It might be folding like a house made of cards!
Kazakhstan is ready to break with Moscow and Minsk
« on: Today at 10:02:58 AM »
Kazakhstan may terminate membership in the Eurasian Economic Union, according to "Vedomosti" , with reference to the agency Tengri News. Such a statement, according to the agency, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev has made during his interview "Khabar".
Nazarbayev said this would be the case if they are not carried out the rules established in the contract. The President stressed that Kazakhstan will not be part of organizations that pose a threat to its independence, according to "Vedomosti". "Our independence - this is our most precious treasure, for which our forefathers fought. Firstly, we will never surrender our independence, and secondly, we will do everything possible to protect it," - said Nursultan Nazarbayev.
Statement by the President of Kazakhstan came a day after Vladimir Putin's speech at the youth forum "Seliger" where he said that Kazakhstan is created on the territory in which the state has never been. According to Putin, Nursultan Nazarbayev "has made a unique thing - created a state on the territory in which the state has never happened before."
This is not the first "slippery" statement allotted lately against Kazakhstan. A few days earlier, in an interview with radio "Echo of Moscow" LDPR leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky offered to "deal with Kazakhstan" after Ukraine, because there "is also observed Russophobe mood."
It is worth noting that nothing offensive to the people of Kazakhstan and its President Putin said in a phrase is not observed. The Kazakh government, in its current form, really created largely thanks to its leader, Nursultan Nazarbayev. Prior to this country is one of the republics of the USSR, the de facto non-independence, and even earlier - part of the Russian Empire, which included in the XVIII century under the threat of external aggression.
Meanwhile, the general context of the latest applications, including word Zhirinovsky, for many years acting as a "obkatchika" unpopular ideas of the Russian government, it could push Nazarbayev to such a serious step. Recently, it was noticeable that the Kazakh leader is experiencing some discomfort associated with the events around Ukraine. His words about the possibility of withdrawal from the Eurasian Economic Union confirmed these assumptions.
Implements Nazarbayev whether their threat or not, is not known. However, it is clear that Nazarbayev, being an ace high politics, never says anything just. Same statement about the possibility of leaving the Union was made to them in public, from which it can be concluded that such a possibility, anyway considered. We can not exclude the fact that it was done to make Russia some political concessions. But in any case, even a hint of such steps, in the present situation does not promise anything good Moscow.
Eurasian Economic Union is one of the major political and economic achievements of the Kremlin in the post-Soviet space. With the release of his idea of the union of Kazakhstan automatically discredited, excluding accession of new members.
No less interesting is the fact that it receives and loses from the possible release of the Eurasian Economic Union, Kazakhstan itself. It is obvious that in this case it on their own or in addition to it will be drawn into the orbit of the interests of one of the two biggest players in the world - China and the United States.
To date, the United States and China controls almost more than half of the oil-producing industry of Kazakhstan. The share of the United States accounted for more than 40% of Kazakhstan's fuel and energy, and China - more than 20%.
The starting point of cooperation between Kazakhstan and the US oil companies considered to April 6, 1993, when they signed the "contract of the century" for a period of 40 years with Chevron. Today, this American company produces oil at Tengiz, Kashagan, Karashyganak. Just in the Kazakh market there are other leading American companies such as ExxonMobil (Tengiz, Kashagan), ConocoPhillips (Kashagan).
As for China, it is as thoroughly invested in Kazakhstan's fuel and energy complex, which is the basis of the economy. In 2009, in exchange for a loan of $ 10 billion. China was one of the main assets in the Kazakh oil sector, which claimed "Gazprom Neft" - 49% of the company "Mangistaumunaigas" (MMG), and potential access to uranium deposits. Having control over nearly a quarter of all Kazakh energy resources, China has provided the route and transportation of oil in the form of an oil pipeline Kazakhstan - China (20 million tons per year).
At the same time, unlike the American economic penetration, Chinese expansion in Kazakhstan is perceived very ambiguous. Talk about the "China threat" in Kazakhstan can be heard on almost all levels.
The roots of these concerns go to the XVIII century., When the Qing empire destroyed Dzungar Khanate, the site of which is now Xinjiang. Genocide Jungars (Oirat), neighbors and old rivals Kazakhs made last voluntarily go under the wing of Russia.
The only possibility of preventing economic (and possibly political) takeover by China, Kazakhstan is an alliance with other major players. First of all, the USA and Russia.
If Kazakhstan leaves the Eurasian Economic Union, as a counterweight to the United States will act alone, which supports Astana quite warm relations. American presence in Kazakhstan is much greater than the Russian, therefore the weakening of ties with Russia will not lead to instant kitaizatsii country. Freed niche rather quickly will be occupied by the United States. It is obvious that they are, in the opinion of the Kazakh leadership, will act as a guarantor of economic and political security. So, some time ago in Washington, military agencies of Kazakhstan and the United States signed a cooperation plan.
The interest of the United States to Kazakhstan is not limited only by its natural resources. Kazakhstan has become one of the elements of the strategy of creating a Greater Central Asia - the territory starting from Afghanistan through the Central Asian countries to the Middle East. In particular the use of US and NATO Almaty Airport, allows flights to Afghanistan, as well as to observe and gather intelligence on Chinese nuclear facilities.
This is sufficient to guarantee the United States to Kazakhstan opposition expansion of China. Possible elimination of Russia among friends Astana receives approval in Washington indispensable, as will narrow the number of potential competitors for Kazakhstan resources to one China.
http://www.utro.ru/articles/2014/09/01/1210969.shtml
