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Author Topic: Put your money where your mouth is: Predicting Election Winners  (Read 971 times)

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Offline ML

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Put your money where your mouth is: Predicting Election Winners
« on: January 25, 2020, 12:07:27 PM »
A website where you can place money on who will win.

http://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

Currently it shows Donald having at least double the chance of winning over anyone.

Bernie is second and Joe third.

I remember before Univ of Iowa had an actual money poll like this and it was highly accurate.

I did initial registration to place a bet; but then didn't follow through as on next screen it wanted my full name and date of birth.

But interesting to watch.

I predict the price to get in on Donald will go way up next week. 

Was really wanting to put some money on it; but won't now.
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Offline ML

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Re: Put your money where your mouth is: Predicting Election Winners
« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2020, 12:23:09 PM »
Just checked and the Univ of Iowa site still in operation.

A little hard to understand, but it seems bettors are favoring a democrat getting the most votes at a 60 to 40 ratio.

But Donald trending up to 40 since hitting a low of 25 in March of 2019.

However, this is the popular vote, so not the same as winning the Electoral College.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/
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