it's looking more and more likely that Russia will use Zapad-25 to launch an attack on Ukraine from Belarus
Russians are stockpiling equipment of the Finnish border to protect it from Ukrainian attack, cuz Ukraine won't "overfly" Finland to attack it
it can be quickly routed to Belarus
peace treaty is just Putin stalling for time
need to see if Belarus will join Russia or not
Russia's FOREX fund that's used for external financing of munitions, will be exhaused in 6 more months, due to lack of oil and gas sales
but Russia has a $200 billion USD gold stockpile that China would love to get their hands on that can be used to buy munitions
That's good news, once that money is spent, it's spent and Russia will be in an even weaker position in which to conduct the war and more importantly to hold the country together. The more economic indicators that are blinking red the deeper in the economic sh*t Russia becomes. At some point possibly next year and I would guess almost certainly the year after if not by then Russia's economy will totally fall apart and break up with economic catastrophe every. Banks that go bust, a worthless Ruble, food shortages, economic woes everywhere and little that will be able to be done as everywhere will be so busted.
Here is a recent report on Russia's economy, it shows as you have said before Krim that Russia is hiding a lot of it's economic problems and it's not in a good place:
http://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-economy-worse-shape-than-moscow-says-report-eu-shows-2025-05-13/There's only so long Russia can hold on for, the longer it continues its war in Ukraine the worse shape it's economy will become as money goes to fund that war, gets used up and makes Russia economically weaker and weaker. Only a matter of time, all Ukraine and the West have to do is hold on, the worst they can do is agree to peace that would let Russia off the hook and risk passing a win to Russia where economic defeat is looming them in the face just perhaps months to a year or so away.
