Operation White Panther

[Patagonie]

The embassy has given back the passport and its on his way. 
I still don't know what is inside the passport.   
I suppose the answer is positive but I will believe in it   
when lady of Thailand would have opened it.   
And then we will know if we have got a simple or a multi entry visa.   
Or maybe nothing. 
   
Anyway we did everything on time.

[Patagonie]

reality sucks...
now it sucks even more
and in the future, it's gonna suck a lot worse than today

see, I know
but ya'll won't want me talk about the deal Putin and Xi Jinping have worked out in regards to a Naval Blockade of Taiwan a couple of years from now that must be done before Trump leaves office

the USA is preparing for it to happen in 2 years
in view of the cost benefit analysis of fighting goat eating Houthis, who haven't figured out how to build a 3 story house yet
a war with China is ridiculous
we are just reinforcing our OWN defenses in case "things get out of hand" and we have a short but INTENSE conventional war with China over the blockade
that's WHY we forced Taiwan to build a TSMC factory in the USA, cuz Trump is gonna dump Taiwan when the rubber hits the road

Trump has finally stated the obvious
it's not "saving young lives" he's after,
NO, the war is an obstacle to foreign trade with Russia and Trumps' own profiteering
that's WHY he wants to end it, by whatever means he can
and have Putin give him the credit
Trump's threats to put new sanctions on Putin was all bluff

Trump was hoping he could use trade leverage to influence Putin to move away from China to the USA
but Xi Jinping was WAY AHEAD of him, and already made Putin a better offer he "could't refuse"

Russia/China/North Korea in the Pacific
Iran and friends in the Red Sea

2 to 3 years from now

if the USA withdraws from NATO, Russia will advance towards Europe sometime in the next decade, if everything works out with China and Iran

 
I have no clue about what will about in the Asian region. 
Taiwan is a hot, very HOT area in the future.
China is getting tons of armament and aircraft carrier. Their last destroyers are very powerful.
And the last battle between India and Pakistan shows that their air to air missiles are very good. 
But
about Ukraine, actually sanctions don't look like a bluff. 
They soon will be in action.
Trump went to Saudi Arabia and the price per baril has already dropped significantly
Knowing that the threshold profit for Russia is $48 per baril and the budget is expected with a $70 per baril.
I have already such strategy in 2014, Saudi Arabia suddenly inundating the world with his petrol, if I remember correctly. 
 

[krimster2]

when Russia runs out of it's Petro Foreign Reserve in about 6 more months
will the war stop?

nyet...becuz Russia has physixally $250 billion in gold it can sell China as needed
North Korea and Iran will trade in rubles and rubble, which sounds like a law firm
Rubles and Rubble LLC

yes, the sanctions hurt Russia!
but...Trump  NEVER applied any in  his hndreds of Executive Orders to Russia...only to Ukraine
it hurts Russia, but not Putin
the only thing that can hurt Putin is "LOSING"
so the war must go on, despite 1 million KIA/WIA and an infinite economic drain

yur all a bunch of blind men standing on the edge of a cliff
yellin at me for annoying ya, cuz I'm trying to "tell ya'll something"
well...uhhhhh...ok...
I'll let ya go
you'll understand after the fall

[Trenchcoat]

when Russia runs out of it's Petro Foreign Reserve in about 6 more months
will the war stop?

nyet...becuz Russia has physixally $250 billion in gold it can sell China as needed

And once that money has ran out?

Russia will be broke with an economy in freefall with no ability to stop it is I think the answer. Ultimately the war in Ukraine is draining Russia all the time of money, the longer the war in Ukraine goes on the weaker Russia becomes until we end up with a Russia similar to post collapse USSR days or similar.

One problem for Russia in buying stuff from China, North Korea or Iran is that it boosts their economy not Russia's. Instead of that money going to Russian Armaments factories which it will receive some of the money back in tax even if from the workers if that money goes to China it's gone with little return. I myself am kicking back and hoping and waiting for next year when Russia's economy will likely hit the wall from their war in Ukraine

[krimster2]

Russia has an "extractive" economy
in Russia, money and peasants are very easy to harvest
and after you beat the peasant's plowshares into swords
let their widows and orphans till the soil with their bare hands

eta pravda
baba yar was dug by stalinski Ukrainian peasants using boards, becuz they didn't have shovels
all that overburden was removed entirely by hand, gloves? LOL!!! how about shoes?

when the going gets tough in Russia - so what?
the Soviet Union "hit the wall" so many times, they put a hammer in their logo
and a scitmar, don't fall for that "scythe kakashka"

I wanna ride moy Ural Motorsickle
and fly the Hammer and sickle and eat a freshly made pickle that came from Nezhin, Ukraine
and some Obolon Draft in my thermos for the road

dobre domo brat

don't judge Russians with British Eyes
you need to look at Russians the way a vulture looks at a dead squirrel
empathy is a western idea, it's been banned and deported