The Struggle For Ukraine

[Trenchcoat]

it's looking more and more likely that Russia will use Zapad-25 to launch an attack on Ukraine from Belarus
Russians are stockpiling equipment of the Finnish border to protect it from Ukrainian attack, cuz Ukraine won't "overfly" Finland to attack it
it can be quickly routed to Belarus

peace treaty is just Putin stalling for time
need to see if Belarus will join Russia or not

Russia's FOREX fund that's used for external financing of munitions, will be exhaused in 6 more months, due to lack of oil and gas sales
but Russia has a $200 billion USD gold stockpile that China would love to get their hands on that can be used to buy munitions

That's good news, once that money is spent, it's spent and Russia will be in an even weaker position in which to conduct the war and more importantly to hold the country together. The more economic indicators that are blinking red the deeper in the economic sh*t Russia becomes. At some point possibly next year and I would guess almost certainly the year after if not by then Russia's economy will totally fall apart and break up with economic catastrophe every. Banks that go bust, a worthless Ruble, food shortages, economic woes everywhere and little that will be able to be done as everywhere will be so busted.

Here is a recent report on Russia's economy, it shows as you have said before Krim that Russia is hiding a lot of it's economic problems and it's not in a good place:

http://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-economy-worse-shape-than-moscow-says-report-eu-shows-2025-05-13/

There's only so long Russia can hold on for, the longer it continues its war in Ukraine the worse shape it's economy will become as money goes to fund that war, gets used up and makes Russia economically weaker and weaker. Only a matter of time, all Ukraine and the West have to do is hold on, the worst they can do is agree to peace that would let Russia off the hook and risk passing a win to Russia where economic defeat is looming them in the face just perhaps months to a year or so away.

[krimster2]

Putin is the butcher who has a "meat wave military" powered by a "meat wave economy"
in Russia, slave virtues like obedience have great survival value

free men will ALWAYS be willing to FIGHT for their freedom, no matter the price
but Russians ain't NEVER been a free people

thankyou ancestors for leaving

[Trenchcoat]

reality sucks...
now it sucks even more
and in the future, it's gonna suck a lot worse than today

see, I know
but ya'll won't want me talk about the deal Putin and Xi Jinping have worked out in regards to a Naval Blockade of Taiwan a couple of years from now that must be done before Trump leaves office

the USA is preparing for it to happen in 2 years
in view of the cost benefit analysis of fighting goat eating Houthis, who haven't figured out how to build a 3 story house yet
a war with China is ridiculous
we are just reinforcing our OWN defenses in case "things get out of hand" and we have a short but INTENSE conventional war with China over the blockade
that's WHY we forced Taiwan to build a TSMC factory in the USA, cuz Trump is gonna dump Taiwan when the rubber hits the road

Trump has finally stated the obvious
it's not "saving young lives" he's after,
NO, the war is an obstacle to foreign trade with Russia and Trumps' own profiteering
that's WHY he wants to end it, by whatever means he can
and have Putin give him the credit
Trump's threats to put new sanctions on Putin was all bluff

Trump was hoping he could use trade leverage to influence Putin to move away from China to the USA
but Xi Jinping was WAY AHEAD of him, and already made Putin a better offer he "could't refuse"

Russia/China/North Korea in the Pacific
Iran and friends in the Red Sea

2 to 3 years from now

if the USA withdraws from NATO, Russia will advance towards Europe sometime in the next decade, if everything works out with China and Iran

If Trump was after getting Russia onside in any future war by doing deals on Ukraine it was always going to be a tough play. The very nature of Russia being more predisposed to want to move into Europe. China being more predisposed to move into the Pacific (Taiwan, South China Sea, etc). As far as I am aware there isn't a big history of disputed territory between Russia & China or a big want for territory along their border. That's not to say they don't see each other as potential threats as they are both next to one another but even in Soviet times there was co-operation between the two.

China I think will sell to anyone who has the money and will do deals with anyone where it sees that it will gain in its interests.

For the West the better option is to make sure that the war continues in Ukraine, that they keep supplying Ukraine and that Russia ideally has to end up chucking in the war through it's economy imploding. The best result of course is Russia breaking up through that economic implosion. The worst thing it can do is get to a peace deal now. A future Russia or Russian area that is so economically destroyed means it won't be joining China in any future war. The West dealing with it's enemies one by one is the best and easiest way of gaining victory over it's enemies rather than them joining forces and having to deal with them all at once. Russia probably only has about one year's worth of warfare left before it's economy implodes, maybe a bit more or a bit less, probably two years absolute maximum I would have thought.

Iran is one country that can be easily picked off in the near future from a potential Russia, China, North Korea, Iran Axis. Russia is getting in a position of being too weak to help Iran. China & North Korea are too far away from Iran and likely won't care about Iran anyway. Iran has lost Syria, the West has Israel as an ally in that area and Iran probably isn't that difficult a nut to crack. If it were me my preference would be for the West & Israel to totally hammer Iran with missiles, degrade it's military, infrastructure, state control structures, etc. Then dissident forces can rise up and the West can help them topple the regime. Even Iran in a mess being hammered by missiles means that it will be in no fit state to take part in any world war even if it is just in a supply of weapons basis.

[krimster2]

Iran will be launching Chinese missiles at the US Navy, and China will be launching Chinese missiles at the US Navy
dewds with wooden shoes will cut the Alaskan pipeline, keystone pipeline in USA
mexican cartels will be paid to attack Texas and Lousiana petro industry

the chickens are starting to come home now

[krimster2]

latest update....
not surprisingly, everything I told ya here on RWD, where NO topic is too outlandish to discus "what's happening"
is now starting to appear in the media

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-tells-trump-he-won-t-consider-peace-deal-because-russia-is-on-the-verge-of-victory/ar-AA1Fgna4?ocid=winp1taskbar&cvid=682ffb26c56d434c8c3bd2aa5f898aa7&ei=22

Trump to NOT impose Russian sanctions
Putin says he doesn't care about Peace, cuz he's on the edge of victory

separate source
all foreigners in Russia must get a tracking device at customs clearance
and carry it at all times
for their own safety LOL!

remember the movie "Red Dawn" and the Russian tracker?
life immitates art - the chicken came first THEN laid an egg

the collapse of Weimar led to a chain of unfortunate events including "regime change"
this historic pattern will repeat, watch in a theater near you, starring you as well

I may be cursed by the authorities, and exiled or crucified in some other way
by I still wanna warn ya...from now on, keep yur eyes wide open and look both ways....

Torah Numerology
George Orwell
2025 minus 1984 = 41

In the Bible, 41 is used to represent the end of a period of hardship or waiting, leading to a positive outcome.
For example, after 40 days and nights of rain, the sun reappeared on day 41, and the ark came to rest.
Similarly, after 40 years in the wilderness, the Israelites entered the Promised Land on the 41st yea

we will be entering a period of hardship and will have to endure it for awhile

[Trenchcoat]

Putler thinks he is about to gain victory in Ukraine without a peace deal but there is no sign of it. Ukrainian forces are entrenched roughly where they have been for many months now. Ukrainian drones are hitting the Russian Capital Moscow en-masse and elsewhere. It would be like Hitler claiming victory with RAF bombs hitting the Reich's Chancellery, kind of ludicrous.

Recent news reports back up the bad state of the Russian economy and Armaments situation:

http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2058758/russia-economy-brink-putin-tanks-ukraine-war

For sure Russia will no doubt persist over the next year by buying off China etc, but after than they are all out with a busted economy.

Main issue for Ukraine is where it's going to get funding from probably going into Winter onwards. US support runs out soon, possibly Ukraine might be able to do deals or buy upfront stuff from the US. Other than that it's down to the UK/EU to cough up further funds as by Winter existing UK/EU funds might be starting to run out. If Putler has about $200bn or so to spend with China, etc then that will probably take Russia into next year of war before that starts to run out. Then Putler is in a bad situation.

[Trenchcoat]

Apparently Russian troop losses are now nearing 1 million:

http://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/05/26/russias-casualties-in-its-war-against-ukraine-near-1-million-troops-kyiv-says

That is probably correct going from previous figured, rough idea of daily battlefield loses (apparently up to 1000 Russian troop losses per day). While Russia can always bring up more men their issue is that it often means higher labour costs in its economy through labour shortages. There is also the quality of men that are left to call up, increasingly they may be unfit, in poor health, old, etc.

Ukrainians troop losses may be nearing on 400,000 in comparison. I feel bad for guys that are thrown into such a situation it must be pretty terrible. Again it feels bad to talk about the dating issue in such circumstances and as things are at the moment with me it's not needed but the pure factual side of it is that there are likely to be less men to women in Ukraine & Russia as a result of this war.

I anticipate that anything much over 300,000 thousand troop losses in Ukraine spread out across Ukraine while only a chip in the total male population in Ukraine in the millions is likely enough at the dating age group to cause a slight shortfall of men in most towns & cities across Ukraine. In essence only a small shortfall is probably needed to cause an issue with women feeling the shortage of men and increased competitiveness among women for men.

In other news apparently now Ukraine has been given permission from all countries to use their long range missiles to fire at military facilities in Russia. It's thought that if may help Ukraine's position in the war.

Russia is still pretty much bogged down along it's present battlefield lines in Ukraine and hasn't made much progress in many months. It really looks like Russia is beating itself up over very little gain in Ukraine and doing itself no favours.

[krimster2]

hard to know the truth in absolute numbers
90 % of the Russian WIA are sent back to the front, and can show up in the statistics again

my estimate is Russia has suffered 2 Vietnams in terms of human casualties
if Russia was the USA there would be massive rioting in every city
but...it's Russia

same 'ole Stalinism, where every citizen had to guard every single word and deed
Russians all know how to be "model prisoners"

spies are freakin everywhere, they even watch the wives of soldiers
to see if they spread "propaganda" about losses, conditions, etc
slaves create slave masters

Russia is the world's biggest plantation
some Russians are "house slaves" and some are "field slaves"
but they is all slaves
 

[Trenchcoat]

Ukraine hitting Russia hard now right where it hurts:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cgrg7kelk45t

The damage/destruction of those bomber planes are going to cost Russia a lot of money, they don't come cheap these days.

These strikes are deep into Russian territory right across Russia. Along with drones Ukraine are using cruise missiles making full use of the recent change to being able to use them to hit military sites deep in Russia. A continuing campaign like this is likely to see the Russian military seriously degraded over time making them less able to bomb Ukraine and potentially leaving opportunity for instability at home if it becomes a case that Russia no longer has the military ability to keep down insurgent groups.

[krimster2]

The Discreet Charm of the Bourgeoisie

http://x.com/i/status/1928883001724666180


LOL!
the last Tu-95 bomber rolled outta the broken down factory over 30 years ago!
kinda like B-52s (not the band)

there will be a temporary reduction of air launched cruise missiles, until Russia fills the gap

Russia is building reserves and turning the reserves into a surprise "strike force"
Putin's strategy is to repeat Stalingrad at Kharkiv

Putin wants a Putingrad

Hiding equipment near Finland to block Ukrainian attacks from the West
20,000+ in Belarus
50,000 near Kharkiv

vrs thousands of Ukrainian teenagers with drones
Ukrainian drone logistics is freakin amazing

[2tallbill]

WATCH: Ukraine smuggles 'hidden drones' to stage explosive attack on Russian aircraft




Ukraine secretly smuggled a large number of drones into Russia to carry out a large-scale attack on Moscow's military aircraft Sunday, according to numerous reports.

The Kyiv Independent reports: "An operation by Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) using FPV drones smuggled deep into Russian and hidden inside trucks has hit 41 Russian heavy bombers at four airfields across the country," a source in the agency told the news outlet.

A year-and-a-half in the planning, the operation codenamed "Web" is said to be a major blow to the aircraft Russia uses to launch long-range missile attacks on Ukraine's cities.

http://www.wnd.com/2025/06/watch-ukraine-smuggles-hidden-drones-to-stage-explosive-attack-on-russian-aircraft/

[2tallbill]

'Russian bombers are burning en masse' — Ukraine's SBU drones hit 'more than 40' aircraft in mass attack, source claims




An operation by Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) using first-person-view (FPV) drones smuggled
deep inside Russian and hidden inside trucks has hit 41 Russian heavy bombers at four airfields
across the country, a source
in the agency told the Kyiv Independent on June 1.

The operation — codenamed "Spider web" and a year-and-a-half in the planning — appears to have
dealt a major blow to the aircraft Moscow uses to launch long-range missile attacks on Ukraine's cities.

"The SBU first transported FPV drones to Russia, and later, on the territory of the Russian Federation,
the drones were hidden under the roofs of mobile wooden cabins, already placed on trucks," the source
said.

read all about it here
http://kyivindependent.com/enemy-bombers-are-burning-en-masse-ukraines-sbu-drones-hit-more-than-40-russian-aircraft/

[Trenchcoat]

That's some great pics Beel. Here is another article with some more info on it all and a pic of the big mother f*cker Tu-95's etc that they hit:

http://www.euronews.com/2025/06/01/ukraine-reportedly-strikes-down-over-40-russian-strategic-bombers-in-mass-drone-attack

Looks like the bigger they come the easier they are to hit. Bet they caught the Russians napping with their trousers down. The look on their faces when all that went down must have been priceless

Imagine how much much that all cost the Russian government when it went up in flames! Calculator please

The nature of warfare has definitely changed and looks lucky for Ukraine that it did. As the article states Ukraine has apparently developed a drone capable of flying 3000 km to its target. No longer are big bombers, tanks and artillery a massive asset but a liability creating a nice large target more than it being a nice big weapon as it once was.

If Ukraine can keep hitting Russia like this it can seriously weaken the Russian State to a point where it becomes incapable and starts falling apart. Russia's worsening economy will couple with that and Russia could find itself in a seriously bad place within the year. Exciting times ahead when things in Russia get so bad that internal power plays start occurring and sh*t really hits the fan.

[olgac]

Well lets hope the course of war is changing. On russian-speaking sites russians are already complaining about drones hitting buildings. They are in shock as if they didn't know a war has been going on for years.

[krimster2]

asymetrical warfare
NOBODY has REALLY learned it yet, because of how quickly it changes

the bigger yur enemy is, the harder they will fall
attack from within and you automatically bypass defenses

everybody is waitin on the period of time when they got them Novichok Drones

ukraine has assembled and deployed 50,000 drones per month for quite awhile
ya'll remember how proud the USA was of "homefront" industrial production

for every drone operator sitting in the mud on the front
there's 20-30 assemblers, transporters, accountants, etc

all organisms tend to "speciate"
so there are species of drone operators
some only hunt other drone operators with radio detection gear
that's why they're switching to fiber optics
fiber optic drones are jam-proof, EMP-proof, fly low
like a slow TOW missile - Israel was the first to make an "optical TOW" instead of wire guided

Israel will design Gold Dome for ya'll, and will setup an "American Company" for this purpose
They already got Space Lasers and used for the first official "shoot-down"
I hope they tape a plastic shark at the end of the laser
so sharks with frickin lasers are shootin down Hamas flying pipe bombs launched from playgrounds, ohhh the humanity