT), and restricting their ability to travel abroad will bring the Kremlin into line.  The question you ask is the wrong one.  The right question is whether the EU has the cojones to up the ante.

Absolutely correct. The Crimean annexation is already stretching the budget and has caused great tension between the government of PM Medvedev and the wishes of President Putin, especially as he is demanding increased military spending.

For those foolish enough to say that sanctions aren't working: last week in the Security Council meeting, Mr. Putin informed all ministers that their personal salaries have been cut by 10% immediately due to the on-going budget stains. Mr. Medvedev indicated that those cuts will be passed on down the line to the various departments.

The rebuilding, then funding, of the Donbas would be an albatross around Moscow's neck, so, they'll pull an Abkhazia out of the hat. Like Abkhazia which has little in economic value, but represents some weirdly funky "moral victory" of Moscow over Georgia.

Declaring Donbas to be independent will be a death sentence to the poor folk stuck there. If you are ignorant of that reality, visit Abkhazia or Transnistria sometime. Poverty heaped upon poverty is all those folks have because they bring no value to Russia, yet Russia has placed them in some backwater "frozen" conflict that holds them in hell. Meanwhile the average Russian will laud the Great Leader as the new Saint who "saved the Donbass children."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 06, 2015, 08:12:43 PM

You say I am asking the wrong question and yet you ask a question we all know the answer to.  No the EU does not have a moral conscience.


Puerto Rico is an economic drain.  So is Newfoundland.  So if Cuba or Russia takes over Newfoundland or the PR, your response is oh well?

The land and the people  of the Donbas is rich and beautiful.  They are Ukrainian and want to live in Ukraine and indeed are dying for Ukraine.  If we do not keep faith with these people, then we are the weaker for it, not them.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on March 07, 2015, 03:29:55 AM
For those foolish enough to say that sanctions aren't working: last week in the Security Council meeting, Mr. Putin informed all ministers that their personal salaries have been cut by 10% immediately due to the on-going budget stains. Mr. Medvedev indicated that those cuts will be passed on down the line to the various departments.

Sure, sanctions are working and hurting the Russian economy. But so are they hurting the EU economy. One of the goals of Washington, to separate Europe and Russia. Hopefully that will not succeeed. Either EU break ties With US Foreign policy or they lose out as Russia goes east for good.

Declaring Donbas to be independent will be a death sentence to the poor folk stuck there. If you are ignorant of that reality, visit Abkhazia or Transnistria sometime. Poverty heaped upon poverty is all those folks have because they bring no value to Russia, yet Russia has placed them in some backwater "frozen" conflict that holds them in hell.

Better to be poor than exterminated I supposed. Besides, poverty is what is waiting for the Whole of Ukraine. Even now we hear from Kiev controlled areas that People don't get their salaries for months. The US and it's western lapdogs are not in Ukraine to promote Democracy and wealth for the average person. That is very naive to believe and it's inevitable that Ukrainians in ever larger numbers are going to realize that fact.... then what will happen?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 07, 2015, 07:28:07 AM
There is no evidence of a US conspiracy in Ukraine or against Russia.  The United States has no Russia policy.  Its former policy of reset died when Ambassador McFaul packed his bags.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 07, 2015, 09:27:54 AM
You say I am asking the wrong question and yet you ask a question we all know the answer to.  No the EU does not have a moral conscience.


Puerto Rico is an economic drain.  So is Newfoundland.  So if Cuba or Russia takes over Newfoundland or the PR, your response is oh well?

The land and the people  of the Donbas is rich and beautiful.  They are Ukrainian and want to live in Ukraine and indeed are dying for Ukraine.  If we do not keep faith with these people, then we are the weaker for it, not them.




The majority of people just want the war to stop.  They are not committed to Ukraine, nor to the terrorists.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 07, 2015, 10:10:03 AM
And defeatism won't stop the war.  It just creates a longer war.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 07, 2015, 12:11:11 PM
You say I am asking the wrong question and yet you ask a question we all know the answer to.  No the EU does not have a moral conscience.


Puerto Rico is an economic drain.  So is Newfoundland.  So if Cuba or Russia takes over Newfoundland or the PR, your response is oh well?

The land and the people  of the Donbas is rich and beautiful.  They are Ukrainian and want to live in Ukraine and indeed are dying for Ukraine.  If we do not keep faith with these people, then we are the weaker for it, not them.


Why you speak of things you not know?


The best thing the US can do for PR is to give them their independence. Here's the irony. What is happening in PR is exactly what the US and the Western world are pontificating to Russia for doing. Namely, holding a territory hostage for no reason except to project power.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 07, 2015, 12:25:28 PM
Despite your flirtation with the Euromaidan movement, your recent positions makes you an appeaser.  You are worthless to me and back on the ignore list.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_movement_in_Puerto_Rico

You can't get your facts straight.  Typical for a socialist
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 07, 2015, 05:10:24 PM
For those foolish enough to say that sanctions aren't working: last week in the Security Council meeting, Mr. Putin informed all ministers that their personal salaries have been cut by 10% immediately due to the on-going budget stains. Mr. Medvedev indicated that those cuts will be passed on down the line to the various departments.



I'll be a foolish one. No amount of sanctions will stop Putin from achieving his goals. Only an army will. Sanctions weren't designed to hurt Russia's economy, but used as a tool to stop Putin which so far has failed. 10% pay cuts for politicians is happening to show the public they share their pain but if they want to steal an additional 20% they could.


EU shows little appetite to apply more or extend existing sanctions. Putin understands the West isn't unified against him.


http://news.yahoo.com/eu-shows-little-appetite-more-russia-sanctions-125458537.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 07, 2015, 05:13:56 PM


While on break, the rebels hold their first beauty pageant.


For your viewing pleasure (http://news.yahoo.com/rebel-pageant-ukrainian-fighters-trade-boots-heels-192800168.html)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 07, 2015, 09:19:14 PM
You are not necessarily foolish, Billy. You just do not live in Russia, and therefore do not experience, the impact of sanctions.

I do not ever recall saying or thinking that sanctions by themselves would stop Putin. Short of a full armed conflict, sanctions are one leg of the table, but an important leg. They are having an impact, and will continue to do so as long as the West keeps up the pressure.

Another leg of that table is the increasing number of boys coming home for burial. There more of those, the closer Mr. Putin edges to having Russians realize that he has drug them into another Afghanistan. For Russians, many with Ukrainian relatives, he would not survive such a comparison. That is why I support more military assistance in training and equipping the Ukrainian Army.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 08, 2015, 09:59:24 AM
The troops came home after 16,000 killed in the SU.  Russian losses are a state secret, but I have heard figures as high as 6,000 KIA.  Isn't he at or over the edge now?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 08, 2015, 10:28:12 AM
Sure, sanctions are working and hurting the Russian economy. But so are they hurting the EU economy. One of the goals of Washington, to separate Europe and Russia. Hopefully that will not succeeed. Either EU break ties With US Foreign policy or they lose out as Russia goes east for good.
 


From my perspective one concern I have about sanctions is that I believe Russia will survive them, and when it is over we (the USA) will will be out of the loop and lose business.  China is not participating in the sanctions which is a win-win for China/Russia. 


I was browsing the internet and read this story this morning. 
http://news.yahoo.com/china-vows-cooperation-russia-despite-wests-sanctions-090311993.html (http://news.yahoo.com/china-vows-cooperation-russia-despite-wests-sanctions-090311993.html)


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 08, 2015, 11:06:30 AM
Short of a full armed conflict, sanctions are one leg of the table, but an important leg. They are having an impact, and will continue to do so as long as the West keeps up the pressure.



Before Putin stepped into Ukraine, he had already factored in all the consequences and was prepared to accept them. Because he accepts sanctions, they don't work. What Putin probably didn't realize was the sanctions being so weak. Usually when we are upset with doing business with a company, we stop completely doing business with them. Europe's economy is so fragile that they can't afford to lose business with even one customer, especially one who provides them with gas.


The Russian people are blaming the West for their economic sufferings more than Putin. Many feel they do have business in Ukraine. For others, the propaganda is working. Putin is more popular in Russia than Obama is in America. Does that mean he's a better leader than Obama? No. We hold our leaders to higher standards and expect more from them. Because the Russian people accept less, they will get less and at this time, regardless of sanctions, politically Putin is still in a good spot and if he can successfully harvest the hatred towards the West, he can become very dangerous.


China is not participating in the sanctions which is a win-win for China/Russia. 



China could be one of Russia's partners should world war breaks out. China sees Obama downsizing our military while they've moved to the #2 spot in the world. China sees Obama's unwillingness to act in other places of the world so China sees this as an opportunity to claim more islands and natural resources as their own in the China Sea. They do just enough so that we won't act. This is a technique Putin is using with limited success. When given a choice, I try not to buy Chinese.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 08, 2015, 11:11:56 AM
Despite your flirtation with the Euromaidan movement, your recent positions makes you an appeaser.  You are worthless to me and back on the ignore list.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_movement_in_Puerto_Rico (http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Independence_movement_in_Puerto_Rico)

You can't get your facts straight.  Typical for a socialist


Can't argue with ignorance and ignorants.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 08, 2015, 11:17:45 AM

From my perspective one concern I have about sanctions is that I believe Russia will survive them, and when it is over we (the USA) will will be out of the loop and lose business.  China is not participating in the sanctions which is a win-win for China/Russia. 

Fathertime!


Not even close.

For the WTO alone, Russia needs the USA, not to mention the G8 again at some point. China simply cannot supply all the things that Western nations do.

Russia and the USA are more intertwined that most citizens of either nation realize: When the Ruble crashes, what currency do Russians still stash under the mattress? US Dollars, by far.

Where do a majority of Russians want to travel, at least once in their lifetimes? The USA.

When it comes to second homes, think London, Miami, New York, and to a lesser degree Chicago and California. Are any of those locations in China?

When Russian families send children abroad to study, it certainly is not to China. Hint: the USA, and the UK.

When Russian companies gauge their growth and competitiveness against others, where are most of those located? Hint: it is definitely not China.

As the Russian military modernizes and reforms, who does it use to measure progress? Hint: it still ain't China, my friend.

Now this next part may surprise you:

While the Soviets labeled the USA as the "main enemy," there was another large nation, on Russia's borders, that Russians still consider as a natural enemy, and fully expect to have to engage in a future conflict over borders? Hint: it ain't the USA.

Regionally, which neighboring country makes Moscow most nervous? Hint, it still ain't the USA.

Russia has also deepened ties with India as a political and economic counterweight to which other Eastern nation? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

The potential ambitions of which neighboring nation has caused the Russian prioritize investment and development of the Russian Far East? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

Speaking of the question above, the Russians have made a priority of upgrading military readiness in the Far East, and in particular the modernization of transport systems so as to allow the Russian military to have a rapid response in case of serious border violations. What nation makes the Kremlin nervous about this issue? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

Have the Chinese and Russians increased trade? Sure, that was in the works (as I have written to you previously) long before the current tensions. So, which nation seized upon Russia's current problems to renegotiate (downward) previously agreed upon oil prices? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

You also need to understand that Mr. Putin's mindset is very much one of holding his friends close, and if possible, his enemies closer. Russia is rebuilding China's railroads, for instance. Russia is consulting China on water/dam projects. Russia is consulting China on nuclear power expansion. So what would be a major concern in Security Council meetings? I'll answer that one for you: Moscow fears that on one hand they need to develop economic ties with China in order to keep Chinese expansion curtailed (BRICS: those who trade together, play nice together). However, on the other hand, there is the equal fear that they will eventually help China to the point that China might feel empowered to undertake border expansion at Russia's expense.

In that vein, Russia needs an on-going relationship with the USA, as badly strained as it is, to help counterbalance China.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 08, 2015, 11:22:18 AM
Billy:
Quote
Before Putin stepped into Ukraine, he had already factored in all the consequences and was prepared to accept them.

Actually, he had not. Much of Western reaction caught him off guard.


Quote
Because he accepts sanctions, they don't work.

We are on the same side, Billy, but again, on this issue you're speaking from an armchair, thousands of miles away. Were you to live here, you'd have a different understanding.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 08, 2015, 11:30:41 AM

Not even close.

For the WTO alone, Russia needs the USA, not to mention the G8 again at some point. China simply cannot supply all the things that Western nations do.

Russia and the USA are more intertwined that most citizens of either nation realize: When the Ruble crashes, what currency do Russians still stash under the mattress? US Dollars, by far.

Where do a majority of Russians want to travel, at least once in their lifetimes? The USA.

When it comes to second homes, think London, Miami, New York, and to a lesser degree Chicago and California. Are any of those locations in China?

When Russian families send children abroad to study, it certainly is not to China. Hint: the USA, and the UK.

When Russian companies gauge their growth and competitiveness against others, where are most of those located? Hint: it is definitely not China.

As the Russian military modernizes and reforms, who does it use to measure progress? Hint: it still ain't China, my friend.

Now this next part may surprise you:

While the Soviets labeled the USA as the "main enemy," there was another large nation, on Russia's borders, that Russians still consider as a natural enemy, and fully expect to have to engage in a future conflict over borders? Hint: it ain't the USA.

Regionally, which neighboring country makes Moscow most nervous? Hint, it still ain't the USA.

Russia has also deepened ties with India as a political and economic counterweight to which other Eastern nation? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

The potential ambitions of which neighboring nation has caused the Russian prioritize investment and development of the Russian Far East? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

Speaking of the question above, the Russians have made a priority of upgrading military readiness in the Far East, and in particular the modernization of transport systems so as to allow the Russian military to have a rapid response in case of serious border violations. What nation makes the Kremlin nervous about this issue? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

Have the Chinese and Russians increased trade? Sure, that was in the works (as I have written to you previously) long before the current tensions. So, which nation seized upon Russia's current problems to renegotiate (downward) previously agreed upon oil prices? Hint: it still ain't the USA.

You also need to understand that Mr. Putin's mindset is very much one of holding his friends close, and if possible, his enemies closer. Russia is rebuilding China's railroads, for instance. Russia is consulting China on water/dam projects. Russia is consulting China on nuclear power expansion. So what would be a major concern in Security Council meetings? I'll answer that one for you: Moscow fears that on one hand they need to develop economic ties with China in order to keep Chinese expansion curtailed (BRICS: those who trade together, play nice together). However, on the other hand, there is the equal fear that they will eventually help China to the point that China might feel empowered to undertake border expansion at Russia's expense.

In that vein, Russia needs an on-going relationship with the USA, as badly strained as it is, to help counterbalance China.


You must have read a LOT into my post!   


The points I and the link made were:
1.  China and Russia are working together
2. After this crisis ends we (the USA) may lose some business to China or other nations
3. There is also a chance that parallel banking options will be set up so this threat will not exist the way it seems to today.




I would hope that there would still be some cooperation between the nations.  It doesn't appear to be in either China's or Russia's interest to fight over their common border.  From what I gather in your post, the mindset is that Russia/China are enemies (pretending to be friendly)...well they may feel the USA is the greater enemy so they are going to work together in that respect and that is the part that concerns me. 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 08, 2015, 11:39:09 AM
Neville:
Quote
You must have read a LOT into my post!

No, there really wasn't much there, and I do not mean to be offensive by saying that.

However it is ever apparent that you lack a lot of the background knowledge to write coherently about the region. So rather than reading a lot into your post, I simply wrote a lot--as an investment in your data base.   :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 08, 2015, 11:59:37 AM
Actually, he had not. Much of Western reaction caught him off guard.



We'll have to disagree on that one. There's no way I'd believe that Putin didn't believe there would be consequences for invading the largest nation in Europe. Because he knew there would be punishment, right from the beginning he played his invasion off as a internal conflict/Ukrainian civil war. The Soviet Union was sanctioned for many years for spreading their influence around the world so Putin does have an idea on how the West would feel about his involvement in Ukraine.


Were you to live here, you'd have a different understanding.



I've read a lot of independent news sources and read the pro and anti Putin comments from readers after. I've read pro Putin posters who live in Russia there and right here on this forum and I believe they will ride the Putin train right off a cliff. That is how much they'll back him.


I've read a number of independent polls showing Putin's popularity rising and the approval rating of the West is falling. Russians have much higher approval ratings for China than they do America at this moment. These are real trends in Russia. Most of the people writing and reporting news in Russia don't think like you. They are either scared to write freely or actually believe in Putin's agenda.


I'm sure every Russian hates the fact their currency is losing strength and their quality of life is down but right now I see most people directing their anger towards the West more than Putin. Only tens of thousands of people turned out to protest the murder of anti Putin leader Nemtsov. In America we can get a million people to turn out for gay rights. Until I start seeing people turn out in the upper hundred of thousands or millions for something as major as killing an opposition leader or protest their lack of a quality life, I'm going to believe most of the anger from Russian citizens is directed towards the West.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Brasscasing on March 08, 2015, 12:16:50 PM




Quote from: BillyB
Before Putin stepped into Ukraine, he had already factored in all the consequences and was prepared to accept them.
Billy:
Actually, he had not. Much of Western reaction caught him off guard.

We'll have to disagree on that one. There's no way I'd believe that Putin didn't believe there would be consequences for invading the largest nation in Europe. Because he knew there would be punishment, right from the beginning he played his invasion off as a internal conflict/Ukrainian civil war. The Soviet Union was sanctioned for many years for spreading their influence around the world so Putin does have an idea on how the West would feel about his involvement in Ukraine.

What Putin wasn't expecting was one of his BUKs shooting down a civilian airliner. It put the world's spotlight on what had up to then been a well executed stealth invasion.

Brass
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on March 08, 2015, 12:21:39 PM

From my perspective one concern I have about sanctions is that I believe Russia will survive them, and when it is over we (the USA) will will be out of the loop and lose business.  China is not participating in the sanctions which is a win-win for China/Russia. 

[/url]


Fathertime!

I believe Russia will survive the sanctions. They are used to hard times. Europeans not so much. We see now that even Merkel reacts publicly to the agressive behaviour of the Obama administration and NATO (USA). Europe is hurting from the sanctions. There's been protests from EU farmers and there's a limit to just exactly high EU can jump on orders from Washington. EU must break With Washington's Foreign policies or face great economic problems and Public outcry. IF they do, Washington will be isolated. EU should do business With Russia, China, the rest of BRICS and others. Ditch the US dollar and get a New world reserve currency.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 08, 2015, 12:23:12 PM
Neville:
No, there really wasn't much there, and I do not mean to be offensive by saying that.

However it is ever apparent that you lack a lot of the background knowledge to write coherently about the region. So rather than reading a lot into your post, I simply wrote a lot--as an investment in your data base.   :)


HA!  Thanks for investing in my data base again. 


I've reread my initial comments, and although your data base investment was nice, there wasn't anything incoherent about the initial comment I made  and quoted below.  My allegiance is mostly with the US so if I see a foreign policy move as not in our interests I'll mention it.  Us getting too involved in Ukraine is one of those cases as I see it harming us in both the short and long term....although I'm always open to a discussion about how I could be mistaken.   

From my perspective one concern I have about sanctions is that I believe Russia will survive them, and when it is over we (the USA) will will be out of the loop and lose business.  China is not participating in the sanctions which is a win-win for China/Russia. 


I was browsing the internet and read this story this morning. 
http://news.yahoo.com/china-vows-cooperation-russia-despite-wests-sanctions-090311993.html (http://news.yahoo.com/china-vows-cooperation-russia-despite-wests-sanctions-090311993.html)


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 08, 2015, 01:21:15 PM
What a bunch of nonsense, the aggressive nature of THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION and FT's allegiance to America.  This is one hundred bong hits away from being a good time.  Put away the tin foil hats and live in the real world, boys.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 08, 2015, 01:38:22 PM
What a bunch of nonsense, the aggressive nature of THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION and FT's allegiance to America.  This is one hundred bong hits away from being a good time.  Put away the tin foil hats and live in the real world, boys.


LOL


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on March 08, 2015, 01:51:12 PM
What a bunch of nonsense, the aggressive nature of THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION and FT's allegiance to America.  This is one hundred bong hits away from being a good time.  Put away the tin foil hats and live in the real world, boys.


More insults... 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on March 08, 2015, 04:47:00 PM
I'm sure every Russian hates the fact their currency is losing strength and their quality of life is down but right now I see most people directing their anger towards the West more than Putin.
I'd like to  highlight some points. Russians are used to regular devaluations of ruble, the last one in 1998 was much more on large-scale than now. So anger is not the term I would employ, I would say  the acceptance of the inevitable describes better the emotional reaction to devaluation.  Even in propaganda West is  hold responsible for weakening the currency to very limited extent. People realize the dependence of Russia on oil price, and it's siily to blame business cycles.

In that vein, Russia needs an on-going relationship with the USA, as badly strained as it is, to help counterbalance China.

Well, actually right now Russia needs good relationship with China to help counterbalance USA. There are no fixed relationships in politics, there are constant state interests. Likely in future Russia will need to counterbalance China but now China is not our headache contrary to what some men hope for.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 05:14:02 PM
The idea floated here, that Kyiv is overrun by fascists, is laughable.


I ask those who hold that notion to be true to please name all these fascists with real power.  Note - this is the third time I have made the request.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 08, 2015, 05:48:41 PM
What a bunch of nonsense, the aggressive nature of THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION and FT's allegiance to America.  This is one hundred bong hits away from being a good time.  Put away the tin foil hats and live in the real world, boys.


And here is the idiot who bitches constantly that people insult him.  :rolleyes:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 08, 2015, 05:50:33 PM
The idea floated here, that Kyiv is overrun by fascists, is laughable.


I ask those who hold that notion to be true to please name all these fascists with real power.  Note - this is the third time I have made the request.


Heh, keep asking but you know Beavis will not respond.  ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 05:51:07 PM
Never asked him. 8)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on March 08, 2015, 06:31:54 PM
Neville:
No, there really wasn't much there, and I do not mean to be offensive by saying that.

However it is ever apparent that you lack a lot of the background knowledge to write coherently about the region. So rather than reading a lot into your post, I simply wrote a lot--as an investment in your data base.   :)

 :ROFL: :ROFL: :ROFL:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on March 08, 2015, 06:45:40 PM
While the Soviets labeled the USA as the "main enemy," there was another large nation, on Russia's borders, that Russians still consider as a natural enemy, and fully expect to have to engage in a future conflict over borders? Hint: it ain't the USA.



Your post continues with many examples of why Russia should fear China.  You forgot one, and I am not sure of the implications.  Namely, there will 25 million Chinese men of prime military combat age without Chinese women.    Will these horny men gladly volunteer for raiding parties to capture RW?  Or will they become "blue men?" 

The world has never experienced such an imbalance between numbers of men and women between the age of 18-35. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 07:04:49 PM
The idea floated here, that Kyiv is overrun by fascists, is laughable.


I ask those who hold that notion to be true to please name all these fascists with real power.  Note - this is the third time I have made the request.


OK
how about  Andriy Parubiy: Deputy Minister of the Interior. Neo Nazi party director in the 90's.
Interestingly he was in charge of security at Maidan during the protests (where a 100+ were killed)


Oleg Tyagnibok MP Head of the Svoboda Party


Dmitry Yarosh Head of the Right Sector Militia


I'll have to dig further for more but this should get you started.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 08, 2015, 07:31:56 PM


Well, actually right now Russia needs good relationship with China to help counterbalance USA. There are no fixed relationships in politics, there are constant state interests. Likely in future Russia will need to counterbalance China but now China is not our headache contrary to what some men hope for.


I think this is the prevailing sentiment for now.  The US is the one that needs to be counterbalanced and Russia is a part of that equation, so for that purpose it is in China's interests to help Russia right now.  For the foreseeable future I don't see Russia needing to be counterbalanced, it will either the USA or China that needs the counterbalancing. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 08:21:46 PM

OK
how about  Andriy Parubiy: Deputy Minister of the Interior. Neo Nazi party director in the 90's.
Interestingly he was in charge of security at Maidan during the protests (where a 100+ were killed)


Oleg Tyagnibok MP Head of the Svoboda Party


Dmitry Yarosh Head of the Right Sector Militia


I'll have to dig further for more but this should get you started.


Please point out what positions they hold in the current government. 


Yarosh has stated he is not a fascist.  Tyahnybok is a former commie.  He has in the past made anti Semitic statements, but while Svoboda is far right, whether or not it is fascist is still a matter of debate.  In any event, please let me know what positions either of these men hold in the current Ukrainian government.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 08, 2015, 08:33:23 PM
it is in China's interests to help Russia right now. 



If China ever wants to be top dog, they have to partner up with others before dropping USA. China and Russia have made many business agreements over the last year and they are bonding, especially with that $400 billion gas deal. Birds of a feather flock together. Russia and China both have ambitions to spread their borders. Recently a poll in Japan had China passing up North Korea for the first time as the major threat. Poll below shows Russians heavily favor China over America by almost 40%.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/173597/russian-approval-putin-soars-highest-level-years.aspx
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 08:36:29 PM

Please point out what positions they hold in the current government. 


Yarosh has stated he is not a fascist.  Tyahnybok is a former commie.  He has in the past made anti Semitic statements, but while Svoboda is far right, whether or not it is fascist is still a matter of debate.  In any event, please let me know what positions either of these men hold in the current Ukrainian government.


There's more info and pics at this url:

http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554 (http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554)

Andriy Parubiy
co-founder of the Neo-Nazi  Social-National Party of Ukraine (subsequently renamed Svoboda) was appointed Secretary of the National Security and National Defense Committee (RNBOU). (Рада національної безпеки і оборони України), a key position which overseas the Ministry of Defense, the Armed Forces, Law Enforcement, National Security and Intelligence. The RNBOU is central decision-making body. While it is formally headed by the president, it is run by the Secretariat with a staff of 180 people including defense, intelligence and national security experts.
Parubiy was one of the main leaders behind the Orange Revolution in 2004. His organization was funded by the West. He is referred to by the Western media as the “kommandant” of the EuroMaidan movement. Andriy Parubiy together with party leader Oleh Tyahnybok is a follower of Ukrainian Nazi Stepan Bandera, who collaborated in the mass murderer of Jews and Poles during World War II.
In turn, Dmytro Yarosh, leader of the Right Sector delegation in the parliament, has been appointed Parubiy’s deputy Secretary of the RNBOU.
Yarosh was the leader of the Brown Shirt Neo-Nazi paramilitary during the EuroMaidan “protest” movement. He has called for disbanding the Party of the regions and the Communist Party.



http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554 (http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 08:39:54 PM
None of them are in positions of any importance in the current cabinet or Rada.  In fact, Tyahnybok doesn't even hold a seat in the current Rada.

My question is, who are all these fascists who are now running Kyiv?  That question still stands.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 08:45:28 PM
None of them are in positions of any importance in the current cabinet or Rada.  In fact, Tyahnybok doesn't even hold a seat in the current Rada.

My question is, who are all these fascists who are now running Kyiv?  That question still stands.



Bo you're just being deliberately difficult. Parubiy is still a minister.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 08:52:10 PM
No, he "resigned" in August, I believe.


In any event, when the troubles started in Eastern Ukraine, the Rada was still controlled by the Party of Regions.  Was Yanukovych's party fascist too?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 08:58:11 PM
The point that some here make, following Putin's argument, is that there would have been no war in Donbas if "fascists" had not taken power in Kyiv.  But first, the war started before a change in the Rada, and second, even if members of right leaning parties had positions in government, the majority members of the Rada were not significantly different before and after Yanukovych left office.  There were a few lawsuits, with a couple of MP's disqualified, but that was after Yanukovych left office, and it did not change the Rada's composition.


No party in the last Rada had a clear majority (before the 2014 election), so the Party of Regions was the party in power because of support from other parties.  That changed with time.  However, Fatherland, the party that took over, had the same members in the Rada before Yanukovych left office, and no one can argue credibly that the members of Fatherland are fascists.  It is unsubstantiated propaganda.  There are more fascists and neo Nazis in Russia's Duma than there are in Ukraine's Rada.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 09:22:15 PM
None of them are in positions of any importance in the current cabinet or Rada.


These guys are still active and influential in the current govt. whatever their position.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: southernX on March 08, 2015, 09:26:56 PM

steamer if you believe this  below from your link , ??

then nobody is not going to change  your perspective one iota imo

SX

http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554

The Lustration Committee is to organize the Neo-Nazi witch-hunt against all opponents of the new Neo-Nazi regime. The targets of the lustration campaign are people in positions of authority within the civil service, regional and municipal governments, education, research, etc.  The term lustration refers to the “mass disqualification” of people associated with the former government. It also has racial overtones. It will in all likelihood be directed against Communists, Russians  and members of the Jewish community.
 
It is important to reflect on the fact that the West, formally committed to democratic values, has not only spearheaded the demise of an elected president, it has instated a political regime integrated by Neo-Nazis.
 
This is a proxy government which enables the US, NATO and the EU to interfere in Ukraine’s internal affairs and dismantle its bilateral relations with the Russian Federation. It should be understood, however, that the Neo-Nazis do not ultimately call the shots. The composition of the Cabinet broadly coincides with U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland ” recommendations” contained in the leaked telephone call to the U.S. ambassador to Ukraine.
 
Washington has chosen to spearhead Neo-Nazis into positions of authority. Under a “regime of indirect rule”, however,  they take their orders on crucial military and foreign policy issues –including the deployment of troops directed against the Russian federation– from the the US State Department, the Pentagon and NATO.
 
The World is at a dangerous crossroads: The structures and composition of this proxy government installed by the West do not favor dialogue with the Russian government and military.
 
A scenario of military escalation leading to confrontation of Russia and NATO is a distinct possibility. The Ukraine’s National Security and National Defense Committee (RNBOU) which is controlled by Neo-Nazis plays a central role in military affairs.  In the confrontation with Moscow, decisions taken by the RNBOU headed by Neo-Nazi Parubiy and his brown Shirt deputy Dmytro Yarosh –in consultation with Washington and Brussels– could potentially have devastating consequences.
 
However, it goes without saying that “support” to the formation of a Neo-Nazi government does not in any way imply the development of “fascist tendencies” within the White House, the State Department and the US Congress.
 
“The flowering of democracy” in Ukraine –to use the words of the New York Times– is endorsed by Republicans and Democrats. It’s a bipartisan project. Lest we forget, Senator John McCain is a firm supporter and friend of Neo Nazi Svoboda leader Oleh Tyahnybok (Image right).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 09:34:17 PM
  There are more fascists and neo Nazis in Russia's Duma than there are in Ukraine's Rada.


That could very well be true but that doesn't make all the Ukrainian fascists disappear.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 09:37:43 PM
steamer if you believe this  below from your link , ??

then nobody is not going to change  your perspective one iota imo

SX
http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554 (http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-u-s-has-installed-a-neo-nazi-government-in-ukraine/5371554)


That is correct.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 09:56:16 PM

That could very well be true but that doesn't make all the Ukrainian fascists disappear.

Irrelevant.

First, Tyahnybok has no seat in the Rada, and, therefore, no role in government.  Parubiy is a founding member of People's Front, which definitely is not a fascist party.  Please point to all his "fascist" policies or statements.  Yarosh has always denied being a fascist.  He claims he is pro Ukrainian, and wants Ukraine to reject both the EU and Russia.  Pravij Sekhtor is a loose conglomeration of numerous groups, some of which are fascist, but not all of them are.  I would place him on the right, but I would not call statements I have read by him as fascist.


Your source, which I have read in the past, is very flawed and biased.  I have no problem in calling a spade a spade.  I personally do not believe Svoboda is a fascist party.  It was founded by former nomenklatura as an ultra nationalist party, because nationalism is the easiest way to control the masses.  If communism "sold" in that part of Ukraine, Svoboda would be a communist party.  Svoboda does have some troubling aspects, and some of its members are swine, but that is a different story.

None of the members named have any special power (beyond their roles as MP's for the two elected members), and did not at the time the war in Donbas started, or now.  Therefore, the bleating posts about the "fascists in Kyiv" is nothing more than propaganda, and inaccurate propaganda at that.


BTW, I am not suggesting there are no fascists in the Rada.  Andrey Biltesky holds views I consider fascist.  However, he is one voice, and a minority one in the current Rada.  That is my point.  The leaders in Kyiv never were fascists, despite what Natural and Shadow have asserted.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 10:21:07 PM

Your source, which I have read in the past, is very flawed and biased.  I have no problem in calling a spade a spade.  I personally do not believe Svoboda is a fascist party.  It was founded by former nomenklatura as an ultra nationalist party, because nationalism is the easiest way to control the masses.  If communism "sold" in that part of Ukraine, Svoboda would be a communist party.  Svoboda does have some troubling aspects, and some of its members are swine, but that is a different story.

I've noticed that ANY source, ANY photo that does not sing the praises of Ukraine is flawed and biased. It's OK, I get it.

BTW, I am not suggesting there are no fascists in the Rada.  Andrey Biltesky holds views I consider fascist.  However, he is one voice, and a minority one in the current Rada.  That is my point.  The leaders in Kyiv never were fascists, despite what Natural and Shadow have asserted.


OK but isn't government merely a sum of it's parts?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 10:25:54 PM
Please read this piece by an academic, Alexander Motyl.  He is a political scientist and Rutgers, and an acclaimed academic.  Disclaimer - he is an ethnic diaspora Ukrainian and at times, I find he is a bit nationalistic.  However, this piece, in terms of Ukraine, is accurate, IMHO -


Quote
Fascism is often used as an epithet, especially by the left, but it actually is a perfectly respectable academic term that refers to a particular type of political system. Everyone can agree that fascist states are authoritarian -- that is, they lack the fundamental attributes of democracy. Unlike democracies, fascist systems lack meaningful parliaments, judiciaries, parties, political contestation and elections. In fascist systems, as in all authoritarian systems, parliaments are rubber-stamp institutions, judiciaries do what the leader tells them, opposition parties are marginal and electoral outcomes are preordained.

Like all authoritarian states, fascist states are highly centralized and hierarchical, they give pride of place within the power structure to soldiers and policemen, usually secret policemen, and they always have a supreme leader. Indeed, there can be no fascist state without a supreme leader. Like authoritarian states, fascist states limit freedom of the press, freedom of speech and freedom of assembly; and espouse some form of ethnocentrism glorifying their nation and their state and their fabulous past, present and future.

But fascist states are not just run-of-the-mill authoritarian states. The latter typically connotes images of dour old men ruling a sullen population. Fascist states exude youth and vigor, and they always implicate the population in its own repression. Fascist leaders strut. They want to appear youthful, manly and active: they are machos, par excellence. They also appeal to those qualities in the population, usually co-opting the young into their movements or parties. No less important, fascist states are popular: they incorporate the population into the system of rule, promising it a grand and glorious future in exchange for its enthusiasm and support.

Not surprisingly, fascist states tend to sound and act aggressively. The soldiers and policemen that run fascist states have a natural proclivity to toughness and weaponry. The ethnocentrism appeals to national and state glory, and cult of vigor sees enemies everywhere. The machismo-based cult-like status of leaders encourages them to pound their chests with abandon. And the population's implication in its own repression leads it to balance its self-humiliation with attempts to humiliate others.

IS UKRAINE RULED BY FASCISTS?

Supporters of the Ukraine-is-fascist argument might say that Ukraine is not fascist, but its rulers are fascists who want to establish a fascist system of rule. Alas, this claim is absurd.

Poroshenko and his predecessor, Acting President Oleksandr Turchynov, are obviously not fascists.

None of the current cabinet members has anything resembling fascist credentials. The government that succeeded the corrupt Yanukovych dictatorship in late February 2014 consisted of 19 individuals: only two (Defense Minister Ihor Tenyukh and Deputy Prime Minister Oleksandr Sych) were members of the right-wing Svoboda party and one, the Secretary of the National and Security Defense Council Andriy Parubiy, had right-wing ties until 2004.

In early 2014, Svoboda had 38 seats (http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-20113616) in Ukraine's parliament -- out of a total of 450. Svoboda's leader, Oleh Tyahnybok, had run for president in the 2010 elections that brought Yanukovych to power and received 1.43 percent (http://gazeta.ua/articles/politics/_cvk-oprilyudnila-oficijni-rezultati-1go-turu-viboriv/324402) of the vote. He ran again, in the presidential ballot of May 25, 2014, and received 1.16 percent (http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2014/wp300pt001f01=702.html). Dmytro Yarosh, head of the right-wing Right Sector, received a mere 0.70 percent (http://www.cvk.gov.ua/vp2014/wp300pt001f01=702.html) in 2014. In the October 26, 2104, parliamentary elections, Svoboda and the Right Sector got, respectively, six seats and one seat (http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/233747.html).
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alexander-motyl/putin-calls-ukraine-fasci_b_6600292.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alexander-motyl/putin-calls-ukraine-fasci_b_6600292.html)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 08, 2015, 10:27:23 PM
I've noticed that ANY source, ANY photo that does not sing the praises of Ukraine is flawed and biased. It's OK, I get it.

You won't read that from me.


Quote
OK but isn't government merely a sum of it's parts?


If extremists represent less than 1% of the whole, what sum do they represent?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 08, 2015, 10:42:03 PM

If China ever wants to be top dog, they have to partner up with others before dropping USA. China and Russia have made many business agreements over the last year and they are bonding, especially with that $400 billion gas deal. Birds of a feather flock together. Russia and China both have ambitions to spread their borders. Recently a poll in Japan had China passing up North Korea for the first time as the major threat. Poll below shows Russians heavily favor China over America by almost 40%.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/173597/russian-approval-putin-soars-highest-level-years.aspx

The # 1 economy has its own problems.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-coming-chinese-crack-up-1425659198
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 08, 2015, 11:12:05 PM
Please read this piece by an academic, Alexander Motyl.  He is a political scientist and Rutgers, and an acclaimed academic.  Disclaimer - he is an ethnic diaspora Ukrainian and at times, I find he is a bit nationalistic.  However, this piece, in terms of Ukraine, is accurate, IMHO -

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alexander-motyl/putin-calls-ukraine-fasci_b_6600292.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alexander-motyl/putin-calls-ukraine-fasci_b_6600292.html)


I read this. Comparing this to the US congress can you imagine how horrified people would be if you told them the current congress "only has 38 Klansmen and 7 Neo Nazis" out of 450. I wouldn't feel good.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 09, 2015, 01:53:13 AM
Quote
I read this. Comparing this to the US congress can you imagine how horrified people would be if you told them the current congress "only has 38 Klansmen and 7 Neo Nazis" out of 450. I wouldn't feel good.

Steamer, no offense my friend, but you obviously have yet to be introduced around the Russian Duma.  ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 09, 2015, 06:57:17 AM
Steamer, no offense my friend, but you obviously have yet to be introduced around the Russian Duma.  ;D


I have no doubt the Duma has many bad characters but (no offence to you either) we were discussing the bad characters in the Rada which I am being told are of no consequence. They do however take nice group photos with US officials.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Natali_Tsymbalyuk on March 09, 2015, 07:02:49 AM
Very good and dark analysis of the situation that will be in Ukraine after the war
http://www.odnako.org/blogs/za-devyatim-krugom-ada-kakie-peremeni-zhdut-ukrainskoe-obshchestvo-posle-voyni/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 09, 2015, 07:45:31 AM

You won't read that from me.



But it is true.
Tell me then what source you WOULD accept as unbiased or not flawed and understand that your sources are subject to the same scrutiny.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 08:13:19 AM

I read this. Comparing this to the US congress can you imagine how horrified people would be if you told them the current congress "only has 38 Klansmen and 7 Neo Nazis" out of 450. I wouldn't feel good.

There were Klansman elected to the Senate, and at least one former KKK member was elected president (and was a good one, at that), and outright racists (Thurmond, Helms, Barr, Lott) whose statements had zero effect on their reelections.  Furthermore, some  Tea Party support is based on the colour of Obama's skin, rather than some deep commitment to smaller government.  So, perhaps you shouldn't feel so good already.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 08:14:13 AM

But it is true.
Tell me then what source you WOULD accept as unbiased or not flawed and understand that your sources are subject to the same scrutiny.

The Motyl article I cited.  Most Western media, which is not biased. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 08:16:31 AM

I have no doubt the Duma has many bad characters but (no offence to you either) we were discussing the bad characters in the Rada which I am being told are of no consequence. They do however take nice group photos with US officials.

No, bad characters is a different issue.  Most of the characters in the Rada are, IMHO, bad characters. 
My question was specifically, who are the "fascists in control" in Kyiv, to such a degree that invasion of Eastern Ukraine was necessary?  No one who has put forward that narrative can point to all these evil fascists who are controlling the government and putting Russia at risk.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 09, 2015, 08:42:20 AM

There were Klansman elected to the Senate, and at least one former KKK member was elected president (and was a good one, at that), and outright racists (Thurmond, Helms, Barr, Lott) whose statements had zero effect on their reelections.  Furthermore, some  Tea Party support is based on the colour of Obama's skin, rather than some deep commitment to smaller government.  So, perhaps you shouldn't feel so good already.


All either dead or retired which is farther away from govt. activities than Parubiy,Tyagnibok and Yarosh who were good enough to pose for photos with John Mccain and Nuland.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 09, 2015, 08:47:17 AM

 Most Western media, which is not biased.


You must be joking. Western media is merely the US propaganda dept.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 09, 2015, 08:57:17 AM

No, bad characters is a different issue.  Most of the characters in the Rada are, IMHO, bad characters. 
My question was specifically, who are the "fascists in control" in Kyiv, to such a degree that invasion of Eastern Ukraine was necessary?  No one who has put forward that narrative can point to all these evil fascists who are controlling the government and putting Russia at risk.


I see that you are adding in some extra qualifiers; enough to change the subject.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmobyone on March 09, 2015, 09:10:39 AM
Hi Natasha

welcome to the site.

You will find that many men regard your beautiful city as a 'bad' place to look for a wife :(((((

This is probably because there have been a few tv documentaries showing men - who have no chance to find a good women at home believe they could arrive in Odessa and a line will form - as they are from the west ;))))))

There are tours organised - many of which feature Odessa - and women are invited to meet these men.

It would be great if we could try to keep the politics out of threads relating to relationships







 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 09:12:09 AM

I see that you are adding in some extra qualifiers; enough to change the subject.
No.  Here is my question yesterday -

Quote
I ask those who hold that notion to be true to please name all these fascists
with real power.
In the past, I have asked who the fascists are who are running Kyiv.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 09:13:22 AM

You must be joking. Western media is merely the US propaganda dept.

Really?  So tell me what the Western media has reported that is grossly inaccurate. I mean reputable papers, such as the NYT, the Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The National Post, and Vice News.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 09:14:26 AM

All either dead or retired which is farther away from govt. activities than Parubiy,Tyagnibok and Yarosh who were good enough to pose for photos with John Mccain and Nuland.

Irrelevant.  You posted Americans would be shocked at such characters in government.   They weren't, and Steve Scalise proves they are not now. 
There are more fascists in the governments of Russia and every EU country but for the UK, than there are in Ukraine.  So why aren't all those countries being invaded?  Or, at the very least, being held to the same standard as Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 09:31:03 AM
Hi Natasha

welcome to the site.

You will find that many men regard your beautiful city as a 'bad' place to look for a wife :( ((((

This is probably because there have been a few tv documentaries showing men - who have no chance to find a good women at home believe they could arrive in Odessa and a line will form - as they are from the west ;) )))))

There are tours organised - many of which feature Odessa - and women are invited to meet these men.

It would be great if we could try to keep the politics out of threads relating to relationships

Or relationships out of threads relating to politics. :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on March 09, 2015, 09:33:09 AM
Putin and his brainwashed subjects are fond of referring to Ukraine and it's citizens as Fascists to cast disrespect upon Ukraine; and all because a tiny minority party once elected to Ukraine's parliament had some Fascist rhetoric.

Let's examine what Fascism means, and think which leader and country really best exemplifies the name.

It is Russia that has embraced Fascism, not Ukraine

= = = = = = =

Fascism started off as a political movement in Italy during World War I and spread across Europe during the 1920s and 1930s. Italy’s Benito Mussolini, Germany’s Adolf
Hitler and Spain’s Franco are all considered parts of the fascist movement.

At its core, fascism was a reaction to the spread of Western liberal democracy and its values. While Western democracies in France, Britain or the U.S. were based on individual freedom and small government, fascists emphasized the national collective.

They sought a strong state with a powerful army, headed by a dictator who controlled most aspects of life, including press, arts, and sports. Their nationalist myth was rooted in history.

Mussolini saw himself as successor to the Roman emperors, and Hitler to the Germanic leaders and medieval German emperors.

Fascists despised what they perceived as decadent Western values, including everything from democracy, press freedom, expressionist art to homosexuality.

See the complete article here:

http://www.worldpolicy.org/blog/2014/05/12/why-it%E2%80%99s-time-start-calling-putin-fascist
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: The Natural on March 09, 2015, 09:36:45 AM

Or relationships out of threads relating to politics. :)

Boe, you should do more romancing and less quarreling  :P
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 09:55:12 AM
Boe, you should do more romancing and less quarreling  :P

The quarrelling here gets rid of all my natural aggression, so I am romantic with the better half.  :P   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on March 09, 2015, 10:17:41 AM
Very good and dark analysis of the situation that will be in Ukraine after the war
http://www.odnako.org/blogs/za-devyatim-krugom-ada-kakie-peremeni-zhdut-ukrainskoe-obshchestvo-posle-voyni/

Muscovite trash propaganda. Tell me, Natasha, are you a Putin and moskali supporter?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 10:24:05 AM
I didn't read it that way.  I didn't agree with all of it, but there is some reality to what he wrote.
 
Things are very bad in most of Ukraine right now, as anyone who  has family there can attest to.  In Kyiv, there are hundreds of thousands of refugees, and unemployment is very high.  It is not a pretty time. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 09, 2015, 10:39:07 AM
Steamer:
Quote
but (no offence to you either) we were discussing the bad characters in the Rada which I am being told are of no consequence.

But it was you who brought the US Congress into the debate. So, is it really only about the Rada?

Bo is correct, the bad boys you mention, are of no consequence in Ukraine.

As far as tea party, I'd love to join. I like many of their positions. That being said, I'm not sure what part of not liking someone's political beliefs makes me a racist. The business partner in the Smooth Jazz radio station we own is black, and I'm sure that he'd love to hear how racist I am!  :D He voted for Obama twice, but that hasn't stopped our friendship of almost two decades.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on March 09, 2015, 10:53:04 AM
My question was specifically, who are the "fascists in control" in Kyiv, to such a degree that invasion of Eastern Ukraine was necessary?
OK, you have asked this question so many times so that I feel obliged to answer it.
"Fascist in control in Kiev" was never used by high Russian  officials. This word is widely used in pro-Russian rebel sources, and was used in Russian media in times when Ukrainian  nationalists were in power in Kiev. The last is easy explainable, in Russia people who glorify Bandera are equal to Nazi supporters, and I agree with such attitude if not to go deeper to the scientific or historic definition of fashism.

   Why matching of Kiev govenment with fashists meets with a generous response at Donbass? Because people at Donbass see the attitude of men in power in Kiev towards Donbass. I'll specify some facts which were taken close to hearts at Donbass.
First, Odessa was turning point in the conflict. Death of a few tens men was justified by some Ukrainian officials  with convincing claim that victims were pro-Russian separatists. Nobody was sentenced in Odessa fire so far.
     Close aide to Kolomoiski, Boris Filatov, had written at his Facebook page famous phrase about pro-Russians: Promise them whatever they want, we'll hang them later. Filatov is not Ukrainian jornalist (that would be natural), he is a high rank official in key Ukrainian region.
    Prime minister of Ukraine, Arseny Yatsenyuk has referred to pro-Russians at Donbass as subhuman:
Quote
They lost their lives because they defended men and women, children and the elderly who found themselves in a situation facing a threat to be killed by invaders and sponsored by them subhumans. First, we will commemorate the heroes by wiping out those who killed them and then by cleaning our land from the evil.
Word "subhuman" is echoing the racist propaganda of Nazism as well as "cleaning our land". Though one can argue about correct translation of Ukrainian word нелюды into subhuman, prime minister should be more careful in wording concerning his own citizens.
    Even more with Yatsnyuk, who recently associated Ukraine with Germany in WWII in sense that both countries falled victims to Soviet assault.
    Some of Ukrainians are fighting at Donbass under swastika. There are Russian nazis at Donbass too fighting among rebels, however there is a big difference. Swastika and Nazi attributes are outlawed in Russia, Nazi supporters are prosecuted, while Ukrainians have got tolerable attitude to them.
    All of this creates the emotional background at Donbass where thousands were killed by Ukrainian army. Rebels see the enemy and labeled them as fashists without turning to Wikipedia to know the right meaning of this word.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 09, 2015, 12:30:46 PM
OK, you have asked this question so many times so that I feel obliged to answer it.
"Fascist in control in Kiev" was never used by high Russian  officials. This word is widely used in pro-Russian rebel sources, and was used in Russian media in times when Ukrainian  nationalists were in power in Kiev. The last is easy explainable, in Russia people who glorify Bandera are equal to Nazi supporters, and I agree with such attitude if not to go deeper to the scientific or historic definition of fashism.
I know that Bandera=fascist was drilled into every Soviet's head, and that notion still is very strong in Eastern Ukraine and beyond.  However, I disagree with your agreement with this attitude. 
 
Bandera is popular in Western Ukraine not for his politics, but because he (a) fought for an independent Ukraine; and (b)  fought the hated communists.  He is a symbol for Ukrainians who believe they are entitled to their own state.  Just as Russians believe they are entitled to their own state.

Quote
Why matching of Kiev govenment with fashists meets with a generous response at
Donbass? Because people at Donbass see the attitude of men in power in Kiev
towards Donbass. I'll specify some facts which were taken close to hearts at
Donbass. First, Odessa was turning point in the conflict. Death of a few tens
men was justified by some Ukrainian officials  with convincing claim that
victims were pro-Russian separatists. Nobody was sentenced in Odessa fire so
far.
But the conflict in Donbas was not started by locals.  Moreover, it came before the Odesa fire.
Quote
Close aide to Kolomoiski, Boris Filatov, had
written at his Facebook page famous phrase about pro-Russians: Promise them
whatever they want, we'll hang them later. Filatov is not Ukrainian jornalist
(that would be natural), he is a high rank official in key Ukrainian region.
Don't you think that Kolomoisky and Filatov would have been gone without a war?
Quote
Prime minister of Ukraine, Arseny Yatsenyuk has referred to pro-Russians at
Donbass as subhuman:Word "subhuman" is echoing the racist propaganda of Nazism
as well as "cleaning our land". Though one can argue about correct translation
of Ukrainian word нелюды into subhuman, prime minister should be more careful in
wording concerning his own citizens.
I would not translate "nelyudy" from Ukrainian as subhuman.  I would translate it as not acting in a normal, humanitarian manner, inhumane.  Moreover, Yatseniuk never stated that they would cleanse individuals from lands.  Note, I say this with no particular fondness for Yatseniuk. 

Quote
Even more with Yatsnyuk, who recently associated Ukraine with Germany in WWII in sense that both countries falled victims to Soviet assault.
Once again, the quote is not taken in the context it was made.  He stated that Eastern and Central Europe, like Ukraine, were victims as they were subjugated to the USSR.  This, in my opinion, is accurate.  The USSR was, as Reagan famously stated, an "evil empire".  I know you think differently, but this was widely viewed as true in Central Ukraine when Reagan made the statement.

Quote
Some of Ukrainians are fighting at Donbass under swastika. There are Russian
nazis at Donbass too fighting among rebels, however there is a big difference. Swastika and Nazi attributes are outlawed in Russia, Nazi supporters are prosecuted, while Ukrainians have got tolerable attitude to them.
Democracies should be strong enough to not have to ban symbols.  The swasitika is not banned in North America, in fact, Nazis were allowed to march through a Jewish neighbourhood outside Chicago, and their right to do so was protected by the ACLU. 
Quote
All of this creates the emotional background at Donbass where thousands were killed by Ukrainian army. Rebels see the enemy and labeled them as fashists without turning to Wikipedia to know the right meaning of this word.

I appreciate your input, Belvis, even if I disagree with you on some points.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 09, 2015, 12:35:59 PM
Mendy, you are wasting your time with these Novorossiya scum.  They know so much about what isn't true.  They will talk about self determination, but ignore it when it comes to 2012 anti-Putin protests.  They howl about nonexistent Ukrainian Nazis while ignoring Nazi tattoos on the corpses of Russian mercenaries headed back on Gruz 200. They bitch about the undemocratic coups from Kiev while silently approving the political murders from Moscow.  These people are straight up bastards.  Not naming any names.  If the shoe fits wear it
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Chelseaboy on March 09, 2015, 01:08:37 PM
Whilst Shadow is in self-denial when confronted with the fact that Crimeans were not given the option to remain as part of Ukraine in the illegal Russian referendum that stole the land from Ukraine.

I'm not sure if the Putinists on here are Kremlin trolls or just totally deluded.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 09, 2015, 01:25:36 PM

Bo you're just being deliberately difficult. Parubiy is still a minister.


So let's say that Parubiy is still a minister. That makes the Rada a bunch of fascist?


On the other hand...



Russian National Unity (RNE), founded in 1990 and led by Alexander Barkashov, has claimed to have members in 250 cities. RNE adopted the swastika as its symbol, and sees itself as the avant-garde of a coming national revolution. It is critical of other major far right organizations, such as the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR). Historian Walter Laqueur calls RNE far closer to the Nazi model than the LDPR. RNE publishes several news sheets; one of them, Russky poryadok, claims to have a circulation of 150,000. Full members of RNE are called Soratnik (comrades in arms), receive combat training at locations near Moscow, and many of them work as security officers or armed guards. (Laqueur, Walter, Fascism: Past, Present, Future, p. 189)


On August 15, 2007, Russian authorities arrested a student for allegedly posting a video on the Internet which appears to show two migrant workers being beheaded in front of a red and black swastika flag. Alexander Verkhovsky, the head of a Moscow-based center that monitors hate crime in Russia, said, "It looks like this is the real thing. The killing is genuine ... There are similar videos from the Chechen war. But this is the first time the killing appears to have been done intentionally." A Russian neo-Nazi group called the Russian National Socialist Party claimed responsibility for the murders. (Clickety here (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6946810.stm) and here (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/aug/16/russia.lukeharding))


Better yet, try this and enjoy the reading. http://lmgtfy.com/?q=russian+neo+nazis
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 09, 2015, 01:33:29 PM

I read this. Comparing this to the US congress can you imagine how horrified people would be if you told them the current congress "only has 38 Klansmen and 7 Neo Nazis" out of 450. I wouldn't feel good.


Oh dear, you are so insular and so provincial.


Edags!!! Neo-Nazis in Europe!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on March 09, 2015, 01:47:53 PM
    Some of Ukrainians are fighting at Donbass under swastika. There are Russian nazis at Donbass too fighting among rebels, however there is a big difference. Swastika and Nazi attributes are outlawed in Russia, Nazi supporters are prosecuted, while Ukrainians have got tolerable attitude to them.
   


Oh? Like Occupy Pedophilia?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 09, 2015, 04:41:13 PM

Why you speak of things you not know?


The best thing the US can do for PR is to give them their independence. Here's the irony. What is happening in PR is exactly what the US and the Western world are pontificating to Russia for doing. Namely, holding a territory hostage for no reason except to project power.


VERY good point...we are guilty of hypocrisy


Fathertime!   
Title: "Putin’s Russia Is in the Grip of Fascism" (Put Me to Sleep)
Post by: Gator on March 09, 2015, 09:56:37 PM
Steamer, no offense my friend, but you obviously have yet to be introduced around the Russian Duma.  ;D

Several threads have touched on fascists.  Today Newsweek published an article entitled: 

                                    Putin’s Russia Is in the Grip of Fascism

                               http://www.newsweek.com/putins-russia-grip-fascism-312513

I found the piece too heavy for my feeble mind. It skips around, touching on the Holocaust, referring to Carl Schmitt, and citing Annette Wieviorka's Era of the Witness, Klein’s paranoid-schizoid position, the French psychoanalyst Didier Anzieu,....

Some quotes: 


Quote
This, too, is a feature of projective identification. Thus Ukrainians are systematically accused of fascism, while Russian fascism is displaced by a false idealization of one’s own image.

Quote
      But this only begins to describe the situation in Russia today. It is complicated by the paradoxes of post-imperial victimization.   

Quote
    Today’s Russian fascist is simultaneously omnipotent and persecuted.     

I did like the closing thought (presuming my understanding of the first sentence is correct):

Quote
      Heroic self-assertion turns into infantilization and the victimization of the very project of self-assertion. The more effort put into the projected overcoming of inferiority, the more the “hero” of the Russian world starts to look like a scruffy and troubled young man who lets himself be called “Motorola.”     

The discussion comments were lively and on a different plane than RWD. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 11, 2015, 05:08:16 PM

  Most Western media, which is not biased.



http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/03/10/ukraine-azov-brigade-nazis-abuses-separatists/24664937/ (http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2015/03/10/ukraine-azov-brigade-nazis-abuses-separatists/24664937/)

(http://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/fd1f68cffb8aedfad4b456877459307c2c89435b/c=278-0-2938-2000&r=x404&c=534x401/local/-/media/2015/03/10/USATODAY/USATODAY/635615747871340078-XXX-20150307-Coverage-of-Eastern-Ukraine-APS-280.JPG)
MARIUPOL, Ukraine — A volunteer brigade with self-proclaimed Nazis fighting alongside government troops against Russian-backed separatists is proving to be a mixed blessing to its cause.Though the 900-member Azov Brigade adds needed manpower to repulse the rebels, members who say they are Nazis are sparking controversy, and complaints of abuses against civilians have turned some residents against them.

He vowed that when the war ends, his comrades will march on the capital, Kiev, to oust a government they consider corrupt.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 11, 2015, 06:08:16 PM
Where is the bias in that article?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 11, 2015, 07:10:30 PM
Where is the bias in that article?


There is none. It's from a western source discussing the nazi's in the Azov battalion and how they are harassing the people in Mariupol. The nazi's that you (and others) keep saying don't exist.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 11, 2015, 07:45:13 PM

There is none. It's from a western source discussing the nazi's in the Azov battalion and how they are harassing the people in Mariupol. The nazi's that you (and others) keep saying don't exist.

I've read the entire article, and I recommend anyone who is actually interested in the complete truth, the whole truth, to read the entire article.

There was only one allegation by a civilian against this battalion, and it was by a woman whose two sons were initially detained and their cash and other stuff confiscated.  Unlike the real thugs, the pro-Putin bunch, the Ukrainians returned all to her and her sons.  A CO of the Azov battalion offered her an independent investigation into the allegation, which she has accepted.

Compare this to allegations of rape, torture, drugging persons while they are imprisoned, stealing all of their money and not returning it, by the pro-Russian bunch.  The pro-Russian bunch threatens journalists, the Ukrainians do not.

As far as the allegations of "Nazi's" they do indeed exist, on both sides of the conflict.  They are in the minority and the CO has threatened one guy in particular for expressing his personal views, which the CO says are not congruent with the overall views of the unit.

Again, I recommend those with an interest in the truth to read the entire article.  My opinion is that it was published primarily to sell newspapers.  I won't deny it's a potential publicity problem, because clearly it is.

The difference I see is Western journalism will actually print a story like this telling the truth about some fascists, who are in the minority, and Russian journalists will not tell a truthful story about their guys.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 11, 2015, 08:10:43 PM

There is none. It's from a western source discussing the nazi's in the Azov battalion and how they are harassing the people in Mariupol. The nazi's that you (and others) keep saying don't exist.

A.  I never stated Nazis don't exist.  Everyone knows that the non ATO forces are made up of people of various political persuasions.  Neo Nazis exist everywhere.  Did you notice the article stated the Azov fighters came mostly from Donbas (i.e., not from the "fascist Western Ukraine")?  What I stated was that fascists do not have power in Kyiv (i.e., the Ukrainian government is not fascist).  That assertion by me has yet to be proven wrong. 


B.  The article did not state the Azov battalion is a neo Nazi or Nazi battalion.  It stated some of its members were neo Nazis, and some have been heavy handed with locals.  It also stated that the majority of the battalion is not made up of Nazi sympathizers.  I thought the article was balanced.


I hope your reading comprehension is better than presented above!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 11, 2015, 08:13:14 PM

There was only one allegation by a civilian against this battalion, and it was by a woman whose two sons were initially detained and their cash and other stuff confiscated.  Unlike the real thugs, the pro-Putin bunch, the Ukrainians returned all to her and her sons.  A CO of the Azov battalion offered her an independent investigation into the allegation, which she has accepted.


What about the drill sgt. who claimed that half of the battalion were nazis and the CO said he would be severely punished for his lack of discipline (spilling the beans).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 11, 2015, 08:18:15 PM

What about the drill sgt. who claimed that half of the battalion were nazis and the CO said he would be severely punished for his lack of discipline (spilling the beans).

As poster Boethius just stated, you have reading comprehension problems.  He will be dealt with not for "spilling beans" but because he does not represent the outlook of the battalion.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 11, 2015, 08:20:07 PM
A.  I never stated Nazis don't exist.  Everyone knows that the non ATO forces are made up of people of various political persuasions.  Neo Nazis exist everywhere.  Did you notice the article stated the Azov fighters came mostly from Donbas (i.e., not from the "fascist Western Ukraine")?  What I stated was that fascists do not have power in Kyiv (i.e., the Ukrainian government is not fascist).  That assertion by me has yet to be proven wrong. 

I agree 100% with the part you bolded.  He's just grasping at straws while ignoring the fascist nature of Putin and the fact that Russia has been financing fascists in Hungary and all over Europe.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 11, 2015, 08:30:53 PM
What I stated was that fascists do not have power in Kyiv (i.e., the Ukrainian government is not fascist).

Of course that's why the sgt. said they were going to march on Kiev to oust the corrupt govt. once the fighting stops.

The article did not state the Azov battalion is a neo Nazi or Nazi battalion.  It stated some of its members were neo Nazis, and some have been heavy handed with locals.


OK so it's not a nazi battalion but according to the sgt. about half of the men are nazis that have been harassing the locals. My reading comprehension is just fine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 11, 2015, 08:34:22 PM
Of course that's why the sgt. said they were going to march on Kiev to oust the corrupt govt. once the fighting stops.


OK so it's not a nazi battalion but according to the sgt. about half of the men are nazis that have been harassing the locals. My comprehension is just fine.


The battalion CO did not agree with the "half" figure.  One of the guys is Jewish and nobody is trying to kill or harass him.

These guys are essentially nationalists who believe in protecting their country from the real fascists; those who have invaded from the East.

Were invaders not in E. Ukraine from Russia, financed by Russia, with tanks and other heavy weapons from Russia, we would not even be having this discussion.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 11, 2015, 08:49:04 PM

The battalion CO did not agree with the "half" figure.  One of the guys is Jewish and nobody is trying to kill or harass him.



Of course the CO didn't agree with the half figure, he understood he was speaking to a reporter the sgt. didn't care. The sgt. also said that he was good with Jews and didn't believe in genocide. That must have been very reassuring to the one Jew. :D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 11, 2015, 10:24:03 PM

Of course the CO didn't agree with the half figure, he understood he was speaking to a reporter the sgt. didn't care. The sgt. also said that he was good with Jews and didn't believe in genocide. That must have been very reassuring to the one Jew. :D

Yes the one Jewish guy in the unit who is alive and well.  Meanwhile back in Moscow Nemtsov, an ethnic Jew was brutally murdered near the Kremlin.  Of course good ole' Putler will get to the bottom of that murder, right Steamer guy?  In fact voila, 5 ethnic Chechens beaten to an inch of their lives, have confessed!!  Wow!! 
Title: Putin reduces fines for bribes. LOL
Post by: calmissile on March 11, 2015, 11:05:57 PM
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-putin-bribes-fines-decrease/26890137.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 11, 2015, 11:18:33 PM
Of course that's why the sgt. said they were going to march on Kiev to oust the corrupt govt. once the fighting stops.

But they haven't yet, so where are the fascists currently controlling Ukraine.  You know, the ones who are such a danger that Russians need to invade to protect the locals from their "fascist government".


Quote
OK so it's not a nazi battalion but according to the sgt. about half of the men are nazis that have been harassing the locals. My reading comprehension is just fine.


If your reading comprehension is just fine, then you are cherry picking what you want to "hear".  Another interviewee said that nazi sympathizers were a minority in the Azov battalion.  That suggests a balanced article to me.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 12, 2015, 12:46:26 AM
Steamer, have you any personal experience with the Azov? I know several, and they are just like you and me, committed to protecting their homeland against the Russian invaders. Until you have your own personal proof, rooted in personal experience, I'm not buying.

Using your logic, I could just as easily claim that the American Democrats were all just a bunch of KKK Klansmen, and despite the fact that the KKK historically has called the Democratic party as their home, you and I are smart enough to realize that a majority of Dems are not sympathetic to the KKK anymore.

In reality you are engaging a diversion. You must think that if enough fingers are pointed in the opposite direction, then the human race will ignore the real fascists, the Russian invaders. I think that most people are smarter than that.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 12, 2015, 04:08:19 AM
Steamer is lazy.  You haven't figured that out yet?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 12, 2015, 05:19:44 AM
Steamer is lazy.  You haven't figured that out yet?


..last person who should be calling somebody lazy is LT.


Fathertime!   
Title: DPR: Russia doesn't want you.
Post by: Изумруд on March 12, 2015, 05:51:05 AM
"With cash and food resources dwindling, local administrators in the eastern 'Donetsk People's Republic' are struggling with day-to-day issues of survival – and bitter residents."........................“If we don’t have any help from Russia and this isn’t solved in March, there will be a social explosion here,” warns Olga Gregoriyeva, another local administrator. “People are fainting from hunger.”


http://news.yahoo.com/rebel-held-ukraine-hotline-calls-soar-government-flails-135741388.html
Title: Re: DPR: Russia doesn't want you.
Post by: BillyB on March 12, 2015, 07:50:38 AM
"With cash and food resources dwindling, local administrators in the eastern 'Donetsk People's Republic' are struggling with day-to-day issues of survival – and bitter residents."........................“If we don’t have any help from Russia and this isn’t solved in March, there will be a social explosion here,” warns Olga Gregoriyeva, another local administrator. “People are fainting from hunger.”



What do you mean they're hungry? Russia has sent plenty of stuff over there. They don't like the taste of tanks, missiles and Russian soldiers?


I'm sure if they picked up a gun and joined the rebels instead of being peaceful innocent bystanders, Russia will feed them well.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on March 12, 2015, 09:24:36 AM
Steamer, have you any personal experience with the Azov? I know several, and they are just like you and me, committed to protecting their homeland against the Russian invaders.

Friends of Mendy from Azov:
(http://www.kp.ru/f/12/image/88/95/7989588.jpg)
(http://emaidan.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/fashisty.jpg)
(http://ic.pics.livejournal.com/hueviebin1/18409908/210770/210770_600.jpg)

Of course, not everybody in Azov shares Nazi views. Nevertheless I'm supprised Mendy considers himself just like Azov soldiers. Though he's correct formally, Nazi also tried to  protect their homeland against the Russian invaders in WWII. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on March 12, 2015, 09:32:15 AM
Friends of Mendy from Azov:
(http://www.kp.ru/f/12/image/88/95/7989588.jpg)
(http://emaidan.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/fashisty.jpg)
(http://ic.pics.livejournal.com/hueviebin1/18409908/210770/210770_600.jpg)

Of course, not everybody in Azov shares Nazi views. Nevertheless I'm supprised Mendy considers himself just like Azov soldiers. Though he's correct formally, Nazi also tried to  protect their homeland against the Russian invaders in WWII.

Nicely staged pictures, Belvis.  Exactly the type we would expect you to have in your possession.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 09:58:36 AM
A report on the Azov Battalion
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uWYFWyq4C2U (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uWYFWyq4C2U)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 12, 2015, 11:35:28 AM
Belvis, I consider those men to be just like you, too. In any group, there are bound to be some nut cases--shall we poll the nation of Russia? You'd be embarrassed.

As for the photos that have been making the rounds on Russian social media, it is truly odd that they aren't being promoted by the supposed fascists in Ukraine. I find it interesting that Russians can stage those kinds of things so quickly. Too quickly, and that is scary.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 11:53:49 AM
Of course Russia can stage these things quickly.  They need to save Ukrainians from themselves. :)
Title: Re: DPR: Russia doesn't want you.
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 11:55:39 AM
"With cash and food resources dwindling, local administrators in the eastern 'Donetsk People's Republic' are struggling with day-to-day issues of survival – and bitter residents."........................“If we don’t have any help from Russia and this isn’t solved in March, there will be a social explosion here,” warns Olga Gregoriyeva, another local administrator. “People are fainting from hunger.”


http://news.yahoo.com/rebel-held-ukraine-hotline-calls-soar-government-flails-135741388.html (http://news.yahoo.com/rebel-held-ukraine-hotline-calls-soar-government-flails-135741388.html)

Interesting.  So the heaven on earth created by the DNR/LPR leaders has yet to take hold. 
 
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 11:58:21 AM
Nicely staged pictures, Belvis.  Exactly the type we would expect you to have in your possession.


What makes you say these photos are staged?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on March 12, 2015, 12:20:30 PM
Begin with the third one.  That is a photoshopped head on the guy to the left.  The guy to the right is indeterminate.

The second one has no one who can be identified.  Intentionally blacked out. 

The first one could be real.  But based on what we have seen from Russia, such as the photoshopped location of the Buk Missile location in the shoot down of the jet, one would think that this was probably falsified too.

All in all, Belvis has come on here and repeatedly given the official Russian talking points.  I have grown to be somewhat suspicious of things that come from Official Russian Sources.  Haven't you?

I am also not very inclined to believe stuff I see coming from official Ukrainian Sources.

My personal opinion is that I am much more inclined to believe Mendy than either 'official source'.  Now, if Belvis could point to some third party source that doesn't proclaim Ukraine to be full of Nazis, as Russia has done since last year, then I might believe him.    But now?  No way.

My affections have always been with the Russian people.  But in my conversations with them, more and more are determining that they are being lied to by their government.  Married to a Russian woman, Steamer, I would think that you would be coming to the same conclusion - that much of what is being fed to the native Russian population is far from the actual truth. 

Looking at this objectively, I see that Russia is trying to exert its will over Ukraine.  All the news stories, truthful or otherwise coming from Russia, are designed to support this official line of thought.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 02:18:03 PM
Begin with the third one.  That is a photoshopped head on the guy to the left.  The guy to the right is indeterminate.

The second one has no one who can be identified.  Intentionally blacked out. 

The first one could be real.  But based on what we have seen from Russia, such as the photoshopped location of the Buk Missile location in the shoot down of the jet, one would think that this was probably falsified too.

[/size]I can't see it but I admit that this is over my head.



[/size]All in all, Belvis has come on here and repeatedly given the official Russian talking points.  I have grown to be somewhat suspicious of things that come from Official Russian Sources.

[/size]I am also not very inclined to believe stuff I see coming from official Ukrainian Sources.


I can also add that I don't trust western sources either. It seems that everyone has a reason to deceive their own population.


Looking at this objectively, I see that Russia is trying to exert its will over Ukraine.  All the news stories, truthful or otherwise coming from Russia, are designed to support this official line of thought.


And the US trying to exert its will over UA and Russia.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 02:21:20 PM
Please advise how the US has tried to exert its will over Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on March 12, 2015, 02:21:50 PM
Not just the US, Steamer. Most of the UN is also hoping that Russia will mind it's manners for a change.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 02:24:29 PM
Please advise how the US has tried to exert its will over Ukraine.


Money buys influence.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Hammer2722 on March 12, 2015, 02:26:38 PM

Money buys influence.
Wow, could anyone be more specific than you?  :ROFL:
Another Puntinist talking out of his popka!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 02:28:29 PM

Money buys influence.
What type of influence?  Who in Ukraine is subject to US hegemony?
 
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 12, 2015, 02:31:18 PM
Every nation has Nazis and Communists similar to Hitler and Stalin. Ukraine is no different but I don't think it's a big problem. It wasn't a problem when Russian puppet president Yanukovych was running the country. In the below link are the key points in the Minsk agreement Putin, rebels, and Ukraine fought for as told by a pro Russian source RT. Nowhere does it say Ukraine must put a stop to Nazis harassing ethnic Russians. If Putin doesn't have a problem and it isn't worth fighting for, it must not exist for Russia.


http://rt.com/news/231667-minsk-ceasefire-deal-breakup/


As far as photos go, Russia/USSR were playing with photos for propaganda purposes before Photoshop existed. I'm still trying to figure out the two below.


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on March 12, 2015, 04:03:42 PM

Money buys influence.


Yes it can. We did give billions so it is hard to figure out exactly who/what it was about...but I seriously doubt it was out of the kindness of our hearts.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on March 12, 2015, 04:26:26 PM

Yes it can. We did give billions so it is hard to figure out exactly who/what it was about...but I seriously doubt it was out of the kindness of our hearts.


Fathertime!


Russian puppet president Yanukovych was very friendly with America before he got ousted. He even talked with Joe Biden often to get advice on how to weather a growing revolution. If America encouraged hostilities with money we sent over there, I don't think Yanu would be talking to America.


Sometimes I wonder why we give billions to the bad boys in Iran. We gamble the money in hopes they give up their nuclear ambitions but if they do, it'll make the world a safer place. Sometimes I wonder why we feed millions of North Koreans. We gamble that food in hopes we see change for the better in North Korea. We give an insane amount of foreign aid to many countries in the world.


I was in an engineering unit in the US Army. Half my unit went to Bolivia to build a school in a hostile environment for disadvantaged kids. After finishing the project and leaving back to America, we learned a Bolivian drug lord took the school over to conduct his business in. We don't always get good value for our investments. I suspect much of the American money sent to Ukraine was to help Ukrainians, build infrastructure, and encourage democracy, not put weapons in their hands to overthrow their government. With those facts, I think they're reasons Yanukovych was comfortable talking to America and asking for our advice.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 12, 2015, 05:36:12 PM
Friends of Mendy from Azov:
(http://www.kp.ru/f/12/image/88/95/7989588.jpg)
(http://emaidan.com.ua/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/fashisty.jpg)
(http://ic.pics.livejournal.com/hueviebin1/18409908/210770/210770_600.jpg)

Of course, not everybody in Azov shares Nazi views. Nevertheless I'm supprised Mendy considers himself just like Azov soldiers. Though he's correct formally, Nazi also tried to  protect their homeland against the Russian invaders in WWII.

Good point.

Will you also say that there are Nazis in the Russian ranks?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 06:08:46 PM
What type of influence?  Who in Ukraine is subject to US hegemony?


For the $5 bil. we've spent so far the Rada would probably give congress a lap dance.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 06:13:43 PM
Well, they didn't.  In fact, they maintained strong relations with Russia during the time most of that $5 billion was expended.  Moreover, most of that money was used for civic action and educational projects.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 06:26:35 PM
Wow, could anyone be more specific than you?  :ROFL:
Another Puntinist talking out of his popka!


And for $5 more they'd get a happy ending.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 12, 2015, 07:00:08 PM

Money buys influence.

Good point.  Russia has never tried to buy influence in Ukraine, now have they?   :rolleyes:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 12, 2015, 07:07:10 PM
Good point.  Russia has never tried to buy influence in Ukraine, now have they?   :rolleyes:


Not hard enough.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 12, 2015, 07:19:48 PM

Not hard enough.

Really?  That's not what I recall.  In fact I recall Putin offering Ukraine a package valued at something like 10 to 15 Billion, which Yanukovych agreed to, but the Ukrainian people did not.

See Russia tried very hard to bribe Ukraine.  The EU offer at the time IIRC was less than 1 Billion.

Why would Ukrainians not want such a generous deal from Russia, in favor of the paltry deal from the EU?

It's called self-determination, another word for freedom.  In this case freedom from the bully to the East.

You should stop grasping at straws and admit Russia has failed, because they failed to really have a better offer.  Contrary to your preferred narrative, it was never about money.  I was about who they wanted to move closer to.


excerpt
"But then there are the financial incentives. In the end, the Russian president seems to have promised his Ukrainian counterpart several billion euros in the form of subsidies, debt forgiveness and duty-free imports. The EU, for its part, had offered Ukraine loans worth €610 million ($827 million), which it had increased at the last moment, along with the vague prospect of a €1 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Yanukovych chose Putin's billions instead."


http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/how-the-eu-lost-to-russia-in-negotiations-over-ukraine-trade-deal-a-935476.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 12, 2015, 07:40:42 PM
This has a good synopsis on various scenarios for further war -


http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/ukraines-donbas-is-not-enough-for-putin-383310.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: sleepycat on March 12, 2015, 09:32:39 PM

And for $5 more they'd get a happy ending.

$5 buys a lot of roubles these days...  ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 12, 2015, 09:58:24 PM
Another flaccid defense of Novorossiya annihilated by facts and logic.

 :clapping:  Boethius
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on March 13, 2015, 05:12:00 AM
As for the photos that have been making the rounds on Russian social media, it is truly odd that they aren't being promoted by the supposed fascists in Ukraine. I find it interesting that Russians can stage those kinds of things so quickly. Too quickly, and that is scary.

It's not odd that photos were not being promoted by the fascists in Ukraine. Because it seems you don't monitor closely the events there I will elaborate.  These photos are the discrediting evidence, and show up in private vk and facebook pages created by Azov soldiers. Sometimes when photos start circulation on Russian social media these guys had closed their pages. Second photo is right the case, I barely  had time to look at it at the Azov fighter page and on the next day the page has disappeared.

While you turn your sight blind at what does not fit your frame picture, Ukrainian officials ackowledge that Nazi is in fact a part of the Ukrainian armed forces.
See the 'staged' video where Ukraine’s ambassador to Germany inform you about realities:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QcR9jl4AM3A

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on March 13, 2015, 05:28:47 AM
One more 'staged' video about Azov, specially for Jone. Let him disclose how German TV stages pro-Russian video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mf0vbGj9cO4

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on March 13, 2015, 11:11:13 AM
Belvis, I can see that Peskov has you quite busy these days.

So, here is a question for you: With all the neo-Nazi radical youth in Russia, does Putin have them under control?

How do you explain their radical views, especially in light of Russia's history?

Also, I would suggest that you find a dictionary, and look up the definition of Nazi, and fascist.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 13, 2015, 01:28:42 PM

You should stop grasping at straws and admit Russia has failed, because they failed to really have a better offer.



That's why Russia should have bombed first and THEN bribed.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 13, 2015, 01:35:20 PM

That's why Russia should have bombed first and THEN bribed.

You shouldn't even joke like that, Steamer.  Tens of thousands of Ukrainians, and more than 1,000 Russians have died, thanks to Kremlin policies.  It is a tragedy.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Steamer on March 13, 2015, 02:05:09 PM

You shouldn't even joke like that, Steamer.  Tens of thousands of Ukrainians, and more than 1,000 Russians have died, thanks to Kremlin policies.  It is a tragedy.


I'm just giving it the same way I get it.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 13, 2015, 02:15:02 PM
I disagree.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 14, 2015, 09:15:34 AM

That's why NATO should have bombed Moscow first and THEN bribed.

This is how you're giving it.  How do you like that idea? 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 14, 2015, 10:31:19 AM
Boethius, is the austerity imposed by the IMF good for Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 14, 2015, 10:32:07 AM
Good for the country if they can weed out corruption, but horrible for the population.  It is far worse than in Greece.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 14, 2015, 10:35:15 AM
Doesn't IMF austerity mean more taxes and government spending cuts?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 14, 2015, 10:43:38 AM
Yes.  In Ukraine, there should also be an attempt to renegotiate debt, assuming the war ends, and they can get a handle on corruption.  Without the latter, nothing will change.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Photo Guy on March 14, 2015, 11:23:19 AM
Excellent post:

Really?  That's not what I recall.  In fact I recall Putin offering Ukraine a package valued at something like 10 to 15 Billion, which Yanukovych agreed to, but the Ukrainian people did not.

See Russia tried very hard to bribe Ukraine.  The EU offer at the time IIRC was less than 1 Billion.

Why would Ukrainians not want such a generous deal from Russia, in favor of the paltry deal from the EU?

It's called self-determination, another word for freedom.  In this case freedom from the bully to the East.

You should stop grasping at straws and admit Russia has failed, because they failed to really have a better offer.  Contrary to your preferred narrative, it was never about money.  I was about who they wanted to move closer to.


excerpt
"But then there are the financial incentives. In the end, the Russian president seems to have promised his Ukrainian counterpart several billion euros in the form of subsidies, debt forgiveness and duty-free imports. The EU, for its part, had offered Ukraine loans worth €610 million ($827 million), which it had increased at the last moment, along with the vague prospect of a €1 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Yanukovych chose Putin's billions instead."


http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/how-the-eu-lost-to-russia-in-negotiations-over-ukraine-trade-deal-a-935476.html (http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/how-the-eu-lost-to-russia-in-negotiations-over-ukraine-trade-deal-a-935476.html)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 14, 2015, 11:35:06 AM
Yes.  In Ukraine, there should also be an attempt to renegotiate debt, assuming the war ends, and they can get a handle on corruption.  Without the latter, nothing will change.

We have corruption in the United States.  Corruption can only be overcome with character, doesn't the IMF know that?  I cannot help that taxing working people only helps the Davis elite.  I also cannot help bit think that the spending cuts will not be that large or drastic to make a difference.  We see in Greece, Spain and Italy that austerity doesn't lead to prosperity but it does insure German bankers who were dumb enough to make such poor investments.  What say you?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on March 14, 2015, 01:37:12 PM
How would your country feel if it lost the territories Ukraine lost due to Russian invasion?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 14, 2015, 03:47:57 PM
Did you know there was corruption before the invasion and there still corruption?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 14, 2015, 05:08:48 PM
Yes, there was a lot of corruption even before Yanukovych was elected.  Yushchenko didn't obtain his collection of priceless artifacts looted from Ukrainian museums legally, nor did Tymoshenko become a billionaire selling pornographic videos to minors in Dnepropetrovsk.


As for the IMF, I believe they want Ukraine to raise prices and reduce some pensions.  The pensions, depending on who takes the hit, is problematic.  Raising prices for subsidized industries should have occurred long ago.  A lot of these structural reforms did not occur because a relatively placid population, even if living barely above subsistence level, allows politicians to continue to steal unabated and unmolested.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on March 14, 2015, 05:39:50 PM
These pensions amount to $ 40 a month.  And the IMF wants to Ukraine to cut it even further?  And this will lead to prosperity how?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AC on March 14, 2015, 07:04:53 PM
Excellent post:

Thank you.  I think it's mind boggling that the pro-Russian bunch keeps going on and on with unsubstantiated allegations of US interference, when the interference by Russia has been enormous and the evidence of it is well documented.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on March 15, 2015, 03:47:04 AM
...nor did Tymoshenko become a billionaire selling pornographic videos to minors in Dnepropetrovsk.

Minors or miners?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 15, 2015, 08:08:26 AM
Minors.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on March 16, 2015, 05:05:35 PM
Interview with a Ukrainian patriot -

Quote
Josef Zissels is the chairman of the General Council of the Euro-Asian Jewish Congress. He is sitting in the middle of a long table in the Ukrainian Restaurant in downtown New York. Before him is a bowl of borscht. As he eats, he shares his views of the current crisis in Ukraine with nine specialists and activists.


Zissels does not mince words. “There is no civil war in Ukraine,” he says. “There is a Russian aggression supported by local collaborators.” The war with Russia will be “long,” and Ukraine needs to construct a “militarist economy” like Israel’s. The Maidan Revolution had nothing to do with ethnicity, language, or religion. It was a “civilizational conflict” between those Ukrainians who supported Europe and those who supported Russia.

Zissels is 69-year-old former dissident with prison sentences to prove it. .  . His dissident activity in both the Jewish and democratic movements began in the 1970s; in 1978, he joined the Ukrainian Helsinki Group. That same year, he received his first three-year prison sentence. In 1984, he got three more years.  . . 

Asked about the controversial Azov volunterr regiment, whose leader is a neo-Nazi, Zissels brushes off the implication that the entire unit shares his extremist views. Perhaps 30 or 40 do, he says, but the important thing is that all the volunteers, including the Jews fighting in Azov, are on the front lines. Their ideological predilections don’t matter, he emphasizes, as they’re all united in defending their country against Russia.

In a July 6, 2014, interview in Toronto, Zissels openly associated himself with the controversial term zhydobandera, which the Ukrainian Jewish oligarch Igor Kolomoisky popularized by wearing on a T-shirt. (The term is a conjunction of zhyd, a word that can mean both “Jew” and “kike,” and the surname of Stepan Bandera, a Ukrainian nationalist, that according to Soviet and Russian propaganda was a synonym for fascist. Hence, zhydobandera is the equivalent of both “Jew-Ukrainian nationalist” and “kike-fascist.”) According to Zissels, “Back in 1978 when they were imprisoning me, the KGB couldn’t understand me: ‘as a Jew he should be a Zionist.’ They had these stereotypes, but I became part of the Ukrainian Helsinki Group, a Ukrainian national group, and therefore back then I was already a zhydobandera.”


http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/ukrainian-jewish-leader-russian-aggression (http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/ukrainian-jewish-leader-russian-aggression)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on April 08, 2015, 06:12:26 PM
An article on Ukraine's economic future -
http://www.dw.de/ukraine-another-crisis-for-europes-bread-basket/a-18365197 (http://www.dw.de/ukraine-another-crisis-for-europes-bread-basket/a-18365197)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on April 08, 2015, 08:02:14 PM
An article on Ukraine's economic future -
http://www.dw.de/ukraine-another-crisis-for-europes-bread-basket/a-18365197 (http://www.dw.de/ukraine-another-crisis-for-europes-bread-basket/a-18365197)

Some problems I have with the article:

Quote
The Chinese deal may not have been the best way to do it because essentially what it did was cede control of an area of Ukraine to China. It was, however, a way of bringing Chinese investment into Ukraine. Simply cancelling, tearing up these agreements is not going to be a way of attracting more Chinese investment into Ukraine and it is not going to make a good impression on other potential investors.

If the Chicoms want Ukraine so bad, send the arms shipments over.

If Greece, Spain and Italy are any indication of what the EU can do, I don't think Ukraine has much of an economic future.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on April 09, 2015, 09:44:15 AM
The better half has been telling me for some time, long before that China deal, that agricultural land was the "only thing of value left to steal" in the country.  I think the Yanukovych clan had already counted the money to be divided from that deal.  So of course it has to be overturned. 
 
In most Canadian provinces, foreigners cannot own agricultural land.  There should be a similar restriction in Ukraine.  Foreigners can lease it, but not own that land.  It should remain a national asset for the local population.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on April 09, 2015, 12:31:56 PM
The better half has been telling me for some time, long before that China deal, that agricultural land was the "only thing of value left to steal" in the country.  I think the Yanukovych clan had already counted the money to be divided from that deal.  So of course it has to be overturned. 

In most Canadian provinces, foreigners cannot own agricultural land.  There should be a similar restriction in Ukraine. Foreigners can lease it, but not own that land.  It should remain a national asset for the local population.

Agree 100%.  I thought that the restrictions on foreign ownership of farmland was already embedded in the law.  I looked into it a couple years ago and that is my recollection.  I believe it was a distinction of whether the land had been 'privatized' yet.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on April 09, 2015, 12:37:04 PM
The law was changed the year before the Chinese deal.  The Ukrainian company involved in the deal denied the land was sold.  Chinese reports were that the land had, in fact, been sold.
 
Even before that change in law, though, there were ways to get around the restrictions, ways that would not fly in a country with a rule of law.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on April 09, 2015, 03:02:03 PM
International law is very clear.  Treaties are only valid if both nations agree to the terms.  Nations vacate treaties all the time.  Regimes change.  Assassinations, coups, royal succession, and elections signal a possibility that treaties previously agreed to are valid or not.  Or nations can simply change their minds. 

China has a reputation of ignoring international law when the circumstances do not suit it.  Maybe it will elect to work with the current Kiev government or maybe it will collect the terms of the deal in Moscow with the Novorossiya government.  Either way, sucks to be you Chicoms.
Title: What the West Owes Ukraine
Post by: JayH on April 20, 2015, 07:57:09 PM
A lot is being written on different aspects of Ukraines problems- another article that raises salient points of interest.

What the West Owes Ukraine

WASHINGTON, DC – Ukraine may not be grabbing as many headlines now as it did a year ago, but the crisis there is far from over. The latest ceasefire agreement, concluded in Minsk in February, has contained, but not stopped, Russian military aggression. And, though the stabilization program that Ukraine agreed with the International Monetary Fund last month is superior to last year’s deal – this one includes both more financing from the IMF and a more credible economic-reform plan from the government – it will be insufficient to repair the country’s economy. What Ukraine really needs is to escape the old Soviet order – and, for that, it needs the West’s help.

AND MORE
It needs more strategic support as well. European politicians’ overwhelming opposition to supplying Ukraine with defensive arms is difficult to fathom. Europe’s leaders claim that they want to avoid giving Russia reason to escalate its war on Ukraine. But that is already happening, and Ukraine’s fight against Russia is, after all, a defense of core European values – and, indeed, of Europe itself. The EU flag has draped the caskets of Ukrainians killed in that fight.
]
http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/west-economic-aid-ukraine-by-anders--slund-2015-04#tzfl9PwOjMh4rSrx.99
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: lordtiberius on April 20, 2015, 08:30:51 PM
The West should at a minimum pay Ukraine . . .
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 02, 2015, 10:13:36 PM
Some of the advice and ideas under consideration have come into view. It does contain some reasonable assessments of the current situation and some potential future goals for Ukraine.

George Soros’ “Plan” For Ukraine Reportedly Leaked

A hacking group claims it has penetrated Ukraine’s presidential administration website and obtained correspondence between George Soros and Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko.

The hacktivists have published three files online, which include a draft of “A short and medium term comprehensive strategy for the new Ukraine - George soros” by Soros (dated March 12, 2015); an undated paper on military assistance to Kiev; and thebillionaire’s letter to Poroshenko and Ukraine’s Prime Minister Arseny Yatsenyuk, dated December 23, 2014.


1/Putin prefers a financial collapse and political infighting that would destabilize all of Ukraine to a military victory that would give him control over part of Ukraine. This is corroborated by the fact that he twice converted a military victory to a cease-fire that recognized the facts on the ground without depriving him of his first mover advantage.

2/Minsk 2 brings Putin close to attaining his preferred outcome. He is now reverting to military de-escalation in the belief that he has accomplished his mission and in the hope that he can avoid a renewal of the economic sanctions when they expire in July.

3/The financial and political deterioration of Ukraine makes Putin the winner. This is doomed to continue or accelerate unless Ukraine and its allies can agree on a comprehensive strategy that will deprive Putin of his first-mover advantage. Just as Putin does not obtain Merkel’s and Hollande’s signature before executing his strategy, the same applies in reverse to the strategy below.

II. The Strategy

Ukrainian and allied leaders should agree on the following principles:

In the absence of adequate support from its allies, the new Ukraine is no match for Putin’s Russia.

It is in the collective self-interest of Ukraine’s allies to enable the new Ukraine not only to survive but to prosper; and as long as they can agree on a way of providing adequate support without getting involved in a direct military conflict, they should be able to prevail against Putin’s Russia.

While it would be more desirable to have Russia as a partner than an enemy, that is impossible as long as Putin persists in his current policies.


 
It will be much more costly, particularly for Europe, to defend itself against the threat that a victorious Putin regime will pose when the new Ukraine collapses, than to provide adequate support to the new Ukraine while it is still alive.

Keeping the new Ukraine alive and helping it to succeed should take precedence over sanctions against Russia. Sanctions must be maintained and if necessary strengthened as long as Putin persists in overt military attacks on Ukrainian soil; but they harm not only the Russian but also the European and global economy. They also reinforce Putin’s narrative that blames Russia’s problems entirely on the implacable hostility of the ‘West’. This helps him to retain the support of the Russian people and to consolidate his power. By contrast, a functioning democracy in Ukraine that manages to reform its economy even in the midst of Russian aggression would turn Putin’s narrative into a lie that no amount of propaganda could cover up. More and more Russians would want to follow Ukraine’s example.

Therefore Ukraine’s allies should treat Ukraine as a defense priority, not as another Greece. They should declare that they will do whatever it takes to help the new Ukraine succeed short of getting involved in direct military confrontation with Russia or violating the Minsk agreement.

III. The short-term: the next three months

What Ukraine must deliver

Restore the fighting capacity of Ukraine without violating the Minsk agreement.

Restore some semblance of currency stability and a functioning banking system.

Maintain unity among the various branches of government.

Preserve the institutional integrity and independence of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU)

Provide tangible evidence that the government knows where the leaks in the budget are and knows how to stop them.

http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/06/george-soros-ukraine-emails/

Kyiv Post story here--
George Soros' 'plan' for Ukraine reportedly leaked


http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine-abroad/value-walk-george-soros-plan-for-ukraine-reportedly-leaked-390081.html
Title: Steady Progress in Ukraine, Despite Putin
Post by: JayH on June 12, 2015, 05:07:59 AM
Despite what the naysayers promote as the norm in Ukraine- and despite having to deal with the invasion by Russia and the subsequent huge disruption to every aspect of government-progress is being made.


A crackdown on corruption is boosting investment and growth, even as Ukraine contends with Russian aggression.

We’re Making Steady Progress in Ukraine, Despite Putin



By PETRO POROSHENKO
June 10, 2015 7:19 p.m. ET
When I became president of Ukraine a year ago this month, Crimea had been annexed, the country was standing on the brink of war and—after more than 20 years of Soviet-style governance, endemic corruption, cronyism and inefficient policy—our economy was sliding into decay.



http://www.wsj.com/articles/were-making-steady-progress-in-ukraine-despite-putin-1433978351
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 18, 2015, 09:20:17 PM
The sentiments have been written about before--but it is the clearest pointer to the future

Putin the uniter

The war has made most Ukrainians see Russians as enemies, not friends


MIKHAIL ZABRODSKY, the broad-shouldered commander of Ukraine’s airborne troops, came of age in the Soviet Union. After the Soviet collapse he even served in the Russian army. When he moved home to Ukraine he stayed in touch. “We were all friends,” he says, shaking his head. When Russia turned its guns on Ukraine last year, Mr Zabrodsky “couldn’t believe it.” He was not alone.

http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21654663-war-has-made-most-ukrainians-see-russians-enemies-not-friends-putin-uniter
Title: IMF holds key to helping Ukraine escape from Russia’s stranglehold
Post by: JayH on July 06, 2015, 12:40:00 AM
Greece is a deadbeat nation, Puerto Rico is a party that lives beyond its means, but last year war-torn Ukraine made more interest payments to its lenders than it spent trying to defend itself against Russia.

Ukraine’s extenuating circumstances – the struggle against Russian-perpetrated corruption at home and Russian aggression along its eastern border – warrants a shift in the IMF’s debt restructuring posture.

IMF holds key to helping Ukraine escape from Russia’s stranglehold

Ukraine is not another Greece or Puerto Rico
Ukraine’s war and government shake-up has been the backdrop to debt talks, but should be center stage next week in Washington. Another sizable payment is due in July and the IMF must be tough with lenders.

They should be reminded that technically, under the Geneva Convention, Ukraine is an occupied country. Such a designation would result in the suspension of debt payments and would entitle the country to gigantic reparations from Russia.

Unfortunately, becoming an “occupied country” under the Geneva Convention requires approval by the United Nations where Russia enjoys a veto on the Security Council that, if exercised, would require General Assembly approval and take months
All of these complications burden Ukraine and should not. The IMF is the key to getting Ukraine out from under Russia’s stranglehold.
Ukrainians deserve no less. So does the world.




http://business.financialpost.com/diane-francis/imf-holds-key-to-helping-ukraine-escape-from-russias-stranglehold
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: cc3 on July 06, 2015, 05:52:19 AM
The Washington Post poses the question, 'Will we let Ukraine die?" (unusually for a 'progressive' newspaper, the WP supports defensive arms for UA.)

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-dangerous-neglect-of-ukraine/2015/07/05/37d08050-20cf-11e5-84d5-eb37ee8eaa61_story.html?wpisrc=nl_opinions&wpmm=1
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on July 06, 2015, 06:48:06 AM
Yes Greece has been and is a sloth on the Europeon economy but, since the last bail out in 2010 they made the austerity cuts and did as directed by the IMF. Now they find themselves in a worse predicament than they were in in 2010. This is why they rejected another bailout. Impossible terms and impossible to pay back. The IMF is nothing but another international central banker. It's not to help struggling countries. Like all central bankers they are there to suck the life blood and available funds where even they can get a foot hold, for profit.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/how-europe-played-greece-we-would-rather-deal-with-corrupt-but-obedient-leaders-than-honest-ones-with-ideas-of-sovereignty/5460420 (http://www.globalresearch.ca/how-europe-played-greece-we-would-rather-deal-with-corrupt-but-obedient-leaders-than-honest-ones-with-ideas-of-sovereignty/5460420)

What Ukraine needs is arms which could easily be supplied by a number of Western countries with credit extended to Ukraine by that country. What it doesn't need is a dance with the devil (IMF). I would wager the reason the arms haven't been supplied to date is because the central bankers haven't permitted it. They are looking to do business.

Yeah it's just a hunch but, why else would Obama, Merkel or any other Western leader not help Ukraine defend themselves? Ukraine is desperate and will take the help anywhere it can get it. That's the precise condition the money lenders want them to be in
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on July 06, 2015, 11:02:03 AM
Yes Greece has been and is a sloth on the Europeon economy but, since the last bail out in 2010 they made the austerity cuts and did as directed by the IMF. Now they find themselves in a worse predicament than they were in in 2010. This is why they rejected another bailout. Impossible terms and impossible to pay back. The IMF is nothing but another international central banker. It's not to help struggling countries. Like all central bankers they are there to suck the life blood and available funds where even they can get a foot hold, for profit.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/how-europe-played-greece-we-would-rather-deal-with-corrupt-but-obedient-leaders-than-honest-ones-with-ideas-of-sovereignty/5460420 (http://www.globalresearch.ca/how-europe-played-greece-we-would-rather-deal-with-corrupt-but-obedient-leaders-than-honest-ones-with-ideas-of-sovereignty/5460420)

What Ukraine needs is arms which could easily be supplied by a number of Western countries with credit extended to Ukraine by that country. What it doesn't need is a dance with the devil (IMF). I would wager the reason the arms haven't been supplied to date is because the central bankers haven't permitted it. They are looking to do business.

Yeah it's just a hunch but, why else would Obama, Merkel or any other Western leader not help Ukraine defend themselves? Ukraine is desperate and will take the help anywhere it can get it. That's the precise condition the money lenders want them to be in


Amen, bro!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on July 06, 2015, 12:54:53 PM
Yes Greece has been and is a sloth on the Europeon economy but, since the last bail out in 2010 they made the austerity cuts and did as directed by the IMF. Now they find themselves in a worse predicament than they were in in 2010. This is why they rejected another bailout. Impossible terms and impossible to pay back. The IMF is nothing but another international central banker. It's not to help struggling countries. Like all central bankers they are there to suck the life blood and available funds where even they can get a foot hold, for profit.
 


Given the corrupt state of the IMF you purport, it is not a surprise that China (and its founding partners) have started it's own version of the IMF to even the scales a bit.  The US is 'concerned' about corruption of course...seems hypocritical, given your assessment.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on July 06, 2015, 02:00:58 PM
Against my better judgement but I will engage you this conversation FT


Given the corrupt state of the IMF you purport
,

Where did I state the IMF was corrupt? Please take your time. Corruption would be breaking the law, no? Who said they were breaking the law? What the IMF is, is a den of leeches and vipers, a profit driven central bank with the military might of the West behind it.

Quote
it is not a surprise that China (and its founding partners) have started it's own version of the IMF to even the scales a bit.


You somehow think a Chinese version of the IMF is going to be more humanitarian?

Quote
The US is 'concerned' about corruption of course...seems hypocritical, given your assessment.

Please explain where you divine this from my post?


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on July 06, 2015, 02:06:18 PM
Greece's alternative is to tell the IMF to go f*&k themselves which essentially is what they did with the recent vote. What the IMF will do is cut the country off financially. Greece will have to fend for itself. Those measures will be very difficult. Likely the Greeks will cave. I hope they do not. Can they survive with limited import/export? Yes they can, but do they really want to?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on July 06, 2015, 03:04:13 PM
Against my better judgement but I will engage you this conversation FT
,

 
well FP if it is really against your better judgement, it is ok, you don't have to engage...





,

Where did I state the IMF was corrupt? Please take your time. Corruption would be breaking the law, no? Who said they were breaking the law? What the IMF is, is a den of leeches and vipers, a profit driven central bank with the military might of the West behind it.
 
Apparently I missed the spirit of your prior post by using the word 'corrupt'.  We can just substitute the words 'a den of leeches and vipers' into my prior post then, so your words aren't misrepresented.  My apologies.



 

You somehow think a Chinese version of the IMF is going to be more humanitarian?
 


Although phrased somewhat like a statement, you did put a question mark behind the post, making it a question. 


I would suspect that China is going to protect and expand it's own interests, and perhaps some good will come from it.  More humanitarian? We won't know how effective it is for a while. Competition for money yes, but with competition the end product usually improves out of necessity...so based in part on that, I conclude the Chinese infrastructure bank will be a positive for the world, but likely  harmful to us. 
Your thoughts?       





Please explain where you divine this from my post?

I can't respond to this, since my use of the word corruption was incorrectly read into what you intended by your earlier comments...regarding impossible payments terms.


Fathertime!   
Title: Two thousand new officers sworn in
Post by: alex330 on July 06, 2015, 03:21:27 PM
Two thousand new police officers sworn in recently and pledged to not accept bribes. One out of five are said to be women.

(http://bashny.net/uploads/images/00/00/01/2015/07/04/6820859b6f.jpg)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on July 06, 2015, 03:40:14 PM
well FP if it is really against your better judgement, it is ok, you don't have to engage...



Apparently I missed the spirit of your prior post by using the word 'corrupt'.  We can just substitute the words 'a den of leeches and vipers' into my prior post then, so your words aren't misrepresented.  My apologies.



Although phrased somewhat like a statement, you did put a question mark behind the post, making it a question. 


I would suspect that China is going to protect and expand it's own interests, and perhaps some good will come from it.  More humanitarian? We won't know how effective it is for a while. Competition for money yes, but with competition the end product usually improves out of necessity...so based in part on that, I conclude the Chinese infrastructure bank will be a positive for the world, but likely  harmful to us. 
Your thoughts?       



I can't respond to this, since my use of the word corruption was incorrectly read into what you intended by your earlier comments...regarding impossible payments terms.


Fathertime!

Perhaps the word you were looking for was ethical? Moral? Neither of those apply when discussing any of the the banking cartels. They don't break the law (generally) because they make the law with corrupt politicians and yes, Washington is no different. If you think for a minute that China or Russia is different, think again.

My rant was against JayH's idea that Ukraine needs the IMF. It doesn't. In fact no country needs the IMF. The IMF and the other international banking cartels are nothing more that predatory lenders. The same guys that are willing to loan you money with your next paycheck as collateral but, on a grander scale. They don't give one rats ass about Ukraine, the deaths in Ukraine, Maidan or anything else. They only care about how much debt they can sink a country into and reap profit. There is nothing humanitarian about it.

There is plenty of truth to the idea that the top 1% control 90% of the worlds wealth. Their battles isn't in Ukraine or Greece or the US. Their battles are between themselves and how they will amass or steal the fortunes of the other 1% with the world as it's chess board
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on July 06, 2015, 05:01:44 PM
Greece isn’t the only European country teetering on the brink of default. In just a few weeks, Ukraine will probably also be forced to announce that it can’t pay some of its debts to private foreign creditors. A few weeks ago, the Ukrainian parliament passed a law authorizing the government to suspend payments to private foreign creditors. If its creditors don’t agree to a proposed debt restructuring, Ukraine’s government is likely to use that option.


Ukraine Is a Mess, But It’s Still No Greece



On the face of it, the two situations might appear rather similar — but a closer look reveals stark differences. The Greek default (and looming financial catastrophe) represents a panic-driven, populist rejection of any attempt to come to a negotiated deal with an increasingly skeptical Europe. Ukraine’s impending failure to pay its creditors, on the other hand, comes off as a regrettable but manageable bump in the road on the way to financial health.

The debts in question are owed by Ukraine not be to the IMF or the European Central Bank, but to a group of private creditors. In fact, the IMF has joined the government in Kiev in contending that the country’s debt burden (95 percent of the country’s GDP) is unsustainable and that the private creditors should agree to halve the outstanding debt.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/07/06/ukraine-is-a-mess-but-its-still-no-greece/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_EditorsPicks_Swiss_Jul6
Title: Re: Two thousand new officers sworn in
Post by: JayH on July 06, 2015, 05:22:43 PM
Two thousand new police officers sworn in recently and pledged to not accept bribes. One out of five are said to be women.



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yabApydWuOg
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JohnDearGreen on July 06, 2015, 08:32:24 PM
From Gucci to GI Jane
http://tabloid.pravda.com.ua/photos/559a7afe1e733/
(http://tab.img.pravda.com/images/doc/7/1/7139100-clipboard08.jpg)


New agreement expected tomorrow
http://izvestia.kiev.ua/article/84580



Title: Re: Two thousand new officers sworn in
Post by: BillyB on July 06, 2015, 08:34:31 PM
Two thousand new police officers sworn in recently and pledged to not accept bribes. One out of five are said to be women.



REad the article below a few days ago. The new Ukrainian officers are US trained and are going to replace the current corrupt officers. If they act as good as they look, Ukrainians are in for a real treat.


Bad Boys, Bad Boys whacha going to do, whacha going to do when they come for you? (http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-tackles-graft-us-style-police-force-163137761.html)
Title: Re: Two thousand new officers sworn in
Post by: alex330 on July 07, 2015, 03:34:53 PM

REad the article below a few days ago. The new Ukrainian officers are US trained and are going to replace the current corrupt officers. If they act as good as they look, Ukrainians are in for a real treat.


Bad Boys, Bad Boys whacha going to do, whacha going to do when they come for you? (http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-tackles-graft-us-style-police-force-163137761.html)

Yes, a while back they let go a large number of corrupt officers so these US trained officers look like the replacements. Looks like some progress is being made in the way of corruption.

http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/two-prosecutors-arrested-in-bribe-sting-392859.html (http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/two-prosecutors-arrested-in-bribe-sting-392859.html)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on July 07, 2015, 06:53:12 PM
From Gucci to GI Jane
http://tabloid.pravda.com.ua/photos/559a7afe1e733/
(http://tab.img.pravda.com/images/doc/7/1/7139100-clipboard08.jpg)


New agreement expected tomorrow
http://izvestia.kiev.ua/article/84580

Are adidas sponsoring the new uniforms?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: sleepycat on July 07, 2015, 07:31:30 PM
That tattoo on her forearm spoils it big time...  :(
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on July 08, 2015, 12:35:43 AM
I don't  like tats either, but as long as she is not corrupt............
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on July 08, 2015, 06:08:59 PM
That tattoo on her forearm spoils it big time...  :(

For me, too.  :thumbsdown:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JohnDearGreen on July 08, 2015, 07:15:36 PM
Go To The Police
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=umtZc0f9ex4
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on July 08, 2015, 07:23:39 PM
That tattoo on her forearm spoils it big time...  :(


I don't  like tats either, but as long as she is not corrupt............


For me, too.  :thumbsdown:


Come on guys! Get with the times it isn't 1977, you cavemen...If you guys can all shave your armpits and nuts, this woman sure as hell can have a little tattoo!   Give it another 50 years, and soon women will have beards and men will be wearing high heels and mascara.




Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: sleepycat on July 08, 2015, 10:52:01 PM
   Give it another 50 years, and soon women will have beards and men will be wearing high heels and mascara.


Maybe you can go into a cryostasis sleep for 50 years to see if this will become reality.  ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on July 09, 2015, 12:07:27 AM
Russian ambassador invites Vilnius mayor to Crimea.

Reply: "I'll go when the Ukrainian ambassador invites me."
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on July 09, 2015, 04:12:45 AM
Russian ambassador invites Vilnius mayor to Crimea.

Reply: "I'll go when the Ukrainian ambassador invites me."

 :applause:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on July 09, 2015, 04:16:23 AM
More potential planks to the future  with the EU are progressing to closer to happening-this is a very important one.




Ratification on the march" - the list of countries that hinder an agreement with Ukraine reduced


"The European Pravda" continues to monitor the progress of ratification of the Association Agreement between Ukraine and the EU.
This issue - not just a formality. Thus, the agreement now "temporarily performed" by agreement between Kyiv and the EU, but the document is not legally valid.
And this is what makes Moscow a pretext to demand again and again deferred action Ukrainian Association, including - of the trade agreement.
Moreover ratified by even one of the countries will have consequences for the entire European Union.
Over the last month the number of countries in the "risk zone" decreased. Red color on the map marked with the EU only Greece and Cyprus.
Instead, Austria, which is the end of June was also "red" interrupted "blockade" and finally started approving our contract - this month approved a treaty with the Ukraine Committee of the National Assembly, and the July 8 agreement approved in the session hall.

http://www.eurointegration.com.ua/articles/2015/07/9/7035732/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on July 09, 2015, 05:16:34 PM
Can someone give an updated status of exactly what needs to happen now, for Ukraine to be ratified?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on July 10, 2015, 08:56:21 AM
Interesting assessment of why the US backed off on supplying weapons to Ukraine, and what they need to do about it:

http://www.theblaze.com/contributions/how-russian-lobbyists-are-manipulating-american-perceptions-of-the-ukraine-conflict/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on July 11, 2015, 02:07:05 PM
If this is how the "great leaders" of Europe are going to react because they don't like how Poroshenko and the Ukrainian government are moving, then there is no hope for Ukraine at all.

German Chancellor Angel Merkel and French President Francois Hollande took the rare step Friday of pressing Ukraine's Western-backed leader to ensure partial self-rule for the pro-Russian separatist east.

The blunt message from two of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko's most important allies marked another sign of European impatience with fighting that still engulfs the ex-Soviet nation five months after the signing of a broad truce...


Read the full story here.

http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-warns-terror-threat-peaceful-cities-181025031.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on July 11, 2015, 07:37:48 PM
If this is how the "great leaders" of Europe are going to react because they don't like how Poroshenko and the Ukrainian government are moving, then there is no hope for Ukraine at all.

German Chancellor Angel Merkel and French President Francois Hollande took the rare step Friday of pressing Ukraine's Western-backed leader to ensure partial self-rule for the pro-Russian separatist east.

The blunt message from two of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko's most important allies marked another sign of European impatience with fighting that still engulfs the ex-Soviet nation five months after the signing of a broad truce...


Read the full story here.

http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-warns-terror-threat-peaceful-cities-181025031.html

I have been alarmed with Europe's response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.  It was quite an eye opener.  It has caused me to wonder why the hell the USA taxpayers are providing so much funding for NATO and the European's are not.  Should the US taxpayers be funding the defense of Europe, especially with the attitude many of them have toward the US?

The post made about Ukraine's failure to provide adequate lobbying of our government might well be true.  I had never thought about that.  After all, we have the best politicians that money can buy.      :D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on July 11, 2015, 09:35:05 PM
The blunt message from two of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko's most important allies marked another sign of European impatience with fighting that still engulfs the ex-Soviet nation five months after the signing of a broad truce...[/i][/color]



It's easier to tell the Ukrainian president to give in than to tell Putin to give up Europe learned. Minsk 2 agreement said Ukraine will let the regions in conflict vote on austerity. Poroshenko agreed to that but he said the rebels must turn in their arms and the vote must be monitored by international community. Rebels and Russia didn't like that. Is it possible they will lose if they can't rig the vote? Because austerity isn't happening, Merkel and Hollande is losing patience and their economy suffers so they are pressuring Poroshenko to take the initial steps towards breaking up his country. Like dealing with Iran, it's another case of rewarding bad behavior. I think Germany and France should give up a piece of their real estate to get Russia to back off.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 12, 2015, 07:42:30 AM
It has caused me to wonder why the hell the USA taxpayers are providing so much funding for NATO and the European's are not.  Should the US taxpayers be funding the defense of Europe, especially with the attitude many of them have toward the US?

We should be taxing the Europeans to cover our costs.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 12, 2015, 07:57:12 AM
How are you going to tax them?


Contributions to NATO are based on a formula.  The US provides about 23% of NATO's funding. 



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 12, 2015, 07:59:37 AM
How are you going to tax them?


Contributions to NATO are based on a formula.  The US provides about 23% of NATO's funding.

If they fall short of their required expenditure ask them to lease the equipment like we currently do with Australia and the UK. I believe most of the countries currently in NATO do not even pay what is asked of them?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 12, 2015, 08:04:14 AM
The US provides about 23% of NATO's funding.

Source for this? I was under the impression the US carried the weight here. Up to about 75% of the costs from what I see...

http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2013/10/will-us-rebalance-its-contribution-nato/72281/ (http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2013/10/will-us-rebalance-its-contribution-nato/72281/)

http://breakingdefense.com/2012/04/huge-nato-spending-gap-between-us-europeans-not-likely-to-shrin/ (http://breakingdefense.com/2012/04/huge-nato-spending-gap-between-us-europeans-not-likely-to-shrin/)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 12, 2015, 08:06:10 AM
There is a direct funding budget and an indirect funding budget.  The indirect budget is for military equipment in each country.  That is where there is a discrepancy.  Not in NATO's direct funding.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 12, 2015, 08:07:23 AM
(http://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pictures/stock_2014/20140611_140601_NATO_common_funded_budgets_2014-2015.jpg)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 12, 2015, 08:07:54 AM
Source is here -


http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_67655.htm
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 12, 2015, 08:13:44 AM
Source is here -

http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_67655.htm (http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_67655.htm)

The chart only shows "direct funding" and from your own source -

"Today,  the volume of the US defence expenditure effectively represents 73 per cent of  the defence spending of the Alliance as a whole."

The US is the primary source of additional and indirect funding. We carry NATO and Europe.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 12, 2015, 08:17:53 AM
Yes, but that indirect funding is for NATO missions.  Afghanistan is the most significant NATO mission.
Title: Ukraine-The Future-the Battle for Odessa
Post by: JayH on July 15, 2015, 04:08:18 PM
Often mentioned in the media and in discussion (particularly on forums by those promoting negative views of Ukraine)  is the difficulties of moving from the historic corruption and ways of getting  things done. This story covers some of that ground and also the potential difficulties of Russian influence on specific areas of Ukraine.

Often mentioned as such an area is Odessa- some have said it is easy to see it as Russian- a view that 18 months ago I would have given credence too-but now- like a lot of predominantly Russian speaking areas of Ukraine -the shift in general attitudes to seeing Ukraine as an independent self determining nation  is now how many in Odessa see the future.

This story covers many of the difficulties faced .Not the least is the general attitude of people-quote from article ---
"In Tatarbunary I overheard two older men discussing the new governor. “He’ll scream and make many enemies, but nothing is going to change,”

Similar comments have been made on forums from those with relatives in Ukraine and it epitomises and it does highlight the scepticism present in Ukraine to reform.
The political battle for Odessa is going to be interesting for a lot of reasons-we can only hope it can be won.I am in no doubt what the large majority want- the question is can that will prevail over the old Russian corruption.


Mission Impossible?


The former Georgian president takes on Ukraine’s most corrupt region. He’s got his work cut out for him.


ODESSA, UKRAINE — Mikheil Saakashvili — exiled president of Georgia, newly minted Ukrainian citizen, and recently appointed governor of Ukraine’s Odessa region — jumped out of a public bus with a broad smile on his sweaty face, pulling up his tight Hugo Boss jeans. He had just arrived in the remote village of Tatarbunary, where most of the residents live on $100 or less per month. As locals crowded around him, he was ebullient — and full of promises. He vowed to fix the bumpy highway that passes through the village on its way to nearby Romania, in the European Union. He also pledged to take on an allegedly corrupt political boss in the regional capital (also called Odessa). Saakashvili, a man who loves to grapple with political problems, had clearly come to the right place.

One local woman, clearly gratified to have the ear of a high-ranking official, didn’t mince her words: “Odessa businessmen grab our beaches and take over the seashore,” she complained. “And the one who sells our land is standing right next to you!” She pointed at local official Igor Belinsky, who was there to escort the governor around. Belinsky stared blankly, unsure how to respond. Yet Misha, as Saakashvili likes to call himself, wasn’t paying attention. Instead, he launched into a monologue about democracy and the need for reform, brushing away the awkward moment.

In the month since he was appointed to his new job by Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, Saakashvili has been working hard to establish his reputation as the man who’s going to clean up one of the most corrupt regions in this corrupt country. He has yelled at prosecutors and sent top bureaucrats packing. He has chewed out members of the business and political elite. And he has unveiled sweeping plans to fight corruption and revitalize Odessa’s sagging economy.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/07/15/mishas
-mission-impossible-odessa-saakashvili/?utm
_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=
email&utm_term=%2AEditors%
20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_
EditorsPicks_German_Embassy_July_15
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 15, 2015, 04:27:32 PM
Odessa is without a doubt a monumental task. I have read several encouraging stories coming out of the area recently as well though. And rumors of Western companies moving to the region. A high risk and high reward option for those willing to gamble.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: alex330 on July 23, 2015, 05:02:09 PM
Looks like Saakashvili is making sweeping changes in Odessa. With residency for foreign business men and customs changes there may be opportunities for Westerners opening up in the city very soon.


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-23/in-ukraine-s-odessa-georgia-s-ex-president-takes-on-corruption (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-23/in-ukraine-s-odessa-georgia-s-ex-president-takes-on-corruption)
Title: The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could
Post by: JayH on August 07, 2015, 06:09:34 PM
Interesting story that is very relevant to Ukrainian situation. We keep hearing that it is impossible to change endemic corruption-here is a country that is tackling it and changing the culture.
A point I have made to many people in Ukraine is that you do not have to invent your own wheel-there are many examples of other countries faced with similar problems that have successfully found new directions.

The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could

After humble beginnings in empty offices, Croatia’s anti-corruption body became a crusading national force.

 December 10, 2010, former Croatian Prime Minister Ivo Sanader was driving with his brother on an Alpine highway when Austrian police stopped his car and arrested him under an international warrant. Sanader had fled Croatia a day earlier, hours before his colleagues in parliament — still led by his own party — stripped him of legislative immunity. The Austrians extradited him back home, where he was facing charges of large-scale corruption. After a year-long trial, he was convicted and sentenced to 10 years’ imprisonment, shortened to eight and a half on appeal, for illegal kickbacks totaling 10 million euros. (In late July 2015, he was granted a retrial.)

CorruptionCaseStudy5

At trial, Sanader’s graft was traced back two decades to what prosecutors described as “war profiteering” after the breakup of Yugoslavia, when Croatia fought to become an independent state. Prosecutors detailed all of Sanader’s illicit gains: a luxury villa, custom-made tuxedos, a €150,000 watch collection, and the historic art and suitcases of cash he stashed with his butcher before fleeing the country.

Remarkably, Sanader was not brought down by a popular uprising or a political witch hunt. Instead he was prosecuted by his own government, and more specifically by USKOK, Croatia’s anti-corruption agency, which had flourished under his rule. Far from the feeble bureaucracy it had once been, USKOK — a Croatian acronym for the “Bureau for the Suppression of Corruption and Organized Crime” — had by this point become one of the world’s most formidable anti-corruption outfits.

Over the last decade, USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent.USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent. Besides Sanader, defendants have included a former deputy prime minister, a former vice president, three former ministers, a top general, the ambassador to the United Nations, and senior tax officials. Just this year, USKOK arrested and indicted Zagreb’s mayor on multiple charges of corruption and abuse of office.

It would not be far-fetched to say that USKOK secured the credibility of Croatian law enforcement and helped clinch Croatia’s 2013 accession to the European Union. The story of its turnaround holds lessons for anti-corruption agencies worldwide, many of which are still struggling to live up to their mandates.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/07/the-little-anti-corruption-agency-that-could/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_EditorsPicks_aug7
Title: Re: The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could
Post by: jone on August 07, 2015, 07:35:20 PM
Interesting story that is very relevant to Ukrainian situation. We keep hearing that it is impossible to change endemic corruption-here is a country that is tackling it and changing the culture.
A point I have made to many people in Ukraine is that you do not have to invent your own wheel-there are many examples of other countries faced with similar problems that have successfully found new directions.

The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could

After humble beginnings in empty offices, Croatia’s anti-corruption body became a crusading national force.

 December 10, 2010, former Croatian Prime Minister Ivo Sanader was driving with his brother on an Alpine highway when Austrian police stopped his car and arrested him under an international warrant. Sanader had fled Croatia a day earlier, hours before his colleagues in parliament — still led by his own party — stripped him of legislative immunity. The Austrians extradited him back home, where he was facing charges of large-scale corruption. After a year-long trial, he was convicted and sentenced to 10 years’ imprisonment, shortened to eight and a half on appeal, for illegal kickbacks totaling 10 million euros. (In late July 2015, he was granted a retrial.)

CorruptionCaseStudy 5

At trial, Sanader’s graft was traced back two decades to what prosecutors described as “war profiteering” after the breakup of Yugoslavia, when Croatia fought to become an independent state. Prosecutors detailed all of Sanader’s illicit gains: a luxury villa, custom-made tuxedos, a €150,000 watch collection, and the historic art and suitcases of cash he stashed with his butcher before fleeing the country.

Remarkably, Sanader was not brought down by a popular uprising or a political witch hunt. Instead he was prosecuted by his own government, and more specifically by USKOK, Croatia’s anti-corruption agency, which had flourished under his rule. Far from the feeble bureaucracy it had once been, USKOK — a Croatian acronym for the “Bureau for the Suppression of Corruption and Organized Crime” — had by this point become one of the world’s most formidable anti-corruption outfits.

Over the last decade, USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent.USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent. Besides Sanader, defendants have included a former deputy prime minister, a former vice president, three former ministers, a top general, the ambassador to the United Nations, and senior tax officials. Just this year, USKOK arrested and indicted Zagreb’s mayor on multiple charges of corruption and abuse of office.

It would not be far-fetched to say that USKOK secured the credibility of Croatian law enforcement and helped clinch Croatia’s 2013 accession to the European Union. The story of its turnaround holds lessons for anti-corruption agencies worldwide, many of which are still struggling to live up to their mandates.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/07/the-little-anti-corruption-agency-that-could/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_EditorsPicks_aug7

That IS quite a remarkable story.
Title: Re: The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could
Post by: Anotherkiwi on August 10, 2015, 05:45:59 AM
That IS quite a remarkable story.

Which proves that anything IS possible.  :thumbsup:
Title: Russia and the Battle for Ukraine’s Hearts and Minds
Post by: JayH on August 11, 2015, 10:05:06 PM
Another interesting article. Once again you can see mainstream journalism mirroring some informed comments made on the forums over the last  twenty months.
There was another link to a story  I was going to post dealing with the progress being made-- and how those close to situation were not seeing it.From time to time we have had people try to tell us that nothing had changed etc  because their friend/relatives etc said so. I have always seen how hard it is to assess when you a living it-- and how much clearer it was with the widespread information that became available in the west-- and of course-in Ukraine itself.
Last year--one of the exciting things to see & feel in Ukraine was the rise in patriotism- this story deals with some of that.

Russia and the Battle for Ukraine’s Hearts and Minds

Russia and the Battle for Ukraine’s Hearts and Minds
August 10, 2015 - 1:02pm, by Eugene Chausovsky Russia Ukraine EurasiaNet's Weekly Digest Ukrainian Crisis
EurasiaNet Commentary

Russian President Vladimir Putin has become enemy number one in Ukraine. The longer the conflict in eastern Ukraine drags on, the further the Ukrainian public is likely to psychologically drift away from Russia. (Photo: European Union)
Russian President Vladimir Putin has become enemy number one in Ukraine. The longer the conflict in eastern Ukraine drags on, the further the Ukrainian public is likely to psychologically drift away from Russia. (Photo: European Union)

Russia may have the upper hand in the war in eastern Ukraine, but it is losing the battle for the hearts and minds of the Ukrainian nation. As a result, the more Russian leader Vladimir Putin tries to pull strings, the more he weakens the cultural and historical ties that have long bound Russia and Ukraine.
 
Ukraine has experienced a fundamental shift in public opinion since the EuroMaidan uprising in late 2013 – early 2014. And the transformation has been startlingly fast. The cultural and linguistic connections between the two Slavic peoples were such that pretty much no one in Ukraine could have predicted two years ago that their country would be in a fight today against Russia.
 
Now, in the midst of war, things have visibly changed in the country. Outside the conflict zone in eastern Ukraine, in many of the country’s large cities national flags are found in abundance in places where they were hardly seen just two years before. Billboards and signs call on citizens to support the war effort, while stores and cafes in cities like Lviv house donation buckets to help the poorly equipped security forces. In Kyiv, the same souvenir stands that used to sell Soviet paraphernalia, such as KGB flasks and busts of Lenin, now sell Azov battalion t-shirts and toilet paper with Putin’s face on it.
 
Among many of Ukraine’s citizens, even those that were previously apolitical or had a favorable view of Russia, Putin has become enemy number one. “The ironic thing is that, while Putin supports the war in Donbas and tries to weaken Ukraine, he has done more to build Ukrainian solidarity and patriotism than anyone else as a result of this conflict,” said Mikhail Stepanskiy, a Kyiv resident and creative director of a branding agency.
 
While central and western Ukraine has decidedly turned away from Russia and towards Europe, public attitudes are more nuanced in cities like Kharkiv and Odessa. Culturally and historically closer to Russia, the inhabitants of those two areas tend to be more skeptical about the aims of the Ukrainian government in Kyiv, especially the stated desire for the country to move closer to the European Union and NATO.
 
But even there pro-Russian sentiment has failed to gain much ground and those regions remain firmly rooted in Ukraine. “The economic situation is difficult enough as it is, we don’t want to become another Donetsk or Luhansk,” said Tatyana, a pensioner from Kharkiv. She added that while she does not trust Poroshenko (“he is just another oligarch”), Ukraine does need someone to stand up to Putin, who “has a Napoleon complex and is trying to make history as another Russian tsar.”
 
The shift in attitudes among ordinary Ukrainians, both in terms of greater animosity towards Russia and greater patriotism on the home front, is in some ways more important to consider in assessing the future of the country than the current state of the fighting. On the battlefield, Russia has been able to facilitate the splitting off of the Donbas from Ukraine. Russian military power is simply too much for Ukraine’s fledgling security forces, even with the increased financial and material support from the West, and the one thing that most everyone in Ukraine agrees on is that the war is not likely to end anytime soon.
 
But the irony is that the longer the conflict in eastern Ukraine drags on, the further the Ukrainian public is likely to psychologically drift away from Russia. Combined with a new post-Soviet generation coming of age in the country, this will make soft power all the more difficult for Russia to wield in Ukraine. Even Moscow’s tried and true hard-power tactics of energy cutoffs, trade squeezes, and political manipulation are no longer as potent as they once were. The main problem with this, however, is that it may force the Kremlin to adopt an even more aggressive posture down the line, as Putin is not known as someone to back down.

http://www.eurasianet.org/node/74611
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on August 13, 2015, 10:11:03 PM
One of the comments you hear( & not just from the nay sayers on forums) is that nothing will change in Ukraine. I have always seen ( in my more recent interest in Ukraine) a thirst for reform and change. Maidan represented massive changes and new directions.
The question often asked is how?
This is another positive story-- and before anyone says it-- no one ever said any reform would be easy--but the overiding driving force is the overwhelming desire of the people for it. My view-- every step counts-every little gain will help provide the leverage for more gains and reforms.
For me-- so much of this is exciting to see- back in 2010 there was a feeling of frustration and disappointment  at the failure of the "Orange" revolution  to live up to it's potential. Now in 2015 Ukraine is really doing it!!

No wonder Putin is wetting his pants at the prospect of  a free democratic Ukraine! Imagine how this is going to look in 10 years time when the reforms in Ukraine have a chance to work and will have created a new Ukraine!


 Ukrainians seeking to transform government from key posts



Since the EuroMaidan Revolution, many Ukrainians who lived in the West have dropped their well-paid jobs and returned to Ukraine, inspired to change the country with their newly aquired knowledge.

So far, they have achieved mixed success in key government roles, where they have not always been welcomed.

In March 2014, a group of the Ukrainian alumni of the Western universities launched the Professional Government Initiative to help authorities overcome the economic downturn by matching educated Ukrainians with government bodies in need of professionals.

Members of the Harvard Club of Ukraine, followed by alumni from the London School of Economics, INSEAD business school, Columbia University, University of Oxford, Cambridge and others joined the initiative. Today it unites more than 3,000 Ukrainians willing to offer their skills to the government.

Their mission is to help Ukraine achieve what the West expects of it: accelerate economic reforms, eliminate corruption, strengthen the rule of law and democracy, and promote a transparent hiring process for government positions.

To bring professionals into government Professional Government Initiative started a website for hiring, www.proukrgov.org. Now one can upload a CV to the website’s database of professionals. When a government body addresses the initiative with a list of vacancies, it gets a list of suitable candidates within 24 hours.

Professional Government Initiative already found jobs for more than 50 applicants. Its coordinator Oleg Goncharenko says that while the young  Ukrainians want to work for the state, the state doesn’t always want them.

“The problem is that some people in the government are against newcomers,” he says.

Sergiy Konovets got hired as deputy board chairman at state-owned energy monopolist Naftogaz in May 2014. With an MBA from Switzerland, he applied with a CV, being at “an emotional peak after the Revolution of Dignity,” and was approved by the Cabinet of Ministers.


http://www..com/content/ukraine/-395711.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JohnDearGreen on August 14, 2015, 08:10:47 PM
From Gucci to GI Jane
http://tabloid.pravda.com.ua/photos/559a7afe1e733/ (http://tabloid.pravda.com.ua/photos/559a7afe1e733/)


Look like Luda has her own Youtube channel new.  20 videos.
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1F-IiLpK2a3GzCouG7Ro8A/featured
(http://i.ytimg.com/vi_webp/YV8YK4iEfDk/mqdefault.webp)
Title: : Record number of Ukrainians proud of nation
Post by: JayH on August 21, 2015, 07:31:20 PM
Some statistics that verify  on the ground observation-- the rise in numbers is important.

Survey: Record number of Ukrainians proud of nation

Last year’s popular uprising that ousted disgraced ex-President Viktor Yanukovych is often referred to as the Revolution of Dignity. It appears that the public’s self-respect has indeed surged as Russia's war against Ukraine has united the country.

A record 67 percent of the public say they are proud to be Ukrainian, the National Academy of Science’s Institute of Sociology found in a nationwide survey conducted in July.

The findings surpassed last year’s national pride record of 61 percent, following the EuroMaidan Revolution. The previous high had been 53 percent in 2005, when the public voted in Viktor Yushchenko as president in the wake of the Orange Revolution after a rigged election favored Kremlin-backed Viktor Yanukovych’s failed candidacy in late 2004.

Regionally, Ukrainians are most proud in the west (80 percent), and least proud in the Donbas oblasts (45 percent) of Luhansk and Donetsk.

The survey’s 1,802 respondents were questioned outside of occupied Crimea and Russian-separatist controlled areas of Donbas.

Regional breakdown of national pride
West
Center
South
East
Donbas

Source: Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, nationwide survey (excluding Russian-occupied Crimea and areas of Donbas) of 1,802 respondents conducted on June 26-July 18.

Most people consider themselves citizens of Ukraine (58 percent), with 23 percent identifying first with their city or town of residence, and only 6 percent with a particular region.

Provincial or regional identification prevails in Donbas where 39 percent consider themselves first to be Ukrainian citizens, while either 25 percent identify with a municipality or 20 percent with their region.

It appears Ukrainians want more authority and functions devolved to regional governments with 42 percent favoring a unitary state with expanded regional powers, while 37 percent prefer status quo.

Only 8 percent favor a federalized government, a territorial structure that Russia has been endorsing.
Ukrainian national pride by select year




Source: Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, nationwide survey (excluding Russian-occupied Crimea and areas of Donbas) of 1,802 respondents conducted on June 26-July 18.

Ukraine’s declaration of independence in 1991 was deemed the most positive historical national moment among 37 percent of respondents, followed by the allied victory in World World War II (31 percent).

Kozak leader Bohdan Khmelnytsky was chosen as one of three most positive historical figures by 29 percent of the public, followed by Ukraine’s post-World War I president Mykhailo Hrushevsky (21 percent) and Kyivan-Rus Prince Volodymyr the Great (18 percent).

The most negatively assessed historical figures relating to Ukraine were ex-President Viktor Yanukovych (51 percent), followed by Soviet dictator Josef Stalin (42 percent), and Vladimir Lenin and ex-President Viktor Yushchenko tied with 19 percent.

http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/survey-record-number-of-ukrainians-proud-of-nation-396272.html
Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on August 25, 2015, 05:35:24 PM
More very interesting reading.The negative aspects of Ukraine's crisis get plenty of airing-- countering that are the many positive aspects and stories appearing now.

Hanna Hopko: With help, Ukraine will prevail in its fight for independence, liberty and dignity



Hanna Hopko is a member of Ukraine's parliament with the Samopomich faction. She chairs the Verkhovna Rada's Committee on Foreign Affairs. She is a co-founder of the Reanimation Package of Reforms.



"Mom, when Putin is gone, then the war will end and you’ll be home with me?"

My aides were surprised by this unexpected question by my four-and-a-half-year-old daughter, Sophia, who was at my side during a parliamentary committee on foreign affairs meeting on the removal of sanctions against Iran.

We were examining how this would be another blow for Russia, what with a potential drop in oil prices. For the Russian economy, such a repercussion combined with stronger sanctions for the Kremlin's failure to comply with the Minsk accords, will soon become a nightmare for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who will regret that he decided to annex Ukraine's Crimea.

Putin’s oligarchs are quickly coming to see that that global isolation will doom their own businesses as well as Russia as a whole. It is a shame for the Russian people.

The children of Ukraine know a lot about the war in eastern Ukraine, and understand what their parents are fighting for. The "peaceful” resolution of the situation in the east has cost Ukraine more than 7,000 lives. Among those, more than 70 children. Over 22,000 wounded. Over 1.4 million displaced persons, who are now adding their own efforts to nation-building.

How many children have been orphanraine is paying dearly for its choice to be independent of Russia's economy, energy and media, its choice to be strong and democratic.


When I look at the Shrine of St. Sophia and at my daughter, I believe and know that Ukraine will overcome! I believe in this, and every day with my colleagues put in the effort to make changes - we do not just watch from the sidelines, as did politicians in the wake of the the Orange Revolution of 2004. Every day we fight for a strong future for Ukraine.

Ukraine has much to offer the world: there is tremendous potential in modernizing the agricultural sector, as well as a hard-working, highly literate and educated people, and great potential in the weapons and space industries.


The fate of the world in the 21st century will not be decided by oil. For this reason, the United States, a key strategic partner, especially given its commitments in the Budapest Memorandum, has to understand the importance and high priority of countering Russian aggression to secure democracy in the post-Soviet region.

Ukraine has to become a successful model of victory for democratic values.

Ukrainians of the 21st century sacrificed their lives for dignity, for freedom!

The Ukrainian people are celebrating their Independence Day with faith in a peaceful future!

Thank you for your support – we look forward to your determined actions!


http://www.kyivpost.com/opinion/op-ed/hanna-hopko-with-help-ukraine-will-prevail-in-its-fight-for-independence-liberty-and-dignity-396378.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on August 25, 2015, 08:39:37 PM
Thanks Jay! Good article. :clapping: :clapping: :clapping:
Title: Assimilation of ethnic Russians in Ukraine should worry Moscow
Post by: JayH on August 30, 2015, 05:19:18 PM
Not so surprising to many of us with Ukraine connections--but it seems it is now being recognised more widely--if not exactly being conceded as a good thing !!


Assimilation of ethnic Russians in Ukraine should worry Moscow
, Nevzorov says

An increasing number of ethnic Russians in Ukraine not only are identifying themselves as part of a civic nation in Ukraine but also are taking the next step and assimilating to the Ukrainian ethnic nation, a trend that Vyacheslav Nevzorov says Moscow should be worried about and that should be the focus of study by Russian scholars.

Nevzorov, who writes for the Topwar.ru portal, earlier sounded the alarm that ethnic Russians in Ukraine are quite attracted to the Ukrainian civic nation. Now, he is expressing concern about complete assimilation.

The Moscow commentator says that “the Russian super-ethnos,” which according to him included Russians, Ukrainians and Belarusians, is splitting up and that many “Russian-language people with classical Russian family names have fallen in love with ‘Ukraine’ as a project” and have added to the number of “Russian-language Ukrainians.”

According to Nevzorov, he has “lost many close relatives who were themselves born in Russia and came to Ukraine in the 1980s,” as well as many “fellow students… whose parents were sent from the RSFSR to the UkSSR.” And he says he wants to know why they are shifting their identities from Russian to Ukrainian.

Specifically, he says, he wants to know what lies behind the phenomenon in which his “relative at the door of [his] home told me: ‘Go back to your Russia!’” to the same city from which his relative had come originally.

“Today,” he continues, “it is fashionable to say that we have lost Russians in Ukraine only because” of Ukrainian propaganda and censorship that he says emerged after the Maidan. But in fact, the roots of what he calls the problem of the re-identification and assimilation of ethnic Russians in Ukraine have deeper roots.

Among the most important, Nevzorov says, were the de-industrialization of Ukraine and the collapse of Russian media between 1995 and 2003 “before the mass appearance of the Internet and cable television where Russians of Ukraine could form their own playlists” and maintain contact with their native culture.

Another cause is to be found in the Ukrainian educational system. Even where there are Russian-language schools, he says, these “do not give information about the history of Russia and Russian literature” but rather declare “in Russian” that “Bandera is a hero.” That helps create “Russian-language Russophobes.”

At present, he continues, this phenomenon has become large enough that Russian institutions must investigate it and provide answers to nine questions:

“Why in a country where there hasn’t appeared a single children’s film and only a couple of adult ones over the last 24 years are Russian-language young people drawn not to Russia but have been enthusiastic about the ethno-culture of Halychyna?” [Note: By using the term “Halychyna,” which was a medieval princedom with territory straddling western Ukraine, eastern Poland and Slovakia, Nevzorov shows his geographic incompetence and his desire to diminish the ethnic Ukrainian culture in the rest of Ukraine, which had survived despite centuries of forced Russification by Russian tzars and communists. – Ed.]
“How has the rejection of the Soviet project influenced the assimilation of ethnic Russians in a fraternal Slavic culture on a fragment of Soviet Russia?”
“How has consumerism led to the formation of a Ukrainian political nation” and “why have glamorous Russian-language girls and guys begun to wear in night clubs vyshyvankas [traditional Ukrainian clothes] rather than Versace and Gucci?”
“What is Halychyna” not only generally but for Russians in Ukraine? Why have the village and the village worldview won over Russian-language cities like Kharkiv, Odesa, Dniprpetrovsk and even Zaporizhzhya?”
“Is the absorption and assimilation of Russians in more radically different non-Slavic cultures possible?”
Why does Ukrainian education have such an influence on Russians?
What is the proper role of the Black Sea Fleet in maintaining Russian identity in Crimea?
How did Russia’s problems in the 1990s affect how Russians in Ukraine saw Russia and their own futures?
Can this process of assimilation be stopped and reversed or have things gone beyond the point of no return?
For all his emotionalism, Nevzorov raises three points which many in Russia and the West have been unwilling to address:

First, it is not just Russian-speaking Ukrainians who have joined Ukrainian-speaking Ukrainians to form a civic nation in Ukraine over the last two decades; it included Russian-speaking Russians who have done so as well.
Second, this pattern reverses what was typical in Soviet times and one that Russians and many others have assumed is the only one available – that Russians assimilate other peoples, not the other way around. But today, Russians are being assimilated not just politically but ethnically in many places and in the first instance Ukraine.
And third, that highlights something that even fewer people have been willing to consider up to now: Russian national identity, despite Moscow’s bombast and the assumption that assimilation only goes in the Russian direction is fact often far weaker than the national identities of other peoples on the post-Soviet space — even when these nations continue to use Russian.
For many ethnic Russians, as Nevzorov’s words suggest, those three things constitute an existential threat; but for many non-Russians, and especially now for Ukrainians, they provide a basis for hope in the future, something all too many of their ancestors had despaired of ever having.


http://euromaidanpress.com/2015/08/29/assimilation-of-ethnic-russians-in-ukraine-should-worry-moscow-nevzorov-says/

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 05, 2015, 10:25:05 PM

The changes in Ukraine continue-- many pitfalls in the process but chances must be taken to reform the economy,What must happen--is that if the countries assets are to be sold-- the people must get the benefit generally and the country as a whole benefit.

Changing Ukraine will continue to be a struggle, one thing’s for sure: Done properly, privatization could be the game-changer that jumpstarts the political and economic reforms the country desperately needs.

Russia’s failed attempt to sell state companies fairly in its own 1990s privatization process demonstrates how high the stakes are.

 To make the privatization corruption-free, it should consist of two distinct steps. First, the government should select international investment banks to function as lead managers for each of these large enterprises. These banks would be responsible for preparing financial statements and bidding rules for each state enterprise, marketing it both domestically and internationally, and selecting the winning bidder.

Second, a committee of experts from one of Ukraine’s leading civil society organizations, such as Transparency International Ukraine, would be required to certify that the sales process was free of corruption. No final contract could be signed until this occurs. These steps would require the Ukrainian government to surrender some of its control over the process, and that would rankle — but it’s the whole point. The corrupt Ukrainian state has been by far the greatest impediment to the country’s success, and government officials simply cannot be trusted to run a graft-free privatization without oversight.



Smart Privatization Can Save Ukraine
How can Kiev save its moribund economy? By breaking the bonds between companies and the state.
 

      Ukraine’s 2014 Euromaidan revolution toppled a corrupt regime and promised Ukrainians radical change that would bring the country’s governance in line with European standards. But nearly two years later, reforms appear to have stalled. Ukraine’s parliament has passed only 59 out of 150 reform laws promoted by an alliance of leading civil society organizations amid allegations that the nation’s politicians are merely tinkering with a fundamentally corrupt system. The Democratic Initiatives Foundation has just released a poll indicating growing popular anger at the slow pace of change: Nearly 50 percent of Ukrainians believe nothing has been accomplished at all, while 25 percent feel only one-tenth of the needed reforms have been made. The country’s leaders, clearly feeling the heat, are starting to trade accusations about who’s most at fault. To head off populist unrest that could threaten Ukraine’s fragile democratic transition, Kiev needs to move forward with aggressive reforms— and quick.Kiev needs to move forward with aggressive reforms — and quick.

One step the government could immediately undertake to promote cleaner governance is to privatize the approximately 1,800 state-owned enterprises it still controls, including many of the largest firms in the country, mostly in the energy and infrastructure sectors. Many of these state companies are holdovers from the Soviet economy, which was entirely state-run (and woefully inefficient). If successfully implemented, privatization could play a critical role in jump-starting Ukraine’s war against corruption, as well as spurring on other sorely needed political and economic reforms. After initially planning to launch mass privatization in 2015, the government recently postponed the process until 2016. Ukraine should do everything in its power to meet this schedule — without further delays.

The single greatest benefit of privatization is that it would assist Ukraine’s desperate battle to free its governing institutions from the baleful influence of corrupt oligarchs. Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk has noted that “state companies have essentially fallen into the private hands of one political group or another.” Anders Aslund of the Atlantic Council agrees, arguing that the majority of Ukraine’s state-owned enterprises “have a shadow proprietor who taps them on money through opaque procurement or transfer-pricing schemes.”

Ukrainian oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky’s relationship with state-owned oil company Ukrnafta aptly demonstrates this phenomenon. Kolomoisky owns 43 percent of Ukrnafta and has controlled the company behind the scenes since the early 2000s. He has been accused by critics in the Ukrainian press and private sector of forcing the company to sell oil at below market prices to a bank under his control. This bank, in turn, sold the oil to Ukraine’s only refinery, which — you guessed it — is also owned by Kolomoisky. The oligarch is therefore reaping windfall profits on oil that belongs to the state.

Natural gas subsidies — which are meant to benefit the poor — are another example of how Ukraine’s state companies have enriched oligarchs and corrupt officials. According to Aslund, until recently, Ukraine’s government-subsidized household prices for gas were only 12 percent of its actual market price. With such a huge discrepancy, shadowy intermediaries run by corrupt oligarchs could bribe the right people necessary to buy this cheap subsidized gas from Naftogaz, the state-owned natural gas company, and then sell it to industrial consumers for a big markup.

Ukraine’s current International Monetary Fund loan commits it to phasing out natural gas subsidies, and on April 1 the government began to do so, thereby increasing the price the country’s households pay. But while global gas prices have dropped, Ukraine’s household gas prices are still only about 75 percent of the real market price. Ukraine has been through nine previous IMF agreements requiring natural gas price increases, but one oligarch or another has always found a way to induce the government to halt the price hikes. Unless this cycle ends, argues Aslund, “somebody else will pick up this business.” This is how removing valuable enterprises from state control can finally break the corrupt links between oligarchs, government officials, and state companies like Naftogaz.

The privatization experience of Estonia, another former Soviet republic, shows how privatization could diminish graft in Ukraine. Neil A. Abrams, a political risk consultant who’s writing a book on Ukrainian corruption, argues that, in Estonia, eliminating subsidies to all firms ended the privileged position of so-called “political capitalists” and helps explain Estonia’s clean governance today. Corruption is more deeply entrenched in Ukraine than it ever was in Estonia, but that only makes aggressive action like mass privatization all the more necessary.

While cleaner governance is the most critical advantage of privatization, there are economic benefits as well. Even the best-run state-owned enterprises are susceptible to political interference and are frequently run as vehicles for patronage, not as profit-seeking firms. Even Ukraine’s Ministry of Economy admits this, noting that Ukraine’s state enterprises posted aggregate total losses of almost six billion dollars in 2014. Privatized firms, by contrast, are guided by market forces, operate more efficiently, and focus on maximizing profit. A study comparing privatized companies to state-owned enterprises found that privatization resulted in increased output, profits, and investments, and that these beneficial outcomes grew as more time since privatization passed. In short, privatizing Ukraine’s failing state-run firms could turn them into productive economic engines which would help boost its desperately sagging economy — and pay the government taxes on their profits, to boot.

Privatization would also provide a more direct boon to Ukraine’s budget by eliminating expensive subsidies, thereby promoting macro-economic reform. To survive, the country’ state-owned enterprises suck up government subsidies like a black hole to the tune of at least 10 percent of GDP in 2014 alone. State enterprises have also accumulated liabilities of over 12 percent of GDP. These liabilities represent a huge fiscal risk to Ukraine, as future budgets would be consumed by paying down these debts. With Ukraine’s public debt to GDP ratio expected hit an unsustainable 94 percent by the end of the year, the sooner Ukraine finishes privatization, the sooner it can begin reducing its debt load. Ending the explosive growth of public debt will not solve all of Ukraine’s problems, but it would buy Kiev time to make further progress on its reform agenda.

It’s crucial to note that what Ukraine needs is successful privatization. If the process is carried out as corruptly as everything else in Ukraine, it could only make things worse. Russia’s failed attempt to sell state companies fairly in its own 1990s privatization process demonstrates how high the stakes are.Russia’s failed attempt to sell state companies fairly in its own 1990s privatization process demonstrates how high the stakes are. After the Yeltsin government sold many of its largest state enterprises for pennies on the dollar to oligarchs such as Boris Berezovsky and Vladimir Potanin in the corrupt “loans for shares” scheme, the entire reform process was discredited. Today, Russians still associate privatization and economic liberalization with poverty and chaos, preferring Putin’s authoritarian system of state capitalism, where the largest enterprises in the country are state-owned. Given Ukraine’s volatile politics, a corrupt privatization process could not only discredit the entire reform agenda — it could topple the government.

To ensure that privatization helps Ukraine’s reforms rather than discrediting them, the private sector and civil society must be involved from the start. For the sake of transparency, all state companies but the 100 largest should be sold at open electronic auctions, with the bidding and results publicly available for anybody to see. Transparency International Ukraine, an anti-corruption watchdog, recently helped create just such an e-auction system for public procurement called ProZorro. This system — or something similar to it — should be used to privatize the country’s smaller enterprises. Even a one-dollar winning bid should be accepted, since the ultimate objective is to get these companies off the government’s balance sheet.

The 100 largest state enterprises — which account for 82 percent of assets and 80 percent of sales of Ukraine’s total state-owned enterprise sector — are more complex, and a simple e-auction will not be sufficient. Many are money-losing, but possess valuable assets and could be profitable in the right hands.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/05/smart-privatization-can-save-ukraine/
Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on October 25, 2015, 06:40:26 PM
There is now much more optimism being generally expressed about the future for Ukraine--here is an interesting article and   assessment .


Turkey's ambassador says Ukraine has 'lost too much time,' must make faster changes


While acknowledging Turkey’s accession process “has been going very slowly and unfairly” because of double standards in the EU, the ambassador is more hopeful about Turkey’s ultimate membership. “If the EU wants to be a place where it can affect universal values and can be an international actor, then Turkey has a lot to offer,” he said.

Turkey’s desire to meet EU requirements has made its democratic institutions and economy more competitive, translating into greater prosperity for the nation’s 79 million people and the world’s 16th largest economy. “EU membership for Turkey is a serious strategic choice simply because we want to give our people better political, economy and social standards,” Tezel said.

Turkey’s advances didn’t happen overnight and, “as difficult as it is, Ukraine has to go through that, too,” although “they have lost too much time since their independence...it’s already it’s already late. Things should go faster.”


But this is one ambassador who knows how quickly Ukraine can change when it wants to do so.
He arrived in February 2014, when President Viktor Yanukovych remained in power as the EuroMaidan Revolution was reaching its peak. Then Petro Poroshenko became president in June 2014. Then, in Turkey, Erdogan assumed the presidency in August 2014. Consequently, it was not until September 2014 that Tezel presented his credentials to Poroshenko.

The 50-year-old Istanbul native, a married father of three children, said that some consider him naive about Ukraine. He prefers to see himself as an optimist with good reasons to believe in Ukraine.

He tells businesspeople that “we believe in the potential of Ukraine, the new Ukraine in the making. It is difficult. It will take some years, but with its human resources, natural resources, geography and location, this country has a bright future.” He agrees with his Western colleagues who say that “more needs to be seen and felt by the people. This is the chance. I don’t want to say it’s now or never. You should never say never. But this is the right time. People want it. The Ukrainian people deserve it.

But in the end, it’s up to Ukraine.

“Europeans and the world will not solve Ukraine’s problems. Ukrainians will solve them. And Ukrainians cannot import Ukrainians from the moon. They have to do it. It is first and foremost a Ukrainian issue. We are ready to help.”

http://www.kyivpost.com/content/business/turkeys-ambassador-ukraine-has-lost-too-much-time-must-make-faster-changes-400463.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 03, 2015, 10:09:39 PM
This could be posted in the "MORE BAD NEWS" for Russia thread--  while it is that--it is good news for Ukraine. Removing any dependence on Russia for anything at all can only enhance the future for Ukraine-- and not having to deal with Russian stupidity can only accelerate the path to a better future,

Ukraine looks to shed dependence on Russian LPG


Ukraine, an important consumer of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), is tentatively turning to Western suppliers as it aims to wean itself off Russian and Belarusian imports.

Political strife between Ukraine and Russia means there is a risk of disruption, or a complete halt, of Russian LPG supplies as has happened with natural gas in the past, traders say.

Consumption of propane and butane in Ukraine is growing at a rate of 15 percent a year on average and analysts forecast a 60 percent increase to 1.6 million tonnes by 2020. They expect the share of imported LPG to rise to 80 percent from 60 percent now.

LPG is becoming more popular with motorists as it has been 40 to 50 percent cheaper than gasoline throughout 2015, market participants say.

Russia and Belarus account for over 90 percent of LPG imports but Ukraine has recently made trial purchases in eastern and western Europe, including from Poland, Hungary and the Netherlands, market participants said.



http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/03/us-ukraine-lpg-analysis-idUSKCN0SO29120151103#6mG2kuiQ9BkV1rml.97
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on November 05, 2015, 06:43:08 PM

Boy the Europeans are acting like a bunch of elitist dicks over this one.  Individual states shouldn't be penalized over something like their position on gays. It is their country/religion.  Why the hell should Europe try to mold countries to THEIR standards. Although I'm for gay rights here in the states, I would respect another country's position/law on the matter. I'm glad Ukraine is sticking to their guns.   

Ukraine snubs free travel to Europe over anti-gay law




Kiev (AFP) - Ukraine's parliament Thursday scuppered the ex-Soviet country's chances of visa-free travel to most EU nations by blocking legislation that would have banned discrimination against gays in the workplace.

The pro-EU leadership that replaced the Moscow-backed president last year has made it a priority to join the Schengen zone -- a club of EU countries that allows visa and passport-free travel to more than 400 million people.

But the European Union said in 2010 that Ukrainians being allowed free travel depended in part on Kiev adding a clause to its Soviet-era labour code that would ban all forms of discrimination against..........

http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-snubs-free-travel-europe-over-anti-gay-200046051.html;_ylt=AwrSbnriAzxWoJ0ArgpXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyb3Vvc2ZsBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDQTAxOTdfMQRzZWMDc2M- (http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-snubs-free-travel-europe-over-anti-gay-200046051.html;_ylt=AwrSbnriAzxWoJ0ArgpXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTEyb3Vvc2ZsBGNvbG8DZ3ExBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDQTAxOTdfMQRzZWMDc2M-)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on November 06, 2015, 07:08:57 PM



Ukraine Is in Danger of Becoming a Failed State




The most effective thing Russian President Vladimir Putin did to destabilize Ukraine was the one thing the West was demanding: He leaned on pro-Russian separatists in the country's east to cease fire. Left without the much-used cover of a war, the internal divisions and dysfunctional core of the Ukrainian political elite didn't take long to reveal itself. Rather than the democratic hope it might have become after last year's "Revolution of Dignity," Ukraine now looks like just another incompetent and corrupt post-Soviet regime. It's no wonder cracks are appearing in Kiev's all-important relationship with the West....



http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-11-06/unreformed-ukraine-is-self-destructing?cmpid=yhoo.headline&ref=yfp (http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-11-06/unreformed-ukraine-is-self-destructing?cmpid=yhoo.headline&ref=yfp)




Interesting....I wonder how this may change the end game in Ukraine. 


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 06, 2015, 07:44:49 PM
He isn't saying anything I haven't posted here for years.   However, the judiciary was, while not completely corrupt free, relatively fair under Yushchenko.  The massive corruption now existing is a Yanukovych legacy.

I actually view the role of the U.S. and the EU in internal Ukrainian politics as net positives.  They should be putting pressure on those politicians - no, you can't park your money outside the country, no, we won't fund your country without real reform. 
Title: Re: The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could
Post by: deccie on November 06, 2015, 09:12:17 PM
Interesting story that is very relevant to Ukrainian situation. We keep hearing that it is impossible to change endemic corruption-here is a country that is tackling it and changing the culture.
A point I have made to many people in Ukraine is that you do not have to invent your own wheel-there are many examples of other countries faced with similar problems that have successfully found new directions.

The Little Anti-Corruption Agency That Could

After humble beginnings in empty offices, Croatia’s anti-corruption body became a crusading national force.

 December 10, 2010, former Croatian Prime Minister Ivo Sanader was driving with his brother on an Alpine highway when Austrian police stopped his car and arrested him under an international warrant. Sanader had fled Croatia a day earlier, hours before his colleagues in parliament — still led by his own party — stripped him of legislative immunity. The Austrians extradited him back home, where he was facing charges of large-scale corruption. After a year-long trial, he was convicted and sentenced to 10 years’ imprisonment, shortened to eight and a half on appeal, for illegal kickbacks totaling 10 million euros. (In late July 2015, he was granted a retrial.)

CorruptionCaseStudy5

At trial, Sanader’s graft was traced back two decades to what prosecutors described as “war profiteering” after the breakup of Yugoslavia, when Croatia fought to become an independent state. Prosecutors detailed all of Sanader’s illicit gains: a luxury villa, custom-made tuxedos, a €150,000 watch collection, and the historic art and suitcases of cash he stashed with his butcher before fleeing the country.

Remarkably, Sanader was not brought down by a popular uprising or a political witch hunt. Instead he was prosecuted by his own government, and more specifically by USKOK, Croatia’s anti-corruption agency, which had flourished under his rule. Far from the feeble bureaucracy it had once been, USKOK — a Croatian acronym for the “Bureau for the Suppression of Corruption and Organized Crime” — had by this point become one of the world’s most formidable anti-corruption outfits.

Over the last decade, USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent.USKOK has successfully prosecuted more than two thousand defendants, achieving a conviction rate of roughly 95 percent. Besides Sanader, defendants have included a former deputy prime minister, a former vice president, three former ministers, a top general, the ambassador to the United Nations, and senior tax officials. Just this year, USKOK arrested and indicted Zagreb’s mayor on multiple charges of corruption and abuse of office.

It would not be far-fetched to say that USKOK secured the credibility of Croatian law enforcement and helped clinch Croatia’s 2013 accession to the European Union. The story of its turnaround holds lessons for anti-corruption agencies worldwide, many of which are still struggling to live up to their mandates.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/07/the-little-anti-corruption-agency-that-could/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_EditorsPicks_aug7 (http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/08/07/the-little-anti-corruption-agency-that-could/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=%2AEditors%20Picks&utm_campaign=2015_EditorsPicks_aug7)

And yet there is absolutely no details as to what his corrupt actions actually were? No evidence whatsoever?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on November 07, 2015, 09:58:37 AM
I actually view the role of the U.S. and the EU in internal Ukrainian politics as net positives.  They should be putting pressure on those politicians - no, you can't park your money outside the country, no, we won't fund your country without real reform.



Putting some controls on money isn't going to change their character. The West needs to get rid of corrupt politicians if Ukraine is going to climb out of this hole. Another option is to strong arm them like Putin would do to out of line rebels to alter their behavior.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 07, 2015, 06:29:54 PM
The reforms that are needed are a battle in themselves.Despite the scepticism expressed here on forum and in media generally-- Ukraine is attempting to change much of this.Given all the issues the Government has in front of it the naysayers need to give reform a chance- instead of giving us the "nothing will change" line.


Publicity Stunts Start War On Corruption

Several highly publicized arrests and raids are part of what President Petro Poroshenko claims is the start of a renewed law enforcement crackdown on top-level crime and corruption.

Others dismiss the recent events, however, as publicity stunts by an administration and government unwilling to surrender political control of a corrupt, subservient and ineffective judicial system.

“We don’t have justice here but just a show, and as long as our prosecutor general is a puppet, the show will go on,” Daria Kaleniuk, executive director of the Anti-Corruption Action Center, told the Kyiv Post.

Even Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk acknowledged the scope of the problem, saying last month that he wants all of the nation’s 9,000 judges fired because “the key corruption is still in the judiciary.” He also pledged to support the creation of a state investigative agency and to curb the prosecutorial powers, which he described as a “huge monster that controls everything in this country - starting with every single investigation and ending with every single investigation. This is not right.”

http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/publicity-stunts-start-war-on-corruption-401475.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on November 11, 2015, 07:06:04 PM
Ukraine expert Alexander Motyl on Donbas.  I agree with him.


Quote
If Putin’s proxies are less strategically daft than he is, they might push for reintegration (http://east.exch030.serverdata.net/owa/redir.aspx?SURL=OFG8Zyzqv4QmxPK6QxKP7j3stR32-PibYKlX3AIk53IF6jLITdbSCGgAdAB0AHAAOgAvAC8AbgBvAHYAbwBzAHQAaQBkAG8AbgBiAGEAcwBzAGEALgBjAG8AbQAvAGQAZQB0AGEAaQBsAHMALwAyADYAMAA4ADMAOAAvAA..&URL=http%3a%2f%2fnovostidonbassa.com%2fdetails%2f260838%2f) and thereby put Ukraine in the hot seat. As absolutely everyone knows, the enclave—and indeed the whole Donbas, even the part occupied by Ukrainian forces—has been and still is ruled by criminal clans, criminal oligarchs, criminal mafias, and—the latest twist—criminal separatists (http://east.exch030.serverdata.net/owa/redir.aspx?SURL=s0fkb6y9ndOJ7Yk2b5gybMOYsRnlwgZTIhz4kdSkfNcF6jLITdbSCGgAdAB0AHAAOgAvAC8AdwB3AHcALgBwAHIAYQB2AGQAYQAuAGMAbwBtAC4AdQBhAC8AYQByAHQAaQBjAGwAZQBzAC8AMgAwADEANQAvADEAMAAvADYALwA3ADAAOAAzADgAMgA1AC8A&URL=http%3a%2f%2fwww.pravda.com.ua%2farticles%2f2015%2f10%2f6%2f7083825%2f) and criminal warlords. Most of the population is unremittingly hostile to everything the new Ukraine stands for. The economy is in ruins.

If anyone knows how Ukraine is supposed to reintegrate this cancerous region without infecting itself in the process, please tell me.  The challenge would be enormous even if Ukraine defeated the Russian separatists and occupied the territory. And Ukraine has not defeated the rebels. Nor will it ever occupy the enclave and impose its will without reigniting the war.  Instead, Ukraine will have to reintegrate an unreconstructed and unreconstructable region. That’s what Minsk-2 mandates. And that’s been the declared goal of the Ukrainian political establishment.  As they say, be careful what you wish for. It may come true.

There’s only one way for a potentially reintegrated Donbas enclave to wreak minimal damage on Ukraine.  Kyiv should quarantine the territory and its thugs by giving it, and them, almost complete sovereignty within a confederal relationship with Ukraine.   Neither Kyiv nor the enclave would interfere in each other’s internal or external political affairs. Both sides would pursue their own economic policies, refrain from subsidizing each other, keep all the taxes they collect, and pursue trade with whomever they desire. Each side would be responsible for law and order, speak whichever language it desires, remember what it wants to remember, and honor whomever it wants to honor. Other issues would be stickier (Would there be one army or two? Would the enclave pursue its own foreign policy? Would there be one president or two?), but not immune to creative solutions.

Russia and its separatist thugs—along with France, Germany, and the United States—would be hard-pressed to say nyet to such a deal, while Kyiv and Ukraine’s hotheads could claim victory and declare that Ukraine is whole again.

http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/cautionary-note-reintegrating-donbas (http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/cautionary-note-reintegrating-donbas)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on November 11, 2015, 08:37:35 PM
Very good article Boe.

Ochka has told me many times that she does not wish to see this cancerous region reintegrated into Ukraine.

After what the people in the East have done to Ukraine, she doesn't see how good and honorable Ukrainians can ever accept them as fellow citizens.

It may be a conundrum.  Reintegrate and the Eastern terrorists will work to destroy Ukraine from the inside.

Keep the Eastern terrorists out, and they will continue to work from the outside to destroy Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 17, 2015, 01:29:11 AM

Grow Ukraine


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3gTIstIfF20
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on December 12, 2015, 02:24:47 AM
  The wrestle for democracy continues internally( as well as from the external threat). One if the biggest and hardest issues faced by Ukraine is for the people to have the patience and endurance to give the time for government reforms to have some effect.
   Even some on this forum are sceptical of the internal intent for reform. This last week has seen quite a lot written on  different aspects in Ukraine--there is so much change happening  it is hard to give it all the space it deserves.

 Below is interesting  discussion- of note again--it is the younger dynamic assessment-  there is an interesting interview embedded in link-


"Our aim is to interest people and get them care about Ukraine"

"We saw during the Maidan people were reflecting on what we are fighting for. And this is the change. Because we are growing up as a nation. As a political nation. And we want to know not only what we're fighting with, but what we are fighting for. And this agenda is just emerging now.

"We don't need our own Ukrainian path. We need to re-think the path out of a totalitarian regime and to democracy. We need to re-think what democracy is. And when we have threats to liberalism and we have euro-skepticism in Europe, we also need to develop our strong arguments why liberalism is worth fighting for."


'Values have changed even if we haven't seen concrete reforms'



Trust in institutions is low and rule of law is missing - so is the country really moving forward?

Some two years after Ukraine's Euromaidan revolution, the jury is out on whether or not its aims have been achieved. Has the sudden break from Russia's orbit and the sharp turn toward the West been worth the bloodshed and the upheaval? US President Joe Biden recently told Ukrainian MPs that whilst they do have America support, the White House needs to see more progress on reforming Ukraine and setting it on a democratic path. Others have a more positive outlook.

Sociologist Viktoriya Bryndza joined UT in the Viewpoint studio to tell us why even if the Ukrainian people haven't seen as many concrete reforms as they would have liked, the transformation in society's values has been profound.

"We see our government still as a threat. Institutional trust is very low. But I see changes. And those are more qualitative than quantitative. We cannot count them in big numbers yet. But what I see, especially in Lviv, is that there are some groups of young people who are not living in this mode of survival. They really believe that democracy is worth fighting for.

Watch also UT's Viewpoint with Alya Shandra, the managing editor at Euromaidan Press: "Our aim is to interest people and get them care about Ukraine"



http://uatoday.tv/society/progress-after-euromaidan-values-have-changed-even-if-we-haven-t-seen-concrete-reforms-552121.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on December 13, 2015, 05:07:46 PM
...US President Joe Biden recently told...

Have the Republicans here finally got their wish?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on December 14, 2015, 09:08:39 AM
Jay, the video that you posted above on "Grow Ukraine" is demonstrative of why Russia cannot allow Ukraine to look to the West.. It is telling that Russia's much smaller neighbor outpaces Russia in so many areas. I understand Ukrainian corruption, but this is a reminder of how systemic corruption simply does not allow Russia to perform at such levels economically.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on December 14, 2015, 01:59:20 PM
Jay, the video that you posted above on "Grow Ukraine" is demonstrative of why Russia cannot allow Ukraine to look to the West.. It is telling that Russia's much smaller neighbor outpaces Russia in so many areas. I understand Ukrainian corruption, but this is a reminder of how systemic corruption simply does not allow Russia to perform at such levels economically.

The people of Ukraine have shown they are prepared  to fight for the freedom to create a future-- by way of contrast-- the Russian kleptocracy has shown it is prepared to do anything to retain the status quo of corruption-- virtually diametrically opposing philosophical standpoints!!

Many who do wish the best for Ukraine are still sceptical of the Ukrainian governments ability to take it there-- but amongst all the negatives there are many examples of progress -- and in fact economic growth is being forecast for the next year.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on December 15, 2015, 09:43:00 AM
when I was about 6 years old, I took upon myself the task of informing my fellow 6 year olds that Santa Claus wasn’t real.  when I explained to them the truth of the matter, most accepted this information, but a few still preferred to believe in the fairy tale version.

the moral of this story is that there are some people who will always prefer to believe in fairy tales despite evidence of the contrary.

Merry Christmas!

   A Christmas Tale
Once upon a time there was a bookkeeper at a poultry farm in Western Ukraine.  One day he awoke to find that he had magically become the director of the National Bank of Ukraine.
He shrewdly invested his earnings to hire an American Public Relations firm.  He gave them a simple mission, “find out what the people of Ukraine want”.  After conducting a lot of surveys and operating various “focus groups”, they arrived at a simple conclusion.  “They want an end to corruption, and to have a lifestyle like the people in Western Europe”.  The PR agency also gave a lot of practical advice like, “you can sell politics exactly the same way you sell beer”!
“Tak” everyone said as they created the new “Orange Brand” the trademark of which would be owned by the banker’s 18 year old son.  Not surprisingly the promise was made to consumers, er I mean citizens that if you buy the Orange Brand you will be putting an end to corruption and you will live just like Western Europeans.  Wow! What a swell idea, all slickly presented!  Customers took it to heart they BELIEVED it the same way little children believe in Christmas!  Soon the Orange Brand became the most popular brand in all Ukraine. 

Unfortunately, the Orange Brand only lasted about 6 months before it collapsed, and the opposing Blue Brand slowly gained popularity.  What happened?  To consumer citizens the Orange Brand was about “putting an end to corruption, and to have a lifestyle like the people in Western Europe”  However, to the owners of the Orange Brand it was about getting into power so that they could continue looting Ukraine on an even grander scale.  Just like when companies sell products to consumers their true goal is to make money, it was no different with the Orange Brand.  So when two of the leading figures of the Orange Brand got into a fight over how they were going to “carve up” their Ukrainian turkey, the fight got so bad that the whole company, I mean political party fell apart.

the moral of this story is that there are some people who will always prefer to believe in fairy tales despite evidence of the contrary.

Merry Christmas!

 
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on December 15, 2015, 11:34:08 AM
And then there are those who refuse to lay down and accept the same old-same old. Ending systemic corruption is not a fairy tale. It is a valid dream. That doesn't mean that the West is perfect, because we both know it isn't, however we also both know that the extent of corruption next door is an influence that most ordinary citizens would like to see come to an end as they clean up their own country.
Title: The VR fait accompli – in layman terms
Post by: JayH on December 18, 2015, 01:37:07 AM
This is an important piece of writing and assessment of the current political situation. I hope all Ukrainian patriots( even if not participating here at the moment) read this, Much of what is written here are likely scenario's of what will unfold-- in effect--this is the battle for change/progess/future against    the old/do nothing /corrupt ways of the backward looking self interested.


Battle lines within the political reformers and the old nefarious hands are drawn and matters are coming to a head.  A “Maidan” within the Verkhovna Rada seems inevitable – and very soon.  The only question is whether a majority coalition can remain solid enough to emerge on the other side as and when this happens.

The VR fait accompli – in layman terms

Internally of Ukraine, the President’s Solidarity Party, theoretically could come to a deal with the Prime Minister’s Party regarding its assimilation post Yatseniuk departure, offering the same ministerial posts as agreed under the current party quota agreement within the current coalition agreement.  There is a but however – even if this be so, come the next scheduled Verkhovna Rada elections, Solidarity will in no way win by such a margin that all those assimilated could hope to return under the presidential banner.
Why?  Because naturally Governor Saakashvili will at some point launch “Team Saakashvili” as a political party – and it will be successful.  Probably very successful.  It will undoubtedly pull from Solidarity, People’s Front, Batkivshchyna and Samopomich constituencies – with serious constituency injuries for all concerned.
There will be no home for the majority of existing MPs within “Team Saakashvili” to be sure.  There will be a few exceptions should they show a desire – the obvious and untainted reformers – but otherwise Governor Saakashvili has a list of vetted, western education/western business experienced people from his appeals to help in Odessa.  That list is in the hundreds when it comes to vetted, competent and uncorrupted 25 – 45 year old Ukrainians.  Indeed the most controversial name on his party list would probably be his own.


http://www.odessatalk.com/2015/12/vr-fait-accompli-layman-terms/#comments
Title: Russia and Ukraine Finally Break Up
Post by: JayH on December 31, 2015, 02:34:05 PM
It has taken time for the bigger picture issues to be obvious to all( except Putin's Kremlin) and I wonder how much longer it will be before Russians cry"enough" of all this nonsense.
For Ukrainians--Russia's actions have taken the ambiguity out of the views Ukrainians held of Russia-it is over abundantly clear that Russian interest was only in exploiting Ukraine and Ukrainians and that is now widely recognised.
In extremely difficult internal( and external) circumstances the government has and is making progress-even if this is not apparent to everyday Ukrainians who are really hurting from the inflation and price rises  it is they who are bearing the brunt of years if mismanagement and incompetence- and now from the cost of fighting an unnecessary invasion and loss of resources and people.
The fight to reform is more important than ever today-the short term pain for Ukraine is the  cost of creating a future

"While Russia will remain a much wealthier, stronger country than Ukraine in 2016, Ukraine will be on a relative upswing even if it fails to do anything about its stifling corruption and incompetent governance. It still has support from the International Monetary Fund, despite recent squabbles over the 2016 budget and new tax laws, and it has agreed debt reductions and delays with most of its creditors. The abolition of European visas will also provide a much-needed morale boost.

Russia, of course, is far from a lost cause: It has rebuilt itself after worse crises. Neither is Ukraine a likely big winner: Its political and economic fabric may be too rotten for redemption. In 2016, however, Ukrainians have more to look forward to than Russians."





Russia and Ukraine Finally Break Up


 Even this year, Russian President Vladimir Putin contended that "Russians and Ukrainians are one nation." It's no longer true: The last two years, since Ukraine's "Revolution of Dignity," the Russian annexation of Crimea and the Russian-backed insurgency in eastern Ukraine, have seen perhaps the biggest breakup between neighboring, closely interconnected countries in post-World War II history. In 2014, only 4.6 million Ukrainians traveled to Russia -- less than two-thirds as many as to Poland. This year's statistics are not in yet, but another drop in travel to Russia is highly likely, because Moscow has been tightening regulations to make it harder for Ukrainian migrant workers to stay indefinitely and because, as of last summer, there are no more direct flights between the two countries. Besides, starting in mid-2016, Ukrainians will be able to travel visa-free to the European Union, which will likely make travel to Europe vastly more popular.



Russia and Ukraine have spent most of their post-Soviet history as Siamese twins, but for the last two years they've been undergoing political and economic separation surgery. It will probably be more or less complete in 2016, and though both twins are in for a grim period, the weaker one, Ukraine, has the better prospects in some ways.

Ever since Ukraine declared independence in August 1991, it sought to establish an identity that would set it apart from Russia. Its second president, Leonid Kuchma, even published a book called "Ukraine Is Not Russia" in 2003. In practice, however, Ukraine kept following its bigger neighbor even through its failed Westernization period of 2005 to 2010. It inherited the same basis for its legal system and government -- the Soviet bureaucracy -- and even attempted reforms often imitated Moscow's moves. When I moved from Moscow to Kiev in 2011, I felt no discomfort: Everything, from bureaucratic procedures to the pervasive corruption that made a mockery of them, was largely the same in the two countries

http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-12-30/russia-and-ukraine-finally-break-up
Title: "one more chance"
Post by: krimster2 on December 31, 2015, 07:26:30 PM
“one more chance”, this is what Vice President Biden told the Rada a few weeks ago.  One more chance for Ukraine to get rid of corruption or Ukraine will lose all future funding from the US and the IMF, and if this funding is cut, it’s likely that other Western governments will follow suit.
If this happens, Ukraine would have to default on all loans and bonds, and would completely lose all ability to borrow in the future, and borrowing is something Ukraine heavily depends on.

When it comes to Ukrainian corruption, the numbers speak for themselves. Over $12 billion per year disappears from the Ukrainian budget, according to an adviser to Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau.  And in its most recent review of global graft, anti-corruption watchdog Transparency International ranked Ukraine 142 out of 174 countries on its Corruption Perceptions Index — below countries such as Uganda, Nicaragua and Nigeria (seriously, Ukraine is below Nigeria!).   Average Ukrainians have to endure paying petty bribes in all areas of life. From vehicle registration, to getting their children into kindergarten, to obtaining needed medicine, everything connected to government has a price. (I personally have done all of that while living in Ukraine!).  The worst corruption occurs between business oligarchs and government officials. A small number of oligarchs control 70 percent of Ukraine’s economy, and over the years have captured and corrupted Ukraine’s political and judicial institutions.
While there are numerous examples of high-level corruption in Ukraine, a few stand out. In one case, $1.8 billion of an IMF loan to Ukraine meant to support the banking system instead disappeared into various offshore accounts affiliated with PrivatBank in Ukraine, which is owned by Ihor Kolomoisky — one of Ukraine’s leading oligarchs.  Thanks to the anticorruption group Nashi Groshi (“Our Money”) the details have come to light. Forty-two Ukrainian import firms owned by 54 offshore entities borrowed $1.8 billion from PrivatBank. The offshore firms then used the IMF money to order goods from fictional “suppliers,” with the $1.8 billion in loans from PrivatBank secured by the goods on order.  However, when the fictional suppliers inevitably did not fulfill their end of the bargain, PrivatBank was left holding the bag with its $1.8 billion gone offshore. As a Nashi Groshi investigator noted, “this transaction of $1.8 billion abroad with the help of fake contracts was simply an asset siphoning operation.” Unfortunately for Ukrainians — as well as Western taxpayers who fund the IMF — neither Kolomoisky nor anyone else in Ukraine has been held accountable and the case faded from public view in Kiev. (awww shucks, you mean to tell me that not only is there no trial, that there’s not even an investigation?)

Powerful politicians and businessmen in Ukraine can ALWAYS count on Ukrainian officials to protect them from European prosecutors. After a two-year investigation, Swiss prosecutors recently opened a criminal case against Mykola Martynenko — a close Parliamentary ally of Ukrainian Prime Minister Arsenyi Yatsenyuk — for allegedly accepting a $30 million bribe through a Czech company and attempting to launder the money through Switzerland. However, despite repeated requests from the Swiss for assistance, Ukrainian officials are protecting Martynenko, according to a report in the Kyiv Post, and Ukraine’s prosecutor general publicly refuses to pursue the case.


http://harpers.org/blog/2015/08/undelivered-goods/      
a must read

http://www.tripadvisor.com/Attraction_Review-g294474-d6781766-Reviews-Yanukovych_s_Private_Mansion-Kiev.html
a growing industry in Ukraine with a bright future is turning mansions of fleeing oligarch’s into tourist attractions, but oligarch’s will keep sprouting in Ukraine, when one runs away it creates opportunities for those who remain




Title: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 04, 2016, 07:53:20 PM
Despite those who are intent on painting any and everything Ukraine in a negative light-- there is now much wider recognition that change is real-- and positive.There is no doubt that it is a complicated process and is and will create a lot of pain in the process for Ukrainians it is clear now that progess is being made.

Vladimir Putin’s aggression has transformed Ukraine into an ethnically Ukrainian state. Russia’s war against Ukraine has also imbued those Ukrainians with a sense of identity and patriotism that they failed to develop on their own. Both trends are likely to be mutually reinforcing in the years ahead—which bodes well for Ukraine’s nation and state building efforts as well as for its ability to sustain painful reforms. As many social scientists argue, culturally solidary communities are more prone to agree and to sacrifice than culturally fragmented communities.

The seemingly unchanging nature of Ukraine’s dysfunctional politics can easily mask the reality: Ukraine itself is changing. Three sets of data illustrate the point.


Promising Structural Change Begins to Show in Ukraine


Kyiv’s reforms have been sluggish, but there may be more going on than meets the eye. That at least is what the indispensable website VoxUkraine suggests in a recent article measuring the degree of personnel change in Kyiv’s state bureaucracy. The results are heartening:

The Central Apparatus of the Central Executive Authorities has been downsized, but the change is minor. Average reduction for the period from the beginning of 2014 till mid 2015 is 5 percent.
 
At the ministry level, the picture is more nuanced and heterogeneous. Some authorities have cut the number of employees: Ministry of Economic Development and Trade—34 percent, Ministry of Social Policy—15 percent, State Property Fund—13 percent, Anti-Monopoly Committee, Ministry of Infrastructure, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Agrarian Policy—11 percent, Ministry of Ecology—8 percent, Ministry of Regional Development and Trade—3 percent, Ministry of Culture—2 percent.
 
Others have increased the number of employees of their central offices from the beginning of 2014 till mid 2015: e.g. NBU [National Bank of Ukraine] increased for 3 percent, Ministry of Justice for 12 percent, Prosecutor General Office for 11 percent, and Ministry of Youth and Sports for 15 percent.
 
Some Authorities have substantively reduced their regional units. The leaders are law enforcement authorities and the central bank. The Ministry of Internal Affairs has cut 14 percent of local people, the Ministry of Justice and Prosecutor General Offices reduced their sizes for 22 percent, the central bank—21 percent.
 
The renewal rate among the top levels of the government (ministers, deputies, heads of departments) is about 80 percent, benchmarked to the beginning of 2014. The management of the State Fiscal Service and the Prosecutor General Office are renewed at 91 percent.
 
The renewal rate drops dramatically for lower levels of the hierarchy in the government.
In other words, the bureaucracy is getting streamlined, though not evenly, and outsiders are increasingly getting positions of authority. The current Poroshenko-Yatseniuk government may be indifferent to rooting out corruption and introducing radical reform, but the proverbial facts on the ground may be making systemic change inevitable.





http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/promising-structural-change-begins-show-ukraine
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on January 05, 2016, 03:19:10 AM
Frontier Markets: Ukraine, A Promising Future
January 04, 2016, 08:54:18 AM EDT By


I sat down as usual on Sunday afternoon to write my article for today, fully intending to continue the series on developing market economies that I believe will do well in 2016. But my thoughts were diverted by an
I quickly noticed that even though Russia was mentioned in the article, with the exception of the larger economies of Hungary and Poland, none of the other Eastern European countries made it onto the list. I wasn't sure whether this was because, using the author’s methodology which includes CAPE and P/E ratios, the other countries in that region were either way too cheap and therefore highly risky, or way too expensive and therefore investors would not be compensated for the political and economic risks that are so pervasive there. But on closer look, I concluded that the author was actually naming the countries he did or did not feel justified investing in.
So I decided today’s article would be about the missing country that I would have included on the list. And not because I think this country isn't fraught with danger of all kinds, because it is, but because there appears to be on the horizon a faint ray of sunshine that this country is tired of being everyone's punching bag and has decided to take a stand.


That country is the Ukraine, or what remains of it.
Think about it. Here is a country that has had everything thrown at it, from civil wars to civil disobedience, to having their oil and gas cut off by Russia, to thugs with nothing better to do then forcing tyranny on their sector of the country, to the downing of the Malaysian aircraft. And while the West, and the U.S. included, Russia didn't pretend, they just attacked. After all that, they are still standing. And not only standing, but beginning to fight back and exert their sovereignty. Good for them.

Ukraine recently signed a trade agreement with the EU, which came into effect on January 1, and in retaliation President Putin ordered the special trade agreement between the Ukraine and Russia to be suspended as of the same date. In my opinion, Russia will suffer more from this move, as the EU is a far bigger market for Ukraine. But just to make sure the Russians didn't have the last word, Ukraine banned the importation of certain Russian goods.


For the rest of this interesting story click the link.[/size]Read more: [/color]http://www.nasdaq.com/article/frontier-markets-ukraine-a-promising-future-cm560821#ixzz3wMccGUsU (http://www.nasdaq.com/article/frontier-markets-ukraine-a-promising-future-cm560821#ixzz3wMccGUsU)[/font]
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 05, 2016, 10:03:48 AM
JayH,
"Despite those who are intent on painting any and everything Ukraine in a negative light..."

Just the facts, are all I presented...

"...it is clear now that progess is being made".

Did you actually read the article you quoted?

"The Ukrainian Week recently published numbers on the changes in Ukraine’s ethnic composition brought about by general demographic trends and, above all, Russia’s annexation of the Crimea and occupation of one third of the Donbas".

So because they no longer count the Russian population of Crimea and Donbas, as a result the total ethnic Russian population of Ukraine has declined and  as a logical consequence, Ukraine is now more ethnically Ukrainian.

Maybe you can find an article that says, "Japanese demographic survey found big drop in unemployed people in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945".


"Structural Change Begins to Show in Ukraine"

they’re called “lay-offs”, google “government austerity” and read what economists think about it.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LAman on January 05, 2016, 10:51:09 AM
JayH,
"Despite those who are intent on painting any and everything Ukraine in a negative light..."

Just the facts, are all I presented...

"...it is clear now that progess is being made".

 

Krimster, you do know that only positive things are happening in Ukraine now....just read what Jay and Akmike say!!!!!  While things are better ( barely?).....not all is rosy!!! What is that saying...as much as things change, they still stay the same:

http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-lawmaker-seizes-pm-yatseniuk-rowdy-parliament-scenes-120415338--business.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-22/this-time-it-s-not-putin-ukraine-flirts-with-political-suicide



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on January 05, 2016, 02:25:29 PM
No one has said that things are rosy here. Yes things are tight but I've seen the improvements. 


More will come after the Russian invasion is thwarted and UA can return to a peacetime economy and concentrate on getting rid of the corruption.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 05, 2016, 03:15:45 PM
"More will come after the Russian invasion is thwarted and UA can return to a peacetime economy and concentrate on getting rid of the corruption."

and then Ukraine can create a faster-than-light spaceship and join the United Federation of Planets!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 05, 2016, 03:28:11 PM
JayH,
"Despite those who are intent on painting any and everything Ukraine in a negative light..."

Just the facts, are all I presented...




The facts--I need to get a few "facts" correct.  Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?
How long ago was that exactly--7 years ago? 8?10?
You were last in Ukraine when?
Lets get a couple of those "facts" sorted before I comment further.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 05, 2016, 03:59:56 PM
"Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?
How long ago was that exactly--7 years ago? 8?10?"

Well I have had SO MANY COUNTLESS Ukrainia deavotchkie putting their rookies on moy jhoppa and elsewhere that  it's kinda hard to remember, so I'm sorry, but I have no idea what you're talking about, and obviously it has no relevance to the posts, you don't like the message so you try to shoot the messanger.  Gee, I thought it was only Russians that did that, I guess not, at least they get it right... 

BTW, the source for the info on corruption I posted originated from the Ukrainian anticorruption watchdog group Nashi Groshi (“Our Money”), who have a web site in Ukrainian http://nashigroshi.org, and yes they live there!  hopefully that will satisfy you?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 05, 2016, 04:34:17 PM
The facts--I need to get a few "facts" correct.  Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?
How long ago was that exactly--7 years ago? 8?10?
You were last in Ukraine when?

Lets get a couple of those "facts" sorted before I comment further.


"Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?
How long ago was that exactly--7 years ago? 8?10?"

Well I have had SO MANY COUNTLESS Ukrainia deavotchkie putting their rookies on moy jhoppa and elsewhere that  it's kinda hard to remember, so I'm sorry, but I have no idea what you're talking about, and obviously it has no relevance to the posts, you don't like the message so you try to shoot the messanger.  Gee, I thought it was only Russians that did that, I guess not, at least they get it right... 


Note--my questions are not answered.
There was no question about girls in general--but it was about "your" failed marriage - is that you?
Funny that you try the 'shoot the messenger defence" while attempting it on others !
My questions are being asked so I can get reply in context-do I need to spell that out for you?

That question has a ' YES   or a NO answer.

How long ago were you last there-- pretty simple question that I want answered.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on January 05, 2016, 04:37:27 PM
The facts--I need to get a few "facts" correct.  Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?
How long ago was that exactly--7 years ago? 8?10?
You were last in Ukraine when?
Lets get a couple of those "facts" sorted before I comment further.
Are you the same Jayh that is 60 years old, and STILL unsuccessfully looking for the 'love of your life' in Ukraine?  Are you sure you aren't just mongering around disguised as an earnest guy?


 Aren't you the same guy who throws fits when anybody doesn't agree with all your warped assertions?


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on January 05, 2016, 04:39:24 PM
Note--my questions are not answered.
There was no question about girls in general--but it was about "your" failed marriage - is that you?
Funny that you try the 'shoot the messenger defence" while attempting it on others !
My questions are being asked so I can get reply in context-do I need to spell that out for you?

That question has a ' YES   or a NO answer.

How long ago were you last there-- pretty simple question that I want answered.


Your 'questions' are not relevant to the points the man was making. You must just be upset that he has something relevant to say, and you do not, as usual.   :D


Fathertime!   



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on January 05, 2016, 04:55:36 PM
According to the latest gallup poll, only 17% of Ukrainians are satisfied with their standard of living and 72% consider themselves poor. Thirty six percent are considered to be "suffering". Things are a tad bleak in Ukraine.
(I'm in Ukraine now)

http://europe.newsweek.com/gallup-ukraine-411868?rm=eu
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 05, 2016, 05:03:05 PM
JayH,

"The facts--I need to get a few "facts" correct.  Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?"

seriously, you have me confused with someone else, for all my sexual innuendo, I have been happily married to a woman from Sevastopol for 16 years, our 17th  anniversary will be this coming October 11, if you want to send a card...

I think you have me confused with ScottinCrimea, he WAS divorced from his UA wife.  All ist Klarr??

Dude, you're making me kinda feel sorry for you now, c'mon now can't we all just get along?
Why can't we be friends ....  ?????

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 05, 2016, 05:30:25 PM
JayH,

"The facts--I need to get a few "facts" correct.  Are you the same krimster that got his arse handed to him on a plate by a Ukrainian girl?"

seriously, you have me confused with someone else, for all my sexual innuendo, I have been happily married to a woman from Sevastopol for 16 years, our 17th  anniversary will be this coming October 11, if you want to send a card...

I think you have me confused with ScottinCrimea, he WAS divorced from his UA wife.  All ist Klarr??

Dude, you're making me kinda feel sorry for you now, c'mon now can't we all just get along?
Why can't we be friends ....  ?????

Ok--Thanks for answering. there is another poster with a not dissimilar story-- ie- Crimea-returned to US etc I was not sure-hence my questions/ ( not the names you mention). I did see your recent posts that did not equate with my recollection-- so it started me wondering.There was no sexual innuendo intended.
Congratulations on staying married for 17 years-that makes you a success story in this endeavour!

Feeling sorry for me--if that is based on the inane ignorant comments of a personal nature above-- the attempt to insult is based on zero knowledge and only designed to elicit a specific response that diverts threads --nothing is known like that- so -please feel no sorrow for me on that basis!

I am however--still interested as to when you were last in Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 05, 2016, 05:45:43 PM
OK, the last time I was in Ukraine, was March 14, 2007, in the early evening as I crossed the border into Poland via train accompanied by wife and children, went to Berlin stayed at a 5 star Hotel on Kaiser Willhelm Strasse for a few days before heading to NYC.  and of course this bit of information changes everything
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Darth_Budda on January 05, 2016, 08:23:42 PM


Maybe you can find an article that says, "Japanese demographic survey found big drop in unemployed people in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in August 1945".



This made my day....     

I will have to use it in a argument one day...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 06, 2016, 12:42:50 AM
Krimster, you do know that only positive things are happening in Ukraine now....just read what Jay and Akmike say!!!!!  While things are better ( barely?).....not all is rosy!!! What is that saying...as much as things change, they still stay the same:

http://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-lawmaker-seizes-pm-yatseniuk-rowdy-parliament-scenes-120415338--business.html

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-22/this-time-it-s-not-putin-ukraine-flirts-with-political-suicide

 :welcome:
Funnily enough--it is you that has raised the issue of "old""outdated"info being given out as if current.( fwiw-I do not disagree with that observation)-- but I go further-people whose "opinions" are stuck in an earlier point of time !!

Some who make comment as if they have current first hand exposure to any given situation can mislead eg  answering a question on a situation about somewhere they have not been in 8 years ! - and not qualifying the answer with a fairly important piece of information  ie--they had no recent experience themselves-- although to be fair- relatives still there would give some idea  of actual conditions etc etc etc

While others who are present in a location--presume they know more than others( & post in a derogatory way about it ) when they are ignorant of the given situation themselves ( sound familiar? You worked out where the Ukrainian Navy is yet?).

You can keep harping on the negatives-- but it only shows your own ignorance-- and inability to understand or recognise change  going on. Perhaps if you spend time reading some of the links posted-- you would see they often deal with parts of the details of the links you posted here- and much more-- and you can educate yourself.

For those on the ground and doing the suffering-change is hard to see-but as an outsider you have the ability to see a far wider amount of information-and look at bigger picture issues -- so no excuse for not availing yourself of that.

I think if you actually read my posts above--they do mention that not "all is rosy"-- and no attempt is made to hide negatives.After all-they are part of the equation.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 06, 2016, 07:22:42 AM
Jay,
   Let me be clear about my experience in Ukraine.  I lived there for 3 years, I bought and sold multiple properties there, commercial and residential, and I was the founder of the largest software development company in Crimea, I can speak (but not read/write Russian ‘horrosho)  My children are bi-lingual, until last year my children would spend part of the summer in Crimea.  I am on Skype every week with relatives in Crimea and Kyiv.  I read constantly, most of the hard data I post here, comes directly from Ukraine, and is “of Ukraine” and “by Ukrainians” and “for Ukrainians” and is even written in what language-ohhh Ukrainian! ‘horrosho?  none of what I posted here would have even a single character altered if I spent the last 10 years sitting in a “queterry” somewhere on the left bank of the Dnipro or up north in Chernigov on a dacha on the Desna. Nichy-Vo! 

This is in my opinion a failed attempt on your part to stifle a message you don’t want to hear by trying to shoot the messenger,  while at the same time acknowledging it, how contradictory.  That information I posted has about as much relevancy as to the date of my last visit to Crimea as it would to what color socks I have on.

Nothing substantial has changed in Ukraine, ACCORDING TO THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY UKRAINIANS LIVING IN UKRAINE.  Ohhh, I have gray socks on, so I guess you can discount that then!

Man, however long you've been in Ukraine, it's obviously been TOO LONG, you've sailed over the edge and into the abyss, I know what this is like, it happened to me to, and when I started to beat up old ladies who cut in fron of me in line, is when I decided to leave, you should think about this...







Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on January 06, 2016, 02:46:09 PM

Ten Reasons Why I’m Optimistic About Ukraine’s Economy in 2016

By Anders Åslund
 

The outlook for the Ukrainian economy in 2016 is positive. Many important reforms were carried out in 2015. The necessary exchange rate adjustment has occurred and most required bank closures have taken place. The parliament has adopted tax changes and a decent budget for 2016. The debt restructuring deal has postponed foreign debt service. The current account is in approximate balance. Now is the time to move forward with more structural reforms.

Click the link for his 10 reasons

http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/ten-reasons-why-i-m-optimistic-about-ukraine-s-economy-in-2016
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 06, 2016, 03:23:49 PM
Jay,
 
This is in my opinion a failed attempt on your part to stifle a message you don’t want to hear by trying to shoot the messenger,  while at the same time acknowledging it, how contradictory.  That information I posted has about as much relevancy as to the date of my last visit to Crimea as it would to what color socks I have on.

Nothing substantial has changed in Ukraine, ACCORDING TO THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY UKRAINIANS LIVING IN UKRAINE.

You have shown you a bitter about your time there and have posted nothing nice or positive about Ukraine and take every opportunity to denigrate-even above-you repeat what you believe( or want to believe) ie- nothing has changed.

Pretty dumb position to take I think.

The issue of giving advice based on outdated info is real enough-recently you advised a guy about not going to Crimea ( the right advice in the end) -but- you quoted your negative experience and issues -without qualifying them as being prior to 2008. In fact-your experiences back then only relate in a small way to the question the op posed about visiting in 2016.
The net effect is that your reply was in fact misleading- and you knew that full well when you wrote.

Above I refer to Laman comments made in other threads about outdated info-- eg   a poster whose experience was about 2008 commenting on a city while being in ignorance of a major development that would impact on a visitor-- and specifically relevant to the question posed.
In another thread-- a TR from some time ago-- the dates are listed by poster and of extreme relevance to his story.That is an appropriate way to post--ie qualify material facts that have potential to impact the comments being made that could lead to misunderstanding.

The fact of the matter is that a lot of the material I post links to does illustrate how much is changing.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on January 06, 2016, 04:18:06 PM
Jay,
   Let me be clear about my experience in Ukraine.  I lived there for 3 years, I bought and sold multiple properties there, commercial and residential, and I was the founder of the largest software development company in Crimea, I can speak (but not read/write Russian ‘horrosho)  My children are bi-lingual, until last year my children would spend part of the summer in Crimea.  I am on Skype every week with relatives in Crimea and Kyiv.  I read constantly, most of the hard data I post here, comes directly from Ukraine, and is “of Ukraine” and “by Ukrainians” and “for Ukrainians” and is even written in what language-ohhh Ukrainian! ‘horrosho?  none of what I posted here would have even a single character altered if I spent the last 10 years sitting in a “queterry” somewhere on the left bank of the Dnipro or up north in Chernigov on a dacha on the Desna. Nichy-Vo! 

This is in my opinion a failed attempt on your part to stifle a message you don’t want to hear by trying to shoot the messenger,  while at the same time acknowledging it, how contradictory.  That information I posted has about as much relevancy as to the date of my last visit to Crimea as it would to what color socks I have on.

Nothing substantial has changed in Ukraine, ACCORDING TO THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY UKRAINIANS LIVING IN UKRAINE.  Ohhh, I have gray socks on, so I guess you can discount that then!

Man, however long you've been in Ukraine, it's obviously been TOO LONG, you've sailed over the edge and into the abyss, I know what this is like, it happened to me to, and when I started to beat up old ladies who cut in fron of me in line, is when I decided to leave, you should think about this...


looks to me like your experience is a lot more broader and relevant (not to mention balanced) than some numb-skull cheerleader that unsuccessfully bored a few Ukrainian ladies, and now wants to pretend he is the 'oracle of all of Ukraine'! 


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 06, 2016, 06:39:20 PM
Jay,
   Here in the USA my wife’s best friend is someone she met in school and who also happened to be from Ukraine.  She was a teacher at Ternopil State University and taught nursing there.  She also worked as an interpreter for the Ukrainian government.  In 2008, when she was about 35 years old she married an American and left Ukraine and moved to the USA and has not returned since.  If she has any questions about Ukraine I sure hope you will be able to answer them for her since your knowledge on the subject is so much greater than the few meager few scraps of information that she has, which of course would be totally obsolete and of no value by now. 

So Jay, how on Earth did you get to be so smart?  Was it nature or nurture?  I mean please tell me about your life in Ukraine.  Do you own a business there, do you own a house, what’s your day-to-day like there?


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 07, 2016, 06:04:11 AM
Jay,
   knowledge and wisdom are not like fresh fish, they don’t go bad after 24 hours.  “Truth is beauty” Jay, and “a thing of beauty is a joy forever”

this is why true wisdom is timeless and there’s no expiration date stamped on the bottom.  If you don’t accept that, then you should tell every military academy in the world to stop studying “The Art of War” by Sun Wu, who wrote  his Chinese military treatise in the 5th century BC.  The 5th century BC Jay, that’s 2,500 years ago, it’s still being studied Jay, get it!!!

Ever hear of William Shakespeare, of course, his works are nearly 500 years old, are they obsolete and of no value Jay?

Has Leonardo Da Vinci’s painting of Mona Lisa been discarded because it’s over 500 years old and therefor obsolete and of no value?  No Jay, it hasn’t, it’s the star exhibit of the Louvre.

You see Jay, real truth is timeless, I hope these meager words of mine will serve to illustrate that point to you.

But Jay, those who dwell upon the mountain grow concerned, when the Oracle has been asked to prophecy about the Oracle, the Oracle has grown silent, a dark sense of foreboding has descended like a thick fog, please may the Oracle prophesize about the Oracle, and tell us of the Oracles’s existence upon the sweet fields of far-off Delphi?


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on January 07, 2016, 11:27:53 AM
krimster, you're wasting your time with JayH.


Besides his tourettes problem, he holds on to the belief he is the only expert on Ukraine.  He even started a thread last year talking about all the changes that have taken place.  I read it and couldn't find anything that wasn't the same over 4 or 5 years ago. 


I think he is just a lonely old dude with nothing going on his life which is why he needs to feel like he matters.


Also, he won't disclose anything personal.  Sure, he will try and use any personal comments you make about your life against you, but he won't comment on himself.  Probably because he has been going to Ukraine for over 5 years and still hasn't been able to find someone to marry him.  If that is even why he goes.


I personally think he is a sex tourist which makes sense why he won't disclose anything personal. 


Just laugh at him like the rest of us do.  Feel pity for an old fool. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 07, 2016, 12:02:16 PM
well, that's kinda sad, maybe we should just let him be THE EXPERT on Ukraine so he can hold his head up a little...  He's probably all there by himself with no one to talk to, a lonely solitary figure drinking voda over a half-eaten dish of salo staring at the monitor hoping someone will ask a question about Ukraine that he can answer, what kind of person would I be to rob him of this little joy...???

You go Jay!!!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 07, 2016, 06:58:50 PM
As I wrote above-- some keep attempting to denigrate Ukraine-despite all the evidence indicating change and progress is real-despite everything .
For the fools who want to attack me personally-- read the thread topic.


​World Bank: Ukraine may show economic growth in 2016, Russia will remain in recession


A new World Bank report published on Jan. 7 predicts the Ukrainian economy will grow by 1 percent in 2016, this is after a 12 percent reduction in 2015. It also forecasts an economic growth of 2 percent for 2017.

According to the Global and Economic Prospects report: “Growth in Ukraine may start rebounding, helped by easing tensions and the IMF supported stabilization program.”

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/world-bank-ukraine-may-show-economic-growth-in-2016-russia-will-remain-in-recession-405526.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 07, 2016, 07:04:19 PM
The outlook for the Ukrainian economy in 2016 is positive. Many important reforms were carried out in 2015. The necessary exchange rate adjustment has occurred and most required bank closures have taken place. The parliament has adopted tax changes and a decent budget for 2016. The debt restructuring deal has postponed foreign debt service. The current account is in approximate balance. Now is the time to move forward with more structural reforms.



10 reasons why I'm optimistic about Ukraine's economy in 2016





http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/anders-aslund-10-reasons-why-im-optimistic-about-ukraines-economy-in-2016-405469.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 07, 2016, 07:25:18 PM
Beyond the headlines, there have been some positive developments from the European Union on the issue. An important trade deal between the European Union and Ukraine, which is essential for revitalizing the country's economy, will be effective next month. Hopefully, visa-free access for Ukrainians to EU countries will soon follow.


In 2015, Ukraine proved it wasn't a pushover. The country united in the face of Russian aggression and Russian President Vladimir Putin learned that if he wanted his Novorossiya project, it was going to cost him more than a few little green men.

What Will 2016 Mean for Ukraine?


But that's not all. Instead of launching a new military offensive on land, Putin is trying his luck at sea. On December 14, Russia hijacked two drilling rigs located in Ukrainian territorial waters in the Odeske natural gas field in the Black Sea, 100 kilometers east of the Ukrainian coastline. The Russian news agency TASS claimed that the deposits in the Black Sea shelf are now Russian, because of the takeover of Crimea. There may be a military logic here. As Euromaidan Press reported, Russian propaganda is already saying that Russian gas rigs in the Ukrainian maritime zone need protection from "terrorism." The distance between the gas field and the western Ukrainian Black Sea coast is well within the range of Russian naval weapons.

West of the gas field and close to the western Ukrainian Black Sea coast is the tiny Zmiinyi Island, a former Soviet base with a population of 100. If Russia seized the island, the port of Odesa could be cut off; that would deny Ukraine almost all access to the sea, since Russia already holds Crimea and the gas fields between there and Zmiinyi Island.

One could imagine a scenario sometime in 2016 where "Odessan freedom fighters," who are actually Russian naval troops without insignia, seize the island and declare it a part of the "Odessan People's Republic." Russia could then send "humanitarian convoys" or "civilian activists" from Crimea. Such convoys would obviously need "protection" from Russian naval vessels.


http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/what-will-2016-mean-for-ukraine

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on January 07, 2016, 08:38:47 PM
As I wrote above-- some keep attempting to denigrate Ukraine-despite all the evidence indicating change and progress is real-despite everything .
For the fools who want to attack me personally-- read the thread topic.





You have been pegged for exactly what you are....in addition it twas you that once again began to 'personally attack' the latest poster who dare share a (more educated) opinion regarding Ukraine.   ;)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: sleepycat on January 08, 2016, 01:59:49 AM

....in addition it twas you that once again

Maybe it's time to invest in some spellchecker software for your PC?
 ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Darth_Budda on January 08, 2016, 05:54:31 AM
I stopped posting political stuff here  because their is only one view allowed....


Truth is The People in the USA, Russia and Ukraine...
Have more than this one official RWD view... Which is reinforced by a few posters...

I will be going back to ukraine in a few weeks... To bring my Russian-Ukrainian princess back to NY...

But to be honest.
During my 2 week stay in central ukraine... I did not meet one Ukrainian who was not ethnically Russian or Belorussian.

So it is natural they might have a different view on things than the Ethnically Ukrainian population in the west of the country...


So from my point of view,,,, I can say.. I don't think the "Times of Trouble" are over...

 

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Faux Pas on January 08, 2016, 08:49:50 AM
I stopped posting political stuff here  because their is only one view allowed....


Truth is The People in the USA, Russia and Ukraine...
Have more than this one official RWD view... Which is reinforced by a few posters...

I will be going back to ukraine in a few weeks... To bring my Russian-Ukrainian princess back to NY...

But to be honest.
During my 2 week stay in central ukraine... I did not meet one Ukrainian who was not ethnically Russian or Belorussian.

So it is natural they might have a different view on things than the Ethnically Ukrainian population in the west of the country...


So from my point of view,,,, I can say.. I don't think the "Times of Trouble" are over...

Regardless of your perception, there is no "one official view of RWD". I rarely agree with anybody and I have spewed my view on the forum as much as anybody
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 08, 2016, 03:14:08 PM
Disregarding some the foolish comments from a few above and the way they express it--and even more so for their reasons( loathe to use the word reasoning!

Often in any political sphere we hear people commenting on politicians--"they are all the same" or "nothing changes"--in particular -- people who are relatively knowledgeable historically and relatively well informed on the current situation  are still sceptical of how much political change can really take place.
Below is a story of what is a typical battle going on in Ukraine-- the "old guard" trying to maintain the status quo by shutting out potential reformers from the system.This is a battle taking place on many fronts.
Under former President Viktor Yanukovych, the prosecutor's office was seriously compromised. As a result, public faith in law enforcement remains critically low. Post-Maidan expectations of real reform received a setback when President Petro Poroshenko appointed Shokin, who is widely viewed as part of the old guard. That concern has proven justified.

How Ukraine’s Prosecutor General Sabotaged the Reform Process

Parliament adopted a new law that would radically reform the prosecutor's system on October 14, 2014. It should have come into force on April 25, 2015, but all of its provisions have been deferred until April 15, 2016, as the result of behind-the-scenes lobbying. The first stages of vital restructuring did, however, begin: local prosecutors were supposed to be hired through a competitive system that would bring in an influx of external candidates. Initially, sixty percent of those candidates were outsiders, but that number dropped to 22 percent after two phases of independent tests.

But the real problem was with the selection committee. Four members of the commission were Shokin's representatives and three were from parliament. After the selection commission had finished interviewing candidates, only 3 percent of the successful candidates were outsiders.

And then all outsiders disappeared, courtesy of the prosecutor general, who had the final say. According to Vitaly Kasko, perhaps the only remaining reform-minded deputy prosecutor general, 84 percent of the local prosecutors Shokin appointed were previously district prosecutors and most were employed in that capacity during the Yanukovych period. Although there is no evidence that any specific individual should not have been appointed, these statistics hardly inspire faith in the reform process. None of the local prosecutors were subject to checks under the law on cleaning up the authorities. Parliamentarian Yehor Sobolev is outraged, and says that the anticipated overhaul of the system has resulted in mere rotation, with the same prosecutors simply moved to different cities.

Frustration is widespread among civic activists who were effectively pushed out of the process.

http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/how-ukraine-s-prosecutor-general-sabotaged-the-reform-process?
Title: Will Ukraine Be Europe’s Next Success Story?
Post by: JayH on January 08, 2016, 08:24:35 PM
Interesting video with a cross section of observers.
Of note--the trolls in action in comments section-- say anything positive about Ukraine--or even discuss it-- and the trolls are out in force to illustrate their ignorance and stupidity.


Will Ukraine Be Europe’s Next Success Story?


http://youtu.be/DVyxuKXgipQ
Title: How Ukraine Weaned Itself Off Russian Gas
Post by: JayH on January 12, 2016, 06:54:25 PM
Go back a short time and the silliness of the pro-Rus apologists was busy telling us how the dependency on Russian gas would dictate the future. To repeat myself--the second Russia's anti social behaviour became apparent-- every country receiving gas placed funding alternatives in the extreme urgency file. It has proved another major miscalculation of Putin and his thugs-- even if they are able to keep selling-the price will be set by the market itself-- not by a monopoly supplier. Funny how the free market has a way to bite back!!

Not so long ago, Russia could bend Ukraine to its will by threatening to cut off natural gas supplies. Now, Russia is offering discounts, but Ukraine is not interested because it's getting plenty of gas in Europe. This change reflects developments in the European gas market that don't augur well for one of Russia's biggest sources of export revenue.

How Ukraine Weaned Itself Off Russian Gas


That, however, is not the most important reason for the decline in Ukrainian imports. The government is determined to end its dependence on Russia as the two countries are in a semi-official state of war. More than once, Russian threats to stop supplies or raise prices as winter approached forced Ukrainian governments to accept political concessions that slowed the country's drift toward the European Union. In response, Ukraine sought "reverse supplies" from Slovakia in 2014.


http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-01-12/how-ukraine-weaned-itself-off-russian-gas
Title: 2016 Will Be a Make It or Break It Year for Ukraine
Post by: JayH on January 13, 2016, 03:38:06 PM
Despite a tiny minority here on forums that resent Ukraine generally and reflect that anti Ukraine stance of Russians, the positives keep coming.

It was interesting to here Obama's State of the Union comments on Ukraine-- and if Ukraine can continue to resist the Russian invasion ( and maybe start to turn it back) then what Obama said would make sense as far as USA is concerned.

The determined effort to achieve democracy and self rule by Ukrainians is quite remarkable.Now it faces the biggest challenge-- ie--to keep going despite all the difficulties faced.

Of course--if Russia collapses that path will be made considerably easier-in every respect.

Two years ago, hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians braved the freezing temperatures on Kyiv's Maidan to protest. Since then, Ukraine has gone through almost too many crises to count: upheaval with the ousting of former President Viktor Yanukovych; Russian occupation of Crimea; a war with Russian forces in the Donbas that continues to simmer; and a contracting economy that shrunk by 7 percent in 2014 and 12 percent in 2015. One of these crises could have caused state collapse, but Ukraine has persevered.

The Ukrainian government has steered the economy away from the brink of collapse. In fact, the World Bank predicts modest growth for 2016. The international community has provided much-needed financial support. In 2016, the IMF is expected to give $4.7 billion in conditional support to Ukraine. The final decision on the timing of the next tranche will likely come at the end of January. The United States has committed an additional $1 billion loan guarantee, which is expected to be released in the first quarter. And the European Union is expected to disburse at least 1.2 billion. Other bilateral contributions, such as Poland's 1 billion euro loan, will bring Ukraine's 2016 financial assistance to $9-10 billion. While the majority of this sum is in the form of loans, it is a sign of significant support.


2016 Will Be a Make It or Break It Year for Ukraine


With this support and improving economic outlook, it is up to the Ukrainian government and civil society to take advantage of "Ukraine's moment," as US Vice President Joe Biden urged Ukrainian parliamentarians to do in his address before the Rada in December 2015.

To take advantage of Ukraine's moment, the government must pass anti-corruption reforms, particularly of the judiciary, and investigate corruption allegations, starting with Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin, who has become the poster child of entrenched political corruption. It also must stop the political squabbling that could lead to a collapse in the governing coalition. Ukraine needs a politically stable government to see through the reform process. While that government, and Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk in particular, is losing popular support fast, there is still time to prove to the Ukrainian people that their elected officials have what it takes to do the right thing.

Civil society also has a role to play in ensuring that Ukraine makes progress in 2016. Anticorruption groups, such as the Anticorruption Action Center, track progress on asset recovery and procurement reform, and investigate the financial dealings of government officials. These civic groups should continue to work closely with government agencies, notably the National Anti-Corruption Bureau (NAB), to put pressure on the government to pursue corruption allegations and increase transparency in the budgetary process. To prove its legitimacy, the NAB must start to investigate allegations, but it cannot prosecute cases; that's the job of the prosecutor general, which is more reason to replace Shokin with a real reformer. Corruption is a significant concern for Ukrainians. According to a 2015 poll, two-thirds of Ukrainians believe that the government is not doing enough to combat corruption. Leaders would be wise to remember that as much as the Euromaidan was about European integration, it was truly about Ukrainians being fed up with corrupt leaders. While another Maidan revolution seems unlikely in 2016, Ukrainians will not shy away from holding their leaders to the promises of the Euromaidan.



http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/2016-will-be-a-make-it-or-break-it-year-for-ukraine?utm_content=bufferfb8f3&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
Title: Ukraine’s EU dream comes true?
Post by: JayH on January 14, 2016, 02:51:17 PM
While the Kremlin still thinks it can control Ukraine ( and  some on forums believ it!!) the reality is moving further from Russia' orbit by the minute. I keep posting of progress being made in Ukraine--despite all the hurdles.
Delivering on the EU promise by Poroshenko is THE cornerstone of keeping control in current day Ukraine.For all the hardships being endured by Ukrainians currently they need to be able to believe it is for a purpose -- and the promise of a future is fundamental.

2016 expected to see advent of European Union free trade and visa-free travel marking start of new era in Ukraine’s EU integration

Ukraine’s EU dream comes true?

2016: Breakthrough year for European Ukraine

 2016 is the year in which this dream finally becomes a reality. January sees the full implementation of a free trade zone, and at some point in summer 2016 visa-free EU travel is expected to be introduced. These are not minor achievements. Free trade and freedom of movement are arguably the two greatest benefits the EU can offer. Indeed, millions of Euro skeptics within the EU will surely view Ukraine’s Brussels partnership with some envy, regarding it as a far better model for cooperation than their own much deeper involvement in the European experiment.

These developments have the potential to transform every aspect of Ukrainian society, but they are not a panacea for the country’s many deep-seated problems. In reality, Ukraine’s 2016 European breakthrough is merely the start of a new and challenging era in the country’s development. If Ukraine is to make the transition successfully, Euro standards must become the everyday norm rather than the exception, and Ukrainians must start seeing themselves as equal partners in the European community of nations. Integrating into Europe has long been a key goal for millions of Ukrainians – the objective now must be to integrate Europe into Ukraine.

http://bunews.com.ua/opinion/item/ukraines-eu-dream-comes-true

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 14, 2016, 07:31:49 PM
A little statistical data that verifies the Ukrainian economy is improving. Things can and do change!!!!


Signs that 2016 economy in Ukraine may be on rebound

For a nation that has seen mostly gloomy economic news in recent years, the storm clouds may start to lift in 2016. Too many explosive variables exist to make any kind of prediction: Russia’s war could heat up and commodity prices could continue sinking. Moreover, Ukraine’s political leaders still have done nothing to instill investor or public confidence in the nation’s rule of law -- including its judicial system, from prosecutors to judges and police investigators. Additionally, while the banking sector is being purged of its weakest and most corrupt elements, no one has been prosecuted or gone to jail for bank fraud. Lending, meanwhile, remains at a standstill. Borrowers are turned off by high interest rates. Lenders are turned off by a lack of creditor rights. Moreover, even under optimal circumstances, Ukraine’s official gross domestic product in 2016 is expected to be less than $100 billion, only a slight increase. And much of this economy will stay in the shadows.

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/business/signs-that-2016-economy-in-ukraine-may-be-on-rebound-405934.html


Ukraine enters 2016 with lots of unfinished business

Much remains to be done to make government more accountable, open and graft-free. Required measures include stripping lawmakers and certain judges of prosecutorial immunity, changing the election system, and selling off more than 1,500 state-owned enterprises. Changes to the Constitution could also happen this year.
The following are highlights of the successes and failures:

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/ukraine-enters-2016-with-lots-of-unfinished-business-405937.html

Poroshenko says Ukraine made considerable progress in removing oligarchs from power

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/poroshenko-says-ukraine-made-considerable-progress-in-removing-oligarchs-from-power-405911.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on January 15, 2016, 10:29:14 AM

Poroshenko says Ukraine made considerable progress in removing oligarchs from power

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/poroshenko-says-ukraine-made-considerable-progress-in-removing-oligarchs-from-power-405911.html (http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/poroshenko-says-ukraine-made-considerable-progress-in-removing-oligarchs-from-power-405911.html)


BULLSHIT
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on January 15, 2016, 01:11:17 PM
Does anyone have an accounting of how the aid and loans from IMF, EU, et al were  spent?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 15, 2016, 01:39:06 PM
according to this article:
http://off-guardian.org/2015/09/01/how-kolomoyskyi-siphoned-off-1-8-billion-of-imfs-rescue-money-for-ukraine/

we know at least $1.8 billion was stolen by Kolomoyskyi (owner of Privat Bank), unfortunately Ukrainian taxpayers are responsible for paying it back
this $1.8 billion fraud was uncovered by a group of Ukrainian journalists who have a web site written in Ukrainian called Znai nashih ("our money"), google them and you can find new corruption scandals every week on their web site
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 15, 2016, 02:30:35 PM
Does anyone have an accounting of how the aid and loans from IMF, EU, et al were  spent?

Without looking for  an answer my immediate thoughts were it would be paid into general revenue--and after looking it seems to confirm that. Based on meeting the IMF targets on key points-it seems to be the case-based on factual information.

This is a little dated but does deal with factual info-
IMF Executive Board Completes First Review of Ukraine’s EFF and Approves US$1.7 Billion Disbursement
Press Release No. 15/364
July 31, 2015

Ukraine’s four-year SDR 12.348 billion (about US$17.5 billion) EFF was approved on March 11, 2015 (see Press Release No. 14/189) to support the government’s economic program, which aims to put the economy on the path to recovery, restore external sustainability, strengthen public finances, maintain financial stability, and support economic growth by advancing structural and governance reforms, while protecting the most vulnerable.

http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2015/pr15364.htm


More updates available here-
http://www.imf.org/external/country/ukr/index.htm?type=8
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on January 19, 2016, 12:57:20 AM
Timothy Ash: Is Ukraine-Russian peace deal brewing behind the scenes?

Something significant might be happening in the Ukraine peace process.
First, we had the appointment of Boris Gryzlov, a real Kremlin heavyweight as Moscow’s representative to peace talks. One read is that the appointment of a serious Kremlin insider to such a role suggests that Russian President Vladimir Putin is now willing to seriously negotiate towards some kind of settlement, which might just be acceptable to Kyiv – rather than the previous policy which seemed to be to demand concessions which were never really deliverable in Kyiv, and which were just meant to destabilize domestic politics in Ukraine, or to undermine the security situation and macro stability and financing with it.
Second, President Petro Poroshenko last week spoke about securing control over Ukraine’s borders again this year – with some suggesting that he would not have made this claim unless he thought there was a reasonable chance of delivering on it.
Third, the U.S. assistant secretary of state, Victory Nuland, had a meeting late last week in the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, with Vladislav Surkov, another close adviser to Putin. The session was described as a “brainstorming” session over possible resolutions over the crisis in Ukraine, and generally feedback from both sides was that the discussions were “constructive.” U.S. officials also spoke about the prospect of sanctions on Ukraine over Donbas being relieved if they see Minsk implementation – albeit retaining those over Crimea.
Fourth, French and German envoys to the Ukrainian “Normandy” peace process are due in Kyiv this week for high-level discussions.
Fifth, Russia seems to be holding back from pursuing the nuclear, legal, card over the $3 billion in monies lent to the former Yanukovych regime, due in December, but now in effect in default.
Now both sides still seem to be maneuvering for position – e.g. with Russia’s imposition of a transit ban on Ukrainian exports to Kazakhstan, and Ukraine’s decision to hike gas transit fees on Russian gas transit to Europe – the latter bringing a tripling of the tariff, and hitting Russian when it is already smarting over the drop in oil prices. But we have consistently seen some escalation by the sides in the run up to key negotiations, and it might be the same this time around.


For more follow the link
http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/timothy-ash-is-ukraine-russian-peace-deal-brewing-behind-the-scenes-406166.html?utm_campaign=traqli&utm_source=traqli&utm_medium=traqli&source=traqli

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on January 23, 2016, 01:14:31 PM
Ukraine, the future.


Another revolt to get the remaining rats off the ship starting with Poroshenko and Yatseniuk.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on January 24, 2016, 11:13:08 AM
Does anyone have a better understanding of what is happening with regard to the sanctions against Russia?  Something is brewing.  Two days ago Secretary of State John Kerry said at the Davos World Economic Forum said, "... damaging sanctions against Russia could be removed within the next few months, provided Russia cooperates."

The articles I read talked only about cooperation in eastern Ukraine regarding the Minsk agreements.  It mentioned nothing about Crimea.  Financial Times gave more detail but still left open the issue of Crimea.

I thought sanctions also applied to the Crimea issue.  If sanctions were lifted without resolving Crimea, does this mean the West is conceding Crimea to Russia?  Maybe only some sanctions will be lifted?


My thought is that Crimea is still on the table and the West wants it settled quickly.  It can be settled quickly only if Ukraine accepts Russia's annexation and receives compensation for the loss.  Or Russia agrees to take the issue to the World Court.   

What is the fair price to compensate Ukraine for the loss of Crimea?  How about a guaranteed long-term supply of gas at greatly discounted prices if not free.  That could be worth many billions to Ukraine and cost Russia relatively little.     
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on January 24, 2016, 12:13:32 PM
Does anyone have an accounting of how the aid and loans from IMF, EU, et al were  spent?

I can only attest that I didn't get any of the money.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 24, 2016, 06:06:47 PM
Does anyone have a better understanding of what is happening with regard to the sanctions against Russia?  Something is brewing.  Two days ago Secretary of State John Kerry said at the Davos World Economic Forum said, "... damaging sanctions against Russia could be removed within the next few months, provided Russia cooperates."

The articles I read talked only about cooperation in eastern Ukraine regarding the Minsk agreements.  It mentioned nothing about Crimea.  Financial Times gave more detail but still left open the issue of Crimea.

I thought sanctions also applied to the Crimea issue.  If sanctions were lifted without resolving Crimea, does this mean the West is conceding Crimea to Russia?  Maybe only some sanctions will be lifted?


My thought is that Crimea is still on the table and the West wants it settled quickly.  It can be settled quickly only if Ukraine accepts Russia's annexation and receives compensation for the loss.  Or Russia agrees to take the issue to the World Court.   

What is the fair price to compensate Ukraine for the loss of Crimea?  How about a guaranteed long-term supply of gas at greatly discounted prices if not free.  That could be worth many billions to Ukraine and cost Russia relatively little.   

Gator- I attempted to start a specific thread on potential settlement terms but had thread title removed and neutered!!
UKRAINE  V RUSSIA --is it going to be a tko to UKRHere iare some of the posts( NB-- a lot of other non related posts got moved in here also)--

http://www.russianwomendiscussion.com/index.php?topic=20479.0

The Minsk  terms are different to Crimean sanctions-- although obviously related.

The west is not conceding Crimea.

Ukraine has reasserted it's desire to recover control over the Crimea.In fact Poroshenko made the point loudly on learning of meetings taking place without Ukrainian presence. Putin/Kremlin/Russia is angling to get sanctions lifted/eased based on the Minsk agreements being enacted.

 Note- they still think they can control the terms in a way that leaves their options open.
Obviously enough-- the sanctions placed on Russia over the Crimean invasion should remain-- until Russia removes itself from Crimea.There is no point in partially removing anything--in fact--if it was my decision -I would be increasing the pressure on Russia.
 
 Russia giving up in the Donbass--where it has in fact already lost- to be allowed to keep the Crimea is not a deal Ukraine should even contemplate.Of course--the weak kneed western countries-will look at anything that makes their lives easier.It would be a huge mistake to attempt to appease Russia in any way now-and in the process sell Ukraine down the drain!!

There is no price acceptable for Ukraine to give up the Crimea. The price that should be discussed is how much compensation Russia should be paying for the dame to Ukraine caused by the invasions in the east and Crimea.

An interesting link that summarises more general situation and the progress that has been made.
The good and bad in Ukraine
http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/timothy-ash-the-good-and-bad-in-ukraine-403458.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 24, 2016, 10:18:49 PM
The articles I read talked only about cooperation in eastern Ukraine regarding the Minsk agreements.  It mentioned nothing about Crimea.  Financial Times gave more detail but still left open the issue of Crimea.

I thought sanctions also applied to the Crimea issue.



The cooperation Kerry talks about is pertaining to the Minsk II agreement which doesn't ask Russia to return Crimea. If Russia abides by the Minsk II agreement, all sanctions will be lifted, included the sanctions that were applied during Russia's takeover of Crimea. The world has given up on helping Ukraine take back Crimea. Europe wanted the sanctions ended long ago since it's cuts them off from a major trading partner, Russia, and in turn hurts their economy. America needs Russia to be cooperative in Syria since that area is more strategically important to America than Ukraine is. Putin was brilliant when he got involved in Syria. It took attention away from Ukraine and pressured the West to ease up on Russia. The longer the Syrian war lasts, the more it's going to cost Europe when handling the refugees since none of the refugees think Russia is the best place to live.


What is the fair price to compensate Ukraine for the loss of Crimea?  How about a guaranteed long-term supply of gas at greatly discounted prices if not free.  That could be worth many billions to Ukraine and cost Russia relatively little.   


Billions in compensation is an insult to Ukraine. When Russia took over Crimea, they gained territory in the Black Sea 3 times bigger than the land they took. Oil and natural gas experts say there are hundreds of billions of dollars in natural resources in that water at a minimum. Some say there are trillions of dollars in there. Ukraine also lost any hope of energy independence and an opportunity to be an exporter of fossil fuels when Russia took Crimea.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 24, 2016, 10:52:15 PM
Gator-- I am ignoring BillyB's once again useless comments-he needs to actually read some of the links  posted to get some of his misguided conclusions adjusted.

What is of interest? here is an article that deals with how some myths get perpetrated( and people like Billy believe and repeat) . In retrospect with the benefit of more information becoming available many things become clearer- and myths corrected. During Maidan and subsequently events moved at an incredible pace- and a lot of errors were made  at the time that now we have the benefit of more information.

A curious compendium of disinformation

I prefer the reality that 45 million Ukrainian people are deciding their own fate, they did so in a revolution that brought down a corrupt regime, now they are doing so democratically and peacefully, the process is often flawed and there are problems with some of the old guard holding out and carrying on as if nothing has changed, but, things are changing.

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/paul-niland-a-curious-compendium-of-disinformation-406590.html

Another interesting current article that covers some of the ground. There is no simple answer to any one problem in Ukraine-- as it is n overall  collective series of change-reforms if you like- that will create a new sustainable Ukraine.I can keep rep[eating partial ideas in posts-- but the various writers addressing many issues represent excellent think pieces.
Once again-

Ukraine has made gains, but the fight isn’t over yet

http://business.financialpost.com/diane-francis/diane-francis-ukraine-has-made-gains-but-the-fight-isnt-over-yet
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 24, 2016, 11:08:51 PM
I prefer the reality that 45 million Ukrainian people are deciding their own fate, they did so in a revolution that brought down a corrupt regime, now they are doing so democratically and peacefully,



If Ukrainians want Crimea back, they aren't going to get it done peacefully, they need to pick up a gun.  After watching Russia take Crimea and enter into Eastern Ukraine, I wasn't impressed by their desire to pick up guns to change the situation. If America has a Pearl Harbor or World Trade Center bombed, we'd have all out war with the offenders. Many Americans have a point when they say "Why should we shed blood and help Ukrainians and Syrians when the majority of those people aren't helping themselves?" The only answer I can give them is because the bad guys will win and eventually we will eventually have to answer to a stronger foe. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 24, 2016, 11:24:44 PM
Like I said BB-- start reading and get with program.You seem to have missed the part where US is not being asked to send frontline fighting  troops. have a nice argument with yourself about it ! :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on January 25, 2016, 12:03:34 AM
Gator-- I am ignoring BillyB's once again useless comments-he needs to actually read some of the links  posted to get some of his misguided conclusions adjusted.



Billy's comments are more in line with reality than yours....Russia is not giving back Crimea, and Ukraine will not be retaking it.


Fathertime!   
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 25, 2016, 12:12:45 AM
You seem to have missed the part where US is not being asked to send frontline fighting  troops.



Hello? Anybody home?


US troops are in Ukraine. Poroshenko invited US troops into Ukraine. Obama didn't send those troops there uninvited. Those troops mission is to train Ukrainian troops simply because that's all Obama will allow them to do. Poroshenko would like more of course. During Poroshenko's visit to D.C., you don't think behind closed doors he asked Obama for American troops to help him regain his country? You're dreaming. You better believe he reminded Obama about the Budapest Memorandum and our responsibilities to protecting Ukraine's borders. Any leader of a country facing getting wiped off the map will ask for all possible help. It's common sense that you don't seem to get. Just because Poroshenko's not getting front line American troops doesn't mean he didn't ask. What are you going to tell us next? Assad didn't ask for Russian troops to fight in Syria when he went to Moscow?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 25, 2016, 12:27:51 AM

If Ukrainians want Crimea back, they aren't going to get it done peacefully, they need to pick up a gun.  After watching Russia take Crimea and enter into Eastern Ukraine, I wasn't impressed by their desire to pick up guns to change the situation. If America has a Pearl Harbor or World Trade Center bombed, we'd have all out war with the offenders. Many Americans have a point when they say "Why should we shed blood and help Ukrainians and Syrians when the majority of those people aren't helping themselves?" The only answer I can give them is because the bad guys will win and eventually we will eventually have to answer to a stronger foe. 


Hello? Anybody home?


US troops are in Ukraine. Poroshenko invited US troops into Ukraine. Obama didn't send those troops there uninvited. Those troops mission is to train Ukrainian troops simply because that's all Obama will allow them to do. Poroshenko would like more of course. During Poroshenko's visit to D.C., you don't think behind closed doors he asked Obama for American troops to help him regain his country? You're dreaming. You better believe he reminded Obama about the Budapest Memorandum and our responsibilities to protecting Ukraine's borders. Any leader of a country facing getting wiped off the map will ask for all possible help. It's common sense that you don't seem to get. Just because Poroshenko's not getting front line American troops doesn't mean he didn't ask. What are you going to tell us next? Assad didn't ask for Russian troops to fight in Syria when he went to Moscow?
You really are a dunce,

You write "Many Americans have a point when they say "Why should we shed blood-- if that is not  you saying  Americans saying it is unacceptable to US--I replied
Like I said BB-- start reading and get with program.You seem to have missed the part where US is not being asked to send frontline fighting  troops. have a nice argument with yourself about it ! :)
Now ........... connect......... the US is not being asked to send frontline troops  NOTE  that is in the here and now-- not 18 months ago.  You and your ideas are stuck in another point in time.
i NOTE-- AGAIN- you attempt to attribute something not being said by me-- and then proceed to have an argument with the erroneous proposition you raised--not me !
Really BB-- you of all people need to read some of the links posted-instead of whining about them.It is your sort of ignorance that the links are there for.!! :)

In case you missed it-- FRONTLINE FIGHTING TROOPS  is actually different to the advisors and training troops in Ukraine!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 25, 2016, 12:41:01 AM
the US is not being asked to send frontline troops  NOTE  that is in the here and now-- not 18 months ago.



Hello? Anybody home? If Ukraine made a request 18 months ago, and it wasn't retracted, the request is still good even today. It's silly for Poroshenko to repeat himself everyday for something he knows he's not going to get but he still wants it. If Obama has a change of heart or the next Prez honors the request made over a year ago, you really think Poroshenko is going to turn them down? You're living in fantasy land. Poreshenko will accept our frontline troops or any lethal aid we will give. All he's getting now is training and defensive weapons and he's not happy about it. Whoever is our next Prez, you better believe Poroshenko is going to make another request in hopes of getting more action than Obama was willing to give.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on January 25, 2016, 01:45:43 AM
The cooperation Kerry talks about is pertaining to the Minsk II agreement which doesn't ask Russia to return Crimea. If Russia abides by the Minsk II agreement, all sanctions will be lifted, included the sanctions that were applied during Russia's takeover of Crimea.

Not all sanctions will be lifted. The sanctions  that were applied during Russia's takeover of Crimea will be left. Crimean sanctions are purely cosmetic, only a bunch of officials and bankers are feeling the effect. I would prefer if the pressure on russian officials and bankers will  remain  so that they're forced to keep their personal assets at home.
    In Russia the topic of sanctions is not causing much interest, situation with commodities is drawing all the attention.
    As for Crimea Putin has voiced the russian stand in his interview in the movie about Crimean reconquista. Compelled return of Crimea to Ukraine is impossible without defeat of Russia in the nuclear war, at least in foreseeable future.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 25, 2016, 07:11:27 AM
Not all sanctions will be lifted. The sanctions  that were applied during Russia's takeover of Crimea will be left. Crimean sanctions are purely cosmetic, only a bunch of officials and bankers are feeling the effect. I would prefer if the pressure on russian officials and bankers will  remain  so that they're forced to keep their personal assets at home.
   


Where did Kerry say "some" of the sanctions will be removed after Minsk 2 agreement is met? The sanctions end when the Minsk 2 agreement is met. The return of Crimea is not included to lift the sanctions. If the sanctions applied during the takeover are Crimea are cosmetic as you say, America and Europe will easily remove those too. They aren't going to risk making it harder for Putin to comply and losing business with Russia over a few cosmetic sanctions getting in the way. If Putin will comply with Minsk 2, all sanctions will be lifted and Crimea is his with no debate. Putin is going to get all he can get from the West. If Iran can do it, so can Russia.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on January 25, 2016, 05:07:10 PM
If sanctions were simply lifted, Russia gets off too easy.

There should be war reparations for aiding the rebels in the destruction of eastern Ukraine and killing civilians including 298 aboard MH17. 

Meanwhile, Ukraine better advance its reforms.  If not,  let Putin annex it too in 5 years.  Otherwise it will be a huge sinkhole for Western aid.

Crimea.  This to me is a greater injustice than eastern Ukraine.  This issue should be tabled but not forgotten, to be reexamined by the world community if Ukraine can develop its democracy and economy. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 25, 2016, 05:52:27 PM
If sanctions were simply lifted, Russia gets off too easy.



I agree but the West stopped twisting Russia's arm with sanctions long ago. Nothing was progressing with the current sanctions so the West seemed eager to end this. It wasn't Putin making a public announcement to the world he's ready to cooperate. It was Kerry, speaking for the West, that the sanctions could end quickly. The West wants this more than Putin. It would be wise for Putin to wait longer to see what more he can get out of this. If I were him, I'd ask for a few trillion dollars from the West to repair the damage the sanctions did to Russia's economy. If Iran can get some cash for cooperating, so can Russia. Putin can also use Syria for leverage when negotiating over Ukraine. Putin is in the driver's seat for controlling what happens in Syria and who gets to rule it. If America wants to have a say, America is going to have to pay.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on January 26, 2016, 03:34:57 AM
There should be war reparations for aiding the rebels in the destruction of eastern Ukraine

Needless to say, the war reparations are taken from war losers, so there should be the victory as the necessary condition. Russia had paid some reparations to Germany in 1918, to extract herself from WWI and  win the civil war. Russia had suffered defeats over her long violent history of many wars, but paid the reparations only once, to Germany in 1918. It means the victory over Russia must be very convincing to force her on reparations.
   Anyway, Russia is  spending monthly tens millions $  to support the people at Donbass and repair infrastructure. May be we can accept it as the reparations?  :D

Crimea.  This to me is a greater injustice than eastern Ukraine.  This issue should be tabled but not forgotten, to be reexamined by the world community if Ukraine can develop its democracy and economy.
    By other words, use Crimea  to dangle a carrot in front of Ukraine to push her for implementing reforms. Pragmatic approach for  world community :) 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 26, 2016, 11:41:18 AM
Quote
Nothing was progressing with the current sanctions so the West seemed eager to end this.

I'd have to disagree with this. The reason the Russians are so anxious, even desperate, to end sanctions is precisely because they are working. Putin is hoping that the West will be dumb enough (and Europe qualifies in the dumb category), to life sanctions without facing consequences for his past actions.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 26, 2016, 02:46:27 PM
Obama had said sanctions doesn't work when he lifted sanctions on Cuba. Obama freed up hundreds of billions of dollars and gave concessions just to get Iran too cooperate. Obama gives terrorists sweet deals by trading 5 terrorist generals for an anti American soldier who deserted. Obama has put out notice bad behavior and lack of cooperation pays. Putin would be stupid not to hold out longer for more benefits, especially since his popularity is high among his people and in no danger of losing his position.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on January 26, 2016, 04:27:58 PM
Anyway, Russia is  spending monthly tens millions $  to support the people at Donbass and repair infrastructure. May be we can accept it as the reparations?  :D

Are you sure about this, Belvis?  Do you have any information to back it up?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 26, 2016, 04:43:32 PM
Needless to say, the war reparations are taken from war losers, so there should be the victory as the necessary condition. Russia had paid some reparations to Germany in 1918, to extract herself from WWI and  win the civil war. Russia had suffered defeats over her long violent history of many wars, but paid the reparations only once, to Germany in 1918. It means the victory over Russia must be very convincing to force her on reparations.
   Anyway, Russia is  spending monthly tens millions $  to support the people at Donbass and repair infrastructure. May be we can accept it as the reparations?  :D
    By other words, use Crimea  to dangle a carrot in front of Ukraine to push her for implementing reforms. Pragmatic approach for  world community :)

Are you sure about this, Belvis?  Do you have any information to back it up?

It is correct that Russia is spending  tens of millions of $ in the Donbass---  to flatten it and destroy it! The precedent-Chechnya.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on January 27, 2016, 02:42:06 AM
Are you sure about this, Belvis?  Do you have any information to back it up?
?? I thought it's trivial information.
Though I read first-hand info from locals at Donbass, I'll provide you info from western sources.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-15/the-central-bank-with-no-currency-no-interest-rates-but-atms
For Donetsk People's Republic alone:
Quote
Two people in the rebel administration said Russia transfers 2.5 billion rubles ($37 million) for pensions every month.

http://m.bild.de/politik/ausland/ukraine-konflikt/donbas-finanzierung-44031556.bildMobile.html
According to German's "Bild" Russia spends a milliard euros for rebel regions per year, 79 millions euros monthly on pensions and salaries for people on regional budget.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 27, 2016, 08:28:30 AM
Bild is not exactly a neutral media source, for starters.

The article states:
Quote
It is alleged that virtually the entire civil state budget of the separatist territories is organized via funds for “humanitarian aid” from Russia. The Russian government coordinates these money sources.

Very true--Russia has financed the uprising and conflict from the outset. I am amazed at the stupidity of Russians who somehow think that Kyiv should continue to financially support a region that has decided to declare independence. If they truly wish to be part of New Russia, then have the intelligence to understand that you cannot expect to keep feeding off those you wish to leave. If you really love Russia so much, then yes, expect V. Putin to pay your expenses.

What is important to understand is that Russia didn't just rush in and help as latecomers. No, Russia has been the instigator and financial backer of the rebels from day one.

Also, what new factories has Russia built in the rebel areas?

What airports has Russia rebuilt in the rebel areas?

After bombing the crap out of local population areas, show us the brand new apartments that Russia is building.

You can't -- because Russia is not yet willing to put that kind of money into the rebel regions until they know how it will end.




Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on January 27, 2016, 09:44:20 AM
I am amazed at the stupidity of Russians who somehow think that Kyiv should continue to financially support a region that has decided to declare independence.
Yeah, stupid Russians are proposing Kiev to take back the rebel region under condition Kiev will
financially support the region and rebuild the wrecked regional economy .   
Fortunately, Kiev is much smarter than Moscow and  refusing the offer  :D 

If you really love Russia so much, then yes, expect V. Putin to pay your expenses.
Fair deal. He that pays the piper calls the tune. It seems Mendy has no objections to Putin will take  Donbass.

After bombing the crap out of local population areas, show us the brand new apartments that Russia is building.
You can't --
Yes, I can :) Do you hear anything about the plan to build and rebuild over 100 houses in Debaltsevo? First of them are shown at youtube.
May be I have misunderstood you, and you meant the brand new apartments like in Beverly Hills? Then you're right, I can't show  :-[
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 27, 2016, 02:42:35 PM
Quote
rebuild over 100 houses in Debaltsevo

Belvis, you are quite the useless troll. I hope that Peskov pays you well.

Okay, by Debaltsevo, I'm assuming that you mean that community that was "hands off" due to the cease fire in Minsk2 agreements, but Russian troops (yep, regular Russian army) forgot about the deadline and pressed on ahead all the while ignoring the cease fire until they took Debaltsevo--a strategic transport hub.

Please post the videos you reference. I'm up for a good laugh.

Next, since Russian troops clearly hold the Donbas airport, and don't mumble any bullshit about Vlad fearing the Kyiv forces will come back and retake it, so kindly post the videos of Russia rebuilding that facility while you're at it. You might want to have Dmitry film some video quickly because I'm waiting....
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 27, 2016, 03:01:50 PM
Belvis, your fearless leader isn't all that bright sometimes. He has an overworked ego, even thought things have tempered down a tad after the shadowy security forces have been leaning on him lately.

During the war with Georgia he played a really good game of "we had nothing to do with that, we simply responded." Of course, why else would the Russian foreign ministry invite the press down to the eventual battlefront several days in advance of the "surprise" war? But, just in time for the 2012 change in government he was on TV taking credit for ordering that war. In fact, he claimed that Georgia had somehow established terror training camps in (Russian held) Abkhazia in advance of the Olympics, and he was simply rooting out the terrorists.

Then we had the coup in Crimea. Little green men fell out of unmarked helicopters and took over. They sacked the pro-Russian Crimean parliament and overnight, without an election, suddenly a brand new Prime Minister and parliament appeared. Magical! Good ole Sergey Aksyonov is quite the Crimean leader. Why Belvis, you can only imagine my shock to learn that he is widely linked to Russian criminal organizations! (Gasp!)

For months, your leader swore on his mother's grave that those were not Russian troops at all. He claimed that they were simply good citizens who had strolled down to the corner army surplus store and snatched up all manner of sophisticated goodies--from modern helicopters to shoulder held missile launchers.

Oh, but he just couldn't help himself. In 2015 he slipped and admitted that those were his boys. In fact we learned that the Kremlin had conducted polling, months in advance of the events on Maidan, to see how local Crimeans would react to a change in which flag flew over the region. Damn, you have no idea at the level of my surprise!

It would seem that we have a pretty clear pattern emerging here. I mean, there is Transnistria as another example, following the same pattern.

So here is a wager for you: When do you believe that your guy will come out and admit that his boys were not just on "holiday" in Eastern Ukraine, but were there at his order?

I'll put $100 American dollars, which is a big sum for a little player like yourself right now, that within 6 months of any resolution in Eastern Ukraine that he will come clean. He has too--it is the ego factor that is one of his greatest weaknesses.

Are you up to the challenge?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Belvis on January 28, 2016, 07:11:28 AM
Belvis, you are quite the useless troll. I hope that Peskov pays you well.

Do you hint you want the job from Peskov? I don't think he'll hire you, you know, devaluation of ruble has halved the budget for foreing trolls. Will you agree on 50% cut in your pay rate for a post?

Please post the videos you reference. I'm up for a good laugh.

Will you acknowledge the houses are built or rebuilt on Russian money after video or continue to play the fool game? My efforts will take some time so I want the clear obligation from you that you're able to face the reality you don't like.

Next, ... , so kindly post the videos of Russia rebuilding that facility while you're at it. You might want to have Dmitry film some video quickly because I'm waiting....

What else do you want? Please, write a full list of your wishes so I can start to work on it.

I'll put $100 American dollars, which is a big sum for a little player like yourself right now, that within 6 months of any resolution in Eastern Ukraine that he will come clean. He has too--it is the ego factor that is one of his greatest weaknesses.
Are you up to the challenge?
OK, let's bet on. Because we're mortal, and nobody knows when the resolution  in Eastern Ukraine will come, I propose we turn on the timer from 1 Feb. 2016.
Deal?

P.S. Of course, under his boys we account for military units. Because Putin already  admitted the presence of Russian military specialists in eastern Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 28, 2016, 11:50:02 AM
Quote
OK, let's bet on. Because we're mortal, and nobody knows when the resolution  in Eastern Ukraine will come, I propose we turn on the timer from 1 Feb. 2016.
Deal?

Easy bet. From 6 months of any accepted Ukrainian resolution on the Donbas question, Putin will admit not only "specialists" but regular troops. (We might note that he at first lied about any Russian presence in Ukraine before his recent admission of special forces.)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on February 03, 2016, 10:53:08 PM

Ukraine's economic minister resigns citing there is still too much corruption at the highest levels of government to improve Ukraine's economy. This concerns Western nations who have provided financial assistance to Ukraine so they can get back on their feet. Ukraine is looking like a bad investment. When Ukrainians ousted their old president, I said they made a mistake when they didn't oust anybody else in government. They should have ousted everybody and started over.


http://www.businessinsider.com/ukraines-economy-minister-aivaras-abromavicius-resignation-reasons-2016-2


http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/in-blow-to-ukraines-reform-hopes-top-official-resigns-citing-corruption/2016/02/03/abcf4f89-0107-4b5d-bc18-e33194dd7044_story.html


Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future-No-Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 04, 2016, 07:28:00 AM
two articles worth reading, written by Ukrainians currently living in Ukraine for Ukrainians

http://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&prev=search&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=uk&u=http://nashigroshi.org/2016/01/16/torik-v-ukrajini-zhodnoho-koruptsionera-ne-zasudyly-za-nezakonne-

Ukrainian criminal code has a special section on corruption with an amount over $8,500. 
Question: How many Ukrainian officials were charged with this crime in 2015?
Answer: Zero!

Question: Why is that?
Answer: read this post
http://www.bellingcat.com/uncategorized/2016/01/27/osint-research-methods-utilized-in-ukrainian-corruption-investigation/

At what point should the West just give up on Ukraine?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future-No-Future
Post by: Gator on February 04, 2016, 02:18:18 PM

At what point should the West just give up on Ukraine?

Sad, but the West may soon reach a point where it will not give more aid to Ukraine.  If that happens, I assume Ukraine would slip back into Putin's sphere of control.

Think of the patriots who died at the Maidan protests.    Or the young soldiers killed in defense of SE Ukraine from the Russian-backed rebels.  Returning to Putin would mean all died in vain.

South Vietnam had much corruption.  Within a few days of "liberating" Saigon,  the North Vietnamese started executing black marketeers, corrupt officials and the like.  Soon all such corruption ceased.  Today Communist Vietnam is a success story.   

Along the same line, Ukraine needs to arrest and punish harshly several corrupt officials starting with the sleazebag in the article.  And keep doing it until it ends.  Evidently no one has the balls to start arresting the corrupt muckety mucks. 

 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future-No-Future
Post by: BillyB on February 04, 2016, 03:38:34 PM
Think of the patriots who died at the Maidan protests.    Or the young soldiers killed in defense of SE Ukraine from the Russian-backed rebels.  Returning to Putin would mean all died in vain.



They wanted to get rid of their ex president and corruption but decided to keep their local politicians. Big mistake. They should have rid them all and started over.


Today Communist Vietnam is a success story.
 


Vietnam is still one of the poorest counties in the world. They realize the benefits of Capitalism and tourism but that is not enough to be considered a success. If a guy went there, he may see a person crapping on the sidewalk and a dog eating the crap. People aren't the only ones hungry. Dogs are skinny and a fat dog is a dead dog. you'll see road construction where the heavy equipment is parked and men doing the labor. It's cheaper to hire hundreds of workers than to burn diesel in an excavator. You'll see men diving in a polluted river and bring up mud and sift through it for valuables. They hold their breath for over a minute at a time and do this work all day. Shoe maker Nike took some heat for paying their workers a dollar a day but that was good money to the average worker in Vietnam.


When my mom was returning home from a visit there, she asked the taxi driver to stop in a poor section of town and she gave each family in the neighborhood $10. One man dropped to his knees crying. He never seen so much money at one time and said God must have sent my mom. For him a miracle had happened.


My aunts and uncles came to America from Vietnam. They all became engineers and make around $100,000 each. Their kids recently graduate college and make $75,000 on up to start. They were fascinated by a remote control car I had when I was 13. They said if a person had that in Vietnam, they'd be arrested. They also told me They would not be able to reach their full potential in Vietnam. Unless they were rich or knew sombody in politics they would not be able to go to college. Some of my relatives help make nuclear fuel for our military and reactors and engineer planes for Boeing. In Vietnam, they wouldn't amount to much. Communism sucks.
Title: Western Ambassadors unhappy about Abromavičius departure
Post by: ML on February 04, 2016, 09:48:00 PM
We are deeply disappointed by the resignation of Minister for Economic Development and Trade, Aivaras Abromavičius, who has delivered real reform results for Ukraine.  During the past year, Abromavičius and his professional team have made important strides -- implementing tough but necessary economic reforms to help stabilize Ukraine’s economy, root out endemic corruption, bring Ukraine into compliance with its IMF program obligations, and promote more openness and transparency in government. Ukraine’s stable, secure and prosperous future will require the sustained efforts of a broad and inclusive team of dedicated professionals who put the Ukrainian peoples' interests above their own. It is important that Ukraine's leaders set aside their parochial differences, put the vested interests that have hindered the country's progress for decades squarely in the past, and press forward on vital reforms.

Ambassador of Canada Roman Waschuk
Ambassador of the Republic of France Isabelle Dumont
Ambassador of the Federal Republic of Germany Christof Weil
Ambassador of  Italy Fabrizio Romano
Ambassador of Japan Shigeki Sumi
Ambassador of Lithuania Marius Janukonis
Ambassador of Sweden Andreas von Beckerath
Ambassador of Switzerland Guillaume Scheurer
Ambassador of the United Kingdom Judith Gough
Ambassador of the United States of America Geoffrey R. Pyatt
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future-No-Future
Post by: GuppyCaptain on February 04, 2016, 11:02:26 PM

They wanted to get rid of their ex president and corruption but decided to keep their local politicians. Big mistake. They should have rid them all and started over.



Vietnam is still one of the poorest counties in the world. They realize the benefits of Capitalism and tourism but that is not enough to be considered a success. If a guy went there, he may see a person crapping on the sidewalk and a dog eating the crap. People aren't the only ones hungry. Dogs are skinny and a fat dog is a dead dog. you'll see road construction where the heavy equipment is parked and men doing the labor. It's cheaper to hire hundreds of workers than to burn diesel in an excavator. You'll see men diving in a polluted river and bring up mud and sift through it for valuables. They hold their breath for over a minute at a time and do this work all day. Shoe maker Nike took some heat for paying their workers a dollar a day but that was good money to the average worker in Vietnam.


When my mom was returning home from a visit there, she asked the taxi driver to stop in a poor section of town and she gave each family in the neighborhood $10. One man dropped to his knees crying. He never seen so much money at one time and said God must have sent my mom. For him a miracle had happened.


My aunts and uncles came to America from Vietnam. They all became engineers and make around $100,000 each. Their kids recently graduate college and make $75,000 on up to start. They were fascinated by a remote control car I had when I was 13. They said if a person had that in Vietnam, they'd be arrested. They also told me They would not be able to reach their full potential in Vietnam. Unless they were rich or knew sombody in politics they would not be able to go to college. Some of my relatives help make nuclear fuel for our military and reactors and engineer planes for Boeing. In Vietnam, they wouldn't amount to much. Communism sucks.

I want to kiss you in that totally non-homosexual way (especially for that last sentence).  It absolutely infuriates me when people try to glorify and romanticize communism. The single best thing that happened to me in my life was getting the hell out of it and moving to a capitalist country.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future-No-Future
Post by: BillyB on February 05, 2016, 07:01:05 PM

It absolutely infuriates me when people try to glorify and romanticize communism.



On paper Communisms sounds great for people but in practice, and it's been practiced many times, it fails. Some ex pats live in Communist countries and if you ask them, life is great there. Of course it is. Their American dollars goes very far and the girls are throwing themselves at Western men. They are kings but citizens who live under Communists ideals and leaders suffer.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 05, 2016, 07:52:44 PM
Anyone listening to BillyB and is inane comments will give themselves a headache.
What happened in Vietnam or the Phillipines has little relevance to the thread topic--other than its shows what a convoluted mind the guy has.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on February 06, 2016, 02:07:40 AM
Saudi Arabia invests in Ukraine more than $ 10 billion
Unfortunately, 9.9 billion of that will go into someone's pocket. Have you ever been to Russia Jay? Do you know how much better life is here compared to Ukraine?

I don't see much progress being made in Ukraine, it's pretty much the same old song and dance. I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine, including the recent holidays, and life there for most folks isn't improving at all it's getting worse. My friends are eating porridge, bread and salami because its all they can afford much of the time. Their rent is $60 a month and they struggle to pay that. Even if all needed improvements are made, it will be a long time before life is good there for the average citizen.

I don't think you're doing yourself any favors by relying on media that doesn't paint a real picture.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 06, 2016, 03:20:28 AM
Unfortunately, 9.9 billion of that will go into someone's pocket. Have you ever been to Russia Jay? Do you know how much better life is here compared to Ukraine?

I don't see much progress being made in Ukraine, it's pretty much the same old song and dance. I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine, including the recent holidays, and life there for most folks isn't improving at all it's getting worse. My friends are eating porridge, bread and salami because its all they can afford much of the time. Their rent is $60 a month and they struggle to pay that. Even if all needed improvements are made, it will be a long time before life is good there for the average citizen.

I don't think you're doing yourself any favors by relying on media that doesn't paint a real picture.

Thanks for your condescending post.
Better than Ukraine? Wait  a while and then tell me that.The damage being done to Russia by Putin is likely to change that soon enough.The Ukrainians stood up and faced a corrupt government-and demanded change. That previous corrupt government was by and large courtesy of Russia-- and if Putin had his way Ukrainians would be facing a lifetime of struggle. At least now-the struggle has a light at the end of the tunnel.  No one has said it will be over in 5 minutes--and the real test in Ukraine is now for the government to hold it's nerve and take the country forward.
In doing that-the real art of staying in government is the compromises that have to be made- at any time a difficult balancing act. For Ukraine-facing so many issues at once has been no easy task.
As it happens-I have been in Russia numerous times-- dating back long before the invasion of Ukraine. I have been dealing with Russians even longer-- so really-- stick your presumptions  about me-- or my sources. From time to time-I am privy to information not in the public domain and I am hardly likely to be using that information until I see it in print somewhere.
" I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine, including the recent holidays"--is that meant to qualify your bona fides to "know"-- not exactly logical-- but I pretty sure I have spent far more time there than you-multiples  .So what was your point?
I am acutely aware how difficult life is( and has been) for ordinary Ukrainians-- and I am pretty damn sure I have talked with and seen far more than you can imagine  in recent times .So please-- save your pious attitude.

Your logic is as ridiculous as BillyB--include a glad bag of negatives included that are  not relevant to support an opinion.You have no idea whatsoever where that money will be placed-none.
Corruption is a fact of life-- and it is something many are trying to address. There is nothing good about it .Yes-it is an ongoing battle--in case you missed it I have commented at length recently on that.

There is no logic in revisiting every negative ( the same negative) and repeating it to meet every piece of positive news . The thread topic--is about the future. The title does suggest change- something that some here do not seem capable of understanding.

The links I post-- in a general way-- support my assertion that change is happening  and they are of general interest to expand understanding.  It illustrates that Ukraine is attractive to foreign investment and it is coming- something that is not happening in Russia right now.
Now I have said this before-- It makes me laugh when a poster says "I talked to my family"  or "friend"  and from that we get bombed with this all seeing understanding of what is going on in Ukraine.Taking a small(  tiny?) few views is going to mislead you -at the least.Many in Ukraine are too busy surviving and doing the hard part-- as a result of the decisions being made.  eg the rising cost of utilities is a result of IMF demands on the government to end subsidies  of utilities etc. The aim is to move to a free market economy -hopefully in a democratic country.  Making life harder for your constituents is not a course taken successfully by many governments.

The only reason I have bothered to reply at all is because you do have a history of common sense  posting(yes-I read!)-
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on February 06, 2016, 10:38:30 AM
Thanks for your condescending post.
Better than Ukraine? Wait  a while and then tell me that.The damage being done to Russia by Putin is likely to change that soon enough.The Ukrainians stood up and faced a corrupt government-and demanded change. That previous corrupt government was by and large courtesy of Russia-- and if Putin had his way Ukrainians would be facing a lifetime of struggle. At least now-the struggle has a light at the end of the tunnel.  No one has said it will be over in 5 minutes--and the real test in Ukraine is now for the government to hold it's nerve and take the country forward.

There is nothing condescending about my post, stop being so sensitive and insecure.

Russia's GDP is light years ahead of Ukraine's and I doubt that will change in our lifetime. Ukraine's government is still corrupt and that light at the end of the tunnel is a LONG ways off. I love Ukraine (I used to live there) and wish it the best but I don't have much optimism. Its had 25 years to do something with itself and not much has happened.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on February 06, 2016, 02:46:11 PM
Timothy Ash has an interesting article at Kyiv Post.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 06, 2016, 03:00:21 PM
what? I don't understand, Timothy Ash lives in Oxford, England, which although it is a very charming place, is NOT Ukraine, I thought the only acceptable source of knowledge about Ukraine was exclusively from someone who lived there, has that policy changed, I don’t recall having received the memo.  I’ll take a lack of response from you to mean you’re too busy watching porn to reply...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 07, 2016, 05:29:24 AM
what? I don't understand, Timothy Ash lives in Oxford, England, which although it is a very charming place, is NOT Ukraine, I thought the only acceptable source of knowledge about Ukraine was exclusively from someone who lived there, has that policy changed, I don’t recall having received the memo.  I’ll take a lack of response from you to mean you’re too busy watching porn to reply...

Krimster,
just ignore him.  Without sources or his/her own personal thoughts and contribution, posts are totally worthless.  Responding only 'hardens' the little one ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 07, 2016, 07:18:22 AM
well thank you BC, all ist Klar!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 07, 2016, 07:24:30 AM
well thank you BC, all ist Klar!
ja, alles klar :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on February 07, 2016, 10:03:35 AM
Warum unterhalten Sie Männer in deutscher Sprache auf dieser Website ?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 07, 2016, 10:30:02 AM
warum nicht?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 07, 2016, 02:55:15 PM
>>Ukrainian elites thoroughly penetrated by Russian moles

oh my, the return of Kim Philby or is zoophilia?  such a bold assertion without supplying even a shred of proof.  so let’s see if I can follow the trail and see where it may lead to...

some feller in Ukraine says Ukraine’s problems are all caused by Russia
meanwhile other fellers in Russia claim all of Russia’s problems are caused by Americans. 
so ipso-facto, an inescapable conclusion is that all of Ukraine’s problems are actually caused by Americans!  amazing stuff!!!

So let’s see in our last installment of Ukrainska Pravda we learned that reformist Economy Minister Aivaras Abromavicius has resigned over charges of corruption against Poroshenko’s friend Ihor Kononenko ( the first deputy chairman of the faction Block Petro Poroshenko in the Rada), now remember Abromavicius was one of the non-Ukrainians appointed by Poroshenko to his position because there are very, very few trust-worthy politicians in Ukraine, his predecessor, Pavlo Sheremeta, also resigned in August 2014, for the same reason, when Abromavicius publicly announced his resignation he said,  “...it turned out that some of the new people are even worse than the old." 

The credibility of the Ukrainian elite is massively damaged. Parliament Speaker Volodymyr Groysman spoke of a "serious political crisis".

Together with the Minister several of his deputies also resigned, "Neither I nor my team want to cover the obvious corruption or puppets from people who want to control the state money in the style of the old rulers," Aivaras said. "I do not want to go to Davos, meet foreign investors and partners and tell them about our successes, while behind my back individuals assert their interests."

Aivaras is not the only foreigner from the reformer team who expresses his criticism of the Ukrainian elite loud. Former Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili, who is now governor of the Odessa region, said in regards to the government of Yatsenyuk called it a "cemetery of reforms". Late last year, he had the interior minister called publicly as "a thief".

If this crisis continues to deepen, the result may be that the IMF will continue to delay their dispersement of $1.7 billion of funds to Ukraine, especially since the last payment of $1.8 billion was actually stolen by another Ukrainian oligarch Igor Kolomoiski.

There is even talk of a vote of no confidence in the current government.  Meanwhile evidence mounts that there is a growing Russian military build up in the East, coincidence??







Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 07, 2016, 06:01:05 PM
Warum unterhalten Sie Männer in deutscher Sprache auf dieser Website ?

weil es spass macht :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 07, 2016, 06:02:25 PM
weil es spass macht :)

ps... geschrieben ohne google translate... hahahahha
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on February 07, 2016, 09:27:12 PM
weil es spass macht :)

Yes, I agree it is fun.   Here in USA, I like to go into German restaurants that employ young fräuleins and order in German.  But usually, they only listen to me for a short time before they say . . . order in English!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on February 08, 2016, 01:13:36 AM
Quote
an inescapable conclusion is that all of Ukraine’s problems are actually caused by Americans!

In a fantasy land maybe. There is plenty of blame to point in any number of directions--including Russia.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 12:46:59 PM
'gospedy it's a tough crowd here - it was a joke!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 08, 2016, 01:14:56 PM
Yes, I agree it is fun.   Here in USA, I like to go into German restaurants that employ young fräuleins and order in German.  But usually, they only listen to me for a short time before they say . . . order in English!!

Well next time just order a butterbrot.. your waitress will probably be russian anyway and understand ;)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 01:44:04 PM
I always had trouble with the du/Sie dilemma
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 08, 2016, 01:54:20 PM
I always had trouble with the du/Sie dilemma

and had problems with with der, die, dass.. du/Sie ist einfach..
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 02:39:55 PM
and in Russian nouns have gender like dva malchicky and dvay deavochkie, I don't like having all this variability, Japanese is even worse with its politeness context, English in my opinion is a superior language based on its concise nature
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 08, 2016, 03:02:49 PM
Have to disagree with you Krim... even today I enjoy German movies, even English(american) films dubbed in German although I am a native 'Ami' English speaker... strange but true...  aside from this idiosyncrasy I find the German language quite precise, to the point and easily understandable.  I also have a hard time with English(american) accents, mostly the northern varieties.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 03:33:10 PM
I like kraftwerke und rammstein (together would be interesting!!)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 08, 2016, 03:37:48 PM
I like kraftwerke und rammstein (together would be interesting!!)
Indeed.. :) but I think it i's 'Kraftwerk'??? IIRC.. of course may be wrong..
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 03:59:04 PM
I dunno 'bout the spelling
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BC on February 08, 2016, 04:07:12 PM
I dunno 'bout the spelling

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kraftwerk fit the shoe?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: SANDRO43 on February 08, 2016, 04:38:32 PM
I always had trouble with the du/Sie dilemma
Because English lost thou some 300 years ago ;).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 04:55:04 PM
>Because English lost thou some 300 years ago ;).

I'm not THAT old!!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 05:01:15 PM
>but I think it i's 'Kraftwerk

I always get the werk and wirken mixed up, my knowledge of German has greatly diminished after leaving and going to Ukraine and learning Russian, and even my knowledge of Russian is diminishing as well, not only for me but my children as well
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: SANDRO43 on February 08, 2016, 07:16:37 PM
I'm not THAT old!!!
Thine age dost not matter, thou knave ;D.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on February 08, 2016, 07:23:40 PM
Shirley you jest :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on March 26, 2016, 04:44:45 PM
Here is a story where company was forced to face the situation they found themselves in and created  a positive from that negative.The Cherkassy region is seeing quite a few new developments--this story has all the ingredients of how the future will be.

How a chemical plant moved out of Donetsk

http://euromaidanpress.com/2016/03/26/how-a-chemical-plant-moved-out-of-donetsk/#arvlbdata
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on March 26, 2016, 05:26:30 PM
Next - cat rescued from tree in Donbas, moves in with new family in Cherkassy
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on March 27, 2016, 01:31:40 PM
The Pendulum is beginning to swing the other way ......

Today, exit polls for the mayoral election in Kryvyy Rih demonstrated that Yuri Vilkul, part of the 'Opposition Block' and former Party of Regions member received over 70% of the vote in the mayoral election.  Keep in mind that he was the incumbent mayor to begin with.  But pro government protests have occurred in the region and, it appears, that the populace is not listening to their political stance.
Title: Time for Ukraine to press reset button
Post by: JayH on April 01, 2016, 01:36:02 AM
It is hard to add much to what is written in the following article, It is a good summary of the internal difficulties now face in Ukraine.So much hangs on getting this right-- and now.Every minute lost in enabling reform is dangerous to a democratic future.

A new government in Kiev has chance to reform, if it acts quickly


http://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-press-the-reset-button-new-government-reforms-poroshenko/

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on April 03, 2016, 08:05:54 PM
But probably not with the new revelations brought out today with the "Panama Papers" Both Petro and the Huilomeister are named for using offshore shell companies for tax evasion. But hey,,, No problem,,,, there are at least 72 other world leaders that are named in fraud going back 40 years. 11.5 million pages of documents. Britian and Iceland are trying to keep a lid on it for their problem children.
Title: Re: Time for Ukraine to press reset button
Post by: Muzh on April 04, 2016, 08:30:12 AM
It is hard to add much to what is written in the following article, It is a good summary of the internal difficulties now face in Ukraine.So much hangs on getting this right-- and now.Every minute lost in enabling reform is dangerous to a democratic future.

A new government in Kiev has chance to reform, if it acts quickly


http://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-press-the-reset-button-new-government-reforms-poroshenko/ (http://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-press-the-reset-button-new-government-reforms-poroshenko/)


It's not going to happen in your lifetime.  :P
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on April 08, 2016, 12:31:00 PM
Just in case you thought I am the only crackpot in the Netherlands....though for many if not most of the voters it was not about Ukraine at all. Just in case anyone wonders, I voted in favour.

dutch-voters-reject-closer-eu-links-to-ukraine-in-referendum (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/06/dutch-voters-reject-closer-eu-links-to-ukraine-in-referendum)

Dutch voters have overwhelmingly rejected a Ukraine-European Union treaty on closer political and economic ties, in a rebuke to their government and to the EU establishment.
The broad political, trade and defence treaty – which had already been signed by the Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte’s government and approved by all other EU nations, and Ukraine (http://www.theguardian.com/world/ukraine) – provisionally took effect in January.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on April 08, 2016, 10:10:26 PM
But probably not with the new revelations brought out today with the "Panama Papers"








Ukrainians appear pretty pissed off about Poroshenko's role in Panama, among other things.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on April 09, 2016, 02:22:52 AM
Father Time,

First, that photo is copyrighted by Getty Images. Those folks bite with very sharp teeth when their work is used without payment. The mods might wish to remove it.

Second, I am amazed that the Daily Beast would post a photo from the Maidan revolution (this photo is from Feb 2014) while attempting to claim it represents protests now in Ukraine, over two years later.

Third, the small scale protests against failure to curb corruption started before the so-called Panama revelations, so for the Daily Beast to claim that they are a result of that release is dishonest.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on April 09, 2016, 06:20:53 AM
Father Time,

First, that photo is copyrighted by Getty Images. Those folks bite with very sharp teeth when their work is used without payment. The mods might wish to remove it.

Second, I am amazed that the Daily Beast would post a photo from the Maidan revolution (this photo is from Feb 2014) while attempting to claim it represents protests now in Ukraine, over two years later.



Well the American owned and operated Daily Beast certainly loses some credibility regarding the deleted photo...they certainly represented the image as being a part of the new waves of protests. 




Third, the small scale protests against failure to curb corruption started before the so-called Panama revelations, so for the Daily Beast to claim that they are a result of that release is dishonest. 


Yes it appears there have been protests prior to the "Panama Papers" and Poroshenko's involvement.  According to the article, one complaint is that Poroshenko promised to sell his candy business if elected....but has not done so and has been profiting all along.  They quote his approval at 17%, which is around the same as the US congress.   


I shall re-link the article to back up the above statements, but not the picture which assuming what you say is correct shouldn't be a part of the article...Thanks for catching that. 


http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/04/08/ukraine-on-fire.html (http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/04/08/ukraine-on-fire.html)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 09, 2016, 09:43:53 AM
Father Time,

First, that photo is copyrighted by Getty Images. Those folks bite with very sharp teeth when their work is used without payment. The mods might wish to remove it.

Second, I am amazed that the Daily Beast would post a photo from the Maidan revolution (this photo is from Feb 2014) while attempting to claim it represents protests now in Ukraine, over two years later.

Third, the small scale protests against failure to curb corruption started before the so-called Panama revelations, so for the Daily Beast to claim that they are a result of that release is dishonest.

Thankyou-saved me pointing out the ignorance of a post made without any comprehension.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on April 09, 2016, 09:47:14 AM
Thankyou-saved me pointing out the ignorance of a post made without any comprehension.


Despite the poorly chosen photo the story used, I was hoping that you could ignorantly 'gloss over' some of the truths exposed by the story!  haha


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on April 09, 2016, 11:12:28 AM
Quote
Well the American owned and operated Daily Beast certainly loses some credibility regarding the deleted photo...they certainly represented the image as being a part of the new waves of protests. 

FT, I am with you on that one. Often journalists will use a stock photo, and the Daily Beast does pay for rights to use such work. However, they were misrepresenting the situation.

I recognized the scene the instant that I saw it--I was on Maidan periodically and knew what it was. I also knew that the current protests, valid in my opinion, have not reached anywhere close to the same level of intensity. Even so, I checked the photo, and it was indeed from Feb 2014.

As for Poroshenko's selling of the Roshen chocolate business, his Russian assets have been seized and that makes it every difficult to find a buyer without taking a financial bath. I'd tend to give him a pass on that issue for now. However, if he has been hiding assets for the purposes of tax evasion, that would be another matter.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on April 09, 2016, 11:28:46 AM
FT, I am with you on that one. Often journalists will use a stock photo, and the Daily Beast does pay for rights to use such work. However, they were misrepresenting the situation.

I recognized the scene the instant that I saw it--I was on Maidan periodically and knew what it was. I also knew that the current protests, valid in my opinion, have not reached anywhere close to the same level of intensity. Even so, I checked the photo, and it was indeed from Feb 2014.

As for Poroshenko's selling of the Roshen chocolate business, his Russian assets have been seized and that makes it every difficult to find a buyer without taking a financial bath. I'd tend to give him a pass on that issue for now. However, if he has been hiding assets for the purposes of tax evasion, that would be another matter.

Mendy,

His claim is that he put all of his assets in a trust that is handled by people other than himself. 

1.  Is this a requirement by Ukrainian law?  I believe in the United States, our President is required to put assets into a trust.

2.  Did he really do that?

3.  If he did do that, why would there be push-back by the Ukrainian people?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Muzh on April 09, 2016, 05:50:46 PM

Dutch voters have overwhelmingly rejected a Ukraine-European Union treaty on closer political and economic ties, in a rebuke to their government and to the EU establishment.
The broad political, trade and defence treaty – which had already been signed by the Dutch prime minister Mark Rutte’s government and approved by all other EU nations, and Ukraine (http://www.theguardian.com/world/ukraine) – provisionally took effect in January.


I wouldn't call 32% an overwhelming vote.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on April 09, 2016, 08:20:08 PM
Mendy,

His claim is that he put all of his assets in a trust that is handled by people other than himself. 

1.  Is this a requirement by Ukrainian law?  I believe in the United States, our President is required to put assets into a trust.

2.  Did he really do that?

3.  If he did do that, why would there be push-back by the Ukrainian people?

Jone, he made a promise to put his assets into a trust. It seems that he may have done so with some, but Roshen Confectionery is a difficult case with assets being seized by a hostile nation. It seems that he tried to deal with that issue by creating a separate entity at an offshore legal and banking organization in order to protect himself in case of a full Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Push-back comes from at least two areas: the feeling by many Ukrainian citizens that not much has been done to curb corruption and the power of Oligarchs. The truth is that this issue is bigger than most have imagined. Secondly, he is himself an Oligarch, and a valid question is whether he has led anti-corruption efforts, or has he stood in the way of reforms?

We can also see that perception is not always reality. I think that he has done a good job on most issues of governance, but he has been disappointing in others. Some Ukrainians, especially those with little experience in wealth management, will assume the worst simply based on news reports. On the other hand, some will blindly defend even in the facts of compelling evidence. So far, we really don't have a smoking gun, but perhaps one will emerge at some point.

The corruption that Ukraine faces runs deep. It is a byproduct of a failed Soviet/Communist system, then coupled with the selfish actions of a few to enrich themselves at the expense of those most vulnerable. It does not help that one of the most corrupt systems of commerce and governance just happens to reside next door.

As to the theory that the Panama leaks might have been a product of the Russian Security organs, it is interesting that so much scrutiny is on Poroshenko, yet so little on Putin.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on April 10, 2016, 12:47:39 AM
Mendy,

His claim is that he put all of his assets in a trust that is handled by people other than himself. 

1.  Is this a requirement by Ukrainian law?  I believe in the United States, our President is required to put assets into a trust.

2.  Did he really do that?

3.  If he did do that, why would there be push-back by the Ukrainian people?


Interfax and FT reports that he's had Rothschild's Trusts hired for some time working on this. The push back is from lack of information initially put out by the media. People assume the worst.
Now that it appears that he's being above board they are breathing better.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 10, 2016, 04:43:05 AM

Interfax and FT reports that he's had Rothschild's Trusts hired for some time working on this. The push back is from lack of information initially put out by the media. People assume the worst.
Now that it appears that he's being above board they are breathing better.

Do you have a link? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

Seriously-- the explanation has been readily available for days now--  and if it was possible to post here details---it would save a lot of posts made in ignorance.
The idea of some here that only "good" is posted about Ukraine is not correct--it is a period of history that will set the future direction of Ukraine and affect all of us with an interest .
I note it is ok for others to make political posts-but not me or AkMike .

What is to be noted in the thread above--is the attempt to perpetrate substantially false and misleading information--either maliciously or  in ignorance-- probably both!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on April 10, 2016, 06:43:20 AM

I note it is ok for others to make political posts-but not me or AkMike .



You are just trying to use that lie as an excuse not to back up the BS you post.  Moderation has already publicly explained that to you, but your comprehension is so poor that you can't understand!


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on April 10, 2016, 08:01:14 AM

I wouldn't call 32% an overwhelming vote.
Tell that to the Guardian. ;D
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on April 10, 2016, 08:04:26 AM
Jone, he made a promise to put his assets into a trust. It seems that he may have done so with some, but Roshen Confectionery is a difficult case with assets being seized by a hostile nation. It seems that he tried to deal with that issue by creating a separate entity at an offshore legal and banking organization in order to protect himself in case of a full Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Or a hostile takeover by other Ukrainians, it would not be the first time the president it overthrown... :rolleyes:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on April 10, 2016, 08:56:42 AM

Opinions on the implications, if any, for Yatseniuk resignation?



http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ukraine-prime-minister_us_570a5a6ce4b0885fb50d55e6? (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/ukraine-prime-minister_us_570a5a6ce4b0885fb50d55e6?)


Ukraine’s Prime Minister Yatseniuk Resigns



KIEV, April 10 (Reuters) - Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseny Yatseniuk tendered his resignation in a televised broadcast on Sunday and signaled support for parliamentary speaker and presidential ally Volodymyr Groysman to take over his post.

Yatseniuk has resisted pressure to resign since surviving a no-confidence motion against his government in February, but Ukraine’s political crisis has fractured the ruling coalition and further delayed the disbursement of aid under a $17.5 billion International Monetary Fund bailout program.....

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: ML on April 19, 2016, 01:21:48 PM
He said when taking the job that he knew it was political suicide.

I thought he did a pretty good job, considering the circumstances.  How many countries come out of it this good when they are under attack by a larger foreign country.

Anyway, I don't think his political career is over, as he thought it might have to be when he took the job.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on April 27, 2016, 08:24:07 AM
Prime Minister Yatsenyuk recently got a second (Canadian) passport. 

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on April 28, 2016, 09:43:34 AM
Ukraine's ex-president Viktor Yanukovych and one of his partners in crime, Prime Minister, Mykola Azarov are now officially Russian citizens and, consequently, are under the protection of the Russia.

 I guess that he won't want to be President again as he stated earlier.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 29, 2016, 05:27:10 PM
Some   time ago I commented that in a perverse way the need for Ukraine to increase it's spending on the military would help seed the economy and lead to growth.Despite the degree of ignorance displayed here by some forum know it all's( you know who you are!) this is proving to be the case.
This article  details precisely what I advanced--eg in this case the improved production is leading to wage growth and employment-putting more money and ability to spend back into the economy.

Tank Plant in Ukraine increased production of 7 times

http://elise.com.ua/?p=190192#
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on April 30, 2016, 06:44:14 PM
Mike, Mykola Azarov has been a Russian citizen for quite some time. He was born in Kaluga.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 01, 2016, 12:04:16 AM
Possibly, That's what the news said though.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on May 02, 2016, 01:52:35 AM
Mike, I wasn't busting your chops.  :)

In fact, the next time some nationalistic Russian denounces Ukraine for having officials from other countries, remind them that no one was complaining when a Russian citizen like Azarov was second in command in Ukraine during the Yanukonvict years.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 02, 2016, 10:24:03 AM
Thank You Mendy!!!! :clapping:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 08, 2016, 03:34:34 PM
Prime Minister Yatsenyuk recently got a second (Canadian) passport.


That would be quite the feat, given there are strict in country residency requirements for obtaining Canadian citizenship, which Yatseniuk clearly would not have met.


An exception could be made via an act of Parliament, but such legislation is published, and there is no record of any bill granting Yatseniuk citizenship.


Look at the source of your information, and what they have to gain by spreading such misinformation.
Title: Ukraine’s economy: The glass is mostly full
Post by: JayH on May 11, 2016, 08:32:36 PM
Despite some who are intent on suppressing any positive news out of Ukraine- the positives keep coming. Progress is being made-in spite of all the difficulties.


Ukraine’s economy: The glass is mostly full

Despite Ukraine’s recent political turmoil, Jaresko hopes the West will stay engaged and press for more reform. She believes progressive forces within Ukraine’s government will prevail — “it is only a question of speed and time.”
http://share.america.gov/ukraines-economy-glass-is-mostly-full/?utm_source=unitedforukraine&utm_medium=unitedforukrtw&utm_campaign=sharejaresko
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on May 12, 2016, 05:46:10 PM
It seems more that just a pity that Jaresko has effectively been forced out of the job where she was performing miracles that outstrip the loaves and fishes.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 12, 2016, 06:16:36 PM
Yes-- she is very clearly in the category of people needed to create a new Ukraine.
This battle is a long way from over- she will be back !!!!
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 16, 2016, 05:33:20 PM
Ukraine's so bad that Russia wants to buy a license to build Ukrainian 'Antonov  AN-140"aircraft. . Aviacor, a Rusian company in Samara is now running out of the Ukrainian parts needed to build the An-140 there.

http://uawire.org/news/russia-wants-to-purchase-license-to-manufacture-ukrainian-antonov-aircraft
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 16, 2016, 05:41:07 PM
Based on designs by ethnic Russians. :-\ :-\

I don't think Antonov is building aircraft now.  I don't know if they are even manufacturing parts.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on May 16, 2016, 05:46:48 PM
Ukraine's so bad that Russia wants to buy a license to build Ukrainian 'Antonov  AN-140"aircraft. . Aviacor, a Rusian company in Samara is now running out of the Ukrainian parts needed to build the An-140 there.

http://uawire.org/news/russia-wants-to-purchase-license-to-manufacture-ukrainian-antonov-aircraft

Maybe they can use the machines from the closed Roshen chocolate factory in Russia?  Just askin!   :popcorn:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 16, 2016, 07:00:38 PM
Boe, we drove past there last winter and I did see some activity. Not a lot but some.  They came out with a fresh design recently and the debut went over well from what I read.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 16, 2016, 07:06:35 PM
Fresh plane design?  Hope that's true.  :)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 16, 2016, 08:01:35 PM
Yes, it's about a month ago it was shown.

http://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/antonov-an-178-transport-aircraft/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on May 17, 2016, 05:34:16 PM
Yes, it's about a month ago it was shown.

http://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/antonov-an-178-transport-aircraft/

No - April last year.  Launch customer is Silk Way Airlines of Azerbaijan, and the first military customer is the Royal Saudi Air Force.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antonov_An-178
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 17, 2016, 09:26:01 PM
Then what was the one they launched recently? I thought it was the 178.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: fathertime on May 18, 2016, 06:40:03 AM

According to this piece, the US is throwing away money and any reporting against government interests is life threatening....but I thought that only happened in Russia? ;)
The U.S. Is ‘Missing’ Millions in Ukraine



......Ukrainians journalists understand that going against the political interests of the state is not only hazardous to one’s career, but to one’s life and health as well......


http://observer.com/2016/05/the-u-s-is-missing-millions-in-ukraine/ (http://observer.com/2016/05/the-u-s-is-missing-millions-in-ukraine/)


Fathertime! 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: AkMike on May 24, 2016, 11:19:57 AM
Fresh plane design?  Hope that's true.  :)


Here's an interesting update on the current status of Antonov.

http://www.unian.stfi.re/economics/1353831-1st-vice-president-of-antonov-the-world-has-not-yet-produced-anything-better-than-ruslan-and-mriya.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 31, 2016, 12:38:51 AM
For some who seem intent on seeing nothing good in or about Ukraine- or the fact that much change is happening-the following is  quite an interesting list of investment in Ukraine-- and how it is making an impact.
Large scale investment can make the international news but this type and size is more the local area news type material . Historically many industries and factories were very old and outdated in every respect-making them inefficient and unsustainable.
With the events of the last 2 years giving more confidence to international investment-the smart money has backed Ukraine getting it politically right--even if that is a torturous journey. That investment will be the cornerstone of a "new" Ukrainian economy.


Here is the story-- this is quite long-it is a translation-- no link as such is available-it is not copyright - and very worth reading and directly related to the thread topic.

Quoting

"10 Ukrainian factories, which have not yet one year old if still think that all plants in Ukraine - the merits of the USSR, and now they only rob, ravage and close, then know this: we started new businesses. And they aim to reduce the need for imported goods, and sell their products abroad. Although complaints curtailing production is now easier to hear than the reports about the launch of new lines of Ukrainian industry is not bent. Foreign investment and loans have become the basis for new businesses.

1. Allseeds year produces 240 million liters of sunflower oil Region: Yuzhny, Odessa region. Opening date: June 2015 New extraction plant LLC "Allseeds Black Sea" covers 28 hectares and its capacity to process up to 800 thousand tons of sunflower seeds per year.. At the same time the elevator is placed about 46 thousand. Tonnes. And it is located near the port "Southern" Odessa region - close to the point of loading on ships. The plant and the terminal for transshipment of oil $ 200 million invested Allseeds group companies. For foreign investment through the factory equipped with modern Italian, German, Belgian and Swiss equipment. Quality of raw material at the plant controlled by an independent Dutch laboratory.

 2. "Mais" - a first draft of the national seed companies Region: a. . Zaitseva, Dnepropetrovsk region Opening date: June 2015 The construction of a new seed plant invested over UAH 100 million, a third of this sum took a loan from the German bank BHF under the guarantee of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development... Under the project, the plant capacity is one-half to 1 million units of crop -. and it is 10-20% of the Ukrainian market needs. The plant has two "modes": starts or standard full technological cycle, and performs three different operations at the same time with three kinds of seeds. The company "Mais" is planning to build two seed plant in different regions of Ukraine.

3. The biogas plant "agricultural products" the company will provide "green" electricity to 800 households Region: n Rakitnoe, Kyiv region.. Opening Date: October 2015 New biogas plant converts organic waste whose energy goes to heating the local settlements and the greenhouses. And he plans to deliver ecological fertilizer for agriculture. So far only launched primarily future biogas complex, so that now the plant produces only a part of the planned "green" fuel. However, for Ukraine it is already the most powerful biogas plant and one of the most productive in the eastern part of the EU countries. The raw material for the biogas plant is a pulp and other organic waste. Of these, a chemical reaction produces a gas that is converted into electricity. Thus there is a process of cogeneration - generation and electric and thermal energy. According to the calculations of engineers, from 44 m3 of the gas turns 19 MW of electricity and the same amount of thermal energy.

4. "Interagrosystems" first in Ukraine produces fries Region: city of Mena, Chernihiv region. Opening date: September 2015 This plant semis built in a joint Ukrainian-Turkish project. The Ukrainian side has invested 48 million USD, the foreign partners -. 2.5 million euros Potatoes for the plant is grown in the fields "Interagrosystems" and purchased from local farmers. The production line operates in three shifts, 50 people in it are involved. And for planting, harvesting and potato sorting involved another hundred. The plant will process up to 100 tonnes of potatoes per year than almost provide domestic cafes and restaurants are semi-finished goods for the production of French fries -. Now Ukraine imports of semi-finished products for 500 million USD.

5. Puratos will export almost half of its production Region: Odessa. Opening date: May 19 International Puratos Group has invested in a factory for the production of margarine and dry mixes for bakery and confectionery industry 7 million euros. 40% of production goes for export. The plant will operate on "environmentally friendly" technology, its equipment is also not harmful to the environment.

6. "Ukrainian Sawmills" recycles wood, which previously exported region: city Kostopil, Rivne region. Opening Date: April 2016 The factory plans to produce pine edged boards from which further make carpentry, furniture and building materials. The capacity of the enterprise - 300 thousand. m³ of sawn timber. In the year 150, it creates jobs and attracts 20 million. Euro investments to the region. Above the construction object worked Ukrainians, Finns and Swedes. This is one of the largest investment projects in the Rivne region in the last 7 years.

 7. PJSC "Ternopil quarry" will reduce the need for imported stone Region: a. . Galuschintsi, Ternopil region Opening date: January 2016 to implement the project attracted around 19 million USD .: 15 million investment and 4 million of credit... A new plant design capacity of 1 million tons per year.. This should replace the imported stone, which previously blocked the low production of its raw materials.

 8. TM Ondo offers a cheaper replacement ceramic tile Region: g. Ivano-Frankivsk Opening date: August 2015 The new plant produces cement-sand tiles. Its cost is four times lower than that of ceramic. But compared to the metal tile, "concrete" by 10-20% more expensive. The company invested $ 1 million., Which was built by 2 thousand. M² production facilities and purchased equipment European company Vortex Hydra. Exit at full capacity, which is 250 thousand. M2 of tiles per year, the company plans in the next year.

 9. Fujikura manufactures cables in Ukraine according to Japanese standards of quality Region: Lviv Date of opening: April 2016 Ltd. "Fujikura Automotive Ukraine Lviv" was founded in November 2013, the Japanese company Fujikura Ltd., which manufactures cable networks for European automotive manufacturers. Specialization Ukrainian plant became avtoprovodka for the Volkswagen brand. For a week produce about a million cables. To build it, it took 87 million USD of foreign investments. With this money to build a complex for the production of electrical components area of 7 thousand sq. M. m, and an administrative building - 1,8 thousand sq. m. m.
In the next two months plans to expand the production area to 11.5 thousand sq. m. m. The work at the plant will get 3 thousand. pers.

10. "Biopharma" 100% population of Ukraine will provide domestic drugs from plasma region: White Church, Kiev region. Opening date: June 2016 New biopharmaceutical complex was built "from scratch" quickly - in 1.3 years. For this Ukrainian and foreign investors: the US company Horizon Capital and the Dutch FMO development bank - invested 40 million dollars..
 
The factory has designed the German company Linde Engineering, he meets the requirements of Good Manufacturing Practice standard, which is mandatory for all EU countries. The plans to build another and plant for processing of blood plasma -. $ 30 million for this additional investing.
 
The new plant to triple production capacity for plasma processing companies, which now account for 90 tonnes per year. That's enough whining about the fact that we have new industrial giants - at least because of the lamentations will not notice the changes for the better. After a dozen new private enterprises, even if some of them are small, can bring benefit more than non-competitive giants of the past."


UKRAINIAN PROSTIR

Also of interest is an Australian assessment of of future Ukrainian grain production.This is also of interest to other large producers like Canada and the USA.

Ukraine has a rich vein of human talent and energy


"Ukraine is achieving high annual
increases in wheat production with
virtually no change in the area sown
to wheat over the past decade,
whereas Australian wheat production
growth since the 1990s has come from
increased plantings as well as increased
productivity per hectare. Larger areas
in Ukraine could be drawn into wheat
production if an incentive to change
the current mix of crops on Ukrainian
farms arises. In comparison, there is
little potential for Australia to further
increase the area planted to wheat to
any substantial degree. Moreover, many
Ukrainian grain growers are yet to fully
embrace the kinds of modern farming
methods that will reduce their cost of
production and improve yield stability.
Clearly, if this were to occur, there is
significant scope for Ukraine to enhance
the international competitiveness of its
wheat exports, just through increasing
farm productivity"




http://newsite.aegic.org.au/media/67471/aegic_ukraine_report_web.pdf







Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on May 31, 2016, 11:24:26 PM
Interesting new billboards in Moscow: a soldier father is leaning down to tell his son, the kid is also in military uniform, that security is a lifelong endeavour that must be passed on from generation to generation.

It ties into the obvious "almost references" to Eastern Ukraine (illegal to speak of openly), and of Russia's adventures in Syria. The colours, fonts, and themes are designed to dovetail with the "Save the Children" type ads regarding Donbass.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on June 01, 2016, 12:43:42 AM
Consider the dark joke now making the rounds in Russia. Wife to husband: “Our son was killed in action in Ukraine.” Husband to wife: “We never had a son.”

From "The Wars of Vladimir Putin" - Timothy Snyder
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 01, 2016, 07:58:59 PM
Based on designs by ethnic Russians. :-\ :-\

I don't think Antonov is building aircraft now.  I don't know if they are even manufacturing parts.



Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan will buy Ukrainian aircraft

State company "Antonov" has signed new contracts for the supply of aircraft to Saudi Arabia and Azerbaijan. Also, domestic aircraft orders and the Ministry of Defence

http://ua.racurs.ua/news/71673-saudivska-araviya-y-azerbaydjan-kupuvatymut-ukrayinski-litaky

Ukraine is set to manufacture their own combat aircraft and drones

http://ua.racurs.ua/news/71667-ukrayina-beretsya-za-vygotovlennya-vlasnyh-boyovyh-bezpilotnykiv-i-litaka

Recycled AN-22 "Antaeus" up in the sky

http://ua.racurs.ua/news/71646-vidnovlenyy-an-22-antey-pidnyavsya-v-nebo-foto-video

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 02, 2016, 06:25:40 PM
The US has been paying $billions for Russian launch rocket engine. It can only be a matter of time before that arrangement will end,
Ukraine has proposed that Kyiv and the United States jointly develop and produce a rocket engine to replace Russian rocket engines currently used to launch U.S. military satellites.


Ukraine Proposes Working With U.S. To Replace Russian Rockets


http://www.rferl.org/content/ukraine-proposes-working-with-united-state-replace-russian-rocket-engines-military-satellites/27771660.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 07, 2016, 08:38:02 PM
More on aircraft sales.

Azerbaijan to buy Ukrainian AN-178 transport aircraft

http://uatoday.tv/techandscience/azerbaijan-to-buy-ukrainian-an-178-transport-aircraft-668172.html
Title: Dethroning Ukraine’s Oligarchs
Post by: JayH on June 14, 2016, 05:24:14 PM
After Maidan I was hopeful that the overwhelming support for reform would garner support from all quarters in everyone's best interests.
Gradually- self interest has again overtaken what should be the bigger picture issues .My view was that it could have been good for everyone-unfortunately for some it has proven they are incapable of giving-- even to get more!
Ukraine’s oligarchs are its biggest problem. If there is a single obstacle to establishing a functioning state, a sound economy, and true democratic accountability, it is the tycoons who control the country.

Calls to finally stamp out their influence are growing ever louder and more numerous. But few observers have offered workable plans for doing so. With that in mind, here is a roadmap for how it can be done.


Dethroning Ukraine’s Oligarchs
: A How-To Guide
None of the country’s reforms can succeed while the oligarchs still rule.

Real reform does not stand a chance unless the tycoons suffer a severe blow to their wealth and influence. For that to happen, the following four steps must occur.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/06/13/dethroning-ukraines-oligarchs-a-how-to-guide/
Title: Re: Dethroning Ukraine’s Oligarchs
Post by: 2tallbill on June 14, 2016, 06:02:05 PM

Dethroning Ukraine’s Oligarchs
: A How-To Guide
None of the country’s reforms can succeed while the oligarchs still rule.

Real reform does not stand a chance unless the tycoons suffer a severe blow to their wealth and influence. For that to happen, the following four steps must occur.

http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/06/13/dethroning-ukraines-oligarchs-a-how-to-guide/

I think you are right that they have to control the corruption and replace most if not all
of the existing politicians (it would be good for the USA to do the same)
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 17, 2016, 07:03:52 PM

The war between Moscow and Ukraine grinds on in the east, but the rest of the gigantic country is on the move. The people of Ukraine supported the Revolution of Dignity in 2014 that overthrew a corrupt leader, and in the past two years have turned their energy toward reforms in Parliament as well as to building their economy through innovation and entrepreneurship, notably in technology.

Turning Ukraine from ‘the world’s bread basket to the world’s brain basket’

The resilience of Ukrainians is awe-inspiring, given the dislocation of 1.5 million from the war-torn east, and the country is moving quickly into the emerging economies of the future, thanks to its highly motivated and educated young people.

Three recent and significant deals have turned the tech world’s attention toward Ukraine. In September, Snapchat paid US$150 million to buy a two-year-old Ukrainian startup in Odesa called Looksery and, just before that, Google paid US$45 million for facial recognition company Viewdle. Then in November, financier George Soros acquired a stake in Ciklum Holding Limited in Kyiv, an IT outsourcing company with 2,500 software engineers, architects and technologists

http://business.financialpost.com/diane-francis/diane-francis-turning-ukraine-from-the-worlds-bread-basket-to-the-worlds-brain-basket
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on June 21, 2016, 11:36:09 PM
There is not much doubt that the long term direction of parting direction with Russia is THE way to rid Ukraine of the Russian shadow,Making Ukraine a better place to live is the easiest way( even if that path is not so easy) to win the support of the people that matter -Ukrainians !
Quoting -Marie L. Yovanovitch who  is slated to become the next U.S. ambassador to Ukraine.

"Just as we stand firmly behind the Ukrainian people in their efforts to transform their nation, we stand with Ukraine as it seeks to reform its military, stopfurther Russian aggression, bring the conflict in the Donbas to a peaceful conclusion via the Minsk agreements, and end the occupation of Crimea."

The best defense against Russian aggression is a successful Ukraine.

But of course, much work remains to be done. Ukraine still has to implement difficult changes such as: taking further steps to root out corruption; advancing energy sector reform; recapitalizing and reforming the banking system; working to improve the business climate by levelling the playing field; improving accountability and civilian control in the defense sector; reforming the PGO and justice sector; and breaking the hold of oligarchs over Ukrainian politics and business. Ukraine must also continue to adhere to IMF conditions and ensure that the $17.5 billion program continues.

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/masha-yovanovitch-the-best-defense-against-russian-aggression-is-a-successful-ukraine-416872.html


Title: Why Investors Believe In Ukraine's Potential
Post by: JayH on June 26, 2016, 10:24:32 PM



Despite the difficult economic situation in Ukraine, long stagnation, conflicts in  Eastern Ukraine, we are now witnessing the implementation of major investment projects into Ukrainian ports infrastructure]


Why Investors Believe In Ukraine's Potential

We support infrastructural reforms of the Governmen to Ukraine, including focus on preserving and refurbishing road infrastructure. At the same time we are working together on removing business impediments. One of such hurdles is ineffective and excessive level of port fees which significantly undermines competitiveness of Ukrainian ports with the other Black Sea ports. Business community and key industry players have been working with the European Business Association and IFC experts to develop a transparent and economically justified calculation for port fees and weurge the Ministry of Infrastructure tosupport this initiative aimed at boosting Ukrainian export

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/business-wire/why-investors-believe-in-ukraines-potential-417122.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on August 31, 2016, 09:31:17 PM
Based on designs by ethnic Russians. :-\ :-\

I don't think Antonov is building aircraft now.  I don't know if they are even manufacturing parts.

Another piece of good news today-piece by piece  Ukrainian companies are finding new ways to the future.
This is another example of  the real progess being made.


UKRAINIAN AVIATION: Antonov signs agreement with China to launch mass production of world’s largest cargo plane


China is set to begin producing giant An-225 cargo planes based on cooperation agreement with Ukraine’s Antonov granting access to aircraft’s designs and technologies
This is the latest production cooperation agreement struck by Antonov in recent months as the company seeks to move away from historic ties to Russia and expand its presence on global markets.  Early in 2016, Antonov officials inked a memorandum on cooperation with India’s Reliance Defence, paving the way for potential joint production of Antonov aircraft for the Indian domestic market and providing access to lucrative Indian defence sector tenders.


http://bunews.com.ua/economy/item/ukrainian-aviation-antonov-teams-up-with-china-to-launch-mass-production-of-worlds-largest-plane
Title: Ukrainian economy growth forecast
Post by: JayH on November 13, 2016, 01:54:30 AM
As the article notes Ukraine's economy is moving despite Russia's war in the east.
Some positive aspects are reflected in the numbers .


Fitch forecasts Ukrainian economy growth

Fitch's growth forecast for Ukraine predicts acceleration to 2.5% in 2017 and 3% in 2018, from a projected 1.1% in 2016. While investment has supported growth in 2016, it is likely to remain low relative to 'B'-rated peers, highlighting the importance of improving the business environment. Privatisation has yet to gain momentum. The unresolved conflict in eastern Ukraine will continue to weigh on growth performance and expectations.

The banking sector has stabilised, but is weak with low capitalisation levels and non-performing loans of over 50%, and poses a risk to economic stability and constrains economic recovery. Banks continue to improve capitalisation levels after an asset quality review in 2015. State-owned banks may see additional government injections, albeit at a lower level than in previous years.

http://uatoday.tv/business/fitch-upgrades-ukraine-to-b-outlook-stable-804564.html

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 14, 2016, 11:28:09 PM
Another interesting story showing a path to the future -- and most importantly doing great work right now.


We Are Building the New Ukraine, Three Years after Euromaidan

The need for reconciliation between eastern and western Ukraine is often emphasized in Ukrainian and international media, and has been the subject of dozens of roundtables in the past couple of years. Though originally from western Ukraine, I have lived and worked in the east for nearly two years, and I have come to realize that the approach and terminology currently in vogue are wrong.
We have not fought with each other; therefore, we do not need to reconcile. The real problem is that we have never actually spoken and do not really know each other. Most of the communication between the two sides has been conducted through oligarch-owned media and rumors based on stereotypes. In fact, what we need is communication, not reconciliation. As prominent historian and co-founder of the Nestor Group Yaroslav Hrytsak has put it, “If there is no communication, there can be no nation.”



http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/keep-your-eye-on-the-activists-not-kyiv
Title: EU accelerates visa-free travel rights for Ukrainians
Post by: JayH on November 18, 2016, 01:05:17 AM

Posting this here --and not on the numerous other threads the current  anti-Ukrainian troll  has repeatedly mentioned this issue. Needless to say -he/it is wrong again  as a positive result has been achieved on this issue.

EU accelerates visa-free travel rights for Ukrainians

The EU is to grant visa-free travel rights to Ukraine in a signal of support for a war-torn country

http://www.ft.com/content/ec3ffa46-acdf-11e6-ba7d-76378e4fef24
Title: Re: EU accelerates visa-free travel rights for Ukrainians
Post by: Anotherkiwi on November 20, 2016, 04:26:48 PM
Posting this here --and not on the numerous other threads the current  anti-Ukrainian troll  has repeatedly mentioned this issue. Needless to say -he/it is wrong again  as a positive result has been achieved on this issue.

EU accelerates visa-free travel rights for Ukrainians

The EU is to grant visa-free travel rights to Ukraine in a signal of support for a war-torn country

http://www.ft.com/content/ec3ffa46-acdf-11e6-ba7d-76378e4fef24

Jay, that comes up as a paid link only, even using the Kyiv Post link.  The free version is with https at the start.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on November 28, 2016, 12:38:29 AM
Saakashvili supporters rally for early elections


Saakashvili resigned as governor of Odesa Oblast on Nov. 7, accusing President Petro Poroshenko of blocking his efforts to reduce corruption in the region’s law enforcement bodies, civil service and customs – a claim denied by the president’s representatives. Saakashvili later announced plans to launch a political party in an effort to come to power and replace Ukraine’s political establishment.

“There are so many of us here in this place where citizens took power into their own hands three years ago,” said Denys Brodsky, a former reformist head of the National Civil Service Agency and moderator of the rally. “Right here the nation woke up… Your presence here proves that the Maidan’s cause has not been accomplished. Time is up – the last winter of this parliament is at hand.”

Saakashvili also alluded to Vyacheslav Chornovil, a leader of Ukraine’s 1990s independence movement with whom he had been acquainted, since the rally was held in front of a monument to him.

“We are launching a movement that will change the course of our country’s history,” Saakashvili said. “The oligarchic parliament does not reflect the people’s will, contradicts Ukraine’s national interests and threatens the future of our children.”

He called for changing the electoral law to make it easier for non-oligarchic parties to get into parliament, replacing the discredited Central Election Commission, abolishing parliamentary immunity from prosecution and holding snap parliamentary elections.

“(Those in power) know that a wave is rising that will wipe them from the face of the earth and will release the nation from their tentacles,” Saakashvili said.

He also argued that the fate of both Ukraine and Europe depended on whether the nation got rid of its corrupt elite and carried out reforms.

“Not only Ukraine’s independence is at stake but the freedom of the whole of Europe,” Saakashvili said. “Today Ukraine is an outpost of the free world.

The platform of Saakashvili’s movement, as announced by him, includes “uncompromising reforms, zero tolerance for corruption, a total purge of state institutions, jailing thieves in government, freeing the people and businesses from the regulatory burden, a steep cut in taxes and simplifying tax collection.” Other aspects include “fundamental judicial reform, radical liberalization of the old oligarchic economy, the reform of education, healthcare, and social policy and introducing law and order – at a lightning speed, uncompromisingly and – if necessary – very severely,” he said.
http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/saakashvili-supporters-rally-support-early-elections.html

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on December 02, 2016, 12:31:13 AM
Saakashvili argued that changes of government in Ukraine had been meaningless formalities, with the same kleptocratic political class staying in power since 1991 and bleeding the nation dry.

“If you look at what Ukraine’s political class is all about, in every elections we are electing people, and things don’t change and get worse, and the new ones are the same as the old ones,” he said. “The secret is that every new (government) for the last 25 years has been the old one.”

He suggested ousting the corrupt elite and bringing a younger, idealistic and patriotic generation to power.

Saakashvili also proposed halving Ukraine’s bureaucracy, radical economic deregulation and privatization.





A major aspect of Saakashvili’s program is “zero tolerance for corruption.” He argued that electronic asset declarations for Ukrainian officials, which were launched on Oct. 30, had exposed their amazingly corrupt lifestyle.
Even the 2013-2014 EuroMaidan Revolution, which overthrew ex-President Viktor Yanukovych, failed to oust Ukraine’s kleptocratic elite, Saakashvili said.

“After the second Maidan people took power away from Yanukovych,” he said. “They looked around and saw all the same faces, maybe more civilized ones (than under Yanukovych). They gave power to them – and the experiment didn’t work.”

Thanks to its corrupt establishment, Ukraine has turned from a country with a similar gross domestic product to Poland in 1991 into a much poorer and less advanced country now, Saakashvili said. Ukraine ranked 113th in the world and second poorest in Europe after Moldova in terms of GDP per capita in 2015, while Poland was 44th, according to the International Monetary Fund.



http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/saakashvili-new-leaders-ukraine-can-european-power.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Bounder on December 02, 2016, 01:20:53 AM
"Thanks to its corrupt establishment, Ukraine has turned from a country with a similar gross domestic product to Poland in 1991 into a much poorer and less advanced country now"

I am assuming Ukraine will never take responsibility for it's own failings and it will always blame someone else.  The future of Ukraine and Ukrainian-sympathizers is to blame others for their past and never move forward.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on December 02, 2016, 05:12:41 AM
Quote
I am assuming Ukraine will never take responsibility for it's own failings and it will always blame someone else. 

You are beginning your assumption with a false premise.  What do you think Ukrainians were protesting at Euromaidan?  Do you think they were willing to die there for someone else?  If you read Ukrainian newspapers, you would know that Ukrainians do blame their government for much of what has occurred. 

Please explain to us all how Ukrainians don't take responsibility for the problems in their country.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Gator on December 02, 2016, 09:42:26 AM


I am assuming Ukraine will never take responsibility for it's own failings and it will always blame someone else.  The future of Ukraine and Ukrainian-sympathizers is to blame others for their past and never move forward.

Russia is even more  guilty than Ukraine in blaming others.  Russian propaganda feeds the Russian people the false narrative that the Russian economy suffers from American aggression instead of stating the real reasons:    1)  Russia's unlawful seizure of Crimea prompted sanctions against Russia, 2.) Russian policy continued a volatile, commodity-based economy instead of promoting investments in diversified and value-added industries, 3) wealth is concentrated in a few Oligarchs rather than in the middle class, 4) the trickle-down economy has little trickle from the Oligarchs,  5) Putin overspends on military,  6)  Russian governs more as a dictatorship than a democracy, etc. 
Title: Le Pen prohibited from entering Ukraine
Post by: jone on January 04, 2017, 09:05:27 AM
Ukraine yesterday issued a prohibition for travel to Jean-Marie Le Pen from France.  Ms. Le Pen indicated that the Russian annexation of Crimea was legal because the citizens voted for it in a referendum vote.

I picked up the story from Reuters but was unable to cite it because it came from a Twitter feed. 

Le Pen is an outspoken advocate of far right positions.  With this statement it is pretty apparent that she is attempting to curry favor with the Kremlin.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on January 04, 2017, 01:55:46 PM
le Front national has been funded by Russia for years.  It received 9.4 million euros from ERB, a Moscow based bank, in 2014, and is seeking 12 million in loans from Russian banks for the 2017 election.


Moscow has been accused of funding many of the EU's right wing parties, but there is no proof of that, other than the loan to le Front national. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on January 04, 2017, 02:20:09 PM
An article on Russia's clandestine ties to the EU's far right parties -


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/12103602/America-to-investigate-Russian-meddling-in-EU.html
Title: Re: Le Pen prohibited from entering Ukraine
Post by: Anotherkiwi on January 04, 2017, 02:55:01 PM
Ukraine yesterday issued a prohibition for travel to Jean-Marie Le Pen from France.  Ms. Le Pen indicated that the Russian annexation of Crimea was legal because the citizens voted for it in a referendum vote.

I picked up the story from Reuters but was unable to cite it because it came from a Twitter feed. 

Le Pen is an outspoken advocate of far right positions.  With this statement it is pretty apparent that she is attempting to curry favor with the Kremlin.

You're confused, jone.  :-[   Jean-Marie Le Pen is MALE, not female.  It is his daughter Marine who is the subject of the protest from the Ukrainian security service.
 
http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu (http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu)
Title: Re: Le Pen prohibited from entering Ukraine
Post by: jone on January 05, 2017, 03:43:32 PM

You're confused, jone.  :-[   Jean-Marie Le Pen is MALE, not female.  It is his daughter Marine who is the subject of the protest from the Ukrainian security service.
 
http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu (http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu)

My bad.  You're right.
Title: Re: Le Pen prohibited from entering Ukraine
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on January 05, 2017, 04:45:22 PM

You're confused, jone.  :-[   Jean-Marie Le Pen is MALE, not female.  It is his daughter Marine who is the subject of the protest from the Ukrainian security service.
 
http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu (http://europe.newsweek.com/ukraine-marine-le-pen-ban-travel-crimea-russia-annexation-538340?rm=eu)


How dare you jump to conclusions!  You don't know what gender Jean-Marie identifies with.  He could identify as a woman or a cucumber.   ;D
Title: Re: Le Pen prohibited from entering Ukraine
Post by: msmob on January 05, 2017, 11:28:07 PM

How dare you jump to conclusions!  You don't know what gender Jean-Marie identifies with.  He could identify as a woman or a cucumber.   ;D

As J-M has been pushing up the daisies since Jan '11 - I doubt he will be 'identifying' with anybody - other than - perhaps - given his racist tendencies - his maker .....

Title: Motyl says Ukraine must let go of Crimea and Donbas
Post by: ML on January 08, 2017, 10:03:45 PM
He says trying to reintegrate Crimea and Donbas into Ukraine would instantly bankrupt the country.

Article is here, but can't read it without subscription.
http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/ukrainian-politics-expert-says-country-must-let-go-crimea-donbas.html

But I presume his thoughts are pretty much the same as are posted on his blog here.
http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/blog/alexander-j-motyl/ukraines-united-future-depends-leaving-donbas-its-divided-past

My spouse has said pretty much the same thing for the past couple of years.  She doesn't want to associate with those in Crimea and Donbas who have done so much to harm Ukraine and it's people.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on January 09, 2017, 04:34:54 AM
I don't disagree with him on letting the regions go.   However, the war is good cover for politicians to not carry out reforms. 

Yesterday, the better half was laughing about yet another Rada member who is under investigation.  He said she was a leading Euromaidan activist, who, once elected, seized the Hotel Lebed.  He said she's under investigation because "now someone else wants to steal it".  He's always been fairly jaded about Ukrainian politicians, mostly because he says "I saw them up close, and my survival depended on knowing how they think."  He has noted increased hostilities occur in the disputed regions when the EU demands changes, or there have been protests against corruption, or laws on corruption are introduced.

The point of the above is that Ukraine's problems won't disappear overnight.  Corruption is too entrenched. 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: LiveFromUkraine on January 09, 2017, 05:32:50 AM
Bo, what is your take on the Anti Corruption Bureau?


I was reading an article last month talking about them and the Prosecutors Office getting into a confrontation in Kiev.  The article made it sound like the Anti Corruption Bureau was doing it's job and the Prosecutor's Office wanted more control over the bureau.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 09, 2017, 06:46:05 AM
Corruption 101 (Test on Thursday)

In December 2016, Ukraine nationalized Ihor Kolomoyskyi’s Privat Bank at a cost of about $5.5 billion, to “Preserve Stability” (Hide Insolvency) after he stole billions of $$$ of deposits.  To put the $5.5 billion rescue program in perspective, the whole foreign exchange reserves of Ukraine stands at around $16 billion.

 The nationalization of "Privat-Bank" was expected after the "CyberBerkut" hackers exposed Poroshenko/Biden talks on the conditions for further IMF loans. Once it became clear that the nationalization of Kolomoisky’s bank would be one of IMF’s requirements, the future was obvious. The US government and the IMF had closely monitored the situation with "Privat-Bank" for a while now.

Why did the IMF believe that this was necessary? Because Kolomoisky was using "Privat-Bank" to constantly siphon money from the Ukrainian budget. The method was simple and elegant: By giving high interest rates on deposits, "Privat" became the #1 bank in terms of money deposited by the Ukrainian population.

Privat opened those accounts, even if it meant operating at a loss - because this enabled Kolomoisky to pressure the government, threatening the collapse of the banking system if the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) does not bail out Privat [time after time]. He used essentially the same kind of financial blackmail back in the days of Yanukovych, too. So, under both governments, NBU was repeatedly forced to print additional money and give it to Kolomoisky (and this after he stole customer deposits in the first place)!

As you may recall, the first collapse of the UAH/dollar exchange rate happened when Kolomoisky received his first “refinancing” (bailout!) after Maidan. And note that he received this additional money using his assets in Crimea as collateral, even though it was already obvious that these assets would be nationalized by the Russian government. Kolomoyski then used the billions of Hryvna that he received from the NBU to purchase huge amounts of dollars and euros, which in turn collapsed the UAH exchange rate.  Gee, I also wonder if he shorted UAH with leveraged call/put options in the forex market as well, since he know what was going to happen?  Kinda makes George Soros look like a little kid in comparison!

As Kolomoisky kept on “milking” the National Bank on a regular basis, the IMF grew tired of sending money to the NBU, knowing that it would be used to line Kolomoisky’s pockets instead of serving its purpose. Interestingly enough, if you analyze the capital of Ukrainian oligarchs, the balance between assets and liabilities of Kolomoisky looks radically different from the other oligarchs. ALL Ukrainian oligarchs are bankrupt - they all have much more liabilities (i.e. debts) than assets. Oligarchs are essentially owned by commercial banks, mainly foreign. Why were they forced to support the Maidan? Because they were all deeply in debt to foreign banks. But Kolomoisky’s situation is different –all his debts are owned by the Ukrainian population.

“Forbes” often publishes rankings of the oligarchs. When they write that the fortune of one or the other billionaire is X number of $billions, this is the cost of entities which he/she owns. But no one reveals the amount of loans that they have. Because if they did reveal this amount, it would turn out that they were all bankrupt!

However, Kolomoisky did not resist the nationalization of "Privat-Bank" too strongly. Why? Because the possession of "Privat" is no longer a priority for him. Of course, he would like to continue using it as means of siphoning off money from the government, but government does not want to continue giving money. And the bank itself has no money left in it. So there is no point for Kolomoisky to fight hard over a bankrupt bank. On the contrary, this presents a good opportunity to pass off Privat, and all its debts, to the government.

In the meantime, Kolomoisky will be doing everything he can to look like the victim in this situation. He will be the one shouting "Stop the thief!" the loudest, whilst pointing at the Kiev government.  Ukraine President Petro Poroshenko doesn’t seem to want to prosecute Kolomoisky  In fact, just one day after PrivatBank was nationalized, his losses were compensated for by an amendment to the tax code!

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 13, 2017, 06:51:41 PM
I don't disagree with him on letting the regions go. 
 

I am totally against conceding any territory to Russia. Those promoting compromise are doing the Kremlin's work.The proliferation of stories,trolls posts etc has been at this for some time.The only purpose I can see it to soften opposition by suggesting compromise has wide support.

There is no doubt Ukrainians are  tired of the war-- but even higher priority is to see some improvements in their lives. Very hard to illustrate with rising costs biting hard.Even harder to preach patience.

Russia's strategy of disruption and costing Ukraine as much as possible to maintain it's sovereignty can only work for so long.Russia itself is paying a fearful price for it's actions. Realistically--only  a soft approach to Russia by Trump can save Putin and Russia. If Trump  ( that was IF IF IF etc) follows the advice he is given he can put himself in a win & win situation with Russia. Increasing the pressure on Putin and Russia can see the US dictate the future directions.

On 29 December, one of Ukraine’s most influential figures, Viktor Pinchuk, declared that pre-emptive and ‘painful’ compromises would be needed to forestall a US-Russian bargain ‘over the heads of more than 40 million Ukrainians’. The path of compromise is hardly new for Pinchuk, son-in-law of Ukraine’s second president, Leonid Kuchma, a prominent philanthropist and one of the richest people in Ukraine, with long-standing business ties to Russia. Unlike some other prominent figures, it is rare to find Pinchuk accused of being a front man for Russia’s interests. Nevertheless, he has been a consistent proponent of a conciliatory course: a policy hospitable towards the West, respectful of Russian red lines and critical of those who believe that Ukraine must choose between one side and the other.

Pre-emptive compromise would imperil #Ukraine


But despite Pinchuk’s laudable goals – preserving ‘Ukraine’s right to choose its own way, safeguard its territorial integrity and build a successful country’ – his solutions effectively abandon them. They call for ‘temporarily’ renouncing the goal of EU membership, pursuing ‘for now’ an ‘alternative security arrangement’ to NATO and perhaps most controversially, holding local elections in occupied areas before ‘conditions for fair elections exist’. Such compromises are the stuff of the ‘grand bargain’ that ‘realists’ usually talk about. But even in Donald Trump’s world of deal-making, few would consign Ukraine to Russia’s embrace without qualifications and safeguards, however illusory these might be. Pinchuk’s ‘realists’ are not real characters but rhetorical foils that appear designed to give credence to his proposals.
http://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2017/01/11/pre-emptive-compromise-would-imperil-ukraine/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Darth_Budda on January 13, 2017, 07:26:00 PM
The only way Kiev will get Donbass back is if the people of Eastern Ukraine can find the power to battle the oligarchs and fascists...

I see another revolution coming for Ukraine...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 14, 2017, 10:01:58 AM
I am totally against conceding any territory to Russia. Those promoting compromise are doing the Kremlin's work.The proliferation of stories,trolls posts etc has been at this for some time.The only purpose I can see it to soften opposition by suggesting compromise has wide support.


Some people just don't want to fight. A guy holds a gun to you which puts you at a disadvantage. He asks for your wallet. If you give it to him, are you compromising and doing his work? Many people and nations see Russia being powerful and not worth confronting. Currently there is a nation that does have the ability to confront Russia with bigger guns.

Russia and China knows it can't take too much too fast. Valuable lessons taught in WW2 showing that nations will eventually confront them if they do that.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 15, 2017, 12:33:10 AM

Some people just don't want to fight. A guy holds a gun to you which puts you at a disadvantage. He asks for your wallet. If you give it to him, are you compromising and doing his work?


Many people in Ukraine have already made the ultimate sacrifice in facing the guys with the guns.There is strong belief in what they are fighting for  -- and it is a far more important issue than handing over a wallet.
  As the article says "appeasement has never worked" -- a theme I wrote about a few posts earlier here.

We are about to enter a most important time for Ukraine and it's citizens and supporters need a clear idea of what is acceptable-- and practical.

This quote sums it up nicely .

"Ukraine’s realism should consist not in kneeling before the Kremlin but in becoming stronger in the face of aggression: further bolstering its military, building a sustainable economic base for the war effort through free-market reforms, introducing the rule of law, and driving out a corrupt, irresponsible and traitorous elite."

No appeasement


In late 2013, former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych tried to crush Ukrainians’ dream of joining the civilized world by backing out of an association deal with the European Union. Since then, Ukrainians have been fighting for their European dream, first on the barricades in Kyiv, and then on the war front in the Donbas.

The war with Russia is not just about the technicalities of the association agreement. It is about a civilizational choice between being part of a murderous totalitarian empire, or part of the free world.

Three years after Yanukovych’s downfall, billionaire oligarch Victor Pinchuk is proposing that Ukraine abandon its dream and drop plans to join NATO and the European Union. He says that Ukraine should appease the aggressor by recognizing its annexation of Crimea de facto, if not de jure, and agreeing to elections in the Russian-occupied Donbas, which would legitimize the Kremlin’s puppets there.

Pinchuk’s plan is not just a betrayal of those whose blood was spilled during the EuroMaidan Revolution of 2013-14 and the 10,000 who lost their lives in the war instigated by Russia. It is also utterly naive and illogical, despite its professed pragmatism and realism.

First: any deal with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, a cynical and shameless liar, is not worth the paper it is written on. No amount of concessions or agreements will guarantee that Russia will cease its war against Ukraine and will not proceed to grab another piece of Ukrainian territory.

Second: as Benjamin Franklin said, those who sacrifice liberty for security will have neither. Abandoning the principles of Ukraine’s territorial integrity and its uncompromising opposition to Russian aggression for the sake of pragmatic considerations entails the nation becoming morally bankrupt.

And if Ukraine gives up its moral integrity, it will only invite more bullying from the Kremlin.

Historically, appeasement has never worked.

Third: Ukraine’s realism should consist not in kneeling before the Kremlin but in becoming stronger in the face of aggression: further bolstering its military, building a sustainable economic base for the war effort through free-market reforms, introducing the rule of law, and driving out a corrupt, irresponsible and traitorous elite.

When Ukraine becomes stronger, it will not have to bow either to Putin or to incoming U.S. President Donald Trump. Neither will it have to beg for admission to the free world – it will have earned a place by right.

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/editorial/no-appeasement.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on January 15, 2017, 07:51:29 AM
Many people in Ukraine have already made the ultimate sacrifice in facing the guys with the guns.There is strong belief in what they are fighting for  -- and it is a far more important issue than handing over a wallet.
  As the article says "appeasement has never worked" -- a theme I wrote about a few posts earlier here.


I was referring to people and nations outside of Ukraine. They feel their wallet(Ukraine) isn't worth fighting over. They don't want to get involved. They want to forget about the incident and let the thug run loose in the streets rather than confronting the thug. The leaders in the Western world made up their minds. Sanctions is all they'll do so it's a waiting game. Did Cuba, Iran, and North Korea give in to sanctions? I predict Russia won't give in either. Russia is going to destabilize Ukraine for many years to come unless they can get Ukrainians to vote in another puppet president that will answer to Russia.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 15, 2017, 02:53:39 PM
Billy,although I used your quote my post was not directed at you personally.It used your example as an example of the attitude of some.
 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 06, 2017, 12:44:16 AM
One way for Europe to exert greater control over its destiny and security is to step up its support for Ukraine. After all, it is in Europe’s interest to have a stable, pro-western Ukraine on its eastern border. Here are four easy steps it can take to promote this objective.


Four Easy Ways the EU Can Support Ukraine


The EU should also assist Ukraine in the creation of special anti-corruption courts, a key IMF requirement. The EU could provide funding to create this system, establish its infrastructure, and ensure that the courts’ judges receive competitive salaries. This would promote the judges’ independence and free them from the vagaries of government budgeting.

Third, the EU should consider funding a “mini-Marshall Plan” for Ukraine. As Anders Åslund points out, Russia’s war in the Donbas has cost Ukraine at least six billion dollars in foreign direct investment, starving the economy of the capital it needs to grow and innovate. To counter that deficit, the EU should use the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to invest directly in Ukrainian firms and infrastructure. Many European countries also have export credit agencies that could guarantee their firms’ investments in Ukraine, which would encourage European companies to invest there.


http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/four-easy-ways-the-eu-can-support-ukraine#
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 15, 2017, 12:41:53 AM
Hopefully very soon  Ukraine will be in a position to look to the future -without having to look backwards all the time !
This is about civil reforms-- not fighting to keep Russia out. In the long term-- a reformed modern Ukraine will be the best defence against Russia.
Ukrainian-European romance began some years ago in a totally different atmosphere. A strong and united European Union welcomed Ukraine’s adherence to European values, which was expressed during and after EuroMaidan. The country held transparent and democratic presidential and parliamentary elections and declared the launch of radical reforms.
United States policy makers were also unanimous in supporting Ukraine in its aspirations for sovereignty and democracy.

The public administration reform should be the first priority. Only new people with new values can change the game in public service. But new people who come from the private sector cannot survive on low salaries, much below the market level, while corrupt officials benefit from enormous additional incomes, and old-fashioned low-skilled bureaucrats are happy with any low-paid job.

The long-expected European project of decent salaries for reform task-forces should solve the problem.

What should be the West's strategy in Ukraine?

What would be the right strategy for the West to take in Ukraine in this complicated environment? Here are seven key recommendations based on the lessons learned from past mistakes.
 
1. Set a clear agenda and goals. An abstract appeal, “please introduce more reforms, fight corruption” does not work.
 
2. Set rewards for reached goals. There is no motivation without rewards. In many cases changes are painful, so people have to understand gains.
 
3. Always fulfil promises. When Ukraine completes its tasks, Europe has to do what has been promised. Remember that Ukrainians made the European choice of order and justice, not of disorder and irresponsibility.
 
4. Never slow Ukraine down, let us make drastic changes when we need to destroy communist legacy and corruption.
 
5. Demand sentences for top corrupt officials; this is the only way to keep social tensions at bay.
 
6. Concentrate on key reforms which could make Ukraine a more reliable and predictable partner such as: public administration reform, judicial reform, state finances reform, and electoral reform. Do not set too many priorities.
 
7. Demand implementation, not just formal paperwork: introducing nice laws in line with European practice does not mean that real changes are being made.
 

http://www.neweasterneurope.eu/articles-and-commentary/2262-what-should-be-the-west-s-strategy-in-ukraine
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 19, 2017, 06:36:31 PM
Various articles  that summarise the current situation in Ukraine appear from time to time.This is another very fair assessment.It does deal with come of the often raised on this forum criticisms of Ukraine --by both friend and foe.

Ukraine deserves US support
Building a democracy isn’t easy, even in the best of circumstances. As a diplomat for over 40 years, I have seen firsthand how difficult it has been for the countries of Central and Eastern Europe to overcome the legacy of Soviet authoritarianism, root out corruption, and establish free societies and market economies based on the rule of law.

No country in this region has faced more formidable challenges than Ukraine.
Ukraine is making progress against tough odds. It deserves US support.

   In the 25 years after achieving independence in 1991, Ukraine squandered many opportunities for reform, disappointing the aspirations of its people for a European future based on justice, prosperity and accountable leaders and institutions. When former President Viktor Yanukovych, yielding to Russian pressure, suspended Ukraine's negotiations on partnership with the European Union in late 2013, the Ukrainian people made it clear that they had had enough.

Their frustration led to the Revolution of Dignity on Kyiv's Maidan square, Yanukovych's flight to Russia and, a few months later, the election of new, reformist leaders led by current President Petro Poroshenko.

Since that time, however, Ukraine has had to continue the reform process with a gun to its head, both literally and figuratively.

It has not been easy for Ukraine to start a reform process from the ground up, especially while it has been fighting to protect its freedom and independence from Russian aggression.

Russia has worked to undermine Ukraine through its illegal annexation of Crimea and sponsorship of an armed insurgency in Eastern Ukraine, coupled with economic intimidation and misinformation campaigns. Russia's actions are designed to portray Ukraine as a failed state that doesn't deserve support from the larger international community.

http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/international/319863-ukraine-is-making-progress-against-tough-odds-it-deserves-us
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 27, 2017, 01:19:58 PM
I read, this morning, that Lugansk is changing currency.  All transactions after March 1st are to be done in Russian Rubles.   Additionally, the DNR has stated that they will begin nationalizing Ukrainian businesses (as if they haven't already) in direct retaliation for the blockade.  Apparently the blockade is creating a significant impact on the already decimated economy of Donetsk.

Thinking to myself today, I was comparing the Russian position in Transnisteria compared with the situation in Eastern Ukraine.  Should the Russians annex Eastern Ukraine, and Ukraine successfully shed the burden of maintaining a military operation, then Russia would be burdened with the now lifeless hulk of two territories which would drain the Russian economy even further.

Moldova is saddled with the prospect of Russia's military within its own country.  Donetsk and Lugansk, as a part of Russia, would remove the need to accommodate the Russian military and supply a region that is mostly bankrupt.

I believe that Ukraine's future would be brighter without Lugansk and Donetsk.  After all, most of the productive people have already left the regions and the people left are the hardcore, pro-Russian elements.

Just a thought.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: calmissile on February 27, 2017, 04:30:15 PM
I read, this morning, that Lugansk is changing currency.  All transactions after March 1st are to be done in Russian Rubles.   Additionally, the DNR has stated that they will begin nationalizing Ukrainian businesses (as if they haven't already) in direct retaliation for the blockade.  Apparently the blockade is creating a significant impact on the already decimated economy of Donetsk.

Thinking to myself today, I was comparing the Russian position in Transnisteria compared with the situation in Eastern Ukraine.  Should the Russians annex Eastern Ukraine, and Ukraine successfully shed the burden of maintaining a military operation, then Russia would be burdened with the now lifeless hulk of two territories which would drain the Russian economy even further.

Moldova is saddled with the prospect of Russia's military within its own country.  Donetsk and Lugansk, as a part of Russia, would remove the need to accommodate the Russian military and supply a region that is mostly bankrupt.

I believe that Ukraine's future would be brighter without Lugansk and Donetsk.  After all, most of the productive people have already left the regions and the people left are the hardcore, pro-Russian elements.

Just a thought.

Even if you are correct in your conclusions, it still leaves Russia rewarded for the land grabs in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine without consequences.   A bad precedent for the future.  The sanctions were apparently working and we know that economics brought down the Soviet Union during the Cold War, perhaps strengthening the sanctions will keep the Russians at bay for a while and possibly cause the return of Crimea and Eastern Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on February 27, 2017, 07:39:37 PM
I believe that Ukraine's future would be brighter without Lugansk and Donetsk.


That's what Putin wants everyone to believe. Even my wife started to believe that thinking the rest of Ukraine will get their way in voting in future elections, believe Putin will leave them alone, peace will come and Ukraine can move to the West. I asked her if peace came and Putin left them alone after Crimea. End of conversation.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on February 28, 2017, 12:06:48 AM
The problem, as I see it, is the repatriation of the current occupants of the two invaded regions.  How can the people come back together and be one country again?  Why would Ukraine want them back?

Anyone who has looked at the voting demographics previous to Maidan will note that the greatest saturation of Russian leaning voters was in Crimea and Donetsk.  If Ukraine became whole again, voting would once again favor alliance with Russia.

This war has polarized Ukraine in a way that alliance with the West never could.  There are is now only a minority of Russian leaning voters in Ukraine.  Future elections will focus on moving into a Western based economy. 

There is not going to be any good solution for Ukraine.   It is still corrupt and poor.  But footing the bill for an ongoing war only creates a nation of beggars.  If the opening is there for a settlement, pride must be subservient to pragmatism and Ukraine might seriously bargain for a solution that facilitates military support from the West if Russia violates Ukraine's borders.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on February 28, 2017, 12:38:55 AM
How can the people come back together and be one country again?


I see more unity between Ukraine's East and West compared to America's North and South during the Civil War. Giving away land to Putin thinking Ukraine will gain security is a big mistake. I don't believe far East Ukrainians really want to separate from Ukraine because the majority aren't willing to give up their lives. They haven't come close to all out civil war.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 28, 2017, 01:33:57 AM
The problem, as I see it, is the repatriation of the current occupants of the two invaded regions.  How can the people come back together and be one country again?  Why would Ukraine want them back?

Anyone who has looked at the voting demographics previous to Maidan will note that the greatest saturation of Russian leaning voters was in Crimea and Donetsk.  If Ukraine became whole again, voting would once again favor alliance with Russia.

This war has polarized Ukraine in a way that alliance with the West never could.  There are is now only a minority of Russian leaning voters in Ukraine.  Future elections will focus on moving into a Western based economy. 

There is not going to be any good solution for Ukraine.   It is still corrupt and poor.  But footing the bill for an ongoing war only creates a nation of beggars.  If the opening is there for a settlement, pride must be subservient to pragmatism and Ukraine might seriously bargain for a solution that facilitates military support from the West if Russia violates Ukraine's borders.

You are spewing the Kremlin garbage line --basically full of bullshit laced with a few seemingly reasonable ideas.
Throw in a few of your bullshit conclusions and what is ignorance only highlights how out of touch you are.
The Kyiv government has an action plan to rehabiitate the east when they get it back.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on February 28, 2017, 01:49:57 AM
That's what Putin wants everyone to believe. Even my wife started to believe that thinking the rest of Ukraine will get their way in voting in future elections, believe Putin will leave them alone, peace will come and Ukraine can move to the West. I asked her if peace came and Putin left them alone after Crimea. End of conversation.

You got it BB .Putin will invade,manoeuvre,frustrate,obstruct,interfere conduct an undeclared war -lie,cheat--basically do anything that serves his purpose.
Originally the intent was to own,control  Ukraine etc-as that has become increasingly more difficult to impossible to achieve-- the next move is to try and disrupt Ukraine and keep it poor--if he can.
What has become clear--he is losing-Ukraine is winning.
Conceding ANYTHING,anything at all to Russia-- will only have the effect of moving a crisis furtherinto Ukraine.
As for the east being pro Russian --BULLSHIT -it always was-- and always will be just that.

The answer for Ukraine( & the world at large) is to hand Putin his armies arse on a plate -chances are that will lead to the end of Putin -- and potentially Russia as we have known it.

Russia is all but out of money. The reserves are estimated as low as 15 Billion -- and I believe are more like half that. That is at an extremely critical stage .That is near enough to broke.When other countries within Russia smell the potential death of the Republic  -it could unravel fast.Ukraine pushing the Russians out --could well be the litmus.
The fact is that the Obama sanctions are close to fulfilling their intentions -- now Trump can capitalise on that start -ramping up the pressure on Russia and Putins  is highly likely to get real results.

This is not the time to go soft --but really hit Putin/Russia hard.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on February 28, 2017, 02:39:08 AM
I see more unity between Ukraine's East and West compared to America's North and South during the Civil War. Giving away land to Putin thinking Ukraine will gain security is a big mistake. I don't believe far East Ukrainians really want to separate from Ukraine because the majority aren't willing to give up their lives. They haven't come close to all out civil war.
I work with 3 people  who came from E. Ukraine. Two of them have nothing nice to say about the rest of Ukraine and want nothing to do with it. The hate runs deeply and in the long run I think jone's idea may be the most realistic plan of action. This war and its economic drain on the economy could drag on for years.
Title: Ukraine visa free travel to Europe - Update
Post by: ML on April 06, 2017, 11:05:33 AM
More than 500 members of the European Parliament voted for visa liberalization for Ukraine during a session in Strasbourg on April 6, the latest stage in granting Ukrainians the ability to visit most EU countries without having to apply for visas.

Only a few more formalities remain. The decision is yet to be formally approved by the Council of Ministers and then published in EU’s Official Journal. The visa exemption will enter into force 20 days after publication in the EU Official Journal.
Title: Re: Ukraine visa free travel to Europe - Update
Post by: JayH on April 06, 2017, 04:05:39 PM
More than 500 members of the European Parliament voted for visa liberalization for Ukraine during a session in Strasbourg on April 6, the latest stage in granting Ukrainians the ability to visit most EU countries without having to apply for visas.

Only a few more formalities remain. The decision is yet to be formally approved by the Council of Ministers and then published in EU’s Official Journal. The visa exemption will enter into force 20 days after publication in the EU Official Journal.
Despite the best attempts of Russia to impede/prevent this  it is finally happening. This issue was one of the catalysts to the removal of Yanukovych regime and the Maidan revolt.

It is such an important achievement for Ukraine is it's quest to establish a free and independent Ukraine -- and to allow Ukrainians to see that their future is as part of Europe and and the west-- and it's values.

Also to be noted -- the procession of Russian trolls and pro Rus dunkleheads here( & all over the internet courtesy of the troll factories) who said it would never happen -- once again--you look pretty stupid now !!!

EU Parliament approves visa-free regime for Ukraine. What are the new rules for crossing the border?

“Visa liberalisation for Ukraine is a long-awaited and overdue step, and sends a strong signal: we belong together. This move recognizes and builds upon the wishes of the great many Ukrainians who feel orientated towards the West and will strengthen relations between EU citizens and Ukrainians.”

http://euromaidanpress.com/2017/04/06/eu-parliament-votes-for-visa-free-regime-for-ukraine-what-are-the-new-rules-of-crossing-the-border-for-ukrainians/#arvlbdata
Title: Putin’s Greatest Achievement and Most Fateful Failure
Post by: JayH on April 14, 2017, 08:14:23 PM
One of the many incorrect assertions made by the pro Rus and ignorant going back a few years was that Ukrainians would never fight Russia -on the basis that they were one and brothers. Well-- that has been proven a fallacy.

That same invasion by Putin of Ukraine firstly on the Crimea and then eastern Ukraine-- and the attempts to destabilise all over Ukraine have served to unite Ukrainians in a way local politics never could have.

This study discussed in the link is proof. In the last week-I also saw a study where over 70% also considered Ukrainian as their first language-- a huge rise from just a few short years ago.

It lays to rest any notion that Ukrainians have any desire to be dominated from Moscow ever again.


Putin’s Greatest Achievement and Most Fateful Failure


 Ninety-two percent of Ukrainian citizens now consider themselves ethnic Ukrainians, an unprecedented figure that is the product of Vladimir Putin’s aggression against their country and one that highlights the fundamental weakness of ethnic Russian national identities not only there but elsewhere -- including in the Russian Federation.

            According to a new poll by Kyiv’s Razumkov Center, 92 percent of Ukrainian citizens now consider themselves ethnic Ukrainians, six percent say they are ethnic Russians, and 1.5 percent identify as members of other ethnic groups (zn.ua/UKRAINE/bolee-90-grazhdan-schitayut-sebya-etnicheskimi-ukraincami-245309_.html).

            Among young people in Ukraine, the share identifying as ethnic Ukrainians approaches 100 percent, the pollsters said, while among those over the age of 60, the figure was less than 90 percent but still far higher than at any point in the past.

http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com.au/2017/04/making-ukraine-mono-ethnic-putins.html?spref=fb
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on July 04, 2017, 05:49:54 PM
This is a good article on corruption in Ukraine, something that must be dealt with to secure a good future -


http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2017-06-29/ukraine-s-stalled-revolution
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on July 04, 2017, 11:37:04 PM
This is a good article on corruption in Ukraine, something that must be dealt with to secure a good future -


http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2017-06-29/ukraine-s-stalled-revolution

Very fair article .. Didn't realise 'Rain' had been throttled in UA, too .... bizarre.

Particularly worrying that those who want to end corruption are so often the ones 'targeted' ... ((

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: southernX on July 05, 2017, 05:41:18 PM
This is a good article on corruption in Ukraine, something that must be dealt with to secure a good future -


http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2017-06-29/ukraine-s-stalled-revolution

good article indeed
there is an even better example of corruption at work in the tv series ''SERVANT TO THE PEOPLE '' if you have not seen this comedy then i would highly reccomend it

teaser link below


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JceiIUTMvD0

SX
Title: Why Europe should support a “Marshall Plan” for Ukraine
Post by: JayH on August 21, 2017, 08:02:26 PM
Ukraine needs help-- no question about that. The major overiding point is EU help for Ukraine will equal help for all of Europe ( & the world).
My view-- all aid -- both military and economic--  should be done in a unified way -- with the overiding conditions being really brutal reform on corruption with  zero tolerance laws being put in place.( worlds best practice laws)
I am now of the view that a line should be drawn ( a date like today!) -- where previous corruption is pardoned-- based on those people getting out of any public position held now and them disqualifying themselves for any future position-be that elected or employed.
Then -- corruption equals substantial jail terms and confiscation of all assets .
Why an  amnesty? The only way to get these people out of the system quickly is to remove a major reason they will not leave easily--ie they need to stay to "control" situation. So--the writing needs to be on very large letters on the wall that the future will see them in jail if they do not accept.
There are other ways to deal with ill gotten gains -- and I would be putting them in place-- after getting stage one deal done.!

Why Europe should support a “Marshall Plan” for Ukraine

Why should Europeans allocate money for the renovation of Ukraine’s infrastructure? The proposal by the Seimas (Parliament) of the Republic of Lithuania for a “new European plan” for Ukraine based on the “Marshall Plan” may  seem too ambitious and even useless for the European Union. But, in reality, Europe should help Ukraine not only for the benefit of Ukrainians. It should help Ukraine primarily for itself

The “Marshall Plan” provided enormous sums for the restoration of the European continent destroyed by war. But it was not charity. It was, in fact, genuine selfishness.

http://euromaidanpress.com/2017/08/22/why-europe-should-support-a-marshall-plan-for-ukraine/#arvlbdata
Title: Re: Why Europe should support a “Marshall Plan” for Ukraine
Post by: BillyB on August 21, 2017, 09:11:42 PM
Why Europe should support a “Marshall Plan” for Ukraine

Why should Europeans allocate money for the renovation of Ukraine’s infrastructure? The proposal by the Seimas (Parliament) of the Republic of Lithuania for a “new European plan” for Ukraine based on the “Marshall Plan” may  seem too ambitious and even useless for the European Union. But, in reality, Europe should help Ukraine not only for the benefit of Ukrainians. It should help Ukraine primarily for itself

The “Marshall Plan” provided enormous sums for the restoration of the European continent destroyed by war. But it was not charity. It was, in fact, genuine selfishness.



Marshall plan was enacted after a war was over. Ukraine's war isn't over. If Europe goes and dumps a lot of money into Ukraine, it may go to Russia if they decide to take Ukraine over.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on September 02, 2017, 05:04:49 PM
Interesting article that covers  the essential issues facing Ukraine today. It manages to express what is a complicated topic in easy to understand writing style.
I have always been more optimistic that the "good" would eventually prevail in Ukraine -- by the sheer will of the people.The problem with that is explained quite well in this article -- and deals with the recent history.
Numerous times I have commented that western aid should be tied to internal reform -- and I am now more convinced than ever that a sledgehammer approach is required to move the political scene to a new reality.The people in power need to be forced to accept REAL reform --or be left to face Russia alone.
As long as Ukraine is allowed to continue as it is-- real long term lasting progress will be half hearted and filled with self interest-- and that must end.
To be noted -- much progress has been made in the new direction-- but at this stage all that most Ukrainians see is rising prices and an ongoing war. Putin & Russia's intent is to drag the war out as long as possible,create as much discontent as possible in Ukraine and wear down Ukraine. The longer the west procrastinates-- the more time that passes serves Russia's intent-- not Ukraine's.

Winning the revolution will take more than winning the Maidan

A Wake-up Call for Ukraine’s Civil Society


Yet the key first step for Ukraine’s pro-democracy activists and groups is to renew their focus on honesty and integrity, and stand for those principles in full public view. For example, many activists and public intellectuals think that criticism of the government automatically undermines Ukraine’s international standing and weakens its position vis-à-vis Russia. But reforms that do nothing to build Ukraine’s rule of law do not deserve defending. Ukraine’s war in the East is no excuse for its leaders to assault activists, silence investigative journalists, or harass reformers. It is dishonest to extoll Ukraine for protecting European values against Putin’s aggression if Ukraine’s political leaders smash these very values at home. The longer civil society turns a blind eye to government violations against the civic space, the longer it will take to win this space back.


http://www.wilsoncenter.org/publication/kennan-cable-no25-wake-call-for-ukraines-civil-society

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on September 03, 2017, 09:09:39 PM
Following the previous article here is more that deals with many of the same issues. The easy part is to see what is wrong --the much harder part is to change the direction -- the mindset .
A major  problem for the western countries is that without any real direction coming from the US it is difficult( impossible?) to form an overall overriding cohesive plan.There are quite a few people who do know and understand what needs to happen in Ukraine-- but have no idea how to achieve it.

"The greatest danger for Ukraine today, therefore, may not be being overrun by Russia or abandoned by the United States. Instead, the danger lies in Ukraine’s gradual backsliding into bitter patronage politics and soft authoritarianism—twin scourges that could put out the promise of the Maidan just as surely as they extinguished the Orange Revolution."

AFTER MAIDAN

Ukraine Is Still Its Own Worst Enemy

Kyiv’s “patronal” politics and soft authoritarianism could extinguish the promise of the Maidan, just as they did the Orange Revolution before it.
Ukraine’s struggle to deliver on the democratic promise of the Maidan has not diminished the public’s appetite for reform. A recent poll showed that 51 percent of Ukrainians consider state corruption to be a top priority for Ukraine—more, even, than cited the war in the east with Russia. But few believe that either the state or civil society is successfully rooting out corruption. Approval ratings for all of Ukraine’s leading politicians are dismal: the most popular one, Yulia Tymoshenko, enjoys a mere 22% approval. Another reshuffling of the country’s loathed political elites will hardly fix the underlying pathologies of the Ukrainian state. A deeper reckoning is needed, one that takes into account the West’s own culpability in propping up Ukraine’s corrupt oligarchy.


http://www.the-american-interest.com/2017/08/31/ukraine-still-worst-enemy/
Title: West needs to get real on Ukraine
Post by: JayH on September 27, 2017, 02:40:02 PM
Much is written about the current situation in Ukraine ==often critical of the slower than desirable pace of reform -- and there is no argument that it is desperately needed.
Ukraine is expected to pursue its utopian programme at the same time as it is trying to defend itself against Russia's unprovoked, multi-vectored war.

It is a war which includes a massive information assault to discredit the Ukrainian state, unrestrained hate propaganda to dehumanise Ukrainians, unprecedented economic pressure, political subversion, intimidation of Ukrainian citizens by murders, kidnappings, unlawful prosecution, terrorist attacks, and military invasion on its territory.

West needs to get real on Ukraine

Ever since the EuroMaidan revolution in 2014, Ukraine's governments have been under close scrutiny to meet the expectations of the supporters of a pro-European, liberal, and democratic model.
The expectations that Ukraine becomes a utopia set a very high bar to meet. The bar is so high, in fact, that it could not possibly be met even by wealthy western nations that have enjoyed peace and stability.


The 2014 EuroMaidan revolution created huge expectations.
Expecting the impossible meant that criticism of Ukraine's 'failure' to swiftly undertake sweeping social change was inevitable. In recent months, a mounting wave of criticism of the Ukrainian government has flooded the media in Ukraine and abroad.

Unfortunately, these criticisms are often unreasonable, ignoring the reality of what can be achieved under even ideal circumstances, the vast difficulties of conducting reforms, the time required for meaningful institutional change to occur, and the challenge of reform during war time.
http://euobserver.com/opinion/139169
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Doll on December 05, 2017, 06:14:05 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsiojaNRTLM
Title: This Time It Will Be Very, Very Different
Post by: JayH on January 09, 2018, 09:37:11 PM
Over a period of time I have repeatedly commented on the many changes taking place in Ukraine since Maidan  -- particularly the pace of change. Many think too slow-- not enough etc . All sentiments I agree with -- but  --it needs to be balanced by what is possible to do . The Russian invasion and threat had to be suppressed -- and against all the odds the fight back by ordinary Ukrainians in eastern Ukraine and the incredible bravery shown by so many Ukrainians at Maidan -- and in the east will never be forgotten .
     Many ,many people underestimated the spirit of Ukrainians ,maybe they barely understood it themselves , but ,when it started to take hold Ukrainians wanted to stand up and be proud of their country.Thanks to Putin-- the catalyst he provided united Ukrainians like never before.
    This article deals with some of the positives that exist now in Ukraine . It needs some charismatic dynamic leadership to tie it all together -- and build on what has been achieved.
         

This Time It Will Be Very, Very Different
Unfortunately, 2018 is starting to shape up like 2013. President Petro Poroshenko consolidates his power by foot dragging on reforms promised to Western donors, then by harassing opponents. Like the Yanukovych era, there is no rule of law, no parliamentary accountability, and no effective pursuit of corrupt officials or even of Yanukovych who stole billions. Conditions resemble those that led to the 2004 and 2014 “street” revolutions, a situation that officials continuously say cannot be allowed because it would lead to instability and renewed Russian aggression.

But if Ukrainians must take to the streets again, it will be different this time.

The specter of a Russian invasion no longer exists, nor does the possibility that more “little green men” will foment insurrections. The reason is that military conscription, and Western funds, have created one of Europe’s biggest military forces, with 204,000 soldiers (slightly fewer than France’s), 46,000 support staff plus paramilitary forces or 53,000 border guards, and 60,000 in the National Guard.


http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/this-time-it-will-be-very-very-different
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 22, 2018, 01:51:38 PM
It is always interesting to read survey results and the potential conclusions . Much of interest in these results.One of the things ( many things)  I have often been critical of on the forum here is when guys/girls etc make broad pronouncements based on a very shallow exposure from a short time  in Ukraine and to use what was gleaned from immediate family etc as a statement of the situation in Ukraine.
An example I have often quoted was the very fast moving and changing situation in 2014 -- people changed &  voiced their views as they gained confidence in Ukraine.
In this survey -- the areas defined as more Russian speaking are still less overt in  being negative towards Russia.

An interesting point on an area often commented on this forum --is the "sympathy" of the over 35 yo ages towards the USSR days !



What do Ukrainian Youth Think about Russian Aggression in Ukraine?

The events of recent years that affected a part of Ukrainian youth personally, such as the Euromaidan, annexation of Crimea, the anti-terrorist operation in Eastern Ukraine, and forced relocation due to military actions in Donbas, could not but influence their perception of relations with Russia. The opinion poll, analyzed by the New Europe Center, reflects the sentiments that are already affecting and will further influence domestic and foreign policy priorities of Ukraine.

Below we present key findings of the survey on youth perception of Russian aggression in Ukraine and Ukrainian-Russian relations. This list, however, is only the tip of the iceberg, as the nuances and detailed analysis are contained in the report.

http://medium.com/@NEC_Ukraine/what-do-ukrainian-youth-think-about-russian-aggression-in-ukraine-7d913aad967
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Anotherkiwi on January 22, 2018, 05:00:59 PM
It is always interesting to read survey results and the potential conclusions...In this survey -- the areas defined as more Russian speaking are still less overt in  being negative towards Russia.

Yes, JayH, it's very interesting - but it would give a much better picture if it included respondents from Donetsk and Luhansk.  I realise that it may be logistically extremely difficult to do so, but any results without those regions included are naturally going to severely skew the responses.

I don't for a moment support the Russian annexation of Crimea or the invasion of Eastern Ukraine, but the youth in those areas are entitled to as much of a say, in a survey such as this, as those in the rest of the country.  Finding a way to hear that voice is a project which is definitely worthy of someone's time and effort.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 22, 2018, 05:40:26 PM
Yes, JayH, it's very interesting - but it would give a much better picture if it included respondents from Donetsk and Luhansk.  I realise that it may be logistically extremely difficult to do so, but any results without those regions included are naturally going to severely skew the responses.

I don't for a moment support the Russian annexation of Crimea or the invasion of Eastern Ukraine, but the youth in those areas are entitled to as much of a say, in a survey such as this, as those in the rest of the country.  Finding a way to hear that voice is a project which is definitely worthy of someone's time and effort.

I have previously linked material from those areas.
As you say -- it is difficult to assess those areas --but note--the survey did include displaced people from those areas.
Going back some time -I posted material on Crimea that basically contradicted  the general view ( and often stated here by people that should know better!) that Crimea had overwhelming support fro Russia . The problem back then is the sheer weight of the Troll army bombarding the world with a distortion.
Likewise ,recent surveys in the east have been done under great difficulty -- but- even so -- the support for Russia was not in a majority. That was not the same age group as seen above -- and that would be interesting to see if it did hold there.

Regardless --Ukraine has to get on with the future and as such ,plan for all possible scenarios.

As a rider -- I do not agree that there is any benefit in conceding any Ukrainian sovereign territory to Russia in any circumstance. There are many loyal Ukrainians stuck in Crimea and the Donbass.That is not a solution-- but an invitation for future trouble from Russia. Only a clear decisive message will ever be understood by Russia -- not the western wavering inadequate waffling.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on January 23, 2018, 04:01:45 AM
I have previously linked material from those areas.
As you say -- it is difficult to assess those areas --but note--the survey did include displaced people from those areas.
Going back some time -I posted material on Crimea that basically contradicted  the general view ( and often stated here by people that should know better!) that Crimea had overwhelming support fro Russia . The problem back then is the sheer weight of the Troll army bombarding the world with a distortion.
Likewise ,recent surveys in the east have been done under great difficulty -- but- even so -- the support for Russia was not in a majority. That was not the same age group as seen above -- and that would be interesting to see if it did hold there.

Regardless --Ukraine has to get on with the future and as such ,plan for all possible scenarios.

As a rider -- I do not agree that there is any benefit in conceding any Ukrainian sovereign territory to Russia in any circumstance. There are many loyal Ukrainians stuck in Crimea and the Donbass.That is not a solution-- but an invitation for future trouble from Russia. Only a clear decisive message will ever be understood by Russia -- not the western wavering inadequate waffling.

JayH

If you wish to show 'solidarity' why do you persist in using the Russian translit ( rather than the UA one) for Donbas....  You might as well write 'Kiev' ...

You are talking out of your arse about the ethnic make-up of Crimea - whilst it is true that Crimeans were largely content to be autonomous  - most of 'em always felt Russian and it didn't take too much stirring the pot from Moscow to awaken the chance to be back under Moscow - when "the west oversaw the removal of Yanu'" and "a Nazi junta took control"( Do note the inverted commas ..)

Donbas, another kettle of fish - it was more integrated into Ukraine - not so autonomous - the younger generation spoke both languages and I saw no problem in flying a UA flag at Euro 2012

This has been a battle for control of resources, there, really..  old scores between Oligrachs fiefdoms under a pretext of 'liberation' ..

 
 

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on January 23, 2018, 05:51:41 AM
This has been a battle for control of resources, there, really..  old scores between Oligrachs fiefdoms under a pretext of 'liberation' ..

There's a little more to it than that. Three of my coworkers came to Rostov from the Donbass, Two of them, both from Donetsk are absolutely livid about the removal of Yanu, are very anti-Ukraine and have applied for Russian citizenship. The other one , from Lugansk  is more pro-Ukrainian and wishes to return but has had difficulties with the Ukrainian government because she is from the area of conflict. I believe she has now finally been given permission to return.

Otherwise, I largely agree with your arguments. JayH and ML are both too anti-Russian to see or accept reality.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on January 23, 2018, 02:34:39 PM
It was mostly about gaining access to the assets of the region.  The GRU who arrived inflamed that, in support of Russian interests.  There is proof that not only Akhmetov, but Yanukovych, were funding militias in Donbas.


As for Jay and ML, I understand their sentiment.  They both know families who have lost loved ones in the war.  That tends to inflame passions.




Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on January 23, 2018, 03:06:38 PM


Otherwise, I largely agree with your arguments. JayH and ML are both too anti-Russian to see or accept reality.

Actually --it is the other way around!
Eg -- look at my attitude to the damage Trump is doing to America -- your conclusions equal about the same as mine. Does that make you ( or me)  anti American? The answer is no.
If Trump initiates an unprovoked  nuclear attack on NK that results in millions of deaths -- as an American -- would you be feel culpable? If your attitude was a strong negative that would differentiate you from the likes of  silly Billy who cheering Trump on,effectively encouraging him.
You are smart enough to understand my point here.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on January 23, 2018, 03:56:56 PM
Actually --it is the other way around!
Eg -- look at my attitude to the damage Trump is doing to America -- your conclusions equal about the same as mine. Does that make you ( or me)  anti American? The answer is no.
If Trump initiates an unprovoked  nuclear attack on NK that results in millions of deaths -- as an American -- would you be feel culpable? If your attitude was a strong negative that would differentiate you from the likes of  silly Billy who cheering Trump on,effectively encouraging him.
You are smart enough to understand my point here.

True, I am very anti-Trump but my issues with him are kept to conversations with friends and family and here. Many Russians know what's going on in their country and will discuss it in the same manner. Just as there is nothing I can do to impede Trump, Russians know they can't impede the actions of Putin. To assert that all Russians are complicit, as I believe you have, is simply wrong. I should have been more specific in my disagreement.

There's not much you can do about the decisions of politicians, especially in Russia. I don't agree with much Putin does but I don't let it impact my life and my decision to work in Russia. In actuality, Putin is seen by many as the linchpin keeping the Russian government and Russia in general together. With Putin there is stability. So, better the devil you know......
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on January 24, 2018, 02:18:12 AM
Actually --it is the other way around!
Eg -- look at my attitude to the damage Trump is doing to America -- your conclusions equal about the same as mine. Does that make you ( or me)  anti American? The answer is no.
If Trump initiates an unprovoked  nuclear attack on NK that results in millions of deaths -- as an American -- would you be feel culpable? If your attitude was a strong negative that would differentiate you from the likes of  silly Billy who cheering Trump on,effectively encouraging him.
You are smart enough to understand my point here.

JayH... 

You wrote this in another thread..


"Moby -- it is YOU THAT DOES NOT GET IT !!!! :cluebat:
ML has often made the point --when all Russians do "get" the idea that they are responsible --yes-each and every one of them that stays silent is complicit in the invasions and deaths of Ukrainians."



How 'black' are your pots , Mr Kettle ? ;)
Title: Ukrainian factory makes boards for world champion windsurfers
Post by: JayH on May 28, 2018, 12:12:12 AM
This story is an example of comments I have made on various aspects  of Ukraine.It is possible to do business with a decent attitude - and principles.!

ZHYTOMYR, Ukraine — When the Grolitsch family from Austria opened a factory making ironing boards in Ukraine 15 years ago, they couldn’t imagine that one day they would make windsurfing boards for the world’s top athletes.


Ukrainian factory makes boards for world champion windsurfers


Working in Ukraine

Eurogold recently doubled the size of its premises in the outskirts of Zhytomyr city to 80,000 square meters. Grolitsch says he sees his business continuing to be based in Ukraine, due to the country’s proximity to Europe, good logistics routes, and abundance of raw materials.

With 1,200 workers, the factory is currently one of the major employers in the region. And, like many other businesses in Ukraine, it is having trouble finding enough workers, especially shop floor workers and young people with technical education, Grolitsch says.

The people are what he values the most in Ukraine, although he grumbles about the short-term thinking of Ukrainians. “They want a quick profit, and this mentality really has to change.”

At the height of his 15-year experience of running a successful business in Ukraine, Grolitsch has some advice to foreign entrepreneurs who consider investing in the country.

“Never pay a cent of bribes and do not come here thinking you can do whatever you want,” he says. “There are strict rules you have to obey.”


http://www.kyivpost.com/business/ukrainian-factory-makes-boards-for-world-champion-windsurfers.html
Title: “Why I returned to Ukraine”
Post by: JayH on July 16, 2018, 11:33:24 PM
Recently on the forum here we heard from a new member  based in  the south-west of Ukraine who went on to make various highly debatable  and numerous outright incorrect statements .
Her view  were not new to me -- back in 2014 when the Russian agents and disinformation was in full swing it was effective enough-particularly to those already a little sympathetic to Russia.It was a time of considerable confusion in Ukraine.

In the course of only a few months ( as the ongoing Russian invasion expanded) and Ukrainians started getting a much better handle on their situation peoples opinions shifted rapidly.In the course of that year  many people who were ambivalent become believers in Ukrainian nationalism  -- and started to see the hope of a nation free of Russian oppression.

There are people that believe in Ukraine -- despite all the negatives still faced .

This story also needs to be read by some of the ignorant here on the forum who think they can pick up a wife on the cheap who is "desperate" to leave.

“Why I returned to Ukraine”

Lisa Yasko studied at Oxford University and had the world at her feet but says the opportunity to be part of Ukrainian history was simply too good to miss


The thing that strikes me most of all is the spirit of freedom that shapes Ukrainian society. This struggle for freedom defines Ukrainian history and has found its expression in the way people feel free to say whatever they want. If something undermines our sense of freedom, our spirit of rebellion awakens immediately as if something has stirred deep in our DNA. Alongside this love of freedom, Ukrainian society also boasts a disarming sense of authenticity and honesty. Ukrainians are very straightforward when it comes to expressing ourselves.

Today’s Ukraine is a remarkably dynamic society where change is the norm, providing the promise of social mobility and fresh opportunities as the country embraces a new direction. Yes, there are many challenges that Ukraine still needs to resolve. It is not necessarily easy to see the bigger picture when you are focusing on these day-to-day problems, but I believe the developments taking place in the country become more evident once you adopt a broader perspective. In Kyiv, we see more young people than ever entering the senior ranks of government, business, and the cultural world. Meanwhile, the fashion, creativity and clubbing scenes in the Ukrainian capital are so vibrant that the city is gaining a reputation as “The New Berlin”. Young Ukrainians who are part of the first fully post-independence generation appreciate that it is up to them to build a better country.  More and more young people are taking this responsibility upon themselves.

http://bunews.com.ua/opinion/item/why-i-returned-to-ukraine

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on September 25, 2018, 12:47:15 AM
In the last couple of days a couple of interesting articles .
In particular --observations of where Ukraine now stands and is trying to go !
There  are many complexities in trying to understand Ukrainian politics -- these 2 articles deal with some of the practical realities -- and in particular how far Ukraine has actually come in looking west.

How Eastern Ukraine Is Adapting and Surviving: The Case of Kharkiv

A pact between Kiev and the leaders of Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine has limited violence and ensured stability, but at the cost of keeping in place corrupt governing practices and forestalling reform.


http://carnegieeurope.eu/2018/09/12/how-eastern-ukraine-is-adapting-and-surviving-case-of-kharkiv-pub-77216
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on September 25, 2018, 12:58:46 AM
A very respected writer makes some interesting observations. Four and more years ago the concept of an independent Ukraine was ridiculed  by a lot of people here on this forum ( &other forums) and the same people who simply did not understand back then-- still cannot adjust  . None of the path Ukraine is on is easy -- the everyday people are bearing the brunt and hurting badly  and doing it hard. The plus is that the foundations for a better future are being laid .The issue of corruption will have to be faced at some time ,preferably soon.

Russian cultural influence, once all-powerful, is also disappearing, partly thanks to official decisions. Ukrainian radio stations — like those in Canada or France — are required to play a certain percentage of Ukrainian-origin songs, and many Russian state television stations are banned on the grounds that they carry war propaganda. Some want to go further

These petty, discriminatory measures are an expression of frustration with a war that doesn’t end. They are also pointless, because a more profound, tectonic shift is already underway. Thanks to the war, and to their anger at its perpetrators, Ukrainians themselves are choosing to speak Ukrainian — more say they do every year.

 Thanks to the war, the different regions of this vast country are drawing more closely together. Many complain that the war also gives Ukrainian politicians an excuse not to do things, not to make the radical economic and legal reforms that the country still needs. But thanks to the war, more Ukrainians also identify themselves as “European,” in opposition to Russia, and more Ukrainians understand that this “Europeanness” means they need to be vocal and organized in their desire for change.


It is ironic that the Russian invasion, originally intended to punish Ukraine’s Western-oriented government, has pushed the country in a dramatically different direction. It’s also a reminder that the supposed strategic gifts of Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, are in fact very limited. His interference in Ukraine has made a once-friendly neighboring country into an enemy
. His efforts to unite “Russian-speaking peoples” into a Eurasian bloc persuaded thousands of people to stop speaking Russian.



Putin’s war is transforming Ukraine


When they first arrived in Lviv, a university rector told me, the students who came from Donetsk walked around in packs, speaking loudly in Russian. They didn’t want to speak Ukrainian, as most inhabitants of this city do; they didn’t want to integrate. Lviv is in western Ukraine, near the Polish border. Donetsk, hundreds of miles to the east, has been occupied by Russian-backed “separatists” since the Russian invasion in 2014. The new students were “internally displaced persons” — refugees in their own country.

But that first year ended, and the second year was different. By the third year, the rector told me, the students from western Ukraine and the students from eastern Ukraine were nearly indistinguishable — and they aren’t alone. Four years have now passed since the invasion, and the 1.5 million Ukrainians displaced by the war are coping better than might be expected. Most of those who are of working age have jobs. The majority say they trust their neighbors.

The integration of the Donetsk refugees into schools and communities in the central and western parts of the country is also part of a broader story: the integration of the war into the consciousness of Ukrainians. Although it’s no longer on front pages, the Russian-Ukrainian war continues. One of the Russian-backed separatist leaders was killed in a bomb attack in August. Skirmishes take place most days, and soldiers on both sides die most weeks; there have been more than 10,000 casualties since 2014. Some of Lviv’s baroque churches have chapels dedicated to the victims.


Slowly, the never-ending conflict is altering attitudes here, leading to what a perceptive Atlantic Council report has called “the geopolitical divorce of the century”: the separation of two countries that have been part of the same empire for centuries. Trade between Ukraine and Russia, whose economies have been intertwined since the Middle Ages, has plunged, replaced in Ukraine by trade with Europe and the rest of the world. India, not Russia, is now the largest buyer of Ukrainian food. Ancient religious links between the two countries are dying too: The Ukrainian Orthodox Church has now formally split from Moscow. Even personal ties are fading: With travel now limited by bans on direct flights between the two countries, Ukrainians are less likely to live and work in Russia, and more likely to go to Poland instead.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/putins-war-is-transforming-ukraine/2018/09/23/d56d5a10-bdd7-11e8-8792-78719177250f_story.html?utm_term=.c6afc0fff5c2
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on September 25, 2018, 09:45:27 PM
In the last couple of days a couple of interesting articles .
In particular --observations of where Ukraine now stands and is trying to go !
There  are many complexities in trying to understand Ukrainian politics -- these 2 articles deal with some of the practical realities -- and in particular how far Ukraine has actually come in looking west.

How Eastern Ukraine Is Adapting and Surviving: The Case of Kharkiv

A pact between Kiev and the leaders of Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine has limited violence and ensured stability, but at the cost of keeping in place corrupt governing practices and forestalling reform.


http://carnegieeurope.eu/2018/09/12/how-eastern-ukraine-is-adapting-and-surviving-case-of-kharkiv-pub-77216


Kinda scary that the kind of articles from 'experts' on Ukraine that JayH suggest we need to read use the Ukrainian translit name for Kharkiv and the RUSSIAN one for Kyiv ..

Title: How Putin Lost Ukraine for Good
Post by: JayH on January 10, 2019, 02:13:41 AM
Ukraine’s independence from Russia is Kyiv’s ultimate answer to Putin’s unprovoked imperialism and military aggression. If Mikhail Gorbachev lost the USSR, Putin will go down in history as having “lost Ukraine” for good. As Patriarch Barthomelew put it, a new page in Ukraine’s history has been opened, and it will forever be part of Europe.

How Putin Lost Ukraine for G
ood

Russian President Vladimir Putin will go down in history as having “lost Ukraine” for good. Putin has experienced two “geopolitical tragedies” with the disintegration of the USSR in 1991 and disintegration of the Russian world in 2018.

http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-putin-lost-ukraine-for-good
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mendeleyev on January 14, 2019, 08:30:21 AM
Five years ago, the Ukrainian version of the ROC was the dominate religious body in Ukraine. Since the illegal annexation of Crimea and the proxy war in the East, Ukrainians, who are regarded as more frequent attenders of religious services, have bolted out the door.


The Metropolitan of Russia's puppet church, Onufriy, refuses to stand in parliament when a moment of silence is declared to honour Ukrainian soldiers who have perished in the fighting.


Russian oriented priests are known to refuse church funerals to Ukrainian soldiers because they have sinned by fighting "brother against brother." Meanwhile there is no such restriction on Russian soldiers (and they are there to be certain) killed in the same battles.


The puppet church also is known to refuse baptisms of children whose parents are serving in the Ukrainian armed forces. No such restrictions on the other side.


On survey that I read recently said that many Ukrainian faithful had migrated to the independent Orthodox bodies, unaware that they were not part of the Moscow puppet church, but felt more comfortable with priests who cared about Ukraine and her citizens. Today those believers, unless they have been hiding under a rock, are well aware of the new church and a vast majority are genuinely excited.


We were standing in line to view the Tomos after it arrived at St Sophia. The line was very long and in plunging temperatures. We sensed an excitement and I spoke with a father and son who described themselves are not religious, but were thankful for anything that broke the back of Russia and the Kremlin. You can feel this attitude everywhere. Ukrainians are fed up and the damage Putin and Kirill have done will last for generations.


I recall the first Minsk agreement meetings when Putin arrived and declared in opening remarks that Russia could not afford to allow Ukraine to migrate to the West. When asked why, he gave the most telling (albeit unbelievably stupid to openly admit) answer: Europe's higher standards on imports/exports, and the system of justice is very different that Russia's and if Russian citizens see that next door it will lead to instability inside the Russian Federation.


It will take a while, but the next move for independence might be Belarus. Belarusians seem to have an intense dislike for the leader of their Russian puppet church, Metropolitan Paul. He is ethnic Russian and for some reason often criticizes his flock as being backward and "simple." Not exactly a good leadership tactic. In a recent Holy Synod meeting of the ROC in Minsk, not one ethnic Belarusian cleric bothered to attend.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on January 14, 2019, 09:50:29 AM
a high ranking Russian military officer, told me this summer that after the end of 2019, Putin is going to take all of Eastern Ukraine
his plan is to Balkanize Ukraine into 3 different states, Galicia, Kyiv, and NovoRussiya, with NovoRussiya joining Russia
the plan is flexible, so that if an opportunity presents itself it can be taken advantage of, like the March election
also relies on Trump being in power so that there is no US or NATO response...
Americans don't get it that Putin is already at war with the West
the idea that there is going to be peace with Putin, is false!
Putin NEEDS to have the West as his enemy
he has to play a delicate game that requires careful balancing of his moves
but since we make minimal counter-moves against Putin
it's easy for him to win
I think it's TIME to make a STRONG move against Putin
start wacking his money launderers and pin on someone in his inner circle


Title: Ukraine is a healthy democracy. Putin hates that
Post by: JayH on April 26, 2019, 10:55:51 PM
The last thing Putin wants is a successful democracy on his doorstep  proving the Russian BS propaganda wrong again and again.Interesting article covers a lot of intelligent  thinking  on the topic.

The president-elect may be a political novice: but his meteoric rise against the establishment will inspire Russian activists

 Putin is in waiting mode. Perhaps that’s because what Ukraine has achieved – a free and fair, genuinely pluralistic election, and the prospect of a democratic transfer of power – is something the Russian president has trouble getting to grips with in his own country.



Zelenskiy’s election proves Ukraine is a healthy democracy. Putin hates that



 Nothing will have struck Putin more than the words Ukraine’s new president-elect, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, uttered on the night of his victory: “To all countries of the post-Soviet Union: look at us. Anything is possible!” That particular call for change, and for an overhaul of old power structures, even beyond Ukraine, will not have gone down well in the Kremlin.

So there was the 41-year-old, Ukrainian Volodymyr, challenging the 66-year-old, Russian Vladimir. Zelenskiy, a former comedian and TV producer, has no experience whatsoever of public office. Putin, a former KGB operative, will have ruled for an uninterrupted 25 years, as president or prime minister, when he steps down at the end of his current term in 2024 (that is, if he respects the Russian constitution). Putin has no obvious plan for that transition. Ukraine’s current democratic process, by contrast, is going rather smoothly. Since the demise of the Soviet Union 28 years ago Ukraine has had six presidents, Russia only three.

After Zelenskiy’s election, activists in Russia were asking: could Ukraine hold lessons for us? Why can’t Russians also experience a wave of out-with-the old, in-with-the-new? When Algeria’s long-term president, Abdelaziz Bouteflika, was ousted this month, and when Kazakhstan’s leader, Nursultan Nazarbayev, also stepped down, speculation swirled: Russia’s regime may seem a solid, homogeneous bloc, and Ukraine may look like a political maverick, but perhaps things aren’t so clear cut.

If anything, Ukraine’s vote will have brought yet more proof of how far apart the country has grown from its once-sister republic since communism’s collapse. The war in eastern Ukraine, brought on by Russian military aggression in 2014, is of course part of the explanation. But it’s important too to look at each country’s reading of history. It’s hard to minimise the contrasting ways in which Putin’s Russia and today’s Ukraine approach the Soviet past. That common totalitarian legacy, and how it’s dealt with, is the reason why comparing Ukrainian politics with, say, western brands of populism, is misplaced.


http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/apr/25/zelenskiy-ukraine-putin-russian
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on April 27, 2019, 12:44:10 AM
Yet another cut and paste without a personal comment from the 'contributor'...

Georgia, Estonia,Latvia, Lithuania, Finland  and Poland are functioning democracies with land borders with Russia...

Not the best written article JayH could have chosen.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 27, 2019, 03:20:03 AM
For those here with a genuine interest   in Ukraine and the FSU generally --these articles linked provide a good general insight into the current situation -- and some real issues.
There is optimism and hope right now that the new President will spark some real action on key issues .He just needs the balls to follow the right script

Enough Ukraine fatigue. The new president will need our help.


While we don’t yet know what sort of president Zelensky will be, it is clear what sort of president Ukrainian citizens want him to be. Opinion polls consistently show Ukrainians want three things from their political leadership. First, they want a statesman who will stand up to Russian aggression and restore Ukraine’s sovereignty. Second, they want a reformer who will take a battering ram to the oligarchic system that corrupts Ukraine’s politics and economy. Finally, they want someone who will strengthen economic growth, boost wages and create jobs.

Those things are easier said than done. Yet if Zelensky truly wants to be a “servant of the people,” he at least knows what his strategic priorities ought to be. And his campaign rhetoric seems to reflect an awareness of these priorities. To counter Russia’s continuing aggression in Ukraine, Zelensky has called for the United States and the United Kingdom to apply greater leverage on Moscow and get off the sidelines of the diplomatic process, which has been monopolized by France and Germany. To fight corruption, he has called for insulating Ukraine’s law enforcement agencies — especially its National Anti-Corruption Bureau and nascent anti-corruption courts — from political interference. To boost the economy, he has recognized that investment is key but that it crucially depends on rule of law and respect for property rights.

If Zelensky is to succeed with an agenda that matches this campaign rhetoric, he will need both domestic and international support. Domestically, he will need a parliament and civil society willing to back reforms. While the current parliament will likely be too fragmented and gridlocked to get much done, parliamentary elections this October offer a near-term opportunity to bring in a strong bloc of reformers. Ukrainian civil society is already a staunch advocate of reforms and will be a key ally if Zelensky chooses to engage it.



http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/04/22/enough-ukraine-fatigue-new-president-will-need-our-help/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.ff4b2e4b3037
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on April 27, 2019, 04:11:44 AM
"For those with genuine interest"...

If you have bothered to pay attention to JayH, he'd suggest the new President is 'Russia leaning'..



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on April 27, 2019, 06:26:52 AM
Psssst, tovarisch - adiss-so-da!
s’matree...

http://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-zelenskiy-kolomoyskiy/29888017.html

hmmmmmm........


the IMF just dispatched a team of auditors to the NBU

http://www.unian.info/economics/10531629-ukraine-s-national-bank-expects-imf-mission-to-arrive-in-kyiv-in-mid-may.html


Capitan Krimster of the good ship HMS Itoldyaso

y’all want me to tell ya what’s next or just let it be a surprise to y'all???
I will be in Moscow City Center this August - Oh Joy!!!  Bizness, not pleasure...
Then after that, I have to meet with my "Hungarian Cousins" in Budapest, so I have been learning more Hungarian to give me an edge
Yourogert kvananook" Pretty good, huh?
I'll be in District 8 this time... lotta cool places to check out...
also there's the Hungarian cave-made Pilsner, and wait for it, "on tap"....OMG your taste-buds have mini-hops orgasms...
and the waitresses, they can power small cities with their raw "husky" no makeup, all natural sex appeal, OMG!!!!!!
I feel like a rabbit frozen in the oncoming blinding light and on top of their STUNNING beauty they bring me the best beer I ever had and smile REAL NICE when they bring it!!!..
if that's not half-way to being the perfect woman, then I really don't know what is...
I mean other than Elizabeth Hurley of course...

 



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 28, 2019, 03:35:04 AM
As the situation develops a solid body of opinion is seeing it this way--


‘Look at us: everything is possible’ – Zelenskyi’s existential challenge to Putinism


Whatever policies he adopts or concessions he makes, Volodymyr Zelenskyi has so challenged Vladimir Putin’s vision of the world that he already has turned the Kremlin leader into his mortal enemy, someone who will do everything to ensure that Zelenskyi fails and thus cannot be a model for Russians or other post-Soviet nations, Igor Eidman says.

According to the Russian sociologist, Putin’s autocracy rests on the conviction in the population that there is no possibility of change. “’There’s no alternative to Putin. If no Putin, then who?’ are the chief motive behind support of the powers that be and voting for the current president.”

But if what Zelenskyi has achieved in Ukraine is possible, then change is possible not only there but in Russia and the other post-Soviet states.


“Someone can come in place of Putin, and nothing horrible will happen. In this situation, any bright young politician can knock off the old.”

That sends fears through the Kremlin and the other autocratic regimes in the region.

Consequently, Eidman continues, “now all the efforts of the Kremlin will be directed to assure that in Ukraine ‘again nothing will be achieved.” And that almost certainly means that Putin will do everything he can to “destabilize the situation and discredit the new Ukrainian authorities,” however much he welcomed the loss of Petro Poroshenko.

Zelenskyi’s words, although not much attended to in the West, are echoing through the Russian Federation – see for example, the article in Kazan’s Business-Gazeta headlined “Look at us, everything is possible! How Zelenskyi will apply his ‘Putin’ rating?”

But even more significant is a commentary by Petr Akopov in Vzglyad which asks whether Zelenskyis “will appear in other countries of the former USSR” including explicitly the Russian Federation. That is a new and even more troubling worry for the Putin-style verticals than any “color” revolution.


Akopov stresses that Zelenskyi’s declaration about everything being possible has “attracted the greatest attention both in Russia and in other republics – and it is understandable why that should be the case.”

Someone who seemed to come out of nowhere won and without the obvious support of any foreign forces.



http://euromaidanpress.com/2019/04/25/look-at-us-everything-is-possible-zelenskyis-existential-challenge-to-putinism/
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 28, 2019, 03:54:50 AM
The reality is that Ukraine does have a new leader  -- and will need all the support that can be given
Personally- I waver between optimism that he can build on what ha been achieved -- and worry about the many rel issues faced.

Why post a link? Because it details with a wider explanation for all to read for themselves some of the issues being raised now.

QUOTE

"No time to lose

Ukraine doesn’t have time to give Zelenskiy any benefit of the doubt. Russia, and those of Ukraine’s oligarchs who were suppressed during Poroshenko’s rule, are not losing any time in planning their return to power. As with any switch of power in Ukraine, we can expect to see more raider attacks on businesses, and reversals of court decisions.

Poroshenko offered his help to Zelenskiy to provide a smooth transition of power. Zelenskiy should accept it as quickly as possible to make sure he is up-to-date on all of Ukraine’s critical matters.

To avoid a new “25-75” divide, Ukrainians should also unify on the demands that they have for the new president and hold him accountable. The number one demand should be guaranteeing that Zelenskiy will not be influenced by Kolomoisky, making sure that the country’s largest bank, PrivatBank, is not returned to the oligarch."


Ukrainians should be as demanding of Zelenskiy as they were of Poroshenko

The 25 percent

Zelenskiy won the presidential election with an unprecedented 73 percent of the national vote.

But many of the 25 percent of Ukrainians who voted for Poroshenko were not so much pro-Poroshenko as they were anti-Zelenskiy. They were against gambling with their country on someone they know very little about. Some from the other 75 were quick to dismiss them as naïve, and as those who don’t understand Ukraine’s corruption problem. But the 25 percent’s concerns should be heard, as these voters included many highly educated Ukrainian leaders.

Their concerns are obvious: voting for a leader who has no political experience is a risk, and the fact that the leader still hasn’t announced his team and concrete strategy are additional risks for a country at war.

Will he be able to stand up for Ukraine’s national interests against Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, does Russia have any “kompromat” (compromising material or information) against the former comedian, who until recently did a major chunk of his business in Russia? How will he represent Ukraine abroad? Will strategic partners take him seriously? Such questions spring to mind.

 http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/ilya-timtchenko-ukrainians-should-be-as-demanding-of-zelenskiy-as-they-were-of-poroshenko.html?SuperSocializerAuth=LiveJournal
Title: Zelenskiy laughs off Putin’s plans to give Russian passports to Ukrainians
Post by: JayH on April 28, 2019, 04:18:56 AM

Newly elected Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy gave a stinging, sarcastic reply on Facebook late on April 27 to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s proposal to issue Russian passports to citizens of Ukraine in occupied Donbas.

“First of all, I would advise the Russian authorities against attempting to seduce Ukrainian citizens with Russian passports. Of course, there may be people who are still under the influence of propaganda or hope to earn more money to escape criminal responsibility,” said Zelenskiy.

“But what sets Ukraine apart  is that here we have free speech, media and Internet. And that is why we know what Russian passport really means – the right to be arrested for a peaceful protest , the right to have no free and fair elections, the right to forget that inalienable human rights and freedoms even exist,” he said.

“So, do not think that many Ukrainians would like to become “the new oil” that Russian government is trying to turn its people into,” Zelenskiy said.




Zelenskiy laughs off Putin’s plans to give Russian passports to Ukrainians



“We are ready to discuss new conditions for the coexistence of Ukraine and Russia. The true normalization (of relationships) will only take place after a complete de-occupation. Both Donbas and Crimea. Ukraine is not giving up!” Zelenskiy added.

http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/zelenskiy-responses-to-putins-plans-to-issue-russian-passports-in-occupied-donbas.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on April 28, 2019, 04:44:14 AM
More --  all helps explain current issues

Election is win for EuroMaidan Revolution


. Five years after the country’s EuroMaidan Revolution, which ended the presidency of Viktor Yanukovych, the Ukrainian public has acted decisively and with surprising unity to choose the country’s next leader.

But once the heated emotions fade, Ukrainians who supported President Poroshenko in the election should see that they too are the winners of this historic event.

It is too early to pass judgment on Volodymyr Zelenskiy as president. He is inexperienced and has worrying ties to oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky. He faces an ongoing war with Russia, entrenched corruption, and a weak economy. There are many reasons to be concerned about what his presidency will yield for Ukraine. But his election itself is a win for Ukrainian democracy and, yes, Ukraine’s European path.

The vote was free and fair. While there were electoral violations, the campaigns engaged in ugly mudslinging, and much about campaign finance remains untransparent, the election was truly competitive and voters had a clear choice of candidates. They exercised that choice decisively, giving the next president a clear mandate to lead.

The quality of the vote shows that the Ukrainian government is capable of truly democratic elections, and the Ukrainian public has committed itself to democracy. Poroshenko’s gracious concession and promise to remain involved in politics is also good news. There will be a peaceful transfer of power, and Poroshenko has expressed his openness to helping Zelenskiy advance Ukraine’s integration with the European Union. In other words, while the presidential election may have been a referendum on Poroshenko’s presidency, it was not a battle over geopolitics nor two fundamentally polar projects of building the Ukrainian state.

The electoral landslide also demonstrates that Ukraine is hardly as divided as many people claim. Even in the first round of the vote on March 31, the old “East vs. West” divide was limited to a few regions and border areas.

http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/matthew-kupfer-ukraines-2019-election-is-a-win-for-the-euromaidan-revolution.html
Title: Ukraine offers Russians citizenship in snub to Putin
Post by: JayH on April 28, 2019, 10:23:13 AM
Well --it has not taken long. With a quick witted response to the ridiculous games Putin persists in playing--  the President elect have very neatly mocked the whole idea--  and shown the direction  he will take.
Along with his comments on the Donbas & Crimea being Ukrainian - so far so good.

Treating Putin with contempt -- and the Russian nonsense that way -- is showing  that Zelenskiy will not allow himself to be pushed around  .Using his natural ability and instincts to get a laugh is a great way to take on those that want to set the agenda .

He did make some very serious comments in the process.

In his Facebook post, Zelenskiy warned Russia not to talk with Ukraine “in the language of threats or military or economic pressure”.


Ukraine president offers Russians citizenship in snub to Putin


Zelenskiy, who takes office in June, responded to Putin’s offer by releasing a statement on Facebook late on Saturday that pledged to “give citizenship to representatives of all nations that suffer from authoritarian and corrupt regimes, but first and foremost to the Russian people who suffer most of all”.

 Zelenskiy’s election proves Ukraine is a healthy democracy. Putin hates that

“We know perfectly well what a Russian passport provides,” he wrote, “the right to be arrested for a peaceful protest” and “the right not to have free and competitive elections”.

He said one of the differences between Ukraine and Russia was that “we Ukrainians have freedom of speech, freedom of the media and the internet in our country”.


http://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/apr/28/ukraine-president-volodymyr-zelenskiy-snubs-putin-passport-offer-and-hits-back



Ukraine's president-elect rejects Russian passport plan


Ukraine's president-elect has mocked Russia's offer to give passports to his countrymen, saying the document would provide "the right to be arrested".

In a Facebook post rejecting the idea, Volodymyr Zelensky pledged to give citizenship to "suffering" Russians.

Earlier this week, Russia's President Vladimir Putin signed a decree offering people in eastern Ukraine's separatist territories passports.

He later said he was mulling extending the scheme to all Ukrainians.

But Mr Zelensky - a former comedian with no political experience who was elected last Sunday - said he did not believe many of his countrymen would take up the offer.

"Ukrainians are free people in a free country," he said.

Instead, he offered citizenship to "all people who suffer from authoritarian and corrupt regimes", but firstly "to the Russian people who suffer most of all".

The Facebook post was written in both Ukrainian and Russian "so that everyone can hear us", Mr Zelensky said.


http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-48085505


Title: Re: Ukraine is a healthy democracy. Putin hates that
Post by: ML on April 28, 2019, 10:38:23 AM

 Putin, a former KGB operative, will have ruled for an uninterrupted 25 years, as president or prime minister, when he steps down at the end of his current term in 2024 (that is, if he respects the Russian constitution). Putin has no obvious plan for that transition.

Actually Putin does have a plan to extend his rule.

Join Belarus with Russia into a newly formed/named country.

Run for election as supreme leader of that new country whose constitution won't have any restrictions on term limits.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on April 28, 2019, 10:39:15 AM
you go girl!!!

a doggedly determined dingo, once opined, "that copy/paste is in such poor taste"
so please woncha' think
and just include the link

I mean really...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on April 28, 2019, 10:45:05 AM
much better to have Rada name him with 100% unanimous vote as "leader for life" before 2024!!!
especially, after his handling of events in Ukraine, while simultaneously keeping the oil and gas flowing to Europe...
if Putin is able to restore the flow of water to the Northern Crimean Canal, the propaganda just "writes itself"
they will build statues of him, the young will sing songs about him....

only way to stop putin is for the USA to put an Air Traffic Radar as close as possible to where MH17 was shot down and expand it
to block Putin
because otherwise, beginning in about 6 months Ukraine is going to "come apart" at the seams
and when it "pops"
the glorious Red Army will march in and save everyone!!!
ras! vas! tree! hurrah!!!

but...must...be...quiet...now...
maybe, I shouldn't talk too much about this...
yeah..forget about it...


Title: USA sends its best: 101st Airborne Deploys to Ukraine
Post by: ML on May 02, 2019, 08:14:14 AM
http://www.kyivpost.com/ukraine-politics/us-army-101st-airborne-soldiers-deploy-to-ukraine.html

Too bad they didn't go to Eastern Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: JayH on May 08, 2019, 03:30:50 AM
For  those who do have a genuine interest in the future for Ukraine -- this initiative is just one taking place. Numerous interesting observations -- and suggested solutions.

Why We Can't Get Enough of Ukraine

The impact one can have on building institutions like the modern state, the rule of law, and democracy is limited. The area where it’s easiest is the third category, building democracy. The first two, building the modern state and building a real rule of law, are much harder, and those are the areas that have been the real obstacles to the modernization of the political systems of many countries, including Ukraine. The reason that those are particularly difficult is that they’re essentially about power. If you hold an election, the old guard can think we will win the election. We know how to run candidates, we can contest things, we can protect our interests. If you want to build a modern state, it’s a different task. If you want to have a rule of law that applies to powerful people in a society, that is much harder because one is basically forcing them to give up power.

A lot of the well-meaning efforts of outside donors and governments to influence that process has been quite disappointing, especially in the area of corruption, which is the area I have looked at most closely. Corruption exists because it’s not in the self-interest of existing elites to have things change. Elites like the status quo. Therefore, changing that system is a matter of power. It’s a matter of gaining power on the part of people that are not corrupt and want a modern system. One can help that along by creating the proper kinds of incentives; one can do things like create special prosecutors, anti-corruption courts, and the like, which Ukraine has been involved in. One can try to pay people better in the bureaucracy so that they’re not as tempted to take bribes. So there some short-term things in terms of people’s incentives.


http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/why-we-can-t-get-enough-of-ukraine
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 08, 2019, 05:22:48 AM
as far as Ukraine is concerned...
let the dead bury the dead...
all those who want to live will have to change their postal address to Novo Russiya
personally, I think if the messiah was coming to Ukraine, he'd have been there by now...
things will really be different after the war, and that's fer sure good buddy


Title: History offers Ukraine a second chance
Post by: JayH on August 06, 2019, 10:54:51 AM
Never a more apt heading for a linked article in this thread.
There has been quite a lot of foundation laying by the new broom Zelensky that looks and feels decent . I remain optimistic for Ukraine --the will of the peoples intent has been again reflected in the recent elections --  and it is now Zelensky & Co holding the batten to run with.

Just as a small anecdotal aside -- I was recently involved in a ''discussion" with a group of Ukrainians doing some basic work for me-- and when I wanted  to make a specific point myself -I used  my phone to translate. It was set on English to Russian  ( which we have found is a far better more accurate translation than using Ukrainian) . I did not think before using this-- and the leader of the group looked aghast at my translation to Russian ! I did know the conversation was in Ukrainian  and I simply gave it no thought --  when it was pointed  out to me I used all my Ukrainian  slogans to save myself from further embarrassment --  and to the approval of all present! Ukrainian nationalism in real life action !

Following article expresses neatly some pertinent observations .
This is a 1989 moment — an opportunity to throw off a legacy of corruption and misrule


History offers Ukraine a second chance.

History does not often grant second chances. ... It is a 1989 moment: an opportunity for Ukraine to throw off a legacy of dysfunction that has held the country back and follow its neighbours into the European fold 30 years on.




   History does not often grant second chances. But it just has in Ukraine, where new president Volodymyr Zelensky’s Servant of the People party has won parliamentary elections in a landslide. It is a 1989 moment: an opportunity for Ukraine to throw off a legacy of dysfunction that has held the country back and follow its neighbours into the European fold 30 years on.

Experience shows that Ukraine’s neophyte politicians do not have long before the window of opportunity closes. It is the international community’s duty to do all in its power to help them avail themselves of it.

Ukraine’s travails since independence are in a class of their own, with not one lost decade but three. The chief economist of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Sergei Guriev, points out that in 1989, Polish gross domestic product per head was comparable to Ukraine’s; today it is three times larger.

The causes for this slow-motion disaster, in a nation richly endowed in skills and resources, are well known. Deeply corrupt institutions have led to more or less legalised plunder of assets by a handful of oligarchs, worsened by destabilising pressure from Russia including an invasion of the country’s east, the theft of Crimea, and continued aggression on land, on sea and in cyberspace.

If there is a surprise, it is that Ukraine is not doing even worse. Since the 2014 revolution and the onset of the war, the economy has stabilised. Annual growth has been coming in around 3 per cent for several years. Mr Guriev thinks inflation could come down towards the 5 per cent target by next year. Anders Aslund, an economist with decades of regional experience, highlights that a rising currency has brought public debt down to 55 per cent, from 80 per cent of GDP in 2016. Investors are sanguine.


http://www.ft.com/content/c9c15c3c-b77a-11e9-8a88-aa6628ac896c

For those that cannot access the article--

      The immediate priority is to cement new foundations for de-oligarchisation — cleaning up the rotten parts of the judiciary, removing immunity for politicians and increasing transparency across the board — and reinforce those already in place. Strong reformers have been allowed to do good work in institutions such as the finance ministry and the central bank. It is imperative to stand by the latter’s independence, in particular its nationalisation of a troubled bank previously owned by Mr Kolomoisky.

Then comes further economic reform, which should aim to improve productivity but also erode the oligarchs’ grip on the economy. A wealth tax ought to be in the mix. More competition is essential; since the war, Russian companies have been sanctioned, with the side effect of reinforcing local monopolies.

Europe has a particular responsibility and ability to help. Ukraine’s desire to integrate with Europe triggered the Euromaidan protests in 2013-14. While Russia has been waging war, the EU has put in place an association agreement. The visa-free travel this grants “has changed the existential direction of Ukraine towards the west”, in the words of one Ukrainian friend. Mr Zelensky promises prosperity; the EU can help him deliver it.


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   http://www.ft.com/content/c9c15c3c-b77a-11e9-8a88-aa6628ac896c
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on August 07, 2019, 03:55:22 AM
Ukraine chance # 1 '89

# 2 ..  2004… Orange Revolution


# 3 Present and Parliamentary selections of 2014

# 4 fighting corruption, Sakashvilli scuppered by his old mate Poroshenko ..

# 5  2019 Presidential and Parliamentary elections...

Whilst I am well aware of the negatives your article lists... They and you seem to forget how many chances Ukraine is being given...
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Grumpy on May 13, 2020, 03:29:10 PM
 After weeks of wrangling, Ukraine lawmakers Wednesday effectively blocked a powerful oligarch from regaining control of his former bank, potentially unlocking a $5 billion loan package from the International Monetary Fund.

With the economic crisis triggered by covid-19 threatening to slash Ukraine’s GDP by nearly 5 percent, according to the government’s estimate, Ukraine desperately needs the IMF funding to deal with the pandemic and reboot its economy.

The new law targets one of Ukraine’s most powerful oligarchs, Ihor Kolomoisky, co-owner of Privatbank, the country’s largest lender, nationalized in 2016 after $5.5 billion of its assets disappeared.

Court action by Kolomoisky to recover Privatbank is ongoing. But the law passed Wednesday — known in Ukraine as “anti-Kolomoisky law” — makes it impossible for him to regain control of the bank. The new law prevents former owners of banks that have been nationalized after insolvency from regaining their assets.

“Financially, he is losing at least $5 billion, which he hoped to receive as a compensation for Privatbank. However, politically it will mean in eyes of general public and political elites that he has lost control over Zelensky, which is a real blow,” she said.

Aslund said the passage of the law meant Kolomoisky would lose the bank but he would still have metallurgical factories, airlines, television network 1+1 and other assets. He also still has allies in parliament.

“This is hardly the end for Kolomoisky,” said Aslund, “because he has so many other assets, but it should be the end of his alliance with Zelensky, who is then turning to the West and decency instead.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-kolomoisky-bank-imf/2020/05/13/3fbd2802-8571-11ea-81a3-9690c9881111_story.html
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 13, 2020, 08:17:50 PM
docs in 4 langs

Hebrew
Arabic
Russian
English

we wish to personally thank the esteemed President of the Russian Federation
for his personal help in clearing away any obstacles to bringing in this equipment from Israel
to Russian Hospitals
(he actually HAD NOTHING to do with it!)

and never mind about the "other stuff"
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 14, 2020, 01:34:47 AM
After weeks of wrangling, Ukraine lawmakers Wednesday effectively blocked a powerful oligarch from regaining control of his former bank, potentially unlocking a $5 billion loan package from the International Monetary Fund.

With the economic crisis triggered by covid-19 threatening to slash Ukraine’s GDP by nearly 5 percent, according to the government’s estimate, Ukraine desperately needs the IMF funding to deal with the pandemic and reboot its economy.

The new law targets one of Ukraine’s most powerful oligarchs, Ihor Kolomoisky, co-owner of Privatbank, the country’s largest lender, nationalized in 2016 after $5.5 billion of its assets disappeared.

Court action by Kolomoisky to recover Privatbank is ongoing. But the law passed Wednesday — known in Ukraine as “anti-Kolomoisky law” — makes it impossible for him to regain control of the bank. The new law prevents former owners of banks that have been nationalized after insolvency from regaining their assets.

“Financially, he is losing at least $5 billion, which he hoped to receive as a compensation for Privatbank. However, politically it will mean in eyes of general public and political elites that he has lost control over Zelensky, which is a real blow,” she said.

Aslund said the passage of the law meant Kolomoisky would lose the bank but he would still have metallurgical factories, airlines, television network 1+1 and other assets. He also still has allies in parliament.

“This is hardly the end for Kolomoisky,” said Aslund, “because he has so many other assets, but it should be the end of his alliance with Zelensky, who is then turning to the West and decency instead.”

http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-kolomoisky-bank-imf/2020/05/13/3fbd2802-8571-11ea-81a3-9690c9881111_story.html (http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/ukraine-zelensky-kolomoisky-bank-imf/2020/05/13/3fbd2802-8571-11ea-81a3-9690c9881111_story.html)
OR in other words, stealing has been made legal if done by the state.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 14, 2020, 02:00:48 PM
How is the state stealing?  Kolomoisky killed his partners, who, together, by force, stole state owned enterprises in the Dnepropetrovsk region.  All the state is doing is taking back the proceeds from state assets Kolomoisky stole, then sold. 


Had Kolomoisky faced trial in a country with an actual rule of law, he'd be in jail right now, and his assets would have been rightly returned to the state.



This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on May 14, 2020, 02:25:43 PM
Zelensky sees a new vision.   And the bread is buttered on the other side of this new vision.   Interesting.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 15, 2020, 01:44:58 AM
How is the state stealing?  Kolomoisky killed his partners, who, together, by force, stole state owned enterprises in the Dnepropetrovsk region.  All the state is doing is taking back the proceeds from state assets Kolomoisky stole, then sold. 


Had Kolomoisky faced trial in a country with an actual rule of law, he'd be in jail right now, and his assets would have been rightly returned to the state.



This post was composed without the aid of google.
While this may be applied for this case, it opens up the possibility of any private owned bank being nationalized without possibility for compensation.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: jone on May 15, 2020, 07:32:48 PM
While this may be applied for this case, it opens up the possibility of any private owned bank being nationalized without possibility for compensation.

Yah, buttttt ...

For a generation these oligarchs have been kicking people around with no governmental opposition.   Maybe its about time for them to have to consider that the government might actually have teeth when requiring them to toe the line.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 16, 2020, 01:57:35 AM
Yah, buttttt ...

For a generation these oligarchs have been kicking people around with no governmental opposition.   Maybe its about time for them to have to consider that the government might actually have teeth when requiring them to toe the line.
The last guys who did it in that way were Lenin and Stalin in order to get rid of the nobility. Worked well for them a bit less well for Ukraine.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 16, 2020, 04:34:27 AM
Yah, buttttt ...

For a generation these oligarchs have been kicking people around with no governmental opposition. 

Er, NO ... depending on which govt was in power... be it weakness or showing favours. you COMPLETELY misunderstood the situation...   Remember in 2014, Mr K effectively ran his oblast (Dnipropetrovsk) like a fiefdom and funded a private army.

There were those, myself included, who wondered if President Z was back by Mr.K's might and money ..   I STILL do not now if this is a 'stunt' or proof I was wrong  ...given the strength of the Oligarchal hierarchy.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 16, 2020, 02:22:06 PM
While this may be applied for this case, it opens up the possibility of any private owned bank being nationalized without possibility for compensation.


Privat Bank wasn't a bank.  It was a money laundering operation, and that is the basis for it being shut down in the first place.  Almost all its loans were made to shareholders.  At the time of its nationalization (agreed to by its owner, Kolomoisky), it had a shortfall of $5.5. billion.  Nationalization was done to ensure clients' funds were safe.  So, the nationalization was done to protect millions of Ukrainians who'd had their life savings "loaned" to Kolomoisky.  He has real chutzpah to demand it be returned after the Ukrainian taxpayer bailed out its $5.5 billion shortfall.


The refusal to hand the bank back to Kolomoisky has little to do with Zelensky.  It's all about public outrage.


This post was composed without the aid of google.



Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 16, 2020, 03:15:00 PM
The last guys who did it in that way were Lenin and Stalin in order to get rid of the nobility. Worked well for them a bit less well for Ukraine.


Mmmm, no.  Putin's Russia also renationalized industries, and the proceeds therefrom, that were stolen by oligarchs. 


This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 16, 2020, 03:17:06 PM
Remember in 2014, Mr K effectively ran his oblast (Dnipropetrovsk) like a fiefdom and funded a private army.

There were those, myself included, who wondered if President Z was back by Mr.K's might and money ..   I STILL do not now if this is a 'stunt' or proof I was wrong  ...given the strength of the Oligarchal hierarchy.

Dnipropetrovsk is still run by oligarchs, Kolomoisky being the strongest of them.  Kolomoisky is also spreading his tentacles into Donbas.  There are plenty of reports of civilians being killed by his "army" there.

This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 12:40:00 AM

Mmmm, no.  Putin's Russia also renationalized industries, and the proceeds therefrom, that were stolen by oligarchs. 


This post was composed without the aid of google.
And Ukraine wants to copy that.....
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 12:44:48 AM
And Ukraine wants to copy that.....

Have you taken an obtuse pill, John ?

The Kremlin 'nationalise' the assets of folks that do not 'support' the aims of United Russia and the President. They are busted for same by the ECHR ( European Court of Human Rights ) and ignore rulings of Arbitration Courts ..

Let's see if Mr.K goes that route and any findings ? ....
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 01:02:50 AM
Have you taken an obtuse pill, John ?

The Kremlin 'nationalise' the assets of folks that do not 'support' the aims of United Russia and the President. They are busted for same by the ECHR ( European Court of Human Rights ) and ignore rulings of Arbitration Courts ..

Let's see if Mr.K goes that route and any findings ? ....
I am just not defending laws that are obviously made to steal.
I am aware that people here believe Ukraine is a country full of honest people that try to create a democracy and economy like the US or any Western EU country.Reality is that they are still in the mindset of right after the USSR where olicharchs and crime syndicates rule and a president is just a face they put on for the outside world.Please tell me that Ukraine is not a country divided by civil war, where people are getting by facing huge corruption and crime without hope for a solution.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 01:26:51 AM
I am just not defending laws that are obviously made to steal.

Then IF that is the case, Ukraine is suggesting ado[ting a more western - accountable - govt and any 'wronged party' has the right to see non-Ukrainian opinion to which Ukraine is a signatory...

I am aware that people here believe Ukraine is a country full of honest people that try to create a democracy and economy like the US or any Western EU country.Reality is that they are still in the mindset of right after the USSR where olicharchs and crime syndicates rule and a president is just a face they put on for the outside world.Please tell me that Ukraine is not a country divided by civil war, where people are getting by facing huge corruption and crime without hope for a solution.

I'm not sure if you're suggesting either myself or Boethius are claiming Ukraine is 'perfect' ... neither of us ( I believe) still know if President Z truly is representing the people or his pocket.

For sure, there are those who seek to maintain the money buys might and muscle..even in a region, but it must be clear that Ukraine keeps 're-booting' and trying to break free of the mould and should be supported, as such .

Ukraine is a mess - and that's EXACTLY what Moscow intended, then points a finger and says, do you want that ? ..  I'm surprised you don't see that ?

From Georgia to Moldova and Ukraine , there's a pattern of frozen conflict, handing out RU passports .. that's what happens when Moscow planted eth Russians in Soviet times ...

I'm from N.Ireland .. Moscow learnt this trick from the British ? 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 01:32:45 AM
Then IF that is the case, Ukraine is suggesting ado[ting a more western - accountable - govt and any 'wronged party' has the right to see non-Ukrainian opinion to which Ukraine is a signatory...

I'm not sure if you're suggesting either myself or Boethius are claiming Ukraine is 'perfect' ... neither of us ( I believe) still know if President Z truly is representing the people or his pocket.

For sure, there are those who seek to maintain the money buys might and muscle..even in a region, but it must be clear that Ukraine keeps 're-booting' and trying to break free of the mould and should be supported, as such .

Ukraine is a mess - and that's EXACTLY what Moscow intended, then points a finger and says, do you want that ? ..  I'm surprised you don't see that ?

From Georgia to Moldova and Ukraine , there's a pattern of frozen conflict, handing out RU passports .. that's what happens when Moscow planted eth Russians in Soviet times ...

I'm from N.Ireland .. Moscow learnt this trick from the British ?
Yup if a country is a mess Russia must be blamed for it. Not the people themselves.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 01:40:30 AM
Yup if a country is a mess Russia must be blamed for it. Not the people themselves.

The obtuse in you is strong, today !

You know VERY well that Moscow ensures Ukraine's continued instability. 

WHO suggested Moscow was solely to blame?

It never bothers me to be addressed as a 'russophobe' by ignorant folk, but I feel you MAY be heading that way and you are too smart for that approach ;)

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 02:56:03 AM
The obtuse in you is strong, today !

You know VERY well that Moscow ensures Ukraine's continued instability. 

WHO suggested Moscow was solely to blame?

It never bothers me to be addressed as a 'russophobe' by ignorant folk, but I feel you MAY be heading that way and you are too smart for that approach ;)
The one thing Moscow would like to prevent is American weaponry in Ukraine.For the rest they are content with sitting back and enjoying the show.  :popcorn:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 08:00:52 AM
The one thing Moscow would like to prevent is American weaponry in Ukraine.For the rest they are content with sitting back and enjoying the show.  :popcorn:

1/ I saw Putin hold up Yankovich' hand in Maidan during the first ( and WELL dodgy ) 'elections' for President .. example one of Moscow trying to control / influence

2/ Moscow has supplied GRU 'help' in Donbas, Crimea and Odesa, thanks ..with a success rate of 50%

3/ Then there'd the whisking away of Yankovich in the night ( GRU)  ... to prevent his arrest for the raping of Ukraine's assets with the help of his sons

4/ Following breaking into armouries in Donbas and kicking off a real civil war in Donbas , the 'good  work' of the GRU was in reverse

5/ During which time MH-17 was shot shot by the rebels with the 'help' of a Russian Airborne brigade's errant BUK system and missile

6/ Then we had the Russian army arrive on the Mariupol coast road from Taganrog ( when EVERYBODY in that city knew what was coming .. INVASION

I guess you weren't in Russia at that time ...




Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 08:14:54 AM
1/ I saw Putin hold up Yankovich' hand in Maidan during the first ( and WELL dodgy ) 'elections' for President .. example one of Moscow trying to control / influence

2/ Moscow has supplied GRU 'help' in Donbas, Crimea and Odesa, thanks ..with a success rate of 50%

3/ Then there'd the whisking away of Yankovich in the night ( GRU)  ... to prevent his arrest for the raping of Ukraine's assets with the help of his sons

4/ Following breaking into armouries in Donbas and kicking off a real civil war in Donbas , the 'good  work' of the GRU was in reverse

5/ During which time MH-17 was shot shot by the rebels with the 'help' of a Russian Airborne brigade's errant BUK system and missile

6/ Then we had the Russian army arrive on the Mariupol coast road from Taganrog ( when EVERYBODY in that city knew what was coming .. INVASION

I guess you weren't in Russia at that time ...
:deadhorse: :deadhorse: :deadhorse:
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on May 17, 2020, 08:54:28 AM
Yup if a country is a mess Russia must be blamed for it. Not the people themselves.


Individuals and nations are to be blamed. Smaller nations are always influence by their bigger neighbors to some degree. If Canada and Ukraine swapped locations, should we expect the same results in those nations we see today?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 08:58:46 AM
:deadhorse: :deadhorse: :deadhorse:

No problem, John.. Take your time and entertain us with ANY version of 'truth' to rebuff the Kremlin 'away games' in Ukraine.

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 10:07:43 AM
No problem, John.. Take your time and entertain us with ANY version of 'truth' to rebuff the Kremlin 'away games' in Ukraine.
No need. Ukrainians are capable enough to f** up their own country.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 12:31:36 PM
No need. Ukrainians are capable enough to f** up their own country.

You total failure to acknowledge the constant 'help' from Russia in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine is telling

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 17, 2020, 12:52:59 PM
You total failure to acknowledge the constant 'help' from Russia in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine is telling
The constant pointing of those countries for teir failure to fix their own issues is even more telling.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Confederate on May 17, 2020, 01:30:58 PM
The constant pointing of those countries for teir failure to fix their own issues is even more telling.


That’s the problem with the moby’s of the World, they want the USA and NATO to intervene in the affairs of other nations but never consider long term consequences and why those countries are screwed up to begin with.

Putin is right when he says we don’t need a World with only one power dictating to others, we need a more multi-polar world.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: krimster2 on May 17, 2020, 01:53:55 PM
"Putin is right when he says we don’t need a World with only one power dictating to others, we need a more multi-polar world."

yeah, too bad that sentiment doesn't apply within Russia, right?
do you remember the Soviet Union? you were young then, and you don't read much, so you're probably not too familiar with its history
but Putin remembers, and this is what he has in mind for the future, this version of multi-polar
how many times have you visited Russia/Ukraine?
I still have houses there and I have Permanent Residence for Russia and used to have for Ukraine
so I'm more than just a LITTLE familiar...






Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 17, 2020, 02:35:27 PM
Ukraine's poor government has little to do with Russia.  It is the fault of the Ukrainian political elite.  Their attitude is not what is best for the country, it's about what is best for them.  This has been the case for centuries, going back to Izyaslav I.  Since that time, Ukraine has never been ruled by power structures that cared more for the country and its people than they did about their own power and wealth.  The current crop of political elite (I mean all those since independence) took power to line their own pockets, hide their wealth abroad, and either live with immense power in Ukraine, or escape abroad with their stolen wealth.

Both Russia and the US have interfered in Ukraine for their own purposes.  But, I believe that these are relatively minor in terms of how the average Ukrainian lives, when compared to the lack of change among the political elite.  They are the oligarchs, the ones stealing the wealth of the nation, and subjecting millions to living hand to mouth existences.

Today in Ukraine, you will be jailed if you criticize Kyiv (I mean the federal government) openly, particularly on issues related to Donbas or Crimea.

Unlike Shadow, I don't blame the average Ukrainian citizen, because they are relatively powerless in all of this.  A time may come when they will have had enough, and will rise up, but mostly, they are now just trying to survive.

Suggesting if Ukraine and Canada switched places, the results would be reversed (i.e., Ukraine would have Canada's economy, Canada, Ukraine's) is inane.  Canada's history is inexorably linked to Great Britain.  No matter what you want to say about Great Britain, it created a fantastic system for the rule of law, and relatively good governance.  It doesn't work as well in Canada as it does in the UK, because of our size and the perversions of party whips in Canada, but it is still better than most systems of governance.  That is what makes Canada relatively successful.   Until the mid 19th century, Great Britain, not the US, was Canada's largest trading partner, and Canada's rule of law was strong then, too. Ukraine, OTOH, has never had a rule of law. 

This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 17, 2020, 02:45:41 PM
The constant pointing of those countries for teir failure to fix their own issues is even more telling.
OK, seeing obtuse is your 'hobby' which nation is the common denominator in ALL the frozen conflicts.......?

A: RUSSIA

That's what happens when you try to blame 'someone else', John ... One nation KEEPS cropping up
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 17, 2020, 04:00:27 PM

That’s the problem with the moby’s of the World, they want the USA and NATO to intervene in the affairs of other nations but never consider long term consequences and why those countries are screwed up to begin with.


Where did the mobys of the world say they want the USA or NATO to intervene in the affairs of other nations?


This post was composed without the aid of google (no matter what Faux Pas alleges).
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: BillyB on May 17, 2020, 04:15:26 PM
  Canada's history is inexorably linked to Great Britain. 


Ukraine is tied to Russia/USSR. Switch places and I doubt Canada would be where it is today and I would bet Ukraine would be much better off since there would be no oligarchs.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 17, 2020, 04:23:51 PM
Sure, if Scots had settled Ukraine en masse, and it had been governed by a British queen/king.


Not all of Ukraine was tied to Russia.  Half of Ukraine, for much of its history, was under Polish, Romanian, or Austro-Hungarian rule. Western Ukraine was only under Soviet influence for 40 odd years.


This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 12:30:20 AM

That’s the problem with the moby’s of the World, they want the USA and NATO to intervene in the affairs of other nations but never consider long term consequences and why those countries are screwed up to begin with.

Boethius has already corrected you, but to push this error of yours home..

1/ Tell us why being a NATO member was a aim of Ukraine by the maj. of people or political leaders ? .. That's right ... AFTER Moscow militarily took control of Crimea

2/ IF you know anything about the region, you'd have realised how DAFT that claim was.

Putin is right when he says we don’t need a World with only one power dictating to others, we need a more multi-polar world.

..WHAT has this got  to do with his 'away games' in Ukraine and other neighbouring nations ?   

Does that mean Russia can support conflict in those nations, bite off chunks and hand out RU passports ( including the murder of civilians overflying a war they 'sponsored' )   and we should 'suck it up' ?

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 18, 2020, 01:23:43 AM
OK, seeing obtuse is your 'hobby' which nation is the common denominator in ALL the frozen conflicts.......?

A: RUSSIA

That's what happens when you try to blame 'someone else', John ... One nation KEEPS cropping up
As Russia has been the most influential in these countries in the past,  of course people will point there. It is like telling that Mexico and Canada constantly point at the US.
Perhaps read the post of Boethius which makes it clear that neither Russia nor the EU/US have more than a minor influence and the main reason is the corrupt political elite. While I do not blame the millions of Ukrainians who are tired of their politics and just wish to live a normal life,somehow they manage to fall every time for the golden mountains the new face promises.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 04:16:20 AM
As Russia has been the most influential in these countries in the past,  of course people will point there. It is like telling that Mexico and Canada constantly point at the US.
Perhaps read the post of Boethius which makes it clear that neither Russia nor the EU/US have more than a minor influence and the main reason is the corrupt political elite. While I do not blame the millions of Ukrainians who are tired of their politics and just wish to live a normal life,somehow they manage to fall every time for the golden mountains the new face promises.

I missed when the US or Canada have sent people into Mexico, issued them US or Canadian passports and claimed part of Mexico ( since the Alamo and Texas' annexation )

The Ukrainians seem to be lucky, other than having such an avaricious neighbour, in that they really do have democratic elections, now ..


I suppose you're going to 'defend' the stunts the RF employs to stop client s that WOULD win, or give VVP and his United Russia a run for their money .. ?

You DO realise the RF is corrupt from the top down ?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 18, 2020, 04:20:47 AM
I missed when the US or Canada have sent people into Mexico, issued them US or Canadian passports and claimed part of Mexico ( since the Alamo and Texas' annexation )

The Ukrainians seem to be lucky, other than having such an avaricious neighbour, in that they really do have democratic elections, now ..


I suppose you're going to 'defend' the stunts the RF employs to stop client s that WOULD win, or give VVP and his United Russia a run for their money .. ?

You DO realise the RF is corrupt from the top down ?
Solve the issues in Ukraine then you might try the next step.Corruption is in every country from the top down, the problem arises when it goes too far down.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 04:38:42 AM
Solve the issues in Ukraine then you might try the next step.Corruption is in every country from the top down, the problem arises when it goes too far down.

Sighs,

The easiest internet search will reveal how ex PM and 'President '  Dmitry Medevdev  was the fall guy when it was exposed who funds his lifestyle, given his declared earnings.. Oligarchs who get awarded national contracts and 'nationalised' assets of Oligarchs who dared to become Politically active.

Mr Peskov, who was hospitalised with COVID-19 has a watch that would take more a lifetime for the average RU citizen to acquire on a ( declared ) salary of c.$20k

The Russian Court system is not something you want to end up in, given if they want you off the streets , you'll be gone.

I love Russia, and it deserves better ... Ukrainians demand better and have at least got elections that are fairer


Now, I note you simply cannot deal with the FACT that Russia physically interferes in it's neighbours affairs - esp. when they are 'naughty' and do not accept Russia's advice.


I HATE that Estonia and Latvia treat eth RU folk as 'residents' and have no say in the running of the country, but all they need to do is learn a few basic phrases of the local lingo and agree the former USSR did 'bad things'..

I GO to these places and talk to the people ..  they have NO problems with Russian people and in the EST / LV regions they even hanker ( sometimes) for control from Moscow.

Unlike you ( or so it seems ) I see both sides, but I watch the RU govt controlled media and see how they try to push how 'morally and monetarily' bankrupt former Soviet satellite nations are and the EU nations they might be part of ..

 
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 18, 2020, 05:00:54 AM
Sighs,

The easiest internet search will reveal how ex PM and 'President '  Dmitry Medevdev  was the fall guy when it was exposed who funds his lifestyle, given his declared earnings.. Oligarchs who get awarded national contracts and 'nationalised' assets of Oligarchs who dared to become Politically active.

Mr Peskov, who was hospitalised with COVID-19 has a watch that would take more a lifetime for the average RU citizen to acquire on a ( declared ) salary of c.$20k

The Russian Court system is not something you want to end up in, given if they want you off the streets , you'll be gone.

I love Russia, and it deserves better ... Ukrainians demand better and have at least got elections that are fairer


Now, I note you simply cannot deal with the FACT that Russia physically interferes in it's neighbours affairs - esp. when they are 'naughty' and do not accept Russia's advice.


I HATE that Estonia and Latvia treat eth RU folk as 'residents' and have no say in the running of the country, but all they need to do is learn a few basic phrases of the local lingo and agree the former USSR did 'bad things'..

I GO to these places and talk to the people ..  they have NO problems with Russian people and in the EST / LV regions they even hanker ( sometimes) for control from Moscow.

Unlike you ( or so it seems ) I see both sides, but I watch the RU govt controlled media and see how they try to push how 'morally and monetarily' bankrupt former Soviet satellite nations are and the EU nations they might be part of ..
As seems usual you do not get it. I see both sides, but I do not choose a side here.Ukraine has what people call free elections, yet there still is a civil war (do not think that is over just because the news has stopped) and the people elected show time and time again to be no better than their predecessors.Opposed to that is a country where people realize that their government has its issues, but also that the effect for the country and population is positive in general.
Do not forget that I am in daily contact with people around the FSU on a friendly basis, not just the MIL.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 05:48:09 AM
As seems usual you do not get it.

Says the chap who has clearly been offering somewhat easy 'counters' to rebuff the clear physical involvement of Moscow in her INDEPENDENT neighbours


I see both sides, but I do not choose a side here.

I believe ANYONE watching your responses would dout that, John !

Ukraine has what people call free elections, yet there still is a civil war

It is not a 'Civil' War .. it is a sponsored by the RF, started by the RF and the RF is giving UA citizens RF passports


(do not think that is over just because the news has stopped) and the people elected show time and time again to be no better than their predecessors.

Remember, *I* said I've seen things with my own eyes.. The train form Sochi to Moscow used to pass through UA territory and we meet tourists from Donbas, plus wifey's dearest friend is a UA passport holder in the region of Donbas still under UA control...

The residents of Taganrog saw and heard Russia move it's armies into Ukraine in 2014 ...

Opposed to that is a country where people realize that their government has its issues, but also that the effect for the country and population is positive in general.

When where you last in SW Russia or Ukraine to know ?  Russians tend not to be 'political' as they realise that they cannot change anything, but the youngsters ... OMG you cannot have ANY idea


Do not forget that I am in daily contact with people around the FSU on a friendly basis, not just the MIL.

It doesn't show ..
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 18, 2020, 07:08:20 AM
You are correct that most Russians do not care about politics, especially when talking to Westerners who will just talk bad about their politics and country.The eternal badmouthing of Russia makes Russians very wary of Westerners in general and English speaking especially.I could get you the opinion of about 20k people, but I am sure your own is much more correct.....to you.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 07:29:44 AM


Shadow fails by suggesting something that doesn't happen ( in my case )

You are correct that most Russians do not care about politics, especially when talking to Westerners who will just talk bad about their politics and country.

Now, now, John do not go around suggesting that when I'm a guest of wifey and in the company of her friends that I do any of the things you MIGHT be suggesting ..

When I'm asked about VVP my std answer is that like my political leader and 'Trampu', best not ask .. THEY assume I'm a 'westerner' fed on fibs and there, the matter lies..

As time goes by, they chat about their dreams and regrets and will tell you the stories of corruption ... 

I DRIVE in Russia, in my British registered car, I NEVER get stopped.. well I'm slowed down and waved on, but when driving in the RU one .. until they realise I'm not resident and don't have a RU driver's licence, they THINK I'm a human bankomat ..



The eternal badmouthing of Russia makes Russians very wary of Westerners in general and English speaking especially.I could get you the opinion of about 20k people, but I am sure your own is much more correct.....to you.

This is patent nonsense.. spend time at a Dacha or by a river in the mountains or on the beach and westerners are STILL the subject of interest and opinions are sought .. We speak in 'Ringlish' ..Russians try to speak English and I 'Russian' ..

Russians can TELL I'm not Russian on hearing my accent and I do try to blend in ..   

I have no idea were you 'hang out' when you were last in RU, but you are totally right ... my experiences differ from yours, (drastically) and I have lived / worked with Russians / Ukrainians / Georgians / Belarusians / Latvian 'Russians'  since 2002 on a daily basis and travel widely in the FSU when 'permitted' ..

On Wednesday evening I will be with my RU friends and acquaintances via zoom and chatting about relationships ( differences between the west and Russia) There will be a Swiss guy who now lives in Russia and is a patriot ... these are the 'scariest' people  I meet .. westerners who should know better and think w.Europe is full of gays and liberals  :cluebat:

Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Shadow on May 18, 2020, 08:18:20 AM
The difference is you are a Westerner trying to blend in. People in my circle have no idea I am not Russian.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Confederate on May 18, 2020, 08:21:54 AM

Shadow fails by suggesting something that doesn't happen ( in my case )

Now, now, John do not go around suggesting that when I'm a guest of wifey and in the company of her friends that I do any of the things you MIGHT be suggesting ..

When I'm asked about VVP my std answer is that like my political leader and 'Trampu', best not ask .. THEY assume I'm a 'westerner' fed on fibs and there, the matter lies..

As time goes by, they chat about their dreams and regrets and will tell you the stories of corruption ... 

I DRIVE in Russia, in my British registered car, I NEVER get stopped.. well I'm slowed down and waved on, but when driving in the RU one .. until they realise I'm not resident and don't have a RU driver's licence, they THINK I'm a human bankomat ..



This is patent nonsense.. spend time at a Dacha or by a river in the mountains or on the beach and westerners are STILL the subject of interest and opinions are sought .. We speak in 'Ringlish' ..Russians try to speak English and I 'Russian' ..

Russians can TELL I'm not Russian on hearing my accent and I do try to blend in ..   

I have no idea were you 'hang out' when you were last in RU, but you are totally right ... my experiences differ from yours, (drastically) and I have lived / worked with Russians / Ukrainians / Georgians / Belarusians / Latvian 'Russians'  since 2002 on a daily basis and travel widely in the FSU when 'permitted' ..

On Wednesday evening I will be with my RU friends and acquaintances via zoom and chatting about relationships ( differences between the west and Russia) There will be a Swiss guy who now lives in Russia and is a patriot ... these are the 'scariest' people  I meet .. westerners who should know better and think w.Europe is full of gays and liberals 
 
The Swiss man sounds like a normal man.

That really bothers moby.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Confederate on May 18, 2020, 08:23:30 AM
The difference is you are a Westerner trying to blend in. People in my circle have no idea I am not Russian.

Were you actually raised in Russia?

You must be completely fluent in all aspects.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 08:41:08 AM
The difference is you are a Westerner trying to blend in. People in my circle have no idea I am not Russian.

I'm not trying to 'blend in' .. I just don't speak.. THEN they know..

Now, apart from your new 'fan', Confed, who hasn't been to the FSU 'in a while' as he's 'too old' could you explain how you are SO out of touch with reality as to attitudes of most young RU people ?
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Confederate on May 18, 2020, 10:49:46 AM
I'm not trying to 'blend in' .. I just don't speak.. THEN they know..

Now, apart from your new 'fan', Confed, who hasn't been to the FSU 'in a while' as he's 'too old' could you explain how you are SO out of touch with reality as to attitudes of most young RU people ?

Shadow doesn’t engage in braggadocio, unlike you, therefore he already has 100X your credibility.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: msmob on May 18, 2020, 11:30:31 AM
Shadow doesn’t engage in braggadocio, unlike you, therefore he already has 100X your credibility.

'Confederate', you best stay in your trailer checking out conspiracy theory vids... I KNOW it butt-hurts you, but my 'galavanting' in the FSU is well-documented, as are my RU 'bizinez' partners ...in RU, Cyprus and Georgia .. 

Come the Russian F1 GP it's MY voice ( in English) that the 100K plus have to put up with on the PA system asking them to be upstanding for the RU national anthem ;)





Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: mhr7 on May 18, 2020, 12:27:51 PM
You are correct that most Russians do not care about politics, especially when talking to Westerners who will just talk bad about their politics and country.The eternal badmouthing of Russia makes Russians very wary of Westerners in general and English speaking especially.I could get you the opinion of about 20k people, but I am sure your own is much more correct.....to you.

I've had numerous Russians start conversations with me about politics when they find out I'm an American, especially taxi drivers. They usually want to know my opinion about current US politics and most of them are very open about putting down their own country. They also frequently ask which country I prefer, the US or RF. I always tell them I love both countries.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 18, 2020, 02:44:14 PM
As seems usual you do not get it. I see both sides, but I do not choose a side here.Ukraine has what people call free elections, yet there still is a civil war (do not think that is over just because the news has stopped) and the people elected show time and time again to be no better than their predecessors.Opposed to that is a country where people realize that their government has its issues, but also that the effect for the country and population is positive in general.


The war is not truly a civil war, because it was fomented and funded by a foreign power.


I don't think you can really blame Ukrainians for electing people who do no better than their predecessors.  It's the fault of power structures, rather than people. 


This post was composed without the aid of google.
Title: Re: Ukraine-The Future
Post by: Boethius on May 18, 2020, 02:46:12 PM
The difference is you are a Westerner trying to blend in. People in my circle have no idea I am not Russian.


Some may not (until you open your mouth), others do but don't tell you.


This post was composed without the aid of google.